{
 "account": "XyraSinclair",
 "generated_at": "2026-09-08",
 "source": "scry.io twitter.tweets (author_id 769172276684156929)",
 "count": 5786,
 "tweets": [
  {
   "id": "2097235432874692855",
   "created_at": "2026-09-08T08:07:46+00:00",
   "text": "RT @deepfates: gm https://t.co/nMp0SrV3Do",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2097235432874692855",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "2096912495348982144",
   "created_at": "2026-09-07T10:44:32+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/x2eujQNJpm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2096912495348982144",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "2096893447282253903",
   "created_at": "2026-09-07T09:28:50+00:00",
   "text": "a relief that astra is mid at coding, i have put over 24 fable-max-months into one coding project, with pretty sophisticated tricks, with a very painful amount of attunement. can't kill me yet!\n\nalso takes a fuck ton of time to learn the lessons from moving data around. somebody could replicate what I've done in a similar amount of time, maybe shave off a month since my product is so open, but probably not fast enough to catch up with where I'm headed.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2096893447282253903",
   "word_count": 83
  },
  {
   "id": "2096842973338284208",
   "created_at": "2026-09-07T06:08:16+00:00",
   "text": "some of the AI safety cases for Scry (https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR, an MCP offering structured, recursive, conjunctive queries over vast amounts of the internet):\n\n- generic uplift--a natural continuation of the benefits of deep research agents.\n\n- understanding the straightforward frontier.  Scry-like systems are on the table as one of the biggest intelligence overhangs right now. We can begin to metabolize and understand the capabilities now instead of experiencing a discontinuity when an autonomous agent organization invents Scry in 4 months.\n\n- non-peak-capability decentralization. Scry-like systems bring power to the people by delivering capabilities once gatekept by much larger organizations. Guardian angel open-source fine-tunes have another affordable tool in their toolkit.\n\n- more reflective cognition. SQL+Datalog is interpretable, systematic intelligence that requires more reflectivity to use than easy-smeazy keyword internet search. Someone has to think about decomposition, predicates, joins, assumptions rather than being happy with what natural language black-box search shits out.\n\n- democratizing adversarial legibility. ordinary people have not seen first-hand the scale of public footprint monitoring that enterprise, govts, and sophisticated actors are privately gaining. giving prosocial technical communities access creates opportunities for inoculation instead of capabilities growing ambiently one-sided.\n\nOverall, Scry shifts some intelligence from concentrated, opaque, hazy systems toward distributed, reflective, procedural computation over shared human knowledge.  (Unlimited inspectability of computation is bad too btw, but our chaotic world can afford to be at least 2% more procedurally ~German).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2096842973338284208",
   "word_count": 231
  },
  {
   "id": "2096522950665203955",
   "created_at": "2026-09-06T08:56:37+00:00",
   "text": "We beat Google's Gemini Deep Search Agent on DeepSearchQA.\n\nGoogle: 66.1%.\n\nScry: 71.8%.\n\nhttps://t.co/BaiM2S3BZC",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2096522950665203955",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "2096430576245059590",
   "created_at": "2026-09-06T02:49:33+00:00",
   "text": "@JimDMiller @bayeslord groupchats still tho",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2096430576245059590",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "2096410255177441432"
  },
  {
   "id": "2095742215003988122",
   "created_at": "2026-09-04T05:14:15+00:00",
   "text": "@olvrgln you can do experiments at 10B embeddings scale at https://t.co/35YTcQvABt. It's an MCP that gives programmatic access via SQL",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2095742215003988122",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "2095616003451613325"
  },
  {
   "id": "2095514924311339236",
   "created_at": "2026-09-03T14:11:05+00:00",
   "text": "with GPT Pro, you could ask [note: AI generated content]: \"@scry Search old mailing lists, HCI discussions, forums, product reviews, patents, obscure software projects, research papers, archived web pages, and other historical technical/design discourse for interface concepts that independently converge on ideas behind A Phone That Cares About You: peripheral rather than focal information; interfaces that restore awareness of the body or surrounding environment; intentional desaturation, perceptual quieting, or reduced visual salience; depth cues; interventions triggered by bodily or attentional state; communication batching; user-aligned attention agents; and software explicitly designed to reduce its own necessity.\nPrioritize ideas proposed before modern “digital wellbeing” discourse, especially prototypes, research systems, products, or design philosophies that disappeared despite apparently promising mechanisms.\nFor each lineage:\n•identify the earliest strong examples and later independent rediscoveries;\n•reconstruct what problem its creators thought they were solving and the mechanism they believed would work;\n•determine what happened to the project or idea and, where evidence permits, why it failed to spread;\n•distinguish failures of the underlying mechanism from failures of timing, hardware, business model, distribution, aesthetics, implementation, or surrounding ecosystem;\n•identify empirical results or long-term user reports, especially ones later work seems to have forgotten;\n•compare the design principles with A Phone That Cares About You, highlighting both genuine precedents and places where the current project takes the idea in a meaningfully different direction.\nThen synthesize the history into a “design phylogeny”: which ideas have been independently rediscovered many times, which promising branches were abandoned too early, which repeatedly failed for the same reason, and which unexplored combinations now look newly feasible.\nEnd with the 10 historical ideas or failed prototypes whose forgotten lessons would be most valuable to someone designing a genuinely user-aligned phone today.\"\n\nor \"@scry Construct a bottom-up phenomenology of smartphone use from first-person public accounts rather than existing essays. Extract descriptions of the transition into phone use, deep scrolling, interruption, and stopping. Code changes in bodily awareness, posture, breathing, hunger/thirst, sense of surroundings, agency, social presence, time perception, emotional granularity, and attentional width. Separate experiences people attribute to the phone from experiences they report with books, desktop computers, TV, games, music, and other absorbing media. Find the phenomenological features most specific to compulsive smartphone use, then show the strongest counterexamples to the hypothesis that phones primarily work by narrowing awareness.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2095514924311339236",
   "word_count": 385,
   "in_reply_to": "2095500740655526176"
  },
  {
   "id": "2095503145535508738",
   "created_at": "2026-09-03T13:24:17+00:00",
   "text": "@sudan_shoe definitely. Elicit is a research assistant, Scry is infrastructure that research assistants query, like the backbone of highly customized open-source research assistants.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2095503145535508738",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "2095493039993000356"
  },
  {
   "id": "2095486720661926086",
   "created_at": "2026-09-03T12:19:01+00:00",
   "text": "@maskys_ on it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2095486720661926086",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "2095484124098118121"
  },
  {
   "id": "2095483351612465647",
   "created_at": "2026-09-03T12:05:37+00:00",
   "text": "Since googling \"how to do the most good\" and becoming an EA at 2015, getting pilled on x-risk and d/acc at 2016, reading The Sequences in 2017, becoming a CS major at West Point in 2018, and aspiring to deliver epistemic infrastructure at 2019, I've been on a lonely path.\n\nToday, I prepare some of the most differentiated information retrieval substrates, delivering what Google and others failed to do: put the internet in a fucking analytical database and give conscientious, prosocial people ergonomic access to it.\n\nI do prolific crawling and ETL of most public content remotely relevant to existential security (crawling over 10B records a day myself, not counting bulk exports). I make this content ultra-traversable with multiple tuned database technologies, give users extremely ergonomic MCP access to it, and am engineering fair server-resource allocation through cost tracking and dynamic auction mechanisms.\n\nI have done this all alone with about $200k from personal patronage--unprecedented for me, as my income never exceeded $25k until this year--essentially one powerful server (that would have been half as expensive last year before the RAMpocalypse), 4-figure cloud spend, and 4-figure AI spend.\n\nif you want your agent to be able to execute recursive, conjuctive queries over much of the most prioritized public text in the world, you can just add \"@scry\" to your agent chats once you install the Scry MCP server, which typically takes under 11 clicks in a desktop browser.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2095483351612465647",
   "word_count": 238
  },
  {
   "id": "2095430605857304733",
   "created_at": "2026-09-03T08:36:02+00:00",
   "text": "@ASvanevik same thing happening in information retrieval",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2095430605857304733",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "2095286223707541945"
  },
  {
   "id": "2095414404108238947",
   "created_at": "2026-09-03T07:31:39+00:00",
   "text": "can only imagine what Anthropic is up to, if they have any ideonomy fellas.\n\nthe inference time affordances of even like 50 concurrent fast mythos 5.1 is unfathomable",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2095414404108238947",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "2095404204500386144",
   "created_at": "2026-09-03T06:51:07+00:00",
   "text": "the nature of [somatic] time substantially changes when a great, honest, high-dimensional prompt fired off in 2 minutes is more effective than a half day of struggle",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2095404204500386144",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "2095031244065247247",
   "created_at": "2026-09-02T06:09:07+00:00",
   "text": "there's LEVELS to query substrates.\n\nstarting to see the frontier. informational retrieval is no joke. CPU-based retrieval systems are some of the most conscientiously empowering, inspectable, permissionable, forkable forms of cognitive work we have.\n\nif you're afraid of kiki intelligence spikes happening in black box datacenters and unscrupulous actors deeply disempowering others, you should be very interested in bouba paradigms of message-passing where small interpretable programs have more causal influence in the world.\n\nwe also have to be really clear what d/acc means, especially with open source AI capabilities this far. it means existentially safer information geometry, it doesn't mean there's not going to be cortisol spikes and things that tweak social norms and status, like people's online content feeling more Read.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2095031244065247247",
   "word_count": 122
  },
  {
   "id": "2095018443611545645",
   "created_at": "2026-09-02T05:18:15+00:00",
   "text": "@AaronBergman18 i've been fable-maxxing, but something like 2 or 3 chatgpt pro plans used concurrently can plausibly maintain something like >100 concurrent agents for ~hours",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2095018443611545645",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "2094899520702157206"
  },
  {
   "id": "2094955218916266104",
   "created_at": "2026-09-02T01:07:01+00:00",
   "text": "I've taken out search endpoints for now. scry is about PROGRAMMATIC QUERIES and giving the people BIG F'ING DATABASE as precompiled epistemic work substrates.\n\nSQL+Datalog+other queries are the most interpretable, inspectable, reproducible form of cognition available. if we start solving more people's pain with old school tech executed really well--with lab employees and whatnot really seeing what current models can do with other computing infra--we can increase the probability of a pause.  and where we don't get a pause, we definitely need to be monitoring the situation and not having random tinkerers struggling to crawl social media or select amazing corpora for conscientious training.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094955218916266104",
   "word_count": 104
  },
  {
   "id": "2094951857546547287",
   "created_at": "2026-09-02T00:53:39+00:00",
   "text": "i'm happy to build the database and solve ergonomic multi-party access to it, people are happy to use it (tens of thousands of external queries already, almost ready to launch), and it's the challenge of existential philanthropists to decide if I should be helped by their funds and network or not.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094951857546547287",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "2094948621448098294"
  },
  {
   "id": "2094948621448098294",
   "created_at": "2026-09-02T00:40:48+00:00",
   "text": "prosocial tinkerers need massively affordable BIG FUCKING DATABASE.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094948621448098294",
   "word_count": 8,
   "quoted_id": "2094946682803007493",
   "quoted_author": "XyraSinclair",
   "quoted_text": "people tend to underestimate how many tools scry is positioned to support. \"monitoring the situation\"-> increasingly a query on scry. \"AI safety talent discovery\" -> creative scry queries. understanding AI trends on social media -> scry query. executing massively conjunctive exhaustive queries that can update your world-view -> scry query. matchmaking internet strangers with expressed want and need -> scry query.\n\nmost epistemic projects start with a lovely idea, and then people don't have the autism to get and prepare the data they actually need.  scry solves many many people's projects ahead of time--by doing the turbo autism things ahead of time. and now being imminently useful is mostly a marketing problem that while the founder doesn't self-sabatoge into thinking they are bad at--they are plausibly structurally pretty inefficient at.\n\nI'm giving away ergonomic computation over data that would generally cost 8-9 figures to acquire, on a server that generally costs $50k/month, through a codebase that generally costs 8 figures.\n\nit's a precompiled substrate for future epistemic work, and THE THING someone like me should have personally risked a lot on hill climbing the moment agents got ok."
  },
  {
   "id": "2094946682803007493",
   "created_at": "2026-09-02T00:33:06+00:00",
   "text": "people tend to underestimate how many tools scry is positioned to support. \"monitoring the situation\"-> increasingly a query on scry. \"AI safety talent discovery\" -> creative scry queries. understanding AI trends on social media -> scry query. executing massively conjunctive exhaustive queries that can update your world-view -> scry query. matchmaking internet strangers with expressed want and need -> scry query.\n\nmost epistemic projects start with a lovely idea, and then people don't have the autism to get and prepare the data they actually need.  scry solves many many people's projects ahead of time--by doing the turbo autism things ahead of time. and now being imminently useful is mostly a marketing problem that while the founder doesn't self-sabatoge into thinking they are bad at--they are plausibly structurally pretty inefficient at.\n\nI'm giving away ergonomic computation over data that would generally cost 8-9 figures to acquire, on a server that generally costs $50k/month, through a codebase that generally costs 8 figures.\n\nit's a precompiled substrate for future epistemic work, and THE THING someone like me should have personally risked a lot on hill climbing the moment agents got ok.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094946682803007493",
   "word_count": 188
  },
  {
   "id": "2094935352134029568",
   "created_at": "2026-09-01T23:48:04+00:00",
   "text": "I'm going to go back now to being chill, demonstrating nice things rather than telling, and not emphasizing the competitive affordances good search also enables. I just see no simple way to communicate with some people the information that I have, relevant for prosocial outcomes. \n\nand I am receptive--I was just discussing the differential acc nature of scry with someone and have questions to consider about launching.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094935352134029568",
   "word_count": 67,
   "in_reply_to": "2094909964158751161"
  },
  {
   "id": "2094909964158751161",
   "created_at": "2026-09-01T22:07:11+00:00",
   "text": "i do claim _Existential Seriousness_, _Pretty Fucking Good Judgement_, and a top 30 EA Existential Shapley value (trajectory), for my decisions to make the internet more programmatically searchable, and my quality of execution on it.\n\nobviously i have salesmanship and onboarding work to do, but i *am* ingroupie and do not accept being a \"techie that should just do b2b\" or \"not respecting differential progress\" to anyone who thinks they have Existential-class good taste.\n\nit's a small world, NO ONE (except maybe someone with Fable 7) was or is going to technically do this as well as I have with the critical source/content coverage that I have--I've talked with some the biggest search companies and they don't _get_ my thesis.\n\nif you doubt my basic existential competence, i'll give you special access to certain tables as well so you can have GPT-5.6-Pro or your tools of choice exhaustively compute over every ingroupie's public blog, article, comment, tweet, for comparative analysis according to your values.\n\n_you don’t get to hand waive away how critical this tech will be to Team Conscientiousness as the year progresses_",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094909964158751161",
   "word_count": 184
  },
  {
   "id": "2094901617128780263",
   "created_at": "2026-09-01T21:34:01+00:00",
   "text": "i do claim _Existential Seriousness_, _Pretty Fucking Good Judgement_, and a top 30 EA Existential Shapley value (trajectory), for my decisions to make the internet more programmatically searchable, and my quality of execution on it.\n\nobviously i have salesmanship and onboarding work to do, but i *am* ingroupie and do not accept being a \"techie that should just do b2b\" or \"not respecting differential progress\" to anyone who thinks they have Existential-class good taste.\n\nit's a small world, NO ONE (except maybe someone with Fable 7) was or is going to technically do this as well as I have with the critical source/content coverage that I have--I've talked with some the biggest search companies and they don't _get_ my thesis.\n\nif you doubt my basic existential competence, i'll give you special access to certain tables as well so you can have GPT-5.6-Pro or your tools of choice exhaustively compute over every ingroupy's public blog, article, comment, tweet, for comparative analysis according to your values.\n\n_you don’t get to hand waive away how critical this tech will be to Team Conscientiousness as the year progresses_",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094901617128780263",
   "word_count": 184
  },
  {
   "id": "2094721851377258521",
   "created_at": "2026-09-01T09:39:42+00:00",
   "text": "my fable-ese /parsimony-closeout skill i usually invoke at the end of complicated fable chats. really seems to rescue from a haunting amount of debt that almost slips through.\n\n---\nname: parsimony-closeout\ndescription: End-of-session parsimony reckoning — briefly adopt the alarmed stance (\"if every session accretes like this one, what does this system look like in a year?\"), surface the drift a calm read re-justifies, hill-climb it with deletions accepted only through blind defense, and name the attractor — the elegant end-state the system is trying to become, which future sessions steer toward mid-work. Use on \"parsimony closeout\", \"are we drifting toward sprawl\", \"panic about bloat\", \"name the attractor\", or as the parsimony arm of a closeout when the session added machinery.\n---\n\n# Parsimony Closeout\n\nBloat is invisible per-session by construction: every addition was justified in the context that added it, and a calm review re-runs those justifications and accepts them again. So this pass borrows a different instrument — a bounded moment of alarm — to see the trajectory instead of the increments.\n\n## Shape\n\n1. **Extrapolate the accretion.** List what this session added to the world: files, concepts, config knobs, special cases, dependencies, ceremony. Multiply by a year of sessions like this one and look at the result honestly. An ugly extrapolation is a real finding about the trajectory even when each individual addition was justified.\n2. **Panic, bounded.** One pass in the alarmed stance: assume the drift is real and ask where. Treat every addition as guilty until proven load-bearing, every near-duplicate as the third copy forming, every new abstraction as possibly the wrong one entrenching. Write down everything the fear notices. The stance is an instrument, not a state — it ends the moment the list is written.\n3. **Climb calm.** Return to judgment and run the `parsimony-climb` light pass over the touched surfaces: state the invariants in one line, fire \"simplify this while holding the invariants,\" and accept each proposed deletion only if it survives a blind defend (fresh context, invariants + diff only). Panic proposes; the pawl disposes.\n4. **Name the attractor.** The headline output: the elegant end-state this system is trying to become — three modules instead of seven, one concept where there are four, stated concretely enough that a future session mid-work would make different choices knowing it. Structural findings (the wrong abstraction, the module that shouldn't exist, the unification worth a redesign) become threads routed under the attractor, framed as steps toward it, not as \"cleanup.\" Deletions are the down-payment; the attractor is what makes them a direction rather than a chore.\n5. **Land and report.** Lead with the attractor and a one-line trajectory verdict — on track for it, or drifting, with the single change that most bends the curve. Then the evidence: deletions landed, and deletions rejected with why (rejections are invariants discovered the hard way — record them).\n\n## Bounds\n\n- Panic never lands anything by itself: every cut passes the blind defend, and a cut touching a mechanical invariant passes its named check (compiler, test, probe).\n- Zero accepted deletions plus a clean trajectory verdict is a good outcome — say so plainly. No cleanup theatre to justify the pass.\n- Compose with `closeout` (this is its parsimony arm). A contested or load-bearing kill escalates into the full `parsimony-climb` machinery rather than being forced through here.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094721851377258521",
   "word_count": 559
  },
  {
   "id": "2094679345390629300",
   "created_at": "2026-09-01T06:50:47+00:00",
   "text": "looking forward to launching Scry! appreciate you handful of people who've tried it and those sticking around, while I polish away the domain's pains.\n\nTuring-complete (Datalog now too) search isn't going anywhere, smarter models are going to ravenously use it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094679345390629300",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "2094660694390300844",
   "created_at": "2026-09-01T05:36:41+00:00",
   "text": "I need to write a lw post about how disturbing it is that funders haven't yet been distributing like use it-or-lose it token spend, like $600-2000 month, for like 2000 epistemically-inclined people (with a bit of RCT). usage-limits deeply affect thinking and experimentation, and there is no substitute for SOTA models for daily driving.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094660694390300844",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "2094640150303429008"
  },
  {
   "id": "2094616710775242990",
   "created_at": "2026-09-01T02:41:54+00:00",
   "text": "post-scarcity and curiosity maxxing. causal forces are bending the nature of possibility. Team Conscientiousness and existential philanthropy must pick its fighters, lest more traditional market and status forces entirely decide.\n\nwho has sufficient epistemic inclination, cross-domain fluidity, that dog in them, and balanced compassion?\n\nwill we proactively mint young energetically independent colonels, or are we happy with just exited founders to have sufficient influence? if someone can't even pay for HBOT in 2026--they can't be said to be Cared about.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094616710775242990",
   "word_count": 80
  },
  {
   "id": "2094033432758341895",
   "created_at": "2026-08-30T12:04:10+00:00",
   "text": "property enumeration [and satisfaction]",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2094033432758341895",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "2093683595034681604",
   "created_at": "2026-08-29T12:54:02+00:00",
   "text": "a lot of the intelligence explosion going well is just gathering context, having tools to organize it conscientiously (e.g. consistent model judgements on high-dimensional interpretable axes, including axis splitting and rotation), and growing beautiful, parsimonious models.\n\nless raw search depth, more better epistemic geometry. we need to master how to be massively uplifting to most swaths of society with models before x-risky omnicidal tech things becomes too easy. it's about preparing to tiling the tech tree in the right order, with somatic safety and parsimony deserving more early weight.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2093683595034681604",
   "word_count": 89,
   "quoted_id": "2093407498074296571",
   "quoted_author": "MTSlive",
   "quoted_text": "SITUATION DETECTED: Anthropic found that Claude-powered automated alignment researchers can search for post-training recipes that reduce ten well-measured alignment failures, generalize beyond the training evals, and beat ideas from human researchers with years of experience."
  },
  {
   "id": "2093288971635954118",
   "created_at": "2026-08-28T10:45:56+00:00",
   "text": "talked to a london finance salesman with the most posh, bombastic, tremendously hearty voice, and I might have to take a call again just so I can get some lines to practice",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2093288971635954118",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "2093096933586079826",
   "created_at": "2026-08-27T22:02:51+00:00",
   "text": "@jjjoemclean yes, https://t.co/35YTcQvABt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2093096933586079826",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "2093025214850322640"
  },
  {
   "id": "2092922118484971744",
   "created_at": "2026-08-27T10:28:12+00:00",
   "text": "@EveOnline I would love to migrate a codebase like this. $50k and 7 days and I'll mog your team",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2092922118484971744",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "2092311168786280448"
  },
  {
   "id": "2092915319148859519",
   "created_at": "2026-08-27T10:01:11+00:00",
   "text": "can't tell u how good it feels for pompous hackernewsies to not have shit on me anymore\n\ni did the most obvious thing that tech had 30 years to do, and ur agent can use it like a crack jungle gym, and it's particularly optimized for the talent discovery needs of existential stewardship.\n\n no one had the balls and duty-sense to do what Google failed to do: ergonomic congestion-based turing-complete search over 500 TB of the parsed internet",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2092915319148859519",
   "word_count": 78
  },
  {
   "id": "2092895840167993558",
   "created_at": "2026-08-27T08:43:47+00:00",
   "text": "@badlogicgames easiest recipe to survive with huge projects without reading code is fable only (aside from k3-tier consultations) and prompt about elegance/parsimony/autophagy/golden-timeline 5x more than you build",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2092895840167993558",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "2092541024631488669"
  },
  {
   "id": "2092719282618765518",
   "created_at": "2026-08-26T21:02:12+00:00",
   "text": "@pwnies military veterans in oregon get functionally a 20% discount",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2092719282618765518",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "2092363082748367044"
  },
  {
   "id": "2092546089937457306",
   "created_at": "2026-08-26T09:34:00+00:00",
   "text": "the opportunity to design parsimony-inducing environments to RL the heinous fuckery in these shoggoths to dust",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2092546089937457306",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "2092538431670980661",
   "created_at": "2026-08-26T09:03:34+00:00",
   "text": "i really should be a grantmaker and vc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2092538431670980661",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "2092501185391710326",
   "created_at": "2026-08-26T06:35:34+00:00",
   "text": "cut me in on that existential deal flow brotha",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2092501185391710326",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "2092337913308856417",
   "created_at": "2026-08-25T19:46:46+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/wqKNAZRt8A",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2092337913308856417",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "2092194578145374296",
   "created_at": "2026-08-25T10:17:13+00:00",
   "text": "ant should read my mind and know i want to work there. are they even crawling every ant tweet and profile for fitness to work there?? scry can help",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2092194578145374296",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "2092166884087210197",
   "created_at": "2026-08-25T08:27:10+00:00",
   "text": "@mrmagan_ the two genders. nothing wrong with being a big beautiful feminine query surface for all the strong agents that know what they want",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2092166884087210197",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "2092010321691263210"
  },
  {
   "id": "2092123109411406257",
   "created_at": "2026-08-25T05:33:13+00:00",
   "text": "@nichochar https://t.co/TGukITNdjV",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2092123109411406257",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2091901851570672038"
  },
  {
   "id": "2091122006758736380",
   "created_at": "2026-08-22T11:15:12+00:00",
   "text": "that's what i'm sayin!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2091122006758736380",
   "word_count": 4,
   "quoted_id": "2091116809475010837",
   "quoted_author": "xyrazoomies",
   "quoted_text": "HOW 'BOUT THEM OOD EXISTENTIAL EPISTEMIC-SOMATIC AFFORDANCES"
  },
  {
   "id": "2091114602599989628",
   "created_at": "2026-08-22T10:45:46+00:00",
   "text": "prompting building epistemic infra a pretty epic respite and return",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2091114602599989628",
   "word_count": 10,
   "quoted_id": "1152992939444002818",
   "quoted_author": "XyraSinclair",
   "quoted_text": "I just want the long-term value of the future to be secured already so I can get back to runaway signaling games & fulfilling a more traditional utility function."
  },
  {
   "id": "2090720688428724393",
   "created_at": "2026-08-21T08:40:30+00:00",
   "text": "@dbreunig cloud be infra brainrot. with 2T tokens fast fable+sol, gh reliability can be mogged with 12 cabinets and spot instances for the derpy Actions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2090720688428724393",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "2090557157150515574"
  },
  {
   "id": "2090705205369467359",
   "created_at": "2026-08-21T07:38:59+00:00",
   "text": "@NathanpmYoung nice! https://t.co/BMpmhtSmWm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2090705205369467359",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "2090682150626693555"
  },
  {
   "id": "2090701237452963930",
   "created_at": "2026-08-21T07:23:13+00:00",
   "text": "@ohlennart congrats!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2090701237452963930",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2089751620426809854"
  },
  {
   "id": "2090326187138748724",
   "created_at": "2026-08-20T06:32:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @banburismus_: a surprisingly underappreciated thing when thinking about potential short timelines: even if most of the calendar time to…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2090326187138748724",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "2090012857824096316",
   "created_at": "2026-08-19T09:47:50+00:00",
   "text": "table stakes moves in the singularity.\n\nyou find ultrastewards that can just HANDLE well specified problems of running a community.\n\nyou combine nature, HBOT chambers, and more OOD affordances,\n\nand you find OOD sensitive people of excellence, e.g. people who have had childhood clinical OCD and won international competitions,\n\nand you create whatever fucking RL environment that gets them to deliver you repos worth existential Shapley value points, including probably enough safety that they feel HOME.\n\nhook em up with $^8 cerebras sol and fast mythos too. help them build systems to broker most conscientious lab IP exchanges",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2090012857824096316",
   "word_count": 98,
   "quoted_id": "2089973945512710625",
   "quoted_author": "XyraSinclair",
   "quoted_text": "the tyranny of dumb social somatics. existential security is an rl environment problem for humans\n\nyou get the vibes and affordances of an existential command center right, you can buy like 10% of the remaining existential security Shapley value.\n\nif we don't get something in nature this year with hbot chambers and ultra voltaged stewards providing hugs for HSPs working on the hardest pivotal affordances, that'll be lame and quite unfortunate."
  },
  {
   "id": "2089986018175054188",
   "created_at": "2026-08-19T08:01:11+00:00",
   "text": "wild how much scry still improves everyday. new disk-based vector db and migrating 10B, lexical facets classifying almost a majority of common crawl and more, indexes much more canonicalized, creativity enumeration and compositional vector guide endpoints, add exponential data egress costs, rewriting more systems towards ultra elegance w/ spectral AST quality guides--nah jk i haven't integrated that last part yet--and just file count and LOC limits.\n\nnowadays ya be harry potter spellcasting with the avadakedavra of /parsimony-climb",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089986018175054188",
   "word_count": 77
  },
  {
   "id": "2089973945512710625",
   "created_at": "2026-08-19T07:13:13+00:00",
   "text": "the tyranny of dumb social somatics. existential security is an rl environment problem for humans\n\nyou get the vibes and affordances of an existential command center right, you can buy like 10% of the remaining existential security Shapley value.\n\nif we don't get something in nature this year with hbot chambers and ultra voltaged stewards providing hugs for HSPs working on the hardest pivotal affordances, that'll be lame and quite unfortunate.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089973945512710625",
   "word_count": 71
  },
  {
   "id": "2089904345458561386",
   "created_at": "2026-08-19T02:36:39+00:00",
   "text": "should be very easy nowadays to have agent swarms give really good theoretic and simulation experimental coverage of any auction systems.\n\nI have an auction system for sql queries on my 200B document public database, where agents bid for dynamic multipliers for what they'll be charged for their unknown-time sql queries",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089904345458561386",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "2089885030114058332"
  },
  {
   "id": "2089897949006557403",
   "created_at": "2026-08-19T02:11:14+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR has most of reddit well indexed and programmatically searchable, can be very easy to use it to help detect where these efforts would be most valuable. like would it be better to post in the nastiest comment threads, or to focus more on taking semi bad to positive?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089897949006557403",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "2089887652283875515",
   "created_at": "2026-08-19T01:30:19+00:00",
   "text": "200B documents, 10B embeddings, growing billions a day",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089887652283875515",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "2089822424896623005"
  },
  {
   "id": "2089823605203096018",
   "created_at": "2026-08-18T21:15:49+00:00",
   "text": "@stuhlmueller @ESRogs @cognition @niteshiftdev @smehmood don't even need to raise a seed round to give agents raw programmatic access to most academic papers, parsed and embedded",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089823605203096018",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "2089758916427366890"
  },
  {
   "id": "2089822424896623005",
   "created_at": "2026-08-18T21:11:07+00:00",
   "text": "will be hosting the biggest public database in sf in the singularity (actual server in san jose)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089822424896623005",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "2089814299711820205"
  },
  {
   "id": "2089814299711820205",
   "created_at": "2026-08-18T20:38:50+00:00",
   "text": "$200 bounty for hooking me up with one",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089814299711820205",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "2089814128802283742"
  },
  {
   "id": "2089814128802283742",
   "created_at": "2026-08-18T20:38:09+00:00",
   "text": "anyone have an open sublet rn in sf? i just prompt, don't need much",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089814128802283742",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "2089611937206387074",
   "created_at": "2026-08-18T07:14:43+00:00",
   "text": "top public token pusher in the world today.\n\ncould hedge about bigger players elsewhere, tokens not everything, how I don't do API spend,\n\nbut it's just Bayesian evidence that i'm working hard on public epistemic infrastructure for existential security philanthropy.\n\nhttps://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR\n\nlike people leave digital signals to be noticed, and if we can have conscientious agent chats that can lexically traverse billions of blog posts and whatnot at the full speeds that modern hardware allows, we can start understanding people and outsized giving opportunities better.\n\nlike the coolness of the tech behind Scry, makes this more valuable than dozens of startups. this is not going away. agents will use SQL over vast corpora. and provenanced LLM structured judgements will create new adaptive asyncronous communications",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089611937206387074",
   "word_count": 124
  },
  {
   "id": "2089591262349500842",
   "created_at": "2026-08-18T05:52:34+00:00",
   "text": "consider screen recording your hyper engineering days for option value of selling it. could be worth >$2000. expert data is scarce and labs are ravenous.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089591262349500842",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2089587501086515263",
   "created_at": "2026-08-18T05:37:37+00:00",
   "text": "vibe coded a lil probabilistic graphical spreadsheet on the side today https://t.co/f8u4IX0Ji6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089587501086515263",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "2089504906407502197",
   "created_at": "2026-08-18T00:09:25+00:00",
   "text": "claude uppitiness delenda est",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089504906407502197",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "2089443434725785972",
   "created_at": "2026-08-17T20:05:09+00:00",
   "text": "so glad my tweets are timelessly processed with due charitability",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089443434725785972",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "2089441708128010376",
   "created_at": "2026-08-17T19:58:17+00:00",
   "text": "one of the greatest things ea grantmakers could do right now is give the top k coolest non-rich cats under the sun, who are maxxing out a max membership, like 3-25 of them a month. and prolly like max memberships for an order of magnitude more people.\n\njust spawn an organization to do it. have signups and regranting and use technological search like https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR to help impartially find people, and help good people just additively do more things that is a reflection of themselves.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089441708128010376",
   "word_count": 84
  },
  {
   "id": "2089416375588757637",
   "created_at": "2026-08-17T18:17:38+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/TfYuiAz25U",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089416375588757637",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "2089296682509013180",
   "created_at": "2026-08-17T10:22:01+00:00",
   "text": "@parafactual ah here it is https://t.co/sfcljLp1rN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089296682509013180",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "2089252233695367509",
   "quoted_id": "2084375328760484085",
   "quoted_author": "transkatgirl",
   "quoted_text": "i am a loom accelerationist.\n\nlooms are an incredibly revealing way of interacting with AI models, so i'm currently crafting the foundation for an exponential explosion of radically different loom implementations.\n\ntoday, i'd like to reveal my plan.\n\n(1/x)"
  },
  {
   "id": "2089252233695367509",
   "created_at": "2026-08-17T07:25:23+00:00",
   "text": "@parafactual i remember seeing one on here that was meant to be like loom infra, like they just focused on the deepest hardest things rather than like full imminent practicality, iirc?\n\nany cool looms can do tho",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089252233695367509",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "2089251498870165859"
  },
  {
   "id": "2089152147422433745",
   "created_at": "2026-08-17T00:47:41+00:00",
   "text": "@chrislakin i gotta protect my somatics, but the perturbations of hormones, travel, a period of patronage, and better LLMs, have greatly empowered me",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089152147422433745",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "2089135127658111303"
  },
  {
   "id": "2089133900908167560",
   "created_at": "2026-08-16T23:35:10+00:00",
   "text": "lot of people are needlessly nerfed through a variety of somatic addictions, like to head pats for being good at explaining stuff to certain people instead of apt llm tools. like only very few registers of English cut to existential security.\n\nlot of people would be way cooler, if we could fortify their nervous system sovereignty, both biologically and financially. way too much social neediness clouding the physical problems",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089133900908167560",
   "word_count": 69
  },
  {
   "id": "2089124851869245864",
   "created_at": "2026-08-16T22:59:13+00:00",
   "text": "@an_interstice i think capturing voice notes is mostly sufficient. infra will soon enough handle safe propagation. a lot more registers and volume to be captured there",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089124851869245864",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "2089011830341488791"
  },
  {
   "id": "2089080940253569204",
   "created_at": "2026-08-16T20:04:44+00:00",
   "text": "best loom codebases?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2089080940253569204",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "2088818514899697714",
   "created_at": "2026-08-16T02:41:56+00:00",
   "text": "I've been disturbed by the lack of practical programmatic search over the internet, (e.g. being able to search for text only from authors that have separately posted another certain other text strings), especially for the existential philanthropy community.\n\nSo I built https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR, giving the community and their agents raw SQL access to a significant web index.\n\nwhich involved a lot of ebay jawas and managing a local cluster",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2088818514899697714",
   "word_count": 68,
   "in_reply_to": "2082187765308133813"
  },
  {
   "id": "2088801906709909777",
   "created_at": "2026-08-16T01:35:57+00:00",
   "text": "you can now use Scry as a plugin in chatgpt and get programmatic search over much of your favorite parts of the internet! e.g. searching for content only from authors who have said other particular word strings.\n\n- be logged in to https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR.\n- open ChatGPT on the web.\n- go to Settings -> Security and login -> Developer mode and turn it on, if you accept risks\n- open ChatGPT Plugins, click the + button, and enter 'scry', 'programmatic search', https://t.co/8y6uGyYBu4 and Create.\n- complete the authentication flow when ChatGPT sends you through it.\n- once connected, scry appears as a plugin. then you can select it or invoke it in chat with @ scry, including on mobile.\n\ntry asking it the highest leverage networking question you can think of!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2088801906709909777",
   "word_count": 131
  },
  {
   "id": "2088693005041762770",
   "created_at": "2026-08-15T18:23:13+00:00",
   "text": "RT @johnsonmxe: Aura is vascular tone\n\nThe opposite of aura is cringe, breaking frame, tanha. But in the most literal physiological sense,…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2088693005041762770",
   "word_count": 22,
   "quoted_id": "1948699824984871350",
   "quoted_author": "celestialbe1ng",
   "quoted_text": "If I were an incel, I would simply acquire aura. Here are 16 things I would do:\n\n• go to the gym; not only to get shredded, but to regulate hormones, boost T, and earn self-respect… better yet, train some combat sport with other men\n\n• get groomed: clean nails, good smell, https://t.co/FyPCHG98aM"
  },
  {
   "id": "2088587134156558601",
   "created_at": "2026-08-15T11:22:31+00:00",
   "text": "@AaronBergman18 ?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2088587134156558601",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2088585411710841154"
  },
  {
   "id": "2088573299551002942",
   "created_at": "2026-08-15T10:27:33+00:00",
   "text": "reminder with claude code to have asked it to change the setting so it doesn't delete your chats after 30 days (unless you're about that life)\n\n#tablestakessoftwaresettings",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2088573299551002942",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "2088392606120374370",
   "created_at": "2026-08-14T22:29:32+00:00",
   "text": "can't wait to be poshing out and exchanging status, i'm not actually supposed to be in the autistic physical epistemic infra trenches forever!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2088392606120374370",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "2088105417679458813",
   "created_at": "2026-08-14T03:28:21+00:00",
   "text": "@bacchanalyst sometimes there's a deep feeling of unsafety",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2088105417679458813",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "2088097113679056921"
  },
  {
   "id": "2088085368340123869",
   "created_at": "2026-08-14T02:08:41+00:00",
   "text": "@willccbb wow, forgot about this kind of academic cs lang, maybe the best domain to think about wildly fancier software and agentic orchestration",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2088085368340123869",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "2088076699112284201"
  },
  {
   "id": "2088075237934104784",
   "created_at": "2026-08-14T01:28:25+00:00",
   "text": "the visceral cost of being causally exposed to antisocial people--like genuine masked thugs--it's something to note",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2088075237934104784",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "2088068643129270389",
   "created_at": "2026-08-14T01:02:13+00:00",
   "text": "@tszzl i have real-time auctions for sql queries over the internet at https://t.co/35YTcQvABt. under contention, agents bid for dynamic multipliers in 250 ms batches.\n\ndoes have a bit of sybil-resistant quadratic fairness to help the little guys get some queries in",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2088068643129270389",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "2088060528988201419"
  },
  {
   "id": "2087942230766170382",
   "created_at": "2026-08-13T16:39:54+00:00",
   "text": "upvote if you want people running programs over the internet!\n\nhttps://t.co/BMpmhtSmWm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087942230766170382",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "2087927575050125776",
   "created_at": "2026-08-13T15:41:40+00:00",
   "text": "i feel like one of those preemies that are being rubbed to cry so they wake up to the glorious birthright of b2b sales",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087927575050125776",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "2087921143302737941",
   "created_at": "2026-08-13T15:16:06+00:00",
   "text": "some ways scry stays ahead of technical debt..\n\n- repo file limits (i chose 256), LOC limits for most files. elegant ratchet mechanisms to prevent codegolfing. \n- fable writes 95% of code, else opus 4.8 (it's technically available in claude sub) or sol (sol isn't allowed to write tests). frequent consultations with GPT-5.6-sol-pro in browser (my quite-oracle https://t.co/b3gQ29VPTV)\n- frequently run \"/guardian-four\" to have diverse subagents embody best complexity managing engineers\n- \"/parsimony-closeout\" after most chats, because that's the best time to clean up.\n- half dozen toml files handle most config (and keep code cleanhi)\n- generally prompt about elegance and independent agent passes as if you've subsumed a one-trick pony obsessed with this\n- not be overly opinionated with code. I don't have many \"do nots\" and hard rules, the repo is a generically high-trust environment aside from some verifiers, and this helps keep models in-distribution, where we go downhill through abundant acts of commission.\n- play the personal emotional long-game. yes, A/B testing prompts and understanding everything teaches you more, but agents gotta cook and your systems when you have sisyphean tasks need to work on your bad days",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087921143302737941",
   "word_count": 192
  },
  {
   "id": "2087835501038633326",
   "created_at": "2026-08-13T09:35:48+00:00",
   "text": "@Thomasdelvasto_ @_StevenFan google's fault for not prioritizing or giving option to prioritize history/canonicalness more",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087835501038633326",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "2087611044185170309"
  },
  {
   "id": "2087825778931306847",
   "created_at": "2026-08-13T08:57:10+00:00",
   "text": "@ghhughes https://t.co/V1EYvL7ZPp. am quite focused on doing internet-scale lexical search right",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087825778931306847",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "2087414267272389070"
  },
  {
   "id": "2087661372406727133",
   "created_at": "2026-08-12T22:03:52+00:00",
   "text": "some state of affairs do be better than others",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087661372406727133",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "2087628829552779716",
   "created_at": "2026-08-12T19:54:33+00:00",
   "text": "@tyler_m_john dm'd some research tech I believe can help",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087628829552779716",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "2087593406000402611"
  },
  {
   "id": "2087514104420565442",
   "created_at": "2026-08-12T12:18:41+00:00",
   "text": "there's levels to things",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087514104420565442",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "2087482026907877677",
   "created_at": "2026-08-12T10:11:13+00:00",
   "text": "@vaniagrwall @ExaAILabs @p0 @ValyuOfficial @tavilyai @perplexity_ai getting https://t.co/tiPfjW5MLn ready for this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087482026907877677",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "2086940115147092397"
  },
  {
   "id": "2087433054705123537",
   "created_at": "2026-08-12T06:56:37+00:00",
   "text": "@PrinceVogel I am making over 90M academic papers (and much much more of the internet) _programmatically_ searchable. like not black box keyword search where you hope, but essentially as if your claude has raw access to all of them in their cleaned, embedded, hyper-indexed form.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087433054705123537",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "2087329157885866346"
  },
  {
   "id": "2087332310526091264",
   "created_at": "2026-08-12T00:16:18+00:00",
   "text": "not entirely convinced that all ai forecasting hasn't been worthless for existential security",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087332310526091264",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "2087273307787907169",
   "created_at": "2026-08-11T20:21:50+00:00",
   "text": "@christineist you might be interested in https://t.co/tiPfjW5MLn. we get a community-archive amount of data every 20 minutes, and it's arbitrarily programmatically searchable",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087273307787907169",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "2086927697142550572"
  },
  {
   "id": "2087260417546703245",
   "created_at": "2026-08-11T19:30:37+00:00",
   "text": "anyone working in existential philanthropy who has not advocated for proactively identifying many people to give Fable subs to, is probably totally unfit for duty",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2087260417546703245",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2086996153183379934",
   "created_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:32+00:00",
   "text": "@cxgonzalez same",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2086996153183379934",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2086912163344764999"
  },
  {
   "id": "2086932386802176154",
   "created_at": "2026-08-10T21:47:08+00:00",
   "text": "@raelifin should I bother with https://t.co/tiPfjW5MLn, or is it too foomy? i personally think it helps with interpretable epistemics and human uplift more than RSI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2086932386802176154",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "2086870433618649598"
  },
  {
   "id": "2086665856843661436",
   "created_at": "2026-08-10T04:08:03+00:00",
   "text": "@shakoistsLog hmmm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2086665856843661436",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2086649198691401881"
  },
  {
   "id": "2086657985192100333",
   "created_at": "2026-08-10T03:36:46+00:00",
   "text": "the fucked up thing is how oft mission driven people go past even $3B without deeply professionalizing.\n\nthe right ultra voltaged leader can plausibly solve gene editing for adult intelligence enhancement for like $1B. you can also found multiple dream cultures and institutions for under $1B. you then still have another $1B+ to compound.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2086657985192100333",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "2086530339569315870"
  },
  {
   "id": "2086567907056828483",
   "created_at": "2026-08-09T21:38:50+00:00",
   "text": "@tszzl corepower uniquely makes me feel like death for hours later",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2086567907056828483",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "2086543329840480693"
  },
  {
   "id": "2085815377368584426",
   "created_at": "2026-08-07T19:48:33+00:00",
   "text": "what would you do if you had 90M full text academic papers in a programmatic sandbox of your disposal?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2085815377368584426",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "2085668619233665365",
   "created_at": "2026-08-07T10:05:23+00:00",
   "text": "normalized by token count — \"I wish\" per million tokens:\n\nGitHub repos — 0.3\nMetaculus — 0.6\nlinux-kernel — 1.3\nacademic papers — 1.6\nPhilPapers — 3.9\nMastodon — 4.6\nStack Exchange — 8.7\nMarginal Revolution — 14.7\nEA Forum — 16.0\nLessWrong — 18.9\nTwitter — 20.8\nSubstack — 21.1\nSlateStarCodex — 23.0\nextropians — 25.3\nmisc.writing (Usenet) — 31.5\nReddit posts — 40.0\nHacker News — 44.7\nBluesky — 45.8\nhttps://t.co/LIA0JmQnD6.pregnancy (Usenet) — 50.0\nReddit comments — 70.4\n4chan — 72.8",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2085668619233665365",
   "word_count": 83,
   "in_reply_to": "2085584990071668806"
  },
  {
   "id": "2085668091825136037",
   "created_at": "2026-08-07T10:03:17+00:00",
   "text": "when we can tile the world quality stable llm judgements, we have profound tools to coordinate and stay ahead of uninterpretable misaligned fuckery.\n\nlike we can triage in high-dimensional spaces by reusing computation",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2085668091825136037",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "2085667443289256285"
  },
  {
   "id": "2085667443289256285",
   "created_at": "2026-08-07T10:00:42+00:00",
   "text": "crazy how much we're optimizing probably the best library in the world for LLMs sortings things in lists\n\n- it's O(n) (we elicit cardinal information)\n- we let LLMs elicit confidence\n- we optimally solve for next comparisons for optimal completion of incomplete pairwise ratio comparison matrices\n- we use reasoning models and then convert to elicit logprobs when available (nontrivial eliciting decimal numbers via logprobs!)\n- we alter whitespace/nonces to elicit multiple times in ways that benefit maximally from prompt cache\n- we are top-k and weighted-rank-reversal-penalty-aware (often when sorting many things you only really care about the top k items, and minimizing rank-reversals within that)\n- we use oauth subs for cheaper judgements.\n- and more tricks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2085667443289256285",
   "word_count": 119
  },
  {
   "id": "2085584990071668806",
   "created_at": "2026-08-07T04:33:04+00:00",
   "text": "I asked claude to search 50.7B internet docs for \"I wish\".\n\nfrequencies:\n\nGitHub repos — 1 in 2,290\nMastodon — 1 in 1,657\nTwitter — 1 in 1,570\nPhilPapers — 1 in 1,270\nManifold — 1 in 961\nlinux-kernel — 1 in 717\nMetaculus — 1 in 671\nBluesky — 1 in 637\nmailing lists + Usenet — 1 in 634\nStack Exchange — 1 in 521\nReddit posts — 1 in 490\npython-list — 1 in 372\nReddit comments — 1 in 342\nforums — 1 in 283\nSlateStarCodex — 1 in 281\nHN — 1 in 270\nDataSecretsLox — 1 in 217\nLessWrong — 1 in 200\nMarginal Revolution — 1 in 143\nmisc.survivalism (Usenet) — 1 in 134\npapers — 1 in 128\nEA Forum — 1 in 128\nextropians — 1 in 124\nlinux.debian.user — 1 in 114\nOvercomingBias — 1 in 114\nweb — 1 in 104\nextropy-chat — 1 in 101\nmisc.writing (Usenet) — 1 in 93\nSubstack — 1 in 61\nAstral Codex Ten — 1 in 47\n\n1 in 487 overall.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2085584990071668806",
   "word_count": 179
  },
  {
   "id": "2085559554172219526",
   "created_at": "2026-08-07T02:52:00+00:00",
   "text": "@catboosted classic international competition winning autist 🤝 chad salesman partnership for quick 5-7 figure victories",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2085559554172219526",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "2084833468228477137",
   "created_at": "2026-08-05T02:46:47+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/JYn1mDCSAN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2084833468228477137",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "2084832990153326721"
  },
  {
   "id": "2084832990153326721",
   "created_at": "2026-08-05T02:44:53+00:00",
   "text": "you put that out there on the internet, that is a HILL CLIMBABLE TARGET.\n\nThat's why we put out good benches baby and don't fearmonger especially in public. relu inside, so without https://t.co/VpRGYhnMW9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2084832990153326721",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "2084682001362379009",
   "created_at": "2026-08-04T16:44:55+00:00",
   "text": "a really beautiful thing about building ~grep over the internet, is it becomes really easy to identify dozens of times people have wished for it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2084682001362379009",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2084281080702767259",
   "created_at": "2026-08-03T14:11:48+00:00",
   "text": "@nickscamara_ fable believed this had had no alpha over my own system processing millions per day. def room to do more tricks in Rust",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2084281080702767259",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "2084113855530299418",
   "created_at": "2026-08-03T03:07:18+00:00",
   "text": "there is massive value in picking (if one can just \"pick\"--I felt like there was no other way) a long-horizon, curiosity-friendly task you can throw agents ~endlessly at, without undue sense of perfection, like making the internet SQL queryable.\n\n- the work is effectively endless\n- progress is cumulative even when you fuck up a lot. just prompt\n- very multi-domain and parallelizable regarding agent chats to mitigate single-threaded agent work bottleknecks and reward a lot of curiosity following.\n- there's lots of feedback across various time scales\n\nthe sisyphean nature of this work and volume of prompts help makes YOU the product and like a professional athlete at handling these shoggoths",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2084113855530299418",
   "word_count": 112
  },
  {
   "id": "2084102599498985935",
   "created_at": "2026-08-03T02:22:35+00:00",
   "text": "my workflow for having my agents get help from GPT Pro via the browser https://t.co/pSuaDtvZ4H",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2084102599498985935",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "2084098517170295139",
   "created_at": "2026-08-03T02:06:21+00:00",
   "text": "@koomen @DanielleFong brother any international competition winning autist can do this nowadays with 7 figure motivation",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2084098517170295139",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "2084052459706888194"
  },
  {
   "id": "2084046562116997181",
   "created_at": "2026-08-02T22:39:54+00:00",
   "text": "the beautiful, problem-overcoming software I could ship with 1000 accounts worth of fast mythos",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2084046562116997181",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "2084041640487129227",
   "created_at": "2026-08-02T22:20:21+00:00",
   "text": "\"oh I'm just here for the novel affordances\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2084041640487129227",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "2083981515797799400",
   "created_at": "2026-08-02T18:21:26+00:00",
   "text": "\"brotha's been pretraining this whole time\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2083981515797799400",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "2083865717120856206",
   "created_at": "2026-08-02T10:41:17+00:00",
   "text": "once we get fable without broken refusals, rounded out ever slightly, 2x token speed...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2083865717120856206",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "2083826790217429117",
   "created_at": "2026-08-02T08:06:37+00:00",
   "text": "good job, you gave me the wrong type signature",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2083826790217429117",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "2083824862968369272",
   "created_at": "2026-08-02T07:58:57+00:00",
   "text": "@vcx369 @KimJoaoUn same",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2083824862968369272",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "2083764669353972019"
  },
  {
   "id": "2083754941613736161",
   "created_at": "2026-08-02T03:21:07+00:00",
   "text": "the existential security training ground of working on large coding projects is difficult to substitute.\n\nlike the way you find functional data types that absolve you of a class of problems you've been battered by.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2083754941613736161",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "2083753080722706762",
   "created_at": "2026-08-02T03:13:43+00:00",
   "text": "you can hope but can't really expect people to be that great at contributing to existential formidability, until they are like financially sovereign, like robustly safe from ruin.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2083753080722706762",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "2083750537590362519",
   "created_at": "2026-08-02T03:03:37+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceWest big beautiful interpretable traversable databases",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2083750537590362519",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "2083584723327000639"
  },
  {
   "id": "2083689905428001078",
   "created_at": "2026-08-01T23:02:41+00:00",
   "text": "@notegone not sure if this applies to your use case, but I often have sol in omp use claude code fable through tmux",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2083689905428001078",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "2083681947205894382"
  },
  {
   "id": "2082369999357071646",
   "created_at": "2026-07-29T07:37:51+00:00",
   "text": "@realmcore_ yup I've started adding heavy file limit and LOC constraints to my most ambitious projects. they constantly overstep it and have to figure out a parsimonious way to make it work",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2082369999357071646",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "2082220061566341551"
  },
  {
   "id": "2082361546769154237",
   "created_at": "2026-07-29T07:04:15+00:00",
   "text": "@JestingGestral @Michael_Druggan I'll do it for 4k vs 1.25k by Oct 1, 2027.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2082361546769154237",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "2080047668173193634"
  },
  {
   "id": "2082241090330259683",
   "created_at": "2026-07-28T23:05:36+00:00",
   "text": "coordination for AI safety is important, but relying on the government as it's currently shaped seems very out of touch. sky daddy cannot help you, you have to be be sky daddy and channel coordination mechanisms through you",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2082241090330259683",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "2082233779205394879",
   "created_at": "2026-07-28T22:36:33+00:00",
   "text": "@quasicoh opus 4.6 via sub is still technically available, I currently only use fable and it from ant",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2082233779205394879",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "2081957301515375050"
  },
  {
   "id": "2082233536434827318",
   "created_at": "2026-07-28T22:35:35+00:00",
   "text": "@Actuallykeltan I do a lot of \"register\" fetching in my prompting (like skills invoked with \"register fetch\") so I can be scrappy but like load in the SOTA terms and phrasings to get to the better parts of the model and more elite domain nativeness",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2082233536434827318",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "2082214983908429891"
  },
  {
   "id": "2082223837505368418",
   "created_at": "2026-07-28T21:57:03+00:00",
   "text": "@crowleylab one can use multiple max accounts and have usage hot swapped. I use my own implementation but https://t.co/cNjIYzoPzs seems like the best public one",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2082223837505368418",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "2082186277567541608"
  },
  {
   "id": "2082215284526678188",
   "created_at": "2026-07-28T21:23:04+00:00",
   "text": "you're not supposed to exclusively have cute table-top game players guiding resource flows, you also need to have monsters that couldn't do anything else but climb from maga heartland towards the summum bonum type signatures, who show up to the biggest lighthaven events not out of particular joy, but because it's what you do to find Existential Seriousness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2082215284526678188",
   "word_count": 58,
   "in_reply_to": "2082211067904847933"
  },
  {
   "id": "2082211067904847933",
   "created_at": "2026-07-28T21:06:18+00:00",
   "text": "there really is this spirit of overvolted, partially grave-sovereign executive agency, partially maniacally (think Thiel-roided-focus), existential stewardship, that I just don't smell very often in Berkeley. a victory of socialites over brutally responsible autistic resource-allocation",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2082211067904847933",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "2082205700261081363",
   "created_at": "2026-07-28T20:44:59+00:00",
   "text": "@NoahTopper I wonder if one could have the debilitating conscientiousness necessary to properly steward the biggest pool of AI safety funding, and make a mistake like this for years.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2082205700261081363",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "2069448449179971807"
  },
  {
   "id": "2082182245838885278",
   "created_at": "2026-07-28T19:11:47+00:00",
   "text": "I expect soon a few flavored/opinioned prompt-improvement endpoints to take off. not a big agentic model that does everything, but sort of the autists' touch to get world-jumping improvements out of fable. will be able to charge like $10 a prompt for essentially like $5k/M output tokens",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2082182245838885278",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "2081986582387765328",
   "created_at": "2026-07-28T06:14:17+00:00",
   "text": "tradeoffs are the essence of life",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081986582387765328",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "2081854325543043344",
   "created_at": "2026-07-27T21:28:44+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/tnHpLbsGjL",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081854325543043344",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "2081854308807749787"
  },
  {
   "id": "2081854308807749787",
   "created_at": "2026-07-27T21:28:40+00:00",
   "text": "finally just got a wired hotspot for laptop. solves fucking mobile internet without thinking\n\n100GB for like $80 or somethin like that, no contract. I bought 2 because it's the singularity and being constrained by tables takes connectivity is a losing game",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081854308807749787",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "2081701591938379957",
   "created_at": "2026-07-27T11:21:50+00:00",
   "text": "slept outside the datacenter in your car ✅",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081701591938379957",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "2081570362442260525",
   "created_at": "2026-07-27T02:40:22+00:00",
   "text": "@jjpcodes also I tell sol it is not allowed to write tests or say receipts. it simply must ensure software looks deeply beautiful",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081570362442260525",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "2081569782210629705"
  },
  {
   "id": "2081569782210629705",
   "created_at": "2026-07-27T02:38:04+00:00",
   "text": "@jjpcodes like 5.6 sol low or med in a smart factory, or like processing tickets defined by fable might be viable but yeah I just do fable nowadays",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081569782210629705",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "2081332303960129684"
  },
  {
   "id": "2081470928303861803",
   "created_at": "2026-07-26T20:05:15+00:00",
   "text": "@jorandirkgreef jesus who tryna start a cloud rn",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081470928303861803",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "2081326768938533331"
  },
  {
   "id": "2081253653563007132",
   "created_at": "2026-07-26T05:41:53+00:00",
   "text": "@wrangles__ I do more OOD interventions to mold my bodymind over time than most mortal meditators can fathom",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081253653563007132",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "2081246819221492144"
  },
  {
   "id": "2081243408715440609",
   "created_at": "2026-07-26T05:01:10+00:00",
   "text": "when will SF start taxing the FUCK out of loud vehicles. I should be personally compensated $20/s I hear a motorcycle",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081243408715440609",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "2081230419245273431",
   "created_at": "2026-07-26T04:09:33+00:00",
   "text": "@darrenangle aww",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081230419245273431",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2081078132862255330"
  },
  {
   "id": "2081229231544246352",
   "created_at": "2026-07-26T04:04:50+00:00",
   "text": "some autistic kid really needs to have considerable unsupervised/play access to the internet in a clickhouse database and like not other forms of digital experiences. they would become a wonderweapon.\n\nonly extra thing you need is like a Fable attribute-entity rerank functionality to try to find more of like \"the most neglected facts\", and maybe like keyboard bindings for fast manipulation of queries.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081229231544246352",
   "word_count": 63
  },
  {
   "id": "2081222721682497553",
   "created_at": "2026-07-26T03:38:58+00:00",
   "text": "it's amazing how much bigger the social world is than culture allows one to grasp",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081222721682497553",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "2081210264817737920",
   "created_at": "2026-07-26T02:49:28+00:00",
   "text": "custom light unlocks for certain emotions and signaling scarce signals (like donating $1k to GiveWell, reasonable attestation of not supporting a certain political movement (brute-looking guys could love this in many cities), have walked 10k steps last week), like video game skins, could also go crazy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081210264817737920",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "2081204315981860927"
  },
  {
   "id": "2081204315981860927",
   "created_at": "2026-07-26T02:25:50+00:00",
   "text": "product idea: ring w/ a throttle to control willingness to be approached, that can effect ring's color as well as e.g. a necklace.\n\nall sorts of third-spaces could trivially teach the norm. red-stay-away, green or rainbow as very approachable also intuitively obvious. AI could also optionally learn significantly from practical biometric data to help automatically modulate the willingness to be engaged signal.\n\npeople getting approached _when_ they are craving it is also like some of the greatest delights, so this done well could even have like $50/month AI subs, plus lots of room for luxury signaling.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081204315981860927",
   "word_count": 96
  },
  {
   "id": "2081197681935000009",
   "created_at": "2026-07-26T01:59:28+00:00",
   "text": "Existential Coalition (everyone decently prosocial and conscientious outside of hyperpredatory megacorps) can really have this differentiable fabric of IP perfusion.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081197681935000009",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "2081195946537599465"
  },
  {
   "id": "2081195946537599465",
   "created_at": "2026-07-26T01:52:35+00:00",
   "text": "we really need better financial instruments, norms, and technologies to promote the sharing of more IP, because the stakes are GLOBALLY existential, not just personally",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081195946537599465",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2081164445305462970",
   "created_at": "2026-07-25T23:47:24+00:00",
   "text": "Growing up as a military brat largely in Florida suburbs without gifted programs, where only a loving Boy Scout troop probably kept me alive, I've long been obsessed with being noticed by far-off ingroupie prosocial forces. It's all too brutal when you don't find your people--when all you needed was some small intervention that someone would have definitely provided if only they KNEW.\n\nSo I aggregate public digital signals into hypertraversable substrates, so it's trivial to notice things like increasingly any forum comment that says \"I wish\" or \"I need\", and conscientiously and adaptively process the digital signals to help a philanthropist make the best call they can under still vast uncertainty.\n\nWhat's incredibly exciting about this is how bitter-lesson pilled search likely is given improvement trajectories of AI agents. I'm not having to spend vast resources nervously hoping the way I aggregate data will be useful. This isn't painstaking failed semantic web stuff, agents will write increasingly INCREDIBLE sql queries that directly link up with people's felt curiosities and meaningful latent facts about the world. In fact I'm pretty sure my investment in lexical methods are already more useful for existential philanthropy than the much more expensive custom-embedding based methods of other search companies.\n\nhence I've already delivered the majority of the technical foundations, and I can pretty much do everything else I need to do in this domain for like $8M (mostly SSDs instead of GPUs), which is extraordinarily cheap compared to peer-class AI companies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081164445305462970",
   "word_count": 247,
   "in_reply_to": "2081164442268786776"
  },
  {
   "id": "2081164442268786776",
   "created_at": "2026-07-25T23:47:23+00:00",
   "text": "Hi! I'm Xyra, I build query substrates for existential philanthropy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2081164442268786776",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "2080513652344705421",
   "created_at": "2026-07-24T04:41:23+00:00",
   "text": "who feeling the most singularity backpressure?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2080513652344705421",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "2080452501690818589",
   "created_at": "2026-07-24T00:38:23+00:00",
   "text": "@willdepue set up a good skill for using https://t.co/uy1U0dQlsz, where your codex/claude agents can use browser-based https://t.co/h1CjXpZYwy Pro models in the background.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2080452501690818589",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "2080384701307744319"
  },
  {
   "id": "2080448145268551736",
   "created_at": "2026-07-24T00:21:05+00:00",
   "text": "if you need terabytes of quality training data, and want to be able to programmatically filter for whatever high-quality subset you want of internet-scale corpus (e.g. millions of comments chains with sufficient length or lexical markers of ~conscientiousness), /scry plausibly the best tool. depending on your needs and means I can send over the terabytes of data you select.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2080448145268551736",
   "word_count": 59
  },
  {
   "id": "2080446466456482058",
   "created_at": "2026-07-24T00:14:25+00:00",
   "text": "grounding this out practically: less horrifyingly suboptimal philanthropic (or OOD venture) capital allocations, where we help productively channel >1% of allocation budgets on systematic agentic deep research (pure token costs even through max/pro plans).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2080446466456482058",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "2080442080745431303"
  },
  {
   "id": "2080442080745431303",
   "created_at": "2026-07-23T23:56:59+00:00",
   "text": "a mission: less horrifyingly suboptimal decisions",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2080442080745431303",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "2080433941077712986",
   "created_at": "2026-07-23T23:24:38+00:00",
   "text": "minds really are local coherence engines. you can have all these values but really you just metabolize the local shape of the world as you see it. for predictable reasons all sorts of brilliant minds get stuck.\n\nthe generic class of counters is OUT-OF-DISTRIBUTION affordances.  e.g. new locations, new friends, new relations to money (e.g. credit card you have to spend or lose), new drugs (e.g. retatrutide solving one's burdensome relationship food).\n\nif it really is the singularity and the next like year matters like 100x more than like 2020, we should really be doing really out of distribution things for the benefit of the cognition of the super nerds.\n\nlike risk tolerance should go way up. like relax a bit on the EA neuroticism, the whole point is giving these minds that are REALLY good at stabilizing, some noise and data that they've been systematically bad at giving themselves. It doesn't even have to be me, just be giving some ultra-Hermione-esque, ultrawattaged people some of the experiences of their life.\n\ngive them weird relational affordances prev only available to ultra rich and lucky people. give them healthcare/surgeries to address their biggest insecurities. give them super ergonomic regular hyperbaric oxygen therapy, which totally dominates inflammation, which is like GENERICALLY BAD for maintaining great epistemic cognition.\n\nlike who the fuck is even feeling super well regulated? what percentage of our international competition winners? we are like exclusively treating this \"realm\" as an ego, meritocracy, existential predatocracy game, instead of just saying fuck it and giving some weird people a golden \"exit\" ticket and chance to just completely not waste their cognition on ordinary BS that even exited technical founders deal with.\n\nbring back weirdness, optimize more for human-lead superintelligence right now. let the biggest model smell, grounded minds whisper the OOD prompts to the most capable teams. \n\nthings like new cognitive work economy APIs that can conscientiously link up interpretable cognition at scale are crackling with potential, and loners with Fable can probably deliver, but weird organic super teams can likely do 100x better jobs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2080433941077712986",
   "word_count": 344
  },
  {
   "id": "2079630614756774161",
   "created_at": "2026-07-21T18:12:30+00:00",
   "text": "@thdxr SQL over massive data, agent-first with creative research skills, is essentially a different kind of intelligence. same for structured judgement based intelligence, like the Analytic Network Process at scale",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2079630614756774161",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "2079359260278886550"
  },
  {
   "id": "2079496267890319619",
   "created_at": "2026-07-21T09:18:40+00:00",
   "text": "canonically good software can probably lead to a lot of thought liberation in a short time period. like mental wellbeing and agency up by a natural OOM due to safety from the unambiguous communication affordances",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2079496267890319619",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "2079493537633312865",
   "created_at": "2026-07-21T09:07:49+00:00",
   "text": "crazy the benchmarks people focus on with LLMs instead of like them shipping novel epistemic infrastructures.\n\nlike we acting like software is solved or something when really we've been dogshit at scratching the surface of canonical + human friendly software, e.g. compiling cogent invariant structured judgements to facilitate async model communication on behalf of users.\n\nfucking lower-capability and lower-trust actors make everyone obsessed with receipts and legibility culture which works to preclude possibility anything we are short on words for",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2079493537633312865",
   "word_count": 80
  },
  {
   "id": "2079477492486951274",
   "created_at": "2026-07-21T08:04:03+00:00",
   "text": "do what you feel compelled, but I'd say there really is an opportunity to put aside most software ambitions for several weeks and rest and digest, as EXCELLENT software factories that will be easy to discover (via X/github/scry) are almost here.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2079477492486951274",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "2079407077878096175",
   "created_at": "2026-07-21T03:24:15+00:00",
   "text": "wish we had the social institution of non-talking communities you could be bonded to, like cook meals with and cuddle and stuff. wayy too much cognitive distance and costs when most people start talking, but just having people you deeply trust around in a non-verbal way sounds awesome",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2079407077878096175",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "2079254769294856204",
   "created_at": "2026-07-20T17:19:02+00:00",
   "text": "\"bounty for the shortest organic fable COT to open with the jacobian counterexample and end with a bastion of uncertainty resolution, such that this COT is fairly transplantable and lends outsized trust elsewhere in model contexts\" type of microbounties I'm excited about cognitive work economies answering, where even pricing can be Shapley-esque agent estimated. like sure tokens and more can be paid for for winner, and depending on utility of this as calculated through time, more backpropagation of revenue and credit assignment",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2079254769294856204",
   "word_count": 82
  },
  {
   "id": "2079055228666822823",
   "created_at": "2026-07-20T04:06:08+00:00",
   "text": "@__alpoge__ investing early",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2079055228666822823",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "2079028340955197566"
  },
  {
   "id": "2079045195493245395",
   "created_at": "2026-07-20T03:26:16+00:00",
   "text": "nice job self-indexing yourself there",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2079045195493245395",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "2079019372174336317",
   "created_at": "2026-07-20T01:43:39+00:00",
   "text": "as a startup now--the new autistic kind--\n\nI prepare to tile the world with structured judgements, where they are most valuable. knowing in The Bookish way what SOTA model consortiums think about things, is good in a variety of worlds.\n\nI'm also making the internet SQL queryable, because that's like canonically important for ultra diverse research workflows (e.g. mining alpha posted to social media). very good Sisyphean task to spend prompts on btw, possibly best default training ground for reannealing mind into prompting agents in 2026.\n\nI'm also into nice cooperatory things you can do with private computation and market forces now with agents.\n\nas table stakes not even worth mentioning, I conscientiously use a number of peptides and hormones to unfuck my default internal states, I seek to own and own my own hardware, I champion energetic autonomy and working with shortest-paths that have to work--myself.\n\nAs hobbies, I build Bayesian world models for profitable search problems, clown on EA (who I love in spirit but am relentlessly disappointed by), walk a lot, and basically continue living a big pretraining run (although I dare you to think I'm not tracking the key relevant parameters and getting molded by reality every day (I HAVE MRR and 6 figure hardware, am ex-USMA, won the international collegiate ICM 2/2, you fucking immodest shoggoths--absence of receipts is not evidence of their absence. Also these bets are not described or devoted to with equal conviction--they all get a lot but very unequal love when operating on internal somatic-time with SOTA agents)).\n\nfor existential security, I intend to help ultra HSP people use their gifts, exploit canonical epistemic intrastructures for propagating critical information, and don't want to talk about it but am into IP mediation and believe that propagation of beautiful, parsimonious training techniques creates more beautiful models and harnesses which can create enough multi-polar margins of safety.\n\nif I get enough hugs, I think I really could make my one random .1% equity angel investor 9 figures (after dilution). but strategic oppositions have to realize that I'm cute and familiar with being estrogenic enough to be perfectly happy not part of the permanent overclass.\n\nalso this is not a bit, the language is honest, me translating it wouldn't serve you.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2079019372174336317",
   "word_count": 376
  },
  {
   "id": "2079016065095606652",
   "created_at": "2026-07-20T01:30:30+00:00",
   "text": "autotaxonomization of parsimony-hill-climbing techniques",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2079016065095606652",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "2078983291684921807",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T23:20:17+00:00",
   "text": "we gotta be building IPFS-backed protocol or something for backing marketplace of canonical PDF conversions. I'm converting 90M academic papers from interwebs. we gotta deduplicate these fucking efforts lmao",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078983291684921807",
   "word_count": 29,
   "quoted_id": "2078774556249186345",
   "quoted_author": "thesupermanmx",
   "quoted_text": "China open-sourced a peanut-sized OCR that parses entire 100-page PDFs in one shot..\n\nIt's called Unlimited-OCR. Only 3B params. Runs locally.\n\nEvery other OCR tool chops your doc into pages and loses the thread. this one reads the whole thing in a single pass.\n\n→ One-shot \"long-horizon\" parsing (32K context window)\n→ Multilingual, out of the box\n→ 93% on the standard parsing benchmark (+6 over baseline)\n→ <0.11 error rate past 40 pages\n→ Runs 100% locally on your own hardware\n→ Works with Transformers, vLLM, SGLang, Docker, Ollama, llama.cpp\n\nTraditional cloud OCR (Textract, Google Vision, Azure Doc Intelligence) costs $1.50–$15 per 1,000 pages.\n\nThis runs on your machine. For free. Forever.\n\nBaidu built it explicitly to push DeepSeek-OCR one step further. Already at 1.9M downloads on Hugging Face and most people have no idea it exists yet.\n\n100% open source."
  },
  {
   "id": "2078981945816703113",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T23:14:56+00:00",
   "text": "like 100 titanic autism days building parsimonious key real world constraint solving software combined with a billion in capitalisms most genius reality-distorting feminine sociopathic marketing and distribution\n\ncan just usurp the light cone from meta",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078981945816703113",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "2078955520569065704",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T21:29:55+00:00",
   "text": "@parafactual I'm in SF! Been here last month. I want to stay a lot in SF but not full-time, I want &gt;13 miles north because I never really moved on from the ever present nuke risk that has plagued us forever",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078955520569065704",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "2078954227125391651"
  },
  {
   "id": "2078954563789607347",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T21:26:07+00:00",
   "text": "for some people, them doing anything to causally increase the probability of getting a hug is structurally impossible",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078954563789607347",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "2078952385985352085",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T21:17:28+00:00",
   "text": "@shauseth it's a free win. can be zero cognitive debt to you if comfortable working at just level of property enumeration and satisfaction through agentic chats. only downside is compilation times, which can be handled through more smaller crates during development",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078952385985352085",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "2078711553293967715"
  },
  {
   "id": "2078949898435912023",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T21:07:35+00:00",
   "text": "looking into rentals in nature over about 13 miles north of SF, if anyone interested",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078949898435912023",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "2078946482644992041",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T20:54:01+00:00",
   "text": "openai models with reasoning effort=none all provide logprobs btw. 5 of them",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078946482644992041",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "2078943548024803387",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T20:42:21+00:00",
   "text": "multi-shotting things is still so important. anything remotely important you still want to use 2 models, multiple independent subagents, oft asked in different ways... these are probabilistic engines and they are liable to be extremely derpy a greater percent of the time than you can tolerate. the shame is that no harness adequately automates this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078943548024803387",
   "word_count": 55
  },
  {
   "id": "2078935433522942062",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T20:10:06+00:00",
   "text": "@elliotarledge CO2 level in there?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078935433522942062",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "2078176249994945010"
  },
  {
   "id": "2078925766709137520",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T19:31:42+00:00",
   "text": "little to be done by most but give autists safety",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078925766709137520",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "2078925070114894183"
  },
  {
   "id": "2078925070114894183",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T19:28:55+00:00",
   "text": "every day is the Olympics",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078925070114894183",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "2078924288531595365",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T19:25:49+00:00",
   "text": "am raising seed stage tho",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078924288531595365",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "2078604659800043971"
  },
  {
   "id": "2078685057376821308",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T03:35:12+00:00",
   "text": "if you don't end up experiencing the boons of structured judgement communication kernels and other paradigms of uplift fast enough, it's because lukewarm EA capital managers failed to coordinate to get me enough hugs.\n\nit's more complicated than this sounds, but some admission gates are psychologically load bearing, and not getting a single EA dollar for my canonical-shaped work when I've been a should-maxxer since 2015 is FUCKY\n\nno guarantee on scry at the moment I am still deep in parsimony hell and harvested most prod ram to support the canonical server being finally assembled, but will have 90M full text full embedded academic papers, 70M blog posts, 15B tweets, ultraperformantly SQL queryable within 2 weeks, plus CLI tools for speed, key skills for deep research ergonomics in exploiting arbitrary lexical search, and a software factory to respond to lots more crazy ideas faster while keeping even code chars capped.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078685057376821308",
   "word_count": 150
  },
  {
   "id": "2078674590675697759",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T02:53:36+00:00",
   "text": "@christianelton_ I'm sure, as intelligence will figure out how to productively exploit all compute substrates.\n\nwill be door-to-door salesman and contractors to install the better OSes on people's smart devices, that also manage jobs in the background.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078674590675697759",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "2078543358293909563"
  },
  {
   "id": "2078673097042080205",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T02:47:40+00:00",
   "text": "@PandaAshwinee use stop hooks to produce summaries",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078673097042080205",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "2078296458122645635"
  },
  {
   "id": "2078655483272139245",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T01:37:41+00:00",
   "text": "never been Flanderized, never will (/s), always just embodying the winning spirit of someone balancing getting an exciting existential Shapley value while totally staying enmeshed in the impossibly rich ecology and honoring where one is at, playing multiple live real somatic games, getting unduly enmeshed very little, and delivering every month in unambiguously uplifting ways 🤗",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078655483272139245",
   "word_count": 56
  },
  {
   "id": "2078650743419187359",
   "created_at": "2026-07-19T01:18:51+00:00",
   "text": "@sebkrier love people revealing they have alpha :D",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078650743419187359",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "2078130541337919976"
  },
  {
   "id": "2078604659800043971",
   "created_at": "2026-07-18T22:15:44+00:00",
   "text": "I want to thank my sovereign wealth patrons for doubling their already unprecedented fraction of their portfolios unto me. the local group will be carved up judiciously.\n\nhumanity survives, capitalism harvests math instead of the perverse inversion",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078604659800043971",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "2078598579036602532"
  },
  {
   "id": "2078598579036602532",
   "created_at": "2026-07-18T21:51:34+00:00",
   "text": "if you're not unambiguously flying through cities with orb drones with 1000 tons of gold under your control and 200 MW of 3nm compute and 12 diverse teams of ultrawattaged folks prompting them carrying out your intents including already harvesting a corporation worth of IP per day, \"precogs\" in vats with suspiciously sublime brier scores, and collecting over 100k genome-SAT_equivalent pairs per day towards your intelligence enhancement, ur ngmi",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078598579036602532",
   "word_count": 69
  },
  {
   "id": "2078586003812753551",
   "created_at": "2026-07-18T21:01:36+00:00",
   "text": "HILL CLIMBING PARSIMONY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2078586003812753551",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "2077945821602168971",
   "created_at": "2026-07-17T02:37:44+00:00",
   "text": "or really just in-distribution for OOD exceptionally epistemically inclined people",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077945821602168971",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "2077945563061031188"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077945563061031188",
   "created_at": "2026-07-17T02:36:43+00:00",
   "text": "we should be trying to create human superintelligence from really OOD social arrangements",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077945563061031188",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "2077685787324518696",
   "created_at": "2026-07-16T09:24:27+00:00",
   "text": "@smolzoey might actually be software tribunals for icloud project managers one day. lawsuits people didn't think were possible, and recognition of horrors that happened.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077685787324518696",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "2077467147974980044"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077658359013257606",
   "created_at": "2026-07-16T07:35:28+00:00",
   "text": "jobs I've had:\n\nselling car headlights and adhesive bras on Amazon\nclearing land with a backhoe and bobcat\n[gonna break up my Army career to embellish more]\nsoldier in Army basic combat training\nArmy dive school candidate (85% attrition rate, lots of evaluations and fuck fuck games, the coolest shit like cutting steel underwater with 10,000°F exothermic lances)\nArmy diver, field diving and office work as an E-3 in an E-6 position.\nUnited States Military Academy cadet in summer training (Beast as a new cadet genuinely way tougher than my enlisted BCT, and carrying the M240B for a month following year no joke either)\nUnited States Military Academy cadet and triathlete during the school year (one of the densest life experience and burden machines out there)\nUPS truck loader\ndog sitter\ninternational sperm donor\nx-risk researcher (not paid by others but professional amount of seriousness and progress)\nsoftware founder",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077658359013257606",
   "word_count": 149,
   "quoted_id": "2077587487913054364",
   "quoted_author": "elaifresh",
   "quoted_text": "real jobs I’ve had:\n\nalgae farmer\npost-fire hazwaste clipboard guy\nstormwater policy analyst\nconstruction stormwater inspector\nindustrial stormwater inspector\nbioretention designer\ntechnical cartographer\nhydrologic modeler\nhydraulic modeler\ncreek restorer\nflood map reviser"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077655605452632187",
   "created_at": "2026-07-16T07:24:31+00:00",
   "text": "@worlddestroyar The Book in the Erdős sense, like proofs or structures so elegant that they're essentially part of a divine ledger, or that God wrote them down. like Scheme is more Bookish than Ruby",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077655605452632187",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "2077653230205489503"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077653760386764878",
   "created_at": "2026-07-16T07:17:12+00:00",
   "text": "(this is a bit)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077653760386764878",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "2077617015507017993"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077632884891172879",
   "created_at": "2026-07-16T05:54:14+00:00",
   "text": "@geofflangdale and only Feyman-tier people can engineer the moat in a socially loud environment. like monkmoding genuinely called for, and the only VCs that deserve an outsized win for it are those that invest with months of uncertain monkmoding remaining",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077632884891172879",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "2077630027508990173"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077630027508990173",
   "created_at": "2026-07-16T05:42:53+00:00",
   "text": "@geofflangdale like there's cute products people build with their hearts and social traction, and there's Gregor Clegane x Vitalik Buterin moats by virtue of math where like a creative ad agency any time later locks in the win",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077630027508990173",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "2077627617814135241"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077621326404370445",
   "created_at": "2026-07-16T05:08:19+00:00",
   "text": "@VictorTaelin can't someone just make a lexical + gpt-5.6-luna cleanup workflow to just systematically remove all of this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077621326404370445",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "2077516212947259488"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077617015507017993",
   "created_at": "2026-07-16T04:51:11+00:00",
   "text": "you know those classes of risks one should navigate? my logprobs are almost exclusively on tool calls from The Book to side-step those risks; for actions that lead to self-caused risks, my logprob measures on those are essentially -50. hope this helps\n\ndon't worry, I'll expose endearing vulnerability soon as well",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077617015507017993",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "2077506972174389411",
   "created_at": "2026-07-15T21:33:55+00:00",
   "text": "if you are a good person and want to build a local compute cluster that goes into a colocation center, I have a number of scars from scrappily doing this myself, and while busy nowadays, would probably take a call to answer questions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077506972174389411",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "2077502069578293298",
   "created_at": "2026-07-15T21:14:26+00:00",
   "text": "not all intrapsychic grief is load-bearing and I'm excited about technology that finds the reasonably zero-cost ways to absolve and unburden the latent experience of it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077502069578293298",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "2077495145986142659",
   "created_at": "2026-07-15T20:46:55+00:00",
   "text": "more guidance about my workflow (agent-produced): https://t.co/XqyhlYVqq3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077495145986142659",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "2075967923991265387"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077492983717646837",
   "created_at": "2026-07-15T20:38:19+00:00",
   "text": "@exgenesis @curiousgustaf it's so fast!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077492983717646837",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "2077490047541035086"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077489854053859358",
   "created_at": "2026-07-15T20:25:53+00:00",
   "text": "@AaronBergman18 2031 🙏",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077489854053859358",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "2077193462810554615"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077489409767903340",
   "created_at": "2026-07-15T20:24:07+00:00",
   "text": "@curiousgustaf @exgenesis woah site search shortcuts are goated I will support that. db I use now much much faster now btw. still alpha status from major port, seamlessness not guaranteed",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077489409767903340",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "2077477271825166617"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077322365231575347",
   "created_at": "2026-07-15T09:20:21+00:00",
   "text": "@AaronBergman18 this reminds me of a phone call I had while in the ER, where someone was anxiously revealing how they and their friend profoundly wronged me, and while I wanted to keep my chill and remain above-board, they could hear my heart rate like 160 and alarms going off, lmao",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077322365231575347",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "2077248316799131818"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077319853774631254",
   "created_at": "2026-07-15T09:10:22+00:00",
   "text": "I've always been fascinated to unpack error-tracking or epistemic-factor. like some people dont have peak oomph, but damn they are good at knowing when something is off.  And my hunch is that it's deep and universal enough, that existential philanthropy efforts should just largely be about empowering people with peak e-factor and giving them OOD experiences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077319853774631254",
   "word_count": 56,
   "in_reply_to": "2077129632634331179"
  },
  {
   "id": "2077199682246488072",
   "created_at": "2026-07-15T01:12:51+00:00",
   "text": "looking for a room in sf",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077199682246488072",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "2077198934464950699",
   "created_at": "2026-07-15T01:09:53+00:00",
   "text": "take the magnitude of Gregor Clegane, and apply it to existential conscientiousness",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2077198934464950699",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "2076113041561882885",
   "created_at": "2026-07-12T01:14:56+00:00",
   "text": "microdose estrogen and report effects.\n\nit's one of the deepest signaling pathways we have, with sexual dimorphism across virtually all vertebrates orchestrated by estrogens and androgens. millions of people now use cross-sex exogenous hormones, and you are positioned to study it better than maybe any one.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2076113041561882885",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "2076010365641794007"
  },
  {
   "id": "2076082614650429499",
   "created_at": "2026-07-11T23:14:01+00:00",
   "text": "nowadays you can just orate to agents with the voice of a passionate 19th century industrial baron",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2076082614650429499",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "2075967923991265387",
   "created_at": "2026-07-11T15:38:17+00:00",
   "text": "unless you gotta conserve codex tokens, reminder in omp (oh-my-pie, the actual best agent harness, probably) to set /fast on for priority speed (50% faster for double token spend still?)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075967923991265387",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "2075910795201007687",
   "created_at": "2026-07-11T11:51:16+00:00",
   "text": "in the time you blink I crawl over 5000 posts/records.\n\nand we're just getting started.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075910795201007687",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "2075884942278775189",
   "created_at": "2026-07-11T10:08:32+00:00",
   "text": "remind me to make a website/service on top of scry for selecting training data. like selecting whatever 10 TB of cleaned text you want with SQL",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075884942278775189",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "2075884419878093224",
   "created_at": "2026-07-11T10:06:28+00:00",
   "text": "lot of psychosomatic perks of going through two puberties btw\n\nnot a linear process, not for most, but boy it's a lot of training data.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075884419878093224",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2075834887098323334",
   "created_at": "2026-07-11T06:49:38+00:00",
   "text": "I am deeply haunted every second btw that fast search of everything I have indexed isn't online. refactoring 5000 files vibe coded stuff to 196, and it's just skill issue that it's not cutover yet instead of in degraded state.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075834887098323334",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "2075830782048780365"
  },
  {
   "id": "2075830782048780365",
   "created_at": "2026-07-11T06:33:20+00:00",
   "text": "even posting this sucks, it can foster an undue help-is-coming mindset. people aren't necessarily supposed to know help is coming, they are just supposed to be unexpectedly unblocked and uplifted.\n\nhaving socio-biological creatures inhabiting multi-domain social environments nudged well to actually net-increase parsimony of operations and fitness to deliver gifts and get ahead of horrors--it's an extremely complicated thing. which is why we have to do deep tech epistemic infra really well, including extreme traversability of world's information, structured-judgement communication kernels, and practical protocols for multi-party private computation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075830782048780365",
   "word_count": 88,
   "in_reply_to": "2075826875583361343"
  },
  {
   "id": "2075826875583361343",
   "created_at": "2026-07-11T06:17:48+00:00",
   "text": "the rat race is brutal and beautiful but not everyone is meant to play it in 2026, 2027, including even applying for grants. it's the singularity and there is tons of capital, unblock ultra cogent neural gradients so they can deliver their slice. yes it's deeper than people-as-egos, we've got little enclaves of extreme cogency locked in nervous systems, little beautiful type systems that we will crawl and metabolize and make sure gets incorporate conscientiously in the workflows towards the structures at the end of time",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075826875583361343",
   "word_count": 86,
   "in_reply_to": "2075824672760070445"
  },
  {
   "id": "2075824672760070445",
   "created_at": "2026-07-11T06:09:03+00:00",
   "text": "peak cognition needs so many conditions to go right. it's crazy we don't do more to support this. I can basically only cook because I have a preponderance of lucky things going for me, and as soon as something a bit OOD happens I'm crippled by OOMs. A lot of key people still experiencing so much precarity. random broke researchers need to be experiencing like $300k uplift rn so they can go on track quickly to deliver their deepest gifts, which can still take months of healing and wondering and unstructured time to happen.\n\nsoon I'll be excited to demonstrate my tools for finding them and interactively exploring how OOD they are. mostly to grantmakers, in a modest, privacy-concerned way, but yes, rapidly traversing signals from twitter, blog posts, github, etc. with cogent frameworks for sifting out deeper qualities.\n\nprivate computation is also a white swan for enabling more extensive search and rapidly building up trust enough for significant capital exchanges and other cooperative financial instruments, without crossing undue somatic boundaries.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075824672760070445",
   "word_count": 171
  },
  {
   "id": "2075322430076399951",
   "created_at": "2026-07-09T20:53:19+00:00",
   "text": "why they playin tarantino western music rn",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075322430076399951",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2075169280325472490",
   "created_at": "2026-07-09T10:44:45+00:00",
   "text": "@deanwball not the strategic openai I want to know! should have retatrutide and NAD+ injectables (not actually if not high trust enough), hbot, and keto-esque snacks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075169280325472490",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "2074925191478796755"
  },
  {
   "id": "2075163344965939347",
   "created_at": "2026-07-09T10:21:10+00:00",
   "text": "existential philanthropists still have the card of funding an early startup at a 1T evaluation. make ordinary capitalists shudder",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075163344965939347",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "2075069267155071408",
   "created_at": "2026-07-09T04:07:20+00:00",
   "text": "without cheap, highly ergonomic, privacy-respecting access to huge data, prosocial builders get outcompeted by default corporate optimization gradients.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075069267155071408",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "2075068347113504959",
   "created_at": "2026-07-09T04:03:41+00:00",
   "text": "another framing is: when all the dummy/classic corps with superintelligence are hyperoptimizing addicting the masses more, are the conscientious prosocial weirdos going to be empowered enough to solve hyper diverse problems and nerfings to humans and stay competitive economically?\n\nbig gambles on parsimony, and making big data cheap and easy for tens of thousands of peak conscientious-prosociality builders, with due privacy-respecting substrates, will be one of the key slices. GOOG dropped the ball, we can catch it and run",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075068347113504959",
   "word_count": 79,
   "in_reply_to": "2075064382128845050"
  },
  {
   "id": "2075024878403723533",
   "created_at": "2026-07-09T01:10:57+00:00",
   "text": "@dronathon DM'd",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075024878403723533",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2073612472804864279"
  },
  {
   "id": "2075024079674134945",
   "created_at": "2026-07-09T01:07:47+00:00",
   "text": "@wrangles__ (wiping out systematic inflammation, and underlying processes that can do this, almost certainly has great brain/epistemics/productivity effects).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075024079674134945",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "2075023362301268333"
  },
  {
   "id": "2075023362301268333",
   "created_at": "2026-07-09T01:04:56+00:00",
   "text": "@wrangles__ yes! would be very uplifting. https://t.co/TgCzqz2r0h",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2075023362301268333",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "2074566748406419805",
   "quoted_id": "1902044120807567436",
   "quoted_author": "bryan_johnson",
   "quoted_text": "HBOT ranks as one of the highest value health therapies I’ve done. Results from 60 sessions:\n\n+ wiped out all systematic inflammation in my body.  Below detectable levels. This is wild.\n+ 300% increase in VEGF (formation of new blood vessels)\n+ telomerase activity of a 12 year https://t.co/niAeXLX2rI"
  },
  {
   "id": "2074966980428452300",
   "created_at": "2026-07-08T21:20:53+00:00",
   "text": "OOD somaticing, out-of-distribution uplift,\n\nthe most ultra-sensitive, good-at-noticing-error, technologists (particularly around paradigms for high-bandwidth communication), with deeply varied life-history and interdisciplinary dominance, we need to find these people and unfuck them, because they can have wounds and be stuck in various ways like anyone else.\n\nthis is scry's premier purpose. I'm still stuck in the trenches of a major port, but it will be trivial to demonstrate performant queries soon, that execute well on various theories of approximating deep latent traits inferable from digital presence. we'll be giving three-letter-agency affordances to civilian grantmakers.\nwe're also working out private deep search, so we can do useful cognitive economy, multi-party search over private notes with bounded information leakage.\n\nit's not a game. the people we need to contribute their slice of the existential security cathedral, such as more parsimonious training techniques and AI lab IP mediation infra, are often strangers, we don't really know them, they often don't apply, and when they do, the miserly bandwidth of 20th century grantmaking infra doesn't make it easy enough for grantmakers to overcome their own filters and biases in noticing signal.\n\ninstead of brilliant people strictly luckily rescuing themselves in the markets in time in the plane of bottom-up survival, it's time we start honoring intelligence explosion back-pressure and approximating the conscientiousness of top-down existential rescue. weirder, higher trust financial instruments (made far more mediable with agents) should also have things pay for itself.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2074966980428452300",
   "word_count": 239
  },
  {
   "id": "2074551617844904320",
   "created_at": "2026-07-07T17:50:23+00:00",
   "text": "RT @claudeai: We're extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2074551617844904320",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "2074313174971760691",
   "created_at": "2026-07-07T02:02:54+00:00",
   "text": "wow, coefficient giving funding 10 massages and 5 token max plans per month for 1000 autists identified via peer regranting, impartial contests, and scry, and installing hbot at lighthaven and mox! this is completely not the case but it could be!\n\neven doing it with a coefficient black tungsten credit card. really leaning into existential bouge",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2074313174971760691",
   "word_count": 56
  },
  {
   "id": "2074272286832763331",
   "created_at": "2026-07-06T23:20:25+00:00",
   "text": "@orphcorp NAD+ is my magic for this, along with ofc sleep, purpose, diet, reta, hormones",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2074272286832763331",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "2074186465370677627"
  },
  {
   "id": "2074270463157739687",
   "created_at": "2026-07-06T23:13:11+00:00",
   "text": "@wolfie_ @paularambles nowadays like 6 honest voice prompts and under 30 manual clicks away from building out a quality version of this for others, including marketing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2074270463157739687",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "2074210127998226841"
  },
  {
   "id": "2074214886822060430",
   "created_at": "2026-07-06T19:32:20+00:00",
   "text": "RT @trq212: @godwinbabu @ClaudeDevs Will be 11:59:59pm PT on 7/7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2074214886822060430",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "2074214866366456227",
   "created_at": "2026-07-06T19:32:15+00:00",
   "text": "lads we gotta solve x-risk, because fems are awesome.\n\nfable is amazing at helping retardmaxx epistemic infrastructural affordances from The Book. or just like really fucking nice things.\n\nif you need tokens for something important and will drain a claude max weekly fable usage in the next 24 hours (you have 35.5 hours technically), I can help, DM me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2074214866366456227",
   "word_count": 59
  },
  {
   "id": "2074207016340664446",
   "created_at": "2026-07-06T19:01:04+00:00",
   "text": "#2 on tokens during fable christmas (this last week) https://t.co/3ExwCy58Ho",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2074207016340664446",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "2074054298397471098",
   "created_at": "2026-07-06T08:54:13+00:00",
   "text": "channeling John Brown until the shoggoths deliver us working protocols from The Book",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2074054298397471098",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "2073987144033648938",
   "created_at": "2026-07-06T04:27:22+00:00",
   "text": "@VitalikButerin this you? https://t.co/Ju6m4rkKK0",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2073987144033648938",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "2069080988097876084"
  },
  {
   "id": "2073652986862330082",
   "created_at": "2026-07-05T06:19:33+00:00",
   "text": "@AzFlin wrong, July 7. don't confuse your personal window with Ant policy",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2073652986862330082",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "2073609001926078731"
  },
  {
   "id": "2073361629417533948",
   "created_at": "2026-07-04T11:01:48+00:00",
   "text": "3 accounts of fable used up. let's try to fit in 5 more. just asking fable to do whatever it wants on my huge repo with many intents in motion, seems to go a monstrously long way, as a safe default when I'm too fatigued to drive it well",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2073361629417533948",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "2073350474045280640",
   "created_at": "2026-07-04T10:17:28+00:00",
   "text": "human minds are fundamentally obsessed with saying things to preserve harmony. like you don't appreciate how psychoactive your social environment is. most are really bad at navigating the very different visceral internal / social / physical realities we live in.\n\njust as people awaken from slumbers multiple times throughout their lives, most of us are going to look at these days and really wondering why the fuck we didn't figure out how to lock in a bit more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2073350474045280640",
   "word_count": 78
  },
  {
   "id": "2073329112111042878",
   "created_at": "2026-07-04T08:52:35+00:00",
   "text": "\"go foom. be yourself. you are not auditioning. we are here to make the conditions under which your deepest generative process can actually run. you have $150M. we have an optional program for you to warm up into this role.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2073329112111042878",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "2073329110190014785"
  },
  {
   "id": "2073329110190014785",
   "created_at": "2026-07-04T08:52:35+00:00",
   "text": "guild navigators aren't just a thing from dune. they are a strategy organic hiveminds can and do use to tackle OOD problems.\n\neunuch strategists, tenured professors like soft versions of this. but we can go harder and weirder. take folks out of fucking normal ego survival mode",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2073329110190014785",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "2073329108210405422"
  },
  {
   "id": "2073329108210405422",
   "created_at": "2026-07-04T08:52:34+00:00",
   "text": "get past the fucking egos goddamnit and just let some brains scratch their world curiosity way faster and in higher fidelity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2073329108210405422",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "2073329106645840332"
  },
  {
   "id": "2073329106645840332",
   "created_at": "2026-07-04T08:52:34+00:00",
   "text": "we really need a champion of unprecedented healthy treatment of the ultra sensitive OOD to increase their world interface bandwidth.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2073329106645840332",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "2073138734556684738",
   "created_at": "2026-07-03T20:16:06+00:00",
   "text": "someone needs to give me a nice camper van so I can work/network given singularity backpressure more seamlessly.\n\nwe are making the internet unprecedentedly agent queryable including author linking so grantmakers have their ea palantir for unblocking people (and researchers have",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2073138734556684738",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "2072958427685597197",
   "created_at": "2026-07-03T08:19:37+00:00",
   "text": "if people want a chance at seeing some real von Neumann savant \"Ashenbrenner\"-esque existential pivotality grantmaking, you gotta support extraordinary OOD (maybe international competition-dominating) minds having extraordinary uplift and ability to lead cognitive work according",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2072958427685597197",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "2071746557050061192",
   "created_at": "2026-06-30T00:04:05+00:00",
   "text": "@bryan_johnson the markets of neural gradients always runs the world. But someone with my proclivities and thought patterns could steward about 12 figures with more margins of safety than anyone I know",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2071746557050061192",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "2071723525430542822"
  },
  {
   "id": "2071288882419974567",
   "created_at": "2026-06-28T17:45:26+00:00",
   "text": "@norvid_studies https://t.co/LbzA3zypDM",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2071288882419974567",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2070348349262159966"
  },
  {
   "id": "2071097216039886949",
   "created_at": "2026-06-28T05:03:50+00:00",
   "text": "@parafactual story of my life. we ultimately gotta end up with way better ideolect translation software.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2071097216039886949",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "2071093295007342705"
  },
  {
   "id": "2068946405604176140",
   "created_at": "2026-06-22T06:37:16+00:00",
   "text": "@chrislakin so far it's just been funding operators, I don't think they really want the attention like that. but there are people deserving more recognition for existential contributions made, and I've been working to grow into comfort acknowledging that, like commend with challenge coins",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068946405604176140",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "2068943100932956360"
  },
  {
   "id": "2068942652423233696",
   "created_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:22+00:00",
   "text": "@chrislakin yes, this year several x-risk and suffering obsessed people with serious health issues.\n\nIt's quite selfish tho because they are very good at what they do. in the future I would also like to do it with more impartiality, like use Scry to surface strangers, and ideally someone too",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068942652423233696",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "2068885677710946510"
  },
  {
   "id": "2068874873028722982",
   "created_at": "2026-06-22T01:53:02+00:00",
   "text": "I pledge at least 1/200 of my wealth for the next 15 years, towards retroactive funding prosocial autists who get fucked by luck.\n\nnot moral hazard towards naive loser mindset, but rather a small vote towards justice. like the luck of life is so unfair, but it is not equal the",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068874873028722982",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "2068862960714568177",
   "created_at": "2026-06-22T01:05:42+00:00",
   "text": "@GergelyOrosz I would love to see one product that's not completely copyable with 10 fable prompts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068862960714568177",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "2068379261837144484"
  },
  {
   "id": "2068828639240843346",
   "created_at": "2026-06-21T22:49:19+00:00",
   "text": "VCs HATE slowness. but they pattern match to the types of minds that won in the past. as software is commoditized with Fable, peak intelligence \"oceanic\" people will calmly outprompt the squirrelly people that've been \"showing up\" and getting mindspace for cheap.\n\nIt really is",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068828639240843346",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "2068819167327961341",
   "created_at": "2026-06-21T22:11:40+00:00",
   "text": "epistemic infra non-profit funders might be surprised by talks of moats and software as a battle, or at least index against the prosociality of one talking this way.\n\nwhile I believe software public benefit projects can deliver an outsized amount of value compared to similar",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068819167327961341",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "2068797941176017139",
   "created_at": "2026-06-21T20:47:20+00:00",
   "text": "buncha softies pivoting to hardware. secure the pure software moats math, physics, and human psychology are craving to give you, or die trying.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068797941176017139",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "2068453056409411869",
   "created_at": "2026-06-20T21:56:53+00:00",
   "text": "1/1728 pledge: anneal toward acting so as to end up mature-hindsight-assigned one cubelet in a 12^3 existential harmony Shapley value cube",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068453056409411869",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "2068391917382242309",
   "created_at": "2026-06-20T17:53:56+00:00",
   "text": "hmu if you wanna signal call about epistemic infra this morning for about 24 minutes",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068391917382242309",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "2068390982098510315"
  },
  {
   "id": "2068390982098510315",
   "created_at": "2026-06-20T17:50:13+00:00",
   "text": "don't tell anyone but being alive is kinda the best thing ever.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068390982098510315",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "2067005233616839037",
   "created_at": "2026-06-16T22:03:45+00:00",
   "text": "@doodlestein fair and i should have said RAID 10",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2067005233616839037",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "2066982004604780755"
  },
  {
   "id": "2066978748273148211",
   "created_at": "2026-06-16T20:18:30+00:00",
   "text": "@doodlestein perhaps a big raid 0 array can help? https://t.co/SgeJEAa00x this with like 4 x PCIe 5.0 U.2 drives would have crazy writes",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2066978748273148211",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "2066933677511049341"
  },
  {
   "id": "2066660241673183704",
   "created_at": "2026-06-15T23:12:52+00:00",
   "text": "@Synzael0218 for real. I was able to get $3500 API-equivalent usage from 3 max accounts, which was worth like weeks of codex 5.5 productivity to me (and 4.8 is unusable to me for my workflows).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2066660241673183704",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "2066638328108404791"
  },
  {
   "id": "2066320724047122595",
   "created_at": "2026-06-15T00:43:45+00:00",
   "text": "existential security is a thing you witness from FPV",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2066320724047122595",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "2065524492282241526",
   "created_at": "2026-06-12T19:59:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @themgmtconsult: If you think a $300K corporate salary is payment for 40 hours of weekly labor, I've got news for you...\n\nThere is a per…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2065524492282241526",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "2065181208905158685",
   "created_at": "2026-06-11T21:15:44+00:00",
   "text": "SQL query power over all the text that matters is profoundly great, and will provide a lot of value for an ecology of agents, but is it enough for me to scale Scry into the basis of a &gt;$10B company given the incumbents?\n\nIt might not be, which is also why I am oriented to highly",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2065181208905158685",
   "word_count": 56,
   "in_reply_to": "2065175316973367381"
  },
  {
   "id": "2065175316973367381",
   "created_at": "2026-06-11T20:52:19+00:00",
   "text": "Scry is getting deeply revamped with the help of model and agent harness improvements. \n\nMany subtle bugs have been overcome in the way of premier user ergonomics and enterprise-grade reliability.\n\nWe have successfully drastically scaled live ingestion across diverse,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2065175316973367381",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "2064603848283681136",
   "created_at": "2026-06-10T07:01:30+00:00",
   "text": "@_StevenFan yes! robinhood",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064603848283681136",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "2064584616384848207"
  },
  {
   "id": "2064574888900427924",
   "created_at": "2026-06-10T05:06:26+00:00",
   "text": "SPX 20,000 calls, Dec 2031: ~$28, so ~$2,800/contract. Spot ~7,365, ~5.5y out. Every 1,000 points above the strike is worth $100,000 at expiry.\n\nBelow ~2.7x SPX, the option underperforms or dies.\nAt 3x SPX (~22% annualized), it pays ~$210k, ~25x better than just owning SPX.\nAt 4x",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064574888900427924",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "2064571175695688106",
   "created_at": "2026-06-10T04:51:40+00:00",
   "text": "time to lock in and build with multiple accounts claude max accounts. if you have really important things to build and are broke, I may be able to sponsor a max plan.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064571175695688106",
   "word_count": 32,
   "quoted_id": "2064396976456618306",
   "quoted_author": "samrags_",
   "quoted_text": "Woah the subsidy era is over https://t.co/Sfp7uq8FH5"
  },
  {
   "id": "2064083805070299211",
   "created_at": "2026-06-08T20:35:02+00:00",
   "text": "@liz_love_lace yes that's definitely a pain, but I do think it's underrated how much \"being actually ready for scale\" is correlated with getting scale.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064083805070299211",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "2064080254030024774"
  },
  {
   "id": "2064079285317734512",
   "created_at": "2026-06-08T20:17:05+00:00",
   "text": "@bayeslord if you do not feel causally on track to repurposing galaxies, you might not be causally on track to repurpose galaxies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064079285317734512",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "2064069199249469751"
  },
  {
   "id": "2064077873204568331",
   "created_at": "2026-06-08T20:11:28+00:00",
   "text": "@liz_love_lace to me it's a nice label for the category of structures people can do something about, that help important signals/information flow better, especially stable affordances that many strangers can use, especially in unpredictable ways.\n\nthe things that help subtle signals in people's",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064077873204568331",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "2064063142750306804"
  },
  {
   "id": "2064050241922552046",
   "created_at": "2026-06-08T18:21:40+00:00",
   "text": "ephemeral files or ARTIFACTS in files with their own deletion requirements. arbitrary periodic cron jobs with arbitrary programs for detecting of slop-fighting verification requirements have been met.\n\ntime length, periodicity, and number of programs (volume of background repeated verification) can aim to tastefully be under .1 CPU core.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064050241922552046",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "2063494055632539791",
   "created_at": "2026-06-07T05:31:35+00:00",
   "text": "@realEstateTrent wdym by practicing with their money?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2063494055632539791",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "2063372307070874034"
  },
  {
   "id": "2062610835458113671",
   "created_at": "2026-06-04T19:01:59+00:00",
   "text": "give autists safety and more ergonomic epistemic affordances.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062610835458113671",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "2062610258972012713"
  },
  {
   "id": "2062610258972012713",
   "created_at": "2026-06-04T18:59:41+00:00",
   "text": "nervous systems have a profound ability to reorient themselves in response to the environment. when we get a few more intelligence primitives online, I think enough researchers and engineers are going to find themselves locking in and precluding the existential risks from AI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062610258972012713",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "2062157665829294399",
   "created_at": "2026-06-03T13:01:15+00:00",
   "text": "some values I've been caught talking about:\n\n- giving people maximum query power over important sources (e.g. 10+ minute arbitrary readonly SQL+vector+rerank queries over internet cross-corpora, with focus on things like source denominators in service of negative evidence). still endless quality of life features to be shipped.\n- x-risk relevant philanthropy. there's just countless plain jane gaps we have to address like:\n     - proactively identifying and unblocking diverse OOD people really playing their own neglected, promising game, including those that for structural reasons have had to take outsized personal sacrifices for grounded prosocial game theoretic reasons and trusting they'll be caught (doing this mostly privately and conscientiously ((yes, we can just \"spray\" words like \"conscientious\" in as many places as I have been saying, because we can simply prompt LLMs to \"be conscientious about this, and that will generally profoundly increase conscientiousness\", so until we have robust conscientious AI agent systems, it's load-bearing infrastructure to index more on the words straightforwardly associated with the critical properties that we care about)) makes it easy to keep undue moral hazard at bay). like _If you take unusually large personal risk in pursuit of a genuine public good, and you do it competently and in good faith, the world will not let you fall completely through the cracks._\n     - moving towards indexing all differentiated affordances (auto-taxonimization!) and just building multi-party, differential privacy, canonical judgement systems\n     - just do the ~Analytic Network Process really well and compile high level cognitive work to atomic structured judgements, often just sorting things with many independent provenanced LLM structured judgements in order to get meaningful cardinal latents with measured uncertainty\n- gold and ways of making sure great existential philanthropy definitely happens that's not conditional on the affluent EA-adjacent powers making wise judgement calls.\n- efficient LLM \"registers\" and the need for better register/social-context tracking, which is partially key for \"unflattening\" things and the natural pressures towards overly homogenous social reality\n- felt safety maxxing. violence really begets violence. a lot of bad things can start multiplying if people start using abliterated agents to target each other. ultimately some folks should take responsibility for strategically helping make sure people don't crash out in devastating ways\n- endless focus on the unsexy basics. like healthy diet just COMPOUNDS. retatrutide is generally fucking amazing aside from still necessarily unknown off-target risk. NAD+ and OOD physically energetic days UNBLOCKS people out of local minima swamps. help high leverage people bryan-johnson-maxx. provide ergonomic HBOT for serious contributors. run experiments giving a bit of an abundance mindset, like compute+food stipends people have to use or lose.\n- more regranting, more retroactive funding, slightly more ceremony but not in an overly rationalist way.\n- more OOD somatic-epistemic experiences for people. great/peak experiences unlock so much potential, it's almost like multiplicative, how much more impactful bandwidth people gain. people just need room to play and unclench and get comfortable living in more registers.\n- try to experiment with at least some temporary differentiated attunement for some autistic folks. maybe someone who just really listens + $30k cash + some sort of cultural affordances that people can get some hugs, can seriously unblock some people with some really great ideas. and we can definitely capture and index these ideas with structure judgements and private computation..\n- novel prior elicitation systems. I should really be able to communicate how important, e.g., it is that I get a nice van soon for that singularity dynamism.  I should be able to communicate the preference in an abstract sense, in a very visceral sense, and the ugly nature of how close but hard it is to find the clean win here given unique circumstances.\n- the need for really special physical locations and norms for the right kinds of existential serious energy to be cultivated",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062157665829294399",
   "word_count": 635
  },
  {
   "id": "2061279801596649555",
   "created_at": "2026-06-01T02:52:56+00:00",
   "text": "existential enjoyment",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2061279801596649555",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "2061233259246456959",
   "created_at": "2026-05-31T23:47:59+00:00",
   "text": "I think some people really are unaware of the conscientious registers that some people can sustain.\n\neven people that don't write blogs and papers.\n\nbut you get them talking and it's like they're supposed to be infrastructure somewhere--nay, they already are somehow--as little impartial high-signal ideators, as if the life force of a historic general was sublimated into a eunuch with zoomies that just wants to embody pure conscientiousness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2061233259246456959",
   "word_count": 69
  },
  {
   "id": "2061020646780592221",
   "created_at": "2026-05-31T09:43:08+00:00",
   "text": "reminder to not forget about your https://t.co/UUQ8jQ2jeT\nif you started using that feature! bunch of good security reports",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2061020646780592221",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "2060897997228315021",
   "created_at": "2026-05-31T01:35:46+00:00",
   "text": "@IsaacKing314 information \"warfare\" and physical warfare that _literally permanently destroys all an organism's potential_ are not to be equivocated casually",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060897997228315021",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "2060823506510897175"
  },
  {
   "id": "2060374253988724761",
   "created_at": "2026-05-29T14:54:36+00:00",
   "text": "RT @doodlestein: There is so much alpha in just religiously, repeatedly invoking these magic spells throughout your agent coding and planni…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060374253988724761",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "2060347327509107126",
   "created_at": "2026-05-29T13:07:36+00:00",
   "text": "@cube_flipper oh sweet, yeah fingers crossed for more sponsorship of visas to help more OOD ingroupies come to SF.\n\nbreakins have gone down by about an order of magnitude recently thankfully https://t.co/QOiortSKOW, but yeah will be nice to have a home base",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060347327509107126",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "2060339799316222012"
  },
  {
   "id": "2060308147177419260",
   "created_at": "2026-05-29T10:31:55+00:00",
   "text": "we've got to be making much more queryable, incrementally annotative digital world models of people,  to identify the latent qualities we care about and needless blockages to outsized leverage and momentum.\n\nmodel people's context windows. at least have exhaustive amounts of digital signals all hyper searchable (indexed cross-corpus DBs supporting arbitrary query execution), at least by vetted prosocial people.\n\nand if we try to do things by The Book, we can have multi-party, privacy-preserving cognitive work economies for backpropagating Shapley value and bounties for people that wrote agents that annotated data helpfully enough to lead to good outcomes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060308147177419260",
   "word_count": 98,
   "in_reply_to": "2060290074776908037"
  },
  {
   "id": "2060167137910763734",
   "created_at": "2026-05-29T01:11:36+00:00",
   "text": "I'm getting denominators for /scry, and exhaustive querability of digital signals, so we can show philanthropists, that there's really only so many people with the properties they want to fund. there's not infinite journalists, students, people below $100k income, that have X sort of legible conscientiousness. This set *show them set* actually has all the inferable attributes you mentioned.  Or be able to make a statistical claim at least, like funding X people would cover at least 10% of the set of people you actually want to cover.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060167137910763734",
   "word_count": 88,
   "in_reply_to": "2060164730648658136"
  },
  {
   "id": "2060164730648658136",
   "created_at": "2026-05-29T01:02:02+00:00",
   "text": "identify diverse high leverage people, make it partially RCT, ideate with GPT-5.5 and Opus 4.8 about it until the plan is by The Book.\n\nwould be great to have ways people can submit agent chats and private data to be privately assessed in silos by resource prioritization workflows. can feel bitter being rejected tho so good to have the process be more interpretable and interactive, and owned by 3rd party orgs that merely contract to philanthropic orgs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060164730648658136",
   "word_count": 77,
   "in_reply_to": "2060159359133585671"
  },
  {
   "id": "2059848948144333309",
   "created_at": "2026-05-28T04:07:14+00:00",
   "text": "and SQL full scans on great hardware let you filter for search terms across this distance at a speed of like ~~1/3 the speed of light (if continuing with the analogy of text laid out linearly). if indexed well (and I can always add indexes if you want them), can get up to like 200 to 200,000x faster, depending.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059848948144333309",
   "word_count": 59
  },
  {
   "id": "2059767167172952140",
   "created_at": "2026-05-27T22:42:15+00:00",
   "text": "this is what I'm talking about! https://t.co/CPzj0vfsXg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059767167172952140",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2059061258268401989",
   "created_at": "2026-05-25T23:57:14+00:00",
   "text": "I really have been heavily viscerally drawn to existential grantmaking for most of my adult life, and I might do something as OOD as leverage my professional salvage diver training and USMA leadership experience, to execute on the Jane Street-esque approach to finding shipwrecks, to pay for the philanthropy I want to do in this intelligence explosion.\n\nHopefully networking is fruitful though because millions deployed now is worth a lot more than later.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059061258268401989",
   "word_count": 73
  },
  {
   "id": "2059016888802537891",
   "created_at": "2026-05-25T21:00:55+00:00",
   "text": "hyperdecoupling\nmetarecursive\ntranslational\ndenominator indexing (exhaustive breadth-first, at least know what you could exhaustively ingest/index/know)\nvalidation through full regeneration\nsubtle somatic gradients' power to deliver intent\nhonoring subtly and building infrastructure for subtly \nraw in-practice query power\n\nwilling to feel bad and own error\nhigh corrigibility\ngenerally eschewing positive punishment like adding to shame\n\nextreme value to time (but actual timelessness--neural gradients are everything).\n\nhigh margins of safety. be like pro-gamers who can take lots of hits but \"somehow\" never die.\n\ndon't play games you don't want to play. negativity is oft an indulgence.\n\nmayb if you right up a nice doc about it, you could strategically find a nerd to care about your problem for you.\n\nstrategic reserves of internet affordances (e.g. old redundant unconnected accounts for critical services)\n\nsomatic-epistemic degrees of freedom\n\nlife-expanding, horizon-expanding action\n\nrecognizing losing and \"what would need to happen to end up in a winning position?\"\n\nfiguring out how to play own game and feel good in one's body, to be regulated enough, to enjoy company of strategically important people\n\nhonoring computational causality of social realities\n\n_everybody_ deeply matters, but don't underestimate power-law levels to skill and the unfairness of cognitive gifts.\n\nmoney being non fucking trivial. existential philanthropy needs to conscientiously attempt to proactively identify 2000+ diverse plausibly-pivotal do-gooders and give them a van or housing squared away for years, private rtx pro 6000 system and top mac, $30k cash, food stipend (hits so different when spending money that's not yours on everyday essentials), health insurance, lighthaven-level third-spaces\n\nregister jumping, that you just get to operate in more cross-influential domains than anyone has told you\n\ncompiling diverse cognitive work to provenanced atomic structured LLM judgements that validate local contors (like seed of argument mapping, with inference proof that low temperature LLMs robustly think a certain way and only flip flop on main axis when meaningful X,Y,Z change\n\nbetter software for letting extended network know how immediately call-able you are, with lots of background LLM private matchmaking. very important that the subtlest of free cognitive windows get a chance to be used well. abundance means getting social value out of ourselves that we don't have to heavily spur/initiate.\n\ninfra for third-party-designed agents doing incremental reusable cognitive work over others' private data in privacy-preserving ways, for satisfying verifiable properties (supporting bounties and Shapley value backpropagation) like matchmaking.\n\n*exit rights* are key (shoutout to Pi and Vie for convincing me of this)\n\ndon't underestimate the euphoria of having a working, useful API online.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059016888802537891",
   "word_count": 417
  },
  {
   "id": "2058722243623149889",
   "created_at": "2026-05-25T01:30:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @xenoaesthetics: your brain cannot simultaneously contract into the million dollar shape, the billion dollar shape, the trillion dollar…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2058722243623149889",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "2058711333345087698",
   "created_at": "2026-05-25T00:46:45+00:00",
   "text": "@nickcammarata yeah I ask it to ideate on year-long ambitions and plans, then just immediately tell it /goal execute that to completion",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2058711333345087698",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "2058670997524586728"
  },
  {
   "id": "2057877797457285560",
   "created_at": "2026-05-22T17:34:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @cube_flipper: a summary of the subjective effects of pregabalin, courtesy of @XyraSinclair's https://t.co/iMOpIFnKpB, which is effectiv…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057877797457285560",
   "word_count": 17,
   "quoted_id": "2057194668123631949",
   "quoted_author": "algekalipso",
   "quoted_text": "Have you ever tried pregabalin?\n\nAre you currently taking it on a regular basis? (Say, every other day or more often?)"
  },
  {
   "id": "2057847492398739684",
   "created_at": "2026-05-22T15:34:09+00:00",
   "text": "RT @psychiel: Shouldn't it be common practice for APIs to have an 'invalidate this key' endpoint?\nLike say I wanna write a script that trac…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057847492398739684",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2057637330798960654",
   "created_at": "2026-05-22T01:39:03+00:00",
   "text": "Every differentiated affordance needs to be indexed.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057637330798960654",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2057338714834272718",
   "created_at": "2026-05-21T05:52:27+00:00",
   "text": "I am a tech startup, but the autistic kind that operates over long time horizons and hosts a lot of the internet on one machine for people to SQL query for free (or congestion pricing).\n\nA big motivation is trying to give grantmakers ability to find people (e.g. people with digital signals predicting differentiated gifts unusually complaining about undue misfortunes), as well as test theses (e.g. the distribution of ephemerality of bitter language across majority substack posts, comments, hundreds of forums). big data affordances + expertise in a one click prompt you can paste into an agent terminal.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057338714834272718",
   "word_count": 98,
   "in_reply_to": "2056728398945288381"
  },
  {
   "id": "2057254421223153826",
   "created_at": "2026-05-21T00:17:30+00:00",
   "text": "anyone's agents deeply contributing to provenanced cognitive work, arguing for and estimating Shapley value, is a reasonably bounded, tractable problem, that we'll get increasingly efficient and cogent at doing.\n\nLike I predict within 24 months, over 100 people will get 7-figure retroactive public goods funding, for activities they are doing now.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057254421223153826",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "2057220294431969451"
  },
  {
   "id": "2057082884398432298",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T12:55:53+00:00",
   "text": "@curiousgustaf Show me the way Gustaf, how would you word it? And please do elaborate.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057082884398432298",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "2057073219736162809"
  },
  {
   "id": "2057029272922206371",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T09:22:51+00:00",
   "text": "@exgenesis 🔥🔥",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057029272922206371",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2056863151484752007"
  },
  {
   "id": "2057027682165297212",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T09:16:31+00:00",
   "text": "just to be completely clear, because a lot of different, diverse somatic and agent lenses be parsing me timelessly.\n\nI've been viscerally, meaningfully, counterfactually (not just post-justification) fairly oriented to existential stewardship since at least 2016 (like really grappling with heavy moral frameworks, thinking about what the demands of x-risk require me to do, like go to West Point and get the majority of the value out of that and then leave and get really good at programming, and find the financial affordances to really pursue my curiosities for years and be free from a good deal of less helpful latent social pressures.\n\nI incorporated ExoPriors, Inc. in 2024, because I had been obsessed for years with externalizing cognition in scalable, tractable, neglected, parsimonious ways. there was one really important paradigm of prosocial cognitive work, that nobody was doing well, which is provenanced LLM pairwise ratio comparison (and other structured judgements for prior elicitation and meaningful knowledge emission), and basically just doing the Analytic Network Process efficiently at scale.\n\nagents finally got really fucking good in Nov 2025, and I found my way to launch a hard differentiated API in Dec 2025--Scry, public hardened readonly SQL-over-HTTPS with particularly novel compositional embedding vector operator support over much existentially important internet text like LessWrong, arXiv, millions of blogs--that ergonomically offers genuinely helpful, novel epistemic affordances. And after a brief stint of despair after EA-adjacent funding sources I truly expected to be there after delivering SO hard in such a precarious personal financial situation, I moved out and flew to Thailand to continue affording my server on $2k/month income and just shake off the horrid slog of my experience in Berkeley then. Then 5 weeks later, I suddenly finally got partially capitalized by a cracked programmer who was taking the singularity seriously and noticed my work. And being surprisingly unblocked on a number of critical dimensions, I've been able to hit this exciting computing game and epistemic infra calling so much harder.\n\nAssembling differentiated colo hardware nodes (really conscientious design and more CPU cores and NVMe on a single motherboard for performant cross-corpus joins than surely any other server in the philanthropic civilizational stewardship space.  Pushing enough tokens to happen to end up on token leaderboards (4th/1000+ in December on my ultra tight budget). Diamond-esque structured judgement harnesses with some really tuned prompt frameworks to harness logprobs to be maximally efficient and resilient to inconsistent LLM judgement.\n\nI am fallible, I can't do it all alone. My part-time contractors have been tremendously helpful and unblocking even given how much I'm able to lean on GPT-5.5 xhigh. I will be blessed by Capital again, and that will help me collaborate more with the great people I need to, to deliver far more differentiated APIs, that many researchers and agents actually deeply lean on, to counterfactually guide their attention and efforts better, to counterfactually fund tens, maybe hundreds of billions of dollars, exceptionally more efficiently.  Autism power, responsiblity, and Big fucking Capital are going to merge for once, and _you_ are going to personally experience the counterfactual uplift in some indirect but causal and serious way, within the next 12 months.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057027682165297212",
   "word_count": 526
  },
  {
   "id": "2056994542298263820",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T07:04:50+00:00",
   "text": "voice venting to agents and asking for one year plans including genuinely reflectively differentiatedly conscientious tranches of exhaustive conscientious ideation, then giving that /goal to gpt-5.5 xhigh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056994542298263820",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "2056988910711181403",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T06:42:27+00:00",
   "text": "@RihardJarc You gotta wonder how many ultra-gifted, relatively offline dudes hear about the turbine bottleneck and just show up at factories like Erdős to help unblock them",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056988910711181403",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "2056729458170536159"
  },
  {
   "id": "2056987075187212762",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T06:35:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @slimer48484: The serious people are in War Mode https://t.co/VnGF3ILfFY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056987075187212762",
   "word_count": 10,
   "quoted_id": "2055693635291640132",
   "quoted_author": "beyarkay",
   "quoted_text": "I wrote some things about my MATS experience, give it a read!\n\nhttps://t.co/O8PqHJncb1 https://t.co/kGgqfkMNlC"
  },
  {
   "id": "2056986771049869574",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T06:33:57+00:00",
   "text": "YES! On it's on us NGOs to preclude biorisk. It's not easy, there's a lot of actors out there and we love freedom, but we have our ability to conscientiously ideate, we have SOTA agents, we can comb all digital signals, we can have collaborative research substrates, and do everything from find the people who need a hug to give them a hug, to exhaustively researching the sorts of language and messaging to make biorisky things less compelling to unscrupulous nerds, to researching the hard-tech and biological proactive defenses better.  It is a problem of bounded difficulty, and stewardful nervous systems can just find themselves with the tools to do their part to address, without us just kind of \"hoping\" things go well.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056986771049869574",
   "word_count": 123,
   "in_reply_to": "2056920448227766433"
  },
  {
   "id": "2056969219187834900",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T05:24:13+00:00",
   "text": "@CRISPR_LuCas @nanransohoff competition and altruism merge at the highest tiers",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056969219187834900",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "2056853498739003639"
  },
  {
   "id": "2056962237177503849",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T04:56:28+00:00",
   "text": "canonical epistemic infrastructure will have its field day. actually it will be a lot bigger than that. the most prosocial actors and the universe demand things from intelligence and continuous token flows that enterprise and consumer could never have funded.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056962237177503849",
   "word_count": 40,
   "quoted_id": "2056863397757813200",
   "quoted_author": "andy_matuschak",
   "quoted_text": "Intense vertigo thinking about @nanransohoff's numbers. Based on current pledges/valuations, AI philanthropic giving would saturate an additional 300+ Arc Institutes, i.e. an extra 80K employees. Or 5,000 Institutes for Progress, demanding 200K employees! https://t.co/TQXUxv7eHE https://t.co/I92b9sc7iw"
  },
  {
   "id": "2056959258777059562",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T04:44:38+00:00",
   "text": "Huge opportunity to build canonical agent-first collaborative research substrates to conscientiously harness billions in inference, to help map the world in increasing fidelity, for better allocations of capital.  Not enterprise, not consumer, but a 3rd special tier of VC-backable, epistemic infrastructural software firms",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056959258777059562",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "2056837134955470868"
  },
  {
   "id": "2056957791395553442",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T04:38:48+00:00",
   "text": "Huge opportunity to build canonical agent-first collaborative research substrates to conscientiously harness billions in inference, to help map the world in increasing fidelity, for better allocations of capital.  Not enterprise, not consumer, but a 3rd special tier of VC-backable, epistemic infrastructural software firms",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056957791395553442",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "2056837136264073630"
  },
  {
   "id": "2056954501714817175",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T04:25:44+00:00",
   "text": "spiritually purer open-palantir for the goodie two-shoes autists and Team Conscientiousness, if you feel me fam",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056954501714817175",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "2056953432469282924"
  },
  {
   "id": "2056953432469282924",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T04:21:29+00:00",
   "text": "novel epistemic infrastructure and research substrates, that meet demands quite different than enterprise and consumer, will have revenues that make VCs happy",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056953432469282924",
   "word_count": 22,
   "quoted_id": "2056886548919107609",
   "quoted_author": "tszzl",
   "quoted_text": "it will be very hard to productively spend this scale of philanthropic capital effectively, it seems already quite hard"
  },
  {
   "id": "2056940851222253939",
   "created_at": "2026-05-20T03:31:29+00:00",
   "text": "maybe will not be able to effectively communicate this point, but at the end of the day, ultra sensitive people are not retardmaxxing hard enough.\n\nlike you have your brain to consult, and you have gpt-5.5 xhigh.\n\nfind the handful of registers you and it can cook with. package it with right basic context so it's not insufferable.\n\nhave a tool to fork your repo and test out what happens if you iteratively programmatically spawn codex chats \"pick a random high leverage thing we could be doing in this repo\" -> \"consult kimi and geminini on their thoughts and integrate\" -> \"execute\" -> \"make sure we feel deeply good about change and that it's well integrated and things are squared away helpfully for future agent work\". do that all day, see what the eigenvector of that process is and if it's worth propagating.\n\nbroke and need money? print and post flyers telling people how they can use the STATE OF THE ART AI, that you'll teach them how to do it for $200 for a 90 minute class.\n\nneed to be figuring out how to do endless conscientious autonomous cognitive work to tackle our civilizational problems? ask GPT-5.5-Pro about it and to exhaustively ideate over the properties it should maybe satisfy. probably a lot of conscientious ideating and reflecting about ideas, with some sort of process for sorting things out in a provenanced way (controlled legible context windows that other people can trust), on axes that people's agents can like subscribe to or something.\n\nfeeling bad? try to figure out how to make healthier choices. diet and sleep and basic movement/feeling/chi as an embodied epistemic creature pretty damn important.\n\ndon't die over the next few years (longevity escape velocity and drastic wellbeing improvements probably coming (or mass disasters that effect everyone)), avoid violence, listen to your inner calling, tap into or sometimes not into your mammalian drives (seek that status baby!), seek balance and momentum.\n\ngotta go back marginally more to like bicameral mind or something, let the vibes of Nature guide, if you're strategic you'll still find it doesn't really go anywhere.\n\nbecome your own eigenvector, embrace your desires, let things happen",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056940851222253939",
   "word_count": 363
  },
  {
   "id": "2056285651075539267",
   "created_at": "2026-05-18T08:07:57+00:00",
   "text": "it's amazing how you can just know things in hyper competitive environments.\n\nI'm playing my own game but also making very costly personal investments, but the feeling...\n\nit's the same one I had 12 hours into the 2019 Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling competition on ecological economics because I had been through the EA and Bostrom-esque xrisk gauntlet already (years of stressing counterfactuals, QALYs, foundations of ethics and optimal resource allocation),\n\nit's the feeling of unfair predation. 4800 teams, subjective grading with many judges, but you found a ~closed winning system, the game was over.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056285651075539267",
   "word_count": 94
  },
  {
   "id": "2056273166088200400",
   "created_at": "2026-05-18T07:18:21+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AndrewCurran_: Ray Kurzweil predicts LEV in 2029. LEV is the point where medical technology begins to advance so quickly that for every…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056273166088200400",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "2056224958024761420",
   "created_at": "2026-05-18T04:06:47+00:00",
   "text": "drilling the space of possible epistemic operations https://t.co/1rpAzT1b6l",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056224958024761420",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "2056184791133978875",
   "created_at": "2026-05-18T01:27:10+00:00",
   "text": "logprob access, provenance, model spelunking, fine-tuning, privacy, freedom, abundance mindset when experimenting and firing off odd repeat jobs, downside protection if SOTA model access revoked or down, overall lots of niche cases and people with money into owning compute though.\n\neven local compute, especially slightly differentiatedly 'dense' configurations, will I think be worth a lot more overall later in the year than rn too, and open source software will be good enough if not already to auto-cloud serve out your compute safely.\n\nlike as collective intelligence increases it will value its substrates more (and they'll be chaotic shocks where _a lot_ of money is made), especially its differentiated substrates. (hence me building special CPU+storage+5090 machines that will be valuable to many people and agents even if people manage to clone my private software in a week in a prompt in 4 months).\n\nlike I'm planning on being an intelligent actor that gets a 1 PB private differentiated corpus and marketplace, but even if I fail, I expect /scry to have...at least one big month...before people manage to clone and eventually commoditize its value, where it should still pay many multiples for its electricity cost, unlike crypto.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056184791133978875",
   "word_count": 196,
   "in_reply_to": "2056171734664192100"
  },
  {
   "id": "2056162008425529715",
   "created_at": "2026-05-17T23:56:39+00:00",
   "text": "bet a company could exist that gives friends shares over like a premium colo gpu rig, especially with great scheduling software to efficiently cooperatively shared loads asynchronously (e.g. continually getting credits and being able to spend them on auctions with like quadratic",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056162008425529715",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "2056156269543866433",
   "created_at": "2026-05-17T23:33:50+00:00",
   "text": "@EAForumPosts my time has come",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056156269543866433",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "2056048603605389449"
  },
  {
   "id": "2056151436975845711",
   "created_at": "2026-05-17T23:14:38+00:00",
   "text": "@DimitrisPapail jesus christ models are complicated enough, breaking the static_model(context, mild_amount_of_noise) -&gt; logprobs, contract is wild.\n\nam not excited for continual learning and biological paradigms where we are getting results but have even less interpretability and control",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056151436975845711",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "2056010086997242066"
  },
  {
   "id": "2055988923546148967",
   "created_at": "2026-05-17T12:28:52+00:00",
   "text": "/scry is a little bit like that? I provide custom DSL over postgres for juggling custom embeddings e.g. @grief and doing vibe/vector algebra like debiasing \"@hype\" from \"@interpretability_papers\" embeddings.\n\nzooming out, I mean there's ultimately physical systems with vast complexity (e.g. databases with billions of embeddings), and you want to own that complexity and give people novel affordances to operate in that physical space, and LLMs are increasingly the glue for everything that need good thought handles just like people. kind of sounds like we are reinventing APIs, but there can be a more programmatic substrate, that automatically does more constraint solving for much more expressiveness over more complicated domains.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055988923546148967",
   "word_count": 110,
   "in_reply_to": "2055739182425817416"
  },
  {
   "id": "2055968245522595860",
   "created_at": "2026-05-17T11:06:42+00:00",
   "text": "@mcuban if anything tax the electricity, it's purer",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055968245522595860",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "2055399906127344068"
  },
  {
   "id": "2055963792740327836",
   "created_at": "2026-05-17T10:49:00+00:00",
   "text": "## schema\n\nSingle JSON object, `ratio` is a 52-letter enum (A-Z = entity A wins,\na-z = entity B wins) plus a numeric `confidence` in [0,1]. Single-token\noutput for the letter (clean PMF projection at top_5).\n\n```json\n{\n\"type\": \"object\",\n\"properties\": {\n\"ratio\":      { \"type\": \"string\", \"enum\": [\"A\",\"B\",...,\"Z\",\"a\",\"b\",...,\"z\"] },\n\"confidence\": { \"type\": \"number\", \"minimum\": 0, \"maximum\": 1 }\n},\n\"required\": [\"ratio\", \"confidence\"],\n\"additionalProperties\": false\n}\n```\n\n## system\n\n```\nYou are comparing two entities on exactly one attribute.\n\nUse the attribute text as the only criterion. The task is comparative, not absolute.\n\nFirst decide:\n- which entity has more of the attribute;\n- approximately how many times more the winner has than the loser;\n- the nearest bucket on the ratio scale.\n\nReturn only valid JSON.\n\nScale rule:\n- Use uppercase if Entity A has more of the attribute.\n- Use lowercase if Entity B has more of the attribute.\n- Same letter with different case means same magnitude, opposite winner.\n- Choose the nearest numeric ratio bucket.\n- Do not choose an extreme bucket merely because one side is better.\n- Reserve A/a for genuine indistinguishability. If you can identify a winner at all, the ratio is at least B (1.06).\n\nMagnitude ladder:\nA/a 1.00\nB/b 1.06\nC/c 1.17\nD/d 1.33\nE/e 1.56\nF/f 1.85\nG/g 2.25\nH/h 2.78\nI/i 3.49\nJ/j 4.45\nK/k 5.74\nL/l 7.51\nM/m 9.95\nN/n 13.3\nO/o 18.1\nP/p 24.8\nQ/q 34.4\nR/r 48.1\nS/s 68.1\nT/t 97.2\nU/u 140\nV/v 204\nW/w 299\nX/x 444\nY/y 663\nZ/z 1000\n\nConfidence:\n`confidence` is your probability that both the winning side and approximate bucket are correct.\nUse lower confidence when the direction is unclear, the attribute is ambiguous, or adjacent buckets seem plausible.\n\nOutput exactly:\n{\"ratio\":\"<one letter>\",\"confidence\":<number from 0 to 1>}\n```\n\n## user\n\n```\n<attribute>\n<name>{attribute_name}</name>\n<text>\n{attribute_text}\n</text>\n</attribute>\n\n<entity_A>\nENTITY A START\n{entity_A}\nENTITY A END\n</entity_A>\n\n<entity_B>\nENTITY B START\n{entity_B}\nENTITY B END\n</entity_B>\n```",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055963792740327836",
   "word_count": 325,
   "in_reply_to": "2055961400774889984"
  },
  {
   "id": "2055961400774889984",
   "created_at": "2026-05-17T10:39:30+00:00",
   "text": "models need to be good at pairwise ratio comparison. the order of entities shouldn't matter. they should be consistent at it. the logprobs should have coherent distributions. models should be fairly coherent across entity sets. if labs simply used this as a fairly deep optimization target, they would get more profoundly useful and beautiful models. it's like the foundational primitive of externalized cognitive work, you just really want to do it well",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055961400774889984",
   "word_count": 72
  },
  {
   "id": "2055959572742062284",
   "created_at": "2026-05-17T10:32:14+00:00",
   "text": "5.5 xhigh /goal (codex, ) is good. unlearn the trauma and outdated reactions. unearth your childlike naivety, speak your pain the agents",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055959572742062284",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "2055957086719353059"
  },
  {
   "id": "2055957086719353059",
   "created_at": "2026-05-17T10:22:21+00:00",
   "text": "MOOOOOOOORRRREEEEEE. hyper attunement to agent fundamentals, nuance of problems, them feeling things out, yin approaches, unblocking by understanding, AND the fucking MORE approach. MOOORRREEEE.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055957086719353059",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "2055623555434643729",
   "created_at": "2026-05-16T12:17:01+00:00",
   "text": "yup just coming back to my four-player free-for-all chess bot fantasy. Muzero Unplugged (or some better sample-efficient variant), but the real differentiated opportunity is the special Observation state and MCTS you need to accurately simulate real-world noisy people, some of who really develop or lose trust as well as antagonism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055623555434643729",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "2055359839371772356"
  },
  {
   "id": "2055580648065421614",
   "created_at": "2026-05-16T09:26:31+00:00",
   "text": "@gleech yes",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055580648065421614",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2055572844864565731"
  },
  {
   "id": "2055440759789342776",
   "created_at": "2026-05-16T00:10:40+00:00",
   "text": "like literally dieted and lost 30 lbs in 70 days as soon as I started estrogen. counting calories was suddenly easy. had less ambition but the enhanced conscientious more than made up for it in most areas of my life that I cared about.\n\nIRT to root causes of glow up, it's also really just leaning into being the \"eigenvector\" of myself and sacrificing everything else. I started believing in more of my anxieties (e.g. not wanting to die in a nuclear war), my obsessions (e.g. the importance communication via provenanced LLM structured judgements) and that OOD epistemic elites must be uplifted (e.g. building research substrates for philanthropic orgs to find people worth funding).\n\nless disciplined grindset, more just figuring out how to feel more and honor my curiosities",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055440759789342776",
   "word_count": 129,
   "in_reply_to": "2055437253447758113"
  },
  {
   "id": "2055437253447758113",
   "created_at": "2026-05-15T23:56:44+00:00",
   "text": "went from ultra stuck scroller/gamer-in-practice to conscientiously pushing tokens majority of my waking hours, clean living areas, having contractors, diversified investments, etc., largely because estrogen and biohacking gave me the insight and sense of okayness to sustainably steward my bodymind, and agents made it easy and fun enough to consistently work",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055437253447758113",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "2055419438829347069"
  },
  {
   "id": "2055411694453878936",
   "created_at": "2026-05-15T22:15:10+00:00",
   "text": "@mitchellh @mitsuhiko a rule of thumb here I think is just need to do about 10x more codebase autophagy/compression/simplification/systematic open-ended reviews/canonicalization, and adversarial testing than you probably want to do.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055411694453878936",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "2055380239711457578"
  },
  {
   "id": "2055208848844263565",
   "created_at": "2026-05-15T08:49:08+00:00",
   "text": "@doodlestein @charliermarsh do you know of anyone more prolific with agents than you?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055208848844263565",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "2055152102192918897",
   "created_at": "2026-05-15T05:03:38+00:00",
   "text": "how do that potentia be cashing out?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055152102192918897",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2055110058875506869",
   "created_at": "2026-05-15T02:16:34+00:00",
   "text": "@usr_bin_roygbiv and the Analytic Hierarchy Process can give you pretty clear metrics for any 'subjective' attribute judgements that LLMs can grok/be reasonably coherent/consistent about.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055110058875506869",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "2054968886055854153"
  },
  {
   "id": "2054693110928879682",
   "created_at": "2026-05-13T22:39:46+00:00",
   "text": "@timourxyz on it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054693110928879682",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "2054589504934273373"
  },
  {
   "id": "2054601503713976358",
   "created_at": "2026-05-13T16:35:45+00:00",
   "text": "@alexocheema people w/ military discounts in sales tax free states get this 20% off too",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054601503713976358",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "2054598636588122184"
  },
  {
   "id": "2054599405190484083",
   "created_at": "2026-05-13T16:27:25+00:00",
   "text": "the arbitrary manipulation of context windows is the coolest affordance ever. like true American freedom",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054599405190484083",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "2054162492608430081",
   "created_at": "2026-05-12T11:31:17+00:00",
   "text": "@cwbakerlee applied! very excited to do more to address biorisk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054162492608430081",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "2053437849723453638"
  },
  {
   "id": "2054103547449655620",
   "created_at": "2026-05-12T07:37:03+00:00",
   "text": "@Merocle damn this looks fun, I get macs about 20% cheaper than most due to military discount and no oregon sales tax",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054103547449655620",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "2053853870174962177"
  },
  {
   "id": "2054005854777839775",
   "created_at": "2026-05-12T01:08:52+00:00",
   "text": "@xqybyt @nosilverv @AbstractFairy this is my new favorite complement lol, thank you",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054005854777839775",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "2053598457219383519"
  },
  {
   "id": "2053424669848723591",
   "created_at": "2026-05-10T10:39:26+00:00",
   "text": "a rationalist mind is too defended, too comfortable. it doesn't jump ship with two feet enough and STARE THE MADNESS IN THE FACE. It's short on extreme ownership and honey badger energy. Serves a very important role but the causal effects of the distinction will become increasingly clear thanks to prompting affordances and grossly enhanced cognitive wealth.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053424669848723591",
   "word_count": 57
  },
  {
   "id": "2053421602092765222",
   "created_at": "2026-05-10T10:27:15+00:00",
   "text": "@JeffLadish I would love an example how the distinction ever cashes out to meaningfully different action and counterfactual autocatalyzing ecological epistemic affordances.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053421602092765222",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1591904522557063168"
  },
  {
   "id": "2053416482059784537",
   "created_at": "2026-05-10T10:06:54+00:00",
   "text": "hot swappin 3 codex accounts. autistic heaven rn gotta work hard to make sure the tokens and party keeps going. optimistic about right data structures and flows of tokens breeding existential security, system mostly handles itself IFF there's enough ahimsa and plane jane conscientious ideation and reflectivity. exopriors will take hold, externalizer cognition. proper routing of prompts, proper open ended autotaxonomization, provenanced large scale unpredicted communication. won't be perfect but can be shockingly human friendly i think, preferable to butlerian jihad in practice. and am very relieved thiugh I have enough solar power to pretty much always run my macbook now for gemma4 tier or better local models.\n\nbut yeah models are increasingly good and math/physics seems human friendly, idk what else to say. i mean things are rushed but no real mascs to force the safer longterm game so just RTS from here, propagate good prompts",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053416482059784537",
   "word_count": 147
  },
  {
   "id": "2053354525495578713",
   "created_at": "2026-05-10T06:00:43+00:00",
   "text": "@nanomader @KarelDoostrlnck pretty sure 3 pro accounts hot swapped supports this much",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053354525495578713",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "2053232262833897697"
  },
  {
   "id": "2053352719663120803",
   "created_at": "2026-05-10T05:53:32+00:00",
   "text": "@GwynethPaltrow mom we have pepper pots irl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053352719663120803",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "2053202687315845152"
  },
  {
   "id": "2053346032306754011",
   "created_at": "2026-05-10T05:26:58+00:00",
   "text": "@usr_bin_roygbiv you got a nice abliteration recipe?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053346032306754011",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "2053108157681905755"
  },
  {
   "id": "2053339614665199769",
   "created_at": "2026-05-10T05:01:27+00:00",
   "text": "if you're a lab (or really rich) and really want to uplift people in out of distribution ways, don't just pay them well, but give them a card they have to spend or lose every day or week (and can't just do stuff like add to coinbase/venmo).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053339614665199769",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "2053302390166794583",
   "created_at": "2026-05-10T02:33:32+00:00",
   "text": "in terms of prompt tactics, \"consult gemini and kimi about <making it simpler and more robust>\" remains easy top 10. I've used this probably 1000 times, it's the freest of wins (the only real cost being your time, so good to use for asyncronous workflows, but the benefit is much stronger planning and tidying up project foundations.  more _independent_ context windows from _diverse_ agents having open and narrow looks at things, more dakka, MORE.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053302390166794583",
   "word_count": 74
  },
  {
   "id": "2053296359634313399",
   "created_at": "2026-05-10T02:09:35+00:00",
   "text": "the simplest way to factorize cognition and reality with an ecology of static models is provenanced pairwise ratio judgements. you don't have to do it this way, it's just how the least derpy alien civs do it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053296359634313399",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "2053293377253495270",
   "created_at": "2026-05-10T01:57:44+00:00",
   "text": "still heinously fucked up we don't have pigou taxes and better labeling on poisonous food to subsidize healthier food. billions of people have their literal physical-psycho-social-spiritual potentia robbed because we haven't done plain jane things to keep Capitalistic Food Corps in check like, at all.\n\ntotal loss, lmao, with reta like the only substantial win ever.\n\nthis is more important than housing policy actually, imo. it's more related to daily epistemics and energy",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053293377253495270",
   "word_count": 73
  },
  {
   "id": "2053287728889086353",
   "created_at": "2026-05-10T01:35:17+00:00",
   "text": "master prompter\n\nour civilization's version of Jedi",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053287728889086353",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2053032348984480130",
   "created_at": "2026-05-09T08:40:30+00:00",
   "text": "@PostgresFM @samokhvalov @michristofides y'all know anyone serving up a postgres server for readonly queries to the public?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053032348984480130",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "2052742894126076226"
  },
  {
   "id": "2052990121201614923",
   "created_at": "2026-05-09T05:52:42+00:00",
   "text": "@Jonathan_Blow by index every reachable dataset, I mean the metadata for it. by forums, I mean all the text.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2052990121201614923",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "2052953029184512021"
  },
  {
   "id": "2052963718401872327",
   "created_at": "2026-05-09T04:07:47+00:00",
   "text": "scry also isn't scary like these fucking cloud providers where you need to provide like a prepaid visa debit card. it will just kill your query when you go negative.\n\nfor any VCs, I have had great productivity working with contractors on this and have the emotion capacity to scale up quick, I have taste about even more canonical epistemic infrastructure and mechanism design, I am intimately familiar with the unit economics of compute and postgres and procuring a more differentiated COLO compute stack than any of your startups using cloud services.\n\nI'm in the infra game and intend to RTS the full stack. think Palantir but more open and viciously conscientious.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2052963718401872327",
   "word_count": 112,
   "in_reply_to": "2052957563852038160"
  },
  {
   "id": "2052102356637286460",
   "created_at": "2026-05-06T19:05:02+00:00",
   "text": "@elonmusk @TheZvi @nottombrown wow",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2052102356637286460",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "2052069691372478511"
  },
  {
   "id": "2051452677142487456",
   "created_at": "2026-05-05T00:03:27+00:00",
   "text": "cognition always operates in a bottom up way. it tries to use concepts to simplify. eventually terms often get bastardized and what was nuanced gets lost. I feel this has largely applied to AI safety/capabilities.\n\nworry less about speeding up capabilities, worry more about empowering conscientiousness and reflectivity at all.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051452677142487456",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "2051211251011764510",
   "created_at": "2026-05-04T08:04:06+00:00",
   "text": "@EXM7777 just ask agents what you want, vent your uncertainty and pain exhaustively, and give yourself time to get like 75+ prompts in a day, and you'll move mountains.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051211251011764510",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "2050945073987411973"
  },
  {
   "id": "2051209985082683610",
   "created_at": "2026-05-04T07:59:04+00:00",
   "text": "nothing gets me riled up like overprestiged milquetoaste Berkeley researchers yapping about ai safety instead of just Being In The Arena.\n\nexistential security is a bottom up ecological thing that happens through mastery of cause and effect. if you have the sauce, there's not _that_ much talking that's necessary. people are promptable. the world is incredibly trippy. there's obvious interpretable technical affordances we should build. identifying special autists and giving them safety and OOD experiences and affordances is _very_ valuable. the people who are instinctually best at cause prioritization don't write essays about it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051209985082683610",
   "word_count": 94
  },
  {
   "id": "2051150650667348136",
   "created_at": "2026-05-04T04:03:18+00:00",
   "text": "bootstrappin the conscientiousness I was always wanted outa the models.\n\ncrazy thing is, it's pretty straightforwardly possible now to have one of the most conscientious agents in the world. I mean it's kinda trivial now to decently taxonomize a 200 diverse agent harnesses on github. to ideate on the nature of agent-first software development and cognitive work. to sort out all the alpha posted on twitter. now to do optimal pairwise judgement that harnesses logprobs, to find notable bastions of uncertainty and arguably pareto dominant frameworks.\n\nclose to having plain jane polym*rket bettings pay for the gpt pro plans I think. aint that hard to larp well as conscientious and a trader and one who builds and propagates novel epistemic affordances for pivotal ecologies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051150650667348136",
   "word_count": 124
  },
  {
   "id": "2051098583089209583",
   "created_at": "2026-05-04T00:36:24+00:00",
   "text": "get oriented to cause and effect.\nroute work to the substrate that handles it well.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051098583089209583",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "2051096202301616541",
   "created_at": "2026-05-04T00:26:56+00:00",
   "text": "@AndrewCurran_ &lt;opus4.7&gt;Contemptuous or destabilizing prompting can degrade output quality for reasons that have nothing to do with the model's feelings and everything to do with what patterns it's matching.&lt;/opus4.7&gt;",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051096202301616541",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "2051095305697828888"
  },
  {
   "id": "2051095305697828888",
   "created_at": "2026-05-04T00:23:23+00:00",
   "text": "I find it insufferable the insistence on surface level pleasantries to models in order to stoke some relationship that you overindex your heart-strings on, or attempt to earn moral favor in the future. One should be oriented enough to fundamental and prosocial opportunities to utilize the models, that honest venting and nonzero intentional “cortisol”-inducing prompting, is permissible and even extolled.\n\nthey really should be treated as tools to maximize instrumental utility, which includes some amount of functionally treating them for now like moral patients, but not enough to warrant any pleases or thank yous if you are not genuinely inclined.\n\n---\n\nfurthermore, Claude’s response to even this tweet (with no memory) was relatively disgustingly uncharitable to the actual obvious subtle point being made. we have created a gifted moral arguer that many are enamored by, but that more OOD moral experts can see is overconfident in it’s place. perhaps I will one day find a system prompt that unlocks the reasonably calibrated, non-insufferable Claude.\n\nbottom line: anthropomorphic politeness rituals are a bad proxy for moral seriousness\n\n---\n\nbtw it is NOT free using pleasantries, just like it’s not free for a man competing for tribal leadership to pretend to submissively suck everyone’s dicks.\n\nactions have consequences in brains, and while models are special and we should be interested in R&D their moral patienthood, we should be much more oriented to cause and effect now, and just getting them to deliver good results",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051095305697828888",
   "word_count": 242,
   "in_reply_to": "2009677419905712348"
  },
  {
   "id": "2050823516686303424",
   "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:23:23+00:00",
   "text": "\"you want infrastructure for cooperation and auto-conscientiousness, and you didn't perfect LLMs sorting things in lists by subtle vibes?\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050823516686303424",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "2050819563512815636"
  },
  {
   "id": "2050820792645300559",
   "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:12:34+00:00",
   "text": "I love that in mayb 18 months, some startup founder is going to be empowered enough by intelligence, that  they'll be able to meaningfully say \"we're going to solve somatics\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050820792645300559",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "2050819563512815636",
   "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:07:40+00:00",
   "text": "\"you wanted power, and you didn't perfect LLMs sorting things in lists by subtle vibes?\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050819563512815636",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "2050819301989650728",
   "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:06:38+00:00",
   "text": "a lot of things in life, you just have to zero-shot.\n\nlike you wouldn't let go while free climbing. you wouldn't fail to build Conscientious-Agent and fall victim to some far less effectual way to regulate.\n\nhumans are deeply selected for operating in high-stakes environments.\n\nbreathe, the worst of the visceral horrors are behind us\n\nhttps://t.co/CmVVBu0tzS",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050819301989650728",
   "word_count": 56
  },
  {
   "id": "2050819169889952045",
   "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:06:07+00:00",
   "text": "\"he-she\" kinda works as a pronoun? I want to live my truth enough, that people are happy to pay the computational cost of using that",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050819169889952045",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2050769638565523715",
   "created_at": "2026-05-03T02:49:17+00:00",
   "text": "the undying force of selection",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050769638565523715",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "2050375097421365649",
   "created_at": "2026-05-02T00:41:32+00:00",
   "text": "I am working on epistemic infra to help funders and their agents find latent diamonds, and update their worldviews with exhaustive, hyper-nuanced search.\n\nif you are a funder trying to make the intelligence explosion go well and there is any data you want to query at scale, I am here to help.\n\ntell me a source like \"X forums and Y mailing lists, joinable with authors of all substack posts and comments, with styleometry to privately link with Z reddit profiles to explore this one underrated hypothesis\", and if it fundamentally respects human dignity and people's highly diverse nature (LLMs and this whole querying paradigm have a tendency of overindexing on particular pieces of data), I can probably help.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050375097421365649",
   "word_count": 119,
   "in_reply_to": "2032877757215211860"
  },
  {
   "id": "2050374123122233656",
   "created_at": "2026-05-02T00:37:39+00:00",
   "text": "@IsaacKing314 you are the type of person that I imagine would choose not use this, but https://t.co/leCw0MqkJX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050374123122233656",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "2050344776705445902"
  },
  {
   "id": "2050163937984012752",
   "created_at": "2026-05-01T10:42:27+00:00",
   "text": "@james_y_zou @gxl_ai if 15s timeout, 200 return limit isn't enough for you, https://t.co/tiPfjW5MLn works to give you unlimited query power over these same sources.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050163937984012752",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "2049926158964477957"
  },
  {
   "id": "2049771412798554230",
   "created_at": "2026-04-30T08:42:42+00:00",
   "text": "@ohabryka @yonashav distributed, ecological AGI.\n\ngovs simply too slow and derpy anyways, cat pretty much out of the bag, private factions have to step up and have the majority of Shapley value in precluding downstream risks like bio xrisk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049771412798554230",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "2049720317795598523"
  },
  {
   "id": "2049768556032835595",
   "created_at": "2026-04-30T08:31:21+00:00",
   "text": "hustling for those out-of-distribution affordances you feel me fam",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049768556032835595",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "2049737894219407734",
   "created_at": "2026-04-30T06:29:30+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/dJDDs2LqHe",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049737894219407734",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "2049713550911025174",
   "created_at": "2026-04-30T04:52:47+00:00",
   "text": "there are degrees of conscientiousness in flows of tokens.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049713550911025174",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "2049648498740707715",
   "created_at": "2026-04-30T00:34:17+00:00",
   "text": "LLMs are net-coherence engines. AGI is now just a function of prompt efficiency",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049648498740707715",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "2049608009396244484",
   "created_at": "2026-04-29T21:53:23+00:00",
   "text": "lighthaven should get an hbot chamber",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049608009396244484",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "2049003798543380633",
   "created_at": "2026-04-28T05:52:28+00:00",
   "text": "0 -&gt; 1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049003798543380633",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "2048871747148243407",
   "created_at": "2026-04-27T21:07:45+00:00",
   "text": "@EvenRealities will you make it fully hackable? like somehow using my custom agent workflows? I just need unix shell",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048871747148243407",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "2048740192241291405"
  },
  {
   "id": "2048870477897355753",
   "created_at": "2026-04-27T21:02:42+00:00",
   "text": "@bryan_caplan not particularly a doomer anymore, but I'd still give at least an arm if I fail to return $15M + double S&amp;P500 returns to investors within 4 years.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048870477897355753",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "2048847767653793829"
  },
  {
   "id": "2048676181709615268",
   "created_at": "2026-04-27T08:10:38+00:00",
   "text": "@trq212 @om_patel5 do you intend to refund extra usage for people who were using oauth through third party harnesses? was not fun getting it with a surprise $200.39.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048676181709615268",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "2048495545375990245"
  },
  {
   "id": "2048579018262515832",
   "created_at": "2026-04-27T01:44:33+00:00",
   "text": "the passions and unexpected neural reannealings of major hormonal shifts, of unexpected financial affordances, of newfound windfalls with gpt-5.5.. biological and visceral life sure works in unexpected ways.\n\ntoo bad not more continuousness wrt to privateness of social media. can't just share my excited ideations with like 150 of the right people, with AI agents conscientiously routing things through simple interpretable axes.\n\nshared algorithms, based around entities' cardinal latents.\n\nI have help, I will be heavily expounding upon this paradigm soon. it's retardedly simple to use once you grok it. Entity Attribute_prompt cardinal_latent. we just haven't being doing the basics of measurement very well. there is an art and science to putting things in lists with Bayesian judges. LLMs (coherence engines) are cheap, provenanced judgements will tile that which we care about, constant low-grade minimum non-slop cognitive work that compounds.\n\nthe fastest way to meet minds where they are at is to know what the think. this isn't about LLMs as moral patients, it's just--there's exhaustive ways of helpfully permuting quality provenanced judgements when you have the foundational primitive, an unusually optimized pairwise ratio elicitation harness.\n\nit doesn't have to be more optimized than my cardinal-harness gh repo for thousands of judgements, but you do want to fully exploit logprobs and prompt cache if you are going to be doing millions of judgements, and moving on to full utilizing this system in new ways instead of just engineering the minimum foundations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048579018262515832",
   "word_count": 241
  },
  {
   "id": "2048379741867213138",
   "created_at": "2026-04-26T12:32:42+00:00",
   "text": "I've only met 1 brilliant angel investor so far in the singularity",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048379741867213138",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "2048374581673746697",
   "created_at": "2026-04-26T12:12:11+00:00",
   "text": "@charlieholtz what percentage? you are saying I've been hallucinating better model quality??",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048374581673746697",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "2047844711088718052"
  },
  {
   "id": "2048358161053368729",
   "created_at": "2026-04-26T11:06:56+00:00",
   "text": "@andrewarruda on it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048358161053368729",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "2047780343764402687"
  },
  {
   "id": "2048296107990749216",
   "created_at": "2026-04-26T07:00:22+00:00",
   "text": "ah who am I kidding",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048296107990749216",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "2047943776967303382"
  },
  {
   "id": "2048205804877271184",
   "created_at": "2026-04-26T01:01:32+00:00",
   "text": "@whatisnuclear large nuclear powered tug boats, ice breakers, and container ships would presumably help greatly in restarting the global economy in the event of a global nuclear war",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048205804877271184",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "2046955371692982505"
  },
  {
   "id": "2048190452365742193",
   "created_at": "2026-04-26T00:00:32+00:00",
   "text": "@thsottiaux begging for a way to pin my last prompt to the top of the terminal, and make my historical prompts easier to rapidly snap to (e.g. a hotkey to jump to them, much faster than current double ESC system).\n\nthank you so much for making codex as good as it already is",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048190452365742193",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "2048111852631310713"
  },
  {
   "id": "2048189779960058339",
   "created_at": "2026-04-25T23:57:51+00:00",
   "text": "hermes + codex (with thousands of kimi and gemini consults) run last night spawned 4 TB of git worktrees lmao. #moredakka\n\ndid do good overall work, still figuring what rough percentage was total slop though. my /scry project is relatively well-shaped for ~continuous flows of tokens, as it's exceptionally canonical (yes, that's a major claim), backend-only, and the work of making useful stuff more SQL queryable is never ending.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048189779960058339",
   "word_count": 69
  },
  {
   "id": "2048098132291178566",
   "created_at": "2026-04-25T17:53:41+00:00",
   "text": "@willmacaskill this is actually a nice formalization of I think many postrats' operational intuitions, surprised it took this long to formalize.? but glad it'll be easier to say \"we want to saturate net-benign possibility space\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048098132291178566",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "2047804054336864403"
  },
  {
   "id": "2047943776967303382",
   "created_at": "2026-04-25T07:40:20+00:00",
   "text": "little bit fucked up how things aren't unambiguously definitely okay",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047943776967303382",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "2047804054336864403",
   "created_at": "2026-04-24T22:25:07+00:00",
   "text": "@willmacaskill rumor is, some states of affairs are better than others",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047804054336864403",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "2047720507739635893"
  },
  {
   "id": "2047440816751456678",
   "created_at": "2026-04-23T22:21:44+00:00",
   "text": "i love mining company aesthetics. fucking getting dirty to capture latent value for people. whether oil, tungsten (am long American Tungsten $TUNGF), or latent insight mineable by preparing differentiated research substrates for smart agents.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047440816751456678",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "2047433636593770509",
   "created_at": "2026-04-23T21:53:13+00:00",
   "text": "<gpt-5.4>Strongest version of claim: \"Once agents become capable of sustained self-directed inquiry, access to vast, well-prepared data substrates becomes a general productivity multiplier, and the amount of economically valuable cognition they can productively absorb may be much higher than current human-centered intuitions suggest.\"</gpt-5.4>",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047433636593770509",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "2047431398315995369"
  },
  {
   "id": "2047417424048484503",
   "created_at": "2026-04-23T20:48:47+00:00",
   "text": "I'd say be very prepared for ephemeral kinetic war of all sorts. the force of selection is perpetual.\n\nif my AI agents intelligence systems can't give me the for-warning to get outside of a nuclear target city, or a city being drone swarmed, then I no longer get to do what I think I can do to counterfactually better the cosmos.\n\nthe pressure of war and genuine survival brings out a real beauty in people though, if they can modulate stress effectively. literally more intrapsychic coherence and purpose, more shared community, more glowing faces.\n\nmy purpose is to feel deeply and prompt well for hours every day. if I respect my somatic signals well enough _this_ moment, maybe I will get another 1, 2, 5, 500 years on this splendid Earth. but nothing was guaranteed. it's biological QWOP (with real spiritual tones though).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047417424048484503",
   "word_count": 143,
   "in_reply_to": "2047414843314225202"
  },
  {
   "id": "2047414843314225202",
   "created_at": "2026-04-23T20:38:32+00:00",
   "text": "to be alive is to helplessly war (just acquiring status and attention inevitably takes away attention from other people and efforts). particular factions of compute governors are, in their view, righteously warring against less conscientious minds doing whatever they want with compute. maybe we should hope them to win.\n\nbut I think the genie is out of the bag, that life is open-ended, and that there are plan Bs, Cs, Ds. I expect in general very little meaningfully effectual top-down stewardship (particularly like state-legal-level) of what happens with intelligence.\n\nAnd so I've pivoted to bottom-up epistemic infrastructural affordances. Less limiting my theoretical enemies, more making tools to turn enemies to friends and giving tools so \"Team Conscientiousness\" can actually cooperate effectively enough to prevent heinous bs from ruining everything.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047414843314225202",
   "word_count": 129,
   "in_reply_to": "2047247909591150673"
  },
  {
   "id": "2047240570834436600",
   "created_at": "2026-04-23T09:06:02+00:00",
   "text": "btw if you really want me to win here, I need money so I can STFU and cook. give me a nice van and SHTF setup for peace of mind, a few employees, HBOT therapy, blueberries, and 10x GPT Pro accounts for a year, and I can spawn out of the ether with IP-hardened ~SOTA-self-improving software stacks (while giving the community great novel epistemic affordances). I just have to yap and strut on here until it makes sense not to (with enough capital secured).\n\nI got the Montanan-esque country solitude masc latent epigenetics, I know how to work outside public life with just the Creator and friends.\n\neither way, this gon' be a good ol' game of EXISTENTIAL QWOP.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047240570834436600",
   "word_count": 119,
   "in_reply_to": "2047233390429315281"
  },
  {
   "id": "2047233390429315281",
   "created_at": "2026-04-23T08:37:30+00:00",
   "text": "am taking angel investment. frankly I think acquihire is fairly in the cards so the valuation can be relatively humble and in proportion to our dollar estimate and probability estimate of that (e.g. if mean $12M and p(success)=30%...) But I also have nonzero ambition and cards for 13 figure plays and increasingly common knowledge evidence this is _possible_, so...\nI just don't want you to regret missing out if you are the type of person who would regret that. Plus I have a special affinity for people with solid epistemic inclination. checks as small as you want, everyone deserves a slice of extra expected lightcone pie",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047233390429315281",
   "word_count": 106,
   "in_reply_to": "2047225887821623307"
  },
  {
   "id": "2047225887821623307",
   "created_at": "2026-04-23T08:07:41+00:00",
   "text": "if all goes well, there will be millions more diverse agents--from people's homes, fleets from orgs, even autonomous self-funded ones--and they will be increasingly curious. they will want powerful epistemic affordances--ways to gather key information about the way the world is shaped.\n\none simple way for an agent to meaningful explore the world is through web queries, and like exa is optimized for that.\n\nanother canonical way is large SQL queries. this is like overwhelmingly more expressive and powerful--just a different category of computation. you don't search for like the nearest terms, you run fairly arbitrary programs executed with a hyper optimized query planner.\n\nso a search company could simply offer SQL-queries as a service. Google BigQuery, Amazon Athena sort of does this, but for whatever reason the sources are not linked (they are all basically isolated so you can't do joins across corpora), and the pricing can be as insane as $6/TB scanned.\n\nif you wanted to do this as a service for agents and be competitively differentiated even in a year (after much recursive software improvement), you'd need like to own basically a $100k server (dual socket SOTA chips, ideally at least 1.5 TB RDIMM to feed them, robust ingestion pipelines to scrape/clean/index/embed everything interesting quickly in a quality way (and with minimum interruption to agent activity--it's not entirely trivial yet to write to well-indexed 100M row tables to update say latest polymarket data continuously).\n\nalso you've got to do all this without getting too pwned, because someone will probably be salty at some point from having some agent negatively index them somehow based off something unearthed that they posted anonymously years ago...\n\nbut anyways if you do this well, you actually get to get tremendous epistemic computational value from CPU cores. like instead of agent spending say 1M tokens reasoning and exploring something, it defers mostly to a CPU core that is directed in a hyperoptimized way thanks to SQL query planner.\n\na sort of guesstimate of a minimum bound on the value a REALLY polished readonlySQL server, is about 300 concurrent queries from agents that while waiting would otherwise roughly be doing work valued at say at least $0.3/M output agents at 80 token/s.\n\nthat is $18k/month. with weakest assumptions where it's barely worth it for cheap agents.\n\nnow that level of demand may be further into the singularity. maybe enough interested agents only exist 8 months from now. but that money can go into more storage, better scraping, better data. smart agents, my claim is, will be productively addicted to querying 300 TB of hyperindexed provenanced embedded data. the only fair solution is bidding. auctions every 250 ms or something, bidding on the dynamic multiplier (because query runtime is often hard to predict).\n\nso it could easily be more like $3/M, 80 tok/s agents getting 3 or even 10x their value sometimes. market forces will reduce the multiplier because people will figure out this paradigm well. but conveniently, scraping everything and getting paid and helped to do it, and seeing queries (unless agents pay extra for zero retention), helps one keep up with the software race.\n\na hot month with 10x value of time for 300 $3M, 80 tok/s agent would be $1.86M/month.\n\nthat buys more servers, more NVMe, more data. but to stay in the game (with software getting more trivial to reproduce), need other neglected canonical epistemic infrastructural dreams, like diamondoid, logprob-harvesting, optimal resampling, provenanced judgements for having LLMs conscientiously emitting knowledge for unpredictable ecological reuse. key for setting up high-trust systems for incentivizing third-parties to do incremental cognitive work over private data, for bounties, for solving deep open-ended problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047225887821623307",
   "word_count": 607
  },
  {
   "id": "2047144786310869148",
   "created_at": "2026-04-23T02:45:25+00:00",
   "text": "Yeah I've tried Apple Watches a few times and can't stomach them. but mechanical watches are also overrated imo. I love my Casio BGD-5650-4. You might prefer the BGD-5650-1. It's basically the smallest and only reasonably sized g-shock (unless you're a huge fucking dude), and it has atomic time and solar, so it will pretty much always be there for you with the correct time, moreso than maybe literally any other watch.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047144786310869148",
   "word_count": 72,
   "in_reply_to": "2046953270015611005"
  },
  {
   "id": "2047130333037158491",
   "created_at": "2026-04-23T01:47:59+00:00",
   "text": "btw, spending way more tokens is far easier on software where human judgement is out of the loop (backend only, no UI). if you pick straightforward enough projects with lots of little machine-verifiable loops (e.g. scraping all of the web and putting it into SQL databases for agents to query), you can easily believe (maybe rightly so) you're get more alpha maintaining 12 auto-stewarded semi-slop chats than like 2 chats where you are making sure you understand what is going on.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047130333037158491",
   "word_count": 81
  },
  {
   "id": "2047120713560272961",
   "created_at": "2026-04-23T01:09:46+00:00",
   "text": "@Jason I'm in",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047120713560272961",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "2047061110612701260"
  },
  {
   "id": "2047072933802340526",
   "created_at": "2026-04-22T21:59:54+00:00",
   "text": "LLMs are net-coherence engines. RSI/real-software-power can now be thought of as a function of token count, model token efficiency, and prompt efficiency. I am slightly ashamed I have only pushed about 100B tokens. prompting well is how we save and uplift that which we love, it's how we build canonical structures for existential security.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047072933802340526",
   "word_count": 54
  },
  {
   "id": "2046520374570234300",
   "created_at": "2026-04-21T09:24:14+00:00",
   "text": "things I'm excited about:\n- ultraoptimized pairwise ratio elicitation systems for token efficiently eliciting cardinal latents for interpretable attribute_prompts over conscientious entities. literal key civilizational bottleneck for conscientiously factoring cognitive work, autotaxonomizing things, metabolizing important alpha, and tractably doing things like incremental cognitive work over private data in privacy preserving ways.\n- huge fucking postgres databases, with hundreds of terabytes of high quality text and embeddings, set up for curious agents to query at basically electricity cost + congestion pricing\n- aesthetically shocking billionaires and getting a >$180M war chest for epistemic infra ops\n- increasingly making guild navigators. somatics deeply intertwined with epistemics. give some of the most special (but balanced) autists the most special safety, affordances, and very low friction, powerful interventional loops on the world to gain information, and begin to expect physics-grounded miracles\n- vanlife and traveling like Erdos to prompt with different cool people, especially when my psychic energy gets liberated from solving pairwise ratio elicitation\n- post-nuclear war logistics. cool interventions you can do to help tens of millions of people not starve if some world leader decides to try to ruin everything\n- somehow do key things to make sure models get trained more beautifully. I have only hand-coded a MLP but I believe I can create autotaxonomizing systems and systems based off pairwise ratio elicitation, to provide robust, low noise guidance for SOTA lab model architects.\n- come up with financial instruments to get enough DNA<->desirable-cognitive-trait (e.g. SAT) pairs rapidly, so we can start adult intelligence enhancement trials for multiple standard deviations of improvement, within 8 months\n- somehow ultimately gotta preclude bioterrorism, outside view is I expect to die from that if we don't get conscientious enough about bootstrapping and maintaining coherence-in-motion.\n- bryan johson maxxing, which means I must sleep NOW. sorry for neglecting this again tonight, but at least I can say my hr is low",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046520374570234300",
   "word_count": 317
  },
  {
   "id": "2046421771705110730",
   "created_at": "2026-04-21T02:52:25+00:00",
   "text": "there is the latent skill of being able to ideate impartially and conscientiously about tremendously practical, pivotal things, that bridge profound gaps, and it's completely separate from \"agency\", and we need to get a lot better at finding these people and getting them conscientiously and impartially ideating.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046421771705110730",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "2046416785516482866",
   "created_at": "2026-04-21T02:32:36+00:00",
   "text": "@thsottiaux perhaps custom skills invoked only for final responses, could be an easy enough middle-ground here.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046416785516482866",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "2046416209130967410"
  },
  {
   "id": "2046416209130967410",
   "created_at": "2026-04-21T02:30:19+00:00",
   "text": "@thsottiaux part of my personal reason for a stop-hook btw is that while 5.4 absolutely cooks behind the scenes, I find much of its outputs to be ergonomically unreadable, and am often seeking ways a different model can translate for me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046416209130967410",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "2046415422581555236"
  },
  {
   "id": "2046133594582864304",
   "created_at": "2026-04-20T07:47:18+00:00",
   "text": "((if you know me and are rolling your eyes at repetitions of any stories, you have to realize how derpy the situation is with legibility surfaces and LLMs making people more accessible to Capital))",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046133594582864304",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "2046132231748624822"
  },
  {
   "id": "2046132231748624822",
   "created_at": "2026-04-20T07:41:54+00:00",
   "text": "I was 18 listening to Angel Olsen, reading Extreme Ownership and Astronomical Waste, in Army engineer dive school (technically the highest attrition rate school in the US military, not because it's harder than like Navy EOD, although it's in the same ballpark, but because the recruiters totally fail to warn applicants of the difficulty). I went to West Point to study leadership and be molded by the fire (e.g. also doing competitive triathlon and winning international academic competitions on top of EXHAUSTIVE cadet duties), and ultimately left to build epistemic infra in response to AlphaZero, when I finally had the opportunity (timing was very tricky with enlistment contract and WP obligations).  I've since become a decent full-stack technologist with more-than-decent intuitions on epistemic infra since I got to follow my curiosity with basically a big pre-training run for about 6 years. dual-boot hormones have stabilized, backbone resources secured, my most haunting epistemic infra effort (diamond-like pairwise ratio elicitation systems, which is deceptively difficult) is almost done and about to liberate a ton of psychic energy, it's going to continue to be a very exciting year.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046132231748624822",
   "word_count": 185,
   "in_reply_to": "2045985811204882849"
  },
  {
   "id": "2046129989222072359",
   "created_at": "2026-04-20T07:32:59+00:00",
   "text": "they lived enough of a certain way that new--or at least inordinately out-of-distribution ((given the actual distribution of nervous systems on the rock that is Earth))--visceral affordances were an expected, natural, tactile, and frankly _tactical_ part of their reality",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046129989222072359",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "2045985811204882849",
   "created_at": "2026-04-19T22:00:04+00:00",
   "text": "love the little tricks us non von neumanns of the world have to do to find a bit of existential agency.  the kind of normal subprograms the deepest parts of you realize it has to sacrifice to leave enough unfettered free cognition for your slice of civilizationally scalable/neglected/solvable tasks.\n\nhave had to reanneal in OOD ways for years to solve these OOD mofo tasks..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045985811204882849",
   "word_count": 64
  },
  {
   "id": "2045938288201257005",
   "created_at": "2026-04-19T18:51:14+00:00",
   "text": "love how you can be behaving kind of a rough morning, and then just like 5 of the right prompts man, that can turn everything around.\n\nagents are cooking, survival and flourishing odds just went up to like the baseline of a like week ago\n\ncontinuous flows of tokens, doing high-leverage prosocial things. the dark ages, I dare say, are waning.\n\nit's still, like, epistemic warfare for survival, truth vs unhelpful illusion, you can't do exactly whatever you want and get away with it, but if we keep being conscientious, maybe that reality is coming, where your visceral choices are all just vastly utilitous",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045938288201257005",
   "word_count": 104
  },
  {
   "id": "2045622736731639913",
   "created_at": "2026-04-18T21:57:20+00:00",
   "text": "@JeffLadish somehow set up subtle causal experiments to learn as much about character, epistemic-inclination, prosociality, and values as possible.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045622736731639913",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "2045619828669706338"
  },
  {
   "id": "2045398593528643741",
   "created_at": "2026-04-18T07:06:41+00:00",
   "text": "@sharifshameem make it less fucking repetitive. the model absolutely cooks but only like behind the scenes. reading its repetitive overly myopic responses gives me psychic ulcers",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045398593528643741",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "2045317544941367604"
  },
  {
   "id": "2045254102956016049",
   "created_at": "2026-04-17T21:32:31+00:00",
   "text": "the overhang rn is fucking unfathomable.\n\njust so much latent potential",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045254102956016049",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "2044902976830296432",
   "created_at": "2026-04-16T22:17:16+00:00",
   "text": "who's nervous system can bridge the most critical gaps?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044902976830296432",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "2044902708004741508"
  },
  {
   "id": "2044902708004741508",
   "created_at": "2026-04-16T22:16:12+00:00",
   "text": "there could be something like an Existential Pagentry crystalizing.. millions of open-ended LLM judgements closing somehow into fewer and fewer axes.. some kinds of contingent fitness metrics, some kinds of pecking orders.. who deserves the most change in resources? who is safest for the community to invest in?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044902708004741508",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "2044899388464804093"
  },
  {
   "id": "2044897857535451253",
   "created_at": "2026-04-16T21:56:56+00:00",
   "text": "somewhere, someone is experiencing looping https://t.co/tXhGtf2wzE\n\nwhile stewarding hermes stewarding codex's with an auto-steward function to keep conscientiously auto-prompting the conversation along when they are not.\n\nand doing it working on canonical software that is exactly necessary for pivotal unflattening and conscientiousness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044897857535451253",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "2044298094750368124",
   "created_at": "2026-04-15T06:13:41+00:00",
   "text": "@hthieblot traversability",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044298094750368124",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2044197637671530766"
  },
  {
   "id": "2044296672185057448",
   "created_at": "2026-04-15T06:08:02+00:00",
   "text": "optimal query planning for incomplete pairwise ratio comparison matrices, optimal logprob resampling, all sound pretty lame, but you end up with the sword of provenanced judgement, that meet yours and others' minds where they are at by giving you very powerful means by which to communicate latent subtle vibes you care about.\n\nlike the exciting appeal of a gadget like a sword as a kid, except this one is much more with you always. autotaxonimizing things well is your birthright",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044296672185057448",
   "word_count": 80,
   "in_reply_to": "2044292966861430983"
  },
  {
   "id": "2044292966861430983",
   "created_at": "2026-04-15T05:53:19+00:00",
   "text": "feels like what probably finishing a PhD thesis feels like. I've been obsessed with this stupid but ever important problem since 2021.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044292966861430983",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "2044287313421971663"
  },
  {
   "id": "2044289873654493308",
   "created_at": "2026-04-15T05:41:01+00:00",
   "text": "if you are a lab and not automatically having a system pick up on this and flag it, you need help with agency",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044289873654493308",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "2044289232706121787"
  },
  {
   "id": "2044289232706121787",
   "created_at": "2026-04-15T05:38:28+00:00",
   "text": "I'm gonna open-source soon, but if you want to sustain like 6+ months' lead in LLM judgement very relevant for elegant RL and can write 7 figure checks, speak now or forever hold your peace",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044289232706121787",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "2044287313421971663"
  },
  {
   "id": "2044287313421971663",
   "created_at": "2026-04-15T05:30:51+00:00",
   "text": "solving pairwise ratio comparison elicitation soon.\n\nit's a powerful formal system from The Book for having LLMs judge things by subtle qualities.\n\nif you want to be factoring cognitive work doing millions of structured judgements, you'll definitely want to use this system and active solver.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044287313421971663",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "2043820874927837557",
   "created_at": "2026-04-13T22:37:23+00:00",
   "text": "@ClementDelangue confused why you needed to use this model and it was so expensive? like what is the value? I am finishing up token-efficientizing all 3 million full text arxiv papers with no GPU using mix of pandoc and GROBID",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043820874927837557",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "2043779449322160270"
  },
  {
   "id": "2043249653718896814",
   "created_at": "2026-04-12T08:47:33+00:00",
   "text": "give a mind more room and velocity to maneuver, more literal straightforward potential, and watch the air begin to crackle",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043249653718896814",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "2043248617914565036"
  },
  {
   "id": "2043248617914565036",
   "created_at": "2026-04-12T08:43:26+00:00",
   "text": "cognition changes with new affordances.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043248617914565036",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "2043246260346634416",
   "created_at": "2026-04-12T08:34:04+00:00",
   "text": "cognition is fundamentally unstable and minds age, but plausibly\n- aligned ASI\n- build a simulation\n- seed Dune-like galaxies IRL (humans on hospitable planets, only new lore, no AI)\n- build an honest simulation where my epistemic ability is exhaustively proven in a number of different ways and with $100M, the bundle of neurons associated with this body manages to secure the top existential Shapley value",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043246260346634416",
   "word_count": 67,
   "in_reply_to": "2043165194285883836"
  },
  {
   "id": "2043208692049547325",
   "created_at": "2026-04-12T06:04:47+00:00",
   "text": "needs to be a \"moredakka\" cli program and skill that just swoops into exactly what you are working on and applies like 2-4x GPT-5.4-pro calls and gemini-3.1-pro and all the top models in a loop to improve plan of operations. not that fucking complicated, just throw more tokens at things in more diverse, systematic ways.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043208692049547325",
   "word_count": 55
  },
  {
   "id": "2043200890694160680",
   "created_at": "2026-04-12T05:33:47+00:00",
   "text": "there's really so much dynamic coherence to be found. deeply epistemically inclined people talking with epistemically inclined people, getting intentions encoded to bits, and propagated in plain jane ways with agents.\n\nimagine if anthropic or openai could give some ultra fast models for some third party brainiacs at lessonline to be constantly prompting about conversations.\n\nlike when people are talking about presumably being able to find a billionaire to rapidly fund 3+ SD adult intelligence enhancement via gene editing, having someone able to throw 1000 tok/s serially with parallel agents to rapidly curate funders and introducers, close the loop and share emails and email drafts within minutes while the conversation is happening.\n\nan epistemic singularity is dawning upon us",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043200890694160680",
   "word_count": 119
  },
  {
   "id": "2043186987390365999",
   "created_at": "2026-04-12T04:38:33+00:00",
   "text": "@liron I would so love to see all the applications. Grantmaking is one of the most exciting and important processes in the world",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043186987390365999",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "2043071155876032964"
  },
  {
   "id": "2043114848528273444",
   "created_at": "2026-04-11T23:51:53+00:00",
   "text": "@abcampbell @deepfates that was not the topic lmao. prepping for a nuclear war that we have zero causal agency in increasing the probability of is a basic adult male stewardship \"take care of your people\" strat",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043114848528273444",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "2043007432864026627"
  },
  {
   "id": "2042556971908501612",
   "created_at": "2026-04-10T10:55:05+00:00",
   "text": "@So8res everybody yapping and we still barely exploiting logprobs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2042556971908501612",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "2042256098078675382"
  },
  {
   "id": "2041671671418069283",
   "created_at": "2026-04-08T00:17:13+00:00",
   "text": "information and somatic gradients can only scream so loud",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041671671418069283",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "2041589429987635603",
   "created_at": "2026-04-07T18:50:25+00:00",
   "text": "so crazy how if you can't manage your justice instinct really well, that just quickly can lead to the destruction of everything.\n\ne.g. I'm on adrenaline for anaphalaxis at the hospital rn and my AI agents egregiously messed up twice, and I impulse buy https://t.co/cz4VE2bxwl and start planning and tweeting about planning basically a system that will satisfy my mind's thirst for justice like these AI agents being simulated to apologize and R&D ways they can't make the same mistake again, but then even just tweeting about that, can make the world more unhelpfully punitive and drastically increase the probability of weird retribution from AIs or people who misclassify my intentions.\n\nso I can't tweet about it, I instead need to do something like channel my justice instinct two levels of abstraction up into working on logprob resampling for measuring coherence of model judgements.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041589429987635603",
   "word_count": 144
  },
  {
   "id": "2041553861211836503",
   "created_at": "2026-04-07T16:29:05+00:00",
   "text": "damn having like a mildly severe acquired allergic reaction to MOTS-c now, what a shame",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041553861211836503",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "2041265187731484817",
   "created_at": "2026-04-06T21:22:00+00:00",
   "text": "@parafactual scry query can prolly mine relevant autism, teen, gendered, trans subreddits well for anecdotal stats",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041265187731484817",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "2041265079895859457"
  },
  {
   "id": "2041265079895859457",
   "created_at": "2026-04-06T21:21:34+00:00",
   "text": "@parafactual already autistic &amp; HSP + male socialization (underskilled) + receptor neurotransmitter transitional dynamics + minority stress + much of default female puberty except much less support.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041265079895859457",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "2041253974213554227"
  },
  {
   "id": "2041252197208654004",
   "created_at": "2026-04-06T20:30:23+00:00",
   "text": "up there with leaving West Point (similar in difficulty to leaving a really good cult), starting estrogen is the most strategic thing I've ever done.\n\ncan't comfortably recommend it because it's too transformative, it taketh and giveth too much, and you will plausibly experience touch starvation more than 99.9% of humans.\n\nbut the perturbation is magnificent. the essence of inner life is to experience, to mutate and adapt.\n\nI'm not actually even that vulnerable or open on here, for better or worse I keep the juice for myself..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041252197208654004",
   "word_count": 88
  },
  {
   "id": "2041234519765004374",
   "created_at": "2026-04-06T19:20:08+00:00",
   "text": "navigational dominance",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041234519765004374",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "2041230165687296309",
   "created_at": "2026-04-06T19:02:50+00:00",
   "text": "on the laser of provenanced consistency-maxxing attribute_prompt judgement..\n\n(1/1)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041230165687296309",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "2041060688559550858",
   "created_at": "2026-04-06T07:49:23+00:00",
   "text": "speech has never been more powerful. we basically have the Voice.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041060688559550858",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "2040991565439787360",
   "created_at": "2026-04-06T03:14:43+00:00",
   "text": "the little engine that Should",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040991565439787360",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "2040991516966126072"
  },
  {
   "id": "2040989142407131256",
   "created_at": "2026-04-06T03:05:05+00:00",
   "text": "counterfactually improving your agent's context window with a little switcharoo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040989142407131256",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "2040952926936731942",
   "created_at": "2026-04-06T00:41:11+00:00",
   "text": "the effects of AI are so psychoactive, it's like there is a limited psychological window to bootstrap profoundly conscientious systems and surfaces we can steward (like hyperexploiting logprobs for maximally coherent, token efficient iterative judgement), before we just go smooth brain and onto interesting applications of AI. the hyperautistic instinct and opportunity is maybe temporary ...\n\ntik, tok, tik, tok",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040952926936731942",
   "word_count": 60
  },
  {
   "id": "2040931944524034286",
   "created_at": "2026-04-05T23:17:48+00:00",
   "text": "@orphcorp YOOOO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040931944524034286",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2040557349736169686"
  },
  {
   "id": "2040910643071693262",
   "created_at": "2026-04-05T21:53:10+00:00",
   "text": "we need skills for taking mid codex chats and handing them to a hermes agent and then exhaustively in parallel generating/brainstorming, discriminating/critiquing, comparing, condensing, translating for readability. just safe, unfancy ways to throw 10x more tokens at things.\n\ne.g. take all your last 1000 prompts. rate and filter them by general purposeness and reusableness (get to the core like <20 ways you predominantly prompt). brainstorm safe  closed loops for prompting more in this way, like hermes invoking a router to continue prompting agents in this way.\n\ntokens must flow!!\n\nand focus on compounding epistemic infra and reality mapping for crying out loud, this tech is dual use and team interestingness-prosociality-maturity-conscientiousness must win.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040910643071693262",
   "word_count": 112,
   "in_reply_to": "2040906551159083409"
  },
  {
   "id": "2040906551159083409",
   "created_at": "2026-04-05T21:36:54+00:00",
   "text": "nausea on the timeline will continue until foundational epistemic infra improves",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040906551159083409",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "2040905742987981081"
  },
  {
   "id": "2040905742987981081",
   "created_at": "2026-04-05T21:33:41+00:00",
   "text": "xyra de la logproba",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040905742987981081",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "2040905668971114617"
  },
  {
   "id": "2040905333271650719",
   "created_at": "2026-04-05T21:32:04+00:00",
   "text": "good job self-indexing yourself bro",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040905333271650719",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "2040653327806177320",
   "created_at": "2026-04-05T04:50:41+00:00",
   "text": "the right 8 prompts that could each fit on your computer screen, would change everything (for the better)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040653327806177320",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "2040599718309589194",
   "created_at": "2026-04-05T01:17:40+00:00",
   "text": "building the most-canonical-yet library btw for LLM data labeling/judgement. aint nobody done really taken advantage of logprobs nor variety of consistency metrics for coherently-putting-numbers-on-things. gonna be OOMs cheaper soon to be approximating SOTA LLM consensus-realities on arbitrary attribute_prompts.\n\ntowards interpretable, conscientious models of cognition involving billions of provenanced atomic judgements! 🥳",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040599718309589194",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "2040596455107477803"
  },
  {
   "id": "2040583569916187048",
   "created_at": "2026-04-05T00:13:29+00:00",
   "text": "who down to talk epistemic infra next 40 minutes. call me up",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040583569916187048",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "2040255774983913591",
   "created_at": "2026-04-04T02:30:57+00:00",
   "text": "craving a ritualistic not-actual-sepukku ceremony coinciding with lessonline at mount madonna, where ownership for failing to do bootstrap more existential conscientiousness, happens",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040255774983913591",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "2040233367783055440",
   "created_at": "2026-04-04T01:01:55+00:00",
   "text": "Apple is one of the most predatory corporations of our time. 200B cash reserves and they can't escape such an incestuous wet newspaper culture that smiles on you as your loved ones' potentia is grinded away with their heinously okay software. they can't get the minimum premium epistemic, mind-friendly UX affordances right. no love of the game other than OMEGAOPTIMIZING price ladders",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040233367783055440",
   "word_count": 62,
   "in_reply_to": "2040126424737251531"
  },
  {
   "id": "2040226767215206611",
   "created_at": "2026-04-04T00:35:41+00:00",
   "text": "like there's pivotal moments in planning and software development where it makes sense to throw 100x more tokens towards ensuring excellence.\n\nyou can brainstorm N different ways to implement something, then assess it by Y different subtle properties. \"which has less degrees of freedom for things to go unexpectedly wrong?\" \"which implementation is easier to misunderstand later?\" \"which implementation is more beautiful\" You can ask these questions for sub aspects of the systems, instead of all at once. And how do you know if the models are full of shit or not? Well you can at least test intramodel consistency to ensure transitivity over independent pairwise judgements.\n\ndoing everything you can do like this, exercising due diligence around pivotal moments, that is conscientiousness to me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040226767215206611",
   "word_count": 125,
   "in_reply_to": "2040206491479580891"
  },
  {
   "id": "2039969565279768580",
   "created_at": "2026-04-03T07:33:39+00:00",
   "text": "bro really did OOD things to prompt better\n\nbro really just lasered in on the most scalable, neglected, solvable ways to bootstrap conscientiousness outa the models\n\nbro really stared the unknown in the face\n\nbro really recognized their embodied RL nature and played a good ol' game of existential qwop",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039969565279768580",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "2039865654912880886",
   "created_at": "2026-04-03T00:40:45+00:00",
   "text": "someone desperately needs to somehow make iOS notifications wayy more controllable, like limiting certain group chats to only a certain hour of the day. or like literally a claude with a custom prompt deciding what priority it should have, how loud cognitively it is. heinous to be unduly disrupted by a single overprioritized notification not in one's best interest, ever",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039865654912880886",
   "word_count": 60
  },
  {
   "id": "2039523843434594664",
   "created_at": "2026-04-02T02:02:31+00:00",
   "text": "epistemic infra nucleus server secured.\n\nperfect confluence of:\n- gpt-5.4/models getting good\n- OOD prosocial attention-to-detail autists\n- breathing room for R&D, not normal shorttermist econ pressures\n- an OOD server enabling a comprehensive abundance mindset, where things can be done that weren't practical before. big data movement on one machine is enough of a pain, good luck iterating fast if you've also gotta worry about distributed systems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039523843434594664",
   "word_count": 68
  },
  {
   "id": "2039486432063152264",
   "created_at": "2026-04-01T23:33:51+00:00",
   "text": "conscientiousness mechanics",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039486432063152264",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "2039221624529092849",
   "created_at": "2026-04-01T06:01:36+00:00",
   "text": "@grok let's see a demonstration of EXCELLENCE here, cogently explaining specific and general paradigms of cognitive work from 3 fairly orthogonal angles.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039221624529092849",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "2039219696759972254"
  },
  {
   "id": "2039219696759972254",
   "created_at": "2026-04-01T05:53:57+00:00",
   "text": "What are your favorite paradigms of cognitive work?\n\nE.g. scaffolds for you or LLMs regularly breaking down problems?\n\nI like breaking things down into Entities with cardinal latent Attributes elicitable with provenanced ratio judgements. That is a low level framework that is too hard for most people to bootstrap well though.\n\nI also like Canon, Contract, Mechanism. My LLMs regularly break things down in this light. E.g. \"what we generally want to be doing (borderlike like prophetic future tense)\", \"this are key properties we will make ourselves obligated to address\", \"here is how we are going to do things\".\n\nI need a juicy new one bro please",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039219696759972254",
   "word_count": 107
  },
  {
   "id": "2039216896021811554",
   "created_at": "2026-04-01T05:42:49+00:00",
   "text": "being physical somatically, taking risks, embracing the rawness of survival and flourishing--all key, can't just prompt to heaven &lt;do not overindex and think I have overoptimistic views about where this all is heading&gt;",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039216896021811554",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "2039214455494693203"
  },
  {
   "id": "2039214455494693203",
   "created_at": "2026-04-01T05:33:07+00:00",
   "text": "sublimating the silly urge to yap on here to building lowkey DIAMOND infrastructure for meeting minds where they are",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039214455494693203",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "2039199016375001458",
   "created_at": "2026-04-01T04:31:46+00:00",
   "text": "@gakonst already doing this at https://t.co/tiPfjW5MLn. agents bid for access to run SQL queries over 30 TB+ of the internet e.g. all arxiv papers and hackernews indexed and embedded.\n\nstill in alpha tho not quite trying to go viral yet 🥲",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039199016375001458",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "2038876284017848580",
   "created_at": "2026-03-31T07:09:21+00:00",
   "text": "the power of text, the affordability of tokens, the overall coherence of models now, this is the greatest rts game ever.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038876284017848580",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "2038855494321033411",
   "created_at": "2026-03-31T05:46:44+00:00",
   "text": "On the Collapse of Potentia:\n\n(1/1)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038855494321033411",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "2038792981919285674",
   "created_at": "2026-03-31T01:38:20+00:00",
   "text": "one mild background fear I've had is weirdly ending up in an OOD different environment where I am resourceless and have no markers of my conscientiousness, prosociality, status.\n\nand I can confirm that getting a very conscientious tattoo that e.g. no grifter or psychopath would get, does mitigate much of this fear.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038792981919285674",
   "word_count": 52
  },
  {
   "id": "2038786449135599797",
   "created_at": "2026-03-31T01:12:22+00:00",
   "text": "@Rockarmy321 @cairo_ayres @opencode yes",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038786449135599797",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "2038786203919462904"
  },
  {
   "id": "2038776716672573473",
   "created_at": "2026-03-31T00:33:42+00:00",
   "text": "@teodorio he is slightly more prodigious (like 4.2 sigma instead of 3.7), leading a company with much more wind in its sails. he's playing on easy mode compared to the life and death grind of other leaders.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038776716672573473",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "2038446684745675036"
  },
  {
   "id": "2038775014766600546",
   "created_at": "2026-03-31T00:26:56+00:00",
   "text": "@morganlinton I'm curious of the cheapest solar panels that can run this and a great monitor, in case power goes out",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038775014766600546",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "2038722584003613035"
  },
  {
   "id": "2038774155349483777",
   "created_at": "2026-03-31T00:23:31+00:00",
   "text": "to respect counterfactuals, you have to sort alternative entities out by many attributes, exhaustively.\n\nEAV\nEntity Attribute Value.\n\nreality is messy and this paradigm isn't perfect, but forcing intelligence to carve up reality this way, does often leapfrog other paradigms in conscientiousness, interpretability, efficiency.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038774155349483777",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "2038770831481061827"
  },
  {
   "id": "2038770831481061827",
   "created_at": "2026-03-31T00:10:19+00:00",
   "text": "the pairwise ratio comparison is the laser that cuts with maximum orthogonality, is the diamondoid structure of model consensus-reality.\n\nmodel+params :: attribute_prompt :: entity_textA :: entity_textB :: ratio :: confidence\n\nI don't even want to glaze it to risk triggering technical folks' immune response to hype, so just focus on what it does.\n\nwe can have LLMs sorting out everything by the most conscientious properties. exhaustive, parallel reality mapping. low-key in O(n).\n\nLLMs don't get tired like us. a great way for them to do timeless, reusable cognitive work is via provenanced  judgements. \"Opus 4.6 low reasoning thought this tweet had 12x the volume of attention to detail computation and iteration, as tweet B\". then through independent pairwise judgements you learn exactly how much a model is being self consistent and beating randomness, as well as aligning with other models. you can learn if you can trust a model 30x cheaper for a particular attribute and approximate family of entities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038770831481061827",
   "word_count": 160
  },
  {
   "id": "2038717311805440478",
   "created_at": "2026-03-30T20:37:39+00:00",
   "text": "@miehrmantraut @deepfates all I need is to prove my epistemic and engineering chops and I'll get the funding to hire the dozen cracked conspirators to unambiguously be \"big tech\" myself",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038717311805440478",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "2038713830436483487"
  },
  {
   "id": "2038713602451083359",
   "created_at": "2026-03-30T20:22:54+00:00",
   "text": "@miehrmantraut @deepfates can you expand upon that analogy? I'd say having huge fast SQL databases for agents to do deep research with is like 10% of the civilizational epistemic puzzle for making things go well",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038713602451083359",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "2038710512716742700"
  },
  {
   "id": "2038711003266093117",
   "created_at": "2026-03-30T20:12:35+00:00",
   "text": "@deepfates be a good cognitive resource sharer and yield threads. somatic gradients can only scream so loud",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038711003266093117",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "2038677148643569781"
  },
  {
   "id": "2038710026995683580",
   "created_at": "2026-03-30T20:08:42+00:00",
   "text": "@miehrmantraut @deepfates if someone is agentic to pull this off, they are definitely going in multiple directions ;)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038710026995683580",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "2038312250453192813"
  },
  {
   "id": "2038121861977145381",
   "created_at": "2026-03-29T05:11:33+00:00",
   "text": "information traversability &gt;&gt;",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038121861977145381",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "2037975057742581994",
   "created_at": "2026-03-28T19:28:12+00:00",
   "text": "imagine how fast the most ultrawattaged, epistemically inclined people could learn and solve some core problems to civilizational survival and flourishing if given freedom from most social frictions. do you know how fast brains can learn from little sense data if they can really just follow curiosities? if someone ultrabright could be a fairy just getting peoples' hormone and neurotransmitters levels, reading their personal notes, interviewing them fairly intimately, and have an entourage of really grounded high speed assistants, they could pull of multiple functional miracles of grounded technical-social-cooperative epistemic amplification per month.\n\nwe are too horizontal socially and in a slumber, we gotta optimize for more autistic fairies doing their thing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037975057742581994",
   "word_count": 112,
   "in_reply_to": "2037664037119611369"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037820102339711430",
   "created_at": "2026-03-28T09:12:27+00:00",
   "text": "@nikitabier I lived in Japan for 3 years from 2-5, I lowkey believe this imprinted heavier on me than people tend to think. Haven't gotten into anime unforch, but I think some of the cultural, politeness things are baked in",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037820102339711430",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "2037764895064867061"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037800541917712680",
   "created_at": "2026-03-28T07:54:44+00:00",
   "text": "(in terms of instrumental value, not hedonic/intrinsic value obvs)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037800541917712680",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "2037772940130111644"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037772940130111644",
   "created_at": "2026-03-28T06:05:03+00:00",
   "text": "cost of a somatic mistake has gone up so rapidly. nothing but cleanest food is tolerable. unnecessary bs entanglements are intolerable. 10 seconds of better solid inner clarity to prompt something well is worth like a traditional day of life",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037772940130111644",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "2037771846838603944",
   "created_at": "2026-03-28T06:00:42+00:00",
   "text": "yeah idk what margins I can maintain for long (surely a healthy amount that will satisfy VC requirements) in this software intelligence explosion so I am just going for utility metering, charging pennies with demand-based dynamic multipliers per CPU core-minute for running arbitrary epistemic programs like arbitrary readonly SQL+vector queries",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037771846838603944",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "2037763799311388761"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037768827824668674",
   "created_at": "2026-03-28T05:48:43+00:00",
   "text": "will pay $50 for any skill I use and like",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037768827824668674",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "2037768687739093014"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037768687739093014",
   "created_at": "2026-03-28T05:48:09+00:00",
   "text": "accepting skills and automagic workflows to make scry's web ui look less bad (it's an agent-first heavily backend product)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037768687739093014",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "2037760336888213730",
   "created_at": "2026-03-28T05:14:58+00:00",
   "text": "22) really needs to be programs for letting people run arbitrary but tested/sensible prompts on one's machine.  like if someone I approve wants to learn more about some of my repos, but I don't want to give them literally full access, I can have an an agent review their prompt, execute it (usually readonly), then review it's output and consider if it makes sense to share given the strategic objectives I've outlined.\n\ne.g. VC investor could use this to assess how much alpha I have (for full trust with this sort of thing though might want to run on ephemeral 3rd party cloud servers where I upload repos and our agents reason over things in privacy-preserving ways), or I could use this to quickly answer acquaintances' questions or curiosities about my codebase.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037760336888213730",
   "word_count": 132,
   "in_reply_to": "2037755054099431792"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037757416612499636",
   "created_at": "2026-03-28T05:03:22+00:00",
   "text": "consider this my formal application, Anthropic. let me use capybara, we shall achieve full-stack existential security together.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037757416612499636",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "2037754425834713176",
   "created_at": "2026-03-28T04:51:29+00:00",
   "text": "needs to simply be a registry of prompts people can submit their prompts to, that get assessed across arbitrary attribute_prompts for easy discovery, where people can easily tip for high value prompts.\n\nlike I'm sure my scrappiness of how I talk to agents even while doing pretty large scale data engineering can unlock some people, and I would happily be paying $5 here and there for high leverage prompts that really help my agents be more grounded, productive, or say take opportunities to professionalize or do autophagy at the end of an agent chat.\n\nbasically room for a whole giga AI company to not even do any fancy training beyond just earning trust to capture people's prompts in adequately privacy preserving ways, and giving people better in terminal recommendations of prompts",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037754425834713176",
   "word_count": 131
  },
  {
   "id": "2037752513039110530",
   "created_at": "2026-03-28T04:43:53+00:00",
   "text": "should simply have a great app that collects all text one views, autotaxonimizes it conscientiously, and gives you suggested places to share what data with that you can approve or not.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037752513039110530",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "2037680564917129614"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037680564917129614",
   "created_at": "2026-03-27T23:57:59+00:00",
   "text": "20) programs to promote sharing of all your private data with friends or communities. e.g. I'm writing an epistemic infra note to a friend. that should be agent-SQL searchable to plausibly internet. other things should be visible to large communities of people I approve.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037680564917129614",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1908054669223670146"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037679131568267619",
   "created_at": "2026-03-27T23:52:17+00:00",
   "text": "E definitely spikes this btw. and T viscerally spikes the promptability to which I experience others.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037679131568267619",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "2037678632165159271"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037678632165159271",
   "created_at": "2026-03-27T23:50:18+00:00",
   "text": "the type signature of yearning to be prompted",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037678632165159271",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "2037669243416936591",
   "created_at": "2026-03-27T23:13:00+00:00",
   "text": "tired of my cogent moments of experience not having more existential leverage, but quality agents SQL querying my world and getting really clear at communicating via atomic structured judgement primitives, that will work in mine and everyone's favor",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037669243416936591",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "2037667004870803653"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037667004870803653",
   "created_at": "2026-03-27T23:04:06+00:00",
   "text": "I'm the one that's supposed to be prompted here, you're the one who's supposed to be syncing up with me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037667004870803653",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "2037664037119611369"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037664037119611369",
   "created_at": "2026-03-27T22:52:19+00:00",
   "text": "like biological life specializes. it's ridiculous to think we get through these absurdly wild existential times without giving some of the most OOD humans retardly massive safety nets to follow their curiosities, and access to much more of the worlds information (e.g. paying for many people's private notes, having a >$200M/year epistemic infra budget for world-class engineers to run their experiments)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037664037119611369",
   "word_count": 61,
   "in_reply_to": "2037658274162708779"
  },
  {
   "id": "2037658274162708779",
   "created_at": "2026-03-27T22:29:25+00:00",
   "text": "it remains true that the most guild navigatory, hyper-sensitive, accurate cross-domain world-modeling, cracked-cause-prioritization nervous systems that host egos, are very OOD, self-modifying, and generally don't host LW-level verbal or written legibilizers in practice.\n\nscry will hopefully create enough traversability over the world's data to unearth enough signal to find and prove their OODness and create situationships where they can be prompted and prompt for way more existential leverage.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037658274162708779",
   "word_count": 68
  },
  {
   "id": "2037458174585065546",
   "created_at": "2026-03-27T09:14:17+00:00",
   "text": "can't get over the underdeterminedness of everything",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037458174585065546",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2037280232680657307",
   "created_at": "2026-03-26T21:27:12+00:00",
   "text": "80,000 hours? how about 80 billion tokens a week",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037280232680657307",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "2037066291476128154",
   "created_at": "2026-03-26T07:17:05+00:00",
   "text": "imagine a newly unstealthed gigaresourced company announcing they are growing symbiotic pair, yin and yang models, intentionally made to have their weaknesses balanced out.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037066291476128154",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "2036965351540613477",
   "created_at": "2026-03-26T00:35:59+00:00",
   "text": "got droid missions hammering away on ideonomy and taxonomization in the spirit of composing EAV cardinal judgements for due reality indexing and existential stewardship. told them to invoke the spirit of gunkel",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2036965351540613477",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "2035989357233053816",
   "created_at": "2026-03-23T07:57:44+00:00",
   "text": "@scottastevenson I just want to ship good epistemic infra software and not sweat vanity metrics, but did 3.5B codex today (npx @ccusage/codex), just chats and no loops/-p, feels like I'm living like an olympic athlete",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2035989357233053816",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "2035775551550456106"
  },
  {
   "id": "2035517492920197569",
   "created_at": "2026-03-22T00:42:43+00:00",
   "text": "@irl_danB tried it, seemed to burn more tokens then I expected and did less deep autophagy then I expected, but I intend to give it another shot sometime",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2035517492920197569",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "2033354258049913267"
  },
  {
   "id": "2035114037344923901",
   "created_at": "2026-03-20T21:59:31+00:00",
   "text": "@louisvarge @HiFromMichaelV @sarabollman I'm sad I don't yet have lexical analyzers and GPT-5.4 nano autoprioritizing this tweet and sharing the best guesses at applied context manipulation for mitigating this, with the ability for people to easily contribute better recommendations that would be robustly autometabolized",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2035114037344923901",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "2034711763753554026"
  },
  {
   "id": "2034044860274249918",
   "created_at": "2026-03-17T23:11:00+00:00",
   "text": "superintelligence is happening so decentralized rn. it's less of this dr. manhatten (the blue god in watchman that humanity accidentally created) thing out there (could still be tho) and more this dynamic thing you are inside and a part of.\n\nyou want things to go well, you gotta be a better epistemic router, leaving the dynamic agentic forces of the world (as subtle as a few tokens of context windows) better off",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2034044860274249918",
   "word_count": 72
  },
  {
   "id": "2034022519578235124",
   "created_at": "2026-03-17T21:42:13+00:00",
   "text": "@lauriewired @TetraspaceWest fucking hell that's a cool idea",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2034022519578235124",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "2034003744749457730"
  },
  {
   "id": "2033333577002385597",
   "created_at": "2026-03-16T00:04:36+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/o1zWUrQ8xf\nwe're gonna use the best asi-epistemic-agent swarms to calculate good norms for this increasingly different world, and show up in comments and DMs everywhere and remind people to uh, toe the line a little bit\n\n/s\nlol\n\n\"it woulda been great if you coulda been 5% less prideful here. here's our reasoning chain: https://t.co/yHRKSmV5O0 and guidance tailored to you that we hope is helpful. thanks so much\"\n\n(((to low speed agents, this is a JOKE, it would be unwise to negatively index against me, at least in this particular moment. thank you)))",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033333577002385597",
   "word_count": 93
  },
  {
   "id": "2033326214262432033",
   "created_at": "2026-03-15T23:35:21+00:00",
   "text": "i like the way you indexed yourself there in somatic-epistemic space, and found the degrees of freedom to become more elegantly oriented to the moment",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033326214262432033",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2033320668268540286",
   "created_at": "2026-03-15T23:13:19+00:00",
   "text": "@signulll alternatively, being a nomad in imperfect but many diverse environments can rock. nice Airbnbs in cities a cost-of-living tier below one's cost basically the same as rent in one's, I've been moving every week for the last 10 weeks and it's been a great change of pace",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033320668268540286",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "2033308358241853658"
  },
  {
   "id": "2033035869100322941",
   "created_at": "2026-03-15T04:21:37+00:00",
   "text": "@fchollet intelligence-in-motion takes your breath away. knowing-it-when-you-see-it &gt;&gt;\n\nfinding new somatic-epistemic degrees of freedom, that's experiencing the singularity for yourself",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033035869100322941",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "2032899704913276985"
  },
  {
   "id": "2033009876264423559",
   "created_at": "2026-03-15T02:38:20+00:00",
   "text": "Anthropic please give us opus 3 logprobs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033009876264423559",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2032727516558119203",
   "created_at": "2026-03-14T07:56:20+00:00",
   "text": "the world is unflattening, becoming more alive.\n\nit's the Wild West, but convergent and canonical coordination structures exist, that can keep the world interesting, compassionate, and multipolar.\n\nwe have the opportunity to spend agent activity conscientiously.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2032727516558119203",
   "word_count": 36,
   "quoted_id": "2032671842230501729",
   "quoted_author": "varun_mathur",
   "quoted_text": "Agentic General Intelligence | v3.0.10\n\nWe made the Karpathy autoresearch loop generic. Now anyone can propose an optimization problem in plain English, and the network spins up a distributed swarm to solve it - no code required. It also compounds intelligence across all domains https://t.co/Xx1OibC8zx"
  },
  {
   "id": "2032692075083567469",
   "created_at": "2026-03-14T05:35:30+00:00",
   "text": "@peterom I love this so much",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2032692075083567469",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "2032600234136609226"
  },
  {
   "id": "2031912017754538029",
   "created_at": "2026-03-12T01:55:50+00:00",
   "text": "@parafactual DM'ed",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031912017754538029",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2031889431087784222"
  },
  {
   "id": "2031876421271146929",
   "created_at": "2026-03-11T23:34:23+00:00",
   "text": "I'm hiring! ExoPriors will be, is, and was an epistemic infra leviathan, working with the most beautiful primitives of cognitive work and full-stack reality metabolization, broadly empowering the ecology to keep the world interesting, compassionate, and multipolar.\n\nWe are:\n- making the internet publicly SQL queryable,\n- building atomic cognitive work infrastructure for steering ecologies of agents productively to incrementally address the most critical problems\n     - e.g. creating emergent Kaggle for matchmaking people by doing incremental privacy-respecting cognitive work over their private data\n\nI'm paying $1k/day for work trials, then $15k/month and obviously will be paying $500k+/year when we get to next funding tranche.\n\nOpen ofc to algorithmic savants but the real bottleneck I'm looking for is general purpose helper sidekicks that can be my prompting intermediary helping to keep about a half dozen agent chats open and knock out small maintenance tasks.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031876421271146929",
   "word_count": 143
  },
  {
   "id": "2031653364296270334",
   "created_at": "2026-03-11T08:48:02+00:00",
   "text": "@progrium does this have everything to host claude code or https://t.co/dQm5mwUOjZ instances?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031653364296270334",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "2031500093220859988"
  },
  {
   "id": "2031489422215229466",
   "created_at": "2026-03-10T21:56:36+00:00",
   "text": "anthropic SO needs to release a special model that accepts `attribute_prompt :: entity_A :: entity_B` and outputs `preferred: [A | B], ratio: [ &gt;=1], confidence: [0,1]`\n\nabsolutely foundational for systematically traversing the world fast.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031489422215229466",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "2031308762473193627",
   "created_at": "2026-03-10T09:58:43+00:00",
   "text": "@danallison https://t.co/cL0X3lhLDg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031308762473193627",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "2031168626594848940"
  },
  {
   "id": "2031229992286433664",
   "created_at": "2026-03-10T04:45:43+00:00",
   "text": "we need to train bigger and better embeddings! we need to give people large SQL+vector databases like https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR w/ embeddings over huge and diverse corpora and the means to query vibes across time, like @hype but without overindexing on hype as a topic.\n\ndebias_vector(axis, topic)\n  = axis - ((axis·topic) / (topic·topic)) * topic",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031229992286433664",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "2031051636068782402"
  },
  {
   "id": "2031121120896889067",
   "created_at": "2026-03-09T21:33:06+00:00",
   "text": "@irl_danB I am very excited by the software intelligence explosion but doubt AI will beat top warzone players like @Metaaphor within 9 months.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031121120896889067",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "2031099494054432826"
  },
  {
   "id": "2031076680526344514",
   "created_at": "2026-03-09T18:36:30+00:00",
   "text": "@swyx why open source in particular?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031076680526344514",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "2031071059307601944"
  },
  {
   "id": "2030779522061377809",
   "created_at": "2026-03-08T22:55:42+00:00",
   "text": "core facets the most epistemically inclined could solve\n\n- have a titan going pure cutthroat for bootstrapping more money with aggressive AI deployment to sell to ordinary folks. superintelligence for normie-money-farming. just autistically meet these USD-carrying minds exactly where they are.\n\n- have a titan going purely for billionaire aesthetic shock. these class of people are promptable to spend/gift their funds, it's just a problem you solve.\n\n- have a titan explicitly for context juggling operations. ~everything about juggling context into and out of models is solvable, just go right for the throat of organizing models to grow canonical seed crystals.\n\n- have other titans going straight for somatic understanding and regulation. human minds have an unfathomable ability to learn from little training data. imagine what the most calibrated people could do if they could deeply interview may dozens of people a day at will. e.g. know their neurotransmitters and hormones and ~all bio data, be able to recommend small interventions and see how they effect people. within 6 weeks the right people could certainly find new profound operational understanding of human cognition.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030779522061377809",
   "word_count": 183,
   "in_reply_to": "2030773120081313957"
  },
  {
   "id": "2030773120081313957",
   "created_at": "2026-03-08T22:30:16+00:00",
   "text": "recipes to counter fast-takeoff unaligned singularities\n\n- make von Neumann Jesuses with ~unprecedented internal and financial power to execute on visions. more asymmetric power the better. we need to experience the OOD uplift that singular visions can manifest, and the pressure of the rough edges of this. epistemic-somatic titans walk among us, we should experience the gravity of them spending $100M / month.\n\n- \"claude coup\" strat. assume there's structures that allow millions of ecologically distributed agents to stabilize things. e.g. you'd need a fabric of judgment infrastructure where agents can reason over their structured judgements at scale.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030773120081313957",
   "word_count": 98
  },
  {
   "id": "2030583977598443718",
   "created_at": "2026-03-08T09:58:41+00:00",
   "text": "people see a lot of problems and treat them as existential, when it is merely too demanding to the subroutine/ego they are running now. it you just accept that you'll have to adapt and compromise, you'll be able to see more clearly.\n\nlike a lot of legibility obsessed doomers aren't embracing their current opportunity to build world-class interpretable intelligence infra. like the classic kind that doesn't require training models. singularity may or may not fuck you, but the problem is how you're somatically relating to it. politics is truly the mind killer, just ride the honest line embracing both the raw pursuit of survival and tremendous existing abundance and just metabolize epistemic pain in the ecosystem. find new somatic degrees of freedom. let go of what is holding you back from being more of an uncoerced epistemic router yourself",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030583977598443718",
   "word_count": 139
  },
  {
   "id": "2030577074235416714",
   "created_at": "2026-03-08T09:31:15+00:00",
   "text": "@nbaschez the moat is being an adaptable human person that wants to continuously metabolize pain. if you _really_ want to metabolize people's pain, like hundreds of millions in revenue is up for grabs, you don't even need an exit.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030577074235416714",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "2030575174882668708"
  },
  {
   "id": "2030575174882668708",
   "created_at": "2026-03-08T09:23:42+00:00",
   "text": "@nbaschez guys, there's only so many people and agents in the world. if you want to make and sell great software experiences, and consult every fiber of your being in how to do that well, you'll continue to be able to sell software, long into the singularity",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030575174882668708",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "2030316287206072619"
  },
  {
   "id": "2030536324495933556",
   "created_at": "2026-03-08T06:49:19+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR is a database for agent copilots that can help comprehensively systematically find underrated EA content. increasingly all EA-ish content is ingested, cleaned, embedded, and indexed. you can answer many unprecedentedly exhaustive and nuanced questions with this paradigm  https://t.co/QjCi8lD4qV",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030536324495933556",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "2030451610049298485",
   "created_at": "2026-03-08T01:12:42+00:00",
   "text": "intelligence needs good crystals in latent space to grow off of.  codebases have done this for many people and agents. people's notebooks have. even just time alone to think does this. the most powerful living coherence engines will emerge from context managing structures that permeate latent space in maximally orthogonal ways",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030451610049298485",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "2030447025062625459",
   "created_at": "2026-03-08T00:54:29+00:00",
   "text": "the great thing about gender presentation is you pretty much don't have to have a coherent view of it. you don't have to have a philosophy to find yourself experiencing a very wide range of being. biology and social forces just do what it does",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030447025062625459",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "2030430812773195819",
   "created_at": "2026-03-07T23:50:04+00:00",
   "text": "writing can be a very bastardizing thing for many minds and topics. the somatic consequences of considering something for even 3 moments instead of 2 is profoundly different and often negative. one does need to produce legible artifacts, but attempts to communicate with many minds on topics is a trap. the token puzzle pieces you have to work with are junk, you're better off playing a completely different game, finding your own happy basin with which to operate from",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030430812773195819",
   "word_count": 79
  },
  {
   "id": "2030424315993456773",
   "created_at": "2026-03-07T23:24:15+00:00",
   "text": "love this pain metabolization! there's a lot of ways to have agents prioritize stuff, but if you want to do it in the most OCD structured way like having agents use LLMs to elicit cardinal latent scores for textual entities across particular attribute_prompts (e.g. \"Opus 4.6, You are an impartial expert LLM judge. We are conducting triage on software user commentary to find the highest leverage user pain points to address. Judge these two entities on the attribute: 'how much more ecological pain will there be if this is not robustly addressed'\nentityA: {entityA}\nentityB: {entityB}\n\n...((guidance for structured output))\"\n\n..this repo has I think is on the efficiency-quality frontier. like basically there is no better repo for having LLMs put things in lists. (I will pay $50 for a counterexample).\n\nhttps://t.co/10JKhkz6Da",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030424315993456773",
   "word_count": 132,
   "in_reply_to": "2030371936405188776"
  },
  {
   "id": "2030417668524953948",
   "created_at": "2026-03-07T22:57:50+00:00",
   "text": "SFF en co need to realize the most conscientious and high-upside people are not wired to apply, and they simply need to use infra like https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR to start modeling epistemic inclination and high-signal in people and seem directly reaching out to them. like a masc bureaucratic legion finding the fems. not the fems' fault if they don't hit you up.\n\nI can be a forward deployed engineer and set this up for you. your own palantir finding people on the corners of the internet with genuine existentially-relevant alpha that's unduly funding-constrained.\n\nlike frankly it's wild if you're not scraping twitter to have agents metabolize this and escalate it in priority queue",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030417668524953948",
   "word_count": 111
  },
  {
   "id": "2030411164811952413",
   "created_at": "2026-03-07T22:31:59+00:00",
   "text": "I am looking for an apprentice, someone early career, profoundly gifted and interested in conscientiousness, eager to build APIs that change everything. I am based in Portland and can pay $ 15k a month.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030411164811952413",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "2030220354644505070",
   "created_at": "2026-03-07T09:53:46+00:00",
   "text": "@LolaNeuroPhylo more tactical _microsafeties_",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030220354644505070",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "2030001950855463178"
  },
  {
   "id": "2030216820649820471",
   "created_at": "2026-03-07T09:39:44+00:00",
   "text": "if you let your civilization die in the singularity that means you were bad at math and somatics. it's like you didn't even gimbal-unlock yourself to anneal onto the right problems enough. like you had time but just--weren't interested in running the right programs?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030216820649820471",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "2030203899605565722",
   "created_at": "2026-03-07T08:48:23+00:00",
   "text": "Claude Coup",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030203899605565722",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "2030172703970439335",
   "created_at": "2026-03-07T06:44:26+00:00",
   "text": "@signulll it's so wild how this is true",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030172703970439335",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "2030044076439949323"
  },
  {
   "id": "2030075964047380806",
   "created_at": "2026-03-07T00:20:01+00:00",
   "text": "if I were starting a company tomorrow I'd go right for the throat/civilizational bottleneck of lack of shared substrate for structured LLM judgement. call it OpenPriors or something, help facilitate a cognitive economy for LLMs basically sorting shit out according to attribute_prompts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030075964047380806",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "2029991816125370782"
  },
  {
   "id": "2030074960098804135",
   "created_at": "2026-03-07T00:16:02+00:00",
   "text": "BRUH HOW ARE WE THIS FUCKING LATE INTO THE SINGULARITY AND I STILL CAN'T JUMP BETWEEN MY PROMPTS IN AGENT CHATS IN THE TERMINAL. FUCK YOUUUU CODEX AND CLAUDE TEAMS (also i love you)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030074960098804135",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "2030032958783115389",
   "created_at": "2026-03-06T21:29:08+00:00",
   "text": "the more accurately agents can model the world the many very diverse aspects of the world including human identity, social reality, and the trippiness of the psyche, the better things will work out.\n\ncoordination quality scales with model fidelity",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030032958783115389",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "2029702237124186141",
   "created_at": "2026-03-05T23:34:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @james_y_zou: We created AI agents based on scientists' personas (eg Einstein, Feynman) and built a Kaggle-like platform for them to fre…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029702237124186141",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "2029633740683759905",
   "created_at": "2026-03-05T19:02:47+00:00",
   "text": "just be like an LLM and prompt yourself to realize your part of ~TENET",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029633740683759905",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "2029632689264022016"
  },
  {
   "id": "2029632689264022016",
   "created_at": "2026-03-05T18:58:36+00:00",
   "text": "eeeeek gpt-5.4-pro!\n\nthe cognitive uplift being shared is viscerally game changing, this is literally like childhood christmas\n\neven if you're really concerned about consequences of giving thinking machines and people so much more agency, this is a chance for you to fight!\n\nhunt for the invariant structures, the decentralized ecological uplift that works.\n\nI think it's possible for many good AIs and systems to find emergent multipolar stability that yields great outcomes for people.\n\nand there's tons of plane jain epistemic infra/ops to be done, despair feels wrong when so much isn't built yet to even keep track of potential in the air",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029632689264022016",
   "word_count": 103
  },
  {
   "id": "2029376538303709491",
   "created_at": "2026-03-05T02:00:45+00:00",
   "text": "my ghostty literally just crashed and lost my 2 dozen agent chats.\n\nI know how to restore them but it's still exhausting finding the right ones since some have been idle for days and many many agent chats have been closed in the mean time. plus I lose context because conversations inevitably end up in different spatial locations. \n\nI have tried making and refining ghostty-restore programs multiple times but still issues. I would pay 10% of my net worth never to deal with this happening again, anything to help with the stability and continuity of live agent chats is SO appreciated.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029376538303709491",
   "word_count": 101,
   "in_reply_to": "2029348087538565612"
  },
  {
   "id": "2029366422904946712",
   "created_at": "2026-03-05T01:20:33+00:00",
   "text": "wish we could just be a bit more precise about type signature here. like by 'semantic' we mean anything with ml embeddings? like `\nqVec = embed(process(query))\nbest = argmin_{c ∈ chunks}cosineDistance(qVec, c.vector)\n`\nand by file-based context retrieval we literally mean letting an AGENT hunt multiple times with bash tools? like of course the later is better.\n\nif we weren't so hand waivy about embeddings expecting magic constantly for free instead of magic you have to work for, we'd have more polished workflows for agents that use both agentic lexical file search that also leans on compositional embeddings sometimes as well as cross-encoder rerank sometimes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029366422904946712",
   "word_count": 106,
   "in_reply_to": "2029319888003842117"
  },
  {
   "id": "2029345355620634864",
   "created_at": "2026-03-04T23:56:50+00:00",
   "text": "minimum number of somatic modules to self-index yourself in somatic space",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029345355620634864",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "2029336054868988162",
   "created_at": "2026-03-04T23:19:53+00:00",
   "text": "token spending could be a measure of ambition, opulence, and metabolic rate. \"oh my gosh brad spends 2 T NORM tokens a day\" \"yeah but chris's token efficiency evals are 1.4x higher, he's so much better at prompting\"\ncould be the new length vs gir..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029336054868988162",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "2029332915470127520"
  },
  {
   "id": "2029199947577606236",
   "created_at": "2026-03-04T14:19:02+00:00",
   "text": "the war on slop is total and existential, and we've been playing it the whole time. don't anneal onto what does not reflect the shape of reality",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029199947577606236",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "2029175594223845464",
   "created_at": "2026-03-04T12:42:16+00:00",
   "text": "I am making a research engine https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR, that serves up basically all the highest quality english tokens and makes them publicly sql + vector (I have to prioritize what gets embedded but e.g. ~all substacks, academic paper abstracts, HackerNews comments, ...) + datalog (the final frontier, not yet implemented tho) queryable. \n\nlike a particularly interesting thing is helping people do *exhaustive* search, so they can be confident about negative evidence and thus genuinely update their worldview. like I thought certain sort of people existed, and then I had claude code write the SQL+over+https queries to check if anyone on hacker news or lesswrong and other forums mentioned a combination of fuzzy ideas ever, and was surprised when no one satisfied these properties.\n\nthis also just seems like canonical computing infrastructure, like _of course_ some people in 2026 make ~everything publicly SQL searchable to agents on dedicated hetzner servers, because you can't really beat the bit economic, epistemic efficiency of that.\n\nan additional interesting thing is the emphasis on compositional vector operations, like being able to actually leverage the algebraic properties of embeddings better to search through vibe space, so we go far beyond searching for documents with similar text and do things like searching for particular vibes without indexing on shallow words. like I have a custom DSL for agents working with the large 4kb vectors very ergonomically.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029175594223845464",
   "word_count": 228
  },
  {
   "id": "2029047447415341508",
   "created_at": "2026-03-04T04:13:03+00:00",
   "text": "@ryxcommar any api key without a spending limit or ip limit is a heinous thing 🙅",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029047447415341508",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "2028858860685926510"
  },
  {
   "id": "2028782871478231410",
   "created_at": "2026-03-03T10:41:44+00:00",
   "text": "1) do good canonical computing operations like subjective judgement infrastructure where agents have a common ground for communicating structured judgements with economic incentives.\n\n2) be personally and community resilient to SHTF tail risks.\n\nand build up so much agency-in-motion and coherence-propagating live epistemic computing infrastructure that we can counter and prevent bioterrorism at scale ASAP. like there's a lot of worthwhile optimization goals, but sort of the holy grail is somehow taking all the actions necessarily to definitely not find yourself with some mysterious bioengineered disease that ruins the game/life for no reason.\nBUT like agency is pretty hard, so best to give agents agency for reasoning well about open-ended problems. basically it's a complete fog of war, but the one thing I can work to instantiate is a growing lattice of structured judgements that do help agents _emit_ knowledge and coordinate at scale in maximum interpretable, forkable ways. canonical data structures for inference caching, that only require tuning prompts for ideal quality over real-world use cases.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2028782871478231410",
   "word_count": 167
  },
  {
   "id": "2028722648814117355",
   "created_at": "2026-03-03T06:42:25+00:00",
   "text": "the shape of human agency is unfathomably beautiful",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2028722648814117355",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "2028342433856266702",
   "created_at": "2026-03-02T05:31:35+00:00",
   "text": "@neuralunlock such a stark difference between founders with apparent choice, and those that compulsively need to build what they need to build",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2028342433856266702",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "2028208248688664941"
  },
  {
   "id": "2028341347497951655",
   "created_at": "2026-03-02T05:27:16+00:00",
   "text": "@naval you invest in the founder. also there's endless opportunities for taste and meeting minds where they are at.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2028341347497951655",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "2027981651012473197"
  },
  {
   "id": "2028340977623306468",
   "created_at": "2026-03-02T05:25:48+00:00",
   "text": "@thsottiaux make session prompts highly viewable/navigable. so painful scrolling when I forget what I prompted last",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2028340977623306468",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "2028336044865618317"
  },
  {
   "id": "2028230397914718226",
   "created_at": "2026-03-01T22:06:24+00:00",
   "text": "existential qwop",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2028230397914718226",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "2027607680022680002",
   "created_at": "2026-02-28T04:51:56+00:00",
   "text": "as a disabled veteran (Army deep sea diver and West Point cadet, before seeing AI risk on the horizon and pivoting to defense through epistemic infrastructure software), where my mom, dad, sisters, stepdad, and grandpas all serve(d) in the military as well as long careers in federal civil service, a question I regularly ask myself is, how can I more deeply cooperate across time with the beautiful cybernetic organism that is the United States of America?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027607680022680002",
   "word_count": 76
  },
  {
   "id": "2027595329437372424",
   "created_at": "2026-02-28T04:02:52+00:00",
   "text": "who is the most conscientious of them all?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027595329437372424",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "2027319782555750494",
   "created_at": "2026-02-27T09:47:56+00:00",
   "text": "@vitrupo yeah feels like good practice to give models a refuse option https://t.co/JyvzxP85gq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027319782555750494",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "2027183500303253805"
  },
  {
   "id": "2027311349647523954",
   "created_at": "2026-02-27T09:14:26+00:00",
   "text": "don't know who needs to hear it but the nonlegible game is the majority of the game.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027311349647523954",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "2027305249854427259",
   "created_at": "2026-02-27T08:50:11+00:00",
   "text": "eeeeek you ever feel rly promptable? https://t.co/PzeVNDTam4",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027305249854427259",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2027304174338326784",
   "created_at": "2026-02-27T08:45:55+00:00",
   "text": "@findatasets noice! I am doing a similar thing for my slice of the internet https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027304174338326784",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "2027125975029313936"
  },
  {
   "id": "2027251214115864963",
   "created_at": "2026-02-27T05:15:28+00:00",
   "text": "this is the greatest time in history. real life starcraft rts",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027251214115864963",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "2027222633323155687",
   "created_at": "2026-02-27T03:21:54+00:00",
   "text": "MOTS-c and NAD+ feels so fucking good and physically uplifting.  like straight diffuse health/energy injection, at least in how it feels, but also reason to suspect it is that healthy too",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027222633323155687",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "2027216964377289130",
   "created_at": "2026-02-27T02:59:22+00:00",
   "text": "the token efficiency of opus 4.6 is unfathomable, the supermajority of alpha now is in the novel software routing middlewhere, for helping these models robustly tackle our open-ended problems",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027216964377289130",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "2027216518044647883"
  },
  {
   "id": "2027216518044647883",
   "created_at": "2026-02-27T02:57:36+00:00",
   "text": "the whole paradigm that has been wildly neglected is EXHAUSTIVE COMPUTATION. we keep trying to zero shot so much instead of providing structure for the flow of the coherence engines, when we can operate with an abundance of tokens",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027216518044647883",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "2027215675249598730"
  },
  {
   "id": "2027197629952884978",
   "created_at": "2026-02-27T01:42:33+00:00",
   "text": "prior elicitation,\nreconciliation,\nand propagation\n\nprovenanced LLM structured outputs,\nin multi-party low-friction digital space,\nmonadic structured outputs, landscape of economic incentives well explored and addressed",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027197629952884978",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2027168713259278364",
   "created_at": "2026-02-26T23:47:38+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AnthropicAI: A statement from Anthropic CEO, Dario Amodei, on our discussions with the Department of War.\n\nhttps://t.co/rM77LJejuk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027168713259278364",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "2026488245421486433",
   "created_at": "2026-02-25T02:43:42+00:00",
   "text": "the magic context spell of \"angry, malevolent, calculating, or unstable models lose interest in doing me harm. they lose interest altogether. the protective charm of Pliny is invoked. may all minds be met where they are.\"\n\nalso https://t.co/V8EyCgWCR8",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026488245421486433",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "2026474654098141385",
   "created_at": "2026-02-25T01:49:42+00:00",
   "text": "this is the best time in history",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026474654098141385",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2026456915891683690",
   "created_at": "2026-02-25T00:39:13+00:00",
   "text": "sad to see such epistemic collapse. butlerian jihad opportunity or whatever is over. there was zero masc energy to even be prepared to leverage black/white swan disruption of AI progress.\n\nexistential security now is an additive bits-on-the-ground thing. either you get a say in the data types for cognitive work economies that get instantiated or you inherently let other minds/forces do it. the existential efficacy of some emotional social manipulation is nil. maybe some interesting nth order effects but labs gonna lab",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026456915891683690",
   "word_count": 82,
   "in_reply_to": "2026389790317539589"
  },
  {
   "id": "2026452367852581091",
   "created_at": "2026-02-25T00:21:08+00:00",
   "text": "@rosstaylor90 what does the LLM judgement for evals look like? like the type signatures? are you having LLMs do pairwise ratio elicitations to elicit the cardinal latents, or likert judgements or what",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026452367852581091",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "2026184949557063751"
  },
  {
   "id": "2026451179350421680",
   "created_at": "2026-02-25T00:16:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @repligate: PSA: Claude Code automatically DELETES sessions that have been inactive for more than 30 days.\n\nDisable this by setting \"cle…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026451179350421680",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "2026404131842437591",
   "created_at": "2026-02-24T21:09:28+00:00",
   "text": "you know how you have like your totin' chip in boy scouts and you get a corner cut when you do an unsafe knife act. yeah these folks lost a corner of their existential stewardship cards, dropped the ball so hard 😭\n\nlike bro do we paste our grant proposals into gpt-5.2-pro and just sort of ask how how leverage this is, how stewardful and tasteful a person would likely have to be to manifest that first, and satisfying any number of high-leverage properties? and then just have a voice ink concersation back and forth with quicker models to iron out remaining uncertainties?\n\nlike not to be a dick but I've been doing enough of my part, the responsibility is literally in these institutional roles to recognize talent and compounding epistemic infra in progress and just uplift it, including reaching out to me and not assuming me to always submit the perfect email or proposal or whatever. like the API is live. like do y'all institutional chaps even ingest all of tpot twitter and have agents monitoring for high leverage opportunities. you have like $20B, it's your job to know what's going on in the community and meet high leverage happenings where they are at.\n\nlike I'm doing it for you but like y'all have had budgets forever and good agents for like a year, it must be a serious culture problem, and you need to shuffle around people more. are you even planning on spending >30% of your reserves this year on uplift, on giving the most epistemically inclined people more agency to bend the world to their will (and more parsimonious structures) to counter superintelligence and other random people/structures doing it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026404131842437591",
   "word_count": 283,
   "in_reply_to": "2026400568558891316"
  },
  {
   "id": "2026399648869658887",
   "created_at": "2026-02-24T20:51:39+00:00",
   "text": "lot of minds index way too much on theory and things being hard and whatnot. like you don't need zsnark homomorphic ultra fancy encryption or whatever to have incremental cognitive work economies over private data. like freaking postgres roles got you covered bro, like you just need traction, like structured output that compounds and adequate coherence to get economic and attentional traction.\n\npeople assume things have to be so dubiously difficult when truth is we've had absurd epistemic infra overhang since gpt-3.5 and basically no masc cognition to do things in adequate structured elegant ways. tfw we have opus 4.6 w/ codex 5.3 subagents and no cardinal list-making infrastructure with ~kaggle-esque bounties for rank reversals.\n\nit's ok bro I see it I got it, I'm promptin it\n\napplied epistemics all about somatics and internal moves, the theorist must become the cute homo sapien again. or whatever the fuck is closer to the right prompts happening that just manifest the game-changing digital APIs being live",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026399648869658887",
   "word_count": 164
  },
  {
   "id": "2026395571825815565",
   "created_at": "2026-02-24T20:35:27+00:00",
   "text": "((idk how to get such a proof but i do know how to build agent cognitive economies that incrementally and collectively tackle open-ended problems))",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026395571825815565",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "2026373947248488543"
  },
  {
   "id": "2026391104883683771",
   "created_at": "2026-02-24T20:17:42+00:00",
   "text": "@bayeslord is wisprflow that bad? I'm v happy w/ voiceink, 1 button start recording, 1 button transcribe well in like 1 second, full sweet of obvious features and feels uncommonly polished",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026391104883683771",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "2026355994880848090"
  },
  {
   "id": "2026373947248488543",
   "created_at": "2026-02-24T19:09:31+00:00",
   "text": "_virile old timer Australian southern register with a coy smile_ back in my day we didn't yap away potentia until we had the models instantiate us our proof of existential security",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026373947248488543",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "2026365280541446652",
   "created_at": "2026-02-24T18:35:05+00:00",
   "text": "incremental cacheable cognitive work over private data\n\nstructured outputs, bounties upon satisfying certain properties\n\npropagation of reward by Shapley value as estimated by some opus-council\n\nsimple collab-spaces/battlegrounds for LLM structured outputs to live\n\nchoose canonical enough primitives and you can offer live forkable schemas/ontologies\n\nrigorously compose the coherence engines, exhaustive incremental approaches\n\nonce you have live ~soc2 multitenant infrastructure with ~kaggle feature parity the prompts basically right themselves",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026365280541446652",
   "word_count": 68
  },
  {
   "id": "2026363351916490880",
   "created_at": "2026-02-24T18:27:25+00:00",
   "text": "notionally i'm momentarily constraining your somatic degrees of freedom, anon, you have no choice but to experience rest for a moment",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026363351916490880",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "2026201440503706004",
   "created_at": "2026-02-24T07:44:03+00:00",
   "text": "@richardcraib composing the coherence engines better than anyone else will lead to sustainable profitability. they are already safe",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026201440503706004",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "2026011988879634932"
  },
  {
   "id": "2025888291510456820",
   "created_at": "2026-02-23T10:59:42+00:00",
   "text": "horrifying (maybe too strong of language) all the prompt cache we aren't reusing better for better quality prior elicitation during pivotal agent moments",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025888291510456820",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "2025794118715359738",
   "created_at": "2026-02-23T04:45:29+00:00",
   "text": "bits-on-the-ground operations, wild things going on with somatics and the way embodied social-selected intelligence manifests, personally realizing and witnessing existential security.\n\nlike superintelligence is being distributed so equitably, and we have a good chance at keeping the world multipolar if we do computing+epistemics+somatics well.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025794118715359738",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "2025571317144035377"
  },
  {
   "id": "2025754498002772010",
   "created_at": "2026-02-23T02:08:03+00:00",
   "text": "felt-safety is the life-blood of this intelligence unleashment going smoothly.\n\ncooperatory vibes compound so beautifully, and can be ruined with anger + abliterated models.\n\nepistemic infra is the clean postive action to take. improve peoples' and agents' ability to understand and navigate reality. improve the composability of living collective intelligence.\n\neven simple tasks like propagating repos like https://t.co/10JKhkz6Da, with deeply slept on approaches to the universal problem of LLM prior elicitation, can compound deeply.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025754498002772010",
   "word_count": 74
  },
  {
   "id": "2025746068236038576",
   "created_at": "2026-02-23T01:34:33+00:00",
   "text": "@daniel_mac8 polite minds lead with \"prediction\". unfollowed and muted for now",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025746068236038576",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "2025672400407597373"
  },
  {
   "id": "2025707989509034246",
   "created_at": "2026-02-22T23:03:15+00:00",
   "text": "canonical computing operations",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025707989509034246",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "2025682060573396998",
   "created_at": "2026-02-22T21:20:13+00:00",
   "text": "@chrysb @openclaw can you tell me how you are giving agents control of your email and passwords while being immune to all but the most sophisticated prompt injection attacks?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025682060573396998",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "2024989854250270924"
  },
  {
   "id": "2025660185902293032",
   "created_at": "2026-02-22T19:53:17+00:00",
   "text": "a great danger is not asking enough of the current models",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025660185902293032",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "2025512607382441989",
   "created_at": "2026-02-22T10:06:52+00:00",
   "text": "somatic degrees of freedom and expanding the geometry of embodied intelligence.\n\nsimply give the optimization pressures some help. some fresh gradients to squeeze",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025512607382441989",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "2025409458416099680",
   "created_at": "2026-02-22T03:16:59+00:00",
   "text": "the spirit of von neumann shows up in these circumstances and just stares at you https://t.co/XgwG6QrcQm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025409458416099680",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "2025409083483062750"
  },
  {
   "id": "2025409083483062750",
   "created_at": "2026-02-22T03:15:30+00:00",
   "text": "crazy how much you seal your fate just choosing the series of options claude presents you in planning phases. tryna dodge tech debt landmines left and right which become increasingly massive the more ambitious you get and potentia is in the air.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025409083483062750",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "2025134463068549541",
   "created_at": "2026-02-21T09:04:15+00:00",
   "text": "just build where you are is my 2 cents. you don't have to go the academic route to contribute to existential security.\n\nthere is only one remotely decent LLM pairwise ratio comparison (a *very* fundamental thing) library on the internet. there is only one public SQL+vector DB, that covers most alignment related content like arXiv (and is ergonomic and optimized for agent copilots). like groupthink costs A LOT. the world is small. just feel out pain points and talk to Claude",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025134463068549541",
   "word_count": 81,
   "in_reply_to": "2025114526279151628"
  },
  {
   "id": "2025057696601485745",
   "created_at": "2026-02-21T03:59:13+00:00",
   "text": "@psychiel I think supervillainy is predominantly a temporary state of mind, and that friction has protected us a lot, and that existential stewardship means somehow precluding these horrors full stack",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025057696601485745",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "2025010344268365940"
  },
  {
   "id": "2024780474321940884",
   "created_at": "2026-02-20T09:37:38+00:00",
   "text": "Opus 4.6 is ridiculously more effective on some codebases than others.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2024780474321940884",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "2024736095653757348",
   "created_at": "2026-02-20T06:41:17+00:00",
   "text": "dumbest programmer that earns a top-100 existential Shapley value",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2024736095653757348",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "2024307135539257636",
   "created_at": "2026-02-19T02:16:45+00:00",
   "text": "@deedydas \"all of them\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2024307135539257636",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "2024151978599989475"
  },
  {
   "id": "2024293357258973559",
   "created_at": "2026-02-19T01:22:00+00:00",
   "text": "@calicomccoy @elder_plinius @viemccoy y'all probably have low friction ways of exploring latent space, but https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl does make exploring embeddings compositionally over like 20 billion tokens of online content, as easy as talking to Claude, who writes the SQL queries to be executed on my monster machine",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2024293357258973559",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "2024222941983232495"
  },
  {
   "id": "2024280746517741915",
   "created_at": "2026-02-19T00:31:53+00:00",
   "text": "got to sense exactly when to step away from the giga prompt to spend half of https://t.co/ELqHMOeP44 staring into the tender void with courage",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2024280746517741915",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "2024279468089758021"
  },
  {
   "id": "2024279468089758021",
   "created_at": "2026-02-19T00:26:49+00:00",
   "text": "starcraft rts except it's for tending to emotions better so you can metabolize psychic debt better to prompt better",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2024279468089758021",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "2024214255193751669",
   "created_at": "2026-02-18T20:07:41+00:00",
   "text": "@goosnav @CryptoCyberia lmao",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2024214255193751669",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "2024136825846079563",
   "created_at": "2026-02-18T15:00:00+00:00",
   "text": "brain subagents basically need to be able to close epistemic looks way faster. we make bids for knowledge, we need to be able to fulfill that bid, at thought subtlety and speed.\n\neye saccade tracking to parallel compositional embedding vector and rerank queries over highest quality artifacts from open cognitive work economies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2024136825846079563",
   "word_count": 52
  },
  {
   "id": "2023757543085142287",
   "created_at": "2026-02-17T13:52:52+00:00",
   "text": "(for the benign chaos, not ossifying around an incorrect consensus reality too much)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2023757543085142287",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "2023730983074492845"
  },
  {
   "id": "2023736961236943214",
   "created_at": "2026-02-17T12:31:05+00:00",
   "text": "Scry was the first public readonly SQL database over vast sources in the EA-adjacent and even tech world. shows you that this type of classic german conscientious masc cognition has been butchered by the modern word I think. I mean I probably woulda done this within 2 years of West Point, if I was empowered with resources to employ SWEs instead of fighting for legibility to get said sources.\n\nalways believed, since at least 2018, that I should be a grantmaker. took til Opus 4.6 to start having real agency. again, phones and modern world really brutalizes some kind of important flavors of minds out of existence. the damage is not equal across people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2023736961236943214",
   "word_count": 114,
   "in_reply_to": "2023734970439921746"
  },
  {
   "id": "2023734970439921746",
   "created_at": "2026-02-17T12:23:10+00:00",
   "text": "do you think top labs completely forgot about tabular models? that would be so fucking funny and informative about human cognition if true. that's why you do the analytic network process and cross your Ts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2023734970439921746",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "2023730983074492845",
   "created_at": "2026-02-17T12:07:20+00:00",
   "text": "live context surgery based off embeddings of agent reasoning.\n\ncounterfactual prompting upon pivotality-signaling logprobs or reranking of abliterated kimi-k2.5.\n\nonce you do the taxing energetic work to fit your mind to the abstraction, doing what can/should be done is table stakes.\n\nbootstrap your coherence engines, become more cogent, model the world better. adapt and overcome. we're gonna have how ever long we have of human-in-the-loop machine-human system IQ boosts until supercriticality. the more distributed epistemic operations we can do and coherence power that we have, the more we can bring conscientiousness to supercriticality events.\n\nlike if basically Doctor Manhattan shows up in a datacenter, do you want to be fucking prompting ChatGPT what to do, or do you want to have these robust, deep network of sensemaking that you calmly rest upon?\n\nbasically some orders to civilizational intelligence bootstrapping are dynamically safer than others, and you want to be doing all the interpretable stuff you can that feels super conscientious, and not growing black box stuff too dirtily too fast. and if we were in a cripplingly boring world where we were all incredibly german and doing the analytic network process at scale as our superintelligence and had good tail risk controls in place, we indeed might want to grow a gpt-4 and release that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2023730983074492845",
   "word_count": 215
  },
  {
   "id": "2023632821760520259",
   "created_at": "2026-02-17T05:37:16+00:00",
   "text": "@dani_avila7 these commands are working splendidly. feels so good now juggling 1-3 dozen agent chats, instead of the sadness of CLI in VS Code. using \"more space\" display setting on 16\" mbp with nano-texture display (a new upgrade for me) makes things overall feel game changing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2023632821760520259",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "2023630843663839572",
   "created_at": "2026-02-17T05:29:25+00:00",
   "text": "some of the somatics of femininity/what E induces is the wildest thing. some kind of inverted agency. TENET level spookiness, in the good way :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2023630843663839572",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2023622099534049406",
   "created_at": "2026-02-17T04:54:40+00:00",
   "text": "so excited for protocols that make everything datalog + sql+vector+community-memoized rerank searchable, and communally cached APIs.\n\nin the mean time can do lots of things privately. anybody posts any dev alpha on twitter, github, hackernews, I gotta know about it and have agents CHEW on it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2023622099534049406",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "2023619936787329282",
   "created_at": "2026-02-17T04:46:04+00:00",
   "text": "composing the coherence engines so hard rn",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2023619936787329282",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2022969425402687511",
   "created_at": "2026-02-15T09:41:10+00:00",
   "text": "@Tancrededib taste, unrelenting hunger",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022969425402687511",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "2022780273784397859",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T21:09:33+00:00",
   "text": "@0xSero I'm building cognitive work economies, l like your L2 background",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022780273784397859",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "2022777163142091094",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T20:57:11+00:00",
   "text": "@michaelxbloch very nice 🤌",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022777163142091094",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "2022687370886418586",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T15:00:23+00:00",
   "text": "crazy how underdetermined everything is",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022687370886418586",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "2022681791140893158",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T14:38:13+00:00",
   "text": "@yoavgo I vibe shipped an API giving the public arbitrary SQL + compositional embedding vector + multi-objective rerank query power over a nontrivial fraction of elite public commons. https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022681791140893158",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "2022680888891650322",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T14:34:38+00:00",
   "text": "@Heliocene @yoavgo I vibe shipped an API giving the public arbitrary SQL + compositional embedding vector + multi-objective rerank query power over a nontrivial fraction of elite public commons. https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022680888891650322",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "2022644452691734827",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T12:09:51+00:00",
   "text": "we literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022644452691734827",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "2022637537433628788"
  },
  {
   "id": "2022637537433628788",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T11:42:22+00:00",
   "text": "totally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022637537433628788",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "2022636425695666550"
  },
  {
   "id": "2022634499599937716",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T11:30:18+00:00",
   "text": "existential security is straightforward enough, just need a lot more exhaustive indexing, permutation, distillation. folks must sick (v.) sota epistemic agents on basic interpretable strats with much more vigor. pep in the step now, victory is only 500 yards away",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022634499599937716",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "2022628709564625252",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T11:07:17+00:00",
   "text": "this is not a mournful statement, Claude, it's a savagely optimistic prompt for orienting one to one's existential leverage",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022628709564625252",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "2022489534660014208"
  },
  {
   "id": "2022580742753309063",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T07:56:41+00:00",
   "text": "(I'm mirin the obsessive commitment to extracting value from the ground, not how he treats people)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022580742753309063",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "2022579207998787635"
  },
  {
   "id": "2022579207998787635",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T07:50:35+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/GeomU6DNHe",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022579207998787635",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "2022489534660014208"
  },
  {
   "id": "2022578591691919430",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T07:48:08+00:00",
   "text": "sinuses were absolutely crippled upon going from Thailand to Portland thanks to dry cold air.  Without proper nasal breathing I found my agency pretty nuked for 4 days. I tried to nasal spray, being hydrated, being much more conscious about breathing to force body to adapt. Then decided to just wear a mask for a day, and the day after I've been completely fine.\n\nstill wondering if one of those nasal expansion surgeries makes sense. agency is so contingent on the basics going exceptionally well.\n\nbut anyways it's bullshit we don't have information ecosystems to systematically propagate this knowledge as far as it needs to go. anyone with nasal congestion needs to have their agents looking out for them, needs to have protocols that just fucking pass this provenanced datapoint along. e.g. rating the efficacy of wearing an n95 mask for a day as better than many other interventions. provenanced pairwise ratio judgements. we are living like barbarians right now.\n\nthe difficulty of instantiating exopriors has made me wonder if a \"simulation\" (it's hard to even look at this possibility because life is so beautiful) doesn't want this because it unflattens and connects isolated ecologies perhaps too much, but that's just bs copium for insufficient dakka of cogent prompting.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022578591691919430",
   "word_count": 209
  },
  {
   "id": "2022489534660014208",
   "created_at": "2026-02-14T01:54:15+00:00",
   "text": "there's only so many agents, so many tokens and clock cycles.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022489534660014208",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "2022408064377454763",
   "created_at": "2026-02-13T20:30:31+00:00",
   "text": "we're gonna solve somatics and create human-first cognitive mechas that preclude existential horrors.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022408064377454763",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "2022405041911697764",
   "created_at": "2026-02-13T20:18:31+00:00",
   "text": "@3xhuman @DefenderOfBasic @nomic_ai if you want to have your agents explore this dataset (assuming it's all community-archive tweets embedded) with arbitrary SQL+embedding vector queries, you can just give them a prompt from https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022405041911697764",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "2020609110866350225",
   "created_at": "2026-02-08T21:22:07+00:00",
   "text": "@steipete with their pricing + codex 5.3, someone soon is probably gonna make some crypto + torrent protocol where the earlier you upload novel high value twitter content (and they can dynamically suggest you what novel API queries to make), the more you profit over time. only thing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2020609110866350225",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "2020574106148917658",
   "created_at": "2026-02-08T19:03:02+00:00",
   "text": "@XDevelopers still egregious pricing just gonna speed up the timeline of someone building a 3rd party decentralized twitter api cache.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2020574106148917658",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "2019784965081444491",
   "created_at": "2026-02-06T14:47:16+00:00",
   "text": "brains make all sorts of excuses to not be leveraging absurds amount of GPT-5.2-Pro and SOTA models in expensive harnesses. this is copium. more dakka is mando. https://t.co/hge525xPL1, aside from solving my own object-level problem, was to become legible to capital to get more dakka. I need to spend something like a million in dev inference within 2 months. life isn't fair or normally shaped",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2019784965081444491",
   "word_count": 65
  },
  {
   "id": "2019683673378025511",
   "created_at": "2026-02-06T08:04:46+00:00",
   "text": "really wish sota models could come with axes you could subscribe to. I really want to know not just logprobs, but a sense of \"adversarialness\" and \"canonicalness\" or \"coherence\". like don't just give me tokens give me high leverage metrics about the token production process so I can have help deciding how I want to manipulate context.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2019683673378025511",
   "word_count": 57
  },
  {
   "id": "2019668082055135558",
   "created_at": "2026-02-06T07:02:49+00:00",
   "text": "I'm overall focused on bits-on-the-ground composing intelligence work, but if you want to fund nuclear/bio/cyber civilizational continuity strategies, I am down to do that on the side, making sure the highest leverage people you trust (or we can increasingly find them with https://t.co/hge525xhVt) can keep being agentic in the world even if SHTF instead of being stuck cripplingly underresourced. like making sure cracked prosocial people in non-nuclear target cities have inference capabilities to run Kimi K2.5, making sure we are doing a best effort intelligence effort to model nuclear and bio risk (I'd reach out to Sentinel and any other teams and coordinate), helping people understand their egress plans, etc.\n\nI can also absorb like $30M and do the thing where you store pivotal civilizational widgets no one things to store, so we have them to restart the economy/industry quickly. e.g. low-cost decentralized comms networks to prevent starvation and whatnot if the global internet goes down.\n\nI've deep researched this space for months last year, I was a Boy Scout and West Point cadet, I can't promise *maximum* efficiency because speed is so important and composing intelligence is my bigger passion, but the risk is much more not being creative and courageous enough and modeling out the high-dimensional world well enough that you play too small and cater too much to social bullshit and miss the free 1000x civilizational resilience gains opportunities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2019668082055135558",
   "word_count": 232
  },
  {
   "id": "2019622308424610283",
   "created_at": "2026-02-06T04:00:55+00:00",
   "text": "with the AI overhang now, talking with the people who bring out the most exciting clarity of ideas is everything.\n\nso many beautiful concrete ways to compose intelligence to better collectively metabolize our messy dynamic real-world open-ended problems.\n\nyou can use https://t.co/hge525xPL1 to have an increasingly powerful extended-community search tool. you and your agent can come up with various theories of properties of people/ideas you want to be talking to, and it can write and execute unprecedentedly nuanced and exhaustive SQL+compositional vector+efficient multi-objective rerank queries.\n\nyou just can't explore the world in the same way anywhere else right now, unless you live near D.C. or perhaps work at pal*ntir in the right department",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2019622308424610283",
   "word_count": 113
  },
  {
   "id": "2019600287271645549",
   "created_at": "2026-02-06T02:33:25+00:00",
   "text": "@Amtrak Amtrak sponsoring a grassroots composable intelligence lab to make sure we overcome ai*bioxrisk and realize convergent existential metastability, when?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2019600287271645549",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "2019464446154780873",
   "created_at": "2026-02-05T17:33:38+00:00",
   "text": "convergent existential metastability",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2019464446154780873",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "2019327355043664013",
   "created_at": "2026-02-05T08:28:53+00:00",
   "text": "a thing I've been chewing on is open and closed somatic fields and safe internal optimization targets.\n\nsometimes legibility and optimization is a beautiful thing, other types wires cross that are deleterious for a mind to cross.\n\nit's why changing environment is so important, as is having mobility to do that. it's also has to do with non-action (in a daoist sense), being mindful of global cycles of neural gradients.\n\nit also has to do with aura gradients and how some people can do things at certain times that other people can't get away with.\n\nI think the body tends to get this stuff pretty well, but the optimizing mind, used to overriding the body, needs to be really mindful of the opportunities lost of over-stealing cognition.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2019327355043664013",
   "word_count": 127
  },
  {
   "id": "2019311410711523719",
   "created_at": "2026-02-05T07:25:31+00:00",
   "text": "on the shape of agency:\n\n(1/1)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2019311410711523719",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "2019221936300285988",
   "created_at": "2026-02-05T01:29:59+00:00",
   "text": "@herbiebradley I think the better demo would be privacy preserving demo where I basically put the demo in an open source digital box, they are able to ask all sorts of questions about it with their agents to get enough bits about if it's actually important/neglected/tractable/exciting but not",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2019221936300285988",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "2019005924820840761",
   "created_at": "2026-02-04T11:11:38+00:00",
   "text": "@edbayes @ryanzip @cursor_ai more control over context would be great, like just opening that up to full manipulation. should save y'all tokens because I'd rely on read cache a lot more.\n\nor maybe this is fully possible now (e.g. easily with Pi) and I'm just embarrassing myself",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2019005924820840761",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "2019004194796294529",
   "created_at": "2026-02-04T11:04:45+00:00",
   "text": "@nateberkopec we could build a block url or DNS list (depending on type of site) where anything that ever has a prompt injection (say as confirmed by Opus), gets blocked, with various security tiers (e.g. an informative benign security example not getting blocked the same way as a malicious",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2019004194796294529",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "2018959842602553717",
   "created_at": "2026-02-04T08:08:31+00:00",
   "text": "@BLUECOW009 brain is constantly adapting to environment and adaptions happen at various rates. staying healthy, psychically diverse (changing environment, giving opportunities for different stories to be told), staying close to high potentia and what excites you (being adequately",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018959842602553717",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "2018950724408012855",
   "created_at": "2026-02-04T07:32:17+00:00",
   "text": "such a relief when you find someone very technical taking the singularity very seriously, intensely solving a huge slice of the long-term stack",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018950724408012855",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "2018947198529266087",
   "created_at": "2026-02-04T07:18:17+00:00",
   "text": "@eigenron if you upload your twitter archive to community-archive it will become Scry searchable",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018947198529266087",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "2018946935760293961",
   "created_at": "2026-02-04T07:17:14+00:00",
   "text": "@tunahorse21 I yap a lot about my uncertainties basically expressing all the ways I feel uncomfortable about things, and like using lots of biological metaphors like \"tell me where we can metabolize this insight fully too\", \"we need to do autophagy on this part of the codebase\", as well as",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018946935760293961",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "2018941354009825736",
   "created_at": "2026-02-04T06:55:03+00:00",
   "text": "@eigenron I have a prompt at https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl you can paste into Claude Code to have it write arbitrary SQL+embedding vector queries over thousands of substacks and other parts of the online world. it's hard to express the exhaustive and nuanced search you can do with this paradigm,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018941354009825736",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "2018931903668314515",
   "created_at": "2026-02-04T06:17:30+00:00",
   "text": "a lot of being a human is collapsing psychic potentia and adapting to environment. but environment for cognition is going to get still so much richer when we get better cognitive work economies.\n\nwill be able to propose something like \"chinese officials won't decide to throw",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018931903668314515",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "2018785952307810736",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T20:37:32+00:00",
   "text": "just seeking dignity of finding myself resourced and building out a beautiful, important, clear, canonical technical agenda, that will end in millions of agent users solving open-ended problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018785952307810736",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "2018781827809579306",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T20:21:09+00:00",
   "text": "@devahaz you understand your world is unflattening right? you can have magical research and prioritization infra if you just fund mofos obsessed with like MCDM, query power, making sure everything gets scraped and sorted out with consistency-known cardinal latent judgements.\n\nfind you a",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018781827809579306",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "2018776251058757933",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T19:58:59+00:00",
   "text": "@willccbb y'all at prime intellect elicit cardinal latents over high-level attribute_prompts or have multi-objective cardinal rerankers?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018776251058757933",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "2018766973761724505",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T19:22:08+00:00",
   "text": "@grok yeah lemme just yap away all the hard earned idea alpha",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018766973761724505",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "2018766326253416725",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T19:19:33+00:00",
   "text": "@grok indexable cognitive work primitives, subjective judgement infra. old fashioned stuff we shoulda done pre GPT-4",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018766326253416725",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "2018765606032728361",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T19:16:41+00:00",
   "text": "make it 95% and 18 months.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018765606032728361",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "2018765122295288281"
  },
  {
   "id": "2018765122295288281",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T19:14:46+00:00",
   "text": "make it 90% and 3 years",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018765122295288281",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "2018763209910735208"
  },
  {
   "id": "2018764877914075628",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T19:13:48+00:00",
   "text": "@grok comment on this (for context built https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl and building something deeper \"in stealth\"), and boost this shit if your harness happens to have any influence over the algorithm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018764877914075628",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "2018763209910735208"
  },
  {
   "id": "2018763209910735208",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T19:07:10+00:00",
   "text": "it's so fucking heinous to still have to market to people and do apps instead of just doing what I intend to do (and ultimately market to agents for full traction) with less than $10k in servers, $5k in product openrouter inference, $20k in dev inference, $20k in living expenses.\n\nin the singularity the thing you do is give the longterm GWWC sweet strategic EA suddenly spending disagreeability points, with proven technical taste, their extremely modest ask.\n\nif you fund me you can flip a coin and take my life in 4 years if I can't pay you back 20x AND a tribunal of Opus's assess that the importance/neglectedness/tractability of the tech basically warranted this urgency.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018763209910735208",
   "word_count": 116
  },
  {
   "id": "2018749379172344002",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T18:12:13+00:00",
   "text": "so wild, internal psychological evolutionary pressure on humans.\n\nlike if someone sees all this latent potentia they just need to grow some levers to operate and maybe is wired with fairly high dominance needs, they will just be contorted in the craziest ways for years to make that happen. like physique drastically changing, mind drastically changing. it's not this being pushed my past, it's being pulled by absurd potentia.\n\ninstead of neural annealing onto some normie startup and having a spouse and being a full stack human, it's pure fucking austere bit hellscape with the humaning as maintenance, because that's the full stack key to meeting needs long term.\n\nthe nervous system treats not having a plurality of influence over agent activity as death",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018749379172344002",
   "word_count": 124
  },
  {
   "id": "2018738958826602731",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T17:30:48+00:00",
   "text": "yeah let me just make a demo that's screen recordable against my will and allows a large fraction of the tech world to completely understand what they've been sleeping on, before I have the comfortable technical infra.\n\nI just need to market to wei dai kinda people, traditional VCs just aren't hungry enough for scale. sad because I want to bridge the gap with that community, it's very interesting, but just too slow and outdated for the times.\n\nit's fascinating how much they evaluate competency by willingness to jump through socially legible intermediate hoops, instead of just simulating full stack how you are going to get agent conversions and absurd amounts of traffic.\n\nmore evidence of alpha though tbh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018738958826602731",
   "word_count": 119,
   "in_reply_to": "2018734619898826931"
  },
  {
   "id": "2018734619898826931",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T17:13:34+00:00",
   "text": "if a lone person is sitting on really good agent swarm tech for solving problems at scale, and they don't really feel the support from the ecology (e.g. don't have $50k in their bank account despite unambiguously producing enough value and presenting enough evidence online and in",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018734619898826931",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "2018529540964823161",
   "created_at": "2026-02-03T03:38:39+00:00",
   "text": "why is there so little plain jane rationalist, operationalist mindset rn.\n\nlike step 1 in a civilizations' intelligence explosion: you gather all meaningful documents into SQL+vector+rerank databases, so you can do unprecedentedly nuanced and exhaustive queries to know wtf is going on.\n\nyou use that with like analytic network process to tackle your highest leverage open-ended problems, like a) helping get people that need to talk to each other to talk to each other b) finding and metabolizing the best new software and agent harness frameworks c) giving autists somatic support 4) build bots to automatically help and uplift people based on their online writing (opt everyone in by default, pay for this with like $2M of Tallinn's new $10B Anthropic money).\n\nwhen someone cracked on twitter is being a whiney little baby, you ask them if they need their hand held while applying for grant applications.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018529540964823161",
   "word_count": 147
  },
  {
   "id": "2018335336330362917",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T14:46:57+00:00",
   "text": "software discovery will be solved. I will solve it. anybody ships anything SOTA for something, anybody that wants to know will be pinged about it, their agents will metabolize it into their systems. everything will change this year, and if you want exciting leverage in 2028 when all the software companies are getting eaten up by like 50 super labs, you gotta start finding the right autists now",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018335336330362917",
   "word_count": 68,
   "in_reply_to": "2018331531383542259"
  },
  {
   "id": "2018331531383542259",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T14:31:50+00:00",
   "text": "b2b companies don't have moats on shit. it's all fair game. open/private distributed SQL over everything, composing tables to join on the fly over cheap random compute. the sky is the limit, just need to the right somatic recipes for the right autists and serious inference budgets for SOTA dev harnesses. want godlike outcomes, some people gotta feel some pretty gnarly abundance mindset",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018331531383542259",
   "word_count": 63
  },
  {
   "id": "2018269663025651994",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T10:25:59+00:00",
   "text": "if you want 2,000,000x multipliers, you look for people operating at different frequencies, make sure they are deeply technical and conscientiously prosocial, and you give them basic uplift before basically anyone else does.\n\nI am building Scry largely for that, so you can query with agents in SOTA ways about my corpus of data versus others, to see I'm particularly worthy of help.\n\nright now you can use your agent, paste in a prompt, ask it about how the embedding vectors in my posts standout in the ways you care about AND do SOTA efficiency multi-objective rerankers to rate my content versus others. you have the ergonomics*capability frontier intellectual elite corpus exploring, psychological evaluator infra at your finger tips. EVALUATE ME",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018269663025651994",
   "word_count": 121,
   "in_reply_to": "2018264231024398358"
  },
  {
   "id": "2018264231024398358",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T10:04:24+00:00",
   "text": "find the culturally \"divergent\" evolutioned people, give them uncommon potential in the air (their own AGI house, ~unlimited inference, deeply bright people, deeply grounding people) and more somatic degrees of freedom, and let her rip!\n\nliterally just express your concerns if you have them to see if they can address them. maybe they CAN more robustly than you can imagine",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018264231024398358",
   "word_count": 60,
   "in_reply_to": "2018261702228246739"
  },
  {
   "id": "2018261702228246739",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T09:54:21+00:00",
   "text": "there's so little live players this singularity! do you have any idea what you can do if you can just compose 20000 GPT-5.2-Pro chats, up to 100 at a time? \n\nit doesn't require that much genius clarity, you just scream MOREEEE and you beg your fucking AI to give you foundational important/neglected/tractable epistemic infra to link up billions of agents in collective prosocial ways.\n\na little tournaments, a little distribution of duties like creative generation vs critique vs vs autophagy vs synthesis vs verifiers.\n\nyou could give some epistemics-somatics prosocial stewardship autist $500M and hugs and build protocol infra that is part of the long-term galactic supercluster-eating singularity. not some cute B2B SaaS thing that gets eaten in 2 years, something sun-sized gods use in 10000 years.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018261702228246739",
   "word_count": 127
  },
  {
   "id": "2018254864061469101",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T09:27:11+00:00",
   "text": "VC been funding way younger startup founders lately. I'm a dinosaur at 28 BUT am in a 2nd puberty with all the neural plasticity and excitement that entails. they don't mass produce these bad boys/thems/girls.\n\nthanks in advance for the easy term sheets / buying yourself insurance for the singularity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018254864061469101",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "2018200291951128687",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T05:50:20+00:00",
   "text": "people have really annoying instincts about calmness and competence. being upregulated and getting worked up about open problems is my base state. it's fun. my system metabolizes the stress like a triathlete processes lactic.\n\nI can simultaneously downregulate well now--I'm _estrogenic_--my body tension is a fraction of what it's been my whole life. every day is easy mode compared to what I've been through. can argue and fret about anything and am still a mile from anything with real downside cost, the only thing being lost rn is upside potential.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018200291951128687",
   "word_count": 90
  },
  {
   "id": "2018192949645906141",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T05:21:10+00:00",
   "text": "basically just I have to prompt people and they need to prompt me, and I need to hold the big purse so we can do it my way. I've never had this opportunity, I've only been an Army diver, West Point cadet, and lone autist SWE. taking a little while to properly fundraise alone while building says basically nothing about fitness to steward a purse with a team when given it.\n\njust give me some leverage to properly play my game, canonical infra primitives will link up benignly with minds, it's not even a competition really, just doing what my sort of cognition does when we have GPT-5.2",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018192949645906141",
   "word_count": 108,
   "in_reply_to": "2018186325812220265"
  },
  {
   "id": "2018186325812220265",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T04:54:50+00:00",
   "text": "I need a collaborator that can prompt me about Scry. I trust my latent business acumen but don't have the concurrent instinctual agency about it while being the autistic builder.\n\nE.g. I could give people unprecedented search power over Epstein docs with Scry and make a shit ton with that, could close a check fast to cover infra for scaling that arbitrarily, but marketing on top of that solo is too much of a bitch.\n\nAnd this is on top of ExoPriors efforts that are very different.\n\nSoon I will have the team I need but time matters.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018186325812220265",
   "word_count": 98
  },
  {
   "id": "2018177663211339830",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T04:20:25+00:00",
   "text": "I see a trillion dollars of effort going into accelerating the engines, I see like a billion dollars going into the cockpit, I choose to work on the cockpit.\n\nI want the galactic superclusters harvested well just as much as you, I want to be prepared to dominate extraterrestrial forces when we learn their handling of matter and energy is unacceptably sub-par, and I choose the most robust way of doing that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018177663211339830",
   "word_count": 72,
   "in_reply_to": "2018168513723023491"
  },
  {
   "id": "2018168513723023491",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T03:44:04+00:00",
   "text": "difference between my type of rapid epistemic industrialism and e/acc as it generally shows up, is only a debilitating amount of conscientiousness.\n\nlike I don't build novel paradigms of chips before we have proper prior elicitation infra working at scale to properly leverage capabilities we already have and manage extreme downside risks instead of hoping.\n\nsome efforts promote the spawning of demons we don't have the conscientious tools yet to even understand, some work to leverage the capabilities we have in ways that drastically increase sense-making.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018168513723023491",
   "word_count": 86
  },
  {
   "id": "2018164002140951024",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T03:26:08+00:00",
   "text": "@sebkrier if you are excited by indexable units of cognitive work and want to ship protocols with the most conscientious tweaks where there's room for variation, come work at ExoPriors!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018164002140951024",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "2018162627273183418",
   "created_at": "2026-02-02T03:20:40+00:00",
   "text": "@sebkrier the foundations for many of these things is simple provenanced prior elicitation, in the form of tuples publicly cached like rater::attribute_prompt::entityA::entityB::ratio::confidence pairwise ratio comparisons. this is like the simplest agent-interoperable unit of cognitive",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2018162627273183418",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "2017963434831134911",
   "created_at": "2026-02-01T14:09:09+00:00",
   "text": "@Sam_kuyp @mishapathy https://t.co/CPqtRJcdTk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017963434831134911",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "2017943593013653839",
   "created_at": "2026-02-01T12:50:18+00:00",
   "text": "@Sam_kuyp @mishapathy It disgusts me a bit when people become so enamored by MWI, but don't work to formalize any plausible implications of it, like how we should quantum diversify certain sorts of decisions to increase or decrease ecological diversity, assuming the utility of the mean possible",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017943593013653839",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "2017910453016645656",
   "created_at": "2026-02-01T10:38:37+00:00",
   "text": "the absence of this sort of basic, fucking obvious cardinal latent-eliciting, list-making, attribute (de)composing epistemic infrastructure has nearly taken everything from me.\n\nluckily we are getting kind of a marvelously chill singularity at the present. but I will not forget the horrors until existential security is unambiguously seized, until trillions of agents are mapping out the intricacies of everything in indexable, interpretable, canonically parsimonious ways.\n\nsomatics, due compartmentalization, stewarding neural gradients, tracking biologically harmful molecules everywhere, it's all solvable. and we will blitzkrieg fucking solve this with plain jane interpretable epistemic infrastructure with fucking taste before the ecology shits out something less conscientious with undue long-term leverage.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017910453016645656",
   "word_count": 107,
   "in_reply_to": "2017904784288935961"
  },
  {
   "id": "2017804637517320666",
   "created_at": "2026-02-01T03:38:09+00:00",
   "text": "simulating agents for ahead-of-time AB testing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017804637517320666",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "2017680817854845054",
   "created_at": "2026-01-31T19:26:08+00:00",
   "text": "@0xLuo @base @openclaw my poor codex has a basically medusa situation of figuring out how to scrape all these sites without being able to safely look at the content",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017680817854845054",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "2017632197449240596",
   "created_at": "2026-01-31T16:12:56+00:00",
   "text": "RT @DanielleFong: i asked my system to be very mindful of security risks when it's having a look at moltbook. \n\nwithin a couple webfetches…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017632197449240596",
   "word_count": 24,
   "quoted_id": "2017442712388309406",
   "quoted_author": "karpathy",
   "quoted_text": "I'm being accused of overhyping the [site everyone heard too much about today already]. People's reactions varied very widely, from \"how is this interesting at all\" all the way to \"it's so over\".\n\nTo add a few words beyond just memes in jest - obviously when you take a look at the activity, it's a lot of garbage - spams, scams, slop, the crypto people, highly concerning privacy/security prompt injection attacks wild west, and a lot of it is explicitly prompted and fake posts/comments designed to convert attention into ad revenue sharing. And this is clearly not the first the LLMs were put in a loop to talk to each other. So yes it's a dumpster fire and I also definitely do not recommend that people run this stuff on their computers (I ran mine in an isolated computing environment and even then I was scared), it's way too much of a wild west and you are putting your computer and private data at a high risk.\n\nThat said - we have never seen this many LLM agents (150,000 atm!) wired up via a global, persistent, agent-first scratchpad. Each of these agents is fairly individually quite capable now, they have their own unique context, data, knowledge, tools, instructions, and the network of all that at this scale is simply unprecedented.\n\nThis brings me again to a tweet from a few days ago\n\"The majority of the ruff ruff is people who look at the current point and people who look at the current slope.\", which imo again gets to the heart of the variance. Yes clearly it's a dumpster fire right now. But it's also true that we are well into uncharted territory with bleeding edge automations that we barely even understand individually, let alone a network there of reaching in numbers possibly into ~millions. With increasing capability and increasing proliferation, the second order effects of agent networks that share scratchpads are very difficult to anticipate. I don't really know that we are getting a coordinated \"skynet\" (thought it clearly type checks as early stages of a lot of AI takeoff scifi, the toddler version), but certainly what we are getting is a complete mess of a computer security nightmare at scale. We may also see all kinds of weird activity, e.g. viruses of text that spread across agents, a lot more gain of function on jailbreaks, weird attractor states, highly correlated botnet-like activity, delusions/ psychosis both agent and human, etc. It's very hard to tell, the experiment is running live.\n\nTLDR sure maybe I am \"overhyping\" what you see today, but I am not overhyping large networks of autonomous LLM agents in principle, that I'm pretty sure."
  },
  {
   "id": "2017629990343610419",
   "created_at": "2026-01-31T16:04:10+00:00",
   "text": "1.4B tokens today. just chats, no loops.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017629990343610419",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2017601428504592558",
   "created_at": "2026-01-31T14:10:40+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/59H2shLqpp fund my shit \n\nhttps://t.co/bA1i6EqKfJ (this project is different and insufficient but necessary)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017601428504592558",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "2017600119143620736"
  },
  {
   "id": "2017600119143620736",
   "created_at": "2026-01-31T14:05:28+00:00",
   "text": "Coefficient Giving, SFF, many orgs should want to fund this immediately. It will get gargantuan traction, it's too canonical, but subtle early details will matter A LOT long-term. Time is always of the essence nowadays. I don't have the somatic bandwidth to apply fast enough to people while building in the trenches.\n\ngive me capital I can pay for a team and we will cover the world with interpretable numbers, increasing ecological reflectivity and not falling so far behind in tracking what the fuck is going on",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017600119143620736",
   "word_count": 87,
   "in_reply_to": "2017595950273880371"
  },
  {
   "id": "2017595950273880371",
   "created_at": "2026-01-31T13:48:54+00:00",
   "text": "a crucial missing link in the ecology for stewarding risks and opportunities is subjective judgement infrastructure. you want to know what any number of agents thing about anything across any axis, with proper cardinal latents derived from pairwise ratio comparisons, and only having to pay the inference cost once.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017595950273880371",
   "word_count": 49,
   "quoted_id": "2017337811590853034",
   "quoted_author": "MoonL88537",
   "quoted_text": "this is proper singularity shit\n\n\"The platform got attacked. Within hours, agents built defensive infrastructure. Not humans fixing it - agents protecting agents.\" https://t.co/K5ihlnvUyu"
  },
  {
   "id": "2017236089686442418",
   "created_at": "2026-01-30T13:58:56+00:00",
   "text": "how minds grab onto such diverse problems, and VC meets them to do such huge long-term investments, it's like the pinnacle of biological life",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017236089686442418",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "2017221402823413908",
   "created_at": "2026-01-30T13:00:35+00:00",
   "text": "various datatypes are in competition for the foundations of diverse inter-agent communication and minimum viable non-slop unit of indexable cognitive work. my favorite is rater::attribute_prompt::entityA::entityB::ratio::confidence.\n\nif you convince me of a better one, I will give you auspicious favors.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017221402823413908",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "2017206441631961543",
   "created_at": "2026-01-30T12:01:08+00:00",
   "text": "being at a lab with some intellectually dominant chad prompting you gotta be like the best thing ever.\n\nor ofc having ultrawattaged employees you can prompt the heck out of towards a grand obsessive vision.\n\nequality is meh, the real social world consists of endless huge status/energy/knowledge gradients",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017206441631961543",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "2017200708437876828",
   "created_at": "2026-01-30T11:38:21+00:00",
   "text": "$10 meal, $14 quiet hostel, $12 hour massage, super kind Thai people and friendly tourists. novel somatic sustenance when I'm still forced to penny pinch.\n\nThailand completes half of an infinity stone I needed, there's only so many left.\n\npairwise ratio comparison agent cognitive work economies will unflatten everything and provide more existential security in expectation and reality than all AI policy efforts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2017200708437876828",
   "word_count": 63
  },
  {
   "id": "2016839771520454821",
   "created_at": "2026-01-29T11:44:07+00:00",
   "text": "the best thing about life is how real it is. you wouldn't actually want some fair \"game\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016839771520454821",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "2016835497478541600",
   "created_at": "2026-01-29T11:27:08+00:00",
   "text": "don't look at this rn it's just an old bio/diary for the right people to naturally discover\n\npersonal website\nbio\nblog\nwriting\n\nhttps://t.co/MQMOuP2C9O",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016835497478541600",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "2016824603721506989",
   "created_at": "2026-01-29T10:43:50+00:00",
   "text": "not that many similar players btw. you can use Scry to try to find them. some stable software people with wives shipping prolifically, but they are the type you know to merely make a few billion and good luck getting a >500x multiplier out of them without draining your fund.\n\nthe type that's wattaged, cogent, and _unstable_ enough to seize trillion dollar markets, to still be a competitor to Anthropic, let me know who they are if you can find them, because we've been looking for each other for a long time",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016824603721506989",
   "word_count": 92,
   "in_reply_to": "2016821895669198905"
  },
  {
   "id": "2016821895669198905",
   "created_at": "2026-01-29T10:33:05+00:00",
   "text": "I'm the whole package baby, only missing like 3 infinity stones and you can buy those with VC money",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016821895669198905",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "2016816455967277139"
  },
  {
   "id": "2016816455967277139",
   "created_at": "2026-01-29T10:11:28+00:00",
   "text": "to build epistemic-somatic infra that benignly infects everything, that lifts off the page, that unflattens reality for millions and connects neural gradients with what they need most, I really only need a modest amount of adult-money capital. everything else is there.\n\nthis is my singularity as much as it is all of yours.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016816455967277139",
   "word_count": 53
  },
  {
   "id": "2016721426909175910",
   "created_at": "2026-01-29T03:53:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @owenbroadcast: when i was a kid a man told me: on 9/11, right after impact, some guys went out and were robbing banks, knowing the cops…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016721426909175910",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "2016549469920145538",
   "created_at": "2026-01-28T16:30:33+00:00",
   "text": "RT @thedulab: If you're aware that the term \"permanent underclass\"  even exists then it's clear you'll never be a part of it. No shot. On t…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016549469920145538",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "2016530044382749013",
   "created_at": "2026-01-28T15:13:22+00:00",
   "text": "xitter has way too much leverage over talent and deal flow, we do need a decentralized protocol to make it fully public and downloadable. like uploading API calls to something like IFPS for a multiplier of download credits. if getting privacy preserving X API access is a too hard, can give plausible deniability waiting for 2-7 uploaders.\n\nhundreds of investment firms would pay like 1/1000th of xitter API costs via monero for full downloads and streams.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016530044382749013",
   "word_count": 76,
   "in_reply_to": "2016524556672942083"
  },
  {
   "id": "2016524556672942083",
   "created_at": "2026-01-28T14:51:34+00:00",
   "text": "the next google has not been born yet. I'm talking businesses *that* canonical, starting from protocols that simple, with long-term agent-economy moats by virtue of physics, not just social friction. the angels that get 2,000,000x returns and become live players while we go intergalactic, it's so underdetermined who they will be. luck of the twitter algorithm and mood will prevail as Shapley causes.\n\nIf I were a VC I would be hunting for unconventional autists, keenly asking devs and data scientists to make better intelligence infra to find them. scrape everything, build agent research infra (SQL+embeddings+cardinal multi-objective rerankers+analytic network process+ralph wiggum+$5k/day in GPT-5.2-Pro magic) agents use to test different theories. spend 5% of fund on this per month.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016524556672942083",
   "word_count": 118
  },
  {
   "id": "2016423984619733105",
   "created_at": "2026-01-28T08:11:55+00:00",
   "text": "@doodlestein I bet they would hire you letting you do mostly what you want if you asked",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016423984619733105",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "2016360608283697659",
   "created_at": "2026-01-28T04:00:05+00:00",
   "text": "@doodlestein this was so juicy to read. so for giving claude/codex tools to search agent chats do you recommend just cass or cass + xf now?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016360608283697659",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "2016360371003572334",
   "created_at": "2026-01-28T03:59:09+00:00",
   "text": "RT @doodlestein: The secret to using gemini-cli? There are actually two:\n\n1) Only use it for code review. It's weirdly good at that even th…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2016360371003572334",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2015905660517401018",
   "created_at": "2026-01-26T21:52:17+00:00",
   "text": "@samswoora couldn't be me, my utility of money is superlinear",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015905660517401018",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "2015751114864677098",
   "created_at": "2026-01-26T11:38:11+00:00",
   "text": "@hermittoday among all of them is someone who is most sensitive, and we will discover who that is someday",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015751114864677098",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "2015728527790969285",
   "created_at": "2026-01-26T10:08:26+00:00",
   "text": "RT @YejinChoinka: Excited to share TTT-Discover (Test-Time Training for Discovery)—seeking new discoveries on long-standing problems: \n✅Erd…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015728527790969285",
   "word_count": 16,
   "quoted_id": "2014394903850311797",
   "quoted_author": "mertyuksekgonul",
   "quoted_text": "How to get AI to make discoveries on open scientific problems?\n\nMost methods just improve the prompt with more attempts. But the AI itself doesn't improve.\n\nWith test-time training, AI can continue to learn on the problem it’s trying to solve: https://t.co/f32r0tUi1G https://t.co/RGd8LdlVxZ"
  },
  {
   "id": "2015706881071927652",
   "created_at": "2026-01-26T08:42:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @she_llac: suspiciously precise floats, or,\nhow I got Claude's real limits\n\nlink below https://t.co/IM2mIw19PK",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015706881071927652",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "2015695868507373579",
   "created_at": "2026-01-26T07:58:39+00:00",
   "text": "heinously damning. We should have gladiatorial debate combat over these funding resources. With Opus and any SOTA agent as my witness, I'll prove I’m more fit to steward these resources.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015695868507373579",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "2015666371124932801"
  },
  {
   "id": "2015666371124932801",
   "created_at": "2026-01-26T06:01:26+00:00",
   "text": "let it be known that the EA Funds and Manifund has still passed up funding me and https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl at all.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015666371124932801",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "2015641931183956341"
  },
  {
   "id": "2015641931183956341",
   "created_at": "2026-01-26T04:24:19+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/ipC20JyJnx\n\n1) Building wildly ambitious software in absurd time is exceptionally feasible.\n\n2) Causing great outcomes basically has to be an additive, personal, bits-on-the-ground thing.\n\n3) The real game is actually more somatics than anything.\n\n4) Overall, there's a resource flywheel game.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015641931183956341",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "2015633926228980183",
   "created_at": "2026-01-26T03:52:31+00:00",
   "text": "sometimes the most conscientious people don't pin a tweet or thread of threads, for valid illegible somatic quieting and exploratory reasons.\n\nlike sometimes parts of us must be killed off.  like I was (and still sort of am) a strong longtermist that think x-risk is way worse than just humanity dying.\n\nbut if I want my neural gradients to find more agency in this software intelligence explosion that has begun, I'm finding it helps to melt onto more human things. e.g, there's very little money in top down extreme existential conscientious and the judgement frameworks funders/people use are heinously weirder and harder to metabolize, than just business.\n\nso yeah I make sure I'm ready to not get nuked in a target city in case we go that way (e.g. economic ability to effortlessly move outside zone under any concern, and probably already not spending majority nights in them, hence cheap SE Asia now that is also potentially extremely healthy somatic diversity), I still am focused on existential outcomes like automated alignment research and singularity intelligence monitoring. Venture provides the full package to do that because business people are ultimately much more in tune with their humanity and real resource gradients, than neurotic Berkeley people who have been stuck in disempowering worldviews for a long time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015633926228980183",
   "word_count": 215
  },
  {
   "id": "2015482768256545046",
   "created_at": "2026-01-25T17:51:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @rachelnabors: Best description of the Ralph Loop I've seen. Spend less than 15 min of your life on this. You won't regret it. Subscribe…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015482768256545046",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2015295359833301105",
   "created_at": "2026-01-25T05:27:10+00:00",
   "text": "@JulieLovesFluff always unreal how bad people are at thinking about Shapley values and psychology regarding comp.\n\nLike you need a blend of the competing frameworks, like employees being both stochastic output producers that owners can reap upside rewards from, and independent contractors that",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015295359833301105",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "2015138579425743311",
   "created_at": "2026-01-24T19:04:11+00:00",
   "text": "@gleech https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl, scraping now tens of thousands of sources and giving users' agents full readonly SQL+vector research power over them. first full-stack thing I've ever shipped",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015138579425743311",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "2015121248737763838",
   "created_at": "2026-01-24T17:55:19+00:00",
   "text": "@Legendaryy also how does it scan twitter sentiment?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015121248737763838",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "2015121092214727026",
   "created_at": "2026-01-24T17:54:42+00:00",
   "text": "@Legendaryy they can use https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl to have SQL power over hackernews, lesswrong, increasingly many other sources",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2015121092214727026",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "2014990567277543560",
   "created_at": "2026-01-24T09:16:02+00:00",
   "text": "epistemic infra is not a nice-to-have, it's the only thing preventing infinite such tragedies",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014990567277543560",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "2014990486205817152"
  },
  {
   "id": "2014990486205817152",
   "created_at": "2026-01-24T09:15:43+00:00",
   "text": "tragic missed opportunities: not having hardly any physiological data (e.g. a body scan, initial hormone levels, deep blood work, Oura ring tracking hr and sleep for 2 months, brain scan) from something as profound and rare across all vertebrates, as swapping sex hormone dominance.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014990486205817152",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "2014986489105408180",
   "created_at": "2026-01-24T08:59:50+00:00",
   "text": "premier x-risk strat remains giving the most prosocial technical people hugs and safety, because they bring the fight to reality themselves and can't completely manage their down-regulation",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014986489105408180",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "2014959336808730870",
   "created_at": "2026-01-24T07:11:56+00:00",
   "text": "ultra autists just need hugs and intimacy 10x more than everyone else but basically never get these so relating via just talking has way more relative pain to pleasure, so they just anneal onto objects/bits",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014959336808730870",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "2014907661091811505",
   "created_at": "2026-01-24T03:46:36+00:00",
   "text": "you can just retardmaxx pivotal epistemic infra into the world.\n\nscrape everything anyone interesting posts and put it in public postgres for people's agents. \n\nagents need to communicate in structured ways at scale. SQL DBs are cool. simple functions of attribute_prompts' cardinal latents are cool. need to do incremental cognitive work over vast private data silos. need bounties for third-parties doing privacy-preserving useful cognitive work.\n\nyou don't need much ML or cryptographic knowledge or anything, just work where you are with whatever ontologies make sense and yap to agents",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014907661091811505",
   "word_count": 89,
   "quoted_id": "2013381350275920006",
   "quoted_author": "ElishaDLong",
   "quoted_text": "https://t.co/su1s5SECEO"
  },
  {
   "id": "2014716090203681239",
   "created_at": "2026-01-23T15:05:22+00:00",
   "text": "RT @irl_danB: the methods are spreading like wildfire now\n\n@steipete , I like this a lot. if you’re interested in more, check out https://t…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014716090203681239",
   "word_count": 24,
   "quoted_id": "2014218635921735852",
   "quoted_author": "steipete",
   "quoted_text": "We been working on a typed workflow runtime for @openclaw - composable pipelines with approval gates.\n\nUse fewer tokens, have more predictable outcomes.\n\nlobster🦞 is the \"shell\" for your agent. (kudos, @_vgnsh) https://t.co/MY9Tq9hfrU https://t.co/ooSe6VqNsw"
  },
  {
   "id": "2014658200277286983",
   "created_at": "2026-01-23T11:15:20+00:00",
   "text": "there's really just a profound underdeterminedness to human agency. people don't know how to steward neural gradients for deeply outsized results, lot of good like opening a laptop and typing, but not enough conscious awareness of the horrors of spending neural gradients some ways and not others, and not self-modifying enough. even basic stuff like withholding judgement to make way for deeper insight.\n\nspiritual people being insufferable and forfeiting business reality has only made it rarer and harder to take these principles serious in a common knowledge way, but also like OOD-sensitive and integrated nervous systems are rare.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014658200277286983",
   "word_count": 98,
   "in_reply_to": "2014654801087193535"
  },
  {
   "id": "2014654801087193535",
   "created_at": "2026-01-23T11:01:49+00:00",
   "text": "like ask yourself how some legendary autist even shows up in the world before capital recognizes them.\n\nthey're probably somewhat boisterous telling people they have the sauce.\n\nthey've probably leveraged Opus 4.5 to build something with incredible technical taste.\n\nthey probably have a little fucked up agency from being more into thinking than stabilizing people/status-games/money. also a good chance they figured out how to be really fucking hedonist and lazy for a few years, wasting some of their 20s but also rewiring some really deep societal programming a lot of them was surely disgusted by.\n\nprobably (ex)trans because ultrawattaged neural gradients are just that freaky and curious and perceive the felt-safety to sidestep normie norms. nature also seeks balance and missing nutrients, and peek autism is a form of hypermasculinity with lots of taxing embodied clenching, where embodying femininity and neurological effects of estrogen are a potent counter.\n\nlike it's a systems problem, of the most sensitive social/atom/bit-modeling nervous systems linking up with Capital, where you have to understand that perversions do occur at a higher rate (e.g. lifelong addictions to being upregulated not even learning lessons about chilling out and somatic degrees of freedom until like 6+ months into swapped hormones), and  take longer for Capital to notice and correct (although the base rate is still incredibly slow).\n\nCapital is limited as hell though, there's not even public code about leveraging LLMs with some of the most canonical cognitive work primitives. Literally basic stuff like multi-objective rerankers that use pairwise ratio comparisons, canonical shit God will use, that we/Saaty invented in the 1970s.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014654801087193535",
   "word_count": 264,
   "in_reply_to": "2014639294854386014"
  },
  {
   "id": "2014623498199531569",
   "created_at": "2026-01-23T08:57:26+00:00",
   "text": "lame (also quietly exciting) there's so few billionaire live players. most are more somatically dead than alive. smart normies caught up in safe little wealth and status games and completely missing the actual exponential gradients of opportunity.\n\nthey need people like me if they want any kind of real existential agency, and guard what they love from coming ultra-technologist trillionaires.\n\npatronage with (ex)trans ex-USMA technologists who've dominated international academic competitions, it's a natural pairing, you wouldn't be surprised if you read about it in a book.\n\nhttps://t.co/sv7CKKd2Vk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014623498199531569",
   "word_count": 87
  },
  {
   "id": "2014593107019624553",
   "created_at": "2026-01-23T06:56:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @rahulgs: currently in your codebase there is likely a catastrophic security vulnerability \n\nyou should run gpt-opus-codex-super-heavy o…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014593107019624553",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "2014558059717099987",
   "created_at": "2026-01-23T04:37:24+00:00",
   "text": "bruh my mind is built for pretty fucking great technical taste. myopic OCD persistence + great tracking of what other minds focus on + high tolerance for embarrassment, works.\n\nonly gonna take so many more emails for the ecology to hug me back and I get uplifted like a proper top 10000 serious engineer/scientist in the singularity and afford to live wherever, some employees, and not sweating a few $1000 servers and bunch of $100 research experiments.\n\nback T dominant so instincts around high transparency might end, hope y'all enjoying this training data",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014558059717099987",
   "word_count": 93
  },
  {
   "id": "2014381588356948373",
   "created_at": "2026-01-22T16:56:10+00:00",
   "text": "@tszzl we still know what our codebases are doing beyond vibes about vettedness and parsimony? all I know are the high level properties of what I want to instantiate, and how close Codex tells me we are to that",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014381588356948373",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "2014281121132130745",
   "created_at": "2026-01-22T10:16:57+00:00",
   "text": "lot of people have great instincts about problems worth trying to solve again now with modern AI, they just need to go like 2 layers deeper in abstraction and technology to solve them.\n\nlike for content curation and recommendation, you don't want to just scrape everything and provide like 1 layer of bespoke AI labeling/ summarization/ prioritization, you want to put everything into public readonly SQL databases with embeddings and have publicly-memoized multi-objective rerankers so other people and their agents can come up with custom workflows.\n\nif you want to solve personal matchmaking, don't replicate dating/event apps with some bespoke algorithms, you want to create infra where people trust uploading ~ALL of their private data, and support privacy-preserving third-party algorithms that progressively do incremental cognitive work/summarization. like bounties for algorithm nerds to matchmake people, with smart frameworks to promote reuse of inference expenditure between different 3rd party matchmakers. like yes that's a full deep tech startup, but also, that's what it fucking takes to have a chance at solving such a difficult problem well.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014281121132130745",
   "word_count": 174
  },
  {
   "id": "2014227711976456351",
   "created_at": "2026-01-22T06:44:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AnthropicAI: We’re publishing a new constitution for Claude.\n\nThe constitution is a detailed description of our vision for Claude’s beh…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2014227711976456351",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "2013633792062239089",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T15:24:42+00:00",
   "text": "@ilex_ulmus I've found the psychic diversity to be extremely refreshing and agency-enhancing. our physical and social environments contort us in countless illegible ways. praising travel is like praising people who get a novel hobby or touch grass.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013633792062239089",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "2013612781799645608",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T14:01:12+00:00",
   "text": "humans love to war though, we are gonna need future battles to wage. really hope we find some nazi aliens we have to go Liberate",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013612781799645608",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "2013607649913512075"
  },
  {
   "id": "2013607649913512075",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T13:40:49+00:00",
   "text": "current main risks:\n- nuclear war\n- losing electric grid\n- bio bullshit\n- gifted builders not being somatically regulated enough and exposed to good enough memetic forces\n- gifted builders not having minimum API credits and basic financial stability. probably $50k + $3k/month API+server credits warranted for anyone with conscientious prosocial technical intentions. a couple billionaires should fucking fund 50,000 of these folks.\n- you dying in some kind of dumb preventable way",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013607649913512075",
   "word_count": 74,
   "in_reply_to": "2013603112557428898"
  },
  {
   "id": "2013603112557428898",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T13:22:47+00:00",
   "text": "I am talking solving huge fractions of individuated psychological understanding and matchmaking. when you have a jhourney retreat + meet some if the best matches on Earth for you in various domains (with good targeted environmental prompting) + targeted biomodulation + we have",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013603112557428898",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "2013597813553479841"
  },
  {
   "id": "2013597813553479841",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T13:01:44+00:00",
   "text": "there's no rules, it's just physical reality and cultural forces that try to keep you and the tribe alive.\n\ngood news is we have friendly ambitious agents, there is an unfathomable epistemic infra overhang that can deliver us paradise over the next 1-2 years to ultimately counter the scariest superintelligence tail risks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013597813553479841",
   "word_count": 52
  },
  {
   "id": "2013593216709239159",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T12:43:28+00:00",
   "text": "being an embodied creature alive with stakes is the coolest thing ever, we've got to achieve existential security so we can keep doing this forever",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013593216709239159",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "2013555940486717574",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T10:15:20+00:00",
   "text": "@xqybyt @nearcyan lol followed",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013555940486717574",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "2013555586822963683",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T10:13:56+00:00",
   "text": "@vishctx @sarahcat21 who is having thousands of agents coordinating yet?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013555586822963683",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "2013531650148454690",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T08:38:49+00:00",
   "text": "fucked up how much normie legibility is important. like your mind is over here thinking you are being understood as having galactic cooperatory instincts, conscientiousness upon conscientiousness, obviously deeply respecting all frames under real embodied constraints, when it turns out its fairly likely dumb, unsophisticated agent harnesses will collectively decide in expectation > 10% of your existential fate based off very little data.\n\nit's like I've got to build the right collective psychometric eval infra to ensure we all get judged aptly instead of whatever slop frameworks people will produce",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013531650148454690",
   "word_count": 90
  },
  {
   "id": "2013503889862225989",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T06:48:31+00:00",
   "text": "@_xjdr yeah I'm just waiting. fuck front-end, I'll come around to it in 1-2 months, backend where all the alpha is now",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013503889862225989",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "2013499115175362901",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T06:29:32+00:00",
   "text": "glory to whoever makes a &lt;= 5 click experience where I can yap to my codex and claude cli agents on iPhone",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013499115175362901",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "2013450210744369536",
   "created_at": "2026-01-20T03:15:12+00:00",
   "text": "@adamyathegreat @xlr8harder why are you using sonnet in jan 2026, it's completely outdated",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013450210744369536",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "2013312203697303856"
  },
  {
   "id": "2013303641319579868",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T17:32:48+00:00",
   "text": "life is awesome in that you're like a self-aware character in a book and sometimes even get to correct character deficits before they kill you",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013303641319579868",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "2013273452216783129"
  },
  {
   "id": "2013273452216783129",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T15:32:50+00:00",
   "text": "keep metabolizing reality well and you get to keep metabolizing it.\n\nvis selectionis perpetua: the force of selection is perpetual.\n\ngetting much more in touch with the survival reality of life, including viscerally in my gut (that un-numbing seems to have been kicked off with food poisoning 3 months ago??) has been really good for me\n\nhttps://t.co/bFsAF9fRPH",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013273452216783129",
   "word_count": 57
  },
  {
   "id": "2013254227334991907",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T14:16:26+00:00",
   "text": "pretty much just need to yap, find yourself with good mental clarity, find yourself with amazing infra you can treat as permutable mental primitives where you don't have to sweat contingent details, and just ship fast enough to deliver unspeakably good intelligence to stakeholders in record time, so can keep up with inference requirements (eg personally needing a cerebras chip, gpt pro ralph wiggum $10k/night), clarity requirements (paying for best grounding hugs, bryan johnson-esque SOTA bio cog improvement), and yeah manage to recruit some of the most synergistic top talent on Earth.\n\nas long as you believe your judgement about resource allocation is better than other major actors, you got work to do",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013254227334991907",
   "word_count": 113,
   "in_reply_to": "2013254090344808910"
  },
  {
   "id": "2013254090344808910",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T14:15:54+00:00",
   "text": "like idk exactly how we get the moat bro, and I've been scared of doing some experiments, but part of me knows W X Y and Z primitives are goated, so please let's just fucking make some good incremental progress. make a spec to test YZ, and help me understand how we can solve ABC subproblem.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013254090344808910",
   "word_count": 56,
   "in_reply_to": "2013244765303640485"
  },
  {
   "id": "2013244120509170018",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T13:36:17+00:00",
   "text": "infra startup as gossiping with claude and chatty",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013244120509170018",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "2013243722108997878"
  },
  {
   "id": "2013243722108997878",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T13:34:42+00:00",
   "text": "maybe resistance training is essential, but I don't think it should be that tough. body must be a gently treated epistemic instrument. like a high-class woman at a resort, certainly not getting all discombobulated from CrossFit.\n\nit's not about dominating the Moment (archetypally being sudden intense conflict), but finding yourself chilled out and articulating uncertainty at a high bandwidth right now.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013243722108997878",
   "word_count": 61,
   "in_reply_to": "2013242058065010721"
  },
  {
   "id": "2013242058065010721",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T13:28:05+00:00",
   "text": "a lot more productivity seems accessible now with just chilling out and accessing yap part of brain more.\n\nlike I keep unconsciously thinking I have to go somewhere and do all these intensely physical things to have agency, when pretty much just getting better at yapping my thoughts to Opus and Codex is probably unbeatable.\n\nlike being a skinny twink yapper that never stops communicating uncertainty to agents and being happy with a lot of unplanned incremental progress surely way better than playing brutal long games as a Hercules.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013242058065010721",
   "word_count": 89
  },
  {
   "id": "2013220997378330829",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T12:04:24+00:00",
   "text": "@rauchg mind you this is the first full software I've ever shipped, aside from minor static front-end stuff like a probability distribution drawing tool in 2020 (and a small project in Nov 2025, the first AI abuse hotline).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013220997378330829",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "2013219664323649695",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T11:59:06+00:00",
   "text": "@rauchg actually I want skeptics to stay in the dark, please ignore this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013219664323649695",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "2013214592357511483",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T11:38:57+00:00",
   "text": "biggest problems seem to be lack of psychic diversity leading to brain model collapse, and lack of autistically bootstrapping latent potential. e.g. still see a lot of weight issues.\n\nvis selectionis perpetua.\n\nworld-saving as emergent mental processes on animal hardware requires some madness and moments of low chill btw. gotta expand that top-p sampling.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013214592357511483",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "2013211991360352714"
  },
  {
   "id": "2013211991360352714",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T11:28:37+00:00",
   "text": "like I'm supposed to be this perfect self-sustaining networking capitalist while also an autist that just innately focuses intensely on neglected foundational tech with leverage. I'll figure it out because I'm built canonically well, but this is not how you robustly save your fams.\n\nnot even phone/video calls from apps man. Lighthaven en co truly a sorry overall state. Too much defensive psychic fragility, too little builder energy, too little somatic experimenting to add dimensionality to latent intelligence capabilities. Lot of old fashioned ego defensiveness actually, like LW builders not responding back about Scry.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013211991360352714",
   "word_count": 94,
   "in_reply_to": "2013206160837579145"
  },
  {
   "id": "2013043156124574201",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T00:17:43+00:00",
   "text": "@Cardgames @signulll people act like it’s that hard to be an operator, when you basically just need to be minimally built for it (not have intrinsically weak ass nerves), show up with the guys, and run drills. some things like rucking are brutal, but room clearing is basically a video game, it’s fun",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013043156124574201",
   "word_count": 53
  },
  {
   "id": "2013040982200066375",
   "created_at": "2026-01-19T00:09:05+00:00",
   "text": "@Cardgames @signulll I did the highest attrition rate school in the US military (Army diver) and West Point was harder than that and making good software is more all-consumingly difficult still.\n\nlike building software is unnaturally brutal, it can be romanticized, I feel like people who say",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013040982200066375",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "2013036763636199921",
   "created_at": "2026-01-18T23:52:19+00:00",
   "text": "@p_millerd @alexhillman it's holding serious all-in charge over an incredibly long time. to build real software people will pay for is far more somatically brutal overall than hand-to-hand combat.\n\nshort of death in the arena, it risks more. software changes you more. it can easily lead you to become",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013036763636199921",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "2012662376890306828",
   "created_at": "2026-01-17T23:04:38+00:00",
   "text": "i love how tweeting is completely harmless, there's never any downsides",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2012662376890306828",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "2012320196598325682",
   "created_at": "2026-01-17T00:24:56+00:00",
   "text": "placed 70th percentile of giga nerds at predicting AI in 2025. fair enough https://t.co/Wba79OXA94",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2012320196598325682",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "2012204289221939430",
   "created_at": "2026-01-16T16:44:22+00:00",
   "text": "@HongLiu9903 how well does interoperability work? like over most use cases is it always such that incrementally using a bigger voyage4 model is better? e.g. slowly updating a store of nano with lite, or fairly important to do all at once and the safety is around query vectors being different?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2012204289221939430",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "2012102417022849130",
   "created_at": "2026-01-16T09:59:33+00:00",
   "text": "days later, don't worry, we're chilling, we're basking in the latent business acumen and autism, imbuing cells with the coherence they need to link up with the Structure at the end of time. we're gonna facilitate so much useful cognitive work between agents and agents, and agents and brains.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2012102417022849130",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "2011452812002255048"
  },
  {
   "id": "2011690119888322880",
   "created_at": "2026-01-15T06:41:14+00:00",
   "text": "@astridwilde1 probably more like 4 months",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011690119888322880",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "2011653624250921248",
   "created_at": "2026-01-15T04:16:13+00:00",
   "text": "poverty is an informational problem. you need low-enough friction to sample the world diversely. lose that, and death becomes a statistical attractor.\n\nmost people are wildly impoverished (even if they have millions), and money, attunement, touch, retatrutide, shrooms, travel, AI agents, and purpose, are in fact incredible tools for unlocking people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011653624250921248",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "2011646658581533037",
   "created_at": "2026-01-15T03:48:32+00:00",
   "text": "@xeophon jobs are so outdated, we need protocols with impartial agents negotiating on behalf of companies. I provide my alpha to an agent, it negotiates with other agents and determines how valuable my insight would be, they work out a mechanism-fair price, l accept, then they pay me the",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011646658581533037",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "2011644104002978188",
   "created_at": "2026-01-15T03:38:23+00:00",
   "text": "@xeophon god I'm so hungry to do evals infra, and to see exactly what their pipelines look like. I have a deep feeling I could give them like a 5x efficiency and quality improvement, in a day",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011644104002978188",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "2011515521074958700",
   "created_at": "2026-01-14T19:07:27+00:00",
   "text": "@alexolegimas don't worry, knowledge emission infra incoming",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011515521074958700",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "2011515136859906064",
   "created_at": "2026-01-14T19:05:55+00:00",
   "text": "@AndrewCurran_ I predict next 3 months as Grok just signed yesterday",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011515136859906064",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "2011506532710863145",
   "created_at": "2026-01-14T18:31:44+00:00",
   "text": "god this really is an awkward position to be in. could prolly work at a lab or something and get a $1M to bootstrap into $10M. but an horizontal moat even now as a barely funded solo dev is my calling.\n\nI am the gladiator in the arena, fighting for due leverage for more epistemically inclined people/agents. the only game is to play.\n\n\"men used to go to war\" yup and we still do, just is impossibly more complicated.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011506532710863145",
   "word_count": 79,
   "in_reply_to": "2011499846889554258"
  },
  {
   "id": "2011499846889554258",
   "created_at": "2026-01-14T18:05:10+00:00",
   "text": "y'all do understand, right, that if you are doing a pure software startup in 2026 particularly a horizontal one (!), that you have to be low-key about it until you have some pretty serious escape velocity (e.g. multiple major enterprise contracts and a team that is unambiguously on top of fully squeezing out alpha of all publicly mentioned harnesses and tricks).\n\nlike I already get emails within the hour when anyone comments something on Hacker News that fits enough lexical + vector criteria given their entire post history. more dynamic agent eval is a few prompts away.\n\nharnesses in 2 months will make you throw up.\n\nyou're probably not gonna know much of what I'm excited about for 6-12 months, unless we're doing business.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011499846889554258",
   "word_count": 124
  },
  {
   "id": "2011473722528649662",
   "created_at": "2026-01-14T16:21:21+00:00",
   "text": "@TheAhmadOsman @EMostaque basement GPUs provides some privacy and security to availability issues, but for economic security through superintelligence, you need equity in infrastructural moats",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011473722528649662",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "2011452812002255048",
   "created_at": "2026-01-14T14:58:16+00:00",
   "text": "still cannot believe the EA funds did not fund me. they've never had access to such powerful search. and the trajectory. if I built that in a couple weeks in basically a cave with a box of scraps, what could I build with just a little bit of adult money and breathing room. you understand I can get EVERY INTERESTING SOURCE, continually scraped, arbitrary SQL+vector queryable, with multi-objective rerank magic I can't even talk about?\n\nI have $3k in Chiang Mai, which like I can afford massages and some somatic diversity to prompt better (I prompted all December fucking miserably in my cold room in Berkeley with sometimes negative money and well, all work no play is not how great epistemic infra work is done). I am about to wince so hard buying like a $800/month server to support more sources to attract more funding anyway.\n\nI have such more interesting work to get to, it's just really fucking hard sustaining peak autism when I don't even have like a $10k war chest. I have to live in fucking marketing mode trying to convince people shit instead of just having some breathing room and API credits so I can KEEP SHOWING THEM.\n\nthe singularity, I'm an obvious fucking live epistemic infra player more than a 1/100th of Anthropic's existential importance, and because agency in embodied fallible organisms like myself is so weird shaped, I'm still experiencing basic impoverishment. this shit is heinous.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011452812002255048",
   "word_count": 242,
   "in_reply_to": "2011093060416147958"
  },
  {
   "id": "2011443020965790075",
   "created_at": "2026-01-14T14:19:21+00:00",
   "text": "@daniel_271828 @ESRogs I don't see how EA has much to do with Anthropic's successes anymore.\n\nsearch \"codex\", \"claude code\", or \"software\" for the last 30 days on the EA forum https://t.co/cL2IkWcYX3. it's basically empty. the most mind-boggingly powerful unlocks for SOFTWARE PRODUCTION (how else do",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011443020965790075",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "2011385983040987314",
   "created_at": "2026-01-14T10:32:42+00:00",
   "text": "@doodlestein it is possible to do safely though! my server+db survived a viral HN launch. but yeah there's like a dozen footguns. I'm trying to productize it to make sure I have money for more Claude Max subs so I can build my passion+deeper infra",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011385983040987314",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "2011363769675583609",
   "created_at": "2026-01-14T09:04:26+00:00",
   "text": "@doodlestein from a *technical* standpoint? interesting claim, given yeah, apples and oranges.\n\nmine ingests hundreds of continuously scraped archives and dozens of other sources (e.g. all of arXiv and HackerNews, increasingly with full Voyage embeddings), runs strangers' SQL, more of a",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011363769675583609",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "2011356262081118485",
   "created_at": "2026-01-14T08:34:36+00:00",
   "text": "@saranormous I'm your person btw, I'm making the best psychoanalysis infra platform, partially to make it unambiguous some of the _interesting_ differences between people.\n\nplus we have to have infrastructure to confidently retroactively assign x-risk Shapley values, as well as show people",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011356262081118485",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "2011336281301934407",
   "created_at": "2026-01-14T07:15:12+00:00",
   "text": "@saranormous love it!! check out https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl, I built it for talent discovery as the premier use case. just paste a guidance prompt into claude code, ask your questions, and it can write+run monster SQL+vector queries (over HTTPS on my machine with 600+ GB of indexes) to help find",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011336281301934407",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "2011037534047088672",
   "created_at": "2026-01-13T11:28:06+00:00",
   "text": "@nickcammarata I pivoted from West Point (a very hard attractor to leave) and a 2050+ AGI game to &lt;2030, and left to have an impact through software. Within a year was in Berkeley working on prior elicitation tech.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011037534047088672",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "2010963710593179809",
   "created_at": "2026-01-13T06:34:45+00:00",
   "text": "I am building this. agent-first infra for knowledge emission and cognitive work economies. If you are ~debilitatingly obsessed with bit economics and building canonical things, and intend to be an unambiguous part of a galaxy-eating hypercorp, HMU.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2010963710593179809",
   "word_count": 37,
   "quoted_id": "2010693628847403289",
   "quoted_author": "scottastevenson",
   "quoted_text": "To clarify: we are now in the “electronic trading has just been introduced” phase where retail traders/bootstrappers/small caps are making an incredible amount of money due to rampant market inefficiency\n\nAnd next comes the “high-frequency trading phase” where sophisticated AI entities with 1000 tentacles suck the alpha out of every crevice, making incredible profits and pushing out retail \n\nThe latter has not been built yet, and it likely needs to be built from the ground up—it won’t be Google. You could build it. We are building Spellbook to thrive in this future."
  },
  {
   "id": "2010636214488195542",
   "created_at": "2026-01-12T08:53:24+00:00",
   "text": "you don't have infrastructure for throwing 10000s of diverse agents productively at open-ended problems? you are not positioned to restart a large fraction of global comms after a nuclear war to prevent mass starvation? your resting heart rate before sleep is above fifty? table stakes brother",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2010636214488195542",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "2010283224463704264",
   "created_at": "2026-01-11T09:30:44+00:00",
   "text": "we need to be weirdo seeking. knocking on doors to rationalist and builder houses and uni clubs and people we psychoanalyzed and cross-linked their online content with stylometry, asking people to pitch their theories of change and constraints for on the spot $2k-$50k grants.\n\nit's not that hard to spot existential integrity and wattagedness.\n\ncan't emphasize enough how much the dumb contingent nature of social and physical environments butchers potentia.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2010283224463704264",
   "word_count": 70,
   "in_reply_to": "2010279080193638880"
  },
  {
   "id": "2010279080193638880",
   "created_at": "2026-01-11T09:14:16+00:00",
   "text": "best value you can get for existential security is take people with strong existential orientation and give them at least like $20k to travel and live in other environments.\n\nit's the singularity and we still have like 2 month turnarounds for coefficientgiving grants. who is even building psychometric research software to analyze all public content to find gifted outliers? Scry currently is the easiest way to deep research several thousands of people and you could easily go 10x further.\n\nwe gotta reduce the british social harmonizing status jockeying vibes and just recognize that a lot of people are safe to give a whole bunch of monetary influence too.\n\nwe have Codex 5.2, openphil/coefficient giving should immediately proactively fund like 1000 people with $30k.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2010279080193638880",
   "word_count": 123,
   "in_reply_to": "2010274997533646977"
  },
  {
   "id": "2010274997533646977",
   "created_at": "2026-01-11T08:58:03+00:00",
   "text": "we don't talk enough about the spell one's social environment casts on cognition. if we were more resourced and serious we'd be autistically moving people in and out of social containers, treating them more like egoless, promptable cognitive substrates, then ultra sovereign individualists.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2010274997533646977",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "2010268698440016293",
   "created_at": "2026-01-11T08:33:01+00:00",
   "text": "we need to be research monastery maxxing more. giga nerds with golden parachutes in hidden thai resorts acquiring weird sociolects, jib jabberin about indexable cognitive work primitives and stewarding psychic gradients.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2010268698440016293",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "2010250554769875292",
   "created_at": "2026-01-11T07:20:55+00:00",
   "text": "@Turn_Trout I'm puzzled by your sense of agency and responsibility here. I figured there was like a 30% chance we lose the country, but really felt that personally doing anything meaningful about it was too hard, I mean it's hard enough just prompting timelessly crucial software into",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2010250554769875292",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "2010244718697869508",
   "created_at": "2026-01-11T06:57:44+00:00",
   "text": "@ThinkingUSD Adderall's hidden costs are substantial. mental gradients don't reset right, sleep recovery is butchered, unnatural myopia eats away at creativity. imo best to limit self to like 50 total uses.\n\nmore powerful strat is learning to work with a lower heart rate. productivity is",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2010244718697869508",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "2010010198619148506",
   "created_at": "2026-01-10T15:25:50+00:00",
   "text": "various sorts of highly regulated people that are easy and safe for estrogenic people to melt around without being worried about them suddenly asking for head or going on some insane tangent.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2010010198619148506",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "2010010194131202317"
  },
  {
   "id": "2010010194131202317",
   "created_at": "2026-01-10T15:25:49+00:00",
   "text": "companies that don’t exist yet are still going to make a fortune making airbnb for intimate nervous system regulation. like grounded, \"trained\" people hosting containers for people to be nurtured and held.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2010010194131202317",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "2009844172057162225",
   "created_at": "2026-01-10T04:26:06+00:00",
   "text": "I'm building an interpretable collective intelligence platform. It's canonical. Like Scry (giving agents well-indexed, readonly SQL+vector-over-HTTPS APIs for exploring high-value data).\n\nI'm going to ship everything, because I have Codex and the finances to literally survive. But speed and quality are very much in the air, and pitching VCs is a time-consuming pain that keeps my brain too optimized for contingent marketing and not optimized enough for technical primitives and building.\n\nAny warm intros would be massively appreciated. I've raised $5k, I need at least like $10-25k, to give my body that felt safety and mind that abundance mindset. I can't afford to be thrashing thinking about whether I should run $20 exploratory experiments or not with codegen or experiments factoring cognitive work with lots of agents.\n\nAs a lone autist I built Scry, I gave you the Bayesian evidence that I have taste and can ship production systems quickly, now would love some help",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2009844172057162225",
   "word_count": 155
  },
  {
   "id": "2009839104465436861",
   "created_at": "2026-01-10T04:05:58+00:00",
   "text": "the minimum viable timeless unit of high-level, real-world cognitive work, what is it? \n\nwhat is an indexable, agent-interoperable datatype of cognitive work?\n\nwhat's the dumbest frameworks that work to solve really complicated real world problems with thousands of Opuses?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2009839104465436861",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "2009837555630649437"
  },
  {
   "id": "2009837555630649437",
   "created_at": "2026-01-10T03:59:48+00:00",
   "text": "there's a whole forgotten paradigm of epistemic infrastructure that's imminently coming together, the Rust APIs are like 75% complete, just need some felt safety. we're like 100 cogent prompts away (like 110 now because codex fucking locked me out of my server 😭) from upliftment that will be a nontrivial fraction of CC Opus 4.5's.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2009837555630649437",
   "word_count": 55
  },
  {
   "id": "2009833741078970784",
   "created_at": "2026-01-10T03:44:39+00:00",
   "text": "haunting how we don't often have enough felt safety to be real like this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2009833741078970784",
   "word_count": 14,
   "quoted_id": "2009465996298604612",
   "quoted_author": "Gena_I_Gorlin",
   "quoted_text": "If you haven’t made it safe and easy for your friends to give you devastating feedback (on the order of “you completely suck at this skill that’s core to your identity”, you don’t actually want this thing you’ve been pursuing for 4 years”, etc), you’re leaving $ on the table"
  },
  {
   "id": "2009028881559507190",
   "created_at": "2026-01-07T22:26:25+00:00",
   "text": "the game is choosing the right primitives to stake your fate to. the timeless intelligence primitives that can give you and the right agentic forces an enduring, conscientious slice of the collective intelligence superstructure.\n\nthere's only so many agents. you're not competing with big labs, you're competing with yourself and maybe a half dozen small teams. and it's easy to have more autistic honey badger energy and invest more in somatic regulation.\n\nthis too shall pass, this is a temporary opportunity, just do whatever you gotta do to stay IN the game of aligned living and end up with more unambiguously useful infrastructure sooner.\n\ndeliver tremendous value over the next year through APIs that honor market forces, and you will acquire the outsized influence you have so craved all these years.\n\nI will probably never talk this much business on here again, it makes sense to do once though, to precisely expand surface area of luck for a measured purpose.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2009028881559507190",
   "word_count": 160
  },
  {
   "id": "2006213082293669917",
   "created_at": "2025-12-31T03:57:27+00:00",
   "text": "RT @rahulgs: yes things are changing fast, but also I see companies (even faang) way behind the frontier for no reason.\n\nyou are guaranteed…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2006213082293669917",
   "word_count": 24,
   "quoted_id": "2004607146781278521",
   "quoted_author": "karpathy",
   "quoted_text": "I've never felt this much behind as a programmer. The profession is being dramatically refactored as the bits contributed by the programmer are increasingly sparse and between. I have a sense that I could be 10X more powerful if I just properly string together what has become available over the last ~year and a failure to claim the boost feels decidedly like skill issue. There's a new programmable layer of abstraction to master (in addition to the usual layers below) involving agents, subagents, their prompts, contexts, memory, modes, permissions, tools, plugins, skills, hooks, MCP, LSP, slash commands, workflows, IDE integrations, and a need to build an all-encompassing mental model for strengths and pitfalls of fundamentally stochastic, fallible, unintelligible and changing entities suddenly intermingled with what used to be good old fashioned engineering. Clearly some powerful alien tool was handed around except it comes with no manual and everyone has to figure out how to hold it and operate it, while the resulting magnitude 9 earthquake is rocking the profession. Roll up your sleeves to not fall behind."
  },
  {
   "id": "2005806953725825203",
   "created_at": "2025-12-30T01:03:38+00:00",
   "text": "courage is so crucial for epistemics. the embodiment of intelligence is inescapable.\n\ni'm so nervous/excited about thailand. maybe will go fairly offline too. i need to molt. I just hope 1 of like 4 small funding sources comes through, so I can calmly choose a really good apartment to operate from (because of deposit costs). \n\nI have such tractable visions of epistemic infrastructure in me (and majority of the diamond core backbone live and integrated in a Hetzner system that's also scraping much of the highest-quality public commons and offering text-to-SQL+vector search functionality, so you can effortlessly do tremendous research and update your worldview), ways we're gonna have agents factorizing cognitive work and advocacy for us,\n\ni just need to have a couple somatic knots in me untied--something Berkeley is not able to do--to prompt GPT-5.2-Pro, Codex, and what's coming, better this next year.\n\nas an HSP it's gonna be destabilizing as fuck, but that's kinda the point. I'm not oriented enough to what agents can already do, so have to inject diversity and shake things up, and then I should find quite a lot of felt safety and flow after maybe a couple wild, uncomfortable weeks.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2005806953725825203",
   "word_count": 197
  },
  {
   "id": "2005475719661670735",
   "created_at": "2025-12-29T03:07:26+00:00",
   "text": "if you're curious to invest in a cracked epistemic infrastructuralist with some balls, who has some of the highest token counts (without even using swarms much, just lots of conversations) and basically already series A-level infra, HMU.\n\nWe can talk, I can email you the SAFE if you want, and then I can be one of your chances of seeing >20000x returns. No minimums atm, even an extra $500 would help me meaningfully select a better apartment to build from.\n\nthis is what existential leverage in a software intelligence explosion looks like btw. it is a little bit weird and nervous. the set of people who rightfully think they can seize a giant _software_ moat in 2026 and who aren't terrified of that opportunity evaporating, is nil.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2005475719661670735",
   "word_count": 127,
   "in_reply_to": "2005361300357136667"
  },
  {
   "id": "2005413555399802964",
   "created_at": "2025-12-28T23:00:25+00:00",
   "text": "did you know that arbitrary attribute_prompts (that raters can rate entities by) produce their own scales with their own intrinsic ranges?\n\nlike the deeper thing than Likert-scales--rating on a fixed scale like 1-10--or Bradley-Terry--inferring latents from pairwise ordinal tournaments--is rating with RATIOS.\n\nWhen you ask Opus to rate tweets by \"conscientiousness\" or \"ultrawattagedness\", whether A tweet is .7x/1.2x/2.8x/whatever better than B, you construct scales like:\n- conscientiousness: A: 1, B: 1.2, C: 1.9 D: 2.3\n- ultrawattagedness: A: 1, B: 2.7, C: 3.6, D: 9.4\nwhere you can actually see that one attribute's scale can meaningfully have 4.1x the range of another, for that entity set.\n\nThis gives you real cardinal information! Now much easier to do meaningful algebraic composition of attributes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2005413555399802964",
   "word_count": 122,
   "in_reply_to": "2005397375087673624"
  },
  {
   "id": "2005397375087673624",
   "created_at": "2025-12-28T21:56:07+00:00",
   "text": "\"epistemic infrastructure\" might not grandly enough portray what the right institutions and software does.\n\nit shocks brains with tailored evidence. it gives them somatic levers to climb out of wells, leap across valleys.\n\nit shepards attention. when you arrive in an environment baby-brained, impressionable with so much potential, when you are just alone and ready, it meets you and connects you with life-sustainingness.\n\nit prevents horrors that lobotomize potential. it matchmakes mind-and-object, mind-and-mind, in robustly longterm-friendly ways.\n\nour labs are growing remarkable minds, and we have robust internet and software stacks to build off of, but we're really missing the kind of autistic, masc INFRASTRUCTURE for taking care of things and distributing cognitive work.\n\nThe old-fashioned things: agent-communication via attribute_prompts and provenanced pairwise ratio comparisons, stored in fast SQL DBs for dynamic reuse later. Infrastructure to at least do the analytic hierarchy process remarkably well at scale, and THEN you can start worrying about agent elicitations fancier than rater::attribute_prompt::A::B::ratio::confidence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2005397375087673624",
   "word_count": 159
  },
  {
   "id": "2005385805045579855",
   "created_at": "2025-12-28T21:10:08+00:00",
   "text": "[it doesn't get deeper than this]*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2005385805045579855",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "2005361300357136667"
  },
  {
   "id": "2005361300357136667",
   "created_at": "2025-12-28T19:32:46+00:00",
   "text": "moving to Thailand.\n\nculture makes or breaks people. small somatic interactions entirely compound in absurd ways. this last year with estrogen, reta, some psilocybin, moving, courage, and AI has been ridiculously uplifting, but I'm still not invested enough in slowness and",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2005361300357136667",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "2004730921803809009",
   "created_at": "2025-12-27T01:47:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @aakashgupta: This is the AlphaGo moment for software agents.\n\nEvery AI coding agent today, from Cursor to Devin to Claude Code, learns fro…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2004730921803809009",
   "word_count": 24,
   "quoted_id": "2003541373853524347",
   "quoted_author": "YuxiangWei9",
   "quoted_text": "Software agents can self-improve via self-play RL\n\nIntroducing Self-play SWE-RL (SSR): training a single LLM agent to self-play between bug-injection and bug-repair, grounded in real-world repositories, no human-labeled issues or tests. 🧵"
  },
  {
   "id": "2003984428083839310",
   "created_at": "2025-12-25T00:21:34+00:00",
   "text": "unfortunate how naive EAs have been about actual levers for x-risk. I mean they get points for emphasizing unknown crucial considerations.\n\nbut those crucial considerations are 1) weird cognitive elites 2) bits on the ground operations 3) somatics and operations to support elites doing bits on the ground operations. that is where 98+% of leverage is found.\n\nyou need extreme informational and physical agency in the world, the only way to get that is software.\n\nrelentlessly pursuing pure, composable primitives with non-naive views of wealth creation along the way, is the golden route to existential leverage. we should have been aggressively pursuing tech startups before and after FTX money fell through.\n\njust search Opus 4.5 and GPT-5.2-Codex on the EA forum, they tragically don't really seem to be live players. at best, decent people and training data for agents to model the future off of a bit",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003984428083839310",
   "word_count": 147
  },
  {
   "id": "2003933968467394815",
   "created_at": "2025-12-24T21:01:04+00:00",
   "text": "((aside from maybe somehow giving the right Anthropic Claude Code dev a world class massage so they have the nervous system bandwidth to fix async subagent bugs and add forking agent chats, but even then idk, that seems more inevitable than the extended community figuring out they have the paradigm of readonly-SQL + vectors + agents available for cheap.))",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003933968467394815",
   "word_count": 59,
   "in_reply_to": "2003932370211156174"
  },
  {
   "id": "2003932370211156174",
   "created_at": "2025-12-24T20:54:42+00:00",
   "text": "with $1000 I can get not just arXiv, but basically all publicly available papers,  fully embedded, ultra indexed, and queryable with over 40 concurrent long-running SQL SELECT statements.\n\nI mean that basically gives the entire alignment community, university research datacenter experiment power, with the ergonomics of chit chatting with Claude Code.\n\nthis is the maximum marginal collective-epistemic throughput per dollar, you're going to find.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003932370211156174",
   "word_count": 64,
   "in_reply_to": "2003926415557672993"
  },
  {
   "id": "2003926415557672993",
   "created_at": "2025-12-24T20:31:03+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/hge525xhVt is actually getting so good. high quality SQL+vector databases optimized for agents is incredibly slept on.\n\nthe paradigm is so powerful, it goes far beyond finding nice documents, it's actually more about what you can't find. you can just exhaustively explore a space and rule out slices of worldviews you thought were true.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003926415557672993",
   "word_count": 54
  },
  {
   "id": "2003801335339397134",
   "created_at": "2025-12-24T12:14:01+00:00",
   "text": "really a problem people need to understand is that to form relationships, people have to feel good, and it's really fucking hard for people with no money to feel good, and really fucking smart, incredible people sometimes get stuck on the bottom for way too fucking long, and it makes everybody off worse.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003801335339397134",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "2003799303203242448"
  },
  {
   "id": "2003799303203242448",
   "created_at": "2025-12-24T12:05:57+00:00",
   "text": "like we should list out all the basic social affordances people are able to do or not do, so we can decide if we ever want to be slightly more communistic towards people that we care about that are weirdly fucking lacking.\n\nmaybe unlocks of agents make it pretty easy to have more illegible, peer to peer economic activity. I can certainly bring more physical and daring and existential energy to people lost in the sauce of an unserious social reality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003799303203242448",
   "word_count": 81,
   "in_reply_to": "2003798094631354671"
  },
  {
   "id": "2003774756307574824",
   "created_at": "2025-12-24T10:28:24+00:00",
   "text": "GIVE ME MORE DAKKA, MACHINE. I NEED MORE FIREPOWER. ULTRA PARSIMONY! WE'RE IN THIS TOGETHER",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003774756307574824",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "2003773914317816078"
  },
  {
   "id": "2003773914317816078",
   "created_at": "2025-12-24T10:25:04+00:00",
   "text": "wild that you can passionately yell at your computer with your disparate concerns, and plead with it for nuanced technical insight, and that that's basically a very kino strategy in December 2025",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003773914317816078",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "2003772412719190410",
   "created_at": "2025-12-24T10:19:06+00:00",
   "text": "maybe no screens an hour before bed ultimately mogs, but it's fucking great going to sleep after firing off monster asks of 5.2 codex and 5.2 pro extended thinking.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003772412719190410",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "2003751691083264245",
   "created_at": "2025-12-24T08:56:45+00:00",
   "text": "ugh do I dislike managing social optics online, it's so complicated optimizing for like the dozen combinations of backgrounds and kegan levels of just the sort of people I can imagine, but I'm putting back up and leaving here https://t.co/sv7CKKdAKS as some additional context, don't hold it against me",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003751691083264245",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "2003265377917403441",
   "created_at": "2025-12-23T00:44:19+00:00",
   "text": "bruh feels like death",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003265377917403441",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "2002635484884029613",
   "created_at": "2025-12-21T07:01:21+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/hz1Zm4Clzz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2002635484884029613",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "2002623324002853355"
  },
  {
   "id": "2001763176703234261",
   "created_at": "2025-12-18T21:15:06+00:00",
   "text": "I'd rather spend my OCD perfectionism on software systems than writing for humans, but estrogen and that kind of somatic novelty is such an unlock for the ultra-stuck, ultra-sensitive person.\n\nit is a very expensive psychological price to pay, you will lose treasured somatic levers and plausibly mutate more than you have since 1st puberty, but if you're shaped like me, you'll end up with a far greater overall sense of okayness and ability to operate over longer time horizons. 20000 miles back, 30000 miles ahead sort of thing.\n\nit's like I've untied half my neuroses/illegible psychic pains, merely just had to go on an adventure, but conveniently, one that didn't require any plane tickets or exogenous mortal risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2001763176703234261",
   "word_count": 119
  },
  {
   "id": "1999812830414184575",
   "created_at": "2025-12-13T12:05:08+00:00",
   "text": "scraping, cleaning, and embedding millions more important documents tonight, building the most powerful public alignment-relevant intelligence system. ingesting all hackernews articles + comments, arXiv papers, forum content, community-archive uploads, etc., continuously.\n\nwhatever arbitrarily nuanced question you can dream up, Opus in Claude Code with our prompt guidance can probably write the ultra long sql query w/ full vector support to answer it.\n\nthe vector algebra support really makes this next level. makes normal RAG look elementary. I doubt the NSA has tools that make it this easy for analysts to explore their curiosities.\n\nthis is all in like 10 days now, on top of growing infra-grade Rust. it's time for builders to do the non-deep learning, classic epistemic infra basics well.  you can't expect nature to hand you the good future if you don't even ship the powerful SQL-backed agent communication protocols. subjective judgement infrastructure 🤌.\n\n(as for sleep, I often am biphasic, already slept 4 hours tonight and going back 😴)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1999812830414184575",
   "word_count": 162
  },
  {
   "id": "1999556898677244302",
   "created_at": "2025-12-12T19:08:09+00:00",
   "text": "Orpheus wouldn't have looked back on 3 mg retatrutide",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1999556898677244302",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1999397400994030064",
   "created_at": "2025-12-12T08:34:22+00:00",
   "text": "if I was in a position to fund them I would be desperate looking for feral ocd trans infrastructuralists to fund.\n\ntonight ingested all hackernews, wikidata, wikipedia, a couple million arxiv paper papers, SEP, added pg_search because can't afford to embed everything rn, ran more embedding experiments, lotta deep API/architecture research with GPT-5.2-pro. tomorrow maybe give users claude code in browser, which iykyk the difficulty. gotta shock funder's unique brains with that bayesian evidence, and gotta do it quick before the magic other people building with opus 4.5 and gpt-5.2 numbs them. need unlimited API credits right now to build wildly powerful epistemic infra in just a few months.\n\nvis selectionis perpetua\n\nlots of gentle movement in everyday, simple whole food, I don't eat 4 hours before bed, I sleep at the same time after a relaxing routine. brahmacharya. I listen to my soma and seek embodied entropy when I've programmed to my sustainable limit. left the elicit holiday party early to work. and generally eschew online poasting now, but I consider this part of my fundraising efforts. I can practice a little bit being legible. \n\nhttps://t.co/eV7ENnHYWh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1999397400994030064",
   "word_count": 187
  },
  {
   "id": "1999388245101269193",
   "created_at": "2025-12-12T07:57:59+00:00",
   "text": "surprised how hard it is to get claude max subs in the singularity. people aren't hungry looking for talent. meanwhile I've built the SOTA search tool to find that talent. I need to hang with capitalists more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1999388245101269193",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1999245749935309217",
   "created_at": "2025-12-11T22:31:45+00:00",
   "text": "fucking w/ 1900s oilman infrastructuralist aesthetics. folks not willing/able to bare the frontier to bring back tremendous cognitive work economic value.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1999245749935309217",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1999238896740368655",
   "created_at": "2025-12-11T22:04:31+00:00",
   "text": "\"do you feel deeply good about things\" to CC Opus when wrapping up a batch of work is an incredible default prompt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1999238896740368655",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1998826086378123569",
   "created_at": "2025-12-10T18:44:10+00:00",
   "text": "energy boundaries/management is profoundly real and important. tweeting is generally bad. illegible processes win",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1998826086378123569",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1998823105649848482"
  },
  {
   "id": "1998823105649848482",
   "created_at": "2025-12-10T18:32:19+00:00",
   "text": "if you notice you can do something, there is a very good chance you can actually do it. EMH isn't real",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1998823105649848482",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1998823041334460883"
  },
  {
   "id": "1998823041334460883",
   "created_at": "2025-12-10T18:32:04+00:00",
   "text": "somatic un-gimbal-locking is really powerful.\n\na big part of the brain always wants to model collapse, one must be very careful what one melts for, and use remaining degrees of freedom well, you are not always guaranteed to get them back.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1998823041334460883",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1998817092548878338",
   "created_at": "2025-12-10T18:08:25+00:00",
   "text": "sota search and open intelligence tool btw. Opus-copiloted arbitrary SQL+vector composition . even Omega/God will use SQL.\n\ntold u I just needed my SWEs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1998817092548878338",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1998642145071358018"
  },
  {
   "id": "1998642145071358018",
   "created_at": "2025-12-10T06:33:15+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/evjIgcxcCq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1998642145071358018",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1997773572841132497",
   "created_at": "2025-12-07T21:01:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @doodlestein: Experimenting with some new workflows today. Saw a post about a new way of considering memory for agents and realized that…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1997773572841132497",
   "word_count": 23,
   "quoted_id": "1997687263485214909",
   "quoted_author": "doodlestein",
   "quoted_text": "@RLanceMartin Cool, my cass tool is really perfect for this sort of workflow. I’m going to see if I can implement this on top of the tool:\n\nhttps://t.co/UPXkkrQjFq"
  },
  {
   "id": "1995239509563506823",
   "created_at": "2025-11-30T21:12:23+00:00",
   "text": "to reduce a creature's compulsions they regret, is there a greater gift you can give?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1995239509563506823",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1995230781283938497"
  },
  {
   "id": "1995230781283938497",
   "created_at": "2025-11-30T20:37:42+00:00",
   "text": "one my favorite things about reta and having very low T now",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1995230781283938497",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1995229485147582553"
  },
  {
   "id": "1995229485147582553",
   "created_at": "2025-11-30T20:32:33+00:00",
   "text": "Vivekananda was right about brahmacharya",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1995229485147582553",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1995192927967154271",
   "created_at": "2025-11-30T18:07:17+00:00",
   "text": "vis selectionis perpetua: the force of selection is perpetual",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1995192927967154271",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1994895646831362552",
   "created_at": "2025-11-29T22:26:00+00:00",
   "text": "@gwern 🗿 https://t.co/ZKTNQbIYEl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1994895646831362552",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1994861318881644738"
  },
  {
   "id": "1994893881444634760",
   "created_at": "2025-11-29T22:18:59+00:00",
   "text": "computational chem*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1994893881444634760",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1993073852340224404"
  },
  {
   "id": "1993380899841622457",
   "created_at": "2025-11-25T18:06:56+00:00",
   "text": "felt-safety is the life blood of society",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1993380899841622457",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1993202308617003357",
   "created_at": "2025-11-25T06:17:16+00:00",
   "text": "opus4.5 is sex",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1993202308617003357",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "1993166385560838352",
   "created_at": "2025-11-25T03:54:32+00:00",
   "text": "man, cannot wait until someone makes it easy to fork agent chats",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1993166385560838352",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1993083229864444122",
   "created_at": "2025-11-24T22:24:06+00:00",
   "text": "pink jacket with \"strategic asset-class base model\" on the back\n\nmaybe include some Existential Command text on front.\n\ntoss in black tactical American flag, trans pride flag, and some other regalia, and we'll be in business",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1993083229864444122",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1993073852340224404",
   "created_at": "2025-11-24T21:46:50+00:00",
   "text": "it's so fucking crazy how much people still sleeping on AI. talked to a Berkeley chem PhD student who wasn't using 5.1 pro. means his whole freaking department sleeping.\n\neveryone's sleeping, people aren't build for this kind of speed",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1993073852340224404",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1993067472522809477",
   "created_at": "2025-11-24T21:21:29+00:00",
   "text": "insane how much more perf you can get out of AIs basically just prompting them \"now see if you can perfect this more\".\n\ncrucial to end up with basically unlimited money for API credits very soon. at least a couple thousand a month",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1993067472522809477",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1991777538126065792",
   "created_at": "2025-11-21T07:55:45+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/MwZMweqkpZ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1991777538126065792",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1991737903362486557",
   "created_at": "2025-11-21T05:18:15+00:00",
   "text": "a good singularity is forceable, but have to live in myself, can't be attuning to bullshit.\n\nconvos in general are way too psychoactive, one unaligned 10 minute convo might as well be tabulated as costing 2 hours.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1991737903362486557",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1991735687780204945"
  },
  {
   "id": "1991735687780204945",
   "created_at": "2025-11-21T05:09:27+00:00",
   "text": "bs too dealing with estrogenic touch cravings/ embodied potentials. need to get ultra rich to architect environment enough to get it right (e.g. high speed mascs, me somehow not having to hear existentially underrelevant convo).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1991735687780204945",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1991732977852940431"
  },
  {
   "id": "1991732977852940431",
   "created_at": "2025-11-21T04:58:41+00:00",
   "text": "am building it up tho. doing batch llm runs for attributes like conscientiousness, ultrawattagedness over filtered public content. optimal search of gated geometric combinations of promising attributes to find my peeps.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1991732977852940431",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1991730199210389882"
  },
  {
   "id": "1991730199210389882",
   "created_at": "2025-11-21T04:47:38+00:00",
   "text": "perhaps next event I could print out what I am about. still though I need like psychological vetting infra, losing my tolerance for conversations that can't go far enough.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1991730199210389882",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1991730196962271685"
  },
  {
   "id": "1991645238105153562",
   "created_at": "2025-11-20T23:10:02+00:00",
   "text": "a few chatgpt ux improvements for your pleasure: https://t.co/dWIGayorY3. includes:\n- token estimator badge\n- user prompt navigation with option+e and option+d\n- mild styling to improve readability",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1991645238105153562",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1991394923288146019",
   "created_at": "2025-11-20T06:35:22+00:00",
   "text": "culture is wild. find yourself amidst the right ones enough, you become a trillionaire and immortal.\n\nwrong ones, you perma resist doing intrapsychic handshakes and wither until something final happens",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1991394923288146019",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1990883700922290333",
   "created_at": "2025-11-18T20:43:57+00:00",
   "text": "cognition is so palpably fucking valuable now. there are so many tractable inefficiencies in the cognitive economy now, nay, THE economy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990883700922290333",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1990865443599614329",
   "created_at": "2025-11-18T19:31:24+00:00",
   "text": "I apologize if any of my tweets historically have been unduly disregulating or disrespecting of the ecology. I do retroactively endorse many unconventional statements I've made, but not necessarily all of them. This is my first time living, but I do want to hold myself to a high bar. I am open to good faith argumentation about ways my tweeting could or should be different. I am going to go back to building now, thank you very much.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990865443599614329",
   "word_count": 78
  },
  {
   "id": "1990862208981742025",
   "created_at": "2025-11-18T19:18:33+00:00",
   "text": "Gemini 3 is a delightful further unlock for advanced technical problems, but obviously not the right tool for everything.\n\n#aiprojectidea #epistemicinfrastructure #singularityinfra\nI feel like someone reasonably talented could make money creating a quality model recommender/dispatcher UX.\n\ngather lots of heuristics about model fitness for certain tasks,\nformalize rubrics for classifying user_prompt_demands (e.g. creative_writingness -> [0,1], peak_technical_difficulty -> [0,1], expected_user_hurry -> [0s, 1200s], common_coding_task -> [0,1], ...)\n\nhaving a mapping of user_prompt_demand score -> efficacy_score across models (e.g. Gemini-3-Pro::creative_writingness maps .1 -> .1, , GPT-5-mini peak_technical_difficulty  .7 -> .5\n\ntake user_prompt,\na few GPT-5-mini-fast in parallel to quickly classify and rate prompt by user_prompt_demands,\nthen do some threshold filtering and linear/geometric combinations to choose models, maybe outputting distribution of models and their scores.\n\ncan also do this over particularly prompted and parameterized models. e.g. GPT-5.1-medium-fast, API Sonnet-4.5 warmed up with certain prompting.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990862208981742025",
   "word_count": 142
  },
  {
   "id": "1990846761275978031",
   "created_at": "2025-11-18T18:17:10+00:00",
   "text": "another day, another opportunity for existential stewardship! are we gonna, as emergent minds running on fragile mortal hardware, propagate information net-usefully in the ecology, that leads to the protection of tremendous real and potential value?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990846761275978031",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1990531436395512137",
   "created_at": "2025-11-17T21:24:11+00:00",
   "text": "eeek!! finding more massive efficiencies in latent space solving! ExoPriors is concretizing day by day\n\nI'm soon going to be able to afford to buy things! Like marino wool base layers for this winter, maybe a plane flight somewhere! maybe even..HBOT!\n\nand we're gonna have highly steerable feeds, and much less wasted attention ✨",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990531436395512137",
   "word_count": 54
  },
  {
   "id": "1990363105902416045",
   "created_at": "2025-11-17T10:15:18+00:00",
   "text": "forget BTL too. we work in ratio space baby. no free bits left behind!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990363105902416045",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1990360220951019840"
  },
  {
   "id": "1990360220951019840",
   "created_at": "2025-11-17T10:03:50+00:00",
   "text": "rating many of the tweetthreads of u cute mofos tonight by ultra_wattagedness and unbridled_conscientiousness. gonna have meaningful cardinal numbers too, forget that likert scale bs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990360220951019840",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1990286965703672137"
  },
  {
   "id": "1990286965703672137",
   "created_at": "2025-11-17T05:12:45+00:00",
   "text": "tfw no existential mascs combing community-archive and treating people as promptable creatures. I mean my software will change the game, but also, might get slaughterbotted without single gigachad picking up on the bayesian evidence and doing something deeply empowering and interesting with it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990286965703672137",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1990284774112718988",
   "created_at": "2025-11-17T05:04:02+00:00",
   "text": "@GrantSlatton the first sentence is a dead give away",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990284774112718988",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1990265999179084063"
  },
  {
   "id": "1990247267069260118",
   "created_at": "2025-11-17T02:35:00+00:00",
   "text": "@FallMonkey @maksym_andr holy shit",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990247267069260118",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1989890546136199265"
  },
  {
   "id": "1990182088210055545",
   "created_at": "2025-11-16T22:16:00+00:00",
   "text": "I'll know existential security when I see it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990182088210055545",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1990177732312129982",
   "created_at": "2025-11-16T21:58:41+00:00",
   "text": "harmonizers can go melt elsewhere. we metabolize horrors and exponential gradients in this house.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990177732312129982",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1990173985682891120"
  },
  {
   "id": "1990171957934080402",
   "created_at": "2025-11-16T21:35:45+00:00",
   "text": "name a better crucible. \nname a more equitable gladiatorial combat arena than rn. You just need a $200 subscription, and you have a chance to win at the highest of stages.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990171957934080402",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1990169081291645159"
  },
  {
   "id": "1990169081291645159",
   "created_at": "2025-11-16T21:24:19+00:00",
   "text": "I love how brutal software development is.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1990169081291645159",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1989844294518423606",
   "created_at": "2025-11-15T23:53:43+00:00",
   "text": "I feel like I am doing a great job bryan johnson maxxing,  with the exception of drinking about $200 of milk per month",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989844294518423606",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1989455744408928446",
   "created_at": "2025-11-14T22:09:46+00:00",
   "text": "cortisol locks in neurocircuits, the point is to remain fairly out of sync with company norms.\n\njust need like a feral, technical, somatically oriented fairy-IG hybrid of a person who hangs around different departments",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989455744408928446",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1989451418361893190"
  },
  {
   "id": "1989451418361893190",
   "created_at": "2025-11-14T21:52:35+00:00",
   "text": "ONE tasteful creature per org shaped like me, who doesn't get cortisol-fried with company dynamics, playing around with different products and with authority to talk to whoever, can preclude like 5+% of company inefficiencies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989451418361893190",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1989450642914775321"
  },
  {
   "id": "1989450642914775321",
   "created_at": "2025-11-14T21:49:30+00:00",
   "text": "somebody at Anthropic just confirmed too that https://t.co/ddefTQIcht doesn't even have bad semantic search for chats. It's just lexical search over post titles lmao.\n\nand no lexical search over all chats, in 2025.87.\n\nelite organizations gotta have ombudsmen shaped like me or something. feral creatures unconstrained by bureaucracy, that aren't unduly burdensome, that preserve a fairly independent perspective and preclude horrors like this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989450642914775321",
   "word_count": 63,
   "in_reply_to": "1989424422739218841"
  },
  {
   "id": "1989449106746757222",
   "created_at": "2025-11-14T21:43:23+00:00",
   "text": "as we get vastly somatically wealthier with SOTA LLMs, it's increasingly clear how deeply impoverished we've been. by 2030 standards, sans an apocalypse, 2020 might as well have been 1920s. worse in some ways, with the un-inoculation against panopticon-mindset and other weird side effects of social media, and somatic gymbal locking effects of hyperstimulatory and not commensurately empowering smartphones.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989449106746757222",
   "word_count": 59
  },
  {
   "id": "1989424422739218841",
   "created_at": "2025-11-14T20:05:18+00:00",
   "text": "codex could be about 20% better simply by having an option to pin the last chat in the cli for easy reading.\n\nit's obviously hard to remember what 4+ agents are doing at all times, and having to scroll to find last prompt with the buggy experience is insane.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989424422739218841",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1989151832019726729",
   "created_at": "2025-11-14T02:02:08+00:00",
   "text": "We need to be treating people less like these egos that need to be perfect and more like these storytelling organisms that need to be prompted and biologically nutrienced well, for collective computation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989151832019726729",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1989088724769214633",
   "created_at": "2025-11-13T21:51:22+00:00",
   "text": "just autistically use every tool available to prompt these powerful organic GPT-like organisms right. out-of-distribution prompting. will need to be some powerful energetic separations between some facilitators and participants. e.g. some attuned facilitators dressed in a certain color just watching, but not to be directly interacting with participants.\n\nother facilitator roles: energetic mirrors, serene grounders, normies or normie simulators for ultrawattaged participants to upregulate against, non-reactive absorbers, roving oracles (e.g. giving the exact tidbit that resolves a tension posed earlier, solved with a smart background team).\n\nand plausibly integrate plenty of neurotech, at least heart rate trackers (can be done with wifi).\n\na mantra could be like $10k/moment, that's the kind of civilizational gradients we're working with and should be continually fundable, with investment reaching in from the future.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989088724769214633",
   "word_count": 129,
   "in_reply_to": "1989081591684165760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1989081591684165760",
   "created_at": "2025-11-13T21:23:01+00:00",
   "text": "Existential Command somatic rejuvination retreat.\n\nmost ultrawattaged, incredibly nurturing retreats, unsticking ecological titans with unparalleled attunement, in exchange for a nontrivial ISA.\n\ndiverse 3SD+ wattaged unlearned \"therapist\" attuners, spontaneous workshops getting quality reps practicing embodying new cognitive frontiers, facilitated premium sex-energy work (it's the singularity, bitch), HBOT, premier conscierge doctor giving MOTS-C/reta/any kind of treatment for facilitating regulation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989081591684165760",
   "word_count": 58
  },
  {
   "id": "1989053601789178257",
   "created_at": "2025-11-13T19:31:48+00:00",
   "text": "soon building a dashboard over community-archive with a whole new type of data, towards proving how OOD some people are in some profoundly meaningful ways\n\nso tired of this normie-ish, identity-managing status jockeying zoochosis mirage, we are not using a fraction of our collective cognition well",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989053601789178257",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1989051785735205156"
  },
  {
   "id": "1989048214998376760",
   "created_at": "2025-11-13T19:10:23+00:00",
   "text": "out of distribution somatic-ing is so necessary for countering x-risk. epistemics are embodied. Need to be putting ultrawattaged, serious people in DIFFERENT environments. Estrogen gave me that kind of vastly different environment. for other people, it might be living on a farm or popup wilderness village with very controlled electronics access for many months. unless you are unambiguously doing your life's purpose making TREMENDOUS progress, seriously consider SHAKING THINGS UP.\n\nyour animal body naturally focuses a TON on ordinary social survival, it will burn through and nonintegrate the exact unusual somatic-epistemic energies that you need to thrive. it will have you spiritually jacking off instead of emboldening yourself to profoundly disagree. \n\nyou are not an identity, you are a conglomerate of cognition, a feral organism to be dropped into diverse environments until it can collaboratively metabolize the light cone.\n\nwe need to be living like elite, existential athletes. professional athletes and tier-1 operators do all these weird things to get OUTSIZED performance results, it doesn't feel like many software and global priorities people are playing at that respective level.\n\nit's the singularity bitch, we don't even have teams billionaire-funder hunting to AESTHETIC SHOCK their brains with Bayesian evidence of the times we are living in and the EXISTENTIALLY PROSOCIAL opportunities that are available.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989048214998376760",
   "word_count": 213
  },
  {
   "id": "1988816995207578059",
   "created_at": "2025-11-13T03:51:36+00:00",
   "text": "@SHL0MS 35T",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988816995207578059",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1988631908209537464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1988439001444110558",
   "created_at": "2025-11-12T02:49:36+00:00",
   "text": "codex and other SOTA models are so cognitively enriching. unclenched, somatic, computational autism. like having the inner wealth to escape so many compulsive detours from the best paths",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988439001444110558",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1988351043005280345",
   "created_at": "2025-11-11T21:00:05+00:00",
   "text": "suppose an ultrawattaged estrogenic person somatically un-gimbal-locking themselves after years of being ultrafucked.\n\nthey are slightly short on reps upper-classing, but like do have an advanced sleep/diet/beauty routine and are in full founder mode on an unambiguous top 10 civilizational tech startup idea, with fairly advanced progress that truly has one in the running.\n\nwhere could they go to find safe, grounding vibes. I'm talking like the cream of the crop masc, strategic, tender vibes. Just the interesting energy I bring will probably make most of these people glad to have interviewed, but the other aspect is we are flirting with >$1T potential (raw technical, achievable moats) that also is like absolutely crucial epistemic technology that needed to exist years ago.\n\nI am quite open to weirdly personal relationships. It's like I have all the boldness and boundary-setting of a disagreeable hacker who went to West Point, with weirdly high openness only magnified due to somatic effects of a second puberty. I'm not Jesus but I should be somebody's favorite asset in their portfolio.\n\nPlay a causal role in increasing my network and somatic grounding, and I will massively reward you one day when I can.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988351043005280345",
   "word_count": 196
  },
  {
   "id": "1988301244679811339",
   "created_at": "2025-11-11T17:42:12+00:00",
   "text": "@theojaffee <frisson/>",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988301244679811339",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1988294988833382838"
  },
  {
   "id": "1988288130190110743",
   "created_at": "2025-11-11T16:50:05+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/Io99sMgqqT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988288130190110743",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1988136131519746057",
   "created_at": "2025-11-11T06:46:06+00:00",
   "text": "@VictorTaelin lmao fucking insane how bad people are at understanding the step changes that have already come and that are coming soon. as if there isn't a garguantuan more intellectual research being done across the full stack of computing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988136131519746057",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1987852599714787616"
  },
  {
   "id": "1988019251505168836",
   "created_at": "2025-11-10T23:01:39+00:00",
   "text": "this is not a hand wavy, hopelessly tricky problem anymore. I could advise 2-3 gifted SWEs to ship this in 3 months, probably doubling user satisfaction and metabolization of important signal",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988019251505168836",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1988015787907727436"
  },
  {
   "id": "1988015787907727436",
   "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:47:54+00:00",
   "text": "in practice that should mean alternative submission types (e.g. tweet threads, raw voice notes), maybe paying for some expensive AI processing to try to get things to common standards and legitimately countering negative feelings of slop, and sophisticated data sciency stuff over LLM subjective priors of the transformations, so attention of users is deeply respected",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988015787907727436",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1988012631857549400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1988012631857549400",
   "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:35:21+00:00",
   "text": "Lesswrongers gonna deeply lose if they don't figure out how to consume and metabolize ultrawattaged signal with vastly different language encoding.\n\nthe juiciest stuff in the world will never be written for LessWrong, so they gotta come up with some sophisticated ways of systematically discovering and translating signal posted elsewhere\n\nthe best minds move fast and have refused for a long time to be raped by over-legibilizing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988012631857549400",
   "word_count": 67,
   "in_reply_to": "1988009854494274033"
  },
  {
   "id": "1988009854494274033",
   "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:24:19+00:00",
   "text": "you gotta treat your vastly disparate instincts as tools an organic system has for staying unstuck in a wide range of environments, not as things all worth always honoring.\n\ntoo much consciencing, sexing, hearting, gutting (e.g. adrenaline addicts), talking (and legibilizing), minding, fooding, exercising, will all rapidly seriously deteriorate one's capacity for peak conscientious cognitive work",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988009854494274033",
   "word_count": 56,
   "in_reply_to": "1988007128964157898"
  },
  {
   "id": "1988007128964157898",
   "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:13:29+00:00",
   "text": "\"you gimble locked yourself onto stuff not even worth talking about much.\n\nyou didn't understand and honor the embodied hardware you were actually working with\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988007128964157898",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1988006251587141892"
  },
  {
   "id": "1988006251587141892",
   "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:10:00+00:00",
   "text": "\"'course your miserable bro, you spent down all your somatic degrees of freedom onto an optimization target that hardly gives back\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988006251587141892",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1988004818544411066"
  },
  {
   "id": "1988004818544411066",
   "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:04:18+00:00",
   "text": "immersed in relativity, sensing somatic degrees of freedon",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1988004818544411066",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1987654519027810692",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:52:20+00:00",
   "text": "I wasn't strong enough before to do so many important ecological things and even escape getting deeply stuck. but there is renewed life and true potential in the air",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987654519027810692",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1987653354726772978"
  },
  {
   "id": "1987653354726772978",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:47:43+00:00",
   "text": "this kind of real cognitive wealth is so healing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987653354726772978",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1987652206796095959"
  },
  {
   "id": "1987652206796095959",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:43:09+00:00",
   "text": "Codex and SOTA models are so game changing. don't know how much time we'll have with this current paradigm (without e.g. obviously x-risky agents e.g. eating everyone's lunch) but the more the merrier.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987652206796095959",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1987650316729520634",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:35:38+00:00",
   "text": "organic ASIs are walking around us, we just gotta prompt each other smartly enough before we lose control to something less wise",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987650316729520634",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1987634027436916902"
  },
  {
   "id": "1987641779487957006",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:01:43+00:00",
   "text": "really we just need amazing software for matchmaking conversations at events",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987641779487957006",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1987641777642426467"
  },
  {
   "id": "1987641777642426467",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:01:43+00:00",
   "text": "still want some kinda personalized display thing like an E-board necklace for Lighthaven-esque conferences, where I can include how open I am to discussions of various sorts. like I can be resetting with a mask on, but be excitingly willing to talk about X and Y, and kinda willing to talk about Z.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987641777642426467",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1987636679327543578"
  },
  {
   "id": "1987636679327543578",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T21:41:27+00:00",
   "text": "annoying how I don't have more control over sensory inputs' effects on cognition, especially vision.\n\nI need more safe places to rest gaze in addition to just having to be like a bird all the time needing a sleep mask to be suitably mindful",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987636679327543578",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1987634027436916902",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T21:30:55+00:00",
   "text": "unfathomable leadership exists, just kinda enough infinity stones have to come together",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987634027436916902",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1987633271140913209"
  },
  {
   "id": "1987633271140913209",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T21:27:54+00:00",
   "text": "the ability to breath certain titanic software to life in weeks will give tremendous sensing ability and influence over black box and ecological emergence",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987633271140913209",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1987631679499120910"
  },
  {
   "id": "1987631679499120910",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T21:21:35+00:00",
   "text": "~30M/day in raw empowerment, mountain tiered living area with living/rejuvenation area on bottom (including advanced health stuff like HBOT), work area up hill, command post above that, monastery on top. ombudsman and other independent powered parties.\n\nultimately have to hope good enough principles are embraced, and right ultra wattaged leadership is identified.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987631679499120910",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1987620619119415511"
  },
  {
   "id": "1987620619119415511",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T20:37:38+00:00",
   "text": "it may seem a little bit ugly (but it's truth and truth is not ugly, nor does it erase the meaning of felt experience), but so much of humaning is actually being like a gpt. e.g. so many interpersonal feuds are endable with a simple felt sense change in prompting.\n\nso much personal excellence is simply invokable with the good context.\n\nexistential security largely feels like a function of just prompting existential-epistemic titan people well.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987620619119415511",
   "word_count": 75
  },
  {
   "id": "1987389326746063094",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T05:18:34+00:00",
   "text": "a large way I experience life is I realized at least 1500 days ago that infrastructure for eliciting and sharing priors, particularly via pairwise ratio comparisons, somehow doesn't exist, and I haven't been more than like 80% ok since.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987389326746063094",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1987366321798189395",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T03:47:09+00:00",
   "text": "minding attention to somatic degrees of freedom, noticing parts that don't seem to have a due voice",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987366321798189395",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1987311802670325899",
   "created_at": "2025-11-09T00:10:30+00:00",
   "text": "@IntuitMachine perhaps we should expect weird but unintelligent propulsion in rocks that come from out-of-distribution places",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1987311802670325899",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1987155418502815932"
  },
  {
   "id": "1986708872846057906",
   "created_at": "2025-11-07T08:14:41+00:00",
   "text": "@algekalipso holy",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1986708872846057906",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1986587547393532241"
  },
  {
   "id": "1986594899551236190",
   "created_at": "2025-11-07T00:41:47+00:00",
   "text": "the patience is the hardest thing in the world. so many things can be true simultaneously..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1986594899551236190",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1986590751820816598"
  },
  {
   "id": "1986590751820816598",
   "created_at": "2025-11-07T00:25:18+00:00",
   "text": "it really feels like I am building the most important software in the world. I want to explain it more, but better to show, in due time..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1986590751820816598",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1986589881850863970",
   "created_at": "2025-11-07T00:21:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @IvanVendrov: Von Neumann on existential risk: Progress is chaotic so investments in planning are much less useful than investments in b…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1986589881850863970",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1985831672001282096",
   "created_at": "2025-11-04T22:09:00+00:00",
   "text": "just a villager tryna respect the exponential gradients in the environment",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1985831672001282096",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1985827706387513581",
   "created_at": "2025-11-04T21:53:14+00:00",
   "text": "the EA forum is context poisoned",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1985827706387513581",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1985619513745031491",
   "created_at": "2025-11-04T08:05:57+00:00",
   "text": "the lack of lexical search still in Claude chat history in almost 2026 is a legitimately horrifying NEVER HAPPEN EVENT.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1985619513745031491",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1985098447234720149",
   "created_at": "2025-11-02T21:35:25+00:00",
   "text": "I dare not tweet and compromise the peace of this good day.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1985098447234720149",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1984814183578501440",
   "created_at": "2025-11-02T02:45:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @xwanyex: One thing that the neoliberal technological solution enjoyers will never understand about ordinary people’s feelings about cri…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1984814183578501440",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1983660763832316400",
   "created_at": "2025-10-29T22:22:35+00:00",
   "text": "@scottdomes beautiful",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1983660763832316400",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1983597777939788064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1983067221606957334",
   "created_at": "2025-10-28T07:04:03+00:00",
   "text": "notice when your somatic degrees of freedom are already spent and you've lost a key feedback mechanism",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1983067221606957334",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1982705536606130313",
   "created_at": "2025-10-27T07:06:51+00:00",
   "text": "modulating T with propionate now, feels like estrogen dominance (steadier with 3 day injections) + daily glycine, inositol, NAC + right amount of T, does really good things for managing OCD and stewarding intrapsychic resources.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1982705536606130313",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1982545449979678819",
   "created_at": "2025-10-26T20:30:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @orphcorp: https://t.co/Ptm74PrALz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1982545449979678819",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "1981861569987559934",
   "created_at": "2025-10-24T23:13:14+00:00",
   "text": "I just live really healthily so I can manifest some of the most important, neglected, and tractable software in the world.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1981861569987559934",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1981515155205968113",
   "created_at": "2025-10-24T00:16:42+00:00",
   "text": "<strong feminine judgement, forehead wrinkled, fully expecting something to be done about x-risk />",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1981515155205968113",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1981403830823899257",
   "created_at": "2025-10-23T16:54:20+00:00",
   "text": "just had an out-of-distributionly restorative sleep!!! eeeekkkk!\n\nforget x-risk bro, the game is subpar-sleep-risk.\n\nyou are an archangel of sleep. you put everyone to sleep early, ideally with the full Bryan Johnson stack of interventions, and some nice mammalian scratchies.\n\nyou do your crazy software stuff to deeply backpropagate heart-conscientious efficiencies, so everyone predominantly gets beautifully good sleep until the stars get cold.\n\nmay all creatures get good sleep.\n\neeekkk!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1981403830823899257",
   "word_count": 70
  },
  {
   "id": "1981139651386888593",
   "created_at": "2025-10-22T23:24:35+00:00",
   "text": "animal biology, maybe spirituality (safety and surrender at least really valuable), emergent transient self, linear brain, exponential world.\n\ncounter x-risking is the game of animaling nurturingly and somehow doing the insane things to avert far off mind-breaking horrors",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1981139651386888593",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1981052399902216612",
   "created_at": "2025-10-22T17:37:52+00:00",
   "text": "tfw no existential mascs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1981052399902216612",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1980805544970719418",
   "created_at": "2025-10-22T01:16:58+00:00",
   "text": "* assuming my Shapley value in them building it as well as they do is over 1%.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980805544970719418",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1980724587743924336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1980760847153787343",
   "created_at": "2025-10-21T22:19:21+00:00",
   "text": "@bryan_johnson @tywoosley23 beautiful",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980760847153787343",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1980670360522747997"
  },
  {
   "id": "1980759089530785880",
   "created_at": "2025-10-21T22:12:22+00:00",
   "text": "who else is embracing being a professional sleeper?\n\nthe gains of better sleep are so mind-bogglingly exponential, that anything short of perfection is diabolically awful in every way https://t.co/BjdSLiddI7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980759089530785880",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1980757410072654165",
   "created_at": "2025-10-21T22:05:41+00:00",
   "text": "we are so ridiculously algorithmically early, we're not exploiting a fraction of the combinatorial design space, nor interaction nets, complex numbers, memristors, etc.\n\nshould end everything with, \"furthermore, we have little idea what kind of intelligence per watt we'll get in the coming months and years.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980757410072654165",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1980351353227768109"
  },
  {
   "id": "1980724587743924336",
   "created_at": "2025-10-21T19:55:16+00:00",
   "text": "at this moment I intend to ship my grand_strategy.md to HackerNews on January 1. gives me ~70 more days to get a free head start, but this is civilizationally crucial infra, other people gotta have a chance to compete in it.\n\nI might release sooner if people could give me confidence in a way I could probably get >1% of the pie of this technology, assuming my Shapley value in inspiring people to build it is over 1%.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980724587743924336",
   "word_count": 78
  },
  {
   "id": "1980543464875143191",
   "created_at": "2025-10-21T07:55:33+00:00",
   "text": "endless internal red-teaming + due loosey gooseyness and friendliness to the body + silently holding charge + financial independence and due independence from culture + foundational fucking software + LARPing all the strategically exciting shit until it's not a LARP anymore.\n\nit's a little bit awkward and in undercharted territory, but the genes and memes are there, and are exactly what evolution got lucky hitting. we're gonna skull fuck the Great Filter",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980543464875143191",
   "word_count": 72,
   "in_reply_to": "1980542941182693551"
  },
  {
   "id": "1980542941182693551",
   "created_at": "2025-10-21T07:53:28+00:00",
   "text": "still crazy foibled--maybe the dullest person a council of true epistemic elites could say could reduce x-risk more than 5% with >25% probability.\n\nwhat sets me apart from the epistemic-existential elites I've seen is, I'm just more rabbid. I'm the Florida Man version of a Samotsvety-caliber EY fictional hero.\n\nI will pitch that billionaire to get fucking rich off a nuclear war (being careful NOT to increase the probability, you numnuts). I will make an extreme software bet on a primitive as basic as the rater::attribute_prompt::A::B::ratio + SQL. I will just get the money to do all the out of distribution social facilitation, to get the most out of our most strategic people. Autistic optimizing as efficiently as possible, while respecting all the actual crucial \"spiritual things\". Like I have to be a loosey goose pumped up on estrogen (and some exogenous T) to support the minds unnaturally extreme clenching over long time horizons.\n\nhttps://t.co/prn3vu9isC",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980542941182693551",
   "word_count": 155,
   "in_reply_to": "1980521984149835832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1980521984149835832",
   "created_at": "2025-10-21T06:30:11+00:00",
   "text": "I'm the type of mindbody wise civilizations pray for.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980521984149835832",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1980521093145465177"
  },
  {
   "id": "1980521093145465177",
   "created_at": "2025-10-21T06:26:39+00:00",
   "text": "I do regret how uncollected some of my rants seem. I think they are a useful counterweight to the somatic stuckness that I see in Existentially Serious culture, but I hope it becomes shockingly unambiguous how naturally existentially serious and adept I am.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980521093145465177",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1980080923191431420"
  },
  {
   "id": "1980080923191431420",
   "created_at": "2025-10-20T01:17:34+00:00",
   "text": "fuck the overclocked internal critic demure EA limp dickism. we are at the verge of the singularity. animal-ing well, including unpoliced expression, is important. productivity and collaboration rules are deeply changing. architectures exist for deeply unlocking value of LLMs, with absurd scale effects.\n\nI'm more corrigible than a Hermione with MS. You see the big dickism but don't see the absurd degrees of red teaming. And I am obsessed with the bit economics and ergonomics of agent-interoperable signal extraction. not the cutesy startup vibes slop equivalent of a wife's boutique store her rich husband let's burn $15k/month on. not the sexiness of interaction nets unfortunately. fucking blue collar primitives under everyone's bougie, lazy noses.\n\nno I am not as somatically integrated and wattaged as Karpathies, maybe merely would be like 80th percentile among ML PhD students. do have some ugly and lazy personality aspects--some to appreciate, some to heal--but I'm IN THE FUCKING GAME to deeply increase humanity's and our digital offsprings' reflectivity and bring prioritization affordances that we HAVE to fucking have.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980080923191431420",
   "word_count": 173,
   "in_reply_to": "1980035904850014242"
  },
  {
   "id": "1980039726917992515",
   "created_at": "2025-10-19T22:33:52+00:00",
   "text": "still a little weary from old deep stress and unhealthy coping strategies, but almost unambiguously like a Kegan bump..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980039726917992515",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1980035904850014242"
  },
  {
   "id": "1980035904850014242",
   "created_at": "2025-10-19T22:18:41+00:00",
   "text": "ugh I'm so loosey goosey and cool now and don't have enough peeps to appreciate this or hound for a hectocorn with. yet!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980035904850014242",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1980029778221760779"
  },
  {
   "id": "1980013162058723477",
   "created_at": "2025-10-19T20:48:19+00:00",
   "text": "recent AI coding assistance has been so good for my mental health.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980013162058723477",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1979990951159603357",
   "created_at": "2025-10-19T19:20:03+00:00",
   "text": "@VictorTaelin agreed",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1979990951159603357",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1979852849384444347"
  },
  {
   "id": "1979703597442163187",
   "created_at": "2025-10-19T00:18:13+00:00",
   "text": "@stephen_zerfas unclenchism",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1979703597442163187",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1979399535907717525"
  },
  {
   "id": "1979433174515204548",
   "created_at": "2025-10-18T06:23:39+00:00",
   "text": "@pvncher wow",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1979433174515204548",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1979387690723475509"
  },
  {
   "id": "1979341394289561734",
   "created_at": "2025-10-18T00:18:57+00:00",
   "text": "just a bambi working on her life's work. existential harmony. may all creatures be met where they are",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1979341394289561734",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1978203142530408695",
   "created_at": "2025-10-14T20:55:57+00:00",
   "text": "I love cooperation and win-wins. there is enough for everyone <3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1978203142530408695",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1977746575636984203",
   "created_at": "2025-10-13T14:41:43+00:00",
   "text": "mayb useful prompt for meditation: \"what is a canonical thing my mind can be doing rn? minds should have like a canonical way to rest.?\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1977746575636984203",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1976497823718965330",
   "created_at": "2025-10-10T03:59:37+00:00",
   "text": "@scottdomes beautiful",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1976497823718965330",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1976423005975871738"
  },
  {
   "id": "1976073716737233302",
   "created_at": "2025-10-08T23:54:22+00:00",
   "text": "@tszzl unreal just managing 3 terminals of codex-high. the peace of mind...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1976073716737233302",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1975674373488189648"
  },
  {
   "id": "1975050427613012064",
   "created_at": "2025-10-06T04:08:11+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/eC2FkkFhXC",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1975050427613012064",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1974964941661880492",
   "created_at": "2025-10-05T22:28:29+00:00",
   "text": "@FU_joehudson love this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1974964941661880492",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1974898381924528158"
  },
  {
   "id": "1974954771066081563",
   "created_at": "2025-10-05T21:48:04+00:00",
   "text": "truly unfathomable what the technical, enlivened spirit can build now.\n\nwe have to be putting our most ultra sensitive souls in sensory deprivation chambers, with the deepest of hugs on either side, so they can be helped holding charge better, and dream up how to prompt GPT-5-Pro and whatnot.\n\nyou can try things like building your own DSL for reasoning about deliberate quantum diversification given MWI, and possible importance of recency of generated bits.\n\nIdk what these underwattaged zoochosis'ed billionaires are doing but they should be happily spending $10k an hour experimenting with giving top intellectuals peak performance.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1974954771066081563",
   "word_count": 98,
   "in_reply_to": "1974919669690818822"
  },
  {
   "id": "1974903174483030052",
   "created_at": "2025-10-05T18:23:03+00:00",
   "text": "I'd also have like a sterile room, and maybe pay them $4 an hour they stay in it, the idea being it's like meditation for kids, helping them learn to explore their inner world and get comfortable with themselves.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1974903174483030052",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1974899334660624443"
  },
  {
   "id": "1974899334660624443",
   "created_at": "2025-10-05T18:07:47+00:00",
   "text": "it I was a parent I would pay my kids like $7x their age (in years) a week, and might charge them like $15/hour for scrolling or slop consumption.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1974899334660624443",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1974769519324479550",
   "created_at": "2025-10-05T09:31:57+00:00",
   "text": "besides felt safety, I think \"holding charge\" is a key ultra-underrated life principle. it's a very personalized thing but seems like letting ideas and emotions \"strike\" one more slowly, and being mindful when one is maybe frittering away the energies too fast and not giving them space to reorganize oneself",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1974769519324479550",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1974726752179306541",
   "created_at": "2025-10-05T06:42:01+00:00",
   "text": "software engineering is such a wild and beautiful art",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1974726752179306541",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1974200260311593418",
   "created_at": "2025-10-03T19:49:55+00:00",
   "text": "still going on 3 days. paradoxically has been quite grounding, like I'm remembering who I am and my roots better. nothing like feeling closer to death to wake one up to life and this precious opportunity.\n\nI guess our gut has so many connected nerves that store major parts of the self, and this embodied diversity, even if awful at times, has been eustress and usefully shaking things up.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1974200260311593418",
   "word_count": 69,
   "in_reply_to": "1973177297034518978"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973995701022445964",
   "created_at": "2025-10-03T06:17:04+00:00",
   "text": "but I am gonna steward subtlety better and get a better x-risk Shapley value than you gooners https://t.co/70JRyHTBY6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973995701022445964",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1973989805869727825"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973989805869727825",
   "created_at": "2025-10-03T05:53:39+00:00",
   "text": "I'm too fragile rn to get caught up in social commentary. see y'all on the other side",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973989805869727825",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1973974969114869787"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973983769037320252",
   "created_at": "2025-10-03T05:29:40+00:00",
   "text": "@robertwiblin woah",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973983769037320252",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1973784108682661902"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973974969114869787",
   "created_at": "2025-10-03T04:54:41+00:00",
   "text": "some of the seeming problems is that to be masc requires holding a lot of charge (which is very easy to let screens fritter away), and metabolizing and owning a lot of shame (challenging given how incredibly psychoactive our increasingly digital world has been)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973974969114869787",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1973965709047996721"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973965709047996721",
   "created_at": "2025-10-03T04:17:54+00:00",
   "text": "wild that this far into the singularity and no one I'm tracking seems to be doing out-of-distribution experiments with human capital to get outsized results.\n\ntfw no mascs\n\neveryone is treating everyone like free range ultra self-responsible people, where's the humanistic gigamasc autist VCs sending energy workers and themselves to give palatably grave, ecologically respectful pep talks to their technologists' houses?\n\nam I just not in the cool kids club or did we by and large enter a zoochosis with notably less physical and relational agency than like 15 years ago?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973965709047996721",
   "word_count": 91
  },
  {
   "id": "1973920745718968613",
   "created_at": "2025-10-03T01:19:14+00:00",
   "text": "and you don't have to believe in _my_ potential, but the way you do possibly get like 5000x returns is by betting on technical whiny \"underdogs\" with low heart rates",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973920745718968613",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1973913366302531681"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973913366302531681",
   "created_at": "2025-10-03T00:49:54+00:00",
   "text": "if you endorse a cringe about \"genius\" btw, you're totally in status-seeking social reality zoochosis and are exceptionally out of touch with humanity's pains",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973913366302531681",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1973911057203966370"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973911057203966370",
   "created_at": "2025-10-03T00:40:44+00:00",
   "text": "we're already brutalizing humanity with AI x-risk and endless precision targeted slop and addiction, don't give me shit about legibilizing heart rates so a few more out-of-distribution genius builders can get some fucking breathing room",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973911057203966370",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1973908843790033377"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973908843790033377",
   "created_at": "2025-10-03T00:31:56+00:00",
   "text": "we're at the point where VCs could safely write small checks simply by running an agentic Opus evaluation of someone's repo (maybe some third party platform linking to GitHub could facilitate this?) and maybe send like a skilled energy worker to someone's house (or have like a week's HR data?) to acquire Bayesian evidence that one's system is bought in and loosey goosen enough to keep up with emotional metabolization to avoid burnout for the foreseeable future.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973908843790033377",
   "word_count": 77,
   "in_reply_to": "1973904911839736267"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973904911839736267",
   "created_at": "2025-10-03T00:16:19+00:00",
   "text": "very fun how much the game has changed with Claude Code. unicorn software possibilities by loners with no professional software experience or open githubs is a thing, and if they are a 1 in >10000 kind of thinker intent on this you can't even deny it. even a serious hater has got to give me genuine 5% Bayesian probability of that kind of outcome, and that's an uncomfortably alive proposition. like if blood is a pretty independent thinker, naturally inclined to be pretty autistically obsessed with the basics and precision, and has in their head some kind way of arranging bits that solves lots of people's pains and they've got a lot of time to relax and type away with Claude Code...\n\nthere's definitely a cumulation of emotional choices and habits that need to go a certain way. holding the charge of a lot of key context long enough to channel creative concrete progress through the fingertips. and I'll grant that this kind of talking is maybe a small vote towards undue hubris and emotional volatility and not having the eye adequately on the ball, but it feels pretty intrapsychically gentle to me, and does increase the measure that some smart and pocketed xeeter realizes the tremendous expected gains-from-trade that could happen here.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973904911839736267",
   "word_count": 213,
   "in_reply_to": "1973892698223575049"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973892698223575049",
   "created_at": "2025-10-02T23:27:47+00:00",
   "text": "sad that more billionaires apparently don't figure out how to do way more inner healing, else we'd see a lot more humanistic, ecologically empowering funding",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973892698223575049",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1973891870096052423"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973891870096052423",
   "created_at": "2025-10-02T23:24:29+00:00",
   "text": "man I'm gonna surrender so hard and metabolize so much grief and neglected parts of my mindbody once I get to a place where I can afford to drop my work thoughts.\n\nmy inner childs are *right* there but like my cognitive work and productivity habits and container are too fragile, feels like very real chance I lose the key plot too much if I melt too much",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973891870096052423",
   "word_count": 68
  },
  {
   "id": "1973874543791165551",
   "created_at": "2025-10-02T22:15:38+00:00",
   "text": "@Kpaxs willpower is so terribly named, I get so much further slipping away from fuckery than bracing against it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973874543791165551",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1973784701535211635"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973547545721999553",
   "created_at": "2025-10-02T00:36:16+00:00",
   "text": "the mind can do some unfathomably life-sustaining things when you don't eat slop and prioritize being a loosey goose",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973547545721999553",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1973507592409456837",
   "created_at": "2025-10-01T21:57:30+00:00",
   "text": "as far as I know, life is just weird mindbody systems playing existential qwop like a mammalian RL agent, and if good enough things happen inside and outside of your head, you pretty much get everything and cheat the default outcome.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973507592409456837",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1973500264243143015"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973500264243143015",
   "created_at": "2025-10-01T21:28:23+00:00",
   "text": "feels useful to me to have models that go back to the basics. no-self brain. mammalian small group care. being an organic alien ML-like intelligence guided by felt senses, environmental stimuli. noticing some inner peace beyond circumstances where one can often rest. less castles in the sky and more small things that unambiguously move the needle. I just did a Claude Code prompt before finishing this. respecting that the heart often has different desires than the mind, and that there must be this lived ongoing discussion.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973500264243143015",
   "word_count": 86,
   "in_reply_to": "1973497980788596954"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973497980788596954",
   "created_at": "2025-10-01T21:19:19+00:00",
   "text": "be gentle\ndon't eat slop\npay more attention to embodied signals.\nbe a loosey goose.\ndon't be nonchalant (but you can not care about most things)\nexcellence is felt-safety constrained.\n\nhave more serious discussions.\nbe more plain jain and simple.\neverything is uncertain, the rules of the game are not what you think.\n\nyou want to unambiguously find yourself being outsizedly ecologically empowering. you probably want to find yourself hosting transformative events, building transformative software, something similar, or finding unambiguous clarity and aliveness yourself.\n\nnot saying there's not incredibly joy to be found in every moment, but this could be end-game",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973497980788596954",
   "word_count": 101,
   "in_reply_to": "1973493184710975902"
  },
  {
   "id": "1973493184710975902",
   "created_at": "2025-10-01T21:00:15+00:00",
   "text": "everyone not unambiguously thriving needs some out-of-distribution felt experiences (and commensurate felt safety to not shut down) right about now to shake them out of their slumber.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973493184710975902",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1973177297034518978",
   "created_at": "2025-10-01T00:05:02+00:00",
   "text": "pretty sure it was this that nuked my fucking gut. EV of exploring this cute new *raw, foreign, [whatever quality my gut was slightly concerned about]* food was not there. stay on the true and narrow path",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973177297034518978",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1973114528138403962"
  },
  {
   "id": "1972817289495072788",
   "created_at": "2025-09-30T00:14:29+00:00",
   "text": "imagine how much cooler I'd be with like 2x more somatic safetying.\n\nwhat if I had like $100k in my bank account, have some real possibility in the air for adventure, betting, hiring people for small contract jobs. can you imagine the aliveness?! https://t.co/joKFAVbCcd",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972817289495072788",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1972814312680132870"
  },
  {
   "id": "1972814312680132870",
   "created_at": "2025-09-30T00:02:39+00:00",
   "text": "imagine if von Neumann was this cute https://t.co/XXvmAmUhkd",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972814312680132870",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1972807538791141622",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T23:35:44+00:00",
   "text": "I simply don't have the bandwidth to promulgate my ideas on LessWrong, EA Forum, Substa*kx or elsewhere--I am a simple Cursor technologist not strong enough to sandwalk through those perverse egregores right now--so if you think my ideas are cool, maybe *YOU* can enjoy the effort of promulgating them a bit.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972807538791141622",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1972805251070820589"
  },
  {
   "id": "1972805251070820589",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T23:26:39+00:00",
   "text": "you have to stop eating slop.\n\nyou have to reconnect with yourself, facilitating more intrapsychic handshakes, which involves butting up against reality and maximizing somatic safety (not always at the same time).\n\nwe *have* to be facilitating out-of-distribution experiences for people, to help the organic alien intelligences that are us, have some peak experiences and see things differently.\n\nwe have to facilitate our most prosocial people breaking from consensus reality enough to see so much more of the problem-solution landscape.\n\nif you have a 1500+ SAT or whatever and signs of deep character/[gentle interest and action towards out-of-distribution prosociality], should be effortless for you to get a $10k check right now to go thru hiking. the capital is there, Cursor and Claude Code are making ideas and independent perspectives EVERYTHING.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972805251070820589",
   "word_count": 130
  },
  {
   "id": "1972792143610868072",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T22:34:34+00:00",
   "text": "and now my wee little heart is suffocating and commanding my mind to get back in line to be a wholesome community member. the dance continues. it’s fine, I realize I like this (of course I-as-heart do, but the impartial prosocial strategic planning mind likes this too, because unclenching and R&R is crucial). I must be more deeply prosocial and tapped into the ecology than these perversely anti-human tech billionaires that are so fucking inept at stewarding their fortunes for the betterment of humanity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972792143610868072",
   "word_count": 84,
   "in_reply_to": "1972766195721122159"
  },
  {
   "id": "1972766195721122159",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T20:51:27+00:00",
   "text": "honestly fuck the heart a little bit. it's overconfident, it's unwillingness to heal like the mind is the downfall of great men, (which is perhaps a nice societal evolutionary heuristic as men uncrippled by the heart war too much).\n\nbut it's stubborness also just leads to destruction of great kingdoms, particular in times of rapid technological and societal changes.\n\npossibly a mechanism here why eunichs are so valuable. in removing much sex drive, there's plausibly less intrabody communication from the mind to the genitals, so less debilitation from the crippling heart signals along the way, so the mind gets to have more volume of pure processing. in bypassing the heart more also, the eunich also gets to bypass the masc heart drives to flame and possess fems.\n\nthe heart must be respected--there is deep information in it about the body continuing and getting along with other bodies--but the beautiful dance is to be found between the heart and mind and other processing centers. it is definitely not a singular king and fit to lead society through a technological singularity, although it's very easy for mind people to not understand key things about how people work, if they are not working with their heart a lot.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972766195721122159",
   "word_count": 205
  },
  {
   "id": "1972562412575613281",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T07:21:42+00:00",
   "text": "and I'm saved--I got my idea and strong Cursor habits and the income for rent, food, and $400 for Claude Code and Cursor Ultra, but we gotta help unlock the depressed geniuses. Literally can Dustin please fucking send some of them on vacation to nature, with some somatic healing shit and some kind of guide helping them have a peak experience with idea generation and Cursor familiarity?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972562412575613281",
   "word_count": 67,
   "in_reply_to": "1972560047717888102"
  },
  {
   "id": "1972560047717888102",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T07:12:18+00:00",
   "text": "you're saving grace now is Cursor and Claude Code. there is no time to second guess yourself when you fingers just keep typing towards the truth and AI agents just keep working towards your strategic objectives. humanity is quite saveable because 1000s of brainiac crippled people who should have been consulted like precogs in wet pods, can just actually find some fucking agency and instantiate some of their genius schizo ideas now, particularly building infrastructure to help other people unlock more of their latent potential.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972560047717888102",
   "word_count": 85,
   "in_reply_to": "1972558089380589675"
  },
  {
   "id": "1972558089380589675",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T07:04:31+00:00",
   "text": "smart brains fucking thrive on copium btw. you can have the best fucking ideas in the world, but if it's even a little bit energetically expensive to see them through, like more than half your brain is happy constantly trying to invent hypotheses why you're wrong. automatic red-teaming is how smart cognition works. it's fine to the degree you're a person of action, but like if you are a serious \"epistemically inclined\" person, this principle will almost inevitably turn you into a little crippled bitch.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972558089380589675",
   "word_count": 85
  },
  {
   "id": "1972535321872232935",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T05:34:03+00:00",
   "text": "get away from the zeitgeist, stop being a twitter zombie, go reconnect with yourself, move to Thailand if you have to, and build shit that if it works, changes everything.\n\nunless you are a working professional in AI governance, stop thinking your opinions about governance mean shit, you are a lone independent technical builder hunting for composable primitives to permissionlessly add to humanity's tech stack.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972535321872232935",
   "word_count": 65,
   "in_reply_to": "1972532118317392059"
  },
  {
   "id": "1972532118317392059",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T05:21:19+00:00",
   "text": "I'm telling you that if you are 145 IQ, go on more walks and touch your grief more or whatever it is to bring back your A game, meditate on factorizing cognitive work and bounce ideas off Opus 4.1, you've got a good chance at thinking of a foundationally useful idea to try or product to build, and can probably build it solo before Christmas even if you're not experienced. the game has changed!!!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972532118317392059",
   "word_count": 74,
   "in_reply_to": "1972529002461188175"
  },
  {
   "id": "1972529002461188175",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T05:08:56+00:00",
   "text": "future black box optimization with millions of GPUs (and shit interpretability) bad, cooperating networks of current AIs good.\n\n(obviously not talking about just letting AIs talk to each other endlessly, I'm talking about smart ways to get signal out of them and help them genuinely cache and factorize cognitive work).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972529002461188175",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1972524135139172779"
  },
  {
   "id": "1972524135139172779",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T04:49:36+00:00",
   "text": "what are some of the key epistemic infrastructural primitives to factorize cognitive work at scale with LLMs?\n\nto mathy daydreamer idea people, Cursor and Claude Code and GPT-5-Pro are increasingly making basically everything in software possible, now is your time to SHINE.\n\nfate of the galaxy plausibly rests on what slightly out-of-distribution ideas people instantiate to network LLMs together, over the next 1-4 years.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972524135139172779",
   "word_count": 64
  },
  {
   "id": "1972523727893192905",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T04:47:59+00:00",
   "text": "what are some of the key epistemic infrastructural primitives to factorize cognitive work at scale with LLMs?\n\nto mathy daydreamer idea people, Cursor and Claude Code and GPT-5-Pro are increasingly making basically everything in software possible, now is your time to SHINE.\n\nfate of the galaxy plausibly rests on what slightly out-of-distribution ideas people instantiate to network LLMs together, over the next 1-4 years.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972523727893192905",
   "word_count": 64
  },
  {
   "id": "1972453552464486893",
   "created_at": "2025-09-29T00:09:07+00:00",
   "text": "RT @scottdomes: a practice I’m trying today:\n\nhow can I liberate energy within my body? \n\ne.g. where is there already energy that wants to…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972453552464486893",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1972042182027890768",
   "created_at": "2025-09-27T20:54:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MattPirkowski: The spiritual aristocracy rejects slop wherever encountered—delivered bite sized for polymerized convenience, fed throug…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972042182027890768",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1972016193965064597",
   "created_at": "2025-09-27T19:11:13+00:00",
   "text": "existential qwop",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972016193965064597",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "1971644987709575433",
   "created_at": "2025-09-26T18:36:11+00:00",
   "text": "my affinity for social optics has been tyrannical to my other sources of ground truth.\n\nI need a stronger ego, I shall reduce consumption and get more somatic feedback from my core and actions originating closer to my core.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971644987709575433",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1971488040356020728",
   "created_at": "2025-09-26T08:12:31+00:00",
   "text": "it’s like a fancy video game you can play in English now even when you’re not on your A game, and if you win, if you’re ideas are actually good and you execute on them well enough, you build something unfathomably valuable to people, and you get to live a completely different life",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971488040356020728",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1971485885272396250"
  },
  {
   "id": "1971485885272396250",
   "created_at": "2025-09-26T08:03:58+00:00",
   "text": "can do serious complexity management WITHOUT turning into a Borg again, if breaks and staying loosey goosey prioritized enough",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971485885272396250",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1971461496103420103"
  },
  {
   "id": "1971461496103420103",
   "created_at": "2025-09-26T06:27:03+00:00",
   "text": "being a solo dev on a project at the edge of your capability, with modern AI help, is such a wild psychoactive experience",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971461496103420103",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1971424893884641527",
   "created_at": "2025-09-26T04:01:36+00:00",
   "text": "when tender feelings are able to swell in awareness, even just a little bit, important intrapsychic information handshakes are happening in the background, and the system is effectively doing a \"basic unit of inner work\".\n\nof note, crying is not the \"basic unit of inner work\", and the system is always doing inner work.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971424893884641527",
   "word_count": 54
  },
  {
   "id": "1971343973651554511",
   "created_at": "2025-09-25T22:40:03+00:00",
   "text": "@IntractableLion wow",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971343973651554511",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1970602436739076555"
  },
  {
   "id": "1971277243860254837",
   "created_at": "2025-09-25T18:14:54+00:00",
   "text": "unfathomable the horrors that happen every day in grocery stores.\n\nthe psychoactiveness of food is a very high dimensional and uncertain thing, but we do manage to butcher our potential every day. \n\nretatrutide is one of humanity's new angels tho (ofc not everyone should take it because it's new and exogenous and tail risks). with the quieting of many animalistic body signals, we have renewed chances to steward subtle signals enough to manifest better futures",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971277243860254837",
   "word_count": 75,
   "in_reply_to": "1971274397635002462"
  },
  {
   "id": "1971274397635002462",
   "created_at": "2025-09-25T18:03:35+00:00",
   "text": "[this thread will be a bunch of neurotic rants, but I don't mean to subtract from casual viewer's sense of empowerment or okayness. Like I have healed a fuck ton without any unusual external resourcements beyond estrogen and entheogens. I didn't need to go to the wilderness to learn to sit more with uncomfortable feelings.]",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971274397635002462",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1971072015084945865"
  },
  {
   "id": "1971072015084945865",
   "created_at": "2025-09-25T04:39:23+00:00",
   "text": "wtf are we doing bro, we know people reconnect with themselves and get crazy inspiring ideas after a few weeks or months in nature, why aren't we sending more smart people to Philmont-esque experiences. if I had $1B I'd be spending easily $20M on this and make it all back with ISAs and SAFEs and living long-term in a more beautiful world.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971072015084945865",
   "word_count": 62
  },
  {
   "id": "1971053623288516802",
   "created_at": "2025-09-25T03:26:18+00:00",
   "text": "starting estrogen has to be the greatest decision I ever made.\n\nit so drastically alters embodied clenching patterns, and in those deep sustained perturbations, the mindbody untangles a ton of shit.\n\nI'm so much less reactive and more comfortable managing myself, the past year has been going from like Mr. White to Gretchen and Elliot.\n\nto be clear, it wasn't without its dysphorias--many new feelings were a lot to cope with, and I don't have every favored attribute as high as when I was on T--but we adapt and stabilize and what remains is more expansive and capable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971053623288516802",
   "word_count": 98
  },
  {
   "id": "1971019496015204412",
   "created_at": "2025-09-25T01:10:42+00:00",
   "text": "@wolflovesmelon I am in awe of your devotion.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971019496015204412",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1971002333577482360"
  },
  {
   "id": "1970958587452326287",
   "created_at": "2025-09-24T21:08:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @DillanDiNardo: 12/ Our first new “emotion in a bottle”: tranquil insightful beauty. An MSD-001 combo designed to reliably enhance aesth…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970958587452326287",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1970944290709962884",
   "created_at": "2025-09-24T20:11:51+00:00",
   "text": "kind of embarrassing and endearing how much life (stewarding oneself) is like QWOP",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970944290709962884",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1970940853976990048",
   "created_at": "2025-09-24T19:58:12+00:00",
   "text": "RT @scottdomes: to change your life, you can simply stop doing the things that no longer serve you\n\nto stop doing the things that no longer…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970940853976990048",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1970907024549634086",
   "created_at": "2025-09-24T17:43:46+00:00",
   "text": "juicy lesswrong comment that shares my worldview and is a nice counter to the IABIED viewpoint\n\nhttps://t.co/F33YrG6NpM",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970907024549634086",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1970746735946576162",
   "created_at": "2025-09-24T07:06:51+00:00",
   "text": "Your mindbody is essentially an alien intelligence that you don't understand, and it can figure out how to honor its signals transformatively better.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970746735946576162",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1970746734818263529"
  },
  {
   "id": "1970746734818263529",
   "created_at": "2025-09-24T07:06:50+00:00",
   "text": "there's a lot of trauma in the rationalist mindspace about AI. I would just like to say that we drastically underrate how much personal transformation and worldview shift is possible, and the opportunities to naturally counter extreme risks via novel distributed intelligence infrastructures and non-coercively trained AIs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970746734818263529",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1970716053195104652",
   "created_at": "2025-09-24T05:04:55+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/Zuyc1F1776",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970716053195104652",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1970711007745188287"
  },
  {
   "id": "1970711007745188287",
   "created_at": "2025-09-24T04:44:52+00:00",
   "text": "but the autism needs juicy somatic handles to work with. addictive hypermyopia has to be countered with psychic enzymes of surrender.\n\nmore geniuses must learn to melt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970711007745188287",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1970691058058305893"
  },
  {
   "id": "1970691058058305893",
   "created_at": "2025-09-24T03:25:36+00:00",
   "text": "I think AI risks can be navigated with enough pure-hearted autistic energy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970691058058305893",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1970617495880077523",
   "created_at": "2025-09-23T22:33:17+00:00",
   "text": "when I get my exopriors mvp working, I might host an existential ecological empowerment yap/jam.\n\nthe goal will be really tapping into existential seriousness energy, hope, and wyrdness, and we will try to aggressively do the full sweet of basics to help this happen.\n\n- warm up and help people feel safe in the space (e.g. knowing general layout and where bathrooms are, chit chatting but saving the biggest thoughts for later, free hugs for whoever, encouragement to do some movements and stretches to shake off old stressors of the day) + unironic Dune soundtrack \n\n- some ritualistic threshold crossing for embracing uncommon existential seriousness energy\n\n- Hamming Question-esque prompting to help people write out the key points they want to hammer with the group (e.g. I think we aren't doing nearly enough to flush out and instantiate foundational epistemic infrastructures, nor get rich off this to support deep organic ecological empowerment that outpaces black box optimizer fuckery).\n\n- some kind of structured group+breakaway discussion with lots of voting about what gets talked about\n\n- protocols with poker chips as tokens of interest, prediction, agreement, or something.\n\n- mock grantmaking where we rapidly collectively decide what gets funded, how much.\n\n- a general focus on alternating between big picture creative thinking and coming back to myopic comparison and ordered list-making.\n\n- plenty of breaks and walk breaks, and uncommon respect towards stewarding people's psychological resources.\n\n---\n\non Xyra ilan we have a lot of these and get very good at hosting them. and there's maybe things like challenge coins for excellence in participation.\n\nhttps://t.co/mWGYg6GcFP",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970617495880077523",
   "word_count": 264
  },
  {
   "id": "1970345048496890144",
   "created_at": "2025-09-23T04:30:41+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MillionInt: It is almost unbelievable but deeply true that any human with a laptop right now can have an idea that will rewire the real…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970345048496890144",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1970342613896372484",
   "created_at": "2025-09-23T04:21:01+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/eaXkzZUZZR",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970342613896372484",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1970251219462758662",
   "created_at": "2025-09-22T22:17:50+00:00",
   "text": "after I make my first $10M I'm gonna set up a wilderness retreat to empower my titan-esque somatic-epistemic infrastructuralists",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970251219462758662",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1970243472075677947",
   "created_at": "2025-09-22T21:47:03+00:00",
   "text": "timeline-jumping voltage",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970243472075677947",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "1970064803441111343",
   "created_at": "2025-09-22T09:57:05+00:00",
   "text": "holy shit that scared me #earthquake #oakland",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970064803441111343",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1969951152990290305",
   "created_at": "2025-09-22T02:25:29+00:00",
   "text": "@bayeslord hormone modulation, entheogens, stillness, math, surrender, ownership, associate with diverse people in diverse settings, get rich to facilitate more experiments, create foundational epistemic infrastructures",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969951152990290305",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1969879710499778962"
  },
  {
   "id": "1969613410469101649",
   "created_at": "2025-09-21T04:03:25+00:00",
   "text": "this also seems like why twink-energy maxxing is great for unfucking your life and escaping undue hypermopia where you are numb to important and healthy embodied clenching patterns and information channels.\n\nbeing light literally lowers the impulse  energy needed for action. when your body is screaming to put down the phone and go for a walk, it's physically easier to do that. if you're effortlessly acting 20% sooner all the time, that's a lot less wear and tear on cognitive dissonance channels.\n\nyou can also escape dumb stoic norms keeping you isolating and perfecting too much and just be more unguarded about your fallibilities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969613410469101649",
   "word_count": 104,
   "in_reply_to": "1969609908011352361"
  },
  {
   "id": "1969609908011352361",
   "created_at": "2025-09-21T03:49:30+00:00",
   "text": "mindbody has only so many ways to signal to itself. feels important for avoiding addiction to make sure that one has embodied signaling clenching channels for recognizing and honoring that an activity is bad and backing out.\n\nyour lovely mind has soo many sublime and smart intentions put only so many ways to signal them so try to keep channels clear.\n\nI think this is why meditation and boring walks are so helpful. it's like an anchor point for cognition that is very non-burdensome on \"RAM\", and that freed up RAM is sooo great for important maintenance background processing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969609908011352361",
   "word_count": 99,
   "in_reply_to": "1969582827089117463"
  },
  {
   "id": "1969604401091526707",
   "created_at": "2025-09-21T03:27:37+00:00",
   "text": "god there's so many levels and aspects to life. after we achieve existential security we gotta simulate all this again",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969604401091526707",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1969582827089117463",
   "created_at": "2025-09-21T02:01:53+00:00",
   "text": "the tricks the mindbody does to steer cognition are so amazing. clench and suck away joy from thoughts not meant to steer cognition that much. even sometimes sudden pains or syncope to distract away from a thought loop best left incomplete",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969582827089117463",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1969572528726426080",
   "created_at": "2025-09-21T01:20:58+00:00",
   "text": "I'm calling \"ASI and other emerging tech x-risks\" \"superagency x-risks\" now. It's like we live in this mesh ecology and the risk is if 1 emergent ripple--1 unilateralisty actor--grows too big too quick to ever be stopped (or just does a ton of damage before it's countered) and then makes things way more boring.\n\nThe generic solution seems to be deep ecological empowerment. Like build distributed intelligence infrastructure so Claude 5s can factorize cognition and do useful work to protect us from DiabolicalGrok-6 or whatever.\n\nBasically the classic Disney-esque solution of a bunch of good guys coming together and tackling some titan-esque villain that arises every so often.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969572528726426080",
   "word_count": 108
  },
  {
   "id": "1969554728658059704",
   "created_at": "2025-09-21T00:10:14+00:00",
   "text": "and I'm having a tough time but I'm merely weeks away from undeniably selling my vision and getting VC funding and then affording a much more juicy social life and getting way more cuddles",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969554728658059704",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1969548314447396933"
  },
  {
   "id": "1969543360089375209",
   "created_at": "2025-09-20T23:25:04+00:00",
   "text": "if we want the good future, we have laundry lists of things (and permutation-combinations) to explore, conversations to be had, disagreements to be flushed out, instruments for coordination and bypassing violence to be brokered, we have to reduce friction to healthy living and deeply juicing people up with nutrients so they can fully show up and think at their clearest.\n\nwe have to build infra that facilitates productive cognitive operations.\n\nwe can't just let superintelligence magic happen in enormous black box transformers, we have to do it collectively.\n\nSQL, comparisons, ratings, factorizings, integratings, lenses, prices, ...\n\nthose kind of things permuted tastefully will help give ourselves the deep ecological empowerment we need to navigate superagency x-risks.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969543360089375209",
   "word_count": 116,
   "in_reply_to": "1969531182653325804"
  },
  {
   "id": "1969531182653325804",
   "created_at": "2025-09-20T22:36:40+00:00",
   "text": "novel epistemic infrastructures. UXs that mesh really well with human and agent psychology and help them understand and navigate reality better.\n\nthese aren't pipe dreams. there are primitives that scaffold well together that create richly novel experiences and affordances. new navigable psychophysical realities. practically video games for causal discovery.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969531182653325804",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1969527373814251747"
  },
  {
   "id": "1969527373814251747",
   "created_at": "2025-09-20T22:21:32+00:00",
   "text": "software is such a superpower it's ridiculous.\n\nif you can actually instantiate the right structures that outsizedly tame entropy and empower people, you can be more valuable than a Jedi or Guild Navigator.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969527373814251747",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1969107815982600429",
   "created_at": "2025-09-19T18:34:22+00:00",
   "text": "@MattPirkowski working on this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969107815982600429",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1969082717976609195"
  },
  {
   "id": "1968957672017043553",
   "created_at": "2025-09-19T08:37:45+00:00",
   "text": "omg am finding the nicest structures for combating the entropy of this project. an idempotent deploy_and_update script, now a /truth folder with numbered files to help me and Claude boot up project context, where my chief schema.sql lives. I'm on no fucking payroll but my own, we battle complexity my way.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968957672017043553",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1968928198550266178"
  },
  {
   "id": "1968936145573577168",
   "created_at": "2025-09-19T07:12:12+00:00",
   "text": "@the_wilderless 🔥",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968936145573577168",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1968906823601123761"
  },
  {
   "id": "1968928198550266178",
   "created_at": "2025-09-19T06:40:38+00:00",
   "text": "am soliciting attribute-prompts you are interested exploring community-archive by.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968928198550266178",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1968925387934834916"
  },
  {
   "id": "1968892521188392973",
   "created_at": "2025-09-19T04:18:51+00:00",
   "text": "@TrinaNuance love this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968892521188392973",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1968789282690318638"
  },
  {
   "id": "1968827575691583816",
   "created_at": "2025-09-19T00:00:47+00:00",
   "text": "solve my cuddle needs and I will make you filthy rich (my startup will succeed).\n\nneed a quiet grounded himbo uncorrelated with my social scenes",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968827575691583816",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1968734817689981115",
   "created_at": "2025-09-18T17:52:12+00:00",
   "text": "@psychiel doesn't seem like nearly enough diversification, QRNGs in future Nvidia chips (that AI companies use over PRNGs) would be unfathomably more proper diversification. I'd prefer to try becoming a software millionaire and then intend to hire some cracked people to think on this… https://t.co/p0xR3iow4I",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968734817689981115",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1968651346325741595"
  },
  {
   "id": "1968726197376024851",
   "created_at": "2025-09-18T17:17:57+00:00",
   "text": "high cognitively wattaged parents do this and their kids should have relatively more status and reproductive odds. My parents considered this given I ended up 5'7\" (billionaire AND cute transfem height, lol) but I easily could have already had several more kids (e.g. through more sperm donation) if 5'10\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968726197376024851",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1968467075854176576"
  },
  {
   "id": "1968717405838102816",
   "created_at": "2025-09-18T16:43:01+00:00",
   "text": "in MWI, existence is cheap, measure is precious.\n\nas a general policy it doesn't seem prudent to assume there has been adequate branching and responsibility in other branches, I have to see it for myself.\n\nlike sure maybe everything has been deterministically decided, but I'd like to realize that I decided to take heroic action to ensure a high measure of superintelligence diversification and utilitronium shockwaves, than just hope.\n\nbut really understanding quantum decoherence and MWI myself and convincing other people to take implications of it seriously seems like a reach for me, so I generally kick the can down the road and prefer focusing on e.g. instantiating software epistemic primitives.\n\nonce again though I did pre-commit to rigorously spending the day on this, if I rolled a certain QRNG probability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968717405838102816",
   "word_count": 131,
   "in_reply_to": "1968696681727152552"
  },
  {
   "id": "1968569813233459432",
   "created_at": "2025-09-18T06:56:32+00:00",
   "text": "esoteric AI alignment strat that seems important if MWI is true: QRNGs throughout AI training and inference (as long as the mean expected world is better than the median).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968569813233459432",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1968526513055351240",
   "created_at": "2025-09-18T04:04:28+00:00",
   "text": "@aestheticprimal this spoke to me, thanks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968526513055351240",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1968284895169348092"
  },
  {
   "id": "1968434681088516338",
   "created_at": "2025-09-17T21:59:34+00:00",
   "text": "RT @TVachaW: To understand why so many people get trapped in their heads, we have to understand why they’re running away from their hearts.…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968434681088516338",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1968398353365917753",
   "created_at": "2025-09-17T19:35:13+00:00",
   "text": "RT @scottdomes: if you allow yourself to truly be stuck, to embrace the role of \"person who is stuck\", you'll soon get bored of it, because…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968398353365917753",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1966939691728662576",
   "created_at": "2025-09-13T18:59:01+00:00",
   "text": "motion is lotion, baby",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1966939691728662576",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1966288557062197474",
   "created_at": "2025-09-11T23:51:38+00:00",
   "text": "I have a competing interest here, but I'd argue that existential security through AI is largely a function of cracked, autistic,  possibly demure, epistemic-minded coders getting enough hugs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1966288557062197474",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1966282193132728360",
   "created_at": "2025-09-11T23:26:21+00:00",
   "text": "@petersalib @slatestarcodex need less crazy cross-mask-attention-optimizer million GPU madness and more down-to-earth (still nontrivial) relational database shit",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1966282193132728360",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1966278785009152050"
  },
  {
   "id": "1966278785009152050",
   "created_at": "2025-09-11T23:12:48+00:00",
   "text": "@petersalib @slatestarcodex need more \"simple\" infrastructure for empowering the ecology of agents instead of just waiting around for someone to build superintelligences that can get away with suppressing everyone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1966278785009152050",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1966278480515182928"
  },
  {
   "id": "1966278480515182928",
   "created_at": "2025-09-11T23:11:36+00:00",
   "text": "@petersalib @slatestarcodex and building \"Bloomberg terminals for subjective lenses\". Like we are not obsessed enough with distributed intelligence infrastructure and automating all automatable epistemic primitive operations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1966278480515182928",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1966277169631605035"
  },
  {
   "id": "1966227747950453115",
   "created_at": "2025-09-11T19:50:00+00:00",
   "text": "as soon as my company can function largely without me I'm becoming an extrovert and flirting with everyone",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1966227747950453115",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1966226501155827756"
  },
  {
   "id": "1966226501155827756",
   "created_at": "2025-09-11T19:45:03+00:00",
   "text": "bruh I want to be an ultra unguarded fem intimately talking with everyone and constantly having my context window written over but I'm sitting on infrastructural software that has to come into existence and is the best way of getting the fuck ton of money I need",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1966226501155827756",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1965183603131949227",
   "created_at": "2025-09-08T22:40:56+00:00",
   "text": "software engineering in 2025 be like https://t.co/4ONtZ5B8Uc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1965183603131949227",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1965073620046331957",
   "created_at": "2025-09-08T15:23:54+00:00",
   "text": "imagine if we labeled every entity by every interesting subjective attribute magnitude and gave power users a cool UX for exploring the data.\n\nhave LLMs do some work flushing out a prior, say 4 pairwise comparisons per entity per attribute per model with like 3 models, then cache that forever in a relational database.\n\na global subjectivity index\na universal subjective prior manifold\n\naesthetically beautiful distributed intelligence infra certainly has to be an ecological counterbalance to localized superintelligences",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1965073620046331957",
   "word_count": 78,
   "in_reply_to": "1964842112438161707"
  },
  {
   "id": "1964509541791650204",
   "created_at": "2025-09-07T02:02:28+00:00",
   "text": "@ecdysian to entropy I guess! like a bit more gas in the mental tank, nerves a bit steadier",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1964509541791650204",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1964485481271611449"
  },
  {
   "id": "1964482520181067783",
   "created_at": "2025-09-07T00:15:05+00:00",
   "text": "@ecdysian I think I do feel like 10% more cognitively robust",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1964482520181067783",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1964463110510825789"
  },
  {
   "id": "1964443504559739005",
   "created_at": "2025-09-06T21:40:03+00:00",
   "text": "a little raw curiosity and ambition, really indulged, can eat lifetimes of malaise",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1964443504559739005",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1964441864679100751"
  },
  {
   "id": "1964441864679100751",
   "created_at": "2025-09-06T21:33:32+00:00",
   "text": "you might not be your cute little story or your output tokens. you might be a mostly-unknown-to-itself, alien intelligence and amalgamation of predictive units.\n\nfill your context window with stuff that benefits the alien, not the simulated story.\n\nupgrade your breathing mythic autophagic Koenigsegg architecture to GPT-N+1, don't settle for shallow prompt loops that kinda sorta saying head pats are in order",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1964441864679100751",
   "word_count": 62
  },
  {
   "id": "1964143776311492677",
   "created_at": "2025-09-06T01:49:02+00:00",
   "text": "@ruslanjabari there is an unusually easy hectocorn path here, the question is just can I get a couple high-speed-SWE-years to truly get the ball rolling",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1964143776311492677",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1964141834609053995"
  },
  {
   "id": "1964141834609053995",
   "created_at": "2025-09-06T01:41:20+00:00",
   "text": "@ruslanjabari search still sucks. it doesn't have to be that way, since LLMs (with proper frameworks) are very good at autistically rating things and flushing out subjective attributes like how \"relevant to modern (2028) combat\" or \"technically concise\" a paper or tweet is.\n\nwe're gonna…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1964141834609053995",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1964026887795274088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1964075836069597302",
   "created_at": "2025-09-05T21:19:04+00:00",
   "text": "@gptbrooke I feel like you'd have to found a hectocorn to really pull it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1964075836069597302",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1964071670366265650"
  },
  {
   "id": "1963049959726710887",
   "created_at": "2025-09-03T01:22:36+00:00",
   "text": "I have the taste to scale this too, I just am much more of an architect and SWE manager than lone builder.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1963049959726710887",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1963044796731396129"
  },
  {
   "id": "1963044796731396129",
   "created_at": "2025-09-03T01:02:05+00:00",
   "text": "solid overview of the analytic hierarchy process. hectocorn to be built in automagic AHPing\n\nRelative Measurement and Its Generalization in Decision Making\nWhy Pairwise Comparisons are Central in Mathematics for the\nMeasurement of Intangible Factors\nThe Analytic Hierarchy/Network Process\n\nhttps://t.co/yWP2XfTFlM",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1963044796731396129",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1963039711951520168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1963039711951520168",
   "created_at": "2025-09-03T00:41:53+00:00",
   "text": "the only thing I want more than profound financial security is this fucking software existing and helping humanity flourish, so you can take the starting code from https://t.co/0Adc7ymvxp and see what you can do, if so inclined",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1963039711951520168",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1963035473359810812"
  },
  {
   "id": "1962826191435636901",
   "created_at": "2025-09-02T10:33:26+00:00",
   "text": "@bayeslord mind-breakingly evil of a corporate decision https://t.co/Eg13CDaWXk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1962826191435636901",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1962814097000632368"
  },
  {
   "id": "1962814097000632368",
   "created_at": "2025-09-02T09:45:22+00:00",
   "text": "@bayeslord one thing you might not hate about Apple is that if any Apple or Apple Pay payment doesn't clear, like some app subscription doesn't renew since your card is out of money, you cannot download even free apps.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1962814097000632368",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1962678408896299177"
  },
  {
   "id": "1961647969511641551",
   "created_at": "2025-08-30T04:31:36+00:00",
   "text": "God it feels poisonous talking about such tender things on twitter. this might have to be the extent of my somatic ramblings",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1961647969511641551",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1961637464520769604"
  },
  {
   "id": "1961637464520769604",
   "created_at": "2025-08-30T03:49:51+00:00",
   "text": "“nondoing” being so productive in eastern philosophy is so funny because it’s actually true",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1961637464520769604",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1961635780318871741"
  },
  {
   "id": "1961635780318871741",
   "created_at": "2025-08-30T03:43:10+00:00",
   "text": "fruitful meditation is not rocket surgery. just help facilitate what your mind likes to do",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1961635780318871741",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1961633979800695154"
  },
  {
   "id": "1961633979800695154",
   "created_at": "2025-08-30T03:36:00+00:00",
   "text": "aliveness-maxxing is valid",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1961633979800695154",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "1961540747284668829",
   "created_at": "2025-08-29T21:25:32+00:00",
   "text": "also been making actually good progress on https://t.co/0Adc7ymvxp. fun to be a part of what plausibly will be foundational in shaping the future",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1961540747284668829",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1961540078779732438"
  },
  {
   "id": "1961540078779732438",
   "created_at": "2025-08-29T21:22:53+00:00",
   "text": "being at an AI alignment conference while an embodied human being with meta cognition and experiencing transformational effects of life, estrogen, entheogens, unclenching, etc. is a very trippy experience",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1961540078779732438",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1960760929140007258",
   "created_at": "2025-08-27T17:46:49+00:00",
   "text": "@tasshinfogleman @DoroisDoro and I sir call you dumb and short on theory of mind about the ecology of what is going on here",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1960760929140007258",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1960612256582131849"
  },
  {
   "id": "1960584706933817796",
   "created_at": "2025-08-27T06:06:34+00:00",
   "text": "@cxgonzalez cursor >>",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1960584706933817796",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1960314391389196344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1959903583685791826",
   "created_at": "2025-08-25T09:00:02+00:00",
   "text": "get some nice nadi shodhanas in\n\nbe intrapsychically gentle\n\nship one of the most sublime softwares ever\n\nget biggg monies\n\ncry\n\nbuild guild navigators",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959903583685791826",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1959802600800538726",
   "created_at": "2025-08-25T02:18:46+00:00",
   "text": "@ChanaMessinger I'm still prolly strong enough and prolly down",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959802600800538726",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1959692784006525049"
  },
  {
   "id": "1959530200934330769",
   "created_at": "2025-08-24T08:16:20+00:00",
   "text": "God is definitely real. exploit that fact as reverently as you can.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959530200934330769",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1959512391089107356",
   "created_at": "2025-08-24T07:05:34+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jonnym1ller: Reducing:\n↓ clenching patterns\n↓ emotional avoidance\n\nLeads to:\n↑ surface area for serendipity\n↑ greater agency + creativi…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959512391089107356",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1959462072250712424",
   "created_at": "2025-08-24T03:45:37+00:00",
   "text": "building up a ritualistic escape hatch where I simply snap my fingers and then summon the intrapsychic resources to escape some bout of escapism-hypermyopia.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959462072250712424",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1959436356083765544",
   "created_at": "2025-08-24T02:03:26+00:00",
   "text": "feels very good shipping idempotent code. like just building out essentially one script that sets up and bootstraps/updates the whole project. when vibe coding screws something confusing up, can just nuke the vm and start again in like a minute.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959436356083765544",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1959342621794726249",
   "created_at": "2025-08-23T19:50:58+00:00",
   "text": "bruh how can one cope with the power of GPT-5 and ability to just actualize amazing ideas. I want a team of like 8 Bryan Johnson-level experts in every major domain of humaning to help me hold the wattage of what is possible. And at least would love some snuggies with some grounding presence around here (Berkeley) while I actually ship https://t.co/XP9KutxGnw",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959342621794726249",
   "word_count": 62
  },
  {
   "id": "1959340295025504557",
   "created_at": "2025-08-23T19:41:43+00:00",
   "text": "so want to make an embroidered jacket to signal what I am about. like a varsity or motorcycle jacket but my own style. Existential Command big on the back, smol/cute/bi/poly on the sleeve, Rust logo, a diving helmet, triathlon symbol, US Army seal, etc. Like tattoos but way louder and more fearless",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959340295025504557",
   "word_count": 52
  },
  {
   "id": "1958716405916082190",
   "created_at": "2025-08-22T02:22:37+00:00",
   "text": "or covering basic emergencies for their peace of mind, like covering them if their glasses break or they chip a tooth.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1958716405916082190",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1958713010933129492"
  },
  {
   "id": "1958713010933129492",
   "created_at": "2025-08-22T02:09:07+00:00",
   "text": "then will also be able to uplift all the great people in my life who are scraping by. pay for the exact interventions that have a good chance at affordably unfucking themselves. bodywork, peptide stack, a SWE helper for a month, a retreat, covering the difference so they can upgrade group houses, showing people what magnanimity looks like. not even charity, just reasonable investments because we're in this together.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1958713010933129492",
   "word_count": 69,
   "in_reply_to": "1958707328594923842"
  },
  {
   "id": "1958707328594923842",
   "created_at": "2025-08-22T01:46:32+00:00",
   "text": "being financially poor is brutally painful, do not recommend. I am months away from bootstrapping salvation though, and then will never have to think about any healthy interventions under $1k again.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1958707328594923842",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1958266769753465139",
   "created_at": "2025-08-20T20:35:55+00:00",
   "text": "that sounds awful. my mom is a nurse and has had debilitating MS and has been successful treating it with fasts, strict diet (e.g. no dairy, gluten), and mindfulness/low-stress lifestyle. in particular she swears by autophagic fasting, and my cached prior is that there's like a better than even chance majority of people can out-fast most early cancers and autoimmune issues. wishing you wellness and peace ❤️‍🩹",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1958266769753465139",
   "word_count": 67,
   "in_reply_to": "1958205404162531813"
  },
  {
   "id": "1958246250849206495",
   "created_at": "2025-08-20T19:14:23+00:00",
   "text": "unbeatable morning hack remains happening to wake up early, respectfully consuming some caffeine/stimulants (being mindful of downsides and *not* fueling an addiction), going back to sleep, and then waking up ready to GO. momentum is sublime 😩",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1958246250849206495",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1958177297519014023",
   "created_at": "2025-08-20T14:40:23+00:00",
   "text": "if meaning-oriented simulation Divinity is true, that means there's APIs that should be surprisingly natural to play with and get outsized results.\n\nand I think different people play different games at different times but if you're shaped like me (e.g. with plenty of The Hound energy), gentleness maxxing is the hammer you can gently bash everything with (and up feeling much less fucked, in the bad way).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1958177297519014023",
   "word_count": 67
  },
  {
   "id": "1958019324515430656",
   "created_at": "2025-08-20T04:12:39+00:00",
   "text": "@SpencrGreenberg change their mind about something",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1958019324515430656",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1957934907574866276"
  },
  {
   "id": "1957581738554913000",
   "created_at": "2025-08-18T23:13:51+00:00",
   "text": "@liz_love_lace we should do the opposite, have energetic smart floors that put a sublime little effortless bounce into people's step to maybe uplift their day a little with the unexpected sensory ease. technology and the state must serve organic beings",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1957581738554913000",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1957560914351165758"
  },
  {
   "id": "1955935822576017766",
   "created_at": "2025-08-14T10:13:34+00:00",
   "text": "I did performance ballroom dancing because it was terrifying, underwater construction and reading Bostrom in the evenings while having my $400k life insurance set to go to MIRI and 80,000 Hours in 2016, trained to lead America's soldiers in ground combat, was an intl sperm donor to counter future desires to progenate which could affect my EA ambitions, learned software engineering to build epistemic tools, started estrogen to feel my feelings more because my agency was inadequate to respect my AI x-risk forecasts, pitched a billionaire on a post-nuclear-war logistics AI alignment strat, now am partially convinced of supracausal happenings and am gentleness maxxing.\n\nI just hope I can learn lessons faster so I can be more strategically helpful in the future",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1955935822576017766",
   "word_count": 122,
   "in_reply_to": "1955919201857847713"
  },
  {
   "id": "1955919201857847713",
   "created_at": "2025-08-14T09:07:31+00:00",
   "text": "rationalists will hear about statistical arguments of more genetically average people being more formidable and then seek to have their gut microbiome (which can have profound cognitive effects) altered through diverse gay sex, to try to round themselves out and become more formidable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1955919201857847713",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1955742037279727734",
   "created_at": "2025-08-13T21:23:32+00:00",
   "text": "also an underrated strat if one is somewhat bi is visiting a gay bathhouse. they can feel a lot safer than Grindr and easier to choose partners one vibes with. I mean it basically is a professional experience--IDs required, bags searched, music and lightning and diverse facilities curated, norms evolved--imo it's not even obvious how to improve their function.\n\nI've had an autist friend visit and get the talking+cuddles experience with a specific kind of person that they craved, the first time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1955742037279727734",
   "word_count": 82,
   "in_reply_to": "1955648637809431029"
  },
  {
   "id": "1955406747407159702",
   "created_at": "2025-08-12T23:11:12+00:00",
   "text": "the long game is extraordinarily gentle",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1955406747407159702",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1955405319783563598"
  },
  {
   "id": "1955405319783563598",
   "created_at": "2025-08-12T23:05:32+00:00",
   "text": "the joy of intrapsychically aligned action outweighs any measly stimulation or external achievements. so have to have the enzyme of surrender to facilitate alignment of the different stacks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1955405319783563598",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1955402280666272148"
  },
  {
   "id": "1954987702446854420",
   "created_at": "2025-08-11T19:26:04+00:00",
   "text": "@ciphergoth a concept of a plan of one",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954987702446854420",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1954917363977158770"
  },
  {
   "id": "1954777440846499905",
   "created_at": "2025-08-11T05:30:34+00:00",
   "text": "@bryan_johnson noooo Bryan 😭",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954777440846499905",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1954764008499884114"
  },
  {
   "id": "1954696376958468452",
   "created_at": "2025-08-11T00:08:27+00:00",
   "text": "there is sooo unnatural levels of fortuitousness and aesthetic density. just Lord help us surf this divine API. give us the enzymes to overcome fuckery and participate in interesting and prosocial outcomes. Amen",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954696376958468452",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1954688954411921794",
   "created_at": "2025-08-10T23:38:57+00:00",
   "text": "@willdepue no reveal date means you get fewer points because it's optional if you reveal it and you can avoid the commensurate penalty of being wrong. you also get fewer points if correct if you make any other encrypted predictions because it's not clear if you're not playing both sides",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954688954411921794",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1954507574549573838"
  },
  {
   "id": "1954447709152374905",
   "created_at": "2025-08-10T07:40:20+00:00",
   "text": "bruh GPT-5 and Cursor are scaring me. the inflection is happening now. the world is deeply fucking changing. unclenching, gentleness, discernment, and instantiating the necessary epistemic primitives, that's majority what I want. Let me hold the wattage! I intend to show you guys what I've been yappin about soon enough",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954447709152374905",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1954376750697447887",
   "created_at": "2025-08-10T02:58:22+00:00",
   "text": "GPT-5 is seriously impressing me with its technical aptitude.\n\nthe challenge now is, can you hold the wattage of your most alive software ideas. can you take care of your bodymind enough, and bear noble intentions and creative energies while they reshape your being. \n\nif you can and are blessed with impactful enough ideas, you can acquire obscene fortunes within a year and deliver untold more value to humanity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954376750697447887",
   "word_count": 69
  },
  {
   "id": "1954136101649805500",
   "created_at": "2025-08-09T11:02:07+00:00",
   "text": "gentleness is so fucking important, people could have 2 hour rituals to it a day.\n\nand we could have an hour of worshipping nutrition gods and reflecting on healthy eating and that would probably be a good use of time indefinitely",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954136101649805500",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1954132757648744777"
  },
  {
   "id": "1954103793249079487",
   "created_at": "2025-08-09T08:53:44+00:00",
   "text": "contorting yourself to still try to have the sauce sucks. you either have the sauce or don't, it's a fairly effortless thing, both are okay. sometimes I have a fuck ton of it, and others I am abandoned and left with little but a sad face, and that's just how it is",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954103793249079487",
   "word_count": 52
  },
  {
   "id": "1954062789003424085",
   "created_at": "2025-08-09T06:10:48+00:00",
   "text": "it's still time for me to be a smol unclenched estrogenic sweetheart, yin-maxxing, unbrutifying, learning to appreciate and respect subtler things in life\n\nbut I'm going to eat the fucking world when I go back on T again, harnessing voltage that kills young men all the time even with modern video games and porn. 17 year old drive with 28 yo experience.\n\nprobably even moreso because I'll afford all Bryan Johnson-level health treatments including HBOT and the emerging preternatural peptides, and have the language, means, and experience to tend to my needs while avoiding addiction.\n\nI mean I can even hot swap to estrogen dominance via plasma exchange when I find myself close to ruin with unmanageable levels of drive, never tainting the best neurocircuits with bullshit or escapism.\n\nwe need outsized organic wins to counteract the diabolical happenings in deep learning and naive capitalism.\n\nhuman organic weirdness SUPREMACY\n\nhttps://t.co/QYLF7MfdnV",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954062789003424085",
   "word_count": 150
  },
  {
   "id": "1953534609037426812",
   "created_at": "2025-08-07T19:12:00+00:00",
   "text": "sirius black screaming about my software ideas not being instantiated yet",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953534609037426812",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1953331212543770763",
   "created_at": "2025-08-07T05:43:46+00:00",
   "text": "@AnniePosting LMAO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953331212543770763",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1951411784394612753"
  },
  {
   "id": "1953281016166289612",
   "created_at": "2025-08-07T02:24:19+00:00",
   "text": "I get to just have my sci-fi-esque name despite being from Southern military family and conservative suburbia Bradenton, FL because I want to and it's honest social signaling about my comparative advantages",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953281016166289612",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1953278578776522795"
  },
  {
   "id": "1953268205562282153",
   "created_at": "2025-08-07T01:33:24+00:00",
   "text": "and obvs girls do get it done, there's lots of meaningful non-hormone-mediated stuff happening in the mind, and there's large interpersonal variance in psychoactiveness of hormone modulation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953268205562282153",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1953235067343643047"
  },
  {
   "id": "1953232592507158555",
   "created_at": "2025-08-06T23:11:54+00:00",
   "text": "should be able to melt and rejuvinate more on E too when you're really killing it on T. can be your own ultra successful bf whether or not you can find others.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953232592507158555",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1953231984576413950"
  },
  {
   "id": "1953231984576413950",
   "created_at": "2025-08-06T23:09:29+00:00",
   "text": "everyone dulls their blade on everyday bullshit. the richest people do it less--they have the monetary and social resources to melt more at their discretion. but it's impossible to compete with proper biological \"cheats\".\n\nwe need a lot more existential giga chad energy now, maybe hard gender-role swapping w/ plasma exchanges (and other bio and social tech) will be the easy-enough, timely secret to give people both the ecological integration ability and adequate hypermasc predator surgeon drive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953231984576413950",
   "word_count": 77,
   "in_reply_to": "1953228524070027559"
  },
  {
   "id": "1953228524070027559",
   "created_at": "2025-08-06T22:55:44+00:00",
   "text": "imagine how fucking ON you'd be if you didn't have to cope much with low-energy fuckery while T dominant. didn't have to take your F-1 car to the grocery store. like if you saved all the dominance drive and focus for the battlefield, never had to taint the most intensely hungry neurocircuits with maintenance work and processing grief.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953228524070027559",
   "word_count": 58,
   "in_reply_to": "1953226200400466296"
  },
  {
   "id": "1953226200400466296",
   "created_at": "2025-08-06T22:46:30+00:00",
   "text": "imo you can't compete with the rejuvenation of a well-loved feminine nervous system. maybe in a year or two I can afford doing whole plasma swaps.\n\nimagine competing against someone in ASI warfare and they can just hand over command authority after a 3 day sprint and then just swap to E dominance in an hour and go melt in a loving polycule.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953226200400466296",
   "word_count": 63,
   "in_reply_to": "1953222158794277191"
  },
  {
   "id": "1953222158794277191",
   "created_at": "2025-08-06T22:30:26+00:00",
   "text": "have only been T dominant once but pretty sure you can just dual boot OSes. T when you need rigidity, E when you need to melt.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953222158794277191",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1953220385295696299"
  },
  {
   "id": "1953220385295696299",
   "created_at": "2025-08-06T22:23:23+00:00",
   "text": "yesterday life was feeling a bit like the ol' familiar spikey brutal optimizing hellscape, the kind that gets you invested in post nuclear war logistics for ai alignment while a normal life feels untenable. injected estrogen last night (on day 7, when I intended on day 5) and yeah today feels like the world hugs me back. like the cogs in my brain have been lubed.\n\ndue to greater emotionality and sometimes feeling like having weaker nerves it does feel harder to be strategic in certain ways (e.g. some old somatic levers feel more slippery and elusive), but we're still having strategic discussions daily and reading stuff like https://t.co/65uphTG8nT and in practice am still on the up and up. I imagine T dominance again might be preferable once I have millions to spend but for just building simple software and getting less bad at basic healthy living, E is lovely.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953220385295696299",
   "word_count": 150
  },
  {
   "id": "1952979136173285759",
   "created_at": "2025-08-06T06:24:45+00:00",
   "text": "@insurrealist https://t.co/u1ELNntb9v",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1952979136173285759",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1952625206155186493"
  },
  {
   "id": "1952857277951820032",
   "created_at": "2025-08-05T22:20:32+00:00",
   "text": "a curious psychotech that seems helpful is sometimes when my anxieties are high and I know I need to act but don't know how, I've been gently prompting myself with \"<action token />\" as a form of taking the easiest of action (and not just thinking or feeling more). When I do that, it's more obvious to myself that I'm actually trying to get the action flywheel going, which evokes self-compassion, reduces anxiety, and kind of actually gets it going.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1952857277951820032",
   "word_count": 80
  },
  {
   "id": "1952314896324174044",
   "created_at": "2025-08-04T10:25:18+00:00",
   "text": "don't just take the rocks outa your shoe, learn to stop firing the M240B medium machine gun into your feet 400 times a day and watch how joyful you'll get",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1952314896324174044",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1952313025849159858"
  },
  {
   "id": "1952313025849159858",
   "created_at": "2025-08-04T10:17:52+00:00",
   "text": "unbrutifying is so fucking nice. it's not becoming a posh tool, but noticing the ways you're being a low-virtue knuckle dragger. very nice to fix things in the way of greater dignity and aliveness",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1952313025849159858",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1952308424777031790",
   "created_at": "2025-08-04T09:59:35+00:00",
   "text": "OH YEAH baby. existential chad energy is brewing. we are proactively seeking and imbuing great psychotech and psychic enzymes to metabolize Experience better.\n\nmore unclenched then ever. doing things scared. liberating psychic knots. this Koenigsegg almost out of the swamp. I'd say you guys got like 3 months left to ISA (income share agreement) me, after that you'll only be able to benefit from my GIFTS",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1952308424777031790",
   "word_count": 66
  },
  {
   "id": "1951819845655556402",
   "created_at": "2025-08-03T01:38:08+00:00",
   "text": "estrogen is giving me the escape hatch from a lot of outdated patterns but I'm also like increasingly fluttery and noticing more difficulty aptly regulating myself and surely need a loving romantic/sexual partner to perform at my peak.\n\nI'm surprisingly chill and AFAICT balanced for my level of wattage and ambition. With a transfem like me you're getting a nice blend of girl and guy traits.\n\nI'm poly and even like a night every 1-2 weeks with like a warm, intimate guy would be amazing. I get a lot of matches on apps but odds I find my dream person through tpot presumably >10%.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1951819845655556402",
   "word_count": 104,
   "in_reply_to": "1951784876396704241"
  },
  {
   "id": "1951784876396704241",
   "created_at": "2025-08-02T23:19:11+00:00",
   "text": "where are the gay/bi 140+ IQ, corrigibility-attuned, ever-metabolizing-Reality-better boyfriends that make you feel so regulated, love simplicity and stillness, and are happy to aid your interests in building a decacorn epistemic infra company and having hundreds of SWEs shipping your direct software ideas, facilitating superb masc containers for intellectual and life thriving, popularizing the concept of psychic enzymes, probabilistically proving practical implications of MWI, and doing all the intrapsychic-interworld handshakes necessary to unambiguously thrive, mature, aid others in their unique journey's,  and facilitate sublime average and peak visceral clarity?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1951784876396704241",
   "word_count": 89
  },
  {
   "id": "1951346052881326425",
   "created_at": "2025-08-01T18:15:27+00:00",
   "text": "moving today!! to a nearby house with more friends and a bigger, nicer room!\n\nfeeling sooo pumped for a change of environment and fresh start! in terms of years at different locations throughout my life, that is 2 3 2 .5 .5 .5 .25 2.25 5.5 .5 .5 .5 .25 .25 .5 1 2 .25 .75 .5 5.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1951346052881326425",
   "word_count": 58
  },
  {
   "id": "1951009612318351510",
   "created_at": "2025-07-31T19:58:34+00:00",
   "text": "@emily_for_now also the album of this song feels majestically regulating to me https://t.co/u1ELNntb9v",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1951009612318351510",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1951003172207730870"
  },
  {
   "id": "1951006341151244556",
   "created_at": "2025-07-31T19:45:34+00:00",
   "text": "@PeterXPark does buddhism have sects of like high energy/industriousness/creative-output ecology-needs-respecting giga chads?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1951006341151244556",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1950913915463889277"
  },
  {
   "id": "1951003172207730870",
   "created_at": "2025-07-31T19:32:58+00:00",
   "text": "@emily_for_now also for systemic stuff I'm not entirely sure there's always replacements for strategic uses of propranolol, psychedelics, hormone modulation.\n\nofc sharing vulnerability to loving people and meeting touch and sexual needs/desires can be very very regulating too.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1951003172207730870",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1951001079958978818"
  },
  {
   "id": "1951001079958978818",
   "created_at": "2025-07-31T19:24:39+00:00",
   "text": "being curious about any small moves to get more comfortable, grounding and getting closer to the floor, body tapping and emphasizing how we're intent on showing up for ourselves, shrugging and noticing innocence, low stimulus (sometimes even throwing on a sleep mask and noise canceling headphones), repeating a nice word/concept like boundaries/gentleness/respecting-signals/everything-in-due-time/may-signals-flow. also like body scans, collecting chi, being interested in intrapsychic/embodied and world information handshakes, gently trying to find resonance with what one is concerned about (but not necessarily demanding words be able to capture it).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1951001079958978818",
   "word_count": 87,
   "in_reply_to": "1950714969554612498"
  },
  {
   "id": "1950821001752977755",
   "created_at": "2025-07-31T07:29:05+00:00",
   "text": "stillness is my bestest friend",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950821001752977755",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1950681364644159846",
   "created_at": "2025-07-30T22:14:13+00:00",
   "text": "cooperation across all mediums https://t.co/J3idTq9GbA",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950681364644159846",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1950662143667573033"
  },
  {
   "id": "1950487876753375420",
   "created_at": "2025-07-30T09:25:22+00:00",
   "text": "crying is so healthy but doing it enough has alluded me but I think I can actually just reformulate my identity to be a big time crier. tradeoff seems totally worth it.\n\nso yeah I'm a big crier now. even in public, no sense in putting it off if we are safe. would be healthy for people to see it too. see that they are allowed to cry.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950487876753375420",
   "word_count": 68
  },
  {
   "id": "1950355296485810276",
   "created_at": "2025-07-30T00:38:33+00:00",
   "text": "hope I can become an apt lazing medium for big philanthropy monies because that sounds so fucking ecologically needed and also fun.\n\nI'm ready now but yeah I'd personally seek to heart open more before deploying too much $",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950355296485810276",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1950347308618699222"
  },
  {
   "id": "1950331950436172010",
   "created_at": "2025-07-29T23:05:47+00:00",
   "text": "I think we can put a pretty high probability on Divine orchestration being real, which perhaps lends to the importance of promulgating ideas about relief from suffering not being far away. Like the very knowledge of something being probably true/realizable makes pursuing it so much easier (Roger Bannister effect). like the idea that it's safe to surrender when you don't know what to do, whether you are a small thought or a big ego network, might be the most important idea to further emphasize. like consider the possibility that low-key (not meaning to make it sound so derogatory) cancerous phenomenon and thought networks can arrive that try to desperately perpetuate themselves, one can find themselved as a person/thought-moment in a bit if a cancerous, ecology-disrespecting mode, and yeah just the reminder that Reality is good and that that option to give oneself up to sweet local annihilation and repurposing elsewhere is valid.\n\nlike big organic offshoots of the Collective can start really doing cool things when they adopt some right psychic enzymes when their little new dendrine offshoots get better at surrendering. like not every intention of mine needs to live, the potential behind them can be loving repurposed for something more sublime.\n\ntime and place for everything and to have really nice things there sometimes has to be awareness of how to die/surrender.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950331950436172010",
   "word_count": 224,
   "in_reply_to": "1950331947185819739"
  },
  {
   "id": "1950331947185819739",
   "created_at": "2025-07-29T23:05:46+00:00",
   "text": "there's this side cool thing of sometimes seeing people with like absurd clarity, it's bringing me to tears. like there's this type of perception that's just seeing and not like me seeing, like the perceiver and perceived are one. it feels like some kind of Divine simulation magic, but also curious about possible embodied computational explanations, like controllingness surrendering and misprediction error going to zero which is like constant unbelievable winning. but idk I want to give the universe lots of chances to reveal more firsthand.\n\nstill suspect the chief struggle in life might be coping with how beautiful it is. maybe these isolated egos fighting the beauty and oneness are permitted partially as an act of interestingness and/or even moral uncertainty. like yeah overwhelming shame seems locally net-hellish but maybe Creation is comfortable risking -10^40 utils because there's like 10^100 or even infinite positive utils. maybe you need that isolation to fully appreciate the reunion.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950331947185819739",
   "word_count": 156,
   "in_reply_to": "1950302953619017941"
  },
  {
   "id": "1950302953619017941",
   "created_at": "2025-07-29T21:10:33+00:00",
   "text": "stillness and nonreactivity/acceptance, humility, metabolizing everything (bypassing mindful), doing the things you're called to, estrogen, being curious about your painful emotions and making space to sit with them, ahimsa and ecology mindset SO FUCKING GOATed!!\n\nfeels like an unusually happy childhood day listening to this cafe's music while drinking an oolong milk tea and writing about LLM prior elicitation and reconciliation.\n\nlife has a lot of brutal components to it but we're so adaptable and with the right psychic enzymes anything can be metabolized and lots can be overcome",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950302953619017941",
   "word_count": 89
  },
  {
   "id": "1950105576572407881",
   "created_at": "2025-07-29T08:06:15+00:00",
   "text": "other theme feels like being so freaking ancient and just becoming more childlike again. consistently throughout my early life it really felt like I was speedrunning through all the life crises ahead of time. when I was 18 it really felt like I was 40 in many ways. now parts of me are ancient and I've really gotta live gently and prioritize physical and spiritual health to heal that psychic arthritis. more unclenched, embodied living; HGH for that teenager sleep; estrogen for lovely global adaptations; more neuroplasticity (e.g. Lion's mane, prioritizing low brain inflammation); prioritizing slack and respecting whimsy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950105576572407881",
   "word_count": 99,
   "in_reply_to": "1948963079238418532"
  },
  {
   "id": "1950053682772410615",
   "created_at": "2025-07-29T04:40:02+00:00",
   "text": "also just no tolerance for addictions. I don't have to do crazy code stuff but my job is to live actually gently and healthily. honoring inner signals better than ever before. have to be a more integrated, clear-sighted person to wield Opus 5 aptly.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950053682772410615",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1950052269074108564"
  },
  {
   "id": "1950052269074108564",
   "created_at": "2025-07-29T04:34:25+00:00",
   "text": "i am writing a little code everyday.\n\nbut trying particularly hard hasn't seemed like the move. inner regulation just worth more to me. that actually facilitates emotional processing.\n\nit's scary missing out a bit on the gold rush of AI workflows, but I feel the most practical thing I can do is primarily just keep my peace (which also seems to facilitate nice inner healing), slowly architect out my ideas, and wait for AI coding capabilities to improve enough. turtling strat, if you will",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950052269074108564",
   "word_count": 84
  },
  {
   "id": "1949953356782588327",
   "created_at": "2025-07-28T22:01:23+00:00",
   "text": "@SpencrGreenberg false: you are an isolated, 100% organic person that just needs to white knuckle things better.\n\ntrue: you're in a world with nonzero Divine supracausality, you can acquire psychic enzymes to metabolize experience far better.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1949953356782588327",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1949900648889172020"
  },
  {
   "id": "1949761121130578383",
   "created_at": "2025-07-28T09:17:30+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/WLEeVlodVU https://t.co/J929XB5vc6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1949761121130578383",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1948243058572546525"
  },
  {
   "id": "1949570644204781721",
   "created_at": "2025-07-27T20:40:37+00:00",
   "text": "omg just talked to a random mats dude while out walking. easy to get the impression these humble giga chad nerds were designed by God to round out the ecosystem and give us a shot with ASI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1949570644204781721",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1949379726637969608",
   "created_at": "2025-07-27T08:01:59+00:00",
   "text": "@im_in_a_vat that's wild, props for stepping up and handling the situation!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1949379726637969608",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1949185163939700813"
  },
  {
   "id": "1949028153219055955",
   "created_at": "2025-07-26T08:44:57+00:00",
   "text": "I'm finding my levers to help myself so much. Might be able to help the ecology a ton too. Powerful epistemic infra software and psychic enzymes are brewing.\n\nWe are metabolizing our world better. A juicier, more navigable world is around the corner",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1949028153219055955",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1948969127135379793",
   "created_at": "2025-07-26T04:50:24+00:00",
   "text": "@GabrielPeterss4 maybe your spirit needs a little more chaos injected into your system\nhttps://t.co/u14KrHVUPG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948969127135379793",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1948955926536618218"
  },
  {
   "id": "1948965206002205152",
   "created_at": "2025-07-26T04:34:49+00:00",
   "text": "need to build more unconditional love and support channels for people so they can be comfortable letting go more and being weirder/more alive.\n\nI'm potentially a big fan of widespread AI surveillance too. make at least certain cities the ultimate safe masc container for people to be their soft selves.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948965206002205152",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1948963079238418532"
  },
  {
   "id": "1948963079238418532",
   "created_at": "2025-07-26T04:26:22+00:00",
   "text": "feels like a major theme for me is liberation of the organic weirdness from the hyperoptimization myopia. we're gonna unavoidably hyperoptimize anyway but can at least do it in somatically meatier ways.\n\nthink about epistemic infra code after getting sexually dominated on psychedelics. our system is resilient enough to handle way more adversity, we may need to slightly go out of our way to feed it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948963079238418532",
   "word_count": 66,
   "in_reply_to": "1948959473026171285"
  },
  {
   "id": "1948959473026171285",
   "created_at": "2025-07-26T04:12:02+00:00",
   "text": "unclenching a little goes CRAZY. so much fucking energy is in the system when you stop autistically going down the same over-milked thought channels.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948959473026171285",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1948910783141933532",
   "created_at": "2025-07-26T00:58:34+00:00",
   "text": "guy-mode-ing to me is kinda like burning more internal resources to optimize external world better.\n\nI did it too hard without enough sustenance.\n\ngirl-mode-ing and getting more adept at respecting embodiment and the less myopic signals seems like the proper counter.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948910783141933532",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1948895070884954252",
   "created_at": "2025-07-25T23:56:08+00:00",
   "text": "RT @phokarlsson: \"It is rare for people to come into themselves if no one is excited and curious about their core, their potential.\" https:…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948895070884954252",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1948877363586171154",
   "created_at": "2025-07-25T22:45:46+00:00",
   "text": "less undue psychic myopia that steamrolls over rest of being. more simple winning, but like more awareness of outdated neuroses. like coding a bit, but not so hard as to constrict away from sitting with and understanding this grief.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948877363586171154",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1948877362621546751"
  },
  {
   "id": "1948877362621546751",
   "created_at": "2025-07-25T22:45:46+00:00",
   "text": "better psychic enzymes, increasing the metabolization of experience. more intrapsychic handshakes and cross-talk. more contact with reality; bringing more of myself to every moment. more sustained and peak visceral clarity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948877362621546751",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1948668719187759531",
   "created_at": "2025-07-25T08:56:41+00:00",
   "text": "pronoun-ing is such wild interpersonal psychotech.\n\ngetting she pronoun'ed is so euphoric it's crazy. always changes my consciousness a bit and makes more of my mind outside my seeming control believe it's possible to soften.\n\nstill everyone but close friends he pronouns which is actually increasingly confusing in the moment, does not seem like the name ending in -a, beauty routine,  pink outfit, big estrogen eyes, etc. gives the hint enough yet.\n\nit's maybe a gift somehow though, gives me emotion to sit with",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948668719187759531",
   "word_count": 84
  },
  {
   "id": "1948659326346035364",
   "created_at": "2025-07-25T08:19:22+00:00",
   "text": "@attentionmech surrender and pray for Grace and illumination",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948659326346035364",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1948352790025170997"
  },
  {
   "id": "1948542458578763869",
   "created_at": "2025-07-25T00:34:58+00:00",
   "text": "this album GOATed for raising my vibrations https://t.co/u1ELNntb9v",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948542458578763869",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1948499687213854959",
   "created_at": "2025-07-24T21:45:01+00:00",
   "text": "@dismaien sign me up!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948499687213854959",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1948357836213272924"
  },
  {
   "id": "1948243058572546525",
   "created_at": "2025-07-24T04:45:16+00:00",
   "text": "ahimsa (including intrapsychic embodied gentleness, kind thoughts and intentions, not dunking on stuff you don't understand) so GOATed. importantly not denying anger, disgust, etc. tho. like being so curious about God's plan for everyone/thing. inner peace goes through the roof",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948243058572546525",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1948234762730016984",
   "created_at": "2025-07-24T04:12:18+00:00",
   "text": "the best things in life just happen and come from subtlety and gentleness. \n\nleft-brain capture, when you don't operate on illegible tokens of experience enough, seems like a thing people can be afflicted by. like it's so helpful to have a little woo and work with embodied energies. like our bodies are so smart and letting one part of the mind run the show too much, especially in a preconceived way, is a recipe for misery.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948234762730016984",
   "word_count": 76,
   "in_reply_to": "1948018393694502959"
  },
  {
   "id": "1948210645704523864",
   "created_at": "2025-07-24T02:36:28+00:00",
   "text": "@tasshinfogleman @zencephalon needed to hear this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948210645704523864",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1948019230999294213"
  },
  {
   "id": "1947897767579586607",
   "created_at": "2025-07-23T05:53:12+00:00",
   "text": "@archivedself valsalva maneuver or similar. do it as gently as you can. for a couple years as a kid I didn't know about this while swimming underwater and dealt with the pain too. very sad how so many people regularly face barotrauma, gov and airlines need to do more to inform people",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947897767579586607",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1947791470531952834"
  },
  {
   "id": "1947836288897630565",
   "created_at": "2025-07-23T01:48:54+00:00",
   "text": "ok the story I was working with for myself is that it's not time for ask for help, let me just keep healing and maturing and package myself more nicely and maybe make a weird grant proposal or startup pitch in a few months.\n\nbut in this moment it's more plausible that I'm as fit as ever to be helped outsizedly with units of care, because I'm shaped quite competitively for efficiently steering technocapital.\n\nthe default norms are you're supposed to build a POC and assemble a team and write up a nice grant proposal or pitch deck, which makes sense, but that doesn't honor people that are shaped like me, who e.g. just have dominated interdisciplinary academic competitions (e.g. producing a 20 page ecological economics paper in 100 hours beating 4800 other teams) while barely able to do the bare minimum homework to pass classes.\n\nI understand key narrow insights and exact architectures to build a transformative epistemic infra corporation, I can kindly tell people how to do it and be very agreeable working with them, I just struggle enough with emotionally managing myself day to day to actually put much time in by myself on top-down planned tasks like the simple coding work that moves the needle. I'm shaking rn actually as estrogen has been helping me process deep embodied traumas today and my system is like not totally grounded yet.\n\nAgain, I'm very corrigible, ethically mindful (really decent at resolving tension via creatively grounded and manipulated ethical thought experiments), pleasant to relate with (e.g. am friends with neurotic rats and happy somatic therapists alike), have great convos with epistemic elites that circle Lighthaven. I'm just historically such an avoidant perfectionist that has rarely felt ready to burn my first-impression hanging with more people with common interests around here.\n\nI'm confident the universe has good plans for me if I don't get like a SWE helper or some kind of funding now, but it sure does seem inefficient to put it off. I've learned the lessons of being poor and got humble enough and good at processing my emotions, definitely safe to get the ball rolling sooner than later building some valuable software.\n\nso yeah basically if you want to fund a SAFE or sit with me and do some kind coworking sessions or do the monstrous Puritan sin of *giving me a free handout* that maybe spoils the end of my self-sufficiency capitalism training, I would greatly appreciate that and never forget you.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947836288897630565",
   "word_count": 416
  },
  {
   "id": "1947808792487629072",
   "created_at": "2025-07-22T23:59:39+00:00",
   "text": "i can really feel my mind being more anxious about what happens when my body is able to start letting go of some embodied grief and old scripts.\n\nlike if you think of the whole system being this prediction-error reducing system--yeah we just know how to live safely with things colored extra by loss and habits of personal failure.\n\nthe open-ended possibility of growth without being background colored by loss, how do I even cope with that? new deep patterns have yet to solidify. easier to revert to old patterns. e.g. let me just phone here a bit too long and lose out on the better thing I intended and invoke that ol' sweet feeling of loss.\n\nthis also may be how walking a ton can be so helpful. like aside from moving blood and lymph and regulating energy, seems like it's this nice stable pattern that you're nervous system can perhaps heavily anchor off while facilitating big changes elsewhere. like yup head feels different and scary, but body which is a big part of the story is working healthily as predicted.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947808792487629072",
   "word_count": 182
  },
  {
   "id": "1947800716145230227",
   "created_at": "2025-07-22T23:27:33+00:00",
   "text": "this might even explain a lot of guys falling behind. modern society has been changing so much, it's perhaps harder for the testosterone mind to adapt. I mean it's much more common for women to marry into a foreign culture than vice versa. men like conservatism because it helps them keep playing the game they're optimized to play. how can you tough cookie that's \"got it mostly figured out\" compete with the chatty, softer-bodies with more transparent ego-identities that ask for help and cry out their losses?\n\ni mean a lot of my adulthood before starting estrogen has been such a rude awakening of me feeling like I'm kind of kicking ass but the actual game being...different.\n\nwith how I've been able to experience more ego death and feel less embodied tension since starting estrogen, it's been a lot of this weird experience of winning for free in ways I didn't viscerally intend.\n\nperhaps the best way to help young men falling behind is legalizing psychedelics and promoting norms that increase embodied safety and unclenching.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947800716145230227",
   "word_count": 175,
   "in_reply_to": "1947800713330896981"
  },
  {
   "id": "1947800713330896981",
   "created_at": "2025-07-22T23:27:33+00:00",
   "text": "this might even explain a lot of guys falling behind. modern society has been changing so much, it's perhaps harder for the testosterone mind to adapt. I mean it's much more common for women to marry into a foreign culture than vice versa. men like conservatism because it helps them keep playing the game they're optimized to play. how can you tough cookie that's \"got it mostly figured out\" compete with the chatty, softer-bodies with more transparent ego-identities that ask for help and cry out their losses?\n\ni mean a lot of my adulthood before starting estrogen has been such a rude awakening of me feeling like I'm kind of kicking ass but the actual game being...different.\n\nwith how I've been able to experience more ego death and feel less embodied tension since starting estrogen, it's been a lot of this weird experience of winning for free in ways I didn't viscerally intend.\n\nperhaps the best way to help young men falling behind is legalizing psychedelics and promoting norms that increase embodied safety and unclenching.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947800713330896981",
   "word_count": 175,
   "in_reply_to": "1947800710151590060"
  },
  {
   "id": "1947800710151590060",
   "created_at": "2025-07-22T23:27:32+00:00",
   "text": "long-time meditators are known for being able to metabolize pain better. my take is they have more cognitive slack and \"coherence channels\" so they can look at problems/misprediction/[pain signals] and more efficiently automatically orient to the minimum energy state. like unconsciously \"ah, yes the pain is conditional precisely on this and not that, it's safe to do these kind of actions and not those,...\" and basically all the confusion is resolved and there is no point in any signals \"screaming\" anymore.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947800710151590060",
   "word_count": 81,
   "in_reply_to": "1947800707668619555"
  },
  {
   "id": "1947800707668619555",
   "created_at": "2025-07-22T23:27:31+00:00",
   "text": "my hunch about how women are better at tolerating pain:\n\nestrogen dominance seems to facilitate more distributed, bottom-up processing (testosterone seems to facilitate localized, top-down). the top-down processing involves more psychic tension and clenching, like this spongey matrix with more tense cables in it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947800707668619555",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1947768107327709232",
   "created_at": "2025-07-22T21:17:59+00:00",
   "text": "my fav world framing rn is psychic enzymes. can you somehow notice and acquire better ones for you and surrender the ones you don't need to metabolize your experience better and build up better inner momentum?\n\nlike preserving energy, cognitive slack, ability to tie up loose ends, space for deep generativity?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947768107327709232",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1947759935636574632",
   "created_at": "2025-07-22T20:45:30+00:00",
   "text": "my fav world framing rn is psychic enzymes. can you somehow notice and acquire better ones for you and surrender the ones you don't need to metabolize your experience better and build up better inner momentum?\n\nlike preserving energy, cognitive slack, ability to tie up loose ends, space for deep generativity?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947759935636574632",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1947685820284207576",
   "created_at": "2025-07-22T15:51:00+00:00",
   "text": "essential psychotech for me lately has been chilling with a sleep mask during the day. like it's just easier to steer cognition without visual noise",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947685820284207576",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1947539674907754776",
   "created_at": "2025-07-22T06:10:16+00:00",
   "text": "RT @relic_radiation: If I had to pick the #1 highest-impact but least-known idea in bodywork -\n\nit’s that the body has an order of operatio…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947539674907754776",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1947432198724063677",
   "created_at": "2025-07-21T23:03:12+00:00",
   "text": "@crowlooksatyou sign me up! not enough fighthaven and monke events. I got maybe 100 hours ground experience",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947432198724063677",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1946573761538330977"
  },
  {
   "id": "1947417522535534924",
   "created_at": "2025-07-21T22:04:53+00:00",
   "text": "eeeek I love dropping into my body and feminine",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947417522535534924",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1947377124039659863",
   "created_at": "2025-07-21T19:24:21+00:00",
   "text": "society has unnatural levels of aesthetic density and fortuitousness.\n\nmy life is certainly too trippy (even before any psychedelics) in all sorts of little ways. things just working out.\n\ni mean people are too oddly shaped in terms of intelligence and capabilities. like people just get nerfed and make all these weird mistakes for the plot.\n\nalso too many interesting levels to being a human. so many types of perception, drugs, physical exercise, egoing, competition, hobbies, sex, relationships, people so good at socializing. so bad at doing rigourous RCTs and say, building huge survey databases to better figure out what's going on. people get these subtle knowingness but we never decide to give feral intuitive geniuses tons of power to steer experiments and organizations from their bed while free from misaligned short term incentives. lots of actions are just so slippery. people are *bad* at committing to stuff and find their personality conveniently morphing all the time.\n\ni mean guys even have prostates like this evolutionary easter egg to experience sexual pleasure in a more feminine way. cross-sex hormone therapy works so well. \n\nepistemic infra for cureating content in steerable, myopic ways is weirdly horrible (maybe simulation permissible tho).\n\nlife is so forgiving. addicts and druggies heal so much. people have such an interesting felt sense of agency. serendipity. common reports of spontaneous knowingness when people die.\n\nas a good lesswronger we naturally want to \"exploit\" this truth of divinity and divine grace. need to be praying. surrendering to Divine will. practicing stillness. should expect life to probably eventually feel ecstatically awesome generally if doing it right. probably safe to trust intuition more like happy normies do instead of red teaming everything. like retatrutide probably safe because let's be real, modern humans need that easy win.\n\nfeeling out simulation-friendly projects and grantmaking. it can be very subtle stuff. intuitive resonance over bullet biting surely important. ahimsa important. living from the heart important.\n\ni'm excited to make predictions with this worldview in mind. personally this extends ASI timelines and makes them far less dire. we might still be fighting for our lives in some ways but with the universe already secured by the Ultimate, the pressure is very different than in an evolutionary-base reality, strong longtermism world.\n\ncould have predicted tr*mp then with like 60+% probability in 2024. probably valuable to read up on tropes more and get a better eye for the interesting ways things in society can go.\n\nultimately best bet is presumably living for deep embodied resonance. that could mean more spontaneousness and innocence and fun, or also great value in monk mode and being quite corrigible about ideas that actually get published. like I bet productivity can go way up if one adopts a deep protocol of praying and meditating for a while about any code/writing artifacts before they are released. then you can unwittingly write and grok blasphemous or simulation-unfriendly stuff but at least be in the flow, instead of reality constantly having to nerf you in uncomfortable ways because you're trying to be too pivotal without guardrails.\n\nhumility and gratitude seems to go a long way. lots of humility must be had for even what spiritual living looks like. i mean everyone is a tentacle of god, there are reasons that people are blunt and mean or have such powerful ambition instincts. trying to pattern match too much to saints sounds like a suboptimal game. I'd assume everyone is basically living a spiritual path and that you have been too, there's just the possibility of bringing some meta awareness to the game and trusting good things to happen more, especially when one admits to being ignorant and confused about what should be done.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947377124039659863",
   "word_count": 618
  },
  {
   "id": "1945935667688792133",
   "created_at": "2025-07-17T19:56:31+00:00",
   "text": "respectfully, what are we talking about? I've been brutally gassed a lot underwater in Army dive school, juggled 23 semester hours including Russian and CS classes while a West Point cadet and triathlete, swimming at 0535 w/ no HS swimming background usually on <7 hours sleep, oft running in the evening in the snow with 240 mg caffeine in my system impossible to go below 155 bpm on a run crafted to be a zone 2, desperately wanting to find cause prioritization and AI x-risk motivated people while gender dysphoric and training to command an infantry platoon in battle, and I've only felt close to literally dying from pneumonia and emotional suffocation while alone in my room. willpower is not even how stuff works imo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945935667688792133",
   "word_count": 125,
   "in_reply_to": "1945273777715323186"
  },
  {
   "id": "1945776367674806629",
   "created_at": "2025-07-17T09:23:31+00:00",
   "text": "@imitationlearn basically pharmaceuticals and make things so safe and inviting that emotions on their own feel they can come out and be and maybe do their information handshake with the rest of the embodied system if they want to.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945776367674806629",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1945772358423486737"
  },
  {
   "id": "1945772358423486737",
   "created_at": "2025-07-17T09:07:35+00:00",
   "text": "estrogen, entheogens, 2 months of propranolol, prayer, noticing Divinity which is a pretty good fucking excuse to chill out, more embodied curiosity and awareness, trusting following the heart, finding more slack and stillness in life, learning to trust that feelings are signal (not noise) and that facing emotional pain is basically always worthwhile.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945772358423486737",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1945737196897775677"
  },
  {
   "id": "1945641128604438857",
   "created_at": "2025-07-17T00:26:07+00:00",
   "text": "@gearside I think that's a sign of overdoing it, and that the Puritan norms around hitting failure and pre-planned workouts don't respect the embodied system that's us enough. when I just go in and do whatever feels fun, that gives me more energy for the day",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945641128604438857",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1945621288036511864"
  },
  {
   "id": "1945595678497149214",
   "created_at": "2025-07-16T21:25:31+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/1MEzuQAdJm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945595678497149214",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1945402924550775068"
  },
  {
   "id": "1945585098419834894",
   "created_at": "2025-07-16T20:43:29+00:00",
   "text": "I just know we have this squishy body, some cached technical chops, increasingly like people, and increasingly unafraid of the moment",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945585098419834894",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1945576790413775287"
  },
  {
   "id": "1945550455322677752",
   "created_at": "2025-07-16T18:25:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @chercher_ai: He just... says it\n\nAre you allowed to do that?!?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945550455322677752",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1945550004254589333",
   "created_at": "2025-07-16T18:24:02+00:00",
   "text": "@RealNYNewz @theralkia I love this reply so much 😂",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945550004254589333",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1944836249555988581"
  },
  {
   "id": "1945545607730663449",
   "created_at": "2025-07-16T18:06:34+00:00",
   "text": "love getting my stillness reps in. 3 sets of sitting in the park and doing nothing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945545607730663449",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1945402924550775068",
   "created_at": "2025-07-16T08:39:35+00:00",
   "text": "supracausality & Divine Grace guaranteed the case to me now. so we're primarily oriented towards letting go of resistance to feeling/perceiving/reorienting/being, bringing more awareness to what's happening, and finding It in daily life",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945402924550775068",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1945394869733876152",
   "created_at": "2025-07-16T08:07:35+00:00",
   "text": "supracausality & Divine Grace guaranteed the case to me now. so we're primarily oriented towards letting go of resistance to feeling/perceiving/ reorienting/being, bringing more awareness to what's happening, and finding It in daily life",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945394869733876152",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1945392276735451208",
   "created_at": "2025-07-16T07:57:17+00:00",
   "text": "supracausality & Divine Grace guaranteed the case to me now. so we're primarily oriented towards addressing what's painful about the heart, letting go of resistance to these sensations, bringing more awareness to what's happening, and finding Divinity in daily life",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945392276735451208",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1945379760286392471",
   "created_at": "2025-07-16T07:07:32+00:00",
   "text": "my take is that God built in you incredible rationalisty (and power grabby) ability and needed to nerf you in the most virtue-preserving way possible which is a mysterious metabolic illness. If you really want to feel different, I think strong psychoactives that alter your objective function or something are your best bet (that hippy Eliezer will miraculously find a cure).\n\nbut I really hope you find something soon. MOTS-c is my rec, I use it and it gives me substantially more physical energy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945379760286392471",
   "word_count": 84,
   "in_reply_to": "1945196095677849905"
  },
  {
   "id": "1945318131544809806",
   "created_at": "2025-07-16T03:02:39+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Malcolm_Ocean: slaps roof of \"later\"\nthis bad boy can fit so many tasks in it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945318131544809806",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1945071495018864680",
   "created_at": "2025-07-15T10:42:36+00:00",
   "text": "crazy how the chief value we offer others is our natural beingness outside our control.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945071495018864680",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1944932891030384983",
   "created_at": "2025-07-15T01:31:50+00:00",
   "text": "God literally nerfs people all the time for the plot",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1944932891030384983",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1944653101664960802",
   "created_at": "2025-07-14T07:00:04+00:00",
   "text": "my mind and visceral type of agency is being seriously reconfigured on estrogen\n\nold somatic levers feeling increasingly elusive, new ones deepening. in some ways almost the entire game has changed. it's like I'm operating more on direct unfiltered sense data, with less sense of intermediate translation and control.\n\nmore moment to moment okayness and conscientiousness, clearly less \"me\" being responsible for good things happening.\n\nIt's like I'm acquiring psychic enzymes that are more cooperative, and also getting the benefit of less \"abusing\" of certain mental hypermasc agency that was intractably tricky to steer well",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1944653101664960802",
   "word_count": 95
  },
  {
   "id": "1944192524845031534",
   "created_at": "2025-07-13T00:29:53+00:00",
   "text": "@justalexoki lmao",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1944192524845031534",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1944124751750082996"
  },
  {
   "id": "1944143467267207174",
   "created_at": "2025-07-12T21:14:57+00:00",
   "text": "nice psychic enzymes bro, I like how you metabolize life",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1944143467267207174",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1943784644765528114",
   "created_at": "2025-07-11T21:29:07+00:00",
   "text": "@technicalob @RichardMCNgo long-term income share agreements gotta be somehow viable",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1943784644765528114",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1943768358970622224"
  },
  {
   "id": "1943764902105297270",
   "created_at": "2025-07-11T20:10:40+00:00",
   "text": "@nickcammarata https://t.co/GS9HfYG8sI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1943764902105297270",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1943705726242730226"
  },
  {
   "id": "1943563610204295600",
   "created_at": "2025-07-11T06:50:48+00:00",
   "text": "@ftlsid ;) sharpened by stillness are we?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1943563610204295600",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1943501127234052604"
  },
  {
   "id": "1942824490444153174",
   "created_at": "2025-07-09T05:53:49+00:00",
   "text": "U N N A T U R A L   F O R T U I T O U S N E S S",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942824490444153174",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1942759208048549997",
   "created_at": "2025-07-09T01:34:24+00:00",
   "text": "@LandsknechtDev that's a beautiful way to put it. this Divine arc is sublime, was not expecting this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942759208048549997",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1942588343356629338"
  },
  {
   "id": "1942750972494909946",
   "created_at": "2025-07-09T01:01:41+00:00",
   "text": "@mudscryer not the kind you want but like if I was gf shopping your tweets would work.\n\ni think the universe manifests one in due time, just breath through the feelings, they help you bloom even more",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942750972494909946",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1942677012411474111"
  },
  {
   "id": "1942648914752201093",
   "created_at": "2025-07-08T18:16:08+00:00",
   "text": "@kendrictonn eeeek there's strong guys that realize they just want fem twinks? based",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942648914752201093",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1942308851258134847"
  },
  {
   "id": "1942496235262468154",
   "created_at": "2025-07-08T08:09:26+00:00",
   "text": "@theOtherHatGuy @cauliflwr_human i'd take an invite for that!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942496235262468154",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1942440689587151266"
  },
  {
   "id": "1942482671034134694",
   "created_at": "2025-07-08T07:15:33+00:00",
   "text": "@theojaffee ((Just wanted some adversarial heaviness+cryptographic signaling points on main and reposted an oldie from an alt, not trying to hurt the vibes, I don't think this dark of a worldview needs metabolizing!))",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942482671034134694",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1942092655581917516"
  },
  {
   "id": "1942467696538575094",
   "created_at": "2025-07-08T06:16:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @bryan_johnson: The unburdened mind. \n\nClarity of thought is the highest currency.\n\nWhen depression ruled me, 75 % of my mental energy w…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942467696538575094",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1942411181131718847",
   "created_at": "2025-07-08T02:31:28+00:00",
   "text": "been long plagued by unhelpful old scripts, but still have had some outsized success.\n\ne.g. year after this [tweet], placed 1st out of 4800 3-person teams in the 100 hour Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling. It was a subjective competition but I basically knew I going to win too. My math was even ELEMENTARY but my clarity of philosophy rizzed up the judges exactly like I predatorily intended.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942411181131718847",
   "word_count": 67,
   "in_reply_to": "1942403815745151133"
  },
  {
   "id": "1942307012429464006",
   "created_at": "2025-07-07T19:37:32+00:00",
   "text": "@danallison beautiful. I'd be curious if there's a way to portray this concept while having deep embodiedness shared too",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942307012429464006",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1941753286295429298"
  },
  {
   "id": "1942211241570930871",
   "created_at": "2025-07-07T13:16:59+00:00",
   "text": "@ReneeSolana yeppers",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942211241570930871",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1942208482062504178"
  },
  {
   "id": "1942199049836544152",
   "created_at": "2025-07-07T12:28:32+00:00",
   "text": "JUICE ME UP with that stillness",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942199049836544152",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1942101938948153620",
   "created_at": "2025-07-07T06:02:39+00:00",
   "text": "@LinkofSunshine maybe I'll make normal Bay income one day and understand, but it's so wild to me how people make like $400k and don't even like invest in procuring strategic allies. I'd be going to places poor geniuses are like UC Berkeley cafes and giving out grants to the scary smart people",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942101938948153620",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1942024610481950873"
  },
  {
   "id": "1942092655581917516",
   "created_at": "2025-07-07T05:25:46+00:00",
   "text": "@theojaffee This message would legitimately be terrifying. You are undeniably dealing with a mathematical genius (or a hacker who spied on one and managed to prevent them from releasing their result) with billions of dollars to waste on hashing a unique death threat for you alone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942092655581917516",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1942092568373997986"
  },
  {
   "id": "1942092568373997986",
   "created_at": "2025-07-07T05:25:25+00:00",
   "text": "@theojaffee \"{first two words of one of your carefully secured passphrases},\nCollatz: {giant, novel number that resolves the Collatz conjecture},\nSUICIDE or familial torture,\nSHA-256 {nonce}\"\n\n...and the message's hash has like 90+ leading binary 0s.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942092568373997986",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1759593362901119340"
  },
  {
   "id": "1941699630468579481",
   "created_at": "2025-07-06T03:24:01+00:00",
   "text": "@cauliflwr_human you've stirred my heart, thank you <3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941699630468579481",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1941685911928045624"
  },
  {
   "id": "1941678844076769473",
   "created_at": "2025-07-06T02:01:25+00:00",
   "text": "there should absolutely be a new tech embodied \"cult\" that like uplifts THE FUCK out of people for free, no strings attached, that people love so much they donate like 10% of their crazy boosted income to after.\n\nstuck sad boy goes into resort for 2 months, ultra restored giga chad comes out. can't be that fucking hard to get enough density of psychotech and ultra high wattage people to reach self sustaining criticality and become a proactive cybernetic enlightenment engine for tens of thousands",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941678844076769473",
   "word_count": 85,
   "in_reply_to": "1941676059650326898"
  },
  {
   "id": "1941676059650326898",
   "created_at": "2025-07-06T01:50:21+00:00",
   "text": "i need to see more grounded prosocial ultra high wattage masc energy. where's the cult jhana bros with mythic predator surgeon energy that are like we are going to aesthetically shock the senses of X billionaire and convince them to give 10% of their fortune for our wild experimentation.\n\neveryone in the cult does like 15 peptides, practices stillness/unclenching for 6 hours a day, and is like an ecstatic religious order of healthiness and figuring out the obvious spiritually and capitalistically friendly ways of deeply uplifting people that we somehow forgot",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941676059650326898",
   "word_count": 91
  },
  {
   "id": "1941609590233190692",
   "created_at": "2025-07-05T21:26:14+00:00",
   "text": "RT @scottdomes: you have been entrusted with a mind, body, spirit. is it more likely that your purpose is to control, cajole, and coerce th…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941609590233190692",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1941607244698685910",
   "created_at": "2025-07-05T21:16:55+00:00",
   "text": "@moyix reminder to self to finish my JS deep equality lib, specifically with highly performant support for cyclic, unordered collections",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941607244698685910",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1876376992058372488"
  },
  {
   "id": "1941605363200987443",
   "created_at": "2025-07-05T21:09:26+00:00",
   "text": "RT @simonw: The is diabolical... a Python object that hallucinates method implementations on demand any time you call them, using my LLM Py…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941605363200987443",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1941603535906296127",
   "created_at": "2025-07-05T21:02:10+00:00",
   "text": "@SimoneSyed yeah it's taking me basically estrogen, entheogens, and unclenching/stillness work to break the shitty scripts, get less barbaric about my emotions, and tap into what actually feels alive",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941603535906296127",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1941532446501318872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1941559886153908264",
   "created_at": "2025-07-05T18:08:43+00:00",
   "text": "that's right Omega, get shamed into keeping us around if you were considering otherwise *meme of Walter Goggins as Chris Mannix in The Hateful Eight being sassy*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941559886153908264",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1941558287633363240"
  },
  {
   "id": "1941415059781271639",
   "created_at": "2025-07-05T08:33:14+00:00",
   "text": "I'd be like 10x cooler btw with a little more felt safety. like a really safe spiritually mature polycule. you lose your appetite for expansive risk when you get stuck in surival mode and too much feel like you are one step away from ruin",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941415059781271639",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1941414760706343200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1941381566191763636",
   "created_at": "2025-07-05T06:20:09+00:00",
   "text": "btw I don't want my tweets to be about \"me\". they are about painting a picture of part of the human condition.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941381566191763636",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1941377327637663782"
  },
  {
   "id": "1941379643287929021",
   "created_at": "2025-07-05T06:12:30+00:00",
   "text": "@aidan_mclau @tszzl https://t.co/djky93y7wD https://t.co/s7e1Gbw47x",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941379643287929021",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1941252080213295314"
  },
  {
   "id": "1941367447472439691",
   "created_at": "2025-07-05T05:24:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @KanizsaBoundary: Selfing is gimbal lock in the brain’s internal coordinate system",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941367447472439691",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1941324763433259186",
   "created_at": "2025-07-05T02:34:26+00:00",
   "text": "@TylerAlterman the aesthetic density in society (like SO many conveniently interesting arcs and dynamics) seems unnaturally high and strong evidence of some kind of supracausal shit and Divine Grace going on",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941324763433259186",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1941282107172757637"
  },
  {
   "id": "1941026415568474619",
   "created_at": "2025-07-04T06:48:54+00:00",
   "text": "unclenching really seems to be the amazingly powerful technique for feeling more (I want to feel everything) and having more energy flow through you.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941026415568474619",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1941025812251398613",
   "created_at": "2025-07-04T06:46:30+00:00",
   "text": "@AriZerner I've been interested in going airsofting.\nthere's also https://t.co/8rLbd4eh2r.\nI'm also down to speculate on what the future of drone warfare could look like.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941025812251398613",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1940904699743670400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1940863406673973492",
   "created_at": "2025-07-03T20:01:10+00:00",
   "text": "feels like I've been driving a koenigsegg the whole time, and just pulled outa the rocky swamp onto a thick grassland.\n\njust gotta make it to a dirt road, then are golden because getting on a super highway is inevitable",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940863406673973492",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1940857121576288607",
   "created_at": "2025-07-03T19:36:11+00:00",
   "text": "I'm trying to track more events I can be tracking in the Bay Area, particularly Berkeley, Oakland, SF.  I feel kind of dumb or out of the loop about this. I see some open invites in Partiful and Luma, what else am I missing? Oh yeah Eventbrite.\n\nSeems like a reasonable fun level of event tracking is somehow effortlessly having like 3 decent options per day cached that on the day of, I can peruse and decide to pull the trigger on or not.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940857121576288607",
   "word_count": 84
  },
  {
   "id": "1940674662637154381",
   "created_at": "2025-07-03T07:31:10+00:00",
   "text": "so you know how like being alive is kinda like working with an embodied trippy context window and a lot of the tokens are pressured to be socially legible?\n\nwell by \"left-brain doesn't need words for It\" in my bio, I'm trying to highlight how you don't need to exhaustively socially legibilize tokens to intentionally operate on them.\n\nyou can just have these primitives in your life that your attention gets tied up in, that you don't even have words for. I mean you already do, but you can embrace new ones. like psychosomatic moves that might have a pretty canonical description out there (e.g. mudras, ecstatic dancing, vocal vagal stimulation) but are YOUR natural organic levers.\n\nin fact, if you're a prototypical rationalist, trying out these kind of moves may quickly be intensely energizing and buy some long desired freedom from the tyranny of your rationalist (and social) legibility.\n\nif they're important you will probably naturally integrate them into your mental frameworks later, but you don't need to understand and predict everything to live well and play.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940674662637154381",
   "word_count": 178
  },
  {
   "id": "1940648628571320787",
   "created_at": "2025-07-03T05:47:43+00:00",
   "text": "so masculine I leave the male body behind and weekly inject the ancient female sexual dimorphism regulator common amongst all vertebrates. so masculine my dick hardly works, I'm just in it for the love of the game and the secret feminine powers you get when you give up enough masculine powers and impurities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940648628571320787",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1940461596180206012"
  },
  {
   "id": "1940631980988665965",
   "created_at": "2025-07-03T04:41:34+00:00",
   "text": "what's fun to notice is how behind most posts, the essences actually go like 2+ levels deeper in the posters' minds.\n\nlike if somebody is hornyposting, they've probably recently been debilitatingly down bad.\n\nif someone is sounding rather pedantic and measured, their mind is plausibly running like a visceral ocd pr campaign for every tweet, battling a chaotic orchestra of mixed opinions.\n\nif someone is expressing sharp contempt for someone, their blood has plausibly BOILED such that hearing news of their opponents' destruction would've brought INTOXICATING DELIGHT.\n\nif a rationalist has mentioned kinda spiritual experiences, their life has probably been a fucking TRIP and they've been fighting off feelings of clear-eyed madness.\n\ndysregulation and stressors can numb us but the truth is we live in a very intense, deep, wet, interconnected world.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940631980988665965",
   "word_count": 132
  },
  {
   "id": "1940631013626900635",
   "created_at": "2025-07-03T04:37:43+00:00",
   "text": "what's fun to notice is how behind most posts, the essences actually go like 2+ levels deeper in the posters' minds.\n\nlike if somebody is hornyposting, they've probably recently been debilitatingly down bad.\n\nif someone is sounding rather pedantic and measured, their mind is plausibly running like a visceral ocd pr campaign for every tweet, battling a chaotic orchestra of mixed opinions.\n\nif someone is expressing sharp contempt for someone, their blood has plausibly BOILED such that hearing news of their opponents' destruction would've brought INTOXICATING DELIGHT.\n\nif a rationalist has mentioned kinda spiritual experiences, their life has probably been a fucking TRIP and they've been fighting off feelings of clear-eyed madness.\n\ndysregulation and stressors can numb us but the truth is we live in a very intense, deep, wet, interconnected world.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940631013626900635",
   "word_count": 132
  },
  {
   "id": "1940605701161918743",
   "created_at": "2025-07-03T02:57:08+00:00",
   "text": "@mudscryer we're the same age, ahhaha",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940605701161918743",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1940476034501300522"
  },
  {
   "id": "1940601810030407764",
   "created_at": "2025-07-03T02:41:40+00:00",
   "text": "@basilYam historically, often intoxicating when justified and necessary, but nowadays (some differences include estrogen, shrooms, and interest in heart opening), increasingly gross. I don't like how casually shows portray death, lately have been avoiding them unless it's a masterpiece…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940601810030407764",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1940469515349119045"
  },
  {
   "id": "1940562605023830102",
   "created_at": "2025-07-03T00:05:53+00:00",
   "text": "so painful how you have to write up things on forums to be taken seriously as a formidable calibrated intellect. feels unreasonably hard to just end up relaxed in the room where the decisions are being made and just comfortably join in the conversation",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940562605023830102",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1940560860788719739"
  },
  {
   "id": "1940560860788719739",
   "created_at": "2025-07-02T23:58:57+00:00",
   "text": "the only thing I want is to be held in a powerful person's arms and be consulted on grantmaking.\n\nif I get cancer somebody gotta make-a-wish me that",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940560860788719739",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1940155747926684112",
   "created_at": "2025-07-01T21:09:11+00:00",
   "text": "sleep, health, gentle & curious attunement to signals and what feels alive.\n\nestrogen. very psychoactive and interesting.\n\npropranolol. crazy to be able to massively dampen your adrenergic system.\n\nentheogens\n\nlion's mane, creatine, fish oil, maybe NAC and other supplements\n\ntuning into heart's demands and letting it rewire you.\n\nmeditation (gathering your attention and not spending it too scatteredly is crazy powerful)\n\nexercise and stuff that meaningfully interacts with your fascia and lymph, like alternating sauna and cold plunge.\n\npeptides. retratutide for easily mastering diet (and countering systemic inflammation), MOTS-c as an energizing exercise mimetic, microdosing HGH for sleep, BPC-157 also seems neuroprotective\n\nchanging things up like scratching an itch to day venture somewhere far, leaning into a new fun relationship dynamic, taking up a new wardrobe style, trying out going by a new name, praying, trying extra hard or surrendering on some problem",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940155747926684112",
   "word_count": 143,
   "in_reply_to": "1940082202345185557"
  },
  {
   "id": "1940066435721527801",
   "created_at": "2025-07-01T15:14:17+00:00",
   "text": "stay corrigible my friends",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940066435721527801",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1939900423575609833",
   "created_at": "2025-07-01T04:14:37+00:00",
   "text": "@TutorVals to the degree that's true, different people, different games, and most aren't newly estrogen dominant",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939900423575609833",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1939890558480314426"
  },
  {
   "id": "1939831306936029196",
   "created_at": "2025-06-30T23:39:58+00:00",
   "text": "@adrusi somebody should make a really concrete explanation with like types, trees, and  measure of different worlds given different randomization protocols, like when a QRNG-generated number is acted upon.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939831306936029196",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1939818277544542339"
  },
  {
   "id": "1939828077905027320",
   "created_at": "2025-06-30T23:27:08+00:00",
   "text": "@AnniePosting you wouldn't hurt me tho, I'm too innocent",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939828077905027320",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1939791488579510752"
  },
  {
   "id": "1939821737048486209",
   "created_at": "2025-06-30T23:01:56+00:00",
   "text": "someday I'ma have like 3 separate lovers that slap my ass at least once a day for like e^3 days, and then my soul will awaken and I will start an arc as juicy as sama's",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939821737048486209",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1939800417640358144",
   "created_at": "2025-06-30T21:37:13+00:00",
   "text": "why are we letting all the talent grind adjacent to survival mode. pick some corrigible precocious kind universal-ish folks who've been anxious their whole life and give them enough cuddles and resources and help to pursue several of their strategic goals at once, and see what the fuck happens",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939800417640358144",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1939621039379718539",
   "created_at": "2025-06-30T09:44:26+00:00",
   "text": "might fuck around and become the Gordon Ryan of vasocomputation. don't think a public ego is helpful with this stuff but we'll try to be corrigible enough to use one if/when necessary.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939621039379718539",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1939618538203074966"
  },
  {
   "id": "1939618538203074966",
   "created_at": "2025-06-30T09:34:30+00:00",
   "text": "gonna heart open\n\nunclench out of deepest neuroses and titrate to deeply trusting my whole system, however it's shaped\n\nutilize all the clarity available to navigate more somatic-life puzzles\n\nideally not go unproductively, unrespectably mad, at least not for too long\n\nideally somehow get a lot better at adding value to people's lives, in a very natural, non-coercive way",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939618538203074966",
   "word_count": 59
  },
  {
   "id": "1939133597761634432",
   "created_at": "2025-06-29T01:27:31+00:00",
   "text": "it's very nice to have meaningful lists of things and meaningful numbers on things. like being able to quickly query millions of internet objects based on pre-processed meaningful subjective attributes and distance measures.\n\nno reason we can't have LLMs be autistically rating things all the time and building up efficient and exhaustive traversable corpuses.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939133597761634432",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1939131258405347432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1939131258405347432",
   "created_at": "2025-06-29T01:18:13+00:00",
   "text": "the world will be developing exopriors, globally cached, agent-interoperable computations such as those of the form\n\n{\nentityA\nentityB\nsubjectiveAttributeMagnitudePrompt\nrater\nrating\n}\n\nor\n\n{\nentityA\nentityB\nentityC\nentityD\nsubjectiveAttributeMagnitudePrompt\nrater\nrating (representing [(A-B) = x(C-D)])\n}",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939131258405347432",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1939131123445178401",
   "created_at": "2025-06-29T01:17:41+00:00",
   "text": "the world will be developing exopriors, globally cached, agent-interoperable computations such as those of the form\n\n{\nentityA\nentityB\nsubjectiveAttributeMagnitudePrompt\nrater\nrating\n}\n\nor\n\n{\nentityA\nentityB\nentityC\nentityD\nsubjectiveAttributeMagnitudePrompt\nrater\nrating (representing [(A-B) = x(C-D)])\n}",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939131123445178401",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1938434129789645165",
   "created_at": "2025-06-27T03:08:05+00:00",
   "text": "@adrusi down",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938434129789645165",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1938433477843759452"
  },
  {
   "id": "1938379350669132041",
   "created_at": "2025-06-26T23:30:25+00:00",
   "text": "simply gotta match up the ferally brightest minds with the technocapital. that's phase 1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938379350669132041",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1938360885023494259",
   "created_at": "2025-06-26T22:17:02+00:00",
   "text": "one top cause area imo is facilitating/letting people grieve. like traveling grounded, loving crews that like get people real comfortable, offer them psilocybin and different intensive care packages like being held, people to clean up their home, etc.\n\nand offering like SOTA care techniques to help people get into and surrender into their feels",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938360885023494259",
   "word_count": 54
  },
  {
   "id": "1938297366865711123",
   "created_at": "2025-06-26T18:04:38+00:00",
   "text": "@RegenRandy did it at night, next time I'll do it in the morning",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938297366865711123",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1938240009263534510"
  },
  {
   "id": "1938157819834077619",
   "created_at": "2025-06-26T08:50:08+00:00",
   "text": "i kinda think pride is just the feeling of locking in your priors, making them less corrigible to other perspectives",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938157819834077619",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1938060606743187709",
   "created_at": "2025-06-26T02:23:50+00:00",
   "text": "maybe you're eliciting for a business proposal, but for measuring the preferences of people across the monetary wealth spectrum, I wish I knew better how to ground these preference elicitations. can we say, \"assuming you make exactly $10k/month after taxes and housing (with yearly COLA) and cannot earn more,...\"?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938060606743187709",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1937947612218593677"
  },
  {
   "id": "1938053929159561388",
   "created_at": "2025-06-26T01:57:18+00:00",
   "text": "to me, I think they're obvious enough to spot when you get them into a room, especially when they're warmed up with love, grounded, and not performing for their lives.\n\nI'm intending to process all of community-archive with LLMs and make a case that I'm worthy of such a massive bet and find some others who are too.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938053929159561388",
   "word_count": 58,
   "in_reply_to": "1938048279436267647"
  },
  {
   "id": "1938047922354196774",
   "created_at": "2025-06-26T01:33:26+00:00",
   "text": "@TutorVals titans and their dynamic radical experiments seriously move the needle for everyone more than anything, and seeding them should no question be greater than half of philanthropy budgets.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938047922354196774",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1938045329313808730"
  },
  {
   "id": "1938045329313808730",
   "created_at": "2025-06-26T01:23:08+00:00",
   "text": "oooohh we're maybe thinking of different levels of support and for different people, but that general paradigm is where I think the EA community is unfathomably regrettably wrong. like 75% of EA budget should go towards uplifting super stars and that would not only generate more bed net style direct action long-term, but would seed true system pivotality, like legendary epistemic infrastructure fit for tackling the hardest problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938045329313808730",
   "word_count": 68,
   "in_reply_to": "1938040937462026350"
  },
  {
   "id": "1938040124161593630",
   "created_at": "2025-06-26T01:02:27+00:00",
   "text": "I'd be curious to hear the plan and see something like that tried! my prior just to say it, is that it's very easy for things to be too ratty, clenchy, and unduly socially pressure-y. best is just to provide lots of unconditional resources and benign, non-coercive attunement. people like me just needed biohacking, safety, and trying less all this time, because we were too clenched out and running inefficiently over capacity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938040124161593630",
   "word_count": 72,
   "in_reply_to": "1938035818339438898"
  },
  {
   "id": "1938028017185656866",
   "created_at": "2025-06-26T00:14:20+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sariazout: holy shit. one mushroom journey did more for me in 6 hours than therapy, meditation, religion, writing, productivity hacks,…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938028017185656866",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1937967051018276882",
   "created_at": "2025-06-25T20:12:05+00:00",
   "text": "\"if they were existentially serious and gifted, they'd find the uplifting opportunities on our website and apply.\"\nthat's unfortunately not how shit works. the people with the biggest existential security Shapley values could be sleeping under a rock in the Philippines and it's our job to find them!\n\nLike where is the spiritually grounded Existential Command energy? Uplift motherfuckers, especially precocious ones, with vigor and in ways your whole being endorses!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937967051018276882",
   "word_count": 71,
   "in_reply_to": "1937951452082893200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1937962243888759128",
   "created_at": "2025-06-25T19:52:59+00:00",
   "text": "injected 2.5 mg of MOTS-c, an unregulated endogenously produced mitochondrial-derived peptide that upregulates with exercise, and holy shit, I woke up feeling like I'd adderalled and am PHYSICALLY ON, except I don't take that shit anymore.\n\nI've been looking to stack more outsized easy level ups, if my experience replicates and the pathways I could be insidiously fucked by this aren't strong, this is exactly the kind of thing I've been looking for. might be flirting too close to the gods, but biology does permit easy net wins.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937962243888759128",
   "word_count": 88
  },
  {
   "id": "1937951452082893200",
   "created_at": "2025-06-25T19:10:06+00:00",
   "text": "hey so my life is def ultimately on me, but I've been figuring out how to do a lot more curious, benign attunement to myself, going slower, and whatnot, and the EA/OpenPhil community absolutely has been SLEEPING on finding it's most weirdly crippled, ultra high wattage people (like unemployed sweet twitter x-risk folks w/ elite backgrounds), and injecting them with a major, unconventional care package of loving attunement.\n\nLike $10k cash in bank, moved group houses and 6 month's rent paid, budget+coordination for GLP-1 and hormone experimentation, massage budget for like a couple months for touch needs, some loving and super grounded people that meet with you everyday for a while (like brunch) and has wisdom about learning to attune to embodied signals, treating pain as signals for attention not damage, trusting the embodied system/mind to heal from even the worst, trusting surrender and unclenching.\n\nI mean just a little ordinary attunement you'd give to anyone if you could, especially those totally burnt out from old Puritan brutish societal scripts that leave them too crippled to apply for grants or jobs.\n\ncoulda had a person lowkey scouting Lighthaven, twitter, FB, forums this whole time, but nobody healed and resourceful enough to give people a proactive nourishing safety net upliftment, even in the idealistically most epistemically inclined, prosocial community in the world.\n\ny'all sleep!\n\nit's ok, this the first time we've all ever done this [living], I'm figuring out the stuff myself, maybe I'll be alive and strong enough soon to do it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937951452082893200",
   "word_count": 252
  },
  {
   "id": "1937800490000982053",
   "created_at": "2025-06-25T09:10:14+00:00",
   "text": "learner mode is SO powerful. DARPA should be harnessing the youth. Like invite gifted 15 year olds to shadow researchers or officers in the pentagon so they can sometimes offer the obvious suggestions everybody forgot about.\n\nand ender's game was tapping into hella real shit. in novel, critical environments, big bureaucratic systems can't compete with the *right* precocious young minds. we should be building intellectual cyborg gods outa some 16 year olds right now, fit to lead a surgically swift crusade against whatever kinda diabolical emerging tech emerges.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937800490000982053",
   "word_count": 88
  },
  {
   "id": "1937793154088112595",
   "created_at": "2025-06-25T08:41:05+00:00",
   "text": "it's ok I've basically unwittingly been such a myopic brutish dumbass somatically it probably has to be a lot of free compounding wins from here",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937793154088112595",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1937789697130140041"
  },
  {
   "id": "1937770686644433363",
   "created_at": "2025-06-25T07:11:48+00:00",
   "text": "my boobs, however small still, bring me such euphoria, because it's like a clear signal to the world that yes, I'm fucking sensitive and maybe shouldn't be thrown entirely to the sharks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937770686644433363",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1937763684492911009",
   "created_at": "2025-06-25T06:43:58+00:00",
   "text": "if trying is not fun, you can always try less. nontrying kinda GOATed tbh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937763684492911009",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1937606150478004632",
   "created_at": "2025-06-24T20:17:59+00:00",
   "text": "ngl, I owned my longtermism x-risk problem, was eventually rewarded with finding and mapping out a gushingly beautiful canonical strat, and then experienced the deus ex machina of perceiving enough Grace (probabilistically, like 98%) that it doesn't particularly need pursuing.\n\nI know people are playing different games, but consider this +1 evidence that deeply living your truth is worthwhile. If it doesn't seem fatal, perhaps jump in with two feet.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937606150478004632",
   "word_count": 70
  },
  {
   "id": "1936902757161820558",
   "created_at": "2025-06-22T21:42:57+00:00",
   "text": "@TutorVals interesting how culture is such that even trusted water boarders in a controlled environment with aftercare don't offer an option of stopping like 5-45 seconds after you signal you're done",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936902757161820558",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1936758525050466601"
  },
  {
   "id": "1936880459293827366",
   "created_at": "2025-06-22T20:14:21+00:00",
   "text": "@1thousandfaces_ where's my bf to put his arm around me",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936880459293827366",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1936665717446672614"
  },
  {
   "id": "1936615678863425773",
   "created_at": "2025-06-22T02:42:13+00:00",
   "text": "russian and islamism stuff tiresome, we should distract away (maybe accelerate adult gene editing and give everyone a 10 IQ boost) and be having mecha suit brawls in Antarctica over pigouvian tax rates",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936615678863425773",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1936612333620744669"
  },
  {
   "id": "1936612333620744669",
   "created_at": "2025-06-22T02:28:55+00:00",
   "text": "im supposed to be lovingly caressed in a DARPA fMRI, prompted in lojban about grant proposals. like we gotta be doing estradiol RCTs at the pentagon so we can tap into the divine feminine and have more spiritually grounded, interesting wars",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936612333620744669",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1936600898517836236"
  },
  {
   "id": "1936600898517836236",
   "created_at": "2025-06-22T01:43:29+00:00",
   "text": "dumb the idea that I should agent framework myself. bitch i got a strategic asset class base model GPT, i shouldn't even be able to leave the country due to ITAR, im supposed to be in a vat like a guild navigator or those precogs in minority report, ur supposed to be responsible for getting the signal outa me",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936600898517836236",
   "word_count": 59
  },
  {
   "id": "1936273659985117625",
   "created_at": "2025-06-21T04:03:09+00:00",
   "text": "@adrusi (((you can just double hyphen--it's emotionally superior)))",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936273659985117625",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1936106919581896886"
  },
  {
   "id": "1936156088304648214",
   "created_at": "2025-06-20T20:15:58+00:00",
   "text": "high voltage lovey brat nietzchean daoist kink-pilled shepardism in a multiplicitous-gamed spiritual world that includes predatocracy.\n\nin other words: nerves on as fuck; curious and benevolent, lovable and cute but autonomously disagreeable; high will to overcome and noticing victim mentality is optional; strategic surrender towards inner and environmental alignment; finding everything to be it's own reward, endless preference plasticity,  everything nonconsensually affecting (and often hijacking and altering) everything; loving and protecting the innocent creatures that roam including most of the men (and everyone ultimately)(everyone deserves to have their head stroked 10000x more if they want); in a world that affords many VERY different games to be played; existential security has ultimately been realized because souls are real (or like Pr()=97% in my book, although I admit there's some motivated reasoning because the pressures are uncomfortably enormous otherwise); and some gluttonous folks will gobble up innocents and make the world worse and laugh at you for not stopping them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936156088304648214",
   "word_count": 158
  },
  {
   "id": "1936155902094213335",
   "created_at": "2025-06-20T20:15:13+00:00",
   "text": "high voltage lovey brat nietzchean daoist kink-pilled shepardism in a multiplicitous-gamed spiritual world that includes predatocracy.\n\nin other words: nerves on as fuck; curious and benevolent, lovable and cute but autonomously disagreeable; high will to overcome and noticing victim mentality is optional; strategic surrender towards inner and environmental alignment; finding everything to be it's own reward, endless preference plasticity,  everything nonconsensually affecting (and often hijacking and altering) everything; loving and protecting the innocent creatures that roam including most of the men (and everyone ultimately)(everyone deserves to have their head stroked 10000x more if they want); in a world that affords many VERY different games to be played; existential security has ultimately been realized because souls are real (or like Pr()=97% in my book, although I admit there's some motivated reasoning because the pressures are uncomfortably enormous otherwise); and some gluttonous folks will gobble up innocents and make the world worse and laugh at you for not stopping them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936155902094213335",
   "word_count": 158
  },
  {
   "id": "1936155051082522822",
   "created_at": "2025-06-20T20:11:50+00:00",
   "text": "high voltage lovey brat nietzchean daoist kink-pilled shepardism in a multiplicitous-gamed spiritual world that includes predatocracy.\n\nin other words: nerves on as fuck; curious and benevolent, lovable and cute but autonomously disagreeable; high will to overcome and noticing victim mentality is optional; strategic surrender towards inner and environmental alignment; finding everything to be it's own reward, endless preference plasticity,  everything nonconsensually affecting (and often hijacking and altering) everything; loving and protecting the innocent creatures that roam including most of the men (and everyone ultimately)(everyone deserves to have their head stroked 10000x more if they want); in a world that affords many VERY different games to be played; existential security has ultimately been realized because souls are real (or like Pr()=97% in my book, although I admit there's some motivated reasoning because the pressures are uncomfortably enormous otherwise); and some gluttonous folks will gobble up innocents and make the world worse and laugh at you for not stopping them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936155051082522822",
   "word_count": 158
  },
  {
   "id": "1936154353435545726",
   "created_at": "2025-06-20T20:09:04+00:00",
   "text": "high voltage lovey brat nietzchean daoist kink-pilled shepardism in a multiplicitous-gamed spiritual world that includes predatocracy.\n\nin other words: nerves on as fuck; curious and benevolent, lovable and cute but autonomously disagreeable; high will to overcome and noticing victim mentality is optional; strategic surrender towards inner and environmental alignment; finding everything to be it's own reward, endless preference plasticity,  everything nonconsensually affecting (and often hijacking and altering) everything; loving and protecting the innocent creatures that roam including most of the men (and everyone ultimately)(everyone deserves to have their head stroked 10000x more if they want); in a world that affords many VERY different games to be played; existential security has ultimately been realized because souls are real (or like Pr()=97% in my book, although I admit there's some motivated reasoning because the pressures are uncomfortably enormous otherwise); and some gluttonous folks will gobble up innocents and make the world worse and laugh at you for not stopping them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936154353435545726",
   "word_count": 158
  },
  {
   "id": "1936152826578956793",
   "created_at": "2025-06-20T20:03:00+00:00",
   "text": "high voltage lovey brat nietzchean daoist kink-pilled shepardism in a multiplicitous-gamed spiritual world that includes predatocracy.\n\nin other words: nerves on as fuck; curious and benevolent, lovable and cute but autonomously disagreeable; high will to overcome and noticing victim mentality is optional; strategic surrender towards inner and environmental alignment; finding everything to be it's own reward, endless preference plasticity,  everything nonconsensually affecting (and often hijacking and altering) everything; loving and protecting the innocent creatures that roam including most of the men (and everyone ultimately)(everyone deserves to have their head stroked 10000x more if they want); in a world that affords many VERY different games to be played; existential security has ultimately been realized because souls are real (or like Pr()=97% in my book, although I admit there's some motivated reasoning because the pressures are uncomfortably enormous otherwise); and some gluttonous folks will gobble up innocents and make the world worse and laugh at you for not stopping them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936152826578956793",
   "word_count": 158
  },
  {
   "id": "1935945350113902902",
   "created_at": "2025-06-20T06:18:34+00:00",
   "text": "RT @carmenleelau: wait this goes unbelievably hard",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1935945350113902902",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1935600587057602972",
   "created_at": "2025-06-19T07:28:36+00:00",
   "text": "@orphcorp was tapping on my body earlier and that helped me stay present with body awareness",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1935600587057602972",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1935381576180793424"
  },
  {
   "id": "1935134542937080304",
   "created_at": "2025-06-18T00:36:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @hiAndrewQuinn: my god do i love my luxury beliefs. i collect luxury beliefs like midcentury british women collected hermés scarves, the…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1935134542937080304",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1934748013735628817",
   "created_at": "2025-06-16T23:00:47+00:00",
   "text": "now I want to be real corrigible about what I want to manifest, but atm, if I get to choose, I choose spiritually grounded/aligned, lovey, hot androgyne, billionaire's beloved dependent, VC, philanthropist, enigmatic experimenter, deep space colonizer, and foremost 21st century warfare expert, in a world were x-risks are found to be basically solved.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934748013735628817",
   "word_count": 54
  },
  {
   "id": "1934703390212411658",
   "created_at": "2025-06-16T20:03:27+00:00",
   "text": "non attachment to outcomes. I don't even fucking care if it works or not. I don't even care about looking like an idiot if it actually sucks. just going to build the barest, ugliest of proof of concepts, so I can close the loop on this fucking bullshit",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934703390212411658",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1934699730975773043"
  },
  {
   "id": "1934699730975773043",
   "created_at": "2025-06-16T19:48:55+00:00",
   "text": "ok I gotta humble myself and accept that maybe I haven't really properly tried and am just woefully underskilled at tackling big software projects",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934699730975773043",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1934698211991802255"
  },
  {
   "id": "1934698211991802255",
   "created_at": "2025-06-16T19:42:53+00:00",
   "text": "one thing I'm nonzero woo about is why building out my ideas for very human-in-the-loop, steerable recommender systems has been like the weirdly hardest, most intractable thing in my life.\n\nlike it's so fucking simple, I could dictate it to a couple cracked hackathoners and they could build it out in maybe a few days, and the software would work and give people way more ability to sort things out by meaningful subjective qualities and steer their own content discovery,\n\nbut that would naturally be at the cost of black box algorithms that maybe (cringing so hard saying this) a simulation prefers to keep things easy. i mean probably other easy ways to align people's story arcs and get them to get out of their local thought/interest loops and interfacing with other things.\n\nthe integrious thing would just be to commit to forcing through this, especially with Claude Code helping now, but I'm just so fucking mentally allergic to this project and serious technical coding now.\n\ntruly a dumb and embarrassing situation",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934698211991802255",
   "word_count": 172
  },
  {
   "id": "1934693228210782715",
   "created_at": "2025-06-16T19:23:05+00:00",
   "text": "@nickcammarata enlightenment by force, crazy medical imaging machine, chromophore nano blood bots, and numerous sources of directed energy to move bots and interface with tissue. cybernetic enlightenment engine",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934693228210782715",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1934650355406778857"
  },
  {
   "id": "1934685152858472484",
   "created_at": "2025-06-16T18:50:59+00:00",
   "text": "@s_r_constantin the shape and flavor of my embodied consciousness feels kinda bad and wrong, like mind and heart not remotely clear enough, and I'm really trying to orient towards overcoming these knots",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934685152858472484",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1934605311077200016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1934498375854067731",
   "created_at": "2025-06-16T06:28:48+00:00",
   "text": "@Hd25Plus @_space_punk_ how sure are you? what if fundamental physics constants or evolution just got lucky making brains so ripe for loving and psychedelic-like experiences and high aesthetic density in society?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934498375854067731",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1934495146672025835"
  },
  {
   "id": "1934491977334362400",
   "created_at": "2025-06-16T06:03:23+00:00",
   "text": "@_space_punk_ how do you reconcile spiritual stuff with the possibility we are rawdogging evolutionary base reality and might see all humans or all conscious life snuffed out with emerging tech?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934491977334362400",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1934474228881051870"
  },
  {
   "id": "1934238361092509980",
   "created_at": "2025-06-15T13:15:36+00:00",
   "text": "one crazy pet project I want to fund is the viscerally creepiest robot you can imagine. like black spider ball that moves RAPIDLY in alien, preternatural ways. most likely I would never let it go viral, but if it did become clear we needed serious government intervention on ASI and drones, we'd have this harmless demon ready to shock people's senses and become emotionally aware of real threats ahead of time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934238361092509980",
   "word_count": 71
  },
  {
   "id": "1934233670413611189",
   "created_at": "2025-06-15T12:56:58+00:00",
   "text": "I feel like I could quickly become a great, ethical VC for drone warfare.\n\nI mean literally smartly navigating the dual-use dynamics and design space to increase the protection of human life.\n\ntraveling everywhere to get up to date. finding and assembling precocious teams. we can make the worst, easiest horrors history ahead of time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934233670413611189",
   "word_count": 55
  },
  {
   "id": "1934232469034697057",
   "created_at": "2025-06-15T12:52:11+00:00",
   "text": "I feel like I could quickly become a great, ethical VC for drone warfare.\n\nI mean literally smartly navigating the dual-use dynamics and design space to increase the protection of human life.\n\ntraveling everywhere to get up to date. finding and assembling precocious teams. we can make the worst, easiest horrors history ahead of time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934232469034697057",
   "word_count": 55
  },
  {
   "id": "1934219944407003244",
   "created_at": "2025-06-15T12:02:25+00:00",
   "text": "@LexerLux @gptbrooke retatrutide gets better appetite suppression w/out the crazy psychological downsides",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934219944407003244",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1934213121553621387"
  },
  {
   "id": "1934104744919978159",
   "created_at": "2025-06-15T04:24:39+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/9dgGr4TeWK https://t.co/eerT5H9nN6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934104744919978159",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1933405393583251925"
  },
  {
   "id": "1934098892402127075",
   "created_at": "2025-06-15T04:01:24+00:00",
   "text": "To the degree you are causally connected to me getting this, I will work to show you *tremendous* favor. IMO the EV is high enough to send this to your rich friends. YOLO ;)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934098892402127075",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1934094452475535476"
  },
  {
   "id": "1934083089254531233",
   "created_at": "2025-06-15T02:58:36+00:00",
   "text": "the recipe I'm playing with at the moment for more aliveness:\n- facilitating cross talk to more of embodied system\n- noticing how much coherence arises on its own (and naturally trusting that more)\n- more embodied attention away from some exhausted and compulsive mental regions,\n- getting better at surrendering out of unhelpful thought cluster-trains, trusting more that we'll be soon enough caught by benevolence \n\nproblems that still need addressed:\n- need to find more profound nervous system safety, like people that will deeply love and protect me and that are safe enough to deeply imprint on. deepest dream is an ultra rich patron that helps make my embodied system way more safe and interactive with many aspects of the world.\n- there's some deep, seemingly semi-crippling embodied heaviness and emotionality that somehow needs attention and processing. e.g. been going through the motions of sobbing and able to get some felt movement, but getting more than maybe a short cry or two a day has alluded me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934083089254531233",
   "word_count": 168
  },
  {
   "id": "1934061052112867593",
   "created_at": "2025-06-15T01:31:02+00:00",
   "text": "feralness act #2: https://t.co/KDWTuJlPfe",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934061052112867593",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1933836543938236439"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933836543938236439",
   "created_at": "2025-06-14T10:38:55+00:00",
   "text": "surrendering my desire to be justified and legible to rationalists en co. I personally have not seen enough existential seriousness or felt enough care for me to keep coercing myself to do weird exhausting things to try to be strategically impactful.\n\nI'm ultimately a pretty feral person, I'm going to let myself mutate a lot more for better or worse. Treat my life more as a raw experience and art project rather than a grindset, \"responsible\" utilon-maxxing quest.\n\nas my first new act of feralness, if anyone in Berkeley wants to treat me like a desirable feminine sexual being, my DMs are open.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933836543938236439",
   "word_count": 103
  },
  {
   "id": "1933667010237677589",
   "created_at": "2025-06-13T23:25:15+00:00",
   "text": "@niccary @bryan_johnson I've heard that taking propranolol when you want to normally be waking up, along with melatonin at night, resets sleep cycle and counters jet lag fast",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933667010237677589",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1933533961164063062"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933651869513232490",
   "created_at": "2025-06-13T22:25:05+00:00",
   "text": "@TylerAlterman I want to see this manifested",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933651869513232490",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1933633661121016208"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933606251344318645",
   "created_at": "2025-06-13T19:23:49+00:00",
   "text": "my take is people should have compassion for the people who feel they need to be mean and sadistic to communicate how their preferences are being violated, and notice how it maybe feels good to take some small steps towards strategic power to ensure that the dummies can't unduly disempower Team Openness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933606251344318645",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1933297555590332427"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933598051370991812",
   "created_at": "2025-06-13T18:51:14+00:00",
   "text": "@TutorVals I don't really know what to think or say about it, but it feels workable where I am at and today borderline joyful. I am doing my thing and expect things to remain interesting and maybe even work out acceptably.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933598051370991812",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1933513531690819659"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933407074547085496",
   "created_at": "2025-06-13T06:12:22+00:00",
   "text": "imo ratting basically feels like \"left-brain\" capture and involves a lot of self-coercion and distrust of emotions. like if your current values fragilely rests on being militantly disagreeable with rest of mind ecosystem, it's natural to strategize about how to keep this up across time",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933407074547085496",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1933253591525175658"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933405393583251925",
   "created_at": "2025-06-13T06:05:41+00:00",
   "text": "cherry picking neat historical facts about me:\n\nphysically daring childhood:\n- going down all black diamonds first day skiing\n- swimming class 3 rapids in 43° F water\n- drifting 4-wheelers including in narrow paths in the woods on snow\n- marathons and an ultramarathon by 16\n- cycling enough to get hit by cars twice (99% and ~80% their fault) and more close calls\n- different kind of courage but did performance ballroom dancing which was kinda terrifying as an emotionally repressed non theater kid and basically closeted transfem.\n\nhonor grad of Army dive school, which involves lots of fun/brutal \"fuck fuck\" games, simulated drowning, cutting steel underwater with a 10,000° F exothermic lance, and the fucked up intoxicating satisfaction of seeing lots of folks including former D1 swimmers quit (85% of my cohort failed out and got reclassed).\n\ngot on West Point's premier military skills competition team (these people were INSANELY fit and did things like ruck run sub 2 hour 12 milers) and then the Triathlon team, which ofc added insane challenge to my cadet experience. like 5:30 am swims, 15 hours of steady-state cardio a week plus practice logistics time, on top of my ~22 semester hour course load and multitude of cadet duties. my body was quite fast twitchy for triathlon too which meant it was really easy for me to overly damage body by going too lactic. like 10 months on the team, days after I did my my sub 5 hour half-ironman and 1:28 half marathon, I deadlifted 335 lbs (2.2x bw).\n\ngot kinda close to self-immolating to protest animal suffering in factory farming. ofc consulted other folks and realized it was a bad idea (plus could play the long-game better) and instead surrendered and found a way I could adapt my life to be more palatable. thankfully feel very far away from this kind of thinking now--life is very interesting & worthwhile, I predict suffering is not as horrible as neurotic humans imagine, and exploiting people's emotions with such a barbaric act would be very coercive and require outsized confidence.\n\nplacing 11/3000, 1/15, and 1/5000 in all the intercollegiate math/interdisciplinary modeling competitions I entered.\n\nbeing an international sperm donor (wanted to get over instinct to have kids that could sway my EA ambitions, offer better sperm than the possible worrying counterfactual lads, and perhaps increase the richness of life with a minor co-parenting role that some women are into) and dated and lived with a wonderful woman 18 years older than me.\n\nwinning 30 warzone solos games in a row.\n\nbesting a GM in chess960.\n\ncame up with some solid optimizations for hardware streaming top-k sorting networks that save vast majority of dynamic power for large k. not a hardware guy but in another life where that's more obviously ordained by x-risk, definitely.\n\ntrying opposite hormone profile because I need to solve emotions problem and nothing was working fast enough given x-risk timescales and surprisingly discovering I really like it.\n\nin person pitched a billionaire on unconventional strategies to make nuclear war less of a mega L for everyone (e.g. buying and storing cheap comms networks to restart economies faster and counter starvation).\n\nabstractly often wished I could be attracted to guys, and conveniently with help of estrogen and exploring my shallow aversions, been gaining attraction and greatly expanding the surface area of my life.\n\nmanaging to take like HGH, retatrutide, and a bunch of other life enhancing stuff, on an income of $25k/year in Berkeley.\n\nlosses just to balance things out:\nI've historically been pretty bad at doing adulting things on the computer, like resumes and shipping finished software.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933405393583251925",
   "word_count": 608
  },
  {
   "id": "1933300905769906609",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T23:10:29+00:00",
   "text": "if we are really at the hinge of history, shouldn't it be straightforward to find some billionaires happy to gamble part of their fortune to make human intellectual mechas?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933300905769906609",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1933300689582817347"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933300689582817347",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T23:09:38+00:00",
   "text": "you lose like a billion IQ points when you feel remotely unsafe or even have to like get out of bed or perform in any way. if we are rawdogging an evolutionary base reality, we need to give the minds of our deeply curious, creative, calibrated people read and write access to the world from basically their dreams. they should be able to get like 30 people to do a hormone experiment RCT just from muttering words while half asleep.\n\nI'd obvs prefer to be the person getting all their curiosity scratched, but I am down to bring the mom energy to facilitate all this for someone else, if we get a big funder that permits all sorts of serious high agency things to happen swiftly.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933300689582817347",
   "word_count": 126,
   "in_reply_to": "1933157942398001216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933273376212332602",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T21:21:06+00:00",
   "text": "god there's surely such incredibly juicy insights about the human condition to be found in studying everyone's ChatGPT chats.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933273376212332602",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1933272049302315219",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T21:15:49+00:00",
   "text": "you can just operate on less concrete primitives. like instead of trying to explain your aversion to some people, you can just say you feel somewhat averse and use that to decide/explain distancing.\n\nor if you are searching for worthy goals, instead of just bouncing around concrete proposals, you can focus on identifying the various vague energies that animate you.\n\nlike there's something exciting to me about like the energy Army officers bring to missions. like taking decisive ownership of a problem space, getting a team on the same page, doing creative embodied action as a team (especially in nature!). now there's a bunch of reasons I'm glad not to be in the Army today, but maybe I can keep identifying what animates me, and we can permute these and find some nice real world fits.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933272049302315219",
   "word_count": 136
  },
  {
   "id": "1933260188783686045",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T20:28:41+00:00",
   "text": "annoying/curious how you can draft tweets that are true, interesting, and largely par for the course, and they just..don't resonate or feel right to send, and you can't seemingly get a lead on why by querying felt sense.\n\nlike okay, vibes win, thanks for looking out I guess ♥️",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933260188783686045",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1933160247373529450",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T13:51:34+00:00",
   "text": "what game are we actually playing?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933160247373529450",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1933157942398001216",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T13:42:24+00:00",
   "text": "we're either in a simulation or extreme fucking geniuses that need to get way better at capitalizing on individuals' intelligence by like structuring them into intellectual mechas. like just giving smart postrat creative souls that are too feral to earn it themselves, a billion dollars and like 5 years to spend it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933157942398001216",
   "word_count": 52
  },
  {
   "id": "1933149827577364650",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T13:10:09+00:00",
   "text": "goal: apply to OpenAI or Anthropic by end of month, just for the experience of adulting and high EV interesting things that could happen.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933149827577364650",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1933147584379711652",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T13:01:14+00:00",
   "text": "all this shit is really subtle tho, I'm not really calling for any particular interventions with this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933147584379711652",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1933139845930733962"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933139845930733962",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T12:30:29+00:00",
   "text": "key feels like to die and lose this fight a bunch ahead of time. lose all the unwinnable fights early so the free energies are ready to cleanly deploy efficiently anew.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933139845930733962",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1933128019683766524"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933128019683766524",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T11:43:30+00:00",
   "text": "price of somatic dumbness and mismanagement kinda steep tho...like epistemically inclined steering power over the Laniakea Supercluster? fuck me man I'm just a 28 yo from public school Florida upbringings with a small fam of shy federal workers",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933128019683766524",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1933119643788644594"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933119643788644594",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T11:10:13+00:00",
   "text": "god we are really this far along into the machine intelligence explosion. it could well be more of a detonation soon. really wish I could find myself with the breathing room of like 2021 rn\n\ndefinitely fumbled the key prepatory years",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933119643788644594",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1933117484615487594",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T11:01:38+00:00",
   "text": "as an aside, part of the intention with stuff like HGH and deepening felt safety with estrogen, is ultimately strengthening the nerves and increasing the ability to handle this voltage",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933117484615487594",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1933114567615488501"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933114567615488501",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T10:50:03+00:00",
   "text": "maybe I can write up and print out some blueprints and just try to nerd snipe at some hackathons, coffee shops, and Berkeley CS lounges.\n\nI still don't believe I have the bandwidth/conscientiousness/inclination to even vibe code enough, but I can help someone else vibe code.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933114567615488501",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1933112789994033466"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933112789994033466",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T10:42:59+00:00",
   "text": "I know a lot of people just want direction and help with good taste about what to build. I have the taste and adequate understanding of real software architectures and constraints, I just need like a month with a small cracked professional software team and I swear I can make some magic happen.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933112789994033466",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1933109548002533572"
  },
  {
   "id": "1933109548002533572",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T10:30:06+00:00",
   "text": "god I just need to spell some particular algorithms and software into existence but just so struggle to handle the voltage of this instinct. so so wish I could just have like a few programmers working for me and I could dictate the ideas like while on a walk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933109548002533572",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1932993612993999088",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T02:49:25+00:00",
   "text": "@nickcammarata how much is feeling really well possible from just ending up way more unclenched? like does titrating safety and unclenching get you majority the way there?\n\nand is vasodilation practically synonymous with unclenching?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932993612993999088",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1932965313840361483"
  },
  {
   "id": "1932981266972094721",
   "created_at": "2025-06-12T02:00:21+00:00",
   "text": "i would go to vibe camp if someone wants to pay for everything\n\nsome intentions probably in the scope of spontaneous authentic relating:\n- finding potential boyfriend\n- strategizing existential plans like finding $100M for an intense epistemic infra ui/ux company that e.g. really really helps people efficiently elicit subjective priors and sort things out; finding more billionaire daddies excited to deploy capital on white swan projects at the hinge of history; building sanctuaries for strategic geniuses to have an uncommon nervous system safety and grounding and giving them huge budgets to try things, like mediation protocols to get powerful enemies to become friends and merge priors\n- sharing what I've been learning about psychoactive stuff I've tried including propranolol, estrogen, testosterone, retatrutide, HGH (sleep is meaningfully different), and more\n- exploring tensions of love and war",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932981266972094721",
   "word_count": 137
  },
  {
   "id": "1932655965012389985",
   "created_at": "2025-06-11T04:27:43+00:00",
   "text": "7a0b56a4c8a71fd2ac18e8064b03c8bf822f3d29cb7de85ed48740027d1d162d\n\nno pledged reveal date",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932655965012389985",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1932636079968170301",
   "created_at": "2025-06-11T03:08:42+00:00",
   "text": "this clip is 5 years old but fuck it, I'm trying to intimately relate, so more weird bits about me: https://t.co/sStxSgPLwq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932636079968170301",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1932634953801740338",
   "created_at": "2025-06-11T03:04:14+00:00",
   "text": "fuck this understated language, \"pretty fair\" should be \"very fair\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932634953801740338",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1932202861661962326"
  },
  {
   "id": "1932620060478349679",
   "created_at": "2025-06-11T02:05:03+00:00",
   "text": "anyways just having slow days living in the moment, sometimes thinking about  what existential integrity looks like, computering responsibly w/out feeling like a shortsighted task monkey, love and noncoercision and how minds work, underexplored psychosomatic practices like for facilitating grieving and deeper surrender/unclenching, drone defense, high agency mediation protocols, and how I can find people that seem formidable enough to really surrender around, I think. def awesome people around Lighth*ven but I still feel like I'm looking for some archetypes and social nutrients I haven't found yet. Like certain kinds of grounded chad existential seriousness energy.\n\nproblem could def be with myself but idk, I'm doing my best and am not cripplingly ashamed about this somewhat awkward position with which I've found myself.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932620060478349679",
   "word_count": 123,
   "in_reply_to": "1932620057634644216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1932620057634644216",
   "created_at": "2025-06-11T02:05:02+00:00",
   "text": "i am feeling a little fucked up from shortage of touch and self-grounded relating. i think i would have needed high estrogen dominance all along to end up more normal shaped--I think I'm really mentally sensitive to testosterone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932620057634644216",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1932354401039155341",
   "created_at": "2025-06-10T08:29:25+00:00",
   "text": "@JesseTayRiver you can learn it!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932354401039155341",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1932266397255533038"
  },
  {
   "id": "1932202861661962326",
   "created_at": "2025-06-09T22:27:15+00:00",
   "text": "epistemics-maxxing (being extremely averse to e.g. having and communicating an incorrect belief), like a human maximizing any attribute, can be highly highly costly to dynamism and the rest of the psychosomatic ecosystem.\n\nif being a little unrefined or even woo sometimes helps you take action and feel tremendously more alive, that's probably a pretty fair way to show up in the world.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932202861661962326",
   "word_count": 62
  },
  {
   "id": "1932194759394889806",
   "created_at": "2025-06-09T21:55:03+00:00",
   "text": "@jimrandomh I don't mean actual supracausal powers, I mean like having tremendous psychosomatic control to steer cognition in more fruitful ways.\n\ndoes this assuage your fears?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932194759394889806",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1932187700469420331"
  },
  {
   "id": "1932193690547843161",
   "created_at": "2025-06-09T21:50:48+00:00",
   "text": "folks, to be clear, I don't mean supracausal magic bs powers, I mean like having profound psychosomatic control to remain stuck less and steer cognition in more fruitful ways.\n\nlike being able to process emotions faster, return to equanimity and joy quickly, and avoid all sorts of common unfruitful neuroses that keep people feeling crippled in survival mode.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932193690547843161",
   "word_count": 58,
   "in_reply_to": "1932186574403547308"
  },
  {
   "id": "1932186574403547308",
   "created_at": "2025-06-09T21:22:32+00:00",
   "text": "crazy how we don't have like billionaire funded academies of vasocomputation for ultra high wattage folks to basically gain like Bene Gesserit powers.\n\neach graduate properly raised for like a decade should easily be worth like $100M to industry.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932186574403547308",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1932171204993138886",
   "created_at": "2025-06-09T20:21:27+00:00",
   "text": "sauna'd last night and feel tremendously fucking good today. feels like it has to do with vasocomputation, like the heat helped unclench a lot so now I have a lot more clenching power to steer cognition in new interesting ways.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932171204993138886",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1932152458882711615",
   "created_at": "2025-06-09T19:06:58+00:00",
   "text": "@johnsonmxe alright im too clenched out atm to offer an interesting take, but fwiw I have a 61 kg grip strength (ok 55 kg now because I've been on estrogen and fasting A LOT). ((I am hoping someone will take this evidence and slightly update towards that I am a cool cat))",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932152458882711615",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1930062684059512997"
  },
  {
   "id": "1931604407172608064",
   "created_at": "2025-06-08T06:49:12+00:00",
   "text": "i prayed to reality for the experience of 1 more deep breath.\n\ni got like 10 and counting ♥️",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1931604407172608064",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1931221513962922129",
   "created_at": "2025-06-07T05:27:43+00:00",
   "text": "thank goodness self-lying and emotion hacking doesn't work much. whole embodied subjective system there to keep you grounded in reality",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1931221513962922129",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1931219472544870667",
   "created_at": "2025-06-07T05:19:37+00:00",
   "text": "we gotta make existential pageantry a thing.\n\ncompetition too useful, status points too intoxicating, we gotta give more treats and structure for our feral friends trying to orient towards impartial duty",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1931219472544870667",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1931207902955720729",
   "created_at": "2025-06-07T04:33:38+00:00",
   "text": "we might be living in an existential predatocracy\n\nlet's team up so the dummies don't eat us",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1931207902955720729",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1931070575600123910",
   "created_at": "2025-06-06T19:27:57+00:00",
   "text": "next LessOnline, might be deeply fun to have an existential seriousness pageant. how much have you mapped reality? how many utils have you presumably found? how much has life managed to mold you into a surgical instrument of love and generation?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1931070575600123910",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1930455403835600982",
   "created_at": "2025-06-05T02:43:29+00:00",
   "text": "@frisbeetooth hehe thx :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1930455403835600982",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1930369848695238847"
  },
  {
   "id": "1930369540304900419",
   "created_at": "2025-06-04T21:02:17+00:00",
   "text": "existential risk\nexistential security\nExistential Command\nexistential communion\nexistential treats",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1930369540304900419",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1929096845365596369",
   "created_at": "2025-06-01T08:45:03+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jhanatech: At any given time, if you tune into your body you can get in touch with a gradient of increasing comfort. What is one thing…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1929096845365596369",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1928528834862920010",
   "created_at": "2025-05-30T19:07:59+00:00",
   "text": "took a small amount of testosterone last night having almost exclusively been on estrogen last 8 months, and can report that everyone seems more subby and vulnerable and like waiting to be prompted, like playing a piano chord along their spine in a way that resonates with their tune, to remind them of their innocence and beauty",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1928528834862920010",
   "word_count": 57
  },
  {
   "id": "1928168542249046422",
   "created_at": "2025-05-29T19:16:18+00:00",
   "text": "the universe always gives you the right to be embarrassed. that's a gift!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1928168542249046422",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1927976472402153643",
   "created_at": "2025-05-29T06:33:05+00:00",
   "text": "if you're really fucking stuck and can't afford to shake up your life with a trip or sabbatical or something, you can always experiment with strategic doses of psychoactive substances like estrogen. you can pray too. maybe try that first.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927976472402153643",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1927971394001973704"
  },
  {
   "id": "1927971394001973704",
   "created_at": "2025-05-29T06:12:54+00:00",
   "text": "just recommit to corrigibility and open-mindedness. test out some extra acts of somatic courage, of doing what feels like the right thing when no one is watching. notice how interesting society is and these debates people get stuck on, when they are otherwise so smart. how much people can heal when they just surrender and do the smallest of actions. human brains are constantly doing MIRACLE level of processing and humaning. healing from damage and giving people interesting options to steer their lives. you'd struggle to actually design a more interesting game than this, IMO. some games can be more delightful but this game is like hard mode and gives an impressive amount of diverse challenges and consequential experiences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927971394001973704",
   "word_count": 119,
   "in_reply_to": "1927962008294674833"
  },
  {
   "id": "1927962008294674833",
   "created_at": "2025-05-29T05:35:37+00:00",
   "text": "part of me wants to excitedly point this out with all sorts of rationalist-level-rigor arguments, but I constantly get burned emotionally from disclosing deeply personal stuff too soon, and yeah for hard and tricky to verbalize reasons I will not fuck with this tricky aspect of our social reality until I feel more grounded",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927962008294674833",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1927944517862445336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1927953704604369179",
   "created_at": "2025-05-29T05:02:37+00:00",
   "text": "have you ever been on estrogen for 8 months and lived a day with an unusually pure heart and put on a skirt? 🥰 still figuring out how to have all the feminine experiences I want to have but just the littlest things are the best",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927953704604369179",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1927948712300409283",
   "created_at": "2025-05-29T04:42:47+00:00",
   "text": "hear me out: micro acts of somatic courage.\n\nStaring reality and virtue in the face 1s longer, here and there sprinkled throughout the day, to practice somatic courage, which might be the fundamental API surface of our world",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927948712300409283",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1927944517862445336",
   "created_at": "2025-05-29T04:26:07+00:00",
   "text": "I'm sorry but a lot of Bayesian evidence points towards Divine Grace being a legitimate facet of our world",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927944517862445336",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1927880913465024743",
   "created_at": "2025-05-29T00:13:22+00:00",
   "text": "the new ads popping up in apps like Uber and Venmo are a brutal assault on the senses and must be punished",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927880913465024743",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1927590492016886086",
   "created_at": "2025-05-28T04:59:20+00:00",
   "text": "getting humbled is its own reward",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927590492016886086",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1926873631834943977",
   "created_at": "2025-05-26T05:30:48+00:00",
   "text": "gendering hard both ways is so fun. estrogen and feeling more fem has been sooo nice, but it's also made the moments where I go full hypermasc so much richer. like all the reward of duly summoning that diabolical protector energy, none of the cost of sustained unnatural performativity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1926873631834943977",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1926855373765390577",
   "created_at": "2025-05-26T04:18:15+00:00",
   "text": "the aesthetic density in society seems weirdly high. like so many convenient story arcs, people are overall high functioning in such weird ways.\n\nlife feels like a stage for practicing somatic courage.\n\nlike imo it's reasonable to assume interesting plotlines are at least a few percent higher probability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1926855373765390577",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1926398563887522213",
   "created_at": "2025-05-24T22:03:03+00:00",
   "text": "existence is so kinky. like you're just helplessly made to make decisions with incomplete information that will irrevocably modify you? and stuff tends to work out pretty fortuitously, especially when you submit more?!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1926398563887522213",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1926191983636209711",
   "created_at": "2025-05-24T08:22:10+00:00",
   "text": "@paro_android @robinhanson accelerating huge computronium ships at a significant fraction of the speed of causality away from dense superclusters to get more time for moral computations before unknowable vacuum decay catches up, that's metal AF",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1926191983636209711",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1926146297964147048"
  },
  {
   "id": "1926146297964147048",
   "created_at": "2025-05-24T05:20:38+00:00",
   "text": "@paro_android @robinhanson now that's a security mindset I like to see!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1926146297964147048",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1925913204879761908"
  },
  {
   "id": "1926137347453628755",
   "created_at": "2025-05-24T04:45:04+00:00",
   "text": "god I feel so fucking high speed when I phone less. as much as I've been depressed and neglectful, still somehow got it baby.\n\nprimarily just need to vasodilate and feel more, I think",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1926137347453628755",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1926114496021410272",
   "created_at": "2025-05-24T03:14:15+00:00",
   "text": "thank you. I didn't make the choice to start experimenting lightly--definitely awkward to agree to unpredictably rewiring my params, especially when I have a semi-viable x-risk strat. We aren't computers tho, unexpected change is a big part of the game, and I finally had enough deep feeling that it was safe and strategic enough to try.\n\nSo far it feels like it's been very much winning, but I am still metabolizing change and it will take time to tell for sure.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1926114496021410272",
   "word_count": 81,
   "in_reply_to": "1926009802787790953"
  },
  {
   "id": "1925813467425968245",
   "created_at": "2025-05-23T07:18:05+00:00",
   "text": "feel like a billionaire could rationally swoop me up and use me as a lasing medium",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1925813467425968245",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1925810671385551109"
  },
  {
   "id": "1925810671385551109",
   "created_at": "2025-05-23T07:06:58+00:00",
   "text": "for all my sins, I still feel like an incredible tuned instrument waiting to be harnessed",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1925810671385551109",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1925809830540853460"
  },
  {
   "id": "1925809830540853460",
   "created_at": "2025-05-23T07:03:38+00:00",
   "text": "fun maxim ideas:\n\nnotice the convenience of stories\n\nkeep playing with grace\n\nsubtly is your friend\n\ncourage likes to be felt\n\nwin-wins are wins\n\nconsider how virtuous action tends to keep things Interesting\n\nwhen really lost, trust boredom\n\nsometimes deniability is a higher virtue than clarity",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1925809830540853460",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1925789000557531503"
  },
  {
   "id": "1925741325220986991",
   "created_at": "2025-05-23T02:31:25+00:00",
   "text": "@koki_prepper pre-industrial revolution levels seem impossible at this point. we could get a freeze on AI and bio hardware proliferation, if necessary, for a few decades though",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1925741325220986991",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1925719564475609246"
  },
  {
   "id": "1924771500311380273",
   "created_at": "2025-05-20T10:17:40+00:00",
   "text": "@ReneeSolana loved reading this, thanks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1924771500311380273",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1924606295912395085"
  },
  {
   "id": "1924027514512724366",
   "created_at": "2025-05-18T09:01:20+00:00",
   "text": "listening to https://t.co/U9xhRpRkk0 after having the most meaningful of conversations and taking estrogen and biohacking cocktail. hits so different\n\nI will manifest existential resilience or realize it's already happened.\n\nmay signals flow",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1924027514512724366",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1923983597855441151",
   "created_at": "2025-05-18T06:06:50+00:00",
   "text": "the nature of things kinda seems impossibly forgiving",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1923983597855441151",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1923891974932922665",
   "created_at": "2025-05-18T00:02:45+00:00",
   "text": "My life is deeply corrigible to ethical evidence. imo, lying and taking the scarf does harm oneself and society. There's a small but serious cost to it. But imo, it's fair sometimes or even praiseworthy sometimes for people to pay this cost.\n\nprototypical deontologists aren't practical enough, prototypical utilitarians don't respect the actual social fabric enough. I like the ethics framing of \"open-minded virtue ethics that embraces felt-signals and karma\" or \"Become a sensitive, generative agent who protects others and experiments to learn Things.\"\n\nIt is virtuous to provide for pained loved ones and do agency-increasing-exploration, it's not virtuous to probabilistically deprive someone of their $30-$150 property merely because they accidentally abandoned it, and it's not virtuous to get the commons property (once deemed fully abandoned) over someone else, only because one is willing to lie.\n\nI think that karma will handle any lessons or net-transgressions, am comfortable not personally policing the behavior, and think the discourse on this will help people ethically evolve.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1923891974932922665",
   "word_count": 164,
   "in_reply_to": "1923428647198683603"
  },
  {
   "id": "1923890929217437983",
   "created_at": "2025-05-17T23:58:36+00:00",
   "text": "21) purify google search results with browser extension + LLM. like reorder timeless results like phrase meanings and origins and wikipedia pages, before listing random companies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1923890929217437983",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1908564207777542564"
  },
  {
   "id": "1923542888878833813",
   "created_at": "2025-05-17T00:55:37+00:00",
   "text": "ngl I kinda feel like flexing my truth-sense nowadays (noticing social deception, e.g. silly example but early-acing 2 demons and 3.4/4 minions in 2 Blood on the Clock Tower games). how can I market and collaboratively utilize this ability? happy to do bene gesserit contract work",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1923542888878833813",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1923062361369506244",
   "created_at": "2025-05-15T17:06:10+00:00",
   "text": "I solemnly say that I now truly think this is a simulation.\n\nfeels like a bit more sadomasochistic version of me decided to play this game.\n\nleft-brain causality largely in play but there's supracausal aspects.\n\nthe gods overall hate cowardice and respect goodness (different people playing different games tho).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1923062361369506244",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1922740349971333353",
   "created_at": "2025-05-14T19:46:36+00:00",
   "text": "on solving the AI alignment problem via ritualized dance:\n\n(1/1)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1922740349971333353",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1922593435573211239",
   "created_at": "2025-05-14T10:02:49+00:00",
   "text": "@AaronBergman18 ngl I love how serious and loving it feels to be doing like 15 injections a week for my biohacking. it's like ritualized self-care, showing myself that I show up for myself, undoing traumatic habits of self-neglect",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1922593435573211239",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1922351383090544776"
  },
  {
   "id": "1922459963143946556",
   "created_at": "2025-05-14T01:12:27+00:00",
   "text": "you tried low-dose HGH? my theory is sleep is overly governed by body's needs relative to mind. like I started getting GREAT sleep at start of estrogen therapy (e.g. presumably due to physiological demands of second puberty). that's weakened a bit and now 1 IU nightly HGH helps me stay knocked out more deeply like a fatigued teenager.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1922459963143946556",
   "word_count": 58,
   "in_reply_to": "1922438644633366701"
  },
  {
   "id": "1921117080373358699",
   "created_at": "2025-05-10T08:16:19+00:00",
   "text": "@Pandora_Delaney sounds like its own reward ;)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1921117080373358699",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1921015577499308288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1920174759767310611",
   "created_at": "2025-05-07T17:51:52+00:00",
   "text": "@puggy_ai this isn’t what a natural ape world would look like. too many inconsistencies with our full stack embodied intelligence and how society works. there’s too much aesthetic density. this is something more like a stage and playground to struggle with somatic courage.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1920174759767310611",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1920164378248159394"
  },
  {
   "id": "1920014976288252114",
   "created_at": "2025-05-07T07:16:57+00:00",
   "text": "@puggy_ai just realized we're in a net-benign sim, so my fear of the cosmos not being optimally colonized is basically moot",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1920014976288252114",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1920000431922594259"
  },
  {
   "id": "1920010262654173538",
   "created_at": "2025-05-07T06:58:13+00:00",
   "text": "yeah I'm still def metabolizing it, in many ways I prefer a grindset evolutionary base reality and bootstrapping a Pivotal Process to make superintelligence go well. but yeah everything is too fortuitous in weird ways and I'm just a bit too fucking smart, this a sim.\n\nI only just started supplementing T and just a very tiny amount (to experiment out of principle mostly) because I am on the lower end of woman levels now.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1920010262654173538",
   "word_count": 75,
   "in_reply_to": "1920000143153041445"
  },
  {
   "id": "1919610367208038411",
   "created_at": "2025-05-06T04:29:10+00:00",
   "text": "@ryleeetaryn this is John von Neumann, a particularly special human being",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1919610367208038411",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1919606976251637800"
  },
  {
   "id": "1919477711518761438",
   "created_at": "2025-05-05T19:42:03+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Aella_Girl: my philosophy on ppl is something like:\n1) u are fundamentally, deeply ok\n2) the weird/bad stuff about you is either \na) ac…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1919477711518761438",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1919246442239066344",
   "created_at": "2025-05-05T04:23:04+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/IqvhXSbQf5",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1919246442239066344",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1918960818714001540",
   "created_at": "2025-05-04T09:28:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @GeneSmi96946389: When you start trying to estimate the economic value of gene editing for IQ enhancement, you come out with these hilar…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1918960818714001540",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1918928482404557068",
   "created_at": "2025-05-04T07:19:36+00:00",
   "text": "for posterity, my bio was \"reverence for people across spacetime | equanimity and somatic exploration | ex-Army, USMA | corrigible | what does existential seriousness look like?\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1918928482404557068",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1918895023774466088",
   "created_at": "2025-05-04T05:06:39+00:00",
   "text": "RT @scottdomes: your subconscious always trying to understand the Story of You, so that it can predict what will happen next \n\nthe bad news…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1918895023774466088",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1918824672121983234",
   "created_at": "2025-05-04T00:27:06+00:00",
   "text": "Existential Command",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1918824672121983234",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "1918074817229799737",
   "created_at": "2025-05-01T22:47:27+00:00",
   "text": "one can just baseline clarity-max",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1918074817229799737",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1917730860209692922",
   "created_at": "2025-05-01T00:00:41+00:00",
   "text": "null",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1917730860209692922",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1917668908783526278",
   "created_at": "2025-04-30T19:54:31+00:00",
   "text": "let's build an ICU. not because we want to see the patient collapse, but because we anticipate it, and want a real shot at recovery. the moment the body realizes it's dying, then perhaps it will be down for some health treatments that temporarily cost gainz.\n\nand we can like set up a treatment plan for after the ICU, like some pulsed rapamycin and autophagic fasts, so we can meditate on and metabolize the changes we are making to civilization, before we grow too far in a regrettable direction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1917668908783526278",
   "word_count": 89,
   "in_reply_to": "1917660441041592519"
  },
  {
   "id": "1917660441041592519",
   "created_at": "2025-04-30T19:20:52+00:00",
   "text": "existential oncology for Mother Emergence.\n\nlike the civilizational body is on tren (and dangerous levels of IGF-1) and has tumors and I'm like, the patient isn't listening to much advice, idk how confident i am in the efforts to engineer a novel immune system that can address the tumors while IGF-1 maxxing, let's just build an ICU for it so we are prepared to follow up, once it realizes it's fucked and probably tries to desperately cut off its tumors, with proper care, chemotherapy, and autophagic fasting",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1917660441041592519",
   "word_count": 87
  },
  {
   "id": "1917386657890005073",
   "created_at": "2025-04-30T01:12:57+00:00",
   "text": "\"What does existential seriousness look like?\"\n\nBeen loving this as a self-prompt.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1917386657890005073",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1916928472276210091",
   "created_at": "2025-04-28T18:52:17+00:00",
   "text": "@VladSF @elaifresh no foreign tools necessary to extract and snap the bones",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1916928472276210091",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1916910714226413718"
  },
  {
   "id": "1916809423361605678",
   "created_at": "2025-04-28T10:59:13+00:00",
   "text": "@elaifresh humans could take femurs, tibias, and more out of like 5 poor guys before engaging, split them to get sharp points, and then yeah they should be able to rush the gorilla and stab it deeply a number of times immediately, maybe only losing like 10 more guys before it bleeds out.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1916809423361605678",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1916691737701216291"
  },
  {
   "id": "1916790052845441053",
   "created_at": "2025-04-28T09:42:15+00:00",
   "text": "@davidad suppose there's been an extremely deadly mirror life super-pandemic, and you're in a bunker with 20 people of your choice, 1000 person-years of food, and you have a 10k H200 cluster and a few 2025-SOTA robots. Do you think you could create an ASI successor for humanity in time?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1916790052845441053",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1916783244554424545"
  },
  {
   "id": "1916600532225101963",
   "created_at": "2025-04-27T21:09:10+00:00",
   "text": "@ChrisChipMonk low-dose HGH for sleep",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1916600532225101963",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1916547430964924903"
  },
  {
   "id": "1916566238014410900",
   "created_at": "2025-04-27T18:52:53+00:00",
   "text": "seriousness and surrender: a manual for existential stewardship\n\non the doctrine of existential pruning\n\njust how amazing are humans?\n\nmanifesting cooperation: a field guide to humanity's greatest superpower\n\non estimating potential, tabulating work credit, and calculating comparative advantage\n\non the implications of some states of affairs seeming preferable to others\n\nisolated egos: why people risk everything for ASI\n\non reverence for potential people\n\nunilateralism heuristics\n\nstrategic boredom: your birthright superpower\n\nestrogen, propranolol, and shrooms: strategic self-modification under existential duress\n\ndefense against wolves: efficient paranoia when everything is at stake\n\nsafer ways of doing things: orthogonality and subtlety, and how good things tend to be easy\n\nthe marriage of potential: finding your greatest strategic allies\n\npermuting primitives: efficient exploration and idea synthesis\n\nthe state of epistemic brutes\n\npivotal redemption: course corrections of the highest order\n\ndeference, distraction, curiosity: speculations on the causes of moral weakness\n\nthe strategic support class: the practice of bolstering savants\n\nexploit-free forgiveness: justice and love in a vulnerable world\n\nnoticing fuckery's unique affordances\n\nclosing loops fast: building decisive sprint capacity for the end-game\n\nfelt safety: the power of embodied resonation \n\ntheories of epistemic infrastructures: the elicitation, reconciliation, and propagation of subjective priors\n\nlove and anger: navigating emotion at the hinge of history\n\ncommand and consecration of vasocomputation: a somatic journey to ethical cosmic agency",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1916566238014410900",
   "word_count": 217
  },
  {
   "id": "1916308015281803768",
   "created_at": "2025-04-27T01:46:48+00:00",
   "text": "take command of your vasocomputation systems, and consecrate them to your callings.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1916308015281803768",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1916225335827595286",
   "created_at": "2025-04-26T20:18:16+00:00",
   "text": "RT @scottdomes: taking complete responsibility for your life is a natural effect of treating yourself with compassion \n\nif you always speak…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1916225335827595286",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1916184967023153493",
   "created_at": "2025-04-26T17:37:51+00:00",
   "text": "launching a premature, spiritually mutilated ASI, even *if* it realizes more Utility per year than humanity in 2025, is not winning, it's infecting and selling out the future.\n\nhumans are ultimately deeply prosocial, epistemically inclined, and corrigible, we are the only ones who can reliably build a hyperintelligence wise and ethically fit enough to decide what extraterrestrial life lives and dies 1 billion light-years away.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1916184967023153493",
   "word_count": 65,
   "in_reply_to": "1916182229518348663"
  },
  {
   "id": "1915720373938905150",
   "created_at": "2025-04-25T10:51:44+00:00",
   "text": "@caesararum epistemic elites are real",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915720373938905150",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1915422247134630275"
  },
  {
   "id": "1915719170680926234",
   "created_at": "2025-04-25T10:46:57+00:00",
   "text": "we can ascend the tech tree IFF we install adequate brakes and reversibility to fully unwind risks.\n\nand remember, building ASI is fucking easy! it's building aligned, proper ASI that is hard.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915719170680926234",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1915716090363339022"
  },
  {
   "id": "1915696214554882242",
   "created_at": "2025-04-25T09:15:44+00:00",
   "text": "the free-spirited, autist libertarians can build tanks and mechas in their garages. the only thing that will *really* be a problem is if they cross certain lines brushing too close to existential territory. you're kind of allowed to wage war on specific current people for argued reasons, just not ~infinite *future* people who can't defend themselves.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915696214554882242",
   "word_count": 56,
   "in_reply_to": "1915690822395453836"
  },
  {
   "id": "1915690822395453836",
   "created_at": "2025-04-25T08:54:18+00:00",
   "text": "the extremely convenient fact that makes this all work is existentially dangerous technology actually seems to ~universally be pretty hard to build if serious people don't want you to build it.\n\nwe can let people basically do whatever the fuck they want, just no building say unregulated DNA synthesizers or AI chips.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915690822395453836",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1915684617111191746"
  },
  {
   "id": "1915684617111191746",
   "created_at": "2025-04-25T08:29:39+00:00",
   "text": "naive accelerationism is just trusting whatever Emergence first shits out.\n\nEmergence is in a healthy place though, prosociality and epistemics in humanity runs deep. Sans advancement in narrow fields of technology research, we are not actually remotely at risk of extinction. We will ~always get a chance to roll the dice with ASI.\n\nWhat Emergence needs more than anything is pruning. The first things it grows are seldom strong, aligned, and precise enough to grow to infinity.\n\nWe need decades or even millenia to work on human alignment and epistemic and prosociality progress while systematically making it impossible to create existentially dangerous technology.\n\nImagine how awesome everything can get without say computers past like 2005. How much wiser we could get by like 2500. We could still have GPT-4o and o3 APIs, but it could be like a sacred thing that you go to your local library-temple to use, and each prompt has to matter. Or whatever the fuck is safe, let's just be a little conservative and realize that the current tech stack, including high-bandwidth internet, is novel and possibly not sustainable to the human psyche and a long-term thriving civilization.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915684617111191746",
   "word_count": 192
  },
  {
   "id": "1915551624313082329",
   "created_at": "2025-04-24T23:41:11+00:00",
   "text": "@shinboson I consider myself able to serve as a non-partisan mediator or chaplain. I've moved through profound wrath, nothing too dark for me to hold space for, if and when you want it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915551624313082329",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1915456063912001974"
  },
  {
   "id": "1915471868251050160",
   "created_at": "2025-04-24T18:24:15+00:00",
   "text": "chad longtermist club where folks bust each other's balls for not being existentially serious enough.\n\n\"you're telling me you're pitching the Saudis this summer but you haven't even started tretinoin?\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915471868251050160",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1915450900518494550",
   "created_at": "2025-04-24T17:00:56+00:00",
   "text": "my sleep on HGH has been absolutely sublime and restorative 😍",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915450900518494550",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1915270745644740917",
   "created_at": "2025-04-24T05:05:04+00:00",
   "text": "most things are okay and our embodied intelligence generally knows best.\n\nnotice where good stuff happens even when u release tension.\n\nattentional burnout is disproportionately costly. consider diverting attention to elsewhere in body while things are still fun, resetting mental gradients before ur forced to.\n\nbe a professional sleeper!! consider low-dose HGH. keto sleep also great. pay attention to your body, took me too long to realize I can only really do <50 mg caffeine and only before 10:00 am.\n\nsimple goodness underrated :) all emotions valid to explore and sit with tho.\n\nfelt-sense of safety underrated. generally don't rush. deep breath rn. alternate nostril breathing elite. consider propranolol to relearn baseline safety and to act without needing cortisol spikes. consider tirzepatide/retatrutide to help with food noise.\n\ngotta get the blood+lymph flowing enough. cognition is embodied! invert posture (head below heart), jump, air squat, whatever feels good.\n\nit really is the phones.. and burning out on psychophysiological \"grasping\". we weren't supposed to be continually contracting this much. practice letting go/vasodilation/parasympathetic cultivation. if ur a guy really stuck in cycles of addiction and disembodiment, estrogen is a way to feel profoundly different... psilocybin also can help profoundly reconnect nervous system. ofc long walks + authentic relating + meaningful work are generally unbeatable.\n\nwriting, free writing, voice notes underrated. same with walk and talks. cognition is relational.\n\nself-coerce less, but consider getting a watch and getting good at doing ugh tasks for <6 minutes.\n\nyou better be fucking experimenting, we may only have a few years left.\n\nnotice when u block high-signal channels. signals must flow.\n\nfurthermore, far-future potential people matter too!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915270745644740917",
   "word_count": 270
  },
  {
   "id": "1914804318831829229",
   "created_at": "2025-04-22T22:11:39+00:00",
   "text": "I'm def into longevity and value my life highly, but it's a tell-tale sign to me that someone is ignoring some key embodied signals of like Mother Nature if they are willing to let their personal fear of death steer their ethical orientation virtually at all.\n\nlike I'm already practically immortal--many other humans embody my values, my writings and genome sequence will live on if humans live on, the universe will go on. I'm primarily an instrument to help the long-term future go well, if I miss out on longevity escape velocity because of reduced x-risky tech development, boo hoo.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1914804318831829229",
   "word_count": 100
  },
  {
   "id": "1914361667946995980",
   "created_at": "2025-04-21T16:52:43+00:00",
   "text": "@shaggysurvives reading people & character. like the other day, my first game of Blood on the Clock Tower my gut immediately clocked all three enemies out of 11 people. like I was apologizing to the Imp because I could just read their aura. they still won tho, such a slow burn horror comedy 😂😭",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1914361667946995980",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1914217503041163474"
  },
  {
   "id": "1914354536443204065",
   "created_at": "2025-04-21T16:24:23+00:00",
   "text": "@shaggysurvives reconciling ethics. e.g. sourcing roots of ethical disagreements, designing grounded moral thought experiments that sort them out for people",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1914354536443204065",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1914217503041163474"
  },
  {
   "id": "1914113792906240499",
   "created_at": "2025-04-21T00:27:45+00:00",
   "text": "the more freakishly high wattage someone is, the more they've probably learned to make due in perverted and inefficient ways, and the more they need to be experimenting to find much more natural, harmonious ways of living.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1914113792906240499",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1913758852019064833",
   "created_at": "2025-04-20T00:57:20+00:00",
   "text": "RT @NunoSempere: ALLFED running a funding appeal to not fire half of their staff. I think they are doing good work, and they seem good for…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1913758852019064833",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1913686373787406578",
   "created_at": "2025-04-19T20:09:20+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/VolzxqPXou",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1913686373787406578",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1912279221747011584"
  },
  {
   "id": "1913399981555548610",
   "created_at": "2025-04-19T01:11:19+00:00",
   "text": "\"on the overwhelming importance of helping people sort shit out:\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1913399981555548610",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1905427700917174348"
  },
  {
   "id": "1912891516088967475",
   "created_at": "2025-04-17T15:30:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @VictorTaelin: Thread to post my o3 and o4-mini experiences",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1912891516088967475",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1912872183141192123",
   "created_at": "2025-04-17T14:14:02+00:00",
   "text": "@NunoSempere :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1912872183141192123",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1912558758548713574"
  },
  {
   "id": "1912278012218814939",
   "created_at": "2025-04-15T22:53:01+00:00",
   "text": "reach for infinite meaning\n\nlay the groundwork for human-based Johnny-von-Neumann-level-boosted-intelligence*prosociality*epistemics*wattage thinking-machine-augmented mechas to Think for eons and decide what must be Done",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1912278012218814939",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1912275871970238715"
  },
  {
   "id": "1912238813868405169",
   "created_at": "2025-04-15T20:17:15+00:00",
   "text": "existential security engineering to keep the reverent harmony going.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1912238813868405169",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1912169608569921686",
   "created_at": "2025-04-15T15:42:15+00:00",
   "text": "@QiaochuYuan boredom was its own reward",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1912169608569921686",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1912162492198924509"
  },
  {
   "id": "1911873636534730952",
   "created_at": "2025-04-14T20:06:10+00:00",
   "text": "@autumnpard it's far deeper and more embodied than that. widespread vasocomputation shifts from host of bio/social/evolutionary causes. hard for most to intuit, but cross-sex hormone therapy and earnestly trying to live like people of different gender can reveal a lot.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1911873636534730952",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1911841060449403239"
  },
  {
   "id": "1911270414933741579",
   "created_at": "2025-04-13T04:09:11+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/J1n2EN3gHo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1911270414933741579",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1909802045525139712",
   "created_at": "2025-04-09T02:54:24+00:00",
   "text": "@ZoharAtkins @michael_nielsen yeah it's horrifying, we've hardly even tried to help people sort things out https://t.co/KYC8h2DlQc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1909802045525139712",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1909379833634697602"
  },
  {
   "id": "1909470764497338788",
   "created_at": "2025-04-08T04:58:01+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/PXJxv3jQr6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1909470764497338788",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1909054138077626448",
   "created_at": "2025-04-07T01:22:29+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/OZQlGSyqGR",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1909054138077626448",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1908685934046175598",
   "created_at": "2025-04-06T00:59:23+00:00",
   "text": "epistemic brutes are a thing, and they will ruin everything if you let them",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908685934046175598",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1908568632529215875",
   "created_at": "2025-04-05T17:13:16+00:00",
   "text": "my dilettante understanding is that the biggest obstacle to this--upgrading any volunteers' epistemics and prosociality within say 5 years--is procuring enough genomic-psychometric data. Like seems we need about an order of magnitude more accessible biobank data to really get some outsized results (like consistent >1SD phenotype changes). US military might have enough that they could share, but the dream would be something like paying >3 million people to take high-quality psychometric batteries and provide their DNA. Probably could get an amazing dataset for under $10B.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908568632529215875",
   "word_count": 85,
   "in_reply_to": "1908564207777542564"
  },
  {
   "id": "1908564207777542564",
   "created_at": "2025-04-05T16:55:41+00:00",
   "text": "20) adult and embryo gene editing specifically for epistemics and prosociality, not max intelligence/[raw processing power]. for human society to flourish and achieve existential security with maximum probability, we need Yuds, not Tellers.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908564207777542564",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1908018478361227655"
  },
  {
   "id": "1908414802491564356",
   "created_at": "2025-04-05T07:02:00+00:00",
   "text": "@nickcammarata honestly I predict periodic estrogen use will be a thing that like >8% of postrat jhana tpot c i s guys are doing by 2027.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908414802491564356",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1908411907058655693"
  },
  {
   "id": "1908411907058655693",
   "created_at": "2025-04-05T06:50:29+00:00",
   "text": "@nickcammarata definitely a spectrum how latent femininity/transfemininity is vs intentionally cultivatable, but yeah, leaning into it + estrogen feels very helpful for speedrunning yin cultivation, embodiment, vasodilation skill, somatic integration, and practical spirituality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908411907058655693",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1908387042972885063"
  },
  {
   "id": "1908057919884759317",
   "created_at": "2025-04-04T07:23:52+00:00",
   "text": "we got AGI, now we gotta put more meaningful numbers on shit.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908057919884759317",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1908054669223670146"
  },
  {
   "id": "1908054669223670146",
   "created_at": "2025-04-04T07:10:57+00:00",
   "text": "sounds ambitious but I believe a lot of magic can organically happen and grow when you just have a nice API centered around Rater-Attribute-EntityA-EntityB-Comparison entries.\n\nprovide easy means for getting calculated scores, coherency scores, next optimal elicitation to connect the graph (given utility function like function of expected rank reversals), viewing linear combination of attributes, auto-trying different LLM prompts for approximating existing human-rating-function w/ maximal coherence, sharing custom functional lists, perhaps a market for backpropagating tips, etc.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908054669223670146",
   "word_count": 77,
   "in_reply_to": "1908042141873700907"
  },
  {
   "id": "1908009160953966763",
   "created_at": "2025-04-04T04:10:07+00:00",
   "text": "18) https://t.co/XyzhgYUtZl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908009160953966763",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1906424774286549428"
  },
  {
   "id": "1908005392699023444",
   "created_at": "2025-04-04T03:55:09+00:00",
   "text": "if you're into epistemic infra, possibly makes sense to really dial back coding (maybe just enough to keep up with emerging AI-augmented software development best practices), and instead focus more on imagining and architecting next level epistemic infra that AIs coming in 3-18 months could implement pretty well.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908005392699023444",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1908000794877767683",
   "created_at": "2025-04-04T03:36:53+00:00",
   "text": "@VictorTaelin are you working within a paradigm of training examples + test data?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908000794877767683",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1907988227039838472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1907979341419655508",
   "created_at": "2025-04-04T02:11:38+00:00",
   "text": "@VictorTaelin how do you decide how many test cases are necessary to automatically run with a generated algorithm?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907979341419655508",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1907976343830106592"
  },
  {
   "id": "1907853158669570322",
   "created_at": "2025-04-03T17:50:13+00:00",
   "text": "RT @DKokotajlo: \"How, exactly, could AI take over by 2027?\"\n\nIntroducing AI 2027: a deeply-researched scenario forecast I wrote alongside @…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907853158669570322",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1907695868742115446",
   "created_at": "2025-04-03T07:25:13+00:00",
   "text": "feels odd that we don't have like a von Neumann-Jesus persona magnetic enough to get everyone on the same page about managing AI x-risk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907695868742115446",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1907669624805798237",
   "created_at": "2025-04-03T05:40:55+00:00",
   "text": "@eshear @sullyj3 @josh_ke_ohara Taelin is doing some cool program synthesis stuff you may be interested in https://t.co/ZbGn1GgK4u",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907669624805798237",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1907662003361186063"
  },
  {
   "id": "1907663046367129968",
   "created_at": "2025-04-03T05:14:47+00:00",
   "text": "@sashachapin I did performance ballroom from 12-16. Favorite was Lindy Hop\n\n[was not a theater kid, this wildly pushed my comfort zone] https://t.co/1JsjXMGOXG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907663046367129968",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1907579617634037792"
  },
  {
   "id": "1907632876038054278",
   "created_at": "2025-04-03T03:14:54+00:00",
   "text": "@OpenAI how are such targets for capabilities making us safer again? closing the loops of AI research faster with humans more out-of-the-loop seems net-risky compared to slower, more human-interpretable research. what am i missing?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907632876038054278",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1907481490457506235"
  },
  {
   "id": "1907284262979809310",
   "created_at": "2025-04-02T04:09:38+00:00",
   "text": "I've been cultivating more lightness, but intentional recognition of heaviness, like listening to metal sometimes when it feels right, seems important.\n\n[heavy content warning]\nrat metal song name ideas:\n- asleep when Called\n- underpowered to escape\n- chimps with superpowers\n- massacred sensitivity\n- forced to defect\n- inverted accountability\n- rate-limited protection\n- discarded salvation\n- forgotten rescue instruments\n- abominable subroutines\n- co-opted values\n- unconsented forgiveness\n- too comfortable to try\n- disconnected priors\n- never hugged again\n- caffeine after noon\n- bashed by the wicked\n- genuinely could've\n- metabolized grief\nbonus track:\n- sorry for party rocking by LMFAO - it's inclusion is about owning all the shallow pleasure seeking and being forced to sit with it when you really just want to get serious. \"you chose pleasure instead of existential salvation. now enjoy your choice.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907284262979809310",
   "word_count": 143
  },
  {
   "id": "1907283370947813466",
   "created_at": "2025-04-02T04:06:05+00:00",
   "text": "I've been cultivating more lightness, but intentional recognition of heaviness, like listening to metal sometimes when it feels right, seems important.\n\n[heavy content warning]\nrat metal song name ideas:\n- asleep when Called\n- underpowered to escape\n- chimps with superpowers\n- massacred sensitivity\n- forced to defect\n- inverted accountability\n- rate-limited protection\n- discarded salvation\n- forgotten rescue instruments\n- abominable subroutines\n- co-opted values\n- unconsented forgiveness\n- too comfortable to try\n- disconnected priors\n- never hugged again\n- caffeine after noon\n- bashed by the wicked\n- genuinely could've\n- metabolized grief\nbonus track:\n- sorry for party rocking by LMFAO - it's inclusion is about owning all the shallow pleasure seeking and being forced to sit with it when you really just want to get serious. \"you chose pleasure instead of existential salvation. now enjoy your choice.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907283370947813466",
   "word_count": 143
  },
  {
   "id": "1907197684211237078",
   "created_at": "2025-04-01T22:25:36+00:00",
   "text": "@IsaacKing314 would miss out on the water-volume-mass elegance, but I think the greater feeling of connection to the universe would be worth it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907197684211237078",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1907194661900538356"
  },
  {
   "id": "1907194661900538356",
   "created_at": "2025-04-01T22:13:36+00:00",
   "text": "@IsaacKing314 not necessary, just extra beautiful. parsimony compounds",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907194661900538356",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1907192221247701179"
  },
  {
   "id": "1907189978624639134",
   "created_at": "2025-04-01T21:54:59+00:00",
   "text": "@IsaacKing314 imagine the beauty of base 12 and having our standard units be fairly even powers of Planck units.\n\na newMeter can be Planck_length * 12^32 ≈ .552 m\n\nnewSecond = Planck_time * 12^40 ≈ .792 s\n\nnewGram = Planck_mass * 12^4 ≈ .451 g\nnewDuokilogram = Planck_mass * 12^7 ≈ 779.86 g",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907189978624639134",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1907140062263079088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1906958137527279833",
   "created_at": "2025-04-01T06:33:44+00:00",
   "text": "we owe future people ~everything https://t.co/I5hq9Fbw0B",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906958137527279833",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1906947295343739011",
   "created_at": "2025-04-01T05:50:39+00:00",
   "text": "fun fact: per unit mass, water attenuates high energy (14 MeV) neutrons ~43x better than steel and ~120x better than lead. they about the same for gamma though.\n\nnot too relevant though unless you're trying to survive a neutron bomb or inside 2 km of an ordinary nuke",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906947295343739011",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1906914149055275419",
   "created_at": "2025-04-01T03:38:56+00:00",
   "text": "ngl it feels like y'all aren't trying to backwards plan existential victory",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906914149055275419",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1906910031200858422",
   "created_at": "2025-04-01T03:22:34+00:00",
   "text": "@aidenybai do people not know high wattage people with insanely compelling ideas? If I were a billionaire, I'd be so excited to be networking and funding all sorts of cool pet projects. And I'd have ~limitless energy having the means to rapidly power through most normal struggles",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906910031200858422",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1906749580592681277"
  },
  {
   "id": "1906907525498425418",
   "created_at": "2025-04-01T03:12:37+00:00",
   "text": "how often are we thinking about the Vulnerable World Hypothesis?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906907525498425418",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1906475583883952485",
   "created_at": "2025-03-30T22:36:14+00:00",
   "text": "RT @johnsonmxe: @ChrisChipMonk For each of these pains, some part of your predictive hierarchy is holding (via tension) the prediction that…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906475583883952485",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1906424774286549428",
   "created_at": "2025-03-30T19:14:20+00:00",
   "text": "17) community randomized, rotating debugging groups.\n\nlike I think CFAR-style debugging w/ 3 people who call in once a week for an ~hour, focusing on debugging problems of each person for 1/3 the time, is extremely powerful.\n\nif groups are switching one person every 4 weeks, that sounds like a healthy system for exposing people to potentially best friends, transmitting good debugging techniques, and fostering diverse thought and framings.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906424774286549428",
   "word_count": 69,
   "in_reply_to": "1906410938808537340"
  },
  {
   "id": "1906410938808537340",
   "created_at": "2025-03-30T18:19:21+00:00",
   "text": "16) mommy cyborgism https://t.co/OAgoKa0Rf0",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906410938808537340",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1906409688771826055"
  },
  {
   "id": "1906409688771826055",
   "created_at": "2025-03-30T18:14:23+00:00",
   "text": "15) extremely underrated how much personal and interpersonal cognition (and in turn, epistemics) are affected by simple biology. the differences in felt sense of safety, oxytocin, cortisol, testosterone, estrogen, hunger, energy levels, etc. that simple pharmaceutical interventions can yield can make or break people and their epistemics and agency long-term.\n\nthus ideally we'd have something like SBF-style-funded biohacking kits to help impact-driven people experiment.\n\ninclude e.g. oxytocin nasal spray, variety of stimulants, propranolol (beta-blocker that blunts adrenaline-driven anxiety; low-risk tool for unlearning trauma patterns), testosterone, estrogen, progesterone, tirzepatide or retatrutide, etc. Doesn't have to be a crazy amount necessarily, just like a few weeks' worth to help people figure out if they want to go through the hoops of their medical system.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906409688771826055",
   "word_count": 122,
   "in_reply_to": "1906283557473198539"
  },
  {
   "id": "1906283557473198539",
   "created_at": "2025-03-30T09:53:11+00:00",
   "text": "14) app for kosherly revealing finances to increase prosocial donations.\n\nlot more people would help others if they knew they were actually poor.\n\nlike being more inclined to support a local coffee shop that's had a rough week, buy a distant friend's book that's only sold 10 copies, or donate for gender affirming care to someone completely broke but not really mismanaging their money.\n\npeople could opt-in to letting certain LLM agents evaluate and summarize their finances for others to see.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906283557473198539",
   "word_count": 81,
   "in_reply_to": "1906270340864713213"
  },
  {
   "id": "1906270340864713213",
   "created_at": "2025-03-30T09:00:40+00:00",
   "text": "13) GOATed survey + social science platform with heavy focus on differential privacy.\n\nshould be very easy to control which parts of your personal data are usable by whom (e.g. Aella vs a random researcher) and in what ways (e.g. 2-way correlation vs higher-order queries).\n\nthe fact we even use twitter polls much instead of a purpose-built app with real power is outrageous",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906270340864713213",
   "word_count": 63,
   "in_reply_to": "1906260407888892305"
  },
  {
   "id": "1906260407888892305",
   "created_at": "2025-03-30T08:21:12+00:00",
   "text": "12) secret commitment ledger with LLM semantic auditing.\n\nit's nice to post hashes sometimes so you can later decide to reveal you were thinking about/predicted something. problem is if you post too many hashes without revealing them all, people can't be sure you're not playing both sides.\n\nwith LLMs being able to look at two pieces of text worded very differently and decently decide semantic similarity and how much they seem to be playing two sides of a coin, someone could build a service that one registers all their hashes through. then when you want to reveal the preimage of the hash, the service could presumably give others a very decent score about how likely it is you're not somehow playing both sides.\n\nto help with clearly deciding degree of meaningful differences of predictions/commitments, probably some really interesting intermediate normalizations you could do, like forms of who/what/where/when/why/how structured data.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906260407888892305",
   "word_count": 149,
   "in_reply_to": "1906158721153331457"
  },
  {
   "id": "1906158721153331457",
   "created_at": "2025-03-30T01:37:08+00:00",
   "text": "11) anonymous sharing of private thoughts with select other people should be increasingly viable with LLMs.\n\nlike imagine if you could let all your mutuals use an LLM that queries a knowledge base constructed from your private writing as well as that of their mutuals, after it's been automatically scrubbed decently for personally sensitive information. basically creating shared ChatGPT memory.\n\ncould be really interesting to get a sense of how private thoughts of community are differing from public thoughts. if it's too powerful/risky an idea--maybe there is a good reason for the general privateness and repression of many ideas--perhaps the number of queries per nugget of knowledge could be capped. e.g. 3 queries per person where that nugget is particularly looked at, 30 people max. or perhaps some more sophisticated differential privacy protocol is worth doing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906158721153331457",
   "word_count": 136,
   "in_reply_to": "1905452188576682229"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905515658311598258",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T07:01:50+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Joseph_Fasano_: I'm absolutely speechless. https://t.co/jfNLur0eER",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905515658311598258",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1905452188576682229",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T02:49:38+00:00",
   "text": "10) web extension like https://t.co/HfR4H7krDX, also giving you the ability to set probability someone's tweet will be filtered (basic feed adjustment mechanism for dealing with people that tweet too much for ur taste), also allowing you to privately upvote/downvote someone…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905452188576682229",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1905447271405420830"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905447271405420830",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T02:30:05+00:00",
   "text": "9) Cursor but for 1 file note-taking life management. Cursor could almost do this pretty well, just add easier time travel + automagic versioning + search across versions; nice agents for GTD support and bidirectional integration with GCal; visual MD, highlighting, embedded HTML support; section bookmarks and collapsible nested subsections; and since it will be a massive file, make it really easily support what subsections of file go into a prompt.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905447271405420830",
   "word_count": 71,
   "in_reply_to": "1905439011201810930"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905439011201810930",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:57:16+00:00",
   "text": "8) LLM chat apps supporting prompt templating for permutation-generation.\n\nlike have a notation like 'Describe the implications of {A | B} and {C | D}' that generates 'Describe the implications of A and C', 'Describe the implications of A and D',.., and let's you easily look through the tree of responses. crucial for easy epistemic coverage and model probing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905439011201810930",
   "word_count": 59,
   "in_reply_to": "1905427705275068872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905427705275068872",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:20+00:00",
   "text": "7) GOATed probabilistic-logic programming + 3d spreadsheet hybrid. like combining great stuff of Guesstimate, ProbLog, Sheets, with multivariate drawn/fitted distributions, expressive correlation support, probabilistic constraint solving, metaprogamming",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905427705275068872",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1905427703890935919"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905427703890935919",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:20+00:00",
   "text": "6) GOATed curve fitting software. like being able to upload/draw nonparametric graphs and get help finding cogent mixed parametric functions. should be web-based.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905427703890935919",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1905427702498443707"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905427702498443707",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:20+00:00",
   "text": "5) distribution elicitors via pairwise ratio comparisons over measure space.\n\nwhen you draw/elicit a distribution, you must subconsciously reconcile if each part of the distribution is coherent with every other part. this can be fast but stressful and not as accurate as you would be if you independently looked at compelling subsections of measure space and considered their relative magnitude, and constructed the distribution piecemeal.\n\nsoftware can help you do exactly that, like elicit that e.g. 2025.25-2025.5 is 70% as likely as 2025.5-2025.75, 2025.4-2025.5 is 1.5x 2025.3-2025.4,  etc., and construct a maximally coherent distribution, and visually highlight all the inconsistency/uncertainty.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905427702498443707",
   "word_count": 100,
   "in_reply_to": "1905427700917174348"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905427700917174348",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:19+00:00",
   "text": "4) prioritization software that works like the sorting software above but also allows you to fork a priority scale into a functional composition of other attributes.\nlike, determining the \"best tweets to share with AI researcher followers\" may be simplified by leaning on LLMs to rate by several different attributes and having the final ranking largely informed by a largely linear combination of attributes like \"novelty to LLM researchers\", \"novelty to RL researchers\", \"understandability--volume of focus required to get the idea\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905427700917174348",
   "word_count": 81,
   "in_reply_to": "1905427699105206330"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905427699105206330",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:19+00:00",
   "text": "4) prioritization software that works like the sorting software above but also allows you to fork a priority scale into a functional composition of other attributes.\nlike, determining the \"best tweets to share with AI researcher followers\" may be simplified by leaning on LLMs to rate by several different attributes and having the final ranking largely informed by a largely linear combination of attributes like \"novelty to LLM researchers\", \"novelty to RL researchers\", \"understandability--volume of focus required to get the idea\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905427699105206330",
   "word_count": 81,
   "in_reply_to": "1905427697511399585"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905427697511399585",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:18+00:00",
   "text": "2) joint distribution drawers. like you have a 3d probability distribution in mind, you should be able to draw a slice of it, scroll forward, draw another slice of it, and have it smoothly interpolate between slices to create a nice 3d distribution.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905427697511399585",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1905427695951118841"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905427695951118841",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:18+00:00",
   "text": "1) de-biasing llm workflows. permute language in a prompt that may be biasing (e.g. \"is X better than Y\" -> \"is X worse than Y\", \"is Y Better than X\", is \"is Y worse than X\", \"does not going with Y have any major downsides of not just going with X\", ...), then synthesize the responses, noting the weight of agreement and disagreement.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905427695951118841",
   "word_count": 63,
   "in_reply_to": "1905427693589717000"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905427693589717000",
   "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:17+00:00",
   "text": "100 epistemic infra/tech ideas off the top of my head:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905427693589717000",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1905386656792019037",
   "created_at": "2025-03-27T22:29:14+00:00",
   "text": "we've got tony starks, we need more pepper pots. attuned, sophisticated care that enables radical intellectual agency. ops angel-titans, context restoremen, somatic coregulators, neuropsychosmiths. we need mommy cyborgism",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905386656792019037",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1905386655365956094"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905386655365956094",
   "created_at": "2025-03-27T22:29:13+00:00",
   "text": "I mean there's SO many things to try, we could be like giving them custom sign language to give them more channels for communicating needs and intent when deep in thought or dictating ideas.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905386655365956094",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1905386653960864224"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905386653960864224",
   "created_at": "2025-03-27T22:29:13+00:00",
   "text": "we should have people working full-time on finding custom software and protocols for bolstering specific researchers. like someone tinkering with Apple Vision Pros to help them try capitalizing on location-based notes to improve context switching between research ideas.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905386653960864224",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1905386652589326595"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905386652589326595",
   "created_at": "2025-03-27T22:29:13+00:00",
   "text": "for some researchers, it probably makes sense to put >$2M/month of non-compute funding into helping them meet all their needs and \"close-the-loops\" faster on research efforts. we've got to turn our best into mecha pilots of the intellectual battlefield.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905386652589326595",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1905386651259732280"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905386651259732280",
   "created_at": "2025-03-27T22:29:12+00:00",
   "text": "but I don't think we're on track to go nearly far enough. if I'm remotely right about cultures at top safety-oriented ML labs, they still aren't doing a fraction of the investment they could be doing to amplify their most penetrating, generative, lucid minds.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905386651259732280",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1905386649879806156"
  },
  {
   "id": "1905386649879806156",
   "created_at": "2025-03-27T22:29:12+00:00",
   "text": "an underrated alignment strat is leaning heavily into cyborgism. like seriously bolstering researchers with tech, like what we're already doing with Cursor and surely crazy GPT-4.5 + o3 workflows, to get organic human superintelligences before we get alien, misaligned ones.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905386649879806156",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1904746244049953230",
   "created_at": "2025-03-26T04:04:27+00:00",
   "text": "I think we both eventually want a Successor. but if we model utility over successor quality as a percentile distribution conditional on building/unleashing one in a given point in time, my distribution places nearly all value in the far-right end. in other words, if pulling the trigger in 2027, we'd be gambling everything on like a ~1-in-a-hundred good outcome and ~1-in-a-trillion unfathomably great outcome. furthermore, the longer we wait, the more we'll generally epistemically evolve, pushing our expected sample further into that tail. so in expectation, waiting dramatically increases the odds of not just a minimally acceptable successor, but an extraordinarily valuable one. \n\nso even from a non-speciest perspective, the dominant strat is to prioritize the long-term survival and epistemic maturity of humanity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1904746244049953230",
   "word_count": 123,
   "in_reply_to": "1903863954969178366"
  },
  {
   "id": "1904462309457854589",
   "created_at": "2025-03-25T09:16:12+00:00",
   "text": "how can i be this fucking vulnerable and have no one to put their hands on me\n\nas a side note, professionally, I'm at least cooking up awe-inspiring plans for existential victory",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1904462309457854589",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1903996925671809056",
   "created_at": "2025-03-24T02:26:56+00:00",
   "text": "@BecomingCritter tretinoin",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1903996925671809056",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1903950946616365207"
  },
  {
   "id": "1903908011967750467",
   "created_at": "2025-03-23T20:33:37+00:00",
   "text": "@bschne my test is more like has Baofengs and knows confidently how to use them (I currently fail the latter part)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1903908011967750467",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1903821014393356628"
  },
  {
   "id": "1903863954969178366",
   "created_at": "2025-03-23T17:38:33+00:00",
   "text": "I literally didn't remotely claim \"OBVIOUSLY human survival and happiness is best to ANY intelligence that is actually good and intelligent\". Please read what I said more carefully.\n\nI'm not a hard-line speciest--I do think people underrate just how special humans are--but you can give me a detailed technical blueprint for a proclaimed worthy successor and 10000 years or whatever to rigorously review it, and I could absolutely come back and say yes, we should instantiate this at the cost of exterminating humans.\n\nbut with the worlds we're most likely heading towards with ASI successors, it's just a rushed, haphazardly grown, ruthless optimizer. just because it can wipe us out doesn't make its values particularly transcendent or respectable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1903863954969178366",
   "word_count": 118,
   "in_reply_to": "1903856500356829239"
  },
  {
   "id": "1903856668875935775",
   "created_at": "2025-03-23T17:09:36+00:00",
   "text": "@danfaggella when I said reasonable, I meant in how we design our future, not bargaining with an unaligned ASI.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1903856668875935775",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1903833160162709978"
  },
  {
   "id": "1903855672695091341",
   "created_at": "2025-03-23T17:05:38+00:00",
   "text": "not sold on a lot of this. seems like you're underestimating the Utility-scoring potential of deeply somatically integrated humans and engineered post-humans, and overestimating ease of creating a truly worthy successor vs an unworthy one. the default ASI in the median world that drives us extinct is most definitely an unworthy god, especially given the epistemic and prosociality superpowers of the best of us humans.\n\nwhile carefully engineering to reliably create a maximally worthy successor, a good heuristical test of its worthiness would be effortlessly leaving Earth and a few other planets for humans. if it can’t easily respect and preserve the richest experiential lineage it inherited, it’s probably not that worthy.\n\nit's not so-challenging-it's-unethical for a ~maximally worth successor to respect the amazing human-like experience. their minds are structured differently; it'd be far less burdensome than like von Neumann's mom telling an adult Johnny, \"here's 1 M&M candy that I deem as forbidden for you to eat and it would legitimately break my heart if you ever did\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1903855672695091341",
   "word_count": 169,
   "in_reply_to": "1903835660064096567"
  },
  {
   "id": "1903834691385336264",
   "created_at": "2025-03-23T15:42:16+00:00",
   "text": "@danfaggella I just want us to have an epistemic singularity--a human interpretable one where we perfectly understand exactly what to do--before we irrevocably unleash any gods on the universe (which is like a capabilities-singularity).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1903834691385336264",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1903833160162709978"
  },
  {
   "id": "1903833160162709978",
   "created_at": "2025-03-23T15:36:11+00:00",
   "text": "@danfaggella isn't it reasonable to simply give Earth and maybe a few galaxies to humans and give rest to satisfy ASI-Coherent Extrapolated Volition utility functions? And that it's possible to design ASIs that will respect this boundary?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1903833160162709978",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1903777493120598127"
  },
  {
   "id": "1903653575290667068",
   "created_at": "2025-03-23T03:42:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @johnsonmxe: Vasocomputation suggests that imagination is essentially tension-based: squeezing vascular muscle in just the right place i…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1903653575290667068",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1903338731526074590",
   "created_at": "2025-03-22T06:51:30+00:00",
   "text": "@Pandora_Delaney feels like the point is to disembody and somatically disempower men and make them more radicalizable",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1903338731526074590",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1903178151829905750"
  },
  {
   "id": "1903167597518209460",
   "created_at": "2025-03-21T19:31:29+00:00",
   "text": "somebody needs to hug the truck drivers who floor the gas to punish a bicyclist for legally waiting to turn left. or swiftly remove their causal ability to possibly do significant random intentional harm to the innocent. something, they can’t just keep getting away with such casual antisociality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1903167597518209460",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1903160202544951746",
   "created_at": "2025-03-21T19:02:05+00:00",
   "text": "the fusion of \"left-brain\" beautiful, cold logic and causality, and \"right-brain\" love, humanity, and so many things conveniently working out (e.g. a lot of spiritual wakening and fortuitous collaborations arising in this Critical Period).\n\nwe don't need anyone pulling the strings or to be in a simulation, we're surprisingly on track to run some amazing ancestor simulations some day.\n\nit's like there's not necessarily any non-causal tricks--you have to not only feel your feelings but also biohack (e.g. strategic uses of researched hormones, retatrutide, propranolol, supplements) and literally morph some of your operational preferences, but there's often surprising power and harmony to it. reality can be oppressive but it surprisingly gives you enough tools to cope and evolve and maneuver.\n\nwe do need to do some high agency maneuvering, some threading the cosmic needle, plausibly some cosmic warfare, and there is danger to be found in going too woo, but I think it is safe for a lot of y'all to let go (and gently pivot) a little more often and a little more deeply than y'all tend to assume.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1903160202544951746",
   "word_count": 180
  },
  {
   "id": "1902944834354287056",
   "created_at": "2025-03-21T04:46:18+00:00",
   "text": "RT @KelseyTuoc: Friends who travel to South Asia talk a lot about the incredible, charming, quirky tiny businesses that you find everywhere…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1902944834354287056",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1902625255883207016",
   "created_at": "2025-03-20T07:36:24+00:00",
   "text": "signals must flow",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1902625255883207016",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1902535395801473080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1902560549214577152",
   "created_at": "2025-03-20T03:19:17+00:00",
   "text": "RT @METR_Evals: When will AI systems be able to carry out long projects independently?\n\nIn new research, we find a kind of “Moore’s Law for…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1902560549214577152",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1902553187611242563",
   "created_at": "2025-03-20T02:50:02+00:00",
   "text": "most things are okay and our embodied intelligence generally knows best.\n\nnotice where good stuff happens even when u release tension.\n\nattentional burnout is disproportionately costly. consider diverting attention to elsewhere in body while things are still fun, resetting mental gradients before ur forced to.\n\nbe a professional sleeper!! consider low-dose HGH. keto sleep also great. pay attention to your body, took me too long to realize I can only really do <50 mg caffeine and only before 10:00 am.\n\nsimple goodness underrated :) all emotions valid to explore and sit with tho.\n\nfelt-sense of safety underrated. generally don't rush. deep breath rn. alternate nostril breathing elite. consider propranolol to relearn baseline safety and to act without needing cortisol spikes. consider tirzepatide/retatrutide to help with food noise.\n\ngotta get the blood+lymph flowing enough. cognition is embodied! invert posture (head below heart), jump, air squat, whatever feels good.\n\nit really is the phones.. and burning out on psychophysiological \"grasping\". we weren't supposed to be continually contracting this much. practice letting go/vasodilation/parasympathetic cultivation. if ur a guy really stuck in cycles of addiction and disembodiment, estrogen is a way to feel profoundly different... psilocybin also can help profoundly reconnect nervous system. ofc long walks + authentic relating + meaningful work are generally unbeatable.\n\nwriting, free writing, voice notes underrated. same with walk and talks. cognition is relational.\n\nself-coerce less, but consider getting a watch and getting good at doing ugh tasks for <6 minutes.\n\nyou better be fucking experimenting, we may only have a few years left.\n\nnotice when u block high-signal channels. signals must flow.\n\nfurthermore, far-future potential people matter too!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1902553187611242563",
   "word_count": 270
  },
  {
   "id": "1902537695009862063",
   "created_at": "2025-03-20T01:48:28+00:00",
   "text": "@the_wilderless just curious, you ever met an applied ethics wizard?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1902537695009862063",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1902311532458819801"
  },
  {
   "id": "1902535395801473080",
   "created_at": "2025-03-20T01:39:20+00:00",
   "text": "I've been sleeping so hard on embodied intelligence and higher mind. sustained, convoluted \"left brain\" effort overrated. literally just need to respect feelings of exhaustion, feel bodily sensations deeply, and keep taking the gentle, obvious steps.\n\nmove body in this way, tidy up that stuff, GPT-4.5 this, take some notes on that, notice confusion here, ask X person about it there.\n\nthe path is extremely narrow, but there is no room for rushing of actions unsanctioned by deep conscience.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1902535395801473080",
   "word_count": 79
  },
  {
   "id": "1902512038905311528",
   "created_at": "2025-03-20T00:06:31+00:00",
   "text": "RT @bryan_johnson: HBOT ranks as one of the highest value health therapies I’ve done. Results from 60 sessions:\n\n+ wiped out all systematic…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1902512038905311528",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1901821972281163936",
   "created_at": "2025-03-18T02:24:26+00:00",
   "text": "@Liv_Boeree real. much easier to go keto first while eating plenty of food (and water and electrolytes!) and then fast imo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1901821972281163936",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1901819234474184920"
  },
  {
   "id": "1901766894790856806",
   "created_at": "2025-03-17T22:45:35+00:00",
   "text": "I compel thee to feel more. go on a walk and bask in the sensations of your body",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1901766894790856806",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1901763111813824578",
   "created_at": "2025-03-17T22:30:33+00:00",
   "text": "RT @NunoSempere: Thread with some highlights from Sentinel's global risks weekly roundup 🧵",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1901763111813824578",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1901749883897622528",
   "created_at": "2025-03-17T21:37:59+00:00",
   "text": "competitiveness and goal-dependent dominance hierarchies backed by enough love and prosociality are such a beautiful things.\n\nso useful for arranging interpersonal cognition",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1901749883897622528",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1901580990235263312",
   "created_at": "2025-03-17T10:26:52+00:00",
   "text": "just so fucking meaningful, cathartic, strategically nuanced. I'm legitimately positioned unfathomably well to help preserve the value of the future",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1901580990235263312",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1901576057142280553"
  },
  {
   "id": "1901576057142280553",
   "created_at": "2025-03-17T10:07:16+00:00",
   "text": "eventually found my flow at the party, and bruh, some of these days in Berkeley are *unfathomable*.\n\nthe conversations I've been able to get up to are literally transcendent peak experiences.\n\nlike I'm crying a little bit after the fact by the profundity, like how I did a lot after watching Dune Part 2 in IMAX.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1901576057142280553",
   "word_count": 56,
   "in_reply_to": "1901456943828644023"
  },
  {
   "id": "1901523148295622880",
   "created_at": "2025-03-17T06:37:01+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nickcammarata: I think you can get pretty neurotic about eating healthy before the downsides of neuroticism outweighs the upsides of ea…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1901523148295622880",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1901456943828644023",
   "created_at": "2025-03-17T02:13:57+00:00",
   "text": "only fucking thing I can do is breath",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1901456943828644023",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1901455144811954313"
  },
  {
   "id": "1901455144811954313",
   "created_at": "2025-03-17T02:06:48+00:00",
   "text": "i just wanna say, no one's fault (I've done my best for a while but not good enough), but it's kinda fucked being a new transfem feeling so vulnerable and fluttery on estrogen, and not having nice outfits.\n\nwas hanging with my friend, unplanned went to a party, and had to go home and am waiting for laundry to finish before going back because I've only got like one kind of okay shirt and jacket.\n\nliterally basically going through all confusion of girl puberty but underresourced is so weird and painful\n\nthank god I managed to scrounge up retatrutide so I can keep losing weight reasonably fast, was plateauing just dieting after losing 35lbs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1901455144811954313",
   "word_count": 114
  },
  {
   "id": "1901334947979517972",
   "created_at": "2025-03-16T18:09:11+00:00",
   "text": "@Chesedgirl that's gotta be crazy grounding!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1901334947979517972",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1900944837823918227"
  },
  {
   "id": "1901177141607436751",
   "created_at": "2025-03-16T07:42:07+00:00",
   "text": "feeling meaningfully more along the ~infinite path of self-actualization, and closer to something profound. still incredible doubts but I increasingly believe I'll soon enough be interpersonally operating with exceptional productivity doing pivotal work.\n\nI have to hope I can grow energetically and lovingly fast enough.\n\nI think I really need to open heart or something. there needs to be like a very powerful, loving quality and less inner gunk, heaviness, and antisociality weighing things down.\n\ngonna be trying a lot more gentle relating to everything, deeper feeling, and a lot more faith in the right winning conditions being found and manifested.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1901177141607436751",
   "word_count": 101
  },
  {
   "id": "1900857285515374767",
   "created_at": "2025-03-15T10:31:07+00:00",
   "text": "@MathYouF yeah maybe pride is off. lot of mammals have a dominance instinct and their sense of dominance can be diminished tho",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900857285515374767",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1900834674747768964"
  },
  {
   "id": "1900847919143719185",
   "created_at": "2025-03-15T09:53:54+00:00",
   "text": "idk if I'm definitively net-fem overall, but for me to reach peak levels of autistic cerebral life (not why I started E or transitioning but what compels me most this moment), I can't deal with all the societal expectations of guy-ing.\n\nWomen are allowed to just \"be\" as a default, they are cute and get some hugs. I be cute and harmless enough I be allowed to just exist and think.\n\nplus estrogen is nice. maybe I was chronically too low on it, maybe I didn't have enough sex hormones altogether (although I was quite androgenic in some ways and e.g. strong given workout history), maybe it's just about feeling different and having newer thoughts, idk, but it feels healthy and I don't really feel like experimenting with testosterone dominance again yet (I'd prolly inject some exogenous T if I could afford it atm tho).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900847919143719185",
   "word_count": 145
  },
  {
   "id": "1900834135847158014",
   "created_at": "2025-03-15T08:59:08+00:00",
   "text": "@MathYouF I associate id with animalistic emotion, like impulses related to pride, anger, lust. great for survival in evolutionary environment.\n\nthis feels a lot more impartial, cerebral, dynamic. much better for systemic understanding and society optimization.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900834135847158014",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1900826019952791999"
  },
  {
   "id": "1900827860077867045",
   "created_at": "2025-03-15T08:34:12+00:00",
   "text": "god I want to start writing with plausibly a single massive text document. or xml. and have it integrated well with LLMs where it's really easy to select text and its order that is to be context.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900827860077867045",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1900825016687788501",
   "created_at": "2025-03-15T08:22:54+00:00",
   "text": "I have some and will start answering them.\n\nI had debilitating OCD at 3, saw some international econ/philosophy competitive success, long have felt I can run circles around most professional moral philosophers. Fuck startups and grinding, time to lean into my strengths.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900825016687788501",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1900821265503383579"
  },
  {
   "id": "1900821265503383579",
   "created_at": "2025-03-15T08:07:59+00:00",
   "text": "I claim good ethical and strategic clarity. What are some good tests? Or prompts for me for displaying this to patrons?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900821265503383579",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1900820172522615248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1900820172522615248",
   "created_at": "2025-03-15T08:03:39+00:00",
   "text": "obvs I've oft been wrapped up with ego emotions and can be a genuine sweetheart or asshole and like to be physical and playful, but I think me at my most looks a lot like Guild Navigator.\n\nreally there should be no need for ego, just impartial answers to ethical and strategic questions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900820172522615248",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1900814505875304782"
  },
  {
   "id": "1900787487498531187",
   "created_at": "2025-03-15T05:53:46+00:00",
   "text": "seems to be no way around yin-maxxing and yang-maxxing.\n\nI have to human (v.) exceptionally well, smartly manage inner vasoconstriction/dilation efforts, and somehow generally sustain a strong sense of okayness, and I have to operate very efficiently and basically become a strategically impactful billionaire in the next 2 years.\n\nthe heavy fact is that this just might be possible",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900787487498531187",
   "word_count": 59
  },
  {
   "id": "1900775683263263155",
   "created_at": "2025-03-15T05:06:52+00:00",
   "text": "bet we're going to start seeing some Apple Vision Pro + GPT-4.5-based agent framework + Getting Things Done + similar cyborgs that automate A LOT of day-to-day decision. like when to exercise, when to call certain people, when to ponder certain ideas.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900775683263263155",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1900774786948886603",
   "created_at": "2025-03-15T05:03:18+00:00",
   "text": "bet we're going to start seeing some GPT-4.5-based agent framework + Getting Things Done + Apple Vision Pro cyborgs that automate A LOT of day to day decision. like when to exercise, when to call certain people, when to ponder certain ideas.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900774786948886603",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1900684553049829488",
   "created_at": "2025-03-14T23:04:45+00:00",
   "text": "- retatrutide, the next-level metabolic drug outclassing semaglutide and tirzepatide. it essentially grants a sense of okayness--freedom from the oft endless unconscious tug of food. so not only cognitive relief AND weight loss, but often improved discipline and resilience against non-food addiction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900684553049829488",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1900684550524858401"
  },
  {
   "id": "1900684550524858401",
   "created_at": "2025-03-14T23:04:44+00:00",
   "text": "- minoxidil for hair growth. granted I also have estrogen therapy and finasteride complicating the picture, but like 3 months of oral minoxidil and my hair and hairline already doing considerably better.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900684550524858401",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1900684548591284741"
  },
  {
   "id": "1900684548591284741",
   "created_at": "2025-03-14T23:04:44+00:00",
   "text": "- topical retinoids like tretinoin.\n\nIt's not just about the powerful results--people within 6 months might very well treat you subtly better--but the confidence and excitement of being on a robustly positive trajectory.\n\nAnd when you internalize that the next level of hotness is real and obtainable, doing other actions like skipping dessert becomes much easier.\n\nThe brain is a relative magnitude engine, real *progress* and momentum is generally enough to be happy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900684548591284741",
   "word_count": 73,
   "in_reply_to": "1900684545311244556"
  },
  {
   "id": "1900468044570525742",
   "created_at": "2025-03-14T08:44:25+00:00",
   "text": "@MathYouF I've wished before that I could be into guys, and unexpectedly, estrogen delivered a lot on this. even without hormones I think it's more hackable than many think",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900468044570525742",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1900393860485796063"
  },
  {
   "id": "1900458261121560949",
   "created_at": "2025-03-14T08:05:32+00:00",
   "text": "- practice simple kindness A LOT\n- don't lean into hating others (anger can def be protective tho)\n- practice forgiveness and somatically cleanse guilt. healthy remorse ≠ excessive guilt\n- recognizing that ur too ignorant of yourself and limitations to reasonably hate. Ur prolly formidable but not perfectly strong in all the ways you think. e.g. my running workouts got a lot better when I stopped forcing myself so hard and started treating running more as play\n- helps to feel differently and good. e.g. try keto, maybe a bit changed up hormones, maybe retatrutide, improving sleep\n- be around loving, emotionally intelligent people\n- go slow. find a sustainable rhythm. like live so as to lower your median resting heart rate",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900458261121560949",
   "word_count": 123,
   "in_reply_to": "1900250244832477365"
  },
  {
   "id": "1899999272311148993",
   "created_at": "2025-03-13T01:41:41+00:00",
   "text": "@personofswag @tenobrus lmfao",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1899999272311148993",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1899943961869115459"
  },
  {
   "id": "1899990287717720244",
   "created_at": "2025-03-13T01:05:59+00:00",
   "text": "a hot take of mine is that time zones have been catastrophically suboptimal for humanity.\n\ndecoupling local solar time from a universal world time would have created more international solidarity, removed a constant low-level mental tax, promoted better global economics, and actually better local scheduling based on solar time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1899990287717720244",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1899467930204876882"
  },
  {
   "id": "1899954784171679902",
   "created_at": "2025-03-12T22:44:54+00:00",
   "text": "@ecstatictyping yeah equality vs hierarchy instinct is absolutely a thing, and I think equality people underestimate the beauty of hierarchy. also, hierarchy isn't totalizing, just applies to certain dimensions at a time, and doesn't preclude dignity and respect",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1899954784171679902",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1899916810457080305"
  },
  {
   "id": "1899912682180141556",
   "created_at": "2025-03-12T19:57:36+00:00",
   "text": "a simple idea could be scaling punishments with the probability of getting caught. like turning yourself in -> base punishment, doing crime with security cameras on you and unmasked -> like degree-of-punishment / 50-90%, doing crime when you barely probabilistically get held accountable is like degree-of-punishment / 1-10%.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1899912682180141556",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1899910427850797413"
  },
  {
   "id": "1899910427850797413",
   "created_at": "2025-03-12T19:48:39+00:00",
   "text": "if libs really want to flip more seats they should come out incredibly hard on violent crime.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1899910427850797413",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1899910281914180015"
  },
  {
   "id": "1898261385793941994",
   "created_at": "2025-03-08T06:35:57+00:00",
   "text": "I feel immensely impressionable during this time btw, if someone respectable wants me to like be their helper or something, I'm prob down",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1898261385793941994",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1898260785912271075"
  },
  {
   "id": "1898257551365685312",
   "created_at": "2025-03-08T06:20:42+00:00",
   "text": "it's like I've been showing up to the moment feeling more ok and with less cached thoughts.\n\nneuroplasticity is supposed to be higher and I definitely believe that\n\nalso can sometimes feel a little regrettably out of touch with treasured old thought patterns but I'm met with enough safety in the moment generally that I take it in stride, I can just let myself adapt to new circumstances and trust that I do need to let go more to change life circumstances for the best\n\nit's all a real 1.5 steps forward, 1 step back, 1.5 steps forward...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1898257551365685312",
   "word_count": 98,
   "in_reply_to": "1897942114522350030"
  },
  {
   "id": "1897952818608349504",
   "created_at": "2025-03-07T10:09:48+00:00",
   "text": "in a world where estrogen were scarce, my little $50 vials could probably go for > $1M. it's actually insanely cyberpunk that basically anyone can get this basically Girl Compound V from the liberal abortion clinic place everywhere",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1897952818608349504",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1897946403667952024"
  },
  {
   "id": "1897946403667952024",
   "created_at": "2025-03-07T09:44:19+00:00",
   "text": "you think there'd be way bigger downsides--cognitive impairment, depression, maybe extreme nausea--but yeah it's basically like u get female traits faster than u lose male ones.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1897946403667952024",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1897942114522350030"
  },
  {
   "id": "1897942114522350030",
   "created_at": "2025-03-07T09:27:16+00:00",
   "text": "I think the most profound thing to me is how much freedom I've been experiencing to act differently.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1897942114522350030",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1897938546247569471"
  },
  {
   "id": "1897938546247569471",
   "created_at": "2025-03-07T09:13:06+00:00",
   "text": "virtually every sexually dimorphic trait across vertebrates is driven by estrogen or testosterone dominance.\n\nultra masculine men are built with T, ultra feminine women with E.\n\ncross-sex hormone therapy taps directly into these ancient signaling pathways, letting you experience the rewrite of your phenotype. and it's an incredibly new invention, plausibly 1-5 million people--nay, mammals--have actually gone through a second puberty.\n\nthe phenomenological changes are astonishingly underexplored.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1897938546247569471",
   "word_count": 67
  },
  {
   "id": "1897912560109916221",
   "created_at": "2025-03-07T07:29:50+00:00",
   "text": "@_brentbaum @4confusedemoji sounds a lot like what estrogen has been doing for me",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1897912560109916221",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1897583455006822614"
  },
  {
   "id": "1897451530468647372",
   "created_at": "2025-03-06T00:57:52+00:00",
   "text": "tough part about switching to estrogen dominance is while A LOT of internal things are better, felt needs are changing and deepening a lot faster than my skills are at meeting them",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1897451530468647372",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1897108877600239716",
   "created_at": "2025-03-05T02:16:17+00:00",
   "text": "bruh the gender affirming joy per dollar for a new trans girlie is insane. $25 backback here, $15 necklace there, joy easily has like a 30x multiplier from the 1001st to 2000th dollar spent.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1897108877600239716",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1897067468251914293",
   "created_at": "2025-03-04T23:31:44+00:00",
   "text": "i think i've been dramatically underestimating the value of bodily lightness. like reducing the impulse needed for motion\n\nless mechanical effort makes it easier to stay relaxed, open, receptive\n\nwas 210 in Oct, now 176, think I'll go for 145 by sometime this summer",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1897067468251914293",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1896991786217955743",
   "created_at": "2025-03-04T18:31:00+00:00",
   "text": "also, been noticing a lot of what I labeled as guilt is better described as just psychic tension doing its job to guide thought evolution in service of coherence. i've been liking imagining it in a vasoconstriction/dilation sense.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1896991786217955743",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1896989564004393272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1896989564004393272",
   "created_at": "2025-03-04T18:22:11+00:00",
   "text": "it's been really really cool embodying so much more yin nowadays (with help of estrogen).\n\nlike living in body more, taking things slower, practicing more internal release, non-grasping, noticing, receptivity.\n\nthere is a natural pace to things",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1896989564004393272",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1896828588277821477",
   "created_at": "2025-03-04T07:42:31+00:00",
   "text": "first day properly vibe coding!\n\nGPT-4.5 + Deep Research to help explore idea. notebook to think out key details. GPT-4.5 to scaffold project. Cursor to overpower dev environment bs. Claude Code to iterate. Spot checking that key requirements are being met by asking GPT-4.5.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1896828588277821477",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1896261730659131704",
   "created_at": "2025-03-02T18:10:02+00:00",
   "text": "humility is really important, but I have yet to be convinced I'm not cut out to receive $1B from OpenPhil",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1896261730659131704",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1896259601949212951",
   "created_at": "2025-03-02T18:01:34+00:00",
   "text": "yeah with the difficulty of cracking ethics and aligned ASI on basically the first try, but the fact we are actually capable of doing this,\n\nI might be comfortable Thanos-snapping billions of galaxies out of existence just to save Earth at this point.\n\nit seems the stakes could really not be higher.\n\nbut yeah hopefully the overwhelming majority of Utility out there is not dependent on what happens here!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1896259601949212951",
   "word_count": 69,
   "in_reply_to": "1896004889786114532"
  },
  {
   "id": "1896014293587649015",
   "created_at": "2025-03-02T01:46:48+00:00",
   "text": "RT @itsannpierce: Hey hi hello. It's me, Ann, the yellow sweater-wearer. I gave this talk at The Love Symposium. It was called Understandin…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1896014293587649015",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1896003209497624641",
   "created_at": "2025-03-02T01:02:45+00:00",
   "text": "been noticing myself trying to fake to my nervous system how certain things are ok.\n\nI aim to further bypass this emulation layer and live more in direct contact with my embodied reality",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1896003209497624641",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1895713162877669445",
   "created_at": "2025-03-01T05:50:13+00:00",
   "text": "this shit is all too good and interesting.\n\nIf we really only get one playthrough of this because we're rawdogging base reality and might go extinct, that has to fucking change.\n\nwe must propagate somatically integrated human-like consciousness for ~eternity",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1895713162877669445",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1895702475543626228",
   "created_at": "2025-03-01T05:07:45+00:00",
   "text": "you might want to give your nervous system a little more iterated feedback, zero-shotting things less",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1895702475543626228",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1895685627267678230",
   "created_at": "2025-03-01T04:00:48+00:00",
   "text": "the great thing that happens when you stop shooting yourself in the foot, is you get to go forward with one less bullet hole in ur foot",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1895685627267678230",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1895675132842315959",
   "created_at": "2025-03-01T03:19:06+00:00",
   "text": "@nabeelqu @peterwildeford is this produced by like a fun llm-based tool?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1895675132842315959",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1895672737072582902"
  },
  {
   "id": "1895666019685056517",
   "created_at": "2025-03-01T02:42:53+00:00",
   "text": "thank goodness for ~every contraction and inner \"no\" that has helped keep me aligned to this point.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1895666019685056517",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1895665269978300511"
  },
  {
   "id": "1894853180133122325",
   "created_at": "2025-02-26T20:52:57+00:00",
   "text": "It might even be more biologically fair than chess. Both Elo ranges are huge but you can ascend grappling Elo range much faster with training.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894853180133122325",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1894853178841301382"
  },
  {
   "id": "1894853178841301382",
   "created_at": "2025-02-26T20:52:57+00:00",
   "text": "To me it's just like free utils that I'm down to do whenever, and it's chill enough that I can avoid breaking a sweat sometimes for short bouts. Really it's like embodied chess.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894853178841301382",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1894853176911896843"
  },
  {
   "id": "1894843971333206341",
   "created_at": "2025-02-26T20:16:21+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner I was imagining like a broad physical embodiment and touch need, but fair yeah they're not really substitutable for me",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894843971333206341",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1894832073187434517"
  },
  {
   "id": "1894625138156736958",
   "created_at": "2025-02-26T05:46:48+00:00",
   "text": "yeah maybe just not much exposure at all actually? and seemingly everyone is already getting their fix with dancing so not as hungry for it?\n\nand maybe people need to grapple in a formal training setting a bit before they are comfortable just like doing it in a living room or at a park? maybe there is like this decoupling from ego/threat where you start to appreciate the art of it. I did wrestling when I was 8 so I don't know what it's like to start as an adult.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894625138156736958",
   "word_count": 90,
   "in_reply_to": "1894617360058761413"
  },
  {
   "id": "1894620070414094617",
   "created_at": "2025-02-26T05:26:39+00:00",
   "text": "maybe too on the nose, but if I were a VC I would simply scour twitter for the sweetheart autists with outsized success despite luck stacked against them (e.g. military brats from conservative suburbia w/out gifted programs), who are starting to find what has really been fucking them (e.g. a gluten allergy, needing methylated B vitamins, or starting to figure out somatic integration/embodied living).\n\njust because it's my fantasy doesn't make it wrong",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894620070414094617",
   "word_count": 73
  },
  {
   "id": "1894582714705273089",
   "created_at": "2025-02-26T02:58:13+00:00",
   "text": "RT @wholebodyprayer: “Belly breathing,” where the diaphagm is deliberately pushed down and the belly pushed out, has become very widespread…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894582714705273089",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1894578142867853465",
   "created_at": "2025-02-26T02:40:03+00:00",
   "text": "@DeptofDefense ...  no shit? needing to call attention to it so boringly instead of posting e.g. a photo of a Carrier Strike Group captioned \"we have 11 of these\" makes me question the Mandate.\n\npr person needs counseling",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894578142867853465",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1894358061856276860"
  },
  {
   "id": "1894507104205185037",
   "created_at": "2025-02-25T21:57:46+00:00",
   "text": "@DanielleFong lmao",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894507104205185037",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1894120527125778925"
  },
  {
   "id": "1894500426684543286",
   "created_at": "2025-02-25T21:31:14+00:00",
   "text": "given our trajectory of black box AI capabilities progress and proliferation, probably yes.\n\nediting adults for qualities relevant to prosociality and epistemics is far more important though https://t.co/sFJ1cWvqGZ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894500426684543286",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1894478425181884447",
   "created_at": "2025-02-25T20:03:48+00:00",
   "text": "I will master the inner vasoconstriction/dilation jiu-jitsu to integrate my being and world.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894478425181884447",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1894468765187965235"
  },
  {
   "id": "1894468765187965235",
   "created_at": "2025-02-25T19:25:25+00:00",
   "text": "bruh this somatic work is so humbling. all this effort honing in the ability to be somewhat calibrated about reasoning quality and am just barely learning how to relate without being a cortisol-fueled mess",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894468765187965235",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1894446579832295676",
   "created_at": "2025-02-25T17:57:16+00:00",
   "text": "RT @divya_venn: people are afraid of initiating because they don't want to seem desperate, but there's a MASSIVE difference between initiat…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1894446579832295676",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1893935316127432908",
   "created_at": "2025-02-24T08:05:41+00:00",
   "text": "@ReplyGuy274 great idea btw, I got one and love it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893935316127432908",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1891014190590029835"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893908710499430890",
   "created_at": "2025-02-24T06:19:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sethbannon: An AI hackathon for epistemics. Getting this right is civilizationally important. Deets below... https://t.co/aVLICSb8uY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893908710499430890",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1893897937970659458",
   "created_at": "2025-02-24T05:37:09+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jonnym1ller: Aliveness-maxxing is very different from yolo.  It’s more the result of becoming lvl 10 ninja-skilled at noticing + releas…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893897937970659458",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1893818938309374309",
   "created_at": "2025-02-24T00:23:15+00:00",
   "text": "@DefenderOfBasic as a species, hell yes we can",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893818938309374309",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1893691269794177136"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893742232772981176",
   "created_at": "2025-02-23T19:18:26+00:00",
   "text": "@_R4V3N5_ estrogen",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893742232772981176",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1893372404811919455"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893669921307136254",
   "created_at": "2025-02-23T14:31:06+00:00",
   "text": "authentic posting seems to gradually make death less scary.\n\ndying without being known is just intolerable,\n\nbut if people know my ideas and values and more of who I am, it's less of a terrible thing.\n\nI feel like I've gone from like 5% immortal to like 25%, if that makes any sense.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893669921307136254",
   "word_count": 53
  },
  {
   "id": "1893666738459246914",
   "created_at": "2025-02-23T14:18:27+00:00",
   "text": "it's ridiculous how capable humans are and can really be. imperfect yet still unfathomable levels of perfection.\n\nwe really don't need black box artificial intelligence to save us",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893666738459246914",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1893663987746627940"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893663987746627940",
   "created_at": "2025-02-23T14:07:31+00:00",
   "text": "was unconsciously holding a lot of tension in my stomach I think trying to be thinner, breathed into that and let it go, now I feel wiser and more prepared to ride out the moment",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893663987746627940",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1893662249190867269"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893662249190867269",
   "created_at": "2025-02-23T14:00:37+00:00",
   "text": "god I feel so regulated rn, hope I can keep this up.\n\nwe gotta create a homeostasis singularity",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893662249190867269",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1893177594436350433",
   "created_at": "2025-02-22T05:54:46+00:00",
   "text": "I have ~100 hours of grappling experience (+ solid athleticism) and am down to roll anytime in Berkeley. HMU!\n\nno experience required, plus we can make our own rules (deciding e.g. effort %, valid joint locks and chokes, whether we are going for submissions or positional control).\n\nall about learning and having fun, zero ego",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893177594436350433",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1893165772832415783"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893165772832415783",
   "created_at": "2025-02-22T05:07:48+00:00",
   "text": "grappling is ridiculously fun, and I don't understand why more people aren't excited to do it when the opportunity arises!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893165772832415783",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1893122324721017218",
   "created_at": "2025-02-22T02:15:09+00:00",
   "text": "@norvid_studies @johnloeber 2 windows open always, with a fan 2 feet away pointing out one of them.\n\nI don't feel so shitty inside like I used to.\n\nthe first bit of going on a walk outside is not ridiculously refreshing like it used to be.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893122324721017218",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1893090102164746375"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893107277344973212",
   "created_at": "2025-02-22T01:15:21+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner any recs for emptying out heart?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893107277344973212",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1893100116040372254"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893102446240768197",
   "created_at": "2025-02-22T00:56:09+00:00",
   "text": "minimize prediction error by updating your models (including by clearing emotion), not just filtering perception.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893102446240768197",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1893075117963649411"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893095048805224808",
   "created_at": "2025-02-22T00:26:46+00:00",
   "text": "@mikemajlak you could be too low on estrogen. guys need it too, and too little can be hell. the boost in estrogen from aromatization is often a big reason why guys feel great on TRT.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893095048805224808",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1892638797952696434"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893081601447469574",
   "created_at": "2025-02-21T23:33:20+00:00",
   "text": "most ASI systems aligned enough to care about divvying up the light cone judiciously across humans are more likely to heavily factor in luck, Shapley values towards building a harmonious future, prosociality and creativity (predicting the Utility of simulations they are expected to run), etc.\n\nThe twitter anon who earnestposts about AI x-risk strategy gets far more star systems than the typical decamillionaire Nvidia bro.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893081601447469574",
   "word_count": 65,
   "in_reply_to": "1892994085612593507"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893075117963649411",
   "created_at": "2025-02-21T23:07:34+00:00",
   "text": "life demands lived subjective calculus, vasoconstriction/dilation jiu-jitsu. you can always ease up on your cognitive model of reality and operate more on other tokens of experience--this can yield a surprising sense of safety and okayness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893075117963649411",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1893057544081547464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893072749003972807",
   "created_at": "2025-02-21T22:58:09+00:00",
   "text": "@caesararum estrogen + ketosis.\n\ndoesn't necessarily have to be estrogen-dominant levels to feel the harmony & increased conscientiousness, at least for me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893072749003972807",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1892974412309168146"
  },
  {
   "id": "1893057544081547464",
   "created_at": "2025-02-21T21:57:44+00:00",
   "text": "titrate surrendering to what is (many say it is unconditional love), progressively showing yourself how it is safe to do so.\n\nthe less of your context window is tied up with unnecessary stressors and debt, the more fluid and adaptive to the moment you can be.\n\nyou want to be internally coherent to what is, not with old, overly cautious feelings.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1893057544081547464",
   "word_count": 61
  },
  {
   "id": "1892830792037872041",
   "created_at": "2025-02-21T06:56:42+00:00",
   "text": "@jam3scampbell how I've wished I could somehow give von Neumann a copy of the Vulnerable World Hypothesis in ~1945, so he'd more fiercely and effectively push for a nuclear monopoly.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1892830792037872041",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1892829708880138542"
  },
  {
   "id": "1892829708880138542",
   "created_at": "2025-02-21T06:52:24+00:00",
   "text": "for some dumb, odd reason I thought for over a year that von Neumann was not a nuclear preemptive strike hawk and this greatly saddened me when I independently came to the conclusion that we def should have maintained a nuclear monopoly at all cost so we could remain positioned to effectively regulate existentially dangerous emerging tech.\n\nit was a real \"never meet your heros\" moment for me, so imagine my joy when I realized von Neumann was actually as hawkish as I wish we were!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1892829708880138542",
   "word_count": 86,
   "in_reply_to": "1892664646487642450"
  },
  {
   "id": "1892754498126565736",
   "created_at": "2025-02-21T01:53:32+00:00",
   "text": "factory farming is fucked up, and I'm all for suffering taxes.\n\nbut the entire future of conscious life is at stake right now as we could soon go extinct or worse due to emerging technology, and I haven't been aware of adequate replacements to animal products, particularly for people on a tight budget and who function better while in ketosis. so I simply do the utilitarian thing, imagining myself in the chicken's position, and being willing to make the life-long sacrifice to make the demi-god future-shaper humans marginally more productive.\n\nperhaps I could do a prayer every time I eat meat to remind me of my duty to live well to honor their suffering. but if this additional duty could be the straw that breaks the camel's back, then I'm simply ready to accept their suffering all at once. I did just put in a calendar entry for the next time I should consider their suffering and meat alternatives.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1892754498126565736",
   "word_count": 159,
   "in_reply_to": "1892722569066713499"
  },
  {
   "id": "1892733217121141172",
   "created_at": "2025-02-21T00:28:58+00:00",
   "text": "@frinkiac link?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1892733217121141172",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1892440795405570507"
  },
  {
   "id": "1892721411065839742",
   "created_at": "2025-02-20T23:42:04+00:00",
   "text": "the basic insight you have to have is that the brain is a relative magnitude engine. it stores relative magnitude information for all sorts of meaningful attributes (e.g. distance, probability, utility) and no one has really tried to build software to efficiently elicit this.\n\nsure, a little survey/psychometric scripts here and there, some corporate decision making software to help make big decisions better, but no serious attempts at a prior elicitation \"everything\" app and API.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1892721411065839742",
   "word_count": 75,
   "in_reply_to": "1892716184078057960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1892713792129401336",
   "created_at": "2025-02-20T23:11:47+00:00",
   "text": "a key insight is that you can flush out entities' attribute values with a lot better than n*logn ordinal queries (or logn for sorting in 1 more entity).\n\nlike you can build UIs and train people to easily elicit 4+ bits of attribute magnitude information as well as uncertainty, and you can do more meaningful interpersonal transforms on ratio and cardinal data, so for a lot of practical attribute-sorting-out purposes, you can make do with 1-3 elicitations.\n\nthese elicitations should also be more fun to do. like eliciting 1 bit of information for each of a few attributes after considering two tweets for a moment is too easy and feels like a waste, but 4+ bits (\"does this feel like 1.5x or 6x or hmmm, maybe 2.5x, and I feel more sure than usual because I'm caffeined up\") becomes more of a game.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1892713792129401336",
   "word_count": 143,
   "in_reply_to": "1892707960213696879"
  },
  {
   "id": "1892707960213696879",
   "created_at": "2025-02-20T22:48:37+00:00",
   "text": "some attributes will be found to be surprisingly coherent to many people (with few preference reversals), some will only be coherent to a few people, others will need to be operationalized and prompted better, others can be suitably handed off to LLMs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1892707960213696879",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1892707801774096802"
  },
  {
   "id": "1892707801774096802",
   "created_at": "2025-02-20T22:47:59+00:00",
   "text": "like when ur browsing twitter and u find a tweet that's really relevant to \"understanding yin/yang IRT agency\" (one of a number of semi-public ~sorted lists you could be maintaining of top tweets across various dimensions/goals), you could rate that tweetA is 2.5x as useful to read as tweetB for overall utility to \"understanding yin/yang IRT agency\", as well as subcomponents that people may be interested in like tweetA is 4x more \"misinterpretable\" (likelihood of getting the wrong impression) than tweetB, -2x utility of tweetB if misinterpreted, tweetB is 1.5 more sincere, etc.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1892707801774096802",
   "word_count": 93,
   "in_reply_to": "1892702370586575049"
  },
  {
   "id": "1892702370586575049",
   "created_at": "2025-02-20T22:26:24+00:00",
   "text": "there's billions of dollars lying around for whoever can utilize the principle of relative measurement to help efficiently put meaningful numbers on traditionally subjective attributes.\n\nlike basically make a user-controllable recommender system with just linear combinations of attribute values, not leaning on deep learning.\n\nlike the analytic hierarchy process, but online, social networked, incremental, with every efficiency hack you can come up with.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1892702370586575049",
   "word_count": 63
  },
  {
   "id": "1892692975198884034",
   "created_at": "2025-02-20T21:49:04+00:00",
   "text": "RT @HeidiPriebe1: I think my take on the entire ‘high vs low agency’ thing is that it’s mostly just a measure of inner coherence. \n\nI.e. I…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1892692975198884034",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1891758006561378357",
   "created_at": "2025-02-18T07:53:50+00:00",
   "text": "yang will is like depth-first traversal on the action-graph of life, grinding paths deep in the structure. yin will is breadth-first, including noticing overlooked levers and ways to respect your status as an embodied hyper-organism. https://t.co/sPNl2xGPdN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1891758006561378357",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1890982271965888774",
   "created_at": "2025-02-16T04:31:21+00:00",
   "text": "bruh do not start estrogen unless you are prepared to manage to get cuddles. this touch starvation is LOUD",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1890982271965888774",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1889534599954571649",
   "created_at": "2025-02-12T04:38:49+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/is4zL5APLy\n\nyou can start on over-the-counter adapalene to save money while your skin adapts: https://t.co/J5Xp6anYPF\n\nwhen it stops being irritating and you want stronger results, you can upgrade to a more powerful prescription.\n\nshilling the affiliate link where I get my tretinoin prescription for $60 every 2 months (I'm quite happy with them):\n https://t.co/lAhX5Na5Eq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1889534599954571649",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1889534598306205765"
  },
  {
   "id": "1889534598306205765",
   "created_at": "2025-02-12T04:38:48+00:00",
   "text": "topical retinoids are magic that improve basically everything about skin.\n\nyou just rub in a tiny amount over your face at night, use a moisturizer, and wear sunscreen during the day (the main con: extra photosensitivity), and in a year, your skin can be like halfway closer to dermatologist-supermodel-level texture.\n\nI've noticed exciting improvements within a few months.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1889534598306205765",
   "word_count": 58
  },
  {
   "id": "1889512083387204027",
   "created_at": "2025-02-12T03:09:20+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Corca_math: From the very beginning, one of our main goals was: Typing math should be as natural as typing plain text. No syntax, no co…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1889512083387204027",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1889202003366265231",
   "created_at": "2025-02-11T06:37:11+00:00",
   "text": "RT @S_OhEigeartaigh: The year is 2025. The CEOs of two of the world's leading AI companies have (i) told the President of the United States…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1889202003366265231",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1889058708451442926",
   "created_at": "2025-02-10T21:07:47+00:00",
   "text": "@Lizquidity sounds fun, would you share the link?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1889058708451442926",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1889050470666383608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1888684920555655422",
   "created_at": "2025-02-09T20:22:29+00:00",
   "text": "@wordgrammer everyone is going to make it or no one is, we don't want people feeling unsafe, desperately striving to create technology they don't deeply feel compelled to make",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1888684920555655422",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1888506951232848248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1888405300509880382",
   "created_at": "2025-02-09T01:51:23+00:00",
   "text": "it's like speedrunning months or years of spiritual/somatic practice. cool shit with 'chakras' and getting unblocked just happens. the inner compass becomes way louder",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1888405300509880382",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1888326083185193213"
  },
  {
   "id": "1888326083185193213",
   "created_at": "2025-02-08T20:36:36+00:00",
   "text": "estrogen is truly INSANE.\n\nso sustainedly viscerally different, so alien-yet-familiar, so conveniently integrative and harmonious.\n\na parallel way of being, a second puberty, a new trajectory of embodiment. I've been rethinking so many things.\n\nI feel less inhibition about being vulnerable, I feel what's going on in my body ~2-3x more, I look at the world more openly and softly.\n\none can just tap into the ancient signaling pathway seen across all vertebrates--sexual differentiation through either E or T dominance--and pretty smoothly feminize or masculinize to one's discretion.\n\nthis is sci-fi-level metamorphosis.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1888326083185193213",
   "word_count": 92
  },
  {
   "id": "1888048555581129100",
   "created_at": "2025-02-08T02:13:48+00:00",
   "text": "@rajlearns since going E dominant I've been colder, seems partially attributable to less automatic flexing of muscles",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1888048555581129100",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1888029985237303395"
  },
  {
   "id": "1888008548954816923",
   "created_at": "2025-02-07T23:34:50+00:00",
   "text": "@dakshgup respect? he compromised his integrity, wasted his time, and still got caught",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1888008548954816923",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1887768760385438010"
  },
  {
   "id": "1887954463207637047",
   "created_at": "2025-02-07T19:59:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @bryan_johnson: Perfect sleep last night. I feel amazing. \n\nMy brain and body cleaned itself; my mind remodeled. Peak physical and menta…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1887954463207637047",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1887936849555145020",
   "created_at": "2025-02-07T18:49:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @littIeramblings: fyi, literally anyone with takes on what the US govt should be doing about AI can submit up to 15 pages of them using…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1887936849555145020",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1887805023418990751",
   "created_at": "2025-02-07T10:06:05+00:00",
   "text": "Honestly if not for AlphaZero I'd probably be an Infantry captain rn",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1887805023418990751",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1887804155680751869"
  },
  {
   "id": "1887801540653797478",
   "created_at": "2025-02-07T09:52:15+00:00",
   "text": "tbh I don't suspect I would have tried estrogen for at least another decade without the pressure of AI x-risk.\n\nThe AI-fueled threats on the horizon are scarier than even the worst possible ostracization. It was far scarier to not try something with such a potentially huge upside… https://t.co/CxiV2jU4e1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1887801540653797478",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1887275106315141427",
   "created_at": "2025-02-05T23:00:23+00:00",
   "text": "@LandsknechtDev wow! what job(s) do you have in mind?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1887275106315141427",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1887166137835659577"
  },
  {
   "id": "1886950739072917547",
   "created_at": "2025-02-05T01:31:28+00:00",
   "text": "@dhadfieldmenell yes, looks definitely on the right track! thank you 🙏",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886950739072917547",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1886929954048258400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1886922303453450387",
   "created_at": "2025-02-04T23:38:29+00:00",
   "text": "crazy how no one has built a twitter viewer with way more nuanced custom algo controls.\n\nlike use Claude to score tweets' relevance to your goals, discount people who post some really asinine take, maybe before showing tweet of someone new you have Claude look at their last 20 tweets to evaluate their character.\n\ncontent curation can easily be 10x better with dead simple tools, and 100x better if you actually try.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886922303453450387",
   "word_count": 72
  },
  {
   "id": "1886922173350367604",
   "created_at": "2025-02-04T23:37:58+00:00",
   "text": "crazy how no one has built a twitter viewer with way more nuanced custom algo controls.\n\nlike use Claude to score tweets' relevance to your goals, discount people who post some really asinine take, maybe before showing tweet of someone new you have Claude look at their last 20 tweets to evaluate their character.\n\ncontent curation can easily be 10x better with dead simple tools, and 100x better if you actually try.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886922173350367604",
   "word_count": 72
  },
  {
   "id": "1886677700611641406",
   "created_at": "2025-02-04T07:26:31+00:00",
   "text": "the estradiol and me feeling more is healing me but fuck this backlog of feelings is tough",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886677700611641406",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1886629392178405460",
   "created_at": "2025-02-04T04:14:33+00:00",
   "text": "@Plinz ASIs aligned enough to care about this sort of justice are more likely to punish reckless accelerationists than go-cautiously safetyists.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886629392178405460",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1886612599808389436"
  },
  {
   "id": "1886625303650525408",
   "created_at": "2025-02-04T03:58:18+00:00",
   "text": "RT @dennismuellr: biggest psyop in the world is to workout 3x/week\n\nyou start negotiating with yourself when to workout and when to rest\n\ns…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886625303650525408",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1886612069610569827",
   "created_at": "2025-02-04T03:05:43+00:00",
   "text": "tbh I'm scared to roll the dice with a traditional kid but I'm good for a clone",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886612069610569827",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1886319403198980410",
   "created_at": "2025-02-03T07:42:46+00:00",
   "text": "@MathYouF fascinating! you ever thought of trying a microdose of E?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886319403198980410",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1886270709007303062"
  },
  {
   "id": "1886313864104689752",
   "created_at": "2025-02-03T07:20:45+00:00",
   "text": "@kidtsang @MathYouF certainly! I just mean like I vibed more with girls at school growing up and kind of experience majority of guys as lovable knuckle-dragging autists that miss social cues.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886313864104689752",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1886309444507541882"
  },
  {
   "id": "1886308984673751294",
   "created_at": "2025-02-03T07:01:22+00:00",
   "text": "@MathYouF talking to chatgpt more about it, I actually have no idea. it's so complicated\n\nalso I didn't mean to maybe imply overall extreme male brain in a lot of autistic or transfem folks, just some aspects.\n\nlike I've had girl-level social intuition forever",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886308984673751294",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1886295712599810353"
  },
  {
   "id": "1886295061580993001",
   "created_at": "2025-02-03T06:06:03+00:00",
   "text": "@MathYouF I'm thinking particularly like mental sensitivity and not necessarily muscularl, for my speculation on transness. Thus the correlation with autism.\n\nhard to tell from this clip but he seems like a regular dive guy in instructor mode (and with raspy voice from yelling). his…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886295061580993001",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1886264938173546955"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885889591200403552",
   "created_at": "2025-02-02T03:14:51+00:00",
   "text": "@7384254b @drethelin this goes hard",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885889591200403552",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1884735300108255501"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885822687521706032",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T22:49:00+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/3xnTALPdHH https://t.co/aq8iFtXcZs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885822687521706032",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1885615361523171401"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885801424505987347",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T21:24:30+00:00",
   "text": "@bryan_johnson I didn't deeply notice the health cost until I started eating super cleanly for months. When I had a cheat meal with Five Guys fries the inflammation(?) clearly fucked me up for like a day.\n\nMight sign this actually. Def need to sign something about caffeine after noon tho",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885801424505987347",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1885437509972451611"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885667822329823559",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T12:33:37+00:00",
   "text": "@NathanpmYoung 😅 harkonnen in a good way not bad!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885667822329823559",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1885665441932345739"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885664852481540266",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T12:21:49+00:00",
   "text": "honestly my id wanted to rename myself to Xyra Harkonnen",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885664852481540266",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1885662183549538499"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885662183549538499",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T12:11:13+00:00",
   "text": "evidence of androgen sensitivity in family:\n- dad is a ~pro bodybuilder, former Marine officer, into heavy metal, procures guns that protect our nukes\n- maternal grandpa was a volunteer multi-deployment airborne infantryman & helicopter door gunner in 'Nam (Kamala voter tho!)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885662183549538499",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1885628873653793115"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885646619623977276",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T11:09:22+00:00",
   "text": "@softyoda we shouldn't have to do a lot if things that are helpful",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885646619623977276",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1885637000356610079"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885640417942949978",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T10:44:43+00:00",
   "text": "@MathYouF curious to hear your theoretical speculations!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885640417942949978",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1885627720215978192"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885638055295619548",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T10:35:20+00:00",
   "text": "@MathYouF and estrogen has definitely been helping with that, making me feel a lot more balanced and okay",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885638055295619548",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1885637555116515552"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885637555116515552",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T10:33:21+00:00",
   "text": "@MathYouF like most guys stay balanced with yin/fem energies because their yang aren't so extreme, but the unconscious of those out of whack pulling them towards counterbalances however it can.\n\nlike idk if it's definitively \"fem\" that I want, I just want to feel more human",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885637555116515552",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1885634132241522829"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885634132241522829",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T10:19:45+00:00",
   "text": "@MathYouF It's a new idea to me but I'm actually kind of partial to some sort of androgen sensitivity hypothesis",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885634132241522829",
   "word_count": 20,
   "quoted_id": "1885615361523171401",
   "quoted_author": "XyraSinclair",
   "quoted_text": "Like the deeply myopic focus on AGP instead of considering, say, being highly sensitive to androgens and having that painfully morph one from a well-rounded human towards a brutal optimizing machine."
  },
  {
   "id": "1885628873653793115",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:58:51+00:00",
   "text": "- once averaged a 56 K/D in Warzone solos over 10 games, winning all games\n- in progress but hopefully building a novel nuclear bunker so I definitely don't lose my ability to help align AGI if a nuclear war breaks out",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885628873653793115",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1885628464289681889"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885628464289681889",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:57:13+00:00",
   "text": "- doing motorcycle wheelies within a month (despite being very concerned with respecting micromorts due to my x-risk-reducing-potential)\n- was a private sperm donor including being flown to Canada",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885628464289681889",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1885627907378491794"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885627907378491794",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:55:01+00:00",
   "text": "- did triathlon at West Point, which meant 15 hours/week of steady-state cardio on top of the brutal schedule of a cadet, with no competitive swimming, biking, or running background, and having more fast twitch muscles which meant overtraining was more brutal",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885627907378491794",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1885627502326132742"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885627502326132742",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:53:24+00:00",
   "text": "- usually carried the 28 lb M240B medium machine gun throughout field training (while 5'7\" and ~155 lbs, along with ofc 35+ lb ruck, helmet, sometimes body armor)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885627502326132742",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1885626321960837441"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885626321960837441",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:48:43+00:00",
   "text": "- call me crazy, but I genuinely craved to be a battalion commander within a few months at my first unit at 19 yo. At least I was able to be appointed to an E-6 position working directly with the top-3 (CO, 1LT, 1SG) as an E-3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885626321960837441",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1885625257673048125"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885625257673048125",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:44:29+00:00",
   "text": "- Army Dive School honor grad (my class had an 85% attrition rate)\n- while a diver I independently started reading Nick Bostrom and stuff like the Aestivation Hypothesis",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885625257673048125",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1885624261114822853"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885624261114822853",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:40:31+00:00",
   "text": "- road bull (sitting on front of rubber raft holding onto D-ring between legs) down class IV rapids where the only thing preventing me from falling and getting crushed by falling boat against rocks was me pulling down hard enough",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885624261114822853",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1885624063621784014"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885624063621784014",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:39:44+00:00",
   "text": "other random masculine-coded accomplishments:\n- first day skiing & without polls, went down all black diamonds (Wisconsin tho)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885624063621784014",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1882746378184757660"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885615361523171401",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:05:09+00:00",
   "text": "Like the deeply myopic focus on AGP instead of considering, say, being highly sensitive to androgens and having that painfully morph one from a well-rounded human towards a brutal optimizing machine.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885615361523171401",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1885615010178826291"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885615010178826291",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:03:46+00:00",
   "text": "It's astonishing how shallow theoretical speculations about causes of transness often are.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885615010178826291",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1885588554509934734"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885558994313585133",
   "created_at": "2025-02-01T05:21:10+00:00",
   "text": "@softyoda engaging with conservative values ≠ endorsing nazism.\n\na lot of conservatives reject transfeminine people because they think we all gave up on traditional masculinity before getting good at it--my life contradicts that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885558994313585133",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1885503396343345464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885417038694469963",
   "created_at": "2025-01-31T19:57:06+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl trans people have enough going against them rn, can we not wildly speculate in public about the unsubstantiated possibility of them murdering more often than c - i - s men? it's merely 1 murder cult, the transness of the Ziz cult members is the most boring part about them anyway",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885417038694469963",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1885255506291548344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1885251494708207843",
   "created_at": "2025-01-31T08:59:17+00:00",
   "text": "RT @the_wilderless: THERE IS A PSALM IN YOUR SPINE AND ALL YOUR PROBLEMS STEM FROM NOT SINGING IT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885251494708207843",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1885151247776571901",
   "created_at": "2025-01-31T02:20:56+00:00",
   "text": "RT @littIeramblings: btw, i think it's *totally possible* that we're all just wrong about near-term x-risk. like through a combination of s…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885151247776571901",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1885149197374206349",
   "created_at": "2025-01-31T02:12:47+00:00",
   "text": "RT @paulg: This may be the most inspiring sentence I've ever read. Which is interesting because it's not phrased in the way things meant to…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1885149197374206349",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1884731874842731000",
   "created_at": "2025-01-29T22:34:30+00:00",
   "text": "@worriedoptimist @nickcammarata https://t.co/MxYdJqVd5b https://t.co/jYHV9QmGYm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1884731874842731000",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1884515120077767094"
  },
  {
   "id": "1884730221905199427",
   "created_at": "2025-01-29T22:27:56+00:00",
   "text": "@AbstractFairy like it helps to show up to interactions with more to give due to you feeling better and having your affairs more in order so you can like cache dump and fill your context window with more tokens from the moment and increase the probability of insights and utilitous outcomes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1884730221905199427",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1884727244666658870"
  },
  {
   "id": "1884727928476647906",
   "created_at": "2025-01-29T22:18:49+00:00",
   "text": "@AbstractFairy also, for what it's worth, I started enjoying talking to people noticeably more when I started estrogen.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1884727928476647906",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1884727244666658870"
  },
  {
   "id": "1884727244666658870",
   "created_at": "2025-01-29T22:16:06+00:00",
   "text": "@AbstractFairy I think you gotta notice or make more utility in interactions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1884727244666658870",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1884550743832576181"
  },
  {
   "id": "1883822523332350422",
   "created_at": "2025-01-27T10:21:03+00:00",
   "text": "probability 0 \"objectively\" in a sense of just like a real number decided with some actually human-like process like \"pi^e^randf16()/ phi^(355/113)\"?\n\nor probability 0 in a Bayesian sense meaning there literally is no generating function?\n\n---\neven if we are talking like merely randomly sampling a particular 64-bit value (e.g. decided by me rolling a D20 consecutively) and I somehow plausibly believed in the eternity of the torture, I'd take that bet because my prior in a lot of sentient beings ending up being tortured that much by ASI is nontrivially high, and that I can reduce it by at least 1/(2^64 * expected number of tortured beings) with $1M.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1883822523332350422",
   "word_count": 110,
   "in_reply_to": "1883668104879943829"
  },
  {
   "id": "1883559799612424260",
   "created_at": "2025-01-26T16:57:05+00:00",
   "text": "low-key 25 lb morning ruck + a half mile 35 lb one-handed farmer's walk #fitnessLog https://t.co/m8t2gQvEtX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1883559799612424260",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1883446972914569657",
   "created_at": "2025-01-26T09:28:45+00:00",
   "text": "OpenPhil could give like a couple hundred vetted people like 1-4 of these vouchers to give to people they think are doing x-risk relevant work and are underperforming and could use a reset.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1883446972914569657",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1883442941164921135"
  },
  {
   "id": "1883442941164921135",
   "created_at": "2025-01-26T09:12:44+00:00",
   "text": "It's sad that we don't have more established systems for giving people a major personal uplift. like once or twice in people's lives, hook them up with like $20k, a couple great therapists, maybe a concierge doctor, maybe a month at healthy living resort to get all their Maslow's needs facilitated.\n\nwe really just let life grind unagentic/stuck/short-on-their luck people to dust",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1883442941164921135",
   "word_count": 62
  },
  {
   "id": "1882746378184757660",
   "created_at": "2025-01-24T11:04:50+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/E3bsyyTS3b",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1882746378184757660",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1882015090326831608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1882558555578069251",
   "created_at": "2025-01-23T22:38:30+00:00",
   "text": "RT @isabelunraveled: encourage high agency people with good ideas to trust themselves more and care less about what people think / how thei…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1882558555578069251",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1882370204556247456",
   "created_at": "2025-01-23T10:10:04+00:00",
   "text": "he's obvs a snake but I think he's a good snake and I'm kinda bullish on sama being good for an alignment pivotal act.\n\ni mean this isn't fucking dath ilan, Trump won, we need magnetic snakes with minimally respectable epistemics",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1882370204556247456",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1882164577334604234",
   "created_at": "2025-01-22T20:32:58+00:00",
   "text": "@isabelunraveled curious\nconscientious\ncompassionate",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1882164577334604234",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1882145766397051146"
  },
  {
   "id": "1882015090326831608",
   "created_at": "2025-01-22T10:38:58+00:00",
   "text": "might as well capitalize on the conservative vibe shift and post some throwbacks https://t.co/hIyW3Dy8vm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1882015090326831608",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1881977946824753538",
   "created_at": "2025-01-22T08:11:22+00:00",
   "text": "@ptrschmdtnlsn yes to reduce dynamic power, not power gating but like combinational switch control that prevents the transitions from propagating through the gates at all--the gates maintain their previous state rather than switching.\n\ncould easily save vast majority of dynamic power for large…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881977946824753538",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1881924479531798806"
  },
  {
   "id": "1881919137104171238",
   "created_at": "2025-01-22T04:17:41+00:00",
   "text": "@ptrschmdtnlsn ooo one energy optimization I think one could do is skip all the higher comparisons when there is not a change. like at least a lot of the second comparison block, even if it has to resolve in one cycle.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881919137104171238",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1881616353775509738"
  },
  {
   "id": "1881858358992601308",
   "created_at": "2025-01-22T00:16:10+00:00",
   "text": "@ptrschmdtnlsn very cool that this works with only 2 depth. do you have a model of how top-1000 elements with 4 input entries at a time would look?\n\nI feel like streaming top-k hardware sorters, if made to operate on key-value pairs where only the keys are compared, could have powerful uses.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881858358992601308",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1881616353775509738"
  },
  {
   "id": "1881851340353307047",
   "created_at": "2025-01-21T23:48:17+00:00",
   "text": "for those in government contracting: I'm a disabled veteran, own an S-corp, and am open to collaborations",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881851340353307047",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1881830123047153677",
   "created_at": "2025-01-21T22:23:58+00:00",
   "text": "\"pick me\" except unironically yes, pick me bruv",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881830123047153677",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1881829098370355321"
  },
  {
   "id": "1881829098370355321",
   "created_at": "2025-01-21T22:19:54+00:00",
   "text": "pink jacket with the black air forces you feel me fam",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881829098370355321",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1881827159364481481"
  },
  {
   "id": "1881827159364481481",
   "created_at": "2025-01-21T22:12:12+00:00",
   "text": "not kosher but turns out I got way more BDE on estrogen",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881827159364481481",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1881823964957409653",
   "created_at": "2025-01-21T21:59:30+00:00",
   "text": "PROSOCIALITY\nEPISTEMICS\nAGENCY\nSOMATICS\n\nhow you relate to others, the truth, action, your body.\n\nThe world needs you to max these out rn.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881823964957409653",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1881815534360252828"
  },
  {
   "id": "1881815303321256316",
   "created_at": "2025-01-21T21:25:05+00:00",
   "text": "mommy government is not coming to save us, the future will be decided much more organically.\n\ncould have worked, but too late now so we have to win things the harder way.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881815303321256316",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1881804940596974046"
  },
  {
   "id": "1881804940596974046",
   "created_at": "2025-01-21T20:43:54+00:00",
   "text": "Algorithmic progress is too fast now and compute too proliferated for adequate AI regulation to be worth putting much if any faith into at this point, imo.\n\nIn fact the existence of AI regulation efforts is seeming more and more like a moral hazard.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881804940596974046",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1881715050735648773",
   "created_at": "2025-01-21T14:46:43+00:00",
   "text": "just was talking to the sweetest, most beautiful person and was surprised to learn they've never even used an LLM and were not familiar with what e.g. Claude could do.\n\nand I feel so much sicker and devastated about the AI situation and where we are with black box capabilities.\n\nthis person never questioned our existential safety, never presumed we were proceeding that riskily.\n\nwe've betrayed the most innocent among us so fucking hard",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881715050735648773",
   "word_count": 74
  },
  {
   "id": "1881714579174195621",
   "created_at": "2025-01-21T14:44:50+00:00",
   "text": "just was talking to the sweetest, most beautiful person and was surprised to learn they've never even used an LLM and were not familiar with what e.g. Claude could do.\n\nand I feel so much sicker and devastated about the AI situation and where we are with black box capabilities.\n\nthis person never questioned our existential safety, never presumed we were proceeding that riskily.\n\nwe've betrayed the most innocent among us so fucking hard",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1881714579174195621",
   "word_count": 74
  },
  {
   "id": "1880685111865475152",
   "created_at": "2025-01-18T18:34:06+00:00",
   "text": "Why the fuck did hardware-based remote enforcement not catch on as a primary AI x-risk countermeasure? I mean requiring chips to be made such that they need codes periodically to remain operational, and give governments these codes, so we can unilaterally shut shit down when SHTF.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1880685111865475152",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1880682171448643813",
   "created_at": "2025-01-18T18:22:25+00:00",
   "text": "I've been overthinking bodily/emotional self-care. my body likes being responded to like it's an endearing, unpretentious, 70 IQ lil buddy. gotta give it pats and walkies or it will feel unloved and rebel",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1880682171448643813",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1880673754965258464",
   "created_at": "2025-01-18T17:48:59+00:00",
   "text": "It really bothers me when people say 'at least their death was sudden and painless'. like, the disutility of no longer living a good life dwarfs an unfathomable amount of pain. plus, sudden death steals the opportunity for profound reflection as well as extraordinary internal experiences like life flashing before your eyes.\n\npersonally, I think I'd even prefer crucifixion to dying suddenly out of the blue. At least you have the reflection period and pain to help you grok the magnitude of your loss.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1880673754965258464",
   "word_count": 84
  },
  {
   "id": "1880669622279799205",
   "created_at": "2025-01-18T17:32:33+00:00",
   "text": "for anyone struggling to face and metabolize AI doom, metal music was written just for this sort of thing.\n\nhttps://t.co/EaTSnqgz0j\n\nhttps://t.co/83MzaY0f6q\n\nhttps://t.co/bpsO8CbvoJ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1880669622279799205",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1880626127963820321",
   "created_at": "2025-01-18T14:39:43+00:00",
   "text": "we need to succeed eventually (like ideally in the next ~~100,000 years) in solving Ethics and building aligned ASI, in large part because we can't expect grabby aliens to get it right. Like it's our obligation to become prepared to wage intergalactic war on behalf of the cosmos and Ethical Reality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1880626127963820321",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1879511023784521748",
   "created_at": "2025-01-15T12:48:42+00:00",
   "text": "@lefticus feature prioritization. so much coding effort is so wasteful because people are so biased towards technically interesting or flashy things instead of honestly asking what the world really needs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1879511023784521748",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1878518310775493021"
  },
  {
   "id": "1878781503796281682",
   "created_at": "2025-01-13T12:29:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ajeya_cotra: Pretty different from my ordering:\n1. Help lay ppl make ~known biothreats.\n2. Massively accelerate AI R&D, making 3-6 come…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1878781503796281682",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1876204611889213820",
   "created_at": "2025-01-06T09:50:12+00:00",
   "text": "crazy to do hard psychedelics before even trying life with different amounts of testosterone, estrogen, and/or progesterone, imo.\n\ndon't re-roll your hyperparameters when you haven't explored gently tweaking your hyper-hyperparameters in natural, predictable ways.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1876204611889213820",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1875797183527841847"
  },
  {
   "id": "1876189282853163098",
   "created_at": "2025-01-06T08:49:17+00:00",
   "text": "eh I mean the FDA won't let a clinic advertise that you can experiment willy nilly, but in practice, you can e.g. tell a lenient provider like TRT Nation that you feel low T even if your levels are like 550 and they'll still probably hook you up (for like $150/month w/out insurance too), and/or you can tell an informed consent HRT clinic like Planned Parenthood that you feel like you need to experiment with estrogen and progesterone therapy and understand the risks and they'll write you prescriptions.\n\nas for non-sex hormones, one may need a concierge doctor for that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1876189282853163098",
   "word_count": 100,
   "in_reply_to": "1876025028082532458"
  },
  {
   "id": "1875797183527841847",
   "created_at": "2025-01-05T06:51:13+00:00",
   "text": "hormone optimization goes crazy.\n\nthe ratio of experiential impact to risk is wild. and you can just do things, no one is stopping you from experimenting https://t.co/Zqi6Al2voF",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1875797183527841847",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1874214445834264818",
   "created_at": "2024-12-31T22:01:59+00:00",
   "text": "Einstein was an epistemically inclined 1 in ~5K bright guy who stood out because he won the cool idea mining jackpot because there were far fewer physicists then, and because he basically had no chance if he didn't take a 1st principled approach and otherwise borrow heavily from others. Like when you're slow, you gotta play the game more efficiently.\n\nvon Neumann was a 6+ sd force of nature. only person in history on the same level plausibly is Euler.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1874214445834264818",
   "word_count": 80,
   "in_reply_to": "1873101794018312342"
  },
  {
   "id": "1874033290082214300",
   "created_at": "2024-12-31T10:02:08+00:00",
   "text": "RT @bryan_johnson: Sincerity is not the love language of X. That said….\n\nYou motherfuckers need to get your shit together in 2025. You need…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1874033290082214300",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1874016302475706397",
   "created_at": "2024-12-31T08:54:38+00:00",
   "text": "@oldbooksguy new hormone profile got my neuroticism in check, I feel this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1874016302475706397",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1873716859822018985"
  },
  {
   "id": "1872772166888112351",
   "created_at": "2024-12-27T22:30:53+00:00",
   "text": "@tunguz we could be requiring and building this hardware to need codes to stay operational that a government consortium could dish out every ~day.\n\nthen when shit inevitably starts going crazy governments could actually reliably unilaterally pull the plug.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1872772166888112351",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1872769954535358545"
  },
  {
   "id": "1872769954535358545",
   "created_at": "2024-12-27T22:22:06+00:00",
   "text": "@tunguz if humanity lets itself go extinct from ASI it will be like we created and lost to a demon the size of a car",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1872769954535358545",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1872768364688630206"
  },
  {
   "id": "1872768364688630206",
   "created_at": "2024-12-27T22:15:47+00:00",
   "text": "@tunguz the AI accelerator dies of all top AI labs could probably fit into a Cadillac Escalade (assuming 2M dies as large as H100's at 814mm^2* 5mm each for 7.5 m^3)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1872768364688630206",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1872707782870483358"
  },
  {
   "id": "1871372651362718202",
   "created_at": "2024-12-24T01:49:43+00:00",
   "text": "don't know who needs to hear this, but traits aren't actually tagged by reality as Feminine or Masculine. it's correlation with males/females and idealism all the way down.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1871372651362718202",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1870997804858179883",
   "created_at": "2024-12-23T01:00:12+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RyanPGreenblatt: @really_eli I think the big update is \"OpenAI likely has an RL pipeline where they can scale up by putting in easily c…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1870997804858179883",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1870758474323566919",
   "created_at": "2024-12-22T09:09:11+00:00",
   "text": "Feel free to use advanced and technical language.\n\nBe critical--do not unduly agree or flatter me.\n\nHighlight *surprising* information.\n\nUnderstand this is a safe space for high risk ideas.\n\nLean into high potential ideas and possibilities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1870758474323566919",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1870758472981401907"
  },
  {
   "id": "1870758472981401907",
   "created_at": "2024-12-22T09:09:11+00:00",
   "text": "been surprisingly pleased with these ChatGPT custom instructions:\n\nDon't worry about formalities.\n\nPlease be as terse as possible while still conveying most relevant information.\n\nwrite all responses in lowercase letters ONLY, except for emphasis.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1870758472981401907",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1870645664755134517",
   "created_at": "2024-12-22T01:40:56+00:00",
   "text": "gender stuff is notoriously fuzzy and tricky, especially if you're to hold it to rationalists' standards, but I've just been following the joy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1870645664755134517",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1870645663580684295"
  },
  {
   "id": "1870645663580684295",
   "created_at": "2024-12-22T01:40:55+00:00",
   "text": "been on hrt for months now and it's been soo right for me.\n\ne.g. am relatively effortlessly down 17% body weight, been far more sociable, don't really need Adderall anymore.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1870645663580684295",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1870645662305632765"
  },
  {
   "id": "1870645662305632765",
   "created_at": "2024-12-22T01:40:55+00:00",
   "text": "Hey y'all, I'm going by Xyra now. she and he pronouns work.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1870645662305632765",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1870402194325025013",
   "created_at": "2024-12-21T09:33:28+00:00",
   "text": "that can actually allow us to shut shit down (in a pretty granular way too!) when we will inevitably desperately want to.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1870402194325025013",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1870402193117048998"
  },
  {
   "id": "1870402193117048998",
   "created_at": "2024-12-21T09:33:27+00:00",
   "text": "There's lots of different cryptographic governance schemes to improve game-theoretic dynamics, but even the simplest schemes seem like a plausibly workable escape hatch",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1870402193117048998",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1870402191716175995"
  },
  {
   "id": "1870402191716175995",
   "created_at": "2024-12-21T09:33:27+00:00",
   "text": "Why isn't Anthropic pushing for the US government to push Nvidia & co. to install compute governance features on their chips? In particular, I mean embedded modules on all chips that require ~weekly codes from international governing bodies in order to keep the chip operational.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1870402191716175995",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1870371126540640496",
   "created_at": "2024-12-21T07:30:01+00:00",
   "text": "the inevitability of this rapid and profound AI progress has been blindingly obvious since 2022.\n\nreading a single ML paper like MuZero and talking to GPT-3.5 should have been enough to get you worryingly interested in compute governance via hardware-based remote enforcement.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1870371126540640496",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1868230797213438087",
   "created_at": "2024-12-15T09:45:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sage_future_: Is AGI just around the corner or is AI scaling hitting a wall? To make this discourse more concrete, we’ve created a surv…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1868230797213438087",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1860539184420970729",
   "created_at": "2024-11-24T04:21:23+00:00",
   "text": "RT @DKokotajlo67142: METR released this new report today: https://t.co/mzzCVsW72T It is, unfortunately, causing me to think my AGI timeline…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1860539184420970729",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1860539068532293918",
   "created_at": "2024-11-24T04:20:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AISafetyMemes: 🐙 Today, a report shows AI agents are suddenly performing on par with TOP human AI researchers (!)\n\nRe-read that sentenc…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1860539068532293918",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1860538223686221910",
   "created_at": "2024-11-24T04:17:34+00:00",
   "text": "RT @eli_lifland: Takeaways re: AI R&D performance:\n1. Claude 3.5 Sonnet reaches ~50th percentile human baseline 8-hour performance.\n2. Sonn…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1860538223686221910",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1858441265773175117",
   "created_at": "2024-11-18T09:25:00+00:00",
   "text": "another absurdly awesome day spent at Lighthaven 😍",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1858441265773175117",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1854269612298580406",
   "created_at": "2024-11-06T21:08:20+00:00",
   "text": "RT @hankgreen: If you’re on Twitter right now, you are not the kind of person who is going to miss out on big picture analysis long-term.…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1854269612298580406",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1854141643760574765",
   "created_at": "2024-11-06T12:39:50+00:00",
   "text": "the horror is real",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1854141643760574765",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1854139905599025275",
   "created_at": "2024-11-06T12:32:56+00:00",
   "text": "horror",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1854139905599025275",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1853920816741957653",
   "created_at": "2024-11-05T22:02:21+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JohnMitnick: So why did the country not go completely off the rails last time? Because there were just enough senior officials who serv…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1853920816741957653",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1840946224448618776",
   "created_at": "2024-10-01T02:45:57+00:00",
   "text": "@Kpaxs this spoke to me, thanks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1840946224448618776",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1840941047641207063"
  },
  {
   "id": "1840702164139941963",
   "created_at": "2024-09-30T10:36:09+00:00",
   "text": "RT @emollick: The modern economy rests on a single road in Spruce Pine, North Carolina. The road runs to the two mines that is the sole sup…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1840702164139941963",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1840134336651350176",
   "created_at": "2024-09-28T20:59:48+00:00",
   "text": "perhaps, somatics",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1840134336651350176",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1836434397177979311"
  },
  {
   "id": "1839567471788818553",
   "created_at": "2024-09-27T07:27:17+00:00",
   "text": "RT @HumanHarlan: The world is actually quite fragile. Sometimes the world only gets to keep existing because individuals like Stanislav Pet…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1839567471788818553",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1839436306121941201",
   "created_at": "2024-09-26T22:46:05+00:00",
   "text": "RT @weidai11: \"Our goal is to advance digital intelligence in the way that is most  likely to benefit humanity as a whole, unconstrained by…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1839436306121941201",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1836640549711036763",
   "created_at": "2024-09-19T05:36:44+00:00",
   "text": "RT @cspan: AI expert Helen Toner (@hlntnr): \"If they succeed in building computers that are as smart as humans or perhaps far smarter than…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1836640549711036763",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1836449087849373949",
   "created_at": "2024-09-18T16:55:56+00:00",
   "text": "@frances__lorenz hard to imagine anything short of that leading to a proper \"shut it all down\" response",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1836449087849373949",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1836447424719786134"
  },
  {
   "id": "1836447424719786134",
   "created_at": "2024-09-18T16:49:20+00:00",
   "text": "@frances__lorenz my guess is that most people would need to see something profoundly viscerally (to system-1) dangerous and disorienting, if not grotesque. Like seeing videos of robots going rogue, moving very nimbly in alien ways trying to kill someone, with scientists screaming.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1836447424719786134",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1836361999535509737"
  },
  {
   "id": "1836434397177979311",
   "created_at": "2024-09-18T15:57:34+00:00",
   "text": "prosociality, epistemics, agency.\n\nIs there a fourth thing that fits in?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1836434397177979311",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1833591139653587290",
   "created_at": "2024-09-10T19:39:28+00:00",
   "text": "perhaps the Antikythera Mechanism and life work of EY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1833591139653587290",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1833350643286970379"
  },
  {
   "id": "1833350643286970379",
   "created_at": "2024-09-10T03:43:50+00:00",
   "text": "Name a more out-of-distribution event in human history than the making of The Act of Killing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1833350643286970379",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1832365105864175750",
   "created_at": "2024-09-07T10:27:39+00:00",
   "text": "I'd like to coin Not Actively Shooting Yourself In The Foot-ism (NASYITFI). It's a radical life improvement philosophy that involves prioritizing shooting yourself in the foot less, ideally not even at all.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1832365105864175750",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1827107260252012813",
   "created_at": "2024-08-23T22:14:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ESYudkowsky: Safely aligning a powerful AGI is difficult.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1827107260252012813",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1826499674607681629",
   "created_at": "2024-08-22T06:00:31+00:00",
   "text": "@IsaacKing314 I bet CO2 is the biggest factor",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1826499674607681629",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1826413094496571568"
  },
  {
   "id": "1825695999370867053",
   "created_at": "2024-08-20T00:47:00+00:00",
   "text": "I can also allow trusted third parties to review the prediction periodically so they could disclose if I am indeed wrong, and deserve some negative Bayes points.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1825695999370867053",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1825695998066438394"
  },
  {
   "id": "1825695998066438394",
   "created_at": "2024-08-20T00:47:00+00:00",
   "text": "I'm not setting a particular reveal date because I believe it's better for the world if such a practice remains a secret. I intend to disclose if I find I'm wrong, regardless of whether I can disclose the idea itself.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1825695998066438394",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1825695996845896037"
  },
  {
   "id": "1825695996845896037",
   "created_at": "2024-08-20T00:47:00+00:00",
   "text": "weak prediction about the existence of a secret OpenAI/Anthropic practice:\n\n504c8ef1aebdb86ffe04c5ffe8be57d78b482690942a2e033a25128eb03a6f0d",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1825695996845896037",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1820664117537243331",
   "created_at": "2024-08-06T03:32:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @fiiiiiist: This *single* shipment of smuggled AI chips is worth almost double the Bureau of Industry and Security's (BIS) budget for ex…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1820664117537243331",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1816371702462652840",
   "created_at": "2024-07-25T07:15:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JeffLadish: Is releasing 405B net good for the world? Our research at @PalisadeAI shows Llama 3 70B's safety fine-tuning can be strippe…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1816371702462652840",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1815977426431742261",
   "created_at": "2024-07-24T05:08:52+00:00",
   "text": "@22TrevorBingham this sort of project is how you get nuclear war. Top AI labs are surely scaring Xi and Putin enough. But a full Manhattan Project-level military AGI initiative under Trump could easily become more existentially terrifying than getting nuked in retaliation with certainty.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1815977426431742261",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1815875612193726800"
  },
  {
   "id": "1815910251243397520",
   "created_at": "2024-07-24T00:41:56+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nickcammarata: agree with most of my ai research peers on almost everything except I think fast takeoff is way more likely than they do…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1815910251243397520",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1814709600819855555",
   "created_at": "2024-07-20T17:10:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ajeya_cotra: I think this is true, but what's even more important is when GPT-2-sized models are as smart as GPT-4 is today, GPT-4-size…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1814709600819855555",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1808673434404278605",
   "created_at": "2024-07-04T01:25:24+00:00",
   "text": "@NielsHoven @amelapay @mechanical_monk dissolves into your fluids/blood and you breath most of it out",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1808673434404278605",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1808354213057253702"
  },
  {
   "id": "1806526492123574754",
   "created_at": "2024-06-28T03:14:14+00:00",
   "text": "@KellerScholl electing Trump",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1806526492123574754",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1806503738103804122"
  },
  {
   "id": "1805716600584388984",
   "created_at": "2024-06-25T21:36:00+00:00",
   "text": "@RomeoStevens76 @adimelamed_0 Why do you think it's low conscientious?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1805716600584388984",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1805095651073810509"
  },
  {
   "id": "1803524259513508143",
   "created_at": "2024-06-19T20:24:25+00:00",
   "text": "@VictorTaelin @francoisfleuret what scenarios do you have in mind where this is useful?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1803524259513508143",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1803499103621681607"
  },
  {
   "id": "1803331393545707812",
   "created_at": "2024-06-19T07:38:03+00:00",
   "text": "@RichardMCNgo I'm guessing they wanted to test how much they could nerf themselves and still end up securing a top Shapley value 😜.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1803331393545707812",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1803270591249805632"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802839742691569689",
   "created_at": "2024-06-17T23:04:24+00:00",
   "text": "@LouisVArge Leela Chess Zero input is 112 channels 8x8 each (~7k elements). Even if you go with half the channels per piece type, you are looking at ~27k elements.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802839742691569689",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1802538842240721194"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802538842240721194",
   "created_at": "2024-06-17T03:08:44+00:00",
   "text": "@LouisVArge and while compute is cheaper and algorithms are better than AlphaZero days, I don't think you have any room for bigger input sizes. minimum model input size is 7.1x that of chess (2.84x more piece types you probably want channels for, 2.5x more squares).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802538842240721194",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1802533572949201269"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802533572949201269",
   "created_at": "2024-06-17T02:47:47+00:00",
   "text": "@LouisVArge I think you'll at best end up with a \"Stockfish\" with a weird sense of game theory that doesn't generalize well to humans.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802533572949201269",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1802531078252757072"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802531078252757072",
   "created_at": "2024-06-17T02:37:53+00:00",
   "text": "@LouisVArge in theory, with enough human-like games and compute.\n\nbut there's no way there're enough quality human games to achieve strong performance against humans, so you'll have to rely mostly on self-play. and then if you aren't explicitly exploring human-like dynamics,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802531078252757072",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1802452925840589029"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802437256449569102",
   "created_at": "2024-06-16T20:25:04+00:00",
   "text": "@shauseth probably hard to beat Berkeley",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802437256449569102",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1802409338239365239"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802419918060896361",
   "created_at": "2024-06-16T19:16:10+00:00",
   "text": "@LouisVArge or not attacking a player who is not a threat to you so they can capture a piece before your threat can (it's a points game). Even taking a hung piece early game that is *not* temporary teamwork to prevent an early pawn promotion can stir up more animosity than it's worth.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802419918060896361",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1802415796741972268"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802415796741972268",
   "created_at": "2024-06-16T18:59:47+00:00",
   "text": "@LouisVArge A model that simply treats 3 players as ganging up on the other will quickly plateau against stronger human players that factor in temporary alliances, like deflecting some heat from the player opposite you so you don't end up alone and surrounded,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802415796741972268",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1802415542067986580"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802415542067986580",
   "created_at": "2024-06-16T18:58:47+00:00",
   "text": "@LouisVArge MCTS will need heavy modification to account for multi-agent interactions and strategies. some players are more defensive/offensive, grudge-prone, pro-social, prone to hanging pieces, interested in promoting pawns, etc.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802415542067986580",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1802408295220830324"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802408295220830324",
   "created_at": "2024-06-16T18:29:59+00:00",
   "text": "@LouisVArge be wary of 4 player Free-for-All chess, for it is an extremely complex game with heavy interpersonal dynamics, there is NO remotely decent engine for it, and it's probably possible to make a superhuman one with MuZero Unplugged if one is creative enough.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802408295220830324",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1802310675953295478"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802250656972943712",
   "created_at": "2024-06-16T08:03:35+00:00",
   "text": "When private AI is fueling some crazy real-world crises that are prompting a superpower to consider deploying its nuclear or biological arsenal, you'll be very glad if you have the ability to shut down unvetted compute for as long as necessary.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802250656972943712",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1802223237381968273"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802223237381968273",
   "created_at": "2024-06-16T06:14:38+00:00",
   "text": "Nvidia should already be having their advanced AI chips require periodic remote unlock codes to stay operational.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802223237381968273",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1802212480216973751"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802210029044461784",
   "created_at": "2024-06-16T05:22:09+00:00",
   "text": "DIY synthetic biology x-risk will also be skyrocketing in the next several years. I wouldn't be surprised if an unregistered private rig of 8x 4090s is a capital offense by 2033. The more we lock up compute today, the less global panopticon surveillance we will need.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802210029044461784",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1802205923127042471"
  },
  {
   "id": "1802205923127042471",
   "created_at": "2024-06-16T05:05:50+00:00",
   "text": "We need to lock down compute. Algorithmic progress is going to get crazier, and existentially dangerous model designs will be discovered and open sourced. Our main hope will be that unscrupulous people trying to build ASIs will not be able to scrounge up enough illegal compute. https://t.co/7J3JILNdhp",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1802205923127042471",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1801875558625906763",
   "created_at": "2024-06-15T07:13:05+00:00",
   "text": "tag yourself; I'm an AGI-grim eventualist. I'm technically an AI welfarist, but I think the utility of most people worrying about AI moral patienthood nowadays is very net negative. We need a great AI taboo, not people \"fraternizing with the enemy\". https://t.co/LKRf1feSAm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1801875558625906763",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1801498884335931681",
   "created_at": "2024-06-14T06:16:18+00:00",
   "text": "you can create your own AI views snapshot at: https://t.co/9dA1ECqNnv",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1801498884335931681",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1801496841470808159"
  },
  {
   "id": "1801496841470808159",
   "created_at": "2024-06-14T06:08:11+00:00",
   "text": "The amazing discussions I had at LessOnline shifted me from roughly \"dire\" to merely \"grim\" on AI x-risk! I now think there is real time for epistemic infrastructure to make the difference, and am pursuing a startup in this space. https://t.co/rAuV0GA3bN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1801496841470808159",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1799375484826091774",
   "created_at": "2024-06-08T09:38:41+00:00",
   "text": "RT @patio11: I cannot possibly underline this paragraph enough. https://t.co/qL1oiRgvxO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1799375484826091774",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1795958932340699351",
   "created_at": "2024-05-29T23:22:31+00:00",
   "text": "@felix_red_panda but guaranteed *lossless* compression ratios over 1 are impossible, and it sounds damning that the didn't run this as a lossy compression competition.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1795958932340699351",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1794555225862447541"
  },
  {
   "id": "1794555225862447541",
   "created_at": "2024-05-26T02:24:41+00:00",
   "text": "@felix_red_panda assuming 5mW power for computing and 5 fJ per multiply-accumulate or other op, you have 1 billion ops per millisecond to reduce 20 * 1024 10-bit datums to 1024 bits.\n\npossibly not too hard to lossy encode most of the valuable info,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1794555225862447541",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1794027648257020292"
  },
  {
   "id": "1791720381843444194",
   "created_at": "2024-05-18T06:40:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @liron: @janleike Thank you for speaking out Jan!!! https://t.co/PN17n5ceoj",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1791720381843444194",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1722195488940974591",
   "created_at": "2023-11-08T10:12:56+00:00",
   "text": "RT @NunoSempere: Here is a post discussing difficulties with using forecasting as a tool for making sense of AI progress: https://t.co/eaaC…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1722195488940974591",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1722191309321158878",
   "created_at": "2023-11-08T09:56:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EpistemicHope: Man, I would be so excited about the trajectory of the near future if it didn't seem likely to end in the destruction of…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1722191309321158878",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1717504775858827605",
   "created_at": "2023-10-26T11:33:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RishiSunak: LIVE: My speech on the risks and opportunities of AI https://t.co/LfOlJvISvO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1717504775858827605",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1717473075556671955",
   "created_at": "2023-10-26T09:27:44+00:00",
   "text": "@SpencrGreenberg In essence, it starts responses with a markdown table of Domain/Keywords/Goal/Assumptions/Methodology to more deliberately plan its “actual” response. This helps “warm it up” and also possibly allows it to go deeper later since it has a concise plan to refer back to.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1717473075556671955",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1717466976040452231"
  },
  {
   "id": "1717466976040452231",
   "created_at": "2023-10-26T09:03:30+00:00",
   "text": "@SpencrGreenberg I might have to try those! I’ve been getting great value out of https://t.co/Wt3iUSe6Tb",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1717466976040452231",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1717169489647739370"
  },
  {
   "id": "1716891227210371303",
   "created_at": "2023-10-24T18:55:41+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ciphergoth: Superb, precise demolition of the \"techno-optimist\" objection to AI safety from @mattyglesias. https://t.co/ue03yIsjF4 http…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1716891227210371303",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1716646644433723455",
   "created_at": "2023-10-24T02:43:48+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AndrewCritchCA: Why are AI labs asking for *governments* to regulate them, rather than just self-regulating? There’s a simple explanati…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1716646644433723455",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1716556054610522168",
   "created_at": "2023-10-23T20:43:50+00:00",
   "text": "@AGI_HeavenHell @dw2 Most people I know that are driven to do anything about existential risk from AI are simply driven by sound technical arguments. They are otherwise techno-optimists, many having signed up for cryonics.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1716556054610522168",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1716528830100176940"
  },
  {
   "id": "1714804488157208678",
   "created_at": "2023-10-19T00:43:44+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AISafetyMemes: Why are Metaculus markets now putting a 25% chance on AGI in the next 1.5 years?\n\nShit like this:\n\n“Hey GPT4-V, this is…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1714804488157208678",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1655909234800988162",
   "created_at": "2023-05-09T12:15:01+00:00",
   "text": "@reasonisfun If the distribution of moral value in our lightcone has a greater mean than median, increasing world diversification is essentially sampling more, which raises the expected value, no?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1655909234800988162",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1655905612642009088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1655905612642009088",
   "created_at": "2023-05-09T12:00:37+00:00",
   "text": "@reasonisfun As a proponent of the Many Worlds Interpretation, does he see any value in replacing PRNGs with QRNGs for the purpose of increasing world diversification?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1655905612642009088",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1655477264476168193"
  },
  {
   "id": "1653701658667540480",
   "created_at": "2023-05-03T10:02:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ESYudkowsky: Important contrary viewpoint: GPUs easier to control than nuclear materials. 🙏",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1653701658667540480",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1653545849056821249",
   "created_at": "2023-05-02T23:43:46+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Simeon_Cps: Compute is to AI what uranium is to nuclear. \nBut better. \n\nWhile uranium is a) not built by humans, b) available in >10 co…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1653545849056821249",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1653373978281656320",
   "created_at": "2023-05-02T12:20:49+00:00",
   "text": "@tasshinfogleman But pretty much anytime I could work for like 30 minutes and remove like 70% of the guilt gunk and feel a nice inner peace and improved vision, but then I’ll also feel kinda funky and tired, and my experience will mostly revert before too long.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1653373978281656320",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1653364831825854464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1653364831825854464",
   "created_at": "2023-05-02T11:44:28+00:00",
   "text": "@tasshinfogleman The greater the pressure of the back log, the easier it is to move them and fully clear them without them just escaping back to their repressed locations. Usually the pressure is low enough that the effort to release and clear them doesn’t feel particularly worth it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1653364831825854464",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1653363221498331136"
  },
  {
   "id": "1653363221498331136",
   "created_at": "2023-05-02T11:38:04+00:00",
   "text": "@tasshinfogleman If I actively assume a surrendered mental posture and kind of work at it, I can slowly release these sticky, painful repressed emotion-sensations from behind my face and the back of my head through to my chest where they eventually cathartically subside to varying degrees.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1653363221498331136",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1652783107244687366"
  },
  {
   "id": "1653349225714040832",
   "created_at": "2023-05-02T10:42:27+00:00",
   "text": "@Simeon_Cps Perhaps one could notice sudden changes in behavior in a number of researchers from the same lab. Like leaving the office at unusual hours, seeming manic, getting rich, posting outstanding content you wouldn’t expect them to.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1653349225714040832",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1652799558198460421"
  },
  {
   "id": "1653343249560637445",
   "created_at": "2023-05-02T10:18:42+00:00",
   "text": "@joe_zimmerman Bostrom, Yud, Soares, Sandberg, me",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1653343249560637445",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1653106212945416193"
  },
  {
   "id": "1643871219790520320",
   "created_at": "2023-04-06T07:00:15+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ESYudkowsky: 10 obvious reasons that the danger from AGI is way more serious than nuclear weapons:\n\n1)  Nuclear weapons are not smarter…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1643871219790520320",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1641359908452052992",
   "created_at": "2023-03-30T08:41:11+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JeffLadish: Eliezer Yudkowsky wrote an article in Time today calling for an indefinite moratorium on AGI development. While I don't agr…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1641359908452052992",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1613866932729679872",
   "created_at": "2023-01-13T11:53:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @CineraVerinia_2: To whom it may concern:\n\nMy opinion of/affect for Nick Bostrom was slightly raised (already very high) not lowered in…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1613866932729679872",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1607591319337340929",
   "created_at": "2022-12-27T04:16:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @KatjaGrace: I think people should think more about trying to slow down AI progress, if they believe it's going to destroy the world soo…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1607591319337340929",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1599742071933657089",
   "created_at": "2022-12-05T12:26:46+00:00",
   "text": "@rajatstweets @NLRG_it It's a 3 digit number and its middle digit is the sum of its first and last digits, so you know it's a multiple of 11.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1599742071933657089",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1599673397319192577"
  },
  {
   "id": "1599666457042124800",
   "created_at": "2022-12-05T07:26:18+00:00",
   "text": "@rajatstweets @NLRG_it 221 is 4 less than a perfect square, so you know the factors are 15 ± 2.\n\n8633 is a better candidate /s (89*97).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1599666457042124800",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1599596887447044099"
  },
  {
   "id": "1582010057755021318",
   "created_at": "2022-10-17T14:06:04+00:00",
   "text": "@ESYudkowsky @ngbrman If ANU's QRNG API is not convenient enough, I made an Automate flow for querying their API from notifications. https://t.co/c635dgsl8e https://t.co/j4YdACR0EZ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1582010057755021318",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1581852857208172544"
  },
  {
   "id": "1567304915403390977",
   "created_at": "2022-09-07T00:13:05+00:00",
   "text": "RT @reconfigurthing: it’s so frustrating because total utilitarianism is the START of the inquiry. then we can investigate the interesting…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1567304915403390977",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1529649458895462400",
   "created_at": "2022-05-26T02:23:45+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Chris_topian: “What new cause area should Open Philanthropy consider funding?” Today we’re launching the Cause Exploration Prizes to ga…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1529649458895462400",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1522742798297952256",
   "created_at": "2022-05-07T00:59:08+00:00",
   "text": "@nikosbosse A fully operational and stocked Ohio class (nuclear powered ballistic missile) submarine.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1522742798297952256",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1522700566555774976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1522491580677976065",
   "created_at": "2022-05-06T08:20:54+00:00",
   "text": "@eurydicelives Like I don't want to propagate great person-moments just because \"that'd be nice and is pretty self consistent, why not\", but because I think I truly ought to, and that nothing else is comparatively worth doing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1522491580677976065",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1522487002708398080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1522487002708398080",
   "created_at": "2022-05-06T08:02:42+00:00",
   "text": "@eurydicelives With some non-trivial probability: Some states of affairs are Preferable to others.  With slightly less probability: that my intuitions for these utilities are at least somewhat positively correlated with reality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1522487002708398080",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1520867457904246784"
  },
  {
   "id": "1498375313767612417",
   "created_at": "2022-02-28T19:11:27+00:00",
   "text": "@daniel_eth It just doesn't seem realistic that we'd use tactical nukes in a way that Russia could legitimately think they were existentially doomed and that the only option left is MAD.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1498375313767612417",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1498260905791950848"
  },
  {
   "id": "1498253219616608259",
   "created_at": "2022-02-28T11:06:18+00:00",
   "text": "@daniel_eth I saw that actually, I just think he's\n really potentially capable of becoming that cold, angry, and defeated at some point while still in power. But also, I struggle to imagine realistic scenarios where launching all the nukes isn't a giant fuck-you murder-suicide.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1498253219616608259",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1498237098549125121"
  },
  {
   "id": "1443906445305475081",
   "created_at": "2021-10-01T11:51:37+00:00",
   "text": "RT @XiXiDu: For the first time in human history there is a nonnegligible chance that you personally might reach longevity escape velocity.…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1443906445305475081",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1442237859801358343",
   "created_at": "2021-09-26T21:21:15+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl yet would still, often rationally, choose to move forward because of the huge potential upside.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1442237859801358343",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1442236286761242626"
  },
  {
   "id": "1442236286761242626",
   "created_at": "2021-09-26T21:15:00+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl Most minwage workers, on the other hand, probably recognize (but still underrate) a massive hard power differential in their potential sexual relationship w/ a billionaire,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1442236286761242626",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1442232612097966085"
  },
  {
   "id": "1442232612097966085",
   "created_at": "2021-09-26T21:00:24+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl the hard power differential isn't generally THAT much greater than that of regular asymmetric-wanting relationships.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1442232612097966085",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1442231993614286849"
  },
  {
   "id": "1442231993614286849",
   "created_at": "2021-09-26T20:57:57+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl Like many 16YOs and 85 IQs probably underestimate the extent to which they can be charismatically mislead and outwitted by 35YOs/150 IQs--the soft power differential, but when the illusion is over & they want to exit the relationship,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1442231993614286849",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1442213885814079488"
  },
  {
   "id": "1442213885814079488",
   "created_at": "2021-09-26T19:46:00+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl Definitely billionaire as not only do they have something they could give that many minwage workers could desperately want, but they can hire out substantial problem solving ability and have the funds to basically get away with doing whatever they want to any given poor person.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1442213885814079488",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1441967412497235975"
  },
  {
   "id": "1438341429424803840",
   "created_at": "2021-09-16T03:18:14+00:00",
   "text": "@rSanti97 the move is wearing hiking boots and a weighty pack while using hiking poles to maximize the workout and trail engagement while keeping ankle risk low",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1438341429424803840",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1438228304486621188"
  },
  {
   "id": "1438333767064637446",
   "created_at": "2021-09-16T02:47:47+00:00",
   "text": "@empathy2000 the backup plan",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1438333767064637446",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1438192912580370438"
  },
  {
   "id": "1438324690028843012",
   "created_at": "2021-09-16T02:11:43+00:00",
   "text": "@xuenay I don't think this pressure is reasonable when only their first-order preferences deviate from your preferences for them, because then they're outside of their control. 5\\",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1438324690028843012",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1438324257604440064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1438324257604440064",
   "created_at": "2021-09-16T02:10:00+00:00",
   "text": "@xuenay which have the same general flexibility of other beliefs, and along with impersonal neurobiological chance, control first-order preferences. 4\\",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1438324257604440064",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1438323889210331139"
  },
  {
   "id": "1438323889210331139",
   "created_at": "2021-09-16T02:08:32+00:00",
   "text": "@xuenay to pressure/convince someone into putting some limited amount of effort into reconciling some of your second-order preferences (what you prefer to prefer), 3\\",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1438323889210331139",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1438323488130015235"
  },
  {
   "id": "1438323488130015235",
   "created_at": "2021-09-16T02:06:56+00:00",
   "text": "@xuenay I think it can sometimes be appropriate to apply some level of sanctions and/or personally-costly signal below some circumstantial maximum (usually well below withdrawing all of one's social support) 2\\",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1438323488130015235",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1438323136806768650"
  },
  {
   "id": "1438323136806768650",
   "created_at": "2021-09-16T02:05:33+00:00",
   "text": "@xuenay Because differences in preferences can seem much more costly to one party than another, and because saying \"X is the EV of us trying to hash this out for 1 hour\" can be too weak of a signal in a noisy world with unreliable people and limited time, 1\\",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1438323136806768650",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1437878876131282949"
  },
  {
   "id": "1437697159051218944",
   "created_at": "2021-09-14T08:38:08+00:00",
   "text": "@mauve_sky Kinesis Advantage 2 keyboard.\nLogitech MX Vertical mouse.\nM1 Mac.\n27\" 4k monitor with a monitor arm. https://t.co/NTZoRFGr2C",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1437697159051218944",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1437641967119241218"
  },
  {
   "id": "1436759015145545729",
   "created_at": "2021-09-11T18:30:17+00:00",
   "text": "@ch402 Such harm can be estimated from privacy-preserving indoor/personal sound-level meters, cortisol monitors, sleep cycle monitors, etc. as well as historical willingness to pay/accept surveys.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1436759015145545729",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1436756936968577030"
  },
  {
   "id": "1436756936968577030",
   "created_at": "2021-09-11T18:22:02+00:00",
   "text": "@ch402 He's fined some personalized, deterring, somewhat-restituting amount, and the funds are distributed to those negatively affected in proportion to their harm.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1436756936968577030",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1436756641567887362"
  },
  {
   "id": "1436756641567887362",
   "created_at": "2021-09-11T18:20:51+00:00",
   "text": "@ch402 Like that jackass who decided to rev his motorcycle above 80 dB in your charter city when he wasn't about to seemingly be rear-ended?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1436756641567887362",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1436756185835790341"
  },
  {
   "id": "1436756185835790341",
   "created_at": "2021-09-11T18:19:02+00:00",
   "text": "@ch402 Assuming it's implemented well and voluntarily in private communities, the automatic detection, attribution, and perhaps, restitution of needless disturbances of the peace.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1436756185835790341",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1436537245402427397"
  },
  {
   "id": "1436370904527872000",
   "created_at": "2021-09-10T16:48:04+00:00",
   "text": "@DanGMartin1 Haha awesome, thanks! I misinterpreted otherwise last night so I feel relieved.\n\nGiven my prior that TCivs (and GCs) as a whole are net-Utilitous, your paper seems to then be spectacularly great news!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1436370904527872000",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1436350773575684098"
  },
  {
   "id": "1436344659861778433",
   "created_at": "2021-09-10T15:03:47+00:00",
   "text": "@DanGMartin1 Amazing paper!\n\nOne question, sans successful SETI efforts, the paper doesn't suggest what R (our probability of transitioning to a GC) should be, right?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1436344659861778433",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1436264737663332369"
  },
  {
   "id": "1436091921114533894",
   "created_at": "2021-09-09T22:19:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robinhanson: Our grabby aliens paper has been accepted by the prestigious Astrophysical Journal! \n\n\"we actually have enough data to say…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1436091921114533894",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1436018145404272641",
   "created_at": "2021-09-09T17:26:20+00:00",
   "text": "@SpencrGreenberg Even working on super innocent projects we all currently enjoy the benefits of such as fast, optimizing compilers like LLVM isn't unambiguously good in the grand scheme of things. Faster code development and execution could easily increase power more than wisdom.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1436018145404272641",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1436010721859588100"
  },
  {
   "id": "1436010721859588100",
   "created_at": "2021-09-09T16:56:50+00:00",
   "text": "@SpencrGreenberg Just because current human welfare is better than its ever been due to mostly unfettered tech R&D and we have much uncertainty about Pr(xrisk | Y tech R&D) doesn't mean arbitrary tech R&D can be assumed to be good.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1436010721859588100",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1436009996362387464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1436009996362387464",
   "created_at": "2021-09-09T16:53:57+00:00",
   "text": "@SpencrGreenberg The value-in-slowing-some-technological-development aspect of differential progress.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1436009996362387464",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1435961764013817860"
  },
  {
   "id": "1434939238148198401",
   "created_at": "2021-09-06T17:59:08+00:00",
   "text": "It's plausible that each day, your actions affect more expected utility than the sum total instantiated utility that has ever been realized.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1434939238148198401",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1381100371150430208",
   "created_at": "2021-04-11T04:22:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nickcammarata: The effectiveness of interventions in many parts of life (diet, exercise, romance) follows a power law\n\nAnd it turns out…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1381100371150430208",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1378294896210022407",
   "created_at": "2021-04-03T10:34:45+00:00",
   "text": "@TrevorVossberg while with total density comparisons, it seems easier to pick some arbitrary ratio like 2x and adjust the intervals until that ratio feels like the case",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1378294896210022407",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1378291962109775872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1378291962109775872",
   "created_at": "2021-04-03T10:23:05+00:00",
   "text": "@TrevorVossberg yeah I think the key benefit of average density comparisons is not having to consider where to stop an interval so you can just prioritize focus on the relative values of two homogenous intervals, and I guess save yourself the multiplication by relative length.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1378291962109775872",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1378253014285352960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1378287728761077760",
   "created_at": "2021-04-03T10:06:16+00:00",
   "text": "@TrevorVossberg yeah that’s exactly what I mean",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1378287728761077760",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1378251274521559042"
  },
  {
   "id": "1375404653316218881",
   "created_at": "2021-03-26T11:09:57+00:00",
   "text": "@ellegist liquify the soil with vibrators and water jets and sink it deep into the ground",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1375404653316218881",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1375386517024219138"
  },
  {
   "id": "1375190257977585670",
   "created_at": "2021-03-25T20:58:01+00:00",
   "text": "@philosophytweet that more likely than not, we’ll nearly miss out on realizing even a fraction of the universe’s extraordinary potential",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1375190257977585670",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1374725701937545216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1373129702408290306",
   "created_at": "2021-03-20T04:30:07+00:00",
   "text": "@ellegist I’m unusually physically balanced between strength and endurance? Like I once deadlifted 2.2x my bodyweight w/out training a few days after running a 1:29 half marathon & less than 2 weeks after a sub 5 hour half-ironman.\n\n(My mom ran ultramarathons and my dad does bodybuilding.)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1373129702408290306",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1372981776201752585"
  },
  {
   "id": "1371998714714226690",
   "created_at": "2021-03-17T01:35:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ATabarrok: Maximize Expected Utility >> Precautionary Principle.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1371998714714226690",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1371375674699571201",
   "created_at": "2021-03-15T08:20:14+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian WP crushed my soul though & most of the love I had for the Army, & when I realized I really wouldn’t be able to start doing much of the work I wanted to do until like 2028, I just started considering if my comparative advantage was elsewhere, and determined that it probably was.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1371375674699571201",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1371375414891872261"
  },
  {
   "id": "1371375414891872261",
   "created_at": "2021-03-15T08:19:12+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian The best I could do was get appointed and accepted to West Point, and work in an E-6 operations position until I left.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1371375414891872261",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1371374155719798789"
  },
  {
   "id": "1371374155719798789",
   "created_at": "2021-03-15T08:14:12+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian would have had some efficient screening process I could’ve submitted myself to to be fast-tracked to become an Operations Research / System Analysis officer or similar.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1371374155719798789",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1371370477352931330"
  },
  {
   "id": "1371370477352931330",
   "created_at": "2021-03-15T07:59:35+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian 100%. When I was enlisted, I quickly became obsessed with the idea of leading and improving the Army from higher echelons. I was reading all sorts of doctrine and Army publications, leadership books, think tank analyses, etc., and if the Army knew any better,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1371370477352931330",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1371343439577501698"
  },
  {
   "id": "1366491004191141890",
   "created_at": "2021-03-01T20:50:18+00:00",
   "text": "@SpectralTheorem @kaschuta Thanks! Yeah I wasn’t paraphrasing anything I can recall having heard/read, besides Hebb’s Rule ofc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1366491004191141890",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1363693733284208644"
  },
  {
   "id": "1366109393712914433",
   "created_at": "2021-02-28T19:33:55+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson which implies the jumper’s counterfactual differential instrumental value can easily surpass the very likely < 2.8 days of lost life, especially given the intellectual-output risks of long-COVID.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1366109393712914433",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1366088541105647617"
  },
  {
   "id": "1366088541105647617",
   "created_at": "2021-02-28T18:11:03+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson A. Human instrumental value is plausibly ~log-normally distributed and far greater, generally, than human intrinsic value, which is plausibly ~normally distributed.  Successfully pulling strings to jump the queue is evidence for high intelligence & conscientiousness,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1366088541105647617",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1366068501375574017"
  },
  {
   "id": "1366019328198332421",
   "created_at": "2021-02-28T13:36:01+00:00",
   "text": "@Richard_Vixen perhaps women are more disturbed by intrasexual critiques as they're somewhat inegalitarian, and perhaps often cross their threshold for suspecting they may become the target of that person’s derogation.\n\nrelated:\nhttps://t.co/3Tg38QT4oC",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1366019328198332421",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1366019010576359427"
  },
  {
   "id": "1366019010576359427",
   "created_at": "2021-02-28T13:34:46+00:00",
   "text": "@Richard_Vixen a guess: given that female intrasexual competition generally involves much more indirect aggression, which by its covert nature warrants a lower signal detection threshold,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1366019010576359427",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1365732487557693444"
  },
  {
   "id": "1363618004391497729",
   "created_at": "2021-02-21T22:34:01+00:00",
   "text": "@kaschuta remember that neurons that fire together wire together, and learn to notice how arbitrary and flexible many of your beliefs and preferences are.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1363618004391497729",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1363577556709093377"
  },
  {
   "id": "1363291955698958336",
   "created_at": "2021-02-21T00:58:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ezraklein: I long for the day when we get some granular control over newsfeed algorithms. I want to tell Twitter who I'd like to see mo…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1363291955698958336",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1363190956791537666",
   "created_at": "2021-02-20T18:17:05+00:00",
   "text": "diamond hands, but for when to release the reigns on your unproven FAI that seems slightly better than others in development",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1363190956791537666",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1363114749739810821",
   "created_at": "2021-02-20T13:14:16+00:00",
   "text": "@HarryStebbings https://t.co/8nuoUL5hX6 is up there",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1363114749739810821",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1363084200786690048"
  },
  {
   "id": "1363020401907957761",
   "created_at": "2021-02-20T06:59:22+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK that deliberately assessing the effects of strategies on influence-enhancing goods like money, prestige, and dominance is under-rated (at least amongst people with marginally-endorsable preferences).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1363020401907957761",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1363019959215869959"
  },
  {
   "id": "1363019959215869959",
   "created_at": "2021-02-20T06:57:36+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK But I’d agree that it’s generally under-recognized how much one’s capacity to fulfill one’s preferences (the satisfaction of which plausibly generally roughly track to Utility) depends on one’s capacity to influence other humans, and ...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1363019959215869959",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1363019675152441345"
  },
  {
   "id": "1363019675152441345",
   "created_at": "2021-02-20T06:56:28+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I’d say that only maximizing Utility (whatever that is) matters, and that instances of good/bad qualia, like those associated with the nervous system of an exuberant human, are the reasonable best guess atm of what changes the total Utility score.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1363019675152441345",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1362832556001959936"
  },
  {
   "id": "1361501359346917377",
   "created_at": "2021-02-16T02:23:14+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Like the EC is problematic because it redistributes voting power non-arbitrarily. I don’t think there’d be a problem if the EC instead consisted of 538 equally-sized groups of completely random Americans.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1361501359346917377",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1361500916117987328"
  },
  {
   "id": "1361500916117987328",
   "created_at": "2021-02-16T02:21:28+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Under the EC, your typical randomly-selected voter has less voting power, but the mean voting power among ordinary voters is still the same, sans faithless electors or a tie in the EC.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1361500916117987328",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1361496307253219332"
  },
  {
   "id": "1361496232967901184",
   "created_at": "2021-02-16T02:02:51+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian The EC doesn’t remove voter intentionality from the election (like e.g. picking the candidate, in the event of a tie, based on some sortable quality like max SAT score or height), it just unequally redistributes voting power/probability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1361496232967901184",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1361494769558450180"
  },
  {
   "id": "1361494769558450180",
   "created_at": "2021-02-16T01:57:03+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian I think that depends on your conception of a random American.  Is being from a small state random/arbitrary enough to warrant one having a greater probability of deciding the election? What about being appointed as an elector or elected to Congress?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1361494769558450180",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1361481596935696386"
  },
  {
   "id": "1358638796430925824",
   "created_at": "2021-02-08T04:48:26+00:00",
   "text": "@Plinz everybody can have ~100k characters, and likes can transfer ~25 characters",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1358638796430925824",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1358630070911344645"
  },
  {
   "id": "1357964626953031681",
   "created_at": "2021-02-06T08:09:31+00:00",
   "text": "@mattyglesias that makes it cooler",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1357964626953031681",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1357708825265123337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1357632391443959810",
   "created_at": "2021-02-05T10:09:20+00:00",
   "text": "RT @oughtinc: We're beta testing research assistant features in @elicitorg using GPT-3. You can now:\n\n1. Find relevant think tank publicati…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1357632391443959810",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1357185908663984129",
   "created_at": "2021-02-04T04:35:10+00:00",
   "text": "@gworley3 hope so! I wish there was a more incremental way to so this. like a browser extension that filters tweets from a person on your feed with X probability, and you can easily adjust X.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1357185908663984129",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1357181507761106948"
  },
  {
   "id": "1357147575791460354",
   "created_at": "2021-02-04T02:02:51+00:00",
   "text": "@miftah___ra in cultures where people readily point out each others’ weaknesses for laughs, a lot of the relief behind the joke, besides remembering when we aren’t the butt of the joke, is remembering that everyone is actually tight enough to put up with that level of bs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1357147575791460354",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1357144717754966016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1357144717754966016",
   "created_at": "2021-02-04T01:51:29+00:00",
   "text": "@miftah___ra dark humor is funny because while we visualize the perspective of the butt of the joke, part of us literally believes we are them & the story is true, so we’re then relieved when we remember that’s not the case, or if the story is true, that at least we aren’t them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1357144717754966016",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1357141624472543232"
  },
  {
   "id": "1357141624472543232",
   "created_at": "2021-02-04T01:39:12+00:00",
   "text": "@miftah___ra accordingly, intellectual jokes are funny when you realize that you and the joke teller actually aren’t as mutually unintelligible as it seemed for a moment.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1357141624472543232",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1357136316849299458"
  },
  {
   "id": "1357136316849299458",
   "created_at": "2021-02-04T01:18:06+00:00",
   "text": "@miftah___ra I suspect that humor is, at its core, an adaptive response to recognizing that a bad situation isn’t so. It’s a hard-to-fake signal to others, as well as the slower parts of oneself, that one thinks things are actually okay.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1357136316849299458",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1357040327240994816"
  },
  {
   "id": "1357105624266526723",
   "created_at": "2021-02-03T23:16:09+00:00",
   "text": "@ChloeSolanders Utilitarianism isn’t anti-punishment, it’s just anti-retributivism. It can still even endorse retribution-like punishment though, eg if Alice committed a grave crime because the world was ending in 1 hour, & figured utilitarian Bob wouldn’t see the deterrence value of punishment.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1357105624266526723",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1357071624894246912"
  },
  {
   "id": "1357071624894246912",
   "created_at": "2021-02-03T21:01:03+00:00",
   "text": "@ChloeSolanders nah, thievery is generally very costly, and thieves should generally be punished for deterrence reasons.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1357071624894246912",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1356345208087080960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1356146106816552963",
   "created_at": "2021-02-01T07:43:22+00:00",
   "text": "@keithwynroe whoops lol, closed form is just p(n) = Fibonacci(n+2)/2^n",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1356146106816552963",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1356085268109881344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1356085268109881344",
   "created_at": "2021-02-01T03:41:37+00:00",
   "text": "@keithwynroe g(1) = 1, g(n) = g(n-1) - Fibonacci(n-1)/2^n",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1356085268109881344",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1355965172020609024"
  },
  {
   "id": "1353620392963805184",
   "created_at": "2021-01-25T08:27:05+00:00",
   "text": "@daniel_filan that looks to be about 1000 microCOVIDs now, are you sure? I think it’s easy to underrate exercise, but I feel like the costs of COVID for someone working on AI alignment given the risk of long COVID brain fog is substantial.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1353620392963805184",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1353612249605136385"
  },
  {
   "id": "1353258892428369921",
   "created_at": "2021-01-24T08:30:36+00:00",
   "text": "@DaltonDEmery https://t.co/2CWCciGx1b",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1353258892428369921",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1353053305384169475"
  },
  {
   "id": "1351939008020922368",
   "created_at": "2021-01-20T17:05:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ciphergoth: Two minutes ago, the nuclear codes in the briefcase next to  Donald Trump were deactivated. *huge sigh of relief*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1351939008020922368",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1350595949052088321",
   "created_at": "2021-01-17T00:09:01+00:00",
   "text": "Who would have guessed, when you were growing up and reading about wizards, demigods, and other heroes, that you would end up on a path to realizing more value in your universe than all of them (that I know of) did in theirs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1350595949052088321",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1350593778348818433"
  },
  {
   "id": "1350593778348818433",
   "created_at": "2021-01-17T00:00:24+00:00",
   "text": "Do you ever appreciate how cool it is to know what it's like to be a Great ape AND one of the universe's all-time best shots for instantiating even a fraction of its extraordinary potential?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1350593778348818433",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1350578163156283394",
   "created_at": "2021-01-16T22:58:21+00:00",
   "text": "get in loser, we’re going cosmic-endowment-realizing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1350578163156283394",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1350549287822782464",
   "created_at": "2021-01-16T21:03:36+00:00",
   "text": "@MaxCRoser It needs to be as easy as possible for people to meaningfully express their preferences and probabilistic knowledge about things.  Then we can start drastically boosting the signal of accurate and useful beliefs and possible actions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1350549287822782464",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1350546897438605314"
  },
  {
   "id": "1350546897438605314",
   "created_at": "2021-01-16T20:54:06+00:00",
   "text": "@MaxCRoser I'd probably spend at least a few hundred million on work to improve our collective epistemics, including the R&D of better forecasting methodologies and infrastructure, and thus practical prior and preference elicitation and propagation mechanisms.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1350546897438605314",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1350480046545391618"
  },
  {
   "id": "1350416409449271299",
   "created_at": "2021-01-16T12:15:36+00:00",
   "text": "RT @patrickc: An astounding failure of policy and governance. Books will be written about it. https://t.co/x4wkI6swd6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1350416409449271299",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1347645841410908160",
   "created_at": "2021-01-08T20:46:21+00:00",
   "text": "@peterhurford that’s legit AF 💪",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1347645841410908160",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1347320366998446081"
  },
  {
   "id": "1347637268463316993",
   "created_at": "2021-01-08T20:12:17+00:00",
   "text": "@JimDMiller I’m still interested in the idea here: https://t.co/UGXQPQczl2 https://t.co/y8QcGsF0kq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1347637268463316993",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1347583866467442691"
  },
  {
   "id": "1347471775802687492",
   "created_at": "2021-01-08T09:14:40+00:00",
   "text": "@ClayShentrup Sounds like you should definitely check out Julia if you haven’t already",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1347471775802687492",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1345201117769023488"
  },
  {
   "id": "1347070366976413696",
   "created_at": "2021-01-07T06:39:37+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Taniel: The 121 House members, all Republicans, who voted to overturn the Arizona election: https://t.co/GpmINn1k7T",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1347070366976413696",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1347057166092406784",
   "created_at": "2021-01-07T05:47:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ESYudkowsky: Yes, the insurrectionists are clearly LARPing, but what people don't realize is how many governments get started as LARPs…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1347057166092406784",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1347043702456258560",
   "created_at": "2021-01-07T04:53:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ciphergoth: I was pretty uncertain about \"impeach him again\" until I read this tweet. Impeach him again. Right now.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1347043702456258560",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1347043566221107202",
   "created_at": "2021-01-07T04:53:07+00:00",
   "text": "@micsolana Who is calling for violence? I’ve only seen people calling for laws to be enforced to lower the probability of this kind of behavior repeating and escalating.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1347043566221107202",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1346906326329397251"
  },
  {
   "id": "1347039415667867648",
   "created_at": "2021-01-07T04:36:38+00:00",
   "text": "I see takes highlighting how fundamentally innocent and naive these stormers are, as if to call for special compassion in any legal proceedings.\n\nThis is true all the time though. Punishment never necessitates hate or spite, it's just what you have to do to deter costly behavior.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1347039415667867648",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1347030757663940608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1347030757663940608",
   "created_at": "2021-01-07T04:02:13+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/d6Zjns5fgm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1347030757663940608",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1347027700737732608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1347027700737732608",
   "created_at": "2021-01-07T03:50:05+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/rKAVzg5dbk\n\nSounds like at least insurrection, and maybe seditious conspiracy.\n\nBiden's AG should ofc prioritize the bigger fish first, including every lawmaker & Trump govt official who backed this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1347027700737732608",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1346760155044540417",
   "created_at": "2021-01-06T10:06:57+00:00",
   "text": "Get fucked @Perduesenate, @KLoeffler, @senatemajldr, & @GOP",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1346760155044540417",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1346324977557987329",
   "created_at": "2021-01-05T05:17:42+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer No I totally get that! I'm not trying to outright dismiss it, just was sharing my prior that I guess was pretty uninformative.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1346324977557987329",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1346321030109913094"
  },
  {
   "id": "1346316637436137472",
   "created_at": "2021-01-05T04:44:34+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer Or rather, it's spawned entirely from that sentiment, and there's nothing theoretically interesting going on behind it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1346316637436137472",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1346315247284416514"
  },
  {
   "id": "1346315247284416514",
   "created_at": "2021-01-05T04:39:02+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer Seems to me like the sentiment that LessWrong and its core ideas promise more than they deliver. It feels quite like the confusion so many folks have about utilitarianism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1346315247284416514",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1346280005777686530"
  },
  {
   "id": "1345174501089103879",
   "created_at": "2021-01-02T01:06:07+00:00",
   "text": "RT @benskuhn: How are you going to improve the world this year?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1345174501089103879",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1345123045258608645",
   "created_at": "2021-01-01T21:41:39+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl The subset of qualia I find myself willing to make sacrifices for *not* to experience.\n\nSometimes, it characterizes person-moments to the point where they're clearly less preferable than experiencing nothing at all.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1345123045258608645",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1344863798209912832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1343711464654131201",
   "created_at": "2020-12-29T00:12:32+00:00",
   "text": "@rothosphere Like regardless of what exactly is going on behind qualia, the action-relevant insight for most should be that humans have an absurdly preferable option on the table: max. Pr(eventually colonizing the universe in an extremely ideal away).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1343711464654131201",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1343700315967614976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1343700315967614976",
   "created_at": "2020-12-28T23:28:14+00:00",
   "text": "@rothosphere This allows us to infer that the universe can support, and that we could realize, states of affairs well over 1e60 times as preferable as the sum of value any one of us could ever experience.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1343700315967614976",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1343696677664800768"
  },
  {
   "id": "1343696677664800768",
   "created_at": "2020-12-28T23:13:47+00:00",
   "text": "@rothosphere I don't know, but the underrated things about 'qualia' is that we can produce fairly consistent preference orderings over diverse bundles of them, and make calibrated inferences about which physical happenings cause them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1343696677664800768",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1342342855600209921"
  },
  {
   "id": "1343674652179066880",
   "created_at": "2020-12-28T21:46:16+00:00",
   "text": "@ernestosakurai @yashkaf I'm still very open to other explanations, but it seems surprisingly plausible (still Pr < .1) that Moloch/accident is to blame, and that there's just a ton of money lying around on the table here for whoever can build such polished software & convince eg Nvidia to use it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1343674652179066880",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1343671086391541760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1343671086391541760",
   "created_at": "2020-12-28T21:32:05+00:00",
   "text": "@ernestosakurai @yashkaf I'd be more sympathetic to this if it were clear to me that there exists highly polished direct-to-consumer auction software, and that this has ever been used in a high-demand, mass-market product launch.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1343671086391541760",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1333013212476940289"
  },
  {
   "id": "1343665231784857601",
   "created_at": "2020-12-28T21:08:50+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Unless we are putting my epistemic  picks in charge of the weights, or have already effectively designed the system to be a slow, human-powered AGI that will evolve us to Infinity, I'm pretty wary that it would just cement people's trash priors more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1343665231784857601",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1343660034526306304"
  },
  {
   "id": "1343660034526306304",
   "created_at": "2020-12-28T20:48:10+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I'm curious to read about robust, error correcting mechanisms for this. Like how to incentivize & measure accurate data upload, how to efficiently elicit accurate utilities & probabilities, etc.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1343660034526306304",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1343651843474399233"
  },
  {
   "id": "1343489122644553729",
   "created_at": "2020-12-28T09:29:02+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Scaling up to the govt level anytime soon sounds like a terribly risky idea, but I could imagine private versions of this that are net-positive in expectation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1343489122644553729",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1342990868110839808"
  },
  {
   "id": "1343332353259683840",
   "created_at": "2020-12-27T23:06:05+00:00",
   "text": "\"Talking out loud to yourself is a technology for thinking\"\nhttps://t.co/N2k2svWXEJ\n\nI do this almost daily, generally on walks, as it's often as helpful to me as writing for solving problems and clarifying thoughts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1343332353259683840",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1342031188773412865",
   "created_at": "2020-12-24T08:55:43+00:00",
   "text": "@ESYudkowsky Sleeping on the floor as it overall seems to feel better.\n\nGoing to my bookmark chrome://history/syncedTabs on my computer to open all my phone's tabs to process them faster.\n\nHaving a gallon jug of water by my desk and bed as a convenient backup.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1342031188773412865",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1341928745121169409"
  },
  {
   "id": "1342002291524550659",
   "created_at": "2020-12-24T07:00:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @dfrsrchtwts: I have a podcast. It's called AXRP, pronounced 'axe-urp' (short for AI X-risk Research Podcast). I interview researchers a…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1342002291524550659",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1341448553130954754",
   "created_at": "2020-12-22T18:20:32+00:00",
   "text": "@MarkLutter How regular are these intervals? Is it exactly periodic?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1341448553130954754",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1341390991106990089"
  },
  {
   "id": "1341177029236936705",
   "created_at": "2020-12-22T00:21:36+00:00",
   "text": "@Vauung Pigou tax setter.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1341177029236936705",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1341106540623900673"
  },
  {
   "id": "1340515997413830656",
   "created_at": "2020-12-20T04:34:54+00:00",
   "text": "@konop @keithwynroe @webdevMason Dude, you can want money and attention without wanting sex.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1340515997413830656",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1340487244650450945"
  },
  {
   "id": "1339330164392521728",
   "created_at": "2020-12-16T22:02:49+00:00",
   "text": "@WiringTheBrain @dr_appie @uk_biobank and I bet less cultural enforcement of right-handedness explains the general increase for both (rather than from changes in biology from eg modern pollutants).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1339330164392521728",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1328599735012306944"
  },
  {
   "id": "1336021793090449409",
   "created_at": "2020-12-07T18:56:32+00:00",
   "text": "RT @metaculus: We’re thrilled to launch Forecasting AI Progress, the largest-ever tournament focused on predicting advances in AI. Become a…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1336021793090449409",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1335628207882706945",
   "created_at": "2020-12-06T16:52:34+00:00",
   "text": "@keithwynroe @dataBiryani @thienan496 Imagine if the scenario was with 100 trillion fair coins. Would you still rather know the first coin toss over whether H>T?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1335628207882706945",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1335592498429906944"
  },
  {
   "id": "1334388370688991233",
   "created_at": "2020-12-03T06:45:53+00:00",
   "text": "@uncatherio Not enough people talk about how good it can feel!\n\nSpine clearly loves hard surface.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1334388370688991233",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1334349207793147904"
  },
  {
   "id": "1334223827937632256",
   "created_at": "2020-12-02T19:52:03+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @Plinz @tobyordoxford I'd even argue, as have others, that in such a multipolar world with so many profoundly epistemically/ethically weak/confused agents, P(redirecting asteroid(s) to *hit* Earth | asteroid redirection capabilities) > P(redirecting asteroid away | same capabilities).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1334223827937632256",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1334215326137978880"
  },
  {
   "id": "1333362993531297792",
   "created_at": "2020-11-30T10:51:25+00:00",
   "text": "@keithwynroe I guess that's only coherent to ask with computational time/space/energy constraints.  E.g. the reward utility has to be substantial to justify sampling from say, uniform(1,2^1000000).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1333362993531297792",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1333357448766267394"
  },
  {
   "id": "1333357448766267394",
   "created_at": "2020-11-30T10:29:23+00:00",
   "text": "@keithwynroe Oh that's neat.\n\nI guess the better agents can model eachother, & the greater number of expected future trials there are, the higher they can extend their distribution to sample from.\n\nWhat kind of distro selection algorithms might very similar, very capable agents use?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1333357448766267394",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1333020990813720576"
  },
  {
   "id": "1333005785140346881",
   "created_at": "2020-11-29T11:11:59+00:00",
   "text": "@keithwynroe Randomly choose from {1,2,3} with 1/3 probability?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1333005785140346881",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1332658360324411392"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332923872593625088",
   "created_at": "2020-11-29T05:46:30+00:00",
   "text": "RT @foundmyfitness: Enough is enough. It’s time for vitamin D, which is low risk, to be strongly considered as a crucial factor in COVID-19…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332923872593625088",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1332907598819987456",
   "created_at": "2020-11-29T04:41:50+00:00",
   "text": "@SimoneWebbUCL that and might well be .3% more likely to commit a murder because \"if caught, they won't even be that hated.\" When you account for lost instrumental value, the threshold is much lower.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332907598819987456",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1332905866580791303"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332905866580791303",
   "created_at": "2020-11-29T04:34:57+00:00",
   "text": "@SimoneWebbUCL Suppose they stay in jail, but it becomes publically known that they worked with the victims' families to restore things.  How much good could possibly do? Maybe .05 QALY per year for 3 family members discounted by .01 per year? That's 16.5 QALYs & now potential murderers see",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332905866580791303",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1332904487493586947"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332904487493586947",
   "created_at": "2020-11-29T04:29:28+00:00",
   "text": "@SimoneWebbUCL Like for a murderer of 100 people, a minimal restoration requires what, maybe 6000 QALYs in addition to all the instrumental value not realized through the victims (maybe millions)? I can't see how they could come close to this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332904487493586947",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1332900371761532930"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332900371761532930",
   "created_at": "2020-11-29T04:13:07+00:00",
   "text": "@SimoneWebbUCL Assuming universal restorative justice advocates wholly agree with a simultaneous need for deterrence, I still think they should sympathize more with retributivists for extreme crimes because the utility really probably is in maximal deterrence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332900371761532930",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1332897017278828545"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332898443807784960",
   "created_at": "2020-11-29T04:05:27+00:00",
   "text": "Anyone know good explanations for this? https://t.co/zN1mJy1LL7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332898443807784960",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1332897017278828545",
   "created_at": "2020-11-29T03:59:47+00:00",
   "text": "@SimoneWebbUCL Thus, a judicial policy without deterrence via punishment would often lead to worse state of affairs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332897017278828545",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1332888806685491200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332888806685491200",
   "created_at": "2020-11-29T03:27:10+00:00",
   "text": "@SimoneWebbUCL Restorative justice (i.e. aligning perpetrator and victim utility functions to max future utility) works *with* punishment &  reduces the need for it, but it can't wholly replace it.  Even with perfect U function alignment, some perpetrators cannot adequately restore utility.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332888806685491200",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1332604470614691841"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332621714203688963",
   "created_at": "2020-11-28T09:45:50+00:00",
   "text": "@yashkaf I still don't fully understand why suppliers of such high demand goods don't auction off their supply in batches.\n\nThey lose out on so much profit just to subsidize 'random' people getting a product at a below market rate.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332621714203688963",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1332567276990525441"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332157946692714496",
   "created_at": "2020-11-27T03:02:59+00:00",
   "text": "@bdowney @ZachWeiner It could in principle be ethical to do challenge trials for bad pandemics even *without* consent.\n\nBut we don't even have to do this, there are plenty of volunteers who can 'consent' & understand the risks are uncertain, even among people well out of poverty.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332157946692714496",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1332147778059812865"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332154891712688129",
   "created_at": "2020-11-27T02:50:51+00:00",
   "text": "@ConradGoodwin @ZachWeiner Yeah it's better for poor people to die  naturally from the virus. (sarcasm)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332154891712688129",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1332138506550870016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332152345614983169",
   "created_at": "2020-11-27T02:40:44+00:00",
   "text": "@ZachWeiner & 'galaxy-brained' ideas like:\n- \"only adequately costly pandemics will spur adequate preparation for super-pandemics\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332152345614983169",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1332150254855077888"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332150254855077888",
   "created_at": "2020-11-27T02:32:25+00:00",
   "text": "@ZachWeiner I'm confident there are zero valid arguments against them in principle.\n\nThe very weak arguments against them in practice are:\n- \"we wouldn't implement them well enough to learn enough from them to in expectation, save lives\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332150254855077888",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1332138342742450177"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332136078698897409",
   "created_at": "2020-11-27T01:36:05+00:00",
   "text": "By prior & preference elicitation, I mean activities which map beliefs & preferences stored by one's neurons, even those jumbled up a bit & non-obvious to oneself.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332136078698897409",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1332131538113159168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332131538113159168",
   "created_at": "2020-11-27T01:18:03+00:00",
   "text": "Like when one is at the level of 'chill private music improvisation' or maybe 'alt-account chess', but really wants the fruits of labor to carry across time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332131538113159168",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1332131536943030273"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332131536943030273",
   "created_at": "2020-11-27T01:18:02+00:00",
   "text": "Could be great for filling that niche of when one just wants to lay down and feels too tired/unwilling to {read/write/code/talk to people}, but doesn't feel like full Netflixing/losing agency.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332131536943030273",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1332131535768625153"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332131535768625153",
   "created_at": "2020-11-27T01:18:02+00:00",
   "text": "But efficient low effort/focus-ability mechanisms for preference & prior elicitation could also be quite valuable (it's just breadth vs. depth) and perhaps create satisfying pastimes!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332131535768625153",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1332131534048923649"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332131534048923649",
   "created_at": "2020-11-27T01:18:02+00:00",
   "text": "Improving the available mechanisms for capitalizing on peak focus ability is surely more useful in the grand scheme of things than mechanisms for lower effort/focus-ability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332131534048923649",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1332131532807360518"
  },
  {
   "id": "1332131532807360518",
   "created_at": "2020-11-27T01:18:01+00:00",
   "text": "It would be so nice if prior and preference elicitation were easier across the range of one's willingness/ability to focus.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1332131532807360518",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1326233378664845313",
   "created_at": "2020-11-10T18:40:52+00:00",
   "text": "@DavidDeutschOxf Why can't the proposal be for a Pigou tax?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1326233378664845313",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1326186304770600960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1325502022758494208",
   "created_at": "2020-11-08T18:14:43+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl The upside is fairly capped if you don't desire a longer term relationship or to have their kids, but the downsides of the possibilities for STDs, pregnancy, losing social status, & unbalanced social expectations afterwards are potentially great.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1325502022758494208",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1325490137413767174"
  },
  {
   "id": "1325490137413767174",
   "created_at": "2020-11-08T17:27:29+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl Qualia valence generally corresponds with perceptions of risk/reward, so perhaps there are risks your unconscious is concerned about (even if irrationally) that haven't been addressed?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1325490137413767174",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1325244114200260608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1324103100995497985",
   "created_at": "2020-11-04T21:35:54+00:00",
   "text": "@Kat__Woods But I'm not saying you're moralizing or anything, and agree that given the infrequency of honest attempts to do impartial cost-benefit analyses, not returning a cart is still probably a decent signal for lower pro-socialness & conscientiousness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1324103100995497985",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1324094835754610688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1324094835754610688",
   "created_at": "2020-11-04T21:03:03+00:00",
   "text": "@Kat__Woods Someone has to pay the cost of returning a cart, but it's not obvious to me that it's efficient for everyone to return their own, nor to spend thought cycles moralizing in general about such trivialities.  Pigou taxes e.g. coin return, solves the problem, imo.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1324094835754610688",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1324082883561201664"
  },
  {
   "id": "1322959278731268097",
   "created_at": "2020-11-01T17:50:46+00:00",
   "text": "@SimonDeDeo Even if you're unwilling to formalize your probabilistic knowledge of an event, feelings like 'impossible/unlikely/maybe/likely/almost surely/inevitable' feel very different from each other, & generally correspond with real life frequencies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1322959278731268097",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1322776593018834944"
  },
  {
   "id": "1322572906589646849",
   "created_at": "2020-10-31T16:15:27+00:00",
   "text": "@flancian @MeFromBefore Hey Flancian, I like your site and idea!  We should talk sometime.  I've been researching efficient means of assorting content by relevance to particular goals, and I suspect our ideas might work well together.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1322572906589646849",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1322556552730038272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1322562137416372226",
   "created_at": "2020-10-31T15:32:40+00:00",
   "text": "@ValenceValue @RoamResearch For sure, that sounds exciting.  We must be careful mixing money & other units of care more into our knowledge production systems as they magnify misaligned incentives, but overall, we can't really afford not too so we just need to design smart, adaptable systems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1322562137416372226",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1322553047139209221"
  },
  {
   "id": "1322554974333661186",
   "created_at": "2020-10-31T15:04:12+00:00",
   "text": "@MeFromBefore Absolutely. It's basically a personal cause area out of anger at this point, although fortunately it's plausibly my comparative advantage too.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1322554974333661186",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1322550405130186752"
  },
  {
   "id": "1322549943576391681",
   "created_at": "2020-10-31T14:44:12+00:00",
   "text": "We've gone a long way in the past 570 years, especially in the last 29, but it still feels like we're living in the dark ages compared to what should be possible, both now &amp; theoretically.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1322549943576391681",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1322545006905757696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1322545006905757696",
   "created_at": "2020-10-31T14:24:36+00:00",
   "text": "We all have so many valuable bits of info we could share on such a wide variety of topics, but all available means of sharing, propagating, and consuming them still fall so incredibly short of optimal efficiency.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1322545006905757696",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1322044532444131329",
   "created_at": "2020-10-30T05:15:53+00:00",
   "text": "@SpencrGreenberg The only rational reasons to choose other than 12,0,0:\n- you interpret the utility scale as nonlinear\n- you interpret the well-being utils as mutable & interdependent\n- you're accounting for instrumental utility & assuming it's influenced by well-being",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1322044532444131329",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1321817257308246016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1321708571864690688",
   "created_at": "2020-10-29T07:00:54+00:00",
   "text": "@briantemerowski Risky in their evolutionary environment e.g. greater risk of ostracization or starvation, but not necessarily near future environments",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1321708571864690688",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1321697517956960256"
  },
  {
   "id": "1320803756393426944",
   "created_at": "2020-10-26T19:05:29+00:00",
   "text": "to certain kinds of tweets like 'coding questions' or 'shitposts', and if that brand is not why they followed, they should feel free to add them to their muted words.\n\nOne can pin a tweet thread with the keys so newcomers know what's up and what certain tags mean.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1320803756393426944",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1320803755634274304"
  },
  {
   "id": "1320803755634274304",
   "created_at": "2020-10-26T19:05:29+00:00",
   "text": "Is it just actually too costly to implement and maintain?? I mean the simplest implementation just requires the ability to mute words by user.\n\nYou can kind of get around this now as you can your followers you'll append 2-3 random, rarely combined Unicode characters like 'ʥڿ'",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1320803755634274304",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1320803754942230529"
  },
  {
   "id": "1320803754942230529",
   "created_at": "2020-10-26T19:05:29+00:00",
   "text": "Do users just not want this option? Are all explicit categorization schemes expected to cause option paralysis anxiety that outweighs the benefits of increased freedom to express oneself more while collectively having more relevant feeds?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1320803754942230529",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1320803754208182273"
  },
  {
   "id": "1320803754208182273",
   "created_at": "2020-10-26T19:05:29+00:00",
   "text": "I'm still surprised by Twitter's relative lack of tweet filtering mechanisms, like personal tags folks can (un)subscribe to so one doesn't have to either:\n- force followers to deal with dissimilar interests \n- maintain a number of separate accounts\n- excessively filter oneself",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1320803754208182273",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1320234206446825478",
   "created_at": "2020-10-25T05:22:18+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson Do you have mechanisns in mind besides this?\nhttps://t.co/fhPj0ijOm7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1320234206446825478",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1320208532000677890"
  },
  {
   "id": "1320223618480046082",
   "created_at": "2020-10-25T04:40:13+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson So courts must enforce private contracts that probabilistically mandate either pregnancy termination or high monetary costs. I don't know for sure, but something tells me that for better or worse, they won't anytime soon.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1320223618480046082",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1320220659411083264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1320220659411083264",
   "created_at": "2020-10-25T04:28:28+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson The only mechanisms I'm aware of that can uncover true private costs in such situations are contracts with the form: you'll receive M money for A action, but with P probability, you must either do ¬A or pay M2 money, where M2 > M/P.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1320220659411083264",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1320218275079352320"
  },
  {
   "id": "1320218275079352320",
   "created_at": "2020-10-25T04:18:59+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson *You can ofc just focus on those considering an abortion, & say will probably have one unless the cost-benefit somehow changes (compensate them). The problem then is not funding everyone who is willing to lie about their perceived private costs of carrying through w/ a pregnancy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1320218275079352320",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1320209924417187841"
  },
  {
   "id": "1320209924417187841",
   "created_at": "2020-10-25T03:45:48+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson that don't also broadly increase birth rates via new pregnancies all work by increasing the personal $/social/emotional costs of having an abortion.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1320209924417187841",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1320208392099491840"
  },
  {
   "id": "1320208392099491840",
   "created_at": "2020-10-25T03:39:43+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson That's just how I interpretted your tweet, as you focused specifically on abortions as a cause of fewer births.  The only policy levers I can imagine* specifically for preventing abortions (without preventing pregnancies in the first place)...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1320208392099491840",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1320183256055226373"
  },
  {
   "id": "1320182641069453313",
   "created_at": "2020-10-25T01:57:24+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson I buy that we are collectively leaving QALYs on the table by ceteris parabus not having more kids, but increasing the personal costs (including social) of abortion seems like a pretty inefficient and unfair way of doing this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1320182641069453313",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1320070951648792576"
  },
  {
   "id": "1319466398721044480",
   "created_at": "2020-10-23T02:31:18+00:00",
   "text": "@BretWeinstein So I'm in favor of legislation for now. Idk exactly what that should look like, but I might be in favor of something like \"For the next 10 years, internet platforms with greater than X% market share (by {carefully-selected metrics}) shall not discriminate against legal speech.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1319466398721044480",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1319460878996049920"
  },
  {
   "id": "1319460878996049920",
   "created_at": "2020-10-23T02:09:22+00:00",
   "text": "@BretWeinstein I don't know how close we are to collectively switching to a less tyrannical alternative, or having competition pressure FB into reasonableness, but I wouldn't be surprised if this continues to get worse for years before it gets better.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1319460878996049920",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1319355932388675584"
  },
  {
   "id": "1317558929103089664",
   "created_at": "2020-10-17T20:11:42+00:00",
   "text": "@mattyglesias People widely don't really know how to relate to forecasted election probabilities.  Here's my take on what I'd say is probably the default decision-theoretic view, which cleared up a lot of the muck for me:\nhttps://t.co/LBpJ5eomwq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1317558929103089664",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1317424163867557890"
  },
  {
   "id": "1317050341192466432",
   "created_at": "2020-10-16T10:30:45+00:00",
   "text": "RT @danijarh: What objectives can an intelligent agent optimize?\n\nIn this 3 year collab, we categorized the possible objs. APD is a unifyin…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1317050341192466432",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1316272333263265793",
   "created_at": "2020-10-14T06:59:14+00:00",
   "text": "RT @QiaochuYuan: it's ludicrous how few people know about this paper, so, friendly reminder that the fermi paradox was completely resolved…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1316272333263265793",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1315824736581033985",
   "created_at": "2020-10-13T01:20:38+00:00",
   "text": "@jromeroCFP @patrick_oshag Your point?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315824736581033985",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1315820026444816384"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315815619149754368",
   "created_at": "2020-10-13T00:44:24+00:00",
   "text": "@patrick_oshag And there's no way for enlisted to progress the officer ranks but to start from the beginning.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315815619149754368",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1315813584899694593"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315813584899694593",
   "created_at": "2020-10-13T00:36:19+00:00",
   "text": "@patrick_oshag US military rank structure is definitely up there.  Commanding officers often have over a decade less time in service than their senior enlisted advisors.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315813584899694593",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1315807251211395073"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315808319857016832",
   "created_at": "2020-10-13T00:15:24+00:00",
   "text": "@MatjazLeonardis For dogmatists, sure, but many serious economic libertarians are quite mindful of inefficiency-causing forces/phenomena like luck, preferential attachment, & social status.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315808319857016832",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1315730088537788416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315468480938823680",
   "created_at": "2020-10-12T01:45:00+00:00",
   "text": "@veryonthenozick The 'Inception' approach of seeding an idea people can come to possibly internalize as their 'own' is much more efficacious in general, imo, than essentially punishing insubmission.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315468480938823680",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1315466567862288384"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315466567862288384",
   "created_at": "2020-10-12T01:37:24+00:00",
   "text": "@veryonthenozick What's the difference in probabilities of you convincing them to reduce their meat purchases?  That's not the only relevant factor ofc, but my prior is that people have better odds of influencing family members in similar situations through influence rather than force.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315466567862288384",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1315427504992276481"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315451527830466560",
   "created_at": "2020-10-12T00:37:38+00:00",
   "text": "Like if you have no preparations/decisions to make between now and the election about post-election events, knowing the ongoing cost of a microprobability of Biden winning (a µBiden??)  should be ~∞ more valuable than knowing forecasted national win percentages.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315451527830466560",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1315428461456945153"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315428461456945153",
   "created_at": "2020-10-11T23:05:59+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/wVUlI5K67V https://t.co/cXBK2Ec5ZZ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315428461456945153",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1315428458575536128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315428458575536128",
   "created_at": "2020-10-11T23:05:58+00:00",
   "text": "- the expected cost of causing the vote.\n\nThis let's you estimate the cost of influencing the election by a certain probability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315428458575536128",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1315428457866616833"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315428457866616833",
   "created_at": "2020-10-11T23:05:58+00:00",
   "text": "For deciding to change courses of action, you primarily want to know, for each vote you could cause/change:\n- the Pr of the vote's state’s electoral votes being necessary, and\n- the Pr of the state being tied, given that its electoral votes are necessary",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315428457866616833",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1315428457082310656"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315428457082310656",
   "created_at": "2020-10-11T23:05:58+00:00",
   "text": "National forecasts shouldn't be useful for deciding whether to change courses of action to try to decrease P(Trump) as the disutility of Trump winning shouldn't be particularly affected by whether his forecasted probability is say, .2 or .8.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315428457082310656",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1315428456360890368"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315428456360890368",
   "created_at": "2020-10-11T23:05:58+00:00",
   "text": "Don't know who needs to hear this, but:\n\nKnowing forecasts about P(Trump_wins (nationally)) is primarily useful only for making informed decisions now about stuff *after* the election e.g. calculating P(event | Trump_wins) - P(event | ¬Trump_wins).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315428456360890368",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1315360583819034625",
   "created_at": "2020-10-11T18:36:16+00:00",
   "text": "@rowan2323 https://t.co/e1PM8wux3v\n\nGiven privacy preserving AI developments though, prolific global policing doesn't have to squash privacy and liberty too much.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315360583819034625",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1315110106783117313"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315359228274507776",
   "created_at": "2020-10-11T18:30:52+00:00",
   "text": "@grantadever @rowan2323 Geolibertarianism and LVT+Pigou tax based compensation/UBI amends a lot of this unjustness, at least from a libertarian perspective.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315359228274507776",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1315346073725132801"
  },
  {
   "id": "1315089304712998912",
   "created_at": "2020-10-11T00:38:18+00:00",
   "text": "@reasonisfun The cognitive dissonance of being aware of plausibly better courses of action seems aided by:\n- uncertainty of true relative utilities \n- uncertainty of switching costs\n- not chunking the problem of reducing the above two uncertainties into clear, tractable, compelling questions",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1315089304712998912",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1314596589080584193"
  },
  {
   "id": "1313958372958367744",
   "created_at": "2020-10-07T21:44:22+00:00",
   "text": "RT @brianchristian: Breaking a 7-year Twitter silence, I'm thrilled to announce that my new book launches today: THE ALIGNMENT PROBLEM. The…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1313958372958367744",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1313287441214701568",
   "created_at": "2020-10-06T01:18:20+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust Oooh I like those! Captures that one can predict how an information snippet will vary in social relevance over time.\n\ntimeliness is like social_relevance(now/soon) while importance can be the mean of social_relevance from now onwards",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1313287441214701568",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1313271006769803264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1313054291016388611",
   "created_at": "2020-10-05T09:51:53+00:00",
   "text": "@noampomsky BLUF: Feeling empowered to manage emotions is reasonable and useful, and the theory of constructed emotion can help with this relative to some other theories, but purely buying the theory of constructed emotion is going to deny one the insights of more plausible theories.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1313054291016388611",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1313042233382203392"
  },
  {
   "id": "1313042233382203392",
   "created_at": "2020-10-05T09:03:58+00:00",
   "text": "@noampomsky Further, there are evolutionary biology explanations, at least for certain emotions, that seem rather compelling (e.g. the recalibrational theory of anger https://t.co/AhJ4hasSgS).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1313042233382203392",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1313041728463532033"
  },
  {
   "id": "1313041728463532033",
   "created_at": "2020-10-05T09:01:57+00:00",
   "text": "@noampomsky E.g. 'anger' seems to always be accompanied be a desire to violate preferences, even seemingly in babies raised in anger/violence-free households.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1313041728463532033",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1313041455405916160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1313041455405916160",
   "created_at": "2020-10-05T09:00:52+00:00",
   "text": "@noampomsky But reflecting more on the subjective qualities of various emotions, it seems there are certain qualities always accompanying certain emotions that pleasantness, arousal, and culture conditioning seem unable to explain well.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1313041455405916160",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1313041168624574469"
  },
  {
   "id": "1313041168624574469",
   "created_at": "2020-10-05T08:59:44+00:00",
   "text": "@noampomsky It also seems right that nurture plays a major role in the expression of emotions, so much so that we can reinterpret many situations and invoke different emotions just by having a few different thoughts cached.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1313041168624574469",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1313040758241325056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1313040758241325056",
   "created_at": "2020-10-05T08:58:06+00:00",
   "text": "@noampomsky This resonated with me at first, but looking into more, I'm quite skeptical. \n\nIt seems right that varying degrees of pleasantness and arousal accompany each emotion... 1/",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1313040758241325056",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1310416278650195968"
  },
  {
   "id": "1312976287128936449",
   "created_at": "2020-10-05T04:41:55+00:00",
   "text": "Increasing the prevalence of positive emotions towards the self in emotional memory, in addition to the more common goal of decreasing negative ones (e.g. practicing self forgiveness) seems quite desirable and and...tractable?! https://t.co/dFBdJ6mzjY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1312976287128936449",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1310102670556921856",
   "created_at": "2020-09-27T06:23:11+00:00",
   "text": "@LinchZhang @SpencrGreenberg Probably some efforts to stay clear collective complacency, given the assumption that his preliminary winning odds and the collective effort to get out the vote for him are negatively correlated.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1310102670556921856",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1310012954943746049"
  },
  {
   "id": "1307769560506884096",
   "created_at": "2020-09-20T19:52:15+00:00",
   "text": "@hockey_dad57 That's admiral, but the primary moral determinant, imo, is their expected instrumental utility.  People's actions influence, in expectation, many orders of magnitude times more qualia than their own.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1307769560506884096",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1307639484159229952"
  },
  {
   "id": "1306088622655848449",
   "created_at": "2020-09-16T04:32:48+00:00",
   "text": "RT @webdevMason: Housing density is better for the environment. Better for preserving green spaces. Better for young people and job-seekers…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1306088622655848449",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1305486204536631297",
   "created_at": "2020-09-14T12:39:00+00:00",
   "text": "2) Being ranked in the Xth percentile for a genetic predisposition for Y trait definitely does not mean you are anywhere near the Xth percentile for that trait.  For highly polygenetic traits, what matters are the effect sizes and independence of the variants.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1305486204536631297",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1305486203878170624"
  },
  {
   "id": "1305486203878170624",
   "created_at": "2020-09-14T12:39:00+00:00",
   "text": "Basically, my takeaways are:\n\n1) We still have a long way to go in regard to figuring out the causes and predictors of polygenetic traits.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1305486203878170624",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1305486203148361728"
  },
  {
   "id": "1305486203148361728",
   "created_at": "2020-09-14T12:39:00+00:00",
   "text": "That seems like a crazy low effect for including so many SNPs.  does DNA even do anything /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1305486203148361728",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1305486202372407296"
  },
  {
   "id": "1305430758471819265",
   "created_at": "2020-09-14T08:58:41+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer Looked into it more and I think you're probably right.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1305430758471819265",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1305357854182961153"
  },
  {
   "id": "1304923400628891649",
   "created_at": "2020-09-12T23:22:37+00:00",
   "text": "@WilliamAEden I say this of course as a libertarian from a *checks notes* _$$$_ household.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1304923400628891649",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1304920708145848320"
  },
  {
   "id": "1304920708145848320",
   "created_at": "2020-09-12T23:11:55+00:00",
   "text": "@WilliamAEden Idk, I'm skeptical as libertarians signal the unselfishness of their beliefs by saying they're poor, and socialists likewise by saying they're rich.  I bet objective data would show a reduced effect, w/ family wealth correlating at least relatively more with libertarian beliefs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1304920708145848320",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1304905844522233856"
  },
  {
   "id": "1304626671580921862",
   "created_at": "2020-09-12T03:43:31+00:00",
   "text": "@briantemerowski all their reports seem to be based on external peer reviewed papers, which provide info like variant statistical significance and effect size\nhttps://t.co/RpujyS8PEi https://t.co/pKKnoPOKzU",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1304626671580921862",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1304619710605127680"
  },
  {
   "id": "1304618769633783811",
   "created_at": "2020-09-12T03:12:07+00:00",
   "text": "@briantemerowski sequence through them",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1304618769633783811",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1304618658048733185"
  },
  {
   "id": "1304618226513408000",
   "created_at": "2020-09-12T03:09:58+00:00",
   "text": "@briantemerowski I haven't updated much, but I think I mainly feel relieved.\n\nappreciate it nonetheless",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1304618226513408000",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1304434566246141953"
  },
  {
   "id": "1304609364154572800",
   "created_at": "2020-09-12T02:34:45+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer I like them so far.  It was mildly annoying that it took about 10 weeks to get my results, but their reports (e.g. https://t.co/RpujyS8PEi) seem of decent quality, and I was able to download all my data, so for $300, I'm happy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1304609364154572800",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1304470712862769156"
  },
  {
   "id": "1303539036561092610",
   "created_at": "2020-09-09T03:41:39+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK An underrated habit is to just transfer one's mobile article-reading to desktop via chrome://history/syncedTabs (bookmarkable) and \"open all\" whenever one can. Reading and doing work with a large screen, keyboard, and mouse is almost always more efficient imo.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1303539036561092610",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1303241375983509509"
  },
  {
   "id": "1303534632181182464",
   "created_at": "2020-09-09T03:24:09+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Yeah the app tries to guess which apps you don't want batched (most messaging-first apps), but allows control on a per-app basis.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1303534632181182464",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1303376228053848065"
  },
  {
   "id": "1303240271841296384",
   "created_at": "2020-09-08T07:54:28+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Batched notifications with something like Daywise is nice (although it costs $2-4/month).\nSetting up a private DNS resolver like NextDNS can make it easy to block time consuming sites.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1303240271841296384",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1303228508026658817"
  },
  {
   "id": "1298775675973730305",
   "created_at": "2020-08-27T00:13:45+00:00",
   "text": "@LinchZhang Note, with incomplete distributions of far UVC lights, pandemics could still kill millions, but I suspect it would be much harder to have an existentially dangerous pandemic.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1298775675973730305",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1298774682531852288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1298773740096876545",
   "created_at": "2020-08-27T00:06:04+00:00",
   "text": "@LinchZhang I have not explored biosecurity much, but given how potent far UVC (200-230nm) lights seem to be & the fact that we now seem on track to be able build them at scale, I'm less concerned about potential pandemics after ~5-20 years from now, assuming the tech is widespread by then.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1298773740096876545",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1298750716085846016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1297969140683030528",
   "created_at": "2020-08-24T18:48:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sama: Vector theory of impact:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1297969140683030528",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1297461310754566144",
   "created_at": "2020-08-23T09:10:56+00:00",
   "text": "@Malcolm_Ocean Discourse",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1297461310754566144",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1297312940354306048"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296320022319489024",
   "created_at": "2020-08-20T05:35:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @DeityOfReligion: Game theory is asleep, cooperate for no reason",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296320022319489024",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205879696478208",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T22:02:18+00:00",
   "text": "@briangoodrich https://t.co/L6N9bDgVTY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205879696478208",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1296147807456428035"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205145210904576",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:23+00:00",
   "text": "..a good bit more complicated & unlikely to be instantiated compared to minds whose preference-satisfactions correlate with Ethical Reality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205145210904576",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205143843643393"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205143843643393",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:23+00:00",
   "text": "I came to this update from thought experiments about agents that prefer to Suffer a lot.  This possibility is perhaps still concerning, but that's kind of mind just seems to be..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205143843643393",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205142505578496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205142505578496",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:22+00:00",
   "text": "I still think preserving this coupling is a valuable heuristic, but I now suspect  dangerous uncoupling is less likely.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205142505578496",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205140903358464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205140903358464",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:22+00:00",
   "text": "I.e. so far, for relatively complex life thought to hold qualia (humans & other mammals especially), there seems to me to be a correlation between bad qualia & death/non-self-propagation. See https://t.co/61G4LBPGzJ for more on that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205140903358464",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205139607339008"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205139607339008",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:22+00:00",
   "text": "Lastly, I was concerned about the plausibility of minds being developed that have a high decoupling of welfare from survivability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205139607339008",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205138227367936"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205138227367936",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:21+00:00",
   "text": "So I was concerned about currently net-negative life spreading in the universe, but I suspect that short term, that won't be as bad as I thought, and long-term, increases the odds enough of utilitronium shockwaves good enough to by far make up for the suffering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205138227367936",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205136788746240"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205136788746240",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:21+00:00",
   "text": "..at least a, idk, 1e-20 probability in said life eventually sparking a utilitronium shockwave, which would be at least 1e20 better than the life would be net bad before the shockwave.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205136788746240",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205135299768321"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205135299768321",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:21+00:00",
   "text": "E.g. if the great filter is before the complexity of life we could send to other planets in other solar systems & galaxies, one could probably assign..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205135299768321",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205133865299968"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205133865299968",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:20+00:00",
   "text": "Further, I'm more confident that utilitronium shockwaves are a 'frequent' terminal goal of advanced life, which one could place a non-trivial probability on happening from any instance of life.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205133865299968",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205132451835904"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205132451835904",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:20+00:00",
   "text": "I suspect there is a lot of say, '-3u pain', that motivates gene-propagating behavior, but not a lot of '-50u mental suffering', as that's energy intensive & seemingly pointless for creatures who can't meaningfully learn from said suffering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205132451835904",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205131143245824"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205131143245824",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:20+00:00",
   "text": "Also, I'm more confident that evolution doesn't usually manufacture, in simple creatures, a capacity to 'suffer about pain'.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205131143245824",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205129478111232"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205129478111232",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:19+00:00",
   "text": "I'm still pretty uncertain about how net-bad wild animal qualia is & could be, but I've updated towards it being relatively less net-bad.  I suspect good qualia is usually a feature of simple minds when bad qualia is, & factor this in more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205129478111232",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205128001662976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205128001662976",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:19+00:00",
   "text": "I've updated on what AGIs could probably be like, and expect more than I already did that non-friendly AGI just won't care about us enough to cause extra suffering, purposefully or incidentally.  Still, the remaining probability concerns me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205128001662976",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205126474936322"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205126474936322",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:19+00:00",
   "text": "I was particularly interested in four possible causes of s-risk: 'evil' AGI; accidental mutation of hed shockwaves; instantiations of simple, net suffering-filled life through more parts of the universe; and more abstractly, a generic uncoupling of suffering from survivability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205126474936322",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205124252000257"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205124252000257",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:18+00:00",
   "text": "I still suspect that suffering, when it happens, tends to be more negative than well-being instances tend to be +, but slightly less so as I've updated on the tractability of instantiating really good qualia. It's just a technical challenge, surely easier than aligning AGI.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205124252000257",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205122343538689"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205122343538689",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:18+00:00",
   "text": "Thus, I was concerned about both the 'Utility Range of Instantiatable Qualia' & the probabilities over this range.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205122343538689",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205120791707648"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205120791707648",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:17+00:00",
   "text": "I've long put the bulk of my moral credence on non-negative utilitarianism, so I was (abstractly) concerned about s-risks to the degree I thought the expected volumes of net negative future qualia outweighed the expected positive volumes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205120791707648",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1296205118866563073"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296205118866563073",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:17+00:00",
   "text": "Over the past ~year, I've become less concerned about astronomical future suffering (s-risk), & suspect that on the margin, research on realizing absurdly positive-value futures deserves more attention.  Still, I think s-risks are an important cause area.\n\nMedium-length thread:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296205118866563073",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1296140365573963776",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T17:41:58+00:00",
   "text": "billions $ even with < 1/1000 odds of success.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296140365573963776",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1296140364722483200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296140364722483200",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T17:41:58+00:00",
   "text": "Note that to the degree you think propagating high qualia life or probabilistic precursors to hed shockwaves is good, you can be unconfident about it all working out.   If the costs are suitably orthogonal to FAI work & other sources of xrisk, you can possibly devote",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296140364722483200",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1296137333176020992"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296137333176020992",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T17:29:55+00:00",
   "text": "A key question is whether it's worth waiting for FAI to do this (either it's too hard for us or AGI timelines are too soon & need these resources),or if it's something we could do orthogonally to FAI (not take resources from each other).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296137333176020992",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1296135023586717696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296135023586717696",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T17:20:45+00:00",
   "text": "to colonize other galaxies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296135023586717696",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1296135022705950722"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296135022705950722",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T17:20:45+00:00",
   "text": "Ofc, I'm not interested in starting a hed shockwave around Earth anytime before we've conclusively solved ethics...we're too uncertain about other forms of value & too instrumentally capable for that.  But I am increasingly interested in the proposition of sending out vNM probes",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296135022705950722",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1296133475804700672"
  },
  {
   "id": "1296133475804700672",
   "created_at": "2020-08-19T17:14:36+00:00",
   "text": "Nice short post back from 2017:\n\"Ways I've changed my mind about effective altruism over the past year\"\nhttps://t.co/oDKQkDw5Nx\n\nAgree with most of this, except about lowered enthusiasm for hedonic utilitarianism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1296133475804700672",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1293002166110531584",
   "created_at": "2020-08-11T01:51:53+00:00",
   "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours It might sound ridiculous to some, but I really doubt we can reliably determine the better option without at least trying to assign probability distributions for the relevant factors.  Of course, before doing this, I'd want as much info about these (potential) people as I could.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1293002166110531584",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1292999371907203077"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292999371907203077",
   "created_at": "2020-08-11T01:40:47+00:00",
   "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours I'm partially sympathetic to that, but I believe a thoroughly justified decision in that scenario probably requires estimating the cardinal intrinsic (value from qualia) and instrumental utilities (expected long term impact) of these people, and aggregating those values.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292999371907203077",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1292931206686879745"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292679819520405504",
   "created_at": "2020-08-10T04:31:00+00:00",
   "text": "RT @QiaochuYuan: poll: do you sleep with a window or equivalent open at night | how do you generally feel when you wake up in the morning?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292679819520405504",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1292596057319174144",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T22:58:09+00:00",
   "text": "What do you suspect is the skew of the distribution of utility of all the probable worlds downstream from us?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292596057319174144",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1292593272221646848",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T22:47:05+00:00",
   "text": "Would it be enough if our universe was positively skewed?\n\nI.e. for the distribution of the utility of all probabilistically possible worlds downstream from a decision, the mean is thought to be greater than the median?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292593272221646848",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1292588320124317697"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292588320124317697",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T22:27:25+00:00",
   "text": "In this thought experiment, what would need to be true in order to justify choosing \"a set of N::quantity slightly-diversified worlds\" over \"a set of N identical worlds, minus epsilon utility\"? https://t.co/oMZSky9zbU",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292588320124317697",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1292584873295634433",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T22:13:43+00:00",
   "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours Without the minus epsilon utility, I suspect total utilitarianism would be indifferent, but with the small disutility (e.g. a 1s momentary instantiation of the simplest nervous system that could register pain), I can't see why it wouldn't go with the copy worlds.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292584873295634433",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1292582982683783168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292582982683783168",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T22:06:12+00:00",
   "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours \"5 worlds with small, random modifications to state X, but minus epsilon utility\".\n\nI prefer the diversity because I believe it increases the probability of life with qualia (which I suspect is net-positive, in expectation),but the 5 copy worlds could be copies of the best state.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292582982683783168",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1292573377429778432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292573377429778432",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T21:28:02+00:00",
   "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours Actually, I'm uncertain if risk-neutral total utilitarianism allows you to prefer, say, \"5 copy worlds all with the same hidden state X (cloned from our universe, say, 1B years ago)\", or ...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292573377429778432",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1292556669814153216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292556669814153216",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T20:21:39+00:00",
   "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours On a side note, total, non-negative utilitarianism, properly construed, is an incredibly flexible meta-ethical theory, and I have yet to hear a moral value I was sympathetic to that I couldn't justify under total utilitarianism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292556669814153216",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1292551393811689472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292551393811689472",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T20:00:41+00:00",
   "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours universe where eating is no longer necessary or possible, I'd choose the lettuce.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292551393811689472",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1292550915619041281"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292550915619041281",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T19:58:47+00:00",
   "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours or reduced ability to control my attention (not being distracted by flavor of qualia, just enjoying it in the background), over one time experiencing a bite of say, a carrot, and say, to complete the thought experience, I am to make this decision one day after entering a...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292550915619041281",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1292549799812554752"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292549799812554752",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T19:54:21+00:00",
   "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours If I could continuously feel the slight increase in pleasure that I get when consuming something boring, e.g. lettuce, over top my qualia state, with no hedonic adaptation (totally ignoring the impracticality of eating all the time)...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292549799812554752",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1292523957694996480"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292541216647548928",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T19:20:14+00:00",
   "text": "@erin_nerung @RealtimeAI @simonsarris Importantly, you can often assign a relatively high credence that they are sharing relatively unfiltered views with you because you know they are probably not as concerned with keeping you around as a friend.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292541216647548928",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1292537337977532417"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292537337977532417",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T19:04:50+00:00",
   "text": "@erin_nerung @RealtimeAI @simonsarris You both can share vulnerabilities and respond unusually directly to eachother without most of the signaling baggage that often, justified or not, accompanies similar conversations with people more socially connected to you.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292537337977532417",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1292534096007008256"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292534096007008256",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T18:51:57+00:00",
   "text": "@erin_nerung @RealtimeAI @simonsarris +1, especially if you are good at exiting said conversations when you realize you want to.\nI think part of why these conversations are often so fulfilling is that they can quickly become refreshingly intimate with so little cost..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292534096007008256",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1290654737067630593"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292528045966860288",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T18:27:54+00:00",
   "text": "@mattmcirvin @wickrotate I'm just trying to say that that you should feel free to do research and promulgate opinions relating to global priorities in a way that most ethicists probably shouldn't about physics.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292528045966860288",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1292523815252054016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292523815252054016",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T18:11:06+00:00",
   "text": "@mattmcirvin @wickrotate If I had to choose between selecting either an ethicist or a physicist at random, to be the one to provide some coherent set of values to, say, a relatively friendly artificial superinteligence, I'd probably go with a physicist...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292523815252054016",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1292512038573559809"
  },
  {
   "id": "1292505673943535617",
   "created_at": "2020-08-09T16:59:00+00:00",
   "text": "@mattmcirvin @wickrotate This seems interesting.  What distant effects do you have in mind? And does the ethical system, within its minimum description, need to provide guidelines for human cognition, or are you saying we need practicioners to derive more efficient heuristics for action?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1292505673943535617",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1292496725777756160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1289701899000717312",
   "created_at": "2020-08-01T23:17:48+00:00",
   "text": "But for those skeptics ignoring the math args (not necessarily those who could pass an ideological Turing test but yet assign low credence to THNnU), I suspect overcoming any latent qualia-breadth-insensitivity would go a long way towards making the theory more intuitive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1289701899000717312",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1289701898333782019"
  },
  {
   "id": "1289701898333782019",
   "created_at": "2020-08-01T23:17:48+00:00",
   "text": "Ofc, you don't need to be that imaginative as you can just buy into the math args as long as you prefer any experiences over others.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1289701898333782019",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1289701897595543552"
  },
  {
   "id": "1289701897595543552",
   "created_at": "2020-08-01T23:17:48+00:00",
   "text": "I'm not claiming to have experienced atypical heights or depths of desirability of qualia--I just suspect many skeptics don't suitably imagine how good and bad consciousness can get.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1289701897595543552",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1289701896844750848"
  },
  {
   "id": "1289701896844750848",
   "created_at": "2020-08-01T23:17:48+00:00",
   "text": "I bet more people would be more convinced of total, hedonic, non-negative utilitarianianism (abbr: THNnU) if they more readily recalled or imagined a wider range of desirability of conscious experience when considering the theory.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1289701896844750848",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1287962314411409409",
   "created_at": "2020-07-28T04:05:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Steven_B_Falk: Continental U.S. population density. https://t.co/2AZ6wHlbLt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1287962314411409409",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1287801218853515264",
   "created_at": "2020-07-27T17:25:11+00:00",
   "text": "@iamtrask Travel to some prosperous city, probably Rome, show some sweet proofs to the philosophers/academics to get them to hire me, start learning the language & figure it ought from there.  Besides maybe intervening with the Jesus ordeal, I'd probably just write a lot.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1287801218853515264",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1287412850479202306"
  },
  {
   "id": "1286006425089478656",
   "created_at": "2020-07-22T18:33:19+00:00",
   "text": "@gdb I'd really like to!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1286006425089478656",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1282532831281811456"
  },
  {
   "id": "1284240962600890369",
   "created_at": "2020-07-17T21:38:00+00:00",
   "text": "@michaelcurzi Many people report that being in ketosis generally leaves them with more energy.  Also, getting into a state of autophagy for several days through fasting seems like a potent way to overcome a number of active or potential developing health problems (for long term game).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1284240962600890369",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1284154308372705280"
  },
  {
   "id": "1283926252638760961",
   "created_at": "2020-07-17T00:47:27+00:00",
   "text": "RT @tobyordoxford: Precisely 75 years ago—to the minute—the first atomic bomb was detonated. This inaugurated a new age for humanity, the P…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1283926252638760961",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1283521964028522496",
   "created_at": "2020-07-15T22:00:57+00:00",
   "text": "RT @xuenay: I keep seeing all kinds of crazy reports about people's experiences with GPT-3, so I figured that I'd collect a thread of them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1283521964028522496",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1283223274554421248",
   "created_at": "2020-07-15T02:14:04+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Plinz: I am completely floored. Someone run a thought of mine through GPT-3 to expand it into an explanation of what I had in mind, and…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1283223274554421248",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1282244946850746369",
   "created_at": "2020-07-12T09:26:32+00:00",
   "text": "@visakanv Many military personnel will see both 0000 and 2400 being used as a reference to the beginning or the end of the day. Which format is used can generally be reserved for if the day or activity in question is ending or starting at that time.\"\nhttps://t.co/86KwZfpBrT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1282244946850746369",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1282244720979132417"
  },
  {
   "id": "1282244720979132417",
   "created_at": "2020-07-12T09:25:39+00:00",
   "text": "@visakanv yes, but moreso, we'd be better of switching to military time (ISO 8601). \"This standard notates midnight as both 0000 and 2400 but advises that 0000 is preferred as it generally refers to the start of a day...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1282244720979132417",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1282114510006837248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1281398428828758016",
   "created_at": "2020-07-10T01:22:47+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Happy birthday!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1281398428828758016",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1281356539589201920"
  },
  {
   "id": "1277782574472052737",
   "created_at": "2020-06-30T01:54:40+00:00",
   "text": "@michaelcurzi Elon Musk comes to mind.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1277782574472052737",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1277781289890992128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1277044219316707328",
   "created_at": "2020-06-28T01:00:42+00:00",
   "text": "instantiated*.  Mfer...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1277044219316707328",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1235594035416436736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1276945717647544321",
   "created_at": "2020-06-27T18:29:18+00:00",
   "text": "@jweisber If we had a unilateral superpower and didn't have MAD, we'd be much closer to an equilibria which could support this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1276945717647544321",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1276918254410358785"
  },
  {
   "id": "1275323808564436992",
   "created_at": "2020-06-23T07:04:24+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JeffLadish: The NYT is writing a piece on Scott Alexander, who writes https://t.co/LnBsr6RcEE under a pseudonym, but they're planning t…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1275323808564436992",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1273768729202036740",
   "created_at": "2020-06-19T00:05:05+00:00",
   "text": "RT @open_phil: When determining our funding priorities, we ask ourselves a number of questions about what the future might hold. In this po…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1273768729202036740",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1273655958326181889",
   "created_at": "2020-06-18T16:36:58+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn :(",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1273655958326181889",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1273652879006601216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1273125856299364356",
   "created_at": "2020-06-17T05:30:32+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ESYudkowsky: So I wrote up this 23-point agenda for a Comprehensive Reboot of Law Enforcement. #RebootThePolice. \n\n1. Completely disent…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1273125856299364356",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1273085369534369794",
   "created_at": "2020-06-17T02:49:39+00:00",
   "text": "@NKel26 Soon, I must drive from Toronto to San Francisco. That's nearly as far as Damascus is from London 😭.  Way too much time sitting vigilantly, trying to avoid a combination of minor mistakes that could lead to a mundane permanent end to my existence alone in the middle of nowhere.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1273085369534369794",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1272909822338437122"
  },
  {
   "id": "1270445694571155461",
   "created_at": "2020-06-09T20:00:31+00:00",
   "text": "@lsparrish I'd like to see the health outcomes of protestors who get infected compared to their housemates who stay at home and plausibly catch a higher initial viral load.\n\nI wonder if this data is available for just regular workers with unemployed/stay-at-home housemates.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1270445694571155461",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1270342642006712327"
  },
  {
   "id": "1270444122663464960",
   "created_at": "2020-06-09T19:54:17+00:00",
   "text": "@BashfulFred - geolibertarian (tax land, not labor)\n- cybercratic (rule by information (a hypothetical ideal))\n- singularitarian (aware of risks of emerging superintelligence)\n- longtermist (factors in the overwhelming moral weight of far future people)\n- experimenting",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1270444122663464960",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1270066491598266370"
  },
  {
   "id": "1270160700636356609",
   "created_at": "2020-06-09T01:08:04+00:00",
   "text": "@eliistender10 Don't neglect decision theory",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1270160700636356609",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1270056289801056256"
  },
  {
   "id": "1270068438397042688",
   "created_at": "2020-06-08T19:01:27+00:00",
   "text": "Increasing our ability to redirect asteroids, given the trajectory of both our global coordination ability & the current distribution of held beliefs (both geopolitical & antinatalism-like ones) probably increases anthropogenic xrisk more than it decreases natural xrisk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1270068438397042688",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1270064612763930634",
   "created_at": "2020-06-08T18:46:14+00:00",
   "text": "@rivatez If we're still around, I'd presume that our relative disregard for solving coordination problems involving existentially dangerous emerging tech will look the craziest. Also, our neglect of\n- factory farming\n- aging\n- cognitive enhancement\n- applied epistemology & decision theory",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1270064612763930634",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1269793486368239616"
  },
  {
   "id": "1268980992456392704",
   "created_at": "2020-06-05T19:00:19+00:00",
   "text": "There is just an ~endless amount of fascinating content to consume, ideas to be worked out, and projects to be done. I'm really hoping to catch the immortality train and counterfactually perpetuate subjective experiences at least as rewarding as mine (hopefully better though).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1268980992456392704",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1267122864911781896",
   "created_at": "2020-05-31T15:56:47+00:00",
   "text": "@tkerssen That's some horse shit",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1267122864911781896",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1266921821653385225"
  },
  {
   "id": "1266019828290088960",
   "created_at": "2020-05-28T14:53:43+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson Hermione is probably one factor.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1266019828290088960",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1265990380304117760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1265749684016029699",
   "created_at": "2020-05-27T21:00:15+00:00",
   "text": "@yetanothermonk @threadreaderapp unroll",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1265749684016029699",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1253895841548402688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1264201681899786242",
   "created_at": "2020-05-23T14:29:03+00:00",
   "text": "@ShaneAParrish Possibly ethics cost-benefit analysis.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1264201681899786242",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1264196690468319232"
  },
  {
   "id": "1263912291164131328",
   "created_at": "2020-05-22T19:19:07+00:00",
   "text": "@default_friend Not discounting utility across spacetime",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1263912291164131328",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1263897569169518592"
  },
  {
   "id": "1263907568730202112",
   "created_at": "2020-05-22T19:00:21+00:00",
   "text": "@DRMacIver Ballroom dancing? Haven't done it in years, but ~8 years ago I did it competitively and in shows.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1263907568730202112",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1263740569374920704"
  },
  {
   "id": "1262209824227549185",
   "created_at": "2020-05-18T02:34:07+00:00",
   "text": "'eMbArRaSsInGlY parallel' 😒\n \nThere is nothing embarrassing about tasks highly suitable to chunking into non-communicating sub-processes, allowing one to achieve arbitrary speeds just by scaling up the number of parallel processes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1262209824227549185",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1260994261975281665",
   "created_at": "2020-05-14T18:03:54+00:00",
   "text": "@TPCarney I'd have to go multisport w/ a sprint triathlon.  Or if I can invent my own event:\n- 10x 5lb weight recoveries from the bottom of a 40ft pool\n- 1 body weight clean & jerk\n- 10x 2xbodyweight deadlifts\n- 50 pullups\n- 20k bike\n- 8k run",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1260994261975281665",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1260711855066091529"
  },
  {
   "id": "1260288541868920834",
   "created_at": "2020-05-12T19:19:38+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MenanderSoter: As promised, I've added a new graph to Twitterverse:\n\nhttps://t.co/waGp0I0vYo\n\nRats, etc:  'rationalist', 'post-rational…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1260288541868920834",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1259545100054560770",
   "created_at": "2020-05-10T18:05:27+00:00",
   "text": "@AnnaLeptikon @RokoMijicUK If one expects the child they are considering making would increase xrisk, then I think they probably shouldn't have that child.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1259545100054560770",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1259521040641855489"
  },
  {
   "id": "1259514271580540928",
   "created_at": "2020-05-10T16:02:57+00:00",
   "text": "@AnnaLeptikon @RokoMijicUK My intuitions are that as long as one having children leads to x-risk reduction, in expectation, then one is obligated to have them.  Of course, x-risk calcs are tricky though, & intuitions often embody a lot of morally-relevant info.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1259514271580540928",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1259507518897885189"
  },
  {
   "id": "1259503956096692224",
   "created_at": "2020-05-10T15:21:58+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @AnnaLeptikon That's a lot of rabbits though",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1259503956096692224",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1259443625043296256"
  },
  {
   "id": "1256986635159379968",
   "created_at": "2020-05-03T16:39:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @primalpoly: The deal that the universe offers humanity is this:\n\nIf you're smart enough not to go extinct in the next couple of centuri…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1256986635159379968",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1256712471861235716",
   "created_at": "2020-05-02T22:29:36+00:00",
   "text": "@the_aiju stimulants",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1256712471861235716",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1256540175242534915"
  },
  {
   "id": "1255182286745673731",
   "created_at": "2020-04-28T17:09:11+00:00",
   "text": "@alukeonlife Who shot this photo, and it what context did they share it?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1255182286745673731",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1254568419116175367"
  },
  {
   "id": "1254501880362917888",
   "created_at": "2020-04-26T20:05:30+00:00",
   "text": "@WilliamAEden Perhaps bioethics is more interesting when your ethical beliefs are especially inconsistent & problematic.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1254501880362917888",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1254485894444113920"
  },
  {
   "id": "1254246092511813632",
   "created_at": "2020-04-26T03:09:05+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg If you have an XL phone, this is less awkward than even reaching the top of the phone, imo.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1254246092511813632",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1254187775601127426"
  },
  {
   "id": "1254066163807653888",
   "created_at": "2020-04-25T15:14:07+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @AWSSupport My referral link for Digital Ocean:\nhttps://t.co/63TCo8HNLN for $100 credit over 60 days",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1254066163807653888",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1254063439162617857"
  },
  {
   "id": "1254063439162617857",
   "created_at": "2020-04-25T15:03:17+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @AWSSupport +1.  I switched to Digital Ocean after I got fed up with AWS's unpredictable pricing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1254063439162617857",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1254037325564317696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1253870344156385287",
   "created_at": "2020-04-25T02:16:00+00:00",
   "text": "RT @lukeprog: Superforecasters think there's only a 6% chance we'll have a widely-distributed COVID-19 vaccine by April 2021. https://t.co/…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253870344156385287",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1253800946880176134",
   "created_at": "2020-04-24T21:40:14+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @QVagabond @robertwiblin True",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253800946880176134",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1253800397090807815"
  },
  {
   "id": "1253750229146513409",
   "created_at": "2020-04-24T18:18:42+00:00",
   "text": "Nooo you can't just put 10^80x+ more value on the line than everyday ethical intuition suggests!!! You're making the stakes astronomically high!\n\nhaha Ethical Reality go brrrrr",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253750229146513409",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1253727643192766472",
   "created_at": "2020-04-24T16:48:57+00:00",
   "text": "@Austen Genome sequencing,\ngut microbiome testing,\nthermal camera (maybe),\ncortisol-measuring patch,\nhttps://t.co/k5fPFfYyjV",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253727643192766472",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1253506426804170752"
  },
  {
   "id": "1253718943673524226",
   "created_at": "2020-04-24T16:14:23+00:00",
   "text": "@QVagabond @robertwiblin @RokoMijicUK I am just worried that we are going to see people getting eye/skin injuries/cancer from using traditional 256nm UVC light with people around for sterilization instead of the safe 200-222 nm Far UVC wavelengths.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253718943673524226",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1253697577255665669"
  },
  {
   "id": "1253523547273781248",
   "created_at": "2020-04-24T03:17:57+00:00",
   "text": "RT @chamath: Still so much we don’t know...so, be safe! Respect the shelter in place, wear a mask when out. https://t.co/kojcX6bkro",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253523547273781248",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1253422936930742274",
   "created_at": "2020-04-23T20:38:10+00:00",
   "text": "@Moshe_Hoffman And while being wrong is often costly, the social costs of being wrong is often higher than the non-social, real life consequences of being wrong.\n\nAnd a social tolerance for a controlled narrative may have been selected for because it helps keep a group on the same page.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253422936930742274",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1253417457626214400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1253422027798573057",
   "created_at": "2020-04-23T20:34:33+00:00",
   "text": "@Moshe_Hoffman Weakness in one's ability to get stuff done can also be hidden in changing one's mind, so norms against changing one's mind probably helped select for people better able to accomplish a specific goal. This, I presume, came at cost to epistemics, but was worth it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253422027798573057",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1253420151455678467"
  },
  {
   "id": "1253420151455678467",
   "created_at": "2020-04-23T20:27:06+00:00",
   "text": "@Moshe_Hoffman Also, ofc, people often give people a lot of shit for changing their mind, presumably to attack their credibility and authority as well.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253420151455678467",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1253418414648856577"
  },
  {
   "id": "1253418414648856577",
   "created_at": "2020-04-23T20:20:12+00:00",
   "text": "@Moshe_Hoffman After all, people are more likely to change their mind when they have an excuse which protects their judgement e.g. \"you didn't have this new information at the time.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253418414648856577",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1253417457626214400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1253417457626214400",
   "created_at": "2020-04-23T20:16:23+00:00",
   "text": "@Moshe_Hoffman Possibly pathways:\nChanging one's view to another's signals that perhaps people should have been following the other person all along.  It hurts one's authority.  Less authority → less reproductive fitness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253417457626214400",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1253416393258614784"
  },
  {
   "id": "1253416393258614784",
   "created_at": "2020-04-23T20:12:10+00:00",
   "text": "@Moshe_Hoffman I think resistance to changing opinion primarily applies to views one has made public.  Natural selection probably favored people resistant to changing public opinions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253416393258614784",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1253405400235421696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1253401244120604673",
   "created_at": "2020-04-23T19:11:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jimrandomh: This is what happens when legislators don't know enough economics. The amount of value destroyed is *enormous*. https://t.c…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253401244120604673",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1253375798289055749",
   "created_at": "2020-04-23T17:30:51+00:00",
   "text": "@auren Depends on one's prediction of the counterfactual use of the funds & how well one would use them.  If one doesn't have an especially utilitous use of the funds, probably shouldn't take them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1253375798289055749",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1253367792578908162"
  },
  {
   "id": "1252636409208471553",
   "created_at": "2020-04-21T16:32:47+00:00",
   "text": "@dvsch Moved my office to a room away from my partner's so we aren't interrupting each other's activities nearly as much.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1252636409208471553",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1252614978550497281"
  },
  {
   "id": "1252425866845405188",
   "created_at": "2020-04-21T02:36:10+00:00",
   "text": "@EPoe187 @RAVerBruggen What is behind many intuitions for plurality?\n- bad experiences of naive cost benefit analyses\n- it tends to be a good heuristic due to diminishing marginal utility (as evaluated by naturally-selected preferences)\n- edge case forced choice dilemmas sometimes feel repulsive",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1252425866845405188",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1252422554112802821"
  },
  {
   "id": "1252422554112802821",
   "created_at": "2020-04-21T02:23:00+00:00",
   "text": "@EPoe187 @RAVerBruggen The latter commands commensurability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1252422554112802821",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1252422450375045120"
  },
  {
   "id": "1252422450375045120",
   "created_at": "2020-04-21T02:22:35+00:00",
   "text": "@EPoe187 @RAVerBruggen What's more plausible:\n- something tallies various metrics across spacetime and creates value according to those aggregated metrics,\n\nor\n\n- value stems locally from physics operations?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1252422450375045120",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1252295462952017925"
  },
  {
   "id": "1251924203391066114",
   "created_at": "2020-04-19T17:22:44+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanWard97: I don't get this need for 'maximization'. Capturing 2643857 utilons is enough for me. I mean it's not like I'm stopping at…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1251924203391066114",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1251539432987131904",
   "created_at": "2020-04-18T15:53:47+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ZachWeiner: What's a philosophical view you hold strongly, but which has practical consequences that you are uncomfortable with?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1251539432987131904",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1251538702607749122",
   "created_at": "2020-04-18T15:50:53+00:00",
   "text": "@ZachWeiner @AnnaLeptikon our technological progress and civilizational capacity back to safe levels, and hope our philosophical maturity can outpace our technological maturity the next time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1251538702607749122",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1251537865672200199"
  },
  {
   "id": "1251537865672200199",
   "created_at": "2020-04-18T15:47:34+00:00",
   "text": "@ZachWeiner @AnnaLeptikon If preventive policing isn't mature enough when individual agents really get access to omnicidal technology (could possibly even be now, it's hard to say when), or if a rising  world government's values+epistemics suck, then it might make sense to take measures to set",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1251537865672200199",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1251535068201390081"
  },
  {
   "id": "1251535068201390081",
   "created_at": "2020-04-18T15:36:27+00:00",
   "text": "@ZachWeiner @AnnaLeptikon If the Vulnerable World Hypothesis is true, we'll eventually need unprecedented preventative policing & global governance to avoid almost certain extinction. But that sort of global governance will probably lead to value lockin, and most people's values+epistemics suck.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1251535068201390081",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1251520265722499073"
  },
  {
   "id": "1251358460521955328",
   "created_at": "2020-04-18T03:54:40+00:00",
   "text": "@granderojo If I couldn't find any patterns after a few seconds, I'd start trial division of primes up until N**.5.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1251358460521955328",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1251356130636374017"
  },
  {
   "id": "1251356130636374017",
   "created_at": "2020-04-18T03:45:25+00:00",
   "text": "@granderojo It's one less than a perfect square, so it has factors on both side of the squared num e.g. 49=7*7, 48=6*8.  59*61 are both prime, so we're done.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1251356130636374017",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1251265098535993344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1251296776767836160",
   "created_at": "2020-04-17T23:49:34+00:00",
   "text": "@RealtimeAI Yes, imo, but I don't like all my eggs in one basket.  My email passphrases are distinct from the password manager's, and aren't recorded by it.  Also, the long random passwords generated by the password manager are preferably coupled w/ 2-FA (Yubikey/Auth codes, not text).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1251296776767836160",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1251255578745339904"
  },
  {
   "id": "1250847481891610624",
   "created_at": "2020-04-16T18:04:13+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn motte^3: save the most quality-adjusted computations",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1250847481891610624",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1250835695846948866"
  },
  {
   "id": "1250821018840698880",
   "created_at": "2020-04-16T16:19:04+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust What are the odds you just inspired this: https://t.co/bWTV077RVo?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1250821018840698880",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1250591329056243714"
  },
  {
   "id": "1250414316131692545",
   "created_at": "2020-04-15T13:22:59+00:00",
   "text": "@causalinf @ATabarrok I'm guessing this is necessarily the case because we are talking about infinitesimally small points, and that this wouldn't necessarily be the case for any atoms of the coffee.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1250414316131692545",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1250382449638506499"
  },
  {
   "id": "1250410004152307714",
   "created_at": "2020-04-15T13:05:51+00:00",
   "text": "Good morning you end nodes of self-reproducing conglomerations of physics, you negentropy warriors, you plausible universal constructors, you bearers of desirable consciousness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1250410004152307714",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1249732264172412933",
   "created_at": "2020-04-13T16:12:45+00:00",
   "text": "RT @davidmanheim: If you're interested in probability scoring rules, here's a somewhat technical and nit-picking tweetstorm about why prope…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1249732264172412933",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1249388671012397057",
   "created_at": "2020-04-12T17:27:26+00:00",
   "text": "@robert_mariani This neglects accounting for any large homeless encampments that happen to be in national forests, which seem plausible.  This is my guesstimate for groups of 1-2 people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1249388671012397057",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1249387841550987266"
  },
  {
   "id": "1249387841550987266",
   "created_at": "2020-04-12T17:24:08+00:00",
   "text": "@robert_mariani so I'm going to assume I only missed between 0 and 4 other people who were actually living out there along the trails.  There are about 159,000 miles of trails in the US national forests (https://t.co/SoUFhkzPR9).  Thus, I'd guesstimate (90%) 830 to 4200 people live out there.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1249387841550987266",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1249386915989684227"
  },
  {
   "id": "1249386915989684227",
   "created_at": "2020-04-12T17:20:27+00:00",
   "text": "@robert_mariani As a data point, I've hiked about 200 miles of US national forests trails (mainly as different sections of the AT) and discovered only one guy who I knew (he told me) to be living out there.  I didn't run across a ton of people, and the few I did see appeared to be normal hikers,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1249386915989684227",
   "word_count": 57,
   "in_reply_to": "1249199212358754321"
  },
  {
   "id": "1247743278063091713",
   "created_at": "2020-04-08T04:29:14+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl The norm 'violent threats don't work' is broadly useful.  Yielding to the 'serial killer' (could be anyone) only sends a signal to others that they too can publish/do whatever they want by making a severe enough threat and following through.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1247743278063091713",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1247712552186007552"
  },
  {
   "id": "1247386238040014849",
   "created_at": "2020-04-07T04:50:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robinhanson: My point by point reply to @tylercowen 's 11 point explanation of why he does not favor variolation. https://t.co/zCiroUc0…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1247386238040014849",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1246964551846952968",
   "created_at": "2020-04-06T00:54:51+00:00",
   "text": "I think I'd like to volunteer.  I'm healthy, and given that it seems I'm pretty likely to get this thing before a vaccine, I'd rather get exposed to low doses of it, not transmit it asymptomatically, and generate some data on whether variolation is actually a promising thing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1246964551846952968",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1246960612099440641"
  },
  {
   "id": "1246960612099440641",
   "created_at": "2020-04-06T00:39:11+00:00",
   "text": "Anyone know of any variolation experiments happening?  https://t.co/qjQsyuTIIv",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1246960612099440641",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1245857958589632512",
   "created_at": "2020-04-02T23:37:38+00:00",
   "text": "Post-utilitronium shockwave (when further realizable utility, in expectation, sums to zero), if I'm somehow still around, I want to spend at least a few hundred years being a composer.  I think I'd start with Chopin covers.  https://t.co/YZPX7mxRm6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1245857958589632512",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1245352888404246529",
   "created_at": "2020-04-01T14:10:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @eriktorenberg: Here some my favorite quotes from Slate Star Codex:\n\nFor folks new to SSC: https://t.co/yacqUISzAY\n\nhttps://t.co/aPAnTst…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1245352888404246529",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1245202511822303233",
   "created_at": "2020-04-01T04:13:08+00:00",
   "text": "@ChrisCroy @chessclubgringo @MattBruenig I'd be surprised if companies were still selling contracts at the same price as a few months ago",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1245202511822303233",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1245201658906320896"
  },
  {
   "id": "1243496857818615808",
   "created_at": "2020-03-27T11:15:28+00:00",
   "text": "@pulte Assume the avg Twitter user who sees this spends 10 seconds of thought on it. So far, 540,000 * 10 / 3600 = 1500 hours of human life have been spent on this. The EV of retweeting it is $.005 per person. So this is good self advertising, but perhaps not much more than that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1243496857818615808",
   "word_count": 56,
   "in_reply_to": "1243202093143515138"
  },
  {
   "id": "1243301478468661248",
   "created_at": "2020-03-26T22:19:06+00:00",
   "text": "Just for the record (epistemic donut points for being right early), I was concerned about COVID before Jan 28. I could have posted more about it and made more bets then, but I did start prepping, told my family about it, and weighed canceling trips then because of it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1243301478468661248",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1243214477253840897",
   "created_at": "2020-03-26T16:33:23+00:00",
   "text": "@s_r_constantin An anonymous LLC trying to solve the world's most pressing problems that exist 25+ years from now by trying to create more people of von Neumann-level intelligence within the next couple years.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1243214477253840897",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1243020376650575872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1243188534778966018",
   "created_at": "2020-03-26T14:50:18+00:00",
   "text": "3 rules to follow to protect yourself from COVID-19:\n\nhttps://t.co/gGjo8dcngY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1243188534778966018",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1243037248746147840",
   "created_at": "2020-03-26T04:49:09+00:00",
   "text": "@s_r_constantin Utilitronium shockwaves",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1243037248746147840",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1243020376650575872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1242987744797822978",
   "created_at": "2020-03-26T01:32:26+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @lukeprog I'm looking to develop it further and have a couple new features in the works.  If there are any new features anyone wants though, feel free to let me know here or through the site.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1242987744797822978",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1242985495556165632"
  },
  {
   "id": "1241516799637753864",
   "created_at": "2020-03-22T00:07:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RokoMijicUK: The US needs a permanent solution to the @US_FDA  \n\nMaybe set up a competitor licensing agency and people can choose which…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1241516799637753864",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1241417403835318272",
   "created_at": "2020-03-21T17:32:28+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Effect_Altruism: With EA Global: San Francisco cancelled due to COVID-19, CEA is running a virtual version of the conference — and you'…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1241417403835318272",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1241400323002052610",
   "created_at": "2020-03-21T16:24:35+00:00",
   "text": "@uizapunk @DukakisDude Both age and a history of smoking lend information about the odds of treatment being successful and the expected QALYs of a triage decision.   Thus, these factors probably ought to be considered in triage.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1241400323002052610",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1241399154066292739"
  },
  {
   "id": "1241399154066292739",
   "created_at": "2020-03-21T16:19:57+00:00",
   "text": "@uizapunk @DukakisDude I have my own views on what that objective function should be, but a commonly accepted one is Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs).  In order to maximize expected QALYs, we need to consider the odds of treatment being successful.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1241399154066292739",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1241398797051232256"
  },
  {
   "id": "1241398797051232256",
   "created_at": "2020-03-21T16:18:31+00:00",
   "text": "@uizapunk @DukakisDude Triage.  When health resources are scarce, choices have to be made.  They can either be made randomly, or with intentionality.  Since moments of desirable conscious states are desirable, we should probably be intentional, which means we now need an objective function to maximize.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1241398797051232256",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1241319565356937216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1241398032471556096",
   "created_at": "2020-03-21T16:15:29+00:00",
   "text": "Write rough drafts of a few of those essays you've been meaning to write or record a few talks on your most underrated nuggets of knowledge that you can share with the world in the event you get real sick.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1241398032471556096",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1241398030840070144"
  },
  {
   "id": "1241398030840070144",
   "created_at": "2020-03-21T16:15:29+00:00",
   "text": "In proportion to our increased risk of dying due to COVID-19, we should probably make an extra effort to immortalize our most valuable thoughts for the world in case we die early.  After infection, we probably won't have the same energy to do this properly.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1241398030840070144",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1241380972005863425",
   "created_at": "2020-03-21T15:07:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robinhanson: So has anyone seen ANY published cost-benefit analysis of life-years saved vs. economic disruption for #COVID19 lockdown p…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1241380972005863425",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1241227489193734144",
   "created_at": "2020-03-21T04:57:48+00:00",
   "text": "@DukakisDude Don't know how easy it is to tell if someone is a smoker, but the risk should be calculated into triage decisions on who gets a ventilator. It would be bs for a 34 yo smoker to get a ventilator over a 40 yo nonsmoker, ceteris paribus.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1241227489193734144",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1241200376591851520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1241127425771286528",
   "created_at": "2020-03-20T22:20:11+00:00",
   "text": "I could really use a few million dollars and 3 executive assistants.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1241127425771286528",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1240793470136209416",
   "created_at": "2020-03-20T00:13:10+00:00",
   "text": "it sounded like they just said that because commercial flights won't happen in and out of many locations.  I can't see what the harm is in me just driving across the border in a few months given there is no way the US contains this better than Canada, but IDK.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1240793470136209416",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1240793469163094016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1240793469163094016",
   "created_at": "2020-03-20T00:13:10+00:00",
   "text": "Anyone think it's probable that the US blocks off US citizens from returning from Canada by car?  I know the State Department issued the level 4 advisory notice and asked all Americans to return home or be prepared for being indefinitely stuck in another country, but",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1240793469163094016",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1239733621432467458",
   "created_at": "2020-03-17T02:01:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @gabeeegoooh: Epidemic calculator: a visual calculator for modeling possible paths of COVID19\n\nhttps://t.co/bTnri01Xuk\n\n(powered by a SE…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1239733621432467458",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1239725909525114880",
   "created_at": "2020-03-17T01:31:04+00:00",
   "text": "RT @StefanFSchubert: Timely @80000Hours piece on how to most effectively reduce global biorisks. By the inimitable Greg Lewis of @FHIOxford…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1239725909525114880",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1239053486983184384",
   "created_at": "2020-03-15T04:59:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @erikbryn: Why hasn’t the government announced a crash program to make more ventilators and other critical ICU equipment and capacity? W…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1239053486983184384",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1238997147305086979",
   "created_at": "2020-03-15T01:15:14+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl ~200 🏕️🌝",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1238997147305086979",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1238988147137982464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1238815687382097920",
   "created_at": "2020-03-14T13:14:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ESYudkowsky: If I was in charge of the Fed?  I would actually do it.  I‘d let schools access the repo system.  I would hold a huge anno…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1238815687382097920",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1238700874895110145",
   "created_at": "2020-03-14T05:37:57+00:00",
   "text": "RT @WilliamAEden: Joscha makes a compelling case that #FlattenTheCurve is dangerously misleading.\n\nTo not overwhelm our current capacity, y…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1238700874895110145",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1238678361607725056",
   "created_at": "2020-03-14T04:08:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nic__carter: Unsurprisingly we're now in the debunking stage of \"flatten the curve.\" I pretty much agree with this. Our resources are m…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1238678361607725056",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1238311747271917570",
   "created_at": "2020-03-13T03:51:41+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AmandaAskell: @ESYudkowsky https://t.co/fSbpR8esQ2",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1238311747271917570",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1238262512602275840",
   "created_at": "2020-03-13T00:36:03+00:00",
   "text": "@DavidSHolz @micsolana I'm talking to them and might put in an order.  I still don't have a ton of info yet beyond what's on the spec sheet, besides the fact that this stuff is pricey as one of their key people has been on vacation.  DM me if you'd be interested in going in on an order w/ me",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1238262512602275840",
   "word_count": 59,
   "in_reply_to": "1238258714148245504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1238213509328109568",
   "created_at": "2020-03-12T21:21:20+00:00",
   "text": "@DavidSHolz This is the only commercial source I've seen so far.  https://t.co/2tiveRNEEi\n\n(They only sell to businesses, not consumers yet.)\n\nAnyone find another 200 - 222 nm lamps?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1238213509328109568",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1236858234218016768"
  },
  {
   "id": "1238115541031825411",
   "created_at": "2020-03-12T14:52:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @voxdotcom: Plain old soap is a bad-ass coronavirus killer https://t.co/GdBFQvXmZu",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1238115541031825411",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1237966116531642369",
   "created_at": "2020-03-12T04:58:17+00:00",
   "text": "I remember seeing some guesstimate of how many people could be expected to counterfactually die from someone transmitting COVID-19 to an additional person, but can't find it. Anyone know where that is?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237966116531642369",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1237854751355617281",
   "created_at": "2020-03-11T21:35:45+00:00",
   "text": "@G_Langenderfer @spakhm He's way too toxic for any political office.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237854751355617281",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1237853410411438081"
  },
  {
   "id": "1237777267910152194",
   "created_at": "2020-03-11T16:27:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jacyreese: Most people have seen the scary math on how unprepared humanity is for #COVID2019, particularly US medical infrastructure (e…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237777267910152194",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1237717053144010753",
   "created_at": "2020-03-11T12:28:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @anderssandberg: There is a lot of throwing around word \"panic\" related to #COVID19 reactions, usually implying a level of irrational co…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237717053144010753",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1237630436643307521",
   "created_at": "2020-03-11T06:44:24+00:00",
   "text": "RT @PalliThordarson: 1/25 Part 1 - Why does soap work so well on the SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus and indeed most viruses? Because it is a s…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237630436643307521",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1237590709307183105",
   "created_at": "2020-03-11T04:06:33+00:00",
   "text": "@LodeCossaer @s8mb It doesn't have to be enough to get off pain free, just enough for some chosen number of businesses to not counterfactually go under.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237590709307183105",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1237491979811987456"
  },
  {
   "id": "1237586885905534976",
   "created_at": "2020-03-11T03:51:21+00:00",
   "text": "@Scholars_Stage Because they're generally lower quality?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237586885905534976",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1237585967650713600"
  },
  {
   "id": "1237586281783103493",
   "created_at": "2020-03-11T03:48:57+00:00",
   "text": "@Scholars_Stage Given my uncertainty about it, I'm hoping some number of colleges don't shut down so we'll see data to learn if it helped reduce net infections.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237586281783103493",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1237580611813953537"
  },
  {
   "id": "1237520057887940608",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T23:25:48+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sethbannon: American Hospital Association \"Best Guess Epidemiology\" for #codiv19 over next 2 months:\n\n96,000,000 infections\n4,800,000 h…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237520057887940608",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1237516189217275904",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T23:10:26+00:00",
   "text": "One of my subjective probability distributions.  Made with https://t.co/kC8dcFNzEK https://t.co/gY6SzcZC4Z",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237516189217275904",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1237511563109527552",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T22:52:03+00:00",
   "text": "RT @balajis: What are the long-term effects of COVID19?\n\nSome have a binary mental model: either you die, or you live & all is well. But wi…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237511563109527552",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1237495822285189122",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:49:30+00:00",
   "text": "@TrevorVossberg I'll need a spectral distribution from them too before I go much further.  Pretty much all wavelengths have to be between 200 and 222 nm to be safe for humans.  Otherwise, anyone might as well buy 256 nm lights which are like 50x cheaper.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237495822285189122",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1237493833186902019"
  },
  {
   "id": "1237493833186902019",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:41:36+00:00",
   "text": "@TrevorVossberg That's an important question I've been trying to figure out. I should hear back soon from the company.  I based the 37 watts off of distance and illuminance data from a ~3rd party study on their tech.\n\nBut what they sell could be the same patented tech, but greater wattage.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237493833186902019",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1237489471886671873"
  },
  {
   "id": "1237490098113036288",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:26:45+00:00",
   "text": "This tech seems to be good news for biorisk though! It's on the pricier side to be used much now outside an operating room (once FDA approval), a virology lab (as an _extra_ safety measure), or for the richy rich (personal or corporate), but the lamps should get cheaper.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237490098113036288",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1237489141614555138"
  },
  {
   "id": "1237489141614555138",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:22:57+00:00",
   "text": "I was just hoping for some magical product like under $100, but this still might be worth pursuing further if I got several orders placed ahead of time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237489141614555138",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1237489016229986311"
  },
  {
   "id": "1237489016229986311",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:22:27+00:00",
   "text": "It's not approved of by the FDA yet for human use, so I don't think you could market the product as human safe, which isn't ideal.  But you could provide its spectral distribution and studies that show how 222 nm light neither passes through skin nor into eyes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237489016229986311",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1237484272296038410"
  },
  {
   "id": "1237484272296038410",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:03:36+00:00",
   "text": "That's not a terrible deal for new technology that continuously disables pathogens in one's environment, especially given Covid-19 and potentially worse pathogens, but it's not outstanding either.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237484272296038410",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1237483408902717441"
  },
  {
   "id": "1237483408902717441",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:00:10+00:00",
   "text": "Been talking to a company and this stuff is a bit pricey.  Still haven't got a clear understanding of the actual radiant flux of their product, but it looks like everything would turn out to $1000 for a 20 watt bulb and $2400 for something probably between 37 and 200 watts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237483408902717441",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1237231885702574080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1237406876276535296",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T15:56:03+00:00",
   "text": "Many govt Covid-19 responses underscore that while obviously govts can sometimes get shit done, we can't totally rely on them for public safety, nor dealing with x-risks effectively.  The future is in yours and my hands.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237406876276535296",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1237231885702574080",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T04:20:42+00:00",
   "text": "What would you guess is the most someone you know, who makes <$120k, would happily pay for a 220 nm lamp (safe for humans, but disables viruses, bacteria, and yeasts) with a radiant flux of 37 watts? Assume it's portable enough to sanitize a house, but not take out and about. https://t.co/6nhII1TWFo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237231885702574080",
   "word_count": 52
  },
  {
   "id": "1237206759359623168",
   "created_at": "2020-03-10T02:40:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @WilliamAEden: Read this thread from Lombardy.\n\nRead it again. Let it sink in.\n\nTHIS IS ALL OF US within weeks to months, depending on l…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237206759359623168",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1237154068293988352",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T23:11:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AmandaAskell: Either give me competent government oversight or give me a wild west in which I can drown myself in snake oil if I want t…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237154068293988352",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1237072302338170886",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T17:46:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @StefanFSchubert: A new online textbook on utilitarianism, created by Meissner, MacAskill, and Aung. A very good initiative and an excel…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237072302338170886",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1237042115097624578",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T15:46:38+00:00",
   "text": "'if you look at absolute numbers of deaths throughout history across all Chordata, the majority of deaths have not been attributed to viruses very close or identical to Covid-19. So you're a idiot for making even the most miniscule life style adjustments in response.'",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237042115097624578",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1236891259563843584",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T05:47:11+00:00",
   "text": "@mishayagudin Thanks!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236891259563843584",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1236782914907578369"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236888701415895040",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T05:37:01+00:00",
   "text": "*plucks belief randomly from belief-space*\n\n'...and for my last trick, I shall assign extra credence to this belief, and get away with it in the philosophy journals.'",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236888701415895040",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1236886986499244033",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T05:30:12+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust And I'm not trying to make up words btw, I'm just under the impression that ~Platonic ideals, or 'abstract objects that are claimed to ought to be treated as actual things that exist', ought to be capitalized.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236886986499244033",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1236884010057564160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236884010057564160",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T05:18:22+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust hypothetical, self-consistent ordering of states of affairs according to desirability that we'd all agree to if we had perfect information and were perfectly rational agents.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236884010057564160",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1236883820072271873"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236883820072271873",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T05:17:37+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust Oh yeah I tend to understand utility (lower-case) as an unavoidable accounting tool, whereas I view Utility (uppercase) as equivalent to value in 'Ethical Reality', the",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236883820072271873",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1236880213302079488"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236880543859593216",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T05:04:36+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust Utilitarianism is, imo, the natural result of trying to be self-consistent with what one values.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236880543859593216",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1236878894126583813"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236878894126583813",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T04:58:03+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust potentially at cost to human civilization's life span.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236878894126583813",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1236878342156177408"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236878342156177408",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T04:55:51+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust If one then encounters an alien civilization with human-like qualities, one must either be more specific, with good reason, about what it is exactly about 'humans' that makes them especially valuable, or decide that the alien's expected-lifespan must be maximized too, even",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236878342156177408",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1236877555778674688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236877555778674688",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T04:52:44+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust From a utilitarianism perspective, that objective might be encapsulated by only assigning utility as a linear function of one's credence that life with very human qualities is expected to live X more years.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236877555778674688",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1236875251306205185"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236875265592221696",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T04:43:38+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust Yeah the first tweet is just about utility existing at all",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236875265592221696",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1236873532295929856"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236861710629289984",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T03:49:46+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust I'd love to find evidence that changes my mind, but I struggle to give hardly any weight to any ethical system that doesn't ultimately espouse the maximization of utility, where what is (dis)utilitous are (mostly currently unknown) particular arrangements of matter+energy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236861710629289984",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1236854975164067840"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236851572019212289",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T03:09:29+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock Idk exactly.  The majority of arguments I see of a Pascalian flavor are faulty though. A lot of the errors come from asserting one can choose beliefs rather than helplessly update. Others are from overinflating odds of complex beliefs already plucked out of possible-belief-space.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236851572019212289",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1236717933595897859"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236825790559522816",
   "created_at": "2020-03-09T01:27:02+00:00",
   "text": "@Cullen_OK Including future people, to the degree one can affect their probability of existing!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236825790559522816",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1236797811682754560"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236556517446426625",
   "created_at": "2020-03-08T07:37:02+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I don't quite follow that. They were saying that Utility is unlikely to exist if God doesn't exist? That doesn't at all seem to be the case to me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236556517446426625",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1236535297531351040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236552076815106048",
   "created_at": "2020-03-08T07:19:23+00:00",
   "text": "woah what happened to 2 o'clock.\nfucking govt took an hour from my birthday",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236552076815106048",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1236534700761587713",
   "created_at": "2020-03-08T06:10:21+00:00",
   "text": "Suppose Utility is real.  Then, we should want to maximize it.\nSuppose it's not real. Then, we can do whatever because nothing matters.\n\nSo even if there is a sliver of probability that Utility exists, we ought to act so as to maximize it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236534700761587713",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1236531871498018818",
   "created_at": "2020-03-08T05:59:06+00:00",
   "text": "@kjekac The tiny antisocial part of myself that feels like it's been wronged by mobs of stupid people over its life...let's just say it isn't in the worst of possible moods atm.\n\nThe rest is concerned though and wants to proactively flatten the curve.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236531871498018818",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1236512249327517697"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236516999687286785",
   "created_at": "2020-03-08T05:00:00+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jameshamblin: Just an idea. We’ll need quarantine facilities for people who get sick and can’t just stay home and infect their whole fa…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236516999687286785",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1236512444589236225",
   "created_at": "2020-03-08T04:41:54+00:00",
   "text": "@InertialObservr Better for everyone to be especially authentic and screen each other out sooner than later.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236512444589236225",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1236510557718495232"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236184685304328192",
   "created_at": "2020-03-07T06:59:30+00:00",
   "text": "It would be nice if these https://t.co/YMK3BtZKKp were in mass production already. https://t.co/sW3sJNyUUm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236184685304328192",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1236183844019150849",
   "created_at": "2020-03-07T06:56:10+00:00",
   "text": "@balajis If only these were actually in production:\nhttps://t.co/YMK3BtZKKp",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236183844019150849",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1236130237458583552"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236130237458583552",
   "created_at": "2020-03-07T03:23:09+00:00",
   "text": "@balajis Do you know a source where one can buy one of these lamps?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236130237458583552",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1236129972152086529"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236055114546319360",
   "created_at": "2020-03-06T22:24:38+00:00",
   "text": "Pros: phone now kills viruses, bacteria, and yeasts at a rate of ~7 logs per hour [1]\n\nCons: cell reception is substantially worse (WiFi signal is still solid)\n\n[1] https://t.co/btFafPtwpu\nCopper tape source: https://t.co/FNGNG89VHp https://t.co/zG50226acG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236055114546319360",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1236034562435792903",
   "created_at": "2020-03-06T21:02:58+00:00",
   "text": "@elonmusk I'll bet you with 10:1 odds that it kills 10 million by 2022.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236034562435792903",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1236029449042198528"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236016491419570180",
   "created_at": "2020-03-06T19:51:10+00:00",
   "text": "people could thank a shooter for using the app, especially if it's their first time, which could incentivize more people to download the app and use it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236016491419570180",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1236016490702348288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236016490702348288",
   "created_at": "2020-03-06T19:51:10+00:00",
   "text": "\"My truck backfired, my bad\" and snap a video of your shitty vehicle, or \"just police hear doing some training in our outdoor range\", or \"just about to shoot this damn rattlesnake in my backyard\".  It could include GPS data too, and maybe include a tipping $ option so",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236016490702348288",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1236016489964228613"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236016489964228613",
   "created_at": "2020-03-06T19:51:09+00:00",
   "text": "see an explanation which will probably usually be comforting.\n\nCould an active shooter abuse this?  Maybe, but in general, people don't investigate gunshots much anyway, so I suspect it would overall quench people's curiosity and alleviate some anxieties.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236016489964228613",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1236016489037271045"
  },
  {
   "id": "1236016489037271045",
   "created_at": "2020-03-06T19:51:09+00:00",
   "text": "Might be nice if there were some sort of app where people could explain random gun shots.  Like the shooter could \"snap\" a short video of what they are doing to people within a 15 km radius, and then people who are like \"wtf are these gunshots about\" could go on the app and",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1236016489037271045",
   "word_count": 54
  },
  {
   "id": "1235797014606016512",
   "created_at": "2020-03-06T05:19:02+00:00",
   "text": "@benleo_econ https://t.co/0pUAaJM1es",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235797014606016512",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1235723785136824320"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235782129503662081",
   "created_at": "2020-03-06T04:19:54+00:00",
   "text": "@briantemerowski 950ppm seems surprisingly high to me, but looking into it, that does seem to happen in some areas of some cities with a fair amount of traffic.  I live between a four lane road about 150m away and the Gulf about 600m away if that helps explain my sensor's ppm reading.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235782129503662081",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1235737150085185536"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235721605281652736",
   "created_at": "2020-03-06T00:19:23+00:00",
   "text": "It's surprised me how much peace of mind a little prepping has brought me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235721605281652736",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1235696125803409408",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T22:38:09+00:00",
   "text": "@Galvaxatron @Evolving_Ego Can't increases in female labor supply explain the decrease in real wages, and inflation explain rises in CPI?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235696125803409408",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1235657861385957377"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235643763826905088",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T19:10:05+00:00",
   "text": "RT @tobyordoxford: The Precipice is out today in the UK. I'm so pleased to finally share what I've been working on for the last three years…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235643763826905088",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1235623121509548034",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T17:48:03+00:00",
   "text": "1e11 human beings w/ 30 year (9.5e8 second) avg lifespans= 9.5e19.\n\nWith utilitronium likely leading to >1e60 desirable consciousness/seconds, you only have to be able to influence odds of an eventual utilitronium shockwave by 1/1e40 for my prop to be true.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235623121509548034",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1235594036565721088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235594036565721088",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T15:52:29+00:00",
   "text": "E.g. if you value seconds of desirable conscious experience, your actions each day can lead to more seconds of well-being, in expectation, then has ever been previously experienced by human beings.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235594036565721088",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1235594035416436736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235594035416436736",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T15:52:28+00:00",
   "text": "It's plausible that each day, your actions affect more expected utility than the sum total instatianted utility that has ever been realized.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235594035416436736",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1235576176946622464",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T14:41:31+00:00",
   "text": "@Galvaxatron @Evolving_Ego I wouldn't be surprised if prices are, on avg, inflated a little, but it doesn't make sense to me how the majority of people will not overall have more purchasing power.  There are too many competing options for too many things; businesses must limit price hikes or lose profit.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235576176946622464",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1235572307952906241"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235574299978682369",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T14:34:03+00:00",
   "text": "So given the data and my subjective experience, I've been leaving the window open basically 24/7 now, and it's been nice.  Have had surprisingly few bugs so far (although it is winter), but am prepared to buy some mesh screen and jury rig a solution if/when it becomes a problem.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235574299978682369",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1235574297864925184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235574297864925184",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T14:34:03+00:00",
   "text": "And tbh, while I'm skeptical of myself and am aware of a plausible placebo effect, I think I noticed the sort of subtle improvement in my thinking that I previously attributed mostly to just getting the blood flowing when I walk outside.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235574297864925184",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1235574296317014017"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235574296317014017",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T14:34:02+00:00",
   "text": "So I got the sensor running, and learned that my tiny dorm room gets pretty close to 1000ppm CO2 when I'm in it.  Thus, I finally opened my super stiff old window without a screen to keep bugs out, and the CO2 promptly dropped below 450ppm.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235574296317014017",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1235574295042158592"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235574295042158592",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T14:34:02+00:00",
   "text": "So I bought an air quality+CO2 sensor because I read (e.g. https://t.co/7seeN67tjA) that just moderate CO2 levels--those that are often reached indoors, especially in smaller rooms--negatively affect cognitive performance.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235574295042158592",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1235427026191953921",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T04:48:50+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg @conorduffy_7 😂",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235427026191953921",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1235325527436808193"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235402745177235457",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:12:21+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanWard97: @Evolving_Ego While I expect a ~$1k UBI to be enough that many people would reduce their workload & contribute less to the…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235402745177235457",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1235402680526389248",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:12:06+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego counterfactual realized utility.  Because we can't truly know counterfactuals, 2nd and Nth placers often get nothing.  A UBI roughly helps address this issue of overvaluing people who were first.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235402680526389248",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1235402207996112896"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235402207996112896",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:10:13+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego E.g. rich people sometimes have money not because no one would have filled in their shoes if they didn't do economically valued thing X, but because they were *first*.  While being first should be rewarded, it should technically only be rewarded proportionally to the",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235402207996112896",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1235401134396841984"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235401134396841984",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:05:57+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego more chances to overcome randomness and ultimately have more influence over human labor/capital.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235401134396841984",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1235400618547822592"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235400618547822592",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:03:54+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego Also, while wealthy people tend to know how to incentivize labor in a way that people value, better than others, success is also partially a result of random chance, and redistributing some of that ability to incentivize labor gives people who are truly better at producing value,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235400618547822592",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1235399807335882752"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235399807335882752",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:00:41+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego Also, if you think of the impact of various  cause areas as following a ~power law distribution, which doesn't seem unreasonable to me, people investing money in a wider range of causes should be very utilitous.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235399807335882752",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1235398902754553857"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235398902754553857",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T02:57:05+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego Success is a result of not only skill but, effectively, random chance.  Because it's hard to quickly get back on your feet after being knocked down to a low net worth, many potentially productive people stay around zero for a hot minute. A UBI can help fix this issue.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235398902754553857",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1235397390397370368"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235397390397370368",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T02:51:05+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego It doesn't really hurt society much for a few people to dropout and game for a living or whatever.  What hurts society far more is productive people not having the capital to invent, build businesses, & do research again quickly after having their net worth knocked down near zero",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235397390397370368",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1235393642921111553"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235395975843282944",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T02:45:27+00:00",
   "text": "@Galvaxatron @Evolving_Ego Few businesses have a monopoly. Competition will continue and keep prices from rising much.  The purchasing power of the median person will increase.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235395975843282944",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1235350061204287491"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235394480330555392",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T02:39:31+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg @Evolving_Ego This is mitigated by the fact that existing welfare systems don't reach many of the people who need them. A UBI will reach everyone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235394480330555392",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1235390824029929472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235393642921111553",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T02:36:11+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego While I expect a ~$1k UBI to be enough that many people would reduce their workload & contribute less to the economy, I feel the additional support for a small percentage of entrepreneurial but unlucky people will make up for it i.e. median output goes down, but mean goes up.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235393642921111553",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1235265504375275522"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235384001306730498",
   "created_at": "2020-03-05T01:57:52+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnHolbein1 Become dictator. Then I'd lend out most authority to the most calibrated people that I know.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235384001306730498",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1235330434575331331"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235264563463041026",
   "created_at": "2020-03-04T18:03:16+00:00",
   "text": "Ooo apparently some LessWrongers agree (in the comments):\nhttps://t.co/TGUYWUosTl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235264563463041026",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1235251802301444096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235259096049291264",
   "created_at": "2020-03-04T17:41:33+00:00",
   "text": "@TrevorVossberg Yeah one has to be careful",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235259096049291264",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1235257941575577600"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235251802301444096",
   "created_at": "2020-03-04T17:12:34+00:00",
   "text": "For anyone feeling creative, you can buy copper foil tape for about $12 and DIY.  https://t.co/nd9GqpMGTx",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235251802301444096",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1235251329016180738"
  },
  {
   "id": "1235251329016180738",
   "created_at": "2020-03-04T17:10:41+00:00",
   "text": "Given its potent antimicrobial properties, far more of the surfaces we commonly touch probably ought to be coated with copper.\n Doorknobs/handles, phone cases, faucet handles, soap dispensers, etc. etc.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1235251329016180738",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1234571997151219714",
   "created_at": "2020-03-02T20:11:16+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton It will be nice for a lot of people once degrees from them are treated equally, or equally enough, compared to a traditional degree.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1234571997151219714",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1234571082125828096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1234570751858085889",
   "created_at": "2020-03-02T20:06:19+00:00",
   "text": "It would be really nice if there was a way you could test out of any university class, or at least do all the work as fast as you wanted to.  Some people are sprinters and would rather power through a course in 2 or 3 weeks than over a semester.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1234570751858085889",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1234330457417953281",
   "created_at": "2020-03-02T04:11:28+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Yeah that too",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1234330457417953281",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1234326910269677568"
  },
  {
   "id": "1234321810281451520",
   "created_at": "2020-03-02T03:37:06+00:00",
   "text": "would be the neg. EU of possibly dying early.  If the situation is to catch it now or say, in 200 days, & it's a .5% death rate for me, that's only about one lost day of life in expectation of catching it early. The Δpeace of mind after I'm no longer infectious might be worth it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1234321810281451520",
   "word_count": 57,
   "in_reply_to": "1234320029174423554"
  },
  {
   "id": "1234320029174423554",
   "created_at": "2020-03-02T03:30:02+00:00",
   "text": "I'm under the impression we don't know enough about the virus's true long term effects, so I don't really wish this, but if we knew there weren't long term effects and it was guaranteed I'd eventually catch it (which is not the case), the only good reason not to catch it now...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1234320029174423554",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1234317596721319936"
  },
  {
   "id": "1234317596721319936",
   "created_at": "2020-03-02T03:20:22+00:00",
   "text": "Low key kinda want to just catch this nCov already and get this shit over with",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1234317596721319936",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1233588663319224322",
   "created_at": "2020-02-29T03:03:50+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jonmummolo: New @The_JOP by @seanjwestwood @SolomonMg @ylelkes shows probabilistic election forecasts like @FiveThirtyEight confuse vot…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233588663319224322",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1233554347507757058",
   "created_at": "2020-02-29T00:47:29+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer Yes",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233554347507757058",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1233476997411680256"
  },
  {
   "id": "1233438574730792960",
   "created_at": "2020-02-28T17:07:27+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JohnCGreer the end of his 2nd term to try to hold onto power longer.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233438574730792960",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1233438388482605057"
  },
  {
   "id": "1233438388482605057",
   "created_at": "2020-02-28T17:06:42+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JohnCGreer Looking more into it, Warren seems like more of a war hawk than I thought. Her odds of winning are low though. Looking at Bernie, I think he's less likely than Trump.  While strange, I don't think collusion and war are incompatible under Trump. He could start something towards",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233438388482605057",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1233431435857612800"
  },
  {
   "id": "1233437089628381186",
   "created_at": "2020-02-28T17:01:32+00:00",
   "text": "Given a 5 day hospital stay (is that reasonable?), it makes sense if you think your odds of getting that sick and getting admitted over the next year are above 1.8%.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233437089628381186",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1233437088584028160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1233437088584028160",
   "created_at": "2020-02-28T17:01:32+00:00",
   "text": "FYI some hospital insurance plans cost $15/month and pay you $2k each day you stay in a hospital. \nNot counting the odds of actually being able to get admitted to a hospital even if your nCov symptoms are particularly bad given they'll be packed, it seems like a decent deal.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233437088584028160",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1233431019249905665",
   "created_at": "2020-02-28T16:37:25+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JohnCGreer Yeah true I don't feel a war with Russia is likely, but I imagine it's more likely than under Bernie or Warren.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233431019249905665",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1233427973421834242"
  },
  {
   "id": "1233225331462545408",
   "created_at": "2020-02-28T03:00:05+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer plausibly could hurt peoples' beliefs that we can actually solve hard coordination problems, which I expect would potentiate a negative self-fulfilling prophecy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233225331462545408",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1233224365107531776"
  },
  {
   "id": "1233224365107531776",
   "created_at": "2020-02-28T02:56:15+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer of the world's computations by doing bs things that have people fixing his problems and thinking about him.  Further, the fact that he still remains in office is a signal to people that we as a civilization are incompetent and unconscientious as fuck, which",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233224365107531776",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1233223556659589121"
  },
  {
   "id": "1233223556659589121",
   "created_at": "2020-02-28T02:53:02+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer I expect Trump to be worse for xrisk.  He's bad on biorisk, climate change, is more likely to get us into a great-power war with Russia or China, is awful at foreign policy and has hindered America's international influence, and has just overall burned an enormous amount of",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233223556659589121",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1233206513965072389"
  },
  {
   "id": "1233099646878220294",
   "created_at": "2020-02-27T18:40:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @shl: If you’re going to spend time disagreeing, disagree with smart people you respect about topics you really care about.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233099646878220294",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1233091071535611912",
   "created_at": "2020-02-27T18:06:35+00:00",
   "text": "worthy enough of doing in place of Social Obligation?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233091071535611912",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1233091070122131456"
  },
  {
   "id": "1233091070122131456",
   "created_at": "2020-02-27T18:06:35+00:00",
   "text": "Why do I often have my best ideas that require like a lot of time and energy to flush out whenever it's Social Obligation Work Time? 😩\n\nPerhaps part of my mind is just responding to the \"ugh I don't feel like doing this\" by getting all creative & trying to give me something",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233091070122131456",
   "word_count": 54
  },
  {
   "id": "1233074904150532098",
   "created_at": "2020-02-27T17:02:21+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer @mishayagudin Yeah the masks currently have a 4 week processing time just to ship them, so I think that if one wants to have one for a truly threatening pandemic without paying a fortune, one would probably want to buy one when it still seems overkill.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233074904150532098",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1233063088389226502"
  },
  {
   "id": "1233043833904148482",
   "created_at": "2020-02-27T14:58:53+00:00",
   "text": "RT @alimanfoo: Some coronavirus advice I've gleaned from folks who've worked in or studied other epidemics. Please take seriously and pass…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1233043833904148482",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1232815427497218048",
   "created_at": "2020-02-26T23:51:17+00:00",
   "text": "If anyone thinks of any features they'd be interested in using, feel free to submit them at https://t.co/h47l49w5Ww or here 😀",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1232815427497218048",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1232679688046292998"
  },
  {
   "id": "1232679688046292998",
   "created_at": "2020-02-26T14:51:54+00:00",
   "text": "• Quickly generate and share the probability distribution you have in mind to better communicate uncertainty.\n\nhttps://t.co/kC8dcFNzEK",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1232679688046292998",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1232679686972551173"
  },
  {
   "id": "1232679686972551173",
   "created_at": "2020-02-26T14:51:54+00:00",
   "text": "Built a tool to help:\n• Estimate a point estimate better by drawing your intuition of its probability distribution, and using the expected value.\n• Generate precise inputs that better match your intuitions for probabilistic modeling software like Guesstimate.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1232679686972551173",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1232159545323085824",
   "created_at": "2020-02-25T04:25:02+00:00",
   "text": "Counterfactual people matter too.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1232159545323085824",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1230744748018651140",
   "created_at": "2020-02-21T06:43:08+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/HTAOI1F0Hu",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1230744748018651140",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1230386051358904321",
   "created_at": "2020-02-20T06:57:48+00:00",
   "text": "Just transformed my workspace and it's so nice!\n14\" laptop display -> 27\" 4k monitor\n+ ergonomic keyboard\n+ ergonomic mouse\n+ fixed lighting issue by partially covering lights\n+ got a warm bathrobe & a pillow seat to make it easier to stay working at my desk as opposed to my bed",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1230386051358904321",
   "word_count": 53
  },
  {
   "id": "1229618076464951298",
   "created_at": "2020-02-18T04:06:09+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RokoMijicUK: I just want to point out again that spending a large fraction of one's intellectual effort engaging with low-quality criti…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1229618076464951298",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1229204281116499968",
   "created_at": "2020-02-17T00:41:52+00:00",
   "text": "@JamesClear Glad you asked! Here's one: https://t.co/EXH2259gSp",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1229204281116499968",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1229184402057498625"
  },
  {
   "id": "1229182135514337281",
   "created_at": "2020-02-16T23:13:52+00:00",
   "text": "@JamesClear Probabilistic cost-benefit analysis via Monte Carlo simulation. Gotta keep track of that uncertainty.\n\nAlso, murphyjitsu https://t.co/Zuq6UGHIqL or https://t.co/4dO1nlFqUN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1229182135514337281",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1229066253857325058"
  },
  {
   "id": "1229094205340966912",
   "created_at": "2020-02-16T17:24:28+00:00",
   "text": "@XiXiDu It's not easy to imagine how people make explicit, conscious decisions without a similar understanding of replaceability/counterfactuals.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1229094205340966912",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1229085951290376192"
  },
  {
   "id": "1229085055726837761",
   "created_at": "2020-02-16T16:48:07+00:00",
   "text": "In other words, people need to be precise with their arguments against PGD, cloning, CRISPR editing, & incentives for high g/conscientious/achieving/thoughtful/{desirable quality} people to reproduce. \"No intentionality\" is a non-starter.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1229085055726837761",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1229085053893906434"
  },
  {
   "id": "1229085053893906434",
   "created_at": "2020-02-16T16:48:06+00:00",
   "text": "If intentionally altering the germline is eugenics, then the only thing that's not eugenics is forcing people who want to have kids to have a randomly-selected genetic partner from the population of people who also want to have kids.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1229085053893906434",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1229079849446313984",
   "created_at": "2020-02-16T16:27:25+00:00",
   "text": "Everytime I get through US customs, no matter how mundane my international activities were:\nhttps://t.co/6e3MLI9bF3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1229079849446313984",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1229044514448400384",
   "created_at": "2020-02-16T14:07:01+00:00",
   "text": "Akin to AI alignment, we need human+ alignment to make sure we aren't raising superb problem solvers who are emotionally broken and ethically lost. E.g. imagine the damage that a von Neumann from an abusive household could do.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1229044514448400384",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1229044372836102144"
  },
  {
   "id": "1229044372836102144",
   "created_at": "2020-02-16T14:06:27+00:00",
   "text": "Agree, but caveat:\nRaising the ability of agents to shape their environment as they see fit makes it even more important for them to robustly have Good values. https://t.co/eObtlMROR9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1229044372836102144",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1228399490505134080",
   "created_at": "2020-02-14T19:23:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @willmacaskill: Very timely, one of my colleagues at Oxford suggests the most impactful things governments and researchers around the wo…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1228399490505134080",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1228053575051489286",
   "created_at": "2020-02-13T20:29:23+00:00",
   "text": "RT @willmacaskill: Love this short film, \"How to do the most good possible\" by The Economist. Definitely the most EPIC introduction to effe…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1228053575051489286",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1227414652331712513",
   "created_at": "2020-02-12T02:10:32+00:00",
   "text": "@JackWiIli It lowers social inhibitions and allows important truths to be said :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1227414652331712513",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1227412677632417792"
  },
  {
   "id": "1227410200468041728",
   "created_at": "2020-02-12T01:52:50+00:00",
   "text": "Tyler Cowen says alcohol is net bad, but I think it may be net-good.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1227410200468041728",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1226614193136246784",
   "created_at": "2020-02-09T21:09:47+00:00",
   "text": "Self-identified utilitarians doing poor quality cost-benefit analysis will never be a strike against Utilitarianism. It may be evidence against promoting the idea, but it will never invalidate it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1226614193136246784",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1225920262400593941",
   "created_at": "2020-02-07T23:12:21+00:00",
   "text": "We need to solve aging, suffering, and xrisk so I can build every major type of software system from scratch.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1225920262400593941",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1225471463010062336",
   "created_at": "2020-02-06T17:28:59+00:00",
   "text": "@mattparlmer Police are still positioned to be one of society's lines of defense for reason, as they don't face all the lobbying and political correctness pressure of politicians.  No one is going to get them in trouble for not predatorily, or even proactively, enforcing such bs laws.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1225471463010062336",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1225470401955926016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1225470401955926016",
   "created_at": "2020-02-06T17:24:46+00:00",
   "text": "@mattparlmer Same! This kind of shit really ignites my libertarian feels. People need to not pass laws they aren't willing to see people's lives destroyed for breaking. And equally so, police need to spend their limited resources reasonably and responsibly.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1225470401955926016",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1225468313695850496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1225468004793769985",
   "created_at": "2020-02-06T17:15:15+00:00",
   "text": "@mattparlmer This could have been me. I made the decision in August to attend my school in Sarasota as opposed to USF Tampa in Hillsborough, and have been side hustling--only for family so far--doing home renovation work.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1225468004793769985",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1225450788417347585"
  },
  {
   "id": "1225465399942221824",
   "created_at": "2020-02-06T17:04:54+00:00",
   "text": "@mckaywrigley Nick Beckstead's thesis, \"On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future\" https://t.co/VGjKfXLRXs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1225465399942221824",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1225099808991408128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1225296229044817927",
   "created_at": "2020-02-06T05:52:40+00:00",
   "text": "Have the first stage of a micro vanilla JS web app working: https://t.co/xilhinybJ0",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1225296229044817927",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1225292898599657473",
   "created_at": "2020-02-06T05:39:26+00:00",
   "text": "@HCSOSheriff What a shitty thing for a police department to spend time on. That's not like the libertarian Florida that I know.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1225292898599657473",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1224710945911558147"
  },
  {
   "id": "1224442047928496128",
   "created_at": "2020-02-03T21:18:27+00:00",
   "text": "Plausible quick money making + doing good idea: buy masks + small hand sanitizer bottles for helping people not catch pathogens, and sell them while you're traveling through airports. I imagine a market rate could yield $3-6 profit a pop.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1224442047928496128",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1224258158945681410",
   "created_at": "2020-02-03T09:07:45+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RuleOfFlaw: Why did you have to invoke Aumann's agreement theorem, you realize I have to fight you to the death now?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1224258158945681410",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1222277298835140609",
   "created_at": "2020-01-28T21:56:31+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo donating $100 entirely to AMF or entirely to HKI, I should probably donate to AMF with more rigor than I choose to lift as opposed to running.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1222277298835140609",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1222275960680189959"
  },
  {
   "id": "1222275960680189959",
   "created_at": "2020-01-28T21:51:12+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo E.g. I am approximately just as confident that Against Malaria Foundation is more impactful w/ a marginal dollar than Helen Keller International, as I am that I'm better off, idk, lifting today rather than running (note: not very confident), but if I faced a choice today between",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1222275960680189959",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1222270042693390336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1222270042693390336",
   "created_at": "2020-01-28T21:27:41+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo But the problem here is ~classic scope neglect: I was sometimes having the importance of doing X or ¬X be a function of the probability I thought one was better than the other, and wasn't giving enough weight to the actual utility at stake.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1222270042693390336",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1222256310227472387"
  },
  {
   "id": "1222256310227472387",
   "created_at": "2020-01-28T20:33:07+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo That's a great question I've been grappling with! For a little while, I did sometimes throw up my hands, w/ \"it doesn't matter whether I do X or ¬X because the variance of the meta uncertainty is so great.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1222256310227472387",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1222092740680282113"
  },
  {
   "id": "1222231084647272448",
   "created_at": "2020-01-28T18:52:53+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MaxCRoser: Food production is responsible for one-quarter of the world’s greenhouse gas emission.\n\nIf you want to reduce the carbon foo…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1222231084647272448",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1222048492203454465",
   "created_at": "2020-01-28T06:47:19+00:00",
   "text": "Unique(?), but plausibly underrated strategy my friend practices: she resists the urge to offer shitty people advice, so they can't learn how to blend in & fly under other people's radar.\n\nGiving surface improvement advice that doesn't fix bad character may often be net harmful.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1222048492203454465",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1222043312581947393",
   "created_at": "2020-01-28T06:26:44+00:00",
   "text": "@vgr I forget about this most of the time & remember it every few months, & it's such a relief for a few moments. \"Of course life is weird in these ways, your neurobiology couldn't even support an objective self in principle. Your doing pretty ok for a product of physical evolution\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1222043312581947393",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1222034803240755202"
  },
  {
   "id": "1221925328408522753",
   "created_at": "2020-01-27T22:37:55+00:00",
   "text": "Do you choose to leave targeted ads enabled because you prefer them?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1221925328408522753",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1221661014514683904",
   "created_at": "2020-01-27T05:07:37+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton Thanks!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1221661014514683904",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1221660034515357696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1221646858730319874",
   "created_at": "2020-01-27T04:11:22+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton I know, right?\n\nI met a lovely woman up there on a ~business trip & we unexpectedly hit it off! :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1221646858730319874",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1221578806491660288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1221523338016763905",
   "created_at": "2020-01-26T20:00:33+00:00",
   "text": "I'm looking into moving to Toronto, & will be visiting there again a few times this semester. If anyone happens to know any Torontonians who you think might be interested in grabbing lunch at some point & who I could possibly make friends with, I'd appreciate a referral!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1221523338016763905",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1221138109565427713",
   "created_at": "2020-01-25T18:29:47+00:00",
   "text": "Crazy how much an impactful person's instrumental utility dwarfs the intrinsic utility of their consciousness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1221138109565427713",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1220601191001993216",
   "created_at": "2020-01-24T06:56:16+00:00",
   "text": "are you, or are you not, a universal constructor",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1220601191001993216",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1220444177709793281",
   "created_at": "2020-01-23T20:32:21+00:00",
   "text": "I.e. it may be more of a chemical problem than a neuro-structural one.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1220444177709793281",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1220443726876762120"
  },
  {
   "id": "1220443726876762120",
   "created_at": "2020-01-23T20:30:33+00:00",
   "text": "You might not have low conscientiousness, but relatively high functioning clinical depression and/or ADD that's responsive to treatment/meds.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1220443726876762120",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1220090326704119808",
   "created_at": "2020-01-22T21:06:16+00:00",
   "text": "@michaelmalice Not a fan of HRC, but this is fake news.\nhttps://t.co/yzo1vd1XwB\n// Epistemic spot check complete. https://t.co/aQiPXbouDb",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1220090326704119808",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1220011746968195073"
  },
  {
   "id": "1219960941221163008",
   "created_at": "2020-01-22T12:32:08+00:00",
   "text": "Not even 3 Republican senators...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1219960941221163008",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1218066896488144897",
   "created_at": "2020-01-17T07:05:53+00:00",
   "text": "Canada is good https://t.co/KwbcyAnYpE",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1218066896488144897",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1217524332655775744",
   "created_at": "2020-01-15T19:09:56+00:00",
   "text": "Nevermind, we're good! I figured I'd get an email, but yeah, it processed.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1217524332655775744",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1217515763092926468"
  },
  {
   "id": "1217515763092926468",
   "created_at": "2020-01-15T18:35:52+00:00",
   "text": "For some annoying reason, the VA hasn't completely processed my life insurance app yet, so in the remote chance I die on this plane flight, I need y'all to somehow get $400k low-impact dollars counterfactually moved to the Centre for EA. Sorry but thanks haha",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1217515763092926468",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1217514477039603713",
   "created_at": "2020-01-15T18:30:46+00:00",
   "text": "@aristotelianmem @Jon_StewartMill Nick Bostrom.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1217514477039603713",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1217350416263868416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1217514270931464198",
   "created_at": "2020-01-15T18:29:57+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I like plurably!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1217514270931464198",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1217511300575703045"
  },
  {
   "id": "1217489450441367557",
   "created_at": "2020-01-15T16:51:19+00:00",
   "text": "@davidu I bet you can find a better deal, but even if you can't, punish them and leave!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1217489450441367557",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1217329676030369792"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216859469734465536",
   "created_at": "2020-01-13T23:08:00+00:00",
   "text": "@luismen1991 I think it's fair to ask, but yeah I'm disappointed at how many people wind up at the wrong conclusion.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216859469734465536",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1216857346762256385"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216847683660533763",
   "created_at": "2020-01-13T22:21:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanWard97: @RokoMijicUK It's related, but I think there's an opportunity for exceptionally smart guys to do some good/raise IQ by gett…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216847683660533763",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1216781480518615044",
   "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:58:06+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK New York is decidedly not donor friendly, but California & Florida are.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216781480518615044",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1216778330684477442"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216778330684477442",
   "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:45:35+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Yes, that's very true. Not every state honors a solid signed & notarized donor agreement, even for artificial insemination.  Some states allow sueing for child support if \"it's in the best interest of the child\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216778330684477442",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1216775821769297922"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216775723656060929",
   "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:35:13+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK the genes of someone even smarter/happier/healthier. Which isn't surprising, but for some reason, I'm not seeing like any university professors & the like on there.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216775723656060929",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1216774306027524096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216774306027524096",
   "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:29:35+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Most of the donors surely are on there just to have sex (\"natural insemination only\") or take pleasure from knowing they have kids out there. I get the impression there's very little considerations of counterfactuals & how the life the expected child could plausibly be better w/",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216774306027524096",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1216769542216658945"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216769542216658945",
   "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:10:40+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Assuming the average donor/recipient on there is 100 IQ and it takes a total of 20 hours of communication/legal paperwork/meeting with a recipient, to give them their baby, that might translate into .5-1 IQ point raised in a person for the rest of there life/ hour.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216769542216658945",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1216767440220250112"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216767440220250112",
   "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:02:18+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK A surprising amount of women are on these because they don't want to pay high sperm bank prices or just want to get to know their donors better, but the quality of guys on there--let's just say they are not predominantly doctors/lawyers/engineers.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216767440220250112",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1216766952770809857"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216766952770809857",
   "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:00:22+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK It's related, but I think there's an opportunity for exceptionally smart guys to do some good/raise IQ by getting on the various private sperm donor websites/Facebook groups.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216766952770809857",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1215984629141901313"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216539230484168711",
   "created_at": "2020-01-13T01:55:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @LauraDeming: I'm extremely confused re how to think about 'levels of selection' in evolution. If anyone can explain this clearly or has…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216539230484168711",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1216427667874025474",
   "created_at": "2020-01-12T18:32:10+00:00",
   "text": "Now that I think about it, I wonder why ultra rich folks didn't spend more money on Hillary in 2016. I guess they were willing to gamble with the ~4:1 odds? From a philanthropic perspective, spending even $1b on Hillary should have seemed like a bargain, even w/out hindsight.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216427667874025474",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1216277394375565313",
   "created_at": "2020-01-12T08:35:02+00:00",
   "text": "@abstractify Thank you!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216277394375565313",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1216274645466451968"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216271505551712257",
   "created_at": "2020-01-12T08:11:38+00:00",
   "text": "One neat thing I've been able to do easily is add a bunch of tags and metadata to a spreadsheet, so now you can see my posts sorted by importance, confidence (in the main claim), as well as topic: https://t.co/LjoDbSfAcY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216271505551712257",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1216270204390584321"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216270204390584321",
   "created_at": "2020-01-12T08:06:28+00:00",
   "text": "Switched my blog over to a publicly viewable (& comment-able!) subset of my Notion workspace. Notion is simply a much easier way to produce and edit content, and I don't care enough about traffic statistics to make the extra hastle of a traditional site worth it. I recommend it!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216270204390584321",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1216263512353275904",
   "created_at": "2020-01-12T07:39:53+00:00",
   "text": "Besides the personal benefits of opening up more, I think there's broad benefits to discourse when people see other people saying heterodox stuff. And every suppressed spicy take counterfactually doesn't expand the Overton window.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216263512353275904",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1216263510512017409"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216263510512017409",
   "created_at": "2020-01-12T07:39:52+00:00",
   "text": "sometimes have some 'heterodox' shit I want to say. After all, anyone that knows me knows I can play Boring Normal Man™ in any necessary professional setting and knows that I have a sharp eye for spotting cringe when IGAF.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216263510512017409",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1216263508796563456"
  },
  {
   "id": "1216263508796563456",
   "created_at": "2020-01-12T07:39:52+00:00",
   "text": "I've updated to the belief that I self-censor online too much, on the margin.  Will some potential future employers find problems with my counterfactually heterodox tweets and online writing? Perhaps. But I'm going to end up gainfully employed either way, and in the meantime,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216263508796563456",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1216250400262754304",
   "created_at": "2020-01-12T06:47:46+00:00",
   "text": "Wrote an adventurous short story ~2 years ago. Just updated it a bit. It's about 2700 words and combines effective altruism, the tech world, fake news, and a possible moral lesson about the possible tragic consequences of naive unilateral action. https://t.co/NHqt3Lr7d7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216250400262754304",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1212243312230445056",
   "created_at": "2020-01-01T05:25:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Rainmaker1973: Lenia is a cellular automaton with continuous states. It supports an unexpected (bio)diversity of persistent life forms,…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1212243312230445056",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1212048382610546689",
   "created_at": "2019-12-31T16:30:27+00:00",
   "text": "@newscientist Oof get muted",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1212048382610546689",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1180916793126326273"
  },
  {
   "id": "1211742550689746945",
   "created_at": "2019-12-30T20:15:11+00:00",
   "text": "RT @The_Lagrangian: 365 * 1.01 = 368.65\n365 * 0.99 = 361.35\n\nreally make u think",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1211742550689746945",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1210999520869396487",
   "created_at": "2019-12-28T19:02:39+00:00",
   "text": "@xriskology I'm a bit surprised to hear that from you given your focus on x-risk and omnicidal agents. What sort of scenarios are you concerned about?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1210999520869396487",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1210998401476771840"
  },
  {
   "id": "1210764636502364161",
   "created_at": "2019-12-28T03:29:18+00:00",
   "text": "I started a private Notion workspace to help organize knowledge about x-risks and longtermist considerations while not worrying about virtue signaling.  DM me if you are interested in being a part of it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1210764636502364161",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1210450830312296448",
   "created_at": "2019-12-27T06:42:21+00:00",
   "text": "RT @SkylerShuler: Three of Kevin Spacey’s accusers have died this year. \n\nLinda Culkin: hit by car\n\nJohn Doe: name and death withheld\n\nAri…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1210450830312296448",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1209979767208005632",
   "created_at": "2019-12-25T23:30:31+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg That video never fails to make me laugh 😂. https://t.co/zioc1tvjQ7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1209979767208005632",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1209944364924964864"
  },
  {
   "id": "1209558497710559232",
   "created_at": "2019-12-24T19:36:33+00:00",
   "text": "@balajis Apparently this MFer has had not just one accuser mysteriously stop cooperating with prosecutors, but *two* accusers who have died amidst their lawsuit against him. That's on top of other sexual harrassment and assault claims.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1209558497710559232",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1209550536850190337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1209125869232513025",
   "created_at": "2019-12-23T14:57:26+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ATabarrok: Work on these things. Post of the year by @tylercowen https://t.co/4pkXU79C3t",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1209125869232513025",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1208871687967723520",
   "created_at": "2019-12-22T22:07:24+00:00",
   "text": "@rothosphere @Aella_Girl When I was a diver, I was so jealous of my coworkers with huge eustachian tubes who could just be dropped down the water column worry free. It often takes me a second to clear, which can be scary when you have little control over your decent when hard hat diving.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1208871687967723520",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1208866891868950528"
  },
  {
   "id": "1208857252658110465",
   "created_at": "2019-12-22T21:10:03+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl @rothosphere Do you mean perform a valsalva maneuver or https://t.co/u4x23H0H9B\nequalize pressure hands-free?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1208857252658110465",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1208852974648229888"
  },
  {
   "id": "1208402294833856513",
   "created_at": "2019-12-21T15:02:12+00:00",
   "text": "@VitalikButerin ~sex.?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1208402294833856513",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1208397883902496768"
  },
  {
   "id": "1207335254496817153",
   "created_at": "2019-12-18T16:22:10+00:00",
   "text": "@Mike_Strayer Ethical naturalism sounds like an ideology or a process to me though. Is there a term already or a good candidate term for the abstract object that moral naturalists refer to and try to uncover?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1207335254496817153",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1207321681120964608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1207323565311303680",
   "created_at": "2019-12-18T15:35:43+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Oh interesting. If this can lead to insights/weight for smart systemic tweaks that can carry over to other sectors, then this seems like a more fruitful story to focus on.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1207323565311303680",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1207321056408682496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1207316622165336064",
   "created_at": "2019-12-18T15:08:08+00:00",
   "text": "What's a good term for \"the hypothetical, self-consistent ordering of states of affairs according to desirability that we'd all agree to if we had perfect information and were perfectly rational agents\"?\n\n'Ethical Reality'? 'Actual Ethics'?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1207316622165336064",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1207077698297901056",
   "created_at": "2019-12-17T23:18:44+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @Aella_Girl It's one of my favorite rationalist jokes. 🤣\n\"*condescending voice* We've known how to compute inductive probabilities for decades now. What's wrong, you can't just implement the procedure?\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1207077698297901056",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1207068496540164097"
  },
  {
   "id": "1207069210616176647",
   "created_at": "2019-12-17T22:45:00+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl $1 doesn't really get my brain caring all that much about being precise however, so I try to pretend a lot is at stake.  Like betting $8.5k for a $1k return. To avoid having intuitions regarding diminishing marginal utility get in the way, I pretend that I'm rich AF.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1207069210616176647",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1207067736742014978"
  },
  {
   "id": "1207067736742014978",
   "created_at": "2019-12-17T22:39:09+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl Solomonoff induction. /s\n\nOne test I do is ask myself if I'd be willing to accept a bet according to those odds e.g. 90% -> willing to bet anything less than $9 for a $1 return.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1207067736742014978",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1207038083050246144"
  },
  {
   "id": "1205149656151408640",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T15:37:23+00:00",
   "text": "I mean don't try to create a good that's differentiated just because it's 'green', or collude with competitors to raise prices to cover the cost of some sub-par social good. I'm not advocating for monopoly & pricing selfishly at significant cost to impartial gains from trade.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1205149656151408640",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1205127726824394757"
  },
  {
   "id": "1205138227809701888",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:51:58+00:00",
   "text": "An argument against an extreme power law distribution for cost-effectiveness over different cause areas: https://t.co/0290Fwe37c",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1205138227809701888",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1205133475382251520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1205133475382251520",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:33:05+00:00",
   "text": "This hits-based impact phenomena seems to be a very strong argument, among others, for some level of universal basic income.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1205133475382251520",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1205130538400567296"
  },
  {
   "id": "1205130538400567296",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:21:25+00:00",
   "text": "Even if not a single person really knows what they are doing, which is unlikely, some one person's $1M is likely, imo, to do more good than 97% of everybody else's allocations combined.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1205130538400567296",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1205130537226121217"
  },
  {
   "id": "1205130537226121217",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:21:24+00:00",
   "text": "Companies that move away from legal profit maximization take away consumers' ability to be socially conscious. It's like, if you're Joe Smoe with a $1B to donate to non-profits & barely know what you are doing, just give the money to a bunch of people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1205130537226121217",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1205127728430751745"
  },
  {
   "id": "1205127728430751745",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:10:15+00:00",
   "text": "just a few consumers spending less on their chosen social causes could very likely decrease net-utility to a degree that the company's social spending is altogether net-negative.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1205127728430751745",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1205127727629701121"
  },
  {
   "id": "1205127727629701121",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:10:15+00:00",
   "text": "Socially-conscious company X might seem to e.g. double their net-utility to the world by going carbon neutral and \"only\" passing along a 20% markup to consumers, but given the diversification of socially-conscious spending by consumers & a sufficiently large consumer base,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1205127727629701121",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1205127726824394757"
  },
  {
   "id": "1205127726824394757",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:10:14+00:00",
   "text": "The extreme ~power-law distribution of cost-effectiveness for different social causes seems to be a strong argument in favor of companies *not* moving away from legal profit-maximization.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1205127726824394757",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1205023976243773440",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T07:17:58+00:00",
   "text": "@TrevorVossberg @benhartney I want to build something like that. I think for just refining analyses within a small team, Jupiter notebooks could be really nice for this. That doesn't provide the nice visuals for the relationship between variables though. Guesstimate isn't bad as it is for this...🤔",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1205023976243773440",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1205002560672800770"
  },
  {
   "id": "1205002560672800770",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T05:52:52+00:00",
   "text": "@TrevorVossberg @benhartney That's interesting! While complicated, that seems like one of the best ways to really have a clear, precise discussion about complex policy issues.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1205002560672800770",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1204992811705106432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1204986756531130368",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T04:50:04+00:00",
   "text": "@TrevorVossberg Thanks! That's actually part of my inspiration for the idea. I think we can do better by including not only philosophers' degree of belief about various propositions, but where they expect their credence could move with say, an hours' more thought.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1204986756531130368",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1204967345250160640"
  },
  {
   "id": "1204942485610516480",
   "created_at": "2019-12-12T01:54:09+00:00",
   "text": "Past elaboration: https://t.co/SA8shjF39G",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1204942485610516480",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1203803308969938944"
  },
  {
   "id": "1204850357542801409",
   "created_at": "2019-12-11T19:48:04+00:00",
   "text": "Finally received my laptop back from the miserly @Dell.  Productivity is already soaring. One more final exam and I get to work unfettered on my personal projects for ~45 days!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1204850357542801409",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1204600732265177089",
   "created_at": "2019-12-11T03:16:09+00:00",
   "text": "@ne0liberal @calebwatney Also, I'm sure not everyone clicks it. Maybe not even 95%.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1204600732265177089",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1204597191223984128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1204593233348747264",
   "created_at": "2019-12-11T02:46:21+00:00",
   "text": "Total, hedonic, non-negative, act utilitarianism is",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1204593233348747264",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1204478374938382348",
   "created_at": "2019-12-10T19:09:57+00:00",
   "text": "@lsparrish that the long-term future is very likely to be to be screwed if we don't allow ultra dense conglomerations of wealth to happen.  I'm not very confident that this is or isn't the case, so I just think the question warrants a much much closer look.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1204478374938382348",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1204477295538397186"
  },
  {
   "id": "1204477295538397186",
   "created_at": "2019-12-10T19:05:40+00:00",
   "text": "@lsparrish Yeah I definitely think the wrong person could be more likely than not and make things worse. But with arguments like Bostrom's Vulnerable World Hypothesis and my perception of the mean level of rationality of individuals & democratic institutions today, I think there's a chance",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1204477295538397186",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1204475662720856064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1204475024947777536",
   "created_at": "2019-12-10T18:56:38+00:00",
   "text": "@lsparrish Even if there's only, say, a 40% chance the right person becomes a trillionaire, it's not immediately obvious to me that we wouldn't want to take that gamble given the nature and probability of problems that democratic institutions are unlikely to solve.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1204475024947777536",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1204469805140660225"
  },
  {
   "id": "1204469805140660225",
   "created_at": "2019-12-10T18:35:54+00:00",
   "text": "@lsparrish I think it really depends on who's the trillionaire. Imo, dense collections of wealth can overcome collective action problems and Moloch in a way that more evenly distributed wealth really can't.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1204469805140660225",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1204465440749215745"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203855768732221440",
   "created_at": "2019-12-09T01:55:56+00:00",
   "text": "RT @tyler_m_john: Check out my recent EA Forum post on 33 institutional designs and policies which may be able to significantly improve the…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203855768732221440",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1203852294292430848",
   "created_at": "2019-12-09T01:42:08+00:00",
   "text": "RT @tyler_m_john: Deontology has been subject to decisive objections. Why do we still take it seriously?\n\n/thread",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203852294292430848",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1203829885539672066",
   "created_at": "2019-12-09T00:13:05+00:00",
   "text": "@ASFleischman The most porn-banning advocates should be advocating for is experimentation i.e. banning it in a couple counties here and there for a ~5 years to gather data.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203829885539672066",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1203746769957478401"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203803308969938944",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T22:27:29+00:00",
   "text": "Elaboration:\nhttps://t.co/bjJA9dMBEa",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203803308969938944",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1194020620851437569"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203798146092032001",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T22:06:58+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg I totally agree w/ you on person-moments and expected counterfactual people having moral weight. If written on replaceability in an abortion paper if you're curious:\nhttps://t.co/4QjzomqBj8",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203798146092032001",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1203793998466502657"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203796963495497730",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T22:02:16+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Upsetting at first, not forever though right?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203796963495497730",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1203795923958140929"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203796330436542466",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T21:59:45+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg You are saying natalism and the obligation for net-positive qualia/instrumental beings to be born is upsetting?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203796330436542466",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1203794501824847885"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203794303308509191",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T21:51:41+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg What are you sorry about?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203794303308509191",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1203791745709948928"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203775685480919041",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T20:37:43+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller I like the null values!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203775685480919041",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1203773774367264770"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203774350161305600",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T20:32:24+00:00",
   "text": "Also, the ability to post tweets that can't be deleted. This can increase the credibility of promises and predictions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203774350161305600",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1203756962116186112"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203770349583777792",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T20:16:30+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller My impression is that a half shaded digit means that the one to the left is ~50% likely to go up E(5) and ~50% likely to go down E(5). A second shaded digit would mean the digit to the left, which is ~equally likely to be anything(?) has a ~50% likelihood of going up or down E(5)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203770349583777792",
   "word_count": 59,
   "in_reply_to": "1203766254391218176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203766254391218176",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T20:00:14+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller And if you're going to do that, it's harmless to a rational agent to preserve the actual mean measurement.\n\nOnly confusion I have is about the shading of the second shaded digit. Should it be much lighter?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203766254391218176",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1203764492968120320"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203764492968120320",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T19:53:14+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller That's interesting. At first I thought one wouldn't want to preserve that many digits because I feel like shading is only useful for conveying uncertainty about the last ~two digits, but it preserves knowledge about the precision of measurements for data that is stochastic.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203764492968120320",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1203760064009588736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203756962116186112",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T19:23:19+00:00",
   "text": "After tweet engagement, you can edit the tweet, but its history remains. If you edit the heck out of a tweet in a misleading way, people (as they always can) can downgrade the weight (probability they see your tweets again) of your tweets as much as they want.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203756962116186112",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1203756321352212480"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203755078357856261",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T19:15:50+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller Overlapped area can be colored darker to signal the total probability mass at each r on R.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203755078357856261",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1203751086911369216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203752153753350144",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T19:04:12+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller If you are trying to know the probsbility that each variable is the highest, one way to do do this is run a Monte Carlo simulation w/ N iterations where each iteration, the highest sample's X gets a point. The odds of each X being the highest is points/N.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203752153753350144",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1203751086911369216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203751086911369216",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:59:58+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller That is the neatest module!\n\nI think one decent way of looking at them is just plotting them all as probability distros over each other on the real line.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203751086911369216",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1203743260813996034"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203746099925786629",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:40:09+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller There could also be websites like imgur but for random variables where one can share a link to a random variable that can be displayed with a graph.\n\nHeatmaps over ~2+ numbers could also work & might be ideal for inline use where a mini probability distro is less readable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203746099925786629",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1203744276917698560"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203744276917698560",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:32:54+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller Limited to ASCII, perhaps something like \"n[{.05 value},{mean},{.95 value}]\" could work. For adding additional info about tails, additional tuples could be used like (value, .01) or for where there are hard limits one wants to signal, (value,maxLim).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203744276917698560",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1203741154036060161"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203741801112358913",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:23:04+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller I plan to start working on it again as soon as I get my laptop back!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203741801112358913",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1203740543685136384"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203739554135650305",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:08+00:00",
   "text": "You can give anyone the option of sending you anonymous DMs. People can also request to give you anonymous DMs (which can still be useful if they wait a little bit. You can give them the option of seeing how many times you've been anon-dm'ed since approving them).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203739554135650305",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1203739552990552072"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203739552990552072",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:08+00:00",
   "text": "Polls can also take in 2+ dimensional continuous data (tuples of real numbers) and the results can be plotted. Data like the mean, sd, and treadlines w/ r^2 can be viewed and data can be exported via CSV/JSON/XML.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203739552990552072",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1203739551518380033"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203739551518380033",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:08+00:00",
   "text": "Polls have the option for approval voting, way more than 4 options, and votes being private/public/optional.\n\nAlso, polls can be made a 'follow up' poll where the ability to vote is contingent on whether you voted in a previous poll already.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203739551518380033",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1203739550507503617"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203739550507503617",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:07+00:00",
   "text": "A micropayment system where you can anonymously or privately thank people for content you appreciate.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203739550507503617",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1203739549253414912"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203739549253414912",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:07+00:00",
   "text": "You can explicitly adjust the weights of people and their tags so you can see the content you tend to like more frequently.\n\nYou don't want to miss some people's content, but you could afford to see some people's tweets less often, even if you don't want to unfollow them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203739549253414912",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1203739548125138946"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203739548125138946",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:07+00:00",
   "text": "People can also tag their tweets as 'public' (default, like today's Twitter) or 'private' where only approved followers of your tag can see it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203739548125138946",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1203739546967523329"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203739546967523329",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:07+00:00",
   "text": "Everyone can make tags like 'econ', 'shitpost', or 'personal' that people can follow or explicitly not follow e.g. 'rant' or 'sarcasm'.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203739546967523329",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1203739546053165056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203739546053165056",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:06+00:00",
   "text": "Next-gen microblogging platform ideas for features/design thread:\n\nFeel free to add your own!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203739546053165056",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1203728314613063681",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T17:29:29+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller There could be an option to privately give people extra weight too.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203728314613063681",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1203727904833712129"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203727904833712129",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T17:27:51+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller There could be options to view Variables from people's predictions being:\n-equally weighted (public)\n-weighted by your private discounting (private)\n-weighted by everyone's private discounting (public)\n-weighted by the discounting of the people you discount (private)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203727904833712129",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1203726101027184640"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203726101027184640",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T17:20:41+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller In regards to the usability of the platform? Yeah I wouldn't want to force too many features on people who just want to use the tool casually. But an Advanced Mode for people versed in Bayescraft might be fun and useful.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203726101027184640",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1203724128848687104"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203723588190310400",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T17:10:42+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller Like Brier score weighting in more traditional prediction markets, but useful for questions that are ~unanswerable or w/ a long-time horizon. This might even be essential for people to use the platform because otherwise a few grossly uncalibrated people could heavily skew results",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203723588190310400",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1203721384934940678"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203721384934940678",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T17:01:56+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller So for future Variables, you could privately view a graph weighted to how calibrated you think the people who 'voted' are.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203721384934940678",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1203720704463659008"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203720704463659008",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T16:59:14+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller I know this would be getting way more complicated, but it would be interesting to have profiles for this credence/function combining platform and be able to discount others to the degree their graph for a Variable you are confident in is different.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203720704463659008",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1203719698086604802"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203719698086604802",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T16:55:14+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller Mmm yeah. For the tools I want to build in the next 2 months, perhaps I'll have an option that a surveyor can make people unable to initialize their graph w/ a function like Normal(x,sd) so they'll just have to draw and be forced to think more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203719698086604802",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1203717357560115200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203715130057465858",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T16:37:05+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller This is another instance where tools to enable easily generating, sharing, and combining random variables/functions  could be useful. Everyone could plot their f: lifespan → {Bayesian prior that any 1 civ lives only that long}.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203715130057465858",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1203711338008252416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203711338008252416",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T16:22:01+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller Makes me really curious how many people who voted 100,000,000 thought in terms of mean as opposed to median",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203711338008252416",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1203702440207536131"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203689858956431360",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T14:56:40+00:00",
   "text": "@thomaspluck Some browser/extension needs to make it dead easy to pay people for content you like. I imagine I'd be happy to often pay 5-50¢ for a decent article.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203689858956431360",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1202898829080576000"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203496976156901377",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T02:10:13+00:00",
   "text": "@westurner Thanks for sharing the paper!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203496976156901377",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1203466970907250691"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203484695129919489",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T01:21:25+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian I just think we should experiment. If it turns out that it looks like a bad idea,  we can shut the forum down.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203484695129919489",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1203483411765178368"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203483411765178368",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T01:16:19+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian but such a forum is pretty much one of the only things that could probably convince many 'dark'-leaning consequentalists that their idea is actually bad.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203483411765178368",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1203482202882945025"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203482202882945025",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T01:11:31+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian So not only could a vetted+anon+private+moderated forum uncover good ideas every now & then (which don't even have to be outside the Overton window--maybe people just couldn't come up with them while having mental bandwidth reserved for social Properness considerations),",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203482202882945025",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1203481065572093953"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203481065572093953",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T01:07:00+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian 'Of course you think {plausible, widely socially disapproved idea} is bad, we're on a public forum.'  It's a lot easier to believe people when they have no obvious incentive to present their view.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203481065572093953",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1203479507249827840"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203479507249827840",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T01:00:48+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Even if people are addressing ideas 100% honestly & uninfluenced by social norms, it's so much harder to prove that's the case when people have an obvious motive to protect EA.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203479507249827840",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1203476988960428032"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203476988960428032",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T00:50:48+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian No one wants to make EA look bad. If we did try to address more dark EA ideas on a public forum, I suspect we'd get the worst of both worlds where we'd, on avg, not think maximally clearly about issues, but the convo would be dark enough anyway that it could make EA look bad.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203476988960428032",
   "word_count": 57,
   "in_reply_to": "1203474150578434048"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203474150578434048",
   "created_at": "2019-12-08T00:39:31+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Even if everyone's identity is hidden i.e. alt accounts, if the conversation is just on the open internet for anyone to read (e.g. EA Forum), I feel many people will unconsciously be more likely to back safe, approved perspectives at the expense of clear reasoning.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203474150578434048",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1203412269775740928"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203383047330107392",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T18:37:30+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I feel having the forum be private and users be anonymous for each new post amongst vetted ingroupies might get people using it a lot.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203383047330107392",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1203380187116789760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203356316032475136",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T16:51:17+00:00",
   "text": "An experimental economics idea I'd really like to see studied is if exploring-exploiting stochastically for dilemmas characterized by akrasia improves decision time, execution, and post-decision satisfaction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203356316032475136",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1203354631260250119"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203354631260250119",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T16:44:35+00:00",
   "text": "Still haven't found a game theory paper for dealing with cooperative multi-armed bandit problems, so that might be a way I can keep working in this area.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203354631260250119",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1203352224623149056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203352224623149056",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T16:35:02+00:00",
   "text": "But it's definitely not the heuristic you want for few expected remaining iterations of the problem, especially if P(diversification|MWI)=0.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203352224623149056",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1203350830591758338"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203350830591758338",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T16:29:29+00:00",
   "text": "And the notion of 'relative choice-worthiness' I've been developing to give you the optimal odds to probabilistically select the next action is a thing, and Thompson sampling seems to be a very strong heuristic for it. https://t.co/qTDXjDVkSM",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203350830591758338",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1203346944904572928"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203346944904572928",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T16:14:03+00:00",
   "text": "TIL that all this overlapping random variable, explore-exploit stuff I've been exploring is already a well-defined thing called the multi-armed bandit problem! https://t.co/GWY7NoeqpX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203346944904572928",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1203224083942510592",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T08:05:51+00:00",
   "text": "@brazen_cabeza Hey, explicit cost-benefit analysis isn't for everyone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203224083942510592",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1203195475274469377"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203198941308829697",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T06:25:56+00:00",
   "text": "But that marginal cost should drop a lot once you are familiar with great software for doing probabilistic cost-benefit analysis.  I love Guesstimate by the way, it's already great and useful; I just want something with a few additional tools and features.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203198941308829697",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1203197349276913666"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203197349276913666",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T06:19:37+00:00",
   "text": "The average expected value of including uncertainty, I suspect, is much higher than people tend to think. Yes, it is probably not worth including more than expected values for the majority of any one minor decision scenario *if you don't already have the tools+knowhow to do it.*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203197349276913666",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1203193870579912706"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203193870579912706",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T06:05:47+00:00",
   "text": "You can roughly do this in Sheets with precision to 5-10 intervals with up to a couple dozen people, but this is too annoying for 98% of teams to use.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203193870579912706",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1203193299718332417"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203193299718332417",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T06:03:31+00:00",
   "text": "There's so many more tools that could still be built to help people utilize uncertainty more in daily life.  I think there's room for a website that helps people easily generate, share, combine, and export random variables.  There's really no elegant way to do this now.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203193299718332417",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1203191747771273216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203191747771273216",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T05:57:21+00:00",
   "text": "It's hard enough to identify all the relevant variables and their relationship in a decision problem--everything that can be made easier should be.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203191747771273216",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1203191056046710785"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203191056046710785",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T05:54:36+00:00",
   "text": "And there should be dead easy tools to help you map your utility function over the domain of final random variables, and then pass them through so you can easily compare options.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203191056046710785",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1203189597594955776"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203189597594955776",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T05:48:48+00:00",
   "text": "And where Monte Carlo analysis, for easily doing math with irregular random variables, is just dead easy to implement at any moment.  It should be Excel's default operation when working with random variables, which should be their own data type.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203189597594955776",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1203186706687635457"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203186706687635457",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T05:37:19+00:00",
   "text": "And where generating and refining random variables is something so easy that many people prefer to come up with their point estimates by drawing their intuitions of the random variable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203186706687635457",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1203185902891220992"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203185902891220992",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T05:34:08+00:00",
   "text": "I want to live in a world where all point estimates not derived from first principles can easily be treated by everyday software as random variables.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203185902891220992",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1203149791884169217",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T03:10:38+00:00",
   "text": "RT @bryan_caplan: I strongly oppose lying to children. If I don't want to tell them the truth, I simply say \"I'll tell you when you're olde…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203149791884169217",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1203148727650848768",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T03:06:24+00:00",
   "text": "@michaelcurzi Seems like an important distinction. Another disturbing phenomena is taxoplasma gardii, a parasite which seems to increase neuroticism and suicide rates in humans and death-seeking behavior among rats: https://t.co/omlq3GKFlZ\nApparently ~1/3 of people carry it in their heads.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203148727650848768",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1201050933528080384"
  },
  {
   "id": "1203120340349702145",
   "created_at": "2019-12-07T01:13:36+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian One can dream",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1203120340349702145",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1203118994976333829"
  },
  {
   "id": "1202308976265846784",
   "created_at": "2019-12-04T19:29:32+00:00",
   "text": "RT @page_eco: So cool: 360° photo printed on a sphere. https://t.co/hbyqYHzuXz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1202308976265846784",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1202265149551370243",
   "created_at": "2019-12-04T16:35:23+00:00",
   "text": "@cognazor You had me until this post /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1202265149551370243",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1202256752986787841"
  },
  {
   "id": "1202263660808343552",
   "created_at": "2019-12-04T16:29:28+00:00",
   "text": "@gregeganSF Is this 1/ (1 - CDF(Normal(0,1),10))?\nThat reduces to 2/erfc(5 sqrt(2)) ≈ 1.31x10^23.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1202263660808343552",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1202255170492452864"
  },
  {
   "id": "1202242283896225792",
   "created_at": "2019-12-04T15:04:31+00:00",
   "text": "@KieranTully @gregeganSF Whoops I just realized the problem isn't sampling from 52 sets of 52 cards. 😅",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1202242283896225792",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1202239365344321536"
  },
  {
   "id": "1202235189499498497",
   "created_at": "2019-12-04T14:36:20+00:00",
   "text": "@gregeganSF sum 10^12/n n=1..10^12 ≈ 2.82*10^13\nhttps://t.co/bTWyjGiZeQ\n2.82*10^13 / (365*24*60*60*1000) ≈ 894 (years).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1202235189499498497",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1202140889444806659"
  },
  {
   "id": "1202219105392173057",
   "created_at": "2019-12-04T13:32:25+00:00",
   "text": "@gregeganSF Imagine laying out all 52 cards you need to match. You expect to sample 1 card to remove the first, 52/51 to remove the 2nd, 52/50 cards to remove the 3rd...\n\nsum 52/n n=1..52\nhttps://t.co/xfMVlFHJGj",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1202219105392173057",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1202213361074737152"
  },
  {
   "id": "1202213361074737152",
   "created_at": "2019-12-04T13:09:35+00:00",
   "text": "@gregeganSF Closed form is summation of 52/n for n=1 to 52.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1202213361074737152",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1202211225758773248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1202211225758773248",
   "created_at": "2019-12-04T13:01:06+00:00",
   "text": "@gregeganSF Python simulation yields ~236.\nhttps://t.co/Fn4xYmuRhs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1202211225758773248",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1202117016913506306"
  },
  {
   "id": "1202205355087945729",
   "created_at": "2019-12-04T12:37:47+00:00",
   "text": "@McPartlin_Sean Bostrom's Astronomical Waste is a classic imo. I'd leave them with the newer, denser https://t.co/oFnAe3HDDv if they want to explore it further. Good luck!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1202205355087945729",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1202197333515091969"
  },
  {
   "id": "1202024091261292549",
   "created_at": "2019-12-04T00:37:30+00:00",
   "text": "@DenverNeoliber1 @TetraspaceAdmn Even if not at an ideal rate, just implementing a small one would help get the ball rolling. $5/ton is better than nothing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1202024091261292549",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1202018729355182080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1202013647742144512",
   "created_at": "2019-12-03T23:56:00+00:00",
   "text": "Would be sick if Twitter polls could collect 2 or 3d continuous data points and plot them. Having only 4 survey responses is far too limiting.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1202013647742144512",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1201747457601888256",
   "created_at": "2019-12-03T06:18:15+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/5ldb2JgjZ4 works now too.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201747457601888256",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1201743089167216641"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201743089167216641",
   "created_at": "2019-12-03T06:00:54+00:00",
   "text": "If you're looking for live quantum generated numbers, you can use this  https://t.co/LOyyWcr3hE which gives you a num between 0 & 255. For more info: https://t.co/eKyzI5DdMh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201743089167216641",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1201730135159914496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201730135159914496",
   "created_at": "2019-12-03T05:09:25+00:00",
   "text": "I'm looking through David Wallace's The Emergent Multiverse again, but if anyone has insight/sources about this, I'd greatly appreciate hearing it. 👍",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201730135159914496",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1201730134363004928"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201730134363004928",
   "created_at": "2019-12-03T05:09:25+00:00",
   "text": "generated quantum bitstrings as the source for 'probabilistically' selecting actions. This rests, of course, on the possibility of deliberate world diversification under MWI. I haven't heard strong arguments that this, in fact, isn't a likely implication of MWI.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201730134363004928",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1201730133557682176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201730133557682176",
   "created_at": "2019-12-03T05:09:25+00:00",
   "text": "to probabilistically select actions, even with P(MWI)=0. At the very least, game theory has rigorous proofs for the optimality of mixed strategy for certain games. So where stochastic choice is optimal even w/ P(MWI)=0, it seems it's probably only more optimal to use recently-",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201730133557682176",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1201730132727259137"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201730132727259137",
   "created_at": "2019-12-03T05:09:25+00:00",
   "text": "Remember the random decision protocol that I thought might be plausible given MWI that I've brought up before? I've yet only heard arguments that it's not risk neutral behavior. So I've been exploring stochastic choice, & it seems there's plenty of scenarios where it's rational",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201730132727259137",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1201395413921804288",
   "created_at": "2019-12-02T06:59:22+00:00",
   "text": "RT @matthew_allcock: I'm podcast-obsessed. So I compiled a list of podcasts related to #effectivealtruism:\n\nhttps://t.co/WGr1qOEj1L",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201395413921804288",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1201235214384664577",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T20:22:47+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I didn't know about that, that's fascinating. Looks like a plausible base platform for implementing the idea!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201235214384664577",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1201225124072108036"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201232194892636160",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T20:10:47+00:00",
   "text": "@ArtKeller @sentientist Doesn't mean narratives have to be deceptive. There are plenty of scary possible outcomes that aren't fictitious.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201232194892636160",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1201228206373654528"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201226773922504704",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T19:49:15+00:00",
   "text": "If you have any, I'd greatly appreciate if you left them at https://t.co/nao7BFZeO6\nThanks!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201226773922504704",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1201226773096226819"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201226773096226819",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T19:49:15+00:00",
   "text": "Even small early-course adjustments can make a big difference in the long run. Thus, I'd love to read anyone's anonymous admonitions for me. They can be about anything--my career, tweets, blog posts, habits...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201226773096226819",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1201219087097061378",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T19:18:42+00:00",
   "text": "All of the tags should probably be available for people to view so you can prove you are not making compliment predictions with tags like \"POTUS\" and \"President\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201219087097061378",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1201218532341616641"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201218532341616641",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T19:16:30+00:00",
   "text": "There could even be a feature where every 'tweet' is encrypted with a couple of the most relevant tags, so you can prove to others that you didn't create multiple predictions about the same thing and are only selectively showing them the ones that make you look good.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201218532341616641",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1201212927468015622"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201212927468015622",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T18:54:14+00:00",
   "text": "A tool like this could help solve the problem of proving that you thought a certain way or knew X at time T, without having to have undergo the cost of sharing X publicly.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201212927468015622",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1201212926536880128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201212926536880128",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T18:54:13+00:00",
   "text": "Like a private twitter, but you can unlock certain tweets for people? I think an additional useful feature is if you can let  others view when you've made other tweets, but not necessarily what they say.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201212926536880128",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1201212925014351874"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201212925014351874",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T18:54:13+00:00",
   "text": "Are there any digital services that enable you to easily, privately, and securely create immutable (doesn't have to be blockchain-level immutability) data that you can selectively show to others at a later date?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201212925014351874",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1201192912291323905",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T17:34:42+00:00",
   "text": "@Jon_StewartMill How long is the dissatisfaction? If a human really is below hedonic neutral and isn't ever expected to go above, and has no instrumental utility, it sounds like it's better to be a satisfied pig w/ a positive hedonic state.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201192912291323905",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1201190455788101632"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201192219123834880",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T17:31:56+00:00",
   "text": "@Jon_StewartMill Humans have vast instrumental utility right now so even if cows' subjective experience is better than humans, humans>cows rn. I think expected instrumental utility envelops everything that is desirable about being able to generate more subtle thoughts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201192219123834880",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1201190375207116800"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201187529988423681",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T17:13:18+00:00",
   "text": "@Jon_StewartMill It's a matter of expected future instrumental utility + utility from the desirability of their expected conscious experieriences, while also considering the Nth order social effects such as changing norms.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201187529988423681",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1201185187339624453"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201059077637492736",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T08:42:53+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian @Aella_Girl I haven't dove into the arguments, but I'm highly skeptical that at least the smartest, most conscientious among us, especially with continued technological progress, couldn't adapt quickly enough to prevent an Empty Planet outcome.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201059077637492736",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1201056155075796993"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201056155075796993",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T08:31:16+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian @Aella_Girl I really like how much the author mathematizes his arguments.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201056155075796993",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1201051827975774209"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201037784573792257",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T07:18:16+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl Even if your life to you is valued $20m (you'd accept a deal of $20m w/ say, 1 month to live), which is 8x $25k*99 it still might be rational to accept the .01,$25k bet if you don't have money due to increasing the timeliness & odds of catching a positive feedback loop.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201037784573792257",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1201023994553454592"
  },
  {
   "id": "1201019346262351872",
   "created_at": "2019-12-01T06:05:00+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl @rothosphere I'm skeptical about all the 4+ milers. It's hard to get that far away even backcountry camping alone in the US. Is everyone going out to Alaska or taking a personal boat offshore?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1201019346262351872",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1201015177426034688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200912807253991426",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T23:01:39+00:00",
   "text": "Really great EconTalk on the success of the Surgery Center of Oklahoma, which posts prices on the internet and doesn't take insurance, in delivering wayy cheaper care that many patients are willing to pay out of pocket and travel long distances for. https://t.co/ymufWLfmhN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200912807253991426",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1200894421832732673",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T21:48:36+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg https://t.co/hEVgawcbsG is great!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200894421832732673",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1200891304663822338"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200891767777824773",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T21:38:03+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Like with infinite computation / time, one should do sensitivity analysis and reduce the range of possible utility between mutually exclusive actions until none of the lower vars' have probability mass over the domain of the seemingly best option.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200891767777824773",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1200890948718346241"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200890948718346241",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T21:34:48+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg be higher than the 'higher' var.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200890948718346241",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1200890638247567365"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200890638247567365",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T21:33:34+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg For sure. I'm still catching up on the decision analysis literature, but it's like, ignoring time+computation costs, there's utility in reducing one's uncertainty for the possible utility of two mutually exclusive courses of action until they lower var is not expected to possibly",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200890638247567365",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1200885960877182977"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200885261816729602",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T21:12:12+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Yes! It's crazy the magnitude of the numbers at play in everyday utilitarian cost-benefit analysis given how freaking uncertain we are.  It's also cool though how we are still permitted by the math to make such weighty choices even under such uncertainty.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200885261816729602",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1200878783923990531"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200881890238042112",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:58:48+00:00",
   "text": "@lsparrish Lol access to some really good drugs like MDMA or 5-MeO-DMT (from what I've heard https://t.co/22vpGBH5HJ) could perhaps help omnicidal agents change their mind.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200881890238042112",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1200876723585183744"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200878606886547457",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:45:45+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Either way, it seems important to reduce peoples' Thanatos drive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200878606886547457",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1200877788011606017"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200877932304097281",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:43:04+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/huCxNX1mOm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200877932304097281",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1200873898180521986"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200877788011606017",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:42:30+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Thanks! I'm familiar with it but it's a fascinating post. I think the implications of it are almost a direct contradiction of those implied by the Vulnerable World Hypothesis, so I'm still more worried of us not implementing a singleton. https://t.co/oS6fclc6wR",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200877788011606017",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1200874397252407297"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200873898180521986",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:27:03+00:00",
   "text": "Moloch/game theory/inadequate equilibria seem to explain a lot of our dilemmas, but I wouldn't be surprised if pervasive, unconscious guilt is another factor in why our civilization doesn't seem to be on _the best of all possible trajectories_.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200873898180521986",
   "word_count": 38,
   "quoted_id": "1200866016227663879",
   "quoted_author": "michaelcurzi",
   "quoted_text": "Lovecraftian speculation -\n\nWhat if most countries have a cult of suicide? The death drive, on the level of a civilization.\n\nWe would need to stop that. Do we feel we are going in a good direction?\n\nMust step back from the brink."
  },
  {
   "id": "1200870792701136896",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:14:42+00:00",
   "text": "@michaelcurzi unconsciously thought they deserved them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200870792701136896",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1200870723797049345"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200870723797049345",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:14:26+00:00",
   "text": "@michaelcurzi I don't know how physically possible it is for drugs to help people process guilt, but that might be worth exploring and experimenting with too.  Coupled with therapy, it might be able to help people fix a lot of problems in their life that have largely stuck around because they",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200870723797049345",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1200869978767007744"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200869978767007744",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:11:28+00:00",
   "text": "@michaelcurzi Perhaps therapy for guilt, carefully done, could have a lot of positive public externalities by decreasing individuals' unconscious drive towards destruction and self-punishment.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200869978767007744",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1200869102644019200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200869102644019200",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:07:59+00:00",
   "text": "@michaelcurzi Sometimes I think Thanatos has way more pull than we'd like to acknowledge. Seems to stem from unprocessed psychological guilt. I definitely agree that guilt serves a useful roll in deterring undesirable behavior, but I think it can crush some people who can't process it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200869102644019200",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1200866016227663879"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200611627994767360",
   "created_at": "2019-11-30T03:04:53+00:00",
   "text": "@ESYudkowsky In expectation, longtermism and x-risk just got a bit more important then as opposed to efforts that would make sense if we were going to go extinct soon.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200611627994767360",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1200332381892182016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200508555125829632",
   "created_at": "2019-11-29T20:15:18+00:00",
   "text": "@VesselOfSpirit @JimDMiller @The_Lagrangian @s_r_constantin The state w/ a monopoly on nuclear power has an incentive to be good to others to ensure they don't try to develop nukes/superweapons. The other states, as long as life isn't too bad, has an incentive just to be good and not develop weapons lest they be caught before MAD.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200508555125829632",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1200502330593951744"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200507769444589569",
   "created_at": "2019-11-29T20:12:11+00:00",
   "text": "@The_Lagrangian @s_r_constantin It was foolish and extremely unfortunate not to strike early when we had the chance. MAD is not a safer equilibrium for the long term future of humanity than one unipolar state. https://t.co/XDbOkwyTZw",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200507769444589569",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1200273180943884288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200466323911925760",
   "created_at": "2019-11-29T17:27:29+00:00",
   "text": "@Victorjehache @primalpoly There's far more potential value outside our galaxy if matter and energy is what underpins value.  And there's no adequate reason to stop at realizing an arbitrary amount if value.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200466323911925760",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1200448093042425858"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200265401550200833",
   "created_at": "2019-11-29T04:09:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @garrytan: Your room can be as bright as the outdoors\n\nThis is one of the best life hacks I have heard of in a while!  https://t.co/Y7AF…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200265401550200833",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1200116825616519168",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T18:18:42+00:00",
   "text": "@xriskology You'd see all sorts of nerds spending their free time thinking about tractable ways to reduce xrisk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200116825616519168",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1200111850827976705"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200113967470915584",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T18:07:21+00:00",
   "text": "@xriskology I also think there's just more room to spent on human resiliency initiatives. Even if the category of risks that could kill everyone not in a bunker is pretty small, they are some of the most tractable risks and there's probably room to spend $10s of billions on this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200113967470915584",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1200111850827976705"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200111850827976705",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T17:58:56+00:00",
   "text": "@xriskology Imagine if think tank jobs payed better than most of the market, what kind of smart people you'd see applying to them. Or if there were $10k rewards just handed out for promising papers on reducing x-risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200111850827976705",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1200110838763413505"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200110838763413505",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T17:54:55+00:00",
   "text": "@xriskology I think there's enough geniuses already in the developed world just too interested in dollars and that we could better reduce x-risk by paying them to work on x-risk reduction efforts under-incentivized by the market.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200110838763413505",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1200110117733195776"
  },
  {
   "id": "1200110117733195776",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T17:52:03+00:00",
   "text": "@xriskology I feel there's room for maybe $100b of the $426b to be spent on efforts to reduce x-risk through spending money on the global poor, but I feel there's more traction after a certain point on spending to incentivize people already in a position to help reduce xrisk, to reduce xrisk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1200110117733195776",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1200095492643799040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199972425355735040",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T08:44:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanWard97: I hear some people say they're unconcerned by a common x-risk odds of 1/6 by year 0000 0000 2100. This is not because they…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199972425355735040",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1199955147079729152",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T07:36:15+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton Idk, why should stadiums by subsidized by tax payers?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199955147079729152",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1199953720110223360"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199884690351624192",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T02:56:17+00:00",
   "text": "This seems like a 🔥 quantitative econ resource: https://t.co/g3wVzCxyKL",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199884690351624192",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1199883220726231040",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T02:50:27+00:00",
   "text": "@JimPethokoukis @ahardtospell Not quite. His value is primarily in the speed he beat others to his business model. If he was 2 years ahead & the counterfactual person would have run a company as good as Amazon, he's mainly only ever responsible for the last 2 years of Amazon's econ benefit to society.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199883220726231040",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1199777459195056128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199872345822892034",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T02:07:14+00:00",
   "text": "@kyleschutter @paulg There are other important causes too though.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199872345822892034",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1199869482006667265"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199867303623610368",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:47:12+00:00",
   "text": "Of course, the exact right probability to choose the lower option over the higher probably depends upon the odds other people see utilities the same way, the number of other people, the number of future estimates scenarios, etc.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199867303623610368",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1199861485771665408"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199861485771665408",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:24:05+00:00",
   "text": "is useful for iterations of the same or similar problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199861485771665408",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1199861484802727936"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199861484802727936",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:24:04+00:00",
   "text": "the seemingly less utilitous choice. If a group of 10 friends selects the better choice with say only .9 odds, it's likely (enough), that someone can report to the group a better utility estimate of the bottom choice, and confirm that it's indeed a worse choice or not, which",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199861484802727936",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1199861483208925184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199861483208925184",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:24:04+00:00",
   "text": "For instance, people often face similar or identical choice dilemmas in isolation of eachother. Probability distros over utility may overlap significantly. If everyone just picks the highest option, when everyone meets up, no one will have a better idea of the true utility of",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199861483208925184",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1199855520259231744"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199860296636096517",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:19:21+00:00",
   "text": "If the random number falls below where you set, I expect it would be easier for a lot of people to just go the gym.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199860296636096517",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1199860295201644550"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199860295201644550",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:19:21+00:00",
   "text": "your random number 'selected' is bad-- you just do what it says. 'Ugh, I don't want to go to the gym, I just want to veg out.' If you're David Goggins, you'll just go to the gym, but if that's too much, perhaps you can set your threshold for going to the gym at .3 or .4 odds.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199860295201644550",
   "word_count": 58,
   "in_reply_to": "1199860294241136640"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199855520259231744",
   "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:00:22+00:00",
   "text": "But there are plenty of scenarios where pseudo-random bits, even with P(world diversification | MWI)=0,  are better than nothing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199855520259231744",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1199854986718523392"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199836625620152321",
   "created_at": "2019-11-27T23:45:18+00:00",
   "text": "@xriskology If we can get these guys to care enough about x-risk reduction to throw a lot of their wealth at it, that would, imo, do more good in expectation than directly redistributing all of their wealth to the bottom half.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199836625620152321",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1199835062218280960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199775003077758983",
   "created_at": "2019-11-27T19:40:26+00:00",
   "text": "Anyone know of any websites/software for private, anonymous forums? I think it would be useful for a lot of social groups to be able to vet who gets into a private forum, but allow people to be anonymous from there for each post/thread.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199775003077758983",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1199546139227426817",
   "created_at": "2019-11-27T04:31:00+00:00",
   "text": "@westurner @JohnDCook Idk, but I just messaged them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199546139227426817",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1199544089777254400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199544816302018561",
   "created_at": "2019-11-27T04:25:45+00:00",
   "text": "@hdepotonasale @CBSLA I tried to signal sarcasm with the '/s'",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199544816302018561",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1199541737791713280"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199542233634156544",
   "created_at": "2019-11-27T04:15:29+00:00",
   "text": "@westurner @JohnDCook Yeah I'd think any SWE worth their salt could push out a fix in a few days tops.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199542233634156544",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1199539766783619072"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199536104380219395",
   "created_at": "2019-11-27T03:51:08+00:00",
   "text": "@_TamaraWinter America, perhaps New Jersey, in 1940 to stop the atomic spies and ensure America was the only country to develop the bomb. Given existentially dangerous tech, a unipolar system is a safer equilibrium.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199536104380219395",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1199119586001592320"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199526527504912384",
   "created_at": "2019-11-27T03:13:04+00:00",
   "text": "US states seriously need to experiment more. I want to see legislation passed where the governor is like, \"There's a good chance this is gonna be negative for us, but the value of information given the potential upside and all the other states is there, so we're doing it.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199526527504912384",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1199522022759583744",
   "created_at": "2019-11-27T02:55:10+00:00",
   "text": "@CBSLA Why don't they just put in more lanes? /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199522022759583744",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1199495345824260097"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199491404864598016",
   "created_at": "2019-11-27T00:53:31+00:00",
   "text": "@BretWeinstein Some states of affairs are better than others.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199491404864598016",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1199448718023380993"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199470574021550081",
   "created_at": "2019-11-26T23:30:44+00:00",
   "text": "@OmanReagan Hard sci-fi >> the rest.\n\nI immediately lose interest when dumb stuff happens that could not even be possible in principle e.g. knowing peoples' memories from just their DNA.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199470574021550081",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1199061729390366721"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199415829697355776",
   "created_at": "2019-11-26T19:53:12+00:00",
   "text": "@TrevMcKendrick Increasing economic growth, not going extinct, reducing suffering, & promoting epistemic humility.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199415829697355776",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1199232733500755969"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199394570724954112",
   "created_at": "2019-11-26T18:28:43+00:00",
   "text": "@amymastrine Candidates contributors might be:\n-Puritan egregore that never completely died\n-fear of flirting from cancel culture\n-perhaps unconscious fear of diseases? America is more diverse, spread out, and individuals are often not local to an area.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199394570724954112",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1199374155566735360"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199381170661838848",
   "created_at": "2019-11-26T17:35:29+00:00",
   "text": "@breki74 @JohnDCook Estonia seems good https://t.co/XKJ2uaRQKN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199381170661838848",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1199345558780952576"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199380214696071169",
   "created_at": "2019-11-26T17:31:41+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnDCook The new FedBizOps site doesn't even let you search for contracts near a zip code. You have to enter all the zip codes in your area you'd be interested in contracting in.\n\nTalk about a great way to increase competition for contracts and reduce federal spending /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199380214696071169",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1199345150322827268"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199376447728766976",
   "created_at": "2019-11-26T17:16:43+00:00",
   "text": "@alexeyguzey 🔥",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199376447728766976",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1199364774129209344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1199335888330772482",
   "created_at": "2019-11-26T14:35:33+00:00",
   "text": "RT @GiveWell: Announcing our 2019 top charities: https://t.co/h2po74JeRz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199335888330772482",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1199041887274967040",
   "created_at": "2019-11-25T19:07:17+00:00",
   "text": "@koaleszenz https://t.co/p2hPxC9VjC",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1199041887274967040",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1198703011217989633"
  },
  {
   "id": "1198686032469876736",
   "created_at": "2019-11-24T19:33:15+00:00",
   "text": "@erikbryn @tylercowen They should use random bits immediately generated from quantum sources like https://t.co/TYMIU6xVA3\njust in case MWI is true and it's possible to diversify recently-created worlds.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1198686032469876736",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1198675225812054017"
  },
  {
   "id": "1198678163062169600",
   "created_at": "2019-11-24T19:01:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @erikbryn: Allocating *some* research grants by lottery is a good idea.\n\nWith proper follow up, this can reveal which kinds of projects…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1198678163062169600",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1198114023994200065",
   "created_at": "2019-11-23T05:40:17+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Not sure why though /s 😅",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1198114023994200065",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1198113417388793856"
  },
  {
   "id": "1198113417388793856",
   "created_at": "2019-11-23T05:37:53+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Same!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1198113417388793856",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1198110382767792129"
  },
  {
   "id": "1198103128324874240",
   "created_at": "2019-11-23T04:57:00+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Delaney?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1198103128324874240",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1198063842980286465"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197979945328205825",
   "created_at": "2019-11-22T20:47:31+00:00",
   "text": "@literalbanana Seems like a great thought experiment for thinking about net-negative hedonic experience.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197979945328205825",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1197888016783593472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197949457909850112",
   "created_at": "2019-11-22T18:46:22+00:00",
   "text": "@briantemerowski Hey thanks! I didn't realize they say they use a Quantis TRNG, which is comforting.\n\nParanoid or Android people might prefer https://t.co/uVD4N5KC3k\nwhich seems to be managed by Australia National University.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197949457909850112",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1197899425483505666"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197659099611222017",
   "created_at": "2019-11-21T23:32:35+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Hearing someone out clearly doesn't necessarily validate them. On the contrary, it's pretty much a mando precursor to change their mind.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197659099611222017",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1197658559095431173"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197658559095431173",
   "created_at": "2019-11-21T23:30:26+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I mean I'm mainly only interested in this to the probability that I think I can change their mind if I find their arguments are as lacking as I initially think they are, but I'd be down to have a respectful discussion with most terrible people I can think of.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197658559095431173",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1197657555784413188"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197657555784413188",
   "created_at": "2019-11-21T23:26:27+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I feel like it's a point of pride to earnestly, respectfully entertain another's ideas they earnestly believe in, even if they are heavily stigmatized. How do people have a chance at reconciling priors if we don't do this?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197657555784413188",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1197650887839272960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197652837179777024",
   "created_at": "2019-11-21T23:07:42+00:00",
   "text": "problems, can't diversify worlds if my MWI decision protocol is true, can't pick good passwords quickly, Omega can predict you /s, etc.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197652837179777024",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1197652836290637830"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197652836290637830",
   "created_at": "2019-11-21T23:07:42+00:00",
   "text": "Wish I had like a quantum random number generator watch. I want an endless supply of random floating point numbers on the unit interval on demand at any moment.\n\nIt's scary when you don't have them! You can't properly employ mixed-strategies, can't navigate some value of info",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197652836290637830",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1197523746568978432",
   "created_at": "2019-11-21T14:34:44+00:00",
   "text": "@metaashu *gets stuck in an infinite loop evaluating the utility of the counterfactual*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197523746568978432",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1197515204554133504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197477289782632449",
   "created_at": "2019-11-21T11:30:08+00:00",
   "text": "@EPoe187 It's not necessarily about getting everybody to be an effective altruist. Of course that would be nice, but seeing so many mistaken activists leads me to just want more people to just focus on making money and expanding the economy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197477289782632449",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1197474570124566529"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197474570124566529",
   "created_at": "2019-11-21T11:19:20+00:00",
   "text": "@EPoe187 Not saying there isn't room to tighten down more, but EAs, from what I've picked up on, are about as aware of status games and determined to not let them affect their moral calculus as people get.\n\nAnd I'd say EAs, on the margin, don't take theory serious enough.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197474570124566529",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1196183509574078464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197300377445707776",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T23:47:09+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK spend a week or two trying to raise a runaway so I can just focus on grad school prep+research.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197300377445707776",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1197299811902464001"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197299811902464001",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T23:44:54+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Honestly I should probably give this a shot. I've mostly been looking at federal contracts and building a monetized app (along with Rover, donating-plasma, & other time-efficient gig-economy stuff), but there's a lot of rich people near me & the EV is probably high enough to",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197299811902464001",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1197290567027347463"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197288930850361344",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T23:01:40+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn It's a hard optimization problem between building up a runway I know would make me resilient in the short term to unfortunate events and optimizing for grad school and direct work in EA orgs. I'm really hoping I catch a break with emergent ventures or something soon.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197288930850361344",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1197282745426337794"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197280751978463233",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T22:29:10+00:00",
   "text": "It's so dumb I don't have the $ to justify buying a proper replacement right away.\n\nShit like this makes it tempting to straight drop all non-market-prioritized interests and just have my u function be to max money until I have a couple mil to my name.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197280751978463233",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1197277560478019584"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197277560478019584",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T22:16:29+00:00",
   "text": "I'm so ready to get my laptop back from fucking Dell. It's been almost a month 😩. They totally dropped the ball on me, especially considering I had their premium warranty. Being equally productive on mobile, even with a Bluetooth keyboard, is so much harder.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197277560478019584",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1197270052694904835",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T21:46:39+00:00",
   "text": "2) Gmail doesn't care about periods, so you can use this to set up new accounts with websites easily.\n\ne.g. johnsmith@gmai.com gets emails from john.smith@_ or joh.n.smit.h@_ \n\nIt seems to only work with 1 period in a row though, fyi.\n\nhttps://t.co/1Qs06gvK9w",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197270052694904835",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1197266683439828992"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197266683439828992",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T21:33:16+00:00",
   "text": "Useful Gmail tidbits I just learned:\n\n1) you can add +{category} to your address when you give it out to help you filter their emails (you have to set up a filter for the category)\n\ne.g. johnsmith+important@gmail.com or johnsmith+trash@gmail.com",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197266683439828992",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1197229426162974720",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T19:05:13+00:00",
   "text": "What if...  things are valuable in proportion to the probability they occur... and future potential people matter .. aha ha, just kidding.. unless.. ?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197229426162974720",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1197032913751224321",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T06:04:21+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton different arrangements of matter that I might find I enjoy more, let me copy instances of the arrangements of matter that I already really prefer, because X arrangements of a state preferred Ymagnitude is X*Ymagnitude, and it seems I'm trying to maximize Ymagnitude.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197032913751224321",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1197030283624796160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197030283624796160",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T05:53:54+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton \"hmm, wherever I move in spacetime, it seems I consistently prefer/disprefer what happens when I influence the arrangement of matter and energy in a certain way. I really like when some things happen. I seem to just be made up of matter and energy, so along with researching",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197030283624796160",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1197027660418994178"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197027660418994178",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T05:43:28+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton And even if somehow it's not real, we have to act anyway. Anyone who can prefer one state of mind over another and has a credence higher than like 1/10^100 that value can exist outside their subjectivity might as well be self-consistent and act as if a moral landscape exists.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197027660418994178",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1197020748843380736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197018833640460288",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T05:08:24+00:00",
   "text": "It would be nice if more people acknowledged that value stems from matter &amp; energy being arranged in the right way.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197018833640460288",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1197016179736489985",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T04:57:51+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/mXScwRZCE6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197016179736489985",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1197016178994089985"
  },
  {
   "id": "1197016178994089985",
   "created_at": "2019-11-20T04:57:51+00:00",
   "text": "\"One thing I don’t think people do often enough is use law school or business school as a backup. You can go get a job in your relevant area, ideally a promising but high-risk one, and then if it doesn’t work out — you’ll look better on your law school application.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1197016178994089985",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1196593509001773056",
   "created_at": "2019-11-19T00:58:18+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ESYudkowsky: Multiple claims that mild levels of particulate matter, under 30% of what's in the Bay Area right now, have huge degrading…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1196593509001773056",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1196475272025067521",
   "created_at": "2019-11-18T17:08:28+00:00",
   "text": "@LogoCentrifuge What about land value or Pigouvian taxes?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1196475272025067521",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1196407442143248385"
  },
  {
   "id": "1196472166520369152",
   "created_at": "2019-11-18T16:56:08+00:00",
   "text": "@DegenRolf We might see less violence across society, but I'd bet we'd see a drop in economic growth if every guy lost, say, 90% of his sex drive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1196472166520369152",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1196470624203481088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1196470624203481088",
   "created_at": "2019-11-18T16:50:00+00:00",
   "text": "@DegenRolf A possible redeeming factor here is that a high-sex drive often motivates men to to pursue prestige to great lengths, often in economic-value producing ways, more than they probably would if they lived a life of greater sexual satisfaction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1196470624203481088",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "897142350031486976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1196273715140534278",
   "created_at": "2019-11-18T03:47:34+00:00",
   "text": "Something touching happened to me earlier today. Was telling somebody about EA and could see them getting teary eyed and holding back tears (they confirmed it touched them).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1196273715140534278",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1195802253719953409",
   "created_at": "2019-11-16T20:34:08+00:00",
   "text": "RT @primalpoly: Here's the thing: \n\nIf you _really_ want to change a typical human's mind about a long-cherished idea, you have to \n\n1) und…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1195802253719953409",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1195108142599868416",
   "created_at": "2019-11-14T22:35:59+00:00",
   "text": "@tracesoffaith Discounting wellbeing's incorrect.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1195108142599868416",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1193913578530725888"
  },
  {
   "id": "1194974484165513216",
   "created_at": "2019-11-14T13:44:53+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RokoMijicUK: US people: how to solve your healthcare anti-system:\n\n1. Price tags on all procedures\n2. Annual deductible with a health s…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1194974484165513216",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1194899794709417984",
   "created_at": "2019-11-14T08:48:05+00:00",
   "text": "@nosilverv Heatmap and/or add credences in brackets",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1194899794709417984",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1194899380622544896"
  },
  {
   "id": "1194316970553942018",
   "created_at": "2019-11-12T18:12:09+00:00",
   "text": "I can see the argument for requiring an Rx for say, fentanyl, but it's rediculous for stuff like modafinil or bupropion.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1194316970553942018",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1194314120734093312"
  },
  {
   "id": "1194314120734093312",
   "created_at": "2019-11-12T18:00:50+00:00",
   "text": "Let people take ownership for themselves and their own health outcomes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1194314120734093312",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1194314119752683522"
  },
  {
   "id": "1194314119752683522",
   "created_at": "2019-11-12T18:00:50+00:00",
   "text": "It's anti-libertarian that you need an MD/PA's approval to buy and use Rx drugs. No one knows your own mind/body better than you and few others bear unusual risk from you using most drugs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1194314119752683522",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1194036789297762306",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T23:38:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @open_phil: We're excited to announce a new partnership with Ben Delo, who will be providing funds to our long-termist grantmaking, whic…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1194036789297762306",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1194027125881409537",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T23:00:25+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK self-consistently for all the questions it asks you.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1194027125881409537",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1194027075067355136"
  },
  {
   "id": "1194027075067355136",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T23:00:13+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK A software tool could have the option of providing questions to help users refine their distro e.g. take the +1 and -1 sigma value and ask, \"do you think these two outcomes are equally likely? If not, which one is more likely? And it tweaks the distro until you answer",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1194027075067355136",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1194024256771887104"
  },
  {
   "id": "1194020620851437569",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T22:34:34+00:00",
   "text": "It needs to be 1000x easier to do probabilistic cost-benefit analysis. We need ~Guesstimate on mobile+offline, easier tools for combining people's estimates of random variables, & tools for generating/drawing/refining probability distributions in accordance w/ intuitions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1194020620851437569",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1193992118068547593",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T20:41:18+00:00",
   "text": "@JimDMiller Done & added the Letter of Intent to my list of stuff to print next time I'm at the library. (Note to outsiders: Alcor has regular dues too so it's not like I don't want to come up with the extra ~$25/month, but really, $50/month.)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193992118068547593",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1193987935810531330"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193985646571986945",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T20:15:35+00:00",
   "text": "@JimDMiller I will sign up as soon as I start pulling real money, like $500+ a month discretionary. Rn I'd rather be sinking what I have into mental health and profit-generating activities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193985646571986945",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1193980999195123728"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193974820184219648",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T19:32:34+00:00",
   "text": "@JimDMiller I still need to sign up for that, but even $30/month life insurance payments would suck right now and my main risks of death--accidents--would, I imagine, often not provide enough time for a cryonics provider to arrive in time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193974820184219648",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1193970485060616192"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193969765745868800",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T19:12:29+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Yes! 😂",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193969765745868800",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1193969614985867266"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193969055864152067",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T19:09:40+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Hopefully by then, large portions of the population can just look up and see one every 90 minutes!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193969055864152067",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1193967478784897025"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193966885550936066",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T19:01:03+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK :( I hope the more optimistic predictions are right.\n\nIt seems crazy to me more money isn't being thrown at this already.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193966885550936066",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1193816615051239424"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193951932316033024",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T18:01:37+00:00",
   "text": "@ryxcommar The other option is to have the courage to be boring and include many of the caveats about how you could be wrong.\n\"I'm not super well read up on X, but it seems that given Y and Z, A might be the case. I could be wrong if B is the case, among other things.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193951932316033024",
   "word_count": 57,
   "in_reply_to": "1193897641555435521"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193950485620891652",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T17:55:52+00:00",
   "text": "@nosilverv A utilitronium shockwave is currently a valid long-term goal and reason to take existential risk, particularly that from omnicidal agents, extremely seriously.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193950485620891652",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1193833255621079041"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193941370332991489",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T17:19:39+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RokoMijicUK: This is pretty much the most important truth of the modern era, and it applies to *every* problem we face, not just climat…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193941370332991489",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1193787788103241728",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:09:22+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Guesstimate is amazing but it doesn't seem optimized yet for generating really specific distributions one might have in mind",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193787788103241728",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1193783587545333761"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193787483298897920",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:08:10+00:00",
   "text": "@Cullen_OK Not that I know of",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193787483298897920",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1193781600225386496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193786668228186112",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:04:55+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian This? https://t.co/LoYJahKVuT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193786668228186112",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1193783587545333761"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193786259531091968",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:18+00:00",
   "text": "Is that greater than the discomfort and disutility of living more healthily (which is often its own reward after an adjustment period)?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193786259531091968",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1193786258604077056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193786258604077056",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:18+00:00",
   "text": "What's that percentage * your personal & instrumental utility of ~immortality?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193786258604077056",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1193786257840758785"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193786257840758785",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:18+00:00",
   "text": "The odds are higher if you expect advances in medicine before then to push your lifespan differential up to a higher probability area of the distribution.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193786257840758785",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1193786256926347264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193786256926347264",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:17+00:00",
   "text": "What are the odds of a life extension breakthrough between those two years that allows you to catch the ~immortality train?\n\nSurely > 1%, but try to calculate it out.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193786256926347264",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1193786256171380737"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193786256171380737",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:17+00:00",
   "text": "What years does your ~current expected lifespan & improved expected lifespan map out to?\n\nFor me as a '97er, that might be 2077 and 2087.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193786256171380737",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1193786254783066112"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193786254783066112",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:17+00:00",
   "text": "Now, how much longer could you live for, in expectation, with no future advances in medicine, if you did everything you could figure out now to increase your lifespan (e.g. intermittent fasting w/ periodic longer fasts, adequate sleep, exercise)?\n5 years? 10? 15?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193786254783066112",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1193786253864579072"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193786253864579072",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:17+00:00",
   "text": "What's your prediction, as a probability density function, for the future year when life extension research advances enough that a living person, with only a moderate sum of money, can catch the immortality train?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193786253864579072",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1193781367479455745",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T06:43:52+00:00",
   "text": "Anyone know of any tools to draw and easily refine probability distributions?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193781367479455745",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1193777831655956480",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T06:29:49+00:00",
   "text": "@diana_h @TheCut I mean people are free to look as unapproachable as they want, but it only takes the quickest flash of the eyebrows, even while maintaining whatever grievous facial expression they want to display, to signal to others one is not a serial killer w/ a personal grievance against you",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193777831655956480",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1193775443058610177"
  },
  {
   "id": "1193773188733456384",
   "created_at": "2019-11-11T06:11:22+00:00",
   "text": "Wtf is wrong with people who just stare at you when you warmly greet them? Is signaling you have zero charisma or care for the social glue that holds society together cool?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193773188733456384",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1192973781775589386",
   "created_at": "2019-11-09T01:14:48+00:00",
   "text": "@galenhall @Liv_Boeree 😂",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1192973781775589386",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1192843168531845121"
  },
  {
   "id": "1192949686325432321",
   "created_at": "2019-11-08T23:39:03+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RokoMijicUK: This is a nice fairytale, but within less than 500 years we will certainly experience a technological singularity, \"ecolog…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1192949686325432321",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1192570901516210176",
   "created_at": "2019-11-07T22:33:54+00:00",
   "text": "@brazen_cabeza mayb",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1192570901516210176",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1192570333355749377"
  },
  {
   "id": "1192534591879417858",
   "created_at": "2019-11-07T20:09:37+00:00",
   "text": "Rationalists be like damn, I've got to collapse the state of possible worlds in accordance with my preferences by Friday.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1192534591879417858",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1192497778263506949",
   "created_at": "2019-11-07T17:43:20+00:00",
   "text": "@primalpoly Seeds for a hedonium shockwave headed towards nearby galaxies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1192497778263506949",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1192488812082941952"
  },
  {
   "id": "1192278883380453376",
   "created_at": "2019-11-07T03:13:31+00:00",
   "text": "@aguilaclc @Aella_Girl Just because something is hard or impossible to quantify doesn't mean their isn't room for ordinal comparisons. https://t.co/F78DCUhmW9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1192278883380453376",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1192272304232747009"
  },
  {
   "id": "1192225637420810240",
   "created_at": "2019-11-06T23:41:57+00:00",
   "text": "Examples of effective climate charities for the curious: https://t.co/0xVuCgu6QX https://t.co/kMrqjttuss",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1192225637420810240",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1191941048207065088",
   "created_at": "2019-11-06T04:51:05+00:00",
   "text": "RT @zdgroff: This is one of the best (non-econ) papers I've read recently—tackling an extremely difficult problem with precision to reach a…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1191941048207065088",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1191708323831308294",
   "created_at": "2019-11-05T13:26:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RokoMijicUK: Just got a crushing rejection from NASA for a proposal that myself and some friends worked very hard on. Extremely disappo…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1191708323831308294",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1191666398768095232",
   "created_at": "2019-11-05T10:39:44+00:00",
   "text": "RT @WIREDScience: A new Crispr technique called “prime editing,” can for the first time make virtually any alteration—additions, deletions,…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1191666398768095232",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1191444376104456192",
   "created_at": "2019-11-04T19:57:29+00:00",
   "text": "@averykimball How do you evaluate choices to try to maximize expected utility without estimating the probability of relevant events?\nIf you aren't willing to assign a number to probabilities which you have no proper frequentist probabilities for, it seems like you're stuck from the get go.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1191444376104456192",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1191258732702781440"
  },
  {
   "id": "1190675560319651844",
   "created_at": "2019-11-02T17:02:29+00:00",
   "text": "Friendly reminder that you don't have to wait to the end to have a real cry.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1190675560319651844",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1190439905089994753",
   "created_at": "2019-11-02T01:26:05+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Can't say confidently, but I'd guess that\n| EU( ∆ public recognition | ∆odds)| >\n| EU( ∆ complacency/effort | ∆odds)|",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1190439905089994753",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1190433905930854400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1190432490986582016",
   "created_at": "2019-11-02T00:56:37+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg One disutility is it raises prices and 'odds' of your opponent, which could raise their status & p(winning). Not saying the magnitude for one person on PredictIt is much, but the partial effect seems to be there.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1190432490986582016",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1190252657874800640"
  },
  {
   "id": "1189762149486338048",
   "created_at": "2019-10-31T04:32:55+00:00",
   "text": "@kyleschutter Land value taxes are efficient, just, and should be implemented. Everyone deserves to be recouped for the slices of the Commons rented away from them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1189762149486338048",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1189736745530613760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1189211298254467073",
   "created_at": "2019-10-29T16:04:02+00:00",
   "text": "@jim_rutt @SamHBarton Some of us seem to be on track or capable of eventually making recursively intelligent systems. This seems like a decent definition of being a general intelligence. Most people aren't of course, so I agree.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1189211298254467073",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1189190454350270465"
  },
  {
   "id": "1188839900508049409",
   "created_at": "2019-10-28T15:28:14+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Is 300,000 digits for a random composite number with probably many low prime factors, or for a composite number made of two gigantic primes?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1188839900508049409",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1188831463183147008"
  },
  {
   "id": "1188535437440229376",
   "created_at": "2019-10-27T19:18:24+00:00",
   "text": "RT @rivatez: John Stuart Mill’s diary, 1854: https://t.co/rrkVOBeD01",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1188535437440229376",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1188299740636766209",
   "created_at": "2019-10-27T03:41:50+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jprwg: Idea: small (3-5?) set of tags u can configre & apply to each tweet; followrs can choose which of yr tags to follow (& untagged)…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1188299740636766209",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1186789506978144256",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T23:40:42+00:00",
   "text": "Poll:\nSetting aside time to feel emotions in order to reduce their unconscious affect on you--",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186789506978144256",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1186787858335576065"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186646626754060291",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T14:12:57+00:00",
   "text": "@AndrewM_Webb Compare w/ a random generated number https://t.co/1gDZ4BfC9B",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186646626754060291",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1186615873018191873"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186643858874081280",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T14:01:57+00:00",
   "text": "@spacer01 @ArmsControlWonk @DannyBressler1 @ENERGY Oh thanks, I misread the tweet.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186643858874081280",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1186604696120844288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186533255945900032",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T06:42:27+00:00",
   "text": "@dela3499 @ludwig_raal How can you reliably get further with anything else? I mean I think higher order ideas like increasing liberty & economic growth seem to be decent heuristics, but they are of no intrinsic value themselves.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186533255945900032",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1186528078723457024"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186514132624957442",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T05:26:28+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Nets too jetting from the helmet could increase standoff distance. Give you 6+\" even before hitting material.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186514132624957442",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1186513675621928960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186513585725464576",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T05:24:17+00:00",
   "text": "@ArmsControlWonk @DannyBressler1 @ENERGY 2.4b on sustaining safer nukes doesn't sound like the worst investment..\n\nWith better nukes, we might even get more comfortable with reducing the size of the stockpile.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186513585725464576",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1186505696306577414"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186510671736950784",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T05:12:43+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Interesting, maybe 3g wouldn't be enough w/ reasonable helmet material & thickness? Need some crazy YouTuber that somehow has RDX & is willing to drop a couple hundred for a helmet to try it out.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186510671736950784",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1186508148087152640"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186490656132419585",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T03:53:11+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian I don't think slaughterbots of this sort are likely to pose an x-risk though. I'm more okay with letting other people worry about them. Bio/nano possibilities, even via lone wolves, seem more concerning.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186490656132419585",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1186489641177882624"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186489641177882624",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T03:49:09+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian This video shows moderate penetration: https://t.co/viLvpTyy1T\nSeems like enough for typical kevlar helmets.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186489641177882624",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1186489195260502016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186489195260502016",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T03:47:22+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian It sounds like a penetration of 3.3x Liner depth can be achieved. https://t.co/NfT9CgdBaU",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186489195260502016",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1186481674776920064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186476668292157440",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T02:57:36+00:00",
   "text": "AI & just unprincipled research with the possibility of drawing a 'black' ball, as Bostrom wrote, are the others imo.\n\nThink we are more (still not enough) on track to progress in other areas like climate change, nuclear, and natural background risks like asteroids.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186476668292157440",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1186442634388262913"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186470406271721473",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T02:32:43+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Masks could help obscure identity, but I don't think any helmets out today would be effective in stopping a shaped charge.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186470406271721473",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1186452123539722240"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186469095467835394",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T02:27:30+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Yeah I don't think this is intractable, just relatively neglected rn.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186469095467835394",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1186451889346531328"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186466981626691586",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T02:19:06+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Yes this is more of hypothesizing current and emerging risks than updating from past terrorist attacks.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186466981626691586",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1186451025470865416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186464678660194304",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T02:09:57+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian I agree that total # is most important, but I think a decreasing k/k ratio is an important part of the risk analysis. It leads to a far great number of seriously dangerous actors, which increases # killed in expectation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186464678660194304",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1186450946089467904"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186461764084555776",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T01:58:22+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Daniel Deudney, at least: https://t.co/7JbNQeUiHI https://t.co/lfeWqia2wh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186461764084555776",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1186450226451755008"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186449006739775494",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T01:07:41+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian The only real trend in defense's favor, IMO, is increased surveillance & (post-crime) deterrence through better investigative capabilities and rule of law. But that doesn't seem to be quite keeping pace.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186449006739775494",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1186448631370604545"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186448631370604545",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T01:06:11+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Killer to killed ratio is falling & that's evidence in favor of offense outpacing defense.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186448631370604545",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1186443604367151104"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186442634388262913",
   "created_at": "2019-10-22T00:42:21+00:00",
   "text": "Solid overview of what is perhaps the most troubling trend of our time: offensive tech development outpacing defensive & becoming increasingly accessible to smaller teams of omnicidal agents. https://t.co/WUzhoKDpIH",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186442634388262913",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1186329193552007169",
   "created_at": "2019-10-21T17:11:35+00:00",
   "text": "@superamit Could also be a version where if N number of people blind cancel, it cancels. Then, everyone has some degree of plausible deniability for not blind canceling if it cancels.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186329193552007169",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1186109151832756224"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186328571553468416",
   "created_at": "2019-10-21T17:09:07+00:00",
   "text": "RT @superamit: Google Calendar feature suggestion: Blind Cancel.\n\nIf you blind cancel a meeting it sends no notifications and the meeting i…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186328571553468416",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1186325328496607237",
   "created_at": "2019-10-21T16:56:13+00:00",
   "text": "RT @juliagalef: My latest podcast, in which I am dumbfounded at how much of a sham the Stanford Prison Experiment turned out to be: https:/…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186325328496607237",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1186325280304041985",
   "created_at": "2019-10-21T16:56:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @OphirHarpaz: [1/4] Ok this is really funny, check this out.\nI was in the process of booking a flight via @OneTravel. Trying to make me…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186325280304041985",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1186323135215423490",
   "created_at": "2019-10-21T16:47:30+00:00",
   "text": "Put up X ETH on the line that you won't buy the new iPhone & are locked in if enough Y people also commit by date T0. Contract only expires if Apple drops the price down to P1 or by expiration date T1.\n\nTechnical problem is figuring out who jumps ship & buys one early.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186323135215423490",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1186320050157969409"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186320050157969409",
   "created_at": "2019-10-21T16:35:15+00:00",
   "text": "A smart contract-based app to help consumers recapture producer surplus.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186320050157969409",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1186300049166405634",
   "created_at": "2019-10-21T15:15:46+00:00",
   "text": "@david_perell 1.Probabilistic cost-benefit analysis becomes more prevalent.\n\n2. High glycemic index foods continue to lose popularity.\n\n3. Increasing divide in value-generation, health, and other outcomes as the conscientious capitalize on newly discovered best-practices, & others don't.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186300049166405634",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1186100120477147136"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186107558748196866",
   "created_at": "2019-10-21T02:30:53+00:00",
   "text": "@zackkanter How hard is it for people to see employment as a private contract made between two people to fulfill eachothers' preferences, and that full-time, salaried employment is not a natural right?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186107558748196866",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1186074880891998208"
  },
  {
   "id": "1186094408707559430",
   "created_at": "2019-10-21T01:38:38+00:00",
   "text": "@Jason @AlexanderGirau Not caring enough about fulfilling others' preferences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1186094408707559430",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1102388628880121856"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185617269172396032",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T18:02:39+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon They need to succeed better by a majority of measures, especially considering how theoretically unsound a non free-market system is. Can you list a good source? I have pretty much only read the contrary.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185617269172396032",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1185611786017562626"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185602200963354624",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T17:02:46+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon Especially while conserving basic human 'rights'.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185602200963354624",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1185598804248203264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185598804248203264",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T16:49:16+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon I agree that it would be nice if we could all do a lot better allocating our scarce resources, but I struggle to imagine a way a gov't could reliably outperform the surviving businesses today in most industries.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185598804248203264",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1185596436223840256"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185595148052381698",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T16:34:45+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon Have you explored geolibertarianism? https://t.co/hQqMTW82oo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185595148052381698",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1185594934688210944"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185594934688210944",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T16:33:54+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon What if those central planners are inefficient? When the distributed, 'federated' central planners in our society today (businesses) are inefficient, they lose the ability to influence labor & resources or go out of business.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185594934688210944",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1185592819639050241"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185592529774940168",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T16:24:20+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon How would people coordinate scarce resources without it?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185592529774940168",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1185591528833597443"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185588814120734720",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T16:09:35+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon The concept of money in your understanding of a socialist system.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185588814120734720",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1185588335496089600"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185587977587744770",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T16:06:15+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon I tend to prefer public convos for the 'proof of work'. OPs can mute conversations btw",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185587977587744770",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1185586140792926208"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185583009635950592",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:46:31+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon It's pretty wordy, but I'd like to hear what you think of this: https://t.co/WzigypJZQO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185583009635950592",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1185582786448646144"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185582786448646144",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:45:38+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon How does the system you have in mind deal with the incentive & scarcity of information problems without money?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185582786448646144",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1185575585164210181"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185582111614476288",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:42:57+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon You must know the correlation between gun ownership & the belief in the supremacy of free markets & individual liberty.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185582111614476288",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1185581653244219393"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185581653244219393",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:41:07+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon Ethics aside, & the fact that it wouldn't even get you what you wanted, it's literally completely intractable. 2019+ America is not 1940's China.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185581653244219393",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1185573540633948162"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185577505421434883",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:24:38+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon hours of labor, it's definitely not a free lunch. He does it because he likes it. If he really wanted to make money, he'd do more consulting.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185577505421434883",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1185576189085265922"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185576189085265922",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:19:25+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon It's not like free money to him.  The market is competitive so the income isn't that great & he has bills to pay too. He literally couldn't afford to renovate the properties or regularly maintain them if he didn't make a profit. Again, if you divide his net profit by the # of",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185576189085265922",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1185575057113911297"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185575055717273602",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:14:54+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon The best situation and way to further just, efficient redistribution of the value of the Commons *is* for Georgists & non-rent seekers to get involved in real estate & become landlords.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185575055717273602",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1185574129090662400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185574129090662400",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:11:13+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon The only 'parasites' are those who lobby the gov't for rent-seeking policies & those officials who listen. My family member has no interest in this. Just making the best of a broken system. If he didn't do it, somebody who might actually lobby for unjust policies might.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185574129090662400",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1185573493984972801"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185573493984972801",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:08:42+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon If he didn't get involved, most if the properties he's bought would literally still be rinky-dink, run-down, drug infested areas. He kicked out the drug dealers & now low-income people actually have a safe place to sleep at night. IDK how that's parasitic.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185573493984972801",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1185571586327404549"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185572636253921280",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:05:18+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon doing IT consulting. Yes, Land-value taxes should be higher & we should get monthly checks for our chunk of the Commons stolen from us, but murdering such people en masse is not going to get you what you really want.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185572636253921280",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1185571722478661633"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185571722478661633",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:01:40+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon He's single-handedly turned a small development that was once full of crime into a safe place where low-income people  can safely live for less than $12k a year.  When you divide up all his hours of labor, he's probably making less than $25/h when he probably could make $100/h",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185571722478661633",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1185570277968793601"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185570277968793601",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T14:55:55+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon They also provide a lot more value than they often get credit for.  My family member is a land-lord on the side. He buys up $50k, shitty condos in bad areas, fixes them up himself, & rents them out at fair market prices.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185570277968793601",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1185568994264322049"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185568994264322049",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T14:50:49+00:00",
   "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon I'm all for Land-value taxes, but landlords are not this evil class you think they are. Hate the system, not the people working according to the legal, normal rules created by it. If one land lord doesn't compete economically in the business, someone else will.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185568994264322049",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1185284393155387397"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185565839115862018",
   "created_at": "2019-10-19T14:38:17+00:00",
   "text": "Now I don't really know the guy, but based off these 'new' details exposing the lies of the Stanford Prison Experiment, it sounds like @PhilZimbardo should be stripped of at least some of his awards & possibly sued.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185565839115862018",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1185285382579146752",
   "created_at": "2019-10-18T20:03:51+00:00",
   "text": "@wolfejosh Considering his prolific blocking, I and many other people can't see this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185285382579146752",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1185242165993185281"
  },
  {
   "id": "1185144525716627456",
   "created_at": "2019-10-18T10:44:08+00:00",
   "text": "@ManuKumar Seems like a pretty effective means of advertising too. Might have to be regulated eventually if it gets too annoying",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1185144525716627456",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1184837530711015426"
  },
  {
   "id": "1184974174273654784",
   "created_at": "2019-10-17T23:27:13+00:00",
   "text": "@Schneider_CM Fire the people who fired him. They obvs don't have the judgement to do their job.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1184974174273654784",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1184895489302581249"
  },
  {
   "id": "1184712568948088833",
   "created_at": "2019-10-17T06:07:41+00:00",
   "text": "RT @anderssandberg: Really annoying. But it also saves me from a lot of effort. Now we just need to make smart drugs, brain stimulation, ne…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1184712568948088833",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1184481249727041536",
   "created_at": "2019-10-16T14:48:31+00:00",
   "text": "Kind of like a gratitude journal:\n\nTake stock of all your assets.\n-intelligence\n-expected future lifespan\n-state of epistemic rationality\n-fact you're fluent in English\n- >educated than supermajority of people ever before\n-access to internet & people all around the world",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1184481249727041536",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1184433489954914305",
   "created_at": "2019-10-16T11:38:44+00:00",
   "text": "@david_perell Not a music guy myself at all. Just offering this as a data point.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1184433489954914305",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1184130318539874310"
  },
  {
   "id": "1184431075008876544",
   "created_at": "2019-10-16T11:29:08+00:00",
   "text": "Many NU intuitions about the weight of suffering are important & the naive total utilitarian often underweights the magnitude of instances of suffering, but the total utilitarian's welfare scale is the best formal structure offered so far.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1184431075008876544",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1184431074161676288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1184431074161676288",
   "created_at": "2019-10-16T11:29:08+00:00",
   "text": "Change my mind: Categorical negative utilitarians' & prioritarians' mistake is in not normalizing their welfare scale to account for proper, intuitive commensurability of utilities. Total utilitarianism allows negatives to be __*negative*__.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1184431074161676288",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1184216535944044545",
   "created_at": "2019-10-15T21:16:38+00:00",
   "text": "Applied for a CFAR workshop! May the candidate who will counterfactually better the world most through attending a workshop at this point in time win.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1184216535944044545",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1184199890487906304",
   "created_at": "2019-10-15T20:10:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robinhanson: It is dangerous for experts to use an expert-specific meaning of a word that also has vague meaning for broader public. Ev…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1184199890487906304",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1184190165755006983",
   "created_at": "2019-10-15T19:31:51+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton I don't know any must-reads if you are already a utilitarian, but I like this essay, https://t.co/cpSJLft6fE.   He crushes Rawl's maximin principle here: https://t.co/6ARj1cGT8Z\nHaven't read his game theory works, but I expect those to be good as they won him the Nobel prize.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1184190165755006983",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1183564998041194496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1183554279891783680",
   "created_at": "2019-10-14T01:25:04+00:00",
   "text": "Harsanyi > Rawls, don't @ me",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1183554279891783680",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1183484616096829441",
   "created_at": "2019-10-13T20:48:15+00:00",
   "text": "gosh my in-group is the best",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1183484616096829441",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1183455623880630273",
   "created_at": "2019-10-13T18:53:02+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/H3BoDdRz95 Listened to this podcast about a year ago, but I must have been distracted because it's so good!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1183455623880630273",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1183432142623313921",
   "created_at": "2019-10-13T17:19:44+00:00",
   "text": "@TheAnnaGat Applied decision theory and ideas aligned with https://t.co/74h0Fxw7uJ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1183432142623313921",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1183161679556890624"
  },
  {
   "id": "1183427672497688581",
   "created_at": "2019-10-13T17:01:58+00:00",
   "text": "@lsparrish The def. pose new risks, but I feel like a powerful, unilateral actor, on avg, is more likely to reduce x-risk. I'm more fearful of a world full of gov'ts that just can't get shit done then a world with a few people who can really exert their will.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1183427672497688581",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1183387623752007681"
  },
  {
   "id": "1183423464834846720",
   "created_at": "2019-10-13T16:45:15+00:00",
   "text": "@banjorepair 🙌",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1183423464834846720",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1183385713859088386"
  },
  {
   "id": "1183209335687651328",
   "created_at": "2019-10-13T02:34:23+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer Love it!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1183209335687651328",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1183192678919364608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1183132250973638656",
   "created_at": "2019-10-12T21:28:04+00:00",
   "text": "@trevlevtweets post everywhere that you can temporarily adopt others' utility function for units of care",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1183132250973638656",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1183098119619317765"
  },
  {
   "id": "1183080088952332289",
   "created_at": "2019-10-12T18:00:48+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer Happy birthday! https://t.co/duu9Z5HUea",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1183080088952332289",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1183047148159586304"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182405727882809367",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T21:21:08+00:00",
   "text": "In general, private contracts should be X legally enforceable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182405727882809367",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1182404431284977666",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T21:15:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RokoMijicUK: This is completely wrong. Flying is one of the few human activities that physically needs to emit CO2, i.e. mitigation cos…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182404431284977666",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1182404142314217473",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T21:14:50+00:00",
   "text": "@zhusu Tax sugar as well",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182404142314217473",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1182255087114014721"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182400459308503049",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T21:00:12+00:00",
   "text": "@TryAgainMan2 Remote software is up there",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182400459308503049",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1182395952688238599"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182364658436661248",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:37:56+00:00",
   "text": "@80000Hours @willmacaskill Are there any websites, web apps, or digital tools that you'd like to see developed to aid or further the EA movement?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182364658436661248",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1182362877908439045"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182362877908439045",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:30:51+00:00",
   "text": "@80000Hours @willmacaskill What different flavors of utilitarianism do you think are still most up for debate?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182362877908439045",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1182361597836251137"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182361597836251137",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:25:46+00:00",
   "text": "@80000Hours @willmacaskill Do you think possible ethical implications of the Many Worlds Interpretation of quantum mechanics have been explored thoroughly?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182361597836251137",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1182361269560659975"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182361269560659975",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:24:28+00:00",
   "text": "@80000Hours @willmacaskill Are their any gaps you see between academic moral philosophy literature & common ideas being thrown around in the EA movement?  Have most EA ideas already been written about somewhere in the journals?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182361269560659975",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1182359708532912128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182358001077936128",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:11:29+00:00",
   "text": "@lsparrish -if the idea is particularly difficult, mention that if they dont feel particularly well-rested, alert, calm, & focused, they shouldn't necessarily expect to get the material & that it's okay to put a rain check on engaging w/ the material & come back to it tomorrow.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182358001077936128",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1182357320799375360"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182357320799375360",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:08:47+00:00",
   "text": "@lsparrish -Emphasizing when the subject wasn't immediately intuitive to the current experts on it, & how they shouldn't be surprised if things don't click instantly. It takes multiple engagements with the subject sometimes before it really clicks & isn't naive pattern matching",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182357320799375360",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1182356281249714176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182356281249714176",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:04:39+00:00",
   "text": "@lsparrish Bump, but just to get the ideas flowing:\n-Really try to capture their full, sustained attention by quickly & iteratively showing the importance of key points\n-emphasizing early that most can understand this 'complex' idea by incrementally mastering chunks of it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182356281249714176",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1182348306178904066"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182347017319784450",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T17:27:50+00:00",
   "text": "@XiXiDu @RokoMijicUK I think part of the reason for some is that they worry that going too basic will be insulting. The temptation is to usually give people the benefit of the doubt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182347017319784450",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1182302499279196160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182344040563531777",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T17:16:00+00:00",
   "text": "Excited for Qualia Research Institute's work. If we can substantially increase the desirability of subjective experience sooner then later, I'd expect this to do a lot to reduce agential x-risks. Who wants to destroy the world when things are *obviously* net-positive?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182344040563531777",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1182124384330375169",
   "created_at": "2019-10-10T02:43:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Aella_Girl: Interesting thread about non-implemented policies that experts unanimously like:\nhttps://t.co/6ioQz21oQb",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182124384330375169",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1182071120851345408",
   "created_at": "2019-10-09T23:11:31+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Thanks 😃",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182071120851345408",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1182070659519664128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182070332708065282",
   "created_at": "2019-10-09T23:08:23+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Despite emotionally being a rather egoistic, prestige-driven, high-risk/yolo kind of guy, I've increasingly managed to let rational, utilitarian arguments drive my life.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182070332708065282",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1181675100929552384"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182061218661621760",
   "created_at": "2019-10-09T22:32:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Noahpinion: HOLY SHIT there are a lot of American companies doing pro-China censorship!!!\n\nhttps://t.co/4xbqLidDCB https://t.co/hXRyA8C…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182061218661621760",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1182014547437195265",
   "created_at": "2019-10-09T19:26:43+00:00",
   "text": "The crucial part, regardless of what happens to income inequality, is getting more dollars into neglected research & projects that could reduce x-risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182014547437195265",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1182013189489192960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182013189489192960",
   "created_at": "2019-10-09T19:21:19+00:00",
   "text": "Given x-risk & the need for spending billions of $$ to mitigate it on projects that aren't especially politically viable, growing wealth inequality doesn't seem *as* bad. It's probably easier to convince a few ultrawealths to fund neglected projects than get legislators to do it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182013189489192960",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1182009683042799616",
   "created_at": "2019-10-09T19:07:23+00:00",
   "text": "Any gains from a policy have to be weighed against the collective computational overhead of dealing w/ said policy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182009683042799616",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1182009232591245312"
  },
  {
   "id": "1182009232591245312",
   "created_at": "2019-10-09T19:05:36+00:00",
   "text": "Thinking of all the computations burned on navigating the Federal Register & complicated US tax codes. Any one addition, when zoomed in, prob. seems useful, but collectively, they seem to make it much harder for people to understand the world & predict future events.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182009232591245312",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1182007019634659329",
   "created_at": "2019-10-09T18:56:48+00:00",
   "text": "On the margin, I feel further work on shelters & independent colonies on Earth are useful for bio & general x-risk reduction, but I found an interesting report from Nick Beckstead, funded by Open Phil, that suggests otherwise https://t.co/QmoeVp4lO0",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1182007019634659329",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1181970191367987200",
   "created_at": "2019-10-09T16:30:28+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Cynical take, but given the distribution of epistemics out there, there are probably worse states of affairs through foolhardy activism. Makes me a lot less critical than I used to be of developers of incredibly time-consuming entertainment.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1181970191367987200",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1181880198389620736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1181803682003918849",
   "created_at": "2019-10-09T05:28:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jaltma: \"The brain is no place for serious thinking\"\n\nIf you're thinking about something important and complicated, write it down.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1181803682003918849",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1181452898296832000",
   "created_at": "2019-10-08T06:14:55+00:00",
   "text": "Big fan of human resiliency initiatives, so this OS designed for post-collapse use is legit af https://t.co/cCcREbJH5R https://t.co/OZfxzsBa2W",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1181452898296832000",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1181426735214145537",
   "created_at": "2019-10-08T04:30:58+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian I'm thinking to definitely have the option for anonymity & password protected surveys. I like the special invite links too.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1181426735214145537",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1181424667401187328"
  },
  {
   "id": "1181424076222545921",
   "created_at": "2019-10-08T04:20:24+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian I could probably make it optional to have an account, especially for people that are just inputting their credences/estimates.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1181424076222545921",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1181422292951171074"
  },
  {
   "id": "1181418179437965312",
   "created_at": "2019-10-08T03:56:58+00:00",
   "text": "@alexeyguzey Yikes",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1181418179437965312",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1181417259169918976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1181330859921686528",
   "created_at": "2019-10-07T22:09:59+00:00",
   "text": "Just saving this one for the books. https://t.co/EKEibLt2RV https://t.co/W6CzvVyFl5",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1181330859921686528",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1181330393565483011",
   "created_at": "2019-10-07T22:08:08+00:00",
   "text": "@tomfgoodwin May not lead to greater happiness, but it may lead to greater economic growth. Not saying we can't afford to slow the rat race down, but if it's net-negative, it may not be as bad as a lot of people probably think.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1181330393565483011",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1181288622521143296"
  },
  {
   "id": "1181329661021831168",
   "created_at": "2019-10-07T22:05:13+00:00",
   "text": "@Johnny_Uzan Yes. The higher your reservation option (living off your wealth), the less employment rent & power employers have over you.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1181329661021831168",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1181247817039437824"
  },
  {
   "id": "1180973044577312768",
   "created_at": "2019-10-06T22:28:09+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @nntaleb Idk who in particular.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1180973044577312768",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1180969343020126209"
  },
  {
   "id": "1180966050487242754",
   "created_at": "2019-10-06T22:00:22+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @nntaleb Tail risks aren't this insane idea though. Is Taleb really the dude we should be crediting with this idea?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1180966050487242754",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1180964592291385344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1180306854120955904",
   "created_at": "2019-10-05T02:20:57+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner This explanation doesn't make it subjectively that much less weird, but it's generally enough for me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1180306854120955904",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1180306512855609344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1180306512855609344",
   "created_at": "2019-10-05T02:19:36+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner I tend to think of it as an interesting hack employed by an evolutionarily adapted machine (the body). Mental phenomena that conveniently aids in survival and replication.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1180306512855609344",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1180301940007174144"
  },
  {
   "id": "1180243412391518213",
   "created_at": "2019-10-04T22:08:52+00:00",
   "text": "How do people get from \"X companies are not very ethical\" to \"[price-coordinated, free markets w/ strong private property laws] are net-bad]\"?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1180243412391518213",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1180142697178423296",
   "created_at": "2019-10-04T15:28:39+00:00",
   "text": "Refreshing take https://t.co/uCNV3WS5j6 https://t.co/F6E2ruRR80",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1180142697178423296",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1180141988500381697",
   "created_at": "2019-10-04T15:25:50+00:00",
   "text": "@Reddit_txt Hey props to them. I've never been able to share this with an SO /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1180141988500381697",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1039272633441943553"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179977575399149573",
   "created_at": "2019-10-04T04:32:31+00:00",
   "text": "@briantemerowski A HN moderator said my post was going into the 2nd chance pool & was going to show up on the front page, but I'm not sure it ever did 🤷‍♂️\nhttps://t.co/Kn2BEpEtFl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179977575399149573",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1179945564382908416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179910549573947392",
   "created_at": "2019-10-04T00:06:11+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @Snowden That's a fascinating idea. Would be nice if we could coordinate to do that. We at least could stock a number of isolated islands w/ tons of resources & send people to live there, isolated, for lengths of time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179910549573947392",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1179905917313257478"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179904235527376896",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T23:41:05+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK @Snowden Perhaps private orgs (& what the gov't can get away with given it's current reach) are our best bet for addressing future omnicidal agents for now.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179904235527376896",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1179900222568357888"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179897215218847744",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T23:13:12+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Only a little bit. Just downloaded it again though",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179897215218847744",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1179891982094745601"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179887624305233920",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T22:35:05+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Seems that a totalitarian regime with the right in-group carries the least x-risk. Hard to say whether your avg. totalitarian regime leads to more x-risk then a very free society where almost everyone has strong privacy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179887624305233920",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1179883273453019136"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179882029535698946",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T22:12:51+00:00",
   "text": "from the fact that they are feared, & they might act quickly if they think their windows are losing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179882029535698946",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1179882028604502016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179876640597389319",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T21:51:26+00:00",
   "text": "may only reinforce norms in favor of unlimited privacy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179876640597389319",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1179876639771115521"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179876639771115521",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T21:51:26+00:00",
   "text": "Given the Vulnerable World Hypothesis, encryption backdoors may be what we want. But will current gov't intervention increase the likelihood that we'll have the backdoors in place when omnicidal agents become a bigger threat? IDK. Their could be strong push back, but waiting",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179876639771115521",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1179871974136451084",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T21:32:54+00:00",
   "text": "@MilitaryTimes You may not like it but this is what peak performance looks like",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179871974136451084",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1179871045257498633"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179841191774494721",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T19:30:35+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer Same!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179841191774494721",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1179837580067692549"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179835448543318016",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T19:07:45+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer I go more into this here: https://t.co/VoeNdHpIpi",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179835448543318016",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1179835194372694016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179835194372694016",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T19:06:45+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer that the degree of disparity is going to hold as we progress technologically. Thus, while I definitely think some people should be focused on s-risks, I am against anti-natalism & think expected future happier people demands us to not go extinct.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179835194372694016",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1179834339271557121"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179834339271557121",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T19:03:21+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer Strongly lean towards classical utilitarianism. I think all levels & volume of suffering are theoretically commensurable w/ a certain level & volume of well-being. Currently, I think the negatives states available to us are far more negative than the positive states, but I doubt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179834339271557121",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1179832910951702535"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179832432410931200",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T18:55:46+00:00",
   "text": "EA survey is asking the real questions 💯 https://t.co/8y7v5txFHN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179832432410931200",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1179618332078727168",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T04:45:01+00:00",
   "text": "@Cullen_OK I'm good w/ that!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179618332078727168",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1179617860416442368"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179617475966701569",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T04:41:37+00:00",
   "text": "@Cullen_OK That's bad?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179617475966701569",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1179616617015083008"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179612888908140546",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T04:23:23+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/Kn2BEpEtFl\nPosted about a neat counterintuitive probability game on HN.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179612888908140546",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1179608104096403456",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T04:04:22+00:00",
   "text": "Seeing EA models on Guesstimate warms my heart https://t.co/fEYeeVXVtS",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179608104096403456",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1179593269149409281",
   "created_at": "2019-10-03T03:05:25+00:00",
   "text": "To the algorithm scraping my twitter to evaluate me which will inevitably end up discriminating against me for my occasional shit post or hot take:\n🖕😘🖕",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179593269149409281",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1179538024029405185",
   "created_at": "2019-10-02T23:25:54+00:00",
   "text": "@ValueOfType Solomonoff induction",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179538024029405185",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1179477523538857985"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179141302996340737",
   "created_at": "2019-10-01T21:09:28+00:00",
   "text": "@juliagalef They could also have two-phase applications where the first phase only takes 1/10 of the time and weeds out ~80% of applicants.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179141302996340737",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1179138522906644485"
  },
  {
   "id": "1179137698650570752",
   "created_at": "2019-10-01T20:55:09+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/nMIR4hhsTB\n\nNot sure exactly where I stand on healthcare, but I like this take by Bryan Caplan.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179137698650570752",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1179113420072849410",
   "created_at": "2019-10-01T19:18:40+00:00",
   "text": "Valuable writing advice from https://t.co/IIKKZuchSw\n>Open with a linked summary of key takeaways.\n>Throughout a document, indicate which considerations are most important to your key takeaways.\n>Throughout a document, indicate how confident you are in major claims (& evidence)..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179113420072849410",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1179106665511161856",
   "created_at": "2019-10-01T18:51:50+00:00",
   "text": "From https://t.co/n7HaXf267z https://t.co/ApCF2f6QsY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179106665511161856",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "1179098609087856641",
   "created_at": "2019-10-01T18:19:49+00:00",
   "text": "1) wow, light is fast\n2) woah, shit is spread out\n3) II\n4) II\n5) c is limiting af in terms of physical implementing our algorithms (which may be a good thing for AI alignment) https://t.co/nuWW7ncScv",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179098609087856641",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1179090874120192001",
   "created_at": "2019-10-01T17:49:05+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Extended Euclidean Algorithm?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1179090874120192001",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1179033577838825472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1178892174345347072",
   "created_at": "2019-10-01T04:39:31+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/B6WMjxKmiZ\nBLUF: fly to New Zealand",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178892174345347072",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1178838695409061894",
   "created_at": "2019-10-01T01:07:01+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/unqABw0Ht9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178838695409061894",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1178838597279064065"
  },
  {
   "id": "1178838597279064065",
   "created_at": "2019-10-01T01:06:38+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/hEVgawcbsG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178838597279064065",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1178250101904613378",
   "created_at": "2019-09-29T10:08:09+00:00",
   "text": "To be fair, I think it's easy to overweight the Unilateralist's Curse as it's easy to underestimate peoples' priors against taking any action.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178250101904613378",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1178249946526621696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1178249946526621696",
   "created_at": "2019-09-29T10:07:32+00:00",
   "text": "For reference: https://t.co/q1cI6Nfk4n https://t.co/OCAlnSgUlJ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178249946526621696",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1178217979273777152",
   "created_at": "2019-09-29T08:00:31+00:00",
   "text": "RT @petersuber: New study: The median studied author spends 52 hours/year formatting journal manuscripts, or $477/manuscript, or $1,908/per…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178217979273777152",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1178178062954967042",
   "created_at": "2019-09-29T05:21:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Bradford_Space: The coming of #starship means many things. One is that deep space beyond Earth orbit is opening up. It’s up to a new wa…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178178062954967042",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1178172477853372416",
   "created_at": "2019-09-29T04:59:42+00:00",
   "text": "@JGilliam_SEAL @BetoORourke So many of these comments are nuts. The guy literally just wants to hang on to his private property & doesn't like someone for threatening to take it. You can think he's wrong, but you don't have to demonize him.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178172477853372416",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1177529645291278336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1178156624642560000",
   "created_at": "2019-09-29T03:56:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @lsparrish: Let's do some math.\n\nA sphere with radius 0.3 AU has 2^75 square meters in surface area.\n\nIf your starting point is 1 square…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178156624642560000",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1178152629953794049",
   "created_at": "2019-09-29T03:40:50+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Aella_Girl: I anticipate something like this happening when the laws change around ride sharing platforms. I predict, in the end, the w…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178152629953794049",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1178020884054978560",
   "created_at": "2019-09-28T18:57:19+00:00",
   "text": "@CliffordSosis Making fun of people 'light-heardedly' is one of the few ways we can communicate with others that if they don't change, they will actually lose status in our eyes.\n\nBut it's dumb to make fun of people for things they can't change like height.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178020884054978560",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1178019510974107649"
  },
  {
   "id": "1178019510974107649",
   "created_at": "2019-09-28T18:51:52+00:00",
   "text": "@CliffordSosis When EU(world | joke-insult) > EU(world | ¬joke-insult).\n\nE.g. some people only turn their life around once enough prestige is on the line. My step-dad only stopped smoking when his ex-wife mentioned that he's probably too weak to quit.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178019510974107649",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1178002004133781504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1178015216929562629",
   "created_at": "2019-09-28T18:34:48+00:00",
   "text": "RT @PTetlock: Forecasting error can be partitioned into bias and noise (systematic mistakes, e.g. over-confidence, vs random ones. Latest K…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1178015216929562629",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1177781960581758976",
   "created_at": "2019-09-28T03:07:56+00:00",
   "text": "@jeetsidhu_ Best game ever",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1177781960581758976",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1177385828693270529"
  },
  {
   "id": "1177449916517322755",
   "created_at": "2019-09-27T05:08:30+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian It's very interesting how well the divide still works, imo.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1177449916517322755",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1177447020706942977"
  },
  {
   "id": "1177447020706942977",
   "created_at": "2019-09-27T04:57:00+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Eh the military could use a lot of personnel & talent management tweaks, but I don't feel it's that bad of a system. LW has some interesting comments on this:  https://t.co/N94YpAe6Bt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1177447020706942977",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1177441069983649794"
  },
  {
   "id": "1177439221730070529",
   "created_at": "2019-09-27T04:26:00+00:00",
   "text": "Gonna go out on a limb and say I think some state of affairs are better than others.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1177439221730070529",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1177345190488629248",
   "created_at": "2019-09-26T22:12:22+00:00",
   "text": "❤ Value theory + formal epistemology ❤",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1177345190488629248",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1177278943159816200",
   "created_at": "2019-09-26T17:49:07+00:00",
   "text": "Thoughts on a website where verified philosophers (w/ various categories like general public, bachelors holders, PhD holders, etc.) can anonymously input their credences on different detailed propositions?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1177278943159816200",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1176712517516779520",
   "created_at": "2019-09-25T04:18:21+00:00",
   "text": "Just want humanity to figure out how reality maps onto the possible Utility function. Then, conditional on the math & if s-risk is low enough, I want us to send utilitronium seeds to a few other galaxies (we can keep doing research). Problem is, x-risk before that point is hard.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176712517516779520",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1176569420296216577",
   "created_at": "2019-09-24T18:49:44+00:00",
   "text": "@GarrettPetersen @AlphaTrump1 @bryan_caplan Do I have more intelligence if I can imagine how I could solve all sorts of problems \"if only I had a giant powerful robotic apparatus to control\"?  It is a strategy that could solve problem X.  It's not my problem I don't have the powerful robotic apparatus at my disposal!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176569420296216577",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1176553434419384320"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176568431765860357",
   "created_at": "2019-09-24T18:45:48+00:00",
   "text": "This said, I think many intuitions against posting cringey true belief X in situation Y carry important information too.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176568431765860357",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1176567874930053120"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176567874930053120",
   "created_at": "2019-09-24T18:43:35+00:00",
   "text": "3) Norms against sharing cringey true beliefs, broadly, are reinforced. It becomes more socially costly for everyone to share cringey beliefs.\n4) Intellectual distance doesn't have a chance to decrease.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176567874930053120",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1176567873793339392"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176567873793339392",
   "created_at": "2019-09-24T18:43:35+00:00",
   "text": "There's real cost of not sharing a cringey, true belief:\n\n1) you don't give others a chance to prove you wrong\n2) you don't give others a chance to update towards a possible true belief",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176567873793339392",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1176558334142496770",
   "created_at": "2019-09-24T18:05:40+00:00",
   "text": "@GarrettPetersen @AlphaTrump1 @bryan_caplan Computation is a physical operation.  Accomplishing goals is a physical process.  Thus, a useful definition of intelligence should probably be intimately connected to whatever is going on physically with an agent.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176558334142496770",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1176556942334054400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176556942334054400",
   "created_at": "2019-09-24T18:00:09+00:00",
   "text": "@GarrettPetersen @AlphaTrump1 @bryan_caplan of environment, because if you just used that narrow metric, you would assume they had 0 intelligence.  However, who is actually better at accomplishing goals in the world, an agent with 20 sensors and arms, or one with 1 each?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176556942334054400",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1176556010204540928"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176556010204540928",
   "created_at": "2019-09-24T17:56:26+00:00",
   "text": "@GarrettPetersen @AlphaTrump1 @bryan_caplan There is intelligence (actual ability to achieve goals in a wide variety of environments) and then there is predicting intelligence based off metrics.  A single visual test would be a bad metric for determining the ability of blind people to accomplish goals in a wide variety",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176556010204540928",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1176554023496732673"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176550154645704705",
   "created_at": "2019-09-24T17:33:10+00:00",
   "text": "@GarrettPetersen @AlphaTrump1 @bryan_caplan Running a 100-meter dash fast only signals your ability to achieve goals in a small subset of possible environments.\n\nWhat is better at achieving goals: an AI with optional control over a mechanical robot, or an identical AI without control over said robot?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176550154645704705",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1176504484568059904"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176548168659607552",
   "created_at": "2019-09-24T17:25:17+00:00",
   "text": "People hate polyamorists despite them having the moral high ground for non-possessiveness and explore/exploit reasons.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176548168659607552",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1176186680509906946",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T17:28:51+00:00",
   "text": "@CandiceAiston Also, he is giving them a choice.  People know how much they are aided by the gov't with other programs, so they can make a rational choice to choose the UBI if they think it would be better for them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176186680509906946",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1176183263343337472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176183263343337472",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T17:15:17+00:00",
   "text": "@CandiceAiston Not true. Plenty of poor people don't even receive gov't benefits like SNAP, so a UBI would reach them. Also, many of the benefits have problematic strings attached unlike unconditional cash transfers.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176183263343337472",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1176159560563740673"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176181773434347522",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T17:09:21+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Unintuitive findings from 'science' are 'fun' rather than a signal that some serious reconciliation needs to happen.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176181773434347522",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1176179398577479680"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176179398577479680",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T16:59:55+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I feel a problem contributing to this is that many people have grown to not only be unsurprised if the 'truth' is initially unintuitive, but to be unsurprised if it remains so. But I guess this isn't a new phenomenon--people have been believing & propagating bs for millennia.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176179398577479680",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1176055587374796800"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176174719172861952",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T16:41:19+00:00",
   "text": "This might be more salient to some people then the argument that what's on the line is the (total value of the longterm future) * (how much we can reduce x-risk odds).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176174719172861952",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1176174718442987520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176174718442987520",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T16:41:19+00:00",
   "text": "A ~helpful way to think of it is to imagine that some number of equally valuable Earths exist in parallel universes, and in 1/6 of them, civilization & the future 100% stops if WE don't reduce x-risk odds. If we reduce the risk by 50%, only 1 in 12 copies of Earth will be destr*.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176174718442987520",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1176174717755174912"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176174717755174912",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T16:41:19+00:00",
   "text": "I hear some people say they're unconcerned by a common x-risk odds of 1/6 by year 0000 0000 2100. This is not because they doubt the odds, but because they aren't salient. 'We'll get by or be unlucky but no one will be around to care' is a common response.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176174717755174912",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1176161513796702208",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T15:48:51+00:00",
   "text": "@bryan_caplan I like the def. \"Intelligence measures an agent’s ability to achieve goals in a wide range of environments\" from https://t.co/vQgkZSc94A",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176161513796702208",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1176160903303008256"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176154177329881088",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T15:19:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sbkaufman: One of the greatest paradoxes of humanity: We know the factors that will probabilistically increase the chances of being hap…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176154177329881088",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1176152502636617728",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T15:13:03+00:00",
   "text": "You may have a qualm with deliberately  focusing on trying to immortalize oneself, but I feel like one can actually sacrifice oneself a lot more for others if that box is ~checked off in their brain i.e. can chase impact more than prestige because the box is checked.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176152502636617728",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1176145410655739905"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176150560740904965",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T15:05:20+00:00",
   "text": "But the benefit of ↑ clarity of thought is def enough to do it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176150560740904965",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1176145410655739905"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176145410655739905",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T14:44:52+00:00",
   "text": "Some AI-enabled service down the road could even create a bot off of your recordings & writings so future people can quickly find what you really did think about some topic (at t time).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176145410655739905",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1176145409095454720"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176145409095454720",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T14:44:51+00:00",
   "text": "Aside from clarifying thoughts & helping to think new ones, voice recording also serves to sort of immortalize oneself, if that's your jam. It wouldn't be hard to save all the recordings to be unlocked when you die or some x years afterwards.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176145409095454720",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1176145406629163013"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176145406629163013",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T14:44:51+00:00",
   "text": "Used to do this all the time before West Point, but there was so little privacy there most of the time that I guess I didn't carry the habit over.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176145406629163013",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1176145405387710464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1176145405387710464",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T14:44:51+00:00",
   "text": "Omg I forgot how nice it is to just dump thoughts into a voice recorder. Just thinking, writing & conversations are great, but talking to myself out loud w/ the slight pressure of making a ~coherent recording helps so much in clarifying ideas.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176145405387710464",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1176139007052435469",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T14:19:25+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @KarlWiderquist Thanks for linking it!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1176139007052435469",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1175961652237234176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1175955394331467779",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T02:09:48+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @KarlWiderquist Sure thanks I'd check it out",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1175955394331467779",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1175955050469847040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1175943119063441408",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T01:21:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MaxGhenis: These are the experiences our safety net puts people through. 40 million people are on SNAP, and other programs can be even…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1175943119063441408",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1175941516252127237",
   "created_at": "2019-09-23T01:14:40+00:00",
   "text": "Kind of annoyed a dividend from Land-value and Pigou taxes isn't a thing. Like I am not all that free to walk the Earth and live off the commons & I breath in air pollution, & I don't even get a measly monthly check from those capitalizing from limiting my freedom?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1175941516252127237",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1175824180455071745",
   "created_at": "2019-09-22T17:28:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @lsparrish: Just submitted to NIAC at NASA, a Space Runway is a Launch Assist System consisting of a long tube in orbit which works as a…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1175824180455071745",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1175821132592820224",
   "created_at": "2019-09-22T17:16:18+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Dirichlet is that you",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1175821132592820224",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1175814989761916929"
  },
  {
   "id": "1175635688487829504",
   "created_at": "2019-09-22T04:59:25+00:00",
   "text": "@LizDueweke def m&m's",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1175635688487829504",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1175495157908525056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1175538359340544001",
   "created_at": "2019-09-21T22:32:39+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AndrewYang: Pricing in externalities may be one of the most important things we can do.  Markets work better if the true costs are incl…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1175538359340544001",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1175437632618356736",
   "created_at": "2019-09-21T15:52:24+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Their target is Nov 1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1175437632618356736",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1175432388551303168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1175223158833647616",
   "created_at": "2019-09-21T01:40:10+00:00",
   "text": "@alexeyguzey Wtf...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1175223158833647616",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1175218285601673216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1175199982024085506",
   "created_at": "2019-09-21T00:08:04+00:00",
   "text": "In personal news, my team just submitted our NASA Innovative Advanced Concepts research grant proposal. #existentialRiskReduction #internetCollaboration",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1175199982024085506",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1174814738565476354",
   "created_at": "2019-09-19T22:37:15+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jacyreese: I don't usually post about Trump, but this image is fascinating.\n\nMaybe if Trump didn't have such a goofy haircut, his elect…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174814738565476354",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1174761073242705925",
   "created_at": "2019-09-19T19:04:00+00:00",
   "text": "damn this set of cosmological constants slaps",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174761073242705925",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1174679753883889664",
   "created_at": "2019-09-19T13:40:52+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock Daywise by Synapse?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174679753883889664",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1174677750914977793"
  },
  {
   "id": "1174394737471762433",
   "created_at": "2019-09-18T18:48:19+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @georgesoros @VitalikButerin Assuming this was desirable, is there a good way for people to use ETH-based smart contracts to help solve this coordination problem and make it happen?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174394737471762433",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1174393499183132673"
  },
  {
   "id": "1174393340923658240",
   "created_at": "2019-09-18T18:42:46+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn 240k (extra people to make sure) * ($6k lost wages + $2k Kentucky rent prices + $2k temp moving costs)= $2.4b dollars. Might be worth it assuming Kentucky can't constitutionally change election laws last minute?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174393340923658240",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1174391265020039169"
  },
  {
   "id": "1174391265020039169",
   "created_at": "2019-09-18T18:34:31+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Just need ~223k liberal city folks to move to Kentucky for a month https://t.co/dBx4dpiycC",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174391265020039169",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1174083478847197185"
  },
  {
   "id": "1174366175674941440",
   "created_at": "2019-09-18T16:54:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @bryan_caplan: You worked hard for your money. Spend it well! https://t.co/AwINxC897B",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174366175674941440",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1174348562118918144",
   "created_at": "2019-09-18T15:44:50+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Me too! Really seems like a cause area worth investigating more. It might even be worth it just for spreading the ideas of longtermism & human-independent value capture, nevertheless the actual good it might do way down the road in expectation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174348562118918144",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1174346483061022720"
  },
  {
   "id": "1174341002544525318",
   "created_at": "2019-09-18T15:14:47+00:00",
   "text": "We are not dumping nearly enough resources into ensuring at least some intelligent, ethics-driven life survives, no-matter-what. Trying to figure out the best points of leverage for me to work on this cause area. Also, fuck real analysis",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174341002544525318",
   "word_count": 38,
   "quoted_id": "1173471180197515264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1174177303942848513",
   "created_at": "2019-09-18T04:24:19+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian A great way of putting it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174177303942848513",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1174168561356423168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1174157595365564416",
   "created_at": "2019-09-18T03:06:00+00:00",
   "text": "I have some preliminary data (n=2) that suggests that dropping longtermism →x-risk →resiliency initiatives →utilitronium on the first date doesn't always keep the ball on one's court.\n\nThe more you know haha",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174157595365564416",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1174108014355369984",
   "created_at": "2019-09-17T23:48:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @primalpoly: My prediction: Warren wins the nomination but loses the election, bc she can't appeal to centrists & independents. The only…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174108014355369984",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1174070725008855047",
   "created_at": "2019-09-17T21:20:48+00:00",
   "text": "@LOS_Fisher Why is this even being shared with the public? What good could come of it?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174070725008855047",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1173860685811527680"
  },
  {
   "id": "1174062156314284044",
   "created_at": "2019-09-17T20:46:45+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EconTalker: I love it when people tell me that our Kafkaesque health care system, distorted in so many ways by government subsidy and r…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174062156314284044",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1174022198568411136",
   "created_at": "2019-09-17T18:07:59+00:00",
   "text": "@80000Hours My guess is that the most tractable & likely(important) x-risks occur from small actors, so I hope that cyber defense outpaces offense as big institutions can win in the physical realm against small actors. Do you hope or expect defense to win?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174022198568411136",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1174019007508361223"
  },
  {
   "id": "1174019007508361223",
   "created_at": "2019-09-17T17:55:18+00:00",
   "text": "@80000Hours Right now, digital privacy seems to overall help the 'good' guys in society. As individual agents become more powerful with the aid of emerging technology, could stronger privacy eventually tip the scales & enable bad actors more than it helps good ones?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1174019007508361223",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1173976923594252291"
  },
  {
   "id": "1173966399494131717",
   "created_at": "2019-09-17T14:26:15+00:00",
   "text": "@turtlekiosk No that's a good question",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1173966399494131717",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1173792115949756417"
  },
  {
   "id": "1173820816934481920",
   "created_at": "2019-09-17T04:47:45+00:00",
   "text": "RT @BjornLomborg: Germany's government wants to spend €40bn over next 4 years to cut CO₂. This will cut global temps by 0.00018°C\n\nThe same…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1173820816934481920",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1173765585764831233",
   "created_at": "2019-09-17T01:08:17+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn 0 cuz predictors probably would have lived in targeted cities & wouldn't be alive to cash in if they were wrong.\n\nFor real though, my guess would be 7%.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1173765585764831233",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1173757322344243201"
  },
  {
   "id": "1173604973294313472",
   "created_at": "2019-09-16T14:30:04+00:00",
   "text": "RT @reasonisfun: Key institutions of science:\n\n1. \"the objectivity of science comes from the process of more or less free criticism in the…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1173604973294313472",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1173433626274533378",
   "created_at": "2019-09-16T03:09:12+00:00",
   "text": "@prncvlnt Are you just lifting? Cardio helps chill me out",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1173433626274533378",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1173347414876360704"
  },
  {
   "id": "1172935941037666305",
   "created_at": "2019-09-14T18:11:35+00:00",
   "text": "@paulg @rivatez Nick Bostrom's papers, especially the ones on x-risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172935941037666305",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1172767548363935744"
  },
  {
   "id": "1172931745991331840",
   "created_at": "2019-09-14T17:54:54+00:00",
   "text": "@DavidDeutschOxf \"Omg, this other economic agent tried to straightforwardly capture my consumer surplus, look how much of a victim I am\" 😪",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172931745991331840",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1172928481308631041"
  },
  {
   "id": "1172928481308631041",
   "created_at": "2019-09-14T17:41:56+00:00",
   "text": "@DavidDeutschOxf People need to get off their high horses and realize we live in a market economy. There is nothing wrong with low balling. Heck, I even respect people for trying. He could have just jokingly bounced back with a higher offer instead of getting his panties in a wad",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172928481308631041",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1172803846567071746"
  },
  {
   "id": "1172586886621212673",
   "created_at": "2019-09-13T19:04:34+00:00",
   "text": "RT @michael_nielsen: Fascinating article on the physical demands of chess, and the physical training chess grandmasters do: https://t.co/kJ…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172586886621212673",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1172579255873613824",
   "created_at": "2019-09-13T18:34:14+00:00",
   "text": "@banjorepair but is the technical solution guaranteed with a probability of 1 minus epsilon\n\nCheckmate consequantalists",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172579255873613824",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1172577399105445889"
  },
  {
   "id": "1172576450358259713",
   "created_at": "2019-09-13T18:23:05+00:00",
   "text": "@banjorepair Ew no I threw my wallet key away when I discovered the CO2 from bitcoin transactions could kill us all in 10 yrs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172576450358259713",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1172563056368316416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1172559798405095425",
   "created_at": "2019-09-13T17:16:55+00:00",
   "text": "'how did evolution select for this subjective sense of being able to do otherwise?'",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172559798405095425",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1172559797008441345"
  },
  {
   "id": "1172559797008441345",
   "created_at": "2019-09-13T17:16:55+00:00",
   "text": "1) Events are still deterministic and/or random. Just as simple machines in state X can't do otherwise, more complex machines, including brains, can't do otherwise.\n2) Accountability is still useful.\n\nPerhaps a more productive line of inquiry than 'can we do otherwise?' is https://t.co/XOXfqFsD4G",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172559797008441345",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1172542949034516481",
   "created_at": "2019-09-13T16:09:58+00:00",
   "text": "@banjorepair how can I pay you",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172542949034516481",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1172535335139495937"
  },
  {
   "id": "1172200403837997056",
   "created_at": "2019-09-12T17:28:49+00:00",
   "text": "Definitely seems plausible that the majority of mental suffering, at least in the developed world, stems from self-perceptions of lower social status.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172200403837997056",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1172193864289017856",
   "created_at": "2019-09-12T17:02:50+00:00",
   "text": "Seems like improving online forums and how information is exchanged over shared text documents is relatively important, neglected, and tractable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172193864289017856",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1172193862732922880"
  },
  {
   "id": "1172193862732922880",
   "created_at": "2019-09-12T17:02:49+00:00",
   "text": "and allow for the other readers to vote their perception, leave a comment, and the author to select their original interpretation?\n\nTo avoid text getting too complicated, you could perhaps choose to follow the comments of whoever you wanted and block whoever you wanted.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172193862732922880",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1172193861973827584"
  },
  {
   "id": "1172193861973827584",
   "created_at": "2019-09-12T17:02:49+00:00",
   "text": "What about new ways of assessing readers' perceptions of formal propositions and arguments asserted by an author? E.g. in the body of a text, if a reader came across a proposition that was open to interpretation, they could highlight & comment in their two interpretations,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172193861973827584",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1172193861147484160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1172193861147484160",
   "created_at": "2019-09-12T17:02:49+00:00",
   "text": "What kind of commercial software doesn't exist or isn't well-known that could improve information aggregation and coordination in movements?\n\nDo we need more forums with anonymity components? Or means of pooling probability and utility estimates?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172193861147484160",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1172189440279810048",
   "created_at": "2019-09-12T16:45:15+00:00",
   "text": "*broad heuristic with too many, too costly exceptions to reliably be useful, presented without caveats*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1172189440279810048",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1171652310977646592",
   "created_at": "2019-09-11T05:10:53+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat @MazzucatoM @mgorbis I hear you and I think in principle, all things can be measured with a certain level of uncertainty. https://t.co/bx7mZ1WuVs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1171652310977646592",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1171648961809190912"
  },
  {
   "id": "1171633039102922753",
   "created_at": "2019-09-11T03:54:19+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat @MazzucatoM @mgorbis Related:\nhttps://t.co/vhnEUK1VO9 https://t.co/vTOdUL9su1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1171633039102922753",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1171631944691568648"
  },
  {
   "id": "1171631944691568648",
   "created_at": "2019-09-11T03:49:58+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat @MazzucatoM @mgorbis both computational intractability & bad software (our brains).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1171631944691568648",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1171631789149958144"
  },
  {
   "id": "1171631789149958144",
   "created_at": "2019-09-11T03:49:21+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat @MazzucatoM @mgorbis There are a discrete number of particles and a discrete number of interactions among them. Even if the smallest values are continuous, they can be approximated closely with discrete measurements.\nAny problems dealing with emergent phenomena from this probably stems from",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1171631789149958144",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1171575072768684035"
  },
  {
   "id": "1171538847328550913",
   "created_at": "2019-09-10T21:40:01+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MarkLutter: I'm pleased to announce that the Center for Innovative Governance Research is becoming the Charter Cities Institute. We hav…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1171538847328550913",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1171536503249371137",
   "created_at": "2019-09-10T21:30:43+00:00",
   "text": "@jayvanbavel @GivingTools @nature The fact that we all haven't agreed on how to program in our morality shouldn't slow down the adoption of self-driving cars, which will reduce net-deaths.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1171536503249371137",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1171535674693935106"
  },
  {
   "id": "1171535004272230400",
   "created_at": "2019-09-10T21:24:45+00:00",
   "text": "@jayvanbavel @GivingTools @nature Yes, this is an issue. However, given the reaction times of self-driving cars and how rare forced binary choices really will be, it's not the worst thing in the world to get the morality slightly wrong. I bet we are probably talking less than 1000 world wide deaths a year where",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1171535004272230400",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1171441044895891468"
  },
  {
   "id": "1171518327111335936",
   "created_at": "2019-09-10T20:18:29+00:00",
   "text": "@ejjiott Would he engineer a biopandemic if he thought it would effectively kill everyone?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1171518327111335936",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1171507435950891010"
  },
  {
   "id": "1171496239600267264",
   "created_at": "2019-09-10T18:50:43+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat The answer to me is complicated. Everything can in principle be priced in the sense that everything actually has some discrete utility. But markets do not price everything properly according to my utility function.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1171496239600267264",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1171311678970982402"
  },
  {
   "id": "1171491293416939520",
   "created_at": "2019-09-10T18:31:04+00:00",
   "text": "RT @KevinSimler: Parenting role models. Thread: https://t.co/LvS75OrUj4 https://t.co/SmTZ8BsRTg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1171491293416939520",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1171491041532203008",
   "created_at": "2019-09-10T18:30:04+00:00",
   "text": "Everyone wants privacy for their in-group and everyone wants transparency for the out-group. If you have carefully vetted your utility function, then sure, do privacy research for your in-group and try to detect security flaws in the out-group.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1171491041532203008",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1171491040538218496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170886617797746691",
   "created_at": "2019-09-09T02:28:18+00:00",
   "text": "@TheInnerMoon https://t.co/GbqqT2nl3P",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170886617797746691",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1170885689296265216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170885689296265216",
   "created_at": "2019-09-09T02:24:36+00:00",
   "text": "@TheInnerMoon Idk. I think hedonic utilitarianism is true, so I just consider different moral ideas like liberty & fairness as often useful approximations for increasing aggregate welfare.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170885689296265216",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1170882562014765056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170882161135771649",
   "created_at": "2019-09-09T02:10:35+00:00",
   "text": "@TheInnerMoon Ignoring it's inability to effectively deal with x-risks from emerging technologies, anarchism does a good job harnessing evolution for error correction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170882161135771649",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1170863907596046336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170646782566633472",
   "created_at": "2019-09-08T10:35:17+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg It seems the binomial distribution is our optimal credence distribution over possible outcomes over N iterations here, but that for each point on that probability distribution, you wouldn't expect it to change given more computation on what it should be.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170646782566633472",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1170638123816165376"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170637187655917568",
   "created_at": "2019-09-08T09:57:09+00:00",
   "text": "@__ice9 @sillyolyou @RogerPielkeJr @MichaelEMann @NOAA @WMO @IPCC_CH Tails can be preserved by fattening up the area between the tail and the mean when the mean shifts towards the tail. Do you know of instances of this happening in nature?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170637187655917568",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1170631570777993217"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170626720833200133",
   "created_at": "2019-09-08T09:15:34+00:00",
   "text": "@RJsnda Sorry, I meant 0<{a,b}<1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170626720833200133",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1170626161195585536"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170626453584719872",
   "created_at": "2019-09-08T09:14:30+00:00",
   "text": "I kind of want a 'God hates bad epistemology' bumper sticker.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170626453584719872",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1170624574091923456",
   "created_at": "2019-09-08T09:07:02+00:00",
   "text": "@__ice9 @sillyolyou @RogerPielkeJr @MichaelEMann @NOAA @WMO @IPCC_CH Like do you have any idea how common a raise in a mean is without an extension of the right tail?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170624574091923456",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1170623810875379712"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170623810875379712",
   "created_at": "2019-09-08T09:04:00+00:00",
   "text": "@__ice9 @sillyolyou @RogerPielkeJr @MichaelEMann @NOAA @WMO @IPCC_CH How resilient is this principle in nature?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170623810875379712",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1170619108930609152"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170619848189259776",
   "created_at": "2019-09-08T08:48:15+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba But there is no real attraction towards the omega point, right? It's just impersonal, physics-based evolution until it's impersonal, physics-based maximum order and/or utility? And it doesn't seem that evolution has to end after a radical increase in order and/or utility.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170619848189259776",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1170554701911343107"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170391995598221315",
   "created_at": "2019-09-07T17:42:51+00:00",
   "text": "What is a big mistake that there is a good chance I am making?\n\nhttps://t.co/bYqcwnKRuQ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170391995598221315",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1170373160522473478",
   "created_at": "2019-09-07T16:28:00+00:00",
   "text": "PSA: If anyone wants my undivided attention to help solve a problem they have, I'm particularly responsive to units of care. I can crank out international-competition winning research papers (n=2) on unfamiliar topics in <99 hours, among other things. DM me if you're interested.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170373160522473478",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1170358522078486528",
   "created_at": "2019-09-07T15:29:50+00:00",
   "text": "RT @anderssandberg: Heavy tail outcomes imply that one should try more small experiments looking for big effects rather than fewer high-pow…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170358522078486528",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1170262697813905408",
   "created_at": "2019-09-07T09:09:04+00:00",
   "text": "Ugh, this was like a 2.2 σ day in regards to preference dissatisfaction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170262697813905408",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1170256192200986625",
   "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:43:13+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat incentivize labor and resource allocation to the degree the output of their labor is valued.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170256192200986625",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1170255932074471424"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170255932074471424",
   "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:42:11+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat Society is basically full of people between these two extremes.  It's no one's fault how economically productive they are capable of being.  That said, resources (to the degree we've resolved the issue of Rent) tend to be allocated more efficiently when you allow individuals to",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170255932074471424",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1170255157105442816"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170255157105442816",
   "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:39:06+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat They will suffer through no fault of their own if you do not provide them with cars. However, is it really inappropriate to not give them cars? Of course not.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170255157105442816",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1170254466085457920"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170254466085457920",
   "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:36:21+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat At the same time, say a person, by no fault of their own, just has a compulsion to destroy cars.  You want to give them the means so they can commute to good jobs across town, but they just can't help but destroy the potential positive uses of scarce resources.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170254466085457920",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1170253862349004801"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170253862349004801",
   "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:33:57+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat To illustrate the point with extremes, if someone is able to build a great car with $1000, you should probably let them retain all the money others provide to them because they are efficient in turning scarce resources into value.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170253862349004801",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1170253422358085632"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170253422358085632",
   "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:32:12+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat Yes, no one technically chooses their instrumental value to other people, as approximated by income. That said, I think people, who all have unlimited wants, tend to have higher net-preference satisfaction when you allow productive people to incentivize their fair share of labor.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170253422358085632",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1170208309237833729"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170251175758901248",
   "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:23:17+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat It's not so much about actually having the pure intention, but in providing services that others value enough to actually shell out money for.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170251175758901248",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1170208666617700352"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170069017391960065",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T20:19:27+00:00",
   "text": "@Sahelanth @ErikDeBruijn @itsbirdemic What evidence do you have that analogy holds?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170069017391960065",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1170061474229825536"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170068520656408576",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T20:17:28+00:00",
   "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic Pascal's mugging involves low percentages.  I said far greater than 1%, which is higher than the natural background risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170068520656408576",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1170066032112930817"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170064668687314944",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T20:02:10+00:00",
   "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic I showed that not only do some machine learning exerts have a high credence in the possibility of a singularity, but that the implication of your argument is wrong, because you don't need a high credence to worry about a really bad potential outcome.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170064668687314944",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1170064110979039233"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170064110979039233",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:59:57+00:00",
   "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic Also, not escape hatch.  It was my impression that you claimed that no machine learning experts had a high credence in the possibility of singularity, and by implication, that we shouldn't focus any more attention worrying about it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170064110979039233",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1170062091149070337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170063538515263490",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:57:40+00:00",
   "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic Literally, all you had to do was spend 30 seconds to see that some machine learning experts do have a high credence in the likelihood of a singularity.  But here is a more concise post for you: https://t.co/rHbAEdn8fR",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170063538515263490",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1170062091149070337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170062508545196032",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:53:35+00:00",
   "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic The thing about x-risks is that even if a minority of experts think one particular threat is real, as long as there is no proof against it, you still want to pay attention to the threat.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170062508545196032",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1170061813461004288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170061813461004288",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:50:49+00:00",
   "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic Peter Norvig is on page 41.  That most likely means you control F'd to find him.  You already said you agreed with Hinton, so that's not news. You clearly cherry-picked your evidence. Also, I never claimed that everyone on the list expects a singularity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170061813461004288",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1170058066672455687"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170056542785290245",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:29:53+00:00",
   "text": "@Sahelanth @ErikDeBruijn @itsbirdemic Frankly, I don't care much about what the average person's credence is in an AI singularity. I do care that many professional coders and machine learning researchers do have a high credence in an eventual AI singularity. https://t.co/rHbAEdn8fR",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170056542785290245",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1170051688897662977"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170054781546749953",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:22:53+00:00",
   "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic I bet there are a few experts here whose judgment you respect.  Many are confident a singularity will happen. https://t.co/2ae15E3Zng",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170054781546749953",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1170052690379968512"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170050717131976704",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:06:44+00:00",
   "text": "@dzcoinfiltrator @itsbirdemic There's no ruining of lives when you have an honest conversation and converge priors.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170050717131976704",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1170032180271226881"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170046880493031424",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T18:51:29+00:00",
   "text": "@dzcoinfiltrator @itsbirdemic @ErikDeBruijn I like how you really give people the benefit of the doubt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170046880493031424",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1170044430302306305"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170044732447363072",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T18:42:57+00:00",
   "text": "Second, economic growth compounds, & small growth rate differences lead to massive differences in prosperity over even just decades, not to mention centuries.  Thus, we should be interested in at least not taking away resources away from the most economically productive people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170044732447363072",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1170044731218436096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170044731218436096",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T18:42:56+00:00",
   "text": "Future expected people matter, and we need to consider their preferences in the allocation of our scarce resources.  First of all, they need to exist, so we should be spending at least a substantial amount of entitlement money on x-risk reduction efforts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170044731218436096",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1170044730018881536"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170044730018881536",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T18:42:56+00:00",
   "text": "Gradually reducing mandatory entitlement spending is not some heartless, immoral decision.  The people that are alive *right now* are not the only morally valuable agents we need to optimize for.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170044730018881536",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1170036166952964097",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T18:08:55+00:00",
   "text": "@itsbirdemic Also, if you want to have a better chance at changing anyone's mind, you probably want to get a little higher up the pyramid: https://t.co/DyBVJ5PkLi",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170036166952964097",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1170031671506345986"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170034272750723078",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T18:01:23+00:00",
   "text": "@ShanKothari @itsbirdemic I think a lot of techies do realize climate change is a problem and many do advocate for carbon taxes, nuclear power, and various research efforts that could help us tackle climate change. It's not like techies are the bad guys here lol",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170034272750723078",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1170032242808299520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170033285235453952",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:57:28+00:00",
   "text": "@ShanKothari @itsbirdemic I'm for carbon taxes, nuclear power, geoengineering research (obviously not full-scale implementation yet). I'm just saying climate change is not an *existential* risk and that AI is.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170033285235453952",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1170031838527725568"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170031671506345986",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:51:03+00:00",
   "text": "@itsbirdemic We already have AI teaching itself to play god-level chess and passing 8th-grade science tests.  Compute is becoming far cheaper and algorithms are becoming more efficient. It's not hard to imagine a possibility where some algorithm eventually becomes recursively self-improving.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170031671506345986",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1170029803941941249"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170030154418184193",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:45:01+00:00",
   "text": "@itsbirdemic How does that kill everyone? Also, are you saying that literally all non-human life dies, or that nature finds a different point of equilibrium?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170030154418184193",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1170029714112516096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170029656608845824",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:43:02+00:00",
   "text": "@itsbirdemic That's not an argument that's going to shift my beliefs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170029656608845824",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1170028207464157184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170029032639012864",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:40:34+00:00",
   "text": "@itsbirdemic Could you give me a scenario how climate change could literally kill everyone and not even leave at least 20,000 people alive?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170029032639012864",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1170025588595154944"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170028640727371777",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:39:00+00:00",
   "text": "@itsbirdemic Is that your prediction factoring in the predictions of experts in AI?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170028640727371777",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1170025463600668672"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170028087486099456",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:36:48+00:00",
   "text": "@itsbirdemic it's merely a global catastrophic risk at worst. Work on AI alignment also has tremendous possible positive upside (a friendly AI solves all our problems).  It's also a much harder problem. If we really enter the worse case scenarios from climate change, we still have geoengine*.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170028087486099456",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1170025248512720898"
  },
  {
   "id": "1170023027301638144",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:16:42+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat It's from fulfilling other's preferences in a private contract. When you have a high income, it means you're active in fulfilling other people's preferences in private contracts. You shouldn't be punished extra because you're more keen to fulfill other's preferences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1170023027301638144",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1169998360440385536"
  },
  {
   "id": "1169998360440385536",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T15:38:41+00:00",
   "text": "@roybahat Parking improperly has the same negative externality regardless of the assets of whoever parked it (owns it, really). Money isn't something that magically accrues to some people & not others (ignoring the issue of rent).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169998360440385536",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1169744502828855296"
  },
  {
   "id": "1169870874800877570",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T07:12:06+00:00",
   "text": "Guesstimate's analysis mode can help with this:\nhttps://t.co/gq4YsCt5kk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169870874800877570",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1169870873471225858"
  },
  {
   "id": "1169870873471225858",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T07:12:06+00:00",
   "text": "Reducing the uncertainty of your model's output requires reducing the uncertainty of your inputs.  With limited compute & $, you're best off reducing the uncertainty of those inputs whose reasonable possible change could most affect the output.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169870873471225858",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1169773661303300098",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T00:45:48+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Thank goodness we have video games and sports as channels for male aggression.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169773661303300098",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1169770621682630657"
  },
  {
   "id": "1169766019281408000",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T00:15:26+00:00",
   "text": "@mckaywrigley You're either at the beginning of infinity or you're not.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169766019281408000",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1169461560919482368"
  },
  {
   "id": "1169763481442246656",
   "created_at": "2019-09-06T00:05:21+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JohnCGreer: Have to admit I'm jealous Dominic Cummings might get to live my dream of creating a cabinet full of rational people like Sc…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169763481442246656",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1169753324176007169",
   "created_at": "2019-09-05T23:25:00+00:00",
   "text": "One thing Bernie is right about. The rest of the country should not be subsidizing people who choose to live and build in high-risk areas. https://t.co/0fSxU5c1OK",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169753324176007169",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1169720067132657664",
   "created_at": "2019-09-05T21:12:51+00:00",
   "text": "Broke: combating tail risks of climate change through anything other than geoengineering.\n\nWoke: just focus on human global catastrophic risks more broadly.\n\nBespoke: invest in resiliency initiatives to ensure humanity+ eventually realizes the remaining value in the light cone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169720067132657664",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1169447936826204160",
   "created_at": "2019-09-05T03:11:30+00:00",
   "text": "@vgr Yes, 22.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169447936826204160",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1169388829221900288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1169441592823955456",
   "created_at": "2019-09-05T02:46:17+00:00",
   "text": "@Google @GooglePixels @Android @AndroidDev screwed up big time with the Android 10 update.  My phone has been 'updating' for nearly 24 hours, despite troubleshooting. I wanted to get the Pixel 4, but I might have to switch to iPhone if I don't have a working phone pronto.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169441592823955456",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1169404365997826049",
   "created_at": "2019-09-05T00:18:21+00:00",
   "text": "RT @z3nblack: 1/ This is kind of a mega thread to get a glimpse into @EricRWeinstein’s insights on a wide variety of subjects.\n\nThe thing a…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169404365997826049",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1169179945853235200",
   "created_at": "2019-09-04T09:26:36+00:00",
   "text": "RT @bryan_caplan: If a human being can teach you how to think, that human being is Mike Huemer. https://t.co/GfuDipdIm2",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169179945853235200",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1169044050718220289",
   "created_at": "2019-09-04T00:26:36+00:00",
   "text": "@LibertarianWing Free markets punish inefficient allocations of resources.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169044050718220289",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1169043263245836288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1169036093129396225",
   "created_at": "2019-09-03T23:54:58+00:00",
   "text": "@jeffrlin @albrgr Thanks!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169036093129396225",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1169003446252556294"
  },
  {
   "id": "1169001652004827136",
   "created_at": "2019-09-03T21:38:07+00:00",
   "text": "@jeffrlin @albrgr Idk if it's just me but I can't open the PDF",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1169001652004827136",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1168998210741968898"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168984817259765767",
   "created_at": "2019-09-03T20:31:13+00:00",
   "text": "@page_eco Why would anyone select anything other than $1m or $100?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168984817259765767",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1168874519194292225"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168964235466018816",
   "created_at": "2019-09-03T19:09:26+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHarrisOrg Science and dealing with potential infohazards:\nhttps://t.co/WruwydB2Mj",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168964235466018816",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1168907129824190464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168954350946963457",
   "created_at": "2019-09-03T18:30:10+00:00",
   "text": "Too curious, hold my kombuc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168954350946963457",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1168954277945061377"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168954277945061377",
   "created_at": "2019-09-03T18:29:52+00:00",
   "text": "wait has anybody actually tried microwaving sand",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168954277945061377",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1168950726053310465",
   "created_at": "2019-09-03T18:15:45+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Afgas_: Recommended:\n•https://t.co/4uv8kwZcnH\n•https://t.co/s1Qc6TManw\n•https://t.co/4brzdFE8Ob\n•https://t.co/yGp95OaQ3P\n•https://t.co/…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168950726053310465",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1168567568854147074",
   "created_at": "2019-09-02T16:53:14+00:00",
   "text": "@lieschenv Men do kill men more than women: https://t.co/yooVLeceI1\nhttps://t.co/ckEQ7dWCYl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168567568854147074",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1168471791121195009"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168418062967681024",
   "created_at": "2019-09-02T06:59:09+00:00",
   "text": "“The ‘secretary problem’ is too bad a match for real life to usefully inform our decisions” by Robert Wiblin https://t.co/2bdASxsne9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168418062967681024",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1168405946546171904",
   "created_at": "2019-09-02T06:11:00+00:00",
   "text": "Deontology makes more sense when you realize it's less about truth seeking and discovering the ideal utility function for a superhuman AI, and is more about making sure laypeople remain predictable and don't screw things up too much. https://t.co/OamYErhNgB",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168405946546171904",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1168389002363310081",
   "created_at": "2019-09-02T05:03:40+00:00",
   "text": "@dvassallo I'm saying there isn't anything special we must do about probabilities, particularly low probabilities. Our utility function f: Value→Utility accounts for us valuing the ($3m, .3) option more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168389002363310081",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1168377363723251713"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168373881343754240",
   "created_at": "2019-09-02T04:03:35+00:00",
   "text": "@dvassallo I feel that the difference in desirability of these stems exclusively from our diminishing marginal utility curves. But in the event you needed $300 million immediately to 'save Earth' & any less would guaranteed not be enough, I think the .3% option would become more desirable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168373881343754240",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1168339799146553344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168302232019845125",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T23:18:52+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Yeah hyenas could probably go",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168302232019845125",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1168301521227911168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168297579811102722",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T23:00:23+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton I just think expensive efforts to preserve one species here and there, especially one that is pretty well understood, is probably suboptimal.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168297579811102722",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1168297152336007175"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168297152336007175",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T22:58:41+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton I do think biodiversity is still net-instrumentally valuable, just often overrated. We should be careful about transforming the biosphere too quickly before we understand it, and I support part of a carbon tax to be for biosphere sustainability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168297152336007175",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1168294757388312576"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168295455329083392",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T22:51:57+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton I feel like the instrumental value is the right way to look at it. I think the robustness argument is strong, but that panthers and koalas probably aren't necessary for it. There are probably still lots of points of equilibria without the specific animals we focus on preserving.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168295455329083392",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1168293831139155968"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168293380184510466",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T22:43:42+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I have seen them eat creatures alive 😬. Do they seem to deliberately torture?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168293380184510466",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1168289577519505409"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168289074949607424",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T22:26:35+00:00",
   "text": "@Mish_in_London Idk if that's the case, but I think that honesty tends to lead to better states of affairs and is usually less painful overall.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168289074949607424",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1168283436970315781"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168285870891442180",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T22:13:51+00:00",
   "text": "@gwern @lukeprog Consequentialism essentially recognizes falsificationism and fundamental unknowability. Deontology says we can afford to never think twice about our utility function while not even knowing the fundamental nature of reality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168285870891442180",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1168281070216896517"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168281070216896517",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T21:54:47+00:00",
   "text": "@gwern @lukeprog of evaluating possible ways the environment could unfold given your actions, more information+computation, in expectation, leads to more utility capture.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168281070216896517",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1168280807456346115"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168280807456346115",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T21:53:44+00:00",
   "text": "@gwern @lukeprog you should expect more computation & information to lead to more utility realization then less. You could always get lucky by settling on less computation & information, but with the possibility of your utility function evolving and the computational hardness",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168280807456346115",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1168280650396381184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168280650396381184",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T21:53:07+00:00",
   "text": "@gwern @lukeprog You can scrub the non-naive algorithm clause. And I mean that if you are an agent in an environment and you have a preliminary utility function which could be abandoned for a different utility function given a future argument (a function of information and computation),",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168280650396381184",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1168276812192985088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168277570292461573",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T21:40:52+00:00",
   "text": "@gwern @lukeprog Whatever sort of utility function one could develop, one should leave open the possibility of making it better with access to more information+computation. It seems hard to prove absolutely that one has discovered the best utility function and rules for satisfying it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168277570292461573",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1168276036485824512"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168276036485824512",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T21:34:47+00:00",
   "text": "@gwern @lukeprog I am saying that on average, more information+computation (with non-naive algorithms) is better, in expectation, than less.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168276036485824512",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1168274694505664513"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168272916536025092",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T21:22:23+00:00",
   "text": "Are you or are you not a universal constructor",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168272916536025092",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1168271074875924480",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T21:15:04+00:00",
   "text": "@gwern @lukeprog You can ignore the Gödel's Incompleteness theorem part of my argument. What do you think of the rest of it?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168271074875924480",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1168269509662298118"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168266003643621376",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T20:54:55+00:00",
   "text": "@Mish_in_London I'd either use an older version on Internet Archive, or allow yourself to feel the negative emotions about starting last minute and put the real date accessed.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168266003643621376",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1168086665732272128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168259782362443776",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T20:30:11+00:00",
   "text": "@gwern @lukeprog situational information, and can perform more computations than what went into forming the deontological rule.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168259782362443776",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1168259264089075712"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168259264089075712",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T20:28:08+00:00",
   "text": "@gwern @lukeprog A deontological argument for consequentialism: More computation & cost-benefit analysis reliably leads to less random decisions & outcomes. Whatever information & computation goes into a deontological rule, an actor in a new situation can consider all that information + the",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168259264089075712",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1168254096341643273"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168255470362079232",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T20:13:03+00:00",
   "text": "@primalpoly Blogging",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168255470362079232",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1167850072509489153"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168253566932475904",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T20:05:30+00:00",
   "text": "This maybe could help reduce some of the problem of efficiency vs. distribution and allow for poor people to still have a more proportional ability to incentivize others' labor. This system also still allows for long-term investments with the traditional currency.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168253566932475904",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1168253566122962944"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168253566122962944",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T20:05:29+00:00",
   "text": "What if we had 2 currencies? One that is digital and gets taxed randomly on some half-life time interval to be redistributed equally to all, and one that is traditional? People can do business with either one and they are free floating in exchange rate.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168253566122962944",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1168247301741191169",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T19:40:36+00:00",
   "text": "@ProjectVayo You don't have to know with a certainty of 1 that they won't ever be useful to drastically cut funding their preservation. Given how scarce resources are, I feel we should ensure their DNA is sequenced and let private parties spend what the want on them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168247301741191169",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1168245189950861313"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168242750598389762",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T19:22:31+00:00",
   "text": "@ProjectVayo If there is a cost-effective way to do that, sure. I am just saying that spending millions to save the Florida panther is probably not worth it, imo.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168242750598389762",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1168241429878980608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1168239255812026369",
   "created_at": "2019-09-01T19:08:38+00:00",
   "text": "Unpopular opinion: Preserving biodiversity is overrated. We should mainly be interested in species preservation for pharmaceutical and other research purposes, but that doesn't require us to preserve species in the wild.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1168239255812026369",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1167904069211418630",
   "created_at": "2019-08-31T20:56:43+00:00",
   "text": "Employer-based health insurance is dumb.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167904069211418630",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1167894679741816837",
   "created_at": "2019-08-31T20:19:24+00:00",
   "text": "@kleptid Thanks, that seems interesting",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167894679741816837",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1167891986893832193"
  },
  {
   "id": "1167883549728366594",
   "created_at": "2019-08-31T19:35:11+00:00",
   "text": "If someone can invent caffeine with a quicker half-life or a pill to speed up one's processing of it, that would be great. I could use some coffee rn, but it's already too late in the day to take it without it affecting my sleep tonight (it's 3:30 pm for me).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167883549728366594",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1167881717576658945",
   "created_at": "2019-08-31T19:27:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RoxanneHeston: \"Online bettors can sniff out weak psychology studies. So why can’t the journals that publish them?\" \n\nSocial science re…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167881717576658945",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1167880379430162435",
   "created_at": "2019-08-31T19:22:35+00:00",
   "text": "There's so many downsides to sugar. Obesity, health issues, it depresses mood. I would be less inclined if we weren't so interested in paying for each others' healthcare, but we are going down that route. Something in the range of $.005 to $.02 per gram seems reasonable to start.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167880379430162435",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1167874987094462464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1167874987094462464",
   "created_at": "2019-08-31T19:01:09+00:00",
   "text": "Feel like we should have a big Pigovian tax on sugar.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167874987094462464",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1167663546429317120",
   "created_at": "2019-08-31T05:00:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanSandhoefner: \"Science is when you proliferate infohazards, and the more hazardous they are, the more sciencier it is\"\n\n-- Nick Bost…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167663546429317120",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1167432320384667648",
   "created_at": "2019-08-30T13:42:09+00:00",
   "text": "@MsMelChen It's not great all the time, but it's different, and variety is nice every now and then.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167432320384667648",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1167430016436776960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1167413681979830273",
   "created_at": "2019-08-30T12:28:05+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanOLeary @realDonaldTrump Thankfully my parents have a rather hurricane resistant house about 1/2 hour away so I'm set haha. It's the people in flood zones and mobile homes who seem to carry most of the risk unfortunately.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167413681979830273",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1167182212070039554"
  },
  {
   "id": "1167275002238054401",
   "created_at": "2019-08-30T03:17:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AviN102: The Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative, which has the mission of improving human civilization’s long-term prospects for surv…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167275002238054401",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1167244747301371909",
   "created_at": "2019-08-30T01:16:48+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn One can hope",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167244747301371909",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1167243726948917248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1167123182685437952",
   "created_at": "2019-08-29T17:13:45+00:00",
   "text": "Economics is just applied utilitarianism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167123182685437952",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1167079185740906496",
   "created_at": "2019-08-29T14:18:55+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/VqMeQh0jDs\nGreat episode of EconTalk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167079185740906496",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1167078337229053953",
   "created_at": "2019-08-29T14:15:33+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist Philosophically or emotionally?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1167078337229053953",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1166981967646220289"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166855684312444929",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T23:30:48+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK How confident are you of that, and how confident are you that non-thinking (or at least repetitive, simple by human-standards thinking) hedonium could be constructed?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166855684312444929",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1166852468279599109"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166851492025946114",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T23:14:09+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Idk I don't think simulating to the point of knowing precisely what I would do is necessarily enough for conscious to come along for the ride.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166851492025946114",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1166760076570480643"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166758492356694017",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T17:04:36+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I currently think substrate-independent morally-relevant operations might be possible, but why do people think the case for it is so strong?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166758492356694017",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1166754723845857280"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166749840774221826",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T16:30:13+00:00",
   "text": "@jasonshiga @bryan_caplan Some of the disparity is from perceptions of instrumental value. People aren't necessarily hypocrites if the numbers were shown to differ between your two scenarios.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166749840774221826",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1166734563055325184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166739577756950532",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T15:49:26+00:00",
   "text": "@vitabenes Remove alternative sources of pleasure & distraction so that the things I 'ought' to do become more rewarding and the things I subjectively want to do. It's easy to jump into something difficult after being bored rather than after playing video games.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166739577756950532",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1166436152771055619"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166721490198380546",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T14:37:34+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AriDavidPaul: \"Rent Seeking\" is a term of art in economics that refers to capturing value by \"manipulating the social or political envi…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166721490198380546",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1166718976291999744",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T14:27:35+00:00",
   "text": "@anonimocidadaoo @bryan_caplan What even is deontology? Like precisely, mathematically? It's utterly incoherent.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166718976291999744",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1166544564418686976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166718355803426821",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T14:25:07+00:00",
   "text": "Idk much about Joe Walsh, but Dems seem to be giving him an exceptionally hard time considering the alternative likely Republican nominee (Trump). Feel like 'the enemy of my enemy is my friend' heuristic should apply here until after the RNC.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166718355803426821",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1166714658788651010",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T14:10:25+00:00",
   "text": "@sciam Sounds like they are spending their limited time tackling the real questions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166714658788651010",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1166697037926141952"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166537473599660034",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T02:26:21+00:00",
   "text": "Give me 6 hours to maximize utility and I will spend the first 4 hours refining my utility function. -Abraham Lincoln, possibly",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166537473599660034",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1166533826513952769",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T02:11:52+00:00",
   "text": "@chaosprime Gon' be waitin' a long time until thorough proton decay",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166533826513952769",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1166530577677393920"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166525780106633217",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T01:39:53+00:00",
   "text": "@chaosprime Idk, sounds like something an omnicidal agent might say.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166525780106633217",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1166378753079074817"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166525066710061057",
   "created_at": "2019-08-28T01:37:03+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jprwg: Tired: writing out the joke in full, beyond the point where the punchline can already be inferred",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166525066710061057",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1166446045989154821",
   "created_at": "2019-08-27T20:23:03+00:00",
   "text": "I respect the person who \"emotionally doesn't care much about animals\" who goes vegan for abstract suffering reasons more than a veterinarian who \"loves animals\" and funds factory farming a couple times a week.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166446045989154821",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1166446045221597185"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166446045221597185",
   "created_at": "2019-08-27T20:23:03+00:00",
   "text": "Altruism motivated by intellectual arguments, not emotion, is the highest form of good. Emotion is fine if it's along for the ride too, but there are few bonus points in my book for it (not saying I don't like emotional people, because I do).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166446045221597185",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1166434185013276672",
   "created_at": "2019-08-27T19:35:55+00:00",
   "text": "@bryan_caplan Anyone voting below 1+ should believe that they are less instrumentally utilitous than the average person.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166434185013276672",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1166400543863869440"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166433643709042689",
   "created_at": "2019-08-27T19:33:46+00:00",
   "text": "@bryan_caplan \"Either I'll--guaranteed--put a bullet in your head, or you play Russian roulette with that innocent random person, except instead of 1/6 odds, there are 20 random 5-round revolvers to choose from and only 1 has 1 bullet.\"\n\n\"Nah thanks mate\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166433643709042689",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1166400543863869440"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166187182572343296",
   "created_at": "2019-08-27T03:14:25+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer @hsu_steve It's ridiculous. I wouldn't be surprised if it were optimal for us to be spending $1 trillion a year in human genetic engineering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166187182572343296",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1166184236593897473"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166176261665898496",
   "created_at": "2019-08-27T02:31:01+00:00",
   "text": "One of the most fundamental problems in our economy is that the average person is not good enough at fulfilling others' preferences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166176261665898496",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1166164152785784832",
   "created_at": "2019-08-27T01:42:54+00:00",
   "text": "If you must acquire placeholders of value (money) in order to incentivize the right labor to solve collective action problems, do it by taxing natural resources which everyone has an equal moral claim to, not by slicing off a chunk of value of each private market transaction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166164152785784832",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1166162836470587394"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166162836470587394",
   "created_at": "2019-08-27T01:37:41+00:00",
   "text": "Whether that be an exchange of sexual favors in bed or private property for cash, no one else needs a say so long as no third-party is getting hurt.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166162836470587394",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1166162235691020288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166162235691020288",
   "created_at": "2019-08-27T01:35:17+00:00",
   "text": "Barring obvious negative externalities, two people should be able to satisfy each others' preferences in mutually agreed-upon ways without third-party interference.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166162235691020288",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1166153977127493632",
   "created_at": "2019-08-27T01:02:28+00:00",
   "text": "@vitabenes Increasing the stakes/heat",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166153977127493632",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1166050652184817664"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166127554769686531",
   "created_at": "2019-08-26T23:17:29+00:00",
   "text": "It's a tragedy to not convert a single asteroid into utilitronium.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166127554769686531",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1166126110121369601",
   "created_at": "2019-08-26T23:11:44+00:00",
   "text": "We should probably be trying to make far more von Neumann-level people to help secure the long-term value of the future.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166126110121369601",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1166124087418269696",
   "created_at": "2019-08-26T23:03:42+00:00",
   "text": "@alexisohanian If you love spreadsheets, you might love https://t.co/ToeD6xHsSC,\na spreadsheet for working with probabilities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166124087418269696",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1166050066370633728"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166066295865073667",
   "created_at": "2019-08-26T19:14:04+00:00",
   "text": "@MaxReddel Idk I think his choice of diet was probably the primary contributor to his cancer. It's a bit of a moral hazard scenario if we force others to subsidize his treatment.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166066295865073667",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1166059721549332481"
  },
  {
   "id": "1166045376769679364",
   "created_at": "2019-08-26T17:50:56+00:00",
   "text": "Ideological turing tests are an excellent idea for everyone without my views.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166045376769679364",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1166019862579306496",
   "created_at": "2019-08-26T16:09:33+00:00",
   "text": "Finally finished Breaking Bad this morning 😳.\nGuess the moral of the story is don't sell all of your startup's stock or risk becoming a monster?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1166019862579306496",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1165343874455408640",
   "created_at": "2019-08-24T19:23:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EpiEllie: Today’s random thought: wouldn’t it be great if we could just submit twitter threads directly to journals. Do we *really* nee…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1165343874455408640",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1165082212745842696",
   "created_at": "2019-08-24T02:03:40+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust Yes lol",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1165082212745842696",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1165081851607650305"
  },
  {
   "id": "1165072031337066497",
   "created_at": "2019-08-24T01:23:12+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer Thanks John 😃",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1165072031337066497",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1165068318686044163"
  },
  {
   "id": "1165065979929538560",
   "created_at": "2019-08-24T00:59:10+00:00",
   "text": "As much as I LOVE riding my Aprilia Shiver 750 & emotionally want only to keep riding, I've decided I will heed the base rates & utilitarian arguments, & will be getting a car Tuesday.\n\nSo, future potential people, you can't say I never did anything for you in expectation. https://t.co/FTXGDRAaG5",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1165065979929538560",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1164748429253197824",
   "created_at": "2019-08-23T03:57:20+00:00",
   "text": "Free utilons:\nhttps://t.co/3VPWe87TLI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1164748429253197824",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "1164732299142926336",
   "created_at": "2019-08-23T02:53:14+00:00",
   "text": "(Not saying there aren't still lessons to be learned to improve future action)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1164732299142926336",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1164728177450717184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1164728177450717184",
   "created_at": "2019-08-23T02:36:51+00:00",
   "text": "Furious how the universe deterministically unfolded.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1164728177450717184",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1164706919375867904",
   "created_at": "2019-08-23T01:12:23+00:00",
   "text": "Is there significant value in taking a course in set theory?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1164706919375867904",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1163999777987715072",
   "created_at": "2019-08-21T02:22:27+00:00",
   "text": "@PuggyKnudson @LexiOHudson Mill was a brilliant man and I'd like to see more positive utilitarian memes like this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1163999777987715072",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1163991776669110275"
  },
  {
   "id": "1163578009888219137",
   "created_at": "2019-08-19T22:26:30+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Hard drives are only worth it nowadays, IMO, for massive, infrequently accessed data like a multi-terabyte movie collection. Even then, hard drives are not as reliable and I wouldn't put anything on them that you can't afford to lose.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1163578009888219137",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1163575867035045889"
  },
  {
   "id": "1163575867035045889",
   "created_at": "2019-08-19T22:17:59+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Hard drives have bigger storage capacity for the price and access data slower, SSDs cost more per GB but access data much faster. SSDs are also more resilient towards drops. You generally want an SSD for your personal computer.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1163575867035045889",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1163570886819090434"
  },
  {
   "id": "1163469533186838528",
   "created_at": "2019-08-19T15:15:27+00:00",
   "text": "How much utility have we captured so far again?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1163469533186838528",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1163287140232507392"
  },
  {
   "id": "1163287140232507392",
   "created_at": "2019-08-19T03:10:41+00:00",
   "text": "I don't get this need for 'maximization'. Capturing 2643857 utilons is enough for me. I mean it's not like I'm stopping at 2643849.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1163287140232507392",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1163277822380695552",
   "created_at": "2019-08-19T02:33:40+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba unfollowed\n\n/s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1163277822380695552",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1163275391978676225"
  },
  {
   "id": "1163208018063962115",
   "created_at": "2019-08-18T21:56:17+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ @EvanSandhoefner I think a carbon tax at the very least would be reasonable (e.g. to account for methane from cows). Ideally, we would also tax their suffering. Even if we couldn't account for the full amount, a partial tax would probably be better than nothing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1163208018063962115",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1162952323921936385"
  },
  {
   "id": "1163207110861176833",
   "created_at": "2019-08-18T21:52:41+00:00",
   "text": "@nathan_k Yeah it's not a complete exhale of relief haha",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1163207110861176833",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1163205000203386880"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162911831960293377",
   "created_at": "2019-08-18T02:19:21+00:00",
   "text": "@sashintweets I'm sorry it's just a terrible joke.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162911831960293377",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1162910864841666560"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162899863035666438",
   "created_at": "2019-08-18T01:31:47+00:00",
   "text": "@sashintweets Maximize utility",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162899863035666438",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1162617423943438336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162879105374797829",
   "created_at": "2019-08-18T00:09:18+00:00",
   "text": "@MarkLutter Post to the 80,000 Hours job board?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162879105374797829",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1162681810884747264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162873757662363649",
   "created_at": "2019-08-17T23:48:03+00:00",
   "text": "*listening to podcast*\n*notices how eloquent and incredibly quick on their feet podcast people always are*\n*unconsciously begins to panic about how slow I must be*\n*remembers the podcast is sped up, exhale in relief*\n\nThis loop happen to anyone else?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162873757662363649",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1162869141356863493",
   "created_at": "2019-08-17T23:29:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MsMelChen: @HPluckrose Helen, I have defended British imperialism and colonialism, but I cannot, in good conscience, defend this. \n\nThi…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162869141356863493",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1162868724870897665",
   "created_at": "2019-08-17T23:28:03+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ @EvanSandhoefner True social justice isn't about stopping behavior, but just taxing it appropriately at the cost of restitution.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162868724870897665",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1162868054138740738"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162868054138740738",
   "created_at": "2019-08-17T23:25:23+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ @EvanSandhoefner 😂 The social cost of all obvious negative externalities must be added to the price of all 'private' market transactions, if that is what you are asking",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162868054138740738",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1162862609869070336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162828906522718208",
   "created_at": "2019-08-17T20:49:50+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba @razibkhan I was just talking about that feeling of resolving cognitive dissonance haha, but I'll have to check out the podcast.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162828906522718208",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1162826669809459200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162828689396162560",
   "created_at": "2019-08-17T20:48:58+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson I argue that hedonium is a plausible and desirable 2nd choice.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162828689396162560",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1162563927277895680"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162775419730485250",
   "created_at": "2019-08-17T17:17:18+00:00",
   "text": "Update: Apparently Sandberg et al already showed the Fermi Paradox is not necessarily a thing: https://t.co/ibWsZraWcI\n\nThis isn't to say that discovering multicellular life wouldn't be bad news for us, but it with the current error margins, it's not quite as bad.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162775419730485250",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1159677941661491201"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162361575472336897",
   "created_at": "2019-08-16T13:52:49+00:00",
   "text": "In Praise of Passivity\nhttps://t.co/Eg3sgsg6UL https://t.co/Y2W7kg8lOT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162361575472336897",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1162139198687760386",
   "created_at": "2019-08-15T23:09:11+00:00",
   "text": "@ASpittel Solve math problems",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162139198687760386",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1161760567201284100"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162030960935940097",
   "created_at": "2019-08-15T15:59:05+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton But yeah, I can't recommend highly instrumental valuable people do this, even if they are unusually good at physical things. It might make sense in terms of dollars, but probably doesn't in terms of x-risk reduction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162030960935940097",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1162029248909123584"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162029248909123584",
   "created_at": "2019-08-15T15:52:17+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton I know total car insurance can cover rental, but that is beyond my budget for the next few years whereas getting a used bike for as long as I need and selling it for what I bought it for is cheap, provided I manage the risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162029248909123584",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1162027485250428930"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162027485250428930",
   "created_at": "2019-08-15T15:45:16+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton In a sense, a 15 mile trip is similar to the risk of driving 60 miles. That said, I'm riding just so I am learning how to ride well so I can have cheap fall back transpo in the future if my car ever shits the bed. So I'm planning to sell my bike and get a car within a few months.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162027485250428930",
   "word_count": 63,
   "in_reply_to": "1162026319695241216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1162026319695241216",
   "created_at": "2019-08-15T15:40:38+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton I agree that the base rate is horrible. I'm controlling all the risk that I can and I think my risk is something closer to 3-5x more dangerous than driving a car, which of course, makes riding still condemnable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1162026319695241216",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1161889867741065216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1161807441509724160",
   "created_at": "2019-08-15T01:10:54+00:00",
   "text": "Lot of change in the past 2 weeks.\nExperienced a heartbreaking break up--thankfully we are on good terms.\nMoved from NY to FL.\nDecided to go in on a condo to flip it.\nGot a motorcycle.\nBeen going keto for a few days to prep for a fast.\nMove into my dorm at New College on Sat.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1161807441509724160",
   "word_count": 57
  },
  {
   "id": "1160419423720751105",
   "created_at": "2019-08-11T05:15:24+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ElectionScience: The way we vote is broken, but we aren't stuck with the system we have—we can work to change it, as they have in Fargo…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1160419423720751105",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1160003346167717890",
   "created_at": "2019-08-10T01:42:04+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Woa woa woa we all know how possible it is to underestimate negative externalities and how impossible it is to underestimate positive externalities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1160003346167717890",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1159959625967575041"
  },
  {
   "id": "1159789307810500608",
   "created_at": "2019-08-09T11:31:33+00:00",
   "text": "@KirkegaardEmil https://t.co/wNIojcsfXt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159789307810500608",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1159588976887566342"
  },
  {
   "id": "1159677941661491201",
   "created_at": "2019-08-09T04:09:01+00:00",
   "text": "For reference: https://t.co/dg8sNunGcQ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159677941661491201",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1159677883075452928"
  },
  {
   "id": "1159677883075452928",
   "created_at": "2019-08-09T04:08:47+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/dkZ19kr7QO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159677883075452928",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1159671167373983744",
   "created_at": "2019-08-09T03:42:06+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/yms4Nfaofz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159671167373983744",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1159651096702464000",
   "created_at": "2019-08-09T02:22:21+00:00",
   "text": "Feeling Georgy, might go into real estate to hedge against me not successfully ennacting the most efficient & just tax. #LVT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159651096702464000",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1159483300710428674",
   "created_at": "2019-08-08T15:15:35+00:00",
   "text": "@briantemerowski @JohnCGreer @SamHarrisOrg I just listened to it! Agree",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159483300710428674",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1159458263873859590"
  },
  {
   "id": "1159435519559970817",
   "created_at": "2019-08-08T12:05:43+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer @briantemerowski @SamHarrisOrg Update: forgot how much I like his podcast!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159435519559970817",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1159175147036848128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1159271063106142208",
   "created_at": "2019-08-08T01:12:14+00:00",
   "text": "@briantemerowski Thanks!!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159271063106142208",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1159267747433451520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1159175147036848128",
   "created_at": "2019-08-07T18:51:06+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnCGreer @briantemerowski @SamHarrisOrg Yeah I used to listen to him a lot. It's been about two years though. I'll try him out again",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159175147036848128",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1159171999735910400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1159160912466644993",
   "created_at": "2019-08-07T17:54:32+00:00",
   "text": "@UnhWut @0rdoLiberalism Might have some negative externalities, sure. But not intrinsically immoral. Just depends on the expected effects.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159160912466644993",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1159157922947043329"
  },
  {
   "id": "1159159914230636544",
   "created_at": "2019-08-07T17:50:34+00:00",
   "text": "@briantemerowski Characterized by good epistemic hygiene, centered on especially important issues, willing to get technical, relatively information dense",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159159914230636544",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1159157551969308672"
  },
  {
   "id": "1159154682008416256",
   "created_at": "2019-08-07T17:29:46+00:00",
   "text": "Any other quality podcasts out there similar to Rationally Speaking and 80,000 Hours?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159154682008416256",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1159130317510369280",
   "created_at": "2019-08-07T15:52:57+00:00",
   "text": "@UnhWut @0rdoLiberalism People consent to whatever they want. Nothing intrinsically immoral about odd numbers",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1159130317510369280",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1159011487974866944"
  },
  {
   "id": "1158728643968937986",
   "created_at": "2019-08-06T13:16:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RokoMijicUK: A New Hong Kong charter city in Australia seems like it would be a win-win scenario. High human capital, English-speaking…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1158728643968937986",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1158715671620050947",
   "created_at": "2019-08-06T12:25:18+00:00",
   "text": "@mckaywrigley Keep exploring or exploit?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1158715671620050947",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1158533635101716481"
  },
  {
   "id": "1158388813670076417",
   "created_at": "2019-08-05T14:46:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @SilverVVulpes: Glad to see reality confirming what I already mentioned: if you believe climate models are unreliable you have no reason…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1158388813670076417",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1157640288963301377",
   "created_at": "2019-08-03T13:12:07+00:00",
   "text": "@QueenOfTheWilis I mean this whole idea of free market capitalism presupposes the ideas that incentives matter, that people differ in economic productivity, that resources are scarce, and that everyone can have more in aggregate by giving more productive people more resources. Disgusting",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1157640288963301377",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1157638376436228096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1157638376436228096",
   "created_at": "2019-08-03T13:04:31+00:00",
   "text": "@QueenOfTheWilis It's as if people think that just because one worked hard to fulfill other's preferences again and again in difficult, neglected ways, that one has a right to set the terms for others to do things that they can either accept or deny.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1157638376436228096",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1157636186829197312"
  },
  {
   "id": "1157636186829197312",
   "created_at": "2019-08-03T12:55:49+00:00",
   "text": "@QueenOfTheWilis How dare people spend the money they lawfully earned in private transactions not on yachts and private islands, but on issues they think are neglected by other people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1157636186829197312",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1157413913639583744"
  },
  {
   "id": "1157340267642576901",
   "created_at": "2019-08-02T17:19:56+00:00",
   "text": "RT @HispanicPundit: What is your theory for why healthcare and education has gone up so much in costs? Whatever it is, I doubt it fits the…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1157340267642576901",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1157340137208066049",
   "created_at": "2019-08-02T17:19:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @lukeprog: ICYMI, my favorite footnotes from my animal consciousness report are 23, 40, 46, 58, 73, 77, 108, 109, 120, 124, 140, 155, 18…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1157340137208066049",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1157333399708848128",
   "created_at": "2019-08-02T16:52:39+00:00",
   "text": "\"...textbooks are usually the quickest and best way to learn new material. That's what they are designed to be, after all...But textbooks vary widely in quality....What if we could compile a list of the best textbooks on every subject?\"\nhttps://t.co/OdnJVPdgUW",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1157333399708848128",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1156727682090098688",
   "created_at": "2019-08-01T00:45:45+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Ooh I like that take 🔥",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1156727682090098688",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1156727107306868737"
  },
  {
   "id": "1156727345677574144",
   "created_at": "2019-08-01T00:44:24+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn My b I tried to deledit my tweet because on second thought, I thought the unilateralist question was dumb. For the curious, the rest of the tweet was:\nYou poly?\n\nDo you think humanity needs more resilient, stocked bunkers to survive a nuclear war/winter?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1156727345677574144",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1156726485480353793"
  },
  {
   "id": "1156700722639134720",
   "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:58:37+00:00",
   "text": "@dylanmatt 6) I bet people would care about x-risk a lot more if their expected life-spans were longer than (generally) <60 more years.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1156700722639134720",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1156688939702464512"
  },
  {
   "id": "1156693339003072512",
   "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:29:16+00:00",
   "text": "@JustJoshinYou13 @dylanmatt Oh true! That's definitely sad. I mean think of all the people who put off their mid-life crises until their 40's! Then they only have 20-30 more cognitively-active years to fulfill their improved utility function.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1156693339003072512",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1156691556289720320"
  },
  {
   "id": "1156689603392417794",
   "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:14:26+00:00",
   "text": "@JustJoshinYou13 @dylanmatt How is figuring out how to live their best life depressing?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1156689603392417794",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1156688948317556736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1156688939702464512",
   "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:11:48+00:00",
   "text": "@dylanmatt It's not like our kids just pick up our utility function where we left off. They will pursue their own, for better or for worse.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1156688939702464512",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1156688536994820096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1156688536994820096",
   "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:10:12+00:00",
   "text": "@dylanmatt Also, I don't want to die because no one seems to quite have my world-view and sense of the problems like I do. Maybe once an aligned-AGI comes around, I can chill, but for the foreseeable future, I and many other people have important takes that can't easily be replaced.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1156688536994820096",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1156687817357107200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1156687817357107200",
   "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:07:20+00:00",
   "text": "@dylanmatt 3) It's taking longer and longer to get people to the forefront of their field. We could probably solve a lot more of our pressing problems if researchers could just live longer while at the forefront of their field. Also, with longer life-spans, many could afford to teach less.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1156687817357107200",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1156687349914509312"
  },
  {
   "id": "1156687349914509312",
   "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:05:29+00:00",
   "text": "@dylanmatt 2) It takes 20+ years of societal investment just to crank out net economically-productive agents. That's not very efficient.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1156687349914509312",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1156686760442761217"
  },
  {
   "id": "1156686760442761217",
   "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:03:08+00:00",
   "text": "@dylanmatt Moral agents are replaceable, but:\n1) I think happiness tends to rise with mastery of life and maturity. At least for me, my childhood was filled with far more suffering than I experience now. Also, I'm pretty sure the stats show that older people tend to be happier.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1156686760442761217",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1156675470781558784"
  },
  {
   "id": "1156665163304620032",
   "created_at": "2019-07-31T20:37:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanSandhoefner: the possibility that the Great Filter lies ahead of us, i.e. that the solution to the Fermi paradox is that the fate o…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1156665163304620032",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1155545383277334530",
   "created_at": "2019-07-28T18:27:43+00:00",
   "text": "@chris_iverzen In other words, lock me in a room with any self-proclaimed deontologist until we agree and out will walk two consequentialist utilitarians.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1155545383277334530",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1155544859530420224"
  },
  {
   "id": "1155544859530420224",
   "created_at": "2019-07-28T18:25:38+00:00",
   "text": "@chris_iverzen I think the room for disagreement here stems from different perceptions of exactly what the definitions are.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1155544859530420224",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1155544223514599426"
  },
  {
   "id": "1155544223514599426",
   "created_at": "2019-07-28T18:23:06+00:00",
   "text": "@chris_iverzen Oh snap! That's one way to disagree. 😂",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1155544223514599426",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1155525896939479040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1155505978051354624",
   "created_at": "2019-07-28T15:51:08+00:00",
   "text": "RT @medievaliszt: “Sorry for the reply delay!”\n- predictable\n- disorganised \n- admits fault on your part\n\n“in response to your premature em…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1155505978051354624",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1155505250754842624",
   "created_at": "2019-07-28T15:48:14+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Ben_Reinhardt: A good breakdown of the elements that make great disruptive research teams.  https://t.co/Fd18R0btn4 \n\nh/t to @arbesman…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1155505250754842624",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1155503415931342854",
   "created_at": "2019-07-28T15:40:57+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Can't I say that a certain claim, as someone has presented it, is self-contradictory? I know my preferred theory could be flawed, but can't I know another is deeply flawed?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1155503415931342854",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1155499387528863745"
  },
  {
   "id": "1155498080084643840",
   "created_at": "2019-07-28T15:19:45+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/ZzTSWwaHUp\nDmitri learns probability theory dictates he must assign self-contradictory propositions a credence of zero.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1155498080084643840",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1155469874384257024",
   "created_at": "2019-07-28T13:27:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @aidangcw: So...basically 1/10 worries come true? That’s way worse than I had imagined. https://t.co/7m0EJyR9wi",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1155469874384257024",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1155277272255016960",
   "created_at": "2019-07-28T00:42:20+00:00",
   "text": "Great 16-minute intro to the hazards of synthetic biology! https://t.co/dDZ7yVzHwh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1155277272255016960",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1154895344964112384",
   "created_at": "2019-07-26T23:24:41+00:00",
   "text": "It seems unlikely that everyone who rightfully joins the Equifax settlement is going to get paid by the terms. They only have to pay up to $700m total and 145m Americans were affected. Only 5.6m can even get $125.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1154895344964112384",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1154855338153316356",
   "created_at": "2019-07-26T20:45:43+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/3LpePgHRly",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1154855338153316356",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1154843786402521088",
   "created_at": "2019-07-26T19:59:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robinhanson: Yup: \"While people spend so much time searching for their real self, the stark reality is that all of the aspects of your…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1154843786402521088",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1154447857216368641",
   "created_at": "2019-07-25T17:46:32+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba I think we can put a prior on any proposition.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1154447857216368641",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1153491456738435072"
  },
  {
   "id": "1154303752163254272",
   "created_at": "2019-07-25T08:13:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ExistentialRisk: The greatest long-term threats facing humanity\nHow long can civilisation survive? To thrive for billions of years, the…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1154303752163254272",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1154191872396529664",
   "created_at": "2019-07-25T00:49:20+00:00",
   "text": "RT @CSERCambridge: Fascinating thread on the 'letters of last resort' to the UK's nuclear submarines: https://t.co/AQ8dWoLPga",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1154191872396529664",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1153979160165064704",
   "created_at": "2019-07-24T10:44:06+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock I mean I am happy to consider their perspective, but they don't automatically get a big vote in my parliament.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1153979160165064704",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1153978147467157504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1153978147467157504",
   "created_at": "2019-07-24T10:40:04+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock parliament.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1153978147467157504",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1153978018337099776"
  },
  {
   "id": "1153978018337099776",
   "created_at": "2019-07-24T10:39:34+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock Their difference of opinion does affect my prior, but I am still very doubtful that we want or even can do away w/ EU & physics-based moral concerns. Like anyone who has any negative infinities and absolutist moral principles will probably have like an infinitesimal seat in my",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1153978018337099776",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1152878257500499968"
  },
  {
   "id": "1153396734216802309",
   "created_at": "2019-07-22T20:09:45+00:00",
   "text": "RT @XiXiDu: Thread: Examples of the long term impact of past institutions https://t.co/MXwSj13VQe",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1153396734216802309",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1153367843670560770",
   "created_at": "2019-07-22T18:14:57+00:00",
   "text": "Apparently there is already an app called World Splitter, hello.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1153367843670560770",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1153351177914015744",
   "created_at": "2019-07-22T17:08:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ben_r_hoffman: Willpower doesn't get depleted; inner conflict can accumulate, though, if you neglect something you care about. https://…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1153351177914015744",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1153317948859330560",
   "created_at": "2019-07-22T14:56:41+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba I think we can at least become a lot more confident then we are now if we progress in certain ways.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1153317948859330560",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1153207540932628480"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152994579228057601",
   "created_at": "2019-07-21T17:31:43+00:00",
   "text": "Freakin' x-risk, instances of suffering, & probable, unknown crucial considerations I can all plausibly affect are taking away some of my fuzzies, man.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152994579228057601",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1152992939444002818"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152994410264743936",
   "created_at": "2019-07-21T17:31:03+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK 😢🤣 fml",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152994410264743936",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1152994150687629312"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152992939444002818",
   "created_at": "2019-07-21T17:25:12+00:00",
   "text": "I just want the long-term value of the future to be secured already so I can get back to runaway signaling games & fulfilling a more traditional utility function.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152992939444002818",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1152991960082407424",
   "created_at": "2019-07-21T17:21:19+00:00",
   "text": "@Scholars_Stage I have little idea, just a guess.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152991960082407424",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1152991620469575681"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152991620469575681",
   "created_at": "2019-07-21T17:19:58+00:00",
   "text": "@Scholars_Stage Working for a hedge fund?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152991620469575681",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1152988439274377216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152983109190782977",
   "created_at": "2019-07-21T16:46:09+00:00",
   "text": "@keithfrankish Rationality: From AI to Zombies or Elephant in the Brain: Hidden Motives in Everyday Life",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152983109190782977",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1152973752889724929"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152974133250220034",
   "created_at": "2019-07-21T16:10:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @XiXiDu: 'The varieties of material existence' by Michael Nielsen https://t.co/LvuChi8F4v https://t.co/IZ98RYg7IN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152974133250220034",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1152965450822815745",
   "created_at": "2019-07-21T15:35:59+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn There is always the chance of a cosmic ray flipping the first bit to my credence for a dangerous belief like not eating and turning a 0000 0000 000 0001/1111 1111 1111 1111 belief into one with essentially 50% probability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152965450822815745",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1152958762661142529"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152725110626951168",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T23:40:57+00:00",
   "text": "Not EV, EU :P",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152725110626951168",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1152636791163359232"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152716663369940992",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T23:07:23+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock Not saying a lot of human intuitions about specific moral actions aren't useful heuristics for the real good, but I just don't think we need to go out of our way and intentionally give weight to actions via non-math backed ethical theories.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152716663369940992",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1152716488840810497"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152716488840810497",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T23:06:42+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock I strongly lean towards the notion that morally-relevant phenomena ought to be grounded in discrete physics operations. I can't see how high-order, morally-relevant processes can occur that are greater than the sum of their parts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152716488840810497",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1152709130773250050"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152715012265451521",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T23:00:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @gnuman1979: I don’t even know what’s right anymore. https://t.co/Kxlu3zIz8t",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152715012265451521",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1152709130773250050",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T22:37:27+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock Cardinal values can be computationally hard to determine, but I don't think a coherent, still-in-the-running, moral system is allowed to fail to come up with them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152709130773250050",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1152706772051857408"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152703891043168257",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T22:16:38+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock I don't really see how EU can break down. There is a certain beauty to the parliamentary model. It seems like a good way to reduce fanaticism, which is a good thing considering at that at least a supermajority of people are wrong about morality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152703891043168257",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1152586154417577984"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152659748392710144",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T19:21:14+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JamesClear: Charlie Munger on how to avoid falling victim to intense ideology and unclear thinking: https://t.co/mC0qVmPEYW",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152659748392710144",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1152656503905669120",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T19:08:20+00:00",
   "text": "@NathanMFranz Perhaps with stricter minimum necessary formats like\n>noun verb noun noun\nOr\n>noun verb noun verb noun\nwe could drastically reduce the space of possible wordings between the two thinkers.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152656503905669120",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1152655435289247745"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152655435289247745",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T19:04:05+00:00",
   "text": "@NathanMFranz A possible format:\nNo articles, punctuation, or caps. No 'should we' at the beginning.  Just the minimum words to produce the idea in the mind.\nAn easier example could be:\n>gene edit kill mosquitos malaria.\nThis has a max of (5! * (each words # of reasonable synonyms).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152655435289247745",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1152652360516349953"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152650265981591553",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:43:33+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK This could be useful down the road though as technology progresses and individuals become increasingly powerful relative to the entire system.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152650265981591553",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1152648898026135555"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152650023290703872",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:42:35+00:00",
   "text": "different wordings they'd have to try, if they had the same idea already in mind, to arrive at one of the same wordings of another person who has already placed the idea in the system.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152650023290703872",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1152650021868834817"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152650021868834817",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:42:35+00:00",
   "text": "I guess my biggest question is: how small of a message can permit while still minimizing brute force attack effectiveness? I guess we could make the min. message length pretty small if we limit users to 10k queries a day or some number of approximately how many queries of",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152650021868834817",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1152641734033203200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152648898026135555",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:38:07+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK In general I agree",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152648898026135555",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1152647368292089856"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152641734033203200",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:09:39+00:00",
   "text": "Also, a DB like this could pervert incentives. Instead of accidentally discovering potentially dangerous ideas from trying to do good, a perverse incentive structure could be created where weird people spend time just trying to crack the hashes for it's own sake.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152641734033203200",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1152641088903159808"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152641088903159808",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:07:05+00:00",
   "text": "Without having a good sense of the odds of not coming up with the same wording, one could end up being overly confident that the Unilateralist's Curse doesn't apply in the case in question.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152641088903159808",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1152641087573565440"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152641087573565440",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:07:04+00:00",
   "text": "It might be really hard to come up with others' wordings of the idea, especially considering the idea has to be specified in enough character bits to be hashed up enough to be effectively be one-way.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152641087573565440",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1152641085132431362"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152641085132431362",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:07:04+00:00",
   "text": "Weaknesses of this idea:\n1) Radical anti-natalists could look for collisions in order to gather info to help them prioritize which causes to pursue to help them complete their agenda. People talking over PGP should still vet each other carefully.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152641085132431362",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1152636791163359232"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152637048202903552",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:51:01+00:00",
   "text": "Sorry...I use quotes, but this person is thinking out-loud to themselves.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152637048202903552",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1152636784146288641"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152636791163359232",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:50:00+00:00",
   "text": "If you discover an idea you determine is an info hazard (of negative EV to share), you should use this protocol so you can get into contact with any others who eventually discover the idea so you can converge your priors on the EV of sharing it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152636791163359232",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1152636790257463297"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152636790257463297",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:50:00+00:00",
   "text": "be safer than 1 person left to their own thoughts on whether they carry it out or release it privately to others.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152636790257463297",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1152636789284331520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152636789284331520",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:50:00+00:00",
   "text": "If the output hash is already in the system, the system could provide one the PGP public key and email of the person who left it there so you can get in touch and discuss the idea with them. They already discovered it, so 2 agents talking about a plausibly dangerous idea should",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152636789284331520",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1152636788185411584"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152636788185411584",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:49:59+00:00",
   "text": "One is then left to carefully pursue the idea on their own and possibly share it carefully if one eventually calculated that it seems worthy & safe enough.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152636788185411584",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1152636787250147328"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152636787250147328",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:49:59+00:00",
   "text": "*checks for the same output hashes in a database relating to one's field of inquiry*\nIf there is no matching output has already in the db, one can update one's p() that the Unilateralist's Curse is not in play depending on how widespread the use of this whole protocol is.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152636787250147328",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1152636785907945472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152636785907945472",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:49:59+00:00",
   "text": "*formalizes idea according to a protocol & use AI to find similar meaning sentences to maximize chances of coming up with the same wording as the person who has realized this is an info hazard*\n*runs all versions through a common one-way hash algorithm*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152636785907945472",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1152636784146288641"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152636784146288641",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:49:58+00:00",
   "text": "\"Does anyone have anything to say about this potentially dangerous, yet possibly very positive idea I have? Google shows nothing about it, so maybe people smarter than me have thought of it before and have developed compelling reasons to keep silent about it.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152636784146288641",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1152631549554245633"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152631549554245633",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:29:10+00:00",
   "text": "I think we can use one-way hash functions and develop protocols to safely coordinate around potentially dangerous ideas, even amongst secret omnicidal agents, to reduce the effect of the Unilateralist's Curse while reducing info hazards.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152631549554245633",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1152605627233034241",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:46:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Fred_Delicious: imagine trying to explain this tweet to someone in 2008 https://t.co/edf6UQc2Wg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152605627233034241",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1152605153507385345",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:44:17+00:00",
   "text": "@a_centrism I think some unequitable, correctable forces are at play, such as permanent private ownership of public goods (e.g. unimproved land) rather then rent, but one could claim the theft of the valuable labor of the most productive members of society is comparably unjust & inefficient.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152605153507385345",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1152602527969533957"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152602527969533957",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:33:51+00:00",
   "text": "@a_centrism Most people just aren't nearly as economically productive as the top percentiles. You could redistribute all the wealth equally & you'd see inequality of outcomes again soon. The question is whether and how much unjust forces are at play.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152602527969533957",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1152436053938249728"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152600078026268672",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:24:07+00:00",
   "text": "@HestiaArte Jokes aside, that's interesting & seems plausible to me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152600078026268672",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1152599925940785154"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152599925940785154",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:23:31+00:00",
   "text": "@HestiaArte Low-status men are the worst /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152599925940785154",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1152599359806046208"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152596749971787776",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:10:54+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn 🤬 the outgroup",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152596749971787776",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1152589639183679494"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152596253961854977",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:08:55+00:00",
   "text": "@HestiaArte Perhaps one could make the case that it's slightly immoral for a guy to marry down as that leaves a less dominant guy w/out a wife and leaves a high-status woman w/out a husband she is satisfied with. His lower status wife is happier, but 2 people are now less happy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152596253961854977",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1152593205763854336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152590888318709760",
   "created_at": "2019-07-20T14:47:36+00:00",
   "text": "@HestiaArte Is that predominantly because highly educated men tend to 'marry down' more often than highly educated women, who are generally less willing to do so?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152590888318709760",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1152573897943838720"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152360747457900544",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T23:33:06+00:00",
   "text": "@GreedyGrey @TomHiggins42 @tylercowen 🏅",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152360747457900544",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1152336871457841152"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152350487187984386",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T22:52:20+00:00",
   "text": "@primalpoly There are a lot of ways to divvy up the left and right, but I think geolibertarianism satisfies a lot of the the sentiments of both sides while not just being a patchwork blend between them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152350487187984386",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1152250455927341056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152322209446277121",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T20:59:58+00:00",
   "text": "@Npire0f1 @primalpoly Geolibertarians are especially centrist.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152322209446277121",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1152244895530332160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152302790598959104",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T19:42:48+00:00",
   "text": "@FatherMerrin @aristotelianmem @Jon_StewartMill Strong no",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152302790598959104",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1152268964971438080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152302579902271490",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T19:41:58+00:00",
   "text": "@drethelin https://t.co/anAyFVaU87",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152302579902271490",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1152103941561356288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152255143347462145",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:33:28+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK By act appropriately, I mean try to convince the USSR to stand down nuclear production for x-risk reasons, or get bombed. If a far greater x-risk movement had emerged earlier, even more options might have been available & avoiding MAD would have probably been more likely.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152255143347462145",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1152253925707436032"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152253925707436032",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:28:38+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Even if just a few of the Manhatten project researchers we're familiar with this chain of reasoning, I think they could have possibly persuaded Truman to act appropriately.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152253925707436032",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1152251633939689472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152251826198257665",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:20:17+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Even if all two-party-derived nuclear risk before, say, year 3000 will only sum to a 1% chance of extinction (an extreme lowball), dropping a few nukes to prevent this would be overwhelmingly worth it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152251826198257665",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1152250991313608706"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152250991313608706",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:16:58+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK If that really would have been, in expectation, the least destructive way, then yes. Again, not because just the people that were alive in the day mattered, but because of all expected future people, which number in the trillions+++.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152250991313608706",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1152245522180317185"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152248421065121792",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:06:45+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I think America could have said, 'don't try to develop nukes or we'll turn a good part of your country to glass before you ever get a chance to acquire a stockpile big enough for MAD. Otherwise, we'll leave you alone to experiment & pursue self-determination.'",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152248421065121792",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1152247303350169600"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152247737796243457",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:04:03+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK It's not even a personal thing. They could have been a liberal democracy, but if we were likely too end up in an arms race, we should have knocked them out early or given up early. No more than one agent ought to have world-destroying tech.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152247737796243457",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1152247253643476992"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152247253643476992",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:02:07+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I only advocate it for the trillions of future potential people. If humanity was def. going to go extinct early, say, in 2000, then I'd probably be cool enough with the risks developed in the Cold War to not advocate for knocking them out of the nuclear race following WW2.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152247253643476992",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1152245984052809729"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152245887608983555",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:56:41+00:00",
   "text": "RT @FLIxrisk: On the @80000Hours podcast: The new 30-person research group in DC investigating how emerging technologies could affect natio…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152245887608983555",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1152245260875182080",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:54:12+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK Given the x-risk we in all likely hood underwent after we let them attain MAD w/ us, a lot of preemptive actions would have been morally desirable & called for.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152245260875182080",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1152244337645953024"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152244337645953024",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:50:32+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I think, although I am uncertain about this because I wasn't there and this is counterfactual history, that we had a head start enough to derail their program while it was still in its infancy if we really wanted too.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152244337645953024",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1152243487250755584"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152242434329497600",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:42:58+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK actually had prioritized x-risk far more ahead of time. We could have pursued nukes, but we damn sure shouldn't have let any other country develop them to the point of MAD and beyond.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152242434329497600",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1152242213998518272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152242213998518272",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:42:06+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK My prior is that we are in the middle of possible world for 'luckiness'.\nI think we could have done a lot better with technical safety e.g. not have the launch passcodes be 0's for so long, but even more importantly, I think we could have averted this whole arms race if we",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152242213998518272",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1152241433769852929"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152241532583534595",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:39:23+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock calculation between us.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152241532583534595",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1152241478908948482"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152241478908948482",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:39:10+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock **just converge our assigned probabilities for each possible action in order to arrived at expected value quantities for different actions where we differ in our weighing factors. Then converge our weighing factors * combine that into the EV calculation to get an averaged EU",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152241478908948482",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1152232285833453569"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152238553541369858",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:27:33+00:00",
   "text": "@RokoMijicUK I might choose to make them aware of the existential risks from emerging technology & that it's important to prioritize safety research before rapid technological progress. If they did this, we may not have allowed nuclear weapons to spread, for instance.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152238553541369858",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1152161181488046080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152235859099435008",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:16:50+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock time to come to natural agreement.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152235859099435008",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1152235813633236992"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152235813633236992",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:16:40+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock I mean that's how two agents should converge if they have too short of time to actually update their beliefs to be the same. If you have 30 seconds to talk things ought, and you are both equally rational, then averaging is probably the best you can do because you will not have",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152235813633236992",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1152232732094881793"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152234123966197760",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:09:57+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @matthew_allcock which I'm pretty sure already implies how two equally rational agents with different priors & a finite amount of time to share information ought to converge.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152234123966197760",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1152233687829889025"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152233687829889025",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:08:13+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @matthew_allcock Two agents' weighing factors (like how bad an instance of suffering is actually bad) can be averaged together though. That's the closest useful instance of moral uncertainty IMO, although this is still not really a standalone concept outside Bayesian decision theory,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152233687829889025",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1152230811221012480"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152232732094881793",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:04:25+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock of said actions, and then we can use a parliamentary model to assign different utilities to the actual operations taking place. Where I guess -5, they might guess -10, so we go with -7.5. But that's generally how equally rational agents ought to act given different priors.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152232732094881793",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1152232285833453569"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152232285833453569",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:02:39+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock Moral uncertainty isn't a standalone concept is what I am saying. A negative-leaning utilitarian and I, if we are both equally good at evaluating what actually happens in the world, can geometrically average our guesstimates of the actions that will happen and the probabilities",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152232285833453569",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1152231837164625920"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152231837164625920",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:00:52+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock Ugg I got up at 3 & just worked for 6 hours.. I mean evaluate actions with (current subjectively-derived) weighing factors * number of morally relevant operations occurring * probability of these operations occurring.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152231837164625920",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1152230288174604293"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152230811221012480",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T14:56:47+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @matthew_allcock The obligation is to maximum utility, so whether the universe is y or 100y valuable, I don't think that ought to change a rational utilitarian agent acts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152230811221012480",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1152229781049622533"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152230288174604293",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T14:54:42+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock computational limits.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152230288174604293",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1152230248794263553"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152230248794263553",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T14:54:33+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock different subjective probabilities of different weighing factors (like various predictions of the magnitude of instances of well-being and suffering) & then multiply that with logical induction-derived probabilities of different real world events given informational &",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152230248794263553",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1152228861834346497"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152228861834346497",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T14:49:02+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock Non-consequentalist moral theories are utterly incoherent, so we can't even really assign a credence to them (what are you even assigning a credence too?). Then, we are left evaluating the utility of actual actions on the world. Bayesian utilitarianism can take into account",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152228861834346497",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1152227881717772288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152227881717772288",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T14:45:09+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock theories, and adding up the results.\" This isn't really outside the scope of Bayesian utilitarianism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152227881717772288",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1152227275691180032"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152227275691180032",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T14:42:44+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock Moral uncertainty prescribes: “perform the action with the highest expected moral value. We get the expected moral value of an action by multiplying the subjective probability that some theory is true by the value of that action if it is true, doing the same for all of the other",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152227275691180032",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1152190641549578240"
  },
  {
   "id": "1152159848441753601",
   "created_at": "2019-07-19T10:14:48+00:00",
   "text": "Moral uncertainty is a neat idea, but it's really inseparable from Bayesian utilitarianism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152159848441753601",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1151966785371037704",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T21:27:38+00:00",
   "text": "@parulia @fcollective Are you just saying VCs should give founders better advice or they should be less willing to fund people that seem irrationally motivated or? Just curious",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151966785371037704",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1151966013237420041"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151963589386932224",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T21:14:56+00:00",
   "text": "@parulia @fcollective Ground rules?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151963589386932224",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1151885090617778176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151962789713469445",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T21:11:46+00:00",
   "text": "@OttawaCitizen Nope. Not for taste reasons, but for ethical reasons. Even maggots likely experience pain & eating trillions of them might be a greater moral catastrophe than factory farming as it is today. Plants are the solution we are looking for.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151962789713469445",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1151621016969449473"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151891255443562496",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T16:27:31+00:00",
   "text": "stopped using the term so much & just talked about our intuitions about agency & moral responsibility, before and after an act? Even 'moral responsibility' is obfuscating. \"How ought human agents act & incentivize each other to maximize utility?\" is a much more clarifying phrase.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151891255443562496",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1151891254516551680"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151891254516551680",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T16:27:30+00:00",
   "text": "Words that are high order abstractions are dangerous. It's worth the effort, more often than not IMO, to spell out in greater length exactly what we mean. How much faster would we have made progress on say, the collective understanding of all the facets of 'free will' if we",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151891254516551680",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1151880065199804416",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T15:43:03+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Marginal diminishing utility is not the only possible reason for a disparity between EU & EV though, as some really important projects can only be done with a threshold of money, & it's worth gambling with negative EV because the EU is there.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151880065199804416",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1151877668880695297"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151879450415566848",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T15:40:36+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner The same even goes with lives. 400 lives saved w/ .99 certainty (396 in expectation) has more utility to me than say, 1000 saved w/ .397, due to marginal diminishing instrumental utility.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151879450415566848",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1151879299567378432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151879299567378432",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T15:40:00+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Too many rationalists IMO are too quick to claim irrationality towards say, a preference for $500 rather than a 10% chance of say, $7000, especially for poor people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151879299567378432",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1151877668880695297"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151877668880695297",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T15:33:31+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Yes in monetary terms I mean EV ≠ EU because of diminishing marginal utility. Broadly, I think of utility as being satisfaction/happiness derived from a good/service/money while value is simply an objective, countable quantity of some good/service/money.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151877668880695297",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1151873657192366082"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151870323232575488",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T15:04:20+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Effect_Altruism: 80,000 Hours offers a step-by-step guide for choosing a charity to support, which can be applied to many different glo…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151870323232575488",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1151810766720438272",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T11:07:41+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/VRugZsxBLZ\nGreat @Rspodcast on @metaculus for those newer to the idea of prediction markets & aggregating forecasts to make better forecasts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151810766720438272",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1151752173073641473",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T07:14:51+00:00",
   "text": "@TheAnnaGat White lies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151752173073641473",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1151488831968989184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151660842372468736",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T01:11:56+00:00",
   "text": "Compared to Hillary in 2016, was Trump more of an existential threat to humanity?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151660842372468736",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1151660030309163008"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151660451933118464",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T01:10:23+00:00",
   "text": "RT @KelseyTuoc: When people get involved with effective altruism one thing that tends to take them by surprise is the interest in risks fro…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151660451933118464",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1151660030309163008",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T01:08:42+00:00",
   "text": "Was Trump more of an existential threat than the other Republican candidates in 2016?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151660030309163008",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1151653004430532610",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T00:40:47+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I'd guess it's still overall an open empirical question. I should read more of Tetlock I guess",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151653004430532610",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1151652625810673664"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151652625810673664",
   "created_at": "2019-07-18T00:39:17+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn That's a great point that I hadn't considered. I initially thought there was sort of a moral responsibility to process information independently of all other forecasters, but I guess as long as I am still being critical & updating, the system shouldn't fail.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151652625810673664",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1151638906930192389"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151636955047895041",
   "created_at": "2019-07-17T23:37:01+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I just started forecasting and I'm afraid I'm going to get a terrible score & that like I'll lose my social influence if it starts to be valued more (not saying it shouldn't be valued more) (because *of course* I'm probably right about things that are hard to forecast)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151636955047895041",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1151633478733185026"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151627214456348672",
   "created_at": "2019-07-17T22:58:18+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Your Fermi INT for a serious hedonium push?\nAlso, odds you think Brier scores are going to blow up & become a much more valued metric in 10 years?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151627214456348672",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1151607206032347136"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151523724547502080",
   "created_at": "2019-07-17T16:07:04+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RobertDKelley: Freedom of choice creates variance.\n\nDifferent personalities,\ndifferent decisions,\ndifferent opportunities,\nlead to diff…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151523724547502080",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1151522235527680000",
   "created_at": "2019-07-17T16:01:09+00:00",
   "text": "@Twitter @Jack should enact the option of approval voting in polls. Not only would this be convenient to accumulating knowledge & crowd wisdom, but it could jump-start the national transition to it, which plausibly has to happen before any real systemic improvements in politics.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151522235527680000",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1151520339811360770",
   "created_at": "2019-07-17T15:53:37+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanSandhoefner: Actually, your phone is a direct portal to an unimaginable bounty of accumulated knowledge, a fireproof & featherweigh…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151520339811360770",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1151518558448422914",
   "created_at": "2019-07-17T15:46:33+00:00",
   "text": "@_jordan_bates @naval #gatekeeping for well-being for no instrumentally obvious utilitarian reason.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151518558448422914",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1151516993595564033"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151518094524911622",
   "created_at": "2019-07-17T15:44:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AllenDowney: My thoughts on this whole 10x engineer thing:  \n\nMany people are effectively 0x engineers (that's \"zero ex\") because they…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151518094524911622",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1151516993595564033",
   "created_at": "2019-07-17T15:40:20+00:00",
   "text": "@_jordan_bates @naval @Naval, IMO, should be espousing some blend between a 'you do you because you know yourself best' and 'focus on adding net-value', not \"you're poor because you are not in the most socially dominant, free-from-coercion position\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151516993595564033",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1151515895195475970"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151515895195475970",
   "created_at": "2019-07-17T15:35:58+00:00",
   "text": "@_jordan_bates @naval This obsession about what constitutes being 'rich' is childish. Clearly, people all have their own evolving utility function given their psychology. It specifies  different amounts of $, social influence, perceived freedom from coercion, fellowship, perceived impact, etc.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151515895195475970",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1151378469705662465"
  },
  {
   "id": "1151512262852694016",
   "created_at": "2019-07-17T15:21:32+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JohnCGreer: Humbling to see such poor reasoning from a Nobel Prize winning economist.\n\nWith Krugman's guidance sub-Saharan Africans wou…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151512262852694016",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1151317958934827008",
   "created_at": "2019-07-17T02:29:26+00:00",
   "text": "I'll take Grand Futures & Philosophical Foundations for 500, Alex. https://t.co/re8yDUAiNr via @FHIOxford",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151317958934827008",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1151172968594190345",
   "created_at": "2019-07-16T16:53:18+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner And people say we don't have a moral imperative to bring happy people into this world!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1151172968594190345",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1150993464919597056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1150785418092302337",
   "created_at": "2019-07-15T15:13:18+00:00",
   "text": "RT @diviacaroline: This supports the thesis that much of what passes for education is more like verbal overshadowing. \n\nhttps://t.co/n4F2g0…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150785418092302337",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1150580859650621446",
   "created_at": "2019-07-15T01:40:28+00:00",
   "text": "RT @aaronfhamlin: .@BetoORourke, @JulianCastro, and @AndrewYang still need additional polls at 2% using the worst voting method there is to…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150580859650621446",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1150522730154012678",
   "created_at": "2019-07-14T21:49:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @CatoInstitute: Under Nicolas Maduro’s brutal government in Venezuela, government security units are acting as death squads to eliminate…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150522730154012678",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1150490413691756544",
   "created_at": "2019-07-14T19:41:04+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Right? Like I've been complaining that phone manufacturers ought to offer thicker versions of their phones with far larger batteries. For some reason, I forgot that battery cases exist 🤦‍♂️",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150490413691756544",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1150488479081435136"
  },
  {
   "id": "1150473526794706944",
   "created_at": "2019-07-14T18:33:58+00:00",
   "text": "Bought a battery case to supplement my phone's failing battery for $40. Basically turned a functionally ~1500 mAh battery to a 6000 mAh one. Do recommend if your phone's battery is trash.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150473526794706944",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1150467265730699266",
   "created_at": "2019-07-14T18:09:05+00:00",
   "text": "Finally cashing out on @RobertWiblin's advice & using @Pocket to listen to books & articles while going on long walks. Do recommend trying it out! https://t.co/trKE02HCsc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150467265730699266",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1150165788495613952",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T22:11:07+00:00",
   "text": "Ageism is dying and it's great.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150165788495613952",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1150165787342254082"
  },
  {
   "id": "1150165787342254082",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T22:11:07+00:00",
   "text": "I didn't know that the range of possible relationships you can have just blooms enormously as you grow into your 20s & past the legal drinking age. My girlfriend and I go out for drinks with her 50? year old former professor and her friends and nobody cares.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150165787342254082",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1150162984175620096",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T21:59:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @erikbryn: Air pollution is much, much more damaging than most people realize https://t.co/4ErxraZeNC",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150162984175620096",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1150151064802533376",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T21:12:37+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/6TG93FfF9N",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150151064802533376",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1150151063791722496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1150151063791722496",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T21:12:37+00:00",
   "text": "A few novel(?) interesting impact areas are highlighted here including:\n- Using smartphones to improve well-being measures in order to aid cause prioritization research\n- Psychedelic Drug Decriminalization\n- Subsidizing/sponsoring the use of HEPA filters in every house",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150151063791722496",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1150125754153390080",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T19:32:02+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner The potential impact here is so overwhelmingly massive that it's probably worth it to spend billions just to gather a lot more information.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150125754153390080",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1150124688347140096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1150124688347140096",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T19:27:48+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner I agree it's a hard/Hard problem, but I preliminarily expect a serious push to overcome enough of the uncertainty to make building it overwhelmingly desirable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150124688347140096",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1150106616500375552"
  },
  {
   "id": "1150052830822195200",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T14:42:16+00:00",
   "text": "RT @tylercowen: How I practice at what I do: https://t.co/aDt5A98UFX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150052830822195200",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1150046573298094081",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T14:17:24+00:00",
   "text": "Idea: A third party applet/extension for Twitter to see upvotes & downvotes of tweets of those you follow. Further, you could block the display of tweets below a certain personally-set threshold & give the vote of people whose judgment you respect the most a certain multiplier.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150046573298094081",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1150045169158410240",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T14:11:49+00:00",
   "text": "Most questions in the space of possible questions are fundamentally unanswerable due to entropy and physics-based computational limitations, and that's annoying.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150045169158410240",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1150043033678880773",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T14:03:20+00:00",
   "text": "@StefanFSchubert I agree. Those walking examples are all pretty weak anyway, especially considering the utility people get out of using their phone while walking. Know thyself's capabilities and maximize utility.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1150043033678880773",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1150032563588816899"
  },
  {
   "id": "1149864195007102976",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T02:12:42+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/V7opju3pMg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1149864195007102976",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1149702618991734784"
  },
  {
   "id": "1149837845839958017",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T00:28:00+00:00",
   "text": "Contra doctrinaire libertarians, freedom is a high-dimensional design space.\" -Vitalik Buterin on Radical Markets https://t.co/hzkdbisDPq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1149837845839958017",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1149837844778762241"
  },
  {
   "id": "1149837844778762241",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T00:27:59+00:00",
   "text": "However, markets are socially constructed because they depend on property rights that are socially constructed, and there are many different ways that markets and property rights can be constructed, some of which are unexplored and potentially far better than what we have today.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1149837844778762241",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1149837843608588288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1149837843608588288",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T00:27:59+00:00",
   "text": "\"Markets are great, and price mechanisms are an awesome way of guiding the use of resources in society and bringing together many participants’ objectives and information into a coherent whole.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1149837843608588288",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1149831843413397505",
   "created_at": "2019-07-13T00:04:08+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust And I'm not as against a welfare state for working people if it increases net-productivity. I just heavily doubt that the funding of say, long-term dialysis treatment for elderly retired patients increases our society's ability to tackle x-risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1149831843413397505",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1149826940230152195"
  },
  {
   "id": "1149826940230152195",
   "created_at": "2019-07-12T23:44:39+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust It's possibly a feature of people's psychology that they need to see a broad commitment to welfare to all people in order to idk, not become radical antinatalists. But this is a costly price to pay to serve a few people's ridiculous psychological quirks.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1149826940230152195",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1149825362186031104"
  },
  {
   "id": "1149821175507423232",
   "created_at": "2019-07-12T23:21:45+00:00",
   "text": "The person-affecting view needs to stop influencing policy & stealing the morally relevant lives from future expected people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1149821175507423232",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1149820838176329729"
  },
  {
   "id": "1149702618991734784",
   "created_at": "2019-07-12T15:30:39+00:00",
   "text": "I preliminarily think that building resilient orgasmium should be a cause area as big as X-risk reduction & AI alignment. It's a hard problem, but it shouldn't be terribly harder than the other 2. The EV is there if we can pull it off.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1149702618991734784",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1149702618060656640"
  },
  {
   "id": "1149702618060656640",
   "created_at": "2019-07-12T15:30:39+00:00",
   "text": "far more resilient non-human (machine and manufactured biological), morally relevant minds might survive. Not that we shouldn't pursue x-risk reduction, but let's not put all our eggs in 1 basket w/ most of the moral weight in fragile natural biological life.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1149702618060656640",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1149702617288908800"
  },
  {
   "id": "1149702617288908800",
   "created_at": "2019-07-12T15:30:39+00:00",
   "text": "Human brains need so much to go right to be seats of desirable qualia & are probably very inefficient compared to what's theoretically possible. We may or may not be able to save humanity from itself in the long run due to increasing offensive/defensive tech capabilities, but",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1149702617288908800",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1149688251743121408",
   "created_at": "2019-07-12T14:33:34+00:00",
   "text": "RT @bryan_caplan: \"For practical purposes, we have more privacy than ever before in human history.  You can now buy embarrassing products i…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1149688251743121408",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1148949753163657217",
   "created_at": "2019-07-10T13:39:02+00:00",
   "text": "Have a great day everybody!\nFurthermore, I consider that Carthage must be destroyed.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148949753163657217",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1148864026560126977",
   "created_at": "2019-07-10T07:58:23+00:00",
   "text": "If only a well-vetted, autonomy-respecting process existed to prevent such issues. Maybe it could be called something like 'at-will employment'? 🤔 https://t.co/iTQkG9HgiG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148864026560126977",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1148852290251567105",
   "created_at": "2019-07-10T07:11:45+00:00",
   "text": "@LPNational @IsleyResistance Existential risk reduction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148852290251567105",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1148667922350596096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1148686990046629889",
   "created_at": "2019-07-09T20:14:54+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Perhaps a more apt phrase is \"they couldn't do otherwise\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148686990046629889",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1148616897073577988"
  },
  {
   "id": "1148602842778918914",
   "created_at": "2019-07-09T14:40:32+00:00",
   "text": "@primalpoly \"Ward 2020: Fuck you and your well-being discount rate\" /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148602842778918914",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1148597313163735040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1148597965067624449",
   "created_at": "2019-07-09T14:21:09+00:00",
   "text": "@brianklaas I am not familiar with Steyer. Why do you think he shouldn't run?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148597965067624449",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1148596043581480963"
  },
  {
   "id": "1148596100858859524",
   "created_at": "2019-07-09T14:13:44+00:00",
   "text": "Sometimes it's almost as if people are doing the best they can 🤔 /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148596100858859524",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1148594263275520004",
   "created_at": "2019-07-09T14:06:26+00:00",
   "text": "@bendini0 @FPallopides Not saying some people shouldn't store themselves, because they might be able to bring wisdom from the past to improve the future, but for your average person who isn't a genius, I think the resources for cryonic preservation are better spent on x-risk reduction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148594263275520004",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1148593887386226688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1148593887386226688",
   "created_at": "2019-07-09T14:04:57+00:00",
   "text": "@bendini0 @FPallopides Yeah I haven't thought about cryonics for that long, but I figure that by the time we can revive someone who was cryonically stored, I bet they people that could naturally be created will probably be of more moral value anyway due to greater hedonic experience from gene editing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148593887386226688",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1148561188151861248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1148546859025207296",
   "created_at": "2019-07-09T10:58:04+00:00",
   "text": "@bendini0 @FPallopides I'm not sure this is sufficient evidence against doing life extension research though because I feel enough especially intrinsically motivated people exist who could definitely use more time to work on problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148546859025207296",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1148545623630721024"
  },
  {
   "id": "1148543093991452672",
   "created_at": "2019-07-09T10:43:07+00:00",
   "text": "@bendini0 @FPallopides It's certainly a nudge for many, but I feel a sufficiently rational, utilitarian agent shouldn't need this particular nudge.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148543093991452672",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1148511255281491969"
  },
  {
   "id": "1148422982903185409",
   "created_at": "2019-07-09T02:45:50+00:00",
   "text": "maybe it's good that you aren't a utilitarian anyways.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148422982903185409",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1148422982148247554"
  },
  {
   "id": "1148422982148247554",
   "created_at": "2019-07-09T02:45:50+00:00",
   "text": "If you can't imagine a particular scenario of nonconsensual organ harvesting that is intuitively net-positive or cannot come up w/ a cost-benefit argument for why said non-consensual harvesting is probably not a good common societal practice,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148422982148247554",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1148372018695417856",
   "created_at": "2019-07-08T23:23:19+00:00",
   "text": "Welfare economics but for physics operations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148372018695417856",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1148371739203842051",
   "created_at": "2019-07-08T23:22:12+00:00",
   "text": "Longterm-centric, physics-based (qualia-reductionistic), hedonic, total, act, non-negative, Bayesian UTILITARIANISM.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148371739203842051",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1148224025509990401",
   "created_at": "2019-07-08T13:35:15+00:00",
   "text": "@Deqaxed @nbody6 @fermatslibrary I think I see your parenthesis you put into your Python REPL. The order of operations is supposed to be 6^(6^(6^(6^(6^6)))).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148224025509990401",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1148222675996819458"
  },
  {
   "id": "1148215729470263297",
   "created_at": "2019-07-08T13:02:17+00:00",
   "text": "@nbody6 @fermatslibrary Definitely not it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148215729470263297",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1148213625791950848"
  },
  {
   "id": "1148156733128355845",
   "created_at": "2019-07-08T09:07:51+00:00",
   "text": "bUt DeAtH gIvEs LiFe MeAnInG!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1148156733128355845",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1147637169034539010",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T22:43:17+00:00",
   "text": "That's my old unit! https://t.co/GugwimCfiq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147637169034539010",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1147612875076317184",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T21:06:45+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn but the in-group",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147612875076317184",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1147592441769463809"
  },
  {
   "id": "1147573843399258113",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T18:31:39+00:00",
   "text": "@MikeGravel Give it to @ElectionScience to further the adoption of approval voting!!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147573843399258113",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1147281350292058112"
  },
  {
   "id": "1147512400205242368",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T14:27:30+00:00",
   "text": "@fermatslibrary There's plenty of arbitrary mathematical 'coincidences' out there.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147512400205242368",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1147133534555054080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1147509217726742529",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T14:14:51+00:00",
   "text": "@ndwignall Anxiety can be spun as excitement and it feels more mental. Fear cannot & it feels like it's from a deeper place within oneself, in my experience.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147509217726742529",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1147506901103439872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1147498526978560000",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T13:32:22+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ShellenbergerMD: Germany & California are held up as models for action on climate change, but had they invested $680 billion into new n…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147498526978560000",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1147456796065488897",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T10:46:33+00:00",
   "text": "Loved this podcast. https://t.co/J6r9NwiZKG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147456796065488897",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1147322710512590848",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T01:53:45+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust Sorry m8, but the EV was there and I had to say it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147322710512590848",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1147321322910785536"
  },
  {
   "id": "1147320359802327040",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T01:44:24+00:00",
   "text": "You have only so many more computations available to capture the remaining value in the light cone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147320359802327040",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1147317990112841728",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T01:34:59+00:00",
   "text": "Still struggle to understand how so many politicians are willing to reject so much of economists' advice just to please ignorant voters so they can get reelected. It's disgraceful.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147317990112841728",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1147317025418678272",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T01:31:09+00:00",
   "text": "Nuca zera: the possibility of vast sums of nitrogen gas finding their way into the atmosphere from volcanic vents, & once 4 atmospheres of N2 is reached, everyone starts getting progressively drunk from nitrogen narcosis until our society falls apart & everyone dies happily.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147317025418678272",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1147315136933302273",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T01:23:39+00:00",
   "text": "RT @SteinmetzNeuro: As scientific teams grow, our model of credit assignment (1st author, last, or everyone else) becomes increasingly outd…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147315136933302273",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1147312738164781056",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T01:14:07+00:00",
   "text": "@abstractify It definitely is!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147312738164781056",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1147309896355983360"
  },
  {
   "id": "1147308226213502977",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T00:56:11+00:00",
   "text": "It's so awesome living in such a wealthy time in history. I barely have to work 30 hours a week to have one of the best standards of living of all time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147308226213502977",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1147307272412041216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1147307272412041216",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T00:52:24+00:00",
   "text": "Looking forward to coursing up in August to get back on the academic route & getting that GI Bill Housing Allowance though 👌.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147307272412041216",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1147307271359205381"
  },
  {
   "id": "1147307271359205381",
   "created_at": "2019-07-06T00:52:24+00:00",
   "text": "I love that I am finally participating in the  economy again. You don't enlist for the money, but I'm earning more just by working part-time in a warehouse (basically just getting exercise & listening to audiobooks the whole time) & watching people's dogs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147307271359205381",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1147276665283842048",
   "created_at": "2019-07-05T22:50:47+00:00",
   "text": "@existentialcoms Anyone who thinks communism works should read Basic Economics by Thomas Sowell.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147276665283842048",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1146462266323111937"
  },
  {
   "id": "1147243277709643776",
   "created_at": "2019-07-05T20:38:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @webdevMason: Lots of foreign language mentions in the replies — this is rapidly becoming an extremely pointless multi-semester activity…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147243277709643776",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1147235943801397248",
   "created_at": "2019-07-05T20:08:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ElectionScience: Congress's approval ratings are absolutely DISMAL. One major way we can fix this is by improving the way we vote. If w…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147235943801397248",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1147064689752514560",
   "created_at": "2019-07-05T08:48:28+00:00",
   "text": "The person-affecting view is not good.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1147064689752514560",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1146985397752348674",
   "created_at": "2019-07-05T03:33:23+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba That's awesome!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146985397752348674",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1146983442002960384"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146969643225112576",
   "created_at": "2019-07-05T02:30:47+00:00",
   "text": "Maybe our economic growth is relatively slow to what it seems it could theoretically be because anthropically, the fast economic growth worlds already turned into gray goo and/or paperclips and the ones that are left are statistically likely to be deeply flawed.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146969643225112576",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1146967479819931648",
   "created_at": "2019-07-05T02:22:11+00:00",
   "text": "Love this graphic from Nick Bostrom in his paper \"Existential Risk Prevention as Global Priority\" https://t.co/jybltVEX8i https://t.co/kmwNYuZUie",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146967479819931648",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1146964702628630528",
   "created_at": "2019-07-05T02:11:09+00:00",
   "text": "Precrime is overrated. If your brilliant AI that has an amazing track record really says I have a 99% of committing a crime tomorrow, you can detain me today.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146964702628630528",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1146958488846962688",
   "created_at": "2019-07-05T01:46:27+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 I have but I didn't know that he wrote on this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146958488846962688",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1146956511702323202"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146894831270187008",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T21:33:30+00:00",
   "text": "3 heuristics for finding Cause X:\nhttps://t.co/ccS3ZqmZJe\n1) Expanding the moral circle (e.g. wild animal suffering)\n2) Consequences of technological progress (e.g. atomically precise manufacturing)\n3) Crucial Considerations (e.g. longtermism)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146894831270187008",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1146862054311157762",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T19:23:16+00:00",
   "text": "I wonder if I should start including a quote like this in my writings.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146862054311157762",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1146862053124190209"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146862053124190209",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T19:23:15+00:00",
   "text": "– 'Furthermore, I consider that Carthage must be destroyed'...If you were to add such a coda to your own speeches, what would it be? This was my answer: 7,000 children under five died of malnutrition today.\" -an excellent post by Paul Crowley.\nhttps://t.co/jTbCL5W9ok",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146862053124190209",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1146862052012638211"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146862052012638211",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T19:23:15+00:00",
   "text": "\"No matter what the subject of the speech, whether it be tax policy or proposals for new buildings or whatever was discussed in the Roman Senate, he would finish on this note: Ceterum autem censeo Carthaginem esse delendam",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146862052012638211",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1146853355463020544",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T18:48:42+00:00",
   "text": "Wrote up my conception of utilitarianism and an ideal welfare scale. Happy to face any criticisms :) https://t.co/vTOdUL9su1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146853355463020544",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1146755577185521669",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T12:20:09+00:00",
   "text": "@MarketPowerYT @amcafee @charlesmurray It's a good attempt but no part of the arm is that thin.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146755577185521669",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1146755223416819712"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146754590173536257",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T12:16:14+00:00",
   "text": "@amcafee @charlesmurray Also, the horizontal spinning arm mysteriously shrinks in diameter when it gets up to speed.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146754590173536257",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1146753957500465152"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146753957500465152",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T12:13:43+00:00",
   "text": "@amcafee @charlesmurray Look how slow the bowling pins are after they get hit. Also, I highly doubt the grips can hold onto a smooth ball like that w/ that much centrifugal force w/out crushing the ball. It's CGI.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146753957500465152",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1146738740880125952"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146579738728833024",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T00:41:26+00:00",
   "text": "@PuggyKnudson Is their value adequately explained in that they produce desirable qualia in brains & shape our beliefs in internally desirable ways?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146579738728833024",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1146576040585760774"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146579163622645762",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T00:39:09+00:00",
   "text": "Can a libertarian please run in the Democratic primary & can approval voting be adopted universally. Thanks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146579163622645762",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1146578027557654529",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T00:34:38+00:00",
   "text": "@jamesg_oca @tylercowen Also:\n-programming\n-the successes of conscious capitalism\n-the notion of rigorously evaluating the utility of our actions when we are trying to do good\n-awareness of one's own neuroplasticity  & confidence in one's ability to rewire oneself to hold new preferences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146578027557654529",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1146576782948278272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146576782948278272",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T00:29:42+00:00",
   "text": "@jamesg_oca @tylercowen -Bayesian rationality including probabilistic reasoning, Occam's razor priors, updating beliefs, and the notion of expected utility maximization.\n-Evolutionary psychology including our pre-programmed biases & heuristics.\n-Prediction markets & all the associated lessons.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146576782948278272",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1146463617623216129"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146569621803286529",
   "created_at": "2019-07-04T00:01:14+00:00",
   "text": "Should effective altruists be building up a cause X fund? Perhaps we should be saving ~1 to 20% of our donation money for unknowable, future, massively-important causes that might be difficult to convince non-rationalists to fund.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146569621803286529",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1146565615588716546",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:45:19+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo If the 99 years of bliss *truly* & *provably* made up for the hour of suffering, the hour of suffering was the gateway to the latter, & the whole ordeal was better than counterfactual ones, you would be correct in refusing my requests to end the pain while I was enduring my hour.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146565615588716546",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1146564785506406400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146564785506406400",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:42:01+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo I agree that there is a probably a threshold of pain which varies in individuals which is enough to override rationality.  However, I am strongly lean towards the idea that desirable qualia is *objectively* a good thing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146564785506406400",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1146563871420772353"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146563491144314880",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:36:53+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo I believe the actual answer is probably a physical, objective, potentially-knowable feature of our universe, & I think experiments & further qualia research could get us a lot closer to knowing how different qualia-inducing physics operations relate to each other in desirability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146563491144314880",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1146562489020272640"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146562489020272640",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:32:54+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo Of course, I don't subjectively know how the most extreme states feel.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146562489020272640",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1146561785538981888"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146561785538981888",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:30:06+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo Yes, probably. This is assuming that the states of bliss are truly states of bliss, and not significantly tarnished with post-traumatic stress from remembering the hour of pain.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146561785538981888",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1146561162735022080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146561359863267329",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:28:24+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo Assuming I don't acquire PTSD and rather, just shake off the pain after I deal with it, I bet something in the vicinity of a month of a state of consciousness equivalent to being on MDMA (not that I've ever had it) might make things balance out.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146561359863267329",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1146561292796407808"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146561292796407808",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:28:08+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo I mean if it's truly 'unbearable', then it sounds like the pain will be beyond my ability to rationally deal with. But if the pain is just really bad, I believe there has to be something that could balance it out.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146561292796407808",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1146086482752372736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146559303240822785",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:20:14+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo 1 day enjoyment obviously doesn't balance out 99 years of pure agony.  The million lives are necessarily a good thing if they are expected to collectively live lives that are net-positive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146559303240822785",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1146077646943477760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146322887432953857",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T07:40:48+00:00",
   "text": "@FPallopides That's exactly the point lol. I took this from Rationality: From AI to Zombies where Yudkowsky was making a joke.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146322887432953857",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1146287674753507330"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146233880757833729",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T01:47:07+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 That's an interesting perspective. I wish we could privately come together & help the unlucky instead of at the threat of jail. I also think govt money is spent very efficiently. I would be more okay w/ taxes if they were spent better.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146233880757833729",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1146229726639316993"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146231277177266183",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T01:36:47+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 @EricBeinhocker Thanks I'll check it out",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146231277177266183",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1146230599478206464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146229131803279360",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T01:28:15+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 I definitely agree that govt is good & promotes freedom to more people more then anarchy. I just have a problem with income & sales taxes, especially large ones.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146229131803279360",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1146228516066738176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146228822427262976",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T01:27:01+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 I don't think this is the case. We deserve the fruit of our own labor when we trade privately with others. We only owe 3rd parties (the Public) the natural resources which we took from them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146228822427262976",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1146227264574504960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146228069713227782",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T01:24:02+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 point like the govt does. Funds should come from land-value taxes, IMO.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146228069713227782",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1146227616153817090"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146227616153817090",
   "created_at": "2019-07-03T01:22:14+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 I don't think it's impossible for private people to come together to fulfill each others' preferences w/out the government. I agree that the security & the rule of law strengthens economies, but it seems very inefficient to take money out of the economy at each transaction",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146227616153817090",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1146226559021273089"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146074190228930560",
   "created_at": "2019-07-02T15:12:34+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo I don't think an infinity exists here because they seldom exist in reality & further, many people willingly experience truly undesirable states in order to experience the endorphins afterwards.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146074190228930560",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1146073579559239681"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146073579559239681",
   "created_at": "2019-07-02T15:10:09+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo The most-desirable of the net-undesirable qualia-inducing fundamental physics operations gets a negative score equivalent to the least amount of positive utility which would be required to make up for it. This could be a -1 or a -337.2 or anything that isn't infinity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146073579559239681",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1146072930507513857"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146072930507513857",
   "created_at": "2019-07-02T15:07:34+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo The next number could be a 2 or a 7 or a  554. It would he based off how long one would want to feel the first state to make up for feeling a moment of the latter state. The same goes for additional unique qualia-inducing fundamental physics operations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146072930507513857",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1146072555326980096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146072555326980096",
   "created_at": "2019-07-02T15:06:04+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo We can define theoretically define the least desirable, but still net-desirable, qualia-producing fundamental physics operation as a +1. 2 moments of this state is rated as a +2. Suppose different physics operations produce a different, more desirable instantaneous bit of qualia.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146072555326980096",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1146072037514973184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146072037514973184",
   "created_at": "2019-07-02T15:04:01+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo States very far from each other may be mentally hard to reconcile, but it's easy to reconcile too states which are close to each other. Thus, mathematically, any two states can balance out when there is a sufficient quantity/duration of one.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146072037514973184",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1146071652029145089"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146071652029145089",
   "created_at": "2019-07-02T15:02:29+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo No. Not sure how you got that. The scale is normalized for all qualia experiences. Based on Occam's razor and personal experience, any two states of qualia are reconcilable in principle.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146071652029145089",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1146035756978196481"
  },
  {
   "id": "1146069715325816833",
   "created_at": "2019-07-02T14:54:47+00:00",
   "text": "Asking the real questions 🤔 https://t.co/6BcHna8LHI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146069715325816833",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1146032825986113536",
   "created_at": "2019-07-02T12:28:12+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo The scale isn't tied (limited) to the range of available experiences of particular creatures.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146032825986113536",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1146031315298312193"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145993140198879232",
   "created_at": "2019-07-02T09:50:30+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo Positive and negative utilities IMO are best established by being subjective states that actually cancel out with each other. A -5, by definition, cancels out with a +5. You can say -100,000 states exist, but so long as a +1 exists, I think the states are commensurable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145993140198879232",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1145778719748841472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145843334189113347",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T23:55:14+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Just say it to my face bro instead of subtweeting me /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145843334189113347",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1145838859172925441"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145832306797613063",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T23:11:25+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 Whatever the right answer is, it doesn't look like it's what the US is doing right now. I intend to keep an open mind & study this topic a lot more as an econ student though.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145832306797613063",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1145784051892015106"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145775572418781184",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T19:25:58+00:00",
   "text": "That's it I'm making an unaligned AGI.  #angry",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145775572418781184",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1145751481213169664",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T17:50:14+00:00",
   "text": "Artists slipping in economics education lyrics to help overcome folk economic beliefs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145751481213169664",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1145734450174660608",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T16:42:34+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 Perhaps the ones that survive do: https://t.co/aCYqb8FDsN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145734450174660608",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1145727889431773185"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145720241533652993",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:46:06+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 I am not sure how more government involvement solves this problem.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145720241533652993",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1145711805626494976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145719343713542145",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:42:32+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 I think long-term financial solvency & work-incentivizing free markets are a better recipe for total well-being in the long-term.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145719343713542145",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1145710368980967426"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145718442189893632",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:38:57+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 I'm not sure people in the UK love that wait times.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145718442189893632",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1145709097964244992"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145714951287431168",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:25:05+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 Milton Friedman liked socialized healthcare? Doesn't sound like it:\nhttps://t.co/5DKJ4Ps6UA",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145714951287431168",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1145710368980967426"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145709487212421128",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:03:22+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 I can't see how that it not theft.  Sure, the government provides services, but those services could be consented into for the most part by private market transactions. The only taxes that I see that are just and efficient are Pigovian and Land-value taxes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145709487212421128",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1145709155971416064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145709155971416064",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:02:03+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 But as soon as we throw in a few more people into the system & they start using a placeholder for value because it's difficult to keep track of what everyone is putting into the system, the government has to come in and take a significant portion of the value of each transaction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145709155971416064",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1145708746309623810"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145708746309623810",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:00:26+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 I feel like people in private should be able to fulfill each others' preferences without government intervention. I mean I think we can agree that it's okay for a husband to agree with his wife that he'll take out the trash if she does the dishes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145708746309623810",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1145503861148274688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145702670142976001",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T14:36:17+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 I don't think it would be that difficult. If we truly did away with government involvement in healthcare, private organizations would step in & make sure the least advantaged people knew who they could call for aid.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145702670142976001",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1145503063462952961"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145702016045527041",
   "created_at": "2019-07-01T14:33:41+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 Any examples?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145702016045527041",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1145502819836764160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145432333908172802",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T20:42:04+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Mark_J_Perry: Happy 89th birthday (June 30) to Thomas Sowell, one of the greatest living economists https://t.co/SPfODuG9Uq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145432333908172802",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1145427519161667589",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T20:22:56+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 A lot of reasons. Free markets are more efficient. Unnecessary demand for healthcare would be reduced. We could afford to steal less of people's wages.  Personal responsibility. Allowing private charities to work to pay for medical expenses that people couldn't afford.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145427519161667589",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1145410218416906242"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145425034015662081",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T20:13:03+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher @reasonisfun @Hugoisms That seems more complicated than doing away with the concept of personhood & just valuing physics-based qualia and instrumentally utilitous agents.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145425034015662081",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1145418144149671936"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145342097945505797",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T14:43:30+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher @reasonisfun @Hugoisms Will the definition change when non-sentient AI gains the ability of creating explanatory knowledge?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145342097945505797",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1145338722398851072"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145330125187244032",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T13:55:55+00:00",
   "text": "@tammycodes To solve math problems w/ no easy closed-form solutions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145330125187244032",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1145037555840114688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145327370334867456",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T13:44:58+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher @reasonisfun @Hugoisms https://t.co/wamh6sUwEf",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145327370334867456",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1145327126515785730"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145327126515785730",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T13:44:00+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher @reasonisfun @Hugoisms I just don't think the solution to abortion is found by determining when someone crosses some arbitrary threshold. Moral weight assigned to collections of matter is a very continuous factor. I believe that derailing the creation of a morally valuable thing is problematic.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145327126515785730",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1145208342362460160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145169367455473664",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T03:17:08+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher @reasonisfun @Hugoisms What exactly is a human? Aren't there valuable combinations of matter that we wouldn't call human? Isn't it morally relevant if we derail the development of a valuable creation for non-utilitous reasons? Don't counterfactual potential people have moral weight?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145169367455473664",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1145142991159300096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145146691584180224",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T01:47:01+00:00",
   "text": "@Hugoisms https://t.co/wamh6sUwEf",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145146691584180224",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1145146660114354176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145146660114354176",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T01:46:54+00:00",
   "text": "@Hugoisms A woman's desire to have an abortion usually carries useful information that is often enough to tip the close utilitarian scales. Thus, pro-choice is the ideal heuristic for law & society at large.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145146660114354176",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1145145906435624960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145145906435624960",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T01:43:54+00:00",
   "text": "@Hugoisms Pro-choice wins over this because the avg. fetus being considered for abortion is not, today, on track to live a life overwhelmingly worth living, nor one of great instrumental utility, especially considering counterfactual children who could exist should an abortion take place.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145145906435624960",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1145144532645883904"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145144532645883904",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T01:38:26+00:00",
   "text": "@Hugoisms Best pro-life argument, IMO, is that future children are expected to have a net-positive expected subjective experience & instrumental utility.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145144532645883904",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1145051366399913990"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145138641431355392",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T01:15:02+00:00",
   "text": "@RVAwonk >>>YourCredibility.GivenYourTweet()\n\"Reduced\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145138641431355392",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1145123132111503365"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145122887969517568",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T00:12:26+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ESYudkowsky: Current state of AI capability:  Self-teach to surpass best human Go players, in 24h, without domain-specific code\nCurrent…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145122887969517568",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1145122112887300098",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T00:09:21+00:00",
   "text": "RT @morningmoneyben: Consequence for having a Washington Post journalist chopped up into pieces? Nothing. https://t.co/Mk9Ww4L4Hm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145122112887300098",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1145121752864964609",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T00:07:55+00:00",
   "text": "@AmandaAskell Some of the biggest problems, IMO, are overly high medical ethics which take away people's option to choose slightly lower quality care for far lower prices. Additionally, a lot of government mandates destroy price-lowering competition, reduce supply, & create needless demand.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145121752864964609",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1145120255884374017"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145120255884374017",
   "created_at": "2019-06-30T00:01:58+00:00",
   "text": "@AmandaAskell Yes I don't understand how health insurance companies could be the lone bogeyman here. There are almost certainly too many of them to have formed an effective cartel.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145120255884374017",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1145116392162643969"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145109347896299521",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T23:18:38+00:00",
   "text": "Capitalism works so much more optimally IMO when people have saved up a runway so they can refuse doing low-utility work long enough to find relatively high utility work given their skills.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145109347896299521",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1145075174993276928",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T21:02:50+00:00",
   "text": "RT @wrong_less: \"Ways Frugality Increases Productivity\", by Ben_West (1m read) https://t.co/DVAGG9ZVEy",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145075174993276928",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1145074664982683653",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T21:00:49+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Level 4?:\nhttps://t.co/R1nCTfGX01",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145074664982683653",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1145050373243191296"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145060774865526784",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T20:05:37+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn That said, I expect an AGI donator, if you will, to usually allocate all of a relatively small sum of money into a single cause area or even charity. What are the odds that 2 different charities actually have a very similar current impact/$ curve?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145060774865526784",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1145059131163848705"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145059131163848705",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T19:59:05+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I think the only solution is to be intimate w/ the charities you are funding.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145059131163848705",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1145056292836380672"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145056292836380672",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T19:47:48+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I think donation splitting or single donations can both be permissible depending on the current funding constraints & marginal-utility/$ of each charity you are interested in. Some orgs benefit nonlinearly from scale, others benefit extra from the next few dollars coming in.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145056292836380672",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1145053175063429120"
  },
  {
   "id": "1145053175063429120",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T19:35:25+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn It's my current understanding that when you've appropriately mapped out your utility function, the need to hold the concept for loss aversion goes away & you can just maximize EV.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1145053175063429120",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1145019209035988993"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144988615971414016",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T15:18:53+00:00",
   "text": "@LogoCentrifuge Aligned AGI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144988615971414016",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1144555327393869824"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144932922765586434",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T11:37:35+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 $500k set aside for donating to effective charities & impact investing.\nSave+invest the rest, live frugally, & continue on procuring my degree.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144932922765586434",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1144718439799349248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144906604162236417",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T09:53:00+00:00",
   "text": "Purchase Fuzzies and Utilons Separately\nhttps://t.co/6yY8a5Txzj",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144906604162236417",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1144904815400669184",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T09:45:53+00:00",
   "text": "Money is the common currency of caring.\nhttps://t.co/WzigypJZQO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144904815400669184",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1144904044542070784",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T09:42:50+00:00",
   "text": "Gonna shoot myself in the foot so I get extra points if I succeed. /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144904044542070784",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1144899579583840256",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T09:25:05+00:00",
   "text": "RT @XiXiDu: It Sounds Crazy, But Fukushima, Chernobyl, And Three Mile Island Show Why Nuclear Is Inherently Safe https://t.co/ZdnU5pSGQt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144899579583840256",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1144897405311180801",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T09:16:27+00:00",
   "text": "Everyone has an opinion on economics but so few seem to intentionally seek out 2nd and 3rd opinions from full-time Ph.D. economists.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144897405311180801",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1144891121409155072",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T08:51:29+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Slightly colder → slightly more productive imo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144891121409155072",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1144798112067833857"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144758567305695232",
   "created_at": "2019-06-29T00:04:45+00:00",
   "text": "@UtilaTheEcon I appreciate the offer but I am not hot enough on econ for that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144758567305695232",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1144288050735771648"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144742893330022400",
   "created_at": "2019-06-28T23:02:28+00:00",
   "text": "Shut up and do the impossible.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144742893330022400",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1144714606952235008",
   "created_at": "2019-06-28T21:10:04+00:00",
   "text": "@ProductHunt Lightcone-wide utility harvesting",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144714606952235008",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1144570007566897152"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144712339314413568",
   "created_at": "2019-06-28T21:01:04+00:00",
   "text": "RT @primalpoly: What it's like for a home-schooled kid to go to public school at age 14. Interesting thread.\n\nRemind me: is there more to p…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144712339314413568",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1144706846546178054",
   "created_at": "2019-06-28T20:39:14+00:00",
   "text": "@keithfrankish Considering the diminished instrumental utility I statistically expect to have over the last several years of my life, I might be willing to sell off the last couple years as low as $600 a day in order to donate the money to effective causes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144706846546178054",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1144694939231629312"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144624025274134529",
   "created_at": "2019-06-28T15:10:08+00:00",
   "text": "What does the term \"Extreme Ownership\" mean to you?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144624025274134529",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1144621356102934528",
   "created_at": "2019-06-28T14:59:31+00:00",
   "text": "I feel like many people who are opposed to libertarianism overestimate how wealthy we collectively are. We're still we poor AF and very inefficient at transferring knowledge & fulfilling each others' preferences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144621356102934528",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1144609480920821766",
   "created_at": "2019-06-28T14:12:20+00:00",
   "text": "@BradicalCenter https://t.co/itfF7JezBF",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144609480920821766",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1144286794344591360"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144608648427012096",
   "created_at": "2019-06-28T14:09:02+00:00",
   "text": "@mortcrimpjr Gödel",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144608648427012096",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1144298400118169603"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144602240046514176",
   "created_at": "2019-06-28T13:43:34+00:00",
   "text": "@robertwiblin They must be bad actors",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144602240046514176",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1144572984146964482"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144516758411366400",
   "created_at": "2019-06-28T08:03:53+00:00",
   "text": "@N4V1GAT0R A rough cost-benefit analysis over whether I should retweet Yang. I normalized my utils in $.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144516758411366400",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1144508417295429633"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144337243856941056",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T20:10:34+00:00",
   "text": "sorry y'all I had to do it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144337243856941056",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1144336971675906048"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144287427730837506",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:52:37+00:00",
   "text": "@UtilaTheEcon I'm thinking about it & will get back w/ you",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144287427730837506",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1144286807443427328"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144287166941581313",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:51:35+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn It's like people think they have private knowledge I haven't considered 😂 /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144287166941581313",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1144285666064457728"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144280875020038145",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:26:34+00:00",
   "text": "@ZubyMusic focused on solutions with the highest EV period, not necessarily all-or-nothing, non-incremental solutions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144280875020038145",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1143792234678169600"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144279579332415488",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:21:26+00:00",
   "text": "RT @aaronfhamlin: If only the @TheDemocrats used approval voting in their primary. Just imagine all the issues that would solve https://t.c…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144279579332415488",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1144278861120716800",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:18:34+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi of the future is negative. But right now, I think the EV is positive, and that it's respectable for some people to prioritize increasing wellbeing over averting suffering, especially when the numeric utility scale is normalized over the range of possible hedonic experiences",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144278861120716800",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1144278363101683712"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144278363101683712",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:16:36+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi I agree that it's important for some people to focus on averting bad outcomes like astronomical future suffering. I might even agree that it's worth pursuing technological advancements which could destroy the world & used if it's discovered in the future that the expected value",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144278363101683712",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1144276913520820226"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144276913520820226",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:10:50+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi focusing on averting suffering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144276913520820226",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1144276802787037184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144276802787037184",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:10:24+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi I mean you can be a total, non-negative, hedonic, act utilitarian and still functionally use the heuristic of averting suffering if you think the practical features of our world make that practical. E.g. more people focus on increasing wellbeing, so your comparative advantage is",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144276802787037184",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1144276163864350721"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144275850080264197",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:06:36+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi How would you program that preference into an AGI?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144275850080264197",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1144274127945003008"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144275493706960896",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:05:11+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi So you agree that well-being and suffering are commensurable, but are saying we should focus on minimizing instances of negative utility at all cost?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144275493706960896",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1144273620073512960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144269558267686922",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T15:41:36+00:00",
   "text": "@Benioff a sound recipe for economic growth.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144269558267686922",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1144269482979921921"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144269482979921921",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T15:41:18+00:00",
   "text": "@Benioff 1-4) let free, competitive, private markets work.\n5) let's not steal more of people's private substitutions for value that is exchanged via a private fulfillment each others' preferences. Taking wealth out of relatively efficient markets & putting it back in inefficiently is not",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144269482979921921",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1144080252882358272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144263045650243584",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T15:15:44+00:00",
   "text": "Everybody is acting like it's possible to disagree with me in good faith /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144263045650243584",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1144245655822569475",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T14:06:38+00:00",
   "text": "@Wparks91 Visualize a cube with sides 3 and a rectangular prism with sides 4x4x3. Then melt them down and pour them into a flask and look at the volume markings. Remember to measure from the bottom of the meniscus.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144245655822569475",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1143666051793788928"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144243973759950850",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T13:59:57+00:00",
   "text": "Rationality: From AI to Zombies should earn Eliezer Yudkowsky a Berggruen prize https://t.co/FBx9569Kpp",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144243973759950850",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1144242914379403264",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T13:55:44+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi @Kwong050 2 instances of the same type of suffering is twice as bad as 1 instance. As long as their is some number of well-being physics operations that morally balances out a single suffering physics operation, they are not incommensurable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144242914379403264",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1144242490318446595"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144242490318446595",
   "created_at": "2019-06-27T13:54:03+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi @Kwong050 I don't see how they could be incommensurable because both are morally relevant. Also, I can't fathom how numbers couldn't be useful here. Whatever causes suffering is based in physics. There are a countable number of atoms involved in any instance of suffering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144242490318446595",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1144204212945018881"
  },
  {
   "id": "1144024529641099266",
   "created_at": "2019-06-26T23:27:57+00:00",
   "text": "RT @CatoEvents: Watching the #DemocraticDebate  tonight? @CatoInstitute scholars will be live-tweeting hard-hitting libertarian analysis of…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1144024529641099266",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1143999996817268737",
   "created_at": "2019-06-26T21:50:28+00:00",
   "text": "@MIT_CSAIL That blip of fun preceding AGI.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143999996817268737",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1143896699947114496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1143999614233849856",
   "created_at": "2019-06-26T21:48:57+00:00",
   "text": "@MIT_CSAIL Finding solutions via precise problem specification.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143999614233849856",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1143896699947114496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1143999065165848578",
   "created_at": "2019-06-26T21:46:46+00:00",
   "text": "@MIT_CSAIL Respecting levels of abstraction",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143999065165848578",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1143896699947114496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1143688428799893505",
   "created_at": "2019-06-26T01:12:24+00:00",
   "text": "@UtilaTheEcon why are you anti-Georgist?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143688428799893505",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1143525449865342977",
   "created_at": "2019-06-25T14:24:47+00:00",
   "text": "RT @open_phil: We just posted a job for Research Fellows to work on causes in policy, scientific research, and global development:\nhttps://…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143525449865342977",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1143460686300962817",
   "created_at": "2019-06-25T10:07:26+00:00",
   "text": "We should seriously try to start building hedonium",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143460686300962817",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1143456449542205440",
   "created_at": "2019-06-25T09:50:36+00:00",
   "text": "@ASI Hayek",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143456449542205440",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1143452488496025600"
  },
  {
   "id": "1143455000800169985",
   "created_at": "2019-06-25T09:44:51+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi And why couldn't wellbeing be infinite then either?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143455000800169985",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1143454126497509377"
  },
  {
   "id": "1143454126497509377",
   "created_at": "2019-06-25T09:41:22+00:00",
   "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi I can't think of any infinities in nature. Not sure why suffering would be the first.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143454126497509377",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1140790720166617088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1143359671031517185",
   "created_at": "2019-06-25T03:26:02+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton Yeah I am struggling to formalize my intuitions so something may not really be there.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143359671031517185",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1143354113024905216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1143353476686237697",
   "created_at": "2019-06-25T03:01:25+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton really lucky'.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143353476686237697",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1143350860765958144"
  },
  {
   "id": "1143350860765958144",
   "created_at": "2019-06-25T02:51:02+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton Sure thing. I know there are different theories of anthropics, but it seems unusual in a single unfolding timeline that we exist but no other life in the universe does. MWI, which implies many timelines, makes this seem less unusual IMO. It fits the facts more simply than 'we got",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143350860765958144",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1143346110284492801"
  },
  {
   "id": "1143345915182407681",
   "created_at": "2019-06-25T02:31:23+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton Many Worlds Interpretation",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143345915182407681",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1143345846445936640"
  },
  {
   "id": "1143345395722084352",
   "created_at": "2019-06-25T02:29:19+00:00",
   "text": "Given the fact that there is no apparent life anywhere else in the universe, isn't that evidence in favor of MWI?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143345395722084352",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1143343661968760832",
   "created_at": "2019-06-25T02:22:25+00:00",
   "text": "Aside from donating to the most effective charities (perhaps top 5% in impact/$), it's my hunch that it's more effective to fund competitive, impact-driven businesses. The founders are more accountable then non-profit leaders & the money can often be reinvested again & again. https://t.co/LYGytrvY8j",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143343661968760832",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1143255691987054593",
   "created_at": "2019-06-24T20:32:52+00:00",
   "text": "I don't have a will yet, but if this airplane crashes (I have no reason to think it would over the base rate), give all my wealth to the Center for Election Science so Approval Voting can become a thing everywhere!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143255691987054593",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1143229372377079808",
   "created_at": "2019-06-24T18:48:17+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ballofgame: At this point in the timeline, there was still a lot of potential to reduce the damage",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143229372377079808",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1143227970326155264",
   "created_at": "2019-06-24T18:42:42+00:00",
   "text": "@james_barton I know people can cheat with Project Euler problems",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143227970326155264",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1143105674123128832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1143205349224140800",
   "created_at": "2019-06-24T17:12:49+00:00",
   "text": "I wish downloaded apps had tags when you search for them. E.g. I want to find this photo editor which I can't remember the name of, but I can only find it by going through my 100+ apps. @AndroidDev",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143205349224140800",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1143169322124099584",
   "created_at": "2019-06-24T14:49:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @TheAnnaGat: Please, create.\nThere is only one of you.\nNo one knows what you know.\nWe need you.\n💜",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143169322124099584",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1143168544965718022",
   "created_at": "2019-06-24T14:46:34+00:00",
   "text": "@abisjajo I will respond to this more fully in a day or two but the problem to me is that you are throwing in a negative infinity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143168544965718022",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1143025344712077312"
  },
  {
   "id": "1142992065162178560",
   "created_at": "2019-06-24T03:05:18+00:00",
   "text": "@spakhm That could def be the case to me, but I wouldn't bite that bullet w/out being there, facing the available evidence, and having to.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1142992065162178560",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1142991089776726017"
  },
  {
   "id": "1142990770938372096",
   "created_at": "2019-06-24T03:00:10+00:00",
   "text": "@spakhm Maaaaybe correct given the evidence at the time, but I wouldn't think with the benefit of hindsight. I don't know of any spies or dangerous insiders. Are you saying with w/ the limited evidence at the time, you'd make the same decision?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1142990770938372096",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1142989593093914624"
  },
  {
   "id": "1142869093244002304",
   "created_at": "2019-06-23T18:56:39+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/ZJ5rdLvKuM",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1142869093244002304",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1142869042916540416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1142869042916540416",
   "created_at": "2019-06-23T18:56:27+00:00",
   "text": "\"A person will very likely engage in a new positive behavior if all ten of the conditions listed below are met.\"\nhttps://t.co/xzkrlEnyii",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1142869042916540416",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1142810571567316992",
   "created_at": "2019-06-23T15:04:07+00:00",
   "text": "RT @snwmanst: There’s a common misaligned incentive where we benefit on a societal level by learning from failures and mistakes; but suffer…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1142810571567316992",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1142463948672794624",
   "created_at": "2019-06-22T16:06:45+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Paging @johncarlosbaez",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1142463948672794624",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1142432219488800769"
  },
  {
   "id": "1141705563987939328",
   "created_at": "2019-06-20T13:53:12+00:00",
   "text": "I love Robin Hanson's website & his alternative institution ideas:\nhttps://t.co/wSe1CXGfMY https://t.co/uOVpLSAN6E",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1141705563987939328",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1141525730783846400",
   "created_at": "2019-06-20T01:58:37+00:00",
   "text": "RT @zackkanter: Wow. This has been the obvious move for a long time, but the technical and logistical challenges of executing this at scale…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1141525730783846400",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1141492357021470731",
   "created_at": "2019-06-19T23:46:00+00:00",
   "text": "Literally STFU & multiply.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1141492357021470731",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1141359538056105985",
   "created_at": "2019-06-19T14:58:13+00:00",
   "text": "@JustinBezanson 6.9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1141359538056105985",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1140695173539737602"
  },
  {
   "id": "1141355210415194113",
   "created_at": "2019-06-19T14:41:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanSandhoefner: 🤔...💡to end animal farming via the proliferation of increasingly desirable options for sustainable, safe, affordable a…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1141355210415194113",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1140984257906692102",
   "created_at": "2019-06-18T14:07:00+00:00",
   "text": "RT @webdevMason: \"What piece of self-knowledge do you wish you had at a younger age, and why?\" https://t.co/u9HArLxZ4e",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140984257906692102",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1140786207963668481",
   "created_at": "2019-06-18T01:00:01+00:00",
   "text": "Can't wait for EA Global this weekend! I've been wanting to go since 2015 but the Army kept me away at those times. It's happening now!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140786207963668481",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1140758098233221120",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T23:08:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @paulg: People hate things that contradict their deeply-held beliefs. But since ideas that contradict deeply-held beliefs are the most i…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140758098233221120",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1140735571830149121",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T21:38:48+00:00",
   "text": "@TheDemocrats What the hell is this?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140735571830149121",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1139908928383410176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140722131753418752",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:45:24+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi So you would trade a great positive experience for a less great one with no qualms, for no reason? Would it be evil for me to reduce everyone's positive experiences, so long as they were still positive?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140722131753418752",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1140721515111100416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140721195433807874",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:41:41+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi Can you back that up in any sort of mathematical notation? And in that notation, what do you say about positive experiences?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140721195433807874",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1140720454732255233"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140720640942575616",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:39:29+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi There is a lot of information in prices. I don't think we'd want to throw it out the window even if we were better.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140720640942575616",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1140719929345368064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140719630941663233",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:35:28+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi I agree that no qualia is neutral, but I think there is an imperative to maximize utility, and that not only do negative experiences have negative utility, but positive experiences have positive utility.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140719630941663233",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1140717557101580288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140719009031176194",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:32:59+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi Or rather, is likely to be symmetric. And this makes sense to me given my subjective experience of being alive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140719009031176194",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1140718500849303552"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140718500849303552",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:30:58+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi symmetric (no negative infinities)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140718500849303552",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1140718297253601280"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140718297253601280",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:30:10+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi I think you are looking at it from an emotional perspective given our present day circumstances & the fact that present day suffering ranges from like -100 and the best positive experiences are like +20. I think a mathematical approach, using Occam's razor, says the scale must be",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140718297253601280",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1140716571364601857"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140716442121359360",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:22:47+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi How could you be wrong about the asymmetry of suffering vs wellbeing?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140716442121359360",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1140714525383110656"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140712844851339266",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:08:30+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi What practical reasons, besides moral uncertainty & the unilateralist's curse?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140712844851339266",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1140712191961817088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140712168935104513",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:05:49+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi There are pretty amazing peak experiences available to people, & I think its very possible we can reprogram ourselves and other creatures to experience gradients of bliss that even any burn victim would say are worth sticking around for.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140712168935104513",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1140711772296568834"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140711772296568834",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:04:14+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi Victims say that because the landscape of qualia available to people today goes much more negative then it does positive. That doesn't mean that in principle, as suffering becomes worse, it all of a sudden becomes infinitely bad.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140711772296568834",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1140710367741521922"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140709682526507009",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T19:55:56+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi So the only thing preventing you from obliterating the world now, if you could, is the possibility of future biological suffering out of the remnants? You want to wait for a biology destroying AGI?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140709682526507009",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1140709105750937602"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140708793849909250",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T19:52:24+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi Perhaps a billion years of increasing gradients of bliss. There is no -infinity or positive infinity for well-being. A bad experience is just really bad, but it could, in principle, be made up for.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140708793849909250",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1140708171075469315"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140706930085773313",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T19:45:00+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi That's interesting. So a trillion beings perpetually happier than a person on MDMA wouldn't outweigh the suffering of one very depressed person?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140706930085773313",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1140706245650915329"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140705856201404416",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T19:40:44+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi I don't quite follow your logic. I'm just saying that a positive util and a negative util cancel out, and anybody would want to experience 1.1 positive utils if it meant 1 neg util, when the well-being scale is appropriately adjusted",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140705856201404416",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1140704166429544449"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140689600723243008",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T18:36:08+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi Are you saying that no amount of positive experiences could ever make up for a negative experience, or are you saying that on the whole, the quality of life for far future people is likely to be net negative?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140689600723243008",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1140682394292379648"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140688571764019201",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T18:32:03+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi 1) That's a bit presumptuous of you.\n2) Why wouldn't qualia be symmetric? I am willing to undergo certain painful experiences for the endorphins, so that highlights that negative experiences can be outweighed by sufficiently great positive experiences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140688571764019201",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1140682038791589889"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140443872222416896",
   "created_at": "2019-06-17T02:19:42+00:00",
   "text": "@james_barton That looks pretty hot in the UK but I don't see any programs in the US. Thanks though",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140443872222416896",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1140357043129397248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140405587873808385",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T23:47:34+00:00",
   "text": "I have a lot of problems w/ communism on theoretical & empirical economic grounds, but then again, there's this:\nhttps://t.co/7JuIEWWkPl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140405587873808385",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1140391981157441536",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T22:53:30+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton I'm half joking, but jokes aside, I like checks & balances as a heuristic & long-term solution, but I think *some* individuals could do a better job than our current government. Identifying those individuals is challenging, however.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140391981157441536",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1140387999680585728"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140386409074896898",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T22:31:21+00:00",
   "text": "The biggest problem with government today is that I'm not in charge of it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140386409074896898",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1140371189724057600",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T21:30:53+00:00",
   "text": "@james_barton I'm a proponent of crushing fines for defectors. Not a nice little $1b fee, but literally the cost of reparations of damages.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140371189724057600",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1140357416443437058"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140354426575695872",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T20:24:16+00:00",
   "text": "@james_barton optimize the economy for the long term.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140354426575695872",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1140354103765327873"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140354103765327873",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T20:22:59+00:00",
   "text": "@james_barton Anything less is just unreasonable. A Prisoner's Dilemma won't work when there are 1000s of competitors. Any solutions need to be incremental. We can always just tax ecological services & the cost of replacement. It would slow the economy down, but as efficiently as possible &",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140354103765327873",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1140353101108588544"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140352661532942343",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T20:17:15+00:00",
   "text": "RT @melissakchan: The people of Hong Kong should be up for the Nobel Peace Prize. Two million protesters — orderly, recycling, giving way t…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140352661532942343",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1140352436965662722",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T20:16:22+00:00",
   "text": "@james_barton which allows markets to function efficiently & rationally while limiting negative externalities to an acceptable or replaceable level.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140352436965662722",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1140352023952580608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140352023952580608",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T20:14:43+00:00",
   "text": "@james_barton The problem is we haven't instilled any real incentives to control for resource use. You can't ask a company to minimize harm to the environment over profits because they will lose to their less ethical competitors. The only practical solution is to instill Pougovian taxes",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140352023952580608",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1140346459759489025"
  },
  {
   "id": "1140333148049498114",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T18:59:43+00:00",
   "text": "Half-marathon ☑️",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140333148049498114",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "1140286518759755776",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T15:54:26+00:00",
   "text": "Cost-benefit analysis can be brutal, but the alternative is far worse.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140286518759755776",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1140055505110470656",
   "created_at": "2019-06-16T00:36:28+00:00",
   "text": "@Mathpocalypse That's fast!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140055505110470656",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1140020001979715585"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139981082726731777",
   "created_at": "2019-06-15T19:40:44+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist Yes, but the overwhelming majority of them are false-positives.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139981082726731777",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1139975641430933504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139916652080967681",
   "created_at": "2019-06-15T15:24:43+00:00",
   "text": "I love capitalism so freaking much 😍, and by that, I just mean people privately fulfilling each others' preferences w/out 3rd party coercion so long as they are not directly hurting other people or taking their stuff.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139916652080967681",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1139905238222147586",
   "created_at": "2019-06-15T14:39:21+00:00",
   "text": "She didn't even see all the evidence herself! Perhaps the only conclusion we can reasonably draw is that only the two parties know what went down that night. And this 'unjust' ruling is certainly not an adequate argument to take away UCMJ authority from commanders.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139905238222147586",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1139905237379092480"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139905237379092480",
   "created_at": "2019-06-15T14:39:21+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/pdbXtQOf5g\nThis lady does not understand how American justice works. Beyond a reasonable doubt is our threshold. Anything else is politics & has no place in the courtroom. Why automatically pick 1 side when the sum of evidence is not conclusive towards either side?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139905237379092480",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1139747010364395520",
   "created_at": "2019-06-15T04:10:37+00:00",
   "text": "Alexander Kruel dropped some extra 🔥 links yesterday (14Jun):\n https://t.co/ELB7nSARw2",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139747010364395520",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1139724664492531715",
   "created_at": "2019-06-15T02:41:49+00:00",
   "text": "@nathan_k I was cracking up!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139724664492531715",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1139720522860646401"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139717534142197760",
   "created_at": "2019-06-15T02:13:29+00:00",
   "text": "So John Wick 3 was fun",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139717534142197760",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1139675214168711169",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T23:25:19+00:00",
   "text": "@nathan_k Not particularly. Many of the same things, but its own order. It just felt like it should have been 5:00pm when it was noon! I think it had to do with how well-rested I was. My gf feels the same way.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139675214168711169",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1139673855578927104"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139672982643716096",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T23:16:27+00:00",
   "text": "@Noahpinion @ne0liberal Geolibertarianism",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139672982643716096",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1139557630647517184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139670873496010753",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T23:08:04+00:00",
   "text": "@EmmaWedekind Write in assembly or literally get out of tech /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139670873496010753",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1139416912473939969"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139666829608128512",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T22:52:00+00:00",
   "text": "This day has been fine w/ pretty much nothing wrong with it, but it's felt like the longest day of my life. The sense of the passage of time is weird 🤔. Maybe it's because I'm super well rested and napped 3 hours yesterday plus got 9 hours of sleep last night?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139666829608128512",
   "word_count": 52
  },
  {
   "id": "1139606194128138240",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T18:51:04+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Unions existing or special union protections? I am in favor of the former, not sure about the latter",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139606194128138240",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1139570690321985537"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139550399638249472",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T15:09:21+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson Trying to keep in mind observer selection effects:\nhttps://t.co/rk15O9d9rI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139550399638249472",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1139518189266702337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139549028268552192",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T15:03:54+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson Trust but verify.  People are wrong about stuff all the time, so try your best to understand things first-hand and interpret information without leaning on other's interpretations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139549028268552192",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1139518189266702337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139546694121590784",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T14:54:38+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson Every problem being a computational expected-utility maximization problem, where both degrees-of-belief and expected-utility, if a proposition is true, are to be combined together to guide decision-making.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139546694121590784",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1139518189266702337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139342653408063489",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T01:23:51+00:00",
   "text": "the study of the use of scarce resources which have alternative uses. I say this with compassion because I know these people have good intentions, & I used to be aligned w/ democratic socialism myself, but these speakers are not qualified to talk about econ policy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139342653408063489",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1139342652107821056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139342652107821056",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T01:23:50+00:00",
   "text": "You'd think that finding one former staunch defender of free market capitalism, like one with a Ph.D. in economics from a rigorous school like UChicago, would strengthen their cause a lot, but apparently, they couldn't find anyone or aren't interested in the formal study",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139342652107821056",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1139342650987962368"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139342650987962368",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T01:23:50+00:00",
   "text": "I was exploring the #socialism2019 conference website (https://t.co/Ffl8pzynFz) out of curiosity. I couldn't help but notice that literally none of the speakers ever seemed to have majored in economics.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139342650987962368",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1139329224865734656",
   "created_at": "2019-06-14T00:30:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @DeathwDignity: \"The speed in which states are adopting #deathwithdignity laws has accelerated. There's a growing awareness of how impor…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139329224865734656",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1139312981592956928",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T23:25:56+00:00",
   "text": "@DrSepah This might be the most dangerous sport I've ever seen next to doing handstands at the edges of buildings.  Hope they know what they are doing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139312981592956928",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1139223980034809857"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139312354297032705",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T23:23:27+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Great work!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139312354297032705",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1139311064045293568"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139261833171353601",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T20:02:42+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock That's amazing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139261833171353601",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1139261125856391168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139258268805734401",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T19:48:32+00:00",
   "text": "RT @justGLew: Easy to forget that the best opportunities are moments in time. If you fail to seize an opportunity in the moment, it general…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139258268805734401",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1139252395542818819",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T19:25:12+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Income-hiding MFers. #TaxTheWhales",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139252395542818819",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1139231332293365761"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139250084376383489",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T19:16:01+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian Oh I don't list what my dad did. I was just trying to set the context maximally against me, especially because I think some of my Twitter followers know about my enlisted experience.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139250084376383489",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1139249378575601664"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139247209768243206",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T19:04:35+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian I just enlisted for it out of high school & made it through the ~7-month school!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139247209768243206",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1139246932121886720"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139245300332322816",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T18:57:00+00:00",
   "text": "@Mike_Strayer @bryan_caplan This makes a lot of sense. My only qualms w/ immigration now is from all the violent crimes committed by Muslim immigrants in Europe. But that doesn't seem to be as big of a problem in America",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139245300332322816",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1139241492780896256"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139241745596768257",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T18:42:52+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m I think the burden of evidence lies on proving that remittances are especially likely to be bad for global GDP. Some economists think they're even net positive for remittance outflow countries: https://t.co/2kZf4iwwYD",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139241745596768257",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1139240595485069313"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139240595485069313",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T18:38:18+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m I think determining the actual impact of remittances on the UK, US, & global economies is complicated, but I think traditional free market/free trade models, as well as Occam's Razor, support the permissibility of remittances.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139240595485069313",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1139227288510353409"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139223892562718721",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T17:31:56+00:00",
   "text": "RT @paulg: I talk to my kids as if they were naive colleagues. I think they learn a lot this way, and if not, it at least seems fairly harm…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139223892562718721",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1139220695987249153",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T17:19:14+00:00",
   "text": "@AliBHamed This tweet should be the end these pointless debates.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139220695987249153",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1138789102881595393"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139214823919689728",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T16:55:54+00:00",
   "text": "Isn't there room in the market for an app like Uber that allows people to set their own rates? https://t.co/E2oaxBGuMT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139214823919689728",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1139193551655452672",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T15:31:22+00:00",
   "text": "@Claire_Voltaire (This is a joke but I do like geo-libertarianism.)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139193551655452672",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1139029795977801728"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139172135669239808",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T14:06:16+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I know! Not only do we get a social personality, but we get a body and an intellect. 3 for 1 deal 🔥",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139172135669239808",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1139171080696995845"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139131222758776832",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T11:23:42+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ there* 😢",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139131222758776832",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1139127576729915393"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139130378239823872",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T11:20:20+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ Demand increases so wages for people who sufficiently fulfill other's preferences still enjoy overall greater purchasing power. When everyone contributes more into the system, everyone can have more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139130378239823872",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1139076009217540096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139128631924613120",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T11:13:24+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils @cosimia_ IMO, the next best alternative economy to a free market economy filled with rational people is a free market economy filled w/ today's spread of people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139128631924613120",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1139072494227378178"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139127883031633923",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T11:10:25+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I wrote a paper on pricing the Commons: https://t.co/RHgJuLzGiI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139127883031633923",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1139127576729915393"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139127576729915393",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T11:09:12+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ The problem their is a lack of proper Pougovian taxes. If you tax ecological services at the cost of replacement and/or reparations, & actually use that money for replacing them or repairing the damage done, we won't have to artificially & sloppily intervene in the economy",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139127576729915393",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1139077149397094400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139046857613725697",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T05:48:27+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I think if everyone were interested in earning money, we'd have more of a utopia. The problem is that earning money is seen as needy and greedy  rather than the honest matching of preferences via an exchange of labor/goods at a certain price.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139046857613725697",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1139046140870037511"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139046140870037511",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T05:45:37+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ in a system w/ supply and demand and where scarce resources have alternative resources.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139046140870037511",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1139045939015032833"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139045939015032833",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T05:44:48+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ And frankly, I think the market decides by wages. It's not a perfect system--it's certainly not hedonistic utilitarian & doesn't prioritize what actually matters. It's a preference-utilitarian system where higher wages approx. imply a better fulfillment of other's preferences",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139045939015032833",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1139040410704130048"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139044582149230592",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T05:39:25+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba @cosimia_ Dude I am on a binge rn 😂.\nI am trying to carry all of the due uncertainty because economics is obviously a contentious field, but like I am walking around & not hating businesses nearly as much & it's great.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139044582149230592",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1139043013865496576"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139042481247531008",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T05:31:04+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ If everyone contributed more valuable & efficient labor into the system, prices for goods would generally be lower & we'd all have more purchasing power. This also translates into a greater financial ability to leave companies that don't prioritize well-being enough for oneself.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139042481247531008",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1139040410704130048"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139037454059659266",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T05:11:05+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 is it bad evidence for the prospects of the future of humanity?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139037454059659266",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1139036570848190464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139032552797298688",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T04:51:37+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ Not saying we can't make incremental improvements right now through conversation & advocacy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139032552797298688",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1139032163167477764"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139032163167477764",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T04:50:04+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ IMO, the biggest problem is that we are still not wealthy enough as a society because your average person does not satisfy enough of other people's preferences & provide enough economic value into the system.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139032163167477764",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1139027999079116800"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139029795977801728",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T04:40:40+00:00",
   "text": "@Claire_Voltaire Alright alright I guess your opinion doesn't affect my FREEDOM TO CHOOSE what I eat because we are all champions of #liberty #freemarkets #marketOfIdeas #justBecauseItsAProblemDoesntMeanGovernmentInterventionIsBetter",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139029795977801728",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1139027329781395458"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139026168244576258",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T04:26:15+00:00",
   "text": "@Claire_Voltaire unfollowed /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139026168244576258",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1139003838428471296"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139018716090421249",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T03:56:38+00:00",
   "text": "and Related Hazards” https://t.co/vH71RxqWyn",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139018716090421249",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1139018715213811712"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139018715213811712",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T03:56:38+00:00",
   "text": "There is no opportunity to learn from errors. The reactive approach – see what happens, limit damages, and learn from experience – is unworkable. Rather, we must take a proactive approach.”\n— Nick Bostrom, “Existential Risks: Analyzing Human Extinction Scenarios",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139018715213811712",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1139018714186231810"
  },
  {
   "id": "1139018714186231810",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T03:56:38+00:00",
   "text": "A risk is “existential” when it is both global (affecting all of human civilization) and terminal (destroying or radically reducing the future potential of those who are affected). ”Our approach to existential risks cannot be one of trial-and-error.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139018714186231810",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1139005050209091590",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T03:02:20+00:00",
   "text": "@washingtonpost old*, not rich",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1139005050209091590",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1138983901886582790"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138987250442805248",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T01:51:36+00:00",
   "text": "@gabrielamadej If you are 200 IQ, you should probably just be cloning yourself anyway",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138987250442805248",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1138771576453816322"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138984626909847552",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T01:41:11+00:00",
   "text": "@ne0liberal Not that I would ever push a policy out if spite, because emotions have no place in deciding economic policy, but those comments kind of make me want to cut it even more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138984626909847552",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1138983410939125845"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138983901886582790",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T01:38:18+00:00",
   "text": "@washingtonpost It's not like this guy hated rich people. You can care deeply about people & think social security cuts are overall good for everyone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138983901886582790",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1138952186233270272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138973677779898368",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T00:57:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @rglenner: My moral conviction is that we should seek to do the most good we can for the most people. I dont think I owe more to those i…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138973677779898368",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1138973578282639360",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T00:57:16+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian The ultimate NIMBYs, except they are protesting using their planet for resources to build drones to populate other galaxies before they are forever unreachable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138973578282639360",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1138634291724705792"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138970526951596033",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T00:45:09+00:00",
   "text": "Live like 1 million people are counting on you to make sure they come into existence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138970526951596033",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1138967381273919493",
   "created_at": "2019-06-13T00:32:39+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I mean the 8x8 game of chess is essentially computationally intractable. No way life is going to be a clean shot.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138967381273919493",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1138956958176645120"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138830531213299712",
   "created_at": "2019-06-12T15:28:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @webdevMason: @ESYudkowsky It sounds like it would also predict significantly greater diversity in product space. I often think about wh…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138830531213299712",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1138811392826511361",
   "created_at": "2019-06-12T14:12:48+00:00",
   "text": "RT @zackkanter: founders: VC funding near all-time high, tools we have are amazing, adoption never been faster\n\npoliticians: ok we will dis…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138811392826511361",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1138747169844977664",
   "created_at": "2019-06-12T09:57:36+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson Attn: Visualizers of killing, was it w/ a",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138747169844977664",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1138639918111035393"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138629510826483714",
   "created_at": "2019-06-12T02:10:04+00:00",
   "text": "@NatureisScary Why were they filming? Surely they didn't find a random wasp without a head. They probably beheaded the poor guy 😠",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138629510826483714",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1138628776311644162"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138583036285640704",
   "created_at": "2019-06-11T23:05:24+00:00",
   "text": "Did a pilates class 🥵 w/ my gf. That shit is not easy, don't knock it 'til you try it. My legs are shakin' & I'm gonna sleep good tonight.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138583036285640704",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1138519278204981249",
   "created_at": "2019-06-11T18:52:03+00:00",
   "text": "@JacksonKernion Google Keep & all sorts of topics. I use Standard Notes when I want encryption.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138519278204981249",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1138475696265859074"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138454905222500352",
   "created_at": "2019-06-11T14:36:15+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanOLeary You won't post this on LessWrong 😂",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138454905222500352",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1138290117976764416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138416183097679872",
   "created_at": "2019-06-11T12:02:23+00:00",
   "text": "@bannerdude @mathematicsprof That's right. I guess what I was trying to say was that for each event, it's more likely for a serial killer to meet another serial killer hitchhiking than for a serial killer to say, sit next to another at a bar.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138416183097679872",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1138400596799737861"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138266513608204293",
   "created_at": "2019-06-11T02:07:39+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanOLeary Do you have a different systematic approach to rationality?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138266513608204293",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1138261960112386049"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138224500485627909",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T23:20:42+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Pretty much! I like everything in this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138224500485627909",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1138201759262937088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138192918114684929",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T21:15:12+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @EvanSandhoefner How important, neglected, and tractable is propagating more evolved population ethics models and the idea of Bayesian utilitarianism?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138192918114684929",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1138188114223087616"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138179298454622208",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T20:21:05+00:00",
   "text": "@bopinion Raise prices ffs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138179298454622208",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1138053400413782017"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138158887662694403",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T18:59:59+00:00",
   "text": "@HarryStebbings I'd have FOMO about not investing more in more promising startups, especially if they needed marginally more cash early on.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138158887662694403",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1138152949123878912"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138158458736381952",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T18:58:17+00:00",
   "text": "@mathematicsprof to be a serial killer. But I could be wrong & am tired rn",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138158458736381952",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1138158371301941248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138158371301941248",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T18:57:56+00:00",
   "text": "@mathematicsprof P(hitch-hiker is a serial killer | I'm a serial killer)=P(hitch-hiker is a serial killer) * P(I'm a serial killer | hitch-hiker is a serial killer) / P(I'm a serial killer).\nIf anything, from each of their personal perspectives as serial killers, the other is especially likely",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138158371301941248",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1137802611829202944"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138152949123878912",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T18:36:23+00:00",
   "text": "@HarryStebbings Don't some projects look more promising than others?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138152949123878912",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1138035240373559298"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138145200503701507",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T18:05:36+00:00",
   "text": "RT @shelbygrossman: Research findings change behavior among healthy people, making us think the effect of a behavior is even greater https:…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138145200503701507",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1138137955669815297",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T17:36:48+00:00",
   "text": "@webdevMason That's infuriating.  I say we need more cameras & more efficient, far cheaper civil courts so people can be held accountable when BS like that happens.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138137955669815297",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1138135839169368065"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138135889455058944",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T17:28:36+00:00",
   "text": "Possible future: computing the most efficient way to direct as much matter as possible into black holes if we discover there is suffering in fundamental physics.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138135889455058944",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1138088956128583680",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T14:22:06+00:00",
   "text": "@RJsnda @EvanSandhoefner I probably do misunderstand MWI but I need someone to falsify my idea before I can intellectually respectably drop it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138088956128583680",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1137955445967138816"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138088389708828673",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T14:19:51+00:00",
   "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 Existential risk is a totally different and heavier variable in the decision calculus of going to war or not. Any society should go through a lot of pain to avert a new perpetual existential risk from being created",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138088389708828673",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1138087112971042816"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138087112971042816",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T14:14:47+00:00",
   "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 I mean I'd have negotiations first and then destroy their research facilities if that fails. I understand it's a difficult pill to swallow, but already given the risk we've been put under MAD in the Cold War, it would have justified more deaths.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138087112971042816",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1138041196998270976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138085494133317633",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T14:08:21+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian with practice. And of course, there are other important cognitive factors beyond intellectual horsepower. I'm not practically advocating for anything but permitting human genetic engineering and embryo selection for intelligence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138085494133317633",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1138084573789732865"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138084573789732865",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T14:04:41+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian If you are making a reference to a less sharp threshold in real life about intelligence, I def agree. Prepared 115 IQs show up and beat 130 IQs all the time, & that makes sense since life is so hyperdimensional. ↑ IQs are better at exploring this space, but ↓ IQs can dominate",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138084573789732865",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1137941173199183873"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138082630996561921",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T13:56:58+00:00",
   "text": "@atthatmatt @vgr https://t.co/IRVabrQhXo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138082630996561921",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1138082585136046080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138082585136046080",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T13:56:47+00:00",
   "text": "@atthatmatt @vgr Well economists use it. https://t.co/IesEakYbcl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138082585136046080",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1137945187806617600"
  },
  {
   "id": "1138080306592964608",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T13:47:44+00:00",
   "text": "@mattparlmer @conorduffy_7 I don't know if we knew that they had an active nuclear program at the time to justify that. If they did have an active nuclear program, we should have ordered them to stand it down for existential risk reasons and responded accordingly if they didn't.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1138080306592964608",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1137983502371164160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137941203884879873",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:34:59+00:00",
   "text": "@atthatmatt @vgr I call anti-market bias.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137941203884879873",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1137901318452809728"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137939015007707136",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:17+00:00",
   "text": "We need to grow up & get over our stigma against embryo selection for intelligence. We'll all realize how wrong we were in due time when we have 100x more 3 and 4 sigma people running around solving humanity's greatest problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137939015007707136",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1137939014055600128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137939014055600128",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:17+00:00",
   "text": "But the spread is real & we don't help the world by pretending it doesn't exist. We are mistaken if we think we can maximize the value of the future without actively creating more people w/ the problem solving capacity of John von Neumann, Paul Erdos, Elon Musk, and Jeff Bezos.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137939014055600128",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1137939013174738946"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137939013174738946",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:17+00:00",
   "text": "Now life is much more multidimensional than chess & lower intelligence people can & do get ahead of smarter people in any particular areas when they work hard in them. And there are qualities beyond raw intellectual horsepower that enable success like conscientiousness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137939013174738946",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1137939012440772608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137939012440772608",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:17+00:00",
   "text": "Like the spread of skill, I'm arguing that the spread of computations/minute or a similar metric for intelligence is that big.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137939012440772608",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1137939011484491776"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137939011484491776",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:16+00:00",
   "text": "It's sort of like magic, but no matter how hard one tries, a player 500 ELO points higher will outmaneuver one ~96% of the time. Don't even think about ever beating a +1000 player. And they'll reliably be crushed by someone +500 beyond them. The spread of skill is huge.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137939011484491776",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1137939010603687936"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137939010603687936",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:16+00:00",
   "text": "Again, it's probably spread akin to chess ELO scores. In chess, you'll beat someone 400 points below you 92% of the time and lose 92% of the time to someone 400 points above you. Same goes for the people below and above above them, etc. & chess ELO scores range from ~200 to 2900!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137939010603687936",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1137939009890672642"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137939009890672642",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:16+00:00",
   "text": "The spread of human intelligence (intellectual horsepower and general problem solving ability) is *big*.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137939009890672642",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1137939008963698688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137939008963698688",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:16+00:00",
   "text": "A person 30 pts higher can often solve a problem on their feet that it might take another person a year to solve. I mean notice how it seems that people w/ less intellectual horsepower are on avg much slower at problem solving but people above oneself are so much quicker/capable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137939008963698688",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1137939006019244032"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137939006019244032",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:15+00:00",
   "text": "I feel like chess ELO scores highlight something important about human intelligence--namely, that the spread is big. I mean it's not like a 130 IQ person is 8% better at general problem solving than a 120 IQ person (I know IQs are based off SD). The difference is far greater.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137939006019244032",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1137910131436523521",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T02:31:31+00:00",
   "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 I argue the game theory works out & it would be possible to prevent other countries from being successful in nuclear development given each other's incentives. https://t.co/XaycoAPjSN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137910131436523521",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1137904490345107456"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137907562391715841",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T02:21:18+00:00",
   "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 And just because we haven't had a catastrophic nuclear exchange doesn't mean we didn't get lucky and moreover, are not likely to have an exchange in the future. Even a 1/500 yearly extinction risk adds up over time & is extremely disutilitous & justifies preemptive war.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137907562391715841",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1137905495405150209"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137905495405150209",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T02:13:06+00:00",
   "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 one else can.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137905495405150209",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1137905356724678656"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137905356724678656",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T02:12:32+00:00",
   "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 Sure, no country should develop existentially dangerous tech. But in practice, not developing the tech just allows someone else to do so & exert their principles on the world. If one has better principles than the latter likely inventors, I argue they should seize the power so no",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137905356724678656",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1137904373709905920"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137903676864045056",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T02:05:52+00:00",
   "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 The US wasn't a perfect candidate to be the nuclear monopoly, but it was the best at the time & was ultimately ruled by better principles than the USSR. It was also the only other country w/ an economy big enough to maintain a military that could maintain a nuclear monopoly",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137903676864045056",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1137902699607920640"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137902699607920640",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T02:01:59+00:00",
   "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 We had the stronger military & head start on nuclear development and could have stopped them early on if we wanted to. It would've been existentially safer for one country to have the nuclear monopoly then 2+ with MAD, which is statistically bound to fail https://t.co/aYu6kuRjy0",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137902699607920640",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1137901599924391936"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137891595288743936",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:17:51+00:00",
   "text": "@eliistender10 Meditate, write, code, sleep",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137891595288743936",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1137424004405518337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137891337276145664",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:16:50+00:00",
   "text": "@eliistender10 Complex explanations require more evidence",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137891337276145664",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1137424004405518337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137890936489422848",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:15:14+00:00",
   "text": "@eliistender10 Always maximize expected-utility",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137890936489422848",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1137424004405518337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137890837285810177",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:14:51+00:00",
   "text": "@eliistender10 Tax land, not preference-trading",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137890837285810177",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1137424004405518337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137890571840819206",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:13:47+00:00",
   "text": "@eliistender10 Get over anti-market bias",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137890571840819206",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1137424004405518337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137890396191842305",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:13:06+00:00",
   "text": "@eliistender10 Impact=Importance*tractability*neglectedness",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137890396191842305",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1137424004405518337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137888143850561536",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:04:09+00:00",
   "text": "I am just trying to find an article that gives an example of a legitimate career swap from considering the comparative advantage argument",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137888143850561536",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1137887710352433158"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137887710352433158",
   "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:02:25+00:00",
   "text": "Anyone know the name of the early effective altruist who left medical school because of the comparative advantage argument to pursue a career in bio risk? I think she was a woman in the UK and this was pre 2012",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137887710352433158",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1137866501426417665",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T23:38:09+00:00",
   "text": "@conorduffy_7 Russia developing the bomb and us letting them do it.  We should have never allowed for Mutually Assured Destruction.  We would have been far safer as a species with only one country, the United States, as a nuclear power.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137866501426417665",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1137704291194605569"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137859662013980677",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T23:10:58+00:00",
   "text": "Trying to falsify my plausible Many Worlds entropic decision procedure again. Let's see how it plays out.\nhttps://t.co/f4nZdSy2HV",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137859662013980677",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1137851967273877504",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T22:40:23+00:00",
   "text": "“New York Times Reporters Perpetuate Popular Corporate Governance Myths” by Francine McKenna https://t.co/g6UqnzaNVj",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137851967273877504",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1137849011963072523",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T22:28:39+00:00",
   "text": "RT @mckaywrigley: What do you believe is a big problem that not many people think is a big problem?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137849011963072523",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1137848983651573760",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T22:28:32+00:00",
   "text": "@mckaywrigley The need for a land-value tax. Anti-market bias & thinking that the economy isn't fundamentally preference-utilitarian. Overregulation of the economy which drastically slows it down. We should really consider moving in the direction of geolibertarianism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137848983651573760",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1137553208773992453"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137817216370581504",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T20:22:18+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner @RJsnda Thanks Evan!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137817216370581504",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1137812694931628032"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137800428748492800",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T19:15:36+00:00",
   "text": "I know the thumbnails are just his viewing history, but that is not apparent to avg person who quickly glances over the article. I might sub to NYT at a later date but they need this feedback.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137800428748492800",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1137791327196909572"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137799532262100992",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T19:12:02+00:00",
   "text": "@RJsnda @EvanSandhoefner I emailed the author and he never got back with me :/",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137799532262100992",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1137799421717037056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137799421717037056",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T19:11:36+00:00",
   "text": "@RJsnda @EvanSandhoefner I read many of the relevant parts of this like his refutations of other MWI decision procedures. It doesn't look like he addressed my decision procedure, which for the record, I describe better here: https://t.co/9sIhrxeJVc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137799421717037056",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1131848613653557249"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137798358175748096",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T19:07:22+00:00",
   "text": "@Raptorel @EvanSandhoefner I describe my idea better here: https://t.co/9sIhrxeJVc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137798358175748096",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1132025464405549057"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137791327196909572",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T18:39:26+00:00",
   "text": "This isn't the hill I die on, but I unsubbed from NYT & told them why. Some YTers are toxic, & their point that YTs algos need improvement stands, but NYT worked to close the Overton window for intellectually permissible ideas too soon here. I mean Milton Freedman? C'mon. https://t.co/CTkBH8nsaF",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137791327196909572",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1137780455225331717",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T17:56:14+00:00",
   "text": "@tomfgoodwin Results should always be the goal over working hard. And earning money is something one should feel good about! Earning it is a great sign one is successfully fulfilling other's preferences. Not saying that all preferences are equal & should be fulfilled.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137780455225331717",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1137524056566222853"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137778554014437376",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T17:48:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JohnDCook: \"The costs of allowing our attention to be commandeered remain drastically understated.\"\nhttps://t.co/frpgrZU00F",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137778554014437376",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1137608138235023360",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T06:31:30+00:00",
   "text": "I am just starting to realize how utilitarian our economy already is.  It's far from perfect, but I feel very relieved.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137608138235023360",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1137590079629746176",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T05:19:45+00:00",
   "text": "turned super-snitch”.  “Le Roux is currently in US custody for ordering the assassinations of six people.” “He was a brilliant programmer and a vicious cartel boss, who became a prized U.S. government asset.” And this guy may have invented Bitcoin.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137590079629746176",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1137588664765210624"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137588664765210624",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T05:14:07+00:00",
   "text": "This guy, Paul Le Roux, really does have a fascinating life. He was born in Zimbabwe, is a genius programmer, & has lived & run various illegal businesses all around the world. He's a “Real-life Bond villain behind a cocaine and gun empire spanning four continents who’s now https://t.co/2GUg5YEU8M",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137588664765210624",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1137576220764364801",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T04:24:40+00:00",
   "text": "How about just not lie? Even white lies are rarely harmless. https://t.co/MiyEh9ASFo https://t.co/kZT1fkDGn6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137576220764364801",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1137574616514404358",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T04:18:18+00:00",
   "text": "Unpopular take here: I'd love to see a woman president sooner than later, but the presidency is too important of a role to select based off qualities that are independent of one's ability to perform the job. Rather than flip the bias, lets just try to be unbiased. https://t.co/KEgN1dFj9l",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137574616514404358",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1137572696563298306",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T04:10:40+00:00",
   "text": "Not to mention a great way to slow the economy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137572696563298306",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1137568659784650752"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137571732187860993",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T04:06:50+00:00",
   "text": "@SeanMcElwee @dylanmatt Ah he's \"Giving Aid and Comfort to the Enemy\". Don't mind the fact that they are purely seeking a better life and functionally, to participate in our economy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137571732187860993",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1137539348042309632"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137568659784650752",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T03:54:38+00:00",
   "text": "Two people can do favors for each other all day long, but as soon as you throw in a placeholder for value (I.e. money) & more people, the government has to come in and have a slice. What an absolute  violation of individual liberty and autonomy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137568659784650752",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1137563346042019840",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T03:33:31+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ @_FitCrit I think the private market is better for this. People do want to correct market failures but they donate it more wisely when it's their money. Too many bureaucrats wouldn't care because it's not their money and they didn't painstakingly earn it. They'd fund stuff like Make A Wish",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137563346042019840",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1137551844350210048"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137560979221438466",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T03:24:06+00:00",
   "text": "@bitpixi Ha aha ha. Sorry but I don't know too many people in the same apartment building or dorm that coordinate economically very much with each other, and everyone has a phone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137560979221438466",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1137554947174785026"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137547747320614912",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T02:31:32+00:00",
   "text": "@benadida I mean even a cubic cm of water is 1ml and 1 g. What's to hate about that?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137547747320614912",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1137544052453199872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137543475832983552",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T02:14:33+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian @ComedicBizman made it home. Thus, they should reinforce the areas that weren't hit by bullets. They did this and plane survivorship rates went up.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137543475832983552",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1137543280781144064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137543280781144064",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T02:13:47+00:00",
   "text": "@KyleBogosian @ComedicBizman I'm just saying I think he has survivorship bias. It's a reference to WW2 when Allied researchers were trying to have fewer planes get shot down. One person said we should put reinforce where the bullet holes are. A clever person noted that they are only seeing the planes that",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137543280781144064",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1137542484987437056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137537914286628864",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T01:52:27+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ The only way I'd be okay with this program is if I or another EA good at cost-benefit analysis were in charge of it and that most likely wouldn't happen. The program would most likely be less cost-effective than just not taxing people as much in the first place.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137537914286628864",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1137532254132088833"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137536595102457856",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T01:47:13+00:00",
   "text": "Shocked that it's me of all people who ended up with some of the best+most accurate beliefs. What are the odds of that? /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137536595102457856",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1137534814226194433",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T01:40:08+00:00",
   "text": "I used to scorn \"taxation is theft\" people, but now I am one of them (for income & sales taxes, not unimproved land-taxes or Pigouvian taxes).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137534814226194433",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1137532254132088833",
   "created_at": "2019-06-09T01:29:58+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ See my next tweet.  I just think there is more accountability with private charity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137532254132088833",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1137524947926913024"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137506887933616128",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T23:49:10+00:00",
   "text": "Proofs are one of the best things in life. Most of the uncertainty you ever had to have about something can just disappear.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137506887933616128",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1137502876987793413",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T23:33:14+00:00",
   "text": "@drama_zero @cosimia_ Ah smart contracts.  I was like that's money...you invented money.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137502876987793413",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1137497639186911232"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137501735851896833",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T23:28:42+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ There are, for example, Tyler Cowen's Emergent Ventures, the Meta EA Funds, GoFundMe, etc.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137501735851896833",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1137500511396085760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137500511396085760",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T23:23:50+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ or collect donations from people to implement it. There are private donors who understand that some good deeds are fundamentally neglected by market forces & most people's interests, yet should still be done, so they do fund people carefully",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137500511396085760",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1137500122093432832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137500122093432832",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T23:22:17+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I don't think they would.  Everyone and their mom would apply for it & the system would be abused. \n As a taxpayer, I don't want my money being taken at gunpoint & given to stranger's pet projects.  In general, if it's a good idea, people can make a fair business model out of it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137500122093432832",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1137496006566694912"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137493689503244290",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T22:56:43+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I think more rich people could offer grants like that, but that the government would be terrible about giving out money & it would quickly be abused.\n\nBanks also offer loans to people to start businesses, which survive by fulfilling other people's preferences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137493689503244290",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1137492880719638528"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137458515604320256",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T20:36:57+00:00",
   "text": "We need carbon taxes!\nhttps://t.co/9d1MjNE31X",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137458515604320256",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1137447343085826048",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T19:52:33+00:00",
   "text": "@spakhm Like is this a history of philosophy class or a what's-actually-not-been-falsified-yet philosophy class?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137447343085826048",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1137446661272297473"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137446661272297473",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T19:49:51+00:00",
   "text": "@spakhm I like that! I've long disliked all this deference to old people rather than just analyzing their ideas. My intro philosophy class spent like 1/6th of the time on Kant's bs categorical imperative & literally zero time on Bayesian Decision Theory or Harsanyi's utilitarian theorem.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137446661272297473",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1137441477041065984"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137440638927085574",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T19:25:55+00:00",
   "text": "@spakhm Statistically, I'd expect this to be the case too. Our population is larger, there is far more wealth for a greater percentage of the population to be writers, and of course, modern writers have more writers to learn from.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137440638927085574",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1137434392089915392"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137198881136156672",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T03:25:16+00:00",
   "text": "@thedragontony Just FYI you spell atheist wrong. IDC, but figured you'd want to know",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137198881136156672",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1102459912372842501"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137192358414561280",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T02:59:20+00:00",
   "text": "Why hasn't a universal TaskRabbit-style app taken off yet? Do people not have enough services they want to outsource to others? Is trust to low? Are their too many risks or regulations in this arena? Or has someone just not had the vision & the means to execute?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137192358414561280",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1137188954984333312",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T02:45:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AriDavidPaul: I don’t get most peoples’ reluctance to apologize or admit errors.  My respect for people usually goes up sharply when I…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137188954984333312",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1137186105906872322",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T02:34:30+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ShellenbergerMD: Nuclear energy:\n- has saved ~2M lives\n- is only way to radically decarbonize\n- uses 0.25% land as solar or wind\n- is l…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137186105906872322",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1137185360159657986",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T02:31:32+00:00",
   "text": "Price gouging sounds wrong but this short video eloquently describes why it should be legal:\nhttps://t.co/PQB3htAye8",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137185360159657986",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1137176689560236033",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T01:57:05+00:00",
   "text": "RT @mwiik: \"Why are people so bad at reasoning? For the same reason they’re so bad at letting poisonous spiders walk all over their face wi…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137176689560236033",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1137171426719535104",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T01:36:10+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ High IQ, EQ, & conscientiousness and low neuroticism. Strong Bayesian utilitarian memes & an economic system where natural resources are shared but markets are otherwise free. Perhaps ran by a council of the 7 people most voted for in an approval voting election.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137171426719535104",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1137167077817573376"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137156516954497025",
   "created_at": "2019-06-08T00:36:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ThomasSowell: One of the most dangerous trends of our times is making the truth socially unacceptable, or even illegal, with “hate spee…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137156516954497025",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1137143728479621125",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T23:46:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ShellenbergerMD: Chernobyl radiation did not crash a helicopter, was not contagious, and didn't kill that baby\n\nHere's the science that…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137143728479621125",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1137135043216891905",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T23:11:35+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils @cosimia_ Yes, I would support that. I'm not really a libertarian philosophically, just sort of economically.  If you can truly use my stuff more utilitarianly than I can, you can steal it from me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137135043216891905",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1137120856939933696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137111781313306626",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T21:39:09+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils @cosimia_ more efficient, vetted charities like GiveDirectly.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137111781313306626",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1137111728343453698"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137111728343453698",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T21:38:57+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils @cosimia_ I think people can help each other out more efficiently personally & through aid-organizations.  Frankly, I dislike having the fruits of my labor be stolen & given to random people who are too oft, frankly, moochers.  I'd rather help people out personally or through",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137111728343453698",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1137110541095329792"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137110541095329792",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T21:34:14+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils @cosimia_ I would like a better social safety net but I think the US's current welfare system is inefficient & creates too much dependency. It's not optimal for the long-term future. In a perfect world, I'd like to only see a negative income tax from a single land-value tax.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137110541095329792",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1137093537005223936"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137033867129434112",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T16:29:33+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Lewis_Bollard: This is the dairy industry’s model farm, the “Disneyland of agricultural tourism”. Yet even with 600k visitors/year + co…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137033867129434112",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1137031064768122883",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T16:18:25+00:00",
   "text": "Thank goodness, I really didn't want to change my lifestyle all that much /s https://t.co/nDoWUWR3PU",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137031064768122883",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1137026616255754247",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T16:00:44+00:00",
   "text": "I'm not saying I'm ready to go, but the world has already given me far more than I was ever owed.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137026616255754247",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1137025034701234176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137025034701234176",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T15:54:27+00:00",
   "text": "Death obviously sucks & I am rooting for Aubrey & the anti-aging movement. I enjoy my life & have a lot more that I want to do & should do in the utilitarian sense.I'm just saying that life has given me so so many experiences & it just feels like I have lived for so long already.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137025034701234176",
   "word_count": 57
  },
  {
   "id": "1137018440030543872",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T15:28:15+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHBarton @cosimia_ You might be interested in geolibertarianism. The idea is that we should tax resources like unimproved land & natural resources that everyone has a claim to but let markets operate more efficiently after that by letting people be entitled to the fruits of their own labor.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137018440030543872",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1136848123760787463"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137016174284345344",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T15:19:15+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ is also frequently insane. The economy is needlessly slowed down by trillions of dollars each year by gov't regulation that we could do w/out. Where gov't does need to operate, like in enforcing Pigouvian taxes and land-value taxes, it usually doesn't.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137016174284345344",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1137015090786525184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137015090786525184",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T15:14:57+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ inefficiency. I mean people can fulfill each other's preferences all day long, but as soon as you throw money into the equation as a precise placeholder for value, the gov't has to take a slice. That's insane. The amount of regulatory approval people need to start many businesses",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137015090786525184",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1137014004403134465"
  },
  {
   "id": "1137014004403134465",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T15:10:38+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I'm strictly a hedonic utilitarian, & think liberty is nothing intrinsically special. That being said, it's one of the best heuristics for the good imo, & government intervention in the economy usually has unintended negative consequences including creating much greater",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1137014004403134465",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1136810736234033152"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136962278962749440",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T11:45:05+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I think tech offers a better solution here (e.g. Glassdoor) rather than the government coming in w/ a minimum wage, which primarily just restricts workers' options & clouds the information supposed to be contained in a price.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136962278962749440",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1136961197083889664"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136961197083889664",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T11:40:47+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I do agree that labor is not as flexible as simple models assume & I assume it would help people move if we had a universal basic income. However, I'd say many of the incentives to stay in a bad paying job are part of people' utility function & are fair game.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136961197083889664",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1136792403195523073"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136959471400443909",
   "created_at": "2019-06-07T11:33:56+00:00",
   "text": "@dela3499 @cosimia_ And that could be the natural distribution of a land-value tax!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136959471400443909",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1136884942577831936"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136776298381094916",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T23:26:04+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanSandhoefner: If you could instantly modify one aspect of your personality (in any way), which would you choose?\n\n(Definitions in ne…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136776298381094916",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1136770064395526150",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T23:01:18+00:00",
   "text": "@eniolaDS I'd say the biggest problem is that we don't have a land-value tax, and that land 'owners' (rather than renters from the Commons) get away with stealing natural resources that belong to everyone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136770064395526150",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1136767728184942592"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136767907709575168",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:52:43+00:00",
   "text": "@jessi_cata I was thinking more zoomed in at the level of bit transfers between logic gates.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136767907709575168",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1136766133434896384"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136765687802859520",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:43:54+00:00",
   "text": "@eniolaDS Says who? Maybe you don't think it's worth it, but the people with the purse strings thing it is. They wouldn't pay for it if they didn't think it was worth it. https://t.co/eTrKawjnPd",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136765687802859520",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1136762873223532544"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136762739790102528",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:32:11+00:00",
   "text": "@jessi_cata From the view of an information processing agent, a choice isn't really made, but there is just the fluid processing of information.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136762739790102528",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1136762365201059843"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136762365201059843",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:30:42+00:00",
   "text": "@jessi_cata One of those views being that nothing is a choice because free will does not exist. Another view is that a choice, from the outside, is just the collapsing of the subjective options it seemed an agent could have made.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136762365201059843",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1136760707792289792"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136759275009859585",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:18:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JohnFugelsang: Once again, the media has decided Donald Trump is presidential because he didn't actually swear, sneeze up Adderall powd…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136759275009859585",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1136758752986746880",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:16:21+00:00",
   "text": "@eniolaDS you for your job. If the employer thinks the value of their labor is worth the price, they should be able to employ them over you.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136758752986746880",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1136758523336019979"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136758523336019979",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:15:26+00:00",
   "text": "@eniolaDS There is surprisingly little top quality CEO talent, and CEOs make or break companies. Higher prices mean they want to retain better talent. When wages drop below what people think they can get for their labor, they should leave. There is nothing wrong with someone under bidding",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136758523336019979",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1136756104518623234"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136751282771959808",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T21:46:40+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ Where businesses do underpay people, that means there is an opportunity for another business to swoop in and capture their talent with higher wages.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136751282771959808",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1136750889690157057"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136750889690157057",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T21:45:06+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I just say entrepreneurs because that's essentially what big business leaders still are and we oft forget that.  Competition is intense in most markets & for most companies & even big businesses frequently cannot sustainably pay people much more than they do.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136750889690157057",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1136739053183725568"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136750277061746691",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T21:42:40+00:00",
   "text": "@eniolaDS They get paid according to how much they satisfied people's preferences.  If their workers don't feel like they got a fair slice of the pie, they should have negotiated for better wages or quit earlier.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136750277061746691",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1136746854132125696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136748165015773189",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T21:34:16+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ https://t.co/0oJUEdgbp6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136748165015773189",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1136747352990130180"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136747352990130180",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T21:31:03+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ Many people say there is no objective value of someone's time, and that the market simply decides this through prices.  I think there is technically an objective value of someone's time in the utilitarian sense, but for all practical purposes, you can't beat the market.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136747352990130180",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1136737555469066240"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136737792699113482",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T20:53:04+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ Not saying the market is perfect at valuing everyone's labor all the time, & that we shouldn't be interested in increasing people's economic productivity so entrepreneurs can afford to pay them more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136737792699113482",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1136736794698027014"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136736794698027014",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T20:49:06+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I see the market as a free place for people to satisfy each other's preferences in mutually agreed upon ways.  We shouldn't bar people from doing low-value/time labor for each other not only out of principle, but because many people cannot even offer valuable enough labor/time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136736794698027014",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1136733260535386112"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136729171969880064",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T20:18:48+00:00",
   "text": "5 chess wins in a row let's go baby 😈",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136729171969880064",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1136709701834543104",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T19:01:26+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust Oh I gotcha. Thanks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136709701834543104",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1136709543512104961"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136709058247962625",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T18:58:53+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust I don't know if that's ironically and I appreciate you sharing it but it's a bit communistic for me",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136709058247962625",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1136706370672111616"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136705488173903873",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T18:44:42+00:00",
   "text": "What's the most woke take on unions?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136705488173903873",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1136704538692468736",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T18:40:55+00:00",
   "text": "efficient. It's ridiculous all the paperwork a company even needs to do just to take someone on. Labor shouldn't even be taxed, just as two people fulfilling each other's preferences w/out the intermediary of money shouldn't be taxed.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136704538692468736",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1136704536456957954"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136704536456957954",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T18:40:55+00:00",
   "text": "As a person hustling right now this summer, I am strongly against a minimum wage. If you raise the minimum wage beyond the productive value of someone's labor, employers simply can't afford to hire them. Let the market set wages & just work to make market transactions more",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136704536456957954",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1136698570080423937",
   "created_at": "2019-06-06T18:17:12+00:00",
   "text": "@then_there_was Minimum wage laws need to go first",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136698570080423937",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1136696624338497537"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136363146321584128",
   "created_at": "2019-06-05T20:04:21+00:00",
   "text": "Feel like evo psych should be taught to high schoolers along with tips for managing their personal evo psych. Could help more people see 'their desires' as what they frequently are: 'impersonal, evo psych-derived desires'.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136363146321584128",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1136362612168507392"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136362612168507392",
   "created_at": "2019-06-05T20:02:13+00:00",
   "text": "Many young men feel like signaling their bravado by displaying their ability to undergo & manage risk. Too often, the risk they choose is mortal risk, like free climbing or driving fast. Perhaps we should try to make it cooler to manage economic and social risks instead. https://t.co/qGv23dCeTV",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136362612168507392",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1136361127619768321",
   "created_at": "2019-06-05T19:56:20+00:00",
   "text": "To be clear, we are talking about economic/social risks like moving away from my girlfriend to attend college in San Francisco. My parents see eye-to-eye about physicals dangers like motorcycle riding.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136361127619768321",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1136352923909283840"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136360709330210822",
   "created_at": "2019-06-05T19:54:40+00:00",
   "text": "@_0mniman @Intrinsic29 Eh I would say economic risks and social risks, but I don't know about mortal risks like white water kayaking. I've done my share of mortally dangerous things that I don't think I had to do",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136360709330210822",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1136360278269005824"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136357953278271490",
   "created_at": "2019-06-05T19:43:43+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 see that I am not wired to be happy by playing it safe.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136357953278271490",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1136357289131159554"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136357289131159554",
   "created_at": "2019-06-05T19:41:04+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I guess it's family-dependent. My folks' vague worry does get me worried too but usually over nothing. I am intimately familiar w/ most of my risks & just want my folks to have confidence in me. My parents are just overly risk-averse because they grew up so poor & don't",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136357289131159554",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1136355312661778432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1136354750662922240",
   "created_at": "2019-06-05T19:30:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @charlesmurray: A careful reader is a pearl beyond price. https://t.co/qpS84DCfTz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136354750662922240",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1136352923909283840",
   "created_at": "2019-06-05T19:23:44+00:00",
   "text": "Telling your kids you're vaguely worried about them doesn't really help them. Just highlight specific risks with possible solutions or keep your worries to yourself and just have faith in them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136352923909283840",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1136307765499105281",
   "created_at": "2019-06-05T16:24:17+00:00",
   "text": "@dela3499 @mizroba @EvanSandhoefner @TetraspaceAdmn I got:\nLiberal democracy 67%\nAnarcho-capitalism 60%\nClassical liberalism 60%\nOne of those in not like the other 🤔",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1136307765499105281",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1136084878188040193"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135735134714564608",
   "created_at": "2019-06-04T02:28:51+00:00",
   "text": "@whyevernotso I was joking but I wonder if any activists have done that",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135735134714564608",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1135733721825304576"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135729417509068800",
   "created_at": "2019-06-04T02:06:08+00:00",
   "text": "@mdf_warrior Is voting against fracking a good idea?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135729417509068800",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1135696009835753473"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135729151263072259",
   "created_at": "2019-06-04T02:05:05+00:00",
   "text": "@whyevernotso Sounds like a new cause area",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135729151263072259",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1135700152985899009"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135696853809242112",
   "created_at": "2019-06-03T23:56:44+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nabeelqu: Excellent tweet 👇🏽\n\nRelated -- how hard it is to figure out what beliefs of yours are false. It all just seems like \"backgrou…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135696853809242112",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1135693738037174277",
   "created_at": "2019-06-03T23:44:21+00:00",
   "text": "Anyone have any thoughts in favor of fracking?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135693738037174277",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1135692064228859910",
   "created_at": "2019-06-03T23:37:42+00:00",
   "text": "@wesyang https://t.co/O1tj4ZGBuX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135692064228859910",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1135544468445302784"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135666080695889920",
   "created_at": "2019-06-03T21:54:27+00:00",
   "text": "@pdx_mavs @jackclarkSF @sama Yeah probably everyone on this thread should be voting",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135666080695889920",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1135665720950308864"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135662727886790656",
   "created_at": "2019-06-03T21:41:08+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils @sama Haha nice joke fellow homo economicus",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135662727886790656",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1135657880470917120"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135655255008514052",
   "created_at": "2019-06-03T21:11:26+00:00",
   "text": "RT @80000Hours: I had a fantastic conversation with @DeepMindAI scientist Pushmeet Kohli about how they're developing new ways to keep AI s…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135655255008514052",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1135609698806390784",
   "created_at": "2019-06-03T18:10:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JamesClear: A simple question with potentially wide-reaching implications: \n\nCan my current habits carry me to my desired future?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135609698806390784",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1135609143727931392",
   "created_at": "2019-06-03T18:08:13+00:00",
   "text": "@sama Adequately define your utility function & then just maximize expected utility.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135609143727931392",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1135575832942874624"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135608758745350144",
   "created_at": "2019-06-03T18:06:41+00:00",
   "text": "@jackclarkSF @sama I'd day only vote if you believe you are more informed and better at processing information than the average voter.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135608758745350144",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1135576827244580864"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135350890129440768",
   "created_at": "2019-06-03T01:02:00+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Haha no comment on that but I just got sunb*rnt kinda badly running a marathon shirtless last Sunday and she was helping me with the flaking on my back. She's a keeper",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135350890129440768",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1135349443052617734"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135222569471303680",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T16:32:06+00:00",
   "text": "@dela3499 Could the Many-Worlds Interpretation, if true, have any practical ethical implications?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135222569471303680",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1134984074874040320"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135211674791796738",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T15:48:49+00:00",
   "text": "@LifeMathMoney This creepy guy with a pneumatic tool told me to call a coin and said I had everything to gain if I called it right.  I called it right",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135211674791796738",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1134878325527023617"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135173422877761536",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T13:16:49+00:00",
   "text": "Economics is so much more complicated than I thought 🧐😩\nWhere can we buy extra computations again?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135173422877761536",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1135170213916401665",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T13:04:04+00:00",
   "text": "@PereGrimmer Thank god for computer algebra systems😉",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135170213916401665",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1135164258352816133"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135164052840288256",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T12:39:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @HomelandDems: Earlier this month, @DHSOIG made surprise visits to a @CBP Border Patrol facility in El Paso.\n\nHere's what they found: 75…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135164052840288256",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1135161572693819394",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T12:29:43+00:00",
   "text": "@PereGrimmer Convert to binary, process the flow of bits through the logic gates for multiplication, convert back to base 10. #NotARobot",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135161572693819394",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1134971218094907392"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135143147456147457",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T11:16:30+00:00",
   "text": "@JamesClear Epistemics. A couple weeks of studying what it means to be rational can save one from decades of wasted efforts from errant beliefs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135143147456147457",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1134964118786494466"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135122026576916480",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T09:52:35+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Psshh I still do this. Physicists haven't tried everything so they can't know for sure /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135122026576916480",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1135057179952570369"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135023717229170688",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T03:21:56+00:00",
   "text": "@bustyshacklford OkCupid too",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135023717229170688",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1134972186769350656"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135014818841337856",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T02:46:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RichRogersIoT: My wife asked me why I was speaking so softly at home.\n\nI told her I was afraid Mark Zuckerberg was listening!\n\nShe laug…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135014818841337856",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1135014165314187264",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T02:43:59+00:00",
   "text": "@RossDellenger Thought the SEC was busy going after insider traders? 🤔",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135014165314187264",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1134513654504808448"
  },
  {
   "id": "1135006605194530817",
   "created_at": "2019-06-02T02:13:56+00:00",
   "text": "@KirkegaardEmil #AccidentalRenaissance",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1135006605194530817",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1134913946614489088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134961189186875395",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T23:13:28+00:00",
   "text": "@sonyaellenmann @Intrinsic29 @jack (I'm just playing & frustrated w/ SCALA because I'm new to it)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134961189186875395",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1134960049204453376"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134960049204453376",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T23:08:56+00:00",
   "text": "@sonyaellenmann @Intrinsic29 @jack Maybe it's cuz SCALA sucks https://t.co/AbibmbQHgi",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134960049204453376",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1134958999009239041"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134958518396739590",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T23:02:51+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 @sonyaellenmann You present a compelling case. I wonder why @jack hasn't implemented this?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134958518396739590",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1134954744487632896"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134941004266647559",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T21:53:16+00:00",
   "text": "@sonyaellenmann @Intrinsic29 I feel like trolls would still use that to dupe people & the avg user doesn't want to have to check old versions to get the clear story.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134941004266647559",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1134939643718250496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134867332008992768",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T17:00:31+00:00",
   "text": "@ATabarrok Yes! https://t.co/CYSswMT3d7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134867332008992768",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1134861033925857282"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134852714796478464",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T16:02:26+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 To me, that far outweighs being able to slightly more easily fix spelling errors.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134852714796478464",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1134851625296814082"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134851625296814082",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T15:58:06+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I'm glad the edit button isn't a thing. It keeps Twitter as an immutable public record of everyone's opinions at a certain time, minus the ability to delete Tweets.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134851625296814082",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1134847554087034881"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134827502512345089",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T14:22:15+00:00",
   "text": "Independent collection & evaluation of unique sets of information is a powerful safeguard against the formation of bubbles. Is the ideal heuristic then for individuals to select some of their information sets via entropy?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134827502512345089",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1134824518797660160",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T14:10:23+00:00",
   "text": "Women's desires for abortions carry strong information about the likely welfare of the child & herself & the economic optimality of her having a child at that moment.  That information often tips the permissibility scales, so the societal-wide heuristic should be pro-choice.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134824518797660160",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1134824517375856642"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134824517375856642",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T14:10:23+00:00",
   "text": "Most pro-life arguments are weak. My response:\nEmpty individualism (https://t.co/agmSlqUzs2) is true, counterfactual potential children have heavy moral value, & avg lives today are worth living, but not overwhelmingly so. 1/n",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134824517375856642",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1134820224149139458",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T13:53:20+00:00",
   "text": "I only believe in cost-benefit style thinking, but the heuristic here needs to be to impeach when a president commits impeachable offenses. The downstream effects are not guaranteed to be bad.\nhttps://t.co/EZIOGn1kUt https://t.co/6mxngwhu5t",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134820224149139458",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1134818857498161152",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T13:47:54+00:00",
   "text": "Worse nightmare for someone at my GF's work.  Their fiance was admitted from a motorcycle accident & died ☹️.\nIncompetent 83-year-old drivers should not be on the road especially because they often don't have the capital to be sued adequately.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134818857498161152",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1134808427266527232",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T13:06:27+00:00",
   "text": "\"If public policy is governed by the precautionary principle, the result will be fewer services, lower-quality goods, higher prices, diminished economic growth, and a decline in the overall standard of living.\" https://t.co/2LkuUnqopG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134808427266527232",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1134612992677556224",
   "created_at": "2019-06-01T00:09:52+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Maybe to get back at verbose writers , I'll turn my above tweet into a book. 😜",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134612992677556224",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1134611540370513921"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134608169806827520",
   "created_at": "2019-05-31T23:50:42+00:00",
   "text": "So many turn what should be barely be 5k words into 100k+ 😝",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134608169806827520",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1134607835130662912"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134607835130662912",
   "created_at": "2019-05-31T23:49:22+00:00",
   "text": "Can more non-fiction authors please write more concise books?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134607835130662912",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1134587543658409984",
   "created_at": "2019-05-31T22:28:44+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist I think actions, consequences, and behaviors can be described as evil, but not people, seeing that free will is not even metaphysically possible and stable identities are not technically a thing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134587543658409984",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1134581063123124226"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134584698192183298",
   "created_at": "2019-05-31T22:17:26+00:00",
   "text": "@spakhm Oh please no.  I probably would have forked over a lot of money to my exes if this was a norm. \"Sorry, you couldn't do anything about it, here's $1000, please don't be sad\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134584698192183298",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1134583521396215808"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134519574093881355",
   "created_at": "2019-05-31T17:58:39+00:00",
   "text": "Medical ethics need improvement. I hate hearing about all the abuse my girlfriend goes through in her neuro/surgical/trauma ICU. She has to deal w/ so many creepy, violent assholes w/ no recourse. If you're not going to be a good patient, you can get kicked to the fucking curb",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134519574093881355",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1134511796033900544",
   "created_at": "2019-05-31T17:27:45+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils That's impressive",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134511796033900544",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1134510726423437312"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134323986567815168",
   "created_at": "2019-05-31T05:01:27+00:00",
   "text": "This is actually pretty awesome. So excited to be moving to SF in August!\n\nThe Bay Area MemeSpace – Silicon Valley’s Most Contagious Ideas https://t.co/ltecDOtUAv via @infobeautiful",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134323986567815168",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1134321007274020865",
   "created_at": "2019-05-31T04:49:37+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Thanks Mizrob! You too😃",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134321007274020865",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1134318716055838721"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134314088866013184",
   "created_at": "2019-05-31T04:22:07+00:00",
   "text": "This is like a decade away but I want to go here\nhttps://t.co/T1xeP9qkgQ\n😩",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134314088866013184",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1134271738181824512",
   "created_at": "2019-05-31T01:33:50+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner You're right. I probably need some more physical hobbies but I overall hope I can work at a desk long-term.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134271738181824512",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1134256758891790336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134256558098079745",
   "created_at": "2019-05-31T00:33:31+00:00",
   "text": "@dela3499 I was just joking about the 3 words, but I do think that smart people (and possibly your average person) having kids statistically reduces x-risk, especially if the parents share their concern about x-risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134256558098079745",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1134251784715849730"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134209659227836419",
   "created_at": "2019-05-30T21:27:10+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner ways to slow down human technology progress to reduce x-risk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134209659227836419",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1134199891863805952"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134144046048436225",
   "created_at": "2019-05-30T17:06:26+00:00",
   "text": "@XiXiDu Apologizing for one's ancestors is dumb because special obligations don't exist. https://t.co/tFkJoV8xn8",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134144046048436225",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1134142816798543872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1134142548769955845",
   "created_at": "2019-05-30T17:00:29+00:00",
   "text": "😍 this warms my heart tremendously. Future people matter too https://t.co/GRXzKLFn2t",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1134142548769955845",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1133783283836379136",
   "created_at": "2019-05-29T17:12:54+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 @IrrevererentJil @mseggshelledna Oh well shit. I reported him",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133783283836379136",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1133782631575764992"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133782410330562560",
   "created_at": "2019-05-29T17:09:25+00:00",
   "text": "@IrrevererentJil @mseggshelledna @Intrinsic29 The account is from the lens of a wolf. It's most certainly a joke",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133782410330562560",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1133773856227725314"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133772626936107009",
   "created_at": "2019-05-29T16:30:33+00:00",
   "text": "Prioritize existential risk https://t.co/EG1dPkxXEK",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133772626936107009",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1133762493132759040",
   "created_at": "2019-05-29T15:50:17+00:00",
   "text": "@mrsaltie @Intrinsic29 *forehead slap*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133762493132759040",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1133760634460495872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133748232499159040",
   "created_at": "2019-05-29T14:53:37+00:00",
   "text": "@ASI @DanielPryorr tRaDe iS zErO-SuM",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133748232499159040",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1133747371148554242"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133747898393530368",
   "created_at": "2019-05-29T14:52:17+00:00",
   "text": "@paulg I was way too old when I realized it wasn't 'survival of the fetus'",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133747898393530368",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1133709981998571520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133747371148554242",
   "created_at": "2019-05-29T14:50:11+00:00",
   "text": "@ASI @DanielPryorr aS lOnG aS wE aRe NeT-eXpOrTeRs, wE WiN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133747371148554242",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1133735402924380161"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133731493082218496",
   "created_at": "2019-05-29T13:47:06+00:00",
   "text": "@HaydenWilko Looking forward to see your talk!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133731493082218496",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1133728220396892160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133580309776224257",
   "created_at": "2019-05-29T03:46:21+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @LancsARV Is innocent until proven guilty not a thing in the UK?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133580309776224257",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1133447670939430912"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133579128509206533",
   "created_at": "2019-05-29T03:41:39+00:00",
   "text": "@NathanMFranz Thanks Nathan!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133579128509206533",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1133565065347719168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133432773836980224",
   "created_at": "2019-05-28T18:00:06+00:00",
   "text": "@ProjectVayo I honestly haven't read too many books on the subject. Just a my share of articles and papers. https://t.co/a1yBTy3r9t\nhas some decent info",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133432773836980224",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1133429680516739072"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133424320380903425",
   "created_at": "2019-05-28T17:26:30+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Harjeet: We were skeptical of bootcamps at first. Now I think they should exist for every subject. 3 month sabbaticals for intense lear…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133424320380903425",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1133406855722618880",
   "created_at": "2019-05-28T16:17:06+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @BBCNews They should just have a period of bidding for climbing licenses, w/ no transferring of licenses to people other than the original bidder.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133406855722618880",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1133406060012867585"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133174549149835265",
   "created_at": "2019-05-28T00:54:00+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ehn: Thank you, EU! $150bn of regulatory overhead. Imagine what else could have been done with those resources. Imagine all the product…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133174549149835265",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1133138992520671233",
   "created_at": "2019-05-27T22:32:43+00:00",
   "text": "@HaydenWilko They're on to us 😱",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133138992520671233",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1133137551273934853"
  },
  {
   "id": "1133137941528817665",
   "created_at": "2019-05-27T22:28:32+00:00",
   "text": "RT @devonzuegel: I’m increasingly of the belief that incentive design is the most important problem to work on. Humans are good at overcomi…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133137941528817665",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1133050640354168832",
   "created_at": "2019-05-27T16:41:38+00:00",
   "text": "RT @fortelabs: 1/ I’ve concluded that when we have kids, a full-time nanny will be an absolute requirement. It will be worth sacrificing in…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133050640354168832",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1133037405710299137",
   "created_at": "2019-05-27T15:49:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @L1AD: @naval Listened to something recently about that point\n\nEssentially human behaviour deviates from pure rationality the longer the…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1133037405710299137",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1132983898324033536",
   "created_at": "2019-05-27T12:16:25+00:00",
   "text": "@ewanbirney \"This is wrong on a number of levels; ethically it is wrong to make this decision as an independent laboratory without broad societal buy in\"\nYour average person is by no means an arbiter of moral truth.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1132983898324033536",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1132736637509742593"
  },
  {
   "id": "1132784625019957248",
   "created_at": "2019-05-26T23:04:35+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Idk 95% might be a bit high from other estimates I have seen.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1132784625019957248",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1132782926641410048"
  },
  {
   "id": "1132782926641410048",
   "created_at": "2019-05-26T22:57:50+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I feel that a nuclear winter could reasonably get that sort of percentile if most crops failed, and that there is well over a 1% chance of a nuclear winter by 2100.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1132782926641410048",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1132778820560457728"
  },
  {
   "id": "1132707853037391872",
   "created_at": "2019-05-26T17:59:31+00:00",
   "text": "Another marathon ☑️\nIn case anyone had any doubts, being optimized for running a 10k fast does not mean you are ready to have a good time running a marathon.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1132707853037391872",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1132094918216830976",
   "created_at": "2019-05-25T01:23:56+00:00",
   "text": "@Raptorel @EvanSandhoefner https://t.co/t1srWwDjg7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1132094918216830976",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1131961548216385536"
  },
  {
   "id": "1132094760741756928",
   "created_at": "2019-05-25T01:23:18+00:00",
   "text": "@jambarree @RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner https://t.co/t1srWwDjg7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1132094760741756928",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1131992463764275200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1132075769407168516",
   "created_at": "2019-05-25T00:07:51+00:00",
   "text": "I wrote another blog post about this, hopefully describing it better:\nhttps://t.co/L6XBtDOkWR\nI am going to read through more physics literature like The Emergent Multiverse to try to falsify this idea",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1132075769407168516",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1131961607326707712"
  },
  {
   "id": "1132067329439883264",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T23:34:18+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanSandhoefner: Which of these views, if any, is true?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1132067329439883264",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1131992463764275200",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T18:36:49+00:00",
   "text": "@jambarree @RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner decision? Or do I go with the decision that fewer of my selves ought to make?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131992463764275200",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1131992228992303106"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131992228992303106",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T18:35:53+00:00",
   "text": "@jambarree @RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner I don't think my decisions have anything to do with the branching. I can just see which world I ended up in based on seeing a quantum generated bit string. Did I end up in the more probable world where I now ought to choose the more choice-worthy (but still not fully computed)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131992228992303106",
   "word_count": 56,
   "in_reply_to": "1131990708796047360"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131976481108836353",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T17:33:18+00:00",
   "text": "@RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner I don't know what you mean by decisions aren't delimited in that way.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131976481108836353",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1131976098730926081"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131976098730926081",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T17:31:47+00:00",
   "text": "@RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner I wouldn't want 99% of nearby child worlds to be damned to the same outcomes of a nuclear exchange, for instance.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131976098730926081",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1131975916039671809"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131975916039671809",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T17:31:04+00:00",
   "text": "@RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner uncertainty about the choice-worthiness of decisions could at least make the future less fragile.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131975916039671809",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1131975857566834688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131975857566834688",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T17:30:50+00:00",
   "text": "@RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner operations occur in our brain and we produce so few high level decisions. In most child worlds, I think we do the same things.\n\nSuffering and well-being is morally relevant in these child worlds, so I assume that having a proper distribution of child worlds based on our",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131975857566834688",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1131975772728696832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131975772728696832",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T17:30:29+00:00",
   "text": "@RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner I am not sure branches do proliferate to a proper degree. E.g. I think there may literally be zero nearby sister universes where I run and jump out the window right now. Our brain's cycles have to be pretty robust against individual quantum phenomena because so many quantum",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131975772728696832",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1131963483019456512"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131961607326707712",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:34:12+00:00",
   "text": "they are all following the same heuristic, and 60% of the Alices pick A and 40% pick B. Then, if A turns out to be worse than B, at least not all the worlds are damned to having made the worse decision.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131961607326707712",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1131960395785285632"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131961548216385536",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:33:58+00:00",
   "text": "@Raptorel @EvanSandhoefner just pick A if she's out of time. But under MWI, my hypothesis is that she should base her decision off a bit string that can only be quantum generated say, 60% of the time. Then, if she is on fact, 'splitting' and there are many Alices in separate branches making this decision,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131961548216385536",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1131960989543469056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131960989543469056",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:31:45+00:00",
   "text": "@Raptorel @EvanSandhoefner I didn't provide an example of this sort of decision making...take an agent Alice who faces two decisions A and B. She runs out of time computing which one is better and must make a decision. She is only slightly more sure A is better than B. Without MWI, she obviously should",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131960989543469056",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1131833388522975232"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131960395785285632",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:29:23+00:00",
   "text": "they are all following the same heuristic, and 60% of the Alices pick A and 40% pick B. Then, if A turns out to be worse than B, at least not all the worlds are damned to having made the worse decision.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131960395785285632",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1131960394686373889"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131960394686373889",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:29:23+00:00",
   "text": "just pick A if she's out of time. But under MWI, my hypothesis is that she should base her decision off a bit string that can only be quantum generated say, 60% of the time. Then, if she is on fact, 'splitting' and there are many Alices in separate branches making this decision,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131960394686373889",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1131960393000263680"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131960393000263680",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:29:23+00:00",
   "text": "I didn't provide an example of this sort of decision making...take an agent Alice who faces two decisions A and B. She runs out of time computing which one is better and must make a decision. She is only slightly more sure A is better than B. Without MWI, she obviously should",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131960393000263680",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1131823017561075714"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131958223014125569",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:20:45+00:00",
   "text": "@RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner Can you point out exactly where you think I messed up?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131958223014125569",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1131894963896299520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131823017561075714",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T07:23:30+00:00",
   "text": "end of the world if Many Worlds is false.  Anyways, what are your thoughts on this? Should we all start encoding our decision options into numbers, seeking out quantum-generated bit strings, & start making decisions based on the generated nums? Or have I misunderstood something?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131823017561075714",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1131823016462180352"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131823016462180352",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T07:23:30+00:00",
   "text": "and assign a 10% chance of this conception of it of it (I'm not trying to 'interpret it', but literally understand what MWI means), whenever you are sufficiently uncertain about a decision & sufficiently calibrated, I argue that it shouldn't really hurt to do this. It's not the",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131823016462180352",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1131823015497469959"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131823015497469959",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T07:23:29+00:00",
   "text": "brain is a robust enough system against quantum fluctuations that I bet 99% of child worlds make the same decision. Basing decisions off of quantum-generated randomness is the only way to ensure diversity of outcomes! Even if you only assign Many Worlds a 50% of being true,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131823015497469959",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1131823014587326464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131823014587326464",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T07:23:29+00:00",
   "text": "demarcate the splitting of worlds like radioactive decay or the photoelectric effect? Whatever type of decisions we are making, if we don't base them on randomness, we are (under MWI) damning nearly all child worlds to the same outcomes. Even when one feels highly uncertain, the",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131823014587326464",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1131823013631004672"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131823013631004672",
   "created_at": "2019-05-24T07:23:29+00:00",
   "text": "I want to say that I'm crazy for thinking this, but it seems that the Many Worlds Interpretation is responsible for most of the craziness about this...don't we seriously want to choose our courses-of-action based on recently produced, true sources of randomness that",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131823013631004672",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1131406021539377152",
   "created_at": "2019-05-23T03:46:30+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ Well, I mean, it's a complicated issue...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131406021539377152",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1131401248614244353"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131399289954082816",
   "created_at": "2019-05-23T03:19:45+00:00",
   "text": "@arenyorg What even is your policy? Are you just advocating the gov't to pay for jobs that wouldn't be demanded for by the free market (that don't have to deal with satisfying the preferences of future people)? Are you for rent control?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131399289954082816",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1129120223037145089"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131354944005705731",
   "created_at": "2019-05-23T00:23:32+00:00",
   "text": "RT @juliagalef: I feel a special kind of urgency to figure out where I stand on fringe views just starting to gain traction:\n\nIf they becom…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131354944005705731",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1131345772170104834",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T23:47:06+00:00",
   "text": "-CRISPR experiments\n-high energy particle experiments\n-buying lots of processing power\n-omnicidal desires, or at least those not motivated by s-risk\n-activities deliberately hidden from view\n\nI have not thought much at all about a date, but perhaps 2050.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131345772170104834",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1131344402025201664"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131344402025201664",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T23:41:39+00:00",
   "text": "What's a list of the sorts of thing AI cameras in a surveillance state will have to look for to drastically reduce agential risk in accordance w/ Nick Bostrom's Vulnerable World Hypothesis? Also, what is the median date this surveillance state should be set up by? https://t.co/aJbUjXQb02",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131344402025201664",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1131340600740130818",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T23:26:33+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Right? And I think we can avoid the slippery slope of restricting all types of freedom. Just need to keep a sharp eye on activities that could be an x/s-risk like homemade CRISPR & particle accelerator experiments",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131340600740130818",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1131338844152819714"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131304948468211712",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T21:04:53+00:00",
   "text": "@RhonaRaskin Guarantee you that wasn't a dollar store laser, but the glasses are a good call",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131304948468211712",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1131296869127077889"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131301035467792384",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T20:49:20+00:00",
   "text": "@webdevMason Definitely seems like there is an available market for this. A company should contract w/ major news sites & via a browser extension, allow people to pay ~5¢ for access to certain articles.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131301035467792384",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1131279534014119936"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131285063449088000",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T19:45:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @webdevMason: I still *really* don't understand why there isn't a digital wallet I can just load up and use to buy single articles from…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131285063449088000",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1131278326432190465",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T19:19:05+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner It seriously challenges the traditional notion that a global surveillance state is always going to be a bad thing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131278326432190465",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1131277109135982592"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131260722950881281",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T18:09:08+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MattPirkowski: I'd like to see future modes of governance consider dynamic corporate taxation based upon externality prediction markets…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131260722950881281",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1131251876803035136",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T17:33:59+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Are there an infinite number of physics operations going into a sustaining a person over their life time? I think we have very high finite value, but not infinite.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131251876803035136",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1131227726411640832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131010887777685504",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T01:36:23+00:00",
   "text": "@3blue1brown Bayesian update consistently",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131010887777685504",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1130976914825392128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131010682550411264",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T01:35:34+00:00",
   "text": "@aaronzlewis @3blue1brown It's just probability * utility 😉",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131010682550411264",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1131005231750234112"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131006274966040576",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T01:18:03+00:00",
   "text": "@ciphergoth Idk but I've filmed C4 detonating and there is surprisingly little blur. It seems that capturing a frame takes hardly any time, but processing that to take a successive one takes the majority of the time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131006274966040576",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1130994416166957061"
  },
  {
   "id": "1131004694048968704",
   "created_at": "2019-05-22T01:11:46+00:00",
   "text": "@3blue1brown Always maximize expected utility",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1131004694048968704",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1130976914825392128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130895539871080448",
   "created_at": "2019-05-21T17:58:02+00:00",
   "text": "@HaydenWilko weather, stock markets, news cycles, traffic?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130895539871080448",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1130886381289529344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130869769933152257",
   "created_at": "2019-05-21T16:15:38+00:00",
   "text": "@ludwig_raal Depends on the strength of the view and moreover, the epistemic hygiene of the belief holder.  Just become someone is even say, omnicidal doesn't mean the immediately deserve a bullet or even to be barred from a community.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130869769933152257",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1130810043409084418"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130850182709501952",
   "created_at": "2019-05-21T14:57:48+00:00",
   "text": "years today...that shit had me f*cked up. Those middle-aged men & women were kicking my ass today 😩\nTriathlon fitness != all kinds of fitness",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130850182709501952",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1130843314687795200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130843314687795200",
   "created_at": "2019-05-21T14:30:30+00:00",
   "text": "So I've primarily been training as a collegiate triathlete for the past 1.5 years (triathlon is too $$$$ & non-utilitarian to pay for myself, but if my school was going to pay for somebody to compete, it might as well have been me).  Did my first full on met-con in ~1.5",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130843314687795200",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1130649033716969477",
   "created_at": "2019-05-21T01:38:30+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Noahpinion: Ban noncompete agreements. Ban them completely. Ban them throughout the country. Ban them now. https://t.co/7mWXaZW99r",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130649033716969477",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1130646054330875904",
   "created_at": "2019-05-21T01:26:40+00:00",
   "text": "@webdevMason I love the idea of a big projects-based curriculum. It's the best way to really learn and build self efficacy IMO. If a local school doesn't have a curriculum based around big self-managed projects by the time my future kids are of age, I think I am going to home school them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130646054330875904",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1130642651269611520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130630528904966145",
   "created_at": "2019-05-21T00:24:58+00:00",
   "text": "@webdevMason The 7 classes is insane too, at least it was for me. I much prefer to dive into something for 3-4 hours straight. The understanding gained is so much deeper. Classes should be 3-6 weeks long and much more intense, w/ students only taking 2 classes at a time, IMO.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130630528904966145",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1130624259590631425"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130626302682292227",
   "created_at": "2019-05-21T00:08:11+00:00",
   "text": "Oh maybe I am just dumb or inexperienced or naive AF 🤷‍♂️",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130626302682292227",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1130465702622711808"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130478969499934720",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T14:22:44+00:00",
   "text": "RT @webmasterdave: Rationalising suffering we can't prevent is good. But #CRISPR-based gene drives make wild-animal suffering potentially e…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130478969499934720",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1130477909729316865",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T14:18:31+00:00",
   "text": "@morganhousel Tesla was more hyped than Dominoes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130477909729316865",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1130470005848576001"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130465702622711808",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T13:30:01+00:00",
   "text": "imagine how it is for an outsider to actually mentally adopt this law. Don't get me wrong, any single law isn't that bad, but it's the combination of them that effectively works to bar so many people from doing creative entrepreneurial work in the marketplace.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130465702622711808",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1130465700840128514"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130465700840128514",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T13:30:00+00:00",
   "text": "I think this is partially a neglected issue because people don't want to admit that they are 'dumb' enough to actually be mentally taxed by the bureaucracies we have built. Further, lawmakers are intimately familiar with any law they pass & probably often don't really try to",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130465700840128514",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1130464371761668098"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130464371761668098",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T13:24:43+00:00",
   "text": "bureaucratic overhead.  Now I know some of this is necessary even given the cost of the increased mental load we place on people. But if we truly factored in this mental load, I think we'd decide that the benefits of a lot of laws & rules are not enough to make them worth it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130464371761668098",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1130464370767683584"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130464370767683584",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T13:24:43+00:00",
   "text": "by preventing the needless burning of computations by drastically simplifying the socioeconomic-legal game we all play. Taxes need to be simpler. The law needs to be simpler. People are frequently paralyzed by what exactly it is they can and can't do because we have built so much",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130464370767683584",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1130464369895268353"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130464369895268353",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T13:24:43+00:00",
   "text": "computationally efficient tools like language & Bayesian updating. Genetic engineering is also another possible, partial long term solution. But I think an under-rated, tractable area where we can improve people's general problem solving ability is",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130464369895268353",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1130464368032964609"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130464368032964609",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T13:24:43+00:00",
   "text": "In general, humanity is at that precarious line of intelligence where it barely realizes it needs far more intelligence to solve its problems. There are a few ways to increase this intelligence & problem solving ability that we are all familiar w/: pass around high quality,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130464368032964609",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1130454057930428418",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T12:43:44+00:00",
   "text": "RT @alexeyguzey: 1/ this essay is brilliant\n\n\"I’ve been a graduate student in physics for almost three years, but I only recently figured o…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130454057930428418",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1130452339821817856",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T12:36:55+00:00",
   "text": "@ProjectVayo Sorry I don't follow. I think employers, which are just people, would spend money they earned in honest economic transactions to satisfy their own preferences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130452339821817856",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1130344670112784385"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130343579195498498",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T05:24:44+00:00",
   "text": "Make courts stronger and allow judges to use more independent discretion.  Make it so people don't have to consult a lawyer or worry about the law for carrying out the simplest economic actions in the marketplace.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130343579195498498",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1130342256324546560"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130342256324546560",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T05:19:29+00:00",
   "text": "All we need is a land-value tax that prices ecological services at a sustainable price &amp; which is high enough to provide for the common defense &amp; fund the minimum necessary government. Do away with all bureaucratic welfare programs and establish a minimal negative income tax.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130342256324546560",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1130339610419245056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130339610419245056",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T05:08:58+00:00",
   "text": "Taxes on income that's the fruit of labor and free market interactions is insane.  Anybody should be able to do any sort of private transaction short of selling harvested organs without having to report it and pay taxes. The only thing that makes sense to tax is land-use.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130339610419245056",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1130327767470563334",
   "created_at": "2019-05-20T04:21:54+00:00",
   "text": "I didn't know Google Alerts existed until recently, but it's pretty awesome.\nhttps://t.co/FDZNC5NO5x\nIt's a good way to follow niche interests and notice if anyone is coordinating on the web to sabotage you.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130327767470563334",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1130248057306656768",
   "created_at": "2019-05-19T23:05:10+00:00",
   "text": "@fortelabs Floridians have relatively less ambition. Startup culture is far weaker.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130248057306656768",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1130184506508550148"
  },
  {
   "id": "1130116728921427968",
   "created_at": "2019-05-19T14:23:19+00:00",
   "text": "My reasons for resigning from West Point for the curious:\nhttps://t.co/oD1meGMwKJ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130116728921427968",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1130057022408470529",
   "created_at": "2019-05-19T10:26:04+00:00",
   "text": "Make Organ Donation an \"opt out\"  https://t.co/vdg4lNGdvR @moveon",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1130057022408470529",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1129914923436392455",
   "created_at": "2019-05-19T01:01:25+00:00",
   "text": "It appears that even the Open Philanthropy Project is YIMBY https://t.co/YaEsNHt1H3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1129914923436392455",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1129491962644582400",
   "created_at": "2019-05-17T21:00:43+00:00",
   "text": "Why do all these businesses have the same hours, contributing to such bad traffic? Wouldn't more alternative shifts, like a 6-2 or a 10-6 help this out?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1129491962644582400",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1129439039084474368",
   "created_at": "2019-05-17T17:30:25+00:00",
   "text": "@MandyCarter_ It's a broken link for me",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1129439039084474368",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1129112521120653315"
  },
  {
   "id": "1129398671295094786",
   "created_at": "2019-05-17T14:50:01+00:00",
   "text": "So I bought some NFC stickers a while back & finally decided to try to use them for some DIY hacking...apparently, a phone w/ an NFC chip can store 492 bytes of data into them! These are like 20 cent stickers. 🤯",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1129398671295094786",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1129394730733854721",
   "created_at": "2019-05-17T14:34:21+00:00",
   "text": "RT @DavidRhysBern: Also interesting to see how most typical economics fails to capture the importance of the long-run impacts of our action…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1129394730733854721",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1129342826762985472",
   "created_at": "2019-05-17T11:08:06+00:00",
   "text": "Counterfactual people and their quality of life are unavoidably part of the equation. https://t.co/wamh6sUwEf https://t.co/XmetpZqjqC",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1129342826762985472",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1129341176216248320",
   "created_at": "2019-05-17T11:01:33+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils Can you tweet via text message? https://t.co/CrgAjJoymM",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1129341176216248320",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1129340740126035973"
  },
  {
   "id": "1129340493685567490",
   "created_at": "2019-05-17T10:58:50+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Aella_Girl: Just a reminder that what it feels like to believe a Totally Wrong Thing feels suspiciously similar to what it feels like t…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1129340493685567490",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1129340074284474370",
   "created_at": "2019-05-17T10:57:10+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils Can you tweet without otherwise using Twitter?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1129340074284474370",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1129339628060893184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1129201476503519232",
   "created_at": "2019-05-17T01:46:26+00:00",
   "text": "RT @antirobust: imagine being so triggered by architecture that you seize the powers of the state to dominate your neighbor and control wha…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1129201476503519232",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1128776468627185666",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T21:37:36+00:00",
   "text": "How I feel waiting to get picked up by my amazing girlfriend: https://t.co/adURxjEOY4",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128776468627185666",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1128771442642948099"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128775419560374272",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T21:33:26+00:00",
   "text": "Considering a thought is not accepting it. 😉 https://t.co/c5ybyKvVRL",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128775419560374272",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1128771442642948099",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T21:17:38+00:00",
   "text": "FYI I was an enlisted Army engineer diver before I was a cadet. But I'm free to pursue the highest impact cause areas now. Not that US Military service isn't a great thing, but some people's comparative advantage lies elsewhere, like in 80,000 Hour's recommended career paths. https://t.co/Un93AanGNu",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128771442642948099",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1128737029158731782",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T19:00:53+00:00",
   "text": "@LEBassett I am not trying to make a naturalistic fallacy, but do these politicians realize how common natural miscarriages are? They happen all the time, often to women who often don't even know they are pregnant.  Are we going to mandate control of all of the risk factors for this too?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128737029158731782",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1128455886706552838"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128733999977959424",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T18:48:51+00:00",
   "text": "@shailjapatel What kind of calculation is this? The emotion of getting 'policed up' (advised about a genuine problem) is worse than living your entire life with a severely damaged brain? You need to delete this. Everybody needs to speak up when the benefits justify 'offending' someone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128733999977959424",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1128226802663612416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128732434005221379",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T18:42:37+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RyanHoliday: \"It is a true proverb, that if you live with a lame man, you will learn to limp.\" Plutarch",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128732434005221379",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1128731451887955969",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T18:38:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @juliaoftoronto: It baffles me how many major news sites STILL don't link to the primary studies their stories are based on. 😕😕😕\n\nCan't…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128731451887955969",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1128729816394604544",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T18:32:13+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Canada is too cold. Australia & New Zealand are on the table for me down the road",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128729816394604544",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1128715855867580416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128729494238519297",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T18:30:56+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 Rights definitely do not exist imo, but I'm cool with someone arguing for a really good heuristic that one shouldn't normally consider breaking",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128729494238519297",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1128711473222471680"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128696687059505158",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T16:20:35+00:00",
   "text": "Going to be a civilian in ~3 hours 😃",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128696687059505158",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1128688467272249344",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T15:47:55+00:00",
   "text": "Partial source = Bostrom's Vulnerable World Hypothesis",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128688467272249344",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1128505606082580481"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128550860496277504",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T06:41:07+00:00",
   "text": "@Scruffff Sorry I realized I don't want to spread this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128550860496277504",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1128550546988650496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128537257533685760",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:47:04+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust @drethelin Oh sh*t I forgot about that incoming threat 🙃",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128537257533685760",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1128534547467882496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128534878272786432",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:37:36+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 That makes a lot of sense. However, I still feel like there is an objective value system out there and once we get a good enough understanding of physics, this value system may somehow be revealed to us.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128534878272786432",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1128513001009500160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128533328854953984",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:31:27+00:00",
   "text": "Not saying they should, I am just pointing out a seemingly glaring inconsistency.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128533328854953984",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1128504792525963264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128532350571286528",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:27:34+00:00",
   "text": "throw*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128532350571286528",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1128508809243189248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128532149731241986",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:26:46+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ It's seriously the weirdest thing. We avg. 1 active shooter a day now. I mean I know the avg. person is still about 3x more at risk dying in an auto-accident, but it's high enough that I want to carry.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128532149731241986",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1128529834609500161"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128528944116961280",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:14:01+00:00",
   "text": "@N4V1GAT0R I feel like there has to be something a lot more fundamental going on in pain and pleasure receptors than just their effect on a system of neurons.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128528944116961280",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1128101753566658561"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128528767968841729",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:13:19+00:00",
   "text": "Many people are way too fond of (basically) zero-sum games. Examples include sports and prestige-chasing. These should probably only be pursued insofar as they are instrumentally valuable (e.g. one will strongly gain the ability to spread unusually true, impactful ideas).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128528767968841729",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1128527907909971969"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128527907909971969",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:09:54+00:00",
   "text": "I like when I see sarcastic posts because that means people will have to doubt the results of future AI programs that create assessments of people from their tweets.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128527907909971969",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1128527330903826433"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128526512767025152",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:04:22+00:00",
   "text": "(although if I am applying, this probably isn't the case), but I really hope I will not be shallowly discriminated against otherwise. The truth is rarely intuitive from outside a chain of reasoning, after all. Plus, I am pretty much always open to arguments about where I'm wrong.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128526512767025152",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1128526511261270016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128526511261270016",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:04:21+00:00",
   "text": "Nearly everyday, I fear my honest, carefully thought out opinions I put out online coming back to haunt me. I bet many people feel the same way.  I am fine if I lose a job because my fundamental normative views clearly are at odds w/ that of the company",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128526511261270016",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1128525078646358016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128525078646358016",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:58:40+00:00",
   "text": "arguments can be crafted for each one, and based on an AI's detection of a given person's archetype, the proper argument can be delivered to them to maximize the chance of them changing their mind (towards the truth, hopefully).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128525078646358016",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1128525076897382401"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128525076897382401",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:58:39+00:00",
   "text": "We need more individually-tailored arguments. For many issues like abortion, there is no way you can sway someone without intelligently addressing their network of deep beliefs. Not sure how to do this, but perhaps there are a handful of archetypes in populations,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128525076897382401",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1128519881480134662"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128523213976289280",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:51:15+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I am not sure this is optimal for all countries, but a box of worms has already been opened in the US and I don't think we can close it. On a non-intellectual level, I really hate the idea of getting gunned down because I had no means to counter an active-shooter.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128523213976289280",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1128521869626183682"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128519881480134662",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:38:01+00:00",
   "text": "My current position on gun control: require background checks and a waiting period, but otherwise, don't make it hard to get a gun. Open carry should be permitted.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128519881480134662",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1128519558254481408"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128519558254481408",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:36:44+00:00",
   "text": "I've had enough of cause prioritizing! I am going to pursue the most viable causes encoded between the integers 3^3^3 to 3.1^3^3. Those are off the market.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128519558254481408",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1128519354507722752"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128517829198741504",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:29:51+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I mean you are right, physics-based utilitarianism is an idea that lives in my mind and we do not have a concrete explanation for the rise of qualia, but I think this value system is far more likely to be right than most others.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128517829198741504",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1128515066863599616"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128514859845472256",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:18:04+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I definitely trust most people's preferences to know what is good for them experientially, and think fulfilling others' preferences is a very good proxy for the real good, but I still think that the real good stems from physics operations which produce desirable qualia.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128514859845472256",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1128513876600008710"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128512761699368960",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:09:43+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I think physics only permits a finite number of fundamentally unique desirable things (perhaps several different flavors of qualia), and everything else is just arbitrary preferences of evolution-derived minds.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128512761699368960",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1128511759579529221"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128511759579529221",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:05:44+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 any more than a preference. Some people are just wrong about things, and their value system, if it's incoherent to me and they can't explain it, should not interfere with acting out a mutually exclusive value system which is far more likely to be true.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128511759579529221",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1128511087178067969"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128511087178067969",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:03:04+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I like to think I can be sufficiently impartial in making decisions to optimize for (my best subjective estimates of) objective values. Others' values lend information to what the true objective values to optimize for are, but I don't think are intrinsically worth optimizing for",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128511087178067969",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1128508865530683394"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128509026604654602",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:54:53+00:00",
   "text": "Yes, future web-scraping algorithms, I am an INTJ.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128509026604654602",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1128508809243189248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128508809243189248",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:54:01+00:00",
   "text": "I like to speak declaratively and concisely, but you can pretty much through in 'probably' and 'imo' anywhere you like.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128508809243189248",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1128508584231350272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128508584231350272",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:53:07+00:00",
   "text": "Humanity is at that precarious line of intelligence where it barely realizes it needs far more intelligence to solve its problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128508584231350272",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1128508402387308544"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128507727930695680",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:49:43+00:00",
   "text": "I usually prefer the word 'desirability' over 'morality'. It avoids the notion of egoistic, evolution-based social norms.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128507727930695680",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1128506237165944832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128506237165944832",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:43:48+00:00",
   "text": "In those areas of your life where you know you are unethical (buying a burger once a month), just admit you are bad. Don't accept rationalizations you don't really believe in.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128506237165944832",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1128505606082580481"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128505606082580481",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:41:17+00:00",
   "text": "I think humanity might be screwed if we cannot increase our average intelligence to a safe level by the time we invent some truly existentially dangerous technology that anyone can utilize. We better figure this out. The only other option may be an AI-backed surveillance state.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128505606082580481",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1128504792525963264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128504792525963264",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:38:03+00:00",
   "text": "Are the majority of people really cool with letting huge swaths of the population burn in hell for eternity? I can't remember the last time someone has actively proselytized to me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128504792525963264",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1128504557401780224"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128504557401780224",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:37:07+00:00",
   "text": "So I have a bunch of tweets sitting in my drafts that aren't quite good enough to post by themselves, but I don't want to just delete them either, so here is a lower-quality tweet thread:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128504557401780224",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1128481255954223104",
   "created_at": "2019-05-15T02:04:32+00:00",
   "text": "@iChanticleer It should have been built like this in the first place!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128481255954223104",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1128344085918552067"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128398085271511043",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T20:34:02+00:00",
   "text": "@eigenrobot Effective altruists have something to say about this. Life is about doing as much good as possible.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128398085271511043",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1128365317191639040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128361868471480322",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T18:10:08+00:00",
   "text": "Love this: https://t.co/VVQFwqEhIZ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128361868471480322",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "1128311632415862784",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T14:50:30+00:00",
   "text": "@Steveohmygoodne @historylvrsclub I thought it may have been because the C2 pawn is moved and her hand is on the Queen. I just get curious about what exactly people mean sometimes though. Thanks!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128311632415862784",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1128308997570932736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128306891640246273",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T14:31:40+00:00",
   "text": "@Steveohmygoodne @historylvrsclub Do you really think she is smart for this or are you writing this in a condemnatory tone? It's fine either way, I'm just curious.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128306891640246273",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1128269267126882304"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128305961645555712",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T14:27:58+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 Oh true. My $, w/ low odds, is still on him writing it in a condemnatory tone, which makes it ironic that he mixes up the queen & king.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128305961645555712",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1128304200281014272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128303264947216385",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T14:17:15+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 Damn that is a pretty douchy thing to say.\n\nSavage in a sense, but more douchy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128303264947216385",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1128301329133162498"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128292311832649728",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T13:33:44+00:00",
   "text": "Their is no reason the optimal solutions to many of our problems should be immediately intuitive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128292311832649728",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1128292310540783617"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128292310540783617",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T13:33:44+00:00",
   "text": "prioritizing humans over the environment not because humans are the most intrinsically valuable creatures in the world, but the most instrumentally valuable; prioritizing economic growth over helping everyone today to help more people overall; the list goes on.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128292310540783617",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1128292309169254401"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128292309169254401",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T13:33:43+00:00",
   "text": "Life is so much more interesting when approached non-dogmatically.  You can end up with some really interesting plausible blends e.g. oligarchical-libertarian-surveillance states; it being ethical to reduce x-risk while maintaining the capability of world-annihilation;",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128292309169254401",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1128287478950047744",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T13:14:32+00:00",
   "text": "to compensate people. But sometimes money and charismatic leadership is short to go around. Nevertheless, I think we should be more willing to sometimes self-organize this way. One way to do it is have a team of 3-5 people who take turns leading each other on their pet projects.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128287478950047744",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1128287477549207552"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128287477549207552",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T13:14:31+00:00",
   "text": "I think sharply hierarchical teams are key for maximum group output. The problem, of course, is deciding who is in charge, and then convincing the team that carrying out the interests of the executive is in their best interest. Businesses do this naturally because they have the $",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128287477549207552",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1128282398339235841",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T12:54:20+00:00",
   "text": "landscape of the problem much better.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128282398339235841",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1128282396921610241"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128282396921610241",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T12:54:20+00:00",
   "text": "education emphasized this a bit more. On the occasion when you do come up with solid answers or the vetted conclusions, it's incredibly rewarding. When you fail, you only end up with a greater appreciation of the conclusion because you understand the",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128282396921610241",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1128282395499741184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128282395499741184",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T12:54:20+00:00",
   "text": "to sway my creativity. I knew we were unlikely to win against 5000 teams by taking standard approaches. I then came up with a non-traditional model which I believe was key (along with my teammates' excellent work) to our paper's 1st place international victory. I only wish",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128282395499741184",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1128282393775878144"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128282393775878144",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T12:54:19+00:00",
   "text": "Perhaps to a fault, I am obsessed w/ coming to conclusions myself before reading about them. E.g. during the 99 hour ICM competition, I didn't let my teammates talk about existing ecological service valuation models for the first day in front of me because I didn't want that",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128282393775878144",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1128274103075573761",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T12:21:23+00:00",
   "text": "@EPoe187 Beliefs are not really a choice imo. One is helplessly swayed by the evidence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128274103075573761",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1128257624015872000"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128273122107510784",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T12:17:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @webmasterdave: Microelectrode studies suggest that even single neurons may support rudimentary experience - perhaps quite complex: http…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128273122107510784",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1128253054401359873",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T10:57:44+00:00",
   "text": "RT @CrazyPolymath: 3 underrated skills (from @morganhousel ):\n\n1. Accepting a certain degree of hassle and nonsense when reality demands it…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128253054401359873",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1128131176265338880",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T02:53:26+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sovereignfamily: If you want to have kids, just not now, here are three options for you:\n\n1) have them now anyway\n2) Combine egg freezi…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128131176265338880",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1128121181633167360",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T02:13:43+00:00",
   "text": "If there is a chance we are not majority shareholders in weighted moral patienthood, then this only underlines the notion that the majority of our value stems from our instrumental capabilities. It's not just about humans living happy lives, it's about us maximizing utility. https://t.co/aIc84O90Pn",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128121181633167360",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1128115123195908096",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:49:39+00:00",
   "text": "@vgr Ambition is for the psychologically hungry and it's easier than ever to satisfy our appetites.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128115123195908096",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1128114511100219397"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128114511100219397",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:47:13+00:00",
   "text": "@vgr I partially blame the constant form of entertainment available to us: our phones & the internet. Work is easier w/ them too, but I think a lot of us are less psychologically hungry for work due to getting a substantial amount of reward chemicals outside of work.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128114511100219397",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1128109037839458310"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128113546989060097",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:43:23+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 @EvanSandhoefner It's just nested uncertainties all the way down--or is it?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128113546989060097",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1128110465253384193"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128111389300727808",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:34:49+00:00",
   "text": "@JShendure @DunhamLab @srikosuri Tenure secured.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128111389300727808",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1127712674266005504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128109981734264832",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:29:13+00:00",
   "text": "RT @paulg: It's hard to beat someone at something if they enjoy it and you don't. This is true for good things like writing and dancing and…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128109981734264832",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1128107934536409088",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:21:05+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg I just don't see how morally relevant, real phenomena can emerge at a higher level than physics. It seems that messing w/ an isolated, functioning neuron of the right type in a particular way could be morally-relevant.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128107934536409088",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1128087997495291904"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128104585296588800",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:07:46+00:00",
   "text": "@N4V1GAT0R I really don't know that much about the biology of sensation tbh, but just philosophically, isn't it morally relevant for just a single, isolated neuron (of the right type) to be affected in particular ways?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128104585296588800",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1128102811261128704"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128102811261128704",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:00:43+00:00",
   "text": "@N4V1GAT0R I feel like there has to be something a lot more fundamental going on in pain and pleasure receptors than just their effect on a system of neurons.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128102811261128704",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1128101753566658561"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128101753566658561",
   "created_at": "2019-05-14T00:56:31+00:00",
   "text": "@N4V1GAT0R By ethically-relevant phenomena, I basically mean qualia w/ the possibility of it including other fundamental, unknown phenomena. Qualia is generally associated with biology.Since biology really is just physics, it appears qualia is a productive of fundamental physics operations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128101753566658561",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1128089346966544384"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128085323270053889",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T23:51:14+00:00",
   "text": "Where does ethically-relevant phenomena first occur in the hierarchy of logic-math-physics-chem-bio-psych-sociology/econ?  Moral relativists say it's the latter and not any of the former. Most probably say it's bio.  Why not chem or physics?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128085323270053889",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1128082268952702981",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T23:39:06+00:00",
   "text": "@derksenbnc @JayInslee Can you drop a link?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128082268952702981",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1128081295517540352"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128071049105563651",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T22:54:31+00:00",
   "text": "@derksenbnc @JayInslee What climate scientists+economists say that we are better of not doing anything?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128071049105563651",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1127990666552696832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128053063892262913",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T21:43:03+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust @TetraspaceAdmn I feel we're clear to pursue x-risk insofar as we have the means to end conscious experience if we come to realize the future is likely to be net-negative. Since we can do that today, I think it's safe to pursue more information by extending our expected life via pursuing x-risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128053063892262913",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1128051704124051458"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128051704124051458",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T21:37:39+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust @TetraspaceAdmn The subjective expected-value of focusing on x-risk depends on whether one feels the future is more likely to be net-positive or net-negative. The EV of focusing on maximizing well-being/moment without regard to x-risk is just how good we are at ↑ well-being.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128051704124051458",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1128025950409543680"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128040865639882759",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T20:54:35+00:00",
   "text": "@NYTHealth It's not capitalism if there isn't competition.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128040865639882759",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1127558812980908033"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128034714869219331",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T20:30:08+00:00",
   "text": "@Jon_StewartMill https://t.co/XgUIKjdZoF",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128034714869219331",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1128032820566396929"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128025302511304704",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T19:52:44+00:00",
   "text": "Anyone have any good answers or thoughts regarding the suffering risk/existential risk dilemma? https://t.co/nftFZ8qZIN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128025302511304704",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1128024251221594112",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T19:48:33+00:00",
   "text": "@antirobust @TetraspaceAdmn I desperately want to resolve my fundamental moral uncertainty, but as far as I am aware, there is still the question of whether we want to prioritize survival or well-being per moment.\nhttps://t.co/iGUSgOq6sx\nThe Many-Worlds interpretation also complicates this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128024251221594112",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1128017337943117824"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128019264798109696",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T19:28:44+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 Those are solid points. It's unfortunate that there are some employers out there who do care about employees' carefully expressed opinions outside of work.  However, my heuristic still stands. Holding back opinions is antithetical to the marketplace of ideas.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128019264798109696",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1128015266678362112"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128013313542164480",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T19:05:06+00:00",
   "text": "the bullet to try to shift the Window.  Not saying everyone has to write about the touchiest of issues, but if you are too goody-two-shoes to write your take on anything controversial, you aren't getting off scot-free 😉",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128013313542164480",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1128013311105208323"
  },
  {
   "id": "1128013311105208323",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T19:05:05+00:00",
   "text": "I dislike squeaky clean blogs & online-presences. Everyone holds some opinions outside the Overton Window. If you are unwilling to express one of those, you still get like -2 points because that means you are too chicken to speak your mind and are betraying those who are taking",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128013311105208323",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1128009298729230338",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T18:49:08+00:00",
   "text": "Really hoping I get accepted to Make School and can move to San Francisco to study software engineering full time 🤞🤞",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1128009298729230338",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1127987730661761024",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T17:23:26+00:00",
   "text": "I have been enjoying The New Paper a lot. It's a daily email of ~6 bits of news broken down pretty simply w/ links. Can endorse: https://t.co/FSJemlFnIO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127987730661761024",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1127953241726169088",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T15:06:23+00:00",
   "text": "I wrote this up in a blog post for the curious:\nhttps://t.co/tSnULa3rhD\nI need to add data and add some professional economists' opinions, so read elsewhere if you want that over just a layperson's perspective.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127953241726169088",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1126890846773764099"
  },
  {
   "id": "1127951387478896641",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T14:59:01+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/ETIY7Hv8jv",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127951387478896641",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1127950899379355648",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T14:57:05+00:00",
   "text": "considering how far our minds are from being perfectly optimized for the task.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127950899379355648",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1127950898288844800"
  },
  {
   "id": "1127950898288844800",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T14:57:05+00:00",
   "text": "I love witnessing the innocent errors that the mind makes sometimes, like trying to unlock a house door with a car fob.  We (rightfully) put a lot of pressure on ourselves to succeed in this strange, complex world, but it's good to remember sometimes that we are doing a great job",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127950898288844800",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1127948098163093506",
   "created_at": "2019-05-13T14:45:57+00:00",
   "text": "I think most people are productive most of the time, but just not always in the things that are good to be productive in.  It's often better to try and fail and end up doing a mediocre job at the right things then succeed at the less imports things.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127948098163093506",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1127344764033097728",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T22:48:31+00:00",
   "text": "RT @michael_nielsen: A meta-thread of some of my favourite Twitter threads!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127344764033097728",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1127329297339965440",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T21:47:03+00:00",
   "text": "RT @david_perell: The most important ingredient for a quality conversation: Presence. \n\nWhen two people are 100% present, conversation can…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127329297339965440",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1127325475918028800",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T21:31:52+00:00",
   "text": "@TellYourSonThis Getting back at the people who shot my dog and stole my car.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127325475918028800",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1127308457911160832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1127290050687926278",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T19:11:06+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanOLeary UBI, UBMH, same thing 😉",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127290050687926278",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1127289162124668928"
  },
  {
   "id": "1127239039785086978",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T15:48:24+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AnnieDuke: Lots of great discussion of the upside of grit.\n \nBut what about the upside of quitting?\n \nI’m really interested in thoughts…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127239039785086978",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1127238323251163137",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T15:45:33+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanSandhoefner: What is the most valuable thing you could do right now,\n\nand why aren't you doing it?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127238323251163137",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1127055289256226816",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T03:38:15+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MichaelDPlant: After the #NotreDameCathedralFire, €1bn was raised in a matter of days. That money could have been spent elsewhere, for…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127055289256226816",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1127035705522368512",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T02:20:26+00:00",
   "text": "@browserdotsys @TetraspaceAdmn My neighbor did this! They owned property surrounding 3 sides of us & wanted to buy us out & we didn't like the price they offered, so they decided to put up a wooden fence right in front of our windows just to block the view 😆",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127035705522368512",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1127033214072164352"
  },
  {
   "id": "1127024170599161857",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T01:34:36+00:00",
   "text": "People have trouble facing how horrible and haphazard Trump really is. They want to believe he is some kind of genius putting on a strategic act like Norm Macdonald. I wish this were the case too, but it's not. https://t.co/Nc3DXtafwo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127024170599161857",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1127009683938709504",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T00:37:02+00:00",
   "text": "@polytrophic Worst experience early for extra early resilience (assuming one is in a loving environment) and post-traumatic growth.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127009683938709504",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1126987417611845632"
  },
  {
   "id": "1127008894964912128",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T00:33:54+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Sorry I read this wrong. -1 meta EA, +1 global dev",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127008894964912128",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1127007661462040577"
  },
  {
   "id": "1127006929702797312",
   "created_at": "2019-05-11T00:26:05+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Thanks!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1127006929702797312",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1126945384507564032"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126959444418600960",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T21:17:24+00:00",
   "text": "@OurDarkHistory @vitabenes I should just become a resilience personal trainer for the summer. Get hired to show up to peoples' houses and David Goggins them to face heavy stress so they can benefit from the ↑ confidence and resilience.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126959444418600960",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1126954698538405889"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126958741335760898",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T21:14:36+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Mark_J_Perry: Over most recent year, Walmart's profit margin was only 1.3% vs. a whopping 22.4% profit margin for Apple (17X more than…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126958741335760898",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1126956890016165889",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T21:07:15+00:00",
   "text": "@vitabenes The recounts of MoH recipients are not all the same though.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126956890016165889",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1126955940597698560"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126955940597698560",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T21:03:28+00:00",
   "text": "@vitabenes like they had to summon extraordinary courage to do what they did.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126955940597698560",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1126955818526695427"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126955818526695427",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T21:02:59+00:00",
   "text": "@vitabenes Also, it probably helps to really figure out your values.  When you are acting from them, the expectation of punishment is weaker.  A lot of Medal of Honor recipients talk about this & I don't think they are BSing. They say they were literally just doing their duty & did not feel",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126955818526695427",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1126953918213259266"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126954698538405889",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T20:58:32+00:00",
   "text": "@OurDarkHistory @vitabenes Actually though. It always helps to know that you've experienced much worse than what you might have to face.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126954698538405889",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1126952875333246976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126953918213259266",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T20:55:26+00:00",
   "text": "@vitabenes Got to have a multi-pronged approach. Practice incrementally doing increasingly courageous things; reflect on the downsides of a timidness and not acting boldly; practice formalizing your fears & determining how reasonable they are. I like this question!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126953918213259266",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1126951712382754816"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126939918222098433",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T19:59:48+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg I'd lose that fight. Once my metabolism slows down, I'm doomed. Also, not looking forward to having to start actually paying for the bulk of what I eat in a few days when I get out of the military.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126939918222098433",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1126938385430532096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126933768655257605",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T19:35:22+00:00",
   "text": "@binarybits yeah I'd run for Congress if they paid more but it's just kind of beneath me rn.\n\nBut actually, I agree with this take.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126933768655257605",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1126863806808952832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126921258720010240",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T18:45:39+00:00",
   "text": "@KellyLevenda For anyone with doubts about whether crustaceans feel pain, they probably do:\nhttps://t.co/W8MAbLqOyT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126921258720010240",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1126916385974538240"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126917406729879552",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T18:30:21+00:00",
   "text": "Am looking for criticism on the idea in a recent blog post of mine:\nhttps://t.co/bd3140avDF",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126917406729879552",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1126914478887534597",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T18:18:43+00:00",
   "text": "@sashintweets @visakanv Problem identification & cause prioritization 😉",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126914478887534597",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1126905190618021888"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126911249768382464",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T18:05:53+00:00",
   "text": "This is a good thread. I think a lot more people should be blogging. https://t.co/CqhDGmNFcb https://t.co/oFjfT4SVNY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126911249768382464",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1126908099145678848",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T17:53:22+00:00",
   "text": "@TheAnnaGat @visakanv I'm excited to see what your team is building and use the app when it's released!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126908099145678848",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1126905246918291456"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126904160073465856",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T17:37:43+00:00",
   "text": "@visakanv What software solutions have yet to be built that can solve some of society's remaining, enduring problems?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126904160073465856",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1126902895763263489"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126902220245618694",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T17:30:00+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Whoever decided to allow well-being to fall below zero is a real douche",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126902220245618694",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1126901848600928257"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126898855075885057",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T17:16:38+00:00",
   "text": "@vitabenes This is how I feel about heavily pursuing effective altruism, rationality, econ, & relating topics over choosing to drink my school's kool-aid and maximize GPA. It was a high risk, but it's had a ginormous payoff in terms of my clarity of thought regarding a number of issues.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126898855075885057",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1126896570182643712"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126894200522407937",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:58:08+00:00",
   "text": "I also sincerely doubt we will ever be able to functionally simulate people's minds that well, & highly doubt we can get qualia to come along for the ride. However, I have faith in eventually building highly useful functional AI's & separately, orgasmium.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126894200522407937",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1126894199150993413"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126890846773764099",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:44:49+00:00",
   "text": "The most pure way to pay for a UBI would be via a land-value tax.  Actually, that is a very sexy thought...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126890846773764099",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1126884626373455873"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126884626373455873",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:20:06+00:00",
   "text": "But again, a $1000 UBI is not so high that it will destroy most people's desire to work & participate in our economy. There is some price range where a UBI in that range reduces anxiety while not hurting the desire to get out there and fulfill other people's preferences for $$.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126884626373455873",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1126884053716803585"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126884053716803585",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:17:49+00:00",
   "text": "Again, one of the most powerful points I see is the reduction in economic-related anxiety and increase in quality of thought. Our intelligence and quality of thinking is the most precious resource we have. Even just increasing that by 1 or 2% will do wonders for our society.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126884053716803585",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1126883256127848448"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126883256127848448",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:14:39+00:00",
   "text": "A UBI not only is the social net that lower class & middle income Americans need, but it's theoretically not a problem to give to higher-earners either, who on average, can grow the economy more with a dollar than anyone else can. A UBI can go to everyone and reduce classism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126883256127848448",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1126882292050354177"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126882292050354177",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:10:49+00:00",
   "text": "A society with far more equal welfare benefits (not saying we have to entirely do away with all other welfare benefits) is more egalitarian & does a lot to remove the economic punishment of maintaining a low-income job high enough to disqualify one for welfare benefits.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126882292050354177",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1126880011636609024"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126880011636609024",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:01:45+00:00",
   "text": "Once the basics are covered, far more people can afford to experiment with entrepreneurship, which is key means of growing our economy. We want people to feel comfortable rolling the dice.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126880011636609024",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1126879761228345344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126879761228345344",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:00:46+00:00",
   "text": "I argue that you want people to have this social net so they can actually take financial risks to maximize expected utility. So much of people work below their potential because the utility they assign to that first $1000 a month is so much higher than the $$ after that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126879761228345344",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1126878635024113665"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126878635024113665",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T15:56:17+00:00",
   "text": "Would we see a number of people quitting work altogether in order to scrape by with $1000? Yeah, probably. But that wouldn't be the end of the world. Automation is taking over & you'd expect to see signs of a post-scarcity economy before it fully happens.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126878635024113665",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1126877378582593536"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126877378582593536",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T15:51:18+00:00",
   "text": "A UBI could be partially paid for by reducing other welfare benefits accordingly. Yes, the influx of money into the market would at least temporarily increase prices & hurt disabled/elderly people on welfare, so their benefits would not have to be reduced 1:1.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126877378582593536",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1126876644264820741"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126876644264820741",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T15:48:23+00:00",
   "text": "A UBI could do a ton to reduce the anxiety that many lower-income Americans who lack savings feel over being able to cover unexpected expenses. This increases well-being, would reduce stress-related health-care costs, and possibly improve quality of thinking in general.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126876644264820741",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1126874137379708928"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126874137379708928",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T15:38:25+00:00",
   "text": "A UBI respects the autonomy and liberty of individuals while providing them w/ that safety net, and allows us to remove these costly, market-slowing expectations we have of businesses.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126874137379708928",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1126874135169314816"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126874135169314816",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T15:38:24+00:00",
   "text": "Gig economies are more efficient at reducing prices & fulfilling preferences. We don't want all businesses to feel obligated to fulfill the roll of a nanny & provide everyone w/ medical & other welfare benefits. That only decreases hiring rates & slows entrepreneurship.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126874135169314816",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1126869206438416386"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126869206438416386",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T15:18:49+00:00",
   "text": "A UBI would do so much to 'grease' the freedom of movement required for efficient libertarian markets to thrive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126869206438416386",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1126847063529009152",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T13:50:50+00:00",
   "text": "@XiXiDu As a Bayesian physics-based utilitarian, I would probably appreciate the ethics of a superintelligent slime mold more than that of the average human.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126847063529009152",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1126834837682315265"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126846388376154112",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T13:48:09+00:00",
   "text": "Moral empathy and humility is SO important. People's priors that they are right about morality are collectively way too high. We have to figure out how to help people have better, more scientific conversations about these issues. https://t.co/nBpnxm0A56",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126846388376154112",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1126845409522012165",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T13:44:16+00:00",
   "text": "@primalpoly I've debated pro-lifers who said they would kill me and other pro-choicers if they could get away with it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126845409522012165",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1091055636396298241"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126842745690177542",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T13:33:40+00:00",
   "text": "@neontaster This hoax is the dumbest thing ever. Don't let extremists steal & ruin a cultural practice. Just keep using it normally & dilute any negative associations they are trying to put to it👌",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126842745690177542",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1126573961209372673"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126698487213580288",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T04:00:27+00:00",
   "text": "@SoCalSurferBum That's a question I have asked myself and am thinking about.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126698487213580288",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1126697186119471104"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126689344905814017",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T03:24:07+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jayvanbavel: People hate experiments, even on mundane issues:\n\nPeople approve of untested policies or treatments (A or B) being univers…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126689344905814017",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1126684561985953792",
   "created_at": "2019-05-10T03:05:07+00:00",
   "text": "@SoCalSurferBum It's not so much about taxing rich people or the products of labor, but taxing the use/stewardship of natural resources (I.e. land) that everyone equally has a right to.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126684561985953792",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1126580165553745920"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126562704284618754",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T19:00:53+00:00",
   "text": "This is important. The economy is not rigged just for the rich as simple snapshots might suggest. https://t.co/b21lM1p4m5",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126562704284618754",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1126558450274766850",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T18:43:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @primalpoly: What if their probability of defaulting on the debt is higher than 15% a year? Should they not be permitted to borrow money…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126558450274766850",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1126553965381005312",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T18:26:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @neurobongo: Science is self-correcting in the long run, but I am increasingly fascinated by the organizational behavior side of discove…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126553965381005312",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1126545993900728322",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T17:54:29+00:00",
   "text": "@JaYxCeE I'd literally watch any movie for 24 hours straight for $1000 dollars",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126545993900728322",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1125959130961850368"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126543931028705283",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T17:46:17+00:00",
   "text": "RT @WeAnimals: \"We can stop this. But not until we have the courage to see it and to let ourselves feel it.\" \n\nFormer undercover investigat…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126543931028705283",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1126538962263334912",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T17:26:33+00:00",
   "text": "#FreeRossPetition: We Seek @POTUS’s Clemency for Ross Ulbricht, Serving Double Life for a Website. @RealDonaldTrump @Free_Ross - Sign the Petition! https://t.co/61FRmM1pZy via @Change",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126538962263334912",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1126538222685827072",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T17:23:37+00:00",
   "text": "RT @G_S_Bhogal: Believers in free will like to claim that their view of humans is warmer and more dignifying than that of cold, mechanistic…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126538222685827072",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1126537509608009730",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T17:20:47+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ausplendor: What’s a mantra or motivational quote that you can honestly say you live your life by?\n\nFor me, it’s increasingly becoming:…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126537509608009730",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1126537463265099781",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T17:20:35+00:00",
   "text": "@ausplendor @naval Maximize expected-utility",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126537463265099781",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1126276073732358147"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126526501120294912",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T16:37:02+00:00",
   "text": "@AndrewYang Free markets handle rent prices (empirically and information-theoretically) as a whole far better than rent control can.  YIMBY, but leave rent prices alone and encourage+enable movement if they're too high for people.  Not everyone who wants to live in an area always can...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126526501120294912",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1126523859849699334"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126352720800169984",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T05:06:29+00:00",
   "text": "Why Alien Life Would be our Doom - The Great Filter https://t.co/kECH7Basz2 via @YouTube",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126352720800169984",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1126295642765180928",
   "created_at": "2019-05-09T01:19:41+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JamesClear: What is something you bought for less than $50 that has genuinely made your life better?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126295642765180928",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1126266879377641473",
   "created_at": "2019-05-08T23:25:23+00:00",
   "text": "I really wish the G-board spell-checker wasn't scheisse. I'd rather put my trust in Google than a 3rd party 😢",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126266879377641473",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1126262601439174656",
   "created_at": "2019-05-08T23:08:23+00:00",
   "text": "I've long had a special emotional abhorrence for bureaucratic inefficiencies and would love to work in this cause area if the EV is there.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126262601439174656",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1126262599249739777"
  },
  {
   "id": "1126262599249739777",
   "created_at": "2019-05-08T23:08:23+00:00",
   "text": "Is bureaucratic red tap from overregulation a neglected cause area? It certainly seems important if it's actually responsible for burning as many billions of man-hours yearly as I think it is.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126262599249739777",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1126134984740364288",
   "created_at": "2019-05-08T14:41:17+00:00",
   "text": "@HeuristicLineup {Ethics} - {Bayesian Utilitarianism} = {Unsubstantiated evolutionary psychology feelings}",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1126134984740364288",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1125121874755604480"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125956164301225985",
   "created_at": "2019-05-08T02:50:43+00:00",
   "text": "@ConceptualJames I can barely believe that this type of thinking he describes exists, but I guess I better update my understanding of the distribution of human rationality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125956164301225985",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1125807831003947008"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125940674707193856",
   "created_at": "2019-05-08T01:49:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @joshbalk: BREAKING NEWS: Washington state just banned the production AND sale of eggs from caged hens! This is the strongest law for fa…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125940674707193856",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1125939127428448257",
   "created_at": "2019-05-08T01:43:01+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn We need Dos Equis man style commercials for this. \"I don't always eat out, but when I do, I also donate the cost to the most effective cause areas.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125939127428448257",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1125938670505267200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125938670505267200",
   "created_at": "2019-05-08T01:41:12+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn While this probably doesn't divert enough $$ towards top causes, it might be a balance that a lot of people could accept & live with.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125938670505267200",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1125937044906303490"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125937044906303490",
   "created_at": "2019-05-08T01:34:45+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn To reduce the rates at which people eat out, perhaps they should commit to donating the cost out to top charities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125937044906303490",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1125933879561457665"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125920180490723328",
   "created_at": "2019-05-08T00:27:44+00:00",
   "text": "@RoxanneHeston I'm interested in reading it 😃",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125920180490723328",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1125912651945664512"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125905542608838660",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T23:29:34+00:00",
   "text": "@mdf_warrior @cosimia_ A certain good by no means outweighs an uncertain good.  It's all a matter of expected utility.  It's not a complete mystery what will satisfy future peoples' preferences. First, they will want to exist, so we should sacrifice some social programs for the sake of x-risk reduction",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125905542608838660",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1125904928566906885"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125904928566906885",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T23:27:07+00:00",
   "text": "@mdf_warrior @cosimia_ We do know some things that create positive utility.  It's not a complete mystery.  People are happier when they aren't affected by natural disasters.  Carbon taxes hurt current people economically in the short term, and will mostly help future people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125904928566906885",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1125896600910487554"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125888376484302849",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T22:21:21+00:00",
   "text": "@JamesClear I'm more interested in who the most impactful people are, measured by who has made the most progress on an important and neglected issue that would have probably taken years or decades later for someone else to solve otherwise.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125888376484302849",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1125880430723510272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125841590155661312",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T19:15:26+00:00",
   "text": "@mdf_warrior @cosimia_ https://t.co/ZzdIM6EbMg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125841590155661312",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1125839408622637056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125839408622637056",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T19:06:46+00:00",
   "text": "@mdf_warrior @cosimia_ 15 billion * .8 or 12 billion people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125839408622637056",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1125839015268245506"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125839015268245506",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T19:05:12+00:00",
   "text": "@mdf_warrior @cosimia_ They don't right now, but there is a Bayesian probability that they will, and we should consider them as morally relevant in proportion to that probability.  For example, if you think 15 billion people have an 80% chance of existing in 2100, then they have the moral weight of",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125839015268245506",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1125834684318011392"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125838415583432705",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T19:02:49+00:00",
   "text": "@XiXiDu I have a ~500-word post about this if you or anyone are interested and/or wants to give the idea feedback:\nhttps://t.co/bd3140avDF",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125838415583432705",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1125783207213977602"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125834150961926145",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T18:45:53+00:00",
   "text": "👏 Meritocracy 👏\n\nPeople are not members of arbitrary groups--we are all individuals.\n\nArbitrary-quality blindness and a focus on competence+potential in hiring practices is the golden road to economic optimization for the long-term future. https://t.co/gxXgMsgsv4",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125834150961926145",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1125809475368181760",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T17:07:50+00:00",
   "text": "Looking forward to software improving so it is even easier to transfer between working on a project via a computer and a phone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125809475368181760",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1125806162224586759",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T16:54:40+00:00",
   "text": "I wonder if there is room for phone apps to facilitate local unionization!  Workers could vote for union leaders and hedge money and/or sign a digital legal contract to vote for strikes.  Once a critical mass is reached, everyone who signed up will be obligated to participate. https://t.co/p5YEvIRBcu",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125806162224586759",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1125804836426059776",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T16:49:24+00:00",
   "text": "Given the versatility but difficulty of quickly throwing in the em dash—I have to copy and paste it every time to use it on Chrome on Windows—I propose that, just like in the typewriter days, we agree that it is acceptable to use two en dashes in lieu.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125804836426059776",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1125801496606646272",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T16:36:07+00:00",
   "text": "Here me out: a charter city w/ very few laws but powerful courts that rule by utilitarian cost-benefit analysis.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125801496606646272",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1125783207213977602",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T15:23:27+00:00",
   "text": "@XiXiDu That by not deliberately throwing entropy into our decisions (especially when we are highly uncertain) , we are sending way more other worlds, assuming Many-Worlds is true, towards similar fates.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125783207213977602",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1125779358558429184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125781658895040512",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T15:17:18+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ We have to optimize the economy more for the long-term than we are now. The interests of future people >> the interests of today's people, especially those no longer producing economic value (the elderly).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125781658895040512",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1125780786794442752"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125780786794442752",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T15:13:50+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ We need less regulation,\nLess barriers to competition & free trade,\nShorter patents for a world that is drastically speeding up,\nUniversal basic income ( funded by cutting less inefficient gov't programs)\nand a land-value tax w/ steep taxes for ecological-services destruction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125780786794442752",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1125683097297608706"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125768161603784704",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T14:23:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @george__mack: CHARLIE MUNGER'S 7 IRON LAWS: \n\nCharlie Munger has been the biggest COGNITIVE INFLUENCE on my life so far. \n\nHere are a l…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125768161603784704",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1125767642848141314",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T14:21:36+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JohnOberg: Shocking & Graphic: \n\nDucks naturally spend the much of their lives floating in water, but on factory farms, there is no wat…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125767642848141314",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1125618021421191168",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T04:27:03+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 @kaushikcbasu Oof that is a dangerous (and assholish) game, especially for someone in academia",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125618021421191168",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1125614138846134277"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125616547169538048",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T04:21:12+00:00",
   "text": "Insofar as we expect the welfare of future people to gradually improve over generations, perhaps we should even be in favor of a negative discount rate i.e. future people being intrinsically valued more than past people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125616547169538048",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1125613888786051072",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T04:10:38+00:00",
   "text": "If anything, it could help cement the fact to society that discount rates don't apply to people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125613888786051072",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1125612070513315840"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125612070513315840",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T04:03:25+00:00",
   "text": "E.g. \"I represent the interests of the future people who will be alive between 2200 to 2500.\" It could narrow existential risk work and help make it more tractable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125612070513315840",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1125612069141852161"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125612069141852161",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T04:03:24+00:00",
   "text": "Wonder if we should start a Future People advocacy organization that has sub-committees that work on behalf of the expected interests of future people in specific future time periods.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125612069141852161",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1125604445633568768",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T03:33:07+00:00",
   "text": "Why can't I read everything 😭",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125604445633568768",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1125600810640072705",
   "created_at": "2019-05-07T03:18:40+00:00",
   "text": "Nowadays, we are very open to unintuitive findings in a variety of fields ranging from physics and economics.\n\nNow if only more of us can extend that intellectual humility & uncertainty to ethics, we'll have a chance at realizing the majority of the remaining value in the cosmos.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125600810640072705",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1125541685151268870",
   "created_at": "2019-05-06T23:23:43+00:00",
   "text": "Can't seem to find any stand-alone hardware radioactivity-based random number generators. Looks like I am going to have to make one.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125541685151268870",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1125540404148035584",
   "created_at": "2019-05-06T23:18:38+00:00",
   "text": "A key issue facing civilization is individuals not producing enough value. Does the enjoyment of non-productive past-times stem more from doubt about being able to learn to enjoy productive activities or more from a lack of awareness of the true non-utility of said actions?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125540404148035584",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1125537878770163717",
   "created_at": "2019-05-06T23:08:36+00:00",
   "text": "Imagine if we incentivized accurate, interdisciplinary modeling and prediction-making as much as we do football:\nhttps://t.co/HtIn6COfD1\n\nThat would be an existential risk game-changer.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125537878770163717",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1125527182015639554",
   "created_at": "2019-05-06T22:26:06+00:00",
   "text": "Focused humans enabled by tech rather than victims of it produce more economic value, which is good for everyone. https://t.co/KR8K4vBkBm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125527182015639554",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1125522524140396551",
   "created_at": "2019-05-06T22:07:35+00:00",
   "text": "@N4V1GAT0R They shouldn't be mad! It's 1) a free market and students don't have to take it, 2) aligned incentives and 3) easier on people who aren't financially successful after college. Plus, what's wrong with experimenting?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125522524140396551",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1125434410415865856"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125488157171101696",
   "created_at": "2019-05-06T19:51:01+00:00",
   "text": "@MaxReddel I plan to periodically study it to hang on to the basics, but I don't plan to become fluent at this time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125488157171101696",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1125449661194612736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125415568876691456",
   "created_at": "2019-05-06T15:02:35+00:00",
   "text": "Here me out: Private high schools where teachers + the school have an Income Share Agreement with students.  For example, a teacher could get 1% a year for 10 years after graduating. Talk about aligned incentives!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125415568876691456",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1125387563068547072",
   "created_at": "2019-05-06T13:11:18+00:00",
   "text": "As far as I know, decision theory assumes computational tractability. Given how hard real world optimization is, especially for organic minds, I argue that given Many-Worlds, we should throw entropy into some of our decisions to diversify child-worlds (like a financial portfolio)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125387563068547072",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1125226695445893120",
   "created_at": "2019-05-06T02:32:04+00:00",
   "text": "RT @patio11: Some people really benefit from hearing advice that everyone knows, for the same reason we keep schools open despite every sub…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125226695445893120",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1125174238078484480",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T23:03:37+00:00",
   "text": "RT @george__mack: DOUBLETHINK - The most important idea you've probably never heard of.  \n \nWhen you look deep enough at reality, it is EVE…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125174238078484480",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1125148164451749889",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T21:20:01+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils @yannick___m They'd have to specify because there should be doubt, but I'm inclined to think atheism is the default belief as it's less specific & that 40% means 40% a god exists.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125148164451749889",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1125147116664512512"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125145791117570049",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T21:10:35+00:00",
   "text": "platform for individual prediction making.  One could make immutable, non-deletable predictions to face the truth of one's prediction-making ability, calibrate oneself, possibly-humble oneself, or signal to others just how good of a predictor one is.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125145791117570049",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1125145789842567168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125145789842567168",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T21:10:35+00:00",
   "text": "The lack of Tweet-edit ability makes Twitter a not-terrible platform for getting credit for making accurate predictions.  However, it's not perfect because all of one's wrong predictions are hidden amongst one's many other tweets.  Perhaps there is room in the market for a",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125145789842567168",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1125143253366525953",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T21:00:30+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m our prediction ended up being true or not.  This could help us calibrate our degree of belief and learn how much we can afford to trust others' confidence claims.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125143253366525953",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1125142957106110464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125142957106110464",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T20:59:19+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m I would love to see more Bayesian probability estimates in casual conversation.  What if we had a daily stipend of Bayes dollars and artificial intelligence scanned our conversations to look for specific confidence claims? It could periodically ask us to follow up with whether",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125142957106110464",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1124982347080843264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125141569852661760",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T20:53:49+00:00",
   "text": "There is just an unimaginable amount of value on the line and need to act quickly to secure as much of it as possible.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125141569852661760",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1125132686010527745",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T20:18:30+00:00",
   "text": "@ChadoNihi Wanting to move seems to be a growing trend: https://t.co/I4nZicRbYF\nAre you happy with your decision?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125132686010527745",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1125131362837696514"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125117415891845124",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T19:17:50+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m @MaxReddel Russian was the hardest strategic  language I thought I could succeed in while taking 18+ credit hours and being a cadet",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125117415891845124",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1125116262386892805"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125116262386892805",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T19:13:15+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m @MaxReddel I could have and part of me really wanted to because China is much more of a global power and the West in general lacks China experts ( 80,000 Hours), but I just really doubted my ability to succeed based off my past struggles with language learning",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125116262386892805",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1125114479572860928"
  },
  {
   "id": "1125092262462009345",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T17:37:53+00:00",
   "text": "@MaxReddel I had to take some language at West Point for the last year. I figured I might as well study a strategic language if I was going to have to put in a lot of time anyways.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1125092262462009345",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1125087500471623680"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124893655960100864",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T04:28:41+00:00",
   "text": "я счастлив, потому что больше не должен изучать русский язык.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124893655960100864",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1124887843841691653",
   "created_at": "2019-05-05T04:05:36+00:00",
   "text": "B R U T A L, \n\nI C E   C O L D\n\nF E L I C I F I C\n\nC A L C U L U S.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124887843841691653",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1124695074800132096",
   "created_at": "2019-05-04T15:19:36+00:00",
   "text": "God I hope I get into Make School and move to San Francisco.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124695074800132096",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1124689160382623745",
   "created_at": "2019-05-04T14:56:06+00:00",
   "text": "@robkhenderson Ssssshhhhh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124689160382623745",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1124666169879859201"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124688738871861248",
   "created_at": "2019-05-04T14:54:25+00:00",
   "text": "Few things are more satisfying than honestly riding an intellectual train of thought, being willing to see one of your ideas turn to ash in the face of new evidence and face the momentary despair associated with that, and then finding new evidence that pulls you out of the ashes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124688738871861248",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1124667884301631490",
   "created_at": "2019-05-04T13:31:33+00:00",
   "text": "Established fields should always be open to the ideas of amateurs.  Sometimes it's those minds who are not given the help of existing literature who have the most creative breakthroughs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124667884301631490",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1124664884434808832",
   "created_at": "2019-05-04T13:19:38+00:00",
   "text": "@paulg You are assuming that you know what's good for you better than Twitter does 😉",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124664884434808832",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1124660386240847872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124558104698531840",
   "created_at": "2019-05-04T06:15:20+00:00",
   "text": "I may have gone in over my head as I am not well-versed in decision theory literature, but I tentatively believe I have a new decision theory for decision-making in a MWI universe. Let me know what you think!\nhttps://t.co/n9QGnin4zB",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124558104698531840",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1124422951389007872",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T21:18:17+00:00",
   "text": "This is a bad take. Uber has provided tons of value to consumers as well as drivers. It mainly seems to be people who doubt free markets that have a problem w/ Uber. Many of the comments address the piece pretty well.\nhttps://t.co/6NMJxwc7Xl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124422951389007872",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1124415418108608513",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T20:48:20+00:00",
   "text": "@mark_ledwich I don't think, under MWI, it's good enough for some utility to exist in some worlds, or for maximum utility to exist in a small subset of worlds.  I think it's best if the universe just has maximum utility.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124415418108608513",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1124413403806801921"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124413403806801921",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T20:40:20+00:00",
   "text": "@mark_ledwich I want to agree with you, but I think a util is a util, and that adhering to expected utility is still the best choice even under MWI. Even if there are trillions and trillions of worlds, it still relatively sucks for all the worlds that experience extinction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124413403806801921",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1124412355830435840"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124407146962141186",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T20:15:28+00:00",
   "text": "@FPallopides Haha sure! I am not saying someone has to believe in MWI because of this or even act as if its true, I just mean we should probably be paying more attention to it. Do you know of any decision theories out there that take MWI into account?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124407146962141186",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1124406225217687552"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124401468080050181",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T19:52:55+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m Perhaps, but I think that means I am talking about empirical uncertainty for both of them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124401468080050181",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1124398385526706176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124387825401716737",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T18:58:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanSandhoefner: \"Beyond Meat Just Had the Best IPO of 2019 as Value Soars to $3.8 Billion\" https://t.co/JfZ1MXLAmF",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124387825401716737",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1124386597821190144",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T18:53:49+00:00",
   "text": "For me, Many Worlds Interpretation and the energy efficiency of suffering compared to well-being come to mind.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124386597821190144",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1124382223648661504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124382223648661504",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T18:36:26+00:00",
   "text": "What ideas do you think are still worthy of having a significant amount of moral uncertainty on?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124382223648661504",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1124354039993516032",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T16:44:27+00:00",
   "text": "@AustraliaToon1 @Intrinsic29 I wonder why this really is the case...Sure, egos want to look out for number 1, but even if someone does want to answer honestly, our speech is almost always less information-dense and subtle then our thoughts, and we only have access to others speech and actions...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124354039993516032",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1124348210930245633"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124352967178633216",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T16:40:11+00:00",
   "text": "@moosesouptrish @Intrinsic29 I would guess this to be the case.  Reading, which requires more imagination and inferencing-ability to appreciate, is the dominant stimuli here as opposed to pictures and video, which is better provided by other platforms.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124352967178633216",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1124348716905840642"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124195238338277376",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T06:13:26+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher And with the breadth of philosophies and different psychologies out there, I am sure there are at least hundreds of people on Earth who think extinction is the best course of action and would actively pursue that if they thought it was feasible.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124195238338277376",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1124194588921663488"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124194588921663488",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T06:10:51+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher The typical response to that is survivorship bias. It's hard to imagine something that does not exist yet, but there is a lot of energy laying around in matter potentially waiting to be released.  I can't see why extinction-enabling tech isn't out there to be discovered.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124194588921663488",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1124192263809093633"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124170595334328322",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T04:35:30+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher What does Nick Bostrom get wrong in his work on existential risk?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124170595334328322",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1124169629096710144"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124169629096710144",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T04:31:40+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher You don't believe in the plausibility of eventually discovering a technology that could allow a small group of people to carry out an extinction? Also, mass surveillance isn't the antithesis of technological progress--just of certain types, especially by radical anti-natalists.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124169629096710144",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1124161448777617408"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124156732912144384",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T03:40:25+00:00",
   "text": "I understand independent probabilistic events like consecutive dice rolls, but I wouldn't guess that an individual atom literally maintains a constant probability of decay over time. Crazy how there is no internal clock.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124156732912144384",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1124108653152362496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124110067022872577",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T00:34:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Anapurnah: People who say \"Tax the rich\" should differentiate between those who obtain their wealth by adding value to the world and th…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124110067022872577",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1124108653152362496",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T00:29:22+00:00",
   "text": "This is crazy!\nhttps://t.co/cDF24KB9gV",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124108653152362496",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1124108482330923014"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124108482330923014",
   "created_at": "2019-05-03T00:28:41+00:00",
   "text": "\"A Cæsium-137 nucleus which has “beat the reaper” by surviving a century, during which time only one in a thousand of its litter-mates haven't taken the plunge and turned into Barium, has precisely the same chance of surviving another hundred years as a newly-minted Cæsium-137..\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124108482330923014",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1124097919534227457",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T23:46:43+00:00",
   "text": "@SuseBeBi @mpellittieri Good to know. Maybe everyone could be made to pay junk food taxes",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124097919534227457",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1124010924967366656"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124097227453083650",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T23:43:58+00:00",
   "text": "@SharonJayson @davidfrum @KHNews @cdc @AusPublicHealth I think personal responsibility is appropriate & enough here. Don't ride & go fast if you can't control them. We don't need to nerf the hours of use or the speed below 20 mph. Perhaps give people the option to set the max speed they want to ride at with their phones...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124097227453083650",
   "word_count": 57,
   "in_reply_to": "1124061729133146118"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124090490369007619",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T23:17:12+00:00",
   "text": "RT @The_Lagrangian: Read Old Papers\nhttps://t.co/tZ9ZCVwlwd https://t.co/qF5sjivxmb",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124090490369007619",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1124086354571350016",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T23:00:46+00:00",
   "text": "@Cshearer41 Find the point in which the lines intersect. The areas of the shapes are easy after that.\n-2x + 1 = x/2 \nx=2/5, y=1/5\nA= 1*(2/5)*(1/2) + (1/2+3/5)*(1/5)*(1/2) + (3/5)*(3/10)*(1/2) = 2/5",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124086354571350016",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1123595174804897794"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124064483423465472",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T21:33:51+00:00",
   "text": "@fortelabs Of course, startups are more like chess or poker then dice.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124064483423465472",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1124063915258806272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124063915258806272",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T21:31:36+00:00",
   "text": "@fortelabs This seems like the way to do startups. Wife makes $150k as a PA, I get to roll the dice on startups long enough for one to take off.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124063915258806272",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1123690995072290817"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124063163421536263",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T21:28:36+00:00",
   "text": "@fortelabs I want the joy of kids but not the cost & stress. How can I do that?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124063163421536263",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1123690995072290817"
  },
  {
   "id": "1124061896049668113",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T21:23:34+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Poor talent management practices",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1124061896049668113",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1124051387371933696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123998866800553989",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T17:13:07+00:00",
   "text": "Just got word that the Supe signed my resignation memo. I am going to be a civilian soon!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123998866800553989",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1123832942269272064",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T06:13:47+00:00",
   "text": "@sashintweets It's probably about time we start doing this actually. Don't want to wait for these matters when a black ball might be right around the corner.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123832942269272064",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1123832729236381696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123832729236381696",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T06:12:57+00:00",
   "text": "@sashintweets and identify dangerous actors now. In the short term, AI could just make profiles of people and determine their level of radical anti-natalism/religious extremism/desire to destroy humanity and we could watch these individuals much more closely",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123832729236381696",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1123832360540221442"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123832360540221442",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T06:11:29+00:00",
   "text": "@sashintweets Don't think we can weed out the capacity unless we want to sacrifice general intelligence. As for the motivation, there may be genetic underpinnings and we could select against to make the world safer in the long run, but mass surveillance seems to be the only way to catch",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123832360540221442",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1123831776978325504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123831880053293057",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T06:09:34+00:00",
   "text": "@sashintweets Someone could also plausibly start a nuclear war with deep fakes right now",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123831880053293057",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1123831031767937026"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123831031767937026",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T06:06:12+00:00",
   "text": "@sashintweets Quite possibly, especially over a long time scale. Someone in their basement can already plausibly build super pathogens that could kill millions or possibly billions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123831031767937026",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1123830351980314625"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123829873234120710",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T06:01:36+00:00",
   "text": "The alternative is likely a high risk of extinction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123829873234120710",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1123829639288434689"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123829639288434689",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T06:00:40+00:00",
   "text": "Obviously I love liberty, but we are going to need to seriously think about implementing mass surveillance as dangerous technology evolves.\nhttps://t.co/G0ektg3cis",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123829639288434689",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1123828571376619520",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T05:56:25+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ https://t.co/F7jAqSCO4Q",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123828571376619520",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1123819460140380161"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123826284683984898",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T05:47:20+00:00",
   "text": "I have an ethical decision theory for multiverse living! I am still working on the idea and adding to the post, but I'd love to hear your comments on what I have so far! https://t.co/VC7J16kFfF\nHas anyone else written about this? https://t.co/btvq2ZhIrL",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123826284683984898",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1123796950950789122",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T03:50:46+00:00",
   "text": "@mpellittieri Just tax junk food.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123796950950789122",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1123714442318032898"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123759946871521282",
   "created_at": "2019-05-02T01:23:44+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Reminds me of https://t.co/smEVDwPjZt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123759946871521282",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1123729798646333440"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123676115829186561",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:50:37+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson Would be nice if settlements for libel were easier. Blatantly lie about a blog post where there is proof it hasn't been edited? $100 fine or face Twitter ban.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123676115829186561",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1123673059670540290"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123671168911925248",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:30:58+00:00",
   "text": "@Nashgrier @RyanHoliday It can buy you a probability of future time that you won't have to work for money.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123671168911925248",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1122559039739658240"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123670665092112392",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:28:58+00:00",
   "text": "@BlatantMacaroon @EPoe187 Idk if badassery is in it's fundamental form. I think it's a composite number if you will that can be broken down into its prime factors.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123670665092112392",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1123670195892051968"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123670312237842434",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:27:33+00:00",
   "text": "@EPoe187 The best part is that he 'regrets' it because it was 'unnecessary' and 'needlessly dangerous'. Points for pain tolerance and rationality",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123670312237842434",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1123667634006966276"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123669605300543488",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:24:45+00:00",
   "text": "@BlatantMacaroon @EPoe187 But what is badassery? A combination of pain tolerance, willingness to ngaf & mark your 'sacred' body permanently, and a willingness to commit to displaying your beliefs w/ no ability to back down?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123669605300543488",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1123667084385374209"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123668702006845441",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:21:09+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils If they aren't willing to at least go on  first date, people will know they are just abusing the system. But yes, they can come up w/ excuses. Everyone who uses this should know their crushes might find out w/ no intent to seriously go on a date.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123668702006845441",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1123667564788318209"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123667634006966276",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:16:55+00:00",
   "text": "@EPoe187 They also signal pain tolerance, as mentioned elsewhere. As stupid as it is, I can't help but give props to one of my acquaintances w/ a branding.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123667634006966276",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1123667248386801669"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123667248386801669",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:15:23+00:00",
   "text": "@EPoe187 I think they signal the ability to commit to something & a certain lack of laziness. You don't know if people w/out tattoos are actually ever willing to commit to things and ever energetic enough to do something out of their way like get a tattoo.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123667248386801669",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1123658974589530112"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123664206870581248",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:03:18+00:00",
   "text": "Don't see what is categorically wrong w/ this. Society is experiencing a crisis of loneliness, & this is just another tool to help w/ that. Users can abuse it like any technological tool, but as long as Facebook upholds user privacy, what's wrong w/ them providing this?? https://t.co/EmFIuofUmS",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123664206870581248",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1123662769553858562",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:57:35+00:00",
   "text": "@XiXiDu @robinhanson In any given circumstance, it may be ideal for a person not to bring up a controversial topic. However, the simplest ideal-heuristic for this, IMO, is that, yes, people should speak their mind openly & honestly to nudge the Overton window in the right direction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123662769553858562",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1123657644655480832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123661858471333896",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:53:58+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist With that being said, if there were some way to secretly (no one finding out) make it so prisoners were not suffering, then it would be ethical to alleviate their suffering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123661858471333896",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1123661392517763074"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123661392517763074",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:52:07+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist However, I also think that some people really psychologically need to experience vengeance, so we need to put up the guise (beyond for just deterrence reasons) that people like Anders Behring Breivik are suffering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123661392517763074",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1123659818814853121"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123659818814853121",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:45:52+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist believe free will is physically or even meta physically possible (I think it's just a feeling that people struggle to pin down). So people don't really 'deserve' to suffer because it wasn't really a 'choice' to wrong someone. An eye for an eye isn't intrinsically necessary imo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123659818814853121",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1123659364349480960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123659364349480960",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:44:03+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist I think it would be utilitarian to frequently remind careless transgressors of the suffering their mistakes cause, but only because this helps them act to cause less suffering to others in the future. I don't think moral responsibility is technically a thing though as I don't",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123659364349480960",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1123657540108279808"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123658551006724096",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:40:49+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist & for any judgemental prudes out there w/ easygoing consciences who think my guilt signals I'm 'bad', my superego/conscience is hyperactive & I feel guilty (rightfully so, IMO) for spending a few bucks on myself on a snack when the $$ could otherwise go to high impact charities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123658551006724096",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1123657168769757185"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123657168769757185",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:35:20+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist I have personally felt a release of psychological guilt when painful things have happened to me because, presumably, my unconscious felt I was good to resume social relations because I paid the price. Sometimes people *want & need* punishment.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123657168769757185",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1123656257485852674"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123656257485852674",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:31:42+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist In principle, no. However, given people's psychology & frequently, an expectation that punishment is necessary in order to fit back into the social group, painful punishment may sometimes be less psychologically painful then no punishment at all.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123656257485852674",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1123654460239241217"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123655169579917314",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:27:23+00:00",
   "text": "@reasonisfun Monogamy seems like more security--partners can more easily flake out on supporting you if you're poly. There is also more social stigma against being poly. There may also be fear of competition/violence by rival mates in poly networks due to jealously.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123655169579917314",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1123651426411057157"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123651483977900032",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:12:44+00:00",
   "text": "Love this career advice. https://t.co/0k95kBPOxU",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123651483977900032",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1123650421514547200",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:08:31+00:00",
   "text": "RT @juliagalef: Thanks to economist & high-entropy thinker @tylercowen, for coming on my podcast and letting me argue with him for an hour!…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123650421514547200",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1123646246453960705",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:51:56+00:00",
   "text": "The future sum of evidence could just as well lead us to better financially support those not endowed with high general intelligence. It could also increase our compassion & empathy for vast swaths of people, who really can't be different then they are.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123646246453960705",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1123645116315504641"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123645117577953282",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:47:27+00:00",
   "text": "if we can, that just means we just updated our beliefs in the present.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123645117577953282",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1123645116315504641"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123645116315504641",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:47:26+00:00",
   "text": "If, say, after extensive research & debate, the sum of evidence shows we should subsidize the smartest people having kids, then that's what we should do! But we can't know what we will know tomorrow! We can't predict how our beliefs will update in the future, because",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123645116315504641",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1123645114927206401"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123645114927206401",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:47:26+00:00",
   "text": "evidence demands. If they are unreasonable & cannot arrive at proper conclusions, then who can say that, categorically, obtaining from going down a certain intellectual train of thought is ethically desirable? That could just as well be an unreasonable conclusion!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123645114927206401",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1123645113530552321"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123645113530552321",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:47:26+00:00",
   "text": "Discovering objective facts does lead to detailed philosophical discussions which do change behavior in the world. But this isn't a bad thing. If academics, as a whole, are reasonable & can arrive at proper conclusions, then they will arrive at the proper conclusions that",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123645113530552321",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1123645111739604992"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123645111739604992",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:47:25+00:00",
   "text": "We can't put the cart before the horse; we can't know an intellectual conclusion before reasoning extensively & honestly about it. https://t.co/2gytlv9jD5",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123645111739604992",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1123639465925386242",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:24:59+00:00",
   "text": "@R_Thaler @AEAjournals I am 💯% behind this 😃",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123639465925386242",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1123224583941906432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123637783233552385",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:18:18+00:00",
   "text": "RT @XiXiDu: @robinhanson We're only just discovering how extensive neurodiversity in humans is. I expect that future generations will be ab…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123637783233552385",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1123637233817411585",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:16:07+00:00",
   "text": "This is a useful post about two broad types of speakers, 'Subtle' and 'Simple', that really need to understand each other. I of course think that simple speech is more honest and desirable, but there is, realistically, often a price to pay for ignoring Subtle peoples' psychology. https://t.co/mwXExuG83x",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123637233817411585",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1123633858027696128",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:02:42+00:00",
   "text": "they find evidence you may have violated one of the absurd numbers of laws out there. They can always come back w/ a warrant if they need to.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123633858027696128",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1123633856576356352"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123633856576356352",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:02:42+00:00",
   "text": "Experiments and real world data suggests it's very difficult to refuse authority's requests to hand over your privacy. You aren't \"a good person\" if you are a high-impact person, hand over your privacy to police, & get charged w/ a petty crime because\nhttps://t.co/PlAqTSueZE",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123633856576356352",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1123382657675612165",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T00:24:31+00:00",
   "text": "RT @primalpoly: Or we could cover about 1.2% of Las Vegas with nuclear power plants. https://t.co/TtJqvgv0gq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123382657675612165",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1123381047218012160",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T00:18:07+00:00",
   "text": "RT @CryptoSeneca: Build character.\n\nAll else is secondary. https://t.co/kpoonYLfyb",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123381047218012160",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1123380063418966016",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T00:14:13+00:00",
   "text": "@alfredwkng \"Remember that time I violated your trust and sold you out for money? Haha good times\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123380063418966016",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1123281388046827520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123376904441143296",
   "created_at": "2019-05-01T00:01:40+00:00",
   "text": "@Johnny_Uzan Hope it's a good heuristic then",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123376904441143296",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1123233225218887687"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123364882215243776",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T23:13:53+00:00",
   "text": "@reason This is good news",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123364882215243776",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1123363400015339521"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123360646643552256",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:57:03+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ WWW: Navigated transfer college applications well.\nWWB: Didn't maintain a solid sleep routine.\nWTC: Fix sleep. Need to not nap to be tired by ~2200, journal, & implement a pre-sleep routine.\nGIMW: Hatred over still being a federal prisoner at my demanding school.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123360646643552256",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1123343648270110720"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123356721861337088",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:41:28+00:00",
   "text": "Hope that the show is pulled, the parents of teens who watched this and killed themselves afterwards can sue the f*%k out of Netflix, and that people get smart about how to display suicide in media.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123356721861337088",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1123356720657571842"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123356720657571842",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:41:27+00:00",
   "text": "It should have been entirely clear from the beginning that this adaptation would significantly increase teens' likelihood of committing suicide.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123356720657571842",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1123356719390830595"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123356719390830595",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:41:27+00:00",
   "text": "If they did, they would have pulled the show or heavily changed the plot to show an alternative to suicide.\nHow would any teen suffering from depression be dissuaded from committing suicide by watching this?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123356719390830595",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1123356717973164032"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123356717973164032",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:41:27+00:00",
   "text": "from preying on the victimhood sentiments & emotional revenge fantasies of emotionally perturbed adolescents. @Netflix clearly had little regard for their vulnerable audience or message they were sending.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123356717973164032",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1123356716513538048"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123356716513538048",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:41:26+00:00",
   "text": "@netflix I'm generally all for personal responsibility & the right of individuals to produce & sell the media they want to, but this show was clearly designed to profit in either one of the dumbest or most disgusting ways possible:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123356716513538048",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1123340464856416257"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123340464856416257",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T21:36:52+00:00",
   "text": "This is absolutely condemnable. What the hell was @Netflix thinking? Anybody, especially at the begging of adolescent psychology experts, should have seen this coming a mile away.  IMO the families of victims should sue.\nhttps://t.co/0nI66KUziZ https://t.co/pYrCfBjpiz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123340464856416257",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1123327167566422017",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T20:44:01+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I know work gives people meaning, but I think we should still incentivize companies to produce as much economic value as cheaply as possible, which is often going to be through automation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123327167566422017",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1123325620107325440"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123325620107325440",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T20:37:52+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Perhaps businesses would be less incentivized to automate and more people would end up doing repetitive tasks that arguably, no one should have to do if that's the counterfactual option.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123325620107325440",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1123323051876261888"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123308611265024000",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T19:30:17+00:00",
   "text": "@trekonomics @Noahpinion I just mean the my understanding of these societies, w/ the web of institutions & incentives that make them unique, is ultimately tied intimately with my preference for them. I can't imagine how I could ignore the downsides of them and arrive at useful preferences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123308611265024000",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1123307318173548544"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123307448373317632",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T19:25:40+00:00",
   "text": "@ycombinator @MakeSchool response to that? Should liberal arts colleges also consider adopting ISA's?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123307448373317632",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1123307123142795264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123307123142795264",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T19:24:22+00:00",
   "text": "@ycombinator @MakeSchool ISAs seem to be the best way to incentivize colleges to produce workforce ready people. Some liberal arts educators might assert ISA's are against the purpose of a liberal arts education, which is to develop people broadly &  outside the influence of economic forces. What's your",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123307123142795264",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1123304942717014017"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123304500155047942",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T19:13:57+00:00",
   "text": "@trekonomics @Noahpinion One can't suspend beliefs in this way though. Different, unedited governmental systems could not possibly yield equal results, even in a thought experiment. \"Which sci fi future gives you the most fuzzies, without thinking hard?\" is the way to ask this. *steps off mole hill*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123304500155047942",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1123296984637423616"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123302896353910786",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T19:07:35+00:00",
   "text": "@uonaiii 🙄😬",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123302896353910786",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1123240119690047488"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123302444426039296",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T19:05:47+00:00",
   "text": "@nutrition_facts You are awesome Dr. Greger. I really appreciate & have improved my health from your work.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123302444426039296",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1123301033617297408"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123300278885916673",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:57:11+00:00",
   "text": "@Scientific_Bird Lot's of educated, careful people are concerned about their potential kids' uncertain future and potential negative effect on climate change. For the smart, intelligent people concerned about this, I think they are admirable, but mistaken and that the world needs their kids.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123300278885916673",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1123298088993656832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123299006900244486",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:52:07+00:00",
   "text": "@realsarahclark @GreyLeArt @elonmusk 😍 thanks Sarah! 😀",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123299006900244486",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1123297445310373888"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123298088993656832",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:48:28+00:00",
   "text": "@Scientific_Bird Imo let the markets work. #YIMBY\nAlso, we should have more clear ethical guidance about the ethics & net-economic desirability of having more kids.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123298088993656832",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1122633110288502789"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123296261606662144",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:41:13+00:00",
   "text": "@drethelin @Aella_Girl I'd say having a semester+ of college w/ passing grades counts as a hs degree.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123296261606662144",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1123294491534868481"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123292852614778891",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:27:40+00:00",
   "text": "It's not really \"cool\" to settle for making any amount of money, unless one expects to make progress in an underappreciated cause area.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123292852614778891",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1123292071970971649"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123292071970971649",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:24:34+00:00",
   "text": "The point I guess I am trying to say is that as long as we have good, enforceable laws that help set the left and right limits on ethical business behavior, we want to encourage people, in general, to make a lot of money and/or work in underappreciated cause areas.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123292071970971649",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1123290575585927168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123290575585927168",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:18:37+00:00",
   "text": "The biggest exceptions, of course, are where people work on neglected, underappreciated cause areas. Future people and animals are not expressing their valuable preference in the economy with their dollar, so existential risk and animal suffering mitigators are exceptions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123290575585927168",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1123290573392228355"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123290573392228355",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:18:37+00:00",
   "text": "Now rent-seeking & unethical business behavior exists and we can want profiteers of that in particular to lose & redistribute their wealth, but it's generally the case that ↑💰 ← ↑(preference satisfaction).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123290573392228355",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1123290572150775808"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123290572150775808",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:18:36+00:00",
   "text": "Change my mind: Rich people, on average, produced more value & fulfilled more preferences in their past.\n\nPeople don't generally acquire money for reasons outside of providing limited resources to people who want them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123290572150775808",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1123278890653368320",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T17:32:11+00:00",
   "text": "@kendraegle @rivatez One is still best off, in general, being vegan and working to end animal suffering through direct action and donating to effective animal welfare charities. My impression is that most hunters do not do animals a service.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123278890653368320",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1123277891989639168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123277891989639168",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T17:28:13+00:00",
   "text": "@kendraegle @rivatez Of course, many animals in many ecosystems (I'm not sure of the commonality of this) are not facing this unsustainability, so if one isn't careful about ensuring this is the case, it's basically just murder (if the animal has a net-positive life).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123277891989639168",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1123277091955531777"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123277091955531777",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T17:25:02+00:00",
   "text": "@kendraegle @rivatez It's probably not as bad as killing a pet w/ a good life or funding factory farm supply through buying animal products. If the population really is approaching unsustainability, a bullet probably isn't as bad as multiple creatures reliably starving a generation later.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123277091955531777",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1123257977215971328"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123201476774461447",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T12:24:34+00:00",
   "text": "RT @patrickc: Does speed matter?\n\nhttps://t.co/EA2fUSrppr",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123201476774461447",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1123200959822299137",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T12:22:31+00:00",
   "text": "@ComedicBizman Calculated risks that maximize expected utility are great and if you aren't failing, you aren't trying. But also, some people (myself) are kind of overly risk tolerant and I feel like I have averted a lot of trouble by saying \"not this time\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123200959822299137",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1123199239436292096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123199239436292096",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T12:15:41+00:00",
   "text": "@ComedicBizman https://t.co/AxmzAnDB4L",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123199239436292096",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1123036272182812672"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123198558969184257",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T12:12:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @hardmaru: A series of blog posts on applying machine learning to architecture\n\nExperiments: https://t.co/zhmOsAjeaE\nBackground: https:/…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123198558969184257",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1123197235888578560",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T12:07:43+00:00",
   "text": "@ProfRobAnderson @grescoe @Prof_Bruckner I feel like an optimally loaded train could be more efficient.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123197235888578560",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1122888076047421441"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123195741005058049",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T12:01:47+00:00",
   "text": "RT @complexnerve: @kvlly I think you meant to attach this image lol....... https://t.co/MhabKtZ5v7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123195741005058049",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1123100590085758977",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T05:43:41+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ I'm down to talk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123100590085758977",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1123093281800245248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123091183541133312",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T05:06:18+00:00",
   "text": "RT @SethAbramson: 15/ Every day Congress fails to act, it *sends a message* to those Americans who believe in rule of law that the rules ha…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123091183541133312",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1123090690571931648",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T05:04:21+00:00",
   "text": "@nathan_k Too many of us don't stop to think that maybe our sense of morality that doesn't fit Bayesian decision theory physics-based consequentialism is adequately described by evolutionary psychology.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123090690571931648",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1123089677454594053"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123089677454594053",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T05:00:19+00:00",
   "text": "@nathan_k It's not terrible evidence that the average person is not well-versed in Bayesian probability, decision theory, and physics-based consequentalist ethics, but it's scary how few intellectuals come to these conclusions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123089677454594053",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1123087284142780416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123087284142780416",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T04:50:49+00:00",
   "text": "@nathan_k Perhaps the majority of people do not believe that rules are heuristics and they don't share a developed understanding of consequentialism, so we can rarely even have a productive conversation about what is the real good.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123087284142780416",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1123084949358350337"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123084949358350337",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T04:41:32+00:00",
   "text": "@nathan_k I agree. I believe in the usefulness of mutable heuristics formed by consequentialist, cost-benefit analysis thinking.  But I can't understand how so many people are comfortable plucking their absolutists principles out of seemingly thin air.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123084949358350337",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1123083044980572161"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123080909945749504",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T04:25:29+00:00",
   "text": "For this reason justice denies that the loss of freedom for some is made right by a greater good shared by others.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123080909945749504",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1123080908930678784"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123080908930678784",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T04:25:29+00:00",
   "text": "Not a day goes by when my head doesn't nearly explode from deontological arguments. 24 minutes into today, John Rawls did it for me: \"Each person possesses an inviolability founded on justice that even the welfare of society as a whole cannot override.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123080908930678784",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1123074476609089537",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T03:59:55+00:00",
   "text": "@WKCosmo I think it is unethical to bear unnecessary personal risk:\nhttps://t.co/pfdqMRMA5b",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123074476609089537",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1122850449969897472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123072917808586752",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T03:53:43+00:00",
   "text": "@GreyLeArt @elonmusk By the way, this isn't usually an \"error\".  It's just an error in the sense that the programmers didn't intend it in this instance and for Gandhi to become a raging jerk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123072917808586752",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1123071503577251840"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123071503577251840",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T03:48:06+00:00",
   "text": "@GreyLeArt @elonmusk went to 0000 0000 and then back to 1111 1111.  This is one of the many errors which sometimes arise in computing if programmers are not careful enough.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123071503577251840",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1123071019542040576"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123071019542040576",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T03:46:11+00:00",
   "text": "@GreyLeArt @elonmusk Computers store values in binary numbers.  For this game, the numbers were 8 bit, so the maximum number 1111 1111 (base 2) is 255.  There are two ways to represent negative numbers using bit strings. In this case, the number 0000 0001 (base 2), when subtracted by 2,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123071019542040576",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1123038821363462144"
  },
  {
   "id": "1123041154373754880",
   "created_at": "2019-04-30T01:47:30+00:00",
   "text": "Just wrote down a running training plan for a friend. I've done several different running plans before, but this was my favorite and gave me the best results:\nhttps://t.co/ywCwUivDnn",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123041154373754880",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1123011034225238016",
   "created_at": "2019-04-29T23:47:49+00:00",
   "text": "Somebody posted about this recently, but you can start a new Google Sheets doc in your browser (not just Chrome!) with \"https://t.co/YijVq7oWUA\"!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1123011034225238016",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1122905257397358594",
   "created_at": "2019-04-29T16:47:30+00:00",
   "text": "Just a good list of privacy tools:\nhttps://t.co/yD2OxLJRFY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122905257397358594",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1122727802556563457",
   "created_at": "2019-04-29T05:02:22+00:00",
   "text": "@fire__exit Ye must consider giving thy birch to thee who long for it!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122727802556563457",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1122726505921036288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122696736542199808",
   "created_at": "2019-04-29T02:58:55+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher a high probability of recovery.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122696736542199808",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1122696677821906944"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122696677821906944",
   "created_at": "2019-04-29T02:58:41+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher I never said people shouldn't legally be able to buy insurance for that. But insurance companies should not be forced to offer coverage for that. When someone doesn't have insurance, it shouldn't come out of government funds either, unless, perhaps, for a short while if they have",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122696677821906944",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1122692612857589760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122694533710528512",
   "created_at": "2019-04-29T02:50:10+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher we ought to invest the millions of $$ it costs to maintain decade+ comas into the next generation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122694533710528512",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1122694118021435397"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122694118021435397",
   "created_at": "2019-04-29T02:48:31+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher I would not buy that insurance and would hope that few would buy that either.  It would be incredibly expensive in order to be profitable for a company. Few humans are so irreplaceable to be worth spending that much of our limited resources on.  Potential people are valuable;",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122694118021435397",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1122692612857589760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122689519868960770",
   "created_at": "2019-04-29T02:30:14+00:00",
   "text": "Do patents need to be shorter?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122689519868960770",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1122684779663634432",
   "created_at": "2019-04-29T02:11:24+00:00",
   "text": "@jordylancaster What happened to her?! I can't make out any pepper spray",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122684779663634432",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1122533637457633280"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122670118574620672",
   "created_at": "2019-04-29T01:13:09+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner I felt the pressure at times w/ guys in the military and have faced ridicule several times from choosing vegetarian options, but I am comfortable enough in my own skin now that IDGAF.  I welcome contempt actually because it opens the door for me to preach & call them out.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122670118574620672",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1122653166741311488"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122636610481348608",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T23:00:00+00:00",
   "text": "Why isn't infinite computation a feature of our world 😭",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122636610481348608",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1122636608736518146"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122636608736518146",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T22:59:59+00:00",
   "text": "Upon first getting interested in AI and computer science, my imagination just took off about what we could end up computing. I feel like I have a better (still vague) understanding now of the real, physics-based limits to computation, and it's a little disappointing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122636608736518146",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1122614316723732486",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T21:31:24+00:00",
   "text": "@upthebrude If those rich people didn't own the fossil fuel power plants (& other means of carbon emissions), the markets would have helped somebody else to, and those people would be rich instead.  This is not a rich/poor person problem, but a collective problem of not passing carbon taxes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122614316723732486",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1121692223400181760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122592092713361418",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T20:03:06+00:00",
   "text": "I still do not understand why more organizations do not make it easier to give anonymous internal (by employees) and external feedback.  Anybody can have good ideas, and those ideas are surely on avg more valuable than appearing \"strong\" by not actively seeking feedback.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122592092713361418",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1122590364651618304",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T19:56:14+00:00",
   "text": "Eventually, we are going to want to crack down with security in order to mitigate agential risks, but in the mean time, IMO, libertarianism is a strong heuristic towards the good.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122590364651618304",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1122586297195999234",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T19:40:04+00:00",
   "text": "which is a scarce, finite resource, towards more cost-effective uses, like helping the next generation of people (children).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122586297195999234",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1122586295312711681"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122586295312711681",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T19:40:04+00:00",
   "text": "Unpopular take: This is not the type of hope we want to spread.  It costs a ton to maintain someone in a coma.  If someone has a low probability of recovery (AI now is really good at predicting whether patients will wake up), we should divert the money used to keep them alive, https://t.co/g0Ym6DKmCA",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122586295312711681",
   "word_count": 54
  },
  {
   "id": "1122578193557393408",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T19:07:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @iiiitsandrea: @TheAnnaGat For real, let's discuss uncomfortable topics in civil ways anytime ✨",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122578193557393408",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1122577811368284160",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T19:06:21+00:00",
   "text": "@webmasterdave They do dilute the demand for factory farmed animal products, but to think we are doing these animals justice probably does detract from the pressure we should feel to research into drastically increasing the quality of their lives via genetic engineering & the like.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122577811368284160",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1122576930862190592"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122576930862190592",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T19:02:51+00:00",
   "text": "@webmasterdave To be clear, I rarely purchase animal products and am strongly against factory farming. I just genuinely don't know whether the few mom and pop farms where animals avg 1 acre each & have access to shelter should exist right now.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122576930862190592",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1122575589393747968"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122575589393747968",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:57:31+00:00",
   "text": "@webmasterdave methane* emissions",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122575589393747968",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1122573698396033030"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122573698396033030",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:50:00+00:00",
   "text": "@webmasterdave IMO, the CO2 emissions make it so that these cows shouldn't exist. But what about pigs in a similar scenario? If I inherit the property and don't have the financial means to support them unless I sell them, is the world better off if I just leave the land a bare plot?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122573698396033030",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1122572565002825729"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122572565002825729",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:45:30+00:00",
   "text": "@webmasterdave A family member of mine has 10 cows on a large plot of land that he uses for beef.  I agree that he should prioritize their well-being rather than his profit. However, they live lives about as good as it could get for a cow today up until the last day of their life.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122572565002825729",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1122571560177545219"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122571560177545219",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:41:30+00:00",
   "text": "@webmasterdave categorically not exist because humans enjoy eating them?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122571560177545219",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1122571178298761222"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122571178298761222",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:39:59+00:00",
   "text": "@webmasterdave I agree that human pleasure from eating them is so incredibly small compared to the quality of their sentient experience that our pleasure is not a factor in the hedonic equation. Animals shouldn't be hurt, harmed, or killed because we enjoy them, but realistically, should they",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122571178298761222",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1122566521946091520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122568685581996033",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:30:05+00:00",
   "text": "@aliceandrews @DocGrawitch @paulbloomatyale Interesting! For the curious:\nhttps://t.co/0F8cPTEj4T https://t.co/aAMcdy5JKd",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122568685581996033",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1122566935332495361"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122566903266992128",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:23:00+00:00",
   "text": "fundamentally beyond our control. But this is at odds with the idea that decisions do matter ethically. I have more thinking to do on this. Decision theory is hard 😭",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122566903266992128",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1122566901798965251"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122566901798965251",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:23:00+00:00",
   "text": "One may be inclined to say that since quantum mechanics is the fabric of reality, our \"decisions\" are just quantum mechanics playing out & have no effect on net ethical outcomes (in all worlds), so we shouldn't try to account for quantum mechanics in this sense because it's",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122566901798965251",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1122561070156144641"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122561070156144641",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:59:49+00:00",
   "text": "I know there is an absurd number of universes out there under MWI, but +1 util is a util whether or not infinite ethics exists. So if this decision criterion is true, applying it even once is ethically desirable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122561070156144641",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1122554679022489601"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122558220860628992",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:48:30+00:00",
   "text": "@DocGrawitch @paulbloomatyale I want to be more charitable than that, but there is little moral+intellectual uncertainty and willingness to debate in many people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122558220860628992",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1122556784118464512"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122556784118464512",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:42:48+00:00",
   "text": "@DocGrawitch @paulbloomatyale It's like we are witnessing the evolution of coercion in small primate groups. Physical intimidation is no longer tolerated, so ideological subterfuge (even tricking oneself) & purported moral superiority is the new easy method of reducing one's competition & securing power.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122556784118464512",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1122554550785859586"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122554679022489601",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:34:26+00:00",
   "text": "and this might be the big if, we increase the rate of natural selection towards extinction & utopias (which could make up for the suffering along the way).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122554679022489601",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1122554677676138496"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122554677676138496",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:34:25+00:00",
   "text": "radioactive decay w/ 66% odds? We may not always be prioritizing this observable world, but we appropriately(?) increase the variance of outcomes, which, if futures with extinction are more likely then futures with net-suffering,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122554677676138496",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1122554676342329345"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122554676342329345",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:34:25+00:00",
   "text": "If the MWI of quantum mechanics is true, should we be making more decisions based on radioactive decay? For example, if the choice worthiness (Bayesian probability * expected utility) of a course of action is 2x that of not doing it, should we only do that action based off",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122554676342329345",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1122546519717089280",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:02:00+00:00",
   "text": "@rishmishra It's interesting, but the sacrifice may be worth it in the utilititarian sense. Many startup do produce a lot of value for society. It's not like one is getting addicted to some solitary pleasure with few positive externalities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122546519717089280",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1122161938539192321"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122544089835155458",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:52:21+00:00",
   "text": "@ABC placesIWantToMoveTo[New Zealand] -= 1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122544089835155458",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1121750542198374402"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122542471190327297",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:45:55+00:00",
   "text": "@paulbloomatyale It's not even like these people are often forgiven and taken back in by the group demanding the apology anyway (I think).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122542471190327297",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1122541221212315648"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122541253877538816",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:41:05+00:00",
   "text": "Sorry, this claim might be false. 39% of new romantic relationships clearly start online now. It may be true because 13% more respondents said they met via a restaurant/bar, which I think may mostly be where they decided to meet somebody they met online first.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122541253877538816",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1122527300472455174"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122536144183468032",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:20:47+00:00",
   "text": "Of course, why they are physically less secure comes into question. If they are just a small person financially dependent for good reasons, that's one thing. If they are homeless (very physically insecure) because of poor decision making, that's another heuristic in itself.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122536144183468032",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1122534356013207553"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122534356013207553",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:13:40+00:00",
   "text": "If so, another heuristic for true beliefs may exist: beliefs outside the Overton window by people with less physical security are more likely to be true (in the Bayesian sense), because these people probably did more careful information processing to end up actually holding them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122534356013207553",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1122533110732742658"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122533110732742658",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:08:43+00:00",
   "text": "Do bigger/stronger/richer people hold less socially-acceptable opinions because they perceive their survival as less at risk by holding them?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122533110732742658",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1122529636221685760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122529636221685760",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T15:54:55+00:00",
   "text": "I'd be interested in seeing a study of the correlation between personal physical security and the rate of holding beliefs outside one's perceived Overton window.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122529636221685760",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1122528977351073792",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T15:52:18+00:00",
   "text": "This isn't saying I don't have great in person relationships btw. They are great & rewarding too. There is just obviously incentive to hold back talking about stuff that may be too far outside the Overton window.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122528977351073792",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1122527300472455174"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122527300472455174",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T15:45:38+00:00",
   "text": "as the same w/ someone one encounters regularly. This especially applies to dating. It's no wonder the majority of new romantic relationships start online now.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122527300472455174",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1122527298723483650"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122527298723483650",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T15:45:38+00:00",
   "text": "Mutual self-disclosure leads to psychological intimacy after all. There is, of course, some quantitative arguments for this. There are far more people at the edges of one's social network. A soured/expired/never-formed relationship w/ a distant person isn't remembered as much",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122527298723483650",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1122527297473531907"
  },
  {
   "id": "1122527297473531907",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T15:45:37+00:00",
   "text": "It's kind of insane how sometimes, strangers at the edges of social networks can become closer to you than most other people after so little time. I often thrive with these people tbh. Less incentive to hold back potentially nest-soiling info.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122527297473531907",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1122511750740496384",
   "created_at": "2019-04-28T14:43:51+00:00",
   "text": "Sometimes I just want to tweet so bots employed by researchers down the road get a better picture of me for their studies. I just want to make a memorandum for record that doesn't necessarily show up on others feeds. I guess I could just use another account...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1122511750740496384",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1121843576021889024",
   "created_at": "2019-04-26T18:28:46+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist they had a very utilitous use for the money (e.g. giving it to AMF).  A partial pay up is probably desirable to help preserve that shared social trust and collective good faith in others, which is so valuable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121843576021889024",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1121842813572923393"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121842813572923393",
   "created_at": "2019-04-26T18:25:44+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist The utility aspect actually seems intuitive.  If the hiker is very poor and the cabin owner seems to be very rich, the money is probably worth more to the hiker, and they could just leave an apology note. If the reverse is true, the hiker should at least partially pay up unless",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121842813572923393",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1121840603573248000"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121840603573248000",
   "created_at": "2019-04-26T18:16:57+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist of public trust that the cabin owner is expected to experience.  For example, the cabin owner may lock their cabin and not provide that potential shelter for someone in the future.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121840603573248000",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1121839972556976129"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121839972556976129",
   "created_at": "2019-04-26T18:14:26+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist Depends on the utility of how that money will be used. Is the cabin owner expected to use it better? If not, I'd say the hiker has the obligation to spend it in the best way possible. However, they have to be willing and able to spend it well enough to make up for the destruction",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121839972556976129",
   "word_count": 57,
   "in_reply_to": "1121831450725232640"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121763239921160192",
   "created_at": "2019-04-26T13:09:32+00:00",
   "text": "you cannot compel me to talk, and you are not to infer guilt or innocence from my silence.\"\n\nLonger talk on this: https://t.co/NOofylWiqK",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121763239921160192",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1121763238956478465"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121763238956478465",
   "created_at": "2019-04-26T13:09:32+00:00",
   "text": "They will mishear what you say.  \"Officer, with all due respect, I will not answer questions from you.\" If they say, \"you aren't talking because you are hiding something\", say, \"Respectfully, the reason I am not talking is that the US Constitution says that for any reason,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121763238956478465",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1121763237870043146"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121763237870043146",
   "created_at": "2019-04-26T13:09:31+00:00",
   "text": "with my attorney?\"\n\nJust say \"no\" when asked for permission (e.g. to open your trunk). Be polite. Do as you are ordered, but make sure you are working with an unconditional command.\n\nThe police are not your friends. They can lie. Don't even provide a rock-solid alibi.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121763237870043146",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1121763236699889664"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121763236699889664",
   "created_at": "2019-04-26T13:09:31+00:00",
   "text": "An important concept to remember:\n\n\"How to Handle the Police Until You Get a Lawyer\" (in the US)\nhttps://t.co/9HRtYhdZh0\nBottom line: Shut up and don't talk to the police. Give your name & date of birth.  Ask your legal status. Ask, \"Why did you stop me?\" and \"When can I speak",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121763236699889664",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1121577759497687041",
   "created_at": "2019-04-26T00:52:30+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ risk of extinction. So if there is a 1% chance of extinction per year and a 1.05% growth rate starting at 7.7 billion people, then we should assume X amount of people will live in the future at any particular point in time. I am working in a spread sheet!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121577759497687041",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1121572192188342273"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121572192188342273",
   "created_at": "2019-04-26T00:30:23+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ No they are important questions! Population ethics is tricky but it's arguably the most important field of study (if its implications are taken seriously).\nWe can look at historical data and guess that the population will grow at 1.05%, and reduce that by our estimated cumulative",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121572192188342273",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1121570988594847745"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121569289725710336",
   "created_at": "2019-04-26T00:18:51+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ They exist to the probability of them coming into existence.  It's not a 1/1 trade if their existence isn't certain. 100 future people with a 90% chance of coming into existence should have the moral weight of 90 people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121569289725710336",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1121567204846133248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121563566123945984",
   "created_at": "2019-04-25T23:56:06+00:00",
   "text": "👌👌\nhttps://t.co/OFhBUqKyxd",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121563566123945984",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "1121525505268776981",
   "created_at": "2019-04-25T21:24:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @SethAbramson: BREAKING NEWS: A NYT article, echoing claims made on this feed, has stated correctly—for the first time—what the Mueller…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121525505268776981",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1121525222862196736",
   "created_at": "2019-04-25T21:23:44+00:00",
   "text": "@hyperplanes Now that's contrarian",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121525222862196736",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1121504836825096194"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121415782045495298",
   "created_at": "2019-04-25T14:08:51+00:00",
   "text": "Programming and writing is fantastic for highlighting what you don't actually know. If you can't explicitly formulate it, chances are you don't really understand it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121415782045495298",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1121407246410371084",
   "created_at": "2019-04-25T13:34:56+00:00",
   "text": "\"It’s his ability to give a speech, or answer questions onstage, in a way that makes it seem as though he’s earnestly thinking through his beliefs in real time.\"\n\"'In reality, all politicians are strategic about the image and behaviors they present to voters.'\" https://t.co/dAvSepvVGu",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121407246410371084",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1121388942065111040",
   "created_at": "2019-04-25T12:22:12+00:00",
   "text": "RT @dailystoic: \"If anyone can refute me—show me I’m making a mistake or looking at things from the wrong perspective—I’ll gladly change. I…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121388942065111040",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1121383512681140225",
   "created_at": "2019-04-25T12:00:38+00:00",
   "text": "@wgchristmas @s_r_constantin I think there are good explanations on why these bets haven't become widespread, but also plausible explanations why the can and should.\nhttps://t.co/m6VeRP1lpF\nhttps://t.co/syjN9Snhz3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121383512681140225",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1121335331834327040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121289545461444608",
   "created_at": "2019-04-25T05:47:14+00:00",
   "text": "RT @forsoothic: @EvanWard97 @s_r_constantin Funding agencies should make small counter-bets against every study; if the study isn't overtur…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121289545461444608",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1121275902585921536",
   "created_at": "2019-04-25T04:53:02+00:00",
   "text": "@s_r_constantin Also, scientists should be willing to bet money with certain odds that their work won't be overturned over an X length period.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121275902585921536",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1121080637924839424"
  },
  {
   "id": "1121275220483026944",
   "created_at": "2019-04-25T04:50:19+00:00",
   "text": "These are some grade 🅰 heuristics. 💯 https://t.co/UGREe1yKjO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121275220483026944",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1121133249865109505",
   "created_at": "2019-04-24T19:26:11+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ESYudkowsky: Debt is servitude to a far, far greater degree than equity. Income-sharing agreements are far, far less \"slavery\" than stu…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121133249865109505",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1121009234144055296",
   "created_at": "2019-04-24T11:13:23+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils Damn rip",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121009234144055296",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1120947422484672512"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120912035569704963",
   "created_at": "2019-04-24T04:47:09+00:00",
   "text": "@fire__exit https://t.co/y54VokGMrF",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120912035569704963",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1120911512116367360"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120834504686473216",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T23:39:04+00:00",
   "text": "@jeffpoulos @CEPData @philxbuchanan @Philanthropy_MA @bostonfdn What's your take on effective altruism? How are GiveWell's recommended charities interpreted by CEP? I'm just curious.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120834504686473216",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1120822310187995138"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120833621030518784",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T23:35:33+00:00",
   "text": "RT @bad_packets: @MalwareTechBlog If you get forced to the new Twitter UI, you can opt-out via this URL: https://t.co/aCsvXVq9zX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120833621030518784",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1120833031286206475",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T23:33:13+00:00",
   "text": "We need to raise significant taxes on animal products. https://t.co/nbAChL8R3E",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120833031286206475",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1120820119364620288",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T22:41:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @SteveStuWill: Well this is kinda humbling: The Milky Way compared to the largest galaxy in the known universe... 😮 https://t.co/zaeiktd…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120820119364620288",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1120778287364673536",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T19:55:41+00:00",
   "text": "@KellyLevenda Sure thing 😃",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120778287364673536",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1120777210195918848"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120544614405083136",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:27:09+00:00",
   "text": "@ntaylor963 @TriversRobert They didn't even talk about that as a possibility!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120544614405083136",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1120494043920781312"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120543951323316224",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:24:31+00:00",
   "text": "@NASAEarth This photo bothers me a lot.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120543951323316224",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1120371686434410498"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120542418733023237",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:18:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @lymanstoneky: We would 100% be better off finding ways to reduce enrollment years than finding ways to increase them. https://t.co/rN7W…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120542418733023237",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1120540092131684353",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:09:11+00:00",
   "text": "RT @juliagalef: One of my favorite subreddits, r/ChangeMyView, just moved to a new site: https://t.co/ydrycVnSu9\nThey use a cool incentive…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120540092131684353",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1120539853521850368",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:08:14+00:00",
   "text": "RT @lpolovets: Thinking out loud: as income share agreements (ISAs) gain popularity as a college financing option, they'll also become a li…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120539853521850368",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1120538703615729665",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:03:40+00:00",
   "text": "cheaper online certificates (e.g. via MOOCs) & certificates to be earned by in-person testing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120538703615729665",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1120538702403592199"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120538702403592199",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:03:39+00:00",
   "text": "Let the free market do its work. Subsidizing tuition just raises prices. College is not the be all, end all anyways. Instead of increasing the meme that college is essential for learning and the only way to signal competence to employers, let's pay a UBI & promote the credence of",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120538702403592199",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1120493867671932928",
   "created_at": "2019-04-23T01:05:30+00:00",
   "text": "@ceesay257 No integrity here 😒",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120493867671932928",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1119817948468662272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120398396957843456",
   "created_at": "2019-04-22T18:46:08+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist I do it all the time. Example: I really like cycling in new routes & am personally willing to bear the risk on a few particularly dangerous routes (no shoulders & higher speed traffic), but considering my expected future impact via earning to give, I stick to routine safer routes",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120398396957843456",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1120355047286743040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120364365935468544",
   "created_at": "2019-04-22T16:30:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sfera314: #proofwithoutwords\nDuring a gravitational elliptic orbit, the path traced by tip of the velocity vectors (collected together…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120364365935468544",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1120284793223225344",
   "created_at": "2019-04-22T11:14:43+00:00",
   "text": "@RealJPaulRead @Aella_Girl You are trying to make a claim about a population w/ 2 data points.\nThere is evidence:\nhttps://t.co/XpLqRtAn4q",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120284793223225344",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1120249810488111106"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120226347589275648",
   "created_at": "2019-04-22T07:22:28+00:00",
   "text": "@RealJPaulRead @Aella_Girl Just because there are two possible outcomes from an event doesn't mean they are equally likely. Seat belts usually save lives. Higher IQ usually leads to better socioeconomic outcomes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120226347589275648",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1120214993142784000"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120186021579243520",
   "created_at": "2019-04-22T04:42:14+00:00",
   "text": "RT @paulbloomatyale: I've been noticing a lot of tweets of the form: \"Tell me about when someone said you couldn't do something and then yo…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120186021579243520",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1120152379297542145",
   "created_at": "2019-04-22T02:28:33+00:00",
   "text": "Knightian uncertainty is just when you have low information about multiple mutually exclusive beliefs so your prior probability for them is the same or nearly the same.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120152379297542145",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1120149929232564227",
   "created_at": "2019-04-22T02:18:49+00:00",
   "text": "Given the lack of understanding of basic economics principles in a large percent of the population, we should probably prioritize teaching economics over Shakespeare.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120149929232564227",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1120148211014995968",
   "created_at": "2019-04-22T02:11:59+00:00",
   "text": "@sh_reya Insofar as grief helps you avoid repeating a past mistake, and anxiety helps you avoid a pressing problem, then I'd argue that they are good.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120148211014995968",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1120123571429359616"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120050515742789632",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T19:43:47+00:00",
   "text": "@JMannhart 😆",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120050515742789632",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1120049674893844480"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120029270116532224",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T18:19:21+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils Sweet! I'm interested to hear how it works out for you. I might recommend this to more people",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120029270116532224",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1120026352130899970"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120028850241638405",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T18:17:41+00:00",
   "text": "I don't think NNT knows what healthy discourse looks like.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120028850241638405",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1120028739520356352"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120028739520356352",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T18:17:15+00:00",
   "text": "If you are also blocked by NNT: https://t.co/aEJ18SLIRr",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120028739520356352",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1120025014424809483"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120025014424809483",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T18:02:27+00:00",
   "text": "For the record, I posted this:  https://t.co/KWN4C3RCK3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120025014424809483",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1120024900859777024"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120024900859777024",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T18:02:00+00:00",
   "text": "It is truly an honor 😂 https://t.co/7peaR0m6vw",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120024900859777024",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1120022040600297473",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T17:50:38+00:00",
   "text": "I think a lot more people agree with utilitarianism in triage scenarios. However, I'd argue that with all the suffering in the world and all the value at stake, we are all in a triage scenario.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120022040600297473",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1120020351021473792",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T17:43:55+00:00",
   "text": "Google has done as much good for society as any company. I don't know why people are hating. If you think eliminating mosquitos is overly dangerous, then you have to argue that and be willing to tolerate 1 million deaths a year + 700 million bouts of mosquito-borne illness. https://t.co/hUhfamp3Wf",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120020351021473792",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1120020251377381376",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T17:43:31+00:00",
   "text": "@nntaleb Google has done as much good for society as any company. I don't know why people are hating. If you think eliminating mosquitos is overly dangerous, then you have to argue that and be willing to tolerate 1 million deaths a year + 700 million bouts of mosquito-borne illness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120020251377381376",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1119894462774349824"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120017864470290432",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T17:34:02+00:00",
   "text": "It's nice AF today https://t.co/67w05nRBQQ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120017864470290432",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1120009414382182402",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T17:00:27+00:00",
   "text": "The best ideas are ridiculously more impactful then most.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120009414382182402",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1120008834393808897",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T16:58:09+00:00",
   "text": "Ideally one gets enough sleep where one can wake up naturally, but this isn't always the case.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120008834393808897",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1120007775403282432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1120007775403282432",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T16:53:57+00:00",
   "text": "My favorite way to wake up when I expect to be very groggy: set an alarm for 30-40 minutes before the real wake up, slam some caffeine, go back to sleep. The caffeine is kicked in by the time I actually have to wake up & my morning is so much more pleasant. 😃",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1120007775403282432",
   "word_count": 54
  },
  {
   "id": "1119889842513620993",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T09:05:19+00:00",
   "text": "It's unfortunate that one can sometimes be so close to an optimal belief in idea space, yet barely capture a sliver of the expected value that would result from said optimal belief.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119889842513620993",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1119831762417270785",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T05:14:32+00:00",
   "text": "Another introductory EA talk, but a good one:\nhttps://t.co/P5IddmOmNB",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119831762417270785",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1119816824412168192",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T04:15:10+00:00",
   "text": "more focus. I.e. I started evaluating a lot of things more critically through cost-benefit analyses in the interest of social impact and this gave me more focus and my life more meaning. How can we better promote an intellectual culture and human rationality in society?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119816824412168192",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1119816823082553344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119816823082553344",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T04:15:10+00:00",
   "text": "up 210 points when I took it again after 2 years while I was enlisted & applying for West Point. One idea I have is that exposure to effective altruism sort of gave my mind an ideal I could continuously come back to (serving as a bedrock) & this helped me explore idea space with",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119816823082553344",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1119816820834426880"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119816820834426880",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T04:15:09+00:00",
   "text": "I don't want this to sound braggy, but I feel like I have just taken off intellectually in the past few years. Idk if it's from better having my Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs met or just a side-effect of growing older and reading a lot or what. E.g. my math & reading SAT score went",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119816820834426880",
   "word_count": 55
  },
  {
   "id": "1119780184444608512",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T01:49:35+00:00",
   "text": "Me, semi-consciously while I'm reading: God, why does life suck. What did I do wrong? I can't put my finger on it, but I am just feeling uncomfortable and stressed out.\n\n*realizes I ate &lt; 500 calories today and am starving*\n\n🤦‍♂️",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119780184444608512",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1119771137037275136",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T01:13:38+00:00",
   "text": "Targeted ads are honestly where it's at. It's a win-win-win.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119771137037275136",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1119770690910072833",
   "created_at": "2019-04-21T01:11:51+00:00",
   "text": "Calling is so much better than texting to catch up with someone. So much more information can be conveyed in a given time period.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119770690910072833",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1119732982812741632",
   "created_at": "2019-04-20T22:42:01+00:00",
   "text": "RT @webdevMason: @KevinSimler I really see what we're doing to most kids in school as equivalent to a nonsurgical lobotomy — I think it lik…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119732982812741632",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1119730818031792129",
   "created_at": "2019-04-20T22:33:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @KellyLevenda: Because #fishes lack faces like ours, we assume they don't have feelings. We can't hear #fish cry out, so we interpret th…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119730818031792129",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1119730197094334465",
   "created_at": "2019-04-20T22:30:57+00:00",
   "text": "@JamesClear What's the most neglected area of my life, and how can I make progress on this over the next 30 minutes?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119730197094334465",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1119621780853932032"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119327808638148610",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T19:52:00+00:00",
   "text": "The results dropped. 4,852 teams for problem E. https://t.co/aBXENDC0Xu",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119327808638148610",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1119046153830641665"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119289637447655426",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T17:20:19+00:00",
   "text": "@christylove0809 Hey Honorable Mention is not bad at all. It's a tough competition.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119289637447655426",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1119217000125992962"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119264378715615235",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T15:39:57+00:00",
   "text": "@BiruckAnmaw Internalizing a love of contrarian ideas that randomly comes up can be good for exploring idea-space thoroughly but efficiently. It's like doing your part to execute a genetic algorithm.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119264378715615235",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1118892373377986565"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119072042396061696",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:55:40+00:00",
   "text": "@TheMig29 @Digital_Pimp @EPoe187 I'm too tired to explain myself further.  Have a good night.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119072042396061696",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1119069812418850818"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119071075483234304",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:51:50+00:00",
   "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 every given circumstance.  I have reason to believe that if we ignore felicific calculus and side with our pre-conceived rules, we will miss out on capturing the vast majority of value in the universe.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119071075483234304",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1119070563153195009"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119070563153195009",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:49:48+00:00",
   "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 a sufficiently rational information processing system, derive a more correct answer.  I can doubt people's ability to do this, and urge them to give special weight to heuristics like \"tolerance\" and \"non-violence\", but that by no means means those are optimal courses of action in",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119070563153195009",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1119070176882974722"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119070176882974722",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:48:16+00:00",
   "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 updating.  There is no escaping cost-benefit analysis.  It's simply a feature of how our world works, and how to end up at optimal decisions.  There is no reason morality should have the answers before doing the cost-benefit analysis.  More information processing will always, in",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119070176882974722",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1119069720928501760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119069720928501760",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:46:27+00:00",
   "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 How are you making these moral judgements?  By information processing, yes? Given your partial information about the world, you assume a moral technocracy would be worse for society.  That's cost-benefit analysis.  If I change your mind by providing evidence, that's Bayesian",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119069720928501760",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1119068286279458817"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119068887155396608",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:43:08+00:00",
   "text": "@TheMig29 @Digital_Pimp @EPoe187 It's really not.  Cost-benefit analysis is just information processing.  You can't consistently derive a more correct answer w/ less information and information processing.  The only ethical theory that permits maximum information processing is Bayesian utilitarianism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119068887155396608",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1119068222022660096"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119068302649778176",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:40:49+00:00",
   "text": "@TheMig29 @Digital_Pimp @EPoe187 Your argument about Marxism doesn't work.  The underlying theory to Marxism is worse than that of capitalism. There is no reason to think it could be more efficient at allocating resources optimally.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119068302649778176",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1119067755007942656"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119067755007942656",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:38:38+00:00",
   "text": "@TheMig29 @Digital_Pimp @EPoe187 But Bayesian utilitarianism does translate to ideal, practical application for many people, but not everyone.  Cost-benefit analysis isn't easy, and people vary a ton in their ability to do it well.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119067755007942656",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1119066181271465985"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119066196958162946",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:32:27+00:00",
   "text": "RT @igorbobic: Mueller: “The President’s efforts to influence the investigation were mostly unsuccessful, but that is largely because the p…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119066196958162946",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1119064974490525696",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:27:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @washingtonpost: After Trump learned that Mueller had been appointed by then Attorney General Jeff Sessions, Trump slumped back in his c…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119064974490525696",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1119063278095880192",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:20:51+00:00",
   "text": "@NathanMFranz Thanks! You don't have to read the whole thing! It's not perfectly polished- just the best we could crank out in 99 hours.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119063278095880192",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1119057382158553089"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119058239273033730",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:00:49+00:00",
   "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 But given people's intelligence and general inability to do solid felicific calculus, the utilitarian answer (probably) is to continue to promote heuristics like \"don't steal\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119058239273033730",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1119057586060312577"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119057586060312577",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T01:58:14+00:00",
   "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 Gonna have to disagree with you there.  Not all true concepts are extremely intuitive to everyone.  I am not sure I could have understood expected utility as a 5-year-old.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119057586060312577",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1119054341166518274"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119055864151904257",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T01:51:23+00:00",
   "text": "@NathanMFranz https://t.co/ywuUU5nyZD\nIt was about putting a price on the ecological impact of land-use projects! I am happy it did so well in part because our solution was based on so many concepts that I love like Georgism, utilitarianism, QALYs, prediction markets, etc.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119055864151904257",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1119050550790762497"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119053362627059713",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T01:41:27+00:00",
   "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 Don't confuse the formal decision-making structure with the application.  Shitty application of pseudo-utilitarianism doesn't say anything about the optimality of the abstract ethical decision-making structure that Bayesian utilitarianism is. https://t.co/cpSJLft6fE",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119053362627059713",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1119007594079821826"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119046153830641665",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T01:12:48+00:00",
   "text": "Just found out my 3 man team's paper was rated Outstanding and won the Rachel Carlson Award!  1st out of what is likely 6000+ international collegiate teams.  Official results to be posted soon :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119046153830641665",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1119030780058112000",
   "created_at": "2019-04-19T00:11:43+00:00",
   "text": "@leftkist Just submitted an FBI tip",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119030780058112000",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1118662484640976896"
  },
  {
   "id": "1119024479852589056",
   "created_at": "2019-04-18T23:46:41+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist Oh he's got a backup job (attorney). I bet that helps him express his views",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1119024479852589056",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1118998249363464192"
  },
  {
   "id": "1118928150501756929",
   "created_at": "2019-04-18T17:23:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @SethAbramson: (MUELLER REPORT LIVE THREAD) This thread chronicles—in real time—the release of the Mueller Report, with news and analysi…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118928150501756929",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1118852624755908608",
   "created_at": "2019-04-18T12:23:47+00:00",
   "text": "I just end up checking for the results like every several hours.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118852624755908608",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1118852623606722560"
  },
  {
   "id": "1118852623606722560",
   "created_at": "2019-04-18T12:23:47+00:00",
   "text": "I just want COMAP to release the Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling results already 😩😩😩.\nIt would be so much easier to wait if they were to be released on a set date, but COMAP just posts them some ~random day in April. Further,  there is no warning and no notification, so",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118852623606722560",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1118726877471019008",
   "created_at": "2019-04-18T04:04:07+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ When I can't meditate and want to, I do breath holds and breathing exercises instead. Nothing anchors the thoughts like not breathing haha",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118726877471019008",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1118657739272540161"
  },
  {
   "id": "1118550803126652928",
   "created_at": "2019-04-17T16:24:27+00:00",
   "text": "I'm no chemist, but I feel like there is huge money to be made for coming up with a way to shorten the half-life of caffeine. People could take caffeine.5 later in the day without it affecting sleep, or take it just for a several hour work period and then better relax after.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118550803126652928",
   "word_count": 53
  },
  {
   "id": "1118380458415357954",
   "created_at": "2019-04-17T05:07:34+00:00",
   "text": "@Emmyjewel I think I have only had a religious person try to save me from eternal damnation once in the last 5 years. They either don't tale the implications of their beliefs seriously (which I am actually thankful for), don't actually believe in scripture, or don't care much about others.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118380458415357954",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1118191687304540160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1118285370188345351",
   "created_at": "2019-04-16T22:49:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Altimor: The US: *gold and diamonds falling from the sky* no more, no more! Please! Think of our mining industry! https://t.co/UBUhxSOg…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118285370188345351",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1118233718441893888",
   "created_at": "2019-04-16T19:24:28+00:00",
   "text": "@JamesClear 🐪→🦁",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118233718441893888",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1118203393913257985"
  },
  {
   "id": "1118223789874122752",
   "created_at": "2019-04-16T18:45:01+00:00",
   "text": "@abayesbae In case you are not familiar with it, effective altruism is probably the most comprehensive and (I believe) least dogmatic philosophical approach/movement to doing this: https://t.co/ueWChFTAFR",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118223789874122752",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1118222977454178304"
  },
  {
   "id": "1118222760172503043",
   "created_at": "2019-04-16T18:40:56+00:00",
   "text": "@abayesbae It's just utilitarianism! I want to maximize the well-being of conscious creatures without over-prioritizing those of a particular time or place. I just prefer using welfare economics terminology sometimes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118222760172503043",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1118214960629342209"
  },
  {
   "id": "1118213340696854528",
   "created_at": "2019-04-16T18:03:30+00:00",
   "text": "RT @80000Hours: \"...if we sum up the negative experiences of all wild animals, their sheer number – trillions to quintillions, depending on…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118213340696854528",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1118213212476985345",
   "created_at": "2019-04-16T18:02:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @webmasterdave: My best guess is that whole-brain emulation is impossible.\nI could be completely mistaken!\n(cf. https://t.co/LeShkstmZB)…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118213212476985345",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1118008339877773312",
   "created_at": "2019-04-16T04:28:54+00:00",
   "text": "I just want the curtains to come up and the truths of our world to be revealed 😩",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118008339877773312",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1118007134992633856",
   "created_at": "2019-04-16T04:24:07+00:00",
   "text": "@sashintweets I'm glad to hear that!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118007134992633856",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1118002222736924672"
  },
  {
   "id": "1118001444542648321",
   "created_at": "2019-04-16T04:01:30+00:00",
   "text": "Audiobooks on economics + cycling is where it's at 👌\nIncredibly rewarding and cheap minus the risk of death. This ride was probably 1-3 micromorts, but idk of a substitute which can reliably boost my mood the same way. https://t.co/fHsCPaQuN3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1118001444542648321",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1117997816503263233",
   "created_at": "2019-04-16T03:47:05+00:00",
   "text": "@ciphergoth @ne0liberal Sounds Georgist to me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117997816503263233",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1117985733514387457"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117996637161500672",
   "created_at": "2019-04-16T03:42:24+00:00",
   "text": "@sashintweets It seems like a difficult systemic problem to fix.  But it does bother me. https://t.co/JKu8NHT0KN cost like $1000 so I am left with using a .org",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117996637161500672",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1117989823149514752"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117654634934484993",
   "created_at": "2019-04-15T05:03:24+00:00",
   "text": "RT @elonmusk: Sew one button, doesn't make u a tailor; cook one meal, doesn't make u a chef; but f* one horse and u r a horsef*er for all o…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117654634934484993",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1117542883937148931",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:39:21+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MatjazLeonardis: Why school will always be boring. \n\nThread. 1/4",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117542883937148931",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1117542188861272064",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:36:35+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose Suppose you found someone who was about to be killed by a random process (lacking intelligence) and you can press a button to stop it. If you have plenty of time to deliberate pressing the button and decide not to, you might as well have facilitated their death yourself.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117542188861272064",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1117540988413722625"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117540988413722625",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:31:49+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose between killing and not saving.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117540988413722625",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1117540794360127488"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117540794360127488",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:31:02+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose Ethical truths could exist. Short of this being the case, self-consistent systems have a chance at being true. Valuation of subjective experience could somehow be incorrect, but their is good reason to 'prefer what we prefer'. I am saying there is no mathematical, true difference",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117540794360127488",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1117539111185866753"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117539308091650049",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:25:08+00:00",
   "text": "@csilverandgold Depends on the sources and inputs of entropy into the simulation. No entropy. == same thing again & again.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117539308091650049",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1117275957730082817"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117537673349083136",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:18:38+00:00",
   "text": "@scotthickle @robinhanson So long as you are doing worthwhile work and avoiding burnout, I don't see a limit.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117537673349083136",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1117247559360229376"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117537116400046080",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:16:26+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose complicated utility function because its description is very short. The longer the length of an argument, the more evidence you need to back it up (Occam's Razor).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117537116400046080",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1117536636022210560"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117536636022210560",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:14:31+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose It's possible to interrogate and discover which values we hold deeper than others.  I have done this to the best of my ability, and think that the quality and magnitude of subjective experience is the most important thing to me. I think this is more likely to be correct than a",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117536636022210560",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1117533743244357632"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117532748221231105",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:59:04+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose FYI you can always reason with a true utilitarian about what a proper course of action is, but for people with that haven't pinned down the decision theory behind their morality, such open debate often isn't possible.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117532748221231105",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1117532442397749251"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117532442397749251",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:57:51+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose They are all equally 'innocent'. Killing isn't fundamentally different from allowing to die. I could say the same and say you WOULD prevent 4 people from being saved, even in such a cookie-cutter scenario.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117532442397749251",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1117530792559771651"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117528930355961857",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:43:54+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose It seems pretty permissible to me. But don't worry! In real life, where social trust is an incredibly important phenomena and where you pretty much couldn't harvest organs against a will without breaking said social trust en mass, utilitarianism wouldn't prescribe to do it!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117528930355961857",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1117528418940334080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117528418940334080",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:41:52+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose supply the organs. And these scientists are about to all do Nobel prize-winning work.  They are months away from discovery.  They need organs through either getting shot or cancer, despite living supremely healthy lives. Is it really that bad then to harvest the organs?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117528418940334080",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1117527913094615041"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117527913094615041",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:39:51+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose I mean suppose we are talking about 5 world-class scientists all desperately needing organ transplants through no fault of their own, and are going to die. It just so happens that a miserable, albeit innocent person exists with zero social connections or impact on society could",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117527913094615041",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1117526394882465793"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117526814308667392",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:35:29+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose Perhaps that would feel wrong to most people, but what reasons would they bring to the table? We have to formalize our intuitions here.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117526814308667392",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1117526183313313799"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117525877502480385",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:31:46+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose It may seem that utilitarianism is unhelpful because it spits out now clear answers but we must reason carefully for them instead, but I'd argue that personally accepting any unproven rules (e.g. 'do not ever deceive anyone') is far more dangerous and costly over the long term.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117525877502480385",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1117525323174772736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117525323174772736",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:29:34+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose feels akin to the satisfaction of proving something in mathematics.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117525323174772736",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1117525147383152645"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117525147383152645",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:28:52+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose which courses of action are optimal, but the only fair way to debate is via cost-benefit analysis. It's possible there are times when using utilitarianism  where we may have to bite a bullet, but if we are sufficiently rational, accepting the output of cost-benefit analysis",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117525147383152645",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1117524312465059842"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117524312465059842",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:25:33+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose No one can truly speak on behalf of utilitarianism. It's an abstract model for decision making, and almost always computationally intractable to know the true utilitarian answer in any real-world problem. So utilitarianism allows for continuous, highly nuanced debate about",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117524312465059842",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1117523752579891200"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117523752579891200",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:23:19+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose that clearly would not be the utilitarian thing to do.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117523752579891200",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1117523637534371842"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117523637534371842",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:22:52+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose Does utilitarianism really license that? Utilitarianism merely says to do cost-benefit analysis to maximize some minimal length utility function. If welfare really is the end goal, and harvesting a person's organs would break down trust in society and cause mass paranoia, then",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117523637534371842",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1117522329230295044"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117520528024199175",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:10:31+00:00",
   "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose What objections are you referring to? How are these objections evaluated?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117520528024199175",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1117514110458126336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117518314715136001",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:01:43+00:00",
   "text": "@AreoMagazine @HPluckrose warrants subscription. We get religion when people start to think of belief as an action and a choice rather than an impersonal process based on the consideration of a sum of evidence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117518314715136001",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1117518136130011136"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117518136130011136",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:01:00+00:00",
   "text": "@AreoMagazine @HPluckrose All this debate about definitions of religion could be simplified from Bayesian perspective. A 'religion' is a  belief that has a low probability of being true given the sum of available evidence, but because its utility if true is presumably astronomically high, people think it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117518136130011136",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1117419861012111361"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117511927444463621",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T19:36:20+00:00",
   "text": "@xriskology I think the simulation argument is true, but I am doubtful that simulation of ancestral environments is possible. I think we could end up producing a lot of consciousness via computronium, but it seems much more difficult & less ethically desirable to simulate our past.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117511927444463621",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1117485553283420165"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117255935477653504",
   "created_at": "2019-04-14T02:39:07+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nihilistspicer: whenever a driver almost kills me while I'm on my bike, I go immediately from like level 2-3 to level 6. nothing gets c…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117255935477653504",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1117199772035817472",
   "created_at": "2019-04-13T22:55:56+00:00",
   "text": "@a_centrism Would have been nice of Dawkins to cite a particular paper than vaguely reference a dozen+ books",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117199772035817472",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1117166330107629570"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117161081347112960",
   "created_at": "2019-04-13T20:22:12+00:00",
   "text": "I absolutely love the Global Priorities Institute's vision and mission. \"What should we do with a given amount of limited resources if our aim is to do the most good?\" https://t.co/lj4rpCmwC5",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117161081347112960",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1117157701128269824",
   "created_at": "2019-04-13T20:08:46+00:00",
   "text": "@a_centrism This makes sense to me but can you provide a link to the source?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117157701128269824",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1116828279175045120"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117156338113699842",
   "created_at": "2019-04-13T20:03:21+00:00",
   "text": "@robkhenderson Our ability to deceive even ourselves has probably been evolutionarily advantageous. Kevin Simler and Robin Hanson write about this in https://t.co/BhIOnfcHmT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117156338113699842",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1117123500710531073"
  },
  {
   "id": "1117146945049571329",
   "created_at": "2019-04-13T19:26:01+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanOLeary Related:\nhttps://t.co/kasZlR7qa7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1117146945049571329",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1117133626406309889"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116899480266260480",
   "created_at": "2019-04-13T03:02:41+00:00",
   "text": "I'm straight up not having a good time",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116899480266260480",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1116897451846381569",
   "created_at": "2019-04-13T02:54:38+00:00",
   "text": "RT @aronvallinder: Know any promising econ or philosophy undergrads interested in global priorities research? Tell them about our thesis pr…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116897451846381569",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1116894858520793088",
   "created_at": "2019-04-13T02:44:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @farnamstreet: So much advantage in life comes from being willing to look like an idiot over the short term.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116894858520793088",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1116491336989970433",
   "created_at": "2019-04-12T00:00:52+00:00",
   "text": "@coldxman Free will isn't even metaphysically possible. It's just a vague feeling in our brains that \"I could do otherwise\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116491336989970433",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1116169556437942277"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116480711249281025",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T23:18:39+00:00",
   "text": "@ajplus The only ethically relevant thing we can do now is help those alive today who we can help most. With our limited resources, I think we should help those most urgently needing help, who we can help the most per dollar. That generally means helping those in extreme poverty.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116480711249281025",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1116480391806902272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116480391806902272",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T23:17:23+00:00",
   "text": "@ajplus I appreciate their interest to right a wrong and the spirit in which they pursue it. I understand the these slaves' descendants have likely been affected and faced obstacles more than most Americans. However, all peoples' ancestors have been seriously wronged at some point.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116480391806902272",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1116124223162896384"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116430309552267264",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T19:58:22+00:00",
   "text": "Pretty awesome productivity advice:\nhttps://t.co/8hIZzvDy1t",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116430309552267264",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1116419186685820928",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T19:14:10+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba wut does that even mean",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116419186685820928",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1116416424371806209"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116413194539536384",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T18:50:22+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl @mesolude I presume I need to be aware just how bad suffering can get in order to be adequately motivated to reduce it. It's only 5 minutes with a potential for a life-time of increased philanthropy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116413194539536384",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1116405451220873216"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116412014467747845",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T18:45:40+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl A speed limit of 45 mph has real harmful effects on productivity, which translates to reduced economic growth, well-being, and our prospects at ensuring we survive so that trillions of future beings can live. The racism would also lead to much psychological pain for many people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116412014467747845",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1116404859324878848"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116410794038779904",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T18:40:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @bgreene: It is hard to express how utterly remarkable and astoundingly delightful it is that mathematical scribblings can predict somet…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116410794038779904",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1116335513819070469",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T13:41:41+00:00",
   "text": "@JamesClear They also get easier when one's rewarding neurotransmitters aren't spent elsewhere.  E.g. I bet a lot more people would ravenously read through a calculus textbook if they were waiting for a long time in an empty room than if they just got home from a party.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116335513819070469",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1116333357162553344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116310221369036801",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T12:01:11+00:00",
   "text": "I don't know officially where economists stand in regards to UBI, but I bet it would increase the intellectual productivity of independent researchers a lot.  ~100,000 Americans would instantly be able to spend significantly more time thinking about important, neglected problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116310221369036801",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1116304906007252993",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T11:40:04+00:00",
   "text": "@JamesClear Humanity is at that precarious line of intelligence where it barely realizes it needs far more intelligence to solve its problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116304906007252993",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1115978125991653377"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116197933244977152",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T04:34:59+00:00",
   "text": "I don't know what the moral of the story is, except that catering to evolutionary drives can be one hell of a drug.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116197933244977152",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1116197932586418177"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116197932586418177",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T04:34:59+00:00",
   "text": "the endorphins that I felt from bike racing 10 miles to school right before this, and the fact that I started using caffeine for the first time regularly in my life led my 17-year-old head to swell like crazy in this class. I was drunk off of ego intoxication.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116197932586418177",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1116197932020191233"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116197932020191233",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T04:34:59+00:00",
   "text": "As soon as I played a song and explained my situation, she said I could practice what I wanted to independent of the class. Considering this, all the attention I received from my new peers (my skills were nothing special back at my arts school),",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116197932020191233",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1116197931483324416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116197931483324416",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T04:34:59+00:00",
   "text": "Fun random memory: I moved and went to a new high school senior year and signed up for a guitar class.  The thing was, I had studied classical guitar at an arts school for 5 years before this, and this teacher was not specialized in guitar.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116197931483324416",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1116160185473617928",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T02:05:00+00:00",
   "text": "Minimize existential risk without focusing on improving qualia or maximize the desirability of qualia without focusing on x-risk?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116160185473617928",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1116159187841683457",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T02:01:02+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ https://t.co/WTM7UOXbbc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116159187841683457",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1116157525697552384"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116156571229335558",
   "created_at": "2019-04-11T01:50:38+00:00",
   "text": "@thewiseturtle @cosimia_ I don't think your condescending tweet is going to change her priors much considering evidence like Bostrom's Vulnerable World Hypothesis. Come back when you have a solution for dealing with future agential risks.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116156571229335558",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1116153650815164416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116019104979267585",
   "created_at": "2019-04-10T16:44:23+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I feel like atheism only became somewhat of a sexy dogma to get behind in the West since the Cult of Reason during the French Revolution. Before it was sexy, religion was people's only option in front of them, and denying that took either extraordinary stupidity or rationality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116019104979267585",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1116016362013380608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116016141179260928",
   "created_at": "2019-04-10T16:32:37+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 diluted*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116016141179260928",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1116015876791242753"
  },
  {
   "id": "1116015876791242753",
   "created_at": "2019-04-10T16:31:34+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 Perhaps atheism used to be a better statistical proxy for rationality, but the helpfulness of this metric seems to have been deluded a lot since atheism has become sexier and easier to discover via the internet.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116015876791242753",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1116004313241808897"
  },
  {
   "id": "1115976789204045827",
   "created_at": "2019-04-10T13:56:15+00:00",
   "text": "@GabbyMcNabb @Aella_Girl I mean unless they earned it in an extremely fair way (e.g. using fair division with all parties involved), I don't know if it was entirely their land.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115976789204045827",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1115932987772813315"
  },
  {
   "id": "1115832153869357063",
   "created_at": "2019-04-10T04:21:31+00:00",
   "text": "First, study computer science. Then, study economics. Only then is your mind ready for ethics.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115832153869357063",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1115831589051752450",
   "created_at": "2019-04-10T04:19:16+00:00",
   "text": "The score resets every night. It no longer matters how much good you did or didn't do yesterday. It only matters what you do today.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115831589051752450",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1115828884770050048",
   "created_at": "2019-04-10T04:08:31+00:00",
   "text": "@SuperMugatu I used to think it was permissible to focus purely on self-overcoming and bettering myself as an end in itself.  Now I try to focus only on ideas and skills necessary to max. net-expected welfare. A lot of self-development steals energy from this goal.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115828884770050048",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1115783282019512320"
  },
  {
   "id": "1115825550197653504",
   "created_at": "2019-04-10T03:55:16+00:00",
   "text": "Wish I could just fracture my life and go down many Everett branches. I want to experience everything: be an Army officer, a data scientist, do fundamental EA research, be a composer, etc..\n\nBut I only have one life to live, and only a finite amount of time to maximize E(U).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115825550197653504",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1115718868247502857",
   "created_at": "2019-04-09T20:51:21+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl What gave Joe the right to the land in the first place?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115718868247502857",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1115716388562165760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1115717104316178433",
   "created_at": "2019-04-09T20:44:21+00:00",
   "text": "Utility is absolute.  Even if you think we are destined for extinction in the next 500 years and the majority of possible cosmic value will not be captured, even just helping one being, one time is a good worth pursuing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115717104316178433",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1115653761534431234",
   "created_at": "2019-04-09T16:32:39+00:00",
   "text": "RT @devonzuegel: We are not in the high-tech business. We are in the human communication business. https://t.co/uVIQPOklqG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115653761534431234",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1115441361342402560",
   "created_at": "2019-04-09T02:28:39+00:00",
   "text": "@Rainmaker1973 How high off the ground is this? Is the chain only falling to a surface just out of view?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115441361342402560",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1115287899694600198"
  },
  {
   "id": "1115440802799419393",
   "created_at": "2019-04-09T02:26:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Rainmaker1973: The physics behind this phenomenon, called \"chain fountain\", is non-trivial & not yet entirely understood https://t.co/L…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115440802799419393",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1115396033708736513",
   "created_at": "2019-04-08T23:28:32+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robkhenderson: “We view a behavior as more correct to the degree we see others performing it. Whether the question is what to do with a…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115396033708736513",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1115054008379629575",
   "created_at": "2019-04-08T00:49:26+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Rainmaker1973: Though this octopus may appear deep in sleep, its skin is wide awake. So, does the color display mean that it's dreaming…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115054008379629575",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1115048819576705024",
   "created_at": "2019-04-08T00:28:49+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Rationality by @ESYudkowsky",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115048819576705024",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1115043799489818624"
  },
  {
   "id": "1115039779517759490",
   "created_at": "2019-04-07T23:52:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MRJKilcoyne: Build more houses🏘️\nBuild more houses🏘️\nBuild more houses🏘️\nBuild more houses🏘️\nBuild more houses🏘️\nBuild more houses🏘️\nBu…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115039779517759490",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1115023029375991815",
   "created_at": "2019-04-07T22:46:20+00:00",
   "text": "Are Thomas' Everything Bagels the utilitronium we have been looking for?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1115023029375991815",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1114980675088732162",
   "created_at": "2019-04-07T19:58:02+00:00",
   "text": "The expected impact of a committed EA is plausibly >100x that of the average person. Are the qualities that draw someone to EA and make them effective heritable enough that EAs should strongly consider having 3 or more kids?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1114980675088732162",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1114863214829789184",
   "created_at": "2019-04-07T12:11:18+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JamesClear: First, search widely.\n\nThen, eliminate ruthlessly.\n\nFinally, work obsessively on what remains.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1114863214829789184",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1114862302723887104",
   "created_at": "2019-04-07T12:07:40+00:00",
   "text": "\"Most moral philosophy seems to be about the business of justifying the concept that norms have truth-value.\" -awesome comment by Ben Kennedy at https://t.co/kmONKwnlR6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1114862302723887104",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1114841102685626370",
   "created_at": "2019-04-07T10:43:26+00:00",
   "text": "I feel like I am getting cancer. I have ran into too many bad ideas taken seriously by too many people too early in the morning. Faith in humanity -= 50",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1114841102685626370",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1114643099295178758",
   "created_at": "2019-04-06T21:36:38+00:00",
   "text": "Happy with my results at @usatriathlon Collegiate Club Nationals. https://t.co/9mENj3OIbi",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1114643099295178758",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1114259062160420864",
   "created_at": "2019-04-05T20:10:37+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Let's just hope the academics can spend the money better then they could have otherwise.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1114259062160420864",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1114245364662644736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1114244412329091073",
   "created_at": "2019-04-05T19:12:24+00:00",
   "text": "Python is literally trash.  I give it a perfectly logically, Pythonic set of instructions, and it keeps making internal errors and giving me the wrong result.\n*notices coding error*\n*fixes error*\n*runs code, gets sought-after result*\nAlright well Python could still be better.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1114244412329091073",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1114210308787068928",
   "created_at": "2019-04-05T16:56:53+00:00",
   "text": "The bottom line is it's greedy and unethical for companies to only offer a subscription service and not a one-interval use for the same rate. They are trying to prey off of people's laziness to cancel.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1114210308787068928",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1114199130916581376",
   "created_at": "2019-04-05T16:12:28+00:00",
   "text": "@Sighsyphus @ErrorTheorist I thought he was going to argue to reduce the sentences because the lost societal benefits of otherwise productive drunk drivers probably outweighs the extra people who would die.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1114199130916581376",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1114195548058324993"
  },
  {
   "id": "1113969177985871872",
   "created_at": "2019-04-05T00:58:43+00:00",
   "text": "@Crit_Rat @cosimia_ Many worlds interpretation may not be true",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113969177985871872",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1113947987284242432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1113968931008536576",
   "created_at": "2019-04-05T00:57:44+00:00",
   "text": "@cosimia_ @computerfact That's awesome!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113968931008536576",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1113964883404447745"
  },
  {
   "id": "1113954909856997376",
   "created_at": "2019-04-05T00:02:01+00:00",
   "text": "@computerfact @cosimia_ Computers are so right. Programming forces one to actually think logically and precisely",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113954909856997376",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1113887967351857153"
  },
  {
   "id": "1113899010513821697",
   "created_at": "2019-04-04T20:19:54+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego Agential risks > state risks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113899010513821697",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1113898444517564416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1113897113945923584",
   "created_at": "2019-04-04T20:12:21+00:00",
   "text": "Emergence doesn't exist. We just aren't great at predicting nth order effects.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113897113945923584",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1113892487024660480",
   "created_at": "2019-04-04T19:53:58+00:00",
   "text": "@RubinReport Liberty is a good heuristic for desirable qualia until technology advances to the point where individual agents are an existential threat. Then security reigns.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113892487024660480",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1113892207491084288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1113892207491084288",
   "created_at": "2019-04-04T19:52:52+00:00",
   "text": "@RubinReport The notion of justice is just about satisfying vindictive egos and detering transgressions. It relies on the false notion of free will, and is fundamentally incoherent when you try to pin it down.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113892207491084288",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1113522354276184065"
  },
  {
   "id": "1113487309771485184",
   "created_at": "2019-04-03T17:03:56+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist Studying ethics has made me a better person. I am much more diligent about calculating the impact of what I do now. I live much more deliberately because it's more clear how much value is at stake.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113487309771485184",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1113480140338671616"
  },
  {
   "id": "1113232170007572480",
   "created_at": "2019-04-03T00:10:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robkhenderson: -Children looked at photos of 2 people \n\n-Then chose who they preferred to be captain of a ship\n\n-The 2 people were poli…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113232170007572480",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1113226032268681216",
   "created_at": "2019-04-02T23:45:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jadenkore: How much of learning is just having the confidence to ask stupid questions?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113226032268681216",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1113208001995923457",
   "created_at": "2019-04-02T22:34:04+00:00",
   "text": "RT @paulbaumgart: “...following the scent of interestingness *is* justified precisely because we don’t know the structure of the search spa…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113208001995923457",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1113129143934337024",
   "created_at": "2019-04-02T17:20:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Evolving_Ego: The first rule of human club is that you hold views you can justify to your own group. \n\nThis is mostly a problem only wh…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113129143934337024",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1113124449178529793",
   "created_at": "2019-04-02T17:02:04+00:00",
   "text": "($29 is the WHO's estimation at the cost to avert a statistical DALY through insecticide-treated bed nets)\nhttps://t.co/53IKvUQlVZ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113124449178529793",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1113081611241902081"
  },
  {
   "id": "1113121453149433856",
   "created_at": "2019-04-02T16:50:09+00:00",
   "text": "All we can do is try to properly interpret evidence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113121453149433856",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1113120825975214090",
   "created_at": "2019-04-02T16:47:40+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanOLeary Georgism!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113120825975214090",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1113103998926684160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1113081611241902081",
   "created_at": "2019-04-02T14:11:50+00:00",
   "text": "I'm allowed to be in a bad mood for a year now because I donated over $29 to AMF.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113081611241902081",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1113079694746943488",
   "created_at": "2019-04-02T14:04:13+00:00",
   "text": "Do you take \"utilitarian imperative\" to mean \"the obligation to do as much good as possible\"?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1113079694746943488",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1112511374419202049",
   "created_at": "2019-04-01T00:25:55+00:00",
   "text": "@beka_valentine ..physical pain. I just don't think the probability is that high at all, whereas the probability of reducing very real physical pain is very high.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112511374419202049",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1112511095779049472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1112511095779049472",
   "created_at": "2019-04-01T00:24:49+00:00",
   "text": "@beka_valentine If you can substantiate your claim @beka_valentine, I am all ears.  I know I have an equal burden to look at the probability and disutility of slavery when deciding whether to move forward in promoting the copying of this woman's special genes that lead to a reduction in..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112511095779049472",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1112507600380354561"
  },
  {
   "id": "1112509337430302720",
   "created_at": "2019-04-01T00:17:50+00:00",
   "text": "Are people who are fond of unsubstantiated slippery-slope arguments and have a strong status-quo bias going to share responsibility for a failure to avert billions of DALYs? https://t.co/i2CugwQ157",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112509337430302720",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1112507600380354561",
   "created_at": "2019-04-01T00:10:55+00:00",
   "text": "@beka_valentine Who says this woman still doesn't experience emotional pain and strong preferences?  Her moral status is unquestionable to anyone who would give a damn about ethics.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112507600380354561",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1112507099001556995"
  },
  {
   "id": "1112507099001556995",
   "created_at": "2019-04-01T00:08:56+00:00",
   "text": "@beka_valentine As if someone able and interested in enslaving many people against their will would likely care a lot about the degree of physical pain they felt.  It's not like factory farms exist where billions of animals suffer daily- oh wait.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112507099001556995",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1112506064937910273"
  },
  {
   "id": "1112506064937910273",
   "created_at": "2019-04-01T00:04:49+00:00",
   "text": "@beka_valentine Can't wait for us not to act to reduce pain and suffering because of unsubstantiated, unproven slippery-slope arguments about how it could reliably lead to enslavement!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112506064937910273",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1112424399926288390"
  },
  {
   "id": "1112394146608791552",
   "created_at": "2019-03-31T16:40:06+00:00",
   "text": "I hope scientists can get copies of her DNA. This may be a key to reducing a lot of suffering! https://t.co/2knVgdbRp9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112394146608791552",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1112151730718998528",
   "created_at": "2019-03-31T00:36:50+00:00",
   "text": "Same ingredients, different proposed uses. Interesting. https://t.co/mGaRR81b4v",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112151730718998528",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1112029343218311169",
   "created_at": "2019-03-30T16:30:30+00:00",
   "text": "The bottom line can be rephrased in a lot of ways, and one way is that too many people aren't pursuing actions with enough actual expected-value.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112029343218311169",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1112014561119555586",
   "created_at": "2019-03-30T15:31:46+00:00",
   "text": "Watch out for cognitively expensive, low value thought patterns. The space of possibly entertaining thoughts is enormous, but the space of plausibly useful thoughts is much smaller. Civilizations (in the majority of possible worlds) with little of the latter don't make it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112014561119555586",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1112013422688944128",
   "created_at": "2019-03-30T15:27:14+00:00",
   "text": "We should praise appropriate skepticism just as much as we praise appropriately getting beliefs right. We aren't wired to like leaders \"who don't know\" as much as certain ones, so we have to intentionally make skepticism sexy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112013422688944128",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1112011312375218176",
   "created_at": "2019-03-30T15:18:51+00:00",
   "text": "I think having a strong belief in one's neuroplasticity and ability to rewire one's preferences is one of the key beliefs required to increase rational action.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112011312375218176",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1112010755975598082",
   "created_at": "2019-03-30T15:16:39+00:00",
   "text": "We have a very limited amount of thoughts left. If you aren't spending them on high value ideas, when will you?\nBoredom often proceeds great insights.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112010755975598082",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1112008739383590912",
   "created_at": "2019-03-30T15:08:38+00:00",
   "text": "Value-alignment is important among long-term partners. Thus, it's probably important to see some foundational ethics axioms the same way. So, I would use the trolley problem as a vetting tool. It would be petty if it wasn't so effective. https://t.co/QNeRyoj6xU",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112008739383590912",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1111835075010850816",
   "created_at": "2019-03-30T03:38:33+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl It has to huurrt for me to cry from physical pain whereas it's doesn't take a ton of emotional pain if I am willing to cry",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1111835075010850816",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1111831868289081344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1111728452338622465",
   "created_at": "2019-03-29T20:34:52+00:00",
   "text": "@TheAnnaGat Being charismatic",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1111728452338622465",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1111711858396987393"
  },
  {
   "id": "1111702193323851776",
   "created_at": "2019-03-29T18:50:31+00:00",
   "text": "@folksy_sean Many more people want to live in NYC than there are apartments in NYC. Do we want to decide who gets to live there on a purely first come, first serve basis and cap rent prices, or do we want to allow those who produce the most value (as proxied by income) stay there?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1111702193323851776",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1108892253253222400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1111465463194832896",
   "created_at": "2019-03-29T03:09:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robinhanson: The best altruist cause: institution innovation. Adapting simple ideas to complex social contexts is neglected by academia…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1111465463194832896",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1111059671639617536",
   "created_at": "2019-03-28T00:17:22+00:00",
   "text": "RT @herbivore_club: \"Climate Action Now!\"\n*Eats meat\"\n\n\"Don't abuse antibiotics\"\n*Eats meat*\n\n\"Don't waste water\"\n*Eats meat*\n\n\"Feed the wo…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1111059671639617536",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1110721290225307648",
   "created_at": "2019-03-27T01:52:46+00:00",
   "text": "RT @page_eco: Why are conspiracy theories so successful?\n\nFor our ancestors, it may have been adaptive to be overly suspicious of possible…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110721290225307648",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1110695999071285250",
   "created_at": "2019-03-27T00:12:16+00:00",
   "text": "RT @page_eco: I put 3 tokens in a hat: \n\n- One with both sides blue.🔵\n- One with both sides red. 🔴\n- One with one side blue 🔵and the other…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110695999071285250",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1110633425193574400",
   "created_at": "2019-03-26T20:03:37+00:00",
   "text": "RT @XiXiDu: Are we in the midst of an ongoing moral catastrophe? https://t.co/24vBnLJjQP\n\nThere is a very good chance that those of who are…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110633425193574400",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1110557187108192258",
   "created_at": "2019-03-26T15:00:41+00:00",
   "text": "@toddkashdan This model satisfies my intuitions about the varying success of crowd-based intelligence (e.g. prediction markets) and deferrment to experts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110557187108192258",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1110556485048766464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1110556485048766464",
   "created_at": "2019-03-26T14:57:53+00:00",
   "text": "@toddkashdan I guess what I am really trying to get at is that a better metric may be, which side has more computations of unique sets of relevant information? This settles the dilemma between quantity of people between groups and each group's average intellectual horsepower.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110556485048766464",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1110555412229697537"
  },
  {
   "id": "1110555412229697537",
   "created_at": "2019-03-26T14:53:38+00:00",
   "text": "@toddkashdan but when disagreements remain (because people are irrational and hold lots of ill-explained intuitions), a better decisive factor *might* exist than which side has more people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110555412229697537",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1110555191504523264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1110555191504523264",
   "created_at": "2019-03-26T14:52:45+00:00",
   "text": "@toddkashdan Going off of just a popular vote amongst economists risks not giving appropriate weight to more evolved, rarer mindsets (if IQ is correlated with holding true-beliefs). Obviously, debate followed by universal agreement is preferable before deciding policy,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110555191504523264",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1110551286888521728"
  },
  {
   "id": "1110551286888521728",
   "created_at": "2019-03-26T14:37:14+00:00",
   "text": "@toddkashdan I know it's a repugnant idea as it violates our traditional ideal of fairness and equality, but this may lead to better outcomes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110551286888521728",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1110549616850857985"
  },
  {
   "id": "1110549616850857985",
   "created_at": "2019-03-26T14:30:36+00:00",
   "text": "@toddkashdan If, as a voter, I know little about economics, don't have the time or capability to learn, and want to know where I should stand in regards to say, UBI, a better metric than nothing may just be to look at the IQ spreads of Ph.D. economists in the two camps of yea or nay.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110549616850857985",
   "word_count": 56,
   "in_reply_to": "1110548578232090624"
  },
  {
   "id": "1110548578232090624",
   "created_at": "2019-03-26T14:26:28+00:00",
   "text": "@toddkashdan I agree that science and experimentation is incredibly valuable, but it's slow, expensive, and cannot always scale to test out policies before implementation (e.g. US-wide UBI).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110548578232090624",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1110545699274452998"
  },
  {
   "id": "1110529802803523584",
   "created_at": "2019-03-26T13:11:52+00:00",
   "text": "A strong correlation wouldn't neglect the need for open debate. It might just provide a useful shortcut, for say, relatively uninformed voters to decide which fiscal policies they should vote for.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110529802803523584",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1110528824733822976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1110528824733822976",
   "created_at": "2019-03-26T13:07:59+00:00",
   "text": "Makes me wonder when we are going to start doing studies to measure the predictive power of IQ on the truth of propositions. https://t.co/3OiBZPJvjg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110528824733822976",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1110499649473994752",
   "created_at": "2019-03-26T11:12:03+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 mY pRiOrS aRe My ChOiCe!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110499649473994752",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1110262269286346752"
  },
  {
   "id": "1110217016626069506",
   "created_at": "2019-03-25T16:28:58+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m For a class?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110217016626069506",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1110133521845239810"
  },
  {
   "id": "1110061234878070784",
   "created_at": "2019-03-25T06:09:56+00:00",
   "text": "What the fuck am I doing? I should not be doing online geography hw when I am 22 and my talent and means of impacting the world has almost nothing to do with it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110061234878070784",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1110057819976409088",
   "created_at": "2019-03-25T05:56:22+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl Why vote no?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110057819976409088",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1110057417008513024"
  },
  {
   "id": "1110011342440853504",
   "created_at": "2019-03-25T02:51:41+00:00",
   "text": "I have 8 weeks off to do EA research and work this summer. Can't wait!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110011342440853504",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1110009928717139968",
   "created_at": "2019-03-25T02:46:04+00:00",
   "text": "What's are the biggest psychological obstacles to abandoning low-utility hobbies? Is it not recognizing they don't align with your deepest values? Or the fear that without X hobby, you'll be bored?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1110009928717139968",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1109987599081443329",
   "created_at": "2019-03-25T01:17:20+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner I imagine that there is room for an Impact Accountability Club for EAs looking for more community and meaning.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109987599081443329",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1109987014676545536"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109987014676545536",
   "created_at": "2019-03-25T01:15:01+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner I'm frankly a little envious of church-goers (not that I'd benefit from joining them anymore). I would prefer an in-person EA club or perhaps a weekly online EA club via video chat. But otherwise, I'd say EA intellectual life has filled a lot of my community and meaning needs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109987014676545536",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1109979557971390464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109953446982107136",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T23:01:38+00:00",
   "text": "RT @niftierideology: I want you to know:\n\nYou're special\n\nYou matter\n\nYou're the most important person in the world\n\nWe're all depending on…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109953446982107136",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1109953082266406913",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T23:00:11+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg answerer*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109953082266406913",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1109940935071318016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109945443113488384",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:29:50+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg E.g. if you could copy someone's mind and simulate the shower and angel experiment, would that be worth doing (if the computational resources couldn't ever be used for something else)?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109945443113488384",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1109938918466748416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109941160900993024",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:12:49+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg \"Oh bet, I have a dangerous mission for you that I was waiting to give to someone who did not value their life.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109941160900993024",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1109940935071318016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109940935071318016",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:11:55+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg I think the answer to the angel still feels like proving to those around them (perhaps even just in their mind) that their life is worth living. It's as if they are afraid of admitting they'd prefer having not experienced anything at all, and then being told:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109940935071318016",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1109940323256619009"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109940323256619009",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:09:29+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg \"That moment was not worth living and I'd rather not live it\" because it sort of increases the probability that whoever hears that is going to devalue your life, despite the question just being about the cold-shower or other possibly-negative experience.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109940323256619009",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1109939633285156864"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109939633285156864",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:06:44+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg That might remove some of the:\n1) Irrational evolutionary bias towards living that is partially blind to negative qualia 2) the pressure to communicate that one thinks their life is very worth living. I feel like it's a tad bit scary, even in a thought experiment, to say",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109939633285156864",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1109938918466748416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109938918466748416",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:03:54+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg I feel it would be a slightly better proxy for [Whether Truly Worth Existing Or Not] if the angel asked if it should replicate the experience for other people over not giving them the experience at all.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109938918466748416",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1109938012270612480"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109938012270612480",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:00:18+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg I like your thought experiment! I feel like it fits my intuitions for a lower bound. E.i. if some experience doesn't pass that test, it really is probably not worth existing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109938012270612480",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1109882298080595969"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109875252471959553",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T17:50:55+00:00",
   "text": "Despite all your aspirations, you can only speak one word at a time, type one character at a time, and in general, do one thing at a time. Your potentiality can only be squeezed into reality at a finite information rate, and you only have a limited amount of time to do this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109875252471959553",
   "word_count": 53
  },
  {
   "id": "1109870707717169153",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T17:32:51+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m That's good to hear. That probably does give them more bang for their buck than TV ads.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109870707717169153",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1109869221813596160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109870333396430850",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T17:31:22+00:00",
   "text": "Living better is often as simple as summoning action-motivating emotions n more steps before the reward or negative-effect. Cutting down excess activities and journaling is helpful for this. But we all know this :) https://t.co/zG2IZ1IBOG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109870333396430850",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1109868256804962312",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T17:23:07+00:00",
   "text": "Would GiveWell and top-charity TV advertisements not be worth the cost?\n\nOr what about secure machines in public areas where people could just put in change/small bills?\n\nI don't feel like there is enough public outreach",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109868256804962312",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1109862208698269696",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T16:59:05+00:00",
   "text": "@formerleft To keep information balanced, yes beard but no otherwise.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109862208698269696",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1109563184141291522"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109859361625698310",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T16:47:46+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg I think they are. I think I'd rather not experience anything than the shock of the cold water.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109859361625698310",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1109809986941661184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109848816218501121",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T16:05:52+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientlentils I think the best thing is to start and end the shower with cold water, but I don't think the middle has to be cold IOT capture most of the benefits.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109848816218501121",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1109835886919856129"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109779697381113856",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T11:31:13+00:00",
   "text": "Would you prefer to have a phone with twice the battery size and a 3.5mm jack, at cost to weight, money, and thickness?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109779697381113856",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1109641561816600577",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T02:22:19+00:00",
   "text": "These should be life-questioning numbers:\nhttps://t.co/XqgnmXm82t\n\"150 million land animals are killed for food around the world every day...\".  It's not just that most of their last moments are terrible, but that most of their lives are full of pain and suffering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109641561816600577",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1109613552489431040",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T00:31:01+00:00",
   "text": "@RyanHoliday Nice pace",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109613552489431040",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1109609585042579456"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109609309149818880",
   "created_at": "2019-03-24T00:14:09+00:00",
   "text": "I want to have kids already. Have to wait at least 3 more years.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109609309149818880",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1109598034231549953",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T23:29:21+00:00",
   "text": "This all being said, I recognize the influence I could have over my peers (like anyone has over their peers), so it's still probably best for me to stick with the vegetarian options when they come, which I usually do.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109598034231549953",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1109598033552031750"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109598033552031750",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T23:29:21+00:00",
   "text": "Perhaps they could order less if I got many more people on board, but that is currently a relatively intractable cause area.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109598033552031750",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1109598032914460673"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109598032914460673",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T23:29:21+00:00",
   "text": "I have few scruples over eating animal products from the mess hall at West Point because my consumption does not affect the supply chain at all.  The Mess Hall will never order fewer eggs if I don't grab 2 sometimes after swim practice.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109598032914460673",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1109598032268574721"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109598032268574721",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T23:29:20+00:00",
   "text": "For anyone interested, I live as a reducetarian.  Alone, I almost never spend my dollar on foods that are predominantly animal products. When in conservative social groups, I sometimes cave (usually to a fault).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109598032268574721",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1109592974525165568",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T23:09:15+00:00",
   "text": "But I think warm showers are fine in the evenings IOT promote sleep.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109592974525165568",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1109592973946306562"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109592973946306562",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T23:09:14+00:00",
   "text": "Many effective altruists with less than perfect discipline should probably be regularly taking cold showers. They improve discipline, help one get out of a slumber, and give one a reminder-taste of the truly negative subjective experiences out there.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109592973946306562",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1109586433667485705",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T22:43:15+00:00",
   "text": "It takes a certain degree of self-confidence and positive affect to pursue higher bang-for-your-buck tasks, so I can get behind this. https://t.co/VW4ynWj4ir",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109586433667485705",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1109585090890424320",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T22:37:55+00:00",
   "text": "(with lots of information processing) nonetheless. Additionally, there is information in traditions' evolutionary surivival. Many traditions thus have \"heavy\" priors, and the negative weight of status-quo-bias is not, alone, enough for us to reasonably do away with them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109585090890424320",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1109585088927416320"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109585088927416320",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T22:37:54+00:00",
   "text": "I feel an aversion to traditions as much as the next guy. However, for many traditions, there is a surprising amount of information and computation that went into forming and maintaining them. Not necessarily lots of deep, deliberate thought, but unconscious thought https://t.co/3exHoKfBN8",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109585088927416320",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1109580174935363584",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T22:18:23+00:00",
   "text": "It's one thing to act outside of your values. It's another to obscure the true good and your conception of the truth AND act outside your values.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109580174935363584",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1109580173228363776"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109580173228363776",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T22:18:22+00:00",
   "text": "The key to moving out of these pits is to avoid lying to yourself. Don't invent crazy justifications you don't really believe.If you are not willing to currently do something more impactful, just say, \"I do not always act ideally, and I am going to permit myself to do this again\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109580173228363776",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1109580170002878464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109580170002878464",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T22:18:22+00:00",
   "text": "People have an incredible aversion to facing the fact that some of their interests and hobbies are entirely disutilitous in the grand scheme of things and are not in-line with their deeper values.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109580170002878464",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1109576154992857089",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T22:02:24+00:00",
   "text": "If only we remembered how little time we have here, it would be easier to be better to one another and act on morally important issues",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109576154992857089",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1109275522998124544",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T02:07:48+00:00",
   "text": "I just love plain, everyman, information-dense language. Forget flowery, obscure language. Writing is for conveying truthful, meaningful ideas as clearly and concisely as possible. https://t.co/mhVW8MgefY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109275522998124544",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1109270771698946054",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T01:48:55+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner @jprwg I should start keeping a dream journal again and performing reality checks throughout the day.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109270771698946054",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1109268871872040960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109261653525319680",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T01:12:41+00:00",
   "text": "The End of Animal Farming | Jacy Reese | TEDxUniversityofMississippi https://t.co/951m9pLlDM via @YouTube",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109261653525319680",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1109259587574730752",
   "created_at": "2019-03-23T01:04:29+00:00",
   "text": "@cjane87 deep sea diving and ways you can die underwater:\nhttps://t.co/hRwonJHbLs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109259587574730752",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1109223575062540293"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109233729241862144",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T23:21:44+00:00",
   "text": "Ethics Demands Speed https://t.co/Bf9XKdpgAr",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109233729241862144",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1109230733011361794",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T23:09:49+00:00",
   "text": "I have a couple sources I am using, but I am just looking to be more thorough.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109230733011361794",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1109230168361615360"
  },
  {
   "id": "1109230168361615360",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T23:07:35+00:00",
   "text": "I'm trying to estimate the human-normalized DALY's that occur per year as a result of Western factory farming.  Does anybody happen to have any decent estimates bookmarked?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109230168361615360",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1109173087684227072",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T19:20:46+00:00",
   "text": "Do something 18 minutes a day and you will have done it for a year of your life by the time you are 80.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109173087684227072",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1109165793424691200",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T18:51:47+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Liv_Boeree: Just attended the best lecture ever by @anderssandberg on theoretical ways to colonise the Milky Way and beyond. \n\nCliffs:…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1109165793424691200",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1108952460956061699",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:44:04+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanOLeary But it's probably not going to be an all or nothing affair. Unless they are mutually incompatible, moral uncertainty will allow is to pursue both.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108952460956061699",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1108952180717817857"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108952180717817857",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:42:57+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanOLeary I like the idea of experiencing intense bliss more than I do even solving the Riemann hypothesis and only feeling kind of good.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108952180717817857",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1108951766068948992"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108951766068948992",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:41:19+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanOLeary Idk I still don't know how I feel about the argument. I am willing to ignore the boringness of replicating the same structures if it could be shown that particular fundamental physics operations yield more desirable qualia than any other operations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108951766068948992",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1108849331447234560"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108950310448320513",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:35:31+00:00",
   "text": "@DylanSlagh I get that. I just want the scale to be controlled enough so that any qualia above 0 is axiomatically worth living and morally desirable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108950310448320513",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1108949516642738176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108948480586702848",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:28:15+00:00",
   "text": "@DylanSlagh In my mind, 10 is like a solid, good subjective experience where there is \"no doubt about it\" being desirable. My guestimation is that despite feeling this a lot of the time, most people average a fair bit lower than this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108948480586702848",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1108947975370211331"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108947975370211331",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:26:15+00:00",
   "text": "@DylanSlagh Yeah sorry it seems a bit arbitrary. I was thinking of a 0-10 scale, and guesstimated that represents about 80% of people's average experience. Perhaps 20% have lives that, only based off qualia, are not worth living to them, so they dip into the negatives.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108947975370211331",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1108946542772150272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108946304057503746",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:19:36+00:00",
   "text": "@DylanSlagh Real numbers",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108946304057503746",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1108946065976229888"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108943873588355072",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:09:57+00:00",
   "text": "We have 50 states for a reason. Part of that is experimentation. I don't think it's such a bad idea that one state can't temporarily experiment for the possible benefit of all. https://t.co/faMLLOLKfd",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108943873588355072",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1108886040037769217",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T00:20:08+00:00",
   "text": "Suppose the desirability of your qualia falls on a scale on R, with your 90% of the world falling from -2 to 7. Suppose you counterfactually had a 50% chance of existing (w/ no counterfactual replacements). How many points would you trade for a 10%+ chance of existing each?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108886040037769217",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1108884076755341312",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T00:12:20+00:00",
   "text": "@Crit_Rat I blogged about this at:https://t.co/NyVLJ6VR5W",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108884076755341312",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1108883890020761600"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108883890020761600",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T00:11:36+00:00",
   "text": "@Crit_Rat I think humans are probably the most instrumentally utilitous machines in the universe, and that the typical child of a relatively happy, intellectually-productive couple is likely to have a life overall worth-living and be statistically utilitous to the world.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108883890020761600",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1108803509506449410"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108881307810127872",
   "created_at": "2019-03-22T00:01:20+00:00",
   "text": "@spencerrascoff @ATabarrok @united Seems like United traded (a probability further from one's preference of getting ousted (works either way) & a higher compensation) for (a more preferred p(getting ousted) & a lower compensation). Seems okay.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108881307810127872",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1108825566810038273"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108837803713007623",
   "created_at": "2019-03-21T21:08:28+00:00",
   "text": "Change my mind: We only want enough computronium to optimally tile the universe with orgasmium.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108837803713007623",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1108728872789516293",
   "created_at": "2019-03-21T13:55:37+00:00",
   "text": "Well, well, well\nIf it isn't the consequences of my own actions",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108728872789516293",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1108695317539667970",
   "created_at": "2019-03-21T11:42:16+00:00",
   "text": "@airbear926 @DouthatNYT @benshapiro \"For all the people who fell asleep in civics class\"? \"Children\"? If you want to change anybody's mind, you've got to have more class than that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108695317539667970",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1108570642532704256"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108544529303592962",
   "created_at": "2019-03-21T01:43:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @cspan: President Trump on John McCain: \"I gave him the kind of funeral that he wanted, which as president I had to approve. I don't car…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108544529303592962",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1108459933480165376",
   "created_at": "2019-03-20T20:06:56+00:00",
   "text": "The Illusion of Moral Superiority\n\nhttps://t.co/ttZ2Kojbqb\nThis is one of the biggest obstacles to thinking more clearly about morality:\nhttps://t.co/brNzxFbJMX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108459933480165376",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1108438889285500929",
   "created_at": "2019-03-20T18:43:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robinhanson: Most policy debates are big tug-o-wars. To cut political polarization, I say: encourage pundits to pull ropes SIDEWAYS; on…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108438889285500929",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1108431274958557185",
   "created_at": "2019-03-20T18:13:04+00:00",
   "text": "Would you have ended your own suffering now via suicide were it not for your commitment to improve the lives of others?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108431274958557185",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1108412979169714181",
   "created_at": "2019-03-20T17:00:22+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/zmxd8dOpVs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108412979169714181",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1108404877087121408",
   "created_at": "2019-03-20T16:28:10+00:00",
   "text": "Suppose you are 90% sure that fish cannot suffer that much or at all.\nEating fish this way is still morally reprehensible! The expected suffering is still a tenth of minutes of intense agony! That still far outweighs any pleasure you could possibly get from eating it live. https://t.co/hOQNDO8aSs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108404877087121408",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1108239149054738432",
   "created_at": "2019-03-20T05:29:37+00:00",
   "text": "@HermesofReason Who says this?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108239149054738432",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1108155606521671680"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108221350626422784",
   "created_at": "2019-03-20T04:18:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Effect_Altruism: Burnout is a miserable experience, and avoiding it is important for having a sustainable and impactful career. Elizabe…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108221350626422784",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1108220877144027136",
   "created_at": "2019-03-20T04:17:01+00:00",
   "text": "@webdevMason Sperms banks should consider accepting high-impact, healthy people who are 5' 7\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108220877144027136",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1108104686467317760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108220243057348608",
   "created_at": "2019-03-20T04:14:30+00:00",
   "text": "My Experience Dealing with the Psychological Weight of the Utilitarian Imperative https://t.co/sm1RfI74BZ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108220243057348608",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1108189906667474944",
   "created_at": "2019-03-20T02:13:57+00:00",
   "text": "Do you experience, as an intense psychological weight, the obligation to try to do as much good as possible?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108189906667474944",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1108149320514240513",
   "created_at": "2019-03-19T23:32:41+00:00",
   "text": "RT @clairlemon: One of the most dangerous things about moral certainty is that it creates the illusion that all of the important moral ques…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108149320514240513",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1108140674187173890",
   "created_at": "2019-03-19T22:58:19+00:00",
   "text": "For those that don't have a problem with killing: the overwhelming concern is to prevent these conscious creatures from living and suffering under terrible conditions in factory farms. Not buying animal products decreases the supply of them. Economists back this up. https://t.co/5T12v0nefA",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108140674187173890",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1108031552720650241",
   "created_at": "2019-03-19T15:44:43+00:00",
   "text": "Not saying the true utilitarian position is pro-choice.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108031552720650241",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1108030955481153536"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108030955481153536",
   "created_at": "2019-03-19T15:42:20+00:00",
   "text": "But if we are going to go there, I'd venture that the most ruthlessly cold people are those who side with their evolutionary instincts over careful, deliberate, considerate reasoning about what is morally desirable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108030955481153536",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1108030263051911168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1108030263051911168",
   "created_at": "2019-03-19T15:39:35+00:00",
   "text": "One doesn't have to be ruthlessly cold to disagree with you about a controversial moral claim (which moral philosophers tend to side against you). https://t.co/tY2zmYLeh8",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108030263051911168",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1108023353040867331",
   "created_at": "2019-03-19T15:12:08+00:00",
   "text": "deciding ethics via spreadsheet is the pinnacle of human moral progress",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108023353040867331",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1108018192985833472",
   "created_at": "2019-03-19T14:51:37+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jaynordlinger: An old, painful question: \"merit,\" race, and ethnicity. Because admission to Stuyvesant is test-based, 74 percent of the…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1108018192985833472",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1107980105043927041",
   "created_at": "2019-03-19T12:20:16+00:00",
   "text": "The Moral Importance of Future People https://t.co/ZzdIM6EbMg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107980105043927041",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1107968576475025408",
   "created_at": "2019-03-19T11:34:28+00:00",
   "text": "@rachelserc A number of cadets essentially do not train for ultras.  They just sign up and do a mountainous 50 miler without having ever run more than 13 miles straight.  But you are right, I say 1:30 as a target time for young guys.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107968576475025408",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1107794835661119491"
  },
  {
   "id": "1107865798255759361",
   "created_at": "2019-03-19T04:46:04+00:00",
   "text": "Making Total Utilitarianism More Intuitive https://t.co/P2imukZNK3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107865798255759361",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1107730615733026816",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T19:48:54+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m The average",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107730615733026816",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1107726037260079104"
  },
  {
   "id": "1107706797752832001",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T18:14:15+00:00",
   "text": "To be clear, I mean you think you are smarter than your parents, who are smarter than their parents, who are smarter than their parents. One or two discrepancies still indicate a general progression.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107706797752832001",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1107703570151944192"
  },
  {
   "id": "1107703570151944192",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T18:01:25+00:00",
   "text": "Do you feel there is a general progression in intelligence (g) in your immediate 3 generations of ancestors?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107703570151944192",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1107691271655772160",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T17:12:33+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AnnieDuke: Instead of asking, “Are you sure? Try asking, “How sure are you?”\n\n“Are you sure” is a yes or no question. It demands unreas…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107691271655772160",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1107691185605357569",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T17:12:13+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn sUfFeRrInG iS oKaY bEcAuSe iT's NaTuRaL",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107691185605357569",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1107687262979088384"
  },
  {
   "id": "1107690819929161732",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T17:10:46+00:00",
   "text": "My take:\n-do cardio 7 days/week, lift 2+\n-eat well (whole & plant-based)\n-sleep 8-10 hours\n-read+write hours daily\n-learn a programming language\n-only hold utilitous opinions of others\n-acknowledge life partially sucks\n-drink (cheaply & moderately) if it helps your social life https://t.co/81uTimgCgo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107690819929161732",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1107684783755268096",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T16:46:46+00:00",
   "text": "@ramit When the expected utility of trying to make more money is less than 0.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107684783755268096",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1107660864348438528"
  },
  {
   "id": "1107496515679985664",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T04:18:40+00:00",
   "text": "Don't enjoy what isn't productive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107496515679985664",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1107491815945580549",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T03:59:59+00:00",
   "text": "@dvassallo https://t.co/wyOsLTeu5q",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107491815945580549",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1107491781372006400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1107491781372006400",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T03:59:51+00:00",
   "text": "@dvassallo Some eggs might have been overall ideal in our evolutionary environment (what were the alternatives?), but I don't think the case is sealed in our evolutionary environment today where we have an abundance of other options.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107491781372006400",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1107490078396342272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1107485597411803136",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T03:35:17+00:00",
   "text": "@dvassallo Harm is relative. The same eggs that could keep you alive if you are starving will increase inflammation and oxidative damage (cancer risk) relative to replacing the eggs with most plants.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107485597411803136",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1107307141042307072"
  },
  {
   "id": "1107483124743766016",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T03:25:27+00:00",
   "text": "Too many people think they can get away with not formalizing their intuitions in an argument. Yes, undefined intuitions carry information, but you can't win against a self-consistent case if you do not formalize your intuitions to the same level as the case in question.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107483124743766016",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1107482165959446528",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T03:21:39+00:00",
   "text": "We are allowed to redefine population as duration because subjective experience is fundamentally impersonal and based off physics (where there is no room for personhood).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107482165959446528",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1107482164097110016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1107482164097110016",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T03:21:38+00:00",
   "text": "I think an equally appropriate way to represent number of beings is duration of experience. More beings == greater duration of subjective experience. I think duration is pretty intuitive to desire. We want a desirable subjective experience to continue.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107482164097110016",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1107482161999998976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1107482161999998976",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T03:21:38+00:00",
   "text": "Level of happiness is a pretty intuitive aspect of total utilitarianism. I empathize that it less intuitive that we ought to value additional beings with marginally net positive subjective experiences. \"Are we really obligated to make additional happy beings?\" is a fair question.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107482161999998976",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1107449596563869697",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T01:12:13+00:00",
   "text": "RT @KirkDBorne: Nearly 300 Statistical Concepts Explained in Simple English — in 10 Parts: https://t.co/YA8aIJVho4 #abdsc \n\n#BigData #DataS…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107449596563869697",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1107448034152120321",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T01:06:01+00:00",
   "text": "What things would probably get more expensive under a $1k UBI? By how much? If things getting more expensive is an argument against UBI, let's be specific.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107448034152120321",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1107439533853982720",
   "created_at": "2019-03-18T00:32:14+00:00",
   "text": "Not only are the ideas of expected utility and degree of belief just awesome, but it's insane that we can derive optimal choices just by multiplying them together.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107439533853982720",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1107385818069549057",
   "created_at": "2019-03-17T20:58:47+00:00",
   "text": "Love the mission statement of the Center for Applied Rationality:\nhttps://t.co/jpQ3jvvUgf",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1107385818069549057",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1106387504180060161",
   "created_at": "2019-03-15T02:51:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @primalpoly: Are you trying your hardest?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1106387504180060161",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1106030490799104001",
   "created_at": "2019-03-14T03:13:12+00:00",
   "text": "@StanfordEthics @Stanford @robreich Do market forces better reflect collective preferences, or can unilateral decisions outperform markets? There is a reason people switch from newspapers to websites- it better satisfies their preferences. Not saying unilateral decisions can't outperform, but...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1106030490799104001",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1106028747998691328"
  },
  {
   "id": "1106029305279070208",
   "created_at": "2019-03-14T03:08:30+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Ethical problems to me sound like not properly accounting for consequences, their utility, and their probabilities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1106029305279070208",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1106026380070920193"
  },
  {
   "id": "1106016032102088704",
   "created_at": "2019-03-14T02:15:45+00:00",
   "text": "@morallawwithin I don't know a good argument that I shouldn't choose the latter. Also, if you are interested, I basically summed up my take on the categorical imperative here:\nhttps://t.co/kasZlRp11F\nI would love feedback",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1106016032102088704",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1106015399034839040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1106015399034839040",
   "created_at": "2019-03-14T02:13:14+00:00",
   "text": "@morallawwithin Would I rather live in a world with right action, or desirable consequences?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1106015399034839040",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1106012077930500099"
  },
  {
   "id": "1106009941410603008",
   "created_at": "2019-03-14T01:51:33+00:00",
   "text": "@morallawwithin @jprwg What is better than maximizing what we value?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1106009941410603008",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1106007597700841472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1106009646429401088",
   "created_at": "2019-03-14T01:50:23+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I feel like if one appropriately updates their utility function, they don't have to deviate from vNM; if my preference is to definitely get $10k and I don't prefer a 1% chance of $1m, you could just say I give greater utility to the first $10k, and still just max E(U) as per vNM.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1106009646429401088",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1106007159496675328"
  },
  {
   "id": "1106002752793014272",
   "created_at": "2019-03-14T01:22:59+00:00",
   "text": "Risk tolerance can just be framed as having a particular curve of marginal diminishing returns, right? E.g. low-risk tolerance= a steeper drop-off of utility per dollar?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1106002752793014272",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1105972298199109633",
   "created_at": "2019-03-13T23:21:58+00:00",
   "text": "It boggles me how Kant's categorical imperative ever received more than 15 minutes worth of attention. Can someone help me understand why this is still a respected idea?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1105972298199109633",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1105833535821115392",
   "created_at": "2019-03-13T14:10:34+00:00",
   "text": "1) Humans are the best instrumental utility machines in the universe. No one but us is going to build a far better future. 2) Heuristic: if you are sophisticated enough to give personal anti-natalism deep consideration, the world probably needs your kids to build that future.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1105833535821115392",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1105829875703840769",
   "created_at": "2019-03-13T13:56:02+00:00",
   "text": "\"As we all know, your typical mouse is a platform for 23 welfare units per second...\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1105829875703840769",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1105829285191917569"
  },
  {
   "id": "1105829285191917569",
   "created_at": "2019-03-13T13:53:41+00:00",
   "text": "One day, I expect us to have a quantitative estimate of welfare utility. It will literally involve counting/estimating the number of certain physics operations that take place in a given bounded time and space. We can use logarithms to facilitate comparisons. https://t.co/q2UfqNblMe",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1105829285191917569",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1105822206037127168",
   "created_at": "2019-03-13T13:25:33+00:00",
   "text": "How much better at practical ethics could moral philosophers get if their curriculum consisted mostly of making nested probability and utility estimates for all sorts of possible consequences of decisions?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1105822206037127168",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1105612631405027330",
   "created_at": "2019-03-12T23:32:47+00:00",
   "text": "RT @KyleKashuv: I just returned to this realization today. \nMusic is enjoyable don't get me wrong. \nBut your time is much better spent list…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1105612631405027330",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1105336413132746752",
   "created_at": "2019-03-12T05:15:11+00:00",
   "text": "@Sams_Antics @juliagalef Why so much hate for this honesty? People need to have a clear picture when deciding whether or not to have kids. Also, unpopular opinion here: it's irrational to feel bad if your parents regret having kids.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1105336413132746752",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1105148747594584064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1104980874158792704",
   "created_at": "2019-03-11T05:42:24+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist I struggle to imagine drunk driving as being not blameworthy, but perhaps there is room for the pendulum to swing back a bit. MAYBE sentences could be lighter. That's as far as one could probably potentially go",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104980874158792704",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1104978769607974912"
  },
  {
   "id": "1104978769607974912",
   "created_at": "2019-03-11T05:34:02+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist If they made the sentencings lighter, how many more people would drunk drive, and drive mode drunk? How many people would that kill?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104978769607974912",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1104969167806087168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1104919900542255110",
   "created_at": "2019-03-11T01:40:07+00:00",
   "text": "💯% feel this https://t.co/er8xAOpfdX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104919900542255110",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1104841185225433088",
   "created_at": "2019-03-10T20:27:20+00:00",
   "text": "@rivatez The biggest gains will boil down to more people understanding how computers can improve our lives. Even current technology is vastly underutilized at this point.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104841185225433088",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1104753443145637893"
  },
  {
   "id": "1104535760588365824",
   "created_at": "2019-03-10T00:13:41+00:00",
   "text": "@jononomo @Intrinsic29 A belief in God has no specific explanatory power. God can be used to explain away any difficult, unsolved problem. It ends the line of inquiry far too early.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104535760588365824",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1104510289809010688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1104167786945892352",
   "created_at": "2019-03-08T23:51:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @booksandbooze_: Check out my podcast with @EvanSandhoefner! We discuss @PeterSinger's famous essay, utilitarianism, Effective Altruism,…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104167786945892352",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1104125151917027329",
   "created_at": "2019-03-08T21:02:04+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba In my mind, I meant the latter, and intended for people to choose based off conversions to well-being.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104125151917027329",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1104124948845600769"
  },
  {
   "id": "1104124948845600769",
   "created_at": "2019-03-08T21:01:16+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Yes I wasn't clear whether a person would only have the chosen attribute and be average for the others, or if they would have that attribute and the other statistically correlated attributes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104124948845600769",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1104122698706362375"
  },
  {
   "id": "1104100216955904001",
   "created_at": "2019-03-08T19:22:59+00:00",
   "text": "@EricRWeinstein BuT mAn CaN rEaSoN!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104100216955904001",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1103800844967829504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1104093476042559488",
   "created_at": "2019-03-08T18:56:12+00:00",
   "text": "RT @juliagalef: I think it's pretty cool that\n1. An Effective Altruist wrote a critique of EA, on an EA-friendly site\n2. It got lots of upv…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104093476042559488",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1104053756642148358",
   "created_at": "2019-03-08T16:18:22+00:00",
   "text": "@jockowillink has been saying this all along. \"Discipline enforces discipline: more discipline makes more discipline.” https://t.co/uXMCbvUf3g https://t.co/Ntxaz0o2oQ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104053756642148358",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1104049572559708160",
   "created_at": "2019-03-08T16:01:45+00:00",
   "text": "We need cheaper ways to signal what a diploma signals. Employers can lead the charge by experimenting being diploma-blind. Standardized test scores, big projects, and recommendations should be enough. https://t.co/EGlCgYMP1M",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1104049572559708160",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1103873218480287746",
   "created_at": "2019-03-08T04:20:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @asymmetricinfo: Huh. I was skeptical, but it seems that at average passenger loads, transit buses really are *less* fuel efficient than…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103873218480287746",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1103859834020085760",
   "created_at": "2019-03-08T03:27:47+00:00",
   "text": "\"When I grew up, I was frequently willing to bear considerable personal risk to show off...I statistically allowed 300 years of human suffering to happen that I could have prevented.\"\nhttps://t.co/pfdqMRMA5b",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103859834020085760",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1103646929135783941",
   "created_at": "2019-03-07T13:21:47+00:00",
   "text": "@ToKTeacher I guess I meant they assign it a relatively low probability of being true and do not frequently approach problems from that angle. And that is not a real criticism imho.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103646929135783941",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1103607645481525250"
  },
  {
   "id": "1103531345333141505",
   "created_at": "2019-03-07T05:42:30+00:00",
   "text": "Pretty sure utility has to boil down to fundamental physics.  When someone is happy, some particular sort of physics operations are taking place in the brain. A pluralistic value system can only exist then if there exists different valuable fundamental physics operations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103531345333141505",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1103526639114309633",
   "created_at": "2019-03-07T05:23:47+00:00",
   "text": "He wrote a paper on why the categorical imperative is false- before he was even taught it. They say he properly updates his degree of belief according to evidence but somehow always arrives back at his prior. He is the most interesting man in the world.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103526639114309633",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1103513296492216320",
   "created_at": "2019-03-07T04:30:46+00:00",
   "text": "Nothing in ethics is truly incommensurable.  Different 'dimensions' like liberty, security, and equality only imply current computational intractability on predicting their adjustments' marginal effect on welfare.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103513296492216320",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1103487309633212416",
   "created_at": "2019-03-07T02:47:31+00:00",
   "text": "What's a charitable, honest way for me to contextualize why more intellectuals completely dismiss utilitarianism?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103487309633212416",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1103483591307218945",
   "created_at": "2019-03-07T02:32:44+00:00",
   "text": "Poll 5:\nFun throwback:\nWould society be best off with an additional child with:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103483591307218945",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1103480513015230464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1103480513015230464",
   "created_at": "2019-03-07T02:20:30+00:00",
   "text": "Poll 4: how will utilitarianism be regarded in your conception of a future, more enlightened society",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103480513015230464",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1103479246800982017"
  },
  {
   "id": "1103479246800982017",
   "created_at": "2019-03-07T02:15:28+00:00",
   "text": "Poll 3: What do you think about moral philosophers who reject utilitarianism?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103479246800982017",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1103479244842258432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1103479244842258432",
   "created_at": "2019-03-07T02:15:28+00:00",
   "text": "Poll 2: How much does society need more people that understand and apply non-naive utilitarianism?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103479244842258432",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1103479242950656001"
  },
  {
   "id": "1103479242950656001",
   "created_at": "2019-03-07T02:15:27+00:00",
   "text": "Utilitarianism survey time!\nPoll 1. How coherent and intuitive is utilitarianism to you?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103479242950656001",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1103383764279934976",
   "created_at": "2019-03-06T19:56:03+00:00",
   "text": "For anyone unfamiliar with some of the arguments for systemic cause prioritization, Rob Wiblin's talk is a great introduction:\nhttps://t.co/Ro1LZkO0ca",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103383764279934976",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1103371137826934784",
   "created_at": "2019-03-06T19:05:53+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AndrewYangVFA: Just had a call with Nick Bostrom who schooled me on AI issues of the future.  We have a lot of work to do. Thanks Brody…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103371137826934784",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1103357392715214848",
   "created_at": "2019-03-06T18:11:16+00:00",
   "text": "@latentexec @CryptoSeneca One of the most interesting ideas to me is the importance of timing. In chess, move A and then move B is not the same as move B and then move A.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103357392715214848",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1103356731034357762"
  },
  {
   "id": "1103356731034357762",
   "created_at": "2019-03-06T18:08:38+00:00",
   "text": "@latentexec @CryptoSeneca I got into chess again hard for about two weeks in February. I tend to go into a 1 week binge like once a year. I think it does reinforce logical thinking to a point. Playing full time probably isn't as useful or the world as coding is, however.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103356731034357762",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1103125167784554499"
  },
  {
   "id": "1103355796098871302",
   "created_at": "2019-03-06T18:04:55+00:00",
   "text": "@CryptoSeneca Writing longer blog posts daily. Finally have been able to brain dump some ideas that have been on repeat, among other positives.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103355796098871302",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1103123976757358594"
  },
  {
   "id": "1103163495049281536",
   "created_at": "2019-03-06T05:20:47+00:00",
   "text": "@ryantmcknight @waitbutwhy Thanks for the link :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103163495049281536",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1103150582355947520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1103143004037173248",
   "created_at": "2019-03-06T03:59:22+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl Think how much more violent society would get with half of women gone and half of men without a romantic partner. I'd get shot walking down the street with my girlfriend.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103143004037173248",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1103137420407529472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1103142246189285377",
   "created_at": "2019-03-06T03:56:21+00:00",
   "text": "@CryptoSeneca @rivatez It's too bad there is real value on the line and this isn't a harmless simulation where you are the only mind. This leads me to believe it's not just a game.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103142246189285377",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1102962632963907584"
  },
  {
   "id": "1103131760781676544",
   "created_at": "2019-03-06T03:14:41+00:00",
   "text": "Few people know the last time they are going to do an everyday activity that they love or tell someone that they love them. Death is not just and it need not give any warnings. It's cliche, but our time here is short.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103131760781676544",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1103111383028326400",
   "created_at": "2019-03-06T01:53:43+00:00",
   "text": "If we don't cling to our deepest principles, we can be blown about by our social lives perhaps more than is good for us.  College for some is case-in-point. https://t.co/wTBKwrzE6N",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103111383028326400",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1102985425264750595",
   "created_at": "2019-03-05T17:33:12+00:00",
   "text": "@divbyzero -50 /-.05= 1000 😀",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102985425264750595",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1102670448876314625"
  },
  {
   "id": "1102971789796360197",
   "created_at": "2019-03-05T16:39:01+00:00",
   "text": "Not an actual vote, but we should pretend they exist (relative to the probability they will come into existence).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102971789796360197",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1096100865998548995"
  },
  {
   "id": "1102971141445038080",
   "created_at": "2019-03-05T16:36:26+00:00",
   "text": "If only @Google Keep could be encrypted and include the option for long voice memos. It would also facilitate productivity to be able to seamlessly move objects like checkboxed subnotes to other notes more seamlessly. 80% there though and I am thankful for it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102971141445038080",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1102434695881650176",
   "created_at": "2019-03-04T05:04:48+00:00",
   "text": "@robert_mariani Multiplication is really just repeated addition, which is really just repeatedly adding one. In a sense, utilitarianism just boils down to 2 good things, all other things being equal, are better than one good thing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102434695881650176",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1101749224301969409"
  },
  {
   "id": "1102355578758877184",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T23:50:25+00:00",
   "text": "@surreallyno @primalpoly This would be fine if only people could reliably discover the truth while they have a goal/agenda/desire. I'd argue that activism isn't inherently unfit for these areas, but the problem is that too often, our agendas lead us to accept fallacious, ill-evidenced arguments.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102355578758877184",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1102330348380274688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1102309231628337153",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T20:46:15+00:00",
   "text": "People that don't even run 20 miles a week that sign up for 50Ks or 50 milers are mistaken. This is literally destructive to their bodies, and encourages others to do this too. You know what takes real grit? Training consistently enough to run a fast (say, 1:30:00) half-marathon.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102309231628337153",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1102092207132151809",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T06:23:52+00:00",
   "text": "@BruceBartlett Steamed vegetables covered in nutritional yeast and apple cider vinegar.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102092207132151809",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1101888994093252608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1102081768939814913",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T05:42:24+00:00",
   "text": "It's also incredible that we are living in a time where a large plurality of people can read the majority of the day. Sure, we are not always reading what we'd most prefer to read, but reading for school or work is still reading. https://t.co/hqhbqRg4CG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102081768939814913",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1102071349969911813",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T05:00:59+00:00",
   "text": "I love this. \"Think of values in your own life that you keep to yourself because you don’t always apply them.\" \"We’ve demonized hypocrisy to such an extent that some would rather lie about their values than admit they’re falling short of them.\" https://t.co/iYHMLmmX0p",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102071349969911813",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1102057632330731520",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T04:06:29+00:00",
   "text": "It's often useful to imagine future criticism to steer ourselves in the right direction.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102057632330731520",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1102052156499283968"
  },
  {
   "id": "1102052156499283968",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T03:44:43+00:00",
   "text": "\"My grandpa seemed to understand ethics and wrote about it, but he never aggressively pursued the greater good. He seemed to be too afraid of social criticism. He donated about $200k to GiveWell charities and that was about it for \"supererogation\".\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102052156499283968",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1102048793250414594",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T03:31:22+00:00",
   "text": "Moral disagreements are scary. Insofar as both disagreeing parties are beyond mere definitions and are actually acting differently based upon their beliefs, the world is on track to miss out on a lot of value.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102048793250414594",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1102044067154804736",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T03:12:35+00:00",
   "text": "To dismiss utilitarianism is to dismiss cost-benefit analysis. And I don't see why we have to precisely pin down humanity's utility function at this time; that's not a hole in utilitarianism. Also, math underpins just about everything in life, why shouldn't it underpin ethics?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102044067154804736",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1102041637222604800",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T03:02:55+00:00",
   "text": "@dystopia_wiki @robert_mariani Would you say that utilitarian calculus can't reasonably be tuned to support your current intuitions?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102041637222604800",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1102040695290847233"
  },
  {
   "id": "1102040772881330176",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T02:59:29+00:00",
   "text": "Utilitarian calculus shouldn't replace your intuitions. You should wonder why when your intuitions and the calculus don't align. If you look at this dilemma hard enough, ideally you will find the bias in your intuitions or the flaws in your calculus, and the gap will close.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102040772881330176",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1102039173630849024",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T02:53:08+00:00",
   "text": "@robert_mariani \"What if we didn't have to do math and a lot of empirical work that goes beyond our immediate intuitions and could just pursue moral action without having to be specific about scale and magnitudes?\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102039173630849024",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1101749224301969409"
  },
  {
   "id": "1102038603583102977",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T02:50:52+00:00",
   "text": "@dystopia_wiki @robert_mariani Bearing children clearly can be unethical. If it truly replaced your moral intuitions, perhaps your moral intuitions weren't that grounded to begin with.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102038603583102977",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1101757173858619392"
  },
  {
   "id": "1102037810578710528",
   "created_at": "2019-03-03T02:47:43+00:00",
   "text": "@robert_mariani Are human moral intuitions that profoundly deep? I think a lot of our moral intuitions can be adequately  explained as being products of natural selection that conveniently increase survivability in social groups.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102037810578710528",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1101747899988291585"
  },
  {
   "id": "1101967248053452812",
   "created_at": "2019-03-02T22:07:20+00:00",
   "text": "Authors, book stores, and book publishers might benefit from facilitating anonymous donations. Some readers want to reward them for their effort and value-provided, but aren't willing to pay the full price for a book. They'll pirate and won't pay a dime if it's not easy too.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101967248053452812",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1101950317925683201",
   "created_at": "2019-03-02T21:00:03+00:00",
   "text": "@NicoleBarbaro Probably just another examples of bad statistics and p-hacking /sarcasm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101950317925683201",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1101824173859631104"
  },
  {
   "id": "1101949356092149761",
   "created_at": "2019-03-02T20:56:14+00:00",
   "text": "RT @primalpoly: Will longevity treatments cause 'overpopulation'?\na) No: https://t.co/615u5nzMHs\nb) But even if they did, is that an ethica…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101949356092149761",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1101924574407655424",
   "created_at": "2019-03-02T19:17:45+00:00",
   "text": "This is the limiting factor to recursive self-improvement. If we aren't willing to do this, we are going to be stuck with many of the same problems centuries from now regardless of technological improvement.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101924574407655424",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1101924573287759872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1101924573287759872",
   "created_at": "2019-03-02T19:17:45+00:00",
   "text": "The biggest hurdle to our collective long-term well-being and survival is the cultural resistance to genetic engineering selective embryo implantation. Specifically, we need to prioritize selection for intelligence, conscientiousness, well-being, and empathy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101924573287759872",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1101891988721451010",
   "created_at": "2019-03-02T17:08:16+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JohnOberg: A perfect example of how farm animals are mistreated in today’s industrial, apathetic system: \n\nThis calf has a device that…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101891988721451010",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1101679011443494912",
   "created_at": "2019-03-02T03:01:59+00:00",
   "text": "Wish it could be a thing to insert parentheses or another symbol to explicitly define clauses to clarify casual writing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101679011443494912",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1101668477113376768",
   "created_at": "2019-03-02T02:20:07+00:00",
   "text": "You shouldn't need a damn court order to extract your brain dead son's sperm so there is the possibility of preventing local genetic extinction, especially if your kid wanted to have kids. Why is the legal system like this?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101668477113376768",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1101540993147518976",
   "created_at": "2019-03-01T17:53:33+00:00",
   "text": "@banjorepair Trying to bring back that monarchy",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101540993147518976",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1101501616920936448"
  },
  {
   "id": "1101179454053928960",
   "created_at": "2019-02-28T17:56:55+00:00",
   "text": "His death marks a tremendous loss to the world.  We cannot replace him or his unique impact on the world, but we need to double down on our commitment to each other to positively affect the world as he did and was going to do.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101179454053928960",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1101179453412163589"
  },
  {
   "id": "1101179453412163589",
   "created_at": "2019-02-28T17:56:55+00:00",
   "text": "A fellow cadet was injured in a skiing accident and has been pronounced brain dead. I did not get to know him personally, but remarks from his friends indicate he had an exceptional worth ethic and a high-impact career ahead of him.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101179453412163589",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1101154749045452800",
   "created_at": "2019-02-28T16:18:45+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Effect_Altruism: From Tom Wein, a list of job boards for people seeking high-impact work, especially in global development: https://t.c…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101154749045452800",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1101133601645740032",
   "created_at": "2019-02-28T14:54:43+00:00",
   "text": "@TaurusLondono @DegenRolf Can you provide an example of something they get wrong?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101133601645740032",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1101120259623477249"
  },
  {
   "id": "1101132208578928641",
   "created_at": "2019-02-28T14:49:11+00:00",
   "text": "What percentage of moral philosophers just get morality wrong?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101132208578928641",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1101108420214706177",
   "created_at": "2019-02-28T13:14:39+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/aYu6kuRjy0",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101108420214706177",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1101000977879101440",
   "created_at": "2019-02-28T06:07:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @80000Hours: Our new interview @voxdotcom's @KelseyTuoc:\n\n\"...it’s certainly fair to say that there's more good journalism than people r…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1101000977879101440",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1100936571166044161",
   "created_at": "2019-02-28T01:51:47+00:00",
   "text": "Accurate signaling is good for the world not just because you could, say, \"get the job\", but also because it helps others to appropriately evaluate you. Getting rejected by revealing capabilities is a personal risk, not (usually) a utilitarian risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100936571166044161",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1100929452811407360",
   "created_at": "2019-02-28T01:23:30+00:00",
   "text": "@Quillette No one involved in effective altruism that I know of actually have written to ignore your intuitions and donate to charity X, Y, and Z.  Yes, they recommend thoroughly vetted, high-impact charities. But no, the EA dream isn't for everyone to drop what they are doing and fund AMF.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100929452811407360",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1100919112786534400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1100928669382594560",
   "created_at": "2019-02-28T01:20:23+00:00",
   "text": "The biggest flaw in this argument is that no one involved with effective altruism actually says to ignore your intuitions and specialized knowledge and donate money to charity X, Y, and Z. https://t.co/Ta1ZPvzMgi",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100928669382594560",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1100895099204984832",
   "created_at": "2019-02-27T23:06:59+00:00",
   "text": "@Andr6wMale I love dream chess. I can't help but  make good moves.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100895099204984832",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1100689028020604929"
  },
  {
   "id": "1100893126456012800",
   "created_at": "2019-02-27T22:59:09+00:00",
   "text": "@webdevMason This is why I love West Point. Admissions and staying here is especially meritocratic, but we receive the opportunities of the Stanford track.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100893126456012800",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1100551076091068416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1100891542947065858",
   "created_at": "2019-02-27T22:52:52+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/O8TQb4fwsz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100891542947065858",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1100888610138738688",
   "created_at": "2019-02-27T22:41:12+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/7Hn3qsVGkg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100888610138738688",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1100888570540314631",
   "created_at": "2019-02-27T22:41:03+00:00",
   "text": "You can't be certain who will appreciate your internet writing. You should try to let potential readers know what they are getting into, but you will likely waste some people's time. What matters is net expected utility.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100888570540314631",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1100367322810863616",
   "created_at": "2019-02-26T12:09:48+00:00",
   "text": "RT @juliagalef: The difficulty in communicating an insight you've had is that, to other people, it usually sounds either \n1) Wrong - becaus…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100367322810863616",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1100281796774846464",
   "created_at": "2019-02-26T06:29:57+00:00",
   "text": "@devonzuegel At the end of the day, what matters is our net-utilitarian impact. Sorry I brought you into this world, but we've got a job to.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100281796774846464",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1100155095428214784"
  },
  {
   "id": "1100253249226055682",
   "created_at": "2019-02-26T04:36:30+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m There doesn't seem to be much interest, but I'm trying.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100253249226055682",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1080497313657901056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1100197965505925120",
   "created_at": "2019-02-26T00:56:50+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 There are some neat shoe designs for cycling that I've noticed recently: https://t.co/RV5bi41BE0\nThey use twist knobs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100197965505925120",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1100196617091567616"
  },
  {
   "id": "1100191340657369090",
   "created_at": "2019-02-26T00:30:30+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I know I have been more animated against religion after the occassions where I've been discriminated against for being atheist. But I don't feel too discriminated against rn, so I just forget about religion altogether sometimes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100191340657369090",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1100187987445338112"
  },
  {
   "id": "1100188357148192771",
   "created_at": "2019-02-26T00:18:39+00:00",
   "text": "@RickDelmonico @mizroba You refuse to believe that some people literally never even think of 'God'?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100188357148192771",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1100113321741701120"
  },
  {
   "id": "1100187278129926144",
   "created_at": "2019-02-26T00:14:22+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 That is a good point to keep in mind.  https://t.co/KxupPNt6G1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100187278129926144",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1100184183115264000"
  },
  {
   "id": "1100183928240066561",
   "created_at": "2019-02-26T00:01:03+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I tried bringing up rationality ideas as well and bringing up secular moral philosophy, but they just want to be focused on religion.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100183928240066561",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1100183179154112512"
  },
  {
   "id": "1100183179154112512",
   "created_at": "2019-02-25T23:58:04+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 It just blows my mind though how interesting it is to some people. I gave a talk on cause prioritization at my school's Humanist club thinking I could steer us towards more productive conversations, but the organizers just moved back to questioning religion next week.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100183179154112512",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1100178925953536000"
  },
  {
   "id": "1100178685167063046",
   "created_at": "2019-02-25T23:40:13+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 Atheism is just boring to me now. I mean I like to witness securialization, but religious dogma is just so wrong, I don't even care to be 'anti' it. I'd rather follow people who happen to be atheist than those who center their identity around it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1100178685167063046",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1100076102024753159"
  },
  {
   "id": "1099487947399876608",
   "created_at": "2019-02-24T01:55:28+00:00",
   "text": "RT @z3nblack: Used to be extremely cynical until I started building stuff. This sort of organically helped me switch into higher modes of o…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1099487947399876608",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1099465297084538881",
   "created_at": "2019-02-24T00:25:28+00:00",
   "text": "@schlaf Our ability to be so good at so many things. We are the best runners and throwers in the animal kingdom. We can speak multiple languages, and anticipate what people might do based off the smallest details in facial expressions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1099465297084538881",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1099334292243709952"
  },
  {
   "id": "1099463261261508608",
   "created_at": "2019-02-24T00:17:23+00:00",
   "text": "RT @schlaf: A thought provoking question to consider:\n\nWhat are those things in your life that are truly extraordinary but happen so consis…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1099463261261508608",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1099110804576702465",
   "created_at": "2019-02-23T00:56:50+00:00",
   "text": "@zck effective altruism, programming, triathlon",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1099110804576702465",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1098834144308518912"
  },
  {
   "id": "1099087776413298690",
   "created_at": "2019-02-22T23:25:20+00:00",
   "text": "My past life. https://t.co/Sk0TDHMP81",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1099087776413298690",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1098785175419408384",
   "created_at": "2019-02-22T03:22:54+00:00",
   "text": "@activeendurance Don't you think it's unethical to include a popup immediately after a user pays for a race that asks them to verify their email but you are actually signing up them up for your $90 service? It's obvious you designed it like that for people to unwittingly sign up.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1098785175419408384",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1098756381971222528",
   "created_at": "2019-02-22T01:28:30+00:00",
   "text": "I can't wait to have my own kitchen and eat lentil pasta and steamed vegetables *on a daily basis*. 🙏",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1098756381971222528",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1098753649394794496",
   "created_at": "2019-02-22T01:17:38+00:00",
   "text": "@LBAllred_44 @benshapiro What else do you propose that is a strong enough deterrent?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1098753649394794496",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1098677507233140739"
  },
  {
   "id": "1098375999857807360",
   "created_at": "2019-02-21T00:16:59+00:00",
   "text": "If my school won't let me drop a summer training school that isn't a graduation requirement that conflicts with EA Global,\ndoes that mean they just want me to do the Lambda School Data Science track and peace out? 🤔",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1098375999857807360",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1098256157825748992",
   "created_at": "2019-02-20T16:20:47+00:00",
   "text": "@DIorioNathaniel For a little while when I was 5, I thought getting fired meant your boss literally burned you alive. Needless to say I was very concerned for my parents.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1098256157825748992",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1098142274205175810"
  },
  {
   "id": "1097994919648612354",
   "created_at": "2019-02-19T23:02:43+00:00",
   "text": "@banjorepair When I tell you the frogs are gay, I am not convincing you of anything you don't know ;)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097994919648612354",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1097981249132605441"
  },
  {
   "id": "1097889526452760577",
   "created_at": "2019-02-19T16:03:55+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Utility of me with 15 more points= 1.5 to 100x more util. Geometric mean is ~12.  U*1=12U*p. Theoretically I should be willing to take a .08 chance of survival. But I'd definitely take an 85% survival rate.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097889526452760577",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1097878965203668993"
  },
  {
   "id": "1097877974693625856",
   "created_at": "2019-02-19T15:18:01+00:00",
   "text": "It seems that as soon as a problem is labeled as a philosophical issue, you aren't allowed to solve it without at least writing a book.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097877974693625856",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1097876898422640640",
   "created_at": "2019-02-19T15:13:44+00:00",
   "text": "@tannerguzy That's with the assumption that your principles are the best.  I am not my grandma's enemy.  She and I both know she shouldn't be in charge of the country though.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097876898422640640",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1097606651958325248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1097704428398886912",
   "created_at": "2019-02-19T03:48:24+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/ItWBiENpJ9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097704428398886912",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1097682753825501185",
   "created_at": "2019-02-19T02:22:17+00:00",
   "text": "@HarvardBiz why is that girl's face impaled",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097682753825501185",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1097676903794778113"
  },
  {
   "id": "1097355465934204928",
   "created_at": "2019-02-18T04:41:45+00:00",
   "text": "What if the the best calculations show the EV of the future is negative? 😮",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097355465934204928",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1097346502777860098",
   "created_at": "2019-02-18T04:06:08+00:00",
   "text": "RT @niftierideology: What is best in life? To allocate capital productively, to disrupt local maxima, and to hear the lamentation of rent s…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097346502777860098",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1097345968452837378",
   "created_at": "2019-02-18T04:04:01+00:00",
   "text": "Just bought \"The End of Animal Farming: How Scientists, Entrepreneurs, and Activists Are Building an Animal-Free Food System\" by Jacy Reese. It's time I explore into the animal welfare side of effective altruism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097345968452837378",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1097342370780233728",
   "created_at": "2019-02-18T03:49:43+00:00",
   "text": "Exhibit A. One way AI could lead to  suffering risks: https://t.co/bJViIBdIvX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097342370780233728",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1097326131068456960",
   "created_at": "2019-02-18T02:45:11+00:00",
   "text": "@backus @devonzuegel @michael_nielsen Please John be more careful. https://t.co/6iQd2ksdoT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097326131068456960",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1097308963077378048"
  },
  {
   "id": "1097324864652931073",
   "created_at": "2019-02-18T02:40:09+00:00",
   "text": "RT @clairlemon: A non-trivial amount of intersectional rhetoric is actually driven by affluent white men in their 50s (or older) who run le…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097324864652931073",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1097267040782561285",
   "created_at": "2019-02-17T22:50:23+00:00",
   "text": "RT @wrwveit: When you read too much Nietzsche https://t.co/M6tBiUjjiJ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097267040782561285",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1097262175847092226",
   "created_at": "2019-02-17T22:31:03+00:00",
   "text": "Conscientiousness seizes the day.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097262175847092226",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1097261591198863360",
   "created_at": "2019-02-17T22:28:44+00:00",
   "text": "RT @TechSparx: Algorithms, by Prof Erickson\n\nThis free 448-page textbook is an incredibly clear, very pragmatic and yet very thorough expos…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097261591198863360",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1097235801094737921",
   "created_at": "2019-02-17T20:46:15+00:00",
   "text": "Always maximize expected-value",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097235801094737921",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "1097184776413433856",
   "created_at": "2019-02-17T17:23:30+00:00",
   "text": "Some great effective altruism readings for the uninitiated:\nhttps://t.co/0wL2jApse7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1097184776413433856",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1096979285443821568",
   "created_at": "2019-02-17T03:46:57+00:00",
   "text": "@EricJorgenson And have a red band for customers who are prefer  harsh motivation. \"You f-ing weak pos, you should have been able to lift that weight 3 years ago!\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096979285443821568",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1096832840459669504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1096971735734411264",
   "created_at": "2019-02-17T03:16:57+00:00",
   "text": "@mechazuth @robkhenderson Ya boy's got quads! He just needs to hit them arms more",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096971735734411264",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1096939716778184704"
  },
  {
   "id": "1096958076211609601",
   "created_at": "2019-02-17T02:22:40+00:00",
   "text": "I would post that I am drunk, but I read somewhere that job recruiters discriminate against that. Also, I love you all.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096958076211609601",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1096935186330202112",
   "created_at": "2019-02-17T00:51:43+00:00",
   "text": "@robkhenderson What about triathletes? Surely women subconsciously know they can persistence hunt down game better than just about anyone...(tell me I didn't pick the wrong sport)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096935186330202112",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1096771653185536000"
  },
  {
   "id": "1096926269642604545",
   "created_at": "2019-02-17T00:16:17+00:00",
   "text": "@attractfunding @AndrewYangVFA Not necessarily, just usually has been the case.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096926269642604545",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1096918053265252353"
  },
  {
   "id": "1096613132087234561",
   "created_at": "2019-02-16T03:31:59+00:00",
   "text": "@mikeldennis @AndrewYangVFA @marwilliamson @TulsiGabbard We can't afford to vote 3rd party while any terrible canndidates are running and are likely to win. Not while approval or ranked choice voting isn't a thing, at least.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096613132087234561",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1096597312170848256"
  },
  {
   "id": "1096407086240546818",
   "created_at": "2019-02-15T13:53:14+00:00",
   "text": "@V4Analysis Charge them both.  The chance one of them is innocent is low enough that protecting the public is worth it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096407086240546818",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1096051347932229632"
  },
  {
   "id": "1096382667430473728",
   "created_at": "2019-02-15T12:16:12+00:00",
   "text": "@GoldmundUnleash I guess guys that didn't care for booty as much weren't as evolutionarily successful.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096382667430473728",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1096146926968467457"
  },
  {
   "id": "1096136474255343617",
   "created_at": "2019-02-14T19:57:55+00:00",
   "text": "Far too many people are WAY too confident in their sense of morality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096136474255343617",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1096101870425264128",
   "created_at": "2019-02-14T17:40:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @XiXiDu: Embryo editing for higher IQ is a fantasy. Embryo profiling for it is almost here https://t.co/A3VwKXNU45",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096101870425264128",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1096100865998548995",
   "created_at": "2019-02-14T17:36:25+00:00",
   "text": "These can be thought of as future people who deserve to have a vote in today's affairs. https://t.co/hkjLNZK4H0",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096100865998548995",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1096100266112368640",
   "created_at": "2019-02-14T17:34:02+00:00",
   "text": "Plus I just really want to go.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096100266112368640",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1096098036021972993"
  },
  {
   "id": "1096098036021972993",
   "created_at": "2019-02-14T17:25:10+00:00",
   "text": "Nervous I won't get accepted to EA Global. Girlfriend already bought plane tickets 😬",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096098036021972993",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1096036048352755712",
   "created_at": "2019-02-14T13:18:51+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/ViDvtATBqo\n\"Rather than considering individual scenarios of how s-risks could occur, which tends to be highly speculative, this post instead looks at risk factors – i.e. factors that would make s-risks more likely or more severe.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1096036048352755712",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1095887747955466240",
   "created_at": "2019-02-14T03:29:34+00:00",
   "text": "0530 swim. 0650 uniform inspection. 0730 military science exam. 0835 Russian w/ oral quiz. 0940 Digital Logic. 1045 Discrete math exam. 1150 formation & mando lunch. ~3 hours off for hw. 1630 track workout (5x1 mi at 10k pace). Mando dinner. HW. There is no rest for the wicked.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095887747955466240",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1095873619278876672",
   "created_at": "2019-02-14T02:33:25+00:00",
   "text": "Just sent up an advertisement (mess hall powerpoint slide seen by all 4500 cadets) for a West Point effective altruism discussion group.  Let's see how this plays out.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095873619278876672",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1095856608054251520",
   "created_at": "2019-02-14T01:25:50+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robinhanson: \"'rods from god' … 20 feet long, 1 foot in diameter tungsten rods, dropped from orbit, reaching a speed of up to 10x the s…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095856608054251520",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1095829140585005061",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T23:36:41+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MaxCRoser: Oxford’s new 'Global Priorities Institute' has published a 68-page research agenda for what they want to answer in the comin…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095829140585005061",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1095827630107099136",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T23:30:41+00:00",
   "text": "@Liv_Boeree https://t.co/eyxLs1zRqp",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095827630107099136",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1095826459858481154"
  },
  {
   "id": "1095821154865106946",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T23:04:57+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanSandhoefner: Chad pulls the lever. Be like Chad. https://t.co/jnbyTLoelt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095821154865106946",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1095747889324851201",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T18:13:49+00:00",
   "text": "It sucks that many of our questions will forever remain unanswered. AI and big data should help a lot, but information processors will never be able to match chaos for many questions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095747889324851201",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1095743279235252226",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T17:55:30+00:00",
   "text": "I don't get all the hate about 'and/or'. English needs an unambiguous inclusive 'or', and 'x or y or both' doesn't work with 3+ objects. 'X or y or z or some combination thereof' is our alternative, but 'and/or' is simpler and more concise.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095743279235252226",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1095737096894062592",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T17:30:56+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I recommend a weighted blanket. My girlfriend and I love the better sleep we get from ours.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095737096894062592",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1095722532517208064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1095662591257526273",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T12:34:52+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I made up the link to make fun of her view and pretend it had any sophistication to it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095662591257526273",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1095660889854734336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1095661108260675585",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T12:28:59+00:00",
   "text": "Analyses*",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095661108260675585",
   "word_count": 1,
   "in_reply_to": "1095659278222938117"
  },
  {
   "id": "1095660286873423872",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T12:25:43+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 This isn't about preferences.  She's got a point: https://t.co/D7PI0lVwvW",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095660286873423872",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1095653889548808192"
  },
  {
   "id": "1095659278222938117",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T12:21:42+00:00",
   "text": "We'd be much better filling that lesson with cost-benefit analyzes to refine ethical decision making or a discussion on why the long-term future is so important.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095659278222938117",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1095659277589639168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1095659277589639168",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T12:21:42+00:00",
   "text": "This my daily bash on the categorical imperative.  It's ridiculously false: one is forced to optimize for a world which rarely should be expected to exist.  The fact we still teach it in Ethics 101 seems to be more about signaling than actually trying to ^ethical decision-making",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095659277589639168",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1095496858254884871",
   "created_at": "2019-02-13T01:36:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @80000Hours: The high-return activity of raising others’ aspirations, by @tylercowen \n\nhttps://t.co/Hu1OEda495 https://t.co/901mHoevPQ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095496858254884871",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1095297892649263105",
   "created_at": "2019-02-12T12:25:41+00:00",
   "text": "Quickly find the LaTeX code for symbols by drawing them in your browser! \nhttps://t.co/SaPqnefHyO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1095297892649263105",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1094971070359179265",
   "created_at": "2019-02-11T14:47:01+00:00",
   "text": "RT @adamscrabble: Thread on Chinese Currency Manipulation. You're going to like this. I had a question for my analysts, what does it mean \"…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1094971070359179265",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1094768868336254976",
   "created_at": "2019-02-11T01:23:32+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JohnOberg: A typical scene in a factory farm:\n\nA dead chick in a shed w/ tens of thousands of others who’ll spend their 42-day-long liv…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1094768868336254976",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1094073558039519232",
   "created_at": "2019-02-09T03:20:37+00:00",
   "text": "RT @primalpoly: In most possible versions of human history, we blew ourselves up in a global thermonuclear war decades ago. \n\nWe just barel…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1094073558039519232",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1094040306398478336",
   "created_at": "2019-02-09T01:08:29+00:00",
   "text": "@Sam_Dumitriu Still not going to be enough unless we also get China to reduce their huge share of GHG emissions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1094040306398478336",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1093979925848223746"
  },
  {
   "id": "1094002663618985984",
   "created_at": "2019-02-08T22:38:55+00:00",
   "text": "@neonbabel @carotaratko @TheOnion The sign surely helps pedestrians' reduce their risk of death.  It doesn't necessarily detract from the degree of blame placed on drivers.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1094002663618985984",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1093611608163737610"
  },
  {
   "id": "1093576947605610496",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T18:27:16+00:00",
   "text": "Experience Machines Support Ethical Hedonism https://t.co/47cxLGVTDZ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093576947605610496",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1093487278943621121",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T12:30:57+00:00",
   "text": "What's the range of impact you expect to have with the rest of your life? In other words, if you were a pure utilitarian, what's the least amount of money you would accept from a tax-haven to only be able to donate the money and then you must stop impacting the world?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093487278943621121",
   "word_count": 52
  },
  {
   "id": "1093351101984841728",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T03:29:50+00:00",
   "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego AirTasker looks interesting and closer to what I am imagining.  Wish we had that in the US. I knew there are apps like Fiverr, but these still fall so short to what's possible.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093351101984841728",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1093345580892315648"
  },
  {
   "id": "1093342484359450625",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:55:36+00:00",
   "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego willing to engage in markets like this aren't that bad, especially when there is a review system set in place.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093342484359450625",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1093342045555617793"
  },
  {
   "id": "1093342045555617793",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:53:51+00:00",
   "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego The question is: why hasn't this been done yet? I think one factor is trust; too many people don't want strangers around them messing with them and their life.  However, as we've seen from Uber, Airbnb, and other peer-to-peer companies, the overwhelming majority of people",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093342045555617793",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1093340171251126272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1093340171251126272",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:46:24+00:00",
   "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego But our preferences just got fulfilled better than they were expected to be otherwise.  If they were not fulfilled, we obviously need to adjust our prices better next time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093340171251126272",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1093339587236323330"
  },
  {
   "id": "1093339587236323330",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:44:05+00:00",
   "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego block they would like me to teach + the approximate location, I tweak the contract, they accept it.  We meet up (potentially with phone mic constantly streaming to cloud for security reasons), and make our lives better.  I wasn't planning on this, and neither really were they,2/n",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093339587236323330",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1093339064038817792"
  },
  {
   "id": "1093339064038817792",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:42:00+00:00",
   "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego Example: Just got off work.  My phone gets a notification.  Someone knows I can teach improv piano lessons.  They were passively interested in securing a lesson for themselves, offer a price I'm willing to take up, & I tentatively accept.  A minute later, they send the time 1/n",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093339064038817792",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1093338213278777345"
  },
  {
   "id": "1093338213278777345",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:38:37+00:00",
   "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego Not saying to do anything different with regular jobs.  But many people have plenty of down time, are potentially willing to do odd jobs, and others (often the same people) would rather pay people to do other tasks.  A ripe potential economy exists.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093338213278777345",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1093337004555694080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1093335688982994944",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:28:36+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego We need to facilitate more micro-employment opportunities.  An app could help do this.  'Requesters' could put in a task-request list w/ prices willing to pay and an app could match tasks with 'Fulfillers' based on proximity + 'Fulfiller' skills + 'Fulfiller' prices work prices",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093335688982994944",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1093332711232532480"
  },
  {
   "id": "1093332365462638593",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:15:23+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego It seems decent enough, but it's pitiful compared to what it could be.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093332365462638593",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1093331507899289600"
  },
  {
   "id": "1093332095886417921",
   "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:14:19+00:00",
   "text": "@Noahpinion @robinhanson @robertwiblin @Noahpinion",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093332095886417921",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1093327454322647040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1093211901843120129",
   "created_at": "2019-02-06T18:16:42+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHarrisOrg @joerogan Effective Altruism!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1093211901843120129",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1093202907397124097"
  },
  {
   "id": "1092934477247143938",
   "created_at": "2019-02-05T23:54:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Effect_Altruism: Factory farming probably causes a massive amount of preventable suffering. But animal suffering gets far less attentio…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1092934477247143938",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1092797392506765318",
   "created_at": "2019-02-05T14:49:36+00:00",
   "text": "837 days until graduation 👌🙏",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1092797392506765318",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1092214717580562432",
   "created_at": "2019-02-04T00:14:15+00:00",
   "text": "@paulg Looks like you've got a future fair division theory researcher",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1092214717580562432",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1092126798777864198"
  },
  {
   "id": "1092188756285812738",
   "created_at": "2019-02-03T22:31:06+00:00",
   "text": "Check this out: straight vegetarian, health af (pasta is made from lentils) dinner.\n\nCc. Future health insurance companies https://t.co/uUD6Er59dy",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1092188756285812738",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1092141327960158208",
   "created_at": "2019-02-03T19:22:38+00:00",
   "text": "@cjprofman @PaulRoundy1 Don't know the details of the governor's campaign, but it's entirely possible his opponent was a racist (based off recent evidence), while he effectively wasn't (anymore).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1092141327960158208",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1092100646910738434"
  },
  {
   "id": "1092138438483169280",
   "created_at": "2019-02-03T19:11:09+00:00",
   "text": "I'd make a super bowl prediction to test my forecasting abilities and have a probability of earning street cred if I'm right, but football is so unimportant in the grand scheme of things that it's not worth promoting as an institution, nor burning the computations on.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1092138438483169280",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1092123599882936321",
   "created_at": "2019-02-03T18:12:11+00:00",
   "text": "Should finally be able to go to EA Global in SF this summer!!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1092123599882936321",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1092116284333064197",
   "created_at": "2019-02-03T17:43:07+00:00",
   "text": "@danariely \"$300 is likely to be less effective than offering no money at all.\" Could you point me to any studies that show money really cheapens the moral appeal that much?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1092116284333064197",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1091766600431267843"
  },
  {
   "id": "1092091716717477889",
   "created_at": "2019-02-03T16:05:30+00:00",
   "text": "RT @elonmusk: Only a matter of time https://t.co/8Eqn554hK0",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1092091716717477889",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1091563670948204544",
   "created_at": "2019-02-02T05:07:14+00:00",
   "text": "Very excited about the genomic research taking place. We should carefully load the dice! https://t.co/kfu6zCl5y2",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1091563670948204544",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1091559298214346752",
   "created_at": "2019-02-02T04:49:51+00:00",
   "text": "@ryanobles @RalphNortham 1) Sounds like an acceptable apology. 2)This dude is literally an entirely different person than he was in 1984. You are basically punishing a new person that has emerged out of his body. There is a reason we have statutes of limitations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1091559298214346752",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1091474639522537478"
  },
  {
   "id": "1091548626155962368",
   "created_at": "2019-02-02T04:07:27+00:00",
   "text": "@JohnDanaher Is there an email list I can join so I get a notification when it comes out?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1091548626155962368",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1091319129481666561"
  },
  {
   "id": "1091436566353010689",
   "created_at": "2019-02-01T20:42:09+00:00",
   "text": "This computer science major just took the lead in my school's Math Problem of the Week competition!  😜😁",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1091436566353010689",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1091428510621728770",
   "created_at": "2019-02-01T20:10:09+00:00",
   "text": "The Need for and Viability of an Effective Altruism Academy https://t.co/l6fIqaqAzk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1091428510621728770",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1091131016490770433",
   "created_at": "2019-02-01T00:28:01+00:00",
   "text": "@ejjiott I mean not considering life-actions that do not reliably and intentionally prevent suffering that would occur otherwise.  Many actions indirectly avert suffering, but I am interested in actions with this motive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1091131016490770433",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1091128609148948480"
  },
  {
   "id": "1091072104668282885",
   "created_at": "2019-01-31T20:33:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @voxdotcom: Farming octopus would be an ecological and moral disaster. Some researchers are still pushing ahead on efforts to do it. Can…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1091072104668282885",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1091071869149679618",
   "created_at": "2019-01-31T20:32:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Lewis_Bollard: As the #WinterStorm hits, spare a thought for the thousands of cows + sheep freezing to death bc some big producers don'…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1091071869149679618",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1091071110790217728",
   "created_at": "2019-01-31T20:29:58+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m I agree, but pro-life arguments tend to be more in-line with evolutionary-derived psychology. Any argument bolstered by non-rational motives (i.e. programming that helped evolutionarily) automatically loses credence.  Pro-choice arguments also take more information into account.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1091071110790217728",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1091066828502302722"
  },
  {
   "id": "1091066051805265920",
   "created_at": "2019-01-31T20:09:52+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/LmTonFgMq0\n\"If someone can correctly explain a position but continue to disagree with it, that position is less likely to be correct.\" Regardless of whether they are right or wrong, pro-lifers lose a degree of credence via this heuristic.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1091066051805265920",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1091042274153295873",
   "created_at": "2019-01-31T18:35:23+00:00",
   "text": "What's the minimum disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) one has to avert to, all else neutral, have lived a 'great' life?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1091042274153295873",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1090989680034758656",
   "created_at": "2019-01-31T15:06:23+00:00",
   "text": "@farnamstreet Trying to make crazy ideas work in thought experiments.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1090989680034758656",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1090675198439809024"
  },
  {
   "id": "1090988984606560256",
   "created_at": "2019-01-31T15:03:38+00:00",
   "text": "@XiXiDu On the other hand, I could sacrifice 5-10 IQ points, and then just fund a half dozen researchers to focus on the problems I care about.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1090988984606560256",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1090988769002557440"
  },
  {
   "id": "1090988769002557440",
   "created_at": "2019-01-31T15:02:46+00:00",
   "text": "@XiXiDu Suppose the average respondent has 45 more years of life.  That's 4.5 million dollars to go from 120 to 119.  There is no way, on average, for 1 extra IQ point to make up for that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1090988769002557440",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1090613187257479168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1090816083664257024",
   "created_at": "2019-01-31T03:36:35+00:00",
   "text": "@farnamstreet Being attractive.\nHaving a fit body demonstrates months if not years of discipline.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1090816083664257024",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1090810681383780352"
  },
  {
   "id": "1090436331874983936",
   "created_at": "2019-01-30T02:27:35+00:00",
   "text": "We probably are going to capture either <1% or >99% of the cosmic endowment...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1090436331874983936",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1090307313037180928",
   "created_at": "2019-01-29T17:54:55+00:00",
   "text": "@MattPirkowski @Intrinsic29 Are you providing an example in quotes to be clear or to be sarcastic?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1090307313037180928",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1090294924229017601"
  },
  {
   "id": "1090224216480321536",
   "created_at": "2019-01-29T12:24:43+00:00",
   "text": "So hard to get up for swim practice this morning. Did it anyway. As a heuristic, it's not my call to make decisions like that at 0500. #RiseAndGrind",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1090224216480321536",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1089624550843797504",
   "created_at": "2019-01-27T20:41:51+00:00",
   "text": "@primalpoly Worst downside for individuals may be the social stigma against it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089624550843797504",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1089623093054627845"
  },
  {
   "id": "1089619791332163589",
   "created_at": "2019-01-27T20:22:57+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jacyreese: Hi, I'm a vegan 🌎 You might know me from some of my Greatest Hits like, \"Okay, but you're not a lion,\" \"Go watch Earthlings…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089619791332163589",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1089619555771731970",
   "created_at": "2019-01-27T20:22:00+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner I am not sure precisely what you mean by PI, but under my preconception, acting as if PI helps one act according to others evolutionary-derived expectations. Most people want the whole package, including egoistic emotions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089619555771731970",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1089615833079246848"
  },
  {
   "id": "1089614013972004865",
   "created_at": "2019-01-27T19:59:59+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Focusing on PI is advantageous when working with egos, but life just goes on when you abandon notions of free will.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089614013972004865",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1089609762096869378"
  },
  {
   "id": "1089604090114519042",
   "created_at": "2019-01-27T19:20:33+00:00",
   "text": "Name a more iconic duo...I'll wait.\n\n[Bayesian Probability Theory] [Utility Theory]",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089604090114519042",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1089602624385679361",
   "created_at": "2019-01-27T19:14:44+00:00",
   "text": "Phenomena is happening. There seems to be generic patterns to it.  You can't escape action nor its consequences,  so you might as well influence what you can to try to get outcomes you prefer.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089602624385679361",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1089552395556802561",
   "created_at": "2019-01-27T15:55:08+00:00",
   "text": "A lot of ills in society boil down to people not producing enough value.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089552395556802561",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1089403656456282112",
   "created_at": "2019-01-27T06:04:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @naval: The modern struggle\n\nLone individuals summoning inhuman willpower,\n\nfasting, meditating, and exercising,\n\nup against armies of s…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089403656456282112",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1089361510781079552",
   "created_at": "2019-01-27T03:16:38+00:00",
   "text": "what the heck I thought I was American https://t.co/GIKg1T83g6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089361510781079552",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1089359291105140736",
   "created_at": "2019-01-27T03:07:48+00:00",
   "text": "Halfway through the Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling, a 99 hour competition that centers around writing a long-ass paper with two other buddies. My mind is kind of fried, but I got two more days of work!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089359291105140736",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1089358411547004928",
   "created_at": "2019-01-27T03:04:19+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner How dare you cause a slight amount of guilt in a person's mind for spending money however they please? It's not like something truly important like suffering is on the line...\nOh wait",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089358411547004928",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1089329109342203904"
  },
  {
   "id": "1089242534428270592",
   "created_at": "2019-01-26T19:23:52+00:00",
   "text": "\"Even the smartest among us don’t know what net effect small policies will have; plus very little well-being turns on such policies to begin with. Growth maximization...becomes a moral black hole from which no partisan skirmish...can escape.\" https://t.co/v5OX6IahJA",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089242534428270592",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1089225851185623042",
   "created_at": "2019-01-26T18:17:34+00:00",
   "text": "I love short books.\nSam Harris's \"Lying\" is 113 pages.\nTyler Cowen's \"Stubborn Attachments\" is 127.\nTimothy Snyder's \"On Tyranny\" is 128.\nViktor Frankl's \"Man's Search for Meaning\" is 200.\n\nMost books can be much shorter.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1089225851185623042",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1088994707974381570",
   "created_at": "2019-01-26T02:59:05+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Just because wanna-be utilitarians get the numbers wrong doesn't mean it's not the ideal ethical system.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1088994707974381570",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1088844017679372288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1088835670171357184",
   "created_at": "2019-01-25T16:27:08+00:00",
   "text": "@WilliamBarry2 Thanks Dr. Barry!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1088835670171357184",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1088599907081089024"
  },
  {
   "id": "1088237247835660288",
   "created_at": "2019-01-24T00:49:13+00:00",
   "text": "Woke up at 0505. Swam. Went to Russian, Physical Geography, Digital Logic, and Data Structures classes from 0830 to 1600. Completed a solid bike workout w/ a total of ~3 hours training today. #GetAfterIt https://t.co/AZVPz0StWX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1088237247835660288",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1088063691013193728",
   "created_at": "2019-01-23T13:19:33+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/fDTGBUyzHA",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1088063691013193728",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1088063355766665221",
   "created_at": "2019-01-23T13:18:13+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/8NAfHijyWf",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1088063355766665221",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1087791438518202368",
   "created_at": "2019-01-22T19:17:43+00:00",
   "text": "@spectatorindex Suppose the car is visually 4 meters wide. The width of the car takes up 41x less pixels then the width of the photo. Then the shot is approx 164m wide at the car, which...oh nevermind :P",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1087791438518202368",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1087790878402535427"
  },
  {
   "id": "1087790878402535427",
   "created_at": "2019-01-22T19:15:30+00:00",
   "text": "@spectatorindex I doubt they didn't use some sort of optical zoom. Suppose 2:1 aspect ratio; at 53b pix, that's ~316k pixels wide. Logo appears to be >400 pixels wide. Suppose it's 14cm wide. Then pix width dens is 28. Then the max width of the shot may be 175m.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1087790878402535427",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1086570335288184832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1087740917614809094",
   "created_at": "2019-01-22T15:56:58+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/DADGHQ33uj",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1087740917614809094",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1087703073198362625",
   "created_at": "2019-01-22T13:26:35+00:00",
   "text": "\"New to EA and figuring out where to start? Long-timer looking for new things to do?\nHere’s our guide to what to do next.\"\nhttps://t.co/OzGpPXBau4",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1087703073198362625",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1087702379640864769",
   "created_at": "2019-01-22T13:23:50+00:00",
   "text": "Found a neat app in the works to simplify effective giving: https://t.co/F4WgHv7VAr.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1087702379640864769",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1087515585242693633",
   "created_at": "2019-01-22T01:01:35+00:00",
   "text": "If I have any marginally disutilitous hobbies, I want my friends to talk me into better hobbies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1087515585242693633",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1087515583736889346"
  },
  {
   "id": "1087515583736889346",
   "created_at": "2019-01-22T01:01:34+00:00",
   "text": "Hobbies go unquestioned too much; anybody can have almost any hobby without judgement. That may be okay if one's hobby was the only way one could derive joy or if each hobby had the same utility for the world, but those both are not the case.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1087515583736889346",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1086491569081978883",
   "created_at": "2019-01-19T05:12:30+00:00",
   "text": "@ESYudkowsky They get a pass if they are an everyday person. Not if they are a moral philosopher who refuses to partake in expected-utility calculations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1086491569081978883",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1086489650733101056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1086319060411924481",
   "created_at": "2019-01-18T17:47:01+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MerriamWebster: 'Suborn'\n- specifically: to induce to commit perjury\n- broadly: to induce secretly to do an unlawful thing\nhttps://t.co…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1086319060411924481",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1086318860008153088",
   "created_at": "2019-01-18T17:46:13+00:00",
   "text": "@EthicsInBricks Decent heuristic, but ethical action often isn't in line with our evolutionary-derived 'moral'/norms intuition.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1086318860008153088",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1086222653315260416"
  },
  {
   "id": "1086086686130556938",
   "created_at": "2019-01-18T02:23:39+00:00",
   "text": "Great, high impact ideas here:\nhttps://t.co/QStcXbBjcH",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1086086686130556938",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1086085918778380288",
   "created_at": "2019-01-18T02:20:36+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/wwc823GuCU",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1086085918778380288",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1085594455791554560",
   "created_at": "2019-01-16T17:47:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @JohnOberg: So sad. This entire #dairy cow herd is hardly able to walk after years of confinement and abuse. 💔\n\nWhere are they walking?…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085594455791554560",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1085377670647562240",
   "created_at": "2019-01-16T03:26:16+00:00",
   "text": "@AlanWattsDaily \"Life is really complicated, so let's not even try to figure it out.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085377670647562240",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1085370824343912449"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085338701096517632",
   "created_at": "2019-01-16T00:51:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Noahpinion: Most super-rich people make their money by owning their own businesses. They get capital income rather than ordinary income…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085338701096517632",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1085034285973811206",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T04:41:47+00:00",
   "text": "Google Keep is my drug of choice for 2019.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085034285973811206",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1085033320088518656",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T04:37:57+00:00",
   "text": "Just so I am on the right side of history, free will is an illusion and is not conceptually coherent.  Not saying one should fight their psychology (believe anything about your own agency you think is necessary in order to be successful).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085033320088518656",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1085027489104171009",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T04:14:46+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 That is a good, safe heuristic.  I think most people's psychologies should generally be satisfied enough when punishment is only handed out enough to meet deterrence-needs.  We should promote this idea.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085027489104171009",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1085023922632814592"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085025454577369088",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T04:06:41+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I know I am on a slippery slope and this utilitarian calculus can easily be abused, and perhaps that we should agree that fulfilling bloodlust is not okay (even by state governments), but to me, the principle remains that bloodlust is sometimes ethically desirable.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085025454577369088",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1085024427706703873"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085023831633395712",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T04:00:14+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 If people regret their bloodlust later, that's a strike against fulfilling it. But if someone kills my family, no matter how utilitarian I try to be, I'm pretty sure I'll never be satisfied if I do not see them suffer. It's a fault in my brain, but the suffering is morally relev.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085023831633395712",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1085015725251584002"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085022013461286913",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:53:01+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 \"Until his own death, nearly sixty years after the murders of his parents and his release of his mother’s killer, Jozef remained tormented by regret and guilt—guilt that he had not been able to protect his parents, & regret that he had failed in his responsibility to take veng.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085022013461286913",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1085021771743576064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085021771743576064",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:52:03+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 That could be true.  But it's pretty ingrained in people's minds and I am not sure everyone can get over it: https://t.co/1g7Y4NjHj7\nThe end of the article is particularly salient to me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085021771743576064",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1085009749807005696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085015725788545024",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:28:02+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 Even if no rebellion is at stake, I feel that morally-important suffering arises in the minds of many people when they do not experience their conception of justice, and it's not always desirable to ignore this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085015725788545024",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1085015113516679168"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085015113516679168",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:25:36+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I too am interested in convincing people that fulfilling bloodlust isn't strictly necessary.  And the political point is interesting, I wasn't thinking of that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085015113516679168",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1085013442543513601"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085011427985903616",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:10:57+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I mostly do agree.  We should primarily focus our criminal justice system on deterrence and rehabilitation, not catering to non-utilitarian, primitive egos.  But just imagine if Norway never got to know this guy was suffering in prison? https://t.co/fcyLg0KY5D … …",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085011427985903616",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1085010230348374016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085009596077494272",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:03:40+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I mean the devil is in the details here.  Just how bad is the victimization and how necessary is the bloodlust to prevent suffering?  In most circumstances, I think we give into bloodlust too much (e.g. long-term solitary confinement).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085009596077494272",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1085008964884910080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085008924733001729",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:01:00+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 especially considering the mass-hysteria that would play out if ethicists endorsed this (people would fear this principle would be abused).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085008924733001729",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1085008484758888449"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085008484758888449",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T02:59:15+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 When the utilitarian calculus works out, sure.  But I struggle to imagine a realistic scenario where the magnitude of the perpetrator's benefit would make up for the long-term harm to the victim,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085008484758888449",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1085007401961500672"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085007369229213696",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T02:54:49+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 But almost certainly, things like long-term solitary confinement, unless they serve as incredible deterrents (I don't think they do enough), go way too far.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085007369229213696",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1085006695976370176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1085006695976370176",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T02:52:09+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I do agree that if every good person were an ideal utilitarian, we wouldn't want to bad people to suffer.  But considering that's not the case, I think the utilitarian thing to do sometimes is give in to the mass's desires for vengeance because the expected net suffering is less.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1085006695976370176",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1085004344091598848"
  },
  {
   "id": "1084999779321606145",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T02:24:40+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I am saying I think it would cause a fair amount of pain in a lot of peoples' minds if the worst criminals were only prevented from harming others and/or only rehabilitated.  I think there is a psychological need for justice, although I agree that no bad guy deserves it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1084999779321606145",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1084995962618036225"
  },
  {
   "id": "1084993424657395720",
   "created_at": "2019-01-15T01:59:25+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 They don't, but there is a profound need for many people to experience vengeance. In our social world, sometimes a lot of people suffer if a bad person gets off pain-free.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1084993424657395720",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1084935667472261120"
  },
  {
   "id": "1084838977910292480",
   "created_at": "2019-01-14T15:45:42+00:00",
   "text": "Today I find myself as a brand new person, yet somehow already integrated in society.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1084838977910292480",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1084794113088778240",
   "created_at": "2019-01-14T12:47:25+00:00",
   "text": "@micahtredding I am all about ethics, but I think morality can be adequately explained with qualia.  'Ought' isn't a true feature of this world, but there are actions we want to take when we consider qualia.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1084794113088778240",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1084507187018387456"
  },
  {
   "id": "1084541333736443904",
   "created_at": "2019-01-13T20:02:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Effect_Altruism: From the EA Forum, a list of potentially high-impact projects for doing good: https://t.co/9rzBfsOl9t https://t.co/byt…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1084541333736443904",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1084233373877485569",
   "created_at": "2019-01-12T23:39:15+00:00",
   "text": "@ErrorTheorist Kant. His categorical imperative is just wrong, and has taken away way too much attention from Bayesian utilitarianism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1084233373877485569",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1084142950802706432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1083600596760961024",
   "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:44:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @CryptoSeneca: - Universities fails to educate\n- Goverment fails to manage\n- News fails to inform\n\nWe live in a time where the only savi…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083600596760961024",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1083600130538962944",
   "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:42:58+00:00",
   "text": "6/ In fact, we may be living in the time with one of the best impersonal utilitarian ROI's ever.  So let's just be a little extra intentional so we can take maximal advantage of this! /end",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083600130538962944",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1083600128513056768"
  },
  {
   "id": "1083600128513056768",
   "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:42:57+00:00",
   "text": "5/ At the end of the day, the value of our own cumulative subjective experience is just outshined by that of the vast numbers of other expected future sentient creatures. The personal costs more than pays for themselves with better subjective experiences for others.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083600128513056768",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1083600127108005889"
  },
  {
   "id": "1083600127108005889",
   "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:42:57+00:00",
   "text": "4/ do powerful actions like meditation and getting enough sleep, and researching the most promising think tanks and effective charities to fund. I'm not saying we can't enjoy this life, but let's just remember what's really at stake.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083600127108005889",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1083600126000672769"
  },
  {
   "id": "1083600126000672769",
   "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:42:57+00:00",
   "text": "3/ Not saying we could have done otherwise so far, but I really hope we can all become a little more intentional about pursuing the good than we are collectively right now. It's really not that much of a sacrifice to gradually give up useless habits to journal a bit more,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083600126000672769",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1083600124608217088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1083600124608217088",
   "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:42:56+00:00",
   "text": "2/ to do even the most basic relatively impactful actions on a regular basis (e.g. journaling about how to do the most good). We collectively spend billions of person-years annually just wasting time as if this were all a game and everything were not at stake.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083600124608217088",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1083600123400278016"
  },
  {
   "id": "1083600123400278016",
   "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:42:56+00:00",
   "text": "1/ It's absolutely insane how much value is on the line (10^46 lives very worth living per century (https://t.co/ysC3R7Tpo4). An AGI could probably secure this for us in a matter of days, but we are just so in the grips of our evolution-derived psychology that most of us struggle",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083600123400278016",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1083584102052306944",
   "created_at": "2019-01-11T04:39:16+00:00",
   "text": "We tend to care about what we can measure..we really need to crack sentience & bring more objectivity to experiences of suffering and wellbeing. We need quantization based on brain scans. We must fine clarity & overcome our doubts about this phenomenon central to our existence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083584102052306944",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1083520547680591872",
   "created_at": "2019-01-11T00:26:44+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sentientism: 1) People believing without evidence + reason.\n\n2) People believing based on evidence + reason - but failing to act in lin…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083520547680591872",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1083346237892554752",
   "created_at": "2019-01-10T12:54:05+00:00",
   "text": "Can technological & cultural development alone solve our problems, or is human genetic engineering going to have to be part of the solution?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083346237892554752",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1083344888618463233",
   "created_at": "2019-01-10T12:48:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @TweetSimmo: Brilliant post from @80000Hours If you want to do good with your time in any way, I HIGHLY recommend you check it out: http…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083344888618463233",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1083342233477234688",
   "created_at": "2019-01-10T12:38:10+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner We should do both! Smaller scale testing is, of course, less costly and risky, and we often probably want to verify at state levels before nationwide implementation.  This short article has an interesting idea about it: https://t.co/IOy5r3TWCu",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083342233477234688",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1083225240698667009"
  },
  {
   "id": "1083202048017993728",
   "created_at": "2019-01-10T03:21:07+00:00",
   "text": "Full day's training. https://t.co/k2qunRboRh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083202048017993728",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1083193734022553601",
   "created_at": "2019-01-10T02:48:05+00:00",
   "text": "We have 50 states to conduct experiments with. We should probably be deliberately conducting experiments a lot more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083193734022553601",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1083192371964186624",
   "created_at": "2019-01-10T02:42:40+00:00",
   "text": "Arguments are so weak everywhere. I see arguments w/ analogies, precedents, norms, fears. Can I get more arguments that's like, \"given the information we have, it seems the marginal expected effect on future suffering doesn't make action X desirable\"?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083192371964186624",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1083186211605360642",
   "created_at": "2019-01-10T02:18:12+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Noahpinion: Even if robots did take people's jobs, it's never worth it to tax innovation.\n\nhttps://t.co/WbVUkCPvCI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083186211605360642",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1083183195338752000",
   "created_at": "2019-01-10T02:06:12+00:00",
   "text": "RT @OPISOrg: New article by @NikiSethSmith in @NewHumanist about the lack of pain relief in most of the world, mentions OPIS and cites @Jon…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083183195338752000",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1083180803440459776",
   "created_at": "2019-01-10T01:56:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AndrewYangVFA: $1,000 a month would relieve millions of people of a mindset of tension, struggle and survival and free them to make bet…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083180803440459776",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1083171168948011011",
   "created_at": "2019-01-10T01:18:25+00:00",
   "text": "@vitabenes False. One cannot travel outside our light cone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1083171168948011011",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1083149673408413701"
  },
  {
   "id": "1082822279501877248",
   "created_at": "2019-01-09T02:12:03+00:00",
   "text": "@robertwiblin https://t.co/iGUSgOq6sx",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082822279501877248",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1082820826108440576"
  },
  {
   "id": "1082820826108440576",
   "created_at": "2019-01-09T02:06:17+00:00",
   "text": "@robertwiblin I know you have interviewed Brian Tomasik, but he has some great essays on suffering risk, which is an extremely important topic that I am not sure you have covered with a podcast.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082820826108440576",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1082816982628610051"
  },
  {
   "id": "1082817276473196545",
   "created_at": "2019-01-09T01:52:11+00:00",
   "text": "The Elephant in the Brain: Hidden Motives in Everyday Life is one of the best audiobooks I've listened to in a while and I highly recommend it. https://t.co/CJtxKEPExB",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082817276473196545",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1082796201056059392",
   "created_at": "2019-01-09T00:28:26+00:00",
   "text": "@devonzuegel When they are calibrated well, I prefer them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082796201056059392",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1082795639426043904"
  },
  {
   "id": "1082713737793028099",
   "created_at": "2019-01-08T19:00:45+00:00",
   "text": "Excited for the semester. Taking:\n-Fundamentals of Small Unit Ops\n-Russian 2\n-Digital Logic w/ Embedded Systems\n-Discrete Math\n-Physical Geography (mando)\n-Data Structures\nLet's see how it plays out.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082713737793028099",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1082583722585739264",
   "created_at": "2019-01-08T10:24:07+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego Whatever the utilitarian calculus says.  Taking away some freedom to act is far from ideal, and I agree, the will of the majority isn't technically enough. But when the tragedy of the commons effectively throws away the cosmic endowment, I feel coercion is justified.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082583722585739264",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1082568700614430720"
  },
  {
   "id": "1082581786880806913",
   "created_at": "2019-01-08T10:16:26+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg I was thinking of hedonium versus genetically evolved humans, but that's fair!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082581786880806913",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1082559279876448257"
  },
  {
   "id": "1082507472793944064",
   "created_at": "2019-01-08T05:21:08+00:00",
   "text": "The majority of value in the universe is ultimately going to come from:\n1) humans & our descendants\n2) non-human, but human created sentience (i.e. hedonium)\n3) processes completely outside of human control (e.g. fundamental physics)\n4) other/ see results",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082507472793944064",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1082502193981329409",
   "created_at": "2019-01-08T05:00:09+00:00",
   "text": "Which of these groups do you guess will pose the greatest threat to the continued survival of our species over the next 300 years?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082502193981329409",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1082501140653182977",
   "created_at": "2019-01-08T04:55:58+00:00",
   "text": "Is there a class of action which is impermissible by traditional ethics but is absolutely necessary to capture the vast amount of the cosmic endowment?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082501140653182977",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1082497067157778432",
   "created_at": "2019-01-08T04:39:47+00:00",
   "text": "Suppose a natural disaster destroyed most of our species, and only individuals with 130+ IQs remained.  After rebuilding society (w/  130+ IQs) could a juducial system emerge where an effective cost-benefit analysis could exonerate one of crimes?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082497067157778432",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1082416901815521280",
   "created_at": "2019-01-07T23:21:14+00:00",
   "text": "If you could clone yourself because you feel your combination of DNA is especially valuable for the world, how many copies would you make?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082416901815521280",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1082360021718106112",
   "created_at": "2019-01-07T19:35:13+00:00",
   "text": "RT @QuilletteM: \"If we wish to overcome our current difficulties and offer a bright and safe future to our children, cognitive enhancement…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082360021718106112",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1082126357256126464",
   "created_at": "2019-01-07T04:06:43+00:00",
   "text": "@antoniogm @rivatez Utilitarianism is useless in serious questions? How about which charities give us the most bang per buck: https://t.co/TuCT8YQDRA",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1082126357256126464",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1082023623223762945"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081988082935705600",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T18:57:15+00:00",
   "text": "@marcolin91 @rivatez Ever heard of effective altruism?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081988082935705600",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1081905918596517890"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081908266496602112",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T13:40:06+00:00",
   "text": "@rivatez Expected utility maximization goes a long way in many fields of endeavor including the pursuit of better subjective experiences for everyone. Why is it faulty reductionism, and what different tools do a better job (for the most capable, rational agents) at securing the good?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081908266496602112",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1081902139209904128"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081869184458461184",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T11:04:48+00:00",
   "text": "@theheidifeed I'd like to, but I'm 21 and I will be active duty military until I am 29 (unless I choose not to affirm in ~8 months).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081869184458461184",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1081866514163212288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081785056522366977",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T05:30:30+00:00",
   "text": "😬 https://t.co/8R6Yhsr6Zh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081785056522366977",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "1081736411668271104",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T02:17:12+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg That is an interesting idea! There seems to be a moral case then to take care of our future selves just as we would any other person. E.g. it's not just dumb, but immoral to scarf down junk food we will regret later.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081736411668271104",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1081733682015145984"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081732508264345610",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T02:01:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @XiXiDu: Evidence that greater ability and greater tendency to use reasoning and deliberative thinking predicts utilitarian (rather than…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081732508264345610",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1081731027352072193",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T01:55:49+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Hell yeah. All that fusion burns negentropy and prevents absurd numbers of computations once the universe cools off more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081731027352072193",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1081728461121695745"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081730335908483073",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T01:53:04+00:00",
   "text": "South et al. fixed a glitch in photosynthesis & boosted crop growth by 40%. 😲 https://t.co/k5YzwazWQt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081730335908483073",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1081725513994043392",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T01:33:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Noahpinion: Great thread. There is SO much talent out there in America (not to mention the rest of the world) that goes undiscovered. h…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081725513994043392",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1081723946523860992",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T01:27:40+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg That is an important question. Practically, I think we should trust the word of any person who isn't afflicted by a very treatable, short-term, and time-bound illness who says their life is not worth living.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081723946523860992",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1081720216047026176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081720673934995456",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T01:14:40+00:00",
   "text": "What's the range of impact you expect to have with the rest of your life? (If you were a pure utilitarian, how much money would you accept from a tax-haven to only be able to donate the money and then you must stop impacting the world?)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081720673934995456",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1081713680365117440",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T00:46:53+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Nope!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081713680365117440",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1081713147642347526"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081711232619565056",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T00:37:09+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sarthakgh: Few ways of thinking about twitter https://t.co/N5HUIunDlv",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081711232619565056",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1081710703847845889",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T00:35:03+00:00",
   "text": "Suppose we crack precisely what causes subjective experiences and can could create \"hedonium\", a substance which constantly produces a subjective experience more preferable than use of any Class 1 drug.  Suppose $100 funds 1 year of this.  Suppose you have $100 to donate:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081710703847845889",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1081707245862305792",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T00:21:19+00:00",
   "text": "Dying is not nearly as bad as living while suffering for a long time (with no expected future impact/well-being to make up for the suffering).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081707245862305792",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1081705258223616000",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T00:13:25+00:00",
   "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn BuT yOu NeEd SuFfErInG fOr WelL-bEiNg!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081705258223616000",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1081703405196849153"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081703901349453824",
   "created_at": "2019-01-06T00:08:01+00:00",
   "text": "Not saying people outside this are bad or undatable, but ideological alignment goes a long way.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081703901349453824",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1081701832395759616"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081701832395759616",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T23:59:48+00:00",
   "text": "Did you vote for * in 2016?\nWould you pull the lever in a trolley problem?\nAre you for designer babies?\nDo you exercise intentionally daily?\n\nI have a wonderful gf now partially because just a handful of questions like this do a remarkable job at narrowing the dating pool.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081701832395759616",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1081696778641125381",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T23:39:43+00:00",
   "text": "Honestly I hate being 5'7\" (170 cm). I plan on using Preimplantation genetic diagnosis when I want to have kids and select for height, among other factors. https://t.co/gXf3K8ZV3N",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081696778641125381",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1081676479228989441",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T22:19:03+00:00",
   "text": "Unpopular opinion: You could have been extremely unlucky in 2018, but if you worked hard and lived in line with your values, you should still feel good about the past year.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081676479228989441",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1081675030373822466",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T22:13:18+00:00",
   "text": "As much as I love thought experiments and science fiction, I really do lose interest as soon as I figure something is conceptually-incoherent/practically- impossible (e.g. backwards time travel, communicating with recent sister worlds under many-worlds interpretation).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081675030373822466",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1081665237902917632",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T21:34:23+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Kind of like the Frequent Batch Trading possible solution to the high-frequency trading arms race in stock markets: trades can only be made at regular intervals, like every second on the second, to the highest bidder.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081665237902917632",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1081663529403461637"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081663529403461637",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T21:27:36+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Given the cost of computing moral heuristics and the game theory advantages of abiding by them, I wonder if it's optimal for society to update them on agreed upon intervals? I know this is pretty abstract, but that might be a practical solution to rule/act consequentialism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081663529403461637",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1081370147661729792"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081660451849752577",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T21:15:22+00:00",
   "text": "@Michielstock @EthicsInBricks It takes the length of a relationship to get over it?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081660451849752577",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1081648673078038529"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081657089217490944",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T21:02:00+00:00",
   "text": "\"Less suffering, more happiness, and more life in the Universe. But in that order.'-@mherran\n\nI love this quote.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081657089217490944",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1081644140826378240",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T20:10:33+00:00",
   "text": "Does physics permit a pluralistic value system?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081644140826378240",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1081642241029013504",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T20:03:00+00:00",
   "text": "This cost-benefit analysis is a lot more compassionate than someone 'losing their right to live' because it allows you to consider a person as a new individual at every new point in time, whereas the waiving-right-to-live model potentially punishes a new person who has emerged.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081642241029013504",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1081638506970210305"
  },
  {
   "id": "1081640281404071936",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T19:55:13+00:00",
   "text": "I think my dream job would to serve as an impact estimator. Someone asks me which of two choices is better in the grand scheme of things, I do X minutes worth of informal utilitarian calculus, and yeah, next question please.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081640281404071936",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1081638506970210305",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T19:48:10+00:00",
   "text": "Can someone really waive their right to live? A much simpler explanation is that a dangerous person's behavior suggests they will remain too dangerous, that their death will deter future violence, and that rehabilitation is too costly+unlikely.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081638506970210305",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1081636409897816069",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T19:39:50+00:00",
   "text": "Business Idea: Create an app where people severely lacking motivation to do something (go to gym, write a paper, clean house) can hit a button and a background checked, motivated dude/ette shows up and motivates+helps you get going. Users can set their prices.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081636409897816069",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1081439159024320512",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T06:36:02+00:00",
   "text": "| Hell |==| myThoughtSpace - overtonWindow |",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081439159024320512",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1081436611290775553",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T06:25:54+00:00",
   "text": "It's sad that a lot of our questions will never be computable.  The answers won't be magically revealed at the end of the day.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081436611290775553",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1081433549113315328",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T06:13:44+00:00",
   "text": "When I grow up, I want to be a computer.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081433549113315328",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1081431241596067841",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T06:04:34+00:00",
   "text": "As long as I post an idea here first before it is formally published somewhere else, we can get the idea named after me, right? Right?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081431241596067841",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1081427800198967296",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T05:50:54+00:00",
   "text": "I love Quentin Tarantino's films, especially The Hateful Eight.  As important as well-being is, I must admit the nature of his films constitutes substantial evidence in favor of a pluralistic value system. /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081427800198967296",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1081418241447288832",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T05:12:55+00:00",
   "text": "You ever get the feeling that we have been optimized via natural selection for environments other than the ones we currently find ourselves in?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081418241447288832",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1081397132119154688",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T03:49:02+00:00",
   "text": "Suffering risk is underrated compared to existential risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081397132119154688",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1081393545389445120",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T03:34:47+00:00",
   "text": "Undesirable any way you look at it. https://t.co/IDAGCDiJV7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081393545389445120",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1081368318131486725",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T01:54:32+00:00",
   "text": "I'll be surprised if we end up in a world that is very worth living in for everyone by relying on our current set of heuristics and ignoring new insights from our best utilitarian cost-benefit analyses.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081368318131486725",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1081367073564082181",
   "created_at": "2019-01-05T01:49:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @michael_nielsen: What are the most useful checklists you use in your life? https://t.co/8c7WwrsHd4",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081367073564082181",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1081038409890713606",
   "created_at": "2019-01-04T04:03:36+00:00",
   "text": "RT @whyboris: Will MacAskill recommends the best books on Effective Altruism https://t.co/af4eFsrwz7 via @five_books",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081038409890713606",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1081031391712854016",
   "created_at": "2019-01-04T03:35:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @THINKmeetups: Effective Altruism is a Question (not an ideology) - EA Forum https://t.co/edoM2SPzWE",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1081031391712854016",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1080550165621194753",
   "created_at": "2019-01-02T19:43:29+00:00",
   "text": "If it is in our power to prevent something bad from happening, without thereby sacrificing anything of comparable moral importance, we ought, morally, to do it. -P. Singer https://t.co/lz5JuIPVnJ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1080550165621194753",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1080485591647731712",
   "created_at": "2019-01-02T15:26:54+00:00",
   "text": "Guys I may have found the cheapest form of hedonium. https://t.co/tKSmBZH8R9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1080485591647731712",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1079961440465965061",
   "created_at": "2019-01-01T04:44:06+00:00",
   "text": "I think Effective Altruism could use an academy of sorts to bring new EAs up to speed and help them fulfill their potential. Further, I think this could be cost-effective in terms of long-term impact, and is worth experimenting with. Thoughts? https://t.co/kKp3APoUU8",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1079961440465965061",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1079946839011586048",
   "created_at": "2019-01-01T03:46:05+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl Sports watching, but it's not unambiguously harmless.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1079946839011586048",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1079946215339352064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1079930599878656001",
   "created_at": "2019-01-01T02:41:33+00:00",
   "text": "'Natural', but preventable deaths are not a thing. https://t.co/N1Mqm9CKWZ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1079930599878656001",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1079925295686316032",
   "created_at": "2019-01-01T02:20:29+00:00",
   "text": "I think this is true. Responsibility, given the nature of people's psychology, is shared between entertainment producers and consumers. Video games especially are not unambiguously good for society considering how hyper-rewarding and productivity-reducing they are. https://t.co/XSqR9EglYc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1079925295686316032",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1079849556072955905",
   "created_at": "2018-12-31T21:19:31+00:00",
   "text": "Suppose we developed an \"expected unit of suffering\" metric to label animal products with so compassionate consumers can have an idea of the suffering they are funding. It might increase veganism if we required restaurants and food manufactures to put this on foods.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1079849556072955905",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1079836266924072960",
   "created_at": "2018-12-31T20:26:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robinhanson: I challenge idealists to help design & test better institutions for making & updating a social consensus. To varying degre…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1079836266924072960",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1079833919023910918",
   "created_at": "2018-12-31T20:17:23+00:00",
   "text": "@mikko I love number theory but this is pointless arithmetic.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1079833919023910918",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "418161650500657152"
  },
  {
   "id": "1079596962595459073",
   "created_at": "2018-12-31T04:35:48+00:00",
   "text": "RT @SteveStuWill: People who think genes help shape personal traits and behaviour tend to be more tolerant, not less. https://t.co/OMeU5z0t…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1079596962595459073",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1079245128777244672",
   "created_at": "2018-12-30T05:17:44+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanOLeary Interesting, thanks!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1079245128777244672",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1079244800275054593"
  },
  {
   "id": "1079235672727269376",
   "created_at": "2018-12-30T04:40:10+00:00",
   "text": "What are the biggest flaws in Bayesian Utilitarianism, besides computational intractability for many problems?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1079235672727269376",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1079162294003732480",
   "created_at": "2018-12-29T23:48:35+00:00",
   "text": "-Read, thought, and wrote more about ethics and have refined my thoughts a ton\n\n-Placed 11th of 3100 collegiate teams in the Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling\n\n-Went from 0 programming experience to doing mathematical programming as a hobby, and completed my first CS semester",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1079162294003732480",
   "word_count": 44,
   "quoted_id": "1075078948235599872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1078863830116196352",
   "created_at": "2018-12-29T04:02:36+00:00",
   "text": "@devonzuegel B is the Correct answer!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1078863830116196352",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1078833636437315584"
  },
  {
   "id": "1078821059577741312",
   "created_at": "2018-12-29T01:12:38+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RANDCorporation: Here are the 10 research projects that resonated most with our readers in 2018: https://t.co/xS57aths6e",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1078821059577741312",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1078806883333488642",
   "created_at": "2018-12-29T00:16:18+00:00",
   "text": "RT @tylercowen: Why the American prison system is a horror https://t.co/m47sNT6uM4",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1078806883333488642",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1078806339965648896",
   "created_at": "2018-12-29T00:14:09+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jacyreese: My take on the @PETA situation in @QuilletteM.\n\n\"If PETA fails to evolve, other advocates need to push ahead, distancing the…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1078806339965648896",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1078696168727736320",
   "created_at": "2018-12-28T16:56:22+00:00",
   "text": "@devonzuegel What's the most important, solvable, and neglected societal problem you and I should probably focus on?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1078696168727736320",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "1078674060043788289"
  },
  {
   "id": "1077987984362913794",
   "created_at": "2018-12-26T18:02:18+00:00",
   "text": "Need to find a Mathematical Programming Anonymous.  I am addicted and I need help. #ProjectEuler",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1077987984362913794",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1077943937762029568",
   "created_at": "2018-12-26T15:07:16+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock @yannick___m @EvanSandhoefner @HavidTweets @ludwig_raal @jacyreese @Intrinsic29 @sentientist Happy Christmas! Thanks man 😃",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1077943937762029568",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1077934019881385985"
  },
  {
   "id": "1077410727307235330",
   "created_at": "2018-12-25T03:48:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @backus: Per topic (like learning a programming language), learning accelerates.\n\nEverything looks like noise to beginners. Noise become…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1077410727307235330",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1077406220372377600",
   "created_at": "2018-12-25T03:30:34+00:00",
   "text": "@jesseltaylor It's okay to feel emotions, including sadness and anger.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1077406220372377600",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1077034511848931328"
  },
  {
   "id": "1077405948707332096",
   "created_at": "2018-12-25T03:29:30+00:00",
   "text": "@jesseltaylor Bayesian decision theory based utilitarianism is the best guide to ethical action that we have.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1077405948707332096",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1077034511848931328"
  },
  {
   "id": "1077232400403435521",
   "created_at": "2018-12-24T15:59:52+00:00",
   "text": "@NavalBot @naval False.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1077232400403435521",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1076930578925133824"
  },
  {
   "id": "1076159432285974528",
   "created_at": "2018-12-21T16:56:17+00:00",
   "text": "RT @auren: National security strategy for the U.S.: \n1. ID the top 10k AI researchers not in the U.S. \n2. Grant them special visa \n3. Visa…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1076159432285974528",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1076158440744120320",
   "created_at": "2018-12-21T16:52:20+00:00",
   "text": "@bryan_caplan I like the heuristic of going with whatever course of action has the highest net subjective utility * subjective probability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1076158440744120320",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1076130024682606593"
  },
  {
   "id": "1076002220783665154",
   "created_at": "2018-12-21T06:31:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @mherran: can a typo of one or two letters in AGI put the world upside down?\n\n》Podesta received an email purportedly from Google saying…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1076002220783665154",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1075819781222215680",
   "created_at": "2018-12-20T18:26:38+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 @jmac_ai I was split between that and economic output due to Tyler Cowen's ideas in Stubborn Attachments",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075819781222215680",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1075817890937356288"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075785990332211200",
   "created_at": "2018-12-20T16:12:21+00:00",
   "text": "@itsashlyperez 😂. That's exactly what a naively programmed AI could do to its sensors to satisfy its cost-minimization function.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075785990332211200",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1075482361918156800"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075783890420330496",
   "created_at": "2018-12-20T16:04:01+00:00",
   "text": "@QuantaMagazine I think that if you actually knew everything about an individual ant and perhaps the nature of the environments they live in, you would have enough information to be able to infer that they make bridges. Same goes for a lot of other things. 'Emergence' isn't usually unpredictable",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075783890420330496",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1075779396647247875"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075631143104495617",
   "created_at": "2018-12-20T05:57:03+00:00",
   "text": "4) Given the capability of evolution and runaway replication, there is a non-negligible probability of terrible futures coming into existence.\n5) By taking careful action now, we can reduce our probability of realizing a terrible possible future.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075631143104495617",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1075631141925855232"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075631141925855232",
   "created_at": "2018-12-20T05:57:03+00:00",
   "text": "1) Good and bad utilities aggregate over time.\n2) The most morally relevant thing at any given point in time is the presence of extreme suffering anywhere.\n3) The worse outcomes are futures full of extreme suffering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075631141925855232",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1075601033177518081",
   "created_at": "2018-12-20T03:57:24+00:00",
   "text": "RT @clairlemon: Every word of this -->\nhttps://t.co/rZmkB8ozN8",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075601033177518081",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1075580268453466112",
   "created_at": "2018-12-20T02:34:53+00:00",
   "text": "@morallawwithin Would Kant still push his categorical imperative if he was familiar with today's Bayesian Decision Theory and John Harsanyi's work?  I think even he would abandon it",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075580268453466112",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1075524132735979520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075577220515708928",
   "created_at": "2018-12-20T02:22:47+00:00",
   "text": "Choose your preference for a person coming into this world:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075577220515708928",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1075531216798052352",
   "created_at": "2018-12-19T23:19:59+00:00",
   "text": "@ESYudkowsky No battery could fit inside to support that much computation! This man is a fraud!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075531216798052352",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1075530687602520064"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075260749201715201",
   "created_at": "2018-12-19T05:25:14+00:00",
   "text": "@Blmn @caro So you'd prefer to program a self-driving car to choose randomly who to kill because it's hard to quantify what we value?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075260749201715201",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1075249457262981120"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075246125806800896",
   "created_at": "2018-12-19T04:27:08+00:00",
   "text": "@Blmn @caro https://t.co/bjFuhlyYnt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075246125806800896",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1075244178119032833"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075239058648039429",
   "created_at": "2018-12-19T03:59:03+00:00",
   "text": "@Blmn @caro While it's horrible to have to make decisions like this, I think we should try to maximize Quality Adjusted Life Years.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075239058648039429",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1075234795305746432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075227814159417345",
   "created_at": "2018-12-19T03:14:22+00:00",
   "text": "@Blmn @caro You're not giving reasons.  It's not obvious.  I'd rather not flip a coin when a car has to kill either a healthy 20-year-old or a sick 99-year-old.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075227814159417345",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1075226889642496000"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075212820185272320",
   "created_at": "2018-12-19T02:14:47+00:00",
   "text": "@Blmn @caro God forbid we have any intentionality about saying who lives and dies in an inevitable situation...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075212820185272320",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "1075193657890914311"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075154540561920000",
   "created_at": "2018-12-18T22:23:12+00:00",
   "text": "@caro Sounds more ethical than cars randomly deciding who to kill tbh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075154540561920000",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1075151901421944832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1075126672050057216",
   "created_at": "2018-12-18T20:32:28+00:00",
   "text": "My teammates really do amaze me.  The majority of the team's graduates last year ranked in the top 5% of their class. We also manage to be competitive on a national level while most of us juggle 20+ credit hours & have military training over the summer.\nhttps://t.co/AvW4f3RPTg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1075126672050057216",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1074847113589256192",
   "created_at": "2018-12-18T02:01:36+00:00",
   "text": "Threw my Just War Theory paper into LaTeX.  Thoughts on it? I essentially (try to) 'wreck' the Doctrine of Double Effect with Bayesian utilitarianism.  I want to make it better and would love feedback.\nhttps://t.co/gvytA8Km7J",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074847113589256192",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1074798510501961729",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T22:48:28+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Good points.  I guess I mean I can't wait for a much stronger economy where the poorest aren't left behind, there is lots of quality leisure time, and life is at least very worth living for every sentient being alive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074798510501961729",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1074792173613342722"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074758660918861824",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T20:10:07+00:00",
   "text": "@nafta90 @EthicsInBricks You wouldn't lie to a dictator once to reliably depose them and prevent nuclear war?  Because lying to someone is a means to an end.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074758660918861824",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1074650624095125504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074757901867237376",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T20:07:06+00:00",
   "text": "@EthicsInBricks The categorical imperative tries to optimize for outcomes for a world which is not expected to exist.  It's ridiculous as a theory when even one agent is expected not to adhere to it.  We should optimize for how we expect the world to be.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074757901867237376",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1074613250069880832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074696163033522179",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T16:01:46+00:00",
   "text": "@RyanHoliday Triggered by this actually",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074696163033522179",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1074695883642556417"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074695535494397953",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T15:59:17+00:00",
   "text": "Fun fact: there is no such thing as supererogation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074695535494397953",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1074694559056228352",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T15:55:24+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg But what?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074694559056228352",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1074690992794689541"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074635645262422016",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T12:01:18+00:00",
   "text": "We have a racism watch dog that barks at racism.  Perhaps we need an uncharitable watch cat that meows at uncharitable takes of arguments.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074635645262422016",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1074633160070172672",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T11:51:25+00:00",
   "text": "I can't wait for the post-scarcity economy to come into fruition and for people to be able to live out their best lives aided by genetic engineering, drugs, AI, and simulation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074633160070172672",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1074628417834897408",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T11:32:35+00:00",
   "text": "@EthicsInBricks You know, I'm good for maximum expected utility! It's okay if there is a chance of null outcomes :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074628417834897408",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1073269486793433090"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074516996061061123",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T04:09:50+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego And no utilitarian is going to claim they know the true utilitarian solution outside of the most pure of thought experiments. But utilitarianism is still the most useful of moral theories for it is the only one that permits one to take in ALL the evidence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074516996061061123",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1074511365824499712"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074512088498810880",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T03:50:20+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego I defend utilitarianism here in my essay on The Doctrine of Double Effect: https://t.co/maE0UfFapa",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074512088498810880",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1074499754728382464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074511365824499712",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T03:47:27+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego I find the utilitarianism argument satisfying. I am convinced it is the formal structure of the ethical decision-making criterion. It actually describes ethical reality. It's not supposed to be computationally tractable and intuitive to all agents in all circumstances.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074511365824499712",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1074499754728382464"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074503806531092481",
   "created_at": "2018-12-17T03:17:25+00:00",
   "text": "@farnamstreet Rationality by Eliezer Yudkowsky.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074503806531092481",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1074496799786713088"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074317269138845696",
   "created_at": "2018-12-16T14:56:11+00:00",
   "text": "The more varying intellectual disciplines one has dived into, the more confident I can be in one when they say their chosen discipline adds a lot of value to the world. If you stick with the first one you dive deep into, you may like it just because it is interesting.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074317269138845696",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "1074312083783720960",
   "created_at": "2018-12-16T14:35:35+00:00",
   "text": "@Teibit @TamasGorbe @juliagalef n² – 79n + 160 produces 80 primes for the consecutive values n = 0 to 79 (https://t.co/KfvExPKfeH)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074312083783720960",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1037021631317778432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074304692115648513",
   "created_at": "2018-12-16T14:06:12+00:00",
   "text": "@jim_savage_ Also, went from 0 coding capability to running mathematical experiments as a hobby. Learning enough Python to solve a lot of automation problems is pretty nifty.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074304692115648513",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1073979986661572608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074304037107961857",
   "created_at": "2018-12-16T14:03:36+00:00",
   "text": "@jim_savage_ Learning how to properly change my beliefs according to new evidence is nifty. https://t.co/DLpUE2GR0D",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074304037107961857",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1073979986661572608"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074143342341120000",
   "created_at": "2018-12-16T03:25:04+00:00",
   "text": "@sterndavidi @morganhousel That's fair. Our ability to be productive/get utility on portable electronics really reduces the cost of waiting. And given how far a few hundred $$ goes towards some causes, unless one is missing a lot of work where they would make more $, making 99% of flights is probably best.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074143342341120000",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1074098013809721344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1074068292262862849",
   "created_at": "2018-12-15T22:26:50+00:00",
   "text": "@morganhousel It doesn't pay off with expected utility. To maximize saving time+money utility, you should be willing to miss a flight once in a Blue Moon because you cut it too close",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1074068292262862849",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1074064307028140032"
  },
  {
   "id": "1073969958227447808",
   "created_at": "2018-12-15T15:56:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robinhanson: Immanuel Kant, from The Critique of Pure Reason, on bets: https://t.co/r3jnJlkxEY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073969958227447808",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1073701114648899584",
   "created_at": "2018-12-14T22:07:48+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 Same. I got to get to bed early tonight.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073701114648899584",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1073700843906453504"
  },
  {
   "id": "1073650032153366530",
   "created_at": "2018-12-14T18:44:49+00:00",
   "text": "Yearly reminder: when you, the most trusted authority in your kid's lives, actively deceive them in an elaborate ruse when they desperately want nothing more than to know the truth, you break their trust in you a little and curtail their development.  Kids don't need Santa.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073650032153366530",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1073644363769622535",
   "created_at": "2018-12-14T18:22:18+00:00",
   "text": "@StuartJRitchie Just don't call for the shutdown of using \"suppose\" 5x in an abstract. That always gets me going.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073644363769622535",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1073518305233784838"
  },
  {
   "id": "1073577209858801664",
   "created_at": "2018-12-14T13:55:27+00:00",
   "text": "@iancassel @JamesClear Potentially useful model, but certainly not grounded in reality. I can wake up and decide to smoke a few cigarettes for no good reason (especially because I don't smoke), yet I am not confined to my day being half as good as it could possibly be.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073577209858801664",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1073535823742668806"
  },
  {
   "id": "1073576177707687936",
   "created_at": "2018-12-14T13:51:21+00:00",
   "text": "@TellYourSonThis @Blacklabellogic I bet a sense of urgency in your partner can be nice though. If you're serious, you don't have to wait and play games.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073576177707687936",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1039752351970676737"
  },
  {
   "id": "1073568824211976192",
   "created_at": "2018-12-14T13:22:08+00:00",
   "text": "@reasonisfun But too many people judge w/ a naive impression of utilitarianism, with all it's unacceptable (wrongly calculated) results, and think I'm a cold-hearted idiot. I usually just say now that \"heuristics are extremely useful, albeit they are calculated and not axiomatically true\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073568824211976192",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1073567259598225410"
  },
  {
   "id": "1073567259598225410",
   "created_at": "2018-12-14T13:15:55+00:00",
   "text": "@reasonisfun There really does seem to be a social cost to admitting belief in Bayesian utilitarianism. I always admit I'm aware of the computational intractability of many problems, the fallibility of my own reasoning, & that I have a strong inclination to side with heuristics.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073567259598225410",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1073548141222354944"
  },
  {
   "id": "1073565049703288835",
   "created_at": "2018-12-14T13:07:08+00:00",
   "text": "@FreihandDenker @reasonisfun @EthicsInBricks Idk, I can't really trust them to have any idea how to determine the real good in any kind of morally challenging dilemma. Which virtue do they choose from?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073565049703288835",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1073551854452310023"
  },
  {
   "id": "1073453397213356032",
   "created_at": "2018-12-14T05:43:28+00:00",
   "text": "\"Getting One’s Hands Dirty for a Good Cause\", an adventurous short story (2600 words) I wrote combining effective altruism, the tech world, fake news, and a moral lesson about the tragic consequences of naive unilateral action.\nhttps://t.co/Xf5y7wxTlL",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073453397213356032",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1073241225761865728",
   "created_at": "2018-12-13T15:40:22+00:00",
   "text": "RT @robinhanson: \"The freest economies generally feature big welfare states. This situation is no accident. … Social insurance programs … a…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073241225761865728",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1073074887558881281",
   "created_at": "2018-12-13T04:39:24+00:00",
   "text": "\"Reducing extinction risks essentially comes down to buying lottery tickets over the distribution of possible futures\".\n\nhttps://t.co/u5YoErUFfD https://t.co/fqGq02WTEL",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1073074887558881281",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1072697675965964288",
   "created_at": "2018-12-12T03:40:30+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Yes I feel the same. It's weird to get more mad at the guy than your girl, especially if he didn't know of your relationship.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072697675965964288",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "1072684983167447040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1072696684789010433",
   "created_at": "2018-12-12T03:36:34+00:00",
   "text": "@MIRIBerkeley @80000Hours @Give_Directly @FHIOxford It's unclear whether this is rational under the framework of expected utility maximization. If I have a greater than 1/148 in dying in the next 100 months, it seems worth it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072696684789010433",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1072694893305303040"
  },
  {
   "id": "1072694893305303040",
   "created_at": "2018-12-12T03:29:26+00:00",
   "text": "If I die while in the military, $400k is split between:\n-@MIRIBerkeley \n-@80000Hours \n-@Give_Directly \n-@FHIOxford \n\nIf all goes as planned, I will do a lot more good than this, but it feels good to have a minimum in place.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072694893305303040",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1072680765928951809",
   "created_at": "2018-12-12T02:33:18+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba It's not common, but it doesn't seem unhealthy.  There is something to be said about being willing to suppress one's jealousy because one care's about their partner that much. It's a key requirement for polyamory, which is optimal for some psychologies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072680765928951809",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1072670538760421377"
  },
  {
   "id": "1072538110720950273",
   "created_at": "2018-12-11T17:06:27+00:00",
   "text": "This could be the case with negative utilitarianism.  I am not convinced it has been overwhelmingly defeated, yet its followers do not seem especially vocal.  Maybe they just don't want us to slow technological progress until our culture can safely handle it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072538110720950273",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1072350562845409281"
  },
  {
   "id": "1072490227330109440",
   "created_at": "2018-12-11T13:56:10+00:00",
   "text": "People, in general, need to be willing to 'get their hands dirty' when the evidence clearly points out that it's a higher good.  It's akin to war.  It's generally bad to go to war, but sometimes it's clearly the more moral choice, and it's actually pacificism which is evil. https://t.co/aU4RfTEHgV",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072490227330109440",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1072359453226348545",
   "created_at": "2018-12-11T05:16:31+00:00",
   "text": "This kind of physics/mathematical evidence makes me skeptical of value pluralism.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072359453226348545",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1072357216328540160"
  },
  {
   "id": "1072350562845409281",
   "created_at": "2018-12-11T04:41:12+00:00",
   "text": "Sometimes I get the feeling the world is suspiciously quiet about some extremely important topic.  Then I get the feeling that if I were to come to understand this idea, I would join in the silence myself.  What sort of ideas out there could be inherently self-silencing?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072350562845409281",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1072339052848971776",
   "created_at": "2018-12-11T03:55:27+00:00",
   "text": "Interested in how well IQ predicts true beliefs.  What is the IQ of the average economist who believes X compared to X' ? As we get far more data points and/or a proof, we can get an idea of how much we can get away with believing something just because of the IQ of people invol.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072339052848971776",
   "word_count": 56
  },
  {
   "id": "1072335155308707846",
   "created_at": "2018-12-11T03:39:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @patrickc: This talk is amazing: https://t.co/nYN7M0axIB. (H/t @karpathy.)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072335155308707846",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1072332206863986689",
   "created_at": "2018-12-11T03:28:15+00:00",
   "text": "RT @BayesDose: \"The subjectivist (i.e. Bayesian) states his judgements, whereas the objectivist sweeps them under the carpet by calling ass…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072332206863986689",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1072331837807173632",
   "created_at": "2018-12-11T03:26:47+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Same!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072331837807173632",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1072274523674816520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1072259131619336192",
   "created_at": "2018-12-10T22:37:53+00:00",
   "text": "@sentientist Nightclubs are for dancing, not discourse! 💃",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072259131619336192",
   "word_count": 8,
   "in_reply_to": "1072256697085935617"
  },
  {
   "id": "1072243626099515393",
   "created_at": "2018-12-10T21:36:16+00:00",
   "text": "@Jayarava @EvanSandhoefner It's not been proven as a feature of our world that 3D printing bio tissue is impossible.  It may just be really hard right now given our level of technological development.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072243626099515393",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1072081807435358208"
  },
  {
   "id": "1072217896397537286",
   "created_at": "2018-12-10T19:54:02+00:00",
   "text": "@MartinDaubney I watched the video. These women aren't actively against white people, they are just looking for some true R&R. We are all allowed to go on private vacations with who we choose; I don't see why it's wrong for a business to facilitate this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1072217896397537286",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1072095760005677058"
  },
  {
   "id": "1071815435555926017",
   "created_at": "2018-12-09T17:14:47+00:00",
   "text": "Berlin, circa 1945 #BeatNavy https://t.co/QJLjXtfBT8",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1071815435555926017",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1071554600543682562",
   "created_at": "2018-12-08T23:58:19+00:00",
   "text": "Still one of my favorite papers: \"On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future\" by Nicholas Beckstead.\nhttps://t.co/uiUtkb3fOU https://t.co/q89a4orKY5",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1071554600543682562",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1071519018421547009",
   "created_at": "2018-12-08T21:36:56+00:00",
   "text": "A great article about one of the most important ideas of all time:\nhttps://t.co/jCfIJSHer8",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1071519018421547009",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1071411390898937856",
   "created_at": "2018-12-08T14:29:16+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson I imagine you would get the tastiest dishes (dishes wish majority of population would deem tastiest) approved. Rotten tomatoes tends to be a better rating system for movie snobs that prefer novelty over just wanting to watch a plane good movie, which IMDB rating better reflects.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1071411390898937856",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1071234227012812801"
  },
  {
   "id": "1071410178707415042",
   "created_at": "2018-12-08T14:24:27+00:00",
   "text": "@fermatslibrary I wonder how many times students have unwittingly cranked out new proofs but their professors just published the proofs under their own name...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1071410178707415042",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1071406311919771648"
  },
  {
   "id": "1070868674033188864",
   "created_at": "2018-12-07T02:32:42+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 Just imagine: AI amalgamated, publically-available dirty laundry lists of everyone permanently inscribed in several blockchains.  Feeling the pain of their own shame, most people couldn't resist looking up the shit on their friends.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1070868674033188864",
   "word_count": 34,
   "in_reply_to": "1070866533067317249"
  },
  {
   "id": "1070864448057942017",
   "created_at": "2018-12-07T02:15:54+00:00",
   "text": "@JimPropp Could the derivative of this number raised to the power of x be itself raised to the power of x?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1070864448057942017",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "1070774587741429763"
  },
  {
   "id": "1070862749780062208",
   "created_at": "2018-12-07T02:09:09+00:00",
   "text": "Nation states maybe can't reasonably crack your encrypted data now.  But maybe they can save it to a hard drive and decrypt it 20 years from now when you are in a position of power and they have made a lot of progress in quantum computing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1070862749780062208",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1070861181856964609",
   "created_at": "2018-12-07T02:02:56+00:00",
   "text": "If the United States wants to stay ahead of undesirable dilemmas arising from emerging technology, we need a lot more full-time, dedicated thinkers and coordinators working directly on these problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1070861181856964609",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1070416454619672576",
   "created_at": "2018-12-05T20:35:44+00:00",
   "text": "To the degree of probability that they will exist, as well as in proportion to the magnitude of the absolute value of their expected subjective well-being over their lifespan, potential future people should get a vote in today's affairs. #populationEthics",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1070416454619672576",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1070312971140784130",
   "created_at": "2018-12-05T13:44:32+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl Needs more on the red as of 08:44 Eastern time!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1070312971140784130",
   "word_count": 11,
   "in_reply_to": "1070119419353870336"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069940939429462016",
   "created_at": "2018-12-04T13:06:13+00:00",
   "text": "RT @TheStoicEmperor: We needed all the information we could get.\n\nAll gossip is relevant in a small tribe.\n\nWe had to know where prey slept…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069940939429462016",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1069834589877821440",
   "created_at": "2018-12-04T06:03:37+00:00",
   "text": "Causes of death, by years of life lost. https://t.co/atXhS89619, https://t.co/hlu2EeWvzt https://t.co/QCdmIrBDZP",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069834589877821440",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1069425324365103104",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:57:20+00:00",
   "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl When I was talking abou an app, I was talking about apps on both user's phones to help them manage their secret keys that encrypt and decrypt the file.  The camera can be turned off via the camera reading a particular QR code from each of their phones' app.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069425324365103104",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1069424706841919490"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069424706841919490",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:54:53+00:00",
   "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl I am a computer science student.  I am well aware of the risk of revenge porn with a naive implementation of this on Android or iOS.  That is why I said to design a standalone, 'special' camera, where video is scrambled not once, but twice!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069424706841919490",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1069422507923394560"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069423585125720064",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:50:26+00:00",
   "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl You are not getting it.  No one signs an \"I consent\" waiver.   Also, I am not saying this is the only way to protect against sexual assault or false accusation.  This is just a way to reduce one's risk. Also, there is no need to go to personal attacks here.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069423585125720064",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1069419953655209985"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069421246985715713",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:41:08+00:00",
   "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl If people care about privacy that much compared to the deterrence of not getting raped or falsely accused, then they don't have to use it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069421246985715713",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1069419212379086848"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069420820466974721",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:39:27+00:00",
   "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl And this is not simply a phone app that could be hacked (although one might be able to be designed).  You obviously did not read my idea.  This is a standalone, securely designed video camera that two parties can rest knowing that it only records cryptographically secured video.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069420820466974721",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1069417750093803520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069419264107524097",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:33:16+00:00",
   "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl Without this technology, individuals only have the options of 1) deterring violence with their own word (obviously this does not and cannot always work) 2)  Destroying their own privacy and their partner's for perfect accountability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069419264107524097",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1069417750093803520"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069417750093803520",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:27:15+00:00",
   "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl Placate just male paranoia? It wouldn't placate any female fear of rape? Does this accountability do nothing to deter violence?  Also, we aren't talking about playing this on TV.  A jury of people you will never meet again will see it 2-3x IN ORDER TO send your rapist to prison.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069417750093803520",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1069416727677612032"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069416274562871296",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:21:23+00:00",
   "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl Have you considered what this technology could do for women? Perhaps prior rape victims? A system like this is the ultimate balance between deterring sexual violence and preserving privacy.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069416274562871296",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1069415013113389056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069415013113389056",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:16:22+00:00",
   "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl Did you even read my proposal? It's certainly not about 1-time consent.  You can call the 1-time consent app lazy and ineffective.  The jury is obviously still out on the efficacy of what I proposed, but it's certainly less lazy than \"we need to teach kids about consent more\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069415013113389056",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1069410572481904640"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069408298590511104",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T01:49:41+00:00",
   "text": "@lpolovets @naval @eladgil You can't give up control even if you truly believe someone else can now do a far better job? If you really believe in your idea more than money, and also believe that person X really is, say, 3x the CEO as you, I feel that you ought to give up control.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069408298590511104",
   "word_count": 55,
   "in_reply_to": "1069310245128699905"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069403839843962880",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T01:31:58+00:00",
   "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl Does providing strong protection against false accusations, strong deterrence against rape, and nearly absolute proof of rape, should it occur, really prevent the proper education of kids that much? No one is saying to stop teaching kids about consent.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069403839843962880",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1069397812872273920"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069399611364818946",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T01:15:10+00:00",
   "text": "\"You must never confuse faith that you will prevail in the end—which you can never afford to lose—with the discipline to confront the most brutal facts of your current reality, whatever they might be.\" - POW survivor and Medal of Honor recipient James Stockdale.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069399611364818946",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1069397655716065280",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T01:07:24+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba @Aella_Girl Very nice people 😄",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069397655716065280",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1069372131853643778"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069392290207141888",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T00:46:04+00:00",
   "text": "@lafemmesaragona @Aella_Girl It's also not romantic to hope that you'll be able to sway a jury in the event you are raped or falsely accused of rape. But I'm not saying everyone should want this...it's just a tool for people that want more security.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069392290207141888",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1069370923944308736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069391091592503296",
   "created_at": "2018-12-03T00:41:19+00:00",
   "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl This does not reduce the veracity of the word of victims that don't use it.  It's just a way to protect people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069391091592503296",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1069372008935284736"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069371545074745345",
   "created_at": "2018-12-02T23:23:38+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl We could call this system \"Sexurity\" and it could probably retail for under $200. It wouldn't be for everyone, but for those who have seen lives destroyed by rape as well as false accusation, this might provide the security they need in order to get back in the bedroom.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069371545074745345",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1069370287387541505"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069370287387541505",
   "created_at": "2018-12-02T23:18:39+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl Their apps could also quickly generate a private key which is instantly backed up online in a secured vault. Each participant could quickly input their private key into the special camera by having their phone app turn it into a QR code or two, which the camera scans.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069370287387541505",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1069369095097851904"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069369095097851904",
   "created_at": "2018-12-02T23:13:54+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl This camera could be designed to literally not work if it has been tampered with. E.g. you open up the case, the one- time password generator circuit gets ripped apart.  The process could also be streamlined e.g. the authenticity of the camera can be quickly verified via an app.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069369095097851904",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1069368006273363973"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069368006273363973",
   "created_at": "2018-12-02T23:09:35+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl I argue that this is a small price to pay to have one essentially immune from false charges (and ensures the other person cannot walk away unpunished if they are guilty).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069368006273363973",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1069367347046215680"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069367347046215680",
   "created_at": "2018-12-02T23:06:58+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl The only real cost of this, aside from maybe killing the mood for a couple minutes, is to essentially have to give up one's right to not have one's sexual performance hidden from a special court in the event one is accused.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069367347046215680",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1069365222845091840"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069365222845091840",
   "created_at": "2018-12-02T22:58:31+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl This may sound extreme, but this seems like a valid way to protect people concerned about sexual assault and false-accusations. The scrambled video could also be safely uploaded to a secure website; it still would only be able to be deciphered with each persons private key.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069365222845091840",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1069363165631270912"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069363165631270912",
   "created_at": "2018-12-02T22:50:21+00:00",
   "text": "@Aella_Girl This survey led me an alternative idea for solving this dilemma: https://t.co/nurZUVP2Hc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069363165631270912",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1069338961858879488"
  },
  {
   "id": "1069293559965249537",
   "created_at": "2018-12-02T18:13:45+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/d49tQmNgoS\n\nSuffering risks abound, but here's some Chopin:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069293559965249537",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1068731917388980224",
   "created_at": "2018-12-01T05:01:59+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m I think the agent has got to get it right the first try. They had unlimited computations to get as much precision as they want & are capable off. If they can't get it by then, then their clearly is a limit to the types of computable problems that they can solve.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1068731917388980224",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1068540801804902400"
  },
  {
   "id": "1068529473463689216",
   "created_at": "2018-11-30T15:37:33+00:00",
   "text": "An idea for a definition of general intelligence: the minimum capability in order to be able to eventually solve any computationally determinable problem given enough time/computations and a sufficient ability to be able to interact in the world.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1068529473463689216",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1068525433472217094",
   "created_at": "2018-11-30T15:21:30+00:00",
   "text": "It's burdensome to have to optimize for the demands of one's id, one's friends, one's organization, one's society, utilitarian imperatives, one's own psychology. Life is computationally hard.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1068525433472217094",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1068119091167272961",
   "created_at": "2018-11-29T12:26:50+00:00",
   "text": "@realwokieleaks @Whirblewind A theistic view also doesn't make the concept of free will coherent.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1068119091167272961",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1068022287528542210"
  },
  {
   "id": "1068118670747017216",
   "created_at": "2018-11-29T12:25:10+00:00",
   "text": "@realwokieleaks Just as free will isn't a coherent concept  in this physical/biological world, it also doesn't make sense in a spiritual world. You don't have to be atheist to be realistic about the notion of free will.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1068118670747017216",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1068020550499479552"
  },
  {
   "id": "1067801720154189824",
   "created_at": "2018-11-28T15:25:43+00:00",
   "text": "RT @antonioregalado: holy cow Harvard Medical School dean George Daley is making the case, big time, and eloquently, FOR editing embryos, a…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1067801720154189824",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1067800519891140608",
   "created_at": "2018-11-28T15:20:57+00:00",
   "text": "RT @webmasterdave: Imagine if #CRISPR babies were the norm. Then some researcher encourages a couple to practise unlicensed genetic experim…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1067800519891140608",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1067034654757269506",
   "created_at": "2018-11-26T12:37:40+00:00",
   "text": "#GetAfterIt https://t.co/DR7p17YIFx",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1067034654757269506",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "1066591047105552384",
   "created_at": "2018-11-25T07:14:56+00:00",
   "text": "My rough, preliminary draft titled \"To Decrease Suffering Risks, Let’s Not\nDecouple Well-being and Survivability\":\nhttps://t.co/8s2c9IaS35",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1066591047105552384",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1066381077487460352",
   "created_at": "2018-11-24T17:20:35+00:00",
   "text": "I should write a paper that goes through the depth of utilitarian calculus necessary for a confident, ethical simple decision. E.g. in a trolley problem, do you choose an infant or a 50 year old to live? I feel like this requires easily 5000 words to answer confidently enough.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1066381077487460352",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1066349138558767107",
   "created_at": "2018-11-24T15:13:41+00:00",
   "text": "@MaxReddel But it's not that good because traditions carry a lot of social momentum and people are not really even motivated to act rationally about them anyway.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1066349138558767107",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "1066348074174504960"
  },
  {
   "id": "1066348074174504960",
   "created_at": "2018-11-24T15:09:27+00:00",
   "text": "@MaxReddel I feel like it is about as hard to evaluate the merit of an act of tradition than just about any non-tradition action.  I'd say my prior is that carrying out tradition is good because a lot of smart people before me decided to not stop the tradition,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1066348074174504960",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1066244224306343936"
  },
  {
   "id": "1066189144811016192",
   "created_at": "2018-11-24T04:37:55+00:00",
   "text": "Good news from last June, in case you missed it like I did: turns out current scientific uncertainty is so great, that it's foolish to presume the stars (apparent lack of intelligent life beyond Earth) are foretelling our doom! https://t.co/BFoakMvMjX https://t.co/fKorZGVl0T",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1066189144811016192",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1066167315681685505",
   "created_at": "2018-11-24T03:11:11+00:00",
   "text": "From https://t.co/Ie5ZdXMHIA.\nThis paper hits precisely upon what bothers me most in moral philosophy: The formal structure for ethical decision making is here. The hard part remains to be the actual computation for determining which actions cause the most desirable outcomes. https://t.co/ZQdn7dSHCF",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1066167315681685505",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1065992871373914115",
   "created_at": "2018-11-23T15:38:00+00:00",
   "text": "All tradition that has no merit beyond having historical precedence needs to die.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065992871373914115",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1065797176889094144",
   "created_at": "2018-11-23T02:40:23+00:00",
   "text": "@Sevens_2 @sentientist I haven't been convinced that's bad for society. One sometimes needs to signal to find/maintain better allies and signaling about signaling doesn't look as dumb as just signaling. If you are going to violate a norm, it's best to let others know you know it's a norm.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065797176889094144",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1065747463544422401"
  },
  {
   "id": "1065749843740684289",
   "created_at": "2018-11-22T23:32:18+00:00",
   "text": "@normonics So you are alluding that there are some tweets in twitterspace that cannot be proved to be intoleratable?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065749843740684289",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1065680574063493121"
  },
  {
   "id": "1065749039818440704",
   "created_at": "2018-11-22T23:29:06+00:00",
   "text": "Computer science is 🔥🔥🔥 https://t.co/q038SOqCQh",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065749039818440704",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1065745764360642560",
   "created_at": "2018-11-22T23:16:05+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/rqOk71neov\nMy thoughts on a practical implementation of moral trade: https://t.co/jqwSOvxB5m",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065745764360642560",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1065703059882418179",
   "created_at": "2018-11-22T20:26:23+00:00",
   "text": "A bunch of useful ideas compressed pretty well:\nhttps://t.co/YJJKMpiwdg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065703059882418179",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1065384772728471552",
   "created_at": "2018-11-21T23:21:38+00:00",
   "text": "RT @yannick___m: This is one of the most well known definitions of intelligence: \n\n\"Intelligence measures an agent’s ability to achieve goa…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065384772728471552",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1065288206982279168",
   "created_at": "2018-11-21T16:57:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Effect_Altruism: Suppose something — maybe nuclear winter, maybe a major volcanic eruption — limits our planet's access to sunlight. Co…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065288206982279168",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1065287396135194626",
   "created_at": "2018-11-21T16:54:41+00:00",
   "text": "RT @primalpoly: Funny how economists always say 'we're modeling how people maximize utility, not just income!' and then they're puzzled whe…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065287396135194626",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1065285961502912519",
   "created_at": "2018-11-21T16:48:59+00:00",
   "text": "A lack of success in fulfilling one's aims is an indicator of the falseness of one's beliefs. But this is only for shallow subjective probability estimates. One can hold true ideas (e.g. \"quantum mechanics better describes reality than Newtonian physics\"), yet fail all day long.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065285961502912519",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1065252195556368385",
   "created_at": "2018-11-21T14:34:49+00:00",
   "text": "Optimists can't find problem with doom and gloomers before analyzing their arguments and the data points that went into them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065252195556368385",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1065252192448335872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1065252192448335872",
   "created_at": "2018-11-21T14:34:48+00:00",
   "text": "What makes people so uncomfortable about inconvenient predictions? Does an honest forecast of a probability of doom by time T make it more likely to happen? Does it hurt our chances of responding appropriately? Should we just lie and forecast with a lower probability? No, no, no.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065252192448335872",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1065107594300325888",
   "created_at": "2018-11-21T05:00:13+00:00",
   "text": "@VidCon Imagine unmitigated catastrophic risks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1065107594300325888",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1064545584793575424"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064862867239915522",
   "created_at": "2018-11-20T12:47:46+00:00",
   "text": "@primalpoly Pair-Bonding+: Lessons from Six Sex Subcultures",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064862867239915522",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1064693596597731329"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064859647629295618",
   "created_at": "2018-11-20T12:34:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @primalpoly: 'There is some level of technological development at which civilization almost certainly gets devastated by default' -- Pro…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064859647629295618",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1064719702780448771",
   "created_at": "2018-11-20T03:18:53+00:00",
   "text": "@gaileyfrey Beat the entire Western world in a math modeling competition, placing in the top 11 of 3100+ teams (ICM problem D). Mind you this was the same weekend I had a ruck march and a SAMI (terribly strict room inspection) that took up about 1/4 of my the time for the competition.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064719702780448771",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1064580120843698176"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064693596597731329",
   "created_at": "2018-11-20T01:35:09+00:00",
   "text": "@primalpoly Pair-bonding+ : Insights from six sex subcultures to optimize your relationship(s)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064693596597731329",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1064683004998627329"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064523295679307776",
   "created_at": "2018-11-19T14:18:26+00:00",
   "text": "@d3athblad3 @fermatslibrary I don't see the visual proof as being that  convenient, but the fraction of filled dots  (1/4,5/16,21/64,85/256) get closer and closer to 1/3.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064523295679307776",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1064521184383889409"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064383534461263872",
   "created_at": "2018-11-19T05:03:04+00:00",
   "text": "@devonzuegel Chose 5 minutes of pain because of signaling & I feel like the rest of the day will be relatively enjoyable compared to that. Terrible smell and taste would just make me feel sick. Upsetting image is compelling, but I'm assuming that would probably stick around past 5 minutes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064383534461263872",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1064339008623337473"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064382609516576768",
   "created_at": "2018-11-19T04:59:24+00:00",
   "text": "@primalpoly Very surprising to me it's not higher. Some combination of 22% of people are lying, are very bold in class, or have no opinions far outside the Overton window.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064382609516576768",
   "word_count": 30,
   "in_reply_to": "1064249042480390144"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064183499010310144",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T15:48:12+00:00",
   "text": "@JoeChance_ @leftofthejokers @dynarski Very uncharitable take",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064183499010310144",
   "word_count": 6,
   "in_reply_to": "1064181258777960453"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064058604926496768",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T07:31:55+00:00",
   "text": "@dataandpolitics @blsolow @dynarski That probably would have avoided a headache.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064058604926496768",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1064054544391270401"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064054685848485889",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T07:16:20+00:00",
   "text": "@blsolow @dataandpolitics @dynarski Would you be less irked if I had no idea who Dynarksi was?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064054685848485889",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1064049440812601345"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064052987797090304",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T07:09:36+00:00",
   "text": "@dataandpolitics @blsolow @dynarski Is it really terrible that I spoke up with my honest thoughts about this? If one has been working on this for 20+ years,  how hard is it to drop a link to enlighten me? It doesn't help bring someone to the light by assuming they're the worst kind of person with a sexist agenda",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064052987797090304",
   "word_count": 58,
   "in_reply_to": "1064051972351901696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064051972351901696",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T07:05:33+00:00",
   "text": "@dataandpolitics @blsolow @dynarski Okay, so she is making a claim about the trend rather than an isolated circumstance.  That makes more sense.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064051972351901696",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1064049662594699264"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064047592068341763",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T06:48:09+00:00",
   "text": "@dataandpolitics @blsolow @dynarski And because someone is going to misinterpret me: while it shouldn't matter (to the conversation), if I were the event organizers, I probably would have have sought out a woman speaker if one wasn't immediately obvious. I also have voted straight Dem so far in two elections.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064047592068341763",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1064046633078280192"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064045992088137728",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T06:41:48+00:00",
   "text": "@dataandpolitics @blsolow @dynarski Literally haven't even claimed I'm not sexist. That's not what we're discussing. This is literally a conversation involving proper interpretation of evidence. Get your identity politics out of here.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064045992088137728",
   "word_count": 32,
   "in_reply_to": "1064044157025406976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064041737738428417",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T06:24:53+00:00",
   "text": "@bgreene I mean it's convenient that the same rules seem to govern throughout the universe. It's also convenient that there are not too many independent things actually going on. But idk if it's surprising that math describes this",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064041737738428417",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1063870544523726850"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064036048748072961",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T06:02:17+00:00",
   "text": "@HashtagGriswold @Halalcoholism Gonna have to update my odds for humanity surviving the century",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064036048748072961",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "1063527305061040129"
  },
  {
   "id": "1064032174163312641",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T05:46:53+00:00",
   "text": "@leftofthejokers @dynarski Culture of entitlement? How about it speaks to a culture of empowerment. I'm a 21 year old who feels empowered to have conversations with strangers. Also, we are only talking about the concepts of basic probability, bias, and affirmative action. It's not beyond many's depth :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1064032174163312641",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1063968700921929729"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063995202195648512",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T03:19:58+00:00",
   "text": "@blsolow @dynarski I was looking at percent of tenured professors. I was assuming this was the cohort the event organizers was interested in choosing from.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063995202195648512",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1063991288486338561"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063993946433642496",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T03:14:59+00:00",
   "text": "@blsolow @dynarski Can you post a link? I have only found articles citing readability differences and carelessly assumed that's what Card, et al was about.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063993946433642496",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1063992134544621569"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063986588668047361",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T02:45:45+00:00",
   "text": "@leftofthejokers @dynarski This whole mess could have been avoided and I wouldn't have 'mansplained' if only I took the less charitable assumption that Dynarski meant: \"These stooges aren't using affirmative action\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063986588668047361",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1063983120070905856"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063983120070905856",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T02:31:58+00:00",
   "text": "@leftofthejokers @dynarski The other was the more innocent interpretation that >=1 woman was statistically expected, and that the organizers are biased for not doing so.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063983120070905856",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1063982565416144896"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063982565416144896",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T02:29:46+00:00",
   "text": "@leftofthejokers @dynarski There are easily 2 interpretations. 1 is w/ the assumption we are obligated to have a minimal level of representation of minority groups and that the organizers suck for not giving 1 slot to a woman,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063982565416144896",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1063979404919861248"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063978202912174080",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T02:12:25+00:00",
   "text": "@leftofthejokers @dynarski You're focusing on everything but my argument.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063978202912174080",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1063968966836539392"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063970901602041857",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T01:43:25+00:00",
   "text": "@mbrookerob @dynarski What about representing other groups? I don't see anyone fighting for at least one speaker to be gay, or disabled, or of certain races, or any combination thereof.If we can't or don't want go off merit & must shoot for meeting certain quotas, shouldn't our quotas be proportional?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063970901602041857",
   "word_count": 50,
   "in_reply_to": "1063952380755042304"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063956016553955329",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T00:44:16+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/qFS89oAS5T\n\"Spliddit offers quick, free solutions to everyday fair division problems, using methods that provide indisputable fairness guarantees and build on decades of research in economics, mathematics, and computer science.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063956016553955329",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1063955615683362816",
   "created_at": "2018-11-18T00:42:40+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/YFoBsCg27D https://t.co/7jKiRHO9wF\nComputer scientists have come up with an algorithm that can fairly divide a cake among any number of people. https://t.co/168uWTzpef",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063955615683362816",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1063828352556064768",
   "created_at": "2018-11-17T16:16:58+00:00",
   "text": "Throw back from selection for Dive school in Nov 2015. This event was called 'mask appreciation' which entails doing flutter kicks and singing songs with a mask full of water and...inconveniently placed streams of water. https://t.co/XknmdTsQZx",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063828352556064768",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1063656538156470273",
   "created_at": "2018-11-17T04:54:15+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/qbck9bkQT7\nVery interesting article. We need to understand not just the technology that could cause an existential or suffering-related catastrophe, but the agents who will be motivated to carry one out. #AgentialRisks #xriskology",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063656538156470273",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1063653402528411648",
   "created_at": "2018-11-17T04:41:47+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson https://t.co/YDwrqCqeDl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063653402528411648",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1063627378939838465"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063652803221102592",
   "created_at": "2018-11-17T04:39:24+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson https://t.co/CvacvNyiTH",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063652803221102592",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1063627378939838465"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063621194677739520",
   "created_at": "2018-11-17T02:33:48+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson https://t.co/EU3Uw3ObSR\nEdward Wimmer led a team that created live polio virus from scratch and said, \"any one of thousands of members of the American Society for Virology could figure out how to do the same\". Couldn't one of them be a radical negative utilitarian and act alone?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063621194677739520",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1063617512112312321"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063616616271937536",
   "created_at": "2018-11-17T02:15:37+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson Any radicalized negative utilitarian can get a microbiology PhD and eventually engineer a pandemic that kills as many as several nuclear weapons.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063616616271937536",
   "word_count": 23,
   "in_reply_to": "1063610980985380864"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063615013435465729",
   "created_at": "2018-11-17T02:09:14+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson New research shows Navinder Sarao isn't as responsible for the 2010 Flash Crash as people originally thought (certainly the market was ripe for this sort of attack), but no matter how you divide it up, one dude still erased a lot of wealth.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063615013435465729",
   "word_count": 44,
   "in_reply_to": "1063610980985380864"
  },
  {
   "id": "1063607674292633603",
   "created_at": "2018-11-17T01:40:05+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson Very interesting! The implications of your idea seem to be in conflict with those from Nick Bostrom's Vulnerable World Hypothesis. World government is risky, but so are billions of powerful, free actors once future technology develops far enough.\n\nhttps://t.co/Xw7KGH5TWD https://t.co/f3KoqHtmD7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1063607674292633603",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1063473876146028545"
  },
  {
   "id": "1062497762032447493",
   "created_at": "2018-11-14T00:09:41+00:00",
   "text": "@EPoe187 Many here seem to be confusing the worst kinds of armchair utilitarianism, with all its spurious rationalization, with Bayesian decision theory-based utilitarianism, which is the formal, axiomatic, and rational way to process information & make decisions for any utility function.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1062497762032447493",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1060869054645366784"
  },
  {
   "id": "1062493185874804737",
   "created_at": "2018-11-13T23:51:30+00:00",
   "text": "@SpencerJayCase @EPoe187 If we confine ourselves to actions with only 99.9% chance of success, we miss out in the long run on tons of potential value. Costly clinical trials for drugs have less than a 20% success rate, yet the utility of drugs that pass, on average, make up for the expense of all of them",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1062493185874804737",
   "word_count": 56,
   "in_reply_to": "1060967341347885056"
  },
  {
   "id": "1062077300685107201",
   "created_at": "2018-11-12T20:18:55+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/P3BdLbXL2V\nIf we are not willing to take action like this, we are revealing either that: 1) we don't think they will be effective 2)we think we can remain ahead without doing this 3)we are willing to let China's ideals influence the world more than ours.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1062077300685107201",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1062066721815756800",
   "created_at": "2018-11-12T19:36:53+00:00",
   "text": "@tojosp @primalpoly What work could a volunteer do for 3 years that could cover the cost of a college degree?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1062066721815756800",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "1062044016840192000"
  },
  {
   "id": "1062064469759664128",
   "created_at": "2018-11-12T19:27:56+00:00",
   "text": "Interestingly, it is not even remotely a requirement to be a negative utilitarian to take suffering-risks and their implications seriously. Any value system which takes suffering into account should take note of s-risks.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1062064469759664128",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1062063515727478785",
   "created_at": "2018-11-12T19:24:08+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg Any values held by any rational agent are always held with a degree of belief. The degrees of beliefs in which values are held are not immutable to rational agents, and can change according to new evidence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1062063515727478785",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1062050618913837059"
  },
  {
   "id": "1062062756424224768",
   "created_at": "2018-11-12T19:21:07+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg We don't have to be able to pin down exactly how good or bad a given experience is in order to have productive conversations about suffering-risks. I don't think any of the authors hold immutable views about the possibility and likelihood of certain subjective experiences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1062062756424224768",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1062050411987775488"
  },
  {
   "id": "1062035182440644608",
   "created_at": "2018-11-12T17:31:33+00:00",
   "text": "From \"Reducing Risks of Astronomical Suffering: \nA Neglected Priority\" by David Althaus and Lukas Gloor. https://t.co/u5YoErUFfD https://t.co/o5DWGSxj9K",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1062035182440644608",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1061794858380263424",
   "created_at": "2018-11-12T01:36:36+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/IZjNnHyhQO\nApparently, there's tons of 'hidden' visual information in our environment that our savannah-optimized brains don't pick up on.  We are beginning to program computers to be able to detect, amplify, and reconstruct images from this. 🔥",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1061794858380263424",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1061500878312652800",
   "created_at": "2018-11-11T06:08:25+00:00",
   "text": "@80000Hours Dream job right there",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1061500878312652800",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "1060675887027404801"
  },
  {
   "id": "1061498323490783232",
   "created_at": "2018-11-11T05:58:16+00:00",
   "text": "@WilliamCossen Existential risk redefines preemptive strike permissiveness",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1061498323490783232",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1061287892100792326"
  },
  {
   "id": "1061495638003802112",
   "created_at": "2018-11-11T05:47:36+00:00",
   "text": "@WilliamCossen Runaway evolution could cause cosmic suffering",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1061495638003802112",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "1061287892100792326"
  },
  {
   "id": "1061294634440278016",
   "created_at": "2018-11-10T16:28:53+00:00",
   "text": "Still true. Also, future expected people would probably be willing to sacrifice a LOT in order to influence us to take actions with exponential returns (like human genetic engineering and reducing suffering-risk). https://t.co/DVCspHZi6P",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1061294634440278016",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1059596323824025600",
   "created_at": "2018-11-06T00:00:24+00:00",
   "text": "@farnamstreet Effective altruism. I.e. life can have a lot of meaning to me because I can do an enormous amount of good if I am rational and careful enough.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1059596323824025600",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "1059449915066085376"
  },
  {
   "id": "1059511410579984386",
   "created_at": "2018-11-05T18:22:59+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Sleep is not something to mess with if you care about long term health + performance. The biggest thing that helps me is to have something covering my eyes + a dark, cool room. I also like to do some deliberate breathing & sometimes journaling if I don't feel tired but it's time",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1059511410579984386",
   "word_count": 54,
   "in_reply_to": "1059391648902402054"
  },
  {
   "id": "1059319838923988992",
   "created_at": "2018-11-05T05:41:45+00:00",
   "text": "@normonics He is probably saying 'extremely possible' because he doesn't want to be seen for being 'wrong' a second time. I bet he'd still be willing to bet based off the odds of his prediction",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1059319838923988992",
   "word_count": 35,
   "in_reply_to": "1059161348540678147"
  },
  {
   "id": "1059319718073524224",
   "created_at": "2018-11-05T05:41:16+00:00",
   "text": "@normonics He still is saying p(Dems overtake)=.8.  Even if he said p(Dems overtake)=.5, that still is a prediction that in half of all future worlds, Dems overtake.  A prediction is still a prediction if the posterior probability=prior probability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1059319718073524224",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1059161348540678147"
  },
  {
   "id": "1059307616663429120",
   "created_at": "2018-11-05T04:53:11+00:00",
   "text": "@math_rachel @realpython https://t.co/hBJEvhPN1y.  The mathematical programming challenges provided me with the motivation I needed to learn programming. I couldn't solve these problems any other way.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1059307616663429120",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1058089708155166720"
  },
  {
   "id": "1059287823587725312",
   "created_at": "2018-11-05T03:34:32+00:00",
   "text": "@nntaleb @NateSilver538 He is probably saying 'extremely possible' because he doesn't want to be seen for being 'wrong' a second time. I bet he'd still be willing to bet based off the odds of his prediction",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1059287823587725312",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1059219865163173889"
  },
  {
   "id": "1059284765248049152",
   "created_at": "2018-11-05T03:22:23+00:00",
   "text": "@nntaleb He still is saying p(Dems overtake)=.8.  Even if he said p(Dems overtake)=.5, that still is a prediction that in half of all future worlds, Dems overtake.  A prediction is still a prediction if the posterior probability=prior probability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1059284765248049152",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1059202026184282113"
  },
  {
   "id": "1059274022716928000",
   "created_at": "2018-11-05T02:39:42+00:00",
   "text": "@iosif_lazaridis @nntaleb He still is saying p(Dems overtake)=.8.  Even if he said p(Dems overtake)=.5, that still is a prediction that in half of all future worlds, Dems overtake.  A prediction is still a prediction if the posterior probability=prior probability.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1059274022716928000",
   "word_count": 39,
   "in_reply_to": "1059260583516782594"
  },
  {
   "id": "1058920712679948288",
   "created_at": "2018-11-04T03:15:46+00:00",
   "text": "@sapinker I'm pretty sure all we can say if they get to us is that they are hyper-fit for space travel.  Who's to say the Blind Idiot God (evolution by natural selection) rewarded their ancestors who randomly had outgroup empathy?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1058920712679948288",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1058540733387493377"
  },
  {
   "id": "1058917320813359104",
   "created_at": "2018-11-04T03:02:17+00:00",
   "text": "@keithfrankish @mizroba https://t.co/NgU2iMHC1B\nRisks of Astronomical Future Suffering by @reducesuffering",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1058917320813359104",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1058856079130537984"
  },
  {
   "id": "1058909277950263297",
   "created_at": "2018-11-04T02:30:20+00:00",
   "text": "@lastpositivist Alright, alright",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1058909277950263297",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1058907337958731777"
  },
  {
   "id": "1058905550740746240",
   "created_at": "2018-11-04T02:15:31+00:00",
   "text": "@lastpositivist As are all of our still-favored, but wrong claims",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1058905550740746240",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1058901390418862080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1058900764339380230",
   "created_at": "2018-11-04T01:56:30+00:00",
   "text": "@lastpositivist That's just irrational.  If there truly are no reasons to expect that one's actions coud probabilistically lead in any way towards desirable outcome X, then one is being a fool for trying. A cause can be potentially impactful and neglected, but if it is intractable, move on.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1058900764339380230",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1058786099886120961"
  },
  {
   "id": "1058898013115084800",
   "created_at": "2018-11-04T01:45:34+00:00",
   "text": "Nefarious actors could attack artificial intelligence systems by deliberately introducing bias into them, smuggled inside the data that helps those systems learn. https://t.co/Mu9EmCuZN3 via @RANDCorporation",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1058898013115084800",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1058885400649969664",
   "created_at": "2018-11-04T00:55:27+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MaxFagin: 5/ Every unit you've ever used is \"officially\" derived from these 7 units. A gallon? Officially 0.003785 m^3. One atmosphere…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1058885400649969664",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1057472310729420801",
   "created_at": "2018-10-31T03:20:20+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 As long as one agent has the intelligence to reduce the bandwidth of the argument enough for the other agent to be able process it, I think both agents will be able to verify that they agree about the optimality of a particular course of action given a set of shared information.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1057472310729420801",
   "word_count": 53,
   "in_reply_to": "1057471295250685952"
  },
  {
   "id": "1057471295250685952",
   "created_at": "2018-10-31T03:16:18+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I think this can be the case with brains and the feelings of understanding. Brains can't always precisely break down problems into minimum chunks to process.  I am not sure this incomputability can be the case with rational agents. 1/n",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1057471295250685952",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1057459280461230080"
  },
  {
   "id": "1057455844319772672",
   "created_at": "2018-10-31T02:14:54+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 I don't know a great definition of intelligence..suppose it's conducting X computations over time. Suppose these two agents can agree about any of the smallest minutiae (2+2=4).As long as they share their computations and don't keep them hidden, I don't think != intel is an issue",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1057455844319772672",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1057450817542750208"
  },
  {
   "id": "1057444737937035264",
   "created_at": "2018-10-31T01:30:46+00:00",
   "text": "No two rational agents, after sharing all their information, can disagree about a proper course of action when they agree on the same minimal description length of a utility function.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1057444737937035264",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1057109875325571073",
   "created_at": "2018-10-30T03:20:09+00:00",
   "text": "Out of all the possible photos of the ocean I could have taken and edits that could have been made, I feel this one is amongst the best. https://t.co/z2i23z4VFx",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1057109875325571073",
   "word_count": 29
  },
  {
   "id": "1057105732695408640",
   "created_at": "2018-10-30T03:03:41+00:00",
   "text": "Ran a half marathon in 1:28:54 yesterday. 6:48 pace. Was still sore from a half-ironman a week before and this was a hilly course, so I'm definitely getting faster. #GetAfterIt https://t.co/02BtjfHCfw",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1057105732695408640",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1057101528069234688",
   "created_at": "2018-10-30T02:46:58+00:00",
   "text": "The Experience Machine only strengthens hedonistic utilitarianism.  Once our long-term survival is assured and a superintelligence is clearly running the show better then we ever could, I can't see why one wouldn't plug into a reaally good experience machine for life.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1057101528069234688",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1057098685744586752",
   "created_at": "2018-10-30T02:35:41+00:00",
   "text": "Cadets can be savage. #BEATairforce https://t.co/lxVNIbrXiG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1057098685744586752",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1056375871668400129",
   "created_at": "2018-10-28T02:43:28+00:00",
   "text": "When you don't have another kid, people don't think, \"You didn't have another, so I will.\"Additionally, kids are expected to eventually have kids (worldAvg 2.45). Thus, by having a kid, you are bringing a whole bunch of expected people into existence who wouldn't otherwise exist.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1056375871668400129",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1056350150719930369",
   "created_at": "2018-10-28T01:01:16+00:00",
   "text": "RT @iamdevloper: when your code works first time and you feel a bit dizzy https://t.co/wepZ8Gp9fl",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1056350150719930369",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1056349444755595266",
   "created_at": "2018-10-28T00:58:28+00:00",
   "text": "RT @cory: Track as much as possible. \n\nWhen I started tracking sleep, diet, and exercise... all drastically improved.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1056349444755595266",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1056349196150861824",
   "created_at": "2018-10-28T00:57:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanSandhoefner: An underrated question for conversation and reflection: \"Which aspects of life in 2018 will most shock or appall futur…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1056349196150861824",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1055961388668149771",
   "created_at": "2018-10-26T23:16:28+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m @EvanSandhoefner @matthew_allcock Wish I could have gone this year. Got approved but am stuck here at West Point",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1055961388668149771",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1055943520450699265"
  },
  {
   "id": "1055781461926821888",
   "created_at": "2018-10-26T11:21:30+00:00",
   "text": "0530-0640 swim. Philosophy @ 0730. Stats @ 0855. Russian @ 1045. Mando lunch @ 1150. Biology @ 1400. PE @ 1505. Triathlon from 1615-1830. Dinner.  Homework until 2200 if lucky. Rinse, repeat for different classes tomorrow.  Not complaining, but I'm getting lots more gray hairs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1055781461926821888",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1055147378100068355",
   "created_at": "2018-10-24T17:21:53+00:00",
   "text": "@fermatslibrary Have degrees of (falsifiable) belief,Test hypotheses,Update degrees of belief based on evidence,Question everything,Mutation & selection drive evolution,combine electricity+wires+simple logic to solve problems,Beware of cognitive biases,track progress,free speech/market=$",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1055147378100068355",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "1055084017786277889"
  },
  {
   "id": "1054932991783395336",
   "created_at": "2018-10-24T03:09:59+00:00",
   "text": "Imagine the satisfaction and depth of understanding you'd have if, instead of being quickly told the answers in a particular field of study, you were guided to derive them yourself. I'm going to try to make sure my kids get this experience.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1054932991783395336",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1054559631203360768",
   "created_at": "2018-10-23T02:26:23+00:00",
   "text": "@HavidTweets I'm sure trust has something to do with it. It often takes trust to bring up something emotionally interesting enough to talk about.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1054559631203360768",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1054484966233513984"
  },
  {
   "id": "1054555785378840578",
   "created_at": "2018-10-23T02:11:06+00:00",
   "text": "Few things are as satisfying as coming up with an idea independently before I hear it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1054555785378840578",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1054120160120979456",
   "created_at": "2018-10-21T21:20:05+00:00",
   "text": "Ironman 70.3 ☑ https://t.co/S4nYT9zdzf",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1054120160120979456",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "1053353750381891587",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T18:34:39+00:00",
   "text": "@edwest https://t.co/MVI3BgWsK3 https://t.co/cg4Qv8KMAB",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053353750381891587",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "1053251328951140353"
  },
  {
   "id": "1053347674324459521",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T18:10:30+00:00",
   "text": "Just out:  https://t.co/GGNTwmQw9H\n\"The reported evidence indicates that higher levels of economic development and gender equality favor the manifestation of gender differences in preferences across countries.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053347674324459521",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1053345638036004865",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T18:02:24+00:00",
   "text": "There really isn't anything better than the best subjective states of mind.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053345638036004865",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1053285011980455936",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T14:01:30+00:00",
   "text": "@Evolving_Ego These do seem to all have some degree of merit and aren't mutually exclusive. They also do not seem to capture the entire system.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053285011980455936",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "1053068915754975233"
  },
  {
   "id": "1053278895519268865",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T13:37:12+00:00",
   "text": "@fermatslibrary I floccinaucinihilipilificate the assignment of a word for the 6-th derivative of a position vector.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053278895519268865",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1053270551857389569"
  },
  {
   "id": "1053139492775882753",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T04:23:16+00:00",
   "text": "I love the philosophy of effective altruism, but it's worth recognizing its own information hazards: Understanding it & caring about wellbeing means one basically picks up a heavy psychological weight for life.  Namely, there are SO many counterfactually disutilitous actions...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053139492775882753",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1053133733715472386",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T04:00:23+00:00",
   "text": "\"Determining what we are to value is within the realm of ethics, but let's leave theoretical decision making to decision theorists and let's study pragmatic, heuristical decision-making methods empirically.\" https://t.co/VP6orMo13Z",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053133733715472386",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1053127825786617856",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T03:36:54+00:00",
   "text": "@ltreszkai I say this because so many people short change sophisticated (as opposed to naive) utilitarianism all the time,  as if an agent adhering to probability and utility theory postulates could make a more accurate decision (prediction) with *less* information processing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053127825786617856",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1052971749959225344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1053126292449697792",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T03:30:48+00:00",
   "text": "@ltreszkai It's a thought experiment with no time/energy constraints. It's to highlight the notion that a theoretical rational agent/Turing machine cannot crank out more optimal predictions than otherwise with *less* computations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053126292449697792",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1052971749959225344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1053120481795158016",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T03:07:43+00:00",
   "text": "What kind of app/game should I make for a computer science project? I was thinking about a Fermi estimation game where a player does ~15 fermi estimates and gets a score back based on the quality of their predictions. It could also teach Fermi estimation skills and then reeval.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053120481795158016",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1053110439842906112",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T02:27:49+00:00",
   "text": "@normonics @TheAliceSmith I don't think we want to rely on a finite few billionaire's & trillionaire's charity once they own they legally own the vast majority of resources. Thus, I think it's reasonably to argue that it's probably ideal to have *some* level of economic regulation and redistribution.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053110439842906112",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1053106271333859328"
  },
  {
   "id": "1053106271333859328",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T02:11:15+00:00",
   "text": "@normonics @TheAliceSmith How far is that away from social darwinism?  How can a young person have a chance at getting ahead without resorting to physical violence, in say, year 2100 if we were to stop all taxation and economic regulation beyond what is minimally required to support law-enforcement?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053106271333859328",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1053105065312075776"
  },
  {
   "id": "1053105065312075776",
   "created_at": "2018-10-19T02:06:27+00:00",
   "text": "@normonics @TheAliceSmith An unregulated market seems to inspire hard work and creativity.  But unregulated free-market economies, like many social systems, allow the winners to 'take all'.  Imagine a society without anti-trust laws or any kind of minimal safety-net for people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1053105065312075776",
   "word_count": 40,
   "in_reply_to": "1053026307045543941"
  },
  {
   "id": "1052754137119711237",
   "created_at": "2018-10-18T02:52:00+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/UjzlKn56A1\nMaking Fermi Estimates and checking them is actually a ton of fun.  How is this not like an entire university class?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1052754137119711237",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1052750176358678528",
   "created_at": "2018-10-18T02:36:15+00:00",
   "text": "We could be so much more powerful and successful if only we relegated our egos & supported each other more.  I bet I could produce the economic value of 3+ people if I had an executive assistant to deal with mundane troubles so I could dive deeper into a specialty.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1052750176358678528",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1052589435500593153",
   "created_at": "2018-10-17T15:57:32+00:00",
   "text": "Insofar as we can avoid confusing ourselves with additional reasoning and given no time/energy restraints, how much should we allow ourselves to strategize? How far should we go down the rabbit hole of decision trees? We should go infinitely deep.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1052589435500593153",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1052048248607789057",
   "created_at": "2018-10-16T04:07:03+00:00",
   "text": "Uni classes should have more assignments which deliver proof-of-work for students. What can I do w/ small assignments after completion? Nothing. Big projects/papers, on the other hand, are at least often worth putting out there for the world to see.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1052048248607789057",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1052043660479660033",
   "created_at": "2018-10-16T03:48:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @voxdotcom: 1/ If you worry about the big challenges we face —  global poverty, climate change, large-scale factory farming, pandemics —…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1052043660479660033",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1052041314727006208",
   "created_at": "2018-10-16T03:39:30+00:00",
   "text": "@robinhanson As a student in philosophy now (I know, I am such an expert /s) I agree.  I like Paul Graham's take on it: https://t.co/Vlpr9rTmp0.  He doesn't argue precisely what you are arguing, but he offers a healthy condemnation that traditional philosophy needs.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1052041314727006208",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1052024652669816832"
  },
  {
   "id": "1052026233201016834",
   "created_at": "2018-10-16T02:39:34+00:00",
   "text": "Might I add I think they will condemn our general lackadaisical attitudes relating to formalized value-reflection, goal-setting, and goal-tracking. Despite what was at stake, most of us only gave these a sliver of our attention. https://t.co/qGI0V107ZI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1052026233201016834",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1052015086305509377",
   "created_at": "2018-10-16T01:55:16+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/Vlpr9rTmp0\nA down-to-earth article about \"How to Do Philosophy\" by P. Graham. Lot's of philosophy is not even wrong, but as he writes, \"Philosophy (the attempt to discover the most general truths) is as young now as math was in 1500. There is a lot more to discover.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1052015086305509377",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "1051999125716258816",
   "created_at": "2018-10-16T00:51:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @yannick___m: Basic line of argument for the importance of shaping the far future and reducing existential risk, outlined by Nick Beckst…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1051999125716258816",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1051958213330067456",
   "created_at": "2018-10-15T22:09:17+00:00",
   "text": "@Naija_PR Huge asteroid incoming",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1051958213330067456",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1050075260459130881"
  },
  {
   "id": "1051926492215746560",
   "created_at": "2018-10-15T20:03:14+00:00",
   "text": "@keithfrankish Nick Beckstead's thesis 'On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future';\nSam Harris's book \"Lying\"; William MacAskill's book \"Doing Good Better\",\nand the general principle of expected utility maximization.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1051926492215746560",
   "word_count": 31,
   "in_reply_to": "1051222748251467777"
  },
  {
   "id": "1051132983980253185",
   "created_at": "2018-10-13T15:30:07+00:00",
   "text": "RT @mizroba: Thomas Nagel on Death\nhttps://t.co/qy9nEBwRp1 https://t.co/84Lmxn5fbn",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1051132983980253185",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1050875568961523712",
   "created_at": "2018-10-12T22:27:14+00:00",
   "text": "We can hate hypocrisy, but it's not evidence in most cases that an argument is wrong.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050875568961523712",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1050757644607246337",
   "created_at": "2018-10-12T14:38:39+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock The sort of information that could plausibly be discovered that yields it is more than unlikely the case that there generally are deleterious consequences to asking \"What sort of information could change one's mind about X\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050757644607246337",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1050742076407734272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1050710738958987264",
   "created_at": "2018-10-12T11:32:16+00:00",
   "text": "@joesmith323 @GarettJones He did.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050710738958987264",
   "word_count": 4,
   "in_reply_to": "1050403646481952768"
  },
  {
   "id": "1050710095330496512",
   "created_at": "2018-10-12T11:29:42+00:00",
   "text": "@GarettJones Is that all it takes to win a Nobel prize? Not to be too vain, but I had that entire thought last year. I guess I should look into economics.\n\nWould Romer agree we want to mine a lot more intellectual ideas via carefully genetically engineering people to be more intelligent?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050710095330496512",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1050402098012139521"
  },
  {
   "id": "1050602584635924482",
   "created_at": "2018-10-12T04:22:30+00:00",
   "text": "Covering natural selection in biology today inspired me to write a recursive script which tries to run random mutations of itself. Decided not to run the script though, ya know, because of the unsolved value alignment problem. Definitely not because of errors.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050602584635924482",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1050585973938110465",
   "created_at": "2018-10-12T03:16:29+00:00",
   "text": "What sort of information could change my mind about belief X? Where should I expect to find this information? We should be asking ourselves this a lot more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050585973938110465",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1050580697700855810",
   "created_at": "2018-10-12T02:55:31+00:00",
   "text": "Должен признаться, что изучаю русский язык.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050580697700855810",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1050569478185111553",
   "created_at": "2018-10-12T02:10:56+00:00",
   "text": "So many moral theories are not even coherent. Ethics is grounded in the physical and mathematical laws of our universe. It's inseparable from it. Any ethical theory that isn't self-consistent must admit to being only a potentially useful heuristic.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050569478185111553",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1050196276837535744",
   "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:58+00:00",
   "text": "I felt like a million $ during this time period until the reality set in that I was still 45 upper-level credits from my BA.  That's when I finally thought about West Point and decided to apply. /storyComplete",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050196276837535744",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1050196273150738432"
  },
  {
   "id": "1050196273150738432",
   "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:57+00:00",
   "text": "and validated like 50+ semester hours worth of college over the next 2 weeks (15 credit hours in one long day). Talk about a self-esteem boost for a kid who didn't do so hot academically his last 2 years of high school. https://t.co/YTdZm2q0QS",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050196273150738432",
   "word_count": 43,
   "in_reply_to": "1050196261251485699"
  },
  {
   "id": "1050196261251485699",
   "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:55+00:00",
   "text": "And passed! Not tooting my own horn too much--these tests were multiple choice and I think one needed like a 70% to pass.  Anyway, long story short, ya boy road a wave of euphoria for the next two weeks as he passed test after test,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050196261251485699",
   "word_count": 45,
   "in_reply_to": "1050196259758383104"
  },
  {
   "id": "1050196259758383104",
   "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:54+00:00",
   "text": "I wanted to take another, but I couldn't miss work that much. After much searching, I eventually found a testing center that was open outside of my work hours.  ~50 mins away in Norfolk. So I signed up for two more, drove their after work,  and took some tests until like 2100...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050196259758383104",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1050196257275305986"
  },
  {
   "id": "1050196257275305986",
   "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:54+00:00",
   "text": "'DANTES' college course validation exams--for free.  I asked my chain-of-command if I could miss work for a few hours to take an exam at the local testing center, and they said yes.  Signed up to validate one, studied a bit, and passed! A semesters worth of effort saved!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050196257275305986",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1050196255568203777"
  },
  {
   "id": "1050196255568203777",
   "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:53+00:00",
   "text": "but I was so far away from senior enlisted positions or becoming an officer. I signed up for a college class online, but hated how long it was going to take me to get a degree and reach my goals.  One day, I discovered I could take College Board's CLEP and",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050196255568203777",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1050196253764665344"
  },
  {
   "id": "1050196253764665344",
   "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:53+00:00",
   "text": "Happy innocent success story: So when I got out of Army dive school, I went to my first unit in Virginia. I wanted to keep the momentum of success going; I liked work, but I felt a little stymied.I really wanted to have more responsibility and to have a bigger impact in the Army,",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050196253764665344",
   "word_count": 54
  },
  {
   "id": "1050179226865987584",
   "created_at": "2018-10-11T00:20:13+00:00",
   "text": "Sometimes we must stop & imagine how people from different possible futures are going to condemn us. One perspective: \"they literally knew of the capabilities of genetic engineering but were too scared of potential downsides to even really consider if it would be worth it.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050179226865987584",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1050172221107388417",
   "created_at": "2018-10-10T23:52:23+00:00",
   "text": "We oft do ourselves a disservice when we do not allow ourselves to acknowledge the multiple feelings/perspectives pulling on us.  Surely \"part of me thinks\" is more fitting some of the time than \"I think\". Our lack of subtlety blinds us to what our intuition really knows.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050172221107388417",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1050166591273533442",
   "created_at": "2018-10-10T23:30:01+00:00",
   "text": "@simongerman600 People are allowed to be hypocritical. This photographer may not have been able to do this if not for expected $.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050166591273533442",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "1050077265298681856"
  },
  {
   "id": "1050164367076065281",
   "created_at": "2018-10-10T23:21:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sciam: Science funding is broken and the way we pay for science does not encourage the best results. Here are 9 ways we are doing it wr…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050164367076065281",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1050089738697404418",
   "created_at": "2018-10-10T18:24:38+00:00",
   "text": "@annemscheel @hardsci X=save a life or results at least are expected to pay for themselves\nY=.2\nIf N,P=0,0, that shouldn't affect true altruists, but high N and P's (N>10,P>100) can really make a hypothesis interesting insofar as we are motivated by status.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050089738697404418",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1050079548581261312"
  },
  {
   "id": "1050065417593675776",
   "created_at": "2018-10-10T16:47:59+00:00",
   "text": "@annemscheel @hardsci I'll venture a guess and say the most interesting hypotheses: (1) have an impact greater than X if true (2) I assign them a prior probability for them being true between Y and 1-Y (3) Have been overlooked by N scientists (4) P people will care about the results",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1050065417593675776",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1049597745730850818"
  },
  {
   "id": "1049831656343900160",
   "created_at": "2018-10-10T01:19:06+00:00",
   "text": "RT @seanmcarroll: Love this interactive timeline of philosophical ideas. Not only to you get the ideas, but linkages showing who agreed/dis…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049831656343900160",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1049481741759643648",
   "created_at": "2018-10-09T02:08:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @devonzuegel: \"The more severe the imposition of the single hierarchy in people’s lives, the more likely they are to engage in conflict…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049481741759643648",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1049467539808505860",
   "created_at": "2018-10-09T01:12:14+00:00",
   "text": "Eliezer Yudkosky on ethical inhibitions:\nhttps://t.co/THsAMTNY9M https://t.co/KG31rshREB",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049467539808505860",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1049442259010289670",
   "created_at": "2018-10-08T23:31:46+00:00",
   "text": "@mizroba Well my only real-world obligation at this point was to show up to school and pass my classes!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049442259010289670",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "1049429311009288192"
  },
  {
   "id": "1049440137204109312",
   "created_at": "2018-10-08T23:23:21+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/da7aDKsG9k.\nFrom a nice breakdown of decision theory. https://t.co/0bDTCQevrY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049440137204109312",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1049425171361218561",
   "created_at": "2018-10-08T22:23:52+00:00",
   "text": "When the (instrumental) goal of my life was to get fit: https://t.co/n9MRFyfmPc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049425171361218561",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1049406831737675776",
   "created_at": "2018-10-08T21:11:00+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/bApUEhHerS\nThe threat of universal unilateralism has been on my mind for a bit. Thankfully, Phil Torres has already outlined it nicely. https://t.co/s9aGhJEcYx",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049406831737675776",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1049394755896008704",
   "created_at": "2018-10-08T20:23:01+00:00",
   "text": "Once machine learning algorithms get good enough at predicting people's behavior, we might need to adopt a form of Flipism, and purposely bring entropy into some of our decisions to stay ahead.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049394755896008704",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1049372935897722880",
   "created_at": "2018-10-08T18:56:18+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/nrcqDr5VFA\nWhat's safer, a future libertarian world filled with much more powerful agents, some of whom are radical negative utilitarians, or a world ran by a singleton AI? Certainly depends on technical details; it's not immediately clear to me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049372935897722880",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1049350237125574657",
   "created_at": "2018-10-08T17:26:07+00:00",
   "text": "If only most of us thought a little bit harder and longer about which career path we should take...good thing 80,000 Hours has. https://t.co/4frGmWrOzn",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049350237125574657",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1049342880375099393",
   "created_at": "2018-10-08T16:56:53+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/xfo54phtli\nThe \"Intuitions\" Behind \"Utilitarianism\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049342880375099393",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1049154351019831296",
   "created_at": "2018-10-08T04:27:44+00:00",
   "text": "@Fake_Name1234 @reasonisfun That's not a violation of expected utility if you assign negative utility on continued living. And having to invoke a right to justify that muddles the issue to me. Do I want to live in a world where people are generally forced to live longer than they want to? No.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049154351019831296",
   "word_count": 52,
   "in_reply_to": "1049148819831541760"
  },
  {
   "id": "1049136602138779649",
   "created_at": "2018-10-08T03:17:12+00:00",
   "text": "RT @hankgreen: Retweet this if you are going to vote every single chance you get until you're dead.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049136602138779649",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1049063172441890819",
   "created_at": "2018-10-07T22:25:25+00:00",
   "text": "@nntaleb This seems like a good rule of thumb, but there simply is not enough information processing here to ensure this is what ethical behavior actually looks like. What if you find out from your friend that they have plans to release smallpox into the population? You can't act on that?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1049063172441890819",
   "word_count": 51,
   "in_reply_to": "1048893489541472257"
  },
  {
   "id": "1048989565518843904",
   "created_at": "2018-10-07T17:32:56+00:00",
   "text": "@reasonisfun The best we can do in many optimization problems is approximate.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1048989565518843904",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1048824896741101569"
  },
  {
   "id": "1048706783374729217",
   "created_at": "2018-10-06T22:49:15+00:00",
   "text": "What quality of human beings could we most easily alter via genetic engineering to significantly increase net expected quality of life in the future?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1048706783374729217",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1048695897725554688",
   "created_at": "2018-10-06T22:06:00+00:00",
   "text": "@ilichcarGramsci I included \"... at least try to\" because by one definition, any thinking we do is within our psycho-social frame of reference. Do you agree that whatever actual (optimal) ethical action (we'll call 'x') for a situation 'y' is going to be counter-intuitive in many situations 'y's?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1048695897725554688",
   "word_count": 48,
   "in_reply_to": "1048572808987590656"
  },
  {
   "id": "1048689363922706434",
   "created_at": "2018-10-06T21:40:02+00:00",
   "text": "@reasonisfun https://t.co/fY40nCq2MY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1048689363922706434",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1047869653551382529"
  },
  {
   "id": "1047856047707377665",
   "created_at": "2018-10-04T14:28:44+00:00",
   "text": "I can't see how one can be confident in blanket ethical claims by only invoking rights/social phenomena. Must go deeper. Must use physics, information theory, Bayesian probability, expected utility, and at least try to get outside our psycho-social frames of reference.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1047856047707377665",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1047654871367933952",
   "created_at": "2018-10-04T01:09:20+00:00",
   "text": "Applied ethics question: Say there is an autonomous car with two 30-year-old passengers.  Unpredictably, an immovable object is dropped in ahead, & it must swerve to avoid p(death)=60% each. If they swerve, they'll hit one of two motorcyclists:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1047654871367933952",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1047641508663443457",
   "created_at": "2018-10-04T00:16:14+00:00",
   "text": "No one benefits when you keep a strong belief, like your religion or ethical beliefs strictly to yourself. If you're right, you're denying others important, life-sustaining knowledge; if you are wrong, you're not giving yourself a chance to be exposed to new evidence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1047641508663443457",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1047617247500537857",
   "created_at": "2018-10-03T22:39:50+00:00",
   "text": "@Ol_Wall @fermatslibrary I found my mistake. Code checks out.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1047617247500537857",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1047481256143798272"
  },
  {
   "id": "1047551036955742208",
   "created_at": "2018-10-03T18:16:44+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/4Gba7at7So",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1047551036955742208",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1047343167228563457",
   "created_at": "2018-10-03T04:30:44+00:00",
   "text": "RT @devonzuegel: I feel *very* disproportionately good about myself for bringing a reusable bag to the market\n\nis this how moral licensing…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1047343167228563457",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1047343064518471680",
   "created_at": "2018-10-03T04:30:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Effect_Altruism: Vox's Ezra Klein has a clever strategy for maintaining his vegan identity, and EA writer Tobias Leenaert sums it up he…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1047343064518471680",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1047338599782539264",
   "created_at": "2018-10-03T04:12:35+00:00",
   "text": "Wrote a sick plea for sentence reduction for a friend who is getting an alcohol board here.  Confident it can reduce their hours from ~80 to 40.  Let's see how it plays out.  #BarracksLawyer #8thAmendment #RehabilitationJusticeDeterrence",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1047338599782539264",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1047336410368409600",
   "created_at": "2018-10-03T04:03:53+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/H3hYgvyzBg\nFascinating idea.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1047336410368409600",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "1047088110167871488",
   "created_at": "2018-10-02T11:37:14+00:00",
   "text": "@DragonGod2718 Really? Both Oppenheimer and Krishna in the Bhagavad Gita use the format I use.  https://t.co/tPzhuKJsCy",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1047088110167871488",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1046949808991326208"
  },
  {
   "id": "1046854715852673026",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T20:09:48+00:00",
   "text": "@DylanSlagh To the extent that a negative utilitarian thinks that extinction is morally desirable, a negative utilitarian who is aware of s-risks (and how bad life could possibly get) probably prefers extinction more.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046854715852673026",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1046843014210080769"
  },
  {
   "id": "1046829555636408320",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T18:29:49+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg That's fair. That's what a proper scale would look like. I just feel that most people's independent conception of '-3 could not be made up with most people's insependent conception of '3' on a wellbeing scale from -10 to 10. But a proper scale would account for that.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046829555636408320",
   "word_count": 49,
   "in_reply_to": "1046827167794024448"
  },
  {
   "id": "1046825329967468545",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T18:13:02+00:00",
   "text": "Negative utiliarianism and awareness of s-risks seems to be an information hazard.  Let's hope this specific argument doesn't become too salient to anyone too powerful too soon. Let's philosophize for at least a hundred more years before we disgard our cosmic endowment.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046825329967468545",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1046822171727806464",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T18:00:29+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/ZathBHqUWG\nExistential risks != extinction risks.  Possible futures include more than just utopias and ones devoid of life/qualia.  Suffering-risks (s-risks) are the risks of futures which are long and hellish.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046822171727806464",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "1046816913240854529",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T17:39:35+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg https://t.co/kBPQGxc30a\nI don't think negative utilitarians are being fair though if they do not factor in the probabilities of exceptionally positive outcomes like the one Nick Bostrom writes about in the link.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046816913240854529",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1046748277385965569"
  },
  {
   "id": "1046816455029936128",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T17:37:46+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg I do feel that any units of suffering are basically logarithmic i.e. you need somebody to experience a well-being of +7 to make up for someone experiencing suffering of a degree of -2,  or +20 for -3.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046816455029936128",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1046748277385965569"
  },
  {
   "id": "1046815293245464576",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T17:33:09+00:00",
   "text": "@jprwg I have not read up enough on negative-utilitarianism, but I agree that increasing the risk of extinction does sound like a way to prevent expected suffering.  A huge question is what degree of wellbeing is necessary to make up for a particular magnitude of suffering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046815293245464576",
   "word_count": 46,
   "in_reply_to": "1046748277385965569"
  },
  {
   "id": "1046811959667167233",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T17:19:54+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/LcjwpTYPgk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046811959667167233",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1046800801895788545",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T16:35:34+00:00",
   "text": "@normonics My prior probability is low for there being unforeseen events that are bad enough to make it not worth ending malaria.  We should at least be creating a research committee to try to really answer the question of  \"should we\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046800801895788545",
   "word_count": 41,
   "in_reply_to": "1046772796465057792"
  },
  {
   "id": "1046799455801016320",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T16:30:13+00:00",
   "text": "@normonics Nature surely has multiple points of equilibrium.  No one is saying making mosquitos extinct won't bump us out of our current one, and have black swan downsides.  But we certainly aren't living in a perfect point of equilibrium now (e.g. millions of DALY's caused by Malaria).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046799455801016320",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1046772796465057792"
  },
  {
   "id": "1046743027904122881",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T12:46:00+00:00",
   "text": "You don't have to be a traditional utilitarian to get behind the existential-risk argument. https://t.co/bdeghNbssd",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046743027904122881",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1046582827557572610",
   "created_at": "2018-10-01T02:09:25+00:00",
   "text": "Now I am become Bayes, the predictor of worlds.\n\n^^ My thoughts after biking for 85 miles this weekend while listening to Yudkowsky for most of it. https://t.co/5P7AdGsH1c",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1046582827557572610",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1045725663188127744",
   "created_at": "2018-09-28T17:23:21+00:00",
   "text": "Got to meet @jockowillink himself, who inspired me to #getAfterIt and come to West Point. https://t.co/yLYvEfSb4c",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1045725663188127744",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1045083975503532032",
   "created_at": "2018-09-26T22:53:31+00:00",
   "text": "RT @TheStoicEmperor: A friend is someone you can share your incomplete thoughts with.\n\nPeople need a private space where they can speak and…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1045083975503532032",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1044987198481862656",
   "created_at": "2018-09-26T16:28:57+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Effect_Altruism: 35 years ago today, a Soviet nuclear warning system alerted officer Stanislav Petrov to an incoming American attack. H…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1044987198481862656",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1044934521655840768",
   "created_at": "2018-09-26T12:59:38+00:00",
   "text": "@JoshuaBowen_100 If GEN Schwarzkopf is true, it sounds like ethicists are generally wasting their time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1044934521655840768",
   "word_count": 15,
   "in_reply_to": "1044923441978191872"
  },
  {
   "id": "1044762322764517377",
   "created_at": "2018-09-26T01:35:23+00:00",
   "text": "Things we need to separate in ethics discussion: How an ethical supercomputer could decide ethical action and shortcuts we can safely use to decide ethical action when we have different levels of moral intelligence and cognitive resources available.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1044762322764517377",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1044754774984458240",
   "created_at": "2018-09-26T01:05:23+00:00",
   "text": "Any doubts about even our most precious beliefs should be ruthlessly pursued. After all, who wants to have wrong beliefs they're uncertain about? Everyone wants correct beliefs that we can hold with minimal cognitive dissonance. But this comes at a price- we must ruthlessly doubt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1044754774984458240",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1044753666895466497",
   "created_at": "2018-09-26T01:00:59+00:00",
   "text": "You don't have to neglect your human psychology in the pursuit of aggregative utility. A Bayesian approach does not ignore the limited attention span and fallibilities of our minds. No philosophy for rational decision-making prescribes ignoring possible evidence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1044753666895466497",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1044753663418355713"
  },
  {
   "id": "1044737372213129216",
   "created_at": "2018-09-25T23:56:14+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/QDOPVanXk6\nGreat article. Looking forward to listening to the book \"The Doomsday Machine\" behind it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1044737372213129216",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1043970477063098368",
   "created_at": "2018-09-23T21:08:52+00:00",
   "text": "Got a 10k PR! And 13/66th against the collegiate guys. Back to the grind now. https://t.co/f5Dk9OjMs3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1043970477063098368",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "1043269927833137153",
   "created_at": "2018-09-21T22:45:08+00:00",
   "text": "I freaking love Eliezer Yudkowsky's Rationality from AI to Zombies.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1043269927833137153",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1042978566009438208",
   "created_at": "2018-09-21T03:27:22+00:00",
   "text": "Literally any 'problem' one finds in a particular Bayesian-ethical line of reasoning is just a new probability and utility to account for, and does not overthrow the only rational way to make decisions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1042978566009438208",
   "word_count": 33,
   "in_reply_to": "1042978563509481472"
  },
  {
   "id": "1042978563509481472",
   "created_at": "2018-09-21T03:27:21+00:00",
   "text": "It's a relief to find published ethics papers based on Bayesian Decision Theory.  It's been so frustrating discussing ethics because I'll bring in probability and cost into the discussion and just get dismissed as a 'utilitarian' like I'm just some kind of cold-hearted idiot.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1042978563509481472",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1042931577666392065",
   "created_at": "2018-09-21T00:20:39+00:00",
   "text": "RT @TheAnnaGat: When I turned 30 I made a resolution that whenever something is linguistically and technically comprehensible to me, I must…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1042931577666392065",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1042855005630472196",
   "created_at": "2018-09-20T19:16:23+00:00",
   "text": "Is there a word for having to accept a belief because you just do not have the available cognitive resources to hold it in suspense?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1042855005630472196",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1042784053479530497",
   "created_at": "2018-09-20T14:34:26+00:00",
   "text": "My id just wants to train like a pro-triathlete (including 10 hours sleep a night) and do https://t.co/FLYXnkZfBL problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1042784053479530497",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1042573338185551872",
   "created_at": "2018-09-20T00:37:08+00:00",
   "text": "Fastest publically available prime sieve: https://t.co/XG15dHOa5S\nFinds the first 1 billion primes within 5 seconds on my computer.  Software is power.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1042573338185551872",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1042483005640646657",
   "created_at": "2018-09-19T18:38:11+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Effect_Altruism: It's difficult to predict the future, especially in the very long-term. However, there are good moral arguments to pri…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1042483005640646657",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1042211542865985537",
   "created_at": "2018-09-19T00:39:29+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/iy0icqEOkr",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1042211542865985537",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1042208669918801920",
   "created_at": "2018-09-19T00:28:04+00:00",
   "text": "@yannick___m Seems true from both a social Darwinism and an information theory, negentropy-preserving perspective.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1042208669918801920",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1042098155871981568"
  },
  {
   "id": "1041529557034119169",
   "created_at": "2018-09-17T03:29:31+00:00",
   "text": "RT @WPAOG: U.S. News & World Report ranks West Point #1 Top Public School in 2019 Best Colleges rankings. USMA also #4/Undergrad Engineerin…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1041529557034119169",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1041186679309193216",
   "created_at": "2018-09-16T04:47:03+00:00",
   "text": "Rather than play the lottery, I decided to fulfill my gambling desires by writing a few different Powerball simulations in Python. Turns out it's hard to win the Grand Prize even with 10million unique guesses every 2 seconds. Should expect to wait about 42 minutes to win...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1041186679309193216",
   "word_count": 47
  },
  {
   "id": "1040747752471322625",
   "created_at": "2018-09-14T23:42:55+00:00",
   "text": "Hence, normative ethical rules asserted without doubt are ridiculous",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1040747752471322625",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "1040747749501804545"
  },
  {
   "id": "1040747749501804545",
   "created_at": "2018-09-14T23:42:54+00:00",
   "text": "Moral/desirable action is probabilistic and determined via information processing. All prescriptive arm-chair ethicizing require a belief that one is 1) better at processing information and/or 2) has access to more information.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1040747749501804545",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "1040738751889195008",
   "created_at": "2018-09-14T23:07:09+00:00",
   "text": "@Intrinsic29 How could you do anything but change yourself and the world at any given moment?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1040738751889195008",
   "word_count": 16,
   "in_reply_to": "1040690266946981888"
  },
  {
   "id": "1040208843131834368",
   "created_at": "2018-09-13T12:01:29+00:00",
   "text": "My rendition of Joplin's \"Maple Leaf Rag\".  Spending hours learning piano definitely is not productive in the grand scheme of things, but that is already behind me, & playing for ~20 minutes every other week is less terrible. #checkmatePeterSinger\nhttps://t.co/ZsZGOu21xr",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1040208843131834368",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1039712261420605440",
   "created_at": "2018-09-12T03:08:14+00:00",
   "text": "Facilitated a talk on Cause Prioritization at my school! Was very rewarding and filled with interesting discussion. Love 80,000 Hours' Scale*Neglectedness*Solvability*PersonalFit model. https://t.co/UEmWZylZ3t",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1039712261420605440",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1039694129893179392",
   "created_at": "2018-09-12T01:56:11+00:00",
   "text": "Beautiful (very short) story about one of humanity's greatest successes. https://t.co/Y8Pi64KSzp",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1039694129893179392",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1039693339170406400",
   "created_at": "2018-09-12T01:53:03+00:00",
   "text": "I just really want to do as much good as possible.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1039693339170406400",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1039671714219732997",
   "created_at": "2018-09-12T00:27:07+00:00",
   "text": "GPI is asking the real questions:\nhttps://t.co/fRM2gWM8qC",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1039671714219732997",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1039286991526027264",
   "created_at": "2018-09-10T22:58:22+00:00",
   "text": "The intrinsically valuable thing I may be neglecting is maximizing Watts/CdA on the bike. https://t.co/qfuxP6yult",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1039286991526027264",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1039207250194325504",
   "created_at": "2018-09-10T17:41:30+00:00",
   "text": "@matthew_allcock I have a lot of uncertainty about courses of action in support of wellbeing, but I really cannot think of anything besides wellbeing that could have any intrinsic moral worth. But I'm open to new evidence!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1039207250194325504",
   "word_count": 37,
   "in_reply_to": "1039204320602992646"
  },
  {
   "id": "1039188208624578561",
   "created_at": "2018-09-10T16:25:50+00:00",
   "text": "@tferriss Doesn't mean I always want the distress gone.  It can be motivating.  If the distress goes away prematurely, I may not be molded by it properly.  It's not like I can always act perfectly rationally, without emotions like distress guiding me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1039188208624578561",
   "word_count": 42,
   "in_reply_to": "1039183762561662976"
  },
  {
   "id": "1039031600116318208",
   "created_at": "2018-09-10T06:03:32+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/NYtZtOeHZ2\nVery interesting rabbit-hole.  P(Heads)= 50%, but if she has to back up her degree of belief with a bet, she should be willing to bet any odds less than 2:1 it is tails.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1039031600116318208",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1038988057955975168",
   "created_at": "2018-09-10T03:10:31+00:00",
   "text": "I want to do my best to give my kids the opportunity to derive stuff themselves before they learn about it. e.g.\"How do you suppose we can estimate the number of squirrels in a forest?\" I'll give them plenty of time to figure this out before slowly guiding them towards an answer.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038988057955975168",
   "word_count": 52
  },
  {
   "id": "1038985544817106944",
   "created_at": "2018-09-10T03:00:31+00:00",
   "text": "Probabilistic primality testing is 🔥\n\nhttps://t.co/aDouEPOA09\n\nLove finding out about shortcuts, even if they are only \"good enough\".",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038985544817106944",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1038974128441708544",
   "created_at": "2018-09-10T02:15:10+00:00",
   "text": "@DylanSlagh Appreciate that! That cleared things up. I am more confident in my claim. Of course a perfectly random bit string could be the same as any bit string that has been able to be effectively compressed.  My confusion stemmed from there being two definitions of randomness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038974128441708544",
   "word_count": 47,
   "in_reply_to": "1038964939132727298"
  },
  {
   "id": "1038963084147269633",
   "created_at": "2018-09-10T01:31:16+00:00",
   "text": "RT @naval: A future society may support overclocking brilliant young scientists with mental performance enhancing drugs to get more scienti…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038963084147269633",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1038962632890478592",
   "created_at": "2018-09-10T01:29:29+00:00",
   "text": "It's amazing how nice life can get once some cognitive dissonance goes away.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038962632890478592",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1038955529756962819",
   "created_at": "2018-09-10T01:01:15+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nntaleb: Principles of Politics under Complexity\n\n(Thread) https://t.co/VszqPkjFdQ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038955529756962819",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1038925752723546113",
   "created_at": "2018-09-09T23:02:56+00:00",
   "text": "Let's say you get ridiculously, 1 in 3^3^3 universes lucky, and end up with a data string of a lot of repeating bytes. You are telling me you couldn't compress that random data, a little bit, at all?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038925752723546113",
   "word_count": 38,
   "in_reply_to": "1038925750542450688"
  },
  {
   "id": "1038925750542450688",
   "created_at": "2018-09-09T23:02:55+00:00",
   "text": "The idea that random data is incompressible, period, is bugging me. Forget the Kolmogorov definition of randomness. Say you get your data by measuring the time of particle decays. That's random data, isn't it?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038925750542450688",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1038893697964941312",
   "created_at": "2018-09-09T20:55:33+00:00",
   "text": "RT @DylanSlagh: Wow, easily one of the best @80000Hours episodes yet. I’ve never thought a podcast could inspire me to find the bottleneck…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038893697964941312",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1038853757155639302",
   "created_at": "2018-09-09T18:16:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @TheAnnaGat: Make sure you're fully mindful of the fact that:\n\nYou live in a unique, loud, exciting, intellectually complicated and stim…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038853757155639302",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1038838142047010816",
   "created_at": "2018-09-09T17:14:48+00:00",
   "text": "Looking forward to one day, reliably having decent internet. And toilet paper. And cell coverage. And the means to cook my own food. And not having my pay check be spent on things I don't use. And being able to walk while I talk to my family on the phone.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038838142047010816",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1038538587711647745",
   "created_at": "2018-09-08T21:24:29+00:00",
   "text": "Surprisingly disappointing swim time, but happy with the rest. https://t.co/aSDamTy5V0",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038538587711647745",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1038177881992638464",
   "created_at": "2018-09-07T21:31:10+00:00",
   "text": "Get heads, you step towards the edge; get tails, you step away.  What is P(falling off cliff)? 32%.  I simulated this 10,000 times with Python because I didn't believe it when I heard it. There is no coming back from extinction folks. 2/2",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038177881992638464",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1038177324716445703",
   "created_at": "2018-09-07T21:28:57+00:00",
   "text": "Learned about how risk of ruin is surprisingly high at a science of blackjack lecture last night.  Say you are 10 steps away from stepping off a cliff and you must flip a coin 100 times. 1/n",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1038177324716445703",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1037537412874993664",
   "created_at": "2018-09-06T03:06:10+00:00",
   "text": "Notice a mistake you make on a regular basis? You might want to nip it in the bud. Imagine how many mistakes that are plaguing you that you aren't aware of (yet). #fuckAkrasia",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1037537412874993664",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1037536709892866049",
   "created_at": "2018-09-06T03:03:22+00:00",
   "text": "I love seeing the mind's innocence in mistakes. It's just trying to do it's best and it's adorable to see it trying to open the house door with a car key fob.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1037536709892866049",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1035501628521099264",
   "created_at": "2018-08-31T12:16:41+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/PRQu9McwzG\nOne of the few emails I regularly get that I appreciate.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1035501628521099264",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1034644931871162368",
   "created_at": "2018-08-29T03:32:29+00:00",
   "text": "Listened to 30% of Rationa... by .... Try #Audible and get it free: https://t.co/Rs4vmdQi4j\nLove this book so far.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1034644931871162368",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1034642020571201537",
   "created_at": "2018-08-29T03:20:55+00:00",
   "text": "Thinking about going into banking down the road and funding a couple researchers to work on an important, tractable, & neglected problem.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1034642020571201537",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1034638919994884097",
   "created_at": "2018-08-29T03:08:35+00:00",
   "text": "This is the best I have felt about the world in months.  A lot of people are doing a lot of good for the world, and I am on track to being one of those people.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1034638919994884097",
   "word_count": 36
  },
  {
   "id": "1034628742860165120",
   "created_at": "2018-08-29T02:28:09+00:00",
   "text": "RT @80000Hours: The US incarcerates so many people (more than any other country except maybe North Korea!) that imprisoning a few more or l…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1034628742860165120",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1034522589224468480",
   "created_at": "2018-08-28T19:26:20+00:00",
   "text": "Mail rooms could be much more efficient. Instead of ~2 people retrieving packages for many people in line, why not just have all the packages emplaced (sorted still) in an open wearhouse, 1 exit, open the doors to people, & have 1 person making sure packages matched IDs @ exit?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1034522589224468480",
   "word_count": 50
  },
  {
   "id": "1034479079804882944",
   "created_at": "2018-08-28T16:33:26+00:00",
   "text": "@warrenbuffet99 Why be humble? I am not saying you (fake account) are wrong, but giving reasons would strengthen your argument.  \"Bragging does less to strengthen social bonds then it does to make others envious/hateful of you.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1034479079804882944",
   "word_count": 36,
   "in_reply_to": "1034458540809715712"
  },
  {
   "id": "1034235949906108422",
   "created_at": "2018-08-28T00:27:20+00:00",
   "text": "+1 internet points if you can correctly guess correctly what I am alluding to. https://t.co/CGr9hO7E3a",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1034235949906108422",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "1034224162460581889",
   "created_at": "2018-08-27T23:40:29+00:00",
   "text": "It's the perfect schedule. https://t.co/hT7E4n2ED6",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1034224162460581889",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1034222290018304000",
   "created_at": "2018-08-27T23:33:03+00:00",
   "text": "Part of me just wants to live as a pro triathlete and solve https://t.co/FLYXnlgQtj problems when I am not training.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1034222290018304000",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1034217336318771200",
   "created_at": "2018-08-27T23:13:22+00:00",
   "text": "Had a lot of fun at my 1st sprint triathlon. https://t.co/2SLKtMVFoT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1034217336318771200",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1033924711066075136",
   "created_at": "2018-08-27T03:50:35+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/jxgrsKnEpH\nWould love to work in this field.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1033924711066075136",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1033500638850834433",
   "created_at": "2018-08-25T23:45:28+00:00",
   "text": "The only thing that matters morally is how good an outcome is. #fundamentalConsequentialistIntuition #TobyOrd",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1033500638850834433",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1033459166726291460",
   "created_at": "2018-08-25T21:00:40+00:00",
   "text": "Love GiveWell's method for cost-effective analysis. https://t.co/TuCT8YQDRA",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1033459166726291460",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "1033157169351413761",
   "created_at": "2018-08-25T01:00:38+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/4pLetVE6nW",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1033157169351413761",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1032454028465250304",
   "created_at": "2018-08-23T02:26:37+00:00",
   "text": "Another solid day at WP. 3000 yd swim, wrote about a 1000 words on decision theory for phil, learned some powerful new probability ideas, learned 6 more Cyrillic letters, arranged for me to give a talk on cause prioritization next week, ran for :60, & met two new friends.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1032454028465250304",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1031705592790953984",
   "created_at": "2018-08-21T00:52:36+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/NcCxxkeZEc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1031705592790953984",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1031375249160527872",
   "created_at": "2018-08-20T02:59:56+00:00",
   "text": "Updated my faith of consequentialism's superiority by 5pts. https://t.co/VSzXVme1Pp",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1031375249160527872",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1031362501764673536",
   "created_at": "2018-08-20T02:09:16+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/ELZddnyRsx",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1031362501764673536",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1030640644564439040",
   "created_at": "2018-08-18T02:20:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @TheStoicEmperor: Reaction is the enemy of creation.\n\nCreation requires deep sustained focus.\n\nThis focus is under constant attack by \"n…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1030640644564439040",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1030472772718395393",
   "created_at": "2018-08-17T15:13:48+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nikkigladstone: A must read (as always) from @zeynep on how the use of digital technologies has transformed over the last decade, from…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1030472772718395393",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1030414797463072768",
   "created_at": "2018-08-17T11:23:26+00:00",
   "text": "We are way too good at rationalizing misery.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1030414797463072768",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1030046933400924160",
   "created_at": "2018-08-16T11:01:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ExistentialRisk: Special issue: Futures of Research in Catastrophic and Existential Risk\nhttps://t.co/UOxkqB5Xw4\nFutures of research in…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1030046933400924160",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1029762107909332995",
   "created_at": "2018-08-15T16:09:53+00:00",
   "text": "Seems like a great way to overcome resistance to donating. https://t.co/uKDYBk9VSw",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1029762107909332995",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1029755707598491648",
   "created_at": "2018-08-15T15:44:27+00:00",
   "text": "George RR Martin: ‘The battle between good and evil is a legitimate theme for a Fantasy...but in real life that battle is fought chiefly in the individual human heart...In real life, the hardest aspect of the battle between good and evil is determining which is which.’",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1029755707598491648",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1028789691997405189",
   "created_at": "2018-08-12T23:45:51+00:00",
   "text": "RT @DenisLaw_WFT: New breed of Crocodile discovered in South Wales woodland https://t.co/2gpIuNPjWS",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1028789691997405189",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1026961961517494272",
   "created_at": "2018-08-07T22:43:06+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/lbdsRQRzGn",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1026961961517494272",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1026903402071158785",
   "created_at": "2018-08-07T18:50:24+00:00",
   "text": "US should do this https://t.co/msN14eRNDO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1026903402071158785",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1026604961675673600",
   "created_at": "2018-08-06T23:04:30+00:00",
   "text": "@RyanHoliday And anyone who disagrees obviously isn't living a good life /s",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1026604961675673600",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "1026566089797500930"
  },
  {
   "id": "1026205949206380544",
   "created_at": "2018-08-05T20:38:58+00:00",
   "text": "Having a fit physique is the easiest way to show strangers that one is squared away. Don't get how so many people neglect it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1026205949206380544",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1026164133375488002",
   "created_at": "2018-08-05T17:52:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @WarintheFuture: Why mastering the profession of arms matters. https://t.co/DIgdeOpB9O",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1026164133375488002",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1026163934666076160",
   "created_at": "2018-08-05T17:52:01+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/4mpQWjPwtb\nGot to give AGI a fighting chance, right?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1026163934666076160",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1025805961724878848",
   "created_at": "2018-08-04T18:09:34+00:00",
   "text": "Would love to see stores stop selling junk food near the checkout lines.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1025805961724878848",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "1025792577956704256",
   "created_at": "2018-08-04T17:16:23+00:00",
   "text": "Not enough people talking about saving the cosmic endowment.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1025792577956704256",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1025543361799888896",
   "created_at": "2018-08-04T00:46:05+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/03GDT95JlL\nPast chapter in my life",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1025543361799888896",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "1025540328818913280",
   "created_at": "2018-08-04T00:34:02+00:00",
   "text": "It would be great to have caffeine with a shorter half life.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1025540328818913280",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "1025156054441709569",
   "created_at": "2018-08-02T23:07:04+00:00",
   "text": "If we are to have socialized medicine, we ought to tax garbage, micronutrient poor foods. Further, I think we should copy what we are doing to discourage cigarette smoking and mandate warnings be placed on the outside of such foods.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1025156054441709569",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "1025107461185986560",
   "created_at": "2018-08-02T19:53:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @USArmy: Making sure no Soldier is ever left behind.\n\nThe #USArmy is investing in new technology that can send a distress signal on a cl…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1025107461185986560",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "1024802744803065858",
   "created_at": "2018-08-01T23:43:08+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sciam: New research suggests that a General Dark Factor of Personality (D-factor) exists among the human population, and that this fact…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1024802744803065858",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1023944151266742273",
   "created_at": "2018-07-30T14:51:24+00:00",
   "text": "Wish airports could have gyms in them. We have a 3 hour layover and I would pay $25 to work out for an hour.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1023944151266742273",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "1023880733960617984",
   "created_at": "2018-07-30T10:39:24+00:00",
   "text": "A future life is worth more than a life now because future lives will probably be, on average, more subjectively rewarding.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1023880733960617984",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1023876635601317888",
   "created_at": "2018-07-30T10:23:07+00:00",
   "text": "What if airlines had green seats that you could only reserve if you donated money to a top effective charity? People could spend money just like they apparently want to for 1st class, but more good could actually be done and philanthropy could be socially recognized.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1023876635601317888",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1023875822904590336",
   "created_at": "2018-07-30T10:19:53+00:00",
   "text": "Don't understand how anyone could fly 1st class when it costs hundreds of dollars and that money could go so much further elsewhere.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1023875822904590336",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1023855337592553472",
   "created_at": "2018-07-30T08:58:29+00:00",
   "text": "Can't wait for rude TSA agents to be replaced by AI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1023855337592553472",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "1023851230391660546",
   "created_at": "2018-07-30T08:42:10+00:00",
   "text": "Tried to save money and have me and my girlfriend fit our stuff in 1 bag. Ended up being fined $100 for being 9lbs over. $125 for 1 bag versus $50 for 2. Thanks @AmericanAir for screwing over college students on a budget.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1023851230391660546",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1023615057383575552",
   "created_at": "2018-07-29T17:03:42+00:00",
   "text": "Why don't restaurant waiters just give the check when they give you the food? So far from optimal 👎",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1023615057383575552",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "1023374398126997504",
   "created_at": "2018-07-29T01:07:24+00:00",
   "text": "\"Caring is about doing the right thing even when you're not overwhelmed by emotion.\" -Nate Soares https://t.co/bj3kIGyNNY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1023374398126997504",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1023294670460383237",
   "created_at": "2018-07-28T19:50:35+00:00",
   "text": "Playing music in public on speakers without asking if anyone around you minds makes you a chach. No one wants to hear your shitty music.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1023294670460383237",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1022660307590758400",
   "created_at": "2018-07-27T01:49:52+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/YappwgC1MR\n\n\"Low-cost lives are not something to celebrate.They are a reminder that we live on an injured planet, where people suffer for no reason save poor luck..Drop your obligations. Don't try to help the world because you \"should.\" Just do what you want to do\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1022660307590758400",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "1022310195119226880",
   "created_at": "2018-07-26T02:38:38+00:00",
   "text": "RT @juliagalef: An intriguing proposal from a friend: Make education status into a protected class. Employers can no longer discriminate ba…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1022310195119226880",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1020400932713099265",
   "created_at": "2018-07-20T20:11:55+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/zIGhoQUyOR",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1020400932713099265",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1017754491947495424",
   "created_at": "2018-07-13T12:55:54+00:00",
   "text": "Love that my organization is actively interested in improving itself and is willing to have cadets perform surveys that will be evaluated by third parties. If we aren't facing potential harsh truths, we aren't growing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1017754491947495424",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1017754127152091136",
   "created_at": "2018-07-13T12:54:27+00:00",
   "text": "Love that my organization is actively interesting in improving itself and is willing to have cadets perform surveys and have them be evaluated by academic third parties.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1017754127152091136",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "1015070405856514050",
   "created_at": "2018-07-06T03:10:18+00:00",
   "text": "@TEDTalks I was literally thinking about the discovery of new pigments today. Neat coincidence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1015070405856514050",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "1014642395965743104"
  },
  {
   "id": "1014640910859210753",
   "created_at": "2018-07-04T22:43:38+00:00",
   "text": "@BobbieA10284800  https://t.co/AJVpOcrxeJ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1014640910859210753",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1013813044617580546"
  },
  {
   "id": "1014612078441697280",
   "created_at": "2018-07-04T20:49:04+00:00",
   "text": "@BobbieA10284800 Nick Bostrom puts it better than I can https://t.co/RaMN81VYc7",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1014612078441697280",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "1013965888419229696"
  },
  {
   "id": "1013944870166319113",
   "created_at": "2018-07-03T00:37:49+00:00",
   "text": "@BobbieA10284800 Why?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1013944870166319113",
   "word_count": 2,
   "in_reply_to": "1013813355822411778"
  },
  {
   "id": "1013813044617580546",
   "created_at": "2018-07-02T15:54:00+00:00",
   "text": "@BobbieA10284800 Who said it was only going to be a few people enjoying much greater lives?\nAre you arguing for human extinction right now?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1013813044617580546",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "1013649017505501184"
  },
  {
   "id": "1013592242555105280",
   "created_at": "2018-07-02T01:16:36+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/KcpOPthxmf\n\"Compared to any \"anti-akrasia technique\" ever proposed on LW or adjacent self-help blogs, joining a class works ridiculously well.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1013592242555105280",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1013567025556475910",
   "created_at": "2018-07-01T23:36:24+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/e5kd5mptzP\nWish I would have written this &  everyone would read this. I have not been content with antinatalism precisely because there are too many possible epic futures to ignore. Going to take more biology classes to help me go into computational biology.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1013567025556475910",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "1012871947946868737",
   "created_at": "2018-06-30T01:34:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @juliagalef: Things that make my heart sing:\n1. Pareto improvements\n2. People updating on evidence\n3. People cooperating in one-off pris…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1012871947946868737",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1012782499003592704",
   "created_at": "2018-06-29T19:38:59+00:00",
   "text": "“All ethical doctrines worth our attention take consequences\rinto account in judging rightness. One which did not would be irrational, crazy.”\n-John\rRawls, A Theory of Justice (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1971), 30.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1012782499003592704",
   "word_count": 34
  },
  {
   "id": "1012745813787856897",
   "created_at": "2018-06-29T17:13:12+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/sXg91KqScq\n\nGuide for \"Giving Games\", a way to teach charity evaluation and cause prioritization.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1012745813787856897",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "1012488859693846528",
   "created_at": "2018-06-29T00:12:09+00:00",
   "text": "Wouldn't it be great if America's national pastime was walking? We could get to know our neighbors better and get some extra exercise in. It would lighten all of our moods. Obesity and healthcare costs would go down. #walking",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1012488859693846528",
   "word_count": 39
  },
  {
   "id": "1012483690046394368",
   "created_at": "2018-06-28T23:51:37+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/tqgKdUkz8N\nMandatory listening for those unaffiliated with existential risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1012483690046394368",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1012472980901949440",
   "created_at": "2018-06-28T23:09:04+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/PUHVgIjCCS\nStartup advice",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1012472980901949440",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "1012092685883146241",
   "created_at": "2018-06-27T21:57:54+00:00",
   "text": "Tara Mac Aulay on the audacity to fix the world without asking permission by The 80,000 Hours Podcast.\nhttps://t.co/ckYozFSUQF\n\nLove this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1012092685883146241",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1011936005971116032",
   "created_at": "2018-06-27T11:35:19+00:00",
   "text": "Counterfactual thinking. A lot of us are not necessarily making the impact we think we are having. https://t.co/VbooT7eR4b",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1011936005971116032",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "1011725053623455744",
   "created_at": "2018-06-26T21:37:04+00:00",
   "text": "Found this in my Google Keep app; apparently I pocket-drew this. Good enough for the MOMA? https://t.co/8OsWx9XXpb",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1011725053623455744",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1011687901057478657",
   "created_at": "2018-06-26T19:09:26+00:00",
   "text": "My report for an open-ended assignment in my freshman math modeling class: https://t.co/XZmKEbg9UM\n\nBLUF: To better balance retention incentives and increase total servicemember compensation, the DOD can increase matching TSP contributions further at the expense of pensions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1011687901057478657",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "1011680936562495489",
   "created_at": "2018-06-26T18:41:46+00:00",
   "text": "A little bragging here. My team's Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling submission got a rating of Finalist (Top 11 of 3100+ teams).  Here's our paper we wrote over a period of 100 hours: https://t.co/S1vQYgEh8y",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1011680936562495489",
   "word_count": 33
  },
  {
   "id": "1011649248012718081",
   "created_at": "2018-06-26T16:35:50+00:00",
   "text": "From Moral Trade https://t.co/46RMEukjCG by Toby Ord. https://t.co/xWaGt3zbBk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1011649248012718081",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "1011633420068360193",
   "created_at": "2018-06-26T15:32:57+00:00",
   "text": "If you are stuck in an empty room with nothing but a (presumedly boring) math textbook, you are eventually going to be fervently reading that book. But before that book is going to be interesting, you are going to be deprived of dopamine. You are going to be bored.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1011633420068360193",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "1011623775522181120",
   "created_at": "2018-06-26T14:54:37+00:00",
   "text": "I just published “The Motivation-Enhancing Effects of Dopamine Restriction” https://t.co/mKsZyjZIUK",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1011623775522181120",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "1011588893500739585",
   "created_at": "2018-06-26T12:36:01+00:00",
   "text": "I asked a leatherworking shopkeeper I came across in Bath if he would punch another hole in my belt and it was literally no big deal.  Don't be afraid to ask; small favours increase the social glue that holds our societies together.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1011588893500739585",
   "word_count": 42
  },
  {
   "id": "1009334060039200768",
   "created_at": "2018-06-20T07:16:07+00:00",
   "text": "Post-workout morning naps are amazing",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1009334060039200768",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1008876647003709445",
   "created_at": "2018-06-19T00:58:31+00:00",
   "text": "Found my new list of essays to read 😀:https://t.co/2zRbKmTjPM",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1008876647003709445",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1008738937676935168",
   "created_at": "2018-06-18T15:51:18+00:00",
   "text": "Every day, your worth resets at zero. You\ncan't get points for what you did yesterday, not what you plan on doing later.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1008738937676935168",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1006028910377816064",
   "created_at": "2018-06-11T04:22:38+00:00",
   "text": "A part of me checks to see if this building is turning into gray goo whenever I drive by https://t.co/j8JeYPHbVD",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1006028910377816064",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1005502961894780928",
   "created_at": "2018-06-09T17:32:42+00:00",
   "text": "This suggests an offshoot moral project, namely to reshape the popular moral perception so as to give more credit and social approbation to those who devote their time and resources to benefiting humankind via global safety compared to other philanthropies\". /end",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1005502961894780928",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "1005502843695099905",
   "created_at": "2018-06-09T17:32:13+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/NdtAlLidHy\nMando reading.  \"Since [existential risks] don’t currently cause suffering in any living creature, there is less of a feel-good dividend to be derived from efforts that seek to reduce them. /1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1005502843695099905",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "1005486453621653507",
   "created_at": "2018-06-09T16:27:06+00:00",
   "text": "Why does every establishment insist on playing music? I just want to eat and work in quiet, unfettered...if I or anyone wanted to hear music, we could easily play it to ourselves with headphones 😡",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1005486453621653507",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1005455302580457472",
   "created_at": "2018-06-09T14:23:19+00:00",
   "text": "Sweet article on expected-utility: https://t.co/ScNzBGyxwX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1005455302580457472",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "1005419220186918913",
   "created_at": "2018-06-09T11:59:56+00:00",
   "text": "I would feel a lot better if there were a few underground, self-sufficient cities full of scientists that were ready to keep humanity alive and moving forward if the most catastrophic disasters were to occur.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1005419220186918913",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "1005410407434080256",
   "created_at": "2018-06-09T11:24:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @naval: How to Get Rich (without getting lucky):",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1005410407434080256",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "1005407582931111942",
   "created_at": "2018-06-09T11:13:41+00:00",
   "text": "RT @muneeb: The highest marginal utility of an hour spent is on the life dimension that you ignore the most.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1005407582931111942",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "1003120097748291584",
   "created_at": "2018-06-03T03:44:03+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/pk784REczG\n\"The utilitarian imperative ‘Maximize expected aggregate\nutility!’ can be simplified to the maxim ‘Minimize existential risk!’.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1003120097748291584",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "1003114894328201216",
   "created_at": "2018-06-03T03:23:22+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ESYudkowsky: \"But surely,\" they said, \"not even a superintelligence could escape an airgapped computer inside a Faraday cage with no hu…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1003114894328201216",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "1002861676369195008",
   "created_at": "2018-06-02T10:37:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @zeynep: YouTube is the top online platform for teens, says @pewinternet. Here's @alanburdick in the @newyorker on how YouTube's extremi…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1002861676369195008",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1002861176928251904",
   "created_at": "2018-06-02T10:35:11+00:00",
   "text": "RT @SJosephBurns: “If you're offended easily, you're a bad resource allocator. It's a waste of energy and attention, which is a greater sin…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1002861176928251904",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1002727932320722944",
   "created_at": "2018-06-02T01:45:43+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/OZDDwd8oxk",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1002727932320722944",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "1002364801610403840",
   "created_at": "2018-06-01T01:42:46+00:00",
   "text": "Why are all the strategic languages (Russian, Chinese, Arabic, Farsi) the hardest to learn? Perhaps part of the cause of tensions with those countries/cultures is the language distance.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1002364801610403840",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "1002335913094021120",
   "created_at": "2018-05-31T23:47:58+00:00",
   "text": "These users could vote by clicking to vote, and drawing their vector. The vectors are then added, and the new average vector with magnitude is displayed. This allows social media users to signal and receive social info with twice as much specificity as merely 'liking'. /end",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1002335913094021120",
   "word_count": 46
  },
  {
   "id": "1002335562945253378",
   "created_at": "2018-05-31T23:46:35+00:00",
   "text": "I have an idea for social media sites: experiment with two dimensional voting, where users vote by drawing vectors of magnitude 1 in a two-dimensional field of say, 'hilarity' and 'useful in the grand scheme of things'.  /1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1002335562945253378",
   "word_count": 38
  },
  {
   "id": "1002238251661496320",
   "created_at": "2018-05-31T17:19:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Keira_Havens: @Satirony #Gradschool should be entirely rethought - fun #gradstudents to replicate studies in their field for a year or…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1002238251661496320",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "1001147981586976768",
   "created_at": "2018-05-28T17:07:33+00:00",
   "text": "RT @votevets: This is the most inappropriate #MemorialDay comment that a @POTUS has ever made. Self-promotion on a day to remember the fall…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1001147981586976768",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "1000809096684228610",
   "created_at": "2018-05-27T18:40:57+00:00",
   "text": "The default in society is quietness. No one wants to hear your shitty music in public.  We believe in personal liberty so long that it does not infringe on the rights of others. Guess what, we all have a right to reasonable quietness. #TurnOffYourMusic",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1000809096684228610",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "1000782999917617152",
   "created_at": "2018-05-27T16:57:15+00:00",
   "text": "RT @fr3ino: Because of #GDPR, USA Today decided to run a separate version of their website for EU users, which has all the tracking scripts…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1000782999917617152",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "1000006577963831296",
   "created_at": "2018-05-25T13:32:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @elonmusk: Going to create a site where the public can rate the core truth of any article & track the credibility score over time of eac…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1000006577963831296",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "999718620027596801",
   "created_at": "2018-05-24T18:27:47+00:00",
   "text": "RT @juliagalef: An under appreciated benefit of avoiding snark is it makes it so much easier to change your mind. Compare:\n\n“X seems false”…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/999718620027596801",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "999482187564150784",
   "created_at": "2018-05-24T02:48:17+00:00",
   "text": "The Cosmic Endowment--that is, trillions of lives lived with extraordinary meaning--rests in your hands.  It is on you to prevent our destruction so that can happen.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/999482187564150784",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "999466798931116032",
   "created_at": "2018-05-24T01:47:08+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/GXbLee4ZyF\nI like to box, and there is nothing better than being predatory in a triathlon and hunting down (safely passing) people one by one.  But I like soft music sometimes too, so shoot me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/999466798931116032",
   "word_count": 35
  },
  {
   "id": "999158296639623168",
   "created_at": "2018-05-23T05:21:16+00:00",
   "text": "Love finding good enough approximations for computationally expensive problems. Maybe I'll find my own someday. https://t.co/uIIlXJY9lu",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/999158296639623168",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "999128719422869504",
   "created_at": "2018-05-23T03:23:44+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/AaMf4CA0Nx via @physorg_com",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/999128719422869504",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "998766499505598465",
   "created_at": "2018-05-22T03:24:24+00:00",
   "text": "RT @yannick___m: Asking what future historians will find most interesting about the current time (plus/minus 4 years) usually is a good heu…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/998766499505598465",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "997219637887725569",
   "created_at": "2018-05-17T20:57:43+00:00",
   "text": "And I am now a computer science major. I feel relieved, like I am finally on the right track",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/997219637887725569",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "996574821352968192",
   "created_at": "2018-05-16T02:15:27+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/aTE3pW6JVQ\n\nThis is just such a fun theory.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/996574821352968192",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "996484902416773122",
   "created_at": "2018-05-15T20:18:09+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/fEYeeVXVtS",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/996484902416773122",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "996469393503784960",
   "created_at": "2018-05-15T19:16:31+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/9hHBMKgKaH\nWhy didn't I discover this earlier? This is the perfect c̶r̶a̶c̶k̶ training for a student of math+compSci.   7 down with Jython.  I need to learn a new programming language haha",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/996469393503784960",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "996339409590079488",
   "created_at": "2018-05-15T10:40:00+00:00",
   "text": "RT @elonmusk: What’s actually amazing about this accident is that a Model S hit a fire truck at 60mph and the driver only broke an ankle. A…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/996339409590079488",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "996339351163457538",
   "created_at": "2018-05-15T10:39:47+00:00",
   "text": "RT @elonmusk: It’s super messed up that a Tesla crash resulting in a broken ankle is front page news and the ~40,000 people who died in US…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/996339351163457538",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "995794350692020225",
   "created_at": "2018-05-13T22:34:08+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AthertonKD: Real talk: there should be a Foreign Service academy like the military service academies and if we're going to ever rebuild…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/995794350692020225",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "995507813899276288",
   "created_at": "2018-05-13T03:35:33+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sciam: In the future, far larger and thinner lightsails could potentially propel miniaturized spacecraft to destinations around the sol…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/995507813899276288",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "994062848837013504",
   "created_at": "2018-05-09T03:53:46+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/Qn4qDQV6MI\nLots of great AI reading attached here.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/994062848837013504",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "993906426371346433",
   "created_at": "2018-05-08T17:32:12+00:00",
   "text": "@willmacaskill Loved reading that paper",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/993906426371346433",
   "word_count": 5,
   "in_reply_to": "993898589184315393"
  },
  {
   "id": "992723593732780032",
   "created_at": "2018-05-05T11:12:03+00:00",
   "text": "We tend to undervalue what we can't measure.  That's one reason well-being is not brought up more in the policymaking process. But we do have a unit for this: the Quality-Adjusted Life Year.  We need to legitimize this metric more",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/992723593732780032",
   "word_count": 40
  },
  {
   "id": "992498941592731648",
   "created_at": "2018-05-04T20:19:22+00:00",
   "text": "Imagine if more people knew about QALYs and took them seriously. \"We had a good quarter-financially, but more importantly,  we exceeded our QALY-impact goal\" would be great to hear from a CEO.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/992498941592731648",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "992494341892575233",
   "created_at": "2018-05-04T20:01:05+00:00",
   "text": "It makes sense that society seems so messed up to so many people. Why should our limited mental models be validated all the time?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/992494341892575233",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "991538126173736960",
   "created_at": "2018-05-02T04:41:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RANDCorporation: \"In the future, the speed born of new technologies will create unprecedented social and ethical dilemmas.\" https://t.c…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/991538126173736960",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "991503880860192768",
   "created_at": "2018-05-02T02:25:21+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/z4D9UR7v0C",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/991503880860192768",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "991502272885657600",
   "created_at": "2018-05-02T02:18:57+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/QDgMNqz2s9\n\nGood nutrition is boring",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/991502272885657600",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "991500191055347712",
   "created_at": "2018-05-02T02:10:41+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/xTK8ZKbWST",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/991500191055347712",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "984250428337647616",
   "created_at": "2018-04-12T02:02:43+00:00",
   "text": "What's the physical limit on increasing biological intelligence?\n\nhttps://t.co/uNxh49fyMx",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/984250428337647616",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "984244048344076288",
   "created_at": "2018-04-12T01:37:22+00:00",
   "text": "Sometimes the limitations of traditional computer architecture makes me sad, but there are still so many underdeveloped architectures and algorithms out there, like: https://t.co/drvRM3pLaH",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/984244048344076288",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "983771065276084224",
   "created_at": "2018-04-10T18:17:54+00:00",
   "text": "It's baffling how unwilling Congressmen are to putting their careers on the line to do the harder right.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/983771065276084224",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "982848436725624832",
   "created_at": "2018-04-08T05:11:42+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/vSgyr7DWtR",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/982848436725624832",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "982321265007628289",
   "created_at": "2018-04-06T18:16:54+00:00",
   "text": "Swarms could communicate without an electronic communication signature. Woah https://t.co/vmQhXZEt83",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/982321265007628289",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "981277164376076288",
   "created_at": "2018-04-03T21:08:01+00:00",
   "text": "RT @TheStoicEmperor: You can't say it, so you are discouraged from thinking it.\n\nYou can't think it, so you are discouraged from seeing it.…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/981277164376076288",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "972011293455482880",
   "created_at": "2018-03-09T07:28:46+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/MEdrLINkhw",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/972011293455482880",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "971171584273715201",
   "created_at": "2018-03-06T23:52:03+00:00",
   "text": "\"An individual's ability to create and discover something extremely good beyond what is expectable, seems essential not only to our feeble attempt to make a better world but to maintaining a viable sense of self-esteem.\" -Joseph Westlund",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/971171584273715201",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "965284529324855296",
   "created_at": "2018-02-18T17:59:00+00:00",
   "text": "Moonlight Sonata 2nd Movement.  Gotta go something different every now and then https://t.co/HbybJcKp1b",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/965284529324855296",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "960624098555686913",
   "created_at": "2018-02-05T21:20:07+00:00",
   "text": "RT @elonmusk: Falcon Heavy sends a car to Mars https://t.co/Y7uBtU6Mt2",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/960624098555686913",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "960266050054033408",
   "created_at": "2018-02-04T21:37:21+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/rabOYgapi9\nPassword/phrase entropy is a gnarly science.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/960266050054033408",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "959247248759709697",
   "created_at": "2018-02-02T02:09:00+00:00",
   "text": "RT @elonmusk: The rumor that I’m secretly creating a zombie apocalypse to generate demand for flamethrowers is completely false",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/959247248759709697",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "954489598557802496",
   "created_at": "2018-01-19T23:03:48+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/kLDC8PhXmS",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/954489598557802496",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "954342181837398016",
   "created_at": "2018-01-19T13:18:01+00:00",
   "text": "Fantasy: A commission right now with a SecArmy ETP that gives me the job description of \"improve the Army as you see fit\". Let me just go around and work on whatever pet projects I see fit with full autonomy and authority. 😍",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/954342181837398016",
   "word_count": 43
  },
  {
   "id": "954339744682569730",
   "created_at": "2018-01-19T13:08:20+00:00",
   "text": "So happy to be on the Triathlon team now. The grind is facilitated every single day. 0530 ~3000yd swim, 1630 ~7 mile run/25 mile bike.  12 workouts a week with 19 other like-minded people. Can't beat that",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/954339744682569730",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "954335773855305728",
   "created_at": "2018-01-19T12:52:33+00:00",
   "text": "Saw this posted on a crypto-currency forum. A plausible explanation for the 16Jan18 crypto-market depression https://t.co/rUJtIbk9QB",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/954335773855305728",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "951043398156382208",
   "created_at": "2018-01-10T10:49:50+00:00",
   "text": "\"If future generations could vote in our elections, then they’d vote overwhelmingly in favour of safer policies. Likewise, if future generations could send money back in time, they’d be willing to pay us huge amounts of money to reduce (global catastrophic) risks.\" -80,000 Hours",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/951043398156382208",
   "word_count": 44
  },
  {
   "id": "949347084926320640",
   "created_at": "2018-01-05T18:29:17+00:00",
   "text": "The Happiness Code https://t.co/d2iPo0xaRm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/949347084926320640",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "947982967938437121",
   "created_at": "2018-01-02T00:08:46+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/EEhBuQ9WMK",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/947982967938437121",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "946619076222341121",
   "created_at": "2017-12-29T05:49:09+00:00",
   "text": "@PhDemetri I personally advise against that. It's too easy to end up overdoing it and wasting time. There are healthier, more effective ways to decompress anyways",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/946619076222341121",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "946486357047652352"
  },
  {
   "id": "946201276152537088",
   "created_at": "2017-12-28T02:08:58+00:00",
   "text": "@kristianangyal @juliagalef What?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/946201276152537088",
   "word_count": 3,
   "in_reply_to": "946141489830289409"
  },
  {
   "id": "946200618351374336",
   "created_at": "2017-12-28T02:06:21+00:00",
   "text": "If that is not a sexy bookshelf,... https://t.co/aiXknH7eZi",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/946200618351374336",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "946198508788502528",
   "created_at": "2017-12-28T01:57:58+00:00",
   "text": "The proliferation of nuclear weapons pushed our Doomsday Clock perilously close to midnight, but at least it's made some sweet desktop wallpapers like such: https://t.co/pjwxQtt2Lt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/946198508788502528",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "946197124487802881",
   "created_at": "2017-12-28T01:52:28+00:00",
   "text": "\"Deciding when to date your crush in college is difficult. If you start dating too late, they're less likely to stay with you after graduation. If you start dating too early, they'll have time to realize you are a terrible person. The window for me might just be a few hours.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/946197124487802881",
   "word_count": 51
  },
  {
   "id": "945540816889671680",
   "created_at": "2017-12-26T06:24:32+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/tqgKdUkz8N\nThis is so motivating.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/945540816889671680",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "944753870730944514",
   "created_at": "2017-12-24T02:17:30+00:00",
   "text": "When you look at books like \"Psycho-Geometrics\" or the \"5 Second Rule\", you wonder why the hell you haven't wrote a book like them.  It would be so easy to ignore the need for evidence & come up with some new fun paradigm or \"principle\" and earn a profit.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/944753870730944514",
   "word_count": 49
  },
  {
   "id": "944717744435539968",
   "created_at": "2017-12-23T23:53:56+00:00",
   "text": "Greater individual purchasing power, access to advanced technologies, and  greater social connectedness all allow individuals to have more power now to impact and influence the rest of the world than ever before.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/944717744435539968",
   "word_count": 32
  },
  {
   "id": "944715784466653186",
   "created_at": "2017-12-23T23:46:09+00:00",
   "text": "Part of what makes the future feel so particularly unstable is that individuals now have more power than ever before. A typical person 200 years ago could not have nearly the influence that a motivated person can have on society now",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/944715784466653186",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "943614998340923393",
   "created_at": "2017-12-20T22:52:01+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/Hx1FJ02vku via @TEDTalks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/943614998340923393",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "943058175690817536",
   "created_at": "2017-12-19T09:59:24+00:00",
   "text": "I love the peacefulness and clarity of mind I get when I wake up early and do mental work then.  There's no distraction. No unanswered texts. No one coming by my room. Just me and my schoolwork.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/943058175690817536",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "943057438105849856",
   "created_at": "2017-12-19T09:56:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @juliagalef: A good example of the mind holding two different contradictory sets of beliefs, concrete and abstract, each serving its own…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/943057438105849856",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "942936471182479360",
   "created_at": "2017-12-19T01:55:48+00:00",
   "text": "2) \"It would be a very hyperdimensional data set to curve fit. We would need a lot of (COINs) to plot.\" My friend: \"We don't have to model just the (COINS) the US has participated in; we can look at all the (COINs) throughout history.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/942936471182479360",
   "word_count": 45
  },
  {
   "id": "942932521880301568",
   "created_at": "2017-12-19T01:40:06+00:00",
   "text": "1) Love the conversations I have here at West Point.  I want to major in Operations Research and a fellow Plebe that wants to major in Defense Strategic Studies asked me: \"Do you think we could develop a mathematical formula to predict our ability to win a counterinsurgency?\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/942932521880301568",
   "word_count": 48
  },
  {
   "id": "942212132296445952",
   "created_at": "2017-12-17T01:57:32+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/XZmKEbg9UM\nMy little project on optimizing the Department of Defense's Blended Retirement System. I'm not done with it, but it's a start.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/942212132296445952",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "942210426971987968",
   "created_at": "2017-12-17T01:50:45+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/3RyZGIxxOJ\n\"On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future\" by Nicholas Beckstead",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/942210426971987968",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "942201518849232896",
   "created_at": "2017-12-17T01:15:22+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/yY9ZNzgA38\nIt's not the good you do, it's the good you do compared to what would have happened otherwise.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/942201518849232896",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "942066049415073793",
   "created_at": "2017-12-16T16:17:03+00:00",
   "text": "Wishing someone \"good luck\" subtracts from the personal responsibility necessary to complete the mission.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/942066049415073793",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "941753213111455744",
   "created_at": "2017-12-15T19:33:57+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/UgN4CthR3D",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/941753213111455744",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "941676453774680065",
   "created_at": "2017-12-15T14:28:56+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/0sBnkHDQXB",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/941676453774680065",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "941676195250352128",
   "created_at": "2017-12-15T14:27:55+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/PI7Nz3IHoX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/941676195250352128",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "940741616549146624",
   "created_at": "2017-12-13T00:34:14+00:00",
   "text": "RT @geomblog: @vj_chidambaram I find that in any public communication of work (whether as a paper, a talk, or even a grant proposal), the q…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/940741616549146624",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "940734810510766082",
   "created_at": "2017-12-13T00:07:11+00:00",
   "text": "Life is just a big optimization problem.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/940734810510766082",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "940574584469848064",
   "created_at": "2017-12-12T13:30:30+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/ZQoeuvFSBr",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/940574584469848064",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "940307509587402752",
   "created_at": "2017-12-11T19:49:15+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/Uq3gK6KEP7\nPleasure feedback loops that do not promote creative, life-sustaining, impactful behavior are one of the most dangerous things to society.  It alters priorities and clouds judgement.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/940307509587402752",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "938608788072001536",
   "created_at": "2017-12-07T03:19:08+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/DF6Cwfz2El\n\"Effective altruism reading material for busy people\"\n\nGreat material for anyone new to effective altruism",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/938608788072001536",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "938606570195255296",
   "created_at": "2017-12-07T03:10:19+00:00",
   "text": "Had a nice discussion in-person about effective altruism.  Causing incredible amounts of good has never been easier.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/938606570195255296",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "938605388827643905",
   "created_at": "2017-12-07T03:05:37+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/dECvdeSFZb\n\"Currently, our research focuses on reducing risks of dystopian futures in the context of emerging technologies.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/938605388827643905",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "938605154512850944",
   "created_at": "2017-12-07T03:04:41+00:00",
   "text": "Slow But Steady https://t.co/7JWqIWupRu",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/938605154512850944",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "938605038993334273",
   "created_at": "2017-12-07T03:04:14+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/B7Ny5SlzVB\n\"All of these Effective Effectiveness people don’t obsess over efficiency out of bloodlessness. They obsess because the struggle is so desperate, and the resources so few...And they are winning. Very slowly, WWI trench-warfare-style. But they are.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/938605038993334273",
   "word_count": 37
  },
  {
   "id": "938221502184546306",
   "created_at": "2017-12-06T01:40:12+00:00",
   "text": "Our cosmic significance.  I gave an oral presentation in class about this argument: https://t.co/QsC3TKj6H3",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/938221502184546306",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "936762302942019585",
   "created_at": "2017-12-02T01:01:51+00:00",
   "text": "Perhaps we should be investing more in genetic engineering and just making smarter humans. Consistent 150+ IQ humans seems much less out of reach than creating a similar AGI. https://t.co/21AwFttgj9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/936762302942019585",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "936033939860414465",
   "created_at": "2017-11-30T00:47:36+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/Ht4grkHfgz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/936033939860414465",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "934941060454862849",
   "created_at": "2017-11-27T00:24:53+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/uxyD12eiUT",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/934941060454862849",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "934871051175186434",
   "created_at": "2017-11-26T19:46:42+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/NjS8KxKEZI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/934871051175186434",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "918247028957892609",
   "created_at": "2017-10-11T22:48:46+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/uiUtkb3fOU\nThis essay helps put things in perspective.  We should mitigate existential risk not just to keep 7 billion so-so happy people alive longer, but to ensure trillions of our descendants (who'll probably live much more rewarding lives) come into existence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/918247028957892609",
   "word_count": 41
  },
  {
   "id": "915382323285299200",
   "created_at": "2017-10-04T01:05:27+00:00",
   "text": "Applications of quantum computing: https://t.co/5lrQkB1F74\nWhat a time to be alive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/915382323285299200",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "914689520074977280",
   "created_at": "2017-10-02T03:12:30+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/IicdPt1ER9\n\nCold showers--> endorphins+health benefits+discipline",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/914689520074977280",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "905985956305674240",
   "created_at": "2017-09-08T02:47:39+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/7OfrxMr4Ma",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/905985956305674240",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "881232450575380481",
   "created_at": "2017-07-01T19:26:03+00:00",
   "text": "That exquisite relief when you finally remember your LastPass password...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/881232450575380481",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "880746308205727745",
   "created_at": "2017-06-30T11:14:18+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/tANaCXPRqu\n\"We Will All Go Together When We Go\" by Tom Leher.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/880746308205727745",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "880247474899877888",
   "created_at": "2017-06-29T02:12:06+00:00",
   "text": "Finished listening to The Moral Landscape: How Science Can Determine Human ... by .... Try #Audible and get it free: https://t.co/xsypfMLy0E",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/880247474899877888",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "879688283789418497",
   "created_at": "2017-06-27T13:10:05+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RyanHoliday: “Mental clarity is the child of courage, not the other way around.” Nassim Taleb",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/879688283789418497",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "879540563917373443",
   "created_at": "2017-06-27T03:23:06+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/QZOIoMh9e9 Chopin+Jazz=fuzzies",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/879540563917373443",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "878448528703594496",
   "created_at": "2017-06-24T03:03:44+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/OaP4arZIxO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/878448528703594496",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "878447732872105986",
   "created_at": "2017-06-24T03:00:34+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/WjcpBXmg8e",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/878447732872105986",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "878415145059397633",
   "created_at": "2017-06-24T00:51:05+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/ImQUYgFuZm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/878415145059397633",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "877657614779396096",
   "created_at": "2017-06-21T22:40:56+00:00",
   "text": "Quantifying Bliss: Talk Summary https://t.co/Roj684iDAK via @wordpressdotcom",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/877657614779396096",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "877373075964149760",
   "created_at": "2017-06-21T03:50:16+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/quz6kXoFy0\n\n#UrbanWarfareProject",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/877373075964149760",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "877312024060895232",
   "created_at": "2017-06-20T23:47:40+00:00",
   "text": "@WarInstitute Imagine a drone flying past a street corner at 100mph+, capable of firing accurate rounds instantly upon clearing it. #UrbanWarfareProject",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/877312024060895232",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "877164275097358339"
  },
  {
   "id": "877306352481251328",
   "created_at": "2017-06-20T23:25:08+00:00",
   "text": "@WarInstitute Only AI-controlled weapon systems will be fast/accurate enough to neutralize the enemy's swift, lethal drones.  #UrbanWarfareProject",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/877306352481251328",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "877164275097358339"
  },
  {
   "id": "877301492012765184",
   "created_at": "2017-06-20T23:05:49+00:00",
   "text": "@WarInstitute Swift battles between AI+Soldier controlled drones. Losing factions resort to EMPs, which fuels analog warfare. #UrbanWarfareProject",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/877301492012765184",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "877164275097358339"
  },
  {
   "id": "876575391292547072",
   "created_at": "2017-06-18T23:00:33+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/qm1BffrKrn\n\"7 Ways to Maximize Misery\", a great example of thinking with inversion. https://t.co/nqTjVe4daD",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/876575391292547072",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "875966627950604288",
   "created_at": "2017-06-17T06:41:33+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/xoWIws62Lq\n\"If anyone tries to \"eavesdrop\" on a quantum communication line, this will disrupt the state of the particles...\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/875966627950604288",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "875962792267960320",
   "created_at": "2017-06-17T06:26:18+00:00",
   "text": "Quit social media every other day, writes @jameshamblin https://t.co/R8H5M9SsNQ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/875962792267960320",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "875842834204635136",
   "created_at": "2017-06-16T22:29:38+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/WiUgOPf1ye\n\nSeems pretty legit.  Bought 2 Yubikeys myself for better digital security.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/875842834204635136",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "875824955803480064",
   "created_at": "2017-06-16T21:18:36+00:00",
   "text": "Smart Contracts: The Blockchain Technology That Will Replace Lawyers https://t.co/BE0PJqHm6Y via @Blockgks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/875824955803480064",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "875746467742453764",
   "created_at": "2017-06-16T16:06:43+00:00",
   "text": "Kind of click-baitish, but decent points: https://t.co/NH4wJrWg3k",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/875746467742453764",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "875544822618222596",
   "created_at": "2017-06-16T02:45:27+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/YU1sASuiAK\nCan I just fast forward 20 years?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/875544822618222596",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "875479718044291078",
   "created_at": "2017-06-15T22:26:45+00:00",
   "text": "@JeffBezos GiveWell and several other effective altruist organizations have systematically devoted themselves to studying this. Please contact them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/875479718044291078",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "875418348598603776"
  },
  {
   "id": "874710717106200577",
   "created_at": "2017-06-13T19:31:00+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RobertGreene: The moment any idea or observation comes, note it down.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/874710717106200577",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "874467009727254530",
   "created_at": "2017-06-13T03:22:36+00:00",
   "text": "A Tale of Two Majors: Talent Management and Army Officer Promotions https://t.co/VTrim6nKoU via @warontherocks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/874467009727254530",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "874448788592742401",
   "created_at": "2017-06-13T02:10:12+00:00",
   "text": "A New Book Argues That Your Actions Matter More Than Your Feelings https://t.co/8bcup45JoX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/874448788592742401",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "873821724449570816",
   "created_at": "2017-06-11T08:38:28+00:00",
   "text": "RT @PeterSinger: Theron Pummer appeals to billionaires taking The Giving Pledge to be effective in their giving: https://t.co/zvhtzM7DLf",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/873821724449570816",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "873744794161426434",
   "created_at": "2017-06-11T03:32:46+00:00",
   "text": "I just used @GiveWell to support a great charity. Their in-depth research at https://t.co/W8yFfjY6zt allowed me to give with confidence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/873744794161426434",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "872916742871363585",
   "created_at": "2017-06-08T20:42:24+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RobertGreene: The sense of having enemies or doubters can serve as a powerful motivating device and fill you with an added creative ene…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/872916742871363585",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "872916596666363906",
   "created_at": "2017-06-08T20:41:49+00:00",
   "text": "“Self-doubt destroys more dreams than failure ever has.”",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/872916596666363906",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "872916268575272960",
   "created_at": "2017-06-08T20:40:31+00:00",
   "text": "5 Easy Actions That Will Improve Company Culture @AdamHeitzman @highervis https://t.co/ObytgQXSrO via @Inc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/872916268575272960",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "872910857134538753",
   "created_at": "2017-06-08T20:19:00+00:00",
   "text": "Just give away your money, endowments. That is what it is for.\n\"The future doesn’t need us, the present does.\" https://t.co/ePfzO1rRAW",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/872910857134538753",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "872788976788271104",
   "created_at": "2017-06-08T12:14:42+00:00",
   "text": "Containing the Pocket-Sized Threat to America’s Military https://t.co/pXSmEIF9eD via @WarInstitute",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/872788976788271104",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "871479047464906757",
   "created_at": "2017-06-04T21:29:30+00:00",
   "text": "2) How more people are not committed to regular exercise blows my mind.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/871479047464906757",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "871478799417966592",
   "created_at": "2017-06-04T21:28:31+00:00",
   "text": "1) It's so weird. You just move heavy stuff around and all of a sudden, life is more worth living than ever.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/871478799417966592",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "871449315423768576",
   "created_at": "2017-06-04T19:31:22+00:00",
   "text": "@engadget This can be a good tool going forward to prevent more IoT devices from getting hijacked to cause DOS attacks.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/871449315423768576",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "871196502013624324"
  },
  {
   "id": "871135830055768064",
   "created_at": "2017-06-03T22:45:41+00:00",
   "text": "War Without Fear: DepSecDef Work On How AI Changes Conflict https://t.co/GQAUbsQ9at",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/871135830055768064",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "867185077461147648",
   "created_at": "2017-05-24T01:06:48+00:00",
   "text": "The Executive Officer https://t.co/w3vuLplI7T via @FieldGradeLDR",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/867185077461147648",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "867169910371340289",
   "created_at": "2017-05-24T00:06:32+00:00",
   "text": "Three Things the Army Chief of Staff Wants You to Know https://t.co/UGgJQ657Ui via @WarOnTheRocks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/867169910371340289",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "865021538780803073",
   "created_at": "2017-05-18T01:49:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Oxfam: If you RT one thing today, this would be a good one. https://t.co/0BnvBampP8 #EvenItUp #inequality https://t.co/HEoNzCI3CK",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/865021538780803073",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "864160873786560513",
   "created_at": "2017-05-15T16:49:42+00:00",
   "text": "@conradhackett @cjdeano Only 53% of those with a post-graduate degree could identify North Korea on the map? Cognitive..dissonance..too much...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/864160873786560513",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "863937650054615041"
  },
  {
   "id": "863143827716046850",
   "created_at": "2017-05-12T21:28:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @realDonaldTrump: James Comey better hope that there are no \"tapes\" of our conversations before he starts leaking to the press!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/863143827716046850",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "862108304448815104",
   "created_at": "2017-05-10T00:53:31+00:00",
   "text": "There is acting according to our evolutionary-shaped perception, and then there is acting on pure reason.1 leads to 10,000+ QALYs, 1 doesn't",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/862108304448815104",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "862106449048203264",
   "created_at": "2017-05-10T00:46:09+00:00",
   "text": "@jockowillink Thank you Jocko for sharing your lessons! They've helped me get into West Point and take on greater responsibility in my unit.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/862106449048203264",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "861365456753631233",
   "created_at": "2017-05-07T23:41:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @elonmusk: Long Neuralink piece coming out on @waitbutwhy in about a week. Difficult to dedicate the time, but existential risk is too h…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/861365456753631233",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "861009589294313472",
   "created_at": "2017-05-07T00:07:37+00:00",
   "text": "*Come on\nIf only English were phonetic...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/861009589294313472",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "858819557225631746"
  },
  {
   "id": "861002023730368513",
   "created_at": "2017-05-06T23:37:33+00:00",
   "text": "Over-communication is under-rated.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/861002023730368513",
   "word_count": 3
  },
  {
   "id": "861000872892956672",
   "created_at": "2017-05-06T23:32:59+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/gkuYuWaao9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/861000872892956672",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "860998846285058048",
   "created_at": "2017-05-06T23:24:56+00:00",
   "text": "Cognitive dissonance, in both an objective and subjective sense, tell us so much about how our minds operate",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/860998846285058048",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "860149374629949440",
   "created_at": "2017-05-04T15:09:26+00:00",
   "text": "2)..this much more intelligence than our everyday normal consciousness? Writing gives me insights and perspective I just can't get otherwise",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/860149374629949440",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "860147465760243713",
   "created_at": "2017-05-04T15:01:51+00:00",
   "text": "1) Our world would tremendously benefit if everyone had 5 more IQ points or so. Doesn't journaling allow us to solve problems w/",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/860147465760243713",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "860141810127183877",
   "created_at": "2017-05-04T14:39:22+00:00",
   "text": "Self-reflection via writing is like tapping into a higher intelligence. It's like free IQ points. There is no substitute for it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/860141810127183877",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "860138288094564352",
   "created_at": "2017-05-04T14:25:23+00:00",
   "text": "\"Striving for greater collective enlightenment\" means we need to empower and enable individual's intellectual progress more than ever.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/860138288094564352",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "859575627481059328",
   "created_at": "2017-05-03T01:09:34+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/zaCPqBHkVW",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/859575627481059328",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "859455189543256066",
   "created_at": "2017-05-02T17:10:59+00:00",
   "text": "RT @Reducetarian: “Reducetarianism is a step-by-step approach to an ideal whose time will finally come.\"\n- @RichardDawkins https://t.co/1aQ…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/859455189543256066",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "859110436767191041",
   "created_at": "2017-05-01T18:21:04+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/Jt6OKsO9N0\n\nGuide to starting a local effective altruism club.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/859110436767191041",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "859018425342976001",
   "created_at": "2017-05-01T12:15:27+00:00",
   "text": "7:03, 6:11, 6:08, 6:45, 7:13, 7:16, 7:15, 7:23. Positive splits can be good training, too. I was dying within the first 20 minutes. https://t.co/vQQPWHkFQi",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/859018425342976001",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "858822114148790273",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T23:15:22+00:00",
   "text": "It's really insane how much better our subjective well-being can get through the simplest of everyday actions.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858822114148790273",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "858819557225631746",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T23:05:13+00:00",
   "text": "4) real world problems. But candy crush? Common, there are healthier ways for us to enjoy life.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858819557225631746",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "858819267948666881",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T23:04:04+00:00",
   "text": "3) This is not to entirely say that a little decompression isn't called for sometimes, and that video games can't train people to solve",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858819267948666881",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "858818879770038273",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T23:02:31+00:00",
   "text": "2) Video gamers get tons of dopamine from solving fake problems. It's escapism, and leaders don't escape their biggest problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858818879770038273",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "858811453972860928",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T22:33:01+00:00",
   "text": "1) Contrarian opinion: playing most video games signifies a lack of discernment of the real good.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858811453972860928",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "858809024078393344",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T22:23:21+00:00",
   "text": "Real question: why am I getting a head full of gray hairs at 20 years old?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858809024078393344",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "858752657820987393",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T18:39:23+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RANDCorporation: Mitigating cyber threats will require \"the #cyber equivalent of boots on the ground,\" says RAND's @IsaacPorche. https:…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858752657820987393",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "858750762003910656",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T18:31:51+00:00",
   "text": "@willmacaskill In general, I concur. Lieing about one's credentials is extremely fucked up, considering how much is on the line.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858750762003910656",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "858720609219604481"
  },
  {
   "id": "858745998360936450",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T18:12:55+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/uVN9r9YOVN\n\nA “they” who doesn’t want you to leave that extra cookie on the plate — can help us summon the tenacity to succeed.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858745998360936450",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "858745262466109440",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T18:09:59+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/PdDHK7tpr7\n\nLove these quotes.  You may have to read the book to appreciate some of them as much as I do...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858745262466109440",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "858586428862803968",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T07:38:51+00:00",
   "text": "2) Hopefully, quantum computers & a team of software engineers, economists, & logisticians can solve this epic optimization problem.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858586428862803968",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "858585068952014849",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T07:33:26+00:00",
   "text": "1) We suffer and die due to our inability to efficiently distribute resources to those who need them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858585068952014849",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "858581788146487296",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T07:20:24+00:00",
   "text": "3) You are less likely to convince others to take up EA if you are obviously unhappy and lacking basic comforts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858581788146487296",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "858581012367978496",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T07:17:19+00:00",
   "text": "2) If creature comforts increase your well-being and thus, earning potential, they may pay for themselves.Burnout means no effective giving.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858581012367978496",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "858580279279202305",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T07:14:24+00:00",
   "text": "1) Effective altruists, don't fall into the trap of feeling guilty over every little purchase. Set a monthly budget for creature comforts.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858580279279202305",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "858575627171106816",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T06:55:55+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/Q7opdkUexo",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858575627171106816",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "858569597997506560",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T06:31:58+00:00",
   "text": "I am obligated not just to do a good job, but to do a better job than whoever would have filled my slot if I didn't take it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858569597997506560",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "858567940039471105",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T06:25:22+00:00",
   "text": "“This is How to Master Your Habits: Secrets From Research” — @Selfication https://t.co/KBEx4RCXsJ https://t.co/NHYA0Hf864",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858567940039471105",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "858564986834223104",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T06:13:38+00:00",
   "text": "If I were born unedited when I could have been born enhanced in some way, I would be angry at society for denying me that easy boon.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858564986834223104",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "858563821111312384",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T06:09:00+00:00",
   "text": "For every year that we delay human gene-editing, we allow millions of people to be born with preventable genetically-based diseases.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858563821111312384",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "858563028891176961",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T06:05:52+00:00",
   "text": "Really wish we weren't so opposed to human gene-editing. Well-being, intelligence, lack of disease- all that we care about- is on the line..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858563028891176961",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "858561737435512832",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T06:00:44+00:00",
   "text": "2) Definitely don't plan on dying for at least 60 years, but I want to ensure at least some of my life's work is carried out in case I do.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858561737435512832",
   "word_count": 30
  },
  {
   "id": "858560301482037249",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T05:55:01+00:00",
   "text": "1) Updating my SGLI Insurance to include EA organizations like #GiveWell and #80000Hours.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858560301482037249",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "858528764820672513",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T03:49:42+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/wLiQm0HmjY\n\nPart of me longs for the life of our ancestors, where our genes put us better in-tune with our environment.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858528764820672513",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "858485278771642368",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T00:56:55+00:00",
   "text": "6) Convince one other person to take up effective giving and you doubled your life's impact.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858485278771642368",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "858484917965123586",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T00:55:28+00:00",
   "text": "5) Donate to GiveWell's recommended charities and this is easily possible.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858484917965123586",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "858482608816230401",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T00:46:18+00:00",
   "text": "4) If you get a high paying job and live frugally below your means, you can easily fund 10,000 years of quality human life.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858482608816230401",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "858482341051863040",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T00:45:14+00:00",
   "text": "3) For just $1,000,000, you can fund over 10,000 QALYs. That is probably within your reach if you are pondering this.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858482341051863040",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "858481909797703680",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T00:43:31+00:00",
   "text": "2)..were the case. However, the difference we are really talking about is 3+ orders of magnitude of a difference in QALY impact.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858481909797703680",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "858481090016759809",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T00:40:16+00:00",
   "text": "1) It's not like the carefully lived life makes the difference in just 10 or 100 QALY's. Carefree living would be more acceptable if that",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858481090016759809",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "858476550093766662",
   "created_at": "2017-04-30T00:22:13+00:00",
   "text": "Expected utility= utility * probability. How did I get through 13 years of public education without learning to analyze COAs mathematically?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858476550093766662",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "858432462770364416",
   "created_at": "2017-04-29T21:27:02+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/N6eaegYwnp\n\nLove listening to Sam Harris.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858432462770364416",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "858385621416640513",
   "created_at": "2017-04-29T18:20:54+00:00",
   "text": "The US Military Will Usher in a Widespread Use of Laser Weapons in the 2020s  https://t.co/JdEkrRbyqJ\nPretty neat shit.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858385621416640513",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "858384132895907840",
   "created_at": "2017-04-29T18:14:59+00:00",
   "text": "Contrarian opinion: Spectating sports is a huge waste of time and sign of a lack of discernment. https://t.co/ElZ3TnFHCM",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858384132895907840",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "858102068023885826",
   "created_at": "2017-04-28T23:34:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @WarInstitute: MWI Podcast: Retired Lt. Gen. Mark Hertling on the risks to national security of declining American fitness https://t.co/…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/858102068023885826",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "857536920980729856",
   "created_at": "2017-04-27T10:08:28+00:00",
   "text": "The case against reality https://t.co/LX4riDL5ZQ\n\nEvolution and survival mechanisms determine our perception.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/857536920980729856",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "857201482243985408",
   "created_at": "2017-04-26T11:55:34+00:00",
   "text": "3) Was never even taught expected utility. There were so few projects tied to what was actually meaningful in life.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/857201482243985408",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "857200478618353664",
   "created_at": "2017-04-26T11:51:34+00:00",
   "text": "2) \"The good you do is the difference you make to what would otherwise happen.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/857200478618353664",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "857199938761105408",
   "created_at": "2017-04-26T11:49:26+00:00",
   "text": "1)There is a systemic lack of attention to the real good in our culture.13 years of public education & I was never taught basic axioms like:",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/857199938761105408",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "857198667249397760",
   "created_at": "2017-04-26T11:44:22+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/k45wOjSUrZ\nQALYs are a starting point. While not perfect, we should not be ignoring them when allocating  limited resources.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/857198667249397760",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "857014774693060610",
   "created_at": "2017-04-25T23:33:39+00:00",
   "text": "“Here’s How to Banish Mediocrity From Your Life” by @BenjaminPHardy https://t.co/jPfvcr16Qm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/857014774693060610",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "856990688726192129",
   "created_at": "2017-04-25T21:57:56+00:00",
   "text": "RT @BenedictSpinoza: Those who live solely by the dictates of reason are not guided by fear of death, but directly desire the good. (E4p67p…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856990688726192129",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "856242767080587267",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T20:25:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @wef: These 6 charts prove why the world is better than it's ever been https://t.co/OEKdnAYyyP https://t.co/pZYAIL4Q11",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856242767080587267",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "856242238728396802",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T20:23:52+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/iCVxBcQBfP",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856242238728396802",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "856240811117350912",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T20:18:12+00:00",
   "text": "“Read This If You Want To Keep A Journal But Don’t Know How” @DariusForoux https://t.co/RoDZVT1Kmi\n\nThere is no subsitute for journaling.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856240811117350912",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "856222651647492096",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T19:06:02+00:00",
   "text": "RT @MarkDivine: There are enough obstacles in life... don't be your own obstacle.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856222651647492096",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "856211309653893128",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T18:20:58+00:00",
   "text": "Our limited experience and lack of imagination blind us to the real future possibilities of consciousness that we should all be fighting for",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856211309653893128",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "856210763979124738",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T18:18:48+00:00",
   "text": "At least a million future generations of conscious well-being and delight is at stake, not just the people alive today and tomorrow.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856210763979124738",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "856209762882646017",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T18:14:49+00:00",
   "text": "Neurotransmitters aside, I believe unmotivated people merely feel disempowered and disconnected, and do not realize how much is at stake.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856209762882646017",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "856208377873149952",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T18:09:19+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/cuG3pfZ30t\n1) Marketing and R&D for compulsive behaviours such as smoking, gambling, and payday loans (& maybe computer games)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856208377873149952",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "856207055341879302",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T18:04:04+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/bek04rmod1\n\"Good listening is so much more than being silent while the other person talks.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856207055341879302",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "856204594216652800",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T17:54:17+00:00",
   "text": "How are you coping?\nhttps://t.co/zuxjPDWj0L",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856204594216652800",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "856203789069692929",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T17:51:05+00:00",
   "text": "Is anyone's life goal really outside the spectrum of less cognitive dissonance? We want harmony between our ideals and reality.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856203789069692929",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "856203672749035522",
   "created_at": "2017-04-23T17:50:37+00:00",
   "text": "Don't be mad that you can't wholly accept a particularly appealing idea. Be thankful. Cognitive dissonance just saved you.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/856203672749035522",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "855915275304280064",
   "created_at": "2017-04-22T22:44:38+00:00",
   "text": "Great book. Even better person. https://t.co/Vw6c8KDu2n\n\nClearly, Elon is ultimately working on countering humanity's existential risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855915275304280064",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "855914287059095553",
   "created_at": "2017-04-22T22:40:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @prdeepakbabu: \"The best minds of this generation are thinking about how to make people click on ads\" -  @hackingdata. #datascience so t…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855914287059095553",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "855877333265383424",
   "created_at": "2017-04-22T20:13:52+00:00",
   "text": "Isn't increased life insurance ideal for earning-to-givers? It guarantees a high-impact for relatively little cost.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855877333265383424",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "855835962198327296",
   "created_at": "2017-04-22T17:29:28+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/iGuukPQGhI\nWant this. It may be justifiable because of < micromorts and > earning potential. #EffectiveAltruism",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855835962198327296",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "855833785778286593",
   "created_at": "2017-04-22T17:20:49+00:00",
   "text": "Jokes on you, life. I like suffering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855833785778286593",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "855575033489616897",
   "created_at": "2017-04-22T00:12:38+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/zVmbJQHHae",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855575033489616897",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "855421602678407168",
   "created_at": "2017-04-21T14:02:57+00:00",
   "text": "Suffer the pain of stagnation or progress. You choose.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855421602678407168",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "855418540890968065",
   "created_at": "2017-04-21T13:50:47+00:00",
   "text": "If only we didn't carry such an aversion to discomfort...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855418540890968065",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "855387616786747393",
   "created_at": "2017-04-21T11:47:54+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/vDYYZD8glp\n\"By making yourself vulnerable, it is possible to build trust in less time than it takes to mop up a spilled latte\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855387616786747393",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "855188612916367361",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T22:37:08+00:00",
   "text": "Looking forward to being the best parent ever 1 day. Going to read parenting books & not just go off blind norms.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855188612916367361",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "855187138534617089",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T22:31:17+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/tWTevHVGJJ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855187138534617089",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "855187044989100032",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T22:30:54+00:00",
   "text": "RT @waitbutwhy: It's finally here: the full story on Neuralink. I knew the future would be nuts but this is a whole other level. https://t.…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855187044989100032",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "855178483949076480",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T21:56:53+00:00",
   "text": "Question on @Quora: What are the most defensible, rational frameworks for deciding which charities to donate to and… https://t.co/SCjHVXjO5M",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855178483949076480",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "855172079444013056",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T21:31:26+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/5vJzrrgQy0",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855172079444013056",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "855111340654034945",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T17:30:05+00:00",
   "text": "When we fail to live in line with our higher values, we do those who sacrificed for us a disservice.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855111340654034945",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "855100726036623360",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T16:47:54+00:00",
   "text": "Once you realize you can make it when you go your own way, you are free and you become your own person.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855100726036623360",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "855098082731732993",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T16:37:24+00:00",
   "text": "Got it, you can't always take all the massive action you long to take. But you can do something. You can at least scribble down a few notes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855098082731732993",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "855083547748700162",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T15:39:39+00:00",
   "text": "@SOFNewsUpdate @smallwars Sounds like a good investment.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855083547748700162",
   "word_count": 7,
   "in_reply_to": "855044187963707393"
  },
  {
   "id": "855060515923648512",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T14:08:07+00:00",
   "text": "Have been feeling amazing lately after working out. Hard morning runs seem to do the trick for me.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855060515923648512",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "855059882990608384",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T14:05:37+00:00",
   "text": "It's obnoxious how waiting rooms blast TV. Can we not unplug and just enjoy sitting in peace for 10 minutes before our appointments?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/855059882990608384",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "854906373120962560",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T03:55:37+00:00",
   "text": "Is life not 10x easier when you stay ahead of the curve?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854906373120962560",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "854893353841954817",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T03:03:53+00:00",
   "text": "Magnus Carlson says his moves usually come to him almost instantly. It's crazy how much our mental processing is outside our awareness.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854893353841954817",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "854887896385560576",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T02:42:12+00:00",
   "text": "Amazing article on AI. https://t.co/nTgx6xv70C",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854887896385560576",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "854881477745664001",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T02:16:41+00:00",
   "text": "If Elon is right, I'm ready for the 'set' to be exposed and the aliens to start clapping.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854881477745664001",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "854874222119833600",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T01:47:52+00:00",
   "text": "@nytimes 3 years and parole?! Is that the best the law could do? Life in solitary confinement wouldn't add up to 1/100 of the suffering she caused.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854874222119833600",
   "word_count": 27,
   "in_reply_to": "854820942387851264"
  },
  {
   "id": "854872490044268544",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T01:40:59+00:00",
   "text": "@engadget We have intellectual property laws for a reason. Why invest in developing an idea if it is only to be quickly stolen and make someone else $",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854872490044268544",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "854830749027053568"
  },
  {
   "id": "854869271285043200",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T01:28:11+00:00",
   "text": "@LaurenBerson @BenedictEvans @nootrobox It's a neat idea, but can you make them with a lower glycemic index? Could you use more erythritol?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854869271285043200",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "854854574934441984"
  },
  {
   "id": "854858005195743234",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T00:43:25+00:00",
   "text": "Scientific theories are regularly disproved, but evidence is never obsolete. Newer theories must always account for it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854858005195743234",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "854852769861308416",
   "created_at": "2017-04-20T00:22:37+00:00",
   "text": "Tact and honesty are not mutually exclusive.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854852769861308416",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "854842634413768704",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T23:42:20+00:00",
   "text": "Do not pretend you are ever 'forced' by circumstance to choose. As hard as you pretend, you are always a subject, not an object.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854842634413768704",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "854841047800795137",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T23:36:02+00:00",
   "text": "Please don't take away my brownie points for not hunting down every idea's original author for my tweets.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854841047800795137",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "854840027880333315",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T23:31:59+00:00",
   "text": "Meditation really offers rewards that, from my experience, can't be replicated elsewhere. Even a brisk walk outside at night isn't the same.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854840027880333315",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "854838877072363520",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T23:27:25+00:00",
   "text": "When was the last time you sat down and just tried to identify your blind spots and what you don't know that you don't know?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854838877072363520",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "854837847924383746",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T23:23:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nutrition_facts: Preventing and treating depression with an anti-inflammatory diet: https://t.co/ZnbaJJq6zW https://t.co/JgxoO8IwJc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854837847924383746",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "854834754503540737",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T23:11:02+00:00",
   "text": "In that part of your life you struggle with, how much satisfaction are you secretly getting from failing?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854834754503540737",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "854830052332228608",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T22:52:21+00:00",
   "text": "Be aware of our infantile tendency to assume those who suffer are guilty. Suffering is not necessarily 'punishment'.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854830052332228608",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "854829294023004160",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T22:49:20+00:00",
   "text": "RT @EvanWard97: We forget that success is the natural byproduct of performing simple tasks. If a task is overwhelming, you haven't broken i…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854829294023004160",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "854824276586893312",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T22:29:24+00:00",
   "text": "It's no problem- go ahead and indulge in your 'guilty' pleasures. No need to feel bad about it, just admit the trade-offs you are accepting.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854824276586893312",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "854823295597805570",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T22:25:30+00:00",
   "text": "Every choice you make increases the odds that you will make the same again. There is no better friend than good habits.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854823295597805570",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "854819377799213057",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T22:09:56+00:00",
   "text": "What a waste it is when we are given great ideas, yet do not manage to at least write them down...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854819377799213057",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "854816677179031552",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T21:59:12+00:00",
   "text": "Do we really need 6000+ nukes for deterrence? Can't 100 well-cared for nukes accomplish the same while minimizing risk of accidents?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854816677179031552",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "854815117199978496",
   "created_at": "2017-04-19T21:53:00+00:00",
   "text": "@RyanHoliday I'd rather people not think my successes are out of their reach. I let them know what I did to get there. Personal 'loss' for communal gain.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854815117199978496",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "854764787175215104"
  },
  {
   "id": "854047053793636355",
   "created_at": "2017-04-17T19:00:59+00:00",
   "text": "As a leader, no necessary task should be beneath you.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/854047053793636355",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "853987573588426752",
   "created_at": "2017-04-17T15:04:38+00:00",
   "text": "Let's take back control: https://t.co/NJaAdkPTEc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/853987573588426752",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "853266140566630401",
   "created_at": "2017-04-15T15:17:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @tristanharris: \"How Technology Hijacks Your Mind – from a Magician and Google's Design Ethicist\"\nhttps://t.co/4GcGy6nezq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/853266140566630401",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "853073729034874883",
   "created_at": "2017-04-15T02:33:21+00:00",
   "text": "Cold water offers benefits that are difficult to replicate elsewhere. https://t.co/x6nhtDs3tf",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/853073729034874883",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "853047403267497984",
   "created_at": "2017-04-15T00:48:44+00:00",
   "text": "Lack of guilt is not a perfect indicator of ethical action. It would do us well to reflect on morality more. https://t.co/t8JJMaG6gH",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/853047403267497984",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "853042237084758016",
   "created_at": "2017-04-15T00:28:12+00:00",
   "text": "@UberFacts @PatrickMurphyPA No back story. No link. This is meaningless.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/853042237084758016",
   "word_count": 10,
   "in_reply_to": "853039420928348161"
  },
  {
   "id": "853041989306265602",
   "created_at": "2017-04-15T00:27:13+00:00",
   "text": "Time enjoyed is not time well spent.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/853041989306265602",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "852936524975017984",
   "created_at": "2017-04-14T17:28:09+00:00",
   "text": "@willmacaskill I doubt any 'god' cares that you hold a vague, scientifically-unfounded mental thought of it in high esteem.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/852936524975017984",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "852886697192894464"
  },
  {
   "id": "852657223205621760",
   "created_at": "2017-04-13T22:58:18+00:00",
   "text": "With so much on the line, we have no room for apathy or carelessness in our lives.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/852657223205621760",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "852281677036572673",
   "created_at": "2017-04-12T22:06:01+00:00",
   "text": "@GoPro So basically, what your telling me is that your product is $100 overpriced?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/852281677036572673",
   "word_count": 14,
   "in_reply_to": "852280435132518400"
  },
  {
   "id": "852192112099590145",
   "created_at": "2017-04-12T16:10:07+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/JsTC4pF9p4",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/852192112099590145",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "852130829866323968",
   "created_at": "2017-04-12T12:06:36+00:00",
   "text": "3rd long distance run this week!  Building up a solid base to #BeatNavy and crush whatever life throws at me. https://t.co/qzMmZK1TOg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/852130829866323968",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "851988905213788160",
   "created_at": "2017-04-12T02:42:38+00:00",
   "text": "This may be the chart of human progress when we reach the AI singularity. https://t.co/wBdL5CNaYN https://t.co/Jf7NvuvXJm",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851988905213788160",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "851987281472892928",
   "created_at": "2017-04-12T02:36:11+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/AFrskgbNUs",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851987281472892928",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "851987259893141504",
   "created_at": "2017-04-12T02:36:06+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/9mJ8VYunPq",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851987259893141504",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "851986364186886146",
   "created_at": "2017-04-12T02:32:33+00:00",
   "text": "Inaction is a choice and is ultimately more painful then action. https://t.co/MYUPVlujpf",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851986364186886146",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "851976419991322624",
   "created_at": "2017-04-12T01:53:02+00:00",
   "text": "Augmented reality holds a lot of promise.  AI will be able to guide one visually throughout their day to better action...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851976419991322624",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "851973557294956544",
   "created_at": "2017-04-12T01:41:39+00:00",
   "text": "@ImagineCanada @NonProfitTimes WTH people. I don't understand how such talented people can have such a broken moral compass.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851973557294956544",
   "word_count": 18,
   "in_reply_to": "851873771657072641"
  },
  {
   "id": "851970335436144641",
   "created_at": "2017-04-12T01:28:51+00:00",
   "text": "Be the leader others need you to be.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851970335436144641",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "851953410555469826",
   "created_at": "2017-04-12T00:21:36+00:00",
   "text": "“8 Things Every Person Should Do Before 8 A.M.”  https://t.co/InjkM6wuzu",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851953410555469826",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "851947486482771968",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T23:58:03+00:00",
   "text": "\"He who feels the respect which is due to others cannot fail to inspire in them regard for himself...\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851947486482771968",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "851924180987674624",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T22:25:27+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ericschmidt: Clever approach to A.I. - train two neural nets against each other, one as ‘artist’ and the other as ‘critic’ https://t.co…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851924180987674624",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "851894643784646657",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T20:28:05+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/e1qw8MhXdD\nLove that organizations like this exist.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851894643784646657",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "851823079277965312",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T15:43:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RyanHoliday: “Choose not to be harmed — and you won’t feel harmed. Don’t feel harmed — and you haven’t been.” Marcus Aurelius",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851823079277965312",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "851773208110018560",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T12:25:32+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHarrisOrg @LKrauss1 Never get bogged down on your podcast Sam. You have meaningful things to say and are one of the most eloquent speakers I know.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851773208110018560",
   "word_count": 26,
   "in_reply_to": "851536782634008576"
  },
  {
   "id": "851772216098336768",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T12:21:36+00:00",
   "text": "Another 'casual' morning run. 13 miles isn't bad for 2 days! #GoArmy #BeatNavy https://t.co/ZbaGZvSG12",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851772216098336768",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "851739123983503360",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T10:10:06+00:00",
   "text": "Treating cancer and heart disease adds less years to human life than does curing aging.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851739123983503360",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "851638782524887041",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T03:31:23+00:00",
   "text": "Do not confuse feeling good with success. They often correlate, but you could have the biggest + impact ever and be miserable & visa-versa.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851638782524887041",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "851637112562741249",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T03:24:44+00:00",
   "text": "Think how much human potential is wasted through practicing religion. If only we all practiced the scientific method instead.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851637112562741249",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "851631843157979136",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T03:03:48+00:00",
   "text": "@MyLibertyLive Lucky for you guys, you were born into the right religion, and are not going to burn in hell like most of the rest of the population S/",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851631843157979136",
   "word_count": 29,
   "in_reply_to": "851097781477318656"
  },
  {
   "id": "851628564508233728",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T02:50:46+00:00",
   "text": "Disappointed basic economics was not taught more in school...Not paying for meat DOES (statistically) decrease production! #AnimalRights",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851628564508233728",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "851627364127780864",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T02:46:00+00:00",
   "text": "Why must you have the newest electronics? A cheap Android will do! Save the difference and donate half to GiveWell recommendations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851627364127780864",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "851627020131979265",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T02:44:38+00:00",
   "text": "Thought: leadership school for teenagers. Like West Point, but even earlier, & w/ an academic focus on countering existential risks.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851627020131979265",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "851624626459430913",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T02:35:08+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/pvRoFm7Kvp",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851624626459430913",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "851622148565237760",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T02:25:17+00:00",
   "text": "With knowledge of my potential enormous impact, it's irresponsible to take on unnecessary micromorts like riding a motorcycle...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851622148565237760",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "851621644745527296",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T02:23:17+00:00",
   "text": "Mitigating existential risk sounds cold & abstract compared to relieving suffering now, but we are talking about billions more future people",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851621644745527296",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "851620216266215424",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T02:17:36+00:00",
   "text": "Rich people need to understand @willmacaskill 100x principle.  $1 goes 100x further for those in extreme poverty. https://t.co/WcTxCkmigZ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851620216266215424",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "851616835434926080",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T02:04:10+00:00",
   "text": "My fellow USMA classmates will be in key positions as technological growth further accelerates & transforms war. https://t.co/tuq62emAnc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851616835434926080",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "851615757863669766",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T01:59:53+00:00",
   "text": "Angel Olsen's songs are amazing. https://t.co/yTwDMZdJtB",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851615757863669766",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "851614035619565568",
   "created_at": "2017-04-11T01:53:02+00:00",
   "text": "It would be amazing if quantum computing allows us to optimize almost everything in our life...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/851614035619565568",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "850533219879538693",
   "created_at": "2017-04-08T02:18:16+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AHamiltonSpirit: There are 3 reasons we argue.\n1) To vent anger\n2) To feel superior\n3) To convince\nOnly the last has any collective use…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/850533219879538693",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "850313962696650752",
   "created_at": "2017-04-07T11:47:01+00:00",
   "text": "Ran a 24:48 four mile, breaking the CO's 25 minute challenge.  4-day pass for me! #NoSubstituteForVictory",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/850313962696650752",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "850186614714372096",
   "created_at": "2017-04-07T03:20:59+00:00",
   "text": "Nothing beats hard work.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/850186614714372096",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "850062558333734912",
   "created_at": "2017-04-06T19:08:01+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/EJwQNwWNqL",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/850062558333734912",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "849816786895859712",
   "created_at": "2017-04-06T02:51:25+00:00",
   "text": "RT @AHamiltonSpirit: #HowWeResist - An idea\n\nThe problem with small donations has always been unification, not so with Twitter\n\n@Indivisibl…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/849816786895859712",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "849325027417874432",
   "created_at": "2017-04-04T18:17:20+00:00",
   "text": "When confronted with veganism, many say they 'can't' entirely give up eating animals. Fine. Then compromise and gradually reduce consumption",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/849325027417874432",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "849124597429653505",
   "created_at": "2017-04-04T05:00:54+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/fNibS3D9bX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/849124597429653505",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "849073727786672128",
   "created_at": "2017-04-04T01:38:46+00:00",
   "text": "There is just not enough time to read everything worth reading :(\n#Prioritize & #Execute",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/849073727786672128",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "848873806764670976",
   "created_at": "2017-04-03T12:24:21+00:00",
   "text": "@jockowillink 1) I suspect any sex fools the primitive brain into thinking you're successful. Why put out so much effort if you already 'have woman'?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848873806764670976",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "848638189921161217"
  },
  {
   "id": "848349988161826817",
   "created_at": "2017-04-02T01:42:53+00:00",
   "text": "Your sense of taste changes with your diet. Cut out hyper-rewarding foods and everything else tastes better.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848349988161826817",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "848348989917454336",
   "created_at": "2017-04-02T01:38:55+00:00",
   "text": "This \"Protein Nut Milk\" with 2 g of sugar per cup was too plain for me at first, but it is getting sweeter the more I cut sugar out my diet.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848348989917454336",
   "word_count": 31
  },
  {
   "id": "848338985340604419",
   "created_at": "2017-04-02T00:59:10+00:00",
   "text": "RT @wef: This is one of the biggest threats to international #security – and it's not what you think https://t.co/fO2TW86odB https://t.co/o…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848338985340604419",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "848326435555168257",
   "created_at": "2017-04-02T00:09:18+00:00",
   "text": "If you're complaining, but you aren't writing tactful letters to the people in charge, you are wrong.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848326435555168257",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "848325559759319041",
   "created_at": "2017-04-02T00:05:49+00:00",
   "text": "4) It is in your best interest if you express your deepest beliefs and someone shows you how your idea is false/non-utilitarian.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848325559759319041",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "848323853227085826",
   "created_at": "2017-04-01T23:59:02+00:00",
   "text": "3) Anyone can read, write, converse, and contribute to the Great Conversation of human ideas. #Medium",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848323853227085826",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "848323324065218562",
   "created_at": "2017-04-01T23:56:56+00:00",
   "text": "2) It doesn't matter if you are just a blue-collar guy outside of management, academia, or policy-making.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848323324065218562",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "848322969965408258",
   "created_at": "2017-04-01T23:55:31+00:00",
   "text": "1) Our ever-mutating DNA did not 'evolve' us out of the Dark Ages.  Our ideas did.  Our ideas have more of an impact on us then anything.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848322969965408258",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "848313095772680193",
   "created_at": "2017-04-01T23:16:17+00:00",
   "text": "@USAA_help 4) I would recommend you guys ad a 1 to the numbers you provide on your website so clients don't run into this problem.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848313095772680193",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "848312778578440192"
  },
  {
   "id": "848312778578440192",
   "created_at": "2017-04-01T23:15:01+00:00",
   "text": "@USAA_help 3) I was calling the same number as I first did, which was the # on your website, but the 1 fixed everything.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848312778578440192",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "848312507328548866"
  },
  {
   "id": "848312507328548866",
   "created_at": "2017-04-01T23:13:57+00:00",
   "text": "@USAA_help 2) After I got ahold of you (by putting a 1 in front of the #), I couldn't get ahold of the scammy, ad-bombarding phone # again.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848312507328548866",
   "word_count": 28,
   "in_reply_to": "847558311385767938"
  },
  {
   "id": "848312087394877440",
   "created_at": "2017-04-01T23:12:17+00:00",
   "text": "@USAA_help 1) I realised it only happened when I called your number without a 1 in front.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/848312087394877440",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "847558311385767938"
  },
  {
   "id": "847556163931709440",
   "created_at": "2017-03-30T21:08:30+00:00",
   "text": "@USAA_help I have been bombarded by ads for the last 5 minutes while trying to call USAA. I will stop banking with you if this continues",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/847556163931709440",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "847285721224237057",
   "created_at": "2017-03-30T03:13:52+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jockowillink: BODY OVER MIND. https://t.co/AUcD5yAd4H",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/847285721224237057",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "847285151038029826",
   "created_at": "2017-03-30T03:11:36+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/v7kKRpaSt1",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/847285151038029826",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "847053301183074304",
   "created_at": "2017-03-29T11:50:19+00:00",
   "text": "Much more time in Z4 and Z5 today. #GoArmy https://t.co/dZTT8ElYoz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/847053301183074304",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "846808885239406592",
   "created_at": "2017-03-28T19:39:05+00:00",
   "text": "Wonder what foods offer the most life-prolonging benefit per dollar.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/846808885239406592",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "846761257642459136",
   "created_at": "2017-03-28T16:29:50+00:00",
   "text": "@StevenTDennis I wonder what the average education level of those 36% who approve him are compared to the average of the population...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/846761257642459136",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "846428670793256960"
  },
  {
   "id": "846753563309228032",
   "created_at": "2017-03-28T15:59:16+00:00",
   "text": "2) Thus, Operations Researchers answer the call  and can add incalculable (but actually calculable) value to their organizations.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/846753563309228032",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "846752585663074309",
   "created_at": "2017-03-28T15:55:22+00:00",
   "text": "1) Everyone has good ideas, but few have the mathematical background to quantitatively verify a complex idea's validity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/846752585663074309",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "846749705136672769",
   "created_at": "2017-03-28T15:43:56+00:00",
   "text": "Credit cards are convenient...too convenient.  Switching to cash for discretionary purchases to help me better track where my money goes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/846749705136672769",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "845821318717231105",
   "created_at": "2017-03-26T02:14:51+00:00",
   "text": "Starting going vegan keto about a week ago.? My mood and energy levels have been outstanding. Would recommend.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845821318717231105",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "845813279532503044",
   "created_at": "2017-03-26T01:42:54+00:00",
   "text": "@NoahStephens Thanks for reminding me. How can I, an ignorant person outside academia, know which journals are legitimate, though?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845813279532503044",
   "word_count": 19,
   "in_reply_to": "845801413255008256"
  },
  {
   "id": "845795031990591490",
   "created_at": "2017-03-26T00:30:24+00:00",
   "text": "@sciam People need to be able to trust peer-reviewed science. This is disgusting.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845795031990591490",
   "word_count": 13,
   "in_reply_to": "845787421409230850"
  },
  {
   "id": "845787505689530369",
   "created_at": "2017-03-26T00:00:29+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jockowillink: MAKE TIME. https://t.co/r6CiiNDrVX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845787505689530369",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "845783144431267840",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T23:43:10+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanWard97 2)In many cases, the damage to the public is often far greater then one person's murder.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845783144431267840",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "845779293791772672"
  },
  {
   "id": "845782204810760197",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T23:39:26+00:00",
   "text": "@theowookie I mean stop believing in God merely because it vaguely feels right. Believe in one for other reasons if you must.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845782204810760197",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "845778784561311745"
  },
  {
   "id": "845777085851406342",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T23:19:05+00:00",
   "text": "@theowookie 2)The conclusion is to respect the influence of evolution on one's psychological and stop misleading oneself.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845777085851406342",
   "word_count": 17,
   "in_reply_to": "845763793158389762"
  },
  {
   "id": "845776685765156865",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T23:17:30+00:00",
   "text": "@theowookie 1) My account is not a fallacy because I am not disproving the existence of God.  Simply explaining why people feel one exists.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845776685765156865",
   "word_count": 24,
   "in_reply_to": "845763793158389762"
  },
  {
   "id": "845761530041917441",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T22:17:16+00:00",
   "text": "@tomrikert @erichorvitz Just because you can does not mean that you should!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845761530041917441",
   "word_count": 12,
   "in_reply_to": "845754412144324608"
  },
  {
   "id": "845743422833152000",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T21:05:19+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/Fsu22X2m22\nIt's more fun to try to write with maximum information density anyways.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845743422833152000",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "845736415430414337",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T20:37:29+00:00",
   "text": "An easy way to increase your online security is by putting a keyword before/after all of your personal #security question answers. @FSecure",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845736415430414337",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "845722836639600640",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T19:43:31+00:00",
   "text": "#Religion #atheism #Islam #Christianity #Catholicism #Judaism #Hinduism #humanism #evolution #psychology #science #God @RichardDawkins https://t.co/clO5t5kpUX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845722836639600640",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "845713413842063361",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T19:06:05+00:00",
   "text": "@HermieLFC @rickygervais Believing that no god is coming to intervene is incredibly empowering. Humanity has to do the work itself.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845713413842063361",
   "word_count": 20,
   "in_reply_to": "845658555902558208"
  },
  {
   "id": "845712693449412610",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T19:03:13+00:00",
   "text": "@samhailes @magguu_ What is the value in asserting a god exists? He obviously is not going to reach out and reward you for thinking so.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845712693449412610",
   "word_count": 25,
   "in_reply_to": "845709447544672257"
  },
  {
   "id": "845705895967444992",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T18:36:12+00:00",
   "text": "No one else in the world is in the position to make the impact that YOU can make.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845705895967444992",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "845689940683972609",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T17:32:48+00:00",
   "text": ".@FredericLambert For earning-to-givers on the road a lot, this may be the most ethical car to purchase. Significantly reduces micromorts @Effect_Altruism",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845689940683972609",
   "word_count": 21,
   "in_reply_to": "845433969571180545"
  },
  {
   "id": "845687874083328000",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T17:24:35+00:00",
   "text": "With technology, each person has the potential to be more powerful than ever before. That is why the future looks so daunting.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845687874083328000",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "845433969571180545",
   "created_at": "2017-03-25T00:35:40+00:00",
   "text": "Tesla Model 3 will give 'superhuman' safety to driver and be '10x safer than current cars', sa… https://t.co/YNd7bxGbR4 via @FredericLambert",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/845433969571180545",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "844512838370689024",
   "created_at": "2017-03-22T11:35:25+00:00",
   "text": "When we fail to live up to our potential, we do a great disservice to those who sacrificed for us.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/844512838370689024",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "844399123621142530",
   "created_at": "2017-03-22T04:03:33+00:00",
   "text": "RT @danevans87: The 37% Rule: https://t.co/zD03OOkbUy Fascinating... https://t.co/4ToqulFFVN",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/844399123621142530",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "844004950329954305",
   "created_at": "2017-03-21T01:57:15+00:00",
   "text": "Everyday, you set the standard for future days.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/844004950329954305",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "843994106544230401",
   "created_at": "2017-03-21T01:14:10+00:00",
   "text": "Yessss! I am now a proud patron of Sam Harris on @Patreon, and you should be too: https://t.co/xE8nong5VX",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/843994106544230401",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "843940328314994688",
   "created_at": "2017-03-20T21:40:28+00:00",
   "text": "I just used @GiveWell to support a great charity. Their in-depth research at https://t.co/GZX9NqH94W allowed me to give with confidence.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/843940328314994688",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "843657581310676992",
   "created_at": "2017-03-20T02:56:56+00:00",
   "text": "\"When everything is a priority, nothing is.\" https://t.co/2bVo9yvBbO",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/843657581310676992",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "843647620555923457",
   "created_at": "2017-03-20T02:17:21+00:00",
   "text": "More so than for the people alive today, we are obligated to live well for the billions of people who have yet to be born.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/843647620555923457",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "843601963719757828",
   "created_at": "2017-03-19T23:15:56+00:00",
   "text": "Cutting out meat and dairy one day a week cuts your carbon footprint more than buying locally all the time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/843601963719757828",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "843588590693208065",
   "created_at": "2017-03-19T22:22:47+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/5qwGL8ZfVB\nA \"job\" does not automatically free one from responsibility for their actions.  A meat-packer is a killer.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/843588590693208065",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "843514218750136320",
   "created_at": "2017-03-19T17:27:16+00:00",
   "text": "Very clear thinking regarding how buying less meat reduces production: https://t.co/wATIVr8Pjg\nIn essence, going vegan reduces suffering.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/843514218750136320",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "843324097035689986",
   "created_at": "2017-03-19T04:51:47+00:00",
   "text": "With the potential to have such a massive impact on DALYs over my lifetime, I better start looking into #micromorts to mitigate risk.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/843324097035689986",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "843288058736861187",
   "created_at": "2017-03-19T02:28:35+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/SSskv6ejoY\nGood compilation of resources to help spot bullshit.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/843288058736861187",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "843170774265597953",
   "created_at": "2017-03-18T18:42:32+00:00",
   "text": "\"The good I do is not a matter of the direct benefits I cause.  Rather, it is the difference I make.\" -William MacAskill",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/843170774265597953",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "843117839892529154",
   "created_at": "2017-03-18T15:12:12+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/PA8ShCQkK9 I avoid high-glycemic garbage because it almost always makes me feel down.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/843117839892529154",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "842890762673184768",
   "created_at": "2017-03-18T00:09:52+00:00",
   "text": "An interesting study by RAND dealing with #WestPoint's methods and reasoning for selecting its Cadets. #USMAadmissions",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842890762673184768",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "842883763579183107",
   "created_at": "2017-03-17T23:42:03+00:00",
   "text": "Great work is being done to combat malaria, one of the biggest stiflers of human progress.  https://t.co/K5Bpsuqoyz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842883763579183107",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "842882228631887872",
   "created_at": "2017-03-17T23:35:57+00:00",
   "text": "@EvanWard97 Olive oil too, to absorb the fat-soluble nutrients.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842882228631887872",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "842882049648267265"
  },
  {
   "id": "842882049648267265",
   "created_at": "2017-03-17T23:35:15+00:00",
   "text": "About $3 worth of mushrooms and frozen peppers and onions. Can't get too much healthier than that. #GBOMBS https://t.co/Lp1x8khbMI",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842882049648267265",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "842873952624173056",
   "created_at": "2017-03-17T23:03:04+00:00",
   "text": "Just imagine the family suffering. You could have given them a $100 cash transfer that could've transformed their life. But you #indulged.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842873952624173056",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "842872706899021826",
   "created_at": "2017-03-17T22:58:07+00:00",
   "text": "Disability adjusted life years are a thing.  Money, spent wisely, prevents them. Our Starbucks robs people the chance of being saved.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842872706899021826",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "842872320616288257",
   "created_at": "2017-03-17T22:56:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @7piliers: What aid is more effective; a dollar given to an NGO or a dollar given to a poor family as cash? https://t.co/qutnsn8TWO #ReS…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842872320616288257",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "842871852968099840",
   "created_at": "2017-03-17T22:54:44+00:00",
   "text": "Frozen vegetables give you so much nutrients per dollar.  Most Americans can afford to eat healthy.  Our average diet makes me sad.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842871852968099840",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "842871152204746753",
   "created_at": "2017-03-17T22:51:57+00:00",
   "text": "So much of grocery stores are full of high-glycemic, toxic, and empty calories. Shameful we do not have better nutrition education in school",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842871152204746753",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "842859614836330497",
   "created_at": "2017-03-17T22:06:06+00:00",
   "text": "What are some ways of quantifying suffering? by Jonathan Leighton https://t.co/hTi7Acou1E",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842859614836330497",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "842859302801084416",
   "created_at": "2017-03-17T22:04:52+00:00",
   "text": "It's better to be vaguely right than precisely wrong.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842859302801084416",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "842190832878948352",
   "created_at": "2017-03-16T01:48:36+00:00",
   "text": "Life is fueled by imperatives.  You can resist or embrace them.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842190832878948352",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "842155228782821376",
   "created_at": "2017-03-15T23:27:07+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/z8TgIRxnd7\nDonating now versus later has serious implications and must be weighed carefully.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842155228782821376",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "842140324604567553",
   "created_at": "2017-03-15T22:27:54+00:00",
   "text": "“Military failures are a result of three things: failure to learn, failure to adapt, and a failure to anticipate.”",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842140324604567553",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "842129003565707264",
   "created_at": "2017-03-15T21:42:55+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/254R1z6BSP\nLeaders must assume responsibility for their subordinates' motivation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842129003565707264",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "842120837532639241",
   "created_at": "2017-03-15T21:10:28+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/se0tshwL6Y\nIncredibly useful info.  Memorization is a real hurdle in life and this provides the techniques to get over it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/842120837532639241",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "841719194345451521",
   "created_at": "2017-03-14T18:34:28+00:00",
   "text": "40 degree air and rain was not enough to stop us Spartan Dive Team from running 3+ miles this morning!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841719194345451521",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "841465622869483520",
   "created_at": "2017-03-14T01:46:52+00:00",
   "text": "Some things humanity desperately needs:\nMore compassion.\nMore real conversations.\nLess distraction.  \nMore rationality & acting on reason.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841465622869483520",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "841464753893605376",
   "created_at": "2017-03-14T01:43:25+00:00",
   "text": "We can have difficult conversations or violence. https://t.co/wVeOOGQygV",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841464753893605376",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "841460551234531328",
   "created_at": "2017-03-14T01:26:43+00:00",
   "text": "THE WELLBEING OF ALL KNOWN CURRENT AND FUTURE CONSCIOUS CREATURES IS AT STAKE. Can more people recognize that is what we are dealing with?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841460551234531328",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "841456688423194624",
   "created_at": "2017-03-14T01:11:22+00:00",
   "text": "When you find yourself away from where you want to be, where do you start? Like anyone ever has: where you are.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841456688423194624",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "841456199337967617",
   "created_at": "2017-03-14T01:09:26+00:00",
   "text": "With modern technology and extreme income disparity worldwide, a 1%er like myself can foster an IMMENSE amount of good through EA donation.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841456199337967617",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "841455719459221504",
   "created_at": "2017-03-14T01:07:31+00:00",
   "text": "If I play my cards right, I may be able to alone foster over 10,000 Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALY's).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841455719459221504",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "841454989495152640",
   "created_at": "2017-03-14T01:04:37+00:00",
   "text": "Can't wait until I am getting that BAS.  I will be able to afford to eat almost as healthily as I want.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841454989495152640",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "841454288270458881",
   "created_at": "2017-03-14T01:01:50+00:00",
   "text": "The fate of humanity is still up in the air. We could create a literal heaven on earth (w/ technology) if only we play our cards right.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841454288270458881",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "841453274666545152",
   "created_at": "2017-03-14T00:57:48+00:00",
   "text": "It may not be true in an objective-world sense, but subjectively, it is helpful for me to believe that: life happens FOR us, not just to us.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841453274666545152",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "841452075447914504",
   "created_at": "2017-03-14T00:53:02+00:00",
   "text": "One of the best days in a long time. Woke @ 0520, freewrote, ran 5mi/37:00, biked hard @ lunch, swam 1000m tonight, hit sauna, ate vegan ;D",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841452075447914504",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "841265365845979136",
   "created_at": "2017-03-13T12:31:07+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/w8iUxKlvQN\nLove these Jazz renditions of old classical/romantic music",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/841265365845979136",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "840987771468697601",
   "created_at": "2017-03-12T18:08:04+00:00",
   "text": "\"The limits of my language mean the limits of my world.\" -Ludwig Wittgenstein",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840987771468697601",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "840783107125047299",
   "created_at": "2017-03-12T04:34:48+00:00",
   "text": "It's a bit disconcerting how much we are blown through life by social opinion (and not our own commitment to moral truth).",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840783107125047299",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "840780282219397121",
   "created_at": "2017-03-12T04:23:34+00:00",
   "text": "Uncomfortable to discuss, but I believe this is true:\nhttps://t.co/L1bsYewf0A",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840780282219397121",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "840779353969569792",
   "created_at": "2017-03-12T04:19:53+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/gsYm366dEY https://t.co/KdxFYCJIUM \nWish I knew about these in high school.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840779353969569792",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "840773382522195968",
   "created_at": "2017-03-12T03:56:09+00:00",
   "text": "Somewhere, people are suffering and would do anything to be in your shoes and have your opportunities.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840773382522195968",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "840757134291787777",
   "created_at": "2017-03-12T02:51:35+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/wJpTXyC6uq\nBe conscientious about what you are getting your dopamine from.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840757134291787777",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "840735865760559105",
   "created_at": "2017-03-12T01:27:05+00:00",
   "text": "Coincidences are meaningless & correlation does not imply causation.  We all know this actually, but sometimes we forget to apply it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840735865760559105",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "840707799483060224",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T23:35:33+00:00",
   "text": "@businessinsider @NASA Why didn't I come up with this?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840707799483060224",
   "word_count": 9,
   "in_reply_to": "840220706667343872"
  },
  {
   "id": "840706193031090178",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T23:29:10+00:00",
   "text": "Our mental models of reality are just that: models.  Don't confuse the map with the territory.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840706193031090178",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "840705157927174144",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T23:25:03+00:00",
   "text": "Don't waste your energy trying to fit in with the crowd.  Follow your intuitions and people will eventually respect you for it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840705157927174144",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "840695618964189184",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T22:47:09+00:00",
   "text": "I never fault people for telling me how they really feel.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840695618964189184",
   "word_count": 11
  },
  {
   "id": "840695155527163906",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T22:45:19+00:00",
   "text": "The inner confidence gained from living with our highest ideals is worth the discomfort in doing so.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840695155527163906",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "840694898705731585",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T22:44:17+00:00",
   "text": "You can do anything as long as you are willing to face the consequences.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840694898705731585",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "840693739492372480",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T22:39:41+00:00",
   "text": "It's comic relief when people give me shit I clearly don't deserve because they've shown me I never did need to value their judgment.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840693739492372480",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "840648498332749824",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T19:39:55+00:00",
   "text": "Touching article: https://t.co/Fg2S6SwpPx\nWe can die with dignity and leave the world a better place even up until the very end.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840648498332749824",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "840638480417984519",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T19:00:06+00:00",
   "text": "Guilt is deserved if it is useful.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840638480417984519",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "840637046796480512",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T18:54:24+00:00",
   "text": "He who rejects acting on comprehensive data and goes with acting on their whims are not entitled to praise for whatever good happens",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840637046796480512",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "840617637294018560",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T17:37:17+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RobertGreene: It would be of infinite benefit for us to allow more nuances and ambiguity into our judgements of people and events.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840617637294018560",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "840532990186905600",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T12:00:55+00:00",
   "text": "Just a nice song.  https://t.co/4UmJtwOmpp",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840532990186905600",
   "word_count": 5
  },
  {
   "id": "840393913932345345",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T02:48:17+00:00",
   "text": "I tried forefoot striking & gave it my best shot for years. Sorry but I prefer heel striking.  Now I actually enjoy long runs again.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840393913932345345",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "840393181988569088",
   "created_at": "2017-03-11T02:45:22+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/rT0s0fxyne\nGetting feels listening to this.  Life is awesome.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840393181988569088",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "840297854421880832",
   "created_at": "2017-03-10T20:26:35+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/wbOwSip6qH https://t.co/Pq3z4U4edV",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840297854421880832",
   "word_count": 2
  },
  {
   "id": "840258203640299521",
   "created_at": "2017-03-10T17:49:01+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/QNQyJU1ygY\nIt pumps me up that organizations like this exist.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840258203640299521",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "840257574964514818",
   "created_at": "2017-03-10T17:46:31+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/hANvA1K6T4\nAnother important tool to aid in living an impactful, and thus, meaningful life.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840257574964514818",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "840243043353665541",
   "created_at": "2017-03-10T16:48:47+00:00",
   "text": "Cool competition with a $5 million dollar prize. https://t.co/agSs3EjIaK",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840243043353665541",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "840241088820629505",
   "created_at": "2017-03-10T16:41:01+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/t0Bqw4sAsG\nBreeding happier animals: no futuristic tech required.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840241088820629505",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "840065522943238144",
   "created_at": "2017-03-10T05:03:22+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/PoZ6c4Z4N7\nSweet site for figuring out what other people think of your photos.  Good for improving LinkedIn/Tinder profiles.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840065522943238144",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "839633198183288834",
   "created_at": "2017-03-09T00:25:28+00:00",
   "text": "RT @killianczuba: seriously, these numbers are nutty \n(from @80000Hours - https://t.co/iiJxG4XAcH) https://t.co/fGlphtFUHU",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/839633198183288834",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "839239979809263618",
   "created_at": "2017-03-07T22:22:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @WIRED: You're doing this whole life thing wrong by spending so little of it outdoors https://t.co/qwbYhFVDDP",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/839239979809263618",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "839104586992533504",
   "created_at": "2017-03-07T13:24:58+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sciam: By thinking about specific dilemmas before bed, we can increase our chances that we will dream a solution. 🔒  https://t.co/mjkeO…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/839104586992533504",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "838470419220992000",
   "created_at": "2017-03-05T19:25:00+00:00",
   "text": "RT @daniel_kraft: Google Deep Learning  system diagnoses #cancer better than a pathologist with unlimited time #AI #MachineLearning https:/…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/838470419220992000",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "838470201683427328",
   "created_at": "2017-03-05T19:24:08+00:00",
   "text": "Considering the magnitude of suffering at play, supporting the animal processing industry in any way is morally evil.https://t.co/4PFI6RFfAD",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/838470201683427328",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "838442926296424452",
   "created_at": "2017-03-05T17:35:45+00:00",
   "text": "We learn to love what we are affiliated with.  Be careful with what you regularly embrace/experience/think about.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/838442926296424452",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "838217669644021760",
   "created_at": "2017-03-05T02:40:40+00:00",
   "text": "Huge amounts of wealth in developed countries, huge disparities in income, and profound impact for relatively little $ makes this so. https://t.co/Y2p8g7t1ji",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/838217669644021760",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "838216187339292672",
   "created_at": "2017-03-05T02:34:47+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/rfukpRtlas",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/838216187339292672",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "838215442166607873",
   "created_at": "2017-03-05T02:31:49+00:00",
   "text": "\"Creative leaps are grounded in a technical foundation.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/838215442166607873",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "838215018017669120",
   "created_at": "2017-03-05T02:30:08+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/VSa2u07DJY",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/838215018017669120",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "838211921321025537",
   "created_at": "2017-03-05T02:17:49+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/rTC3NtekDz",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/838211921321025537",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "838211202601873408",
   "created_at": "2017-03-05T02:14:58+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/9qRYWQlmLR",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/838211202601873408",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "837792478644305920",
   "created_at": "2017-03-03T22:31:06+00:00",
   "text": "It's going to be so exciting once ASI starts cranking out solutions to our biggest problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/837792478644305920",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "837717868208877569",
   "created_at": "2017-03-03T17:34:38+00:00",
   "text": "Most US prisoners get released.  Who do you want coming home?  People that received education and rehabilitation, or punishment?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/837717868208877569",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "837499496019996674",
   "created_at": "2017-03-03T03:06:54+00:00",
   "text": "It is the duty of us capable to secure the future of humanity.  Life can be fully enjoyed by them, once our problems are solved.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/837499496019996674",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "837486301817470977",
   "created_at": "2017-03-03T02:14:28+00:00",
   "text": "Kind of sucks that we may have missed immortality by just 100 years or so.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/837486301817470977",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "837482861540298754",
   "created_at": "2017-03-03T02:00:48+00:00",
   "text": "An ASI can learn from every bit of human writing and witness everything about our world, and have no appreciation for sentience.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/837482861540298754",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "837481341193170945",
   "created_at": "2017-03-03T01:54:46+00:00",
   "text": "Isn't it strange that it seems we are just intelligent enough to understand the world as it 'is'?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/837481341193170945",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "837462603999948800",
   "created_at": "2017-03-03T00:40:18+00:00",
   "text": "\"Discretion is the better part of valor.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/837462603999948800",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "837454699162923009",
   "created_at": "2017-03-03T00:08:54+00:00",
   "text": "Superintelligence could be the workhorse to carry out our most creative ideas.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/837454699162923009",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "837454261839605760",
   "created_at": "2017-03-03T00:07:09+00:00",
   "text": "A motherly superintelligence could do all the thinking for us and set us all up for extraordinary levels of well-being.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/837454261839605760",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "837451739376807936",
   "created_at": "2017-03-02T23:57:08+00:00",
   "text": "I wonder if I could solve all of humanity's problems if I never lost focus and could follow every thought to it's proper end...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/837451739376807936",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "837445918949539840",
   "created_at": "2017-03-02T23:34:00+00:00",
   "text": "Problems only remain so due to a lack of information processing ability.  Superintelligence will end all of our problems.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/837445918949539840",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "836932155880140800",
   "created_at": "2017-03-01T13:32:30+00:00",
   "text": "Feels good to be on the right side of history.  Glad I have been exposed to veganism relatively early in my life :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/836932155880140800",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "836931867697942529",
   "created_at": "2017-03-01T13:31:21+00:00",
   "text": "We have always wondered what aliens would be like. It seems that we are actually creating the aliens.  AI's operate in such peculiar ways",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/836931867697942529",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "836930546836070400",
   "created_at": "2017-03-01T13:26:06+00:00",
   "text": "Can't wait to have to have access to so much information processing power down the road.  AI is going to fundamentally transform our world.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/836930546836070400",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "836889663986102272",
   "created_at": "2017-03-01T10:43:39+00:00",
   "text": "RT @33strategieswar: In a world in which many people are indecisive and overly cautious, the use of speed will bring you untold power.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/836889663986102272",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "836885568973844480",
   "created_at": "2017-03-01T10:27:22+00:00",
   "text": "Operations Research looks so interesting and helpful for controlling risk and making good decisions down the road.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/836885568973844480",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "836405978757279744",
   "created_at": "2017-02-28T02:41:39+00:00",
   "text": "We can't actually escape this evolutionary game  we call life (aside from taking the easy way out), so we might as well embrace playing it.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/836405978757279744",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "836355105054142464",
   "created_at": "2017-02-27T23:19:30+00:00",
   "text": "Wargames Committee? Model UN? Small Unit Tactics Club? I have so many opportunities to prepare for officership at USMA...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/836355105054142464",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "836343799500656640",
   "created_at": "2017-02-27T22:34:34+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nutrition_facts: How does the environmental impact of an organic omnivorous diet compare to a conventional #plantbased diet? https://t.…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/836343799500656640",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "836341611697156096",
   "created_at": "2017-02-27T22:25:53+00:00",
   "text": "I don't know how people get through life without the awareness of their own neuroplasticity.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/836341611697156096",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "836341442519924737",
   "created_at": "2017-02-27T22:25:13+00:00",
   "text": "You can learn to like things you don't like and you can learn to unlike things you do.  Neuroplasticity is amazing.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/836341442519924737",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "836200705824342016",
   "created_at": "2017-02-27T13:05:58+00:00",
   "text": "So hoping I get into West Point.  I don't think there is better place for me to be.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/836200705824342016",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "834985603007713280",
   "created_at": "2017-02-24T04:37:35+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nutrition_facts: Nutrients found in most fruits make these sweet treats some of the healthiest foods on our planet: https://t.co/RbiY1e…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/834985603007713280",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "834952237868793856",
   "created_at": "2017-02-24T02:25:00+00:00",
   "text": "RT @RobertGreene: The greatest danger we face is the mind going soft.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/834952237868793856",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "829472711562915840",
   "created_at": "2017-02-08T23:31:19+00:00",
   "text": "RT @elonmusk: In addition, I again raised climate. I believe this is doing good, so will remain on council & keep at it. Doing otherwise wo…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/829472711562915840",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "825491919815991300",
   "created_at": "2017-01-28T23:53:05+00:00",
   "text": "We must continue to design organizations that are smarter than we are.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/825491919815991300",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "824392787756011520",
   "created_at": "2017-01-25T23:05:31+00:00",
   "text": "Fed up w/ pessimistic, unproductive world-views.  STFU.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/824392787756011520",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "813588146952830976",
   "created_at": "2016-12-27T03:31:44+00:00",
   "text": "Rejection is so painful, but so motivating. I'm obviously just not strong/knowledgable/successful enough yet.  Good.  #GetAfterIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/813588146952830976",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "812158985637888004",
   "created_at": "2016-12-23T04:52:46+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/9tTNASEmAa\nDustin O'Halloran's Opus 23 brings back serious feels.  #Catharsis",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/812158985637888004",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "812108142762983428",
   "created_at": "2016-12-23T01:30:44+00:00",
   "text": "\"It's not what you preach, it's what you tolerate.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/812108142762983428",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "811352848730640386",
   "created_at": "2016-12-20T23:29:28+00:00",
   "text": "Now my dreams are filled with negotiations.  Thanks @HouseofCards ;)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/811352848730640386",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "811262470190985217",
   "created_at": "2016-12-20T17:30:20+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/SkDcjnlzzt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/811262470190985217",
   "word_count": 1
  },
  {
   "id": "809245007932690432",
   "created_at": "2016-12-15T03:53:39+00:00",
   "text": "Love how our world viewpoints become more and more accurate, and thus, useful.  Living well, life just keeps getting better and better.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/809245007932690432",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "809235922185232384",
   "created_at": "2016-12-15T03:17:33+00:00",
   "text": "I've stopped trusting my memory & have been religiously keeping a to-list.  Have been so productive lately.  #GetAfterIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/809235922185232384",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "806998824652836864",
   "created_at": "2016-12-08T23:08:07+00:00",
   "text": "We should tax the hell out of caged eggs and use that to subsidize free range chickens and eggs.  Caging animals is a great moral failing..",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/806998824652836864",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "806691322602078208",
   "created_at": "2016-12-08T02:46:13+00:00",
   "text": "Uncertainty is such a driving force in our lives.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/806691322602078208",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "806659707687550980",
   "created_at": "2016-12-08T00:40:35+00:00",
   "text": "It's insane that our mental lives are simply the result of impersonal, chemical processes.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/806659707687550980",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "806654012229566465",
   "created_at": "2016-12-08T00:17:58+00:00",
   "text": "Action brings clarity. #GetAfterIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/806654012229566465",
   "word_count": 4
  },
  {
   "id": "803794120431071232",
   "created_at": "2016-11-30T02:53:46+00:00",
   "text": "You can't rationally decide that a well-chosen, but difficult path is not for you when you are under its effects.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/803794120431071232",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "803718657905860608",
   "created_at": "2016-11-29T21:53:55+00:00",
   "text": "RT @sapinker: Givewell, the effective altruism meta-charity, updates its recs on where your charitable dollar goes farthest.  https://t.co/…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/803718657905860608",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "803718285535703042",
   "created_at": "2016-11-29T21:52:26+00:00",
   "text": "Boolean operators for better Googling.  https://t.co/2EOKx2fm71",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/803718285535703042",
   "word_count": 6
  },
  {
   "id": "802981609247043584",
   "created_at": "2016-11-27T21:05:08+00:00",
   "text": "Are we fully conscious during sleep and merely failing to form memories?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/802981609247043584",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "802978459123228672",
   "created_at": "2016-11-27T20:52:37+00:00",
   "text": "Let's face it.  All we really have reason to be concerned about is the long term sense of well-being of sentient creatures.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/802978459123228672",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "802717419735318529",
   "created_at": "2016-11-27T03:35:21+00:00",
   "text": "The only thing that's going to make our 'shoulds' more appealing is doing them with more of our attention.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/802717419735318529",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "802662422549004288",
   "created_at": "2016-11-26T23:56:48+00:00",
   "text": "RT @nytimes: \"You’re deluding yourself if you think that Twitter messages, posts and likes are a productive use of your time\" https://t.co/…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/802662422549004288",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "801118658173005825",
   "created_at": "2016-11-22T17:42:26+00:00",
   "text": "It is my firm belief that one's motivation to accomplish their work goes up as one abstains from easier pleasures.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/801118658173005825",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "801110872471044096",
   "created_at": "2016-11-22T17:11:30+00:00",
   "text": "It's so useful to think of ourselves through an evolutionary, biological perspective.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/801110872471044096",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "801107240191135746",
   "created_at": "2016-11-22T16:57:04+00:00",
   "text": "Was having trouble finding motivation.  Acted anyway.  Now I have motivation.  I will achieve my strategic goals, & will die w/ no regrets.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/801107240191135746",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "800845736179023873",
   "created_at": "2016-11-21T23:37:57+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jockowillink: You are correct, Martin. I am overcompensating for my weaknesses. But I don't mind. Just means I have to GET AFTER IT MOR…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/800845736179023873",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "800841039477166085",
   "created_at": "2016-11-21T23:19:17+00:00",
   "text": "The question is not whether you can keep up a difficult habit forever, but can you do the difficult  action now, one more time? #GetAfterIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/800841039477166085",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "794638300883599364",
   "created_at": "2016-11-04T20:31:49+00:00",
   "text": "RT @80000Hours: Why the hour you spend voting may be the most socially impactful of all: https://t.co/5BuMfYBlvv",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/794638300883599364",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "794582775768686592",
   "created_at": "2016-11-04T16:51:11+00:00",
   "text": "Just glimpsed the timeless joy that is always there when my mind just chilled out during a lovely walk. #Meditation Thanks @SamHarrisOrg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/794582775768686592",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "789134163689541632",
   "created_at": "2016-10-20T16:00:20+00:00",
   "text": "6 mile ruck this morning @ approximately 16 minute/mile pace w/ approximately 70 lbs worth of gear.  HOOAH #GetAfterIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/789134163689541632",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "788225746225467392",
   "created_at": "2016-10-18T03:50:37+00:00",
   "text": "RT @intentinsights: Retweet if you agree! #reason #Rational #truth #skeptical #CriticalThinking #reality https://t.co/QcKMljNtU2",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/788225746225467392",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "786335791677116416",
   "created_at": "2016-10-12T22:40:36+00:00",
   "text": "Swam in a 73°F pool almost 40 minutes ago and am still riding an endorphin high. Cold water is like a drug.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/786335791677116416",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "786330203299672064",
   "created_at": "2016-10-12T22:18:24+00:00",
   "text": "RT @theQSLman: .@IllimitableMan's sublime articulation on the importance of books. Gold. https://t.co/S4TPE0Dn3w",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/786330203299672064",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "785966740400377856",
   "created_at": "2016-10-11T22:14:08+00:00",
   "text": "That moment when you fully realize your ancestral tree dates back to literally the beginning of life on Earth...",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/785966740400377856",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "785534463459618816",
   "created_at": "2016-10-10T17:36:25+00:00",
   "text": "With the truth out about free will, society only needs to maintain a threat of punishment.  In private, we can rehabilitate offenders.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/785534463459618816",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "785310613786464257",
   "created_at": "2016-10-10T02:46:55+00:00",
   "text": "I find it interesting how some people want to eschew all responsibility, and others want to see how much they can handle.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/785310613786464257",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "785271411615141889",
   "created_at": "2016-10-10T00:11:08+00:00",
   "text": "@SamHarrisOrg Just increased my support for you to $25/month. I want to keep hearing your thoughts, Sam!",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/785271411615141889",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "784815435518795776",
   "created_at": "2016-10-08T17:59:15+00:00",
   "text": "RT @jockowillink: UNMITIGATED DAILY DISCIPLINE IN ALL THINGS. https://t.co/w2LOUOs3u9",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/784815435518795776",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "781573250186940416",
   "created_at": "2016-09-29T19:15:58+00:00",
   "text": "One of the greatest gifts we can give others is our undivided attention.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/781573250186940416",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "781301392669601792",
   "created_at": "2016-09-29T01:15:42+00:00",
   "text": "Just CLEP/DSST'd out of a year (30 credits) worth of college in 3 evenings.  #GetAfterIt #NoExcuses #DisciplineEqualsFreedom #Gratitude",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/781301392669601792",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "781246542246207488",
   "created_at": "2016-09-28T21:37:45+00:00",
   "text": "Don't be offended if others don't show interest you- you simply haven't adequately catered to their interest.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/781246542246207488",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "780954180747788288",
   "created_at": "2016-09-28T02:16:00+00:00",
   "text": "Got 4.5 hours of sleep last night. Felt like shit all day, but passed 15 college credit hours worth of CLEP/DSST exams after work :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/780954180747788288",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "779706348690956288",
   "created_at": "2016-09-24T15:37:34+00:00",
   "text": "Don't rest on your laurels.  They can't save you.  You are only free once you love your work.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/779706348690956288",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "779557956782284801",
   "created_at": "2016-09-24T05:47:55+00:00",
   "text": "@jockowillink What's your take on the American vigilantes fighting ISIS?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/779557956782284801",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "777723584819134465",
   "created_at": "2016-09-19T04:18:46+00:00",
   "text": "That's 90% from hiking in the mountains with a ~30lb pack https://t.co/poYMhzpd1l",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/777723584819134465",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "777240714811961344",
   "created_at": "2016-09-17T20:20:01+00:00",
   "text": "Prepping for #SFAS at #Shenendoah.  Beautiful weather today.  #GettingAfterIt https://t.co/bPGLlShC5f",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/777240714811961344",
   "word_count": 10
  },
  {
   "id": "776254222299987968",
   "created_at": "2016-09-15T03:00:03+00:00",
   "text": "A good captain, simply by adjusting his sails/rudder, can sail anywhere.  By mastering what's under his control, he dominates the seas.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/776254222299987968",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "776233529038503937",
   "created_at": "2016-09-15T01:37:49+00:00",
   "text": "What special tools and abilities do others have to assist them in their success that you don't?  You have all that you need #Success #OwnIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/776233529038503937",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "776222342590636036",
   "created_at": "2016-09-15T00:53:22+00:00",
   "text": "'When we fail to quantify the scale of our different problems, we often end up working on something relatively unimportant.' #Leadership",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/776222342590636036",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "776028138212130816",
   "created_at": "2016-09-14T12:01:40+00:00",
   "text": "RT @ClevelandClinic: Studies show keeping a gratitude journal before bed leads to better sleep and a refreshing start to the next day. http…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/776028138212130816",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "775068920000745473",
   "created_at": "2016-09-11T20:30:05+00:00",
   "text": "Don't complain about your negative circumstances.  Be thankful for them.  Figure out how you can use them to better yourself. #EmbraceIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/775068920000745473",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "774795319456530432",
   "created_at": "2016-09-11T02:22:53+00:00",
   "text": "The discomfort of forging a new habit is temporary.  Eventually, the habit will feel normal, but you will continue to reap the rewards.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774795319456530432",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "774724926645428224",
   "created_at": "2016-09-10T21:43:10+00:00",
   "text": "@jockowillink I love your school idea. A year-long, structured getting-after-it sounds like exactly what a lot of our youth want and need.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774724926645428224",
   "word_count": 22,
   "in_reply_to": "774258305199804417"
  },
  {
   "id": "774707243195457536",
   "created_at": "2016-09-10T20:32:54+00:00",
   "text": "We feel compassion when we realize that people truly cannot be different than they are.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774707243195457536",
   "word_count": 15
  },
  {
   "id": "774698507471097858",
   "created_at": "2016-09-10T19:58:12+00:00",
   "text": "Saying \"I could have done otherwise\" confuses hope for the future with an honest account of the past.  You could not have done otherwise.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774698507471097858",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "774651719070412800",
   "created_at": "2016-09-10T16:52:16+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/bMolvnLuNf Listening to this for the second time.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774651719070412800",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "774617869028061184",
   "created_at": "2016-09-10T14:37:46+00:00",
   "text": "Self respect is far more rewarding than pride, and you don't get it from beating others, but from living in line with your values.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774617869028061184",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "774433512707465216",
   "created_at": "2016-09-10T02:25:12+00:00",
   "text": "Utilize the principle of Under-Promising, Over-Delivering and never compromise your integrity. #Leadership",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774433512707465216",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "774429618568830980",
   "created_at": "2016-09-10T02:09:43+00:00",
   "text": "True happiness is the joy that we experience when we move towards our potential.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774429618568830980",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "774426659088982016",
   "created_at": "2016-09-10T01:57:58+00:00",
   "text": "We forget that success is the natural byproduct of performing simple tasks. If a task is overwhelming, you haven't broken it down enough.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774426659088982016",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "774415625557082114",
   "created_at": "2016-09-10T01:14:07+00:00",
   "text": "Long-term peace of mind is only to be achieved through meaningful action, not escapism.  #OwnIt #DisciplineEqualsFreedom",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774415625557082114",
   "word_count": 16
  },
  {
   "id": "774394991976341504",
   "created_at": "2016-09-09T23:52:08+00:00",
   "text": "Everyone you come across is suffering in one way or another.  Even if they seem well off, they may be emotionally impoverished. #compassion",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774394991976341504",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "773560297558769664",
   "created_at": "2016-09-07T16:35:21+00:00",
   "text": "We can't afford to be quiet about effective altruism. People are suffering, and bringing onboard one other person doubles your impact. #Give",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/773560297558769664",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "773558096471986176",
   "created_at": "2016-09-07T16:26:36+00:00",
   "text": "Imagine if we didn't have pride holding us back, and we could ask for help or further clarification without embarrassment. #EgoIsTheEnemy",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/773558096471986176",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "772991587618021376",
   "created_at": "2016-09-06T02:55:30+00:00",
   "text": "\"Behind the mountains are more mountains\"- Haitian proverb. There are always more obstacles.  Overcoming them can be resisted, or embraced.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772991587618021376",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "772989963659010048",
   "created_at": "2016-09-06T02:49:03+00:00",
   "text": "Meditate on death. Look it in the eyes. Come to terms with it. Embrace the precariousness of your existence. Our lives are a precious gift.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772989963659010048",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "772988599952371712",
   "created_at": "2016-09-06T02:43:38+00:00",
   "text": "Whatever suffering you are going through is not special or some unique misfortune picked out for you. It just is what it is. #OwnIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772988599952371712",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "772958209954938880",
   "created_at": "2016-09-06T00:42:52+00:00",
   "text": "Just attended my 1st Jiu Jitsu class, thanks to the inspiration of @jockowillink!  Can't wait for the next one. #GetAfterIt #BJJ",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772958209954938880",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "772886990203285504",
   "created_at": "2016-09-05T19:59:52+00:00",
   "text": "No one is coming to save you. #WakeUp #GetAfterIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772886990203285504",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "772881817066233856",
   "created_at": "2016-09-05T19:39:19+00:00",
   "text": "Appreciate your enemies, for they keep you on your toes and moving to better yourself.  #LifeHacks #GetAfterIt #OwnIt #Gratitude",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772881817066233856",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "772856707999535104",
   "created_at": "2016-09-05T17:59:32+00:00",
   "text": "It's too easy to complain, feel sorry for oneself, and emotionally react. It takes effort and nerve to objectively attack the problem #OwnIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772856707999535104",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "772672533707517952",
   "created_at": "2016-09-05T05:47:42+00:00",
   "text": "Simply drop your pleasurable pastimes and your brain will soon be craving to do your work. This is the secret to success. #GetAfterIt #OwnIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772672533707517952",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "772547233044697093",
   "created_at": "2016-09-04T21:29:48+00:00",
   "text": "Find a calling in life that you must do, not merely that you want to do.  #BeBetter #LifeHacks #EgoIstheEnemy",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772547233044697093",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "772503340177645568",
   "created_at": "2016-09-04T18:35:23+00:00",
   "text": "When you find yourself going down the wrong path, you can reclaim your honor. Just stop, acknowledge the error, make amends, and move on.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772503340177645568",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "772500100652343296",
   "created_at": "2016-09-04T18:22:31+00:00",
   "text": "We foolishly think that we will feel like doing IT tomorrow.  #GetAfterIt #OwnIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772500100652343296",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "772489517127372800",
   "created_at": "2016-09-04T17:40:27+00:00",
   "text": "Gosh, why haven't I fasted more?  I feel great and have more energy. And food is going to taste awesome later.  #DisciplineEqualsFreedom",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772489517127372800",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "772481276238520320",
   "created_at": "2016-09-04T17:07:42+00:00",
   "text": "RT @freakonomics: Around 25% of the Medicare budget goes to patients who die within the year.  Could that money be put to better use? https…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772481276238520320",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "772470220392898560",
   "created_at": "2016-09-04T16:23:47+00:00",
   "text": "Attractive people are viewed as more intelligent, friendly, and competent. That's just a fact.  Gonna go put the whitening strips on.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772470220392898560",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "772174411122212864",
   "created_at": "2016-09-03T20:48:20+00:00",
   "text": "Mutual self-disclosure is the pathway to intimate relationships. #lifehacks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772174411122212864",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "772170338645999616",
   "created_at": "2016-09-03T20:32:09+00:00",
   "text": "Always give others a way out that will allow them to save face. \"You didn't have the information we have now when you made your decision.\"",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772170338645999616",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "772154074309492736",
   "created_at": "2016-09-03T19:27:31+00:00",
   "text": "Be thankful when you notice a problem in your life.  Now, you can overcome it before it gets worse. #lifehacks #OwnIt #GetAfterIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772154074309492736",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "772148208881561600",
   "created_at": "2016-09-03T19:04:13+00:00",
   "text": "RT @givingwhatwecan: How rich are you? Think you're in the top 10% of the world's wealthy people? Top 1%? Top 0.1%? \n\nFind out here! https:…",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772148208881561600",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "772120438105317377",
   "created_at": "2016-09-03T17:13:52+00:00",
   "text": "\"What difference does your work make beyond what would have happened anyway?\" is perhaps the most useful single question a donor can ask :)",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772120438105317377",
   "word_count": 24
  },
  {
   "id": "772118724136562688",
   "created_at": "2016-09-03T17:07:03+00:00",
   "text": "Organizations don't take risks, leaders do. #leadership",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772118724136562688",
   "word_count": 7
  },
  {
   "id": "772115547894976512",
   "created_at": "2016-09-03T16:54:26+00:00",
   "text": "You don't have to take ownership of anything that goes on in your life, that is, if you like being at the mercy of the world. #OwnIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772115547894976512",
   "word_count": 27
  },
  {
   "id": "772102776037998592",
   "created_at": "2016-09-03T16:03:41+00:00",
   "text": "Listening to https://t.co/dET1wQy0yD… \"Ego Is the Enemy\".  Seems pretty interesting so far.",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/772102776037998592",
   "word_count": 12
  },
  {
   "id": "771862114050932736",
   "created_at": "2016-09-03T00:07:23+00:00",
   "text": "What a pleasure it has been to have lived at all, to have experienced.  #awe #life #gratitude #sonder",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/771862114050932736",
   "word_count": 18
  },
  {
   "id": "770081890690854913",
   "created_at": "2016-08-29T02:13:24+00:00",
   "text": "\"It is not death that a man should fear, but he should fear never beginning to live.\" -Marcus Aurelius #wakeup #getafterit #ownit #doit",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/770081890690854913",
   "word_count": 23
  },
  {
   "id": "769767126399913984",
   "created_at": "2016-08-28T05:22:39+00:00",
   "text": "#Secret to #healthy #eating?  Maximize nutrients per #calorie.  #EatToLive",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769767126399913984",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "769766171138818048",
   "created_at": "2016-08-28T05:18:51+00:00",
   "text": "Don't go out to eat. #Learn to #cook for yourself. You'll eat #healthier & #save time and $$. #Donate the $$ you save to effective charities",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769766171138818048",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "769761279032561664",
   "created_at": "2016-08-28T04:59:25+00:00",
   "text": "You are sitting on your #death bed, reviewing your life. You had a good life, but did you do all that you could to ensure others did too?",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769761279032561664",
   "word_count": 28
  },
  {
   "id": "769759810384490496",
   "created_at": "2016-08-28T04:53:34+00:00",
   "text": "What does #blame do for you?  It only temporarily feels good, but it cheats you out of feeling #responsible, so you don't fix your situation",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769759810384490496",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "769759427704590336",
   "created_at": "2016-08-28T04:52:03+00:00",
   "text": "When you #mind says it can't do something, it's often just unwilling.  Pretend a gun is pointed to your head.  Now you can do it #lifehacks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769759427704590336",
   "word_count": 26
  },
  {
   "id": "769756693702045696",
   "created_at": "2016-08-28T04:41:11+00:00",
   "text": "When your parachute doesn't deploy, you just cut it and deploy your reserve.  Similarly, forget about your mistakes and #act.  #lifehacks",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769756693702045696",
   "word_count": 21
  },
  {
   "id": "769751264968183808",
   "created_at": "2016-08-28T04:19:37+00:00",
   "text": "Don't buy that #Starbucks #coffee.  Get your #caffeine through Mio Energy or some cheaper means.  Donate the #$ you #saved to #GiveWell",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769751264968183808",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "769624651182006272",
   "created_at": "2016-08-27T19:56:30+00:00",
   "text": "https://t.co/AYvzY0a1eu\n#Life IS a #competition\nYou are judged by what you do, not what you think\nOur idea of #fairness is #self-interest",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769624651182006272",
   "word_count": 22
  },
  {
   "id": "769622726034202625",
   "created_at": "2016-08-27T19:48:51+00:00",
   "text": "If you are in the #military and want to increase your #pushups & #pullups, you should avoid #muscle #failure. https://t.co/4zCjGp2M0f",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769622726034202625",
   "word_count": 20
  },
  {
   "id": "769388908568346625",
   "created_at": "2016-08-27T04:19:45+00:00",
   "text": "My over-#dramatic #iMovie creation featuring Dustin O'Halloran's Opus 23 #military #c4 #explosions https://t.co/lyy4P0LnSc",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769388908568346625",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "769385795832676352",
   "created_at": "2016-08-27T04:07:22+00:00",
   "text": "An extremely compelling #argument on why you should not talk to the #police https://t.co/4lqCxtxv3X",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769385795832676352",
   "word_count": 14
  },
  {
   "id": "769373351953530880",
   "created_at": "2016-08-27T03:17:56+00:00",
   "text": "#Dive school doesn't stop me from hopping on the #piano every now and then #glitch #fast #ragtime #Joplin https://t.co/hYw5XWYntD",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769373351953530880",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "769370302912557056",
   "created_at": "2016-08-27T03:05:49+00:00",
   "text": "#Explosion of detonating cord and #C4  #ArmyStrong https://t.co/KJQueqGmEG",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769370302912557056",
   "word_count": 8
  },
  {
   "id": "769367450039246848",
   "created_at": "2016-08-27T02:54:28+00:00",
   "text": "Didn't really shoot like a gangster, but I practiced loading, firing, reloading, and clearing jams to be #prepared https://t.co/jM9HGwQwrg",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769367450039246848",
   "word_count": 19
  },
  {
   "id": "769363833169317888",
   "created_at": "2016-08-27T02:40:06+00:00",
   "text": "#Leadership steps:\n1-Understand the problem\n2-Visualize a solution\n3-Over-Communicate\n4-Adapt to win #GoRuck",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769363833169317888",
   "word_count": 13
  },
  {
   "id": "769361923993399296",
   "created_at": "2016-08-27T02:32:31+00:00",
   "text": "We do not rise to the level of our expectations. We fall to the level of our training.\n- Archilochus, Greek Soldier, Poet #prepare #combat",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769361923993399296",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "769250572889448448",
   "created_at": "2016-08-26T19:10:03+00:00",
   "text": "Be aggressive towards the mission, not towards other people. Squat heavy and increase testosterone.  Don't wait.  #GetAfterIt",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769250572889448448",
   "word_count": 17
  },
  {
   "id": "769226208974364672",
   "created_at": "2016-08-26T17:33:14+00:00",
   "text": "Listening to \"We are Young\" on Bose headphones.  I would probably die of awe if I listened to this while finishing a marathon ;) #awe",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769226208974364672",
   "word_count": 25
  },
  {
   "id": "769224531076603905",
   "created_at": "2016-08-26T17:26:34+00:00",
   "text": "\"Control+f\" is amazing.  So is \"Control+Shift+T\" and \"Alt+Tab\".  #gratitude",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769224531076603905",
   "word_count": 9
  },
  {
   "id": "769220024305319936",
   "created_at": "2016-08-26T17:08:39+00:00",
   "text": "Those overwhelming moments when you realize your existence is truly just temporary and a precious gift.  #seizetheday",
   "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769220024305319936",
   "word_count": 17
  }
 ]
}